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XAUUSD trade ideas

XAUUSD on correction H4 Timeframe Analysis Gold is currently holding the falling wedge pattern on H1 & H4 now market is range of 3330-3380 structural zone . What's possible scanarios we have? As we have seen h4 candle closes above 3335 And we have bullish potential towards 3380 .once 3345 cross keep your eyes at 3365 then 3380 milestone. On the otherhand if The H4 candle closes again below 3335 buying will be limited and market will join the 3290 zone Additional TIP: Above 3335 keep buy Below 3325 keep sell #XAUUSD
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Forexmaestro121
GOLD - WAVE 5 BULLISH TO $3,734 (VIDEO UPDATE)Here’s an updated video analysis, as ‘Minor Wave 2’ is still forming & pulling back deeper into the $3,285 zone which I mentioned for you all last week. We’ll be keeping an eye around this zone for a slow down in bearish momentum & if we get it, we’ll enter a buy trade. If momentum doesn’t slow down, we will let it go towards $3,245 & invalidate bullish structure. That way we know to look for sell’s 📉 TP1: $3,374 TP2: $4,300
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by BA_Investments
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you Influencing Factors on Gold Prices: - Geopolitical Factors: Trump announced a comprehensive ceasefire between Israel and Iran, which will greatly ease tensions in the Middle East. The market's safe-haven demand triggered by the Israel-Iran conflict will drop significantly, and investors' safe-haven buying of gold will correspondingly decrease, thus exerting downward pressure on gold prices. Historical experience shows that when there was an expectation of a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon, gold prices once fell significantly due to the reduction in safe-haven demand. - Market Expectation Factors: Although Fed Governor Bowman hinted at a possible rate cut in July, which is positive for gold, the impact of the ceasefire news may be more direct and significant. Currently, market expectations for a Fed rate cut remain uncertain—CME data shows the probability of a rate cut in July is only 8.3%. In this context, the cooling of risk aversion triggered by the ceasefire may temporarily dominate the trend of gold prices, causing gold to face correcton pressure. - Technical Aspects: Before the ceasefire news emerged, gold prices fluctuated in the range of $3,350-$3,395, with $3,350 providing certain support and $3,400 serving as the upper resistance level. It is expected that after the ceasefire news is announced, gold prices may test the support at $3,350. If the support fails, they may further fall to around $3,300. Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you XAUUSD sell@3365~3355 SL:3380 TP：3345~3330
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by David_Wilson1
6/24 Gold Analysis and Trading OutlookGood morning, everyone! Gold closed yesterday with a T-shaped candlestick. Although there was an intraday recovery after briefly breaching the MA20, the closing price remained below the MA5, indicating continued pressure on the upside. Today’s opening saw a direct drop in price, suggesting a potential break below key support. Two important levels to monitor today: Whether the closing price stays above 3355 Whether the intraday support at 3328 holds If 3328 breaks down, the 3300 level may become the next major battleground between bulls and bears. Driven by geopolitical news, gold has shown sharp volatility over the past two days. While this increases trading risk, it also presents more opportunities. From a technical perspective, today’s strategy should prioritize selling on rebounds, with buying at lower levels as a secondary approach. As always, stay disciplined and manage risk effectively.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
Excellent session yesterdayAs discussed throughout my yesterday’s session commentary:” My position: Besides all Fundamental factors / escalation, Gold isn't soaring as one could expect. Therefore I will continue Scalping #3,352.80 - #3,377.80 Neutral belt and will Trade the break-out. #3,352 towards #3,327.80 or #3,377.80 to the upside however with DX rising, I give more probabilities to the downside.“ I have firstly engaged many Scalping orders from #3,377.80 - #3,382.80 Scalp re-Buy zone towards #3,392.80 and closed all with Profit. Then late U.S. session delivered #3,352.80 benchmark test which I re-Bought in repetition and closed my Scalp orders on #3,358.80 - #62 belt. Also my Selling Swing projection was delivered (#3,327.80 test). Technical analysis: Gold is taking strong Intra-day hits in form of Three Black Crows candlestick formation and most likely Selling sequence is not stopping here. The Hourly 4 chart’s Resistance cluster has rejected the Price-action twice already which gives a updated Targets with a potential extension towards #3,200.90 psychological benchmark if #3,322.80 - #3,327.80 Support zone gives away. Only if #3,352.80?mark breaks to the upside and market closes (especially Weekly (#1W) closing) above, I will contemplate Buying the market as at the moment / Hourly 1 chart’s reveals no clues nor configuration is not worth entering / only Sell orders both Scalp / Swing are suitable. I don't expect today’s session Fundamental reports to be relevant, as I await Support extension test (Selling on every local High’s) due ceasefire talks / deal. My position: I will Sell every High’s on Gold especially if #3,352.80 benchmark is not recovered waiting for #3,300.80 benchmark test.
TVC:GOLDShort
by goldenBear88
Opportunities only come to those who ambush in advanceAfter Trump announced that Israel and Iran had reached a comprehensive ceasefire agreement, the market's risk aversion sentiment cooled significantly, and the price of gold once plummeted by more than $30. Although the stability of the ceasefire agreement is in doubt, the rebound in risk appetite dominates the market trend, with stock markets rebounding, oil prices falling, and demand for safe-haven assets falling. Powell will deliver a semi-annual monetary policy testimony, and the market is paying attention to his statement on the timing of the July rate cut. At present, the internal differences of the Federal Reserve on interest rate cuts have intensified. If Powell sends a signal that the number of interest rate cuts this year is limited, it may strengthen the rebound of the US dollar and suppress gold prices; on the contrary, if the stance is dovish, it may ease the downward pressure on gold prices. In the short term, the fading of geopolitical risks and the warming of risk appetite are the main reasons for the decline in gold prices, but the weakening of the US dollar and the potential dovish tendency of the Federal Reserve still provide support. In the medium and long term, global economic uncertainty, geopolitical risks and expectations of the Federal Reserve's loose policy still constitute structural support for gold. From a technical perspective, the gold daily moving average system is in an intertwined state, and the forces of bulls and bears are relatively balanced. The current short-term resistance above is around 3320-3333, which is an important psychological level. If an effective breakthrough is achieved or the upside space is opened, the support below will focus on the 3285-3295 line, which is the lower edge of the May oscillation platform. If it falls below, the pressure of the correction may increase. The loss of the middle track in the 4-hour chart further confirms the short-term weak structure and provides technical support for the downward trend. It is recommended to go long on the pullback near 3285-3295. At present, gold continues to fall in line with the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
Gold’s Future: Contrary to Expectations?With rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, many analysts and global financial institutions have begun betting on a potential increase in gold prices. Some major banks have even raised their forecasts for gold to as high as $4,000 per ounce, raising a critical question: Will gold prices truly rise as expected, or are the markets heading toward a different outcome, one that sees gold’s future moving contrary to expectations? Recent history has taught us much about gold’s behavior during times of crisis. Investors often turn to gold during heightened turmoil be it political, economic, or even health-related, because it is considered one of the most prominent safe havens and a key hedge against inflation. Regarding the latest political tensions, gold has shown short-term positive reactions, often spiking in response to unfolding events. However, once markets absorb the impact, prices typically stabilize or partially retreat awaiting new developments or an escalation that could reignite momentum. This scenario played out in recent weeks during Middle East tensions, specifically on June 13, 2025, when gold rose by about 1.92% in a single day, only to drop 2.99% shortly after increasing all its gains. When comparing the current situation to past events, a familiar pattern emerges. For instance, during the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022, gold prices initially surged but then started to disregard the ongoing war. A similar reaction occurred with trade tariff decisions imposed by the U.S. president where gold responded briefly to each new headline, only to retreat thereafter. In summary, gold responded to the latest Middle East developments with a slight uptick but soon absorbed the tension and returned to a more stable state awaiting a potentially more severe escalation. Technical Outlook for Gold Prices: Gold is currently trading in a downward trend on the daily chart, forming lower lows consistently. The current zone near 3366.804 is technically significant, acting as a strong resistance level that could push gold to continue its descent toward the 3225 mark. This bearish scenario would only be invalidated if the price breaks above 3451.130 and closes a daily candle above that level, signaling a possible reversal in the current trend.
CFI:XAUUSD
by CFI
Gold Trend Analysis and Trading Strategy: Interpreting Bowman's Gold Trend Analysis and Trading Strategy: Interpreting Bowman's Rate Cut Signal I. How Did Bowman's Speech "Fuel" Gold's Rally? Fed Governor Bowman dropped a key statement today: "If price growth stabilizes, I would support a July rate cut." This is like a gas station attendant telling a driver, "Prices will drop soon—fill up less for now." After fixating on inflation last year, her sudden pivot has markets convinced the Fed may finally "let off the gas." Why is this bullish for gold? Think of it this way: When the Fed cuts rates, borrowing costs fall, and the dollar "goes on sale." Since gold is priced in dollars, a cheaper dollar makes gold more attractive. While markets aren’t fully convinced of a July cut (CME data shows only 8.3% probability), Bowman’s words as a Fed "insider" are like a supermarket’s pre-sale discount announcement—some will always stock up early. II. Why Is Gold Acting Like It Hit the Brakes but Wants to Accelerate? (1) Where Is the "Brake Pad" Support? Gold prices have hit the brakes near $3,347 (June 20 low), and Bowman’s speech could trigger a rebound to $3,390—like hitting a speed bump then gradually accelerating. Technically, the $3,350-$3,370 range acts as "anti-skid lines" on the road—if this holds, gold may resume its upward drive. (2) Where Is the "Speed Limit" Resistance? The major roadblock ahead is $3,413 (June 16 high), like a highway speed limit sign. If Bowman’s remarks convince more investors of an impending rate cut, gold could break this limit to test $3,450 or higher. But beware: If Middle East tensions ease suddenly (e.g., Iran halts strait blockade threats), gold may "hit the brakes" and pull back. (3) Is the Middle East "Gas Pedal" Still Depressed? With Israel and Iran exchanging missile strikes (Iran launched a new round on June 19), it’s like a constant traffic accident on the road, driving investors into gold’s "safe haven." Current dynamics—potential Fed rate cuts (dollar discount) + Middle East conflict (hedge demand)—are jointly pressing gold’s "gas pedal," but market hesitation over whether the Fed will actually cut rates is causing volatility. **Trading Strategy Recommendations:** - **Long on Dips**: Buy near $3,350-$3,370 with stop-loss below $3,340, targeting $3,390 initially. - **Breakout Play**: Add to positions above $3,413, with profit targets at $3,450 and $3,480. - **Hedging Against False Moves**: Allocate 10% of position to inverse gold ETFs (e.g., GLL) if Middle East tensions suddenly defuse. **Key Monitor Points**: - Track real-time CME FedWatch Tool for rate cut probability shifts. - Monitor Strait of Hormuz shipping updates via Bloomberg Maritime. - Follow Fed Governor Bowman’s subsequent public remarks for policy clarity. In this tug-of-war between monetary policy signals and geopolitical risks, gold’s next move hinges on whether the "gas pedal" of rate cut expectations overrides the "brakes" of market skepticism. Maintain flexibility and align positions with confirmed breakouts rather than speculative narratives. Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you XAUUSD buy@3360~3370 SL:3350 TP：3380~3390
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by David_Wilson1
XAUUSD Update 29th JUNE 2025Last week, pullback has reached 62% fibonaci. It have an opportunity to continue the correction in to 3205 support or more lower at 3190 level support. So we need to becarefull on next week and we looking for a reversal / rejection signal from the market as a confirmation. We need to give our attention to a fundamental data also. If there is a big news on war / geopolitical or global economic in July, we could be more convidence about gold price direction. If 3155 lose...it would be more deep, but it would be unlikely. Have a good luck ! P.S : If you agree, Boost it
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by RogueXXX
THE KOG REPORT - FOMCTHE KOG REPORT – FOMC This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. A you can see traders the pre-event price action started yesterday with the hourly now playing between the MA’s and waiting for FOMC for a potential breakout. As usual, we have highlighted the key levels and added the red boxes for all of you to help navigate the movement should this not be priced in. Also remember, there is a press conference after the release, this is usually the time the market will react to anything Powell says about future plans for the economy. Now, looking at the 4H, we have support at the 3370-65 level and below that 3355. If these are attacked and give a RIP, opportunity for the long trade may be available into the 3395 red box which price will need to break to go higher. If we can break above this red box, we can then look to attempt higher price with the levels 3430, 3445 and above that 3455-60 on the horizon. It’s that red box sitting higher up around the 3470-75 region which needs to be watched if we do get up there as an opportunity to attempt the reverse trade may present itself from there depending on the volume. So in summary, we have 3 key levels in play, ideally a move upside and rejection from the 3400-6 level giving a further dip would suit buyers to get better pricing. KOG’s RED BOX TARGETS: BREAK ABOVE 3395 for 3404, 3406, 3410, 3420, 3430, 3435 and 3459 in extension of the move BREAK BELOW 3380 FOR 3375, 3364, 3351, 3342, 3333 AND 3327 IN EXTENSION OF THE MOVE LEARN AND GENERATE YOUR OWN SIGNALS. You don't need any of us to guide you. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
23
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youGold Price Surges Then Pulls Back Amid Middle East Tensions This morning, gold opened like it hit the "fast-forward" button. Tensions suddenly flared in the Middle East—after Iran threatened to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, the price surged above $3,990 at the opening. However, as Iran didn’t immediately enforce the blockade and Israel launched counterattacks, markets judged the conflict might not spiral out of control immediately. Gold prices then gradually retreated, now hovering around $3,360—about $30 below the morning’s peak. From a price trend perspective, $3,350 is a critical support level, like a wall propping up the market. As long as the price doesn’t break below this "wall," it indicates strong buying support below, leaving gold poised for a rebound. Technically, the price action also shows signs of bottoming out, serving as a bullish signal for long positions. Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you XAUUSD buy@3350~3360 SL:3340 TP：3370~3380
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by David_Wilson1
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3500 (Wave 3).Colleagues, the correction did take place and was quite deep, as I wrote earlier. However, I am leaving my target unchanged—the resistance area and the maximum of wave “3” of the higher order at 3500. The waves remain in their previous places, because none of the rules of wave analysis have been violated. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
32
XAUUSD Bearish Setup | Support Levels in SightGold has broken down from the ascending channel, indicating a potential shift in market structure toward bearish momentum. 🔎 Technical Highlights: Clear breakdown from the ascending channel Price currently facing resistance near $3,323 Two key support zones: 🟩 First Support: $3,295 – potential bounce area 🟩 Second Support: $3,258 – deeper downside target 📊 Short-Term Outlook: Expecting a minor pullback before continuation lower toward the $3,295 support. If that level fails to hold, the next target becomes $3,258. 💡 Trade Idea: Watch for rejection below $3,323 for a possible short opportunity targeting $3,295 and $3,258. Keep an eye on momentum and volume. 🔔 Note: Always use proper risk management. This setup is based on current price action and may change with market dynamics.
TVC:GOLDShort
by James-Pipstr
Trading Signals for Gold Sell below $3,443 (21 SMA -7/8 Murrray)The XAU/USD trend remains bullish as long as the price consolidates above 3,384. Therefore, it would be prudent to buy gold as long as the price consolidates above3,444, where the 7/8 Murray level is located. Gold's volatility will continue over the next few days, so we believe it could move between 3,386 and 3,356. Consequently, if gold consolidates and breaks above 3.498, it would be seen as a buying opportunity, with targets at the 8/8 Murray level around 3,600/ Last tow months, gold gapped around 3,498. This will likely be seen as a buying opportunity if the price breaks above the psychological level of $3,439 Conversely, below the R_1 around 3,443, gold will be seen as an opportunity to sell, targeting 3,400 and the bottom of the uptrend channel around 3,338. The RSI indicator is showing a negative signal, so we must be cautious when buying, as a very strong technical correction could occur.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by CEO-PREMIUM-ANALYSIS
18
The bearish trend is confirmed, it’s time to participate.Gold overnight short orders have been stopped at a loss, because it broke through the key pressure of 3325. However, we must grasp the trend of the market, adhere to the idea of ​​technical analysis as the main and news as the auxiliary, and make a comprehensive judgment. Don't be at a loss about the market analysis because of the stop loss. There is nothing wrong with waiting for the market to step back and do more, but the market does not give opportunities, but forces you to chase the rise. Of course, from the perspective of risk ratio, high altitude is definitely more stable than chasing more. From the current gold trend analysis, the focus on the upper side is the 3340-3350 line of pressure, the short-term support on the lower side is around 3310-3320, and the key support on the 3295-3301 line is focused. Relying on this range as a whole, the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple participation remains unchanged. In the middle position, it is recommended to wait and see, chase orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. Operation strategy 1: Short gold near 3340-3350, target 3325-3315. Operation strategy 2: Go long on gold around 3310-3320, target 3330-3340.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
XAUUSD Hello traders. There’s currently a great opportunity for a potential short setup on the XAUUSD pair. We just need a bit of patience. For that reason, this trade will be placed as a Sell Limit. In the coming days, I expect a moderate pullback in gold. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has reached a new all-time high, which is quite notable. If the index begins to correct from these levels, we could potentially see a strong rally in gold. Of course, this is just my personal opinion based on current market dynamics. 🔍 Trade Details ✔️ Timeframe: 1-Hour (H1) ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:3.20 ✔️ Trade Direction: Sell Limit ✔️ Entry Price: 3294.70 ✔️ Take Profit Targets: 3245.78 / 3207.00 / 3154.00 ✔️ Stop Loss: 3315.36 🕒 If momentum weakens or price consolidates in a tight range, I will keep this trade open only until 23:00 (UTC+4). After that, I’ll manually close it—whether in profit or loss—based on how price action evolves. 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes. 📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach? 💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by Nurlan_PT
Gold Drops Sharply – Breaks Below the $3,300 Support📊 Market Overview: Gold has plunged to $3,290/oz, breaking the key psychological level of $3,300 as the US dollar strengthened and Treasury yields ticked higher. Market sentiment has turned defensive ahead of Friday’s US PCE inflation data, with expectations that the Fed may maintain its hawkish stance for longer. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: $3,310 – $3,325 • Nearest Support: $3,285 – $3,272 • EMA09: Price is currently below the 9-period EMA, confirming short-term bearish momentum. • Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: o H1/H4 charts show a series of long bearish candles, with rising volume → strong selling signal. o RSI is approaching oversold levels (~28), MACD remains in a widening bearish divergence → downward pressure is still dominant. 📌 Outlook: Gold is in a clear downtrend and may extend its decline toward $3,285 – $3,272 unless a reversal is triggered by weaker-than-expected PCE data or renewed geopolitical tensions. In the near term, any technical rebound is likely to offer sell opportunities rather than a trend reversal. 💡 Suggested Trade Setup: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD • Entry: $3,300 – $3,305 (on technical retracement) • 🎯 TP: $3,285 – $3,272 • 🛑 SL: $3,315 🔺 BUY XAU/USD (high risk) • Entry: $3,272 – $3,277 (short-term bottom catching) • 🎯 TP: $3,295 – $3,305 • 🛑 SL: $3,262
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
1