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XAUUSD trade ideas

Gold Trading Strategy June 16There is not much surprise when the price gap up appeared on Monday morning there is no barrier that can stop the price of gold from increasing towards ATH. Gold has a slight adjustment in Tokyo session after the price gap up touched the round resistance zone 3450. The adjustment may extend to 3413 in European session. This is a BUY zone with the expectation that Gold will regain the ATH hook. If broken, there will be some Scalping buy zones but the risk is quite high so to be safe, wait for 3398. In the long term, 3463 acts as temporary resistance for a reaction phase before Gold returns to its all-time high. Maybe before that, 3490 will have another price reaction before reaching the peak. Resistance: 3428 (Scalping) - 3444 - 3463 - 3490 Support: 3413- 3298
OANDA:XAUUSD
by VHT_Trader
3
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy for June 13.Technical analysis of gold Daily chart resistance 3500, support below 3357 Four-hour chart resistance 3450, support below 3412 One-hour chart resistance 3450, support below 3412. Gold operation suggestions: Affected by the regional situation in Israel/Iran, gold triggered emergency risk aversion and once rose to around 3445. From the current trend analysis, the support below focuses on the first-line support of 3412, and the pressure above focuses on the suppression near the daily level of 3500. The short-term long-short strength and weakness dividing line is 3412. Before the four-hour level does not fall below this position, continue to maintain the rhythm of buying on dips and look to 3450-3500. Observe the short-term chart and buy after stabilization. Buy: 3412near SL: 3407 Buy: 3392near SL: 3388
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Breakdown : Structure Shifting + Target📍 Overview: Gold (XAUUSD) has been displaying a classic technical development that traders need to pay close attention to. What initially looked like a smooth parabolic rally has now transitioned into a clear structure shift, as evidenced by the breakdown of a rounded support curve and rejection from a major resistance zone. The market is signaling a bearish retracement or even a deeper correction, and this setup offers potential trading opportunities both for short-term scalpers and swing traders. 📊 Chart Breakdown: 🔸 1. The Rounded Support Curve (Black Mind Curve): The curve outlines a strong upward acceleration phase starting from the June 9 low. This curve often acts like a dynamic support — similar to a parabolic trendline. As long as price stays above it, the momentum remains intact. In this case, Gold broke below the curve, which is a sign of exhaustion and potential bearish control. 🔸 2. Major Resistance Zone (~$3,417 – $3,427): This level has acted as a ceiling multiple times in the past, visible in earlier highs from June 5 and 6. Upon re-approaching this zone, price showed aggressive wicks to the upside followed by strong bearish candles — signaling institutional selling and profit-taking. This triple rejection reinforced the resistance’s significance. 🔸 3. Structure Mapping and Transition: After the breakdown, we observed a clean market structure shift: the formation of lower highs and lower lows, a key sign of bearish trend development. The current price action is flowing downward in an organized pattern, suggesting further downside unless a strong reversal or bullish engulfing setup occurs. 🔸 4. Next Reversal Zone (~$3,360): This area is identified as a high-probability support zone based on: Past price reaction. Previous accumulation zone from June 10–11. Psychological round number proximity (e.g., $3,350 – $3,360). Traders should monitor this level for potential reversal setups such as bullish engulfing candles, pin bars, or RSI divergence. 🧠 Market Psychology: This pattern reflects a classic distribution phase at resistance after an emotionally driven uptrend: Retail traders jump in late as the price approaches highs. Institutions begin distributing (selling into strength). Support breaks down as retail stops get triggered. Price drops into a demand zone where accumulation may begin again. Understanding this psychological cycle helps traders align with the smart money rather than chasing price action blindly. 🛠️ Potential Trading Plans: ✅ Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation Wait for a retest of the broken structure (~$3,390 – $3,400). Look for rejection patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing, shooting star). Entry: ~$3,395–$3,400 | Target: ~$3,360 | SL: Above $3,420. ✅ Scenario 2: Bullish Reversal from Support Monitor price action around $3,360 zone. Look for bullish structure forming: higher lows, reversal candles, divergence. Entry: On confirmation (e.g., bullish pin bar on 1H or 4H). Target: Back to structure at ~$3,400–$3,410. ⚠️ Risk Considerations: Avoid entering in the middle of the range. Use proper stop-loss positioning to manage volatility. Keep an eye on macro catalysts like: US inflation reports Fed commentary or interest rate decisions Geopolitical tensions that can spike gold 🧭 Summary: The market is unfolding a textbook technical setup: Resistance rejection Rounded support breakdown Bearish structure Approaching a high-probability support zone Patience is key — let price come to your level. Watch the $3,360 zone for potential reversal, and use structure to guide entries and exits. 📌 Final Note: This analysis is part of the MMC Methodology (Market Mapping Cycle), which focuses on identifying macro structure, confirming micro structure, and mapping turning points with precision. Let the market reveal itself. Don't chase — plan and execute with clarity.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
XAUUSD H4 I Bullish ContinuationBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling toward our buy entry at 3403.57, which is a pullback support. Our take profit will be at 3472, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, adding a significant level for a potential bearish reversal. The stop loss will be placed at 3347.94, an overlap support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:XAUUSDLong
by Tradu
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, Following up on last week’s chart update, we saw another perfect test of the channel top, right in line with our Goldturn Channel expectations. The new weekly candle completed the channel top challenge with precision, once again confirming the strength of our resistance levels. As anticipated, the rejection came in cleanly, followed by a correction into EMA5 detachment, which halted just short of the 3281 level, a crucial axis we've been tracking for multiple weeks. This level continues to act as firm support, holding price within an evolving range. We’re now seeing price action contained between 3281 and 3387, with potential for expansion higher as the ascending channel continues to rise. This expanding structure offers more room for strategic positioning, especially as price coils tighter within the upper band. The 3387 gap remains active and is an obvious magnet if momentum builds. As long as we stay above the half line and especially above 3281, we remain in buy the dip mode, favouring long setups off our intraday Goldturns for quick 20 40 pip scalps or swing entries when conditions align. Should we see a deeper pullback or close below 3281, we’ll reassess potential movement toward the lower channel boundary. Until then, the structure remains bullish within the channel. The Goldturn methodology continues to prove its worth, cutting through noise and keeping us aligned with the real structure of the market. Stay sharp, stay patient. MR GOLD GOLDVIEWFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
5
XAUUSD 15M CHART PATTERNYour XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) sell trade setup is as follows: --- 📉 Sell Entry: 3370 🎯 Take Profit Levels: 1. 3360 (10 pips) 2. 3350 (20 pips) 3. 3338 (32 pips) ❌ Stop Loss: 3398 (28 pips risk) --- ⚖ Risk-Reward Overview: TP Level Reward (Pips) Risk (Pips) R:R Ratio TP1 (3360) 10 28 0.36 TP2 (3350) 20 28 0.71 TP3 (3338) 32 28 1.14 --- ✅ Suggestions: The best R:R is at TP3 (1.14) – above 1:1, which is the bare minimum for many traders. Risk is higher than initial reward for TP1 & TP2 – might be worth skipping unless you're scaling out. Would you like me to turn this into a trading plan or help you set up position sizing?
TVC:GOLDShort
by Mrprofe21
Gold June 18, 2025As of today, global financial markets are grappling with synchronized pressures from weak equity sentiment, elevated Treasury yields, central bank guidance, and commodity driven inflation expectations. The backdrop is heavily influenced by geopolitical volatility, a wave of global economic prints (Japan, Eurozone, and the U.S.), and FOMC projections signaling that the Federal Reserve remains cautious despite signs of inflation easing. In Japan, economic data pointed to a mixed recovery. The Reuters Tankan Index declined from 8 to 6, reflecting some weakness in manufacturing sentiment. However, Core Machinery Orders YoY posted a robust +6.6% vs. 4.0% forecast, while Exports contracted -1.7% and Imports plunged -7.7%, reducing the trade deficit significantly to -637.6B yen from -893B. These readings signal that despite external weakness, Japanese internal machinery demand remains resilient. Turning to Europe, the eurozone’s inflation data supports a growing disinflation trend. Headline CPI fell to 1.9% YoY from 2.2%, and Core CPI came in at 2.3% YoY vs. 2.7% prior. MoM readings for all CPI measures printed 0.0%, reinforcing that price momentum has stalled. The ECB’s Elderson and Lane both acknowledged this trend, setting the tone for a more dovish summer if wage data aligns. In the United States, today's schedule was dense with economic catalysts. Housing data was relatively firm: Building Permits came in near expectations (1.42M) and Housing Starts rose to 1.35M, up 1.6%. The labor market remains tight, with Initial Jobless Claims at 246K and the 4-week average holding steady at 240K. These numbers suggest continued economic resilience but not acceleration. The MBA Mortgage Rate stands at 6.93%, continuing to weigh on affordability. The EIA’s oil stock report showed a moderate -2.3M draw in crude, alongside a surprise +1.5M build in gasoline inventories, reflecting downstream bottlenecks more than demand weakness. The FOMC kept rates at 4.50% as expected, but the new dot plot projects only one cut in 2025, compared to the two previously expected. The Fed’s projections still assume inflation gradually moderating but highlight the risk of delaying easing into late Q4. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow estimate for Q2 was unchanged at 3.5%, supporting the narrative of a soft landing without the urgency for rate relief. Equity markets reacted negatively to this macro landscape. The Dow fell -299 points (-0.70%), the S&P 500 lost -50.3 points (-0.83%), and the Nasdaq 100 dropped -218 points (-1.0%). The VIX spiked 12% to 21.40, pushing back into risk-off territory. All 11 S&P sectors closed lower, with Technology (-1.72%), Healthcare (-1.66%), and Consumer Discretionary (-1.72%) leading the decline. Energy (XLE) was the most resilient sector, closing flat as crude prices held firm. On a YTD basis, Technology still leads at +23.7%, followed by Communications (+25.4%) and Real Estate (+12.7%), but momentum is clearly weakening. Equity factor performance confirmed the defensive tone. All core size/value/growth matrices were negative, with small-cap value and growth both down -1.1%. Among qualitative factors, only Buybacks (+0.3%) and IPOs (unchanged) showed stability. Private equity, quality, and hedge fund proxies all underperformed. Momentum and low volatility outperformed slightly intraday, which often precedes late cycle rotations into capital preservation. In fixed income, U.S. Treasury yields remained firm. The 2Y yield was at 3.956%, 10Y at 4.410%, and 30Y at 4.910%, maintaining a deeply inverted curve. This inversion continues to reflect recession hedging, although long-end yields are now rising on supply pressure. Treasury ETFs showed a modest recovery: TLT +1.22%, TLH +1.12%, and TIPs +0.52%, benefiting from short-covering after recent oversold levels. Investment-grade credit was strong: LQD +0.36%, Senior Loans +0.37%, and High Yield (HYG) was flat. Convertible bonds (CWB) remained under pressure at -0.50%, consistent with the growth unwind. Globally, developed markets declined broadly. The U.K. (EWU -1.2%), France (EWQ -1.4%), and Germany (EWG -1.3%) fell in tandem, echoing weak eurozone demand. Japan (EWJ -0.82%) and Australia (EWA -0.92%) also pulled back. Emerging markets underperformed significantly: China (FXI -1.6%), Brazil (EWZ -0.70%), and South Korea (EWY -2.60%) declined on risk aversion and a stronger U.S. dollar. Commodities provided a mixed signal. Crude oil spiked intraday, with WTI at $74.94 (+4.4%) and Brent at $73.71 (+4.6%), as geopolitical risk flared and stockpiles tightened. Heating oil rose +2.27%, while gasoline gained +1.34%. Natural gas added +0.81% on weather and storage expectations. Gold remained flat at $3,387.83, while silver outperformed with a +0.32% move. In agriculture, soybeans and wheat bounced, but corn (-0.88%) and sugar (-3.64%) slid on oversupply concerns. Yields globally show differentiated behavior. The U.S. 10Y yield is 4.41%, Germany’s 10Y stands at 2.53%, and the U.K. 10Y trades at 4.56%. The yield spread between U.S. and Japan remains wide, supporting USD/JPY structurally. The U.S. 30Y yield has stabilized at 4.91%, while Japan’s 30Y is at 2.93%. This spread continues to support carry trades and reinforces the need for Japan to intervene if the yen weakens past 145. All in all, markets are shifting into a cautious consolidation phase. The Fed's steady hand, modest disinflation in Europe, firm labor data, and rising real yields all point to a delicate balance. Investors should stay underweight long-duration bonds unless auction demand improves. Sector-wise, focus should remain on energy and defensives, while trimming growth and discretionary exposure. Commodities offer upside potential amid geopolitical risk, and real assets remain in favor.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Buranku
GOLD - WAVE 5 BULLISH TO $3,600Gold moving perfectly, according to our bullish analysis which I posted for you all last week. Gold been bullish for a technical perspective for a while, now we're seeing the elite push out the fundamental factor of the Israel attack on Iran, to help Gold keep moving up. Gold is still within a 'Bullish Accumulation' phase, hence why it's not moving up very strong. Bare in mind, we are in the FINAL WAVE 5 bullish move on a HTF, so we can experience choppy price action.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by TyroneConstance
Beyond the News: Why I Trust the Charts When Trading GoldBased on the current structure, I believe gold is in the fifth wave of a larger Elliott Wave formation. On the higher time frame, the price action appears to be contained within a channel that resembles a leading diagonal pattern—where Wave 1 is typically the longest. From this perspective, I anticipate a potential retracement to the 0.618 Fibonacci level of the most recent upward move, or a test of the lower boundary of the channel before a reversal may occur. My trading plan involves two potential entry strategies: Enter at the 0.618 Fib retracement with a stop-loss set near the 0.881 level. Wait for a bounce off the lower channel, followed by a pullback and a breakout above the start of the pullback before entering the position. While no trader can be right all the time, having a structured plan with predefined take-profit and stop-loss levels is key to effective risk management and long-term survival in the markets. Why I Favor Technical Over Fundamental Analysis For those wondering why I rely more on technical analysis—especially Elliott Wave Theory—over fundamental news, here’s my reasoning: I’ve found that news and earnings-based trades often behave irrationally. A company may report strong earnings and guidance, only to see its stock sell off, fake a rally the next day, and then sell off again. Conversely, a company with poor earnings may drop ahead of the report, only to rally immediately after. These inconsistencies made it difficult to build a reliable strategy based solely on fundamental data. Over time, I observed that despite news events, the market often completes its technical structure—such as Elliott Wave formations and Fibonacci cycles—before fully reacting to news. In these cases, fundamental developments tend to accelerate or confirm the direction already implied by the technical setup, rather than override it. Gold is no exception. While it's common to assume that the S&P 500 (ES) and gold move in opposite directions due to risk-on/risk-off dynamics, I’ve noticed that they can trend in the same direction when their respective Elliott Wave structures align. This doesn't eliminate the inverse correlation concept entirely, but it highlights the importance of integrating technical analysis into a fundamentally driven view for more precise entries and exits. Ultimately, I view fundamentals as the fuel, and technicals as the engine that defines the path.
TVC:GOLDLong
by polarity
Gold Monday opening operation strategyDue to the situation in the Middle East over the weekend, gold is likely to open higher on Monday, but I am highly skeptical about its continuity. After the fermentation of the past few days, gold has met the conditions for a high opening. If it opens strongly at 3445-50 and continues, then we will focus on the 3488-93 line on Monday. If it falls back, we will continue to focus on the 3403-3408 line support. If it does not break, we will continue to go long. After all, the 3400 level has successfully bottomed out and rebounded on Friday, and the bulls are still the trend. We will continue to be bullish when we fall back. From the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below is 3403-08, and the key support below is the recent top and bottom conversion position of 3375-80. The intraday retracement relies on this position to continue the main bullish trend. Next week, we will focus on the 3488-93 line suppression. The daily level will continue to maintain the same rhythm of retracement and long positions. We need to be cautious about short positions against the trend. Gold operation strategy: 1. Buy when gold falls back to 3408-10, and buy when it falls back to 3390-95, stop loss at 3388, target at 3445-3450, and continue to hold if it breaks;
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by WillChurchill
XAUUSDXAUUSD (Gold Spot/USD) based on the provided chart data: Key Data: Current Price: 3,434.15 USD (+0.12%) Recent Range: 3,420–3,440 (consolidation zone) Critical Levels: Resistance: 3,440 → 3,442.30 → 3,500+ Support: 3,420 → 3,400 → 3,380 Volume: 32.62K (+1.40% increase) Trading Plan: 1. Neutral Stance (Wait for Confirmation) Price is trapped in a tight range. No clear trend → High risk of false breakouts. 2. Buy Signal (If Confirmed) Trigger: Sustained breakout above 3,440 (close > 3,442.30 reinforces validity). Target: 3,460 → 3,480 → 3,500. Stop-Loss: Below 3,430 (or 3,425 for tighter risk). 3. Sell Signal (If Confirmed) Trigger: Breakdown below 3,420 (close < 3,418.00). Target: 3,400 → 3,380 → 3,360. Stop-Loss: Above 3,435 (or 3,440 for aggressive entries). Critical Risk Notes: ✅ Tight Stops Essential: Use 5-10 point SLs (volatility risk). ✅ Volume Check: Only trade breakouts with rising volume. ✅ POE Alert: The Point of Control (POE) at 3,338.63 hints at deeper downside potential if 3,420 breaks. ❌ Avoid Forced Trades: No trade > low-risk opportunity. Why This Approach? Gold is testing mid-range levels after a minor uptick. Without a decisive move above 3,440 (bullish) or below 3,420 (bearish), patience is optimal. Monitor for: U.S. dollar strength & Fed policy cues. Geopolitical/news triggers (gold is sensitive to risk sentiment). Final Call: 🟡 Wait for 3,420 or 3,440 break before acting. Stay disciplined! 🚦
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by adilmaroc
Sell@3335Technically, the first key support range is at 3,240-3,260. If this area holds as effective support, it may trigger a short-term rebound. Close attention should be paid to updates on U.S. tariff policies and the evolution of the situation in war-torn countries, as geopolitical risks may exacerbate market volatility ⚠️ ⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Sell@ 3360 - 3240 🚀 TP 3310 - 3290 🚀 Buy@ 3250 - 3260 🚀 TP 3290 - 3310 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Sovereign_1
XAU/USD M30 CHART PLAN 18/6/2025Trading Setup and Strategy Explanation: Buy at: 3372 Resistance at 3390 Important Note: Resistance should be above the current price, not below. If 3375 is below 3430 it typically indicates support, not resistance. Corrected Interpretation: Here's how your setup likely looks: Buy Entry: 3390 Support (not resistance):3372 Target 1 3390 Target 2 3410 Level Type: - 3360 Support (Stop-loss zone) 3375 Entry 3410 Target 1 Trade Notes: - If XAU/USD holds above 3420, your long position is technically supported. - A break below 3403 might invalidate the bullish setup — consider a stop-loss below that. - Momentum toward 3385–3390 is possible if the market breaks out of short-term consolidation or reacts positively to macro news. Strategy Preference. Would you like a chart or confirmation based on technical indicators (RSI, trendlines, volume, etc.)?
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Jamsan_Jamy
After the Pullback, Gold May Head Toward the 3500 Mark📊 Market Overview: Gold surged to 3444 during the Asian session on rising expectations of an early Fed rate cut after softer-than-expected US CPI data. However, profit-taking pushed prices back to the 3425 zone. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: 3444 • Nearest Support: 3403 – 3406 • EMA 9: Price remains above EMA 9 → trend is still bullish. • Momentum & RSI: RSI has cooled off from near-overbought territory (~70), suggesting a short-term pullback may occur. 📌 Outlook: Gold may correct slightly toward support before resuming its upward trend if the 3403–3406 zone holds firm. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 3440 – 3444 🎯 TP: 3420 ❌ SL: 3449 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 3406 – 3403 🎯 TP: 3426 ❌ SL: 3399
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
1
live trade and break down 5k profits, 3500 targetGold price sticks to positive bias as sustained safe-haven buying offsets modest USD strength Gold price sticks to its bullish tone for the third consecutive day on Friday and trades close to its highest level since April 22 through the first half of the European session. Against the backdrop of trade-related uncertainties, a further escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East tempers investors' appetite for riskier assets.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by afri-tradesource
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉 Fundamental Analysis: The U.S. May CPI data came in below expectations, while jobless claims exceeded forecasts, reinforcing expectations of a Fed rate cut. Coupled with heightened Middle East tensions, safe-haven demand for gold has surged. The US Dollar Index retreated below 98, providing support for gold prices. Technical Analysis: The 4-hour chart shows gold in an ascending channel, indicating bullish dominance, though a pullback should be watched. Bollinger Bands resistance at 3405, support at 3350. Current price is near the upper band with a price-volume divergence, suggesting short-term momentum may weaken. Trading Strategy: Focus on long positions on pullbacks around support 3350. Consider shorting near 3405 resistance if the level holds. Trading Strategy: Sell@3405-3395 TP:3360-3350 buy@3350-3360 TP:3380-3390 Share accurate trading signals daily—transform your life starting now! 👇 👇 👇 Obtain signals👉👉👉
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MonicaLongman