XAU / USD 1 Hour ChartHello traders. I have marked my area of interest on the hourly chart. We have Pre NY volume starting in 2.5 hours or so from now. Looking to see if we correct the move down from the overnight sessions , or do we continue down to retest a lower area for support, as marked on the chart?? Patience is key. Big G gets my thanks. Be well and trade the trend, I will post another chart / update in a few hours.
XAUUSD trade ideas
Gold Bearish Reversal – Targeting 3293 After Channel Breakdown📉 Gold (XAU/USD) 30-Min Chart Analysis:
🔹 Pattern Overview:
Triple Top Formation spotted (circled areas), indicating strong resistance around the 3,365–3,375 zone.
A descending channel formed after the top, showing consistent lower highs and lower lows — clear bearish momentum.
Fib retracement level (0.618) acted as a resistance during the bounce.
🔹 Current Price Action:
Price broke down from the recent bullish correction inside the channel.
Bearish impulse wave is forming again after lower high around 3,355.
Price is currently dropping from ~3,360 to 3,313, heading toward key support.
🔹 Target & Support:
Marked downside target: 3,293 — aligned with prior support zone and measured move from the last swing high/low.
This is a critical demand area; potential short-term bounce could occur there.
🔹 Conclusion:
Bias: Bearish below 3,335.
Immediate Target: 3,293
Invalidation: Break above 3,355 could delay or reverse bearish move.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Important Decision Ahead
As I predicted, Gold went up from a trend line yesterday.
The price is now testing another trend line - a falling resistance
of a bullish flag pattern.
The next reliable bullish signal that you can look for is its
bullish breakout and a daily candle close above that.
A bullish move is going to follow then.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
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Falling towards 50% Fibonacci supprt?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,306.96
1st Support: 3,287.36
1st Resistance: 3,342.69
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Classic Breakout Trading📈GOLD has surpassed and closed above a significant intraday resistance level.
After retesting this level, the price created a small ascending triangle on the hourly chart, and we've observed a confirmed breakout of its neckline.
I plan to go long on the pair during the retest, anticipating further growth, with the next resistance target at 3327.
Gold: update hello friends✋️
According to the recent growth of gold, you can see that it is constantly resisting and forming a falling pattern.
For this reason, it can be a warning that the fall can continue and the price will fall to the specified limits.
🔥Follow us for more signals🔥
*Trade safely with us*
Maintain range fluctuations during the day?Gold has maintained a volatile pattern recently. As the US market is closed today for Independence Day, the market volatility is expected to be limited, but the volatile market will continue, but the volatility range may change. Yesterday's gold price fell mainly due to the news, and this decline usually does not last too long. From a technical point of view, gold prices are supported near 3310-3300, which is the key support level today. It is worth noting that on Wednesday, gold prices were under pressure in the 3340-3350 area, and on Thursday, prices formed support in this range, indicating that the area is forming a top-bottom conversion. Therefore, 3340-3350 has become an important pressure level today. It is expected to fluctuate in the 3300-3340/3350 range during the day. The impact of news on gold prices is usually short-term. When the fundamentals and technical directions are consistent, price fluctuations will be more obvious. When the two are inconsistent, price fluctuations will weaken, but will not change the technical trend. The rebound pattern established at the beginning of the week is still valid. After a short-term shock, gold prices are expected to re-stand above 3345 and continue to maintain the rebound trend.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3301 and a gap below at 3242. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3301
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3301 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3370
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3370 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3429
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3499
BEARISH TARGETS
3242
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3242 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3089
3171
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3089
3001
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAU/USD 15M CHART PATTERNThis chart is a 15-minute candlestick chart of Gold (XAU/USD) as of July 9, 2025, and it shows technical analysis using price action, chart patterns, and risk-reward mapping. Here's a comprehensive breakdown:
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🔍 1. Pattern Analysis:
Cup and Handle Pattern (Potential Formation):
The chart shows a curved “U” shape forming a base (highlighted by the dotted curved line), suggesting the cup.
A handle seems to be forming or has formed recently, a typical consolidation phase after the cup.
The breakout is expected to occur to the upside, as indicated by the blue upward arrow.
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📉 Price Levels and Zones:
Current Price: 3,294.474
Support Zone: Around 3,270.618 (red line – likely the stop-loss level)
Resistance/Target Zone: 3,330.237 (green upper target box)
Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable — the reward zone is significantly wider than the risk zone.
---
🟩 Key Technical Markings:
Green Circles: Indicate potential swing low (left base of cup) and swing high (top of handle).
Blue Arrows: Outline the anticipated bullish breakout trajectory.
Rectangles:
Green Rectangle above the current price indicates the take profit/target area.
Red Rectangle below the current price indicates the stop-loss zone.
---
📈 Volume & Momentum (Implied):
While volume isn't shown directly, the chart implies momentum building at the handle, a classic precursor to breakout in such formations.
The bullish bias is further supported by higher lows forming along the curved base.
---
⏰ Time Context:
The chart timeframe is 15-minute candles, making this a short-term/intraday setup.
The anticipated move may complete within a few hours to a trading day if the pattern plays out.
---
📊 Trading Plan Summary (based on chart):
Parameter Value
Entry (approx.) 3,294
Stop Loss 3,270
Take Profit 3,330
Risk:Reward ~1:1.5+
---
✅ Conclusion:
The chart shows a bullish cup and handle formation with a clear plan for a long trade.
The setup looks technically sound with a defined risk and upside potential.
Ideal confirmation would be a strong breakout candle with volume from the handle area.
Would you like a trading strategy or script based on this chart for automation (e.g., in TradingView Pine Script)?
Gold Recovery Trade As gold moved around 500 pips on last day. The pull back seems good and this trade's possibility will be good and a good Risk Reward ratio. Keep your risk small if you want to take the trade. This isn't an investment advice this is a probability analysis. Which according to market structure seems good.
Focus on the impact of the Fed minutesMultiple negative factors caused the gold price to fall, focusing on the impact of the Fed minutes
Currently, gold is fluctuating around 3297-3290, with the lowest intraday level reaching 3282. The decline in gold prices is affected by multiple factors: the easing of trade tensions, the strengthening of the US dollar, the rise in US bond yields and the combined effect of Trump's tariff policy. The market is focusing on the Fed's meeting minutes in the early morning. If the Fed's statement is dovish and indicates concerns about the economy, the US dollar may pull back and gold may be supported to rebound; if it emphasizes maintaining high interest rates, it will boost the US dollar and put pressure on gold prices, or it may test the support of the middle track of the weekly chart at $3,200.
From a technical perspective, the 4-hour chart shows that the gold price slowly recovered after stabilizing at 3282, but it is still in a volatile pattern overall. The key is to pay attention to whether the 3260 support level is effectively broken, and the direction of the range breakthrough will guide the short-term trend. Operation suggestions: Arrange short orders when the price rebounds to the 3320-3327 area, target the 3260 support area, and maintain the idea of rebounding and shorting.
GOLD GOLD ,NEWYORK buyers stopped yesterday at 3355-2256 to respect a 45min and daily supply roof from our structure ,reclaiming 3355-3358 will be a sign that we can move into 3400 without stress.
on daily TF 3355-3358 remains resistance to upswing on daily candle close from my line chart.daily break will be watched .
dollar broke monthly demand floor and heading down is possible as the green back is hit by president trump continued attack on sir powell,putting the fed true independence at risk before investors and carry traders across the globe.
the current trillions of dollars addition national debt will affect the dxy and could weaken the fed inflation 2% mandate.
lets watch 3330-3329 for make or break.my aim is to watch 3300-3302 and from higher sell zone i will be watching 3378=3385 zone which will be leading into 2400 zone if sustain buying persist.
GOLD Massive Bullish Breakout!
HI,Traders !
#GOLD is trading in a strong
Uptrend and the price just
Made a massive bullish
Breakout of the falling
Resistance line and the
Breakout is confirmed
So after a potential pullback
We will be expecting a
Further bullish continuation !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
XAUUSD: Gold Surges on U.S. Fiscal Reform ExpectationsGold remains firmly within a short-term bullish structure after rebounding strongly from the $3,258 support zone and forming a consolidation pattern just below the $3,342 resistance. This area marks the confluence of a descending trendline and a fair value gap (FVG), where buyers may gather momentum to break through.
Fundamental news continues to favor the upside: concerns over the U.S. budget deficit and an upcoming tax reform package have boosted safe-haven demand for gold. Meanwhile, U.S. bond yields and the dollar remain low, further driving capital into precious metals.
Yesterday, gold rose by approximately $33.49, equivalent to 3,349 pips, confirming strong bullish inflows. If price breaks above the $3,342–$3,356 zone, the next target could extend beyond the $3,400 mark.
However, if short-term pullbacks occur, the $3,258 area remains a key support level to watch for potential bullish re-entry signals.
Gold Weekly Recap – Week 27 (30 Jun – 04 Jul)🟡 XAUUSD | MJTrading
Overview
Gold (XAUUSD) staged a significant recovery this week after retesting a critical support zone. Price action reflected strong buying interest at lower levels, followed by consolidation near mid-range resistance.
🔹 Key Levels:
Strong Support Zone: 3,246 – 3,250
Weekly Low: 3,246.35 (30 June)
Weekly High: 3,365.77 (3 July)
Closing Price: ~3,343
🔹 Price Action Summary:
✅ Early Week Retest & Reversal
After the prior week’s decline, gold opened the week near the major support area around 3,246. This zone acted as a strong demand pocket, triggering a swift rejection and initiating a bullish reversal.
✅ Sustained Rally to Resistance
Price climbed steadily, riding the 15-period EMA to reach the weekly high of 3,365.77 on 3 July. This move represented a nearly 4% recovery off the lows, fueled by renewed safe-haven flows and short covering.
✅ Midweek Consolidation
Following the rally, gold entered a sideways consolidation phase between 3,340 and 3,365. EMA flattening reflected a pause in momentum as traders assessed the next directional catalyst.
✅ Late-Week Pullback
Toward the end of the week, price tested the 3,310–3,320 area before modestly bouncing into the Friday close. Overall, the market maintained a cautiously bullish tone while holding above the prior support.
🔹 Technical Perspective:
🔸 Bias: Cautiously Bullish
Price defended the strong support and printed a higher low structure.
Sustained closes above 3,300 maintain the bullish outlook.
🔸 Near-Term Resistance:
3,365–3,390 remains the immediate supply zone to monitor for breakout attempts.
🔸 Key Support:
The 3,246–3,250 area continues to be the primary downside line in the sand.
🔹 Special Note – 4th July US Bank Holiday
Trading volumes were notably lighter on Thursday, 4th July, due to the US Independence Day holiday. This contributed to reduced liquidity and muted volatility, with many traders and institutions off desks. The thinner market conditions likely influenced the late-week pullback and consolidation, as participation was limited heading into the weekend.
🔹 Sentiment & Outlook
The decisive rebound from support suggests that buyers are defending value zones aggressively. However, failure to close the week above 3,365 leaves gold vulnerable to another retest of mid-range levels if fresh catalysts don’t emerge.
Traders should watch for:
A clean breakout above 3,365 to confirm continuation higher.
Any sustained weakness below 3,300 as a signal of fading bullish momentum.
🧭 Next Week’s Focus:
Monitoring whether the consolidation evolves into accumulation or distribution.
Watching for a breakout or deeper pullback
Reactions to upcoming economic data
EMA alignment: If the 15 EMA continues to track above the 60 EMA, it supports a bullish bias.
Chart Notes:
The main chart highlights this week’s action, while the inset provides a fortnight overview of the broader decline and recovery for context.
Thank you for your time and your support...
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THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Not a bad start to the week with the path working well, we got the swoop we wanted and the opportunity for the long presented itself. We've completed quite a few of the bias targets as well as the red box targets, so now, with it being the last trading day of the month and quarter and tomorrow being the first, we'll take a back seat.
Support stands at the 3275 level with resistance still at 3404-6. Higher box is defence so we'll stick with it and see if it works how we intended.
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3250 with targets above 3278✅, 3285✅, 3297 and above that 3306
Bearish below 3250 with targets below 3240, 3232, 3220 and below that 3212
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3275 for 3279✅, 3285✅, 3289✅ and 3306 in extension of the move
Break below 3260 for 3255, 3251, 3240 and 3235 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Start buying gold, a rebound may come at any time!Gold is undoubtedly weak at present, and bears have the upper hand. However, since gold touched the 3290-3280 area, gold bears have made more tentative moves, but have never really fallen below the 3290-3280 area, proving that as gold continues to fall, bears have become more cautious.
From the perspective of gold structure, multiple technical structural supports are concentrated in the 3285-3275 area, which makes it difficult for gold to fall below this area easily. After gold has failed to fall below this area, gold is expected to build a short-term bottom structure with the help of multiple supports in this area, thereby stimulating bulls to exert their strength and a rebound may come at any time.
Therefore, in the short term, I do not advocate chasing short gold; instead, I prefer to try to find the bottom and go long gold in the 3290-3280 area; but we should note that because gold is currently in an obvious short trend, we should appropriately reduce the expectation of gold rebound, so we can appropriately look at the rebound target: 3305-3315 area.
XAUUSD: Setup Signals a Potential Continuation Toward 3,550Gold is currently moving within a short-term bearish structure following a sharp rejection at a key confluence resistance zone. The ongoing pullback has taken price back to the origin of a previous strong rally, aligning with a high-liquidity area on the Volume Profile.
What stands out, however, is the absence of any clear reversal signal so far. Selling pressure continues to dominate after each weak rebound, indicating the market may not yet be ready for a meaningful bullish move. That said, the presence of a prior swing low combined with dense volume makes this zone a strategic observation area.
The most prudent scenario at this point is to wait for a confirmed reaction at support—preferably in the form of reversal patterns such as a Bullish Engulfing, Fakey, or Pin Bar backed by volume confirmation. Only then will a short-term long setup offer a favourable risk-reward opportunity.
If price bounces, the first target would be around 3,350 USD—a previous resistance level and a likely zone for profit-taking. On the other hand, a decisive break below 3,280 USD would invalidate the recovery scenario and open the door to a deeper continuation of the downtrend.
In summary: This is a key watch zone—not the time to guess bottoms. Wait for confirmation, act with clarity, and always pair your setups with disciplined risk management.
GOLD SELL M15Gold (XAU/USD) 15-Min Chart Analysis – July 9, 2025
The price is currently trading around the 3,295 level, after a recent Change of Character (CHoCH) and Break of Structure (BOS) indicating a shift from bullish to bearish momentum.
The market has formed a consolidation zone (highlighted in purple), suggesting a possible bearish continuation setup. Price is expected to retest the supply zone and then move lower.
Sell Setup Details:
Entry Zone: Inside the purple consolidation range (~3,295–3,297)
Stop Loss (SL): 3,305
Target (TP): 3,282
Key Support Levels:
3,292.16
3,288.16
3,282.39 (Main Target Zone)
This setup anticipates a bearish move after a rejection from the supply area, aiming for the liquidity zone near 3,282.