XAUUSD trade ideas
GOLD GOLDi, i see trading as probability and it helps me stay guided .we are heading to a hiigher sell zone 3340-3337
GOLD BUY M15 Gold (XAU/USD) 15-Minute Chart Analysis – July 7, 2025
Trade Setup: The chart shows a bullish trade setup based on a potential reversal from a "Weak Low" support area around 3304. After forming a BOS (Break of Structure) and a small consolidation (highlighted box), price is expected to move higher.
Entry:
Long position initiated slightly above the consolidation zone.
Stop Loss (SL):
Set at 3304, just below the recent weak low support.
Target (TP):
Final target at 3326, where a key resistance level lies.
Key Levels:
Support Zone: 3304 (Weak Low)
Resistance Levels:
3317.5
3222.9
3326.2 (Final Target)
Market Structure Notes:
CHoCH (Change of Character) indicates potential shift to bullish momentum.
Price is expected to form higher highs and higher lows on its way to the target.
XAUUSD 4Hour TF - July 6th, 2025XAUUSD 7/6/2025
XAUUSD 4 hour Long Idea
Monthly - Bullish
Weekly - Bullish
Daily - Bullish
4hour - Bullish
Back to bullish here on Gold but that comes as no surprise when you look at the higher timeframe trends.
I’m mainly considering long scenarios for the week ahead but let's take a look at two for the week ahead:
4hour bearish continuation - Currently we can see price action broke above 3,320.00 resistance and is currently looking to find some footing. We’re keeping an eye out for higher lows at or near this level to then consider long scenarios. 3,395.000 seems like a good target but gold has potential to go higher.
4hour trend reversal - If we are to consider short positions on gold we would need to see a break back below our 3,320.000 zone. Look for confirmed lower highs below 3,320.000 and target lower key support levels if this happens.
Continue to maintain the rhythm of short tradingUnder the influence of NFP, gold fell sharply as expected. What I had suggested before was proven correct by the market again. "Gold rose in advance to reserve room for the NFP market to fall." After NFP, gold fell to around 3311 and the decline narrowed. Therefore, we accurately seized the opportunity to go long on gold near 3312 and set TP: 3330. Obviously, gold successfully hit TP during the rebound and made an easy profit of 180 pips.
From the current gold structure, gold encountered resistance and retreated twice near 3365, and built a double top structure in the short-term structure. In order to eliminate the suppression of the double top structure, gold still needs to continue to fall after the rebound. After the cliff-like decline of gold, the short-term resistance is in the 3340-3345 area, and the short-term support below is in the 3320-3310 area.
So I think that gold can still continue to short gold after the rebound, and I have already shorted gold around 3336 with the 3340-3345 area as resistance. Now we just need to wait patiently for gold to hit TP. Let us wait and see!
XAUUSDXAUUSD in short/ Mid term we gonna go to 3500.
Longterm its 5K, like i already mention in 2022
Gold is probably gonna buy from support level back to resistanceAfter gold buys off from support, it’s gonna retest the resistance and finally break out from the support to give a clear down trend.👑
Gold Drops to 3,284 – Short-Term Support at Risk📊 Market Overview
Gold fell sharply this morning to $3,284/oz amid a modest USD rebound and profit-taking pressure following several range-bound sessions. The lack of fresh catalysts also contributed to weaker momentum.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance: 3,315 – 3,330
• Nearest Support: 3,280 – 3,275
• EMA 09: Price is currently trading below the EMA 09 on both the H1 and H4 timeframes → short-term bearish signal
• Candle Patterns & Momentum:
– H1 candle shows a bearish engulfing pattern near the 3,305 area → confirms downward pressure
– RSI is below 45, MACD has crossed below its signal line → bearish momentum dominant
– If the 3,275 level is breached, gold could continue to fall toward 3,260
📌 Outlook
Gold is leaning toward further downside unless it can hold above the 3,280 support level during today’s session.
💡 Trade Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 3,295 – 3,398
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 PIPS
❌ SL: 3,305
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 3,275 – 3,278
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 PIPS
❌ SL: 3,269
GOLD - at resistance ? Holds or not??#GOLD.. .market perfect dropped below our area that was around 3320
Now market bounced back and just near to his resistance area 3295 96
That will be market final area and only holdings of that region means another drop expected.
Note: we will plan for cut n reverse above that region.
Good luck
Trade wisely
GOLD 15MIN STRATEGYGOLD ,trading below 3300 $ per ounce is normal ,market will take correction and balance for liquidity to flow.
the renew dollar index buying and hope in the US10Y keeping steady growth could be a reason that investors are searching for new GOLD and liquidity is moving out of gold market
we could be seeing more correction in to 3200 whole number, it best to trade layer by layer
allow the market to swing and catch some pips ..
like and share for more.
Gold price this afternoon (July 8)Given the definition of the gold price trend, market participants remain anxious and oriented to signs of the US Federal Reserve’s stance on monetary tightening, which could shape the future course of gold prices.
As the US dollar gains traction, it is also a difficult time for gold. But if the tariff war accelerates, gold will rise, especially as fears of annihilation and trade wars increase.
🔴 XAUUSD BUY 3295 3293 🔴
✅TP1: 3310
✅TP2: 3320
✅TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL:3289
🔴 XAUUSD SELL 3308 3306 🔴
✅TP1: 3300
✅TP2: 3290
✅TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL:3313
XAUUSD is on retracement H4 Timeframe Analysis
Gold is currently holding falling wedge the Range of 3330-3290 structural support.Also market is completed Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern which is broken.
What's possible scanarios we have?
▪️if H4 Candle remains below 3280 then we'll see gold to tap 3255 a then 3230 as our optimal target.
(PREFERRED )
▪️exceptional Move of Day if the H4 candle remains above 3280-3290 then keep your eyes at 3320 then 3335
Additional TIP:
All eyes on DXY
#XAUUSD
XAUUSD:High-range consolidation, caution on rally sustainabilityFollowing Trump's reimposition of tariffs, gold staged another rally on the back of its safe-haven allure. Nevertheless, it retreated after encountering resistance near the 3345 mark, making it premature to conclude that gold has entered a robust one-sided bullish trend. After all, for a rally sparked by news-driven factors, the sustainability of the upward momentum demands close scrutiny. Should this momentum falter, gold is likely to re-enter a consolidation phase.
Given that gold is currently lingering at a relatively high level within its rebound and consolidation range, a short-position strategy could be prioritized for the time being. Only if gold sustains strong momentum throughout the day can bulls potentially amass genuine upward impetus.
XAUUSD
sell@3340-3350
tp:3330-3320
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
Sell XAUUSDHere’s the English translation of your text:
“Considering that the price has once again reached the channel’s upper boundary and failed to break through it, receiving a strong rejection from that area, I am entering a short position.
Bullish Breakout Anticipation on Gold (XAU/USD)Bullish Breakout Anticipation on Gold (XAU/USD)
On the 30-minute chart, Gold is forming a classic falling wedge pattern, typically seen as a bullish reversal setup. We've just touched the lower support trendline, and early breakout signs are emerging.
📍 Entry: 3,309.500
🎯 Target: 3,335.500
🛑 Stop Loss: 3,299.000
The risk-to-reward ratio looks favorable, and a breakout above the wedge resistance could push price towards the 3,335+ region. Let’s watch for confirmation and volume on breakout.
👇 Drop your thoughts below and let’s discuss!
✅ If you find this analysis helpful, please support by giving a like and following — your support means a lot! 🙌 🟡
GOLD: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
GOLD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GOLD
Entry - 3335.9
Stop - 3338.8
Take - 3330.1
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
gold Indicator Actual Forecast Previous
Average Hourly Earnings m/m
0.3% 0.4% —
Non-Farm Employment Change
147K 111K 139K
Unemployment Rate
4.1% 4.3% 4.2%
Unemployment Claims
233K 240K 236K
Interpretation and Implications
Average Hourly Earnings m/m:
Rose by 0.3%, slightly below the forecast of 0.4%. This suggests wage growth is steady but not accelerating, which may ease some inflation concerns.
Non-Farm Employment Change:
The US economy added 147,000 jobs, beating both the forecast (111K) and the previous month (139K). This indicates continued, though moderate, labor market expansion.
Unemployment Rate:
Fell to 4.1%, better than the expected 4.3% and down from 4.2% previously. This points to a modest improvement in labor market conditions.
Unemployment Claims:
Dropped to 233,000, lower than both the forecast (240K) and last month (236K). This signals fewer new layoffs and continued resilience in the job market.
Market Impact
Dollar (USD):
The combination of stronger-than-expected job growth and a lower unemployment rate is generally supportive for the US dollar, as it suggests the labor market remains robust. However, slightly softer wage growth may temper expectations for aggressive Fed tightening going forward.
Federal Reserve Outlook:
These figures reinforce the Fed’s “data-dependent” stance. Solid job creation and falling unemployment reduce urgency for immediate rate cuts, but the lack of wage acceleration may allow the Fed to maintain a cautious approach.
In summary:
The US labor market in July 2025 shows moderate strength, with job gains and a falling unemployment rate, while wage growth remains steady but not excessive. This mix supports a stable outlook for the dollar and gives the Fed flexibility in its upcoming policy decisions.
Today's bearish target for gold prices: 3300Today's bearish target for gold prices: 3300
Technical analysis:
Short-term support: $3330-3320 (5-day and 10-day moving averages),
Short-term resistance: $3360-3374 (61.8% retracement).
If it falls below $3330, it may fall to the $3306-3320 range;
If it breaks through $3374, it may challenge the previous high of $3450.
The daily chart shows that gold prices are fluctuating at high levels, and the MACD red column has expanded, but the RSI (60-65) shows a good bullish momentum.
2. Main influencing factors
Federal Reserve policy and non-agricultural data:
The market focuses on the US non-agricultural employment data for June released tonight (July 3) (expected to increase by 106,000, and the previous value was an increase of 139,000).
If the data is weak (for example, the unemployment rate rises to 4.3%), it may strengthen the expectation of a rate cut in September, which is good for gold;
On the contrary, if the data is strong, the price of gold may fall back.
The unexpected contraction of the ADP employment data in June (a decrease of 33,000 jobs) has pushed up the expectation of a rate cut in advance.
Geopolitics and safe-haven demand:
If the situation in the Middle East (such as the Iranian nuclear issue) escalates, it may push up the price of gold, but the recent ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran has weakened the short-term safe-haven support.
The continued purchase of gold by central banks around the world (net purchase of 289 tons in the second quarter of 2025) constitutes long-term support.
The US dollar and interest rates:
The US dollar index has weakened recently, but if the Fed postpones the rate cut (the probability of a rate cut in September is currently 75%), it may suppress the price of gold.
3. My views and market forecasts:
In the short term, the price of gold will fluctuate, and the trend depends on the non-agricultural data.
If the data is weak, the price of gold may rise to $3370-3400;
If the data is strong, the price of gold may fall back below $3300.
I think the possibility of a fall is high.
In the short term, I prefer the strategy and trading ideas of shorting at high prices below 3360-3370.
Suggestions:
Short-term trading: Pay attention to the breakthrough opportunities after the release of non-agricultural data. You can go long at the support level (3330-3320 US dollars) and try to go short at the resistance level (3360-3374 US dollars).
Flexibly adjust the strategy.
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD, March 7, 2025🌀 Elliott Wave Structure
On the H1 chart, wave 3 appears to have completed, and price is now entering a phase with an unusual structural behavior.
Wave 3 previously showed strong momentum, moving steeply and continuously, with no clear internal pullbacks – a classic impulse wave. Following this, we observed a corrective abc pattern in black, suggesting the end of wave 3.
Interestingly, although yesterday's ADP report was extremely bullish, gold only managed a mild breakout above the wave 3 high before pulling back this morning. Notably, the upward move followed a 3-wave abc structure in green, and price action is now showing overlapping waves with no clear directional momentum.
🧩 These signs suggest a high probability that:
🔹 Wave 5 is forming as an Ending Diagonal – a 5-wave structure with a 3-3-3-3-3 pattern.
🔹 This is typically seen at the end of a bullish cycle and often precedes a sharp reversal.
Although it's too early to confirm, we should patiently observe the upcoming price action. If the ending diagonal completes, it may present a strong sell opportunity.
🎯 Target for wave 5: around 3395, provided all 5 sub-waves within the diagonal complete.
⚠️ If price breaks below 3324, we must consider that the full 5-wave structure is already done, and a new abc corrective phase may have begun.
🔍 Momentum Analysis
Daily (D1): Momentum is about to turn bearish from overbought territory → suggests a weakening uptrend.
H4: Momentum is turning upward → likely a mild rally or sideways movement today before H4 reaches overbought again.
📌 Trading Plan
Given the current wave behavior and overlapping structure, it is best to remain patient and wait for confirmation before taking a strong position. If the Ending Diagonal structure is confirmed, it could signal a major reversal.
SELL Zone: 3392 – 3395
Stop Loss: 3403
Take Profits:
• TP1: 3368
• TP2: 3340
• TP3: 3324
XAUUSD:Today's Trading Strategy
Gold retreated in the sub-session, I have personally increased my long position near 3331, the overall trend is bullish unchanged, the median strategy is patient to rise. If you are trading short, you can go long at 3325-3330 and leave at 3340-45. The same can be said if you want to solve the problem; Trade according to your trading preferences and risk tolerance.
More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
Gold Loses Its Shine – Short-Term Sentiment Turns BearishHello everyone, great to see you again for today’s market chat!
The factors that once made gold appealing — inflation fears, economic uncertainty, and the flight to safety — are gradually fading. As confidence grows that the Fed will maintain high interest rates for an extended period, capital is steadily moving away from gold and into more stable, yield-generating assets.
Across the financial community, there’s growing consensus: gold is no longer a top investment priority. The U.S. dollar is gaining strength, Treasury yields are rising, and gold’s support structure is weakening. While investors await the Fed’s next move, many are staying on the sidelines — or even leaning toward a bearish outlook. Notably, the rebound in the DXY is also playing a key role in adding pressure.
Gold is currently lacking momentum, lacking support, and most of all — lacking conviction. At this stage, the trend is no longer a debate, but a widely accepted short-term reality.
What about you — where do you think gold is headed next?
XAU/USD (Gold) Bearish Outlook – H1/H4 Chart AnalysisGold is currently showing signs of weakness within a confirmed downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows on the short-term charts. The price structure suggests continued bearish momentum as sellers maintain control beneath key resistance levels.
At present, a potential bearish opportunity is observed if price retraces near the 3320 zone, which aligns with a recent supply area and resistance in the ongoing downtrend. From this level, price action could continue its downward move in line with trend dynamics.
Entry Zone: Around 3320
Primary Target: 3300 (near-term support level)
Final Target: 3280 (extended target aligning with previous demand zone)
Invalidation/Stop Loss: Above 3340 (a break above this may invalidate the bearish bias)
🔸Disclaimer; This setup is based on technical structure and market flow, not financial advice. Always confirm with your own analysis and risk management plan.
