The risk-averse frenzy has triggered a massive explosion of gold
📌 Driving Event
The US government's tariffs and rare earths have doubled, highlighting the safe-haven properties of gold.
The Trump administration has recently launched national security investigations into semiconductors, pharmaceuticals and other fields, indicating that the second wave of tariff wars is imminent. Former US Treasury Secretary Yellen bluntly stated that this "self-harming" tariff policy not only fails to achieve the return of manufacturing, but may lead to a break in the global supply chain and push up inflationary pressure. The market's expectations for "stagflation" in the US economy have increased, and gold, as a dual tool for anti-inflation and risk aversion, has significantly increased its appeal.
📊Comment Analysis
At present, gold has basically rushed to the sky. In April, you can basically see the fluctuation range of gold within 70-100 points every day. In this market, you say that fixed points are sometimes really fleeting, and the optimistic resistance is like paper that can be broken at the touch of a button. So is gold really going to the sky? Labaron can only say that under such favorable conditions, it is really hard to see gold fall!
💰Strategy Package
Long position:
Gold is long near 3310, defend near 3290 area, and the target is 3330-37
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
XAUUSD trade ideas
Gold (XAUUSD) Bullish Breakout Setup – Targeting 3,394.56 After EMA 30 (Red Line): Currently at 3,109.56
EMA 200 (Blue Line): Currently at 3,064.85
Price is above both EMAs, indicating bullish momentum in the short and long term.
📈 Trade Setup:
Entry Point: Around 3,162.15
Stop Loss Zone: Below the purple support box around 3,109–3,141 (right above the 30 EMA)
Target (Take Profit): 3,394.56 — marked as "EA TARGET POINT"
📊 Strategy Outlook:
Bullish Setup: The price recently broke out of a resistance zone (purple area) and retested it, confirming the breakout.
The risk-to-reward ratio appears favorable, as the target is significantly higher than the stop loss.
The upward price projection suggests confidence in a strong bullish continuation.
⚠️ Things to Watch:
Volume confirmation and price action near the entry level.
If price closes below the 30 EMA, it may invalidate the setup.
Always consider broader macroeconomic or fundamental factors when trading gold (e.g., USD strength, interest rates, geopolitical tension).
Gold latest analysis strategy signalis trading within a well-defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum indicates that buyers are in control, suggesting a potential continuation.
The price has recently broken above a key resistance zone and may come back for a retest. If this level holds as support, it would reinforce the bullish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward the 3,300 target, which aligns with the channel’s upper boundary.
As long as the price remains above this support zone, the bullish outlook stays intact. However, a failure to hold above this level could invalidate the bullish scenario and increase the likelihood of a pullback toward the channel’s lower boundary.
XAUUSD – Pullback in Progress, Awaiting Support ConfirmationGold price, after reaching the resistance zone around 3,491 USD, faced mild profit-taking pressure and corrected back to the support area near 3,394 USD, in line with the anticipated technical pattern. However, the bullish structure remains intact, with both EMA34 and EMA89 still sloping upwards, indicating the medium-term uptrend is not yet broken.
Currently, gold may consolidate between 3,394–3,312 USD before resuming its upward move. The "pullback–rebound" scenario remains favored as long as the price holds above the support near EMA34.
The U.S. Flash Manufacturing PMI is forecasted at 49.0, lower than the previous reading (50.2) → signaling concerns about economic slowdown → putting pressure on the USD → supporting gold as a safe-haven asset.
XAUUSD Rocketing Higher – Will Gold Hit $3500 Next?Gold (XAUUSD) continues its unstoppable climb, respecting a well-defined ascending trendline on the 4H chart. After a brief consolidation earlier in the month, price broke out strongly above the $3,200 zone and hasn’t looked back since.
Key Technical Levels:
Support Zones:
$3,223 – Current near-term support
$3,162 – Strong demand zone where previous breakout began
$2,981 – Last major higher low, key invalidation level for bulls
Resistance Levels:
$3,309 – Next short-term resistance
$3,434 (Current Price) – Testing new highs
$3,500 – Psychological level that could attract sellers or trigger FOMO buying
Trendline Structure:
Price is currently hugging a steep bullish trendline that’s been respected since April 8th. Every retest has led to a bounce, showing strong institutional interest.
Momentum Analysis:
Bullish candles are getting larger, indicating increasing momentum.
Very few red candles – buyers clearly in control.
No signs of RSI divergence or exhaustion yet.
What to Watch Next:
Pullback to $3,309 or $3,223 could offer a golden (pun intended) buy opportunity.
Break above $3,450 may trigger a breakout run toward $3,500 and possibly $3,600.
Break below trendline would be the first sign of weakness – caution if that happens.
Trading Idea:
Watch for a dip to $3,309 with bullish confirmation for long entries. SL below $3,223. TP near $3,500–$3,550.
What do YOU think?
Is this a rally to new all-time highs or are we nearing exhaustion? Drop your thoughts below and let’s chart this gold journey together.
Gold Price Breaks Rising Channel – Potential Bearish Reversal This 15-minute Gold Spot (XAU/USD) chart highlights a significant technical development as price action has broken below a well-defined ascending channel. After a strong bullish rally, indicated by the upward-sloping channel, the price peaked near the $3,440 level before forming a bearish reversal pattern. The highlighted area shows a potential double top or exhaustion near resistance, followed by a breakdown through channel support.
The projected path suggests a retracement toward the $3,400 level, aligning with a former support zone. Traders may interpret this as an early signal of a trend reversal or short-term correction. This setup offers a potential short opportunity with a defined risk level above recent highs.
Technical Outlook:
Chart: 15-Minute XAU/USD
Price Action: Bullish channel break
Resistance: ~$3,440
Support Target: ~$3,400
Bias: Bearish short-term correction
Today's gold analysis strategyThe gold market has experienced significant price fluctuations and corrections. From a technical perspective, the overbought correction has already arrived. The price of gold has deviated significantly from its short-term moving average, strongly suggesting that a correction is needed to complete the technical adjustment. The current correction is not a simple unilateral decline.
From a fundamental perspective, the underlying support for gold remains rock solid. Geopolitical risks, especially the continued escalation of the tariff standoff, have maintained strong demand for safe-haven assets. Therefore, this price adjustment should be regarded as a typical correction following the previous sharp rise.
Buying price: 3290 - 3295
Target price: 3320 - 3330
3400 on mark after the drop H1 &H4 TIMEFRAME
Gold is on Rising channel upto 3400 mark ! AS I'm already holding my sell trade frim 3338 with sl at Breakeven after 70% closed half lots.
BEARISH scanario:
if the candle closes below 3320 support area ,then target will be 3300 in first round then 3280 milestone. Where we have again buying opportunities upto 3400.
BULLISH Scenario
On the other hand, candle closes above 3330-3335 Bos then this Rising will be again active and have again momentum towards 3380 then 3405 on mark.
XAUUSD: 17/4 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyTechnical analysis of gold
Daily chart resistance 3400, support below 3193
Four-hour chart resistance 3358, support below 3292
One-hour chart resistance 3326, support below 3300
Analysis of gold news: On Wednesday, as US President Trump ordered an investigation into import tariffs on key minerals, market risk aversion quickly heated up, and gold prices broke through the $3,300 per ounce mark for the first time. Spot gold rose 2.76% after hitting an all-time high of $3,357 during the session. The dollar index fell 0.5%, making gold cheaper for overseas buyers, further pushing up gold prices. In this tariff war, various favorable factors continue to "escort" gold. With this rally, gold has risen 26% so far this year and is on the verge of surpassing its full-year 2024 performance.
Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday's single-day increase reached 120 $, and the overall technical pattern has completely entered the bullish rhythm. At present, all technical aspects are overbought, and short-term technical indicators have lost their effect. The overall logic of the rise is greatly affected by the external risk aversion sentiment, and the bullish momentum still exists.
From the current trend analysis, today's upper short-term resistance focuses on the vicinity of the 3326 mark, and the lower support focuses on the four-hour level 3292 first-line support. In terms of operation, continue to buy and trade with the trend when stepping back to this position. At the same time, gold is currently in a serious overbought pattern and beware of a sharp correction.
Selling is suitable for quick entry and exit, and the stop loss risk is relatively high! Buying with the trend is the right approach!
Sell: 3326near SL: 3330
Buy: 3292near SL: 3288
Buy: 3250near SL: 3245
Understanding Our Approach: High-Probability Reversals Understanding Our Approach: High-Probability Reversals with Price & Time Analysis
Hello Fellow Traders!
We often get asked about the core principles behind our analysis here on TradingView. Today, we want to share a key part of our methodology: how we combine Price Analysis and Time Analysis to pinpoint potentially high-probability reversal signals in the market.
Our goal isn't just about finding any setup, but finding setups where the odds seem stacked more favorably for a potential trend change. We do this by looking for confluence – where different factors align.
1. Price Analysis: Finding Where the Market Might Turn
What it is: This is about identifying significant price levels on the chart. Think of these as important zones, not just single lines.
How we use it:
Support & Resistance: We look for historical areas where price has repeatedly bounced off (support) or struggled to break through (resistance). The stronger and more tested the level, the more significant it becomes.
Price Action Clues: We watch how price behaves when it reaches these key levels. Are there strong rejection candles (like pin bars or engulfing patterns)? Is momentum slowing down? These clues tell us if buyers or sellers are stepping in or losing control.
2. Time Analysis: Finding When the Market Might Turn
What it is: This adds the dimension of time to our price analysis. Markets often move in cycles or react around specific time points.
How we use it:
Timing Cycles: We look for potential cycles or rhythmic patterns in price swings. Sometimes, trends tend to exhaust themselves after a certain duration.
Time Convergence: We pay close attention when price approaches a key Price Level (from step
1) around a potentially significant Time point (e.g., end of a known cycle, specific session timing, alignment with time-based indicators if used).
The Synergy: Combining Price & Time for High-Probability Signals
The real power in our approach comes when Price and Time align.
Imagine price reaching a major historical resistance level (Price Analysis).
Now, imagine this happens exactly when a known time cycle is expected to complete (Time Analysis).
This convergence signals a potentially higher probability reversal point than if only one factor was present. It tells us that where the market is and when it got there are both significant.
How You Can Apply This Concept:
Identify Key Levels: Mark major support and resistance zones on your charts.
Observe Time: Become aware of market timing – session opens/closes, news events, or potential cyclical patterns you observe.
Look for Confluence: Wait for price to test a strong level around a potentially significant time point.
Seek Confirmation: Always look for confirmation signals (like candlestick patterns or divergence) at these points of confluence before considering any action.
Important Note: Trading involves significant risk. This methodology aims to identify higher probability setups, but no method guarantees success. Always use proper risk management and conduct your own analysis before making any trading decisions. This is shared for educational purposes.
We hope this gives you a clearer insight into our analysis process! Follow us here on TradingView to see how we apply these concepts in our regular updates. Feel free to ask questions in the comments – we're all here to learn together.
Want to Level Up?
Join Shunya Trade’s Mentoring Program to master these strategies and sharpen your technical analysis skills.
Trade safely!
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Here few Historical chart study's
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PriceAnalysis, TimeAnalysis, PriceAction, TechnicalAnalysis, SupportResistance, CandlestickPatterns, ChartPatterns, MarketStructure, TimeCycles, MarketTiming, TradingSignals, ReversalTrading, TradingStrategy, MarketAnalysis, TradingView, Forex, Stocks, Crypto, Trading, Investing, DayTrading, SwingTrading, MarketCycles, FibonacciTime, Gann, TradingLevels, PricePatterns
XAUUSDXAUUSD is still in an uptrend. The price has a chance to test the 3342 level. If the price cannot break through the 3342 level, it is expected that in the short term, there is a chance that the price will go down. Consider selling the red zone.
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Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
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"Gold Bullish Setup: From Demand Zone to 3280 Target!"🟦 Key Zones
🔵 Demand Zone (Support):
📍 Around 3,210 – 3,200
🟢 Buyers stepped in here previously, forming a base for a potential upmove.
🔴 Resistance Zone:
📍 Around 3,240 – 3,250
🚫 Sellers have rejected price from this level several times.
🎯 Target Point:
📍 3280
🚀 If price breaks resistance, this is the expected move.
❌ Stop Loss:
📍 3,195.52
🛡️ Placed just below the demand zone to minimize downside risk.
📊 Price Action & Indicators
* 🟠 Current Price: 3,225.32
* 📉 EMA (7): 3,223.57 – providing dynamic support
* 🔼 Trend: Short-term uptrend with higher lows
🧠 Trade Idea
* ✅ Entry: Around 3,220–3,225
* ❌ Stop Loss: 3,195.52
* 🎯 Take Profit: 3,280
* 📌 Risk-Reward: Favorable if resistance breaks
📈 Possible Scenarios
🔸 Scenario 1:
✨ Immediate breakout through resistance → target 3,280
🔸 Scenario 2:
🔁 Pullback to demand zone → bounce → then move toward 3,280
gold oscillating trendDuring the decline on Monday, the H4 cycle did not break the Bollinger middle rail support point. We will wait for the mid-term adjustment of gold to be completed. There will be another wave of rise with the changes in the H4 mid-term. The upper side will first look at the high points of 3235-3245. Yesterday, it started to rise at 3193-3195. If it continues to rise, it will look at 3235-3245. Don't look too much at the rising space in the future. After completing this wave of rise, there may be adjustments for the small cycle. Today's long position is likely to be around 3200-3205. If it falls back to this point, you can continue to go long. The European and American sessions will see 3235-3245 in turn.
Gold operation strategy: short near 3235 above, stop loss 3245, target near 3200; long at 3200-3203 below, stop loss 3193, target 3220-3230;
GOD-SELL strategy weekly chart Regression ChannelGOLD has not had a decent correction as yet, and every day we are higher showi8ng market is hungry for it, however, it is very over extended, and it is for the careful leveraged trader to ensure we survive. I have been adding slowly with low leverage and it is good to be add further shorts to the existing positions at current levels. Just to add to the information, the RSI levels weekly to be 90..00% and higher even on Heikin Ashi suggests that the correction will be very severe.
Strategy SELL @ $ 3,475-3,515 and take profit in stages, i.e. first @ $ 3,367 and followed by $ 3,167 for now.
Gold is in a strong bullish trend. Don't be afraid of correctionThe continuation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the breakdown of the truce agreement have further enhanced the safe-haven appeal of gold.
On Monday, the price of gold surged to around $3,427.
Under such a market rhythm, there is no room for hesitation; it is advisable to follow the trend.
Never entertain the idea of reversing your position.
After the sharp rise and breaking of the previous high in the early morning, it was necessary to go long on gold once again during the afternoon or the European trading session. We planned to enter a long position around $3,384 - $3,383 in the intraday trading, and currently, the price has reached the target level as expected.
In the subsequent period, the key focus can be on the secondary inflection point of the day, which is around $3,370 - $3,368. This is the last inflection point of the upward movement, and the double bottom of the uptrend is a position where going long is a must.
After a strong upward movement, it is not excluded that the price of gold may face technical pullback pressure, especially considering that the current indicators are all in an overbought state. Therefore, while following the trend, we also need to be vigilant against risks. Avoid chasing the price at high levels and refrain from placing reckless orders.
If you are currently not satisfied with your gold trading performance and hope to avoid detours in your investment, you are welcome to communicate and exchange ideas with us!