4 HOUR OBSERVATIONS FOR TODAYS XAUUSD MARKET Today is an interesting day for the XAUUSD pair.
observation and patience will be key for any intentions before placing and executing a buy or sell position.
In the higher timeframe 4hour we have multiple situations to take note of, not overcomplicating any market scenarios and looking at the point blank facts that are presented to us in the present moment.
take note of.
1)A Double top formation (some may say its a triple top with the centre closures)
2)Most recent candle closures failed to break previous highs.
3)The 4hour EMA is close to our current price which will have either a reaction or break so observe with caution.
4)A strong trend line that has been well respected previously since 25th May.
5)A strong support zone that has had multiple touches.
6)Observe the lower time frame DESCENDING triangle chart pattern which could indicate a potential correction to the downside with a short term bearish movement.
7)1.30 Red folder news release.
I will be looking to enter on either a break out of the 1 hour descending to the upside for a scalp into the 4Hour resistance above price, or wait for clear break to the sell side aiming towards lower coordinates that align with 1 hour candle closures at resistances.
this is my first published analysis on trading view.
good luck to any traders out there creating their own life to attain freedom.
earn, learn and grow together - its time to exit the rat race !!
XAUUSD trade ideas
GOLD: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,348.94 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,329.82..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold:Go short before you go long
Gold is currently volatile upward trend, here can not avoid repeated retracement. Now the performance is relatively strong break 3884 short - term high, then the United States is expected to attack twice, then can participate in the long again. Note: long is the main, short is the auxiliary
You can go short now, and then go long. Below is support around the 3365-70 zone
Trading Strategy:
SELL@3385-90
TP:3370-65
BUY@3365-70
TP:3390-3400
↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
XAU/USD 05 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765.
Alternative scenario:
Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Price-action suitable for aggressive Scalps onlyTechnical analysis: So far so good / Gold is comfortably Trading above #3,352.80 psychological level (Xau-Usd numbers) which is a big psychological benchmark regarding Annual fractal. This is a Technical relief rally and may very well test the Hourly 4 chart’s #3,400.80 psychological mark if Gold closes the market above #3,377.80 Resistance in extension (Higher High's Upper zone break-out). Tough the two MA's formed most recent Golden Cross, which last time brought the Higher High's test, I do expect Buying pressure to stay at least for current week. Hourly 4 chart is still marginally Bearish and Overbought however my indicators are pointing that Gold may extend the relief rally. As expected the Hourly 4 chart’s #3,342.80 Resistance got invalidated to the upside and the #3,352.80 benchmark / representing Short-term Target has been filled instantly. Throughout the session, Gold invalidated the Daily chart's Higher High’s for the first time in #17 sessions and naturally the next Technical pressure point was / is the #3,377.80 Medium-term Resistance as mentioned many times throughout my remarks.
My position: Current sequence is suitable for Scalping only and Scalpers are getting the most returns out of current Price-action. I am Buying every Low's aggressively since Monday's session and will continue to do so as long as #3,327.80 - #3,335.80 Support zone holds.
XAU / USD 30 Minute ChartHello traders. I just wanted to post a quick chart to show what I am waiting for. I am not trying to trade this choppiness, so for me, I am waiting for a break and close out of the marked area on the chart. Let's see how things play out over the next few hours. We have the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change news today here in the US. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and trade the trend.
Gold Market Pulls Back After Mitigating 3360–3380 ZoneGold market mitigates the 3360–3380 zone , triggering a daily pullback aimed at clearing imbalance left at 3357. This move sets the stage for the next directional play as the market recalibrates follow for more insights , comment , and boost idea
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold 1D timeframe. What Next Moment?Hello everyone, I am back after 3 years. Finally I have decided to continue my trade journey in forex and crypto professionally.
Here is the analysis of XAUUSD/Gold.
Gold has taken a big bold moment of Uptrend since strong resistance breakout on march of 1st, 2024. Since that time Gold didn't looked back & continued it's rally in uptrend. So our major trend is Uptrend in 1D and 4H timeframe. Gold did some downtrend and sideway rally and again took another uptrend rally on Dec of 18th, 2024. Gold break all top high and made new high 3500.
If I talk in 1D timeframe gold is trading in bullish flag, and I am not wishing it right now to break upward. But has you know it is gold anything can happen. While today is Monday and market opening was in gap. So it needs to fill the gap after that we can execute a trade. Still now needs some confirmation that it will come down. So have patience and watch the market carefully.
Key point.
Resistance - 3356, 3369, 3396
Support - 3343, 3323, 3304
Any Query Reach Us or comment down
Rudra Vasaikar Wishes You A Great And Very Amazing Trading Life. Trade Safe, Trade Right.
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HAPPY TRADING.
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XAUUSD 4H AnalysisBased on Ichimoku, we expect short-term uptrend toward 3348 and after that we expect rejection from these levels and starting downward movement to support levels (3228-3179).
we consider all these levels as valuable zones for our trading so be cautious about the reaction of XAUUSD.
GOLD - WAVE 4 CORRECTION TO $2,800 (UPDATE)The 'resistance turned support' which I mentioned yesterday is holding up well. After the retest of the support zone, we're currently seeing bullish momentum keep Gold prices up.
As soon as Gold surpasses $3,400 & closes WITHIN the previous 0.365% zone, I will be sure that the 3 Sub-Wave (A,B,C) correction for sellers is over & buyers are now heading towards a new ATH. Until then I am still wary & being careful of sellers.
GOLD 1. Gold and 10-Year Bond Yield
Gold and 10-year Treasury yields generally exhibit a strong inverse correlation. When bond yields rise, gold prices tend to fall, and vice versa.
This is primarily because higher yields increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, which does not pay interest or dividends. Investors prefer bonds when yields rise, reducing gold demand.
However, the key driver for gold is real interest rates (nominal yield minus inflation). Even if nominal yields rise, if inflation rises faster, real yields can remain low or negative, which supports gold prices.
Historical data shows gold often rises during periods of falling real yields, even if nominal yields fluctuate.
2. Gold and Dollar Index (DXY)
Gold and the US dollar index (DXY) usually have an inverse relationship.
A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive in other currencies, reducing demand and lowering prices. Conversely, a weaker dollar supports gold by making it cheaper internationally.
However, during times of geopolitical uncertainty or market stress, both gold and the dollar can rise together as safe havens.
3. Interest Rates and Gold
Central bank interest rates influence bond yields and the dollar, indirectly affecting gold.
Rising interest rates tend to push bond yields higher and strengthen the dollar, both of which typically pressure gold prices.
Conversely, expectations of rate cuts or dovish monetary policy lower yields and weaken the dollar, supporting gold.
The real interest rate is the most important factor: low or negative real rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, boosting its appeal.
4. Summary of Interactions
Factor Relationship with Gold Explanation
10-Year Bond Yield Inverse Higher yields raise opportunity cost, reducing gold demand
Real Interest Rate Inverse Negative or low real rates support gold
Dollar Index (DXY) Inverse Strong dollar makes gold more expensive globally
Nominal Interest Rate Inverse Higher rates strengthen dollar and yields, pressuring gold
Conclusion
Gold prices are strongly influenced by the interplay of real interest rates, bond yields, and the US dollar. Rising nominal yields and a strong dollar generally weigh on gold, but if inflation outpaces yields, resulting in low or negative real rates, gold remains attractive as a hedge. This dynamic explains gold’s resilience despite fluctuating bond yields and dollar strength in 2025.
#GOLD #DOLLAR
GOLD → Retest support before news...FX:XAUUSD is in a correction phase amid a rising dollar. The price is heading towards the liquidity zone, which may support gold. Markets are awaiting PCE data...
Gold is back in the red: PCE inflation and tariff news will decide everything. On Friday morning, gold fell, retreating from its recent rebound from weekly lows of around $3245. The price is under pressure from the strengthening US dollar, which was supported by court rulings on Trump's tariffs, but the situation around tariffs remains tense on all sides...
The focus is on PCE inflation data. A weaker result could weaken the dollar and support gold. Traders remain cautious in anticipation of volatility.
Support levels: 3282, 3270, 3260
Resistance levels: 3325
A retest of 3282-3270 could end in a false breakdown, but only if the fundamental backdrop is against the dollar, which would only support the price of gold. The price is most likely to be stopped by trend support, but no one can rule out the fundamental factor of surprise...
As a target, during a bullish impulse, it is worth considering intermediate highs...
Best regards, R. Linda!
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
It's been a fantastic start to the week with the red box holding nicely to give traders the short trade using the red boxes and KOG's target levels, which are all completed for the week here.
We now have support below at the 3285 level which if continues to hold, should give traders another opportunity into that 3306-10 region. We've already taken one into 3304, so for us no more trading until tomorrow. That's the level to watch in our opinion for a potential flip.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
A good start to the day with us hitting not only the red box target we wanted but completing the Excalibur target that was active giving a nice long. After that, we identified the pull back into the bias level 3305 which only gave us a 50pip bounce into the target. We then said price shouldn't go back to 3310, if it did we would break, which consequently happened, thankfully we had stopped trading and called it a day by then.
The range continues and price is accumulating, this range now with support 3290 and resistance 3310 could be the play towards the end of the session, so anyone long, we would say watch this levels on the red boxes for a break either side.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold on Monday depends on this wave of operationsBefore the non-agricultural data on Friday, gold maintained an overall oscillating pattern, opening at 3354, briefly rising to around 3375 and then falling under pressure, entering an overall oscillating downward mode. We also caught the rhythm of long orders many times and successfully exited the market with profits. Although the non-agricultural data was bearish, gold did not dive quickly, but rebounded to around 3363 after short-term fluctuations, and then fell under pressure again, and finally closed in an inverted head shape, with obvious technical bearish signals.
From the perspective of form, gold is expected to continue to rebound high and high next week. Focus on the support of this week's low point of 3296. Once it falls below, it is possible to further explore the 3270-3260 area. However, if this position remains stable and unbroken, the market still has room for rebound and repair.
From a specific technical perspective, the obstructed decline of the 3375 line on Friday is more critical, with the lowest intraday drop to 3307, and the bearish momentum is still strong. It is recommended to be prudent in operation and do not blindly chase orders.
🔸Operation ideas for gold next week:
1️⃣ If it rebounds to 3320-3325, you can try to arrange short orders. If it rebounds further to 3338-3345, it is recommended to cover short positions.
2️⃣ The first target is the 3295-3306 area. If it effectively falls below, continue to hold and look for a lower position.
3️⃣ The support below is focused on the 3295-3285 area, and the pressure above is still mainly 3335-3345. The market is mainly oscillating in the middle of the range. It is recommended to watch more and act less, and wait for key point signals before intervening.
If you are currently having trouble with gold operations, welcome to communicate with me. I will update the strategy as soon as possible according to the intraday market and try my best to make your investment less detours.