18/07 Gold Outlook Market Tensions Mount Liquidity Zones in Play Gold Outlook – Market Tensions Mount, Liquidity Zones in Play
Price action heats up as we enter the final trading day of the week. Are you ready to ride the wave or get caught in the liquidity sweep?
🔍 Market Sentiment & Global Highlights
Gold rebounded strongly after dropping on better-than-expected US data. However, several macro risks are keeping gold buyers in the game:
Buy-the-dip activity emerged amid concerns that Trump’s tariff policies may fuel inflation.
Rate cut expectations remain strong as US core inflation shows no signs of cooling.
Geopolitical risks intensified as Israel conducted fresh airstrikes on Syria.
EU threatens $84B in tariffs on US goods should trade talks break down.
💡 These tensions are giving gold strong support — especially as traders prepare for potential volatility into the weekend.
📈 Technical Overview – Liquidity Zones at Play
Yesterday's bounce from FLZ H2 (3310) — a critical demand and liquidity zone — triggered a clean reversal. Sellers took profit, volume shifted, and buyers regained control. Price has since pushed up to retest the OBS SELL ZONE + CP Pattern near the 334x area with a sharp reaction.
For today, price is likely to revisit lower liquidity pockets (M30–H2) before making the next directional move.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3318 – 3316
Stop Loss: 3312
Take Profits: 3322 – 3326 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360+
⚡ BUY SCALP ZONE: 3326 – 3324
Stop Loss: 3320
Take Profits: 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3363 – 3365
Stop Loss: 3370
Take Profits: 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3346 – 3342 – 3338 – 3335 – 3330
⚠️ Final Notes
Today’s session has no major news releases, but as it’s the end of the week, we may see liquidity grabs and unexpected volatility. Stay disciplined, stick to your plan, and always respect TP/SL.
🔔 Follow the key zones carefully – volatility loves indecision.
XAUUSD trade ideas
Gold Bullish Momentum
📈 XAU/USD Gold Technical Analysis – Smart Money Concept Perspective
🕒 Timeframe: 1H | Date: July 16, 2025
Overview:
This analysis follows a Smart Money Concept (SMC) framework, focusing on market structure shifts, liquidity zones, and potential high-probability setups. Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of a possible bullish reversal after forming a clear accumulation zone near a significant low.
Key Highlights:
🔹 BOS (Break of Structure):
A bullish break of structure confirms a shift in momentum, indicating that the prior bearish trend might be weakening.
🔹 LL (Lower Low) and LH (Lower High):
The market previously formed a Lower Low, followed by a Lower High, maintaining bearish structure until the recent BOS occurred.
🔹 Accumulation Phase:
Price is consolidating in a defined accumulation range, suggesting smart money might be absorbing liquidity before a move higher. This zone may serve as the springboard for the next bullish leg.
🔹 Inducement:
An inducement zone lies just below the trendline support and accumulation range. It’s designed to trap early sellers before a bullish continuation.
🔹 POI (Point of Interest):
A key supply or mitigation zone lies around the $3,355.75 level. We expect price to move into this POI before reacting.
🔹 Target:
If price successfully clears the POI and confirms strength, the projected target is in the $3,375–$3,380 zone based on confluence from upper channel resistance and previous structure.
🔄 Forecast Path:
Short-Term Pullback: Price may dip slightly to mitigate the inducement zone near trendline support.
Bullish Breakout: Strong impulse toward POI.
Reaction from POI: Potential minor retracement before a continuation toward the target.
🧠 Market Psychology Insight:
This setup reflects smart money accumulation and manipulation at its core — inducing retail traders into short positions before a potential bullish move. Watch for confirmations like bullish engulfing candles or break of lower highs on smaller timeframes.
📌 Conclusion:
Gold is poised for a possible bullish move after showing accumulation and breaking bearish structure. The $3,328–$3,335 range is key for entries, with the $3,355 POI and $3,375+ as targets. Manage risk and wait for confirmation before entering trades.
💬 Let me know your thoughts or drop your own chart ideas below!
📊 #XAUUSD #Gold #SmartMoney #TradingView #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #SMC #PriceAction
check the trendIt is expected that a trend change will form within the current support area and we will witness the beginning of the upward trend.
If the price breaks through the support zone, the continuation of the correction is likely.
If the price breaks through the support levels, the continuation of the downtrend is likely.
XAUUSD SELL OR TRAP (READ CAPTION)Hi trader's. what do you think about gold
current price: 3331
gold is working in bullish Parrallal channel under gold retest is down side 3320 and 3307 this is support market respect this zone and reject support and and h1 candle close in bullish so possible gold pump upside
support zone: 3320:3307
resistance zone :3345
supply 3374
please like comment and follow thank you
XAUUSD M30 BEST BUYING SETUP FOR TODAY📈 GOLD TRADING SCENARIO 🪙
Gold is currently in bullish momentum, making this the perfect buying zone. ✅
🟨 Buy Zone: 3332 – 3327
We have three strong confirmations in this zone:
🔹 FVG (Fair Value Gap)
🔹 OB (Order Block)
🔹 TL (Trendline)
This is a valid entry point for gold. 📌
🔔 Action: If price reaches the 3332–3327 zone, buy gold and wait patiently for the move to play out. 🧘♂️
The latest gold trend analysis and strategic suggestionsYesterday, the price of gold showed a range of fluctuations. The long and short sides fought fiercely but failed to break through the existing range. The overall trend direction is still unclear. From a fundamental point of view, the market is still dominated by risk aversion, which makes it difficult for the price of gold to form a clear trend reversal. However, it should be noted that the main funds may take extreme suppression measures in the future to force the price of gold to fall. From the 4-hour chart, gold has been under pressure near the upper track 3377 and continued to fall. Yesterday, it broke through the middle track support and touched the lower track. The current price is temporarily supported near the lower track, but the overall trend still shows a wide range of fluctuations and has not formed an obvious trend. The short-term strength of the US dollar suppresses the upward movement of gold, but the key support and resistance levels have not been effectively broken; in terms of intraday short-term operation suggestions, the current callback near 3320-3325 can try to do ultra-short-term longs. It is recommended to stop profit and exit in the 3340-3345 range. It can be combined with the K-line pattern to short-sell, and the target is the lower track area. If the downward momentum is strong, it may fall below yesterday’s low to form a continuous decline.
Operation suggestions:
1. Go long when gold falls back to around 3320-3325, stop loss at 3312, target at 3340-3345.
7/17: Key Support for Gold Bulls at 3343–3337During the Asian session today, gold rose as expected into the 3337–3343 resistance zone. After failing to break through, the price retraced during the European and U.S. sessions, reaching the 3323–3313 support area. A sharp rally followed due to unexpected news, pushing the price into the 3372–3378 resistance zone. Overall, the intraday bullish strategy performed well, yielding solid profits.
After this sharp volatility, price movement has stabilized somewhat. The MA60 support on the daily chart remains intact.
For tomorrow’s trading, key levels to watch are:
🔽 Support: 3343–3337, with secondary support at 3328–3323
🔼 Resistance: 3372–3378
On the 2-hour chart, bullish momentum appears likely to continue as long as price holds above the support zone.
Additionally, upcoming economic data releases and any further developments on the report regarding Trump potentially firing Powell could have a significant impact on market sentiment—these factors should be closely monitored.
In summary, tomorrow’s initial trading focus can remain within the 3337–3358 range, with strategies adjusted as market conditions evolve.
SWING TRADE OPPORTUNITY 〉LONGAs illustrated, I try to visualize what the next bullish impulse could look like if price holds 3300 as a key psychological and algorithmic price level.
Illustrated are the potential buy areas (a current one and an extended one in case a pullback occurs to manipulate lower levels in the next 24-48 hours).
This projection, if valid, could hold from now until next week, so it can be considered a swing trade to hold at least the next week and into the following one).
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After this post, I will upload another analysis on the Daily timeframe projecting the longer term move, so make sure to go in my profile to check it out.
GOOD LUCK
Don’t hesitate, a massive gold move Is brewingRefer to my previous trading idea. Gold retreated as expected. We almost caught the highest point of the day and shorted gold near 3365, and successfully hit TP: 3346, which enabled us to successfully profit 190pips in short-term trading, with a profit of nearly $10K, which is a good result in short-term trading.
Currently, the lowest point of gold in the retracement process has reached around 3335, which has fully released the short energy and vented the bearish sentiment in the market. All the bad news is out, which means good news! Although gold fell from 3375 to 3335, the retracement was as high as $40, but the rising structure has not been completely destroyed. The previous W-shaped double bottom support structure and the resonance effect of the inverted head and shoulder support structure still exist. As long as gold stays above 3325, gold bulls still have the potential to attack.
Moreover, after this round of retracement, the bearish sentiment of gold was vented, and the liquidity was greatly increased, attracting more buyers to actively enter the market. Gold may start a retaliatory rebound, and even touch 3375 again or even break through and continue to the 3380-3390 area.
So for short-term trading, I think we can try to go long on gold in the 3335-3325 area appropriately, first looking forward to gold regaining lost ground: 3350-3360 area, followed by 3380-3390 area.
XAUUSD 4H – Break & Retest With Bullish Continuation | SMC🚨 Gold (XAUUSD) is setting up for a potential bullish move after a successful break and retest of a key resistance zone at 3346 – 3348, now turned into fresh support.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
📌 Structure:
Gold previously formed a strong resistance near 3346, which aligned with multiple rejections in past sessions. After a liquidity sweep and break above this level, price retraced for a textbook break-and-retest setup.
📌 CHoCH & BOS (Break of Structure):
The market showed a bullish Change of Character followed by a clean Break of Structure to the upside, confirming bullish intent.
📌 Smart Money Perspective:
Institutional demand was respected at 3296–3305 zone.
Liquidity below this zone has been taken.
Current bullish candles are printing higher highs and higher lows.
📌 Confluences:
✅ Break & Retest of major structure
✅ Clean demand zone below
✅ Imbalance filled
✅ Bullish market structure
✅ SMC confirmation (CHoCH + BOS + Mitigation)
📈 Trade Idea (Long Setup):
💰 Buy Entry: 3359
🔻 Stop Loss: 3305 (below demand + structure)
🎯 Take Profit 1: 3400
🎯 Take Profit 2: 3440 – 3442 (major resistance)
🧮 Risk-to-Reward: 1:2+
This setup provides a strong bullish continuation opportunity targeting the upper resistance zone. Monitor candle confirmations and session volume for more precise entries.
📢 💬 Like this idea? Follow for more Smart Money trades on Gold, US30, NAS100, and V75!
GOLD BUY M15 XAU/USD (Gold) 15-Minute Chart Analysis – July 15, 2025
Gold is currently trading around 3362.050, showing strong bullish momentum after a Change of Character (CHoCH) confirmation. Price has broken previous structure highs and is now expected to continue the upward trend.
A bullish order block (marked in purple) has been identified as a demand zone, which could act as a strong support if the price pulls back.
Entry Plan:
Buy on a retest near the demand zone.
Stop Loss (SL): 3352
Target (TP): 3375
Key Levels:
Support Zone (Demand Area): 3352–3360
Resistance Levels:
Minor resistance: 3365.142, 3370.035
Final target zone: 3375 (Weak High)
Price is expected to form higher highs and higher lows on its way toward the target. Watch for a clean retest of the demand zone for a potential long entry.
Gold Trade Plan 18/07/2025Dear Traders,
Gold (XAUUSD) – Short-Term Outlook – July 18, 2025
Price is currently moving within an ascending channel and approaching a key resistance zone around 3355–3360, highlighted in red. This zone has acted as previous supply (marked with red arrows), and we anticipate potential bearish reaction from here.
As long as price fails to break and hold above 3375, we remain bearish near the top of the range, with short opportunities targeting the mid-range (~3340) and possibly the bottom of the channel (~3315–3320).
If price breaks above 3375 with strong momentum and closes above it, the bullish breakout scenario becomes active, invalidating the short setup.
📌 Strategy:
Watch for bearish confirmation in the resistance zone
Sell near the top, targeting lower range levels
Invalidation: Break and close above 3375
Regards,
Alireza!
Today's GOLD Analysis (MMC) – Bullish Momentum Building Ahead🔍 Market Overview:
Gold is currently showing signs of a bullish reversal structure after experiencing a downward correction. Price action has reacted strongly from well-defined demand zones, suggesting institutional buying activity at key levels. The current setup highlights a clear accumulation phase transitioning into a potential markup phase, driven by buyers regaining control.
🧱 Chart Structure Breakdown:
1️⃣ Initial Channel Formation (Left Side of Chart)
After a major downtrend, price began consolidating within a rising channel, indicating a retracement or correction phase.
This ascending channel showed a short-term bullish effort, but eventually broke to the downside, resuming the dominant bearish flow temporarily.
2️⃣ Previous Reversal Zone ($3,312 – $3,322)
This is the origin of the recent bullish move, where price strongly reversed after heavy selling.
The reversal formed a long bullish wick and an engulfing candle—clear signs of buying absorption.
This level has historical confluence, acting as both support and prior demand.
3️⃣ Mini SR - Interchange Zone ($3,327 – $3,335)
This zone is a mini structure level where previous resistance has now become support (SR Flip).
The area acted as a platform for the recent bullish reaction.
This zone also aligns with the interchange of order blocks, adding more confluence to the bullish argument.
4️⃣ Bullish Pattern Formation
Price formed a micro double bottom/inverse head and shoulders structure just above the Mini SR.
The pattern suggests strong base-building and provides momentum for the current bullish move.
Confirmation came after the neckline breakout and retest within the Central Zone.
5️⃣ Central Zone ($3,340 – $3,345)
This is an intraday pivot area, acting as a decision-making zone between buyers and sellers.
Price is currently testing this zone with strong bullish candles.
A clean break above this level increases the probability of further upside.
6️⃣ Reversal Zone 1 ($3,345 – $3,353) – ✅ Condition 1
Price is now entering this zone, where previous price rejections occurred.
If buyers can maintain momentum and break above this zone on strong volume, it will validate the bullish continuation thesis.
This zone is also an ideal area to monitor for partial profit-taking or potential short-term rejection.
7️⃣ Reversal Zone 2 ($3,365 – $3,375) – ✅ Condition 2
This is the next significant resistance block.
If price reaches this level, it could face heavy resistance and profit-booking from swing traders.
However, a breakout above this zone could lead to a much larger bullish wave, targeting $3,390+.
🎯 Trade Setup Idea:
Long Bias: Above $3,335 with targets at $3,353 (TP1) and $3,370 (TP2)
Risk Invalidation: Break below Mini SR zone ($3,327) may invalidate bullish thesis
Aggressive Entry: At retest of Mini SR after pattern breakout
Conservative Entry: On breakout and close above Reversal Zone 1 with confirmation
🧠 Trader’s Mindset:
The market is showing a clear shift in momentum, but buyers must sustain control above key levels.
Stay patient at resistance zones; avoid chasing.
Watch for rejection wicks or bearish divergence near Reversal Zone 2 if you're looking for a counter-trade.
📌 Summary:
📈 Bias: Bullish (as long as $3,335 holds)
💡 Opportunity: Breakout from Mini SR with structure support
📉 Risk: Failure to hold central zone could trigger retest of lower support
🚀 Potential: If momentum continues, gold could revisit July highs near $3,390–$3,400
XAUUSD H1 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 3346.44, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 3308.43, an overlap support that aligns closely with the 78.6% Fib retracement.
The stop loss is set at 3375.07, a swing high resistance.
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Bearish Sentiment (Jul 16 Wed) | Intraday S/R for Swing TradingSentiment: Bearish
🟢 Support Levels
1. 3319.20 – Minor support near Friday’s bounce zone
2. 3307.60 – Key support from early U.S. session rejection zone
3. 3296.10 – Institutional support / demand buildup
4. Extreme Support: 3283.40 – Break below this opens extended sell-off zone
🔴 Resistance Levels
1. 3338.70 – Minor resistance from overnight price action
2. 3349.80 – Key resistance aligned with previous close and seller defense
3. 3361.00 – Strong intraday ceiling, potential short trigger
4. Extreme Resistance: 3375.20 – Break above this signals risk-on bullish momentum