xau live trade and educational breakdown Gold hold on to higher ground above $3,330
Despite last week's significant climb, Gold has begun the week on the back foot, with gains restricted around $3,350 per troy ounce. The recent surge in market mood makes it difficult for XAU/USD to regain momentum. Monday is Memorial Day, thus financial markets in the United States will be closed.
XAUUSD trade ideas
XAUUSD:Long trading ideas
On the whole, the easing of the trade end further reduces risk aversion, and the geopolitical situation supports the normalization. It is expected that gold will maintain a volatile pattern in the short term, and bullish in the medium and long term.
Below the strong support near 3288, back to step into the market can be more than a single rebound. (Those who hold long orders can add long positions at this position), the upper short target is 3320-25, then 3360.
So the trading strategy :BUY@3288-94 TP@3320-25
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XAU/USD (Gold) Price Action Update – May 26 , 2025📊XAU/USD (Gold) Price Action Update – May 26 , 2025
🔹Current Price: 3,346.70
🔹Timeframe: 1H
📌Key Demand Zones (Support):
🟢 3336–3340 – Fresh short-term breaker block; a bullish reaction zone
🟢 3322–3327 – Previous consolidation breakout zone, potential re-entry level
🟢 3279–3289 – Strong rally base rally; high probability demand zone
📈Bullish Outlook:
If price continues to hold above the 3336–3340 zone, we could see a push back toward 3,360+ levels. A deep pullback to 3322–3327 or even 3279–3289 would offer strong long opportunities if bullish confirmation appears (e.g., engulfing, CHoCH).
📉Bearish Outlook:
If the 3336–3340 zone fails, price may revisit 3322–3327. Breaking below that could indicate a deeper correction to 3279. Avoid premature entries; wait for bearish confirmation in case of zone breakdowns.
⚠️Smart Money Tip:
Only enter trades after confirmation and BOS/CHoCH signals. Mark liquidity grabs and avoid entries inside consolidation.
GOLD TRADE OUTLOOK - MONDAY GAMEPLANGold showed strong rejection at the upper channel in the Daily TF, tapping into the Rejection Zone near 3398.
📊 Current Scenarios:
Bullish Breakout above PDH/AVL → Expect rejection again at the 3398 zone if momentum weakens.
Bearish Breakdown → Possible Cup & Handle formation, with a bounce or continuation from:
🔹 Recent Broken Resistance
🔹 FVG + Mitigation Zone
🔹 Previous Day’s Low (PDL)
🔹 Gap Fill Opportunity
📌 Bias: Short-term bearish leaning unless a clear breakout confirms above the Rejection Zone.
📉 Mondays tend to show regression/retracement behavior on Gold, so patience is key.
📍Key Levels to Watch:
Rejection Zone: 3398
PDH/AVL: ~3366
Support Areas: 3307, 3279, 3240
🧠 Sentiment:
Price is overextended from value
Weak momentum in current high
Awaiting liquidity sweep or clean SMC structure formation
Update on gold for week A brief update that allows us to know about the next movement of gold vs usd .
we can notice the rejection from the bottom and the spring that we have , if the 3330 fvg is breaked with 4 hour candle with retest under it closing then we can confirm sell with sl above 3350 the tail and 1st tp will be nearly 3270
Gold Weekly AnalysisThe FOMC meeting could make cold rise up dramatically.
The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confrimation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
*******************************************************************
Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
Gold May Undergo Short-Term Correction Amid Technical Resistance📊 Market Overview:
Gold is currently trading around $3,314/oz, slightly down after testing resistance near $3,350. The market faces pressure from a strengthening USD and inflation concerns. Investors are closely monitoring signals from the Federal Reserve regarding future monetary policy.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,350
• Nearest Support: $3,200
• EMA: Current price is near the 50-day EMA, indicating a potential trend reversal if resistance holds.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may decline in the short term if it fails to break above the $3,350 resistance and the USD continues to strengthen.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
SELL XAU/USD at: $3330
o 🎯 TP: $3,310
o ❌ SL: $3,340
BUY XAU/USD at: $3,230
o 🎯 TP: $3,250
o ❌ SL: $3,220
XAUUSD: The LH trendline is the difference maker.Gold is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.327, MACD = 32.010, ADX = 35.582), staying under the high impact LH trendline that has been keeping the medium term trend bearish since the April 22nd High. As long as the price is under it, we are short, aiming for the S1 level (TP = 3,246) and not below it as the 1D MA50 offers long term support. If the price closes a 1D candle over the LH trendline, we will turn long and aim for a +7.39% rise from the bottom (TP = 3,485), which has already taken place twice in the past 30 days.
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Falling wedge on H4As Market is on Falling wedge on H4 .
Whats Current scanario we have ?
At moment 3280 is the structural support
If H4 stays below 3280-3275 structure area then we have again Bearish momentum towards 3250 again then 3230 milestone.
Secondly
If H1&H4 candle closes above 3285-3290 then selling will be postpond and we have buyying towards 3320.
Gold Trading Strategy, May 26-27✅Today, gold reached a high of 3356, and then fell under pressure. During the European session, the market's risk aversion cooled down, and the price of gold continued to fluctuate and fall. After the gap-down opening, the price of gold failed to effectively recover the lost ground, showing signs of continued correction. The US session was closed early due to the holiday, and the volatility may be limited, but the overall weak structure has not changed.
✅From the 4-hour chart, gold was blocked and fell near the upper track of the Bollinger Band, and the price fell to the lowest near the middle track of the Bollinger Band (3323), which was also the starting point of the rise last Friday, and has a certain support significance;
In terms of short-term moving averages, MA5 and MA10 formed a dead cross, indicating that short-term shorts are dominant; the long-term moving average runs above the medium-term moving average, and the overall trend is flat, indicating that the market tends to fluctuate and correct. The RSI indicator fell from the overbought area and is currently running near the neutral area, indicating that there is still room for downward movement.
✅From the 1-hour chart, gold has twice surged to 3365 in the short term and then fell back under pressure, forming an obvious double-top pressure; the current rebound pressure is at 3342, corresponding to the downward trend line pressure; if the 3320 support is lost, the further downward target may point to the 3300 integer mark.
🔴Upper resistance: 3342-3350 - short-term rebound suppression zone, which can be used as a reference for short orders;
🟢Lower support: 3300-3305 - previous key support, pay attention to whether it can effectively stop the decline.
✅Intraday trading strategy:
🔰If the rebound reaches 3342-3350 area and encounters resistance, you can arrange short orders with a light position and set the stop loss above 3356;
🔰If it breaks below the 3320 support, the short momentum may be further strengthened and you can follow the trend;
🔰If it falls to 3300 area without breaking and a stop decline signal appears, you can try to go long with a light position
We've observed the formation of an Order Block(OB)Gold Market Daily Timeframe Analysis
The gold market, on the daily timeframe, is currently exhibiting price action consistent with an IRL (Internal Range Liquidity) to ERL (External Range Liquidity) model. Price has swept the IRL and then moved upward by tapping into a Fair Value Gap (FVG). This price action suggests a smart money liquidity grab followed by a reaction to an imbalance.
Subsequently, the market formed another FVG and executed a tap once more after taking out the initial target structure (TS), continuing its bullish move. Recently, we’ve observed the formation of an Order Block (OB), indicating a potential area where institutional orders may reside.
It’s expected that price might return to this OB, and if a Market Structure Shift (MSS) is confirmed on lower timeframes, there could be a strong bullish continuation. In such a case, we may witness the market reaching towards the $3430 level in the coming days.
It’s essential to monitor how the market reacts to these key zones especially the OB and the surrounding liquidity structures. Such movements could provide confirmation or invalidation of the projected move.
As always, this is a personal market perspective based on price action and liquidity concepts. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). This is not financial advice.
And by the way what are your thoughts on this analysis? Does it align with your outlook?
Gold rose as expectedFrom a technical perspective, the daily line closed negative yesterday. After a series of positive lines, it generally means correction. After the negative line, it continues to rise. The closing line on Thursday is still above the middle track. The 5-day moving average crosses the 10-day moving average and adheres to the middle track at 3285. The 10-day moving average moves up to around 3253. The next wave of rise may go to the daily Bollinger upper track suppression point near 3400, so there is still a good space for the rise. In the 4-hour level, gold broke through the upper track yesterday and then stepped back, confirming the middle track support. At present, the Bollinger band is open, the moving average is still in a long position, and the cyclicality is still strong. The intraday support point is also the key point of strength and weakness at 3280. The short-term support is at the previous high of 3293. There are many intraday support levels for declines, and the upper 3315-3340-3365-3380-3400 is gradually looking up.
BEST XAUUSD M3 BUY AND SELL SETUP FOR TODAY 📊✨ Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook – 30-Min Chart ✨📉
Price is currently trading within a rising channel after a bounce from the marked reversal zone 💜, suggesting a short-term bullish trend 📈. However, the chart outlines two key scenarios: if price breaks out upward, we may see a move towards the 3,366 resistance zone 🔼. Conversely, if the channel fails and price breaks downward, a retest of the reversal zone could trigger a deeper bearish move 📉, potentially targeting the 3,300 area or lower. Traders should watch for confirmation at key levels and react accordingly — not predict impulsively. 🧠⚖️📍
Gold hits around 3280, please go long in the short term
📌 Driving Events
Gold prices fell more than 0.50% on Monday as demand for safe-haven assets decreased after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a postponement of tariffs on the European Union. Trading activity remained subdued as the U.S. and UK markets were closed for public holidays. As of this writing, the gold/dollar exchange rate was around $3,294. Trump issued a statement on Sunday, postponing the date of the 50% tariff on EU goods to July 9, and market sentiment improved. As a result, gold prices came under pressure and fell after a sharp rise of 4.86% last week (the strongest weekly performance since early April)
📊Commentary Analysis
Focus on the support level of 3285/80. If this area is touched for the first time, go long
💰Strategy Package
🔥Selling area: 3345-3350 SL 3355
TP1: $3333
TP2: $3325
TP3: $3308
🔥Buying area: $3280-$3285 SL $3275
TP1: $3312
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3345
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot size that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
XAU / USD 30 Minute ChartHello traders. I see from my last post that the gap I marked on the chart was filled, and I have currently marked my area of interest for possible scalp buy / sell trade set ups. Personally I am
not trading today. Markets here in the US are closed due to the holiday. Be well and trade the trend. Big G get a shout out. Happy Monday.
XAUUSD[GOLD]: Another Possible Swing Sell Happening! Swing MoveGold rejected twice as we had described in our last two analyses on Gold. We remain heavily bearish on Gold and expect a swift bearish move within the next week or following week. We are eyeing two targets. Please use this analysis accordingly and avoid overtrading. This is not a confirmation, and do not use the marked arrow as an entry or exit point. The marked red area drawn there represents a potential reversal zone from which price may reverse.
As always, this analysis does not guarantee that price will move as described in the chart. Please use your own knowledge and trading plan while trading Gold. Good luck and trade safely.
Want to support us? Do the following ❤️
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Much love ❤️
Team Setupsfx_
Smells Like a Trend ReversalWeekly Recap – Gold Market
Monday, May 12, 2025
The week began with a sharp GAP during the Asian session (starting around 1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York on Sunday) :
Gold dropped abruptly by $60, from $3,325 to $3,266.
The catalyst was a temporary easing of trade tensions between the U.S. and China, following weekend negotiations that led to a 90-day tariff pause.
During the European session (starting at 8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York) , the downtrend continued, pushing the price further down to $3,207.
Tuesday–Wednesday, May 13–14
Between these two sessions, the price consolidated within a narrow range of $3,265 to $3,202 (63 $ range).
Despite better-than-expected U.S. inflation data, there was no significant breakout—the market remained indecisive.
Wednesday, May 14 – European Session
The price continued its descent, falling from $3,243 to $3,168—a $75 drop—indicating persistent downward pressure despite macroeconomic stability.
Thursday, May 15
The Asian session (1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York) began quietly, with a range between $3,168 and $3,192.
Then a sharp drop to $3,123 followed (down $71), triggered by new statements from President Trump, who announced potential trade deals with India, Japan, and South Korea.
In the European session (8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York) , a strong reversal occurred.
After failed peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine in Istanbul, and due to growing geopolitical uncertainty plus a weakening dollar, gold surged by $132, from $3,120 to $3,252.
Friday, May 16
The Asian session opened slightly bearish, with gold dipping from $3,252 to $3,218.
However, bullish momentum returned during the European and U.S. sessions, continuing Thursday’s upward trend and adding $51 by day’s end.
📰 Geopolitical News Landscape
India / Pakistan
Since the Kashmir terror attack on May 9, 2025, tensions have escalated again.
Cross-border airstrikes and border closures have resumed. A fragile ceasefire, brokered by the U.S., is under pressure.
Disputes over water rights further strain relations.
➡️ Short-term outlook: high tension remains.
Gaza Conflict
On May 9, Israel launched Operation Gideon’s Chariot against Hamas, aiming to dismantle the group and rescue hostages.
Over 300 deaths have been reported. A leaked plan suggests Gaza will be divided into three heavily controlled zones.
The humanitarian situation is catastrophic (over 53,000 deaths since 2023).
Peace talks are underway in Doha, but the situation remains dire.
➡️ No relief in sight.
Russia / Ukraine
Direct talks were held in Istanbul for the first time in three years.
While a prisoner exchange (1,000 each side) took place, no substantial progress was achieved.
Russia demands Ukrainian troop withdrawals from contested areas—Kyiv refuses.
Simultaneously, Russian attacks intensified, including drone strikes on Sumy.
➡️ A ceasefire remains unlikely in the near term.
U.S.–China Trade War
A 90-day tariff pause was announced the weekend before May 12:
U.S. tariffs cut from 145% to 30%
Chinese tariffs reduced from 125% to 10%
Markets reacted positively at first—especially in retail and shipping sectors.
➡️ However, unresolved structural issues (e.g., tech transfers, export controls) keep tensions fragile.
No comprehensive deal is in sight.
⚖️ Trump vs. Powell
Tensions escalate between President Trump and Fed Chair Jerome Powell:
- Trump demands aggressive rate cuts
- Powell warns of inflation risks
- The Fed holds the interest rate steady at 4.25–4.5%
- A 10% staff reduction is planned at the Fed for “efficiency”
➡️ The growing political interference is increasing market instability.
📉 U.S. Inflation – April 2025
The official inflation rate dropped to 2.3%, the lowest since February 2021.
However, consumer inflation expectations soared to 7.3%, the highest since 1981.
The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 50.8—a historic low.
➡️ A clear gap between perception and data is emerging.
📊 Technical Analysis – Short-Term
Since May 12, an open GAP exists between $3,289 and $3,325 (36 $ range)
A V-shaped reversal formed from the low on May 15 ($3,120) to the Friday close ($3,204)
Symmetrical triangle formation suggests a convergence around $3,284 (possible by Tuesday)
➡️ Current trading range: $3,172 to $3,285 (113 $ range)
💡 Outlook for Monday, May 19
Time-Zone-Based Expectations:
Asia session (starting 1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York Sunday):
👉 Potential retest of $3,154
Europe session (8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York):
👉 Bullish outlook toward $3,234
U.S. session (2:30 PM London / 9:30 AM New York):
👉 Possible continuation of bullish move — open-ended potential
📌 Trade Setup – Monday 8:00 AM (London) / 3:00 AM (New York)
If price is below $3,154 → I stay flat and wait for clear signals
If price is above $3,172 → I consider a long position, unless conflicting news emerges
🎯 Weekly Target
My goal for the week is $3,348, provided the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) holds near the 100-point level.
🧠 Conclusion
I am increasingly convinced that news-driven trading delivers the best results—if one can properly interpret the signals.
🔢 Fibonacci Levels
1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,500 (April 22)
Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5
1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,435 (May 6)
Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5
1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,252 (May 16)
Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊