GOLD - SHORT TO $2,800 (1H UPDATE)Yesterday's entry hit SL, as price pushed up a little higher for liquidity, ahead of today's CPI data.
I have entered another sell entry today at $3,353. Couldn't send analysis straight away as I was out & didn't have my laptop on me. But re-trying this analysis one last time. If SL is hit, we will wait for $3,400 entry.
XAUUSD trade ideas
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold elliot wave countMarket Structure – Corrective Wave 2 Still in Progress
We're currently in a Wave 2 correction, unfolding as a classic ABC structure – labeled with Circle A → Circle B → Circle C.
✅ Circle A and Circle B are already complete.
We're now in the move from Circle B → Circle C, which itself is unfolding as a:
→ (A) → (B) → (C) (in parentheses)
Currently, we are in the move from (B) to (C), which again is breaking down as a smaller A → B → C move.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
📈 We might now be completing Wave A of (C) around the 3362 level.
🔁 A pullback to around 3322 could follow as Wave B,
➡️ leading to a final Wave C (of (C), of Circle C, completing Wave 2) targeting around 3405.
⏳ What’s Next?
Once we hit the 3405 zone, that would potentially complete the entire Wave 2 correction.
From there, I expect a trend reversal to the downside, beginning the next impulsive wave down.
Gold Trading Idea: Short Opportunity on 15-Min Descending ChanneHello TradingView Community,
Following up on my Gold analysis from Monday, the price action has respected the levels I outlined (check my previous posts for the breakdown), delivering solid trade opportunities except yesterday's news-driven volatility. Today, we're eyeing a short setup on Gold based on the 15-minute timeframe.
Technical Analysis:
Gold is moving within a descending channel on the 15-min chart.
I've identified equal highs and a small FVG (Fair Value Gap) aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the channel's range.
This confluence zone is where I expect the price to react, potentially clearing liquidity above the channel before reversing.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Wait for the price to reach the confluence zone (equal highs + 61.8% Fib + FVG) and show a clear reaction (e.g., rejection or reversal pattern) before entering a short position.
Take Profit: Targeting 3310 level.
Risk Management: If the price fails to reach the zone and breaks lower, I'll stay out to avoid chasing trades. Patience is key here.
Stay disciplined, traders! Let the price come to our zone, and always manage your risk.
Follow for more setups, like this post if you found it helpful, and drop your thoughts in the comments below! Let’s discuss!
#Gold #XAUUSD #ShortSetup #TechnicalAnalysis
Gold
⸻
1. Trade Setup Summary
✅ Trade Type: Long (Buy)
✅ Entry: 3,322.250
✅ Stop Loss (SL): 3,311.500
✅ Take Profits (TP):
• TP1: 3,341.000
• TP2: 3,358.000
• TP3: 3,378.000
⸻
2. Chart Context Analysis
🔷 Structure:
• The market had a strong bullish push before a correction phase.
• Current candle is aggressively bullish from the zone near your entry, suggesting buyers are reclaiming control.
🔷 Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
• There is an FVG area marked just above TP2 (around 3,358.000) indicating a price imbalance likely to be filled.
• Previous unfilled FVGs below acted as strong demand zones, supporting bullish continuation.
🔷 Trendline Observation:
• A dotted descending trendline was broken and price consolidated above it, suggesting a shift in market structure from bearish to bullish on lower timeframes.
⸻
3. Risk Management
• SL Placement: Below recent structural lows at 3,311.500, providing safety against liquidity sweeps while avoiding premature stop-outs.
• RR Ratio: Approximately 1:2 to 1:5 if all TPs are hit, making the setup favorable.
⸻
4. Overall Probability and Caution
✔️ Strengths:
• Confluence with FVG targeting.
• Strong bullish engulfing candle.
• Multi-TP strategy for secured partial profits.
⚠️ Risks:
• Potential rejection near TP2 due to previous supply reaction.
• High volatility can cause stop-out if market seeks liquidity deeper before continuation.
⸻
5. Conclusion
This setup aligns with smart money concept-based trades focusing on:
• Market structure shift
• FVG imbalance fills
• Clear SL protection with sequential TP levels
If you want, I can:
• Break this down into a daily plan for tomorrow’s session.
• Integrate it with your NAS100, US30, and Forex analysis for the week.
• Prepare similar structured breakdowns for your upcoming charts in your strategy refinement routine tonight.
Gold Trade Plan 21/07/2025 ( 3380-3400 ( Important Area))Dear Traders,
The price is inside an ascending triangle, and it is certain that we will see a definitive breakout above the previous high. However, the important point is whether wave 4 has completed and we are entering wave 5, or if we are still in the correction phase of wave 4. In case of a breakout and stabilization between 3380-3400, the price will continue its bullish trend. However, as long as this zone is not broken, I expect a correction towards around 3220-3240.
Regards,
Alireza!
Expecting Gold bullish Movement Gold (XAU/USD) has exhibited a strong bullish reversal from the key support zone near 3325 marked by the red area on the chart The price formed a series of higher lows indicating bullish momentum buildup before breaking out sharply above the descending channel and resistance zone around 3340
Following this breakout, the market is now consolidating above the broken resistance, which is acting as new support signaling a potential continuation of the upward trend
Key Levels
Target 1 3365 3370 grey resistance zone
Target 2 3385 3390 major resistance zone
If price holds above the support at 3340 and continues forming higher lows, we expect bullish continuation toward Target 1 and eventually Target 2 if momentum sustains Traders should monitor price action closely at each target zone for potential reactions or reversals
GOLD OUTLOOK – READY FOR THE NEW TRADING WEEK (JULY 21–25)GOLD OUTLOOK – READY FOR THE NEW TRADING WEEK (JULY 21–25)
🟡 Market Recap:
Gold made a strong bullish reversal at the end of last week, following a liquidity sweep at the FVG ZONE 3310. Price surged quickly toward the OBS SELL ZONE around 335x–336x.
However, by Friday’s close, price reacted to multiple confluences (OBS + FIBO zones) and closed below the VPOC level in the recent uptrend – forming a potential short-term top.
📉 Outlook for July 21–25:
No major economic data expected next week.
However, geopolitical tensions and trade policy concerns (e.g. tariffs, military conflicts) will be the key catalysts.
These events could lead to high volatility and liquidity grabs across the board.
🧠 Technical Perspective – H1 Mid-Term View:
Gold continues to form multiple unfilled Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) after strong bullish moves.
Recent price action created new high-zone FVGs, but lower FVGs remain untested.
🔁 Expected scenario: A potential retracement to fill the lower FVG zones (3310/3305), followed by another bullish leg.
📍Trading Strategy:
Wait for price to retrace into FVG Low Zones.
Look for early BUY setups at confluence areas:
CP zones
FIBO retracement levels
Volume/Price reaction zones
🎯 Target Outlook:
Bullish targets around 333x – 336x remain valid.
If price sustains momentum after pullback, we may aim for Buy Side Liquidity near 3371.749.
✅ Key Reminders:
Avoid chasing highs (FOMO).
Stick to proper TP/SL rules, especially with headline-driven markets next week.
🎉 Wishing you a relaxing weekend – recharge and get ready to conquer the markets next week!
🚀 GOD BLESS ALL
GOLD - Wave 2 Bullish Towards $3,406 (1H UPDATE)I see a possible buy opportunity towards $3,406 on Gold, as part of its bigger Wave 2 correction, before we can consider selling again.
Confluences👇
⭕️Wave 2 Correction Not Complete (2 Sub-Waves So Far).
⭕️Distribution Schematic Forming.
⭕️Early Sellers ($3,377) & Buyers ($3,310) Liquidated In Past 2 Days.
Now we've seen both buyers & sellers liquidated, we can expect to see a cleaner move back towards $3,400 where there is a lot of pending liquidity.
The firing of Powell set off the market, don't chase the longsTrump showed a draft of the letter to fire Powell, but whether Powell will be fired in the end remains to be seen, but the impact on the gold market is undoubtedly huge. The wolves have now smelled a very dangerous scent. Don’t chase high prices. Don’t chase high prices! ! ! After all, the impact of the news comes and goes quickly, and there is a high possibility of a reversal later in the evening. The final suppression position of the current gold daily line is 3340. If the closing line today can maintain above 3340, then gold will usher in a real bullish trend in the future.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Market Analysis (XAU/USD) – MMC Analysis + Liquidity Target🧠 Market Context Overview:
Gold recently experienced a highly impulsive move from a major demand zone, suggesting strong smart money activity. The market is currently in the redistribution phase of the MMC (Market Maker Cycle), transitioning between a reversal impulse and a liquidity targeting move.
Let’s dissect the key zones, structure, and confluences that support the ongoing market narrative.
📍 1. Strong Demand Reaction (3X Demand Spike):
We start with a triple-tap demand rejection, where the price sharply reversed to the upside. This kind of movement typically represents:
Institutional Entry Points
Stop-Hunt Below Previous Lows
Liquidity Grab Before Expansion
This strong bullish engulfing candle signifies position building by smart money, often the beginning of a significant leg up.
🧱 2. Reversal Zone & Liquidity Imbalance:
The highlighted green zone between $3,370–$3,375 is crucial. Why?
It’s an inefficiency zone where price moved too fast with low resistance.
This created a liquidity void that typically needs to be revisited (also known as FVG – Fair Value Gap).
The area also coincides with structural resistance, making it a high-probability target for price to revisit and reject again or break through with intent.
📌 Smart money always returns to areas of unfilled liquidity to close their positions or trap late retail entries.
🔺 3. Volume Contraction (Wedge Pattern Formation):
After the explosive push upward, the market started compressing, forming a descending wedge — a classical volume contraction pattern.
What does this mean?
Volatility is decreasing
Liquidity is building up
Big breakout is expected
It’s like pulling a slingshot — the more it contracts, the stronger the release will be. The direction will depend on which side breaks first.
🔁 4. Previous Structure Flipped (Support turned Resistance):
You’ll notice a key level around $3,353–$3,355 acting as a flipped structure.
This was previously a support zone that got broken.
Now it’s acting as resistance — a classic example of support/resistance flip.
This adds confluence to the idea of a possible rejection or reaction in this area.
🧠 Structure flipping is a smart money trick — break structure, retrace to trap liquidity, and then run the opposite direction.
📊 5. MMC Logic – Market Maker Cycle in Play:
Here’s how the MMC is flowing:
Accumulation (bottom consolidation)
Manipulation (liquidity sweep below demand)
Expansion (aggressive upward move)
Contraction (volume dies, price slows down)
Now we’re waiting for the next manipulation or expansion phase.
The current wedge is the pause before the next move, which could fill liquidity in the reversal zone or go lower to sweep resting sell-side liquidity.
🎯 Trading Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Bias (if breakout happens):
Break and close above the wedge
Retest previous flipped structure successfully
Target: Liquidity zone at $3,370–$3,375
🎯 This move would fill the imbalance and potentially tag sell-side liquidity sitting at the top.
❌ Bearish Bias (if rejection holds):
Failure to break above flipped structure
Breakdown from the wedge
Target: Demand origin around $3,325–$3,315
🧲 A move lower would make sense if liquidity remains uncollected beneath the range.
🧵 Final Thoughts:
Gold is currently in a high-probability setup zone. We have:
✅ Clear demand reaction
✅ Imbalance above
✅ Volume contraction
✅ Flipped structure
✅ Strong MMC confluence
Now it's a waiting game. Let the market show its hand — either a clean breakout with volume or a fakeout/rejection and reversal.
📌 "Trade what you see, not what you think. Let the levels and liquidity guide your decision."
XAU / USD 30 Minute ChartHello traders. Here is a quick 30 minute chart showing where I am looking for potential buy scalp and sell scap trade set ups. Let's see how the current 30 minute candle closes. Pre NY volume starts coming in about 40 minutes from this writing. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and trade the trend.
The short-selling idea remains unchanged, defend 3355📰 News information:
1. Powell responds to White House issues
2. Will other countries impose reciprocal sanctions on tariffs?
📈 Technical Analysis:
Gold closed with a long lower shadow on the daily line yesterday and closed with a doji on the hourly line. In the short term, gold may continue to rise and is expected to touch the 3355 line. If gold cannot break through and stabilize above 3355, then gold may fall back. We can still consider shorting, and the target can be 3330. If the trend is as expected, it may form the embryonic form of a head and shoulders bottom. On the contrary, if the gold price breaks through 3355, stop loss on short positions and pay attention to the high resistance of 3375-3385.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3340-3355
TP 3330-3320
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
TVC:GOLD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Treat it as a long-short wash-out shock, and go long on pullback📰 News information:
1. Initial jobless claims data
2. June retail data
3. Beware of Trump's remarks about firing Powell
📈 Technical Analysis:
Last night, the daily line closed at around 3347. The current short-term daily line range is 3355-3300. The short-term support below is still 3320. Once it falls below 3320, it will look to 3310-3300. Short-term trading is still volatile. If the intraday retracement reaches 3320-3310, consider going long, and the defense is 3300, with the target at 3340-3350. Under the current rhythm of long and short wash, don't chase the rise and sell the fall, look at it rationally, and brothers who trade independently must bring SL.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3320-3310
TP 3340-3350
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold at $3400: Time to Capitalize on the Surge!FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
After a monumental 500-pip bullish run this morning, gold now stands at $3400. This significant upward momentum presents a prime opportunity for a strategic reversal.
We are issuing a SELL signal from $3400!
Technical Resistance: After such a sharp bullish move, gold is likely to encounter significant technical resistance levels at or around the $3400 mark, potentially triggering profit-taking and a reversal. Overbought indicators on technical charts could also signal an imminent pullback.
Don't miss this opportunity to capitalize on the market's dynamics. The recent surge may have set the stage for a profitable downturn.
ENTRY POINT 3400
TARGET 3380
STPLOSS 3410
Gold is in the Bearish DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
XAU/USD Forms Bearish Continuation Triangle – Future Downside
XAU/USD (4H) | FX | Gold Spot vs US Dollar
🔴 SHORT BIAS
📅 Updated: July 18
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🔍 Description
Gold is trading within a bearish contracting triangle, suggesting a continuation move to the downside after the recent corrective bounce. Price is currently approaching the key 3,371–3,376 resistance zone, which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and upper triangle boundary.
This resistance confluence could mark the termination of the (E) wave of the triangle, paving the way for a larger downward thrust. A confirmed break below 3,302 would open the door toward 3,221 as the next major target.
The structure also leaves room for a minor internal triangle (a)-(b)-(c)-(d)-(e) pattern within the broader range, reinforcing the bearish setup.
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📊 Technical Structure (4H)
✅ Bearish contracting triangle: (A)-(B)-(C)-(D)-(E)
✅ 78.6% Fibonacci + supply zone = ideal rejection point
✅ Internal triangle projection aligns with lower support test
📌 Downside Targets
Target 1: 3,302.47
Target 2: 3,221.78
🔻 Invalidation: Above 3,376.03
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📈 Market Outlook
Macro View: Rising real yields and cooling inflation reduce gold’s appeal
Fed Watch: Hawkish tone supports USD, weighing on XAU
Technical View: Structure favors downside break from triangle formation
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⚠️ Risks to Bias
Break and daily close above 3,376.03 invalidates triangle structure
Sudden risk-off sentiment or dovish Fed shift could boost gold demand
Sharp reversal in dollar strength
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🧭 Summary: Bearish Breakout Setup Forming
XAU/USD is completing a bearish triangle structure, with price sitting just below resistance. A rejection from the 3,371–3,376 zone can trigger a breakout lower, first toward 3,302, then extending to 3,221. As always, confirmation and tight risk control are key.
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Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Chart4-hour chart from OANDA displays the price movement of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) against the U.S. Dollar, showing a current price of $3,329.145 with a decrease of $18.455 (-0.55%). The chart highlights key levels including a sell price of $3,328.920 and a buy price of $3,329.370, with a recent trading range between $3,355.339 and $3,312.393. The data spans from late June to mid-July 2025, with notable price fluctuations and a shaded area indicating a potential trading zone.
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy for July 16.Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance level 3382, support level 3300
Four-hour chart resistance level 3365, support level 3320
One-hour chart resistance level 3342, support level 3325.
Yesterday, the lowest price fell to 3320, then fluctuated upward, and rebounded to 3343. As the price fell below 3341 yesterday and accelerated downward, a transition from support to resistance was formed here. Focus on the high point of the NY market rebound yesterday, 3352. Whether it can break through here will determine whether the market continues to rise or is blocked and then falls back like yesterday.
It is worth noting that the trend of the past two days is that Asia is rising and rebounding, and the NY market is falling. Today may be a cycle of yesterday and the day before yesterday. At present, gold is fluctuating and rebounding at 3320. If the NY market cannot break through 3352, it will continue to fall. For the time being, it can be sold high and bought low in this range. After falling below 3320, the next short-term target is 3310~3300.
BUY: 3324 SL: 3320
SELL: 3320 SL: 3325
SELL: 3352 SL: 3357