Gold’s Golden Reaction — Respecting the 4H FVG Like a Pro Gold is showing a classic ICT-aligned reaction after tapping into a clean 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG), which acted as a high-probability point of interest (POI). The rejection wick and immediate bullish reaction suggest algorithmic interest has returned, hinting at a potential short-term bullish continuation.
🧠 Key Confluences:
✅ 4H FVG respected cleanly — often signals institutional accumulation when coupled with high volume and immediate pushback.
✅ COT Report Overlay: Institutional longs on gold outweigh shorts significantly (81% long), while retail is skewed bearish (69% short). This adds confidence to the long-side thesis — smart money likely pushing the upside.
✅ Price displacing higher after sweep of local liquidity — textbook liquidity grab before directional move.
🎯 Targets:
First Buyside Liquidity: 3,366.95 — this is the initial level where we may see some profit taking and possible rejection.
Second Buyside Liquidity: 3,433.85 — high-timeframe clean highs likely resting with unmitigated orders, making this a strong target.
However, due to the impulsive nature of gold, a retracement or pullback from the first target is very likely before continuation to the next liquidity level. This could present a second entry opportunity if the FVG zone holds support again.
⚠️ Risk Note:
A break and close below the FVG invalidates the bullish bias and could push price toward the prior sell-side zone near 3,257 or lower.
XAUUSD trade ideas
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Wednesday, 28th May 2024)Bias: Bearish
USD News(Red Folder):
-None
Analysis:
-Strong bearish closure on daily POV
-Looking for price to retest 4hr structure high
-Potential SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3350
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
Bullish momentum to extend?The Gold (XAU/USD) has bounced off the pivot which has been identiifed as a pullback support and xcould rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 3,287.49
1st Support: 3,211.03
1st Resistance: 3,413.48
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Understanding the Economic Calendar: A Must-Have Tool for EveryThe economic calendar is an essential tool that helps traders track economic events and indicators that may impact financial markets such as Forex, gold, and stock indices.
Common data listed in the calendar include interest rates, GDP, inflation (CPI), unemployment rates, retail sales, consumer confidence, FOMC minutes, and speeches from central bank officials. Each event shows the release time, the issuing country, detailed content, and an impact rating from low to high. Traders need to check the economic calendar daily to anticipate periods of high market volatility.
For example, when the U.S. releases interest rate decisions or the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, CAPITALCOM:GOLD gold and USD pairs often experience fast and strong price movements. Based on the calendar, traders can avoid trading right before major news to reduce risk, or take advantage of the volatility if they have experience. In addition, the economic calendar supports building medium- and long-term strategies based on economic cycles. Understanding macroeconomic trends allows traders to be more proactive and confident instead of reacting to price movements. Combining the economic calendar with technical analysis improves decision-making and risk management. Traders can access the calendar for free on reputable websites like Forex Factory, Investing, or directly within MT4 and MT5 platforms. This is a must-use tool for anyone aiming to trade professionally and with discipline.
Wishing you success and clarity in every trade.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAU/USD 23 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 22 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765.
Alternative scenario:
Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Bullish bounce for the Gold?The price is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,260.13
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,213.54
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 3,344.27
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Gold Price Outlook as Short PatternGold Price Outlook:
Gold prices recently experienced strong upward momentum, but have since seen a downside correction without a clear catalyst. The initial decline at the start of the new trading session suggests some hesitation in the market.
Currently, price growth appears constrained by two key factors:
Resistance zone 3322 / 3370
Support Levels 3270 / 3260
Investors are displaying a cautious "risk-on" behaviour, limiting safe-haven demand for gold A stronger dollar is weighing on gold, making it more expensive for holders of other currencies.
I Ned to support from you Guys Lets like and comments for more analysis share with you.
Today's gold price continues to be low and bullishToday's gold price continues to be low and bullish
News:
1: Weak dollar: The weakening of the US dollar index has increased the attractiveness of gold.
2: Geopolitical risks: The tense global situation has strengthened the safe-haven properties of gold.
3: Economic data and policies: We need to pay close attention to the European and American PMI, US employment data and speeches of Fed officials. Any dovish signals or signs of economic slowdown may further push up gold prices.
Technical analysis:
Daily level
Trend confirmation: After breaking through the $3,250 box, a shock upward pattern is formed. The three consecutive positives on the daily line firmly defend the middle track of the Bollinger Bands (near $3,300), and the next target is the upper track of the Bollinger Bands at $3,400.
Gap theory: The recent gap filling has not changed the original trend, suggesting that the upward momentum is still continuing.
4-hour level
Unilateral rising signal: Bollinger Band opening + moving average bullish arrangement, support level gradually moves up.
Key support level: $3,305 (moving average support level), strong defense level 3,285 (adjustment low on Wednesday).
Resistance level: 3350 (short-term psychological barrier), after breaking through, it may accelerate to test 3400.
Trading strategy
Entry time:
Ideal long position: 3305-3310 area (moving average support level), stop loss 3290, target 3380-3400.
If it falls below 3285, be alert to the short-term peak risk and suspend long orders.
Additional suggestions:
Before the data is released (such as the number of first-time unemployment claims, PMI, etc.), you can reduce your position to avoid volatility risks.
Pay attention to the dynamics of the G7 and the Fed's remarks. If hawkish signals are released, it may trigger a correction.
Conclusion: The short-term technical structure of gold is bullish, but be wary of data disturbances. Go long at lows near 310, strictly control risks, and target the 3400 area.
Gold Trade Plan 22/05/2025Dear Traders,
according my last Scenario`s i am waiting to see 3360,
The previous scenarios are still valid. I'm waiting for the market's reaction in the 3360–3368 zone.
if you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza!
XAU/USD...1H CHART PATTERN. GOLD (XAU/USD) long position:
🟡 Trade Setup
Buy Entry: 3234
Target: 3350
Stop Loss: (Not provided – see notes below)
🎯 Trade Summary
Metric Value
Entry Price 3234
Target Price 3350
Profit Target +116 points
Stop Loss ❓ (TBD)
Risk/Reward ❓ (depends on SL)
📊 Scenario Analysis (Assuming Some Example Stop Losses):
Stop Loss Risk (Points) R:R Ratio (vs 116pt target)
3184 50 pts ~2.3:1
3150 84 pts ~1.38:1
3100 134 pts ~0.87:1
Let me know your preferred stop loss, and I’ll finalize the table for you.
✅ Key Technical Notes:
Target 3350 is a logical round number and likely a psychological resistance. Confirm if there’s confluence (e.g., fib level, prior high, moving average).
If this is a swing trade, ideal to set SL below a recent swing low or strong support level.
Consider partial profit-taking or trailing stop if momentum is strong before 3350.
Bearish reversal?The Gold (XAU/USD) is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,350.88
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,411.31
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 3,258.51
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Gold bulls advance as expected Mainly go long on pullback.Today, gold opened lower and fell, reaching the lowest level of 3331. Then the bulls exerted their strength, reaching the highest level of 3356 and then adjusted back. The overall trend was highly consistent with the expected judgment. Looking back at the market last week, the technical side of gold continued the bullish pattern, and the oscillating upward trend was significant. From the daily level, the price repeatedly tested around the 3200 mark at the beginning of the week, and finally stabilized successfully, laying a solid foundation for the bull market. On Friday, it was supported by the 3280 mark, continuing the strong oscillating upward trend, forming a reverse middle Yang pattern, and the daily K line closed with an oscillating upward break of the middle Yang, fully demonstrating the short-term bullish pattern of gold prices, and bullish expectations continued to heat up.
Based on the current gold trend analysis, the focus below is on the 3330-3320 range support, and the focus above is on the 3380-3400 resistance. In terms of overall strategy, the bullish thinking is maintained before breaking 3320 to avoid blindly guessing the top.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3215 and a gap below at 3170. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We have a bigger range in play then usual.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3215
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3215 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3298
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3298 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3344
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3344 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3394
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3394 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3170
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3170 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET TARGET
3120
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3120 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET TARGET
3077
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3077 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3236 - 3176
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3176 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3033 - 2988
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Bearisdh reversal fro the Gold?The price is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support, which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 3,358.74
1st Support: 3,257.95
1st Resistance: 3,413.48
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GOLD → Retest of trend resistance before declineFX:XAUUSD is recovering amid uncertainty, but there is a fairly strong resistance zone ahead that could hold back growth and trigger a decline...
Since the opening of the session, the price has recovered slightly after a week-long decline. Growth is being held back by two-sided risks: on the one hand, pressure on the dollar and Moody's downgrade of the US credit rating are supporting the metal, while on the other hand, high bond yields and possible US trade agreements are limiting growth.
Investors are awaiting new statements from the Fed and are monitoring US negotiations with key partners. Amid concerns about fiscal stability and weak economic data, gold may remain in positive territory, but positive trade news could turn it down again.
Resistance levels: 3257, 3265
Support levels: 3206, 3153
A false breakout of the specified resistance will confirm the inability to continue growth. Consolidation after a false breakout of 3257 - 3265 below 3257 could trigger a reversal and a fall to areas of interest...
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Breaking of the downward trend structure...FX:XAUUSD is breaking out of the downward price channel and heading towards the zone of interest at 3346. A false breakout of resistance could trigger a correction before growth continues.
Gold is rising for the third day in a row and trading above $3,300 amid a weakening dollar and heightened geopolitical tensions. Investors are seeking refuge due to concerns about US fiscal policy, trade disputes with China, and a possible Israeli strike on Iran. Gold is also supported by expectations of a Fed rate cut and weak prospects for the dollar.
Technically, the price is heading towards the order block and resistance at 3345-3360. Since the opening of the session, the price has exhausted all its potential, and a retest of the key level may end in a false breakout and correction. However, based on the fundamental background, gold's growth may continue after the correction...
Resistance levels: 3346, 3360, 3409
Support levels: 3288, 3265, 3245
Gold has returned to the buy zone, but the fundamental background is unstable, and any weakening of economic risks could send gold back south. At the moment, the focus is on 3346-3360, with a false breakout likely to trigger a correction.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold Completes A Correction Within Bullish TrendGold made another sharp leg to the upside in first half of April, even showed some accelerating price action away from the 3,000 level. This suggests it might have been part of wave three when looking at the Daily and 4-hour time frame, so there can be more upside within a much more extended impulse structure. Possibly already now after blue wave four consolidation shows first signs of a bottom near 3120. Notice that pullback from recent high is in three legs, while price recovered out of wave (C) channel, so looks like new recovery is in the cards.
XAUUSD HIT THE TREND PATTERN, PULLBACK BEFORE CONTINUE BULLISH?OANDA:XAUUSD Good afternoon, traders!. Update XAUUSD 2H 24/05/2025
Price has successfully broken the major downtrend line, indicating a possible shift in market sentiment. As long as the price holds above the Buyer Zone (3343–3360), the bullish structure remains intact.
However, if selling pressure increases, the market may revisit the next Demand Zone at 3279–3245.
Key Levels to Watch:
Buyer Zone (Supply Flip): 3343–3360
Demand Support Zone: 3279–3245
Target Zones: 3365 (1.0), 3389 (1.272), 3419 (1.618)
Price remains supported by FVG zones and structural breakout, but confirmation is needed upon retest.
📅 Key Fundamentals Next Week:
U.S.–EU trade tensions could spark increased gold demand.
U.S. ISM Manufacturing & Construction Spending data expected — volatility likely.
Fiscal concerns in the U.S. may further support safe-haven flows to gold.
Gold Rejection in Focus – Will Bears Take Control?As anticipated from recent price action, gold’s latest movement may be signaling weakness and could act as a key trigger for short sellers. This is why I anticipate increased short-selling activity ahead. The bearish outlook is still intact. However, a rebound from resistance followed by rejection could once again attract sellers, setting the stage for a move toward the 3,180 support zone, which aligns with the upper boundary of the descending channel.
That said, failure to stay below this level could invalidate the bearish scenario and increase the likelihood of a pullback toward the upper line of the channel.
Before considering any short positions, look for clear bearish confirmation signals—such as a bearish engulfing candle, strong wick rejections from resistance, or rising sell volume.
Please note, I will not get involved without proper confirmation.