Continue to short gold after the reboundFundamentals:
1. Focus on Powell's speech at the Thomas Laubach Research Conference;
2. Pay attention to the situation of the Russia-Ukraine negotiations;
Technical aspects:
Gold has successively broken through the important support area of 3200 and 3160, and continued to around 3120; the short-term bearish trend is very obvious; although gold has rebounded to around 3170 again in the short term, I think the reason is one of the technical rebound repair after the decline; the second is the result of profit-taking of some short positions. So I fully believe that gold has the need to fall again after the rebound;
At present, we need to focus on the resistance of the 3175-3180 area, followed by the resistance of the 3195-3200 area; if gold cannot break through this resistance area during the rebound, gold is expected to fall again and continue to the area around 3100.
Trading strategy:
Consider the opportunity to short gold after gold rebounds to the 3275-3285 area; TP: 3150
TVC:DXY FOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD
XAUUSD trade ideas
Bullish Breakout Defies Trade Uncertainty and Global TensionsOANDA:XAUUSD Gold remains firm near $3,333, holding a bullish structure after a breakout above multi-year resistance. While short-term pullbacks persist, geopolitical tensions and a Fed pause continue to support safe-haven demand. Trump's refusal to ease China tariffs dampens trade optimism, further boosting gold's appeal. Key support lies around $3,333 and $3.273.
Resistance : $3,414 , $3,474
Support : $3,333 , $ 3,273
XAUUSD Next move 📌 Chart Overview
Timeframe: 1 Hour
Current Price: ~ 3275-3280
Bias: Conditional (based on breakout confirmation).
As previously analyzed, Gold has reached 3270 area. This zone will determine the next market direction- bullish or bearish. Check out our trade plan for potential opportunities!
✅ Buy Trade Setup (Bullish Scenario)
:Trigger: Price breaks and closes above 3290
Plan:
: Enter long after confirmation (e.g. bullish candle close above 3290)
: TP1: 3340
: Final TP: 3400
Reasoning:
> Breakout above a key intraday resistance
> Pattern suggests potential bullish momentum continuation.
❌ Sell Trade Setup (Bearish Scenario)
Trigger: Break and close below 3260
Plan:
:Enter short after confirmation of breakdown
: TP1: 3230–3225 zone
: Final TP: 3205
Reasoning:
>If price fails to hold above 3260, likely to revisit previous demand zones
>Clean drop potential visible on the left side of the chart
Key Decision Area:
>3260–3290 zone is crucial:
>Acts as a no-trade zone unless broken
>Avoid getting trapped in consolidation or fakeouts here
Current Gold Trend Analysis and Trading StrategiesThe real-time trading signals we provided have been profitable every day. If you don't know how to get started, you can refer to my strategies. 👉🏼👉🏼👉🏼
After the gold price broke below 3202 during the US trading session, it rebounded to a high of 3198 at most. This rebound is merely an oversold bounce, and the price subsequently fell back again. Although it has not hit a new low yet, the pattern has weakened, making it difficult to rise again for now. In a weak bearish trend, the price may even struggle to break above 3198. The short-term support below is at 3150-3160.
On the 1-hour chart of gold, the death cross in the bearish arrangement continues to point downward, and bearish momentum remains strong. Rebounds still provide opportunities to go short. Due to the lack of obvious sustained upward momentum in the short term, this market is just a rebound. Therefore, it is recommended to short on rebounds during the US gold session.
In summary, the current short-term trading strategy for gold is recommended to focus on shorting on rebounds, supplemented by longing on pullbacks. The key short-term resistance level to focus on above is the 3200-3205 range, while the key short-term support level below is the 3150-3160 range.
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GOLD XAU-USD CORRECTION COMPLETE REALLY TOWARD UP $3400 0PEN XAUUSD continues to trade within a clearly defined bullish channel, showing strong adherence to upward trendlines and key support levels. Recent price action confirms the ongoing strength of bullish momentum, with higher highs and higher lows reinforcing the prevailing trend. Technical indicators, including moving averages and RSI, remain aligned with buyers, while macroeconomic factors such as inflation concerns and global risk sentiment further support the upside narrative. As the precious metal steadily advances, the $3400 level emerges as a key psychological and technical target, suggesting that, barring significant shifts in market dynamics, gold may continue its trajectory towards new highs in the medium term."
GOLD (XAU/USD) : Short OppurtunityAs always DYOR,
I believe gold is forming a bear flag pattern, which typically signals a continuation of the previous downtrend. After a sharp drop, the price consolidated inside a rising parallel channel (marked with red dashed lines), characteristic of a bear flag. This channel lacks strong bullish momentum and follows a steep downward move, suggesting it's a corrective phase rather than a reversal. The price also failed to break above key resistance near 3,238.75 and is showing signs of rejection from the channel's upper boundary.
My projection targets a further decline toward 3,206.97, aligning with the flag's expected breakdown and continuation of the previous bearish leg.
XAUUSD 30M Long Setup – Inverse Head & Shoulders with Imbalance This trade is based on a bullish breakout of an inverse head and shoulders pattern identified on the 30-minute chart for XAUUSD (Gold Spot). The right shoulder has completed, and price has broken above the neckline, entering a key imbalance zone that needs to be closed above for confirmation. Entry is placed at 3,309.291 with staged limit orders down to 3,296.202, targeting a move to the next supply zone at 3,364.749 (TP2), with the first take profit at 3,345.561 (TP1). Stop loss is set at 3,275.017. The setup includes imbalance fills, supply/demand zones, and clear bullish structure, aiming for a 4.66% upside on full execution.
High R Risk Long Strategy 3160 Old Bulls Awaiting AttackNew version:
After a significant drop in gold prices, we're starting to notice some encouraging signs of a bullish trend taking shape. The price has bounced off the 3145–3160 demand zone several times, hinting at possible accumulation. The recent candle patterns are showing higher lows, and it looks like buyers are stepping in to protect the liquidity just below 3160.
This setup is all about price action, liquidity sweeps, and structural changes. The 3160 zone is a crucial decision point where we expect buyers to take charge. It also coincides with a previous imbalance fill and a short-term order block.
Right now, this phase presents a great risk-to-reward opportunity for bulls, as long as the stop loss at 3145 holds firm.
Entry: 3160
Stop Loss: 3145 (just below the liquidity sweep and order block)
Targets:
TP1: 3180 (a minor resistance / reaction zone)
TP2: 3196 (liquidity above the last high)
TP3: 3208 (a key breakout target zone)
XAUUSD 1HR, Elliott Wave TheoryCurrent price action is unfolding in a 5-wave bearish structure wave (1) of ((3)) with wave ((V)) of 3 in progress.
A corrective ABC structure completed near the CISD zone.
Wave 3 extends to the 3.618 Fibonacci projection (~3,148), with wave 5 targeting a support block near 3,120–3,130.
Anticipated short-term retracement for wave 4, followed by one more impulsive drop into demand.
Indicators:
RSI shows consistent bearish momentum with room for divergence.
Gold Strategy UpdateGold has entered a major downtrend, however the market needs a high increase to break out. Looking at the clouds, I see that in the coming days, the gold price fluctuation range is very large. So everyone should consider allocating volume to suit investment assets as well as adjusting leverage appropriately. Good luck!
Institutional Move Loading? Gold at Critical Liquidity Zones. Gold is holding above a major liquidity zone at 3211, while the key resistance at 3274 and 3320 remains untested. Based on current price behavior, I’m watching two possible scenarios:
📊 Scenario 1 – Liquidity Sweep & Drop:
Price could sweep the 3274 level, trapping late buyers.
Followed by a move downward toward 3193–3186, where significant historical liquidity lies.
📊 Scenario 2 – Fakeout Above 3320:
Gold might push up to test 3320, a major zone that hasn’t been touched yet.
This could trap both buyers and sellers, then reverse strongly toward 3193–3186, and possibly deeper.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch:
🟥 SELL ZONES:
3274 (current liquidity zone)
3320 (unresolved key resistance)
🟩 BUY ZONES:
3193 & 3186 (liquidity support)
🔥 Major Buy Zone: 3168 – multiple confirmations for a potential trend reversal here.
⚠️ REMINDER:
Gold is driven by institutional volume – charts can mislead when big money steps in. Even from here, a new ATH (All-Time High) is possible. Don’t trade blindly. DYOR (Do Your Own Research) and follow price action closely.
✅ Trade Safe | Trust the Process | Let Price Action Lead
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #LiquidityHunt #TradingView #GoldTraders #SmartMoney #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrade #PriceAction #GoldForecast #RiskManagement
XAU/USD – May 12, 2025📊XAU/USD – May 12, 2025
🔹Current Price: 3,277.10
🔹Timeframe: 15M
📌Key Supply Zones:
🔴 3356–3368 – Higher-timeframe supply (strong rejection zone)
🔴 Mid-level untested supply zone near 3,300 (minor reaction observed)
📌Key Demand Zones:
🟢 3257–3269 – Current support zone; holding price for now
🟢 3222.9–3226 – HTF demand base (critical if breakdown continues)
📉Bearish Bias:
Price remains in a clear downtrend with lower highs and lower lows. Currently reacting from the 3257–3269 demand. If this zone fails, expect deeper selloff toward 3222.
📈Bullish Setup (If Confirmed):
Only a strong bounce and BOS from 3269 can open short-term longs toward 3300+. Watch for reaction and engulfing on lower timeframes.
⚠️Execution Tip:
✅ Don’t trade blindly into zones – wait for confirmation
✅ Focus on RR setups only when structure shifts
✅ Use 5M/15M BOS to align with direction
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #FXFOREVER #SupplyAndDemand #SmartMoneyConcepts #GoldScalping #BreakOfStructure #IntradayTrading #WaitForConfirmation
XAU.usd watch $3407/18: Key Resistance and end of "Wave B" ?Part of my ongoing analysis of Gold (see below).
Per the last plot, we bounced exactly where hoped.
We may well be at "Wave B" end point near $3400.
This is bears best and last chance to get a lower low.
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Last Plot that caught our bounces EXACTLY
Previous Plot called the last Dip Entry EXACTLY
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I will post updates on this Idea as price action progresses.
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Please follow and like, for more EXACT plots to use in your trading.
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XAU/USD Forming Bullish Structure Above 3249 Support
Gold (XAU/USD) on the 15-minute chart is showing signs of a potential bullish continuation after bouncing from the 3249 support level. Price has started forming a higher low structure, indicating a possible upward move toward the 3278 resistance zone.
If the market respects the 3249 level, we could see further upside momentum. A clean breakout above 3278 may open the door for extended bullish movement.
Key Levels:
Support: 3249
Resistance: 3278
Secondary Support: 3207
This setup reflects current price behavior and structure for educational and technical analysis purposes only.
Gold just swept some key lows on 4H and is starting to bounce.I’m keeping an eye on the area between 3355 and 3392 , where we have both the 0.618–0.786 Fibonacci retracement and a descending trendline acting as resistance. That area has a high chance of attracting price.
Why I’m watching for a move up:
1. Clean liquidity grab and quick bounce
2. MACD showing early momentum shift
3. Key Fib levels + previous resistance overlap
4. Price still within a large range—this looks like a mid-range rebound
Invalidation: If price drops and closes below the recent low, I’ll step aside.
Potential target: 3350–3390
Stop: Below the most recent swing low
Let’s see how price reacts when/if it gets there.