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XAUUSD trade ideas

Gold (XAUUSD) - Bullish Breakout from Bearish Pennant | 4H ChartTechnical Analysis: On the 4-hour chart, Gold has completed a bullish breakout from a Bearish Pennant formation, defying its typical continuation pattern to the downside. This breakout is supported by a strong bullish candlestick close above both the pennant's upper boundary and the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating a potential trend reversal and shift in momentum. Key Highlights: Pattern: Bearish Pennant invalidated with bullish breakout. Breakout Confirmation: Price closed above the upper resistance trendline and Ichimoku cloud. Next Resistance Zone: Targeting 3,362 – 3,381 based on the measured move and price structure. Support : Immediate support at 3,286 in case of a pullback. Fundamental Context: Gold prices are rebounding amid renewed geopolitical concerns, weaker U.S. dollar performance, and increased central bank gold buying activity. This aligns with a short-term bullish narrative despite recent corrections. Any dovish signals from the Federal Reserve or weaker macroeconomic data could further fuel upward momentum. Trend Outlook: Short-to-mid term trend is bullish following the breakout. Traders should look for bullish continuation signals and volume confirmation. A sustained move above 3,340 would further validate upside potential. Must Support Me Share My Idea With Your Firends Mention Your Feed back Comment Section Note: This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and manage risk accordingly.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Traders_Team
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today Gold analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ForexMasters2000
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 01-02 May 2025📉 Gold Technical Outlook Gold has decisively broken a key support zone between $3,268–$3,274, now trading near the $3,210-20 level. This move comes amid a clear downtrend structure, with price action respecting a well-defined descending trendline. 🔍 Current Technical Context: Trend: Bearish Support Turned Resistance: $3,268–$3,274 Immediate Support: $3,210–$3,220 Resistance: Trendline and previous support zone near $3,270 A retest of the broken support zone could offer a high-risk, high-reward shorting opportunity, especially if price fails to reclaim it. However, a clean break below the $3,210–$3,220 support could trigger another aggressive selloff, with downside targets potentially extending below $3,160. 📊 Key Drivers (Geopolitical/Fundamentals) US Dollar Strength: The USD remains firm despite mixed economic data, applying pressure on gold prices. Geopolitical Easing: Reduced US-China tensions are weighing on safe-haven flows, as US approaches China for talks on tariffs. Russia-Ukarine: Russia declaring cease-fire for a week. Technical Pullback: Gold is correcting after a strong rejection from the $3,500 zone. Profit-Taking: Recent rejection led to bearish closes as traders locked in gains. Liquidity Considerations: With May 1 being a public holiday in many regions, lower liquidity could amplify volatility. Event Risk Ahead: Caution prevails ahead of key macro events including Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) and the FOMC statement. 📝 Strategy Notes: Sell-on-Rally Zone: $3,268–$3,274 (if price retests and rejects) Bearish Continuation Trigger: Break and close below $3,210 Invalidation for Bears: Sustained reclaim of $3,274 and a break above the trendline Stay nimble and monitor for reactions around the highlighted zones as event-driven volatility can cause swift moves.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by QuinnReed_Charts
Gold (XAU/USD) – Bearish Head & Shoulders Pattern in PlayGold (XAU/USD) on 4hr timeframe chart is showing signs of a potential trend reversal after forming a classic Head & Shoulders pattern on the chart. The structure is well-defined, with both shoulders forming around the $3,360 zone and a prominent head at $3,435. The neckline support lies between $3,285–$3,295, which has now been broken multiple times, signaling possible continuation to the downside. 📉 Key Bearish Targets: TP1: $3,245 TP2: $3,190 TP3: $3,115 ❌ Invalidation: A strong close above $3,376, invalidate the setup. #XAUUSD #Gold #HeadAndShoulders #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #BearishSetup #ChartPatterns
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrytJoy
Gold 4H – Compression Builds | Key Zones in FocusGold is consolidating beneath descending trendline resistance, compressing within a defined structure on the 4H chart. As volatility tightens, price is approaching a critical decision point. This post outlines the key actionable zones, ranked by risk, and highlights the stop-loss levels to manage exposure. Technical Analysis: Price action remains trapped within a descending triangle, marked by lower highs and flat support. Buyers have shown interest around the $3,313–$3,283 range, while broader structure still favors caution until a clean breakout or breakdown occurs. We’ve identified three main zones, each offering different trade opportunities based on structure and risk tolerance: 🔴 $3,313 – Minor Intraday Level (Higher Risk): This is not a formal support zone but a short-term reaction level. Positioned directly under descending trendline resistance, it's highly reactive and prone to stop hunts or liquidity spikes. Entries here carry elevated risk and require tighter stop placement. Stop-loss: Below $3,301.165 – A clean invalidation if structure breaks. 🟠 $3,283 – 4H Support Shelf (Medium Risk): A more defined level based on prior multi-candle rejections. This zone has shown stability and represents the core of current consolidation. A breakdown below here would likely trigger downside continuation. Stop-loss: $3,263.450 – Under the consolidation base, confirming bearish expansion. 🟢 $3,240 – 4H Support Zone (Low Risk – Backed by Daily Structure): This zone aligns with a broader daily support level and has not been tested in the current cycle. It offers a structurally clean and lower-risk long entry, especially for swing traders. Stop-loss: $3,218.240 – Invalidation of the daily support structure. Outlook: Bullish trigger: Break and close above $3,320 and the trendline → opens path toward $3,420 and $3,510. Bearish trigger: Clean loss of $3,283 → exposes downside toward $3,240, then possibly $3,127. Current bias: Neutral-to-bullish while price holds above $3,283 and compression remains intact. Note: The FOMC decision on Wednesday may act as a catalyst. A dovish tone could support bullish continuation in gold. ✅ Conclusion: Gold is compressing within a clean descending triangle structure. If buyers defend one of the mapped support zones, we could see a push toward $3,420 and possibly $3,510. Until a confirmed breakdown below $3,283 occurs, the bias remains neutral-to-bullish, with opportunity on structured pullbacks. Not financial advice. Like & follow for more Gold trade setups and structured market analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by husseindergham
Buy gold, it will continue to 3350!Fundamentals: Focus on Trump and the Fed; Technical aspects: Currently, gold is moving in a fluctuating upward manner, and in the short term, the effective double bottom structure constructed in the area around 3200 and 3220 supports the continued upward movement of gold. In the short term, gold is not very willing to fall, and it has not even been able to fall back below 3300 again. If gold breaks through the 3330-3335 area during the rebound, then gold will inevitably continue to rise to the area around 3350, or even the area around 3380. Trading strategy: If gold retreats next, we will mainly focus on the opportunity to go long on gold in the 3315-3305 area; TP: 3350
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Steffen_Schade
Gold Daily Outlook - XAUUSD May 4thXAUUSD Daily Outlook – May 5, 2025 Structure doesn’t lie. Gold is cooling off – but the real game might just be starting. 📊 Trend & Structure: HTF Bias: Bullish (intact), but showing signs of exhaustion. Daily Market Flow: Strong rejection from 3500 ATH → bearish correction underway. Latest Daily Candle: Bearish with large upper wick – confirms aggressive selling after liquidity grab. 🔹 Key Daily Levels: 🔻 Premium Rejection Zone Zone: 3475–3500 Confluence: Previous ATH + liquidity sweep + FVG + overextension Note: Reversal confirmed. Sellers aggressively stepped in. 🔻 Active Imbalance Zone Zone: 3375–3400 Context: Unmitigated bearish FVG formed after ATH rejection What to expect: Intraday bounces possible, but mostly mitigation unless reclaimed. 🔹 Current Reaction Zone Zone: 3220–3255 Structure: Micro CHoCH + fresh demand reaction + FVG fill Note: Bulls defending here. Breakdown = lower retracement likely. 🔻 Key Mid-Term Support Zone: 3050–3080 Reason: Daily demand + OB + prior BOS Expectation: Strongest support if price breaks 3200 – ideal HTF reentry. 🔢 Fibonacci Extension Targets (if 3500 breaks) Using impulse leg 2970 → 3500 with retrace to 3204.50: Extension Level Target Price Commentary 1.0 3500 ATH (already hit) 1.12 3558 First extension zone, minor reaction possible 1.272 3610 Institutional TP1 zone 1.414 3660 Premium FVG / liquidity target 1.618 3730 Strong continuation target, reversal zone 1.786 3785 Final blow-off area, low probability without macro push 📊 Summary: Gold reached a major milestone at 3500, swept liquidity, and is now in correction mode. As long as 3220–3255 holds, bulls may stage a short-term defense. However, failure to hold opens the door to 3050–3080, the next major structure zone. Above 3500, use extension zones to track sentiment traps and profit-taking waves. 🧠 Final Thought: From greed at 3500 to fear at 3200 — markets reset sentiment before the next move. Smart money isn’t emotional. Stay with structure, not ego. 🙏 Like this breakdown? Boost and follow us for sniper setups all week. 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action. #XAUUSD #GoldOutlook #SMC #LiquidityHunt #SmartMoneyFlow
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
Trading Performance Review🎯 April 4 – May 3 | Trading Performance Review Over the past 30 days, I executed 146 trades with a data-driven strategy focused on risk-adjusted returns and quantitative consistency. 🔍 Performance Metrics: Total Trades: 146 Win Rate: 70.55% Winning Trades: 103 Losing Trades: 43 Profitable Days: 22 / 30 No-Trade Days: 2 Winning vs Losing Trade Ratio: ✅ Winning Trades: 70.5% ❌ Losing Trades: 29.5% Daily Outcome Distribution: 🟢 Profitable Days: 73.3% 🔴 Loss Days: 20% ⚪ No Trade: 6.7% 📈 This outcome reflects a strategy rooted in structured risk management, discipline, and probability-based execution — not impulsive decisions. Each trade was placed with purpose, not emotion. With every data point, my trading edge sharpens. The goal remains the same: consistent performance through controlled risk and strategic action. Progress is not measured by the number of trades, but by the quality of each decision.
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by Nurlan_PT
The non - farm payrolls data has "disrupted" the gold market.This week’s trading wrapped up successfully. Our exclusive VIP trading signals achieved a 95% accuracy rate! After the release of the non-farm payrolls data last night, the gold price dropped as expected, but then it quickly bottomed out and rebounded, continuing to maintain a volatile trend. Recently, the impact of the non-farm payrolls data on the gold market seems to be gradually weakening, and its fluctuation range is even smaller than usual. In the 1-hour chart of gold, the moving averages formed a bearish arrangement with a death cross pointing downward, and they eventually continued to diverge downward. Currently, gold is under pressure and has pulled back under the suppression at the level of 3,270. Therefore, the area around 3,270 will still be a crucial turning point between the bulls and bears of gold next week. Although there was a rebound in the late night for gold, in fact, the extent of the rebound was not significant compared with the decline. If gold fails to break through the pressure at 3,270 next week, at most, it will just be in a range-bound situation, and the bullish trend of gold will not reverse easily for the time being. Trading Strategy: Sell@3260-3270 TP:3230-3240 If your current gold trading performance is not satisfactory and you hope to avoid detours in your investment, you are welcome to communicate and exchange ideas with us!
TVC:GOLDShort
by HilaryBloomer
Latest gold price range: 3230-3270Latest gold price range: 3230-3270 Important news: The non-farm payrolls data released on Friday was strong: the next rate cut by the Fed may have to wait until July at least. If the employment data is strong again in the future, the timing of the rate cut may be further delayed. After the release of the non-farm data last night, the gold price fell as expected, but then quickly bottomed out and rebounded, continuing to fluctuate. At present, the gold price is under pressure at the 3270 line and has fallen back, so the area near 3270 will still be the key turning point for gold bulls and bears next week. If the gold price is under pressure at 3270 next week and does not break, it will fluctuate at most, and the gold bulls will not reverse directly and easily for the time being. From the 4-hour chart analysis, the non-farm market has basically ended, and the upper side continues to pay attention to the suppression of the 3270 line, with a focus on 3300. From a technical point of view, the gold daily line shows a bottoming rebound trend, and the price forms a short-term support in the 3230 line area. Upper pressure: 3270-3300 Lower support: 3220-3230 Operation strategy: 1. It is recommended to short gold near 3260-3270 next week, stop loss 3270, target: 3240-3230-3220. 2. Long gold near 3220-3230, stop loss 3210, target: 3240-3260. If it breaks through, continue to hold;
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Louisa00112
Summary of the Gold Market This WeekThis week, the gold market showed a clear downward trend, with spot gold accumulating a 2.43% decline.👉👉👉 The economic data had a significant impact on the gold market this week. Data released by the US Department of Labor on the 2nd showed that the non - farm payroll employment in the US increased by 177,000 in April, much better than the expected 138,000, and the growth data for the previous two months were revised downwards. The US unemployment rate was 4.2% in April, in line with market expectations. The strong non - farm payroll data reduced the possibility of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in June. Under normal circumstances, the reduction in the interest rate hike expectation should be bullish for gold. However, the gold market did not rise sharply this time, mainly because the gold price had risen significantly in the early stage and the long - term investors had a strong sentiment of taking profits. At the same time, the relatively good employment data also reflected the resilience of the US economy to a certain extent, weakening the appeal of gold as a safe - haven asset. As a result, the gold price did not show an obvious upward trend immediately after the data was released. Instead, it remained volatile in the short term. From a technical perspective, although the gold price has declined this week, the futures price still has certain technical advantages in the near term. On the daily chart, although a negative candlestick was recorded this week, the previous upward trend has made the moving average system still show a long - term arrangement. From the perspective of the RSI, the current value is hovering around 50, indicating that the market's long and short forces are temporarily relatively balanced, and neither side has an obvious advantage. Therefore, the gold price has entered a consolidation stage. With the economic development in Asia and the changes in consumers' demand for gold investment and jewelry, Asia's influence in the global gold market has become increasingly prominent. If the demand in Asia remains strong in the future, it will provide strong support for the gold price. On the contrary, if the demand weakens, it may increase the downward pressure on the gold price. Looking ahead to next week, the gold market still faces many uncertainties. On the one hand, the continuous changes in economic data and the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy remain key factors. If the subsequently released data continue to show the resilience of the US economy, it may further reduce the market's expectation of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, thereby suppressing the gold price. On the other hand, any new development in the international trade situation may trigger fluctuations in the market's risk - averse sentiment, thus affecting the supply - demand relationship and price trend of gold.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Trading_Grorge
How to layout gold before non-agricultural data🗞News side: 1. Progress in Sino-US tariff negotiations: The United States has recently contacted China through multiple channels, releasing signals that a trade agreement may be reached. Market concerns about trade friction have significantly cooled down, weakening the safe-haven appeal of gold. 2. The U.S. non-farm payrolls report for April will be released today (expected to add 130,000 new jobs). If the data is weak, it may strengthen expectations for an interest rate cut. On the contrary, if it is stronger than expected, the interest rate cut schedule may be further delayed. 📈Technical aspects: Gold bottomed out yesterday and has now rebounded to around 3250. For the current market situation, the previous low of 3260-3270 has become an important resistance level above the gold price after the top-to-bottom conversion. In addition, non-agricultural data will be released in the U.S. market today. Therefore, if gold wants to reverse upward, the first resistance will be in the 3260-3270 range. If the counter pull from the bottom fails to stabilize at 3270, then there will be a downward trend. If it breaks through this resistance range, it may test the 3286 line. Before the release of non-agricultural data, the European market can be shorted when encountering resistance at 3260-3270. Everyone is waiting patiently for the opportunity to enter. The following focuses on the important support of 3200. If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell
XAUUSD Gold Trade Setup – Buy & Sell Zones | 2H Chart AnalysisThis XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) 2-hour chart analysis outlines a short-term swing trading plan using key supply and demand zones. Price has reacted from the Buy Zone (3197–3216) and is showing signs of bullish reversal. The target is the Sell Zone (3347–3363). ✅ Trade Plan: 🔽 Buy Entry: Zone: 3,197 – 3,216 USD Trigger: Bullish candle breakout above the falling trendline Confirmation: Retest of breakout with bullish price action 🎯 Targets: TP1: 3,302 (mid-range level) TP2: 3,347 (Sell Zone bottom) TP3: 3,363 (Sell Zone top) 🛑 Stop Loss: Below 3,190 or latest swing low 🔼 Sell Setup (optional): Zone: 3,347 – 3,363 USD Look for bearish reversal patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing, double top) Target retrace back to 3,302 or 3,260 area
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Forexcryptowithjohn
Gold tests resistance: Will the correction continue?Gold is currently retesting a former support level, which has now turned into a significant resistance zone. I expect a continuation of the decline. It looks like the commodity market may face a broad-based pullback, partly due to the strengthening DXY. I don’t see this correction as a trend reversal — rather, it’s a natural move after a strong rally. So, if you're considering short positions, caution is advised. I'm expecting the price to move toward the area of 3100-3125.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by kventinka
XAUUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 3259.47 which is a pullback resistance aligning close to the 38.2% Fibo retracement. Our take profit will be at 3170.07, a pullback support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibo retracement. The stop loss will be placed at 3343.42, an overlap resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:XAUUSDShort
by Tradu
May 2, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary: Intraday sentiment remains bearish. The main strategy is to short on resistance retests. If you're planning to go long, only do so at clear key levels with favorable risk-reward setups. Protect capital: use Stop Losses, respect your trade plan, and cut quickly if it invalidates. Key Levels to Watch: 3260: Resistance 3250: Midpoint / psychological resistance 3245: Key intraday resistance 3233: Support 3210–3220: Volume cluster support 3200–3202: Intraday support zone 3187–3193: Final bullish defense zone 3175: Support Short-Term (15m) Trading Strategy: For Shorts: Enter a SELL if the price breaks below 3232. → Watch 3230, then 3227, 3221, and 3214 as potential targets. For Longs: Enter a BUY if the price holds above 3235. → Watch 3240 first, then 3242, 3250, and 3260 for extension targets. 👉 If my insights have been helpful to you, or if you traded based on my ideas, please consider giving a like — it’s a great encouragement for me! Thanks for your support! Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion and not financial advice. Please manage your risk accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
Gold starts a unilateral decline? 📌 Gold information U.S. stock indexes fell sharply in midday trading due to disappointing U.S. economic data. On Friday, the U.S. Department of Labor will release the crucial monthly employment report. This is likely to be the most important U.S. data point so far this year. In other news, Dow Jones News Service reported: "Tariffs are beginning to bring pressure, prompting the Eastern giant to increase stimulus to support economic growth. 📊Comment analysis For international gold, what you need to do now is to follow the market. Don't think about bottom fishing. You can do a short-term rebound during the day. When the market has clearly broken the structure, you should choose to believe in the technical side, rather than speculate on the next support. This will only be endless. At this stage, if you fail to bottom fishing, are you still ready to try again near the integer of 3200? This is not over yet. Even if it falls below 3200, the 3180 horizontal support will be immediately below. This round of decline is about to completely give up the second rise in the front end, depending on 3180. This is why I just said that 3200 will immediately encounter a new support. The reason why many people choose to go long above 3240 is also because it is the first stage of the high platform of the front-end surge, and it is necessary to defend. Unfortunately, the defense is not successful now. In other words, if you want to go short next, you have to look at the continued decline. What are the characteristics of the continued decline? You certainly can't tolerate it having an excessive rebound, so don't think about any high-altitude trading strategy. 💰Strategy Package Short position: Actively participate at 3230 points, and the profit target is around 3200 points ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the capital account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
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