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XAUUSD trade ideas

XAU/USD) breakout analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, highlighting a move toward the $3,450 target. Here's the full technical breakdown --- Technical Analysis – Gold (4H) 1. Breakout from Resistance Zone Price has broken above a key horizontal resistance level (now turned support, marked in yellow). The breakout is confirmed by a strong bullish candle with momentum, suggesting buyers are in control. 2. Ascending Triangle Formation Price formed an ascending triangle, a classic bullish continuation pattern. The breakout above the upper boundary confirms the pattern, projecting a potential measured move. 3. Trendline Support & Higher Lows The structure shows a rising trendline (black), where price bounced multiple times — confirming a higher low sequence. The confluence of trendline support + breakout level adds strength to the bullish case. 4. 200 EMA Confluence The 200-period EMA (3,332.13) has been acting as a dynamic support throughout. Price retested it earlier in the move, then surged upward — validating trend continuation. 5. RSI Indicator RSI is at 71.13, entering overbought territory. This implies strong bullish momentum, but a short-term pullback to retest the breakout level is possible. 6. Target Projection Target Point: $3,450.90, calculated from the height of the triangle (~61 pts or 1.80%) added above the breakout zone. A retest of the breakout area (yellow zone) around $3,370–$3,380 could offer a better entry before continuation. Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary Bias: Bullish Current Price: $3,397.62 Support: $3,370–$3,380 zone (previous resistance turned support) Trend: Higher lows + breakout above resistance EMA Support: 200 EMA at $3,332.13 Target: $3,450.90 RSI: 71.13 – bullish but near overbought Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
Gold H1 – Impulse Wave Completed, Retracement in Motion Gold H1 – Impulse Wave Completed, Retracement in Motion 👋 Hello TradingView! I’m excited to post here for the first time and share my personal market analysis with this amazing community. Your support and feedback are truly appreciated as we work together to make TradingView even better, day by day. 🔍 Technical Overview: Gold (XAUUSD) on the H1 timeframe has completed a classic 5-wave impulsive move based on Elliott Wave Theory, topping out at $3,371.379. This key level aligns with a Buy Side Liquidity Zone and a well-defined Order Block Sell Area, suggesting potential exhaustion of the bullish momentum. Price action on the lower timeframes has already begun to form early signs of reversal, which strengthens the short-term bearish bias. 🧩 Wave Structure Breakdown: Impulse waves (1) through (5) are complete, with wave (5) marking a local high. The market now appears to be transitioning into a corrective phase aimed at sweeping downside liquidity. 📌 Key Liquidity & Demand Zones: Short-term support: $3,345 – $3,340 → This is a critical Demand + OBS zone. If this level fails to hold, price may accelerate lower toward deeper liquidity pools. Mid-term zone (FVG + Fib confluence): $3,332 – $3,320 → Strong bullish reaction is expected here if tested. Deeper demand & liquidity zone: $3,311 – $3,295 → High-probability reversal zone. Could act as a base for the next bullish swing. 📈 Trading Scenarios: Bearish Correction Scenario: Look for short setups in the $3,368 – $3,371 region (Sell Zone). Potential targets: $3,345 → $3,332 → $3,320, with an extended leg toward $3,300 – $3,295 if pressure continues. Bullish Reversal Scenario: Monitor $3,332 and deeper $3,311 – $3,295 zones for bullish price action setups. Upside targets: $3,360 – $3,370 as part of a corrective bounce or potential new leg up. 🧠 Macro Consideration: Although this week’s economic calendar is relatively quiet, ongoing global geopolitical tensions could spark increased volatility. This technical setup could align with sudden risk-off sentiment, providing sharp entries at key liquidity zones. 🔹 Author: RyanSniperGold 🎯 Specialised in liquidity-based price action, wave theory, and smart money concepts. 📌 Follow me for more frequent updates, smart trading setups, and macro-technical breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RyanSniperGold
Stronger U.S. Data Pressures Gold PricesGold remained below $3,340 per ounce on Friday and was on track for its first weekly decline in three weeks. The metal faced pressure after stronger U.S. data, including a rebound in retail sales and a sharp drop in jobless claims, reduced the immediate need for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Fed Governor Adriana Kugler backed keeping rates steady for now, pointing to economic resilience, while San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly maintained her outlook for two cuts in 2025. Resistance is at $3,370, while support holds at $3,320.
TVC:GOLD
by ChartMage
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 18, 2025📈 Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 18, 2025 🔍 Momentum Analysis D1 Timeframe: Momentum is showing signs of a bullish reversal. While we need to wait for today's D1 candle to close for confirmation, it's likely that yesterday’s upward move marks Wave 1, signaling the beginning of a new bullish trend. H4 Timeframe: Momentum is preparing for a bearish reversal → suggesting a potential corrective pullback, likely forming Wave 2. H1 Timeframe: Momentum is about to reverse upward → supporting the expectation of a short-term bullish move during the current session. 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure Update On the H4 chart, the abcde triangle correction structure remains largely unchanged. However, a strong H4 bullish candle appeared yesterday, indicating unusual market behavior that deserves attention. There are two main scenarios: - Wave 1 (black) has already completed, and the market is now entering Wave 2 correction. - Alternatively, the current movement could be Wave 4 within Wave 1 (black). 🔎 Combining Momentum & Wave Structure - With D1 momentum signaling a potential uptrend lasting the next 4–5 days, it suggests that Wave e (blue) may have completed. - This opens the door for an impulsive 5-wave advance. Specifically: + If H1 continues its bullish reversal, the current move could be Wave 5 of Wave 1 (black), targeting the 3358 level. + Afterwards, a retracement toward the 3330–3323 zone would form Wave 2 (black). + Alternatively, price might drop directly to 3330–3323, implying Wave 1 has already finished and the current move is Wave 2. 🎯 => Both scenarios converge at the 3330–3323 price zone, making it a high-probability BUY ZONE. 🧭 Trade Plan BUY ZONE: 3330 – 3327 Stop Loss: 3320 Take Profits: TP1: 3342 TP2: 3358 TP3: 3402 📌 Note: Since this is a relatively wide entry zone, it's best to wait for price action confirmation at this level before entering.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Gold Trap at 3,377 | XAUMO Thursday Setup💥🔥 Let’s Crush the Market – Updated Zones for Thursday & Friday, July 17–18, 2025 Based on the latest explosive move to 3,377.25 followed by a sharp rejection. 🔥 Current Market Status – XAUUSD Gold made a violent breakout to the upside, reaching 3,377.25 and triggering a massive wave of stop orders above. Then it snapped back quickly, confirming this was likely a distribution trap, not a clean breakout. ⸻ 🎯 Updated Zones Based on Price Action & Volume Profile ⸻ 🟢 Support / Demand Zones (Buy Zones) Zone Reason 3,334.00 – 3,330.00 POC + clear buyer defense + strong rejection in volume 3,324.70 – 3,319.69 Strong demand + last visible accumulation wick 3,313.00 – 3,308.00 VAL + base of a long trap zone 3,288.87 – 3,282.58 Classic stop hunt zone – last defense before trend reversal ⸻ 🔴 Resistance / Distribution Zones (Sell Zones) Zone Reason 3,360.90 – 3,365.99 Initial supply zone after breakout – partial distribution occurred 3,372.36 – 3,377.25 Fake top / clear sell-side stop hunt – do not buy here 3,386.01 – 3,400.84 Expansion targets – only valid if price confirms breakout above 3,377 ⸻ 📉 Base Trading Plan for Thursday & Friday: ⸻ ✳️ Scenario 1: Failed Breakout (Bearish Reversal) • 🔻 If price remains below 3,355 – 3,350 • ✳️ Bearish targets: 3,334 > 3,319 > 3,308 • 📌 Confirmation = H1 candles close below 3,334 with negative delta ⸻ ✅ Scenario 2: Breakout Confirmation (Not a Trap) • ✅ Need 4H candle close above 3,377.25 • 📈 Bullish targets: 3,386 > 3,400 > 3,408 • ✳️ Must have: Positive delta + rising volume on each new high ⸻ 📍 Expected Stop Hunt Zones Direction Trap Level Notes 🔻 Downside 3,319.00 – 3,313.00 Fast wicks without volume = Buy trap zone 🔺 Upside 3,377.25 – 3,386.00 Breakout without strong candles = distribution, not real breakout ⸻ 💎 “Scalper’s Gold” Trade for Thursday ✅ Buy Setup • Entry: 3,330.12 • Stop Loss: 3,319.00 • TP1: 3,350.00 • TP2: 3,365.00 • Confidence: 🔥 85% ⸻ ❌ Sell Setup (If Price Reverses Above) • Entry: 3,377.00 • Stop Loss: 3,384.00 • TP1: 3,355.00 • TP2: 3,334.00 • Confidence: 🧠 65% ⸻ “If you’re buying after the breakout, you’re buying from those who loaded up at the bottom and are selling to you at the top… Be the one accumulating, not the one getting dumped on.”
FX:XAUUSDLong
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Gold Likely to Extend Gains as USD Weakens, but Faces Resistance📊 Market Move: Gold surged to a three-week high near $3,370/oz, driven by safe-haven demand amid renewed trade tensions between the U.S. and EU/Mexico and threats of a 100% tariff on Russian imports. Investors are now focused on upcoming U.S. CPI data, which could trigger sharp moves if inflation comes in below expectations. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: ~$3,365–$3,372; a breakout could open the way to $3,400–$3,440 • Nearest Support: ~$3,340 (S1), then ~$3,326 (SMA50), and deeper at $3,300–$3,320 (Fibonacci zone) • EMA: Price remains above short-term EMAs (20/50/100), suggesting a continuing bullish bias • Candlesticks / Volume / Momentum: • RSI is neutral-to-bullish around 54; MACD shows strengthening bullish momentum • Bollinger Bands are narrowing, signaling potential for a breakout 📌 Outlook: Gold may continue edging higher or consolidate around the $3,365–$3,372 resistance zone if no new geopolitical shocks occur. However, if U.S. CPI comes in below expectations or if USD/Yields weaken, gold could rally further toward $3,400–$3,440. ________________________________________ 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,370–3,373 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips ❌ SL: $3,376 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,340–3,337 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips ❌ SL: $3,334
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
GOLD (XAU/USD) MA Breakout – High-Probability Long Setup!💰🚨 GOLD HEIST ALERT! XAU/USD MASTER PLAN (Thief Trading Style) 🎯 🔥 Steal Pips Like a Pro – High-Probability Gold Breakout Strategy! 🔥 🎯 Thief Trading’s GOLD Heist Strategy (Swing/Day Trade) �💸 👋 Hey there, Market Pirates & Profit Snatchers! 🌍✨ Based on our 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 analysis, we’re plotting a major heist on XAU/USD (GOLD). The plan? Buy the breakout, escape before the cops (resistance) arrive! 🚔💨 📈 ENTRY ZONE: The Heist Begins! 🚀 "Wait for the MA Breakout (3400) – Then Strike!" Bullish Confirmation: Enter on a 15M/30M pullback after MA breakout. Thief’s Trick: Use Buy Stop above MA or Buy Limit near swing lows for best risk-reward. DCA/Layering Strategy: Deploy multiple limit orders to maximize gains. 🔔 Set an ALERT! Don’t miss the breakout – thieves move fast! ⏳ 🛑 STOP LOSS: Protect Your Loot! 📍 Thief’s SL Placement: 3330.00 (4H Swing Low) – Adjust based on your risk & lot size. ⚠️ WARNING: If using Buy Stop, DO NOT set SL until after breakout – unless you love unnecessary losses! 🔥 🎯 TARGET: Escape with the Gold! 🏴‍☠️ Take Profit Zone: 3460.00 (or Exit Early if Bears Show Up!) Scalpers: Only trade LONG side – use trailing SL to lock in profits. Swing Traders: Ride the wave but watch for resistance traps! 📰 MARKET CONTEXT: Why This Heist? Neutral Trend (But Bullish Potential! 🐂) Key Factors: Geopolitics, COT Data, Macro Trends, Sentiment Shift 🚨 News Alert: Avoid new trades during high-impact news – trailing SL saves profits! 💥 BOOST THIS HEIST! (Like & Share for More Pips!) 💖 Hit the 👍 Boost Button to strengthen our Thief Trading Crew! 🚀 More Heist Plans Coming Soon – Stay Tuned! ⚠️ DISCLAIMER (Stay Safe, Thieves!) This is NOT financial advice. Do your own analysis & manage risk. Markets change fast! Adapt or get caught. 🎯 Happy Trading, Pirates! Let’s Steal Some Gold! 🏴‍☠️💛
SAXO:XAUUSDLong
by The-Thief
XAUUSD: Trading Strategy Before the US SessionAhead of the release of key US session data, gold is oscillating in a narrow range between $3340 and $3375. The daily chart shows a balance between bulls and bears. On the 4-hour chart, $3375, which coincides with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, serves as a critical watershed for the market trend. In terms of trading strategy, it's advisable to trade within the aforementioned range and follow the trend once there is a clear breakout. If gold stabilizes above $3360 and breaks through $3375, it could rally towards $3400. Conversely, if it falls below $3340 and loses the $3310 - $3320 range, it may test $3300. It's essential to confirm the direction in conjunction with fundamental news and avoid blind trading. I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_03
Analysis and strategy of gold trend on July 21: In-depth analysis of gold market and precise trading strategy Analysis of core contradictions Game of long and short forces: Short forces: Strong economic data (retail sales +0.6%, unemployment benefits 221,000) pushed the US dollar index to 98.95, and the US Treasury yield rose to 4.495% Bull forces: The safe-haven buying caused by inflation expectations formed a strong takeover, and the 3300 mark showed strong support Market signal interpretation: The deep V reversal shows the characteristics of "false breakthrough", and smart funds take the opportunity to absorb funds The negative correlation between US Treasury yields and gold has temporarily failed, reflecting the market's confusion about the Fed's policy expectations Technical three-dimensional analysis Daily level: MACD double-line golden cross, the upward momentum column is mildly increased KDJ golden cross runs above 60, not entering the overbought area Key watershed: 3320 (bullish defense line) vs 3375 (previous high resistance) 4-hour level: The rising channel is complete, and the low point gradually moves up (3309→3320) The angle after the KDJ golden cross is steep, indicating sufficient short-term momentum 30-minute short-term: 3350 constitutes the intraday long-short balance point If the Asian session falls and the callback does not fall below 3342, the strong structure will be maintained Precise trading strategy Main long plan: Ideal entry: 3332-3335 (Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level) Defense point: 3318 (Daily EMA30 support) Target ladder: 3355 (Start reducing positions and take profits) → 3372 (stop profit 50%) → 3398 (trend target) Secondary short opportunity: Trigger condition: first touch 3373 + shooting star pattern Stop loss setting: 3383 (previous high + 3 US dollars to filter false breakthroughs) Profit space: 3350-3340 (quick in and quick out) Breakthrough trading strategy: Break above 3380: chase longs when stepping back to 3370, target 3400 integer level Break below 3315: short when the price rebounds to 3325, target 3290 support Key price matrix Support level 3330 long-short boundary Support level 3310 trend lifeline Resistance level 3365 previous day high Resistance level 3375 weekly level strong resistance Special tips for risk management: Position control: single transaction does not exceed 3% of the principal Time window: US market volatility is usually magnified by 30% Emergency warning: Speech by Fed officials may trigger a $50 fluctuation The escalation of geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East will trigger safe-haven buying Operational suggestions: The current market is in a key direction selection window, and it is recommended to adopt a combination strategy of "breakthrough follow + callback buy". Focus on the breakthrough of the 3365-3375 area during the US trading period. If three consecutive 15-minute K-lines stand at 3370, the upward space will be opened. Conservative investors can wait for a pullback to the 3330-3335 area to arrange mid-term long positions.
PYTH:XAUUSD
by Gold_Entry_Point
Accurate prediction, continue to buy after retracement to 3353📰 News information： 1. The Trump administration puts pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates 2. The continued impact of tariffs and the responses of various countries 📈 Technical Analysis： Gold is currently rising rapidly, reaching a high near 3368, and the overall bullish trend has not changed yet. It is not recommended to continue chasing the highs at present. Those who are long at 3345 can consider exiting the market with profits. The technical indicators are close to the overbought area and there is a certain risk of a correction. Be patient and wait for the pullback to provide an opportunity. At the same time, 3353 has become the position with relatively large trading volume at present, and the top and bottom conversion in the short term provides certain support for gold longs. If it retreats to 3355-3345, you can consider going long again, with the target at 3375-3385. If it falls below 3345, look to 3333, a second trading opportunity within the day. If it falls below again, it means that the market has changed, and you can no longer easily chase long positions. 🎯 Trading Points： BUY 3355-3345 TP 3375-3385 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you. FXOPEN:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
Warning Signs After Gold’s Sharp Rise — Is a Pullback Coming?Today, gold rebounded from around 3345, and has now rebounded to around 3389, which is only one step away from the 3400 mark. Gold has hardly retreated during the rise, and the rise is strong. However, we can see from the small-level candle chart that gold suddenly accelerated its rise after consolidating around 3365, and continued to around 3390, and is now oscillating near the recent high trend line. After gold accelerated its rise and oscillated near the recent high trend line, this made me have to be more cautious, because we must be careful that the acceleration of gold's rise in the short term is a trap for buyers, so even if we are bullish on gold in the short term, we should not directly chase gold at a high level; according to the current structure of gold, I think it is necessary for gold to retest the 3370-3360 area support before continuing to rise and hitting 3400. Only after verifying that the support in this area is effective can it be conducive to a better rise in gold! So for short-term trading, I think we can still try to short gold now, and then wait patiently for gold to retest the 3370-3360 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen
XAUUSD 4Hour TF - July 20th, 2025XAUUSD 7/20/2025 XAUUSD 4 hour Long Idea Monthly - Bullish Weekly - Bullish Daily - Bullish 4hour - Bullish GOLD,GOLD,GOLD. This thing has been bullish on all timeframes and doesn’t really show any signs of stopping just yet. We can see two scenarios for the week ahead so let’s dive in: Bullish continuation - Price action on gold is breaking out of a descending triangle pattern. This is a strong bullish move but for us to consider trades we want the confirmation. Look for a retest of our 61.8% fib level and mostly recently broken structure. If we can spot bullish conviction coming off this level we can then consider targeting higher resistance levels like 3.395.000. Our -27% fib level lines up with this zone as well. Bearish Reversal - For us to consider Gold bearish again we would need to see something very convincing. If we did see a break below 3,320.000 with a confirmed lower high I would then consider short scenarios. Look to target toward major support levels on the way down to 3,225.000, our next monthly support zone.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by ForexLeague