Bullish Breakout Anticipation on Gold (XAU/USD)Bullish Breakout Anticipation on Gold (XAU/USD)
On the 30-minute chart, Gold is forming a classic falling wedge pattern, typically seen as a bullish reversal setup. We've just touched the lower support trendline, and early breakout signs are emerging.
📍 Entry: 3,309.500
🎯 Target: 3,335.500
🛑 Stop Loss: 3,299.000
The risk-to-reward ratio looks favorable, and a breakout above the wedge resistance could push price towards the 3,335+ region. Let’s watch for confirmation and volume on breakout.
👇 Drop your thoughts below and let’s discuss!
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XAUUSD trade ideas
GOLD: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
GOLD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GOLD
Entry - 3335.9
Stop - 3338.8
Take - 3330.1
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Gold Trade Plan 10/07/2025Dear Traders,
Technical Analysis of XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) – July 10, 2025
Price has recently broken out of a falling channel (black lines) and is now testing a key resistance zone (marked in blue):
Resistance Zone: 3329 to 3334 – price is reacting to this area, and it might reverse downward.
Support Zone: 3306 – if price declines, this is a potential target.
📉 Possible Scenario:
If price gets rejected from 3329–3334, it may head back down toward the 3306 support zone.
If price breaks and holds above 3334, the bullish trend could continue.
📊 The RSI is around 54, in neutral territory. No major divergence is seen, but the move out of oversold territory suggests growing buyer strength.
Regards,
Alireza!
Gold reverses on new Bull legTechnical analysis: Gold has made an important Bullish step towards full scale Hourly 4 chart’s reversal as it almost recovered the #3,330.80 pressure point. That makes Hourly 4 chart practically Neutral but leaning on the Bullish side, however well Supported within #3,300’s belt now, which has held on multiple occasions so far. As mentioned throughout my remarks, Hourly 4 chart is still Neutral as said, but invalidated Descending Channel has expanded giving me Buying signs that Gold may test #3,352.80 psychological benchmark on current Fundamental mix (if #3,337.80 gets invalidated, Gold can kick-start aggressive upswing towards #3,345.80 zone / wall of Resistance lines first and #3,352.80 benchmark in extension. Gold was mainly correlated with DX during first Months of the Year as there was no shift which lifts the probability that July will also be DX Month is (#91.99%) since Bond Yields were on downtrend, taking strong hammering and broke all Support zones, and Gold was also on Short-term decline which confirms my Gold - DX correlation on #Q1 opening, so look for pointers there. Remember, when you are unsure of the Medium-term direction on Gold always look for clues on DX and Trade accordingly. Only when DX Trades on Weekly chart’s Higher High’s Lower zone, I will be able to note with a Higher degree of certainty that the Bearish reversal on Gold is sustainable.
My position: I was Selling Gold until #3,282.80 all the way and was aware that if #3,277.80 - #3,282.80 gets invalidated, Gold will continue with the decline, and reversal there will deliver Bullish leg. I have engaged #3,284.80 Buying order and closed near #3,300.80 benchmark. Then re-Sold aggressively from #3,304.80 towards #3,298.80. Bought #3,307.80 and kept my order all the way towards #3,315.80. Current session I will re-Buy Gold with Scalp orders aggressively, do not Sell today / my practical suggestion.
GOLD Intraday Chart Update For 10 July 25Hello Traders,
as you can see that GOLD is stuck in tight range between 3300-3330 all eyes on clear breakout for now
further only market will break clearly 3345 level then we will consider market will move further advance below 3300 GOLD will move towards 3250
Scalping Range 3300 - 3330 for the short time period
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
GOLD Is Very Bearish! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 3,320.51.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 3,298.54 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Waiting for the Perfect Entry: XAUUSD Market Structure Breakdown🔍 Taking a look at XAUUSD today: it’s clearly in a downtrend 📉 on the 4H chart, with consecutive lower highs and lower lows 🔽.
📌 My bias is bearish, and I’m patiently waiting for price action to set up for an entry 🎯.
If we get a break of market structure 🧱, followed by a retest and failure of the current range high 🚫, that could present an opportunity 👀 — not financial advice ⚠️.
Gold Loses Its Shine – Short-Term Sentiment Turns BearishHello everyone, great to see you again for today’s market chat!
The factors that once made gold appealing — inflation fears, economic uncertainty, and the flight to safety — are gradually fading. As confidence grows that the Fed will maintain high interest rates for an extended period, capital is steadily moving away from gold and into more stable, yield-generating assets.
Across the financial community, there’s growing consensus: gold is no longer a top investment priority. The U.S. dollar is gaining strength, Treasury yields are rising, and gold’s support structure is weakening. While investors await the Fed’s next move, many are staying on the sidelines — or even leaning toward a bearish outlook. Notably, the rebound in the DXY is also playing a key role in adding pressure.
Gold is currently lacking momentum, lacking support, and most of all — lacking conviction. At this stage, the trend is no longer a debate, but a widely accepted short-term reality.
What about you — where do you think gold is headed next?
Precision Over Emotion – XAUUSD 1H Supply Zone📉 Trade Breakdown:
Caught the first entry off a 1H supply zone which is on my previous post “Bait. Trigger. Collapse!” but price came back up, tagged my entry, and stopped me out at breakeven. No overreacting. No revenge. Just stayed patient and focused.
Now price is pushing back into a new 1H supply zone (📍3324–3330) with clean structure and confluences — setting up for a high-probability second shot at the play.
⸻
🔍 Key Confluences:
✅ Clean 1H Supply Zone: 3324–3330
✅ Still in bearish market structure — no bullish break
✅ Prior drop was impulsive, showing institutional rejection
✅ Current price action is slow and corrective on the pullback
✅ Zone aligns with previous imbalance and supply block = 🔥 smart money interest
⸻
🎯 Trade Setup:
Looking for confirmation entry inside the 3324–3330 zone.
Avoiding early entries — focused on sniper execution only.
⸻
📌 Execution Plan:
1. Wait for price to enter 3324–3330
→ No entry until price fully taps the zone
→ Be patient, no front-running
2. Watch for confirmation on the 5m–15m timeframe
→ Bearish engulfing
→ Long wick rejection
→ Break of structure or internal shift
3. Enter with tight stop above 3330
→ SL: ~5–8 pips above 3330 (depending on rejection)
→ TP1: 3305
→ TP2: 3284
→ TP3: Let runner breathe to 3270s if momentum is strong
4. Manage risk dynamically
→ Break even after 1:1
→ Trail below 15m highs once TP1 hits
→ No overexposure — this is a sniper play, not a lottery ticket
⸻
🧠 Mindset:
I already got stopped once — but I don’t fold.
Every setup either pays or teaches.
I don’t chase. I wait for price to earn my entry.
This time it’s cleaner. This time it’s patient.
And this time, it’s calculated.
“Trade Simple. Live Lavish.”
Technical analysis guide for gold in the US market!Technical aspects:
The gold daily chart shows an obvious shock consolidation structure, and is currently running between the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger Bands, with an overall weak trend. Since hitting a high of $3499.83, the market has fallen into a sideways consolidation range, with top resistance concentrated in the $3400-3450 range and bottom support at $3250. The recent price retracement to around 3250 failed to effectively break below, forming an important support level.
The MACD indicator crossover continues, the green column is enlarged, the double lines are downward, and the momentum is weak. The RSI indicator runs around 44, and does not show oversold or rebound signals. The price is still in a weak consolidation stage. Analysts believe that if it falls below the 3250 line, it may open up further correction space, and pay attention to the 3170 area support; on the upside, if it can effectively stand above 3400, it is expected to retest the 3450 line high.
Gold Expecting bullish Movement Price is currently showing strong momentum with visible rejections and key zone reactions. According to my analysis
First Resistance Zone: 3382.70
Second Resistance Zone: 3360.50
Support Zone: Around 3330.50
Yellow Arrow: Indicates possible early rejection and a move toward the support zone
Blue Arrow: Suggests price may bounce back from the 3330.50 support and retest upper zones
As long as price remains below the 3360.50 resistance zone, my bias remains bearish However, if price breaks above this level with strong volume, we may see bullish continuation
Data is about to be released. Where will gold go?Yesterday, the market expected a trade agreement between the United States and its trading partners, which boosted risk sentiment, and the strengthening of the US dollar and the rise in US bond yields further added pressure on gold prices. Gold fell 1% during the day and once lost the $3,300 mark during the session.
After gold bottomed out and stabilized at 3,320 on Monday, it fell sharply above 3,320 again on Tuesday and has now completely fallen below 3,320. The position of 3,320 is very important. In the 3,320-50 range, it chose to break down at 3,320 again.
Today, the Federal Open Market Committee of the United States will release the minutes of the June monetary policy meeting. Although Federal Reserve Chairman Powell remained neutral on the June interest rate decision, many Federal Reserve officials released dovish signals. Federal Reserve Board member Bowerman has turned to support the possibility of a rate cut in July.
From a technical point of view, the market has penetrated into the area around the lower support of 3,275-3,295.
The rhythm of the entire market is still a process of oscillating decline. From the perspective of pressure position, the daily MA5 average line has not fallen below, and may fall again to around 3270. Once the market falls too fast and approaches this position, there is a high probability that there will be a rebound demand.
Operation strategy:
Buy near 3375, stop loss at 3365, profit range 3315-3320.
Continue to hold position after breakthrough.
XAUUSD 15Min – Bullish Reaction from Demand Zone | SMC AnalysisSmart Money Concept (SMC) Analysis
Price has tapped into a clearly defined 4H Demand Zone (highlighted in green) with multiple rejections. Prior liquidity was swept below the 3288 region, trapping early sellers and grabbing institutional interest. This is a classic liquidity grab + demand zone confluence.
🔹 Entry: 3290 – Inside Demand Zone
🔹 SL: 3282 – Below Liquidity Sweep
🔹 TP: 3320 – Targeting Last Broken Structure (Break of Structure)
🧠 Smart Money Clues:
Liquidity grab under the lows ✅
Clean rejection wick ✅
BOS (Break of Structure) above needed for confirmation
Anticipating move back to 3320.57 (blue line) – previous SMC mitigation level
🟢 If price breaks above 3300 with strong volume, more upside is likely.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoney #SMC #DemandZone #LiquidityGrab #TradingView #ForexSignals
7/9: Failure to Break Above 3321 May Lead to a Drop Toward 3220Good morning, everyone!
Yesterday, gold tested support and attempted a rebound but failed to break through resistance, followed by a second leg down that broke the support zone, invalidating the potential inverse head-and-shoulders pattern and resulting in a drop below the 3300 level.
On the daily (1D) chart, price has now broken below the MA60, signaling a further confirmation of the bearish structure.
However, due to the sharp drop, a double bottom or multi-bottom structure is forming on the 30-minute chart, which may be building momentum for a potential test of the 3321 resistance zone.
📌 Key focus areas:
If 3321 is broken and held, there is room for a short-term rebound to extend;
If 3321 holds as resistance, the current rebound is likely a short-selling opportunity.
Technically speaking, without the support of bullish news, if gold fails to reclaim and sustain above 3321, there is a strong chance of a further move lower—potentially down to 3220, where the weekly MA20 is located. A deeper decline could even test the 3200–3168 support zone.
📉 Therefore, the primary trading bias remains bearish, with sell-on-rebound as the preferred strategy until a stronger bullish signal emerges. Monitor the 3321 zone closely for direction confirmation.
Gold Returns to the $3,300 per Ounce ZoneOver the past two trading sessions, gold has depreciated more than 1.5%, as a consistent bearish bias begins to emerge in price action. For now, selling pressure has remained steady, supported by a temporary decline in global economic uncertainty and a recent rebound in U.S. dollar strength, factors that have led gold’s upward momentum to steadily weaken.
Lateral Range Remains Intact
Recent price action in gold has defined a well-established sideways channel, with resistance near $3,400 and support around $3,200 per ounce. So far, price movement has been insufficient to break out of this range, making it the most relevant technical structure to monitor in the short term. As long as price remains within these boundaries, neutrality may continue to dominate.
Technical Indicators
MACD: The MACD indicator continues to oscillate near the neutral zero line, signaling that momentum from moving averages remains balanced. If this pattern persists, the sideways range could extend further.
RSI: A similar pattern is unfolding with the RSI, which is hovering around the 50 level, indicating a constant balance between buying and selling pressure. Sustained moves at this level could reinforce short-term price neutrality.
Key Levels to Watch:
$3,400 per ounce: This historical high acts as the most significant resistance in the short term. A breakout above this level could trigger a stronger bullish bias and revive the upward trend stalled in recent weeks.
$3,300 per ounce: The current level aligns with the 50-period simple moving average. Price movement around this zone could extend market neutrality.
$3,200 per ounce: A key support level and recent low. A retest of this area could trigger a more decisive bearish bias in the short term.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Following Price Flow to the Next TargetPrice swept liquidity below the previous day’s low and then powered back up, breaking structure to the upside. Now it’s sitting above the 50 EMA, moving through fair value gaps left by the rally. I’m watching for a possible pullback into the FVG zone near the EMA. If that level holds, price could look to reach for the liquidity above around 3,365.
But here’s what matters most. Even if this ends up being a losing trade, I’d rather take that loss knowing I stuck to my plan than catch a random win by breaking my rules. Because long-term, winning trades that come from impulse actually set you up for future damage. They teach bad habits.
Losses that happen inside your system? Those are simply the cost of doing business. They protect your discipline and keep your edge intact. Over time, that’s exactly what allows you to stay in the game and grow your account.
Gold Breakout + Global News AlertGold has just broken out of a falling channel, pushing up to the 3337 level — a clear bullish move! ✅
But this isn't just technical... the news is backing it too 🔥
📢 The US has imposed a 30% tariff on South Africa and 25% on Malaysia and Kazakhstan 🇺🇸
Since South Africa is one of the world’s biggest gold producers, these tariffs could tighten global supply.
➡️ That means: Gold prices may rise further due to increased demand and reduced supply.
🔍 Technical View:
Resistance levels to watch: 3385 and 3437
Break above these could take gold towards 3540+
📊 This is a perfect example of how Technical + Fundamental = Powerful setup
Trade smart. Don’t just follow price — follow the reason behind it too! 💹
#GoldBreakout #MarketUpdate #SmartTrading #GoldNews #TariffImpact #RajasTrading
Weekly range to be continued, gold short and long this weekLast week, gold opened high at 3280.9 at the beginning of the week and then fell back. The weekly low reached 3245.8, and then the market was strongly pulled up by the support of this round of trend line and fundamentals. On Thursday morning, the weekly high touched 3366, and then the market fell strongly under the strong influence of non-agricultural data. On Friday, the market consolidated in the range due to the holiday, and the weekly line finally closed at 3337.2. The weekly line closed with a medium-sized positive line with equal upper and lower shadows. After ending in this pattern, today's market continued to move in the range. In terms of points, the stop loss was still at 3346 after the short position at 3342 last Friday. Today, it first rose to 3342 and the short stop loss was still 3346. The target below is 3330 and 3322. If it falls below, the support of 3310 and 3300-3292 will be targeted.