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XAUUSD trade ideas

GOLD – ABC Retracement Wave Forming!GOLD is currently forming an ABC retracement wave, and Wave A is in progress. Based on technical analysis, the expected target for Wave A is around $2880. 📌 Key Points: 🔹 Wave A is the first leg of the corrective pattern, with a potential target near $2880. 🔹 Wave B may retrace to key Fibonacci levels before the final Wave C move. 🔹 This analysis is based purely on technical structure and retracement confluences. ⚠ Disclaimer: This is NOT financial advice—for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own analysis and risk management before making any trading decisions.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by shiva560060
Gold price analysis February 21⭐️Fundamental Analysis Gold prices fell as investors booked profits ahead of the release of key US economic data, including PMI and PCE inflation. The Fed minutes did not change expectations for two rate cuts this year, but maintained a cautious stance. If the economy is strong and inflation is high, the Fed may not be in a hurry to ease policy. Gold prices may fluctuate in the short term following economic data, but are still supported by concerns about Trump's tax policies and Russia-Ukraine tensions. Despite the correction, gold remains a safe haven, and dips can be good buying opportunities. ⭐️Technical Analysis Gold price is heading towards 2920 and this area is the most important area for gold today. When breaking 2920, pay attention to the 2906 area for BUY signals and just wait for the test beats to sell around 2920 when this area is broken. When gold bounces from 2920, the market continues to want to increase. As long as there is any close above 2928, gold will soon regain the resistance level of 2944. Wish everyone the best trading strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
XAUUSD H4 ANALYSIS BUY NOW 2940You're looking at a gold (XAU/USD) buy entry at 2940, aiming for a target of 2985. That's a 46-point move. Here are some key things to consider before entering the trade: Technical Analysis Checklist ✅ Support & Resistance – Is 2940 a strong support level? Any historical bounce points? ✅ Trend Confirmation – Is the price in an uptrend? Any signs of reversal? ✅ Indicators – Are RSI, MACD, and moving averages supporting the buy setup? ✅ Risk Management – Set a stop-loss level (e.g., below recent support, maybe 2920-2915). ✅ News & Events – Check for FOMC meetings, NFP, CPI, or any geopolitical tensions. Risk-Reward Ratio If your SL is around 2920 (-19 points) and TP is 2985 (+46 points), your Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) is ~1:2.4, which is solid. Are you trading short-term (scalping/day trading) or holding for a swing trade? 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FX_BOBBY
0217-0221 GOLD WEEKLY OUTLOOKHello traders, When events develop in an illogical manner, emotions and manipulation are often the first two factors to consider. 1. The "illogical" phenomenon behind last Friday's U.S. stock market surge Last night, U.S. stocks experienced a significant rally despite lacking fundamental support. However, from the perspective of economic data and market dynamics, this surge appears to lack rationality. 1. Inflationary pressures are significantly increasing In January, the Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation rate unexpectedly rose to 3.5% (higher than the expected 3.2%), while the core PPI inflation rate reached 3.6% (higher than the expected 3.3%). This marks the highest PPI inflation rate since February 2023. More importantly, this data confirms that the previous 0.5% month-on-month increase in CPI was not due to seasonal factors but rather a reflection of persistent inflationary pressures. 2. Employment data indicates an overheated economy Last week, initial jobless claims came in at 213K, lower than the expected 216K, while continuing claims reached 1850K, below the expected 1882K. This demonstrates that the labor market remains strong, and the "hot" employment data further reinforces concerns about an overheating economy. 3. Rate cut expectations are delayed With CPI, PPI, and employment data all exceeding expectations, the Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations have been pushed further back. Currently, the market generally anticipates the earliest rate cuts to occur in September 2025. Even worse, if the Fed's core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data, which is expected to be released today, also shows an increase, the market may reprice rate hike expectations. The two-year U.S. Treasury yield has already broken out of its symmetrical triangle, with technical analysis suggesting its next target could be 5%, further strengthening expectations that the Fed may resume rate hikes instead of continuing to cut rates. 4. Liquidity is shrinking On Thursday (February 13), the Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) usage dropped to $67.82 billion, the lowest level since April 2021, indicating that market liquidity is rapidly contracting. From this data, it is evident that U.S. stocks lack fundamental support for their rally. However, under such circumstances, the significant rise in U.S. stocks raises questions about whether emotional trading and market manipulation are at play. --- 2. Crowded markets: Risk appetite reaches extremes Scott Rubner, Managing Director and Tactical Expert at Goldman Sachs Global Markets, published a report following last night's U.S. stock market rally, bluntly stating that this is his final bullish email on U.S. stocks for this quarter. He pointed out: > “Everyone is in this pool, including retail investors, 401(k) retirement fund inflows, beginning-of-year fund allocations, and corporations. The dynamics of fund flow demand are rapidly changing, and negative seasonality is approaching.” This suggests that the market is already too crowded, and the momentum for buying on dips is rapidly diminishing. The following data further confirms the extreme crowding in the market: 1. Assets in leveraged long equity ETFs reached a record high of $95 billion last week, compared to $67.6 billion during the stock market frenzy of 2021. 2. Since the third quarter of 2022, the total assets of funds using derivatives for long bets have tripled. 3. Assets in leveraged short equity ETFs decreased by $13.3 billion, falling to $8.5 billion. In other words, for every $1 in leveraged short ETFs, there is a record $11 in leveraged long ETFs. The level of crowding in market trading has reached an extreme, or even "crazy," state. This extreme risk appetite has planted hidden risks for the future trajectory of the market. --- 3. Why did gold pull back? In such an extreme market environment for U.S. stocks, gold, as a safe-haven asset, failed to reach new highs last Friday and instead retreated. The reasons behind this phenomenon mainly include the following: 1. A stronger U.S. dollar Due to rising expectations that the Fed may resume rate hikes, the U.S. Dollar Index saw a significant rebound last Friday. Gold prices typically have a negative correlation with the dollar, and a stronger dollar directly suppressed gold's upward momentum. 2. Rising real interest rates The upward movement in the two-year U.S. Treasury yield and the market's repricing of the Fed's monetary policy caused real interest rates to rise. Gold, as a non-yielding asset, is highly sensitive to real interest rates. Rising real interest rates weaken gold's appeal. 3. Market sentiment shifting toward risk assets Despite the market's uncertainties, the strong performance of U.S. stocks attracted substantial capital inflows into risk assets. Increased risk appetite among investors reduced demand for safe-haven assets like gold. 4. Technical resistance From a technical analysis perspective, gold faced significant resistance near its previous highs. Profit-taking by bulls further exacerbated gold's pullback. --- 4. Technical Analysis Weekly Chart It is evident that gold has entered a period of consolidation near its top. Last week closed with a bearish candle, forming a multi-candle evening star pattern on the weekly chart, which is a bearish reversal signal. For the upcoming week, the trading strategy will focus on identifying short opportunities on lower timeframes. Four-Hour Chart The five-wave structure appears to have ended, with the final wave reaching higher and broader levels than previously anticipated. Considering the gradual formation of a top structure, next week's trading plan will focus on short opportunities below the four-hour EMA. --- GOOD LUCK! LESS IS MORE!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FUNTRADER-Vera
XAUUSD strong bullish mode opportunity all time high market (gold big flying soon) 1. Resistance Area May Not Hold The marked resistance area could be weak if bullish momentum continues strongly, especially with a breakout above recent highs. If price consolidates near resistance without strong rejection, it may indicate accumulation rather than reversal 2. Support Areas Could Fail The support zones might not hold if there's a strong bearish catalyst, like economic news or a shift in market sentiment. A breakdown below the strong bullish support area could signal a deeper pullback. 3. Alternative Scenarios Instead of bouncing from the lower support, the price might consolidate and range before a clear breakout direction. A false breakout above resistance could trigger a liquidity grab, leading to a sharp drop instead of an upward move. 4. Indicators & Confirmation Needed The chart does not include indicators like RSI, MACD, or moving averages, which could provide additional confirmation
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Fx_Oliviaa
GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE > READ THE CHAPTIAN Buddy'S dear friend 👋 SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold traders SMC trading point update you on New technical analysis update on gold 🪙 Gold still going to bullish trend 📈 Gold Traders Gold Ready for a new ATH 3010$. This weekend. I'm going to bullish trade on Gold. Today 💪 Take a Strong breakout Resistance level 2947 2954 back 🔙 Tast diamond zone support level. 2923 Now Gold. Don't wait more Sell Good luck 🤞🤞 Key Resistance level 2954 + 2961 + 2987 3010 Key Support level 2940 - 2930 - 2924 Mr SMC Trading point Pales Support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
Gold prices are also maintaining at historic peak levelsAccording to analysis, the domestic and foreign gold markets are being strongly influenced by the forums of the US Federal Reserve (FED) and the main US trade lists. Recently, President Donald Trump continued to announce that he could impose a 25% tax on imported cars, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals... Investors continue to look to gold as a safe foreign channel, amid worries about international trade tensions and negotiations to end the conflict in Ukraine that have not yet had positive results as expected. The USD index remained at its lowest level in about 2 months, around 106.9 points, also supporting the rise of gold prices.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Gold’s Target – Major Bullish Move Ahead? 3169.30?Gold has been following a long-term Elliott Wave cycle since 1970, and Wave 5 is now in progress! Key Wave Structure: ✅ Wave 1: $35.85 → $875 ✅ Wave 2: $252.1 (Correction) ✅ Wave 3: $1920.94 (Major Bull Run) ✅ Wave 4: $1046.54 (Final Pullback) 🔥 Wave 5: Currently playing out! Potential Wave 5 Price Targets 🎯 Using Fibonacci Extensions from Wave 3 & Wave 4: 📌 100% (1:1 of Wave 3) → $2715.38 ✅ (Hit in Nov 2024!) 📌 1.272 Extension → $3168 - $3200 (Next Major Resistance) 📌 1.618 Golden Ratio → $3748 - $3800 (Extended Target) 📌 2.0 Extension (Supercycle?) → $4300 - $4800+ 🚀 💡 Key Takeaways: Gold’s Wave 5 is accelerating, and new all-time highs are possible! If the bullish momentum continues, $3200+ is the next key zone. A supercycle rally could push Gold toward $4000 - $4800. 🔔 Will Wave 5 extend further? Drop your thoughts below! 👇🔥 #Gold #ElliottWave #XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingReni
Gold price outlook: New record highs but facing resistance !Gold's Bullish Breakout Faces Scrutiny Gold's pennant pattern breakout led to new highs, but weak momentum sparks concern. The precious metal's next move hinges on key levels at $2,947 and $2,919. Wednesday's breakout above $2,943 reached a record high of $2,947. However, a potentially weak closing price today may signal a failed breakout. To confirm strength, gold needs to close above yesterday's high of $2,937, ideally above last Friday's high of $2,940. Instead, gold risks closing below Tuesday's high, trading below that level at the time of writing. The narrow price range suggests a lackluster bullish breakout, highlighting key near-term levels: Key Levels: $2,947: Resistance $2,919: Support A decisive move beyond these levels will dictate gold's next direction. Happy trading best wishes Tom 😎
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LegendaryTom
XAUUSD approaches record highsFundamental Perspective Gold shipments from Singapore to the US surged 27% MoM in January to 11 tons, marking the highest level since 2022. The rise reflects pricing disparities in global bullion markets, with US futures trading at a premium over London spot prices amid concerns over potential Trump administration tariffs. A similar spike last occurred in 2020 during the pandemic when supply chain disruptions drove demand for physical gold settlements. Gold remains near record highs as geopolitical uncertainties and fresh tariff threats fuel demand. Technical Perspective Gold is approaching its record high and the resistance zone at 2940, which coincides with the 100% Fibonacci Extension. The price remains within an ascending channel, with higher swings indicating that the uptrend remains intact. However, with prices nearing their record high, the price could consolidate further within the 2880 - 2940 range. If XAUUSD extends its rally and closes above 2940, the price could gain upward momentum toward the channel's upper bound near 3000. Conversely, a retreat below 2940 could prompt a retracement toward the channel's lower bound and support at 2880. Author: Li Xing Gan, CMT, CFTe, Financial Market Strategist Consultant to Exness
FX:XAUUSD
by lixing_gan
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. We have just started a new 4 hour candle, and I have marked my area of interest to watch the lower time frames for confirmation for scalp buy / sell positions. Waiting for Pre NY volume in a few hours . Sometimes we will get a reversal of what happened during the London session as we get closer to the NY session. I am not saying we are going to push down, but I would think we should get a move down to take out the profitable trades still running from Long positions over the last 8 hours or so. Let's see how it plays out. BIg G gets a shout out. Happy Tuesday. Be well and trade the trend. I am currently in no trades. I crushed it yesterday so I am in no hurry to force or rush a trade. Still early in the week.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by musclemilk0075
Comprehensive analysis of the heavyweight GOLD (exclusive)Dear traders As of now, the gold price is 2909.97/ounce, with an increase or decrease of 0.37%, a high of 2915.26, and a low of 2891.4. technical analysis There was a big drop last Friday, and the decline continued on Monday to close positive. Today's opening price is between the short-term moving averages MA5 and MA10. First, pay attention to the support level of last Friday near 2877, and then the low point of 2864 near the rebound last Wednesday. Pay attention to yesterday’s rebound high resistance level of 2906-2908, and above it is the 2916 pressure level. Factor analysis: 1. There is still uncertainty in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Although there is news of negotiations, the situation is not completely clear. As long as the conflict is not completely resolved, it may trigger risk aversion in the market at any time, leading to an increase in gold prices. 2. The United States faces the dual pressure of high debt and high interest rates, which affects the credit of the US dollar, leading to the continuous purchase of gold by central banks around the world, which will provide strong support for gold prices in the long run. 3. The Fed is expected to enter a rate cut cycle, which resonates with the purchase of funds and pushes up the price of gold. 4. From the perspective of demand, the trend of global central banks buying gold has been extended. In 2024, the demand for gold from central banks of various countries reached 1,044.6 tons. It is expected that global gold reserves will continue to increase in the next 12 months. The growth in demand has room for gold prices to rise. If you agree with my analysis, please keep paying attention. I will share my views for free later. (David) OANDA:XAUUSD TFEX:GO1!
TVC:GOLDLong
by David_financial_analyst
ST/MT ViewFA Analysis: 1- US and World economy are slowing down whereas Inflation is up. - For ST, this is Gold negative as Investors need to exchange Gold to absorb equity losses and buy Bonds. - For MT, this is positive for Gold. 2- End of war is Gold negative. 3- Tariffs is Gold positive. But I think Trumps will delay them and move towards Tax cuts and deregulation. The latter is Gold negative. TA Analysis: 1- Gold outlook is Long. However, market moves in waves. The weekly close was bearish. 2- Price has made HH (a new ATH last week). I think, we should expect a HL for the next few days/weeks. 2685 is the Value Area to go long for a new ATH. GL!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by OTM-Fadhl
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 14.02.2025Market Analysis & Buy Signal Trend: The market is in an uptrend, trading above the middle Bollinger Band. Resistance & Support: Key resistance levels are marked in red, while support levels are in blue. Breakout Confirmation: The price has broken above a key resistance, confirming bullish momentum. Buy Signal: Enter at 2,933.42, targeting 2,944.00 (TP) with a stop-loss at 2,926.33 (SL). Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Favorable for long entry. Recommendation: Go long while maintaining risk management strategies. 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quinn901
XAUUSD Gold is currently making a very healthy retracement, which seems to be setting up for a bullish move. Right now, it’s trading around the 2891–2895 range, a key level that could act as a potential launch point for an upward push. However, there’s also a possibility that it could drop further to the 2833–2825 zone, where strong support might trigger a rebound. This retracement is natural and necessary for the market, allowing it to take a breather before making another big move. Since January, gold has been strongly bullish, but this is the first real cooldown, giving the market a chance to reset before continuing its bullish trend. If buyers step in and defend key support levels, we could see another strong push to the upside.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by professionalgoldtrader