Gold Holds Steady at $3,300 – Is the Rebound Just Beginning?Hello dear traders,
Today, OANDA:XAUUSD is finally showing signs of stability. The metal has successfully rejected a critical support level, an area that has historically attracted strong buying interest. This level is closely tied to the psychological $3,300 mark and continues to serve as a pivotal technical zone for market participants.
Recent price action confirms bullish interest with strong rejection candlesticks featuring long lower wicks followed by bullish follow-through. The support zone remains intact and buyers have stepped in, initiating an upward move.
Now that the price has bounced from this level, the probability of a continued bullish move increases. If momentum persists, gold could rise toward the $3,340 level, a reasonable short-term target based on past structure and minor resistance.
However, failure to hold above $3,300 or a sudden shift in market sentiment could still pose downside risks. A confirmed breakdown below the white support zone would invalidate the bullish setup and potentially open the door to deeper corrections.
Earlier on Wednesday, gold attracted dip buyers once again as it retested the $3,300 level. The overnight rebound in the U.S. dollar lost steam amid ongoing concerns about U.S. fiscal stability and rising bets on Fed rate cuts. Both of these factors tend to support non-yielding gold. Additionally, geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine continue to boost safe-haven demand.
Always remember to confirm your setups and use proper risk management.
XAUUSD trade ideas
Short term is still dominated by short positions!Although the easing of trade tensions in the short term has led to a correction in gold prices, the three core factors supporting the strength of gold still exist: expectations of loose global monetary policy, rising geopolitical risks, and the long-term weakening trend of the US dollar. In particular, the market expectation that the Federal Reserve may maintain loose monetary policy will continue to provide momentum for gold to rise.
From the daily chart, the price of gold has shown a clear upward trend since this year. Although there have been several corrections in the middle, the bulls still control the medium and long-term market. After the previous rise in the H4 cycle, it is not so strong now. Instead, it is a volatile trend. The Bollinger band is closed, and the trend strength still needs market stimulation to rise again.
The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn, so the rising strength of gold bulls has been suppressed. The high point of the 1-hour rebound of gold has been getting lower and lower, and the low point has also begun to fall. The 1-hour gold has begun to fluctuate downward. The downward trend of the gold rebound is suppressed near 3340. Gold rebounds near 3340 and can still be shorted.
How will the short-term trend of gold develop?From a technical perspective, the overall volatility is limited. In the near future, the upper side is under pressure from the trend line, and the lower side is affected by the 4-hour middle track support. The overall trend is maintained in the range of 3365-3322. The current monthly line is approaching its closing, and the short-term market is temporarily in a high-level oscillation stage. In the 4-hour cycle, the price range is gradually narrowing, waiting for a directional breakthrough. The lower support focuses on the 3325-3320 middle track position and the previous top and bottom conversion support of the 3308 line; the upper pressure focuses on the 3352 and 3365 areas. After a slight high opening, it weakened. The overall idea is still to treat it as a wide range of fluctuations. It is recommended to be long and short in operation, and adjust the strategy after breaking through.
Operation suggestion: Go long near 3330-3323, and the target is 3340 and 3352;
If the pressure near 3352 is not broken, consider shorting, and the target is to fall back to the 3330 line.
GOLD → Short squeeze before a drop to 3150?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating. The market needs a driver, but due to the unstable fundamental background, traders have switched to a wait-and-see mode. Consolidation could turn into strong movement at any moment. But in which direction?
Gold under pressure: the market is waiting for signals from the Fed and negotiations. The dollar is putting pressure on the market amid expectations of trade negotiations with India, South Korea, and Japan, as well as statements from the Fed.Earlier, the metal was supported by the weak dollar after Moody's downgraded the US credit rating, but growing interest in risky assets and hopes for peace between Russia and Ukraine reduced demand for gold. Key factors — negotiations and comments from the Fed — will continue to influence the dynamics of the dollar and gold.
Technically, the price is in a downtrend and within consolidation. A breakout from consolidation could be accompanied by strong momentum, but I believe that there will be no countertrend movement and that a retest of resistance could end in a decline...
Resistance levels: 3265.5, channel resistance
Support levels: 3206, 3153
The most likely scenario within the bearish trend is a short squeeze and a downward breakdown from the triangle (the fundamental background and economic risks are slowly but surely declining, and gold may lose value). A false breakout of 3250-3265 could trigger a continuation of the trend towards 3150-3120.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold Price Analysis May 27The price increase at the end of the day was expected to push the price up today, but surprisingly, at the end of the Asian session and the beginning of the European session, gold fell sharply.
After the liquidity sweep to 3305.
The immediate support level that Gold is facing is 3303. This border is still used for trading in the European and American sessions. Pay attention to the daily support level around 3292.
3323 is an important resistance zone when it breaks out, you can SELL scalping here for a round and then the Asian session resistance around 3345 is considered a stable area for gold prices in the uptrend of the American session.
Note that breaking 3303 breaks the uptrend and the recovery will be weak, so consider TP for reasonable buy entries.
Gold Breakdown Setup | Key Support Test IncomingThe market recently broke below a rising trendline and exited a consolidation zone, signaling potential weakness.
📉 After the breakdown, price formed a lower high and is now retesting the 3,290–3,300 zone. If this minor resistance holds, we could see further bearish continuation.
🔷 Key Level to Watch:
Support around 3,212 — this is a major area where price previously reacted.
📉 Scenario:
Expecting a rejection from current levels, leading to a potential move toward the support zone. If 3,212 breaks, it may open doors to even lower targets.
💡 Trade Idea:
Wait for a confirmation (bearish structure) near the retest area. If confirmed, consider short setups with target around the support level.
✅ Always use proper risk management and confirm with your own analysis
XAUUSD - Poised for Fresh Highs After Healthy Correction?Looking at this gold (XAU/USD) 4-hour chart, the precious metal appears to be in a strong bullish trend that has carried it from around $2,960 in early April to current levels near $3,356. After reaching a significant peak around $3,480 in mid-April, gold has undergone a healthy correction and consolidation phase, which is typical behavior in strong uptrends as markets digest gains and reset momentum indicators. The recent price action shows gold has found support around the $3,120 level and has begun to recover, with the current move higher suggesting the correction may be nearing completion. The overall chart structure, characterized by higher highs and higher lows, remains intact despite the recent pullback. Given the strong underlying uptrend, the successful defense of key support levels, and the recent renewed buying interest, the higher probability scenario appears to favor a continuation of the bullish momentum toward new highs, potentially targeting the previous peak around $3,480 and possibly extending toward the resistance zone highlighted in the blue rectangle near $3,500.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD 15 MINUTEThis chart is a technical analysis of gold (CFDs on Gold, XAU/USD) on the 15-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
1. Trend Analysis:
There's an upward trendline shown in pink, which has been broken.
The price has reached a peak near the Register Point (~3,360), indicating resistance.
2. Potential Reversal:
The break of the trendline and the consolidation near the peak suggest a potential bearish reversal.
A downward purple arrow indicates a possible drop in price.
3. Targets:
Target 1 is marked around the Support Line at ~3,320.
The Next Target is lower, near ~3,290, showing a broader bearish move if the support breaks.
4. Price Action:
The current price is ~3,357.5, very close to the peak.
The chart suggests a short-term bearish outlook unless the price breaks above the Register Point.
Would you like a trade idea based on this analysis or a further breakdown of potential entry/exit points?
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for May 26Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3350-3400, support below 3284
Four-hour chart resistance 3350, support below 3322
One-hour chart resistance 3350, support below 3322
Gold news analysis: Last Friday (May 23), spot gold continued its strong rise in the US market. After a technical retracement from a two-week high in the previous trading day, it attracted bargain-hunting buying again, and the trading price remained above $3350. Fundamental factors continue to provide upward momentum for precious metals. Previously, Moody's rating agency downgraded the US credit rating from the highest level "Aaa" last week, and the weak 20-year Treasury auction results on Wednesday showed that the market demand for US assets weakened. These factors, combined with the uncertainty of the US economic outlook, continue to suppress the US dollar and provide support for gold denominated in US dollars. .
Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the lower support is the 3284 level daily line support near the four-hour 3322, and the upper pressure is the four-hour level 3350 level suppression. The short-term long and short strength watershed is the 3284 level. If the daily level stabilizes above this position, continue to buy at a low level.
Buy: 3322near SL: 3317
Buy: 3330near SL: 3322
GOLD at turn point: Institutional Liquidity or Breakout Play?Institutional Influence on Gold
Gold operates within an environment where liquidity pools, order blocks, and fair value gaps (FVGs) determine price movements. Large institutions move markets by filling orders in specific zones rather than reacting impulsively to price swings.
Key Observations from the Chart
Price Reaction at Key Level: The current price action suggests that gold is either absorbing liquidity for an expansion move or attempting a reversal from an order block.
Volume Consideration: If the volume increases around this level, it signals real institutional interest in maintaining price or pushing it toward the next liquidity pool.
Market Structure Shift: If price decisively rejects the zone, it could indicate a springboard for a bullish move. Conversely, a clean break lower suggests further liquidity hunting before an eventual reversal.
Trade Setup with 1:2 Risk-to-Reward (RR) Ratio
Entry Considerations
Look for a confirmation candle at the order block or key liquidity zone to validate institutional presence.
If price shows rejection through long wicks or bullish engulfing candles, enter long strategically.
Stop-Loss Placement
Protect your trade by placing the stop-loss just below the order block or liquidity zone, preventing unnecessary stop-hunting effects.
Avoid overly tight stops; institutions often revisit liquidity pools before the real move happens.
Take Profit Strategy
Aim for a minimum 1:2 RR to maximize gains while managing risk appropriately.
Take profit at the next major liquidity pool or structural resistance, aligning with historical price behavior.
Why Smart Money Concepts Matter in Gold Trading
Using order flow analysis and institutional liquidity zones removes emotional bias and enhances trade precision. Gold is highly manipulated due to macroeconomic influences, interest rate decisions, and inflation trends, making institutional footprints critical for predicting its movement.
Final Thoughts
This trade setup isn’t about blindly following price—it’s about understanding where big players are executing their orders and taking advantage of those moves. Patience and execution based on probability, not emotions, ensure consistent profitability.
If the Position performing correctly, switch your SP to BE for a highly effective Risk Management.
Would you take this trade, or are you waiting for more confirmation before entering?
Follow @GoldenZoneFX for more valuable Insights and useful informations.
Gold Breaks Out: Pullback Before the Next Move?Gold Price Analysis (15-Minute Chart)
Current Price: $3,356.31
Date: May 24, 2025
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What Happened:
1. Gold was going down before May 23.
2. Then it broke out of the downtrend and started going up (this is called a trend breakout).
3. After the breakout, gold moved up strongly and reached around $3,360.
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What Might Happen Next (Prediction):
The price is now slowing down after a big move up.
It might drop down a bit to around $3,340 (a support level).
If the price holds there, it could bounce back up again.
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Key Levels:
Support (where price may stop falling): Around $3,340
Resistance (where price may stop rising): Around $3,360
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Simple Summary:
Gold had a strong move up, but now it might take a short break and drop slightly before possibly going up again.
XAUUSD Approaching Breakout Zone | Technical Setup on 15m ChartGold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of a potential breakout from a descending triangle pattern on the 15-minute chart. The price has recently tested the upper trendline resistance but faced rejection, suggesting caution.
Key observations:
Structure: Descending triangle with multiple rejections at resistance.
Support Zone: 3,285 – 3,290 area holds historical significance.
Volume: Noticeable spike during the recent upward leg, hinting at strong participation.
Bias: Watching for a clean breakout and close above the trendline for bullish confirmation. A rejection and breakdown below the 3,285 support area may shift short-term bias.
This setup is ideal for traders monitoring breakout or reversal opportunities with defined risk management. Always confirm with your trading rules and strategy.
How I Use Elliott Waves to Trade — A Real Example from XAU/USDElliott Wave Theory is a powerful tool I use to understand market structure and build trading plans with confidence. In this post, I’ll walk you through how I’m applying it to the current setup in XAU/USD (Gold) on the 1-hour chart, and how I develop a trading plan around it.
🌀 The Current Structure: A 5-Wave Impulse in Progress
Based on the chart, I believe gold is in the middle of completing a classic 5-wave impulsive move. We’ve already seen the completion of Wave 1 and Wave 3—and we’re now likely in the midst of a Wave 4 correction.
🔍 How Do I Know This?
There are several clues:
Wave 3 is extended, meaning it’s longer than both Wave 1 and the expected Wave 5.
Inside Wave 3, Wave 2 was a sideways flat, and Wave 4 was a sharp zigzag.
This follows the Guideline of Alternation, which states that if one correction is sharp, the next tends to be sideways.
These characteristics give me confidence in my wave count.
💡 Why I Love Trading Wave 5
Wave 5 is my favorite wave to trade because it offers a high-probability opportunity when the structure is clear and confirmed. Here’s how I approach it:
📉 Step 1: Define the Invalidation Level
According to Elliott Wave rules, Wave 4 cannot enter the price territory of Wave 1. This gives me a hard stop loss zone—if price dips below that, the count is invalid, and I step aside.
🎯 Step 2: Determine the Target (Take Profit)
When Wave 3 is extended, Wave 5 usually relates to Wave 1, and I consider three common Fibonacci targets:
61.8%
100%
161.8%
Since the 100% extension of Wave 1 is the most typical scenario, that’s where I’ll tentatively place my take profit.
🛠️ Step 3: Plan the Entry
Now that I have both my stop (below Wave 1) and my take profit (100% of Wave 1), I plan my entry.
Here’s how:
Wave 4 often retraces to the 38.2% Fibonacci level of Wave 3—which is where I begin looking for support.
This level also coincides with the termination point of the previous Wave 4, adding further support per Elliott guidelines.
If price enters that support zone and I see a complete corrective structure (flat or triangle), that’s my green light to enter.
If all the above conditions are met, I’ll post a follow-up with my exact entry strategy.
🧠 Final Thoughts: Flexibility Is Key
While this plan is structured, the market is dynamic. Patterns evolve. Counts can shift. The key is to stay objective, recognize when the scenario changes, and adapt quickly.
Elliott Wave trading is not about perfection, but about anticipation, risk control, and reacting intelligently as price unfolds.
Don't let gold and market makers manipulate youDon't let gold and market makers manipulate you. Just stick to the levels and go with the price wherever it leads. Any resistance to the price, gold will show its evil side. Geopolitical events are numerous and constantly changing, causing significant price fluctuations exceeding $100 per day.
Today I will not trade between $3337-$3355 and my trading levels will be as follow:
Buy @ 3356 and targets are 3364, 3374, 3382, 3390, 3402, 3410
Sell below 3337 and targets are 3330, 3325, 3317, 3306-3303, 3288, 3280-3278.
Remember, any resistance at these levels will turn into support if reached, and vice versa.
I wish everyone the best.
Today we will focus on the 3281 support
Gold fell below 3300, today we focus on the support of 3281
We are making a profit from the long suggestions given during the day, focusing on the support near 3281. If this position is not broken, the price will fluctuate and may re-stand on 3300 and go above 3320. Therefore, we insist on the long idea today, short around 3287-90, stop loss 3280, take profit at 3310-20, pay attention to the risk.
May 27 gold short-term trading: long near 3288, stop loss 3280, take profit at 3320
Be careful, if it breaks 3280, it is expected to reach 3260, and you can go bearish.
XAUUSD Expecting Bullish movementSupport Zone
Red Box 3340_3345 This is a key demand zone where buyers previously stepped in aggressively causing a sharp upward reversal
Blue Line 3350 A potential short-term support level likely a recent resistance turned support
Resistance Targets Marked in Green
Level 1 3370 First bullish target where partial profit-taking may occur.
Level 2 3380 Second resistance level
Final Target 3392 Strong resistance zone and potential end of the current bullish leg
Gold bullish pattern continuesThe 1-hour gold candlestick chart shows that the Bollinger channel is in an upward opening shape, and the short-term trend is weak. From the analysis of the moving average system, the short-term moving average is in a bullish arrangement, which continues to support the gold price and further confirms the upward trend. However, the current price is close to the overbought area, and we need to be alert to the risk of a pullback. In terms of operation strategy, Weng Fuhao recommends maintaining a low-to-long mentality and focusing on long opportunities after the pullback. The upper resistance level is the 3335-3340 area, and the lower support is the 3280-3270 range. The specific operation suggestion is that if the gold price pulls back to the 3305-3310 area and stabilizes, you can consider arranging a long order, and this range needs to be paid attention to.
Operation strategy:
Gold recommends long positions in the 3305-3310 area, with a stop loss at 3297, and a target of 3320-3330. If it breaks, hold
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youGiven the current market conditions, it’s not advisable to chase the upward trend and buy now, as it may be too late. Instead, wait for the gold price to rise and attempt a short-term short trade when it rebounds to a resistance level. Specifically, consider shorting when the price rebounds to around 3,350. Set a stop-loss at 3,360 to prevent excessive losses from misjudgments, with a target price near 3,320.
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
XAUUSD SELL@3350~3355
SL:3360
TP:3320~3310
Next Week’s Outlook:Recent Market Dynamics: Key Influences on Gold Prices
1.Rising Fed Rate Cut Expectations:Growing market expectations of further Federal Reserve rate cuts have weakened the USD’s appeal, enhancing gold’s attractiveness as a store of value. Lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold, driving inflows into bullion and ETFs.
2.U.S. Fiscal Deficit Concerns:Persistent unresolved U.S. fiscal deficits have fueled investor unease, prompting increased hedging demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Historical data shows a positive correlation between rising fiscal risks and gold’s risk premium.
3.USD Index Rebound:A recent rebound in the DXY index (e.g., from 101.5 to 103.0) has created short-term headwinds for gold, as a stronger dollar typically pressures dollar-denominated commodities. This has introduced technical resistance against the metal’s upward momentum.
4.Conflicting Market Forces:The tug-of-war between dovish monetary policy expectations (bullish for gold) and USD strength (bearish) has created a complex trading environment, with price action increasingly driven by near-term data and geopolitical headlines.
Next Week’s Outlook:
Trading Strategy Recommendations:
- Short Positions: Consider entering on price rebounds to the $3,365–$3,370 resistance zone, with a stop loss above $3,380 and profit targets at $3,320–$3,300.
- Long Positions: Look to initiate on pullbacks to the $3,245–$3,250 support zone, with a stop loss below $3,230 and profit targets at $3,290–$3,310.