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XAUUSD trade ideas

Analysis of the latest gold trend next week: Analysis of gold news: Friday (July 4) coincided with the US Independence Day holiday, and gold prices were in a narrow range of fluctuations. Strong employment data not only pushed up the US dollar and US bond yields, but also significantly weakened the market's expectations of the Federal Reserve's early rate cuts, which greatly reduced the attractiveness of gold. At the same time, the US Congress passed the Trump administration's massive tax cut and spending bill, further injecting complex variables into the economy. There will be no key data to watch today. Due to the US Independence Day, all markets will close early, which will limit the fluctuation range of gold prices. Key technical signals: Daily level: Range fluctuations: Gold prices repeatedly tested in the 3320-3360 range, the Bollinger band narrowed, and the MACD kinetic energy column shrank, indicating that the market was in a wait-and-see mood. Key support/resistance: Support: 3320 (5-day moving average), 3300 (psychological barrier + Bollinger lower track). Resistance: 3350-3360 (non-agricultural starting point + daily middle track). 4-hour level: Short-term bottoming signs: After the non-agricultural data, the gold price fell to 3322 and then rebounded, forming a double bottom prototype, but it needs to break through 3350 to confirm the reversal. RSI is neutral (around 50) and may maintain a narrow range of fluctuations in the short term. 2. Next week's market deduction 1. Baseline scenario (oscillation and consolidation, 60% probability) Trend: The gold price fluctuates in the 3320-3360 range, waiting for CPI data to guide the direction. Operation strategy: Short-term high-sell and low-buy: Long order: Long at around 3320-3325, stop loss 3305, target 3350. Short order: Short at 3350-3360 under pressure, stop loss 3370, target 3320. 2. Bullish breakthrough scenario (30% probability, CPI data required) Trigger conditions: CPI is lower than expected (such as below 3.2%), the market re-bets on interest rate cuts, and the US dollar weakens. Trend: After breaking through 3360, it may test 3380 (200-day moving average) or even 3400. Operation strategy: Break through and chase long: Follow up after stabilizing 3360, target 3380-3400. 3. Bearish breakout scenario (10% probability, need continued strength of the US dollar) Trigger conditions: CPI is stronger than expected (such as more than 3.5%), and the Fed's hawkish remarks suppress expectations of rate cuts. Trend: After breaking below 3300, it may test 3260 (June low). Operation strategy: Break through and follow short: After breaking below 3300, chase short, target 3260. III. Trading strategy and risk management Short-term trading (suitable for intraday positions) Shock strategy: Buy high and sell low in the range of 3320-3360, with strict stop loss (10$-15$). Breakout strategy: Wait for CPI data and follow the trend. If it breaks through 3360, chase longs or if it falls below 3300, follow shorts. Mid-term layout (pay attention to the trend after CPI) If CPI is positive: set up long orders at 3330-3340, with a target of 3400. If CPI is negative: set up short orders at 3350-3360, with a target of 3260. Risk warning Liquidity risk: Speech by Fed officials (such as Powell) may trigger short-term sharp fluctuations. Geopolitical risk: Sudden conflicts or banking crises may trigger safe-haven buying, breaking the technical logic. 4. Summary and key points Core range: 3320-3360 (maintain the idea of oscillation before breaking through). Long-short watershed: Breaking through 3360 → opening up space to 3400. Breaking through 3300 → opening a downward trend to 3260.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Gold_Hunters_Alliance
GOLD: Move Up Expected! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,298.60 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,312.65.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
GOLD BUY M15 Gold (XAU/USD) 15-Minute Chart Analysis – July 7, 2025 Trade Setup: The chart shows a bullish trade setup based on a potential reversal from a "Weak Low" support area around 3304. After forming a BOS (Break of Structure) and a small consolidation (highlighted box), price is expected to move higher. Entry: Long position initiated slightly above the consolidation zone. Stop Loss (SL): Set at 3304, just below the recent weak low support. Target (TP): Final target at 3326, where a key resistance level lies. Key Levels: Support Zone: 3304 (Weak Low) Resistance Levels: 3317.5 3222.9 3326.2 (Final Target) Market Structure Notes: CHoCH (Change of Character) indicates potential shift to bullish momentum. Price is expected to form higher highs and higher lows on its way to the target.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Sniperfx05
XAUUSD 4Hour TF - July 6th, 2025XAUUSD 7/6/2025 XAUUSD 4 hour Long Idea Monthly - Bullish Weekly - Bullish Daily - Bullish 4hour - Bullish Back to bullish here on Gold but that comes as no surprise when you look at the higher timeframe trends. I’m mainly considering long scenarios for the week ahead but let's take a look at two for the week ahead: 4hour bearish continuation - Currently we can see price action broke above 3,320.00 resistance and is currently looking to find some footing. We’re keeping an eye out for higher lows at or near this level to then consider long scenarios. 3,395.000 seems like a good target but gold has potential to go higher. 4hour trend reversal - If we are to consider short positions on gold we would need to see a break back below our 3,320.000 zone. Look for confirmed lower highs below 3,320.000 and target lower key support levels if this happens.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by ForexLeague
Continue to maintain the rhythm of short tradingUnder the influence of NFP, gold fell sharply as expected. What I had suggested before was proven correct by the market again. "Gold rose in advance to reserve room for the NFP market to fall." After NFP, gold fell to around 3311 and the decline narrowed. Therefore, we accurately seized the opportunity to go long on gold near 3312 and set TP: 3330. Obviously, gold successfully hit TP during the rebound and made an easy profit of 180 pips. From the current gold structure, gold encountered resistance and retreated twice near 3365, and built a double top structure in the short-term structure. In order to eliminate the suppression of the double top structure, gold still needs to continue to fall after the rebound. After the cliff-like decline of gold, the short-term resistance is in the 3340-3345 area, and the short-term support below is in the 3320-3310 area. So I think that gold can still continue to short gold after the rebound, and I have already shorted gold around 3336 with the 3340-3345 area as resistance. Now we just need to wait patiently for gold to hit TP. Let us wait and see!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen
Gold Drops to 3,284 – Short-Term Support at Risk📊 Market Overview Gold fell sharply this morning to $3,284/oz amid a modest USD rebound and profit-taking pressure following several range-bound sessions. The lack of fresh catalysts also contributed to weaker momentum. 📉 Technical Analysis • Key Resistance: 3,315 – 3,330 • Nearest Support: 3,280 – 3,275 • EMA 09: Price is currently trading below the EMA 09 on both the H1 and H4 timeframes → short-term bearish signal • Candle Patterns & Momentum: – H1 candle shows a bearish engulfing pattern near the 3,305 area → confirms downward pressure – RSI is below 45, MACD has crossed below its signal line → bearish momentum dominant – If the 3,275 level is breached, gold could continue to fall toward 3,260 📌 Outlook Gold is leaning toward further downside unless it can hold above the 3,280 support level during today’s session. 💡 Trade Strategy 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 3,295 – 3,398 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 PIPS ❌ SL: 3,305 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 3,275 – 3,278 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 PIPS ❌ SL: 3,269
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Gold price this afternoon (July 8)Given the definition of the gold price trend, market participants remain anxious and oriented to signs of the US Federal Reserve’s stance on monetary tightening, which could shape the future course of gold prices. As the US dollar gains traction, it is also a difficult time for gold. But if the tariff war accelerates, gold will rise, especially as fears of annihilation and trade wars increase. 🔴 XAUUSD BUY 3295 3293 🔴 ✅TP1: 3310 ✅TP2: 3320 ✅TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL:3289 🔴 XAUUSD SELL 3308 3306 🔴 ✅TP1: 3300 ✅TP2: 3290 ✅TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL:3313
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
XAUUSD is on retracement H4 Timeframe Analysis Gold is currently holding falling wedge the Range of 3330-3290 structural support.Also market is completed Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern which is broken. What's possible scanarios we have? ▪️if H4 Candle remains below 3280 then we'll see gold to tap 3255 a then 3230 as our optimal target. (PREFERRED ) ▪️exceptional Move of Day if the H4 candle remains above 3280-3290   then keep your eyes at  3320 then 3335 Additional TIP: All eyes on DXY #XAUUSD
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
XAUUSD:High-range consolidation, caution on rally sustainabilityFollowing Trump's reimposition of tariffs, gold staged another rally on the back of its safe-haven allure. Nevertheless, it retreated after encountering resistance near the 3345 mark, making it premature to conclude that gold has entered a robust one-sided bullish trend. After all, for a rally sparked by news-driven factors, the sustainability of the upward momentum demands close scrutiny. Should this momentum falter, gold is likely to re-enter a consolidation phase. Given that gold is currently lingering at a relatively high level within its rebound and consolidation range, a short-position strategy could be prioritized for the time being. Only if gold sustains strong momentum throughout the day can bulls potentially amass genuine upward impetus. XAUUSD sell@3340-3350 tp:3330-3320 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02