Gold 100% Trading SignalsSince gold confirmed the bottom at 3120, it broke through the key resistance of 3150 and started a strong rise, reaching a high of 3365. In the short term, the market's bullish sentiment has not changed, and the bullish trend is expected to continue this week, with the target at 3400. From a technical perspective, the daily Bollinger middle track near 3300 is a strong support. If it does not effectively fall below, the probability of a weakening trend is low; the H4 cycle is affected by the previous rapid rise and is currently entering a shock correction stage. The Bollinger band needs to wait for new momentum to drive a second upward movement.
Analysis of the current four-hour trend: Focus on the support of 3330-3320 below, and focus on the resistance of 3380-3400 above. In terms of overall strategy, maintain a bullish mindset before breaking 3320 to avoid blindly guessing the top.
Gold recommendation: Buy near the current price of 3330-3327, stop loss at 3320, target at 3370, and buy on dips in the overall trend
XAUUSD trade ideas
GOLD Analysis – 4H View
📉 Today, gold failed to bounce on the resistance trendline it had broken last week.
This led to a sharp drop throughout Tuesday’s session.
🔁 Currently, price is reacting around the 50% Fibonacci retracement of last week’s significant bullish move. This bounce might be purely technical.
🧭 The next move will likely depend on this week’s U.S. inflation data:
If inflation comes in line with expectations or decreases, we could see a shift towards a risk-on sentiment, causing further downside in gold.
However, if inflation rises again, gold could rally as a safe haven, especially given the current ongoing geopolitical tensions between Ukraine and Russia.
⚠️ If these tensions escalate further, it would strengthen gold’s role as a hedge, potentially triggering a new bullish leg.
➡️ The market is clearly waiting for a decisive macro catalyst, and the coming days could set the tone for gold’s next direction.
Trade Setup – May 28, 2025After reviewing today’s price action, I realized I missed the bigger move earlier due to lack of focus. The big setup was there — but we took the small one, and luckily it still gave a nice retest entry. ✅
Now here’s the main idea:
🔹 Price is approaching a major supply zone around 3320–3323 (marked with 💰).
🔹 This level lines up with:
- Asia session high
- A clean internal liquidity pocket
- Trendline resistance and minor FVG
🧠 Plan: I’ll be watching for a liquidity sweep above 3320, then look for bearish confirmation (like rejection or engulfing). If it reacts, I’m in for the short.
🎯 Targeting a drop toward the 3290–3295 zone
🛑 SL above the sweep (tight and efficient risk)
Let’s see how it plays out — execution depends on how price behaves at the zone.
Don't chase gold if it falls below $3,300
The Trump administration's tariff policy has been stopped through judicial procedures. Affected by this news, it is inevitable that gold will continue to fall back today: yesterday's rebound hit the resistance level and fell back to $3,325. The market fell sharply in the early trading, and the market pattern quickly changed from range fluctuations to bearish dominance. From a technical analysis, the bearish pattern of the medium-term weekly cycle is forming effective pressure. Even if there is a sharp rebound in the future and breaks through the recent highs, it is very likely to be a bull trap-essentially a precursor to a return to a downward trend after a decline.
Gold/USD
Sales @3270-3280
TP: 3250-3240
sl: 3290
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot size that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
GOLD Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 3285$ which also
Seems to have been a neckline
Of the small H&S pattern so
We are locally bearish biased
And we will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
Sell!
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Gold BoldHowdy, fellow market daredevils!
Gold has been an absolute bull in a china shop lately—crushing anyone reckless enough to stand in its way. Sure, we all love to chant "trend is your friend," but let’s be real: at least 80% of us have tried to outsmart this rally, picked a "top," and gotten steamrolled. (Guilty as charged—multiple times. My short positions have more scars than a WWE wrestler.)
But here’s the thing—trading doesn’t have to be a circus act. Discipline + trendlines + waiting for the retest = fewer faceplants. My chart might look like a toddler’s crayon masterpiece, but I’m betting the bears will at least try to retest 2800—or, at a minimum, the trendline near 3080 before the bulls resume their rampage.
Key levels to watch:
Hold above 3444? Stay long, but maybe don’t YOLO in until the retest confirms. (FOMO is a cruel mistress.)
Monday play? Eyeing a short if we stay under 3375—or waiting for the 3440 reaction to pick a side. Arrows on my chart show the potential paths (aka my best guesses disguised as analysis).
And hey, no matter the short-term chaos, I’m still team "4K by New Year’s". Either gold hits $4000, or I’ll be hitting the copium.
Trade smart, stay nimble, and may your stops be tight! 🚀
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Trading Plan | May 28, 2025
🔍 Current Wave Structure
Following yesterday’s sharp decline, price has made a mild recovery and is currently consolidating around the 3314 area. The drop has nearly reached the projected wave C (green) target, but the current rebound — with overlapping small H1 candles — suggests the bullish structure is still unconvincing.
We’re now monitoring two potential scenarios:
✅ Scenario 1 – Correction Completed
Wave C appears to be complete, and the market may be entering a new bullish trend.
However, the overlapping candles on H1 hint that this could be a leading diagonal (wave 1).
In this case, a deeper pullback (wave 2) is expected — likely forming a zigzag or flat correction.
📌 Strategy:
Wait for wave 2 to complete before looking for a better Buy entry.
🌀 Scenario 2 – Ongoing Correction
If price continues to move sideways, we may be in wave b of a double zigzag correction (wave Y).
🎯 Wave c target within wave Y: 3324
If price breaks below 3284 before reaching 3324, wave c may have already started and could complete around 3280–3274.
📈 Momentum Outlook
• Daily (D1): Momentum remains bearish → primary trend still leans downward
• H4: Bullish momentum → short-term recovery possible today
• H1: Near oversold → watch for bullish reversal signals in current zone for intraday Buy setups
🎯 Trade Plan
⏰ Intraday Buy (Scalp):
• Entry: 3292 – 3289
• SL: 3282
• TP1: 3313
• TP2: 3324
🕰️ Ideal timing: During the London session to end of New York session
🎯 Swing Buy Setup:
• Entry: 3280 – 3277
• SL: 3270
• TP1: 3290
• TP2: 3313
• TP3: 3324
🕰️ Ideal timing: European to late US session
🎯 Sell Zone: 3324 – 3327
• SL: 3334
• TP1: 3313
• TP2: 3290
• TP3: 3280
🕰️ Best considered if price reaches resistance during US session or late EU session
📌 All scenarios will be updated once wave 2 is confirmed or price decisively breaks below 3284.
Be patient — let the market give you clear signals before taking action.
Mid term Gold ideaExpecting Gold to continue bearish below the 2330 level as a key point of liquidity which could either trigger more buyers and push Gold into previous or new highs or continue the melt into new daily lows. 2330 is almost certainly getting swept, the question is, is Mr Orange gonna chill and gold will continue the crash or is he going on another rampage pushing the gold higher.
GOLD President Donald Trump spoke today, May 23, 2025. He made several public statements and announcements, including:
Announcing that he is recommending a 50% tariff on imports from the European Union starting June 1 due to stalled trade negotiations.
Warning Apple that it would face a 25% tariff on iPhones not made in the United States, urging domestic manufacturing.
Commenting on ongoing trade talks with the EU, expressing frustration over lack of progress.
Posting on Truth Social about a “major prisoner swap” between Russia and Ukraine, though this was not officially confirmed by either side.
Planning to sign additional executive orders today as courts continue to block some of his previous actions.
He also attended a black-tie gala and is expected to give a commencement speech at the U.S. Military Academy at West Point on Saturday.
GOLD REACTED .
XAU/USD Breakout Opportunity Above Descending TrendlineGold (XAU/USD) is showing a potential bullish breakout on the 15-minute chart. Price action has broken above a descending trendline, signaling a possible reversal from the recent downtrend. A strong bullish candle has closed above the trendline and horizontal resistance near the $3,302–$3,303 area, which may now act as a support.
The setup shows a favorable risk-to-reward ratio with a long position targeting around $3,354, and a stop-loss placed just below the recent breakout zone at $3,288. This indicates a bullish bias as long as price holds above the broken trendline and horizontal support.
Volume appears to be increasing, supporting the strength of the breakout.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
Gold Correction After Reaching 3370–3386Gold has successfully reached the previously identified target of 3364. I expect it to rise slightly more, reaching the 3370–3386 zone. After that, a correction is likely to begin and may last for some time. Key downside targets during this correction are:
Target1: 3285~3293
Target2: 3225~3233
Target3: 3183~3204
Gold prices remain strong as tariffs heat up again
Hey everyone, let's comment on the gold price next week from May 26, 2025 to May 30, 2025,
📌 Driving Events
Gold prices resumed their upward momentum on Friday, surging nearly 2% on the day and up more than 5% for the week as the dollar weakened amid renewed trade tensions. Gold prices rebounded from an intraday low of $3,287 to $3,359 as escalating rhetoric from Washington fueled investor demand for safe-haven assets.
U.S. President Donald Trump has intensified the trade standoff with the European Union, declaring that negotiations are "going nowhere" and threatening to impose a 50% tariff on EU imports from June 1. For months, Fed policymakers have made it clear that they want more clarity on the response from fiscal and trade policies and the economy before taking further action on interest rates. Over the past month, this cautious stance has prompted traders to withdraw their bets on a rate cut in the June meeting, and the market now expects the policy pause to continue until the July meeting. However, futures market positions show that the probability of a rate cut before the end of September is still slightly above 50%. This is essentially a bet that the situation will become clearer in the next four months: either slowing inflation paves the way for policy easing, or the economic deterioration forces the Fed to increase stimulus.
📊Comment Analysis
Tariff news has begun to heat up again, and the United States and the rest of the world have not yet reached a consensus on negotiations, and gold prices have benefited from this rise. The big time frame shows that the price is breaking out and continuing the upward trend
Technical:
Based on the resistance and support levels of gold on the 4-hour chart, Labaron has identified the following important key areas:
Resistance: $3412, $3436
Support: $3315, $3280, $3245
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot size that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
Gold back within my Neutral RectangleTechnical analysis: Gold maintains Selling sentiment (remember the cycle I mentioned regarding #14-day symmetry for aggressive takedown / Traders are witnessing it) from yesterday’s session Hourly 4 chart’s first Support break, however the pace has slowed down as Gold is already near #3,288.80 - #3,292.80 well known Support zone due Hourly 4 chart on critically Overbought condition near #3,327.80 local High's. Gold is isolated within Descending Channel formation and if there wasn’t DX on parallel decline, Gold would be significantly Lower under the circumstances. I highlighted that only catalyst which can revive the Price-action and kick-start the relief rally is on Fundamental side. The Hourly 4 chart’s indicators were showcasing that Gold was Overbought and most of my Intra-day pointers were about to make a Bearish roll-over as I believed that I should start preparing ourselves for a slight pullback (Short-term trend stays Bearish though however there will be Bull spikes certainly towards #3,327.80 - #3,332.80 local Resistance zone). Next Resistance is priced at #3,312.80 / break of it might extend the uptrend towards #3,327.80 Resistance in extension. Gold has invalidated solid Ascending Channel on Hourly 4 chart and if you recall, delivered #2 additional Higher High’s (my chart’s explanation that Gold always delivers #3 Lower Low extensions ahead of full scale reversal, so practically I have one more Higher High’s to expect according to the cycle).
My position: My break-out zones are intact as in withih my previous remarks as I will keep operating within #3,288.80 - #3,227.80 Neutral Rectangle as long as it lasts. If #3,288.80 - #3,275.80 gives away, #3,262.80 - #3,268.80 is zone to monitor.
GOLD:The strategy of going short
Gold was stimulated by the news surface, out of a wave of accelerated decline, and then rebounded slightly into a small shock. Before around 3288 support long ideas have been perfect realization, at present 3288 this support has fallen below, so in the short term we can regard this position as pressure level, short term can be around this position to short mainly.
So the trading strategy :SELL@3288-94 TP@3260-50
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GOLD Gold Price, 10-Year Bond Yields, Interest Rates, and DXY Correlation
1. Gold vs. 10-Year Bond Yields
Inverse Relationship: Gold prices and bond yields (nominal) typically move inversely. Higher yields reduce gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset, while lower yields boost demand for gold.
Real Interest Rates: The real yield (nominal yield minus inflation) is the key driver. When real yields fall (e.g., due to high inflation), gold prices rise, even if nominal yields increase. For example, gold surged during the 1970s despite rising nominal yields because inflation outpaced rates.
Current Example: A 10-year Treasury yield of 4.54% (nominal) with high inflation could still support gold if real yields remain negative or low.
2. Gold vs. Interest Rates
Inverse Correlation: Rising interest rates (e.g., Fed hikes) strengthen the dollar and increase bond yields, pressuring gold prices. Falling rates weaken the dollar and reduce yields, boosting gold.
Opportunity Cost: Gold doesn’t pay interest, so higher rates make yield-bearing assets (bonds, savings) more attractive
Recent Context: Markets pricing in Fed rate cuts in 2025 have supported gold prices, as lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold.
3. Gold vs. DXY (Dollar Index)
Inverse Relationship: A stronger dollar (DXY↑) makes gold more expensive for foreign buyers, reducing demand. A weaker dollar (DXY↓) boosts gold’s affordability and appeal.
Exceptions: During crises, both gold and the dollar may rise as safe havens (e.g., 2008 financial crisis).
4. 10-Year Yields vs. DXY
Positive Correlation: Higher yields often strengthen the dollar (DXY↑) by attracting foreign capital into USD-denominated bonds.
Divergence Risk: If yields rise due to fiscal concerns (e.g., US debt) rather than growth, the dollar may weaken despite higher yields.
Summary Table
Relationship Typical Correlation Key Driver(s)
Gold ⇄ 10-Year Yields Inverse Real interest rates (nominal yield - inflation)
Gold ⇄ Interest Rates Inverse Opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold
Gold ⇄ DXY Inverse USD strength impacting gold’s global demand
DXY ⇄ 10-Year Yields Positive Yield-seeking capital flows into USD assets
Key Scenarios
Rising Yields + Strong Dollar:
Gold faces dual headwinds (e.g., Fed tightening cycles).
Falling Yields + Weak Dollar:
Gold rallies (e.g., post-2008 QE, 2020 pandemic).
Stagflation (High Inflation + Low Growth):
Gold rises despite higher nominal yields (real yields turn negative).
Conclusion
The interplay between gold, bond yields, interest rates, and the dollar is dynamic:
Gold’s primary driver is real interest rates, not nominal yields.
A weaker dollar (DXY↓) and falling real yields create ideal conditions for gold rallies.
While correlations are strong historically, exceptions occur during crises or stagflation.
Trade Implications:
Monitor real yields (10-year TIPS) and DXY trends for gold price direction.
Fed policy shifts, inflation data, and geopolitical risks can override typical correlations.
For detailed analysis, track real-time data on bond yields, inflation expectations, and central bank rhetoric.
#GOLD #DOLLAR
XAUUSD | Institutional Sell Setup – OB + 79% Fib Confluence🪙 XAUUSD | Gold Sell Setup Based on Smart Money Concepts
This is a classic example of how institutions lure in retail traders — tap the golden zone, reject hard, and leave a trail of liquidated longs.
🔍 1. Technical Breakdown
Price aggressively climbed into a strong Order Block zone
Rejection from the 70.5%–79% Fibonacci retracement area
Broken ascending channel confirms shift in momentum
Bearish BOS already occurred = Smart Money in control
This zone (3332–3357) is a magnet for institutional sells.
🧱 2. Bearish Confluences
💀 OB Rejection: Previous up candle before the sharp drop
📐 Fib Overlap: 70.5–79% = premium zone for shorts
📉 Structure Shift: Channel break + bearish order flow
⚠️ No Candle Close Above OB: = market respecting supply
🎯 3. Trade Plan
Entry: 3332–3357 (executed)
Stop Loss: 3360 (above OB)
Take Profit: 3120 zone
This is a deep sell-side liquidity hunt.
⚖️ 4. RRR (Risk-Reward Ratio)
📥 Entry: ~3345
🔒 SL: 3360
💰 TP: 3120
✅ RRR ≈ 1:15
This is a "swing short with conviction" kind of setup, where patience = profit.
🔁 5. Key Confirmation Points
Watch for lower lows and lower highs to continue
Price closing below 3290 = full confirmation
If Gold reclaims 3360 = setup invalidated
💬 Comment “Sniped Gold 🥷💰” if you took this short!
📌 Save this chart for OB + Fib zone study
🎯 Post your entry/exit levels — let’s compare setups
XAU / USD 30 Minute Chart ( Buy Scalp Trade In Progress )Hello traders. We had a nice push down with the overnight sessions. I just took a trade, marked on the chart in anticipation that we will correct the move down. Let's see how things play out. I am using a mini lot size, and as soon as I am 30 pips in profit, I will close 75% of the trade's profit, move my SL to my entry point (break even ) and leave my runner running(the remaining 25% of the trade) . This is the best way to preserve your capitol and it was a formula I got from Raja and Uncle Ted. Big G gets my thanks. Let's see how things play out. Should be a nice scalp trade.