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XAUUSD trade ideas

Bait. Trigger. Collapse!🎯 XAUUSD 1H – Anticipating the Upside Fakeout Before the Real Drop 📉 Trade Breakdown: Gold is consolidating just beneath a 1H supply zone (3344–3356), forming the classic structure for a liquidity trap. The expectation: price fakes out to the upside, taps the supply zone, and then reverses with a clean bearish move toward 3207. This isn’t just a technical setup — it’s fundamentally fueled by a blowout NFP report. ⸻ 📍 Key Technical Confluences: • 🔸 1H supply zone: 3344–3356 (clean bearish reaction) • 🔸 Consolidation beneath supply = energy buildup • 🔸 Likely upside fakeout into supply → then rejection • 🔸 Equal lows + inefficiency below = target-rich zone • 🔸 3207 = next major demand / clean target ⸻ 📰 Fundamental Fuel: • 🔹 NFP came in strong (206K vs. expected ~190K) • 🔹 Dollar surged, yields rebounded → gold dropped • 🔹 Rate cut hopes fading = bullish for USD, bearish for XAU/USD • 🔹 Market is now adjusting expectations → selling gold aggressively • 🔹 Gold already fell post-NFP, but this pullback into supply gives sellers a second entry ⸻ 📈 Execution Plan: • Entry: After upside sweep into 3344–3356 with M15–H1 rejection • Stop Loss: Above 3356 (supply invalidation) • Take Profit: 3207 (clean structure + news-driven momentum) • Optional sniper trigger: Wick rejection during NY session or USD news spike ⸻ 🧠 Mindset: This setup is time-sensitive. It’s not just about structure — it’s about who’s trapped and what the market believes post-NFP. Don’t chase candles. Wait for the manipulation to finish — then strike with precision. “Trade Simple. Live Lavish.” -Quil Lavish
FX:XAUUSDShort
by QuilLavish
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis : Structural Analysis + TargetGold is currently trading near $3,292 on the 30-minute timeframe, showing classic signs of accumulation and compression within a well-respected descending channel. The current price action is approaching a critical decision zone, and the market is offering potential clues for both short-term and swing traders. 🔎 Detailed Breakdown of Chart Elements: 🔷 1. Descending Channel & Dynamic Support Gold has been moving inside a falling channel, with price repeatedly reacting to both the upper and lower boundaries. The lower boundary of the channel, currently acting as support, has been tested multiple times, suggesting a strong buying interest at this level. This channel also aligns with the broader downtrend structure, giving sellers confidence while also creating interest for counter-trend buyers looking for reversal setups. 📐 2. Trendline Pressure and Compression A downward sloping trendline, drawn from the recent swing highs, continues to apply bearish pressure. Price is squeezing between the channel support and this descending trendline — a tight range compression, which often precedes a volatile breakout. The analysis notes: “We have to wait for a trendline breakout” – this is a crucial technical signal that will determine the next move. 🚧 3. Break of Structure (BOS) Zones Two potential bullish BOS (Break of Structure) levels have been identified: Minor BOS (~$3,300): A break above this level may signal short-term bullish intent and invalidate minor lower highs. Early confirmation for buyers to enter with tight risk management. Major BOS (~$3,310): This is the key swing high which, if broken, would invalidate the current bearish structure and flip market sentiment bullish. A strong bullish candle closing above this level could signal the start of a larger upward leg. 📍 4. Next Reversal Zone (Supply Area: $3,320 – $3,330) This zone represents a strong supply area where previous price action saw heavy selling. If bulls manage to clear the BOS zones, this area becomes the next target/resistance. Price reaching this level could lead to a pullback, making it an ideal area for partial take-profits or reassessment of continuation trades. 📈 5. Scenario Planning & Strategy ✅ Bullish Bias (If Breakout Occurs): Wait for a confirmed breakout above the trendline and Minor BOS with volume. Ideal long entry would be on the retest of the trendline (now acting as support). First target: Major BOS, then extend to the Reversal Zone. Stop-loss can be placed below the channel support or latest swing low. 🚫 Bearish Continuation (If No Breakout): If price fails to break above the trendline and continues to reject at resistance, sellers may look to short the retest of the trendline. Targets can be set at the channel's lower boundary or previous lows. Confirmation: Bearish engulfing patterns, rejection wicks, or divergence. 🧠 Technical Summary & Outlook Gold is currently in a neutral to slightly bullish consolidation, showing early signs of demand at the bottom of the channel. The market is in "wait-and-watch" mode — traders should focus on the trendline breakout, which will serve as the trigger for directional bias. The structure is clean, zones are well defined, and potential is high for both scalping and intraday setups. Traders are advised to stay patient and follow price action confirmation before entering trades. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Support Zone: $3,280 – $3,285 (Channel Base) Trendline Resistance: ~$3,294–$3,296 Minor BOS: ~$3,300 Major BOS: ~$3,310 Reversal Zone (Supply): $3,320 – $3,330
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold Rebound Underway – Support Zone Holds Strong! - Short termGold( OANDA:XAUUSD ), as I anticipated in the previous idea , has attacked the Support zone($3,281-$3,243) and Support lines . From an Elliott Wave theory perspective , it appears that Gold has completed 5 sub-waves of the main wave C . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD+) between Consecutive Valleys. I expect Gold to rise to at least $3,307 in the coming hours. Second Target: $3,321 Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,240 Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
22
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, Following up on our previous Goldturn channel post – the recent price action has played out exactly as anticipated. We saw a clean rejection at the channel top around 3433, with price failing to lock above and confirming that resistance is still very much in control at the range ceiling. This rejection was perfect and it led to a decisive move back down into the 3272 Goldturn support. This level is now acting as a critical pivot. From here, we’re watching closely for one of two outcomes: 1. Bounce Scenario: If price holds and we see a supportive reaction from 3272, particularly with no EMA5 cross and lock confirmation, we will look for long opportunities to slowly ascend the channel again. Expect a grind with testing of in-between levels as structure develops. 2. Breakdown Scenario: If 3272 fails to hold, we expect the next key test to occur at the channel’s midline – a level that has acted as support. A further breakdown would likely target 3106, our next Goldturn support zone, for potential reversal setups. This price action continues to validate the effectiveness of the Goldturn channel structure keeping us grounded and responsive rather than reactive. We remain focused on level to level trading, guided by the channel and supported by EMA5 confirmations for directional analysis. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 3433 Support: 3272 (current test), 3106 (if breakdown continues) Stay patient and let price confirm. The best trades continue to come from structure respecting reactions, not from chasing. Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
9
Gold lures shorts, mainly depending on the rebound.On Monday, the gold market rebounded. The root cause was that Trump sent tariff letters to 14 countries at one time. Even allies such as Japan and South Korea were not spared and were subject to high tariffs of 25% to 40%. This "extreme pressure" trade method instantly ignited the market's risk aversion sentiment. Funds poured into gold, pushing up gold prices. The market quickly saw through the "routine". On Tuesday, Trump extended the tariff deadline from July 9 to August 1. This delay was seen as a signal of "surrendering" under trade pressure, and trade tensions were eased. The safe-haven demand dissipated like a receding tide, and gold was sold off violently, plummeting by $35 in a single day, a drop of more than 1%, and the lowest fell to $3,287.2 per ounce. On Tuesday, the price of gold showed a trend of rising and falling. It reached a high of 3245 in the morning and then gradually fell. It fell to 3287 and then stopped falling and rebounded. As it failed to break through the key resistance level of 3345 and the price continued to be unable to stand firm on the middle track, the bulls' rebound momentum was insufficient. Yesterday's daily line closed with a large Yin line in the engulfing pattern. This K-line combination indicates that the gold price may continue to fall today. The focus below is on the support strength near the lower track 3280. The upper resistance level needs to pay attention to the 3320-3330 range. Today's daily closing is crucial. If the real big Yin line continues to close, it may drive the Bollinger Band to open downward and further open up the downward space; if the closing can stand above 3330, the short-term downward trend may end and the market is expected to restart the rise. From the weekly perspective, the gold price showed an obvious oscillation pattern this week. After rising on Monday, it fell back on Tuesday. The bulls and bears fought fiercely but failed to gain a decisive advantage. Although the current market is weak, the price is close to the important support area. In terms of operations, it is recommended that under the premise of controlling risks, you can now pay attention to the opportunities to buy on dips in the 3295-3285 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
Gold new ATH soon?🟡 GOLD LONG SETUP: Buying the Fear at Key Support 📈 ICMARKETS:XAUUSD "Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful" - Warren Buffett The oscillator we developed is showing some compelling signals on gold right now, and the market sentiment couldn't be more perfect for a contrarian play. 💎 Technical Analysis: Our custom oscillator is painting a clear picture at the bottom - we're seeing those beautiful green zones emerging after extended red periods Price action has found solid support around the 3,300 level, creating a strong foundation for the next leg up The fear in the market is palpable, which historically has been an excellent buying opportunity for precious metals Volume profile suggests accumulation is happening at these levels Why This Setup Works: 🎯 The beauty of this oscillator lies in its ability to identify when institutional money starts flowing back into gold during periods of maximum pessimism. When retail traders are panicking and selling, smart money is quietly accumulating. Key levels to watch: • Support: 3,300 (current zone) • First target: 3,350 • Extended target: 3,400+ Risk Management: ⚠️ • Stop loss below 3,275 • Position sizing: Never risk more than 2% of account • Trail stops as momentum builds The oscillator's fear signals have been remarkably accurate in identifying these reversal points. When fear reaches extremes, that's typically when the best opportunities present themselves. This is not financial advice - always do your own research and manage risk appropriately. What are your thoughts on this setup? Are you seeing similar signals on your charts? 🤔 #Gold #XAUUSD #TechnicalAnalysis #BuyTheFear #Oscillator
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by TheRealHawk
How to grasp the key entry opportunity in the gold market?The market is changing rapidly, and going with the trend is the kingly way. When the trend comes, just do it. Don't buy at the bottom against the trend, so as not to suffer. Remember not to act on impulse when trading. The market is good at dealing with all kinds of dissatisfaction, so you must not hold on to orders. I believe many people have experienced this deeply. The more you resist, the more panic you will feel, and your floating losses will continue to magnify. You will not be able to eat or sleep well, and you will miss many opportunities in vain. If you also have these troubles, then you might as well keep up with my pace and try to see if it can make you suddenly enlightened. The non-agricultural data was unexpectedly cold, with a large negative impact. The stochastic indicator in the daily chart formed a golden cross, which was a main multi-signal. The BOLL range shrank, and the range shrank to 3418-3280. This range is the main range. The price pierced up and down the central axis and hovered, waiting for the news data to stimulate. The upper track of the 4-hour Bollinger band is at $3380, and the integer mark of $3400 is also near the high point of gold prices last week. The 5-day moving average and the MACD indicator cross upward, and the KDJ and RSI indicators cross upward. In the short-term technical aspect, gold has a trend of further rebound. At present, the upper resistance is at 3360-3365, and the support position is around 3310-3300. Gold operation strategy: It is recommended to go long near 3312-3315, with a target of 3330-3340. It is recommended to go short once it touches 3340 for the first time, with a target of 3320-3310.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) 4h chart pattern XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) on the 4-hour timeframe displays a bullish cup and handle pattern forming, with a breakout above the handle resistance and Ichimoku cloud. Technical Observations: Cup and Handle pattern indicates bullish continuation. Breakout has occurred above trendline and handle. Price is trading near $3,350 (approx). Two upside TARGETS are marked on the chart. --- 🎯 Projected Targets (Approximate): Based on your chart: 1. First Target (TP1): Around $3,390 - $3,395 2. Second Target (TP2): Around $3,425 - $3,430 These targets align with the measured move of the cup height projected from the breakout level. --- ✅ Confirmation: Price is above the trendline and trying to hold above the Ichimoku cloud. Entry would be ideal on a pullback to the breakout zone (~31,335-$3,340) for lower risk. Stop-loss can be considered below the handle low (~$3,310 or $3,305). Let me know if you want Fibonacci-based targets or support/resistance levels as well.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Money_Magnet5
13
Accumulated above 3300, market is sideways⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices posted modest gains on Wednesday, supported by a pullback in US Treasury yields, even as the US Dollar remained firm against major currencies. Market sentiment continued to be driven by trade developments, while the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes revealed that policymakers are still leaning toward a rate cut in 2025. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,312, up 0.31%. The FOMC minutes indicated that the majority of Fed officials believe a rate cut this year would be appropriate, with a few members open to the possibility of initiating a reduction as early as July—provided the economic data continues to align with expectations. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price recovered to 3320, mainly still accumulating, waiting psychology on current tariff situation of countries ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3358- 3360 SL 3365 TP1: $3345 TP2: $3332 TP3: $3320 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3245-$3247 SL $3240 TP1: $3256 TP2: $3269 TP3: $3280 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2
XAUUSD – SCALP TRADE (1H TIME FRAME)| 06 JULY 2025 - 2:30 PM GMTXAUUSD – SCALP TRADE (1H TIME FRAME) | 06 JULY 2025 - 2:30 PM GMT On the higher time frames, XAUUSD is ranging inside a light pink channel. Zooming into the 1-hour chart, we see a change of character following a recent spike, then a sideways pullback forming a light blue channel. The current price action near the lower boundary hints at an intraday upward move toward the channel top. This scalp trade setup offers a short-term opportunity with defined risk and moderate reward potential. XAUUSD – SCALP TRADE (1H TIME FRAME) | 06 JULY 2025 Buy 1: 3336.60 (current price) Buy 2: 3334.46 Target Prices: TP1: 3343.30  TP2: 3348.80 SL (hourly close): Below 3330.50 | R:R: 1:2.3 📢 Disclaimer: Do not copy or redistribute signals without prior consent or proper credit to The Chart Alchemist (TCA). ✨ Kindly support our efforts by boosting and sharing this idea!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by THE-CHART-ALCHEMIST
#GOLD UPDATESIn this analysis we're focusing on 2H timeframe for finding the upcoming changes in gold price. Here we can see clearly that gold price creates trendline resistance and also price sweep all the SSL and pre. daily LQ sweep. Now I'm waiting for retracement, If price retest my supply zone and give bearish sign or reversal confirmation than we'll execute our trades. This is a higher time frame outlook. Further analyze more deeply into smaller time frame and place our position from an perfect point. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. Keep an eye on these levels. Confirmation is key. #XAUUSD 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDShort
by TradeTacticsreal
XAU/USD Analysis – Expecting Fibonacci Retracement to 0.618 I’m currently anticipating a short-term retracement in XAU/USD towards the 0.618 Fibonacci level around 3323, followed by a continuation of the bearish move targeting a Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 3272. 📌 Technical Confluence: The market has recently shown a strong bearish impulse, and the current price action appears to be forming a corrective retracement. The 0.618 retracement level aligns with a key resistance area around 3323, increasing the probability of a bearish reaction from this zone. There’s a visible FVG left unfilled near 3272, which may act as a price magnet. I’m also watching for a liquidity sweep above local highs, followed by bearish confirmation on the lower timeframes (e.g., 5min) to trigger a short entry. 📉 Trade Idea: Looking for a sell entry near 3323 after confirmation (liquidity grab, bearish structure shift, etc.) Target: 3272 FVG zone Stop Loss: Just above recent highs or liquidity zone, depending on intraday structure
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by The_Gold_Syndicate
The intraday low has already appeared, so go long on gold boldlyGold unexpectedly fell sharply to around 3287. To be honest, the short position is relatively strong. However, since gold fell below 3000, we can clearly see that gold has shown strong resistance to falling during the decline, and the volatility tends to converge around 3287, proving that the buying support below is strong; and as gold continues to retreat, the off-market wait-and-see funds will be more willing to go long on gold; and some short positions will be more willing to go long on gold after profit taking; In addition, although the short position is strong, it is difficult to continue in the short term. The intraday decline is basically in place. It is estimated that 3287 is the intraday low, so at this stage, it is inconvenient for us to continue to chase short gold. On the contrary, we can boldly go long on gold in the 3305-3295 area and look at the target area: 3320-3330.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trading_Steffen