XAUUSD 1H, 12/04/2025.XAU/USD Directional Trade Setup
- Entry Point: Ensure the trade is executed only at the designated entry level. Patience is key to maximizing the setup's potential.
- Stop-Loss (SL): Strictly adhere to the stop-loss. Exiting on a close below the specified SL level is essential to protect capital and manage risk.
- Take-Profit (TP): This setup offers a minimum risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3, so it's critical to trail the take-profit level as the trade progresses. Trailing TP ensures you lock in profits while giving the trade room to grow.
Note: This analysis is shared purely for informational purposes and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage risk responsibly and make decisions aligned with your trading strategy.
XAUUSD trade ideas
$3600 intactA very Bullish metal that dont even needs to make LLs to find the next NEW RECORD HIGH
Pullbacks is only momentarily
So this analysis is just to see if GOLD could reach down into Discount to get more Buyers in to shoot to $3600
And the whats next?
$4000?
$5000?
Well we'll see
Tell me what do you guys think
Gold prices continue to rise as profit-taking takes place? Will Gold prices fell from an all-time high of $3,357 an ounce after Fed Chairman Powell warned that the Fed's goals could conflict, sparking concerns about stagflation. Regarding trade negotiations, U.S. President Trump said they were progressing well, adding that he was very confident of reaching a trade deal with the European Union and China. This statement has boosted market risk appetite and hit safe-haven gold.
So the previous decline only reflects investors taking profits before the long holiday weekend. However, the weak dollar and trade tensions have kept it above $3,300 an ounce.
Quaid believes that there is no short selling, only longs, and there have been many one-sided markets during this period. Judging from the current trend chart, it is still running upward and has shown signs of rising bottoms, which shows that the bulls have occupied a more advantageous position. If the big positive line continues to break new highs next week, there will be an opportunity to continue to attack 3,400.
For next week, the bullish position of gold retracement is around 3,290.
Quaid wants to say to everyone: Before going out to sea, fishermen don't know where the fish are. But they still choose to go because they believe they will return with a full load. And you, my friend, don't know whether you can make a profit, but you still need to try. Success is not something that will happen in the future, but from the moment you choose and decide to do it, you will gain something if you persist in believing. The same is true for Huang Investment. You may still be confused at the moment, but as long as you persist, the problem will eventually be solved.
Gold for week 20-25 April trade plan
With fundamental of trade war and Jerome Powell news. There are many uncertainties in the market.
High volatility is going to be expected however trade precaution is highly advised for my personal trade.
Base on technical with assistance of fibo from previous structure breakout what I saw was gold manage to reach area of 2.618. however, a strong rejection was present that pushes it close to 1.618 as a current support. Undeniably gold is way over bought and price is considerably expensive. But that does not mean that gold could not goes even higher as the last break of structure and strong push gold has the potential still to climb up to 4.236 base on fibo and the area of 3420-3439 but first it needs to settle the current resistance of 3357.
So, what can happen on Monday and what does I want to look for if to buy for gold.
1. For continuation at the current market price of 3325 would gold give a push higher and break the last H1 supply. If happens I know I would be able to have a good 200-300pips to retest the ATH. So, I would take a precautioned buy trade of pullback and close TP range with 1:2 RR. Plus 20% position open TP.
2. If gold make a pullback to the cmp weak support and then only to break above similar trade as above I would take.
So, what does I want to look for if to sell for gold.
1. If gold able to utilise the current fbo sell and break below 3309. Then only I will take a continuation sell trade with similar strategy trade plan range and RR at the nearest SBR of m5/m15. So, means it needs to provide a new support pullback and then enter. Max target of this sell I target up to 3285-90 extension 3270 and 3230. The moment close to this area I should start monitoring if any change of character to have the bullish bias again or not. As bullish is still in bias.
Another possibility that I need to prepared and I hope it would not happen as its really not easy to identify if it’s going to make a temporary sideways between 3280-3360. However if this happens then I would look for buys and sells after buys and sells signals appear only in m30 and above candle. To sell slightly lower then 3360 after a rejection confirmed or to buy slightly higher then 3280 after a rejection confirm.
So that the game plan for next week
Gold - Chasing Parabolas is Hard to DoThere's a quote from legendary investor John Templeton that goes like this:
"The time of maximum pessimism is the best time to buy, and the time of maximum optimism is the best time to sell."
This is contrarian, of course, but there's also a lot to it if we try to unwrap it. But first I want to start off even broader than that. I try to often remind myself of just how uncertain the future is and just how pointless it is to try to predict. It can be hard, to be sure, especially if you're around the business of speculation. But, spend a long enough time and see enough 'sure things' turn out to be disappointments or backfires, and I think it becomes a bit simpler.
I don't look at analysis as predictive. I look at it as probabilistic. But even then those probabilities will have a degree of uncertainty because that future will always be vulnerable for some type of surprise. My aim instead is to seek out the prospect of asymmetry; ways to risk a dollar in order to make two, or possibly three.
In analysis, I largely lean technical because I tend to think that most of the 'known knowns' get priced-in fairly quickly and pretty well. Perhaps there is some edge in there somewhere, but my information flow isn't great enough to allow me to have an inside angle against investment banks. While I do think that fundamentals get priced-in fairly well I do not think that markets are perfectly efficient as there is a clear process of price discovery. The chart, however, is a pretty clear depiction of where price has moved and I don't need to concern myself as much for the reasons as to 'why,' if I can focus enough on the 'what.'
I think there are two tenets of technical analysis that are of importance: A) Trends exist, and there's often a reason for them. and B) Support and Resistance can mark inflection points in a market, because trends do not price in linearly. It's the higher-lows that show you bulls' response to pullbacks and that's what really allows for that next higher-high to show up. It's a clear illustration of shifting sentiment, shown perfectly on the chart.
And this is what takes us back to that quote from Mr. John Templeton...
It's when price is forming those highs that we tend to get most excited. Because we can see it - visually - with our own eyes, that trend or bias showing up in real-time. This is when we might get FOMO coursing through us, compelling us to buy even if it doesn't seem smart, even if we haven't thought about 'what if,' even if we haven't entertained the very rational idea that 'this may not last forever.'
It's just part of the human condition, really, and it's why a lot of retail traders end up buying tops as they let their excitement get the better of them.
Now, Mr. Templeton said the best time to buy is the time of maximum pessimism and that leans very contrarian. And taken to an extreme, this can be an excuse to fade every move that shows up or every breakout that takes place, and that can be a painful way to go about matters. But, there may be a way to hedge that statement in a trend-riding basis as saying the optimal time to establish longs is when the prospect of a reversal has started to rise. Or, to put otherwise, it's when that excitement isn't coursing on a fresh breakout; and instead, after a pullback that has shown that the trend is not infallible. It's when the uber bulls couldn't imagine anything other than continued rip in the trend grow silent, instead fearing that they may get caught holding longs from a top.
In gold the market has been ripping higher for more than a year. But when it seemed most quiet was when it was most opportunistic, such as the bull pennant that brewed in Q4, or the pullbacks that have shown up along the way. We had one of those a couple of weeks ago and it started to seem as though a larger reversal could take hold. But - a clean support hold at 2956 was followed by a doji on the daily chart - and then bulls crowded back in to rush up to another fresh all-time-high.
Again, on Monday of this week another pullback showed up, this time a slighter move with price tilting down to 3200. But bulls responded in a big way and then ran another fresh all-time-high just a day later.
Now, eventually one of these pullbacks could extend and turn into a multi-week or perhaps even multi-month type of event, similar to the Q4 triangle that made up the pennant. But, at this stage that bullish trend that has taken on a parabolic nature continues to press and there's no indication yet that it's over.
There remains support potential and this can be followed for pullback setups. The closest zone is the 3245-3250 area, and if this price comes into play and bulls come in to hold lows around that prior resistance, this could be an illustration of a building higher-low. Below that, 3150-3167 is of interest, as this was resistance earlier in April and, to date, hasn't shown much for support. And below that, there's 3050-3057 which was a point of resistance that also hasn't yet shown as support.
Even the 3k handle can be considered as the April lows rest around the spot of prior resistance, from the March highs, at 2956.
With a trend that's been this one-sided there's a lot of room for possible profit taking; but it's not until there's been a clearer shift of sentiment that we can say that the trend is dead.
Does this mean that we'll be able to predict anything? Because the trick of Mr. Templeton's quote is that predicting 'maximum pessimism' or 'maximum optimism' is just as pointless as trying to predict price. Because it is price itself that will denominate that sentiment! If price continues to tank then, yeah, people are going to get more and more pessimistic and that does not mean that it's automatically a great time to buy (nor sell)!
No, but waiting for pullbacks in clear trends is a way to take a risk-efficient approach towards speculation, while trying to keep our own emotions in check and allowing for us to stick to a plan. Which, for a trader, is one of the more pragmatic ways that one can go about the endeavor of speculation.
James Stanley
Gold Hits Fibonacci 3.618! What’s Next?GOLD (XAU/USD) Quick Analysis – April 2025
Gold just surged to $3,329/oz, reaching the Fibonacci 3.618 extension around $3,338 🚀
The trend remains strongly bullish, but the price is now extended far above key moving averages – signaling potential exhaustion.
Key Levels:
Support: $2,856 (Fibo 2.618)
Next Resistance: $3,635 (Fibo 4.236)
🧭 Outlook:
As long as price holds above $2,856 → the bullish structure remains intact
🎯 Strategy:
Wait for a healthy pullback → buy the dip near support
Or enter on a breakout-retest above $3,338 for potential continuation
Markets next move will depend on its interaction with Key LevelsGold Analysis
MSS & FVG+Breaker Zone
Gold has given an MSS (Market Structure Shift) and touched the FVG+Breaker Zone, followed by a downward move. Given the current market structure, potential areas to watch for a stop and potential upside pump could be:
Possible Downside Targets:
1. $3321 liquidity level
2. Higher Time Frame (HTF) PD Arrays
Potential Upside Pump
If the market reaches these areas, we might see a pump upwards, driven by liquidity and market structure.
Key Levels to Watch:
- $3321 liquidity level
- HTF PD Arrays
Market Direction
The market's next move will depend on its interaction with these key levels. A potential bounce from these areas could signal an upside pump.
Let's monitor the market's movement and adjust our analysis accordingly.
XAU/USD – Bullish Price Action Setup (April 16, 2025)📊 XAU/USD – Bullish Price Action Setup (April 16, 2025)
🔹 Current Price: 3290
🔹 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
🔹 Bias: Buy on Dips (No Shorts)
🎯 Key Demand Zones for Long Entries
🟢 3269 – 3272 → Minor Demand (Quick Scalp Zone)
🟢 3256 – 3259 → Intermediate Demand (Higher-Probability Bounce)
🟢 3243 – 3246 → Major Demand (Best Risk-Reward for Swing Longs)
⚠️ Caution
Avoid chasing price above 3300 without a pullback.
If demand zones break without recovery, wait for deeper support (e.g., 3230-3240).
#XAUUSD #GoldTrading #BuyTheDip #PriceAction #DemandZones #RiskManagement #April16
GOLD Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3201.5
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 3216.0
Safe Stop Loss - 3194.0
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Is gold currently in a bullish or bearish trend?We’ve seen gold surge significantly during times of uncertainty. The problem is, when we look back at the 2008 financial crisis, we notice a similarly exponential rise, which was followed by a 45% correction after reaching its peak. Based on a current price of $3,400, a correction down to $1,800 is possible. This means it’s very realistic that gold could spike again sharply—especially if Powell ends up being fired—and then, once things start to calm down again, we could see a major correction of at least 45%.
Analysis of gold price trend next week!Market news:
April 14 to April 18, 2025, due to the Good Friday holiday, the market was closed on April 18. There were only four trading days this week, and the spot gold market performed strongly, with a weekly increase of 2.76%. Prior to this, some investors chose to take profits after the international gold price hit a new high of more than $3,357 on Thursday. Although the current technical side shows that gold is overbought, the overall market is still in a steady upward trend.The rise in London gold prices was driven by the safe-haven demand caused by the weakening of the US dollar, trade policy uncertainty, and hawkish remarks by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on the risk of stagflation. The economic data released this week showed differentiation, with a solid labor market but weak housing data, coupled with geopolitical risks such as the European Central Bank's interest rate cut and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, further enhancing the attractiveness of gold.Looking ahead, the bullish trend of gold remains solid, and investors should pay close attention to the Fed's subsequent policy statements and trade policy dynamics, which will have an important impact on market sentiment and gold price trends in the coming weeks.
Technical Review:
Gold daily level still maintains a strong unilateral bullish trend in the short term. There is no highest, only higher. Before the top pressure K appears, it will continue to step back and be bullish. The support position confirmed by the step back is about 3300-3290. As long as this position is stabilized, there is hope for further efforts in the future to set a new historical high.The 4-hour level is now in high-level fluctuations. The key MA10-day support moves up to 3313. As long as this moving average can be held, this cycle will still maintain a strong squeeze and pull up. At the hourly level, there will be a certain decline and correction in the short-term Asian session on Thursday, and it will be trapped in a shock consolidation. The next step is to wait patiently for the consolidation to end. The short-term pressure point middle track is also the 10-day moving average 3332-33 line. There may be multiple attempts here, but before breaking through, don't chase the rise! Pay attention to the lower track support 3313 below, and the upper track of the previous channel step back to confirm the range of 3300-3290, because the upward channel is uncertain whether there will be a false piercing. Therefore, it is recommended to wait for 3313, 3300-3290 to stabilize and rise next week, or break through 3332-33 and then step back to confirm stability, which is also bullish. After a sharp rise, it is just a small adjustment at a high level or sideways, which is to prepare for the next round of rise.
Next week's analysis:
Gold fell all the way in the US market on Friday, falling to 3283 at the lowest, but gold rose again in the second half of the night for risk aversion. Will gold return to a large range of fluctuations or end the adjustment? Then the trend of gold after the opening next week is very critical. If gold continues to rise strongly at the opening next week, then gold may be adjusted to the end, and gold bulls may continue to exert their strength. This will be seen after the opening of Monday.The gold 1-hour moving average is now continuing to diverge upward with a golden cross. If the gold 1-hour moving average turns in the short term, then the gold 1-hour will begin to adjust. So if the short-term opening is weak next week, then the gold 1-hour moving average may begin to turn, and if it is strong, it will continue to extend upward. Gold is suppressed by the downward trend line in the 1-hour short term. The short-term pressure of gold moves down to the 3332 line. If gold is still under pressure at 3332 after opening next week, then gold may continue to fluctuate downward in the short term, thereby driving the moving average to turn around. If it directly breaks through 3332 after opening, then gold will start to fluctuate in a large range.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3300-3303, stop loss at 3292, target at 3340-3350;
Sell short-term gold at 3350-3353, stop loss at 3362, target at 3310-3300;
Key points:
First support level: 3313, second support level: 3300, third support level: 3285
First resistance level: 3332, second resistance level: 3357, third resistance level: 3373
GOLD: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 3,221.65 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 3,213.11.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Rising wedge move It's been whole Day market is moving in this downward parallel channel However its back on Rising channel.
Bullish scanario:
if the m15-M30 candle CLOSES above 3230-3232 Resistance ,then target will be 3245 in first round then 3260 milestone.
Bearish Scenario
On the other hand, If The current trend line invalidated and candle closes below 3220-3218 support then this Rising will be crumbled and have again Bearish momentum towards 3200 then 3190.
Gold: Directional Break ImminentYesterday’s market remained calm without any significant swings, unlike the strong movements we’ve seen previously. Today, however, appears to be a critical turning point as the market prepares for a directional breakout.
📊 Technical Overview:
Gold is showing signs of retesting the resistance around 3240, while short-term support lies at 3194–3188. If this resistance holds and the price fails to break above, a double-top pattern may form—potentially triggering a major drop between Wednesday and Thursday.
If the price breaks above 3240, there may be around $30 of additional upside, but this is likely to mark the formation of a short-term top, followed again by a decline.
🎯 Key Bearish Target Zones: 3137-3106
Whether it breaks upward or downward, a bearish opportunity is building. Stay patient, follow the price action, and avoid emotional decisions to catch the move at the right moment.
XAUUSD Reversal imminent. Potential short-term top reached.Gold (XAUUSD) hit the 1-month Higher Highs trend-line and has started to form a short-term Top. The last two short-term High sequences peaked on the 2nd High and pulled-back to at least the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line).
The peak formation on the 4H RSI of those two sequences was demonstrated with Lower Highs. Similarly the most optimal short-term buy was when the 4H RSI got oversold below 30.00. At the same time, the price hit the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line).
But for now, the best action is to sell and take profit when the price makes contact with the 4H MA50.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Trader's Alert: Gold Potential Top, Signal (Bullish Bitcoin)Gold today is making a strong move after hitting a new All-Time High. The current session is red and has the highest volume since November 2024. This is an early signal that can be interpreted as the top being printed. Very early.
Gold peaking can have a strong significance for us Cryptocurrency traders. Gold has been in a strong uptrend since December 2024. Bitcoin peaked and went sideways with bearish tendencies in December 2024. They have been moving in contrary direction. This can mean that a Gold top would produce a Bitcoin bottom.
The Gold peak can mean a change in market dynamics, all markets. Bullish goes bearish and bearish goes bullish.
Gold is still bullish on the weekly timeframe but with a parabolic rise. A parabolic rise tends to end with a sudden crash. A true parabola.
This is a friendly alert to all Gold traders.
XAUUSD is likely to go down.
Confirmation is needed.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.