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XAUUSD trade ideas

XAU/USD: High Volatility is Expected! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that, as expected, the price began rising from the $3310 zone yesterday and reached $3330, delivering a 200-pip gain. After that, selling pressure took over, and gold is now trading around $3277. Given the current market structure and today's important news events, I expect high volatility in both bullish and bearish directions. One of the key liquidity pools likely to be targeted today lies below $3259, and before any potential drop, we may see the liquidity gap between $3288 and $3303 being filled. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by ArmanShabanTrading
19
Gold fluctuates before Fed decisionFrom a technical perspective, the international gold price encountered strong resistance at the 3500 integer psychological barrier on a daily basis and then started a technical correction. However, the first two trading days of this week were closed with long positive candlesticks, forming a strong rebound pattern, basically recovering the previous retracement space, indicating that bullish momentum continued to accumulate. It is worth noting that the moving average system presents a bullish arrangement: the 5-day and 10-day moving averages are bonded together to form a golden cross pattern, the upward slope of the medium-term moving average group is steeper, and the resonance of technical indicators shows that the upward momentum is repaired. Technically, gold showed a violent shock trend during the Asian session, which is in line with the technical characteristics of the recent overnight consolidation, but we need to be alert to the possibility of a deep retracement after a continuous mild upward trend. This pattern may indicate that the bullish buying power is weakening. If the key pressure level of 3404 is not effectively broken during the day, the probability of a short-term top will increase significantly. At the strategic level, it is recommended that you avoid chasing highs and focus on the transmission effect of the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting on the real interest rate curve and the US dollar index. If the policy tone is dovish, precious metals may continue to rebound technically; if the statement is hawkish, it is necessary to guard against the risk of a correction. The current upper pressure range focuses on the 3397-3407 area, and the lower support band is in the 3360-3350 range. It is recommended to take the buying on dips strategy as the main strategy, and cooperate with the rebound high point short selling operation as a risk hedge. Operation strategy: 1. It is recommended to go long in the 3366-3361 area for gold, with a stop loss at 3356 and a target of 3381-3411. 2. For gold, it is recommended to short in the 3415-3420 area, with a stop loss at 3427 and a target of 3355-3385.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MariaLee66
The volatile decline in gold is in line with expectations!Technical analysis of gold: After rising and falling, gold has a large downward space, from 3438 to the current 3360, up and down close to 78 US dollars. Under this change, we should pay attention to whether the long and short changes of gold will continue. From the perspective of cyclical performance, after three consecutive positive lines on the daily line, there is a high probability of a wave of adjustment space, and the intensity of this adjustment will not be small, and it is possible that the big negative line swallows the positive line and goes directly below 3300. If it comes out like this, then it can be said that it is difficult for gold to rise this week. On Thursday and Friday, it may fluctuate and fall or fluctuate at a high level. From the perspective of the 4-hour cycle, a big negative line closed, covering the previous positive lines, and breaking the support of the 5-day and 10-day moving averages. This wave may continue to fall to the Bollinger middle rail near 3300, but if it is a high-level shock, the Bollinger middle rail is not broken, and it may rise again to the high point of 3430. Therefore, gold has experienced a big rise and fall in this cycle, and now it is possible to rise or fall. In the short-term cycle, we will first focus on the support effect of 3360-3350 under the weakness of the early trading. If it does not break, we can continue to be bullish. The upper target is 3400, and if the strength is strong, we will look at 3430. Overall, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is to rebound and short, supplemented by callbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3400-3405 line of resistance, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3350-3300 line of support. Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3397-3400, stop loss 6 points, target around 3360-3330, and look at the 3300 line if it breaks; Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Long 20% ​​of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3300-3305, stop loss 6 points, target around 3330-3350, and look at the 3370 line if it breaks;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MariaLee66
Gold Market Update - XAUUSD post FOMC May 7🎤 Context: FOMC day just dropped the mic. Market’s fidgety. Fed held rates steady (no shocker), Powell said plenty (but meant little), and Gold just tap danced at resistance like it’s auditioning for Wall Street’s Got Talent. Let’s dissect it all and get sniper-precise. 🔍 MACRO CONTEXT 💣 FOMC Rate Decision: Rates unchanged. Dovish tilt in Powell’s tone – soft landing narrative holding. 💼 Market Impact: Dollar hesitant, equities flat, Gold caught in limbo near intraday premium. 🧠 Sentiment: Risk-on... cautiously. But Gold's structure says, “I still have traps to set.” 🧠 STRUCTURE INSIGHTS (H4 → M1) 🔹 H4 Bias: Bullish swing (CHoCH → BOS intact), premium territory. 🔹 H1-H4 Key Zone: 3451 = Previous HH, now resistance and first critical liquidity magnet. 🔹 Current PA: Sideways chop just under intraday premium. 🔹 Liquidity Above: Weak High around 3415–3420 ready for sniping. 🔹 Liquidity Below: HL sweep and imbalance open below 3384, with clean demand at 3366–3372. 🎯 SNIPER SELL ZONES Sell #1 – 3412–3418 (Refined rejection block) 🟪 Confluence: 5M FVG + weak high + premium OB 🎯 Entry: 3412–3418 🛑 SL: 3425 🎯 TP1: 3390 🎯 TP2: 3372 🎯 TP3: 3350 Sell #2 – 3440–3455 (Retest) 💣 Only valid if price breaks above 3420 and sweeps next liquidity. 🟩 Entry: 3440–3455 🛑 SL: 3463 🎯 TP1: 3420 🎯 TP2: 3390 🎯 TP3: 3370 🎯 SNIPER BUY ZONES Buy #1 – 3366–3372 (H1 OB + FVG confluence) 📌 Real-time unmitigated demand with strong structural confluence 🎯 Entry: 3366–3372 🛑 SL: 3355 🎯 TP1: 3395 🎯 TP2: 3415 🎯 TP3: 3440 Buy #2 – 3322–3330 (Deep liquidity sweep + H4 equilibrium zone) 💧 Only valid if full breakdown under HLs 🎯 Entry: 3322–3330 🛑 SL: 3305 🎯 TP1: 3355 🎯 TP2: 3370 🎯 TP3: 3390 ⚔ BIAS NY Session Bias: Sideways-to-bearish while under 3415 Macro Bias: Still bullish HTF, but intraday liquidity still needs clearing Risk Note: FOMC aftermath = traps galore. Sniper entries only. No hero buys or chases. Drop a 🚀 and follow us! 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
Non-agriculture ended perfectly, Today’s closing is key!📌Fundamentals: The US April non-farm payrolls data (177,000 new jobs) exceeded expectations, reinforcing the Fed's expectations of a smaller rate cut. The market's expectations for rate cuts this year have been lowered from 90 basis points to 85 basis points, and the strengthening of the US dollar has suppressed gold prices. 📊Technical aspects: From the 4-hour analysis, gold fell after the negative news of non-farm payrolls today, but gold bottomed out and rebounded, and continued to fluctuate. It feels that non-farm payrolls have gradually lost its charm, and the market is not as good as usual. However, today's closing is very critical, and it is also the key to whether gold will turn around. The non-farm payrolls market has basically finished, and the upper side continues to pay attention to the suppression of 3260-68, focusing on the suppression of 3290-95 above, and the short-term support near 3235-3240 below. 🎯Practical strategies: 1. Go short when gold rebounds at 3260-65, cover short positions at 3378-85, and target 3240-3245.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
1
Gold is once again experiencing its extreme take-off trend!📌Fundamentals: 1. There are signs of escalation in the India-Pakistan conflict 2. The Fed's interest rate decision dominates this week's market 3. The international trade situation disturbs market sentiment 4. Market sentiment and capital flows 📊Technical aspects: The 4-hour cycle still needs a wave of strength, and it needs to go out of a wave of big rises before it can open the Bollinger upper track to form an absolute unilateral strength. Therefore, although it is temporarily bullish, there is also a certain possibility of adjustment. The current 4-hour cycle support is around 3310, and the small cycle performance support is around 3350, so don't chase more. 🎯Practical strategy: Gold pulls back to around 3365-3375 to go long, and the target is around 3400-3420.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
Momentum Shift: Gold Holds Strong Amid Mounting Dollar PressureHello, 🪙 Gold Market Outlook – May 8, 2025 📈 Current Price Snapshot Spot Gold (XAU/USD): $3,302/oz Gold is holding firm above key support levels, signaling sustained bullish momentum. The $3,300 level has now been clearly breached and is acting as short-term support. If this level continues to hold, further upside continuation is expected, with a possible target of $3,500. 🧭 Technical Outlook 4H Major Support: $3,274.637 1D Floor Support: $3,265.328 1W Pivot Point (PP): $3,265.203 1M Pivot Point (PP): $3,248.445 "A test of the weekly/monthly pivot points is possible but uncertain, as current sentiment favors risk-on for gold, while the USD faces risk-off pressure." A pullback to support is possible, but it’s unlikely under the current macro and technical context. 💬 Macro Fundamentals Gold prices fell earlier today due to optimism surrounding a potential Trump–UK trade deal and easing geopolitical tensions. However, the market remains cautious as US-China officials are scheduled to meet in Switzerland. Meanwhile, China's central bank approved foreign exchange purchases by commercial banks, further boosting gold imports and supporting physical demand. "Such measures are likely to keep supporting bullion demand." — Han Tan, Exinity Group 🌍 Geopolitical Risk Factor India-Pakistan tensions have escalated, with Pakistan downing 12 Indian drones, which is contributing to increased safe-haven demand in the region. "Potentially leading to an unquantifiable level of safe-haven demand." — Ole Hansen, Saxo Bank Target: $3,500. The Support and Resistance outlined in green and red are the respective support/resistance for this pair currently for 1M-1Y timeframes! No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost TradeWithTheTrend3344
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TradeWithTheTrend3344
Gold range shock , Both long and short have a chance!📌Fundamentals: 1. There are signs of escalation in the India-Pakistan conflict 2. The US-Houthi ceasefire agreement 3. The Fed's interest rate decision dominates this week's market 4. The international trade situation disturbs market sentiment 5. Market sentiment and capital flows 📊Technical aspects: The market came out in the Asian session. It stalled again later. We are used to seeing fluctuations of hundreds of points. A fluctuation of more than ten or twenty points a day is the same as no fluctuation. At present, the market is temporarily maintained in the range of 3400-3360, and there is not much fluctuation. At present, let's see where the market breaks through. If it retreats to around 3360, follow up with long orders. If it rebounds to around 3400, follow up with short orders.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
Analysis of Gold's Trend and Trading Suggestions for Next WeekAfter the release of the non-farm payrolls data, the market reacted quickly but showed a divergent trend, bringing a short-term boost to market confidence. However, the downward revision of historical data and external uncertainties still keep investors cautious. In the short term, risky assets may still have some room for growth, but in the medium to long term, downward risks are gradually accumulating. From a technical perspective, in the 1-hour K-line chart of gold, the moving average system shows an obvious bearish arrangement with a death cross pointing downward, and each moving average continues to diverge downward, indicating that the short-term bearish force is dominant. Currently, the gold price is falling back under the pressure at the level of 3,270. Judging from the subsequent trend, around 3,270 will become a key turning point in the battle between bulls and bears for gold next week. Although there has been a rebound in the price of gold, the rebound range is relatively limited compared to the previous decline, which further shows that the bullish force has not fully taken the upper hand. If the gold price continues to be under pressure at the level of 3,270 and fails to break through effectively next week, the market is likely to continue in a range-bound pattern. In the short term, it will be difficult for the bulls in the gold market to achieve a trend reversal. Investors need to pay close attention to the breakthrough situation of this key price level and the changes in trading volume to grasp the subsequent market trend. XAUUSD sell@3255-3265 tp:3240-3220 Investment itself is not risky; it is only when investment is out of control that risks occur. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by VolatilityWise
The latest gold strategy analysis and operation guidance📌Fundamentals: This week, the US economic data was released intensively, and ADP employment, unemployment benefits, GDP and PCE price index were all bullish, but some data showed signs of weakness after Trump's tariff policy. The unemployment rate remained the same as the previous value of 4.2%, while the expected new employment of 130,000 was significantly lower than the previous value of 228,000. The market's concerns about the cooling of the economy provided support for the gold price. 📊Technical side: Although the 1-hour moving average is still in a dead cross short arrangement, there are signs of turning around. At the same time, after the rebound, gold began to consolidate at a high level instead of continuing to fall, so the momentum of the bears was weakened. So today's closing is critical. Today, gold fell back to around 3230 under pressure from 3270. In the short term, this is a balance range. You can see the shock in this range at night. If gold finally closes above 3270, then gold will most likely continue to rise next week. If it closes below 3240, then gold bears still have a great chance. If you want to operate in the short term, then don't chase it for the time being. Since it is a shock, you can go short first at a high level. If it breaks through 3270, then wait until next week. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold suggests that the rebound is mainly short, and the callback is supplemented by long. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3265-3270, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3200-3197. 🎯Practical strategies: Strategy 1: Go short when gold rebounds around 3263-3266, with a target around 3230-3210. Strategy 2: Go long when gold pulls back around 3197-3200, with a target around 3220-3230.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
Thinking and practical skills for winning in the 3360-3400 rangeAffected by the news, gold fell sharply at the opening. Successfully won. According to the trading strategy, we gave gold a wide range of fluctuations in the 3360-3400 range, which will not change much. It can be operated within the range during the day. The trading strategy analysis is accurate, and the key points are accurately grasped to enter the market, which brought us good returns during the day. The short-term rhythm is accurately grasped! Brothers who followed the trading plan should have also made very good profits. 🍻🍻🍻
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
Gold continued to rise at the opening and broke upward!At present, the 4-hour chart of gold has formed an upward breakout trend. The decline may be over, and it will continue to strengthen! In the intraday, we focus on the 3200-line long-short watershed. Before gold falls further, gold will maintain a bullish trend. In the day, we focus on the recent starting point of 3222 support. If gold wants to go out of a steady upward trend, it will not fall below 3222 in the day. In the short term, we refer to the points above 3222 to arrange long positions! Therefore, in terms of operation, it is recommended to adjust the thinking, go long if it falls back to 3240-3245, or directly chase the rise after breaking through 3270. At present, it has been long at 3243 in the early trading. If there is no more decline, continue to go long! Identify the bulls during the day! On the whole, it is recommended to do more on the callback and short on the rebound in the short-term operation of gold. Focus on the resistance of 3300-3310 in the upper short term, and focus on the support of 3222-3245 in the lower short term.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KittyBaldwin
Gold Will be Bullish from a Historic Support LevelHello Traders In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today Gold analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ForexMasters2000
Today's rebound continues to be short!The logic behind the current rise and fall of gold has changed. The main factors for the previous crazy rise in gold and the decline at 3,500 were the tariff war, which has gradually turned from tension to relaxation. The latest news shows that the two sides are trying to contact each other to prepare for the next round of negotiations. Later, we should focus on the Federal Reserve. Trump previously asked the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates to reduce the impact of the tariff war on the economy. Powell's resistance once made Trump want to change the chairman of the Federal Reserve. The big non-agricultural data on Friday was better than expected, which means that the time for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates will be delayed, which is bad for the gold market. Therefore, gold may fall further at the beginning of next week. On the other hand, after the world's largest gold ETF reduced its positions significantly since the peak of 3,500 on April 22, it has continued to reduce its positions slightly during this period, and there has been no obvious increase in positions, which reflects that gold has further bottoming out. The daily line on Friday closed with a cross K, following three consecutive negatives. From a technical point of view, it is either a signal of continued decline or a reversal. Combined with the news data and the overall trend, the probability of continued decline is very high. On the one hand, the rebound strength on the hourly and 4-hour charts is not strong, and the upward continuity is poor. The 100-day moving average is always under pressure to fall, and the trend is still bearish. On the other hand, the adjustment on the daily and weekly lines has not yet ended, and the indicators show that there is still further decline. Next week, we should focus on the 618 golden section position of 3160. As for whether it can be the bottom position, in addition to the price point, it is also necessary to consider the K-line pattern comprehensively. We will talk about it next week. Therefore, for gold on Monday, we can rely on the 3264-3268 line of pressure to continue shorting, and the limit of the pullback cannot exceed the 618 position of 3275, which is the watershed. The support below is 3222-3224, and if it breaks, it will hit the low point of 3201-3202, which may not be maintained.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by EuniceHarrington
Gold Daily Sniper Plan - XAUUSD May 9🔹 XAUUSD – Daily Sniper Plan | May 9, 2025 🎯 Precision Mode: Activated. No recycled zones. Only real-time flow. 🧠 Macro Context: • Market digested FOMC + Powell ✅ • Price dipped into 3284 sniper zone (✅ Reaction Confirmed) • Asia printed fresh CHoCH from discount → Now retesting • Bias: HTF bullish — LTF shift confirmed after deep mitigation • Today = Thursday → Keep eyes on volume traps before NY 🔍 Structure Summary: • D1–H4: Bullish trend intact, reaction from strong OB near 3284 • H1–M15: Internal BOS + CHoCH + FVGs filled, clean transition • Major HL defended. New short-term HH printed → demand forming below. 🔻 SELL SETUPS (only from premium) 1. Sell Setup 1 – Premium FVG Trap 📍 Zone: 3348–3354 🎯 Confluence: M15 imbalance + weak high + LTF CHoCH area 🛑 SL: 3362 TP1: 3335 TP2: 3318 TP3: 3304 2. Sell Setup 2 – Extreme Supply + Liquidity 📍 Zone: 3382–3390 🎯 Confluence: Unmitigated M30 OB + Equal highs + HTF inefficiency 🛑 SL: 3401 TP1: 3360 TP2: 3335 TP3: 3310 🟢 BUY SETUPS (only after confirmation) 1. Buy Setup 1 – CHoCH Retest + OB 📍 Zone: 3303-3310 🎯 Confluence: M15 OB + previous CHoCH + demand reaction 🛑 SL: 3292 TP1: 3324 TP2: 3340 TP3: 3354 2. Buy Setup 2 – Deep Discount Sniper Zone 📍 Zone: 3284–3292 🎯 Confluence: H4 OB + FVG + 61.8% FIB retracement 🛑 SL: 3268 TP1: 3310 TP2: 3333 TP3: 3350 Bias Today: HTF bullish | LTF flipped bullish after Asian CHoCH Scalps and reentries only from refined zones. No countertrend unless clear CHoCH/weak high is grabbed. 💬 Note: Don’t buy or sell from the middle of nowhere. Wait for price to deliver to the zones. If price flies without you? That’s not your train. You’re waiting at your sniper station. 👇 Like the plan? Drop a 🚀 Follow, comment, and share with your trading crew — let’s build the sharpest Gold team on TradingView 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
Gold's decline under pressure is in line with expectations!From the perspective of the gold hourly line, the morning closed with a full sun, effectively breaking through the resistance of yesterday's 3360-3397 box. Therefore, it is definitely necessary to try to confirm the continued bullish trend after a pullback. The continuous diving in the afternoon refreshed the intraday low, which can only mean that the market is washing out, and all the long and short positions are driven out, and then brewing again; If the European session remains weak below 3350, there may be some room for further decline tonight, but the continuity may not be great, and it is easy to stabilize and bottom out and pull up; the current support is 3320, 3315, and 3305. If a stabilization signal is touched around 22:00, it is bullish. I personally think that there is limited space below 3300, and resistance is 3360, 3365, and 3370. If a pressure signal is touched around 20:00, it will fall back first; if it returns to above 3370, the trend will gradually become stronger, and it will be treated as a wide range of fluctuations for the time being; On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3370-3375 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3280-3290 support. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3365-3370, stop loss 10 points, target around 3330-3305, and look at 3290 if it breaks; Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Long 20% ​​of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3285-3290, stop loss 10 points, target around 3310-3330, and look at 3350 if it breaks;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MariaLee66