GOLD around 3,425-3,450 is sell for me, WAVE C is on making!I found a comprehensive Elliot Wave count on this entire movement.. The upward movement since the previous heavy drop on Gold is detected as B correction, which is extended to ABC-X-ABC.
And now i assumed that the B is over (or almost done) and we will head to WAVE C.
DON'T MISS IT!!
CHEEERRRSSS...!!!
XAUUSD trade ideas
Gold — Awaiting Clarity at the Neckline (FRL Setup)“Trading is capital management under uncertainty. The red horizontal zone is the zone of uncertainty. Neckline levels are rubicons — thresholds where the market becomes clear to us. Don’t fear uncertainty. Learn to wait for the moment when everything becomes clear.”
Right now, gold is forming an upward trend. But as we know, every trend consists of impulses and corrections — and each of those is a trend of its own.
According to Fractal Reversal Law (FRL):
• Every structure ends with a reversal pattern.
• A neckline is always strictly horizontal and defined by the last impulse’s top.
• The MA100 tells us the scale we’re working with — helping us select the right timeframe to confirm.
🔍 In this setup:
• A potential reversal pattern is forming.
• The neckline coincides perfectly with the MA100 — a strong alignment of structure and scale.
• We also see early signs of MACD divergence, suggesting loss of bearish momentum.
Neckline levels: 3400 for a Double bottom and 3300 for a Double top.
✅ What to wait for:
• A full-bodied candle close above the neckline (not just a wick).
• This signals the end of correction and potential beginning of a new impulse.
🎯 Target:
• Measure the height from the neckline to the bottom of the correction.
• Project it upward from the neckline to estimate the first profit target.
Gold Buy- Go for buy if you got entry setup
- Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if your strategy allow
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Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Trade Plan for June 19, 2025🌀 Wave Structure
On the H4 timeframe, following a strong selloff, price is now consolidating within a narrow price channel — suggesting that we are currently in wave b (black) of an abc correction.
This structure implies that one more leg down is likely to complete wave c (black). However, due to the overlapping and sideways nature of the move, it's difficult to clearly identify the end points of waves a and b, making traditional Fibonacci targeting less effective.
➡️ To improve accuracy, we’re combining Volume Profile data with price action and have identified four key support zones:
3349, 3335, 3313, and 3297
Among these, we’re giving special attention to:
🎯 Target 1: 3335
🎯 Target 2: 3297
We'll wait for bullish momentum signals near these levels to increase the probability of catching the end of wave c.
🔋 Momentum Outlook
Daily (D1): Momentum is about to enter oversold territory. By the end of today or tomorrow, the daily candle is expected to confirm this — suggesting a weakening bearish trend.
H4: Also approaching oversold. If price is hovering around one of the key support levels (3349 | 3335 | 3313 | 3297) when this happens, and the D1 is already oversold, then we may be looking at a high-probability reversal zone.
H1: Nearly oversold as well — expect a short-term bounce soon. The best timing for a BUY will be when the H1 starts turning bullish while both the D1 and H4 are oversold.
✅ Trade Setup
🔹 Scenario 1
BUY ZONE: 3336 – 3333
SL: 3326
TP1 | TP2 | TP3: 3345 | 3378 | 3402
🔹 Scenario 2
BUY ZONE: 3300 – 3297
SL: 3290
TP1 | TP2 | TP3: 3313 | 3345 | 3402
⏳ Patience is key — wait for confluence between support zones and momentum reversals. That’s where the high-probability BUY setups emerge.
Gold under pressure: imminent rally or programmed pullback? \ Gold under pressure: imminent rally or programmed pullback? The 3,400\$ crossroads\
\ Good evening, fellow traders – welcome back to this scorching summer… on the charts!\
Yes, it’s been a while since my last post. But you know how it goes: when gold is silent, it’s usually loading up a big move.
Meanwhile, I hope my previous analyses have kept you company — and more importantly, brought you value.
Spoiler: \ I haven’t missed a single one.\
Before we begin: \ drop a boost and leave a comment\ . The community is our most precious gold.
📍 \ Current Context\
XAU/USD is walking a tightrope between \ 3,400\$ and 3,440$\ .
This is a pivotal level, surrounded by international tension, a weakening dollar, and volatile economic expectations.
The question is simple: \ Are we heading for new highs? Or dipping to refuel first?\
🐂 \ Bullish Scenario: eyes on 3,440$\
A clear breakout above \ 3.440$\ could trigger the next leg up.
🎯 \ Target: 3,500\$ (new all-time high)\
• Geopolitical stress between \ Iran and Israel\ remains unresolved
• The \ US dollar\ is sluggish, inflation is creeping back in
• Markets are betting on a \ Fed rate cut\
• Gold? It smells fear better than anyone
🐻 \ Bearish Scenario: 3,400\$ must hold\
If buyers can’t defend the \ 3.400$\ level, we could see a step-by-step correction toward:
📉 \ Bearish Targets:\
• 3,295\$
• 3,245\$
• 3,120\$
• 3,070\$
As long as price stays below \ 3,440$\ , every bounce remains \ a selling opportunity, not a moonshot fantasy\ .
🌍 \ Geopolitical Snapshot (16/06/2025)\
• Iran and Israel keep exchanging “gifts” — drones, missiles, and tension
• The dollar is losing safe-haven status, giving gold the spotlight
• Oil is back above \ 73$\ , triggering renewed inflation concerns
• The Fed is increasingly likely to \ cut rates\ , weakening the dollar and reinforcing gold’s strength
📊 \ Operational Summary\
| \ Direction\ | \ Trigger Level\ | \ Target\ | \ Strategy\ |
| --------------------- | ---------------------- | ----------------- | ------------------------ |
| \ LONG (Buy)\ | Break above 3,440\$ | 3,500\$ | New ATH |
| \ SHORT (Sell)\ | Below 3,400\$ | 3,295\$ → 3,070\$ | Technical pullback setup |
🎯 \ Conclusion: the plan exists – just not the one you’re expecting\
Gold is standing at a major crossroads. Either it breaks out… or catches its breath.
But remember: \ we’re traders, not prophets. We don’t predict — we react.\
I’m watching closely, ready to strike… with the right foot forward. Are you?
\ Share your thoughts in the comments.\
\ Drop a boost and support those who help you see beyond the candles every single day.\
\ PipGuard\
Gold has recently broken below its 4-hour bullish Fair Value GapGold Market Analysis (In-depth & Strategic Overview):
Gold has recently broken below its 4-hour bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) and is currently trading beneath its Consequent Encroachment (CE) level — a signal that short-term bullish momentum has weakened.
In the latest 4H candle, the market swept the liquidity resting below the previous day's lows, a classic move to trap early sellers and collect stop-losses. Right after this liquidity grab, the price touched the daily bullish FVG, found support there, and then managed to close back inside the 4H FVG. This action reflects a temporary defense by buyers — but the battle is far from over.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
$3401: This is a critical resistance level. If the market successfully closes above $3401, it could signal a bullish continuation, paving the way for an upward move.
$3389: This is a crucial support level. If price breaks below $3389, it would likely lead to further downside movement, opening the door for deeper corrections.
⏳ Current Strategy:
The best move right now is to wait and watch how the market reacts to these key levels. A breakout above $3401 would confirm strength and potential bullish continuation. Conversely, a breakdown below $3389 could trigger a fresh wave of selling pressure.
🚨 Until one of these levels is clearly broken, the market may remain in a state of indecision or range-bound movement.
🔍 Always DYOR – Do Your Own Research!
Stay informed, manage your risk wisely, and avoid emotional decisions.
Gold Wave Analysis – 13 June 2025- Gold recently broke resistance level 3400.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 3500.00
Gold recently broke the resistance level 3400.00 coinciding with the resistance trendline of the daily Triangle from April.
The breakup of the resistance level 3400.00 accelerated the active impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (5) from the middle of May.
Gold can be expected to rise to the next major resistance level 3500.00 (former monthly high from April. which stopped the previous impulse wave (3)).
XAUUSD is over bought on weekly Timeframe As we took buy on 1st attempt at 3435 towards 3460 although our TP is missed by 10 pips at 3448 .
-Currently market Is not crossing 3445 barrier
-Although this pump is because of War Escalation .
- if we narrow down weekly Timeframe Gold is over bought.
We're still focusing on buying on dips 3390-3380 will be my main area of buying.
Keep in mind we have to get confirmation 1st before buying.
All the enteries should be taken if All the rules are applied
#XAUUSD
Continue to be bullish after successful adjustment of low longToday, gold opened high at 3448, and fell under pressure after touching 3452. It fell after repeatedly confirming resistance at high levels. We arranged short orders in the 3445-3450 area, successfully touched the target of 3330, and realized profit-taking. Then the market fell back to around 3409 and stabilized and rebounded. We arranged long orders and stopped profit at around 3420. Then we fell back and arranged long orders of 3385 and 3395 to take profits at 3405.
Overall, gold fell slowly after opening high, and maintained sideways consolidation in the European session. The US session continued to fall due to the easing of the geopolitical situation. At present, the focus of the evening is on the support of 3390. If it does not break after the retracement, it can still go long. Pay attention to the key pressure levels of 3410 and 3422 above. The current market is still in the adjustment stage of the upward trend. After the adjustment, it is expected to continue the upward rhythm.
Operation suggestion: Go long on gold when it falls back to around 3390-3392, with the target at 3410 and 3435.
If you still lack direction in gold trading, you might as well try to follow my pace. The strategy is open and transparent, and the execution logic is clear and definite, which may bring new breakthroughs to your trading. The real value does not rely on verbal promises, but is verified by the market and time.
"Gold (XAUUSD) Possible Breakout Trap Forming-Big Reversal Move Gold has formed a potential breakout trap near key resistance levels. A false breakout could lead to a strong reversal targeting the 3200 support zone. Watching for RSI divergence and volume confirmation. Not financial advice — for educational purposes only.
How to position gold in the week of the Federal Reserve’s decisiAs last week came to a close, further geopolitical tensions in the Middle East pushed market risk aversion to its highest level in nearly two months. This round of rising prices was driven by multiple factors. Among them, the weak inflation data released by the United States last week further strengthened the market's expectations for the Fed's loose monetary policy, thereby increasing the attractiveness of gold assets. In the short term, gold prices are expected to continue to be supported by risk aversion on Monday. In addition, the market this week needs to focus on the impact of the Fed's interest rate decision and Chairman Powell's speech on gold prices. Everyone should pay close attention to the price fluctuations that may be caused by the Fed's policy trends. It is particularly important to note that US President Trump plans to attend the G7 summit in Canada from June 15 to 17. His policy statements during the summit may also have an important impact on the gold market. Investors are advised to keep an eye on it.
Technically, the daily level reminds us to focus on the key resistance range of 3455-3460: if this area fails to break through effectively, the price may face a technical correction; if it breaks through, it may open up further upward space. The 4-hour period chart analysis shows that the gold price maintains a unilateral upward trend, the Bollinger Band channel continues to expand, and the moving average system maintains a complete long arrangement. Two major support levels need to be monitored this week: 3420 constitutes a short-term long-short watershed, and if this position is maintained, the price will maintain its strong characteristics; 3410-3405 is a key trend support level. If it is not effectively broken, the long structure will continue.
Operation strategy:
Gold recommends buying long positions near 3420-3415, stop loss at 3407, and target 3440-3460
Gold | 4h Structural LookoutPEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
📅 June 18, 2025
Chart Title: “Gold's Battle at the Midpoint – Compression Before Explosion”
Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish
Structure: Ranging with Bullish Channel
✳️ Technical Summary:
Gold continues to coil near the upper half of its multi-month structure, testing traders’ patience before a potentially explosive move. Current PA is forming a tight consolidation right beneath mid-channel resistance, suggesting a directional breakout is imminent — especially with the FOMC catalyst ahead.
📏 Key Chart Features:
Clear Rising Channel: Acting as medium-term trend guide
Major Consolidation: Identified around 3,330–3,380
Historical Boxes & Reaction Lows: Multiple orange circles show clear buying interest zones
Possible Long-Term Range: Defined between 3,123 and ATH zone (3,500)
EMA Support: Price currently holding both 15 & 60 EMAs
📈 Scenarios to Watch:
🔼 Bullish Breakout Path:
Trigger: Break and close above 3,400
Confirmation: Follow-through above consolidation +full body close
TP1: 3,460
TP2: ATH retest around 3,500–3,540
SL: Below 3,320 or lower trendline
Invalidation: Break below channel
🔽 Bearish Breakdown Path:
Trigger: Breakdown below 3,325 support
First Target: 3,250
Expansion Target: 3,123 – base of the macro range
Extreme Bear Target: 3,000 zone
SL: Above 3,400
Consolidation Zoom in:
#Xauusd #Gold #Trading #MJtrading #forex #Chart #chartanalysis #signal #freesignal
$XAU — Endless Up-Trend on GOLD!Gold ( TVC:XAU ) continues its powerful uptrend , repeating a clear and profitable trading pattern: explosive moves (20-30% gains) , brief sideways consolidations, and renewed breakouts. Since early 2024, three such cycles have occurred, each flagged by red breakout arrows on the 1W chart.
Currently, gold is forming another tight consolidation range between roughly $3,200–3,450. Historically, these consolidations have consistently resolved upward. If the pattern repeats, the next target zones lie around $3,985 (+20%) and $4,385 (+30%) . Such bullish targets align with major banks: Goldman Sachs targets $3,700 by year-end and potentially $4,500 in high-risk scenarios, while J.P. Morgan forecasts $4,000 by mid-2026.
Several factors fuel gold’s bullish momentum:
• Central-bank buying remains robust, projected to surpass 1,000 tonnes for the fourth consecutive year.
• Geopolitical risks, tariff disputes, and a weakening USD have enhanced gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.
• Central banks increasingly prioritize gold for reserve diversification and risk management, not just speculation.
So, to be short: if weekly closes stay above the $3,200 support, gold likely continues its bullish momentum toward the $4,000 handle .
Have you seized the golden opportunity again and again?Today, the strength of gold is very weak. It only rushed up at the opening, and quickly fell below the 3400 mark. Keeping above the key point of 3400, gold continues to be bullish. Now that it has fallen below 3400, the short-term has gone out of the small-level top, and the market is no longer so strong. For our short-term operations, the short-term correction of gold prices focuses on the daily cycle MA5 support, and the weekly MA5 support is long. The rebound focuses on the 3403-3408 resistance card. The rebound can be followed by the short-term! Although gold has fallen below 3400, the short-term direction has changed, but the general direction has not changed. It is still bullish. In the future, we still have the opportunity to look at the high point of 3500, but we have to wait for the bottom to stabilize. Now we can only follow the trend. We will do what the market does.
From a technical point of view, the current macd high dead cross in 4 hours has a large volume, and the smart indicator sto is oversold, which represents the 4-hour shock trend. The current bollinger band three-track shrinkage in 4 hours also represents the range compression. At present, the upper pressure of 4 hours is located at the adhesion point of the middle rail and the moving average MA10 at 3404-3409, while the support corresponds to the moving average MA30 and MA10 near the 3380-3363 line. From the current 4 hours, if the price is to fall directly, the rebound will not exceed the 3420-3422.5 line. The current macd dead cross of the gold 1-hour line is shrinking and sticking, and the smart indicator sto is running downward, indicating that the hourly line continues to fluctuate weakly. What we need to pay attention to now is the adhesion pressure of the upper moving average MA60 and MA30 corresponding to the 3412 line. Pay attention to the resistance of 3403 in the short term. Today's short-term operation of gold recommends rebound shorting as the main, and callback long as the auxiliary, and pay attention to the support of 3380-3370 in the short term.
The Fed's cautious stance suppresses gold prices!Inflation expectations caused by tariffs may support gold prices in the medium term, as gold is usually favored as an anti-inflation asset when inflation pressure rises. However, in the short term, the strengthening of the US dollar and the Fed's cautious policy stance may suppress the upward trend of gold prices. In addition, the Trump administration's suspension of some high tariff plans (such as 145% tariffs on Chinese goods) has eased concerns about extreme inflation and weakened the safe-haven demand for gold. Today, the gold price in the Asian session tested the resistance of the 4-hour chart in the short term and came under pressure. It continued to fluctuate between the resistance and the previous day's low during the day. It fell as expected after the overnight data was released, and the daily line closed with a large negative line. Although it did not substantially break the daily support, it is necessary to pay close attention to the subsequent breakout.
The rising channel of the 1-hour chart remains intact, and the current trading is mainly based on low-multiple ideas. The upper pressure focuses on the integer level of 3390-3400 US dollars (the rebound high on Wednesday); stronger resistance looks at the upper track of the daily Bollinger band at 3425. The lower support focuses on the intraday low of 3347. The current support below focuses on the intraday low of 3347, which is also located near the middle track of the daily Bollinger Band and the weekly MA5 moving average. The moving average system shows that the 5-day moving average starts to turn down after the golden cross, the MACD indicator is close to the dead cross pattern, the KDJ indicator dead cross momentum weakens, and the RSI indicator shows signs of turning up after the dead cross. For evening operations, it is recommended that gold be considered to be deployed in the area near 3347 when it falls back, and pay attention to risk management.
Trading day strategy on June 20:
Gold is recommended to be bought near 3347 when it falls back, with a target of 3360-3400
XAUUSD:06/06/2025 Update! Gold experienced a decline to 3314 following the release of unexpectedly strong NFP data. However, this decline is unlikely to lead to further price drops below 3314. This is primarily due to the ongoing turmoil within the president’s own political party, which is only just beginning to unfold and will likely intensify in the coming weeks.
Before making any trading decisions, it is advisable to conduct your own analysis. Additionally, the current price action has established an AB=CD pattern, where the price has successfully reversed from point ‘d’. This pattern suggests that waiting for the price to break out could be a prudent strategy for a safe entry.
Three targets have been reasonably set, with the potential to reach target two. However, the target three remains uncertain. The total potential profit from this idea is approximately 1300 pips.
It is also important to monitor the DXY closely. We recommend waiting for the price to complete its bullish correction before taking an entry on gold.
We sincerely hope that this analysis proves beneficial. Please consider liking, commenting, and sharing this post to encourage us to provide more such insights.
Best regards,
Team Setupsfx_
Is 3500 gold still far away?
💡Message Strategy
Gold prices rose overall this week, with bulls showing strength. This was mainly due to the positive CPI data from the Federal Reserve, the escalation of tensions in the Middle East, the uncertainty of trade tariffs, and strong long-term support from fundamental demand, which led to the continued strong trend of gold prices.
As risk aversion rebounded, gold prices rose rapidly, hitting the upper track of the Bollinger Band, which also caused gold prices to rise by more than 3.6% this week.
📊Technical aspects
As geopolitical tensions in the Middle East intensify over the weekend, gold prices may continue to benefit from risk aversion next week, and gold prices are expected to target $3,500/ounce at the beginning of next week
The key support point is 3408. The current price has broken through and stabilized above 3400, and is expected to run above this level for a period of time. When the first market correction tests around 3420, you can continue to buy. Judging from the cycle operation, there is a high probability of a high-level oscillation market in the 3500/3400 range. Before the Fed's results are announced on Thursday, you can sell high and buy low in this range.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position:3420-3430
Combined with the current tense situation, you can buy light positions at the opening price, and add positions to make up for the rise when the market falls back to the target point. Don't blindly chase the short position.