Gold Price Analysis May 14Yesterday's D candle with an increase but not significant and unable to surpass 50% of the previous bearish candle shows that the sellers still hold the initiative today.
The 2322 zone plays a key role at the moment when breaking the Down confirmation to 3200. If it bounces from 3222, it will confirm the trend back in the Sideway range with the upper range of 3260.
In the direction of the 3260 break, Gold will return to the uptrend with the resistance zones of 3280 and 3320, pay attention to the small resistance zone around 3305 for the scalping strategy. On the opposite side, the break of 3222 confirms the downtrend, extending the next reaction zone around 3200 and can extend the decline to 3176 today.
XAUUSD trade ideas
Gold Holds Key Support Ahead of CPIOANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) edged higher to $3,255 early Tuesday as traders awaited the US April CPI report. While the 90-day US-China tariff truce improved market sentiment and limited gold’s upside, geopolitical tensions in Ukraine, the Middle East, and South Asia continue to drive safe-haven flows. A de-escalation in US-China trade tensions triggered the recent pullback, with price failing to reclaim the $3,271 resistance. The $3,213 area remains a major support. A break above $3,271 is needed to resume bullish momentum, while failure to hold $3,213 could expose $3,127.
Resistance : $3,271 , $3,305
Support : $3,213 , $3,127
XAUUSD 1HYour chart appears to show the XAU/USD (Gold to US Dollar) pair with a clear downtrend. Here are a few observations:
1. Trendlines & Resistance:
The chart has red downward sloping trendlines, indicating a descending channel or downtrend.
Multiple rejection points (marked by arrows) confirm strong resistance.
2. Breakout & Forecast:
The price seems to have touched the upper trendline and then dropped, respecting the trend.
A blue projection line suggests a bearish continuation, targeting around 3,100.361.
3. Price Action & Volume:
The price is currently around 3,182, having made a sharp drop.
If it breaks below the recent low, the downtrend may accelerate.
4. Support Zone:
There's a possible support near the 3,100 mark.
Watch for price behavior there; a bounce or breakdown will signal the next move.
Would you like a technical analysis of this setup (e.g., entry/exit strategy, stop loss, or risk-reward ratio)?
Gold Holds Key Support Ahead of CPI Data📊 Technical Overview
1. Key Levels
Support Zone: ~$3,224 to ~$3,236 (highlighted yellow box) — price has bounced here multiple times (green arrows), indicating strong demand.
Resistance Zone: ~$3,420 to ~$3,440 — where price previously reversed (upper yellow box).
CPI News Target: ~$3,348 — identified as a potential bullish target on CPI-related momentum.
2. EMAs
50 EMA (Red): ~$3,299 – currently above price, acting as dynamic resistance.
200 EMA (Blue): ~$3,224 – at the lower edge of support, reinforcing the critical support zone.
3. Price Action
Strong bounce from support shows bullish reaction.
There is a potential double bottom or accumulation pattern forming at support.
The bullish target is around $3,348 (CPI news reaction zone).
🧠 Trading Idea
✅ Bullish Scenario
Entry: Near current price ($3,236), ideally on confirmation of support holding.
Target: $3,348 (CPI news target zone).
Stop Loss: Below $3,224 (below the 200 EMA and last swing low).
Risk/Reward: Favorable if the bounce is strong and momentum builds with upcoming U.S. news (likely CPI data).
❌ Bearish Scenario
If price closes below $3,224, especially on strong volume, it may signal a breakdown.
Watch for a retest and failure of support-turned-resistance for short entries.
🔔 News Catalyst
U.S. CPI data (highlighted) on the calendar — this is likely to inject volatility. A hot CPI could strengthen USD and pressure gold, while a cool CPI could lift gold prices sharply toward the $3,348 target.
📌 Summary
Bias: Short-term bullish above $3,224.
Key Levels: Support ($3,224–$3,236), Resistance ($3,348, then $3,420–$3,440).
Strategy: Buy dips near support, watch CPI news for breakout potential.
Gold (XAU/USD) Rebound Imminent? Channel Support Holding StrongGold is currently respecting a well-defined ascending channel on the 4H timeframe. After a recent correction, price has bounced off the lower boundary of the channel near $3,200—signaling potential bullish continuation.
Key Observations:
Trend: Bullish structure intact with higher highs and higher lows.
Support Zone: Price reacted strongly to the lower channel line, showing buying interest.
Resistance Target: Next short-term resistance lies around $3,300–$3,320 (mid-channel), with a possible rally toward $3,400 if momentum holds.
Price Action: Bullish engulfing patterns starting to emerge near support.
Upcoming US Data: Watch for high-impact economic news on May 15–17, which could drive volatility.
My Bias:
If the channel support holds, I’m bullish on XAU/USD with a short-term target near $3,320 and extended target around $3,390–$3,400.
Confirmation Needed:
Strong bullish candle close above $3,260
RSI crossover or MACD histogram flipping positive (not shown here but useful to check)
Risk Management:
Entry: Above $3,260
SL: Below $3,200
TP1: $3,320
TP2: $3,390
What do you think? Will gold bounce or break the trend? Drop your thoughts below!
XAUMO x Heikin Ashi Chikou Fusion Strategy (Full Calibration)
Timeframe-Synced Strategic Confluence: XAU/USD
⸻
5M + 15M (Trigger Zone)
• EMA/HMA/SMA Stack: All bearish — price below EMA21, HMA5 rolling down = trend aligned.
• Ichimoku Cloud: Below Kumo, flat Kijun — choppy bearish bias.
• Stoch RSI: Crossover from oversold — minor bounce brewing.
• Chikou Span (HA): Still below price = bearish lag.
• Volume: Weak green = bounce lacks conviction.
Conclusion: Micro bounce trap. Stay patient for SELL SIGNAL from higher TF.
⸻
1H + 4H (Execution Timeframe)
• MA Confluence: Perfect bearish alignment (EMA21, SMA50/84/200 all above price).
• Ichimoku: Bearish TK cross, Chikou Span far under price (lagging confirmation).
• Stoch RSI: Just crossed from oversold on 1H — temporary pullback likely.
• MACD: Red, contracting — confirms bounce but no reversal.
• Fib Level: 61.8% & 78.6% = 3,260 - 3,275 resistance hot zone.
Conclusion: Perfect zone for sell trap. Wait for bounce toward Fib+MA confluence, then strike.
⸻
D1 (Trend Validation Layer)
• Chikou Span (HA): Bearish – lagging behind price, rejection at cloud = LONG-TERM SELL BIAS.
• Ichimoku Cloud: Price under cloud, future cloud bearish.
• Volume: Distribution spike from 3,500 = institutional sell.
• Stoch RSI: Near mid-zone = no help to bulls.
Conclusion: Downtrend intact. D1 confirms all signals. Time to hunt shorts.
⸻
Final Calibrated Hypothetical Trade Setup: XAU/USD (May 13, 2025)
Order Type: Sell Limit
• Entry: 3,263.00 (Fib 61.8%, SMA84 resistance, Chikou below)
• Stop Loss 1: 3,276.00 (Above SMA50 & Ichimoku Cloud)
• Stop Loss 2: 3,290.00 (Failsafe beyond Ichimoku Flat Kumo)
• Take Profit 1: 3,209.00 (Volume support, Fib minor)
• Take Profit 2: 3,183.00 (Daily Fib 100% AB=CD + institutional demand)
• Confidence Level: 91%
• Risk:Reward: 1:3.6
⸻
Execution Rules
• Only place order if Stoch RSI is above 80 on 15M/H1 at time of entry.
• Confirm Chikou Span still below Heikin Ashi price.
• Volume candle must not break upper band = no breakout.
⸻
Justification
This setup is the offspring of two powerful systems fused in battle:
• MA + Ichimoku + Fib give sniper zones.
• Stoch RSI and Chikou confirm killer timing.
• Volume shows us when the smart money exits — and we ride behind their smoke.
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XAU/USD Tactical Kill Zones – Calibrated by Multi-System Fusion
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1. RED ZONE – NO TRADE / TRAP AREA
Definition: Conflicting signals, exhaustion zones, or fake-out setups. Do not freaking touch.
• Price Above 3,290
• Overextended against higher timeframe trend.
• Chikou Span may cross price — invalidates bearish setup.
• FOMO-buyers get slaughtered here.
• Price Below 3,200 Without Breakout Volume
• Could be fake breakdown into accumulation.
• Stoch RSI may show oversold and HA reversal brewing.
• Potential for bear trap reversal.
⸻
2. YELLOW ZONE – WAIT & WATCH / REACTION ZONE
Definition: Transitional price zones. Wait for confirmation before engagement.
• Price Between 3,240 – 3,260
• Pullback rally zone. Price flirting with EMA21, SMA50, and Fib 61.8%.
• Stoch RSI climbing toward OB. Chikou still under price.
• Wait for Stoch RSI OB + HA candle rejection + volume spike for sell trigger.
• Price Between 3,209 – 3,200
• First support cluster.
• Watch for volume spike and RSI divergence. Decide whether it’s bounce or breakdown.
⸻
3. GREEN ZONE – HIGH PROBABILITY EXECUTION ZONE
Definition: Multiple timeframe confluence. This is where the kill shot is taken.
• SELL ENTRY ZONE (Green Box):
• 3,263 – 3,275
• Fib 61.8% – 78.6%
• SMA84, SMA50, EMA21 cluster
• Ichimoku flat Kumo rejection
• Chikou below price (Heikin Ashi candle)
• Stoch RSI must be OB with bearish crossover
• TP ZONE 1 (Green TP):
• 3,209 – 3,200
• Fib support + Volume support
• First liquidation level from sell pressure
• TP ZONE 2 (Green TP):
• 3,183 – 3,175
• Fib 100% AB=CD completion
• Strong volume absorption zone
• Potential D1 reversal point
XAUUSD 15 MINUTEThis chart shows a short (sell) trading setup for gold (XAU/USD), marked with a "SELL ZONE" at approximately 3,330 and a take-profit target labeled "TADGET SUCCESSFUL" around 3,281. The red area indicates the stop-loss zone above the sell entry, while the green area shows the profit zone.
Also, a small note: there's a typo—"TADGET" should be corrected to "TARGET".
Would you like help analyzing the trade or improving the chart presentation?
XAUUSDHello traders!
There's a buy opportunity on the XAUUSD pair, and I wanted to share this trade with you. The trade is currently active on my end, and I’ve set the Risk-to-Reward Ratio to 1:1.50.
🔍 Criteria:
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 3320.74
✔️ Take Profit: 3335.20
✔️ Stop Loss: 3311.13
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes.
📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies:
💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
Gold is in the Bearish DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Markets turn their attention to US CPISafe-haven OANDA:XAUUSD fell nearly 3% on Monday (May 12) and continued to decline slightly in early trading on Tuesday (May 13), mainly due to the easing of market risk sentiment after the United States and China announced a temporary “ceasefire” in their trade war.
According to a joint statement released by the United States and China on Monday, the United States will reduce the tariffs imposed on Chinese goods in April this year from 145% to 30%, and China will reduce the tariffs imposed on American goods from 125% to 10%. The new measures will take effect in 90 days.
Gold prices fell more than 3% on Monday as risk sentiment improved after the US and China agreed to roll back tariffs for 90 days during talks over the weekend. This sent the US dollar soaring to its highest level in more than a month and global stocks rebounding strongly after the US and China reached an interim tariff deal. Meanwhile, gold sold off sharply as market sentiment began to shift back to risk assets, making the yellow metal less attractive.
China and the United States announced in Geneva, Switzerland, that they have reached an important economic and trade agreement. Both sides will also further reduce tariffs on each other's goods, with the total reduction exceeding 100%. The breakthrough marks a major turning point in the years-long tariff war between China and the United States. After implementing the measures, the two sides will establish a mechanism to continue negotiations on economic and trade relations, Xinhua News Agency reported.
Investors' attention turns to the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report due out on Tuesday for a gauge of the Federal Reserve's policy direction. Other key US data this week include the Producer Price Index (PPI) and retail sales. Economists expect the US CPI to have risen by 2.4% year-on-year in April. Excluding volatile items, the core CPI growth rate is expected to have been unchanged at 2.8% year-on-year.
While the underlying market is under pressure from positive factors from trade to geopolitics, we (individual investors in the short term) still need to pay special attention to the erratic behavior of Do Nam Trung. A status line that brings tariff risks will push gold to increase strongly again.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, a drop below the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level would be a bullish signal for further downside with a target of around $3,163 in the short term, which is where the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level is located.
In terms of momentum, gold is showing bearish signals as the RSI falls below 50 and the next target is the overbought zone, with the current RSI position, gold still has a lot of room to fall.
The most important condition for gold to be able to be assessed to increase in price again is that it needs to bring the price activity above the base price of 3,300 USD, then the target could be 3,371 USD. Otherwise, with the current market position and context, the short-term downtrend is dominant.
During the day, the possibility of a decline in gold prices will be noticed by the following technical positions.
Support: 3,228 - 3,200 - 3,163 USD
Resistance: 3,245 - 3,267 - 3,292 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3283 - 3281⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3287
→Take Profit 1 3275
↨
→Take Profit 2 3369
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3220 - 3222⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3216
→Take Profit 1 3228
↨
→Take Profit 2 3234
Gold 100% Profit SignalWith the sharp drop on Monday, gold will not be as strong as before, but don't forget that the overall gold price is still bullish. It is currently an adjustment under the big cycle, which I have always emphasized. It opened lower on Monday, and this situation has definitely weakened. The market outlook needs to observe whether it will continue. Today, the market is looking for support near 3200, but it can also turn strong at any time under the current market conditions. After all, the big cycle is still bullish. After waiting for the small cycle adjustment to end, it is likely to return to the bullish trend. From the short-term, it has now rebounded to around 3240 near the 3200 mark for rectification. The upper short-term pressure is near 3300 and 3260. If it does not break this position, it will first fluctuate downward. Once it stands firmly above this position, the market outlook can still see 3350-3400. In short-term operations, first use 3260 as a stop loss and short at highs below. First look at this wave of callback profits, and then look at the support of the previous low point of 3200 below. If it breaks, we expect the downward trend to continue. If it doesn't break, we will go long on the reverse. Then, based on the support situation at 3200, we will choose the opportunity to go long and arrange a long-term bullish plan.
For short-term gold trading, you can do short-term shorts below 790, and the support below is around 760. Then consider going long. Rongtong Gold and Accumulated Gold are long-term products. From a long-term perspective, they are still rising. Let's wait for this wave of decline to complete the bottoming. Currently, it is still fluctuating in the range, with support below at 750 and pressure above at 790 and 810. So you can consider entering the market in batches at 750-770. If you have long orders, just continue to hold them. In the future, we will look at 800 or above when the market rises.
May 12, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
From a broader perspective, gold is in a downward trend. The main strategy remains to short on resistance pullbacks.
Long trades require confirmation across multiple timeframes. Once in profit, trail your stop to breakeven or better.
Key Levels to Watch:
3320: Resistance
3300: Psychological round-number resistance
3289: Key intraday resistance
3275: Support
3267: Major support
3255: Support
3245: Support
3238: Support
Short-Term (15m) Trading Strategy:
For Shorts:
Enter a SELL if price breaks below 3275.
First target 3267, then 3259, 3255, and 3250.
For Longs:
Enter a BUY if price holds above 3280.
First target 3289, then 3291, 3298, and 3300.
Gold May be in Bullish Direction from a Support LevelHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts