XAUUSD trade ideas
The end of the triple cycle faces a big test of data
Today is the closing of the monthly, weekly and daily lines, and the PCE data will be released, so the market volatility may increase. Looking at the four-hour level of gold, the downward trend line remains intact. As time goes by, the suppression level has also come to around 3345. In view of the fact that the rebound of 3245 at 3330 is blocked and moves downward, today's Asia-Europe session strategy focuses on the continuation of the downward trend; at the hourly level, the last high point of 3365 has been trading below the trend line since the decline. Yesterday's high broke the trend line, but today's opening fell below 3308, so the short-term trend has returned to the short position again. Therefore, today is still bearish, short-selling ideas.
The specific operation is to intervene in short positions below 3310, with a short-term target of around 3278; wait for a rebound near 3288 and short again to look at the target of 3245; mid-term operations can directly focus on the 3245 position, followed by the 3200 mark.
Gold strategy today, I hope it will be helpful to you
On May 29, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit approved the Trump administration's request to temporarily suspend a previous ruling by the U.S. Court of International Trade that had prohibited the implementation of the Trump administration's executive order imposing tariffs on multiple countries under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. This news could have significant implications for the global economy and financial markets, and for the gold market, it represents a potential major bullish factor.
When global economic uncertainty increases, investors often seek safe-haven assets to protect their wealth. As a traditional safe-haven asset, gold demand is likely to rise significantly. On one hand, the escalation of trade friction may lead to higher global inflation expectations, and gold's inflation-hedging properties enable it to maintain its value in inflationary environments, which could attract large numbers of investors to buy gold. On the other hand, the escalation of market risk aversion will prompt investors to shift from risky assets to safe-haven assets like gold, driving gold prices higher.
Gold strategy today, I hope it will be helpful to you
XAUUSD BUY@3315~3320
SL3300
TP1:3330~3335
XAUUSD Rejection from Fib + OB Combo | Bearish Continuation?XAUUSD | Premium Smart Money Short Setup 🎯
This GOLD setup is a straight-up institutional-grade bearish continuation. Let’s break down why this is a high-probability short for Smart Money Traders.
🔍 1. Market Context
Price is trending inside a clear descending channel, tapping into the lower boundary and now pulling back.
We just had a reaction from the mid-supply zone, and price is now rebalancing into the Order Block (OB) aligned with:
🔻 79% Fibonacci Retracement
🔻 Previous Structure Break
🔻 OB + imbalance fill zone
🧱 2. Bearish Confluences
📉 Descending Channel = bearish structure
🟣 Order Block Zone = high-value area for institutional entries
📐 Fibonacci Levels = 61.8%, 70.5%, and 79% all stacked
💥 OB + 79% = high-prob sniper short
🕳 Imbalance + Liquidity Sweep = likely short continuation
🎯 3. Trade Idea
Entry: 3282.00–3290.00 (OB + 79% Fib)
Stop Loss: 3294.00 (above OB wick)
Take Profit: 3245.00 zone (channel bottom)
Perfect RR setup 👇
⚖️ 4. RRR (Risk-Reward Ratio)
💰 Entry: ~3285
🔒 SL: ~3294
📍 TP: ~3245
✅ RRR ≈ 1:4.3 = sniper level swing short 🎯
🧠 5. Smart Money Logic
Liquidity Sweep above minor high before short = engineered trap
OB reaction at fib premium zone = smart entry
Continuation expected unless price closes above 3295
📌 Save this chart — this is Smart Money flow in action
💬 Drop “Gold OB SMC 🔥” in comments if you saw this coming
🔁 Repost to help fellow traders master fib+OB sniper entries
Gold (4H) Analysis
🗿 Head & Shoulders Pattern
Left shoulder → Head (~3 366 $) → Right shoulder near the downtrend line
A close below 3 283 $ would validate the shoulder break and signal a bearish turn
🔄 Pullback to 3 283 $?
After the H4 close under 3 283 $, expect a quick retest of that level to hunt stops
Perfect short entry if the H&S holds
🎯 OTE Support Trap
Just below lies last week’s Optimal Trade Entry zone (3 260–3 270 $)
Gold often fakes lower here before resuming the rally
⚔️ Scenarios
Bearish : Close < 3 283 $ → retest 3 283 $ → drop to 3 240 $ / 3 200 $
Bull trap : bounce off OTE → trap of retest 3 283 $ → rally back to 3 330–3 350 $
🌍 Macro Note
Geopolitical tensions (Ukraine/Russia) keep Gold bid as a safe haven
No major bearish catalyst yet—watch for a potential trap
👉 Key Level: H4 close under 3 283 $. Use the retest to confirm your bias!
XAUUSD 1HThe chart you've provided is a technical analysis of Gold Spot price (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
1. Entry Zone (around 3,345 to 3,350):
This is the suggested area to consider a short (sell) position. The price appears to be approaching or reacting from this zone.
2. Register Level (above 3,360):
This seems to be a resistance area. If the price breaks and holds above this, the short setup might become invalid.
3. Target Successful Zone (around 3,296):
This is the take-profit zone, where the trader expects the price to fall after entering short. It's marked clearly at 3,296.082.
4. Trendline Break:
The pink upward trendline shows previous support. A break below this line (with a red arrow) confirms the sell setup and potential downward momentum.
5. Overall Idea:
The chart implies a bearish setup:
Wait for a price reaction near the entry zone
Enter short if confirmation appears (e.g., bearish candle or trendline break)
Target the 3,296.082 level
Would you like help evaluating this trade idea further or need assistance setting up a trade based on it?
Latest gold analysis layoutThe main reason for the strong rise on Friday was that Trump said on social media that he would impose a 50% tariff on the EU on June 1, which led to a rise in risk aversion. On the one hand, it was affected by the news, and on the other hand, the entire technical form and rising structure were here, with rising momentum in it. Therefore, the resonance of the news and technical aspects formed a breakout rise, standing on the upper rail pressure line of the channel.
So far today, although it has fluctuated downward, it has been running above it. From a technical point of view, there is no big problem with a stepping back after the break, which is a very normal trend.
As long as it does not fall below the resonance intersection position of the upper rail pressure line of the channel and the rising trend line here, it will still look upward in the short term. This position is about 3322-3324, which is also the second rising point of the European session on Friday.
However, if a large negative or continuous negative break is formed, it will remain above the support of 3280-3270 in the short term, and then accumulate momentum for an upward attack later. I prefer this situation.
Gold rebounds and continues to fall. Focus on the 3340 line. Stop loss if it breaks 3350. The target is 3324-3320. If it breaks, look for support at 3280-3270. Go long if it touches it!
The next accurate level for gold priceswww.tradingview.com
Key Points - The next accurate level for gold prices seems likely to be around $3,366.015, based on current market trends. - Research suggests this level is a key resistance, but a pullback to $3,350.000 is possible if momentum weakens. - The evidence leans toward an upward trend, supported by recent price increases and technical indicators.
Current Price and Market Context
The current price of gold (XAU/USD) is $3,358.125, showing a daily increase of +$63.115
(+1.92%). This reflects strong bullish momentum, with the price nearing significant
resistance levels.
Next Accurate Level
Based on technical analysis from recent charts, the next accurate level to watch is
$3,366.015, which aligns with a recent high and key Fibonacci retracement levels. If the
price breaks above this, it could target $3,380.000. However, if selling pressure
increases, support might be found at $3,350.000 or $3,330.000.
Factors to Consider
No breaking news on May 24, 2025, suggests immediate changes, but market sentiment
and economic factors could influence outcomes. Always consider external events like
inflation or central bank policies.
Survey Note: Detailed Analysis of Gold Price Levels
This section provides a comprehensive analysis of the next accurate level for gold prices
(XAU/USD) as of 11:13 PM HKT on Saturday, May 24, 2025, based on provided chart
attachments and supporting data. The analysis integrates technical indicators, market
trends, and recent news to offer a thorough understanding for investors and analysts.
Chart Analysis Overview
15-minute timeframe chart and a 1-hour timeframe chart, both showing the current price of gold at $3,358.125. These charts include candlestick patterns, trend lines, Fibonacci levels, and volume indicators, providing a detailed view of price action. -
15-Minute Chart : This chart highlights a bullish trend with green candles dominating recent periods.
Key levels include:
. Current Price: $3,358.125, with a daily gain of +$63.115 (+1.92%). - High: $3,366.015, Low:
$3,336.635.
- Fibonacci Levels: 23.6% at $3,366.015, 38.2% at $3,358.240, and 50% at $3,352.000.
- Trend Lines: A green upward trend line indicates support, while a red downward trend
line was recently broken, suggesting bullish momentum.
- Bollinger Bands: The price is near the upper band, indicating potential overbought
conditions.
1-Hour Chart : This chart confirms the current price and extends the analysis to a broader timeframe: - Volume: 1.064M, supporting recent price surges.
- Resistance Zone: A red shaded area around $3,350–$3,380, with $3,366.015 as the
immediate resistance.
- Support Levels: Green line at $3,330.000, with potential support at $3,350.000.
- Trend Lines: A blue upward trend line connects lower highs and lows, reinforcing the
bullish trend.
Both charts consistently identify $3,366.015 as the next significant resistance level,
with potential targets and supports outlined below.
Technical Indicators and Predictions
The analysis leverages technical indicators to predict the next accurate level:
- **Resistance Levels**: $3,366.015 is the recent high and aligns with the 23.6%
Fibonacci retracement, making it a critical barrier. If broken, the next level is
$3,380.000, a psychological round number and upper boundary of the resistance zone.
- **Support Levels**: In case of a pullback, immediate support is at $3,358.240 (38.2%
Fibonacci) and $3,352.000 (50% Fibonacci). Deeper support is at $3,350.000 and
$3,330.000, aligning with trend lines and previous lows.
- **Momentum Indicators**: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) from the 15-minute chart
is at 65.914, nearing overbought territory (above 70), suggesting a possible pullback.
Volume spikes support the recent upward move, indicating strong buying interest.
Scenario Analysis
- **Bullish Scenario**: If the price breaks above $3,366.015 with strong volume, it
seems likely to target $3,380.000, supported by the current +1.92% daily gain and
bullish trend lines.
- **Bearish Scenario**: If RSI indicates overbought conditions and selling pressure
increases, a pullback to $3,358.240 or $3,352.000 is possible, with deeper support at
$3,350.000 or $3,330.000.
- **Neutral Scenario**: Consolidation around current levels ($3,358.125) is plausible,
with the price testing resistance and support before a clear direction emerges.
Conclusion
Given the current price of $3,358.125 and the analysis of both charts, the next accurate
level for gold prices is most likely $3,366.015, as it represents the immediate resistance
and aligns with technical indicators. However, market participants should monitor
volume and news for confirmation, as external factors could influence outcomes. The
evidence leans toward an upward trend, but a pullback remains a possibility, especially
given overbought signals.
GOLD eases, fundamental support and technical momentumOANDA:XAUUSD fell in early Asian trading on May 30 after Thursday's gains, although it still had room to rise as weak US initial jobless claims data weighed on the US dollar and Trump's tariffs faced more uncertainty.
Gold recovered from a weekly low of $3,245 an ounce on Thursday to break above the $3,300 an ounce mark as weak US initial jobless claims data weighed on the US dollar.
As of press time, gold had fallen below the full price of $3,300, down $23 on the day and around 0.69% .
The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits rose more than expected last week, adding to pressure on the Federal Reserve to consider cutting interest rates.
Data released on Thursday showed the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits rose last week, exceeding market expectations. The data showed initial jobless claims in the United States rose by 14,000 to 240,000 in the week ended May 24, compared with estimates of 230,000.
According to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's May 6-7 meeting, policymakers acknowledged that they could face "difficult trade-offs" in the coming months, as both inflation and unemployment rise, raising the risk of a recession. Since gold does not yield interest, it typically performs well in low-interest-rate environments.
Trump Tariff Ruling Overturned
A U.S. trade court ruled on Wednesday that the president lacked the authority to impose tariffs, blocking most of Trump's tariffs, but on Thursday a federal appeals court agreed to the Trump administration's request to suspend the court's ruling.
The U.S. government's request for an immediate administrative stay was granted, and the rulings and permanent injunctions issued by the U.S. Court of International Trade in these cases will be temporarily suspended until further notice while the court reviews the relevant motion documents, the Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit said in its ruling.
Investors will focus on the US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, on Friday. Gold is seen as a hedge against inflation during times of economic uncertainty, and higher-than-expected PCE data would benefit the US dollar and reduce the appeal of gold, leading to a possible decline in prices. The opposite effect would be seen if PCE data were lower than expected, which would increase the likelihood of an early rate cut by the Fed, leading to a depreciation of the dollar and gold benefiting from expectations of a low-interest rate environment.
Technical outlook for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold is down but currently the downside momentum has been limited by the initial support area which is the confluence of EMA21 with Fibonacci retracement 0.382%, this support area has been noted by readers in the publications since the beginning of this trading week.
Temporarily, gold does not have enough technical conditions to be able to increase in price in the short term, because it is still under pressure from the price channel. However, in terms of the overall and long-term trend, gold still has a main trend of increasing price, a trend noted by the price channel.
In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is still holding above 50, with the current RSI position at 50 being considered as the nearest support in terms of momentum.
A sustained price action above the 3,300ISD price point would be considered a positive signal, while a break above the channel would qualify the bulls for a short-term target of 3,371USD.
For the day, the technical outlook for gold is bullish and the key points to watch are listed below.
Support: 3,292USD – 3,250USD
Resistance: 3,371USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3342 - 3340⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3346
→Take Profit 1 3334
↨
→Take Profit 2 3328
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3203 - 3205⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3199
→Take Profit 1 3211
↨
→Take Profit 2 3217
XAUUSD Price Could find way to downside Gold is currently showing signs of a bearish trend due to a weak background market and low trading volume. The absence of significant buying pressure suggests limited momentum to the upside. Despite the need for a bullish move following yesterday’s consolidation, the lack of strong catalysts or volume suggests that price action may remain sluggish in the short term. Unless a major driver emerges, we may continue to see sideways or downward movement in the near term.
Resistance level 3310 / 3320
Support Levels 3270 / 3242
investor you may understand all things in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
GOLD Will Explode! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
GOL looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 3313.4 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 3309.3
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 3321.4
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Key data will be released, gold will usher in a turning point🗞News side:
1. Musk issued the "strongest" condemnation of Trump
2. Trump and Netanyahu failed to reach an agreement, and the US-Iran negotiations may be "disrupted" by Israel
📈Technical aspects:
Gold prices continued to fall this week as Trump extended the impact of increasing tariffs on the European Union. After stabilizing at 3285 and rebounding yesterday, the gains and losses at 3315 during the day are the key to the subsequent layout. The current Asian session did not stand above 3315 in the morning, which means that the short-term retracement and decline have not ended, and only by breaking through 3315 can there be a chance to continue upward. The 4H level of gold is not so strong at present. The market encountered resistance and fell back at the upper track. Now the market has touched the lower track. The Bollinger Bands have not opened and are still flat, indicating that the market is in a volatile trend in the short term. The support below 3280 just coincides with the lower track. The upper side pays attention to the resistance near the middle track of 3325. If the pressure near the middle track of 3325 is broken, it can be seen to the upper track of 3365. If the market breaks below 3280, it is expected to go to 3260-3250. The European session will temporarily maintain a high-altitude low-multiple cycle. Pay attention to 3315-3325 on the upper side and 3285-3280 on the lower side.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
GOLD: Expanding-Leading-Diagonal, the 3-3-3-3-3 variety?#Gold (XAUUSD), 1 hour:
IMHO, a rare but probable Elliott Wave pattern is unfolding on the chart, known as an Expanding-Leading-Diagonal (the 3-3-3-3-3 variety) to the downside.
⚠️ If price breaks above red wave-2 near $3438, this bearish outlook gets invalidated.
📉 Until then, downside pressure remains on the table. Once wave-3 low ($3120) is broken, this becomes my primary wave counts for Gold.
Trade wisely and watch key levels mentioned on the chart.
~EWTIC Mentor~
xauusd:Continue to go longDue to the delay in the U.S. imposing tariffs on Europe, market risk aversion has cooled, causing gold to decline. However, once the impact ends, gold is expected to return to its upward trend.
**Gold trading strategy for today:** Continue to go long.
xauusd buy@3290-3300
tp:3320-3330
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
GOLD/USD A previous bullish trend channel is visible on the leftKey Zones Identified
Support Zone (Red Box at Bottom):
A strong historical buy zone around 3,100 USD, marked as a base for bullish reversal.
Demand Zone (Green Box Mid-Level):
Area where price previously reversed upward, indicating institutional buying interest.
Supply Zone (Smaller Green Box):
Historical sell area where price faced resistance in the past.
Resistance Zone (Dark Green Top Box):
Strong resistance around the 3,446–3,448 USD level, marked as the Target 1 zone.
---
Current Market Structure
Price: 3,230.580 USD at the time of the screenshot
Entry Level: Just above current price at 3,232.980 USD (suggested long position)
Stop Loss: Just below demand zone at 3,217.612 USD
Target 1: 3,446.992 USD
---
Projected Move
The chart shows a bullish scenario:
Price is expected to retest the entry zone (minor pullback).
Then bounce from demand and head toward Target 1 in the resistance zone.
Favorable risk-reward ratio supported by Ichimoku cloud alignment and demand zone bounce.
---
Technical Indicators
Ichimoku Cloud:
Price is currently above the cloud, signaling a bullish trend.
Bullish momentum is supported if price holds above the cloud post-pullback.
Trend Lines:
A previous bullish trend channel is visible on the left.
Breakout and retest dynamics seem in play with current movement.
---
Conclusion
This chart illustrates a professional bullish trade setup on XAU/USD, driven by institutional demand zones, Ichimoku cloud confirmation, and a clear risk-managed entry/exit plan. The target aligns with a key resistance zone, offering a good upside potential if price action respects the demand support.
Gold Sell Setup- Go for short sell then manage your trade
- potentially go lower
A Message To Traders:
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Check out my previously posted setups and forecasts — you’ll be amazed by the high accuracy of the results.
"I Found the Code. I Trust the Algo. Believe Me, That’s It."
XAU/USD Awaits PCE Catalyst – Rejection or Breakout?Gold prices are trading around $3,297 after rejecting the $3,324 resistance zone. The market is currently showing signs of exhaustion near a minor resistance, and price action suggests a potential short-term pullback. Attention now shifts to today's U.S. Core PCE data, a key inflation metric for the Fed, which may dictate near-term direction and shape the monthly close.
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Gold tested the $3,324 resistance area but failed to break higher, forming a lower high. A potential bearish setup is developing as price reacts to minor resistance around $3,310. If bears regain control, a drop toward the key support level at $3,240 is likely. A break below this level could open the door to further downside in the upcoming sessions. Conversely, if bulls manage to reclaim $3,324 and establish a strong daily close above, we could see a retest of $3,350 and higher.
Key Event Today:
At 8:30 PM GMT+8, the U.S. will release April's Core PCE Price Index – the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge:
MoM: Expected at 0.1%
YoY: Expected at 2.5% (Previous 2.6%)
A softer-than-expected reading could increase rate cut expectations and offer bullish momentum to gold. Stronger data, however, may renew USD strength and pressure XAU/USD lower.
Resistance: $3,310 , $3,324
Support: $3,240 , $3,207
Gold’s consolidation phase remains solid EntryXAUUSD Gold new Forecast what will next Gold move?
At the opening of the session, the U.S. dollar strengthened, putting downward pressure on Gold prices. The recent rise in the dollar is a key driver behind Gold’s consolidation phase. Despite this, investor interest in Gold remains solid due to its status as a safe-haven asset, especially amid ongoing geopolitical risks.
Currently, Gold is approaching a key support zone around 3275, entering what appears to be a correction phase within a broader upward trend. This area also coincides with a liquidity zone, making it a critical level to watch. A breakdown below this level could trigger further downside, though it may also attract buyers looking to re-enter at lower prices.
Investors should monitor this zone closely for signs of either a rebound or a confirmed breakdown, which could define the short-term direction for Gold.
if you want to more info then read discerption and use Trade to Long-term.