Gold in a Range — Caution for BuyersHey traders and investors!
On the daily timeframe, gold remains in a sideways range (marked by black lines).
The seller's initiative is still active and hasn't reached its target yet.
A seller zone has formed — highlighted by a red rectangle on the chart.
It’s better to look for buy setups around 3260 and 3201-3167.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
XAUUSD trade ideas
Gold Narrative OverviewGold remains in a long-term and medium-term uptrend, while currently showing signs of a short-term pullback. Given this context, the most logical stance is to continue looking for buying opportunities. However, price has reached rather extreme levels after a sharp and uninterrupted rally in recent weeks. That’s why I lean toward the expectation of at least a temporary pause followed by a downside correction and the formation of a consolidation phase.
On the local timeframe, I anticipate that the price may continue to move lower through a consolidation, targeting the previous support level around 3,201. While short-term bullish impulses are still possible, I expect the broader move to be downward. This bearish setup would be invalidated if the price breaks above 3,380.
Gold fluctuates repeatedly and is expected to fall below 3,200
📌 Driving factors
The U.S. Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics announced on Tuesday that the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% month-on-month in April, lower than the 0.3% expected by economists. However, analysts warned that inflation may rise as tariffs gradually push up commodity prices.
The United States and China announced on Monday that they would suspend tariffs for 90 days. According to the statement made by both sides after the Geneva talks last weekend, the United States will reduce tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 30%, and China will reduce tariffs on U.S. imports from 125% to 10%.
Driven by bargain hunting, gold prices rebounded on Tuesday, and the weaker-than-expected U.S. inflation data released that day also helped gold prices rise. However, trade optimism limits the strength of gold's rebound.
📊Commentary and analysis
Gold fell and then rose yesterday, and the final rebound stopped at 3,266. The trend is in line with our bearish expectations. As for the repeated fluctuations in the market, it is just a futile effort! Yesterday, due to the influence of the US CPI data, although gold rose in the short term, it was still under pressure and weakened. Today, the Asian session continued to fall in the early trading. As the support position near 3210 points is approaching, aggressive shorting is no longer appropriate!
In terms of trend, the 4-hour level trend of gold is still under pressure. Yesterday, it was under pressure at the 3260 line, and then the market fell back. Recently, it has maintained a trend of continuously moving down lows, and the rebound highs are gradually decreasing. It can be seen that the bulls are less willing to attack, which is different from the previous surge. Gold adjustment has become inevitable.
💰Strategy Package
Rebound short: short near 3265, stop loss 3269, target near 3220!
Labaron believes that
Guaranteeing the principal is the bottom line for survival, controlling risks is the armor for survival, earning income is a stage medal, and long-term stable and continuous profit is the only certificate to finally stand up from the sea of corpses and blood.
Gold Spot XAUUSD Bullish Idea for 1 Hr chartHello Friends,
Our last idea was perfectly executed. Thank you for your likes and support. The Gold has touched the support level and returning to its upper resistance.
Entry : 3240
Stop Loss: 3191
Target : 3397
What do you think? Lets move together.
Thanks
Gold Price ActionHello everyone,
As you can see, I've marked a fresh Supply Zone along with a Volume observation. Notice how price is rising while volume is falling — this typically indicates a lack of buying interest or that buyers are stepping back.
From here, we could see two possible scenarios:
Price rejects the supply zone and begins to drop
Price breaks above the zone, signaling a potential continuation to the upside
⚠️ Don't forget: CPI news is scheduled for today, so be extra cautious.
Make sure you manage your risk, trade smart, and stay focused.
Wishing you all the best — happy trading! 📊💼
XAU/USD GOLD - POST Switzerland Meet up Monday - 13/05 TRADEXAU/USD – Buy Signal After Weekend Geopolitical Developments
Following Monday's volatile price action, we’re entering a Buy position on Gold at 3254.50, with targets set at 3257.50, 3264.50, and 3278.50. Stop Loss is placed at 3233.50.
The setup comes after important developments over the weekend: Chinese President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Donald Trump held diplomatic meetings in Switzerland, aiming to ease economic tensions.
We are trading the momentum and potential continuation of this risk-off sentiment.
XAU/USD: Short-term Operation UpdateAt present, the gold price has broken through 3260. In the short term, we should pay attention to shorting at the resistance level of the Fibonacci retracement during the pullback. The range of 3270-3280 US dollars is the position for shorting, with a stop loss at 3295 US dollars. However, the probability of reaching this position is not high. Meanwhile, we can go long when the price retests the range of 3235-3230 US dollars. The key lies in the US CPI data during the US trading session.
XAU/USD
sell@3270-3280
tp:3240-3230
sl:3290
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
GOLD: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 3,242.86 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 3,268.10 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold as a Strategic Asset: Safeguarding Wealth in Uncertain TimeOANDA:XAUUSD
According to the World Gold Council, global demand for gold reached 4,974 tonnes in 2024, driven due to increased investor interest and significant purchases by central banks. Investment demand alone surged by 25% year-over-year to 1,180 tonnes, underscoring gold’s enduring relevance on the global stage.
A Long-Term Commitment: Why Gold Rewards Patience
When investing in gold, the time horizon plays a pivotal role in shaping strategy. Lots of investors claim to adopt a long-term approach, market behavior often reveals a different story-frequent panic selling during price dips or attempts to time the market bottom highlight a short-term mindset. Such tendencies can distort gold’s primary function as a tool for capital preservation and long-term stability. Consider this: an investor, who bought gold in the early 2000s at $270 per ounce and held it through 2025 would have seen returns exceeding 1,000%. Such example illustrates gold’s strength as a protective asset rather than a vehicle for quick gains. While the S&P 500 may have delivered similar returns over the same period, its performance is far more tied to economic cycles, making it less reliable during downturns. Unlike stocks or bonds, gold offers no dividends or interest, which might seem like a drawback at first glance. However, its independence from debt-related risks makes it a sought-after haven during periods of uncertainty, such as geopolitical tensions, currency crises, or recessions.
Rethinking Gold’s Value: A Key Element in Portfolio Strategy
Evaluating gold requires a shift in perspective-it’s not just a commodity like copper or oil, nor is its worth solely defined by daily price movements. Gold’s true value emerges over extended periods, serving as a complement to a well-rounded investment portfolio. Effective diversification is the cornerstone of any robust strategy, and gold often plays a critical role in mitigating risk. During market turmoil or economic crises, gold tends to either hold steady or appreciate, counterbalancing declines in other assets. Let’s take the 2008 financial crisis as an example: while the S&P 500 plummeted over 40% throughout the year, gold’s price rose from $850 per ounce at the start of 2008 to a peak of $1,000 mid-crisis, before settling around $800-$900 by year-end. This relative stability-compared to the sharp declines in equities-demonstrates gold’s ability to act as a buffer. Its lack of correlation with stocks or bonds further enhances its appeal, ensuring that portfolio losses in one area can be offset by gold’s resilience, creating a strategic safety net against economic shocks.
Some Challenges of Gold Investments That We Should Note
While gold is often hailed as a safe-haven asset, it comes with its own set of hurdles. Taxation is a significant consideration-in some parts of the European Union, selling physical gold may incur capital gains tax or VAT, particularly if transactions exceed certain thresholds, which can erode potential profits. Additionally, investing in physical gold, such as bars or coins, involves extra costs: storage and insurance fees can add up, while the risk of theft or loss remains a concern if not stored securely. Liquidity is another issue-selling physical gold may not always yield market value, unlike more liquid digital instruments. Moreover, gold’s only source of return is price appreciation, which isn’t guaranteed. If prices stagnate or decline, investors may face holding costs without any gains, emphasizing the importance of timing and a well-thought-out portfolio strategy.
Gold’s Role: A Shield Against Uncertainty
To sum it all, gold still remains a vital tool for investors aiming to preserve capital and hedge against risks in an unpredictable global environment. Its value shines brightest over the long term, requiring a disciplined approach and an understanding of broader economic trends. While not a cure-all for financial challenges, gold serves as an effective safeguard against market volatility when integrated into a long-term strategy, offering stability where traditional assets may falter.
Market Context Using TPO Profile – Bearish Bias on GOLD This idea explores the market structure using TPO (Time Price Opportunity) Profiles, which show how long price has stayed at different levels over time. TPO charts help identify value areas, balance zones, and market sentiment shifts.
🧩 Key TPO Components on the Chart:
POC (Point of Control) – The price level where the most TPOs occurred (most time spent).
VAH / VAL (Value Area High/Low) – The range where ~70% of the activity happened.
Profile Blocks – Each session shows where time clustered, forming balance or imbalance.
Blue Zigzag Line – Highlights swing structure (higher highs/lows or lower highs/lows).
🔍 Analysis & Insights:
Bearish Structural Shift
Recent price action shows a clear breakdown below VAL, signaling a move away from previous acceptance zones into price discovery.
The zigzag structure confirms a series of lower highs and lower lows—classic bearish price action.
Downward-Shifting POCs
The POC has been migrating downward, showing the market is finding value at lower and lower prices—a sign that sellers are in control.
Acceptance Below Previous Value
The current session is trading well below the prior TPO value area, confirming the market is accepting lower prices.
No Signs of Responsive Buying
There's no significant TPO clustering at current lows, meaning buyers haven’t stepped in to defend any level yet—risk of further downside remains.
🔐 Key Levels:
Resistance to Watch: 3,300–3,320 USD
A re-test and rejection here would validate continuation to the downside.
Downside Target: 3,180–3,200 USD
This area could act as the next potential balance zone or support.
🧭 Bias: Bearish Until Proven Otherwise
With price breaking and accepting below key value areas, and no meaningful buyer defense yet, the short-term bias is firmly bearish.
💬 Let me know in the comments — are you playing the breakdown, or watching for a fade and failed auction?
XAUUSD TAKE RESISTANCE FROM TRADE LINEHere I Created This XAUUSD Chart Analysis
Pair : XAUUSD (Gold)
Timeframe: 1- Hour
Pattern: Resistance Level
Momentum: Bearish/ SELL
Entry Level : SELL 3327
Resistance zone : 3335
Target Will Be : 3300 / 3272
Disclaimer : This signal is based on personal analysis for learning purposes. Trade at your own risk and always use proper risk management.
XAUUSD 15 MINUTEThe chart you've shared shows a 15-minute candlestick chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) with a highlighted trade setup:
Entry price: Approximately 3,282.635
Stop loss (red box): Around 3,291.729
Take profit (green box): Around 3,265.505
This appears to be a short position (sell) setup, aiming to profit from a decline in gold prices. The risk-to-reward ratio seems favorable, with a wider potential reward area compared to the risk.
Would you like an analysis of this setup or help calculating position sizing or risk?
Gold (XAUUSD) Elliott Wave + AO Analysis (1H Chart) – 10 May 20Overview:
This 1-hour chart on XAUUSD highlights a clear 5-wave Elliott impulse, confirmed with Fibonacci extensions and the Awesome Oscillator (AO). Current structure suggests Wave (5) is in play, offering a high-probability short opportunity from the Wave (4) retracement zone.
🧠 Elliott Wave Count:
Wave (1): Initial bearish leg
Wave (2): Minor corrective pullback
Wave (3): Strong impulse confirmed by AO convergence
Wave (4): Corrective structure that respects the top of Wave (1) — valid Elliott structure
Wave (5): Now in progress, supported by AO divergence → momentum weakening
📌 Note: Wave 1 and Wave 3 are commonly measured using AO convergence, validating the strength of the impulse waves. Conversely, Wave 5 is often identified by AO divergence, signaling trend exhaustion.
📐 Fibonacci Extension Targets (Measured from Wave 4):
Expected zone for Wave (5) termination:
1.618 Fib: $3,312.17
2.618 Fib: $3,280.25 (most common)
4.236 Fib: $3,255.05
4.886 Fib: $3,241.30 (extreme extension)
📉 Wave (5) often terminates at 2.618 or 4.236 Fibonacci levels, especially when supported by AO divergence.
📊 AO (Awesome Oscillator) Insights:
✅ Wave (1) to (3): Clear convergence validates impulse
🚨 Wave (5): AO showing divergence = weakening sell momentum
Confirms Wave (5) status and end-stage trend behavior
🛠️ 🔴 Short-Only Strategy: Trade Wave (5) From Wave (4)
Entry Criteria:
Short initiated near the Wave (4) zone (~$3,330–$3,347)
Strong rejection candle (e.g., engulfing, pin bar) or breakdown confirmation
AO turning from green to red or histogram weakening
Stop Loss:
Above Wave (4) high = ~$3,347
Take Profit Levels:
🎯 TP1: $3,312 (1.618 Fib)
🎯 TP2: $3,280 (2.618 Fib)
🎯 TP3: $3,255 (4.236 Fib)
🎯 TP4 (optional final target): $3,241 (4.886 Fib)
Risk Management Tip: Adjust position sizing to align with stop above Wave (4) and TP zones at Fib targets.
🧩 Final Thoughts:
✅ High-probability bearish structure from Wave (4)
🚫 No bullish setups considered — focus is only on shorting Wave (5)
🔍 AO confirms both impulse strength and trend exhaustion via convergence/divergence
📐 Fibs align with standard Wave (5) projections
📈 Chart Context:
Gold (XAUUSD) – 1H timeframe
Indicators: Elliott Wave, AO, Fibonacci
Analysis Date: 10 May 2025
Bias: Bearish only
Gold news dominates the market
The gold market has experienced dramatic fluctuations recently, and the market is completely dominated by news. Last Friday (May 10), after gold stopped falling and rebounded from 3202, it soared by $236 to a high of 3438 in the first two days of the week, stimulated by Trump's escalation of tariff policy. However, as market sentiment changed, it opened high and fell on Wednesday, and plummeted by $126 in a single day on Thursday. It directly broke through the 3300 mark in early trading on Friday, reaching a low of 3270, giving up nearly $200 in gains in just a few days.
Analysis of market driving factors:
Tariff policy has become the core variable that dominates the trend of gold. When Trump proposed to increase tariffs, the market was worried about the escalation of the global trade war, and safe-haven funds poured into gold crazily; and once the news showed signs of easing, bulls immediately took profits, causing the gold price to retreat sharply. In contrast, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and ongoing geopolitical conflicts have taken a back seat, reflecting the current market's extreme sensitivity to policy risks.
From a technical perspective, gold has entered a large shock pattern of fierce competition between bulls and bears. The daily level shows that the long upper shadow middle Yin line closed on Thursday confirmed the short-term top, and the MACD indicator showed a second dead cross, indicating further callback risks. The key resistance is at 3315 (MA10 and the middle track overlap) and 3345 (MA5), and the important support below is at 3237 (MA30) and 3192 (lower track). On the 4-hour chart, the MACD dead cross continues to increase in volume, the Bollinger Bands open downward, and the MA60 moving average 3310 constitutes a key resistance. The hourly line forms a row of top suppression at 3323-24, and 3310-15 becomes an important resistance area for short-term rebound.
Trading strategy suggestions:
In the current market environment, it is recommended to adopt a strategy that combines trend trading with key position game. On the short side, short with a light position near 3340-3350, stop loss 3360, target 3300-3270;
On the long side, focus on the 3270-65 support area. After stabilization, you can try short-term long, stop loss 3260, target 3300-3320;
If it further pulls back to the 3230-40 area (daily MA30), you can consider the layout of medium-term long orders, stop loss 3220, target 3280-3300.
It is particularly important to be vigilant that once it falls below the 3200 mark, it means that the medium-term trend turns bearish, and you need to stop loss immediately and wait and see.
Looking ahead, gold may continue to fluctuate greatly. Investors need to focus on three major focuses: first, the trend of Trump's tariff policy, which is still the core factor affecting gold prices; second, the need for technical correction. After a continuous plunge, there may be a rebound, but attention should be paid to the strong pressure zone of 3345-3370; finally, the change in market sentiment. If the demand for risk aversion continues to cool, the gold price may further test the 3200 mark.
Key operation tips:
Intraday trading uses 3330 as the long-short watershed. Keep a short-term thinking below, with a target of 3270-3240; if it breaks through 3330, it will switch to a short-term long strategy, with a target of 3345-3370. Mid-term investors can arrange long orders in batches in the 3200-3230 area to bet on the rising opportunities brought about by the policy shift again. It should be emphasized that the current market is volatile, and all transactions should strictly set stop losses to prevent sudden risks.
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly OUTLOOK: Poised for BULLISH ReversalOANDA:XAUUSD market has retraced approximately 50% of the previous month's range and is approaching the critical golden zone at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. After experiencing such strong bullish momentum, we've now witnessed two consecutive red weeks, suggesting a potential reversal point.
Price is currently testing the previous resistance zone, which has now established itself as support—a classic market structure confirmation. The formation of equal weekly lows beneath current price levels represents significant liquidity that could fuel an upward move.
Furthermore, the price action appears to be completing an ABC pullback pattern, which typically precedes trend continuation. This bullish outlook is further reinforced by the emergence of a falling wedge pattern, a technical formation that frequently resolves to the upside.
Overall, I expect prices to move higher in the coming week, potentially catalyzed by the upcoming Federal Funds Rate decision, which could provide the fundamental backdrop for the next leg up in gold's price trajectory.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Continue to short goldTechnical aspect:
Gold rebounded gradually after hitting 3120, and has now rebounded to around 3200. Where will gold rebound? Is there still a chance to continue to short gold?
In fact, from the current structure, gold has not shown a clear bottoming signal, so this wave of rebound can only be regarded as a technical repair after the decline; however, the rebound from 3120 to around 3200 is not small, which will significantly increase the probability of 3120 as a short-term bottom; so where will gold rise? I think gold is currently under resistance in the 3200-3210 area, and it may be difficult to break through this resistance area in a short period of time. When facing this resistance area, gold may fall under pressure and test the 3165-6155 area again;
If gold really needs to form a reversal structure, it is necessary for gold to retest the 3165-3155 area support again and form a "W" double bottom structure with the 3120 low; only in this way can a complete reversal structure be formed.
Trading strategy:
Consider continuing to short gold in the 3195-3205 area, TP: 3165-3155
Gold rebounded to the expected position, 3205 short!
📌 Driving Event
The announcement of a 90-day trade truce between the world's two largest economies also helped ease recession concerns in the United States, prompting investors to reduce expectations for aggressive monetary easing by the Federal Reserve (FED). This shift supports the continued rise in U.S. Treasury yields, further suppressing demand for interest-free gold.
📊 Commentary Analysis
Today, the price of gold fell to its lowest point in more than a month. It once hit the lowest level since April 10 at 3120, and then rebounded to the 3200 line, and the volatility increased again!
💰 Strategy Package
Short position:
Actively participate in 3200-3203 points, with a profit target around 3120 points
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot size that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
XAUUSDTrade Type: Long (Buy Position)
Entry Point: 3,221.500
Stop Loss (S/L): 3,213.500
Take Profits (T/P):
First Target: 3,230.000
Second Target: 3,240.000
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR)
S/L at 3,213.500 and Entry at 3,221.500 → Risk = 8 points.
First TP at 3,230.000 → Reward = 8.5 points → RRR ≈ 1:1
Second TP at 3,240.000 → Reward = 18.5 points → RRR ≈ 2.3:1