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XAUUSD trade ideas

gold Indicator Actual Forecast Previous Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.3% 0.4% — Non-Farm Employment Change 147K 111K 139K Unemployment Rate 4.1% 4.3% 4.2% Unemployment Claims 233K 240K 236K Interpretation and Implications Average Hourly Earnings m/m: Rose by 0.3%, slightly below the forecast of 0.4%. This suggests wage growth is steady but not accelerating, which may ease some inflation concerns. Non-Farm Employment Change: The US economy added 147,000 jobs, beating both the forecast (111K) and the previous month (139K). This indicates continued, though moderate, labor market expansion. Unemployment Rate: Fell to 4.1%, better than the expected 4.3% and down from 4.2% previously. This points to a modest improvement in labor market conditions. Unemployment Claims: Dropped to 233,000, lower than both the forecast (240K) and last month (236K). This signals fewer new layoffs and continued resilience in the job market. Market Impact Dollar (USD): The combination of stronger-than-expected job growth and a lower unemployment rate is generally supportive for the US dollar, as it suggests the labor market remains robust. However, slightly softer wage growth may temper expectations for aggressive Fed tightening going forward. Federal Reserve Outlook: These figures reinforce the Fed’s “data-dependent” stance. Solid job creation and falling unemployment reduce urgency for immediate rate cuts, but the lack of wage acceleration may allow the Fed to maintain a cautious approach. In summary: The US labor market in July 2025 shows moderate strength, with job gains and a falling unemployment rate, while wage growth remains steady but not excessive. This mix supports a stable outlook for the dollar and gives the Fed flexibility in its upcoming policy decisions.
EASYMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Waiting for the Perfect Entry: XAUUSD Market Structure Breakdown🔍 Taking a look at XAUUSD today: it’s clearly in a downtrend 📉 on the 4H chart, with consecutive lower highs and lower lows 🔽. 📌 My bias is bearish, and I’m patiently waiting for price action to set up for an entry 🎯. If we get a break of market structure 🧱, followed by a retest and failure of the current range high 🚫, that could present an opportunity 👀 — not financial advice ⚠️.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by fxtraderanthony
Gold Loses Its Shine – Short-Term Sentiment Turns BearishHello everyone, great to see you again for today’s market chat! The factors that once made gold appealing — inflation fears, economic uncertainty, and the flight to safety — are gradually fading. As confidence grows that the Fed will maintain high interest rates for an extended period, capital is steadily moving away from gold and into more stable, yield-generating assets. Across the financial community, there’s growing consensus: gold is no longer a top investment priority. The U.S. dollar is gaining strength, Treasury yields are rising, and gold’s support structure is weakening. While investors await the Fed’s next move, many are staying on the sidelines — or even leaning toward a bearish outlook. Notably, the rebound in the DXY is also playing a key role in adding pressure. Gold is currently lacking momentum, lacking support, and most of all — lacking conviction. At this stage, the trend is no longer a debate, but a widely accepted short-term reality. What about you — where do you think gold is headed next?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Kevinn_Nguyen
Precision Over Emotion – XAUUSD 1H Supply Zone📉 Trade Breakdown: Caught the first entry off a 1H supply zone which is on my previous post “Bait. Trigger. Collapse!” but price came back up, tagged my entry, and stopped me out at breakeven. No overreacting. No revenge. Just stayed patient and focused. Now price is pushing back into a new 1H supply zone (📍3324–3330) with clean structure and confluences — setting up for a high-probability second shot at the play. ⸻ 🔍 Key Confluences: ✅ Clean 1H Supply Zone: 3324–3330 ✅ Still in bearish market structure — no bullish break ✅ Prior drop was impulsive, showing institutional rejection ✅ Current price action is slow and corrective on the pullback ✅ Zone aligns with previous imbalance and supply block = 🔥 smart money interest ⸻ 🎯 Trade Setup: Looking for confirmation entry inside the 3324–3330 zone. Avoiding early entries — focused on sniper execution only. ⸻ 📌 Execution Plan: 1. Wait for price to enter 3324–3330 → No entry until price fully taps the zone → Be patient, no front-running 2. Watch for confirmation on the 5m–15m timeframe → Bearish engulfing → Long wick rejection → Break of structure or internal shift 3. Enter with tight stop above 3330 → SL: ~5–8 pips above 3330 (depending on rejection) → TP1: 3305 → TP2: 3284 → TP3: Let runner breathe to 3270s if momentum is strong 4. Manage risk dynamically → Break even after 1:1 → Trail below 15m highs once TP1 hits → No overexposure — this is a sniper play, not a lottery ticket ⸻ 🧠 Mindset: I already got stopped once — but I don’t fold. Every setup either pays or teaches. I don’t chase. I wait for price to earn my entry. This time it’s cleaner. This time it’s patient. And this time, it’s calculated. “Trade Simple. Live Lavish.”
FX:XAUUSDShort
by QuilLavish
Technical analysis guide for gold in the US market!Technical aspects: The gold daily chart shows an obvious shock consolidation structure, and is currently running between the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger Bands, with an overall weak trend. Since hitting a high of $3499.83, the market has fallen into a sideways consolidation range, with top resistance concentrated in the $3400-3450 range and bottom support at $3250. The recent price retracement to around 3250 failed to effectively break below, forming an important support level. The MACD indicator crossover continues, the green column is enlarged, the double lines are downward, and the momentum is weak. The RSI indicator runs around 44, and does not show oversold or rebound signals. The price is still in a weak consolidation stage. Analysts believe that if it falls below the 3250 line, it may open up further correction space, and pay attention to the 3170 area support; on the upside, if it can effectively stand above 3400, it is expected to retest the 3450 line high.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
Gold Expecting bullish Movement Price is currently showing strong momentum with visible rejections and key zone reactions. According to my analysis First Resistance Zone: 3382.70 Second Resistance Zone: 3360.50 Support Zone: Around 3330.50 Yellow Arrow: Indicates possible early rejection and a move toward the support zone Blue Arrow: Suggests price may bounce back from the 3330.50 support and retest upper zones As long as price remains below the 3360.50 resistance zone, my bias remains bearish However, if price breaks above this level with strong volume, we may see bullish continuation
TVC:GOLDLong
by mcfkyz
2
Data is about to be released. Where will gold go?Yesterday, the market expected a trade agreement between the United States and its trading partners, which boosted risk sentiment, and the strengthening of the US dollar and the rise in US bond yields further added pressure on gold prices. Gold fell 1% during the day and once lost the $3,300 mark during the session. After gold bottomed out and stabilized at 3,320 on Monday, it fell sharply above 3,320 again on Tuesday and has now completely fallen below 3,320. The position of 3,320 is very important. In the 3,320-50 range, it chose to break down at 3,320 again. Today, the Federal Open Market Committee of the United States will release the minutes of the June monetary policy meeting. Although Federal Reserve Chairman Powell remained neutral on the June interest rate decision, many Federal Reserve officials released dovish signals. Federal Reserve Board member Bowerman has turned to support the possibility of a rate cut in July. From a technical point of view, the market has penetrated into the area around the lower support of 3,275-3,295. The rhythm of the entire market is still a process of oscillating decline. From the perspective of pressure position, the daily MA5 average line has not fallen below, and may fall again to around 3270. Once the market falls too fast and approaches this position, there is a high probability that there will be a rebound demand. Operation strategy: Buy near 3375, stop loss at 3365, profit range 3315-3320. Continue to hold position after breakthrough.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
XAUUSD 15Min – Bullish Reaction from Demand Zone | SMC AnalysisSmart Money Concept (SMC) Analysis Price has tapped into a clearly defined 4H Demand Zone (highlighted in green) with multiple rejections. Prior liquidity was swept below the 3288 region, trapping early sellers and grabbing institutional interest. This is a classic liquidity grab + demand zone confluence. 🔹 Entry: 3290 – Inside Demand Zone 🔹 SL: 3282 – Below Liquidity Sweep 🔹 TP: 3320 – Targeting Last Broken Structure (Break of Structure) 🧠 Smart Money Clues: Liquidity grab under the lows ✅ Clean rejection wick ✅ BOS (Break of Structure) above needed for confirmation Anticipating move back to 3320.57 (blue line) – previous SMC mitigation level 🟢 If price breaks above 3300 with strong volume, more upside is likely. #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoney #SMC #DemandZone #LiquidityGrab #TradingView #ForexSignals
FX:XAUUSDLong
by FrankFx14
7/9: Failure to Break Above 3321 May Lead to a Drop Toward 3220Good morning, everyone! Yesterday, gold tested support and attempted a rebound but failed to break through resistance, followed by a second leg down that broke the support zone, invalidating the potential inverse head-and-shoulders pattern and resulting in a drop below the 3300 level. On the daily (1D) chart, price has now broken below the MA60, signaling a further confirmation of the bearish structure. However, due to the sharp drop, a double bottom or multi-bottom structure is forming on the 30-minute chart, which may be building momentum for a potential test of the 3321 resistance zone. 📌 Key focus areas: If 3321 is broken and held, there is room for a short-term rebound to extend; If 3321 holds as resistance, the current rebound is likely a short-selling opportunity. Technically speaking, without the support of bullish news, if gold fails to reclaim and sustain above 3321, there is a strong chance of a further move lower—potentially down to 3220, where the weekly MA20 is located. A deeper decline could even test the 3200–3168 support zone. 📉 Therefore, the primary trading bias remains bearish, with sell-on-rebound as the preferred strategy until a stronger bullish signal emerges. Monitor the 3321 zone closely for direction confirmation.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Gold Returns to the $3,300 per Ounce ZoneOver the past two trading sessions, gold has depreciated more than 1.5%, as a consistent bearish bias begins to emerge in price action. For now, selling pressure has remained steady, supported by a temporary decline in global economic uncertainty and a recent rebound in U.S. dollar strength, factors that have led gold’s upward momentum to steadily weaken. Lateral Range Remains Intact Recent price action in gold has defined a well-established sideways channel, with resistance near $3,400 and support around $3,200 per ounce. So far, price movement has been insufficient to break out of this range, making it the most relevant technical structure to monitor in the short term. As long as price remains within these boundaries, neutrality may continue to dominate. Technical Indicators MACD: The MACD indicator continues to oscillate near the neutral zero line, signaling that momentum from moving averages remains balanced. If this pattern persists, the sideways range could extend further. RSI: A similar pattern is unfolding with the RSI, which is hovering around the 50 level, indicating a constant balance between buying and selling pressure. Sustained moves at this level could reinforce short-term price neutrality. Key Levels to Watch: $3,400 per ounce: This historical high acts as the most significant resistance in the short term. A breakout above this level could trigger a stronger bullish bias and revive the upward trend stalled in recent weeks. $3,300 per ounce: The current level aligns with the 50-period simple moving average. Price movement around this zone could extend market neutrality. $3,200 per ounce: A key support level and recent low. A retest of this area could trigger a more decisive bearish bias in the short term. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
Following Price Flow to the Next TargetPrice swept liquidity below the previous day’s low and then powered back up, breaking structure to the upside. Now it’s sitting above the 50 EMA, moving through fair value gaps left by the rally. I’m watching for a possible pullback into the FVG zone near the EMA. If that level holds, price could look to reach for the liquidity above around 3,365. But here’s what matters most. Even if this ends up being a losing trade, I’d rather take that loss knowing I stuck to my plan than catch a random win by breaking my rules. Because long-term, winning trades that come from impulse actually set you up for future damage. They teach bad habits. Losses that happen inside your system? Those are simply the cost of doing business. They protect your discipline and keep your edge intact. Over time, that’s exactly what allows you to stay in the game and grow your account.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by J4mesWick
Gold Breakout + Global News AlertGold has just broken out of a falling channel, pushing up to the 3337 level — a clear bullish move! ✅ But this isn't just technical... the news is backing it too 🔥 📢 The US has imposed a 30% tariff on South Africa and 25% on Malaysia and Kazakhstan 🇺🇸 Since South Africa is one of the world’s biggest gold producers, these tariffs could tighten global supply. ➡️ That means: Gold prices may rise further due to increased demand and reduced supply. 🔍 Technical View: Resistance levels to watch: 3385 and 3437 Break above these could take gold towards 3540+ 📊 This is a perfect example of how Technical + Fundamental = Powerful setup Trade smart. Don’t just follow price — follow the reason behind it too! 💹 #GoldBreakout #MarketUpdate #SmartTrading #GoldNews #TariffImpact #RajasTrading
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by RajaSaien
Weekly range to be continued, gold short and long this weekLast week, gold opened high at 3280.9 at the beginning of the week and then fell back. The weekly low reached 3245.8, and then the market was strongly pulled up by the support of this round of trend line and fundamentals. On Thursday morning, the weekly high touched 3366, and then the market fell strongly under the strong influence of non-agricultural data. On Friday, the market consolidated in the range due to the holiday, and the weekly line finally closed at 3337.2. The weekly line closed with a medium-sized positive line with equal upper and lower shadows. After ending in this pattern, today's market continued to move in the range. In terms of points, the stop loss was still at 3346 after the short position at 3342 last Friday. Today, it first rose to 3342 and the short stop loss was still 3346. The target below is 3330 and 3322. If it falls below, the support of 3310 and 3300-3292 will be targeted.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
XAUUSD is on fall 3280 on Mark !H4 Timeframe Analysis Gold is currently holding the falling pattern & Range of 3330-3280 structural support. H4 Timeframe Analysis Gold is currently holding the falling pattern & Range of 3330-3280 structural support. What's possible scanarios we have? ▪️As today we have seen implusive drop due to pause of Tarrifs by Trump side ,if h1-h4 Candle closes below 3330-3320 then we'll see gold to tap 3290 then 3280 as our optimal target for today. Also we'll 3280 piviot point if it's break then again short towards 3250. ▪️exceptional Move of Day the H4 candle remains above 3330-3335   then keep your eyes at  3345 then 3365,3380. #XAUUSD What's possible scanarios we have? ▪️As today we have seen implusive drop due to pause of Tarrifs by Trump side ,if h1-h4 Candle closes below 3330-3320 then we'll see gold to tap 3290 then 3280 as our optimal target for today. Also we'll 3280 piviot point if it's break then again short towards 3250. ▪️exceptional Move of Day the H4 candle remains above 3330-3335   then keep your eyes at  3345 then 3365,3380. #XAUUSD
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Forexmaestro121
Gold price trend forecast on July 8Gold price trend forecast on July 8 As of July 6, 2025, the international gold price fluctuates in the range of 3250-3350. Affected by multiple factors, market sentiment is obviously divided. The following are the key points and forecasts for next week's trend: (1): Divergence in interest rate cut expectations: The probability of a rate cut in September has dropped to 47%. (2): Weaker US dollar index: If the Fed postpones the rate cut, the US dollar may rebound in the short term, suppressing gold prices. (3): Geopolitical risks: The situation in the Middle East has eased, and gold prices may fall due to safe-haven demand. Russia-Ukraine conflict: If the ceasefire negotiations make progress, the safe-haven premium of gold may further subside. (4): Central bank gold purchases and market supply and demand Global central banks continue to increase their holdings: In the first quarter of 2025, global central banks net purchased 289 tons of gold, but the People's Bank of China has suspended its purchases for two consecutive months. The market is paying attention to subsequent trends. Gold ETF fund outflow: SPDR Gold Trust holdings fell to 942 tons (the lowest since November 2024), indicating the withdrawal of short-term speculative funds. (5) Technical analysis Key support level: US$3,310. If it falls below, it may fall to US$3,280. Resistance level: US$3,360. A new round of gains can only be confirmed if it breaks through US$3,400. 4. Investment advice Short-term trading: Pay attention to the breakthrough of the US$3,300-3,350 range and adopt a high-sell-low-buy strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Isla_suri001