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XAUUSD trade ideas

Need to pushes above for Bull recovery [Short Term] Bull momentum might catch up above 3084/3076. Meanwhile, downside opportunity continuation below 2972/2970 critical support level. Short-term / momentum builds watch for level 3018, above this level suggesting bull participant intensify. Should downward movement continuation confirmed, watch for level: 2978 / 2972 / 2966 / 2954 / 2937 / 2879 / 2853 / 2834 / 2782 / 2770 key benchmark for maintaining the long-term trend: 2727 - 2643 and 2594 - 2543
TRADENATIONSB:XAUUSDShort
by jerryfc000
Where will gold go after the sharp drop?The gold daily line decline structure continues to fluctuate downward, the moving average opens downward, and the RSI indicator runs below the central axis. The rise is not continuous, and the tariff policy still has an impact on the market. Yesterday, the market reported a 90-day tariff suspension. It can be seen that US stocks, crude oil, gold and silver are all rising rapidly, and then it is confirmed to be false news, and then they fall back quickly. It can be seen that as long as the impact of the tariff news does not change, all assets will continue to sell. At present, the market is in a two-way power game between the selling of risky assets and the rising demand for risk aversion. Although gold is a safe-haven asset, it is also facing the pressure of liquidity withdrawal. In the context of the unclear Fed policy and the continued escalation of global trade concerns, the gold price may continue to maintain a volatile pattern, and the main idea is to sell at a high level! However, the current fluctuation is too fast and the amplitude is too large, so short-term operations may not be easy to start, but the direction is still the most important, and the entry point is secondary, which means that gold will continue to fall sharply. Gold hit 2956 and then bottomed out and rebounded, but the recent market is actually volatile. Because the fluctuation is relatively large, it is reasonable to have a larger amplitude, but it increases the difficulty of operation. Gold fell back after rising again, and now it is in a large range of fluctuations, but overall, shorts are still dominant. Yesterday's Asian session had a new low, and NY time had another new low. In such a market environment, new lows continue to appear, which is a short market. When the 3000 point fell below, many investors' faith collapsed, and they firmly believed that they could hold the 3000 mark and break it at this moment, which means that the current downward trend has not ended yet, and they continue to sell with the trend. The gold 1-hour moving average continues to cross downward, and the downward momentum has not weakened; the rebound continues to sell. Although gold rushed up after filling the gap in 1 hour, it fell down quickly. Overall, it is still weak, and the short-term resistance is around 3030! Today's rebound is under pressure near 3030, but you can still continue to sell. The market is changing rapidly. Although gold seems to rebound strongly, it eventually rises and is blocked and then falls. Gold is still the home of short sellers, but now it is more volatile. Be patient and wait for a rebound. You can sell near the resistance level. Pay attention to patiently wait for the rebound and sell near the resistance level. Key points: First support: 2978, second support: 2963, third support: 2955 First resistance: 3000, second resistance: 3013, third resistance: 3030 Operation ideas Buy: 2975-2978, SL: 2966, TP: 3000-3010 Sell: 3030-3033, SL: 3042, TP: 3010-3000;
TVC:GOLDShort
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
XAUUSD H12 IdeaGold Rally Pauses, But Bullish Trend Holds Gold hit an all-time high of $3,167.84 earlier this week amid safe-haven buying sparked by President Trump’s new tariffs and China's retaliatory duties, which intensified global recession fears. The resulting forced selling in equities caused a brief pullback in gold prices. However, this dip is seen as mechanical, not sentiment-driven, with gold still up over 15% this year, supported by central bank buying, strong institutional interest, and ETF inflows. The pullback is likely temporary unless new macroeconomic shifts emerge. Ongoing Risks Support Gold’s Long-Term Bullish Outlook Despite recent market volatility, the drivers behind gold’s rally remain intact. Mohamed El-Erian raised U.S. recession odds to 50%, while Goldman Sachs raised theirs to 35%. The Fed has warned of slower growth and higher inflation due to tariffs, and gold's role as a hedge against these risks is vital. Focus on Upcoming Data Next week, key data will be in focus: the FOMC minutes on Wednesday, CPI report on Thursday, and consumer sentiment data on Friday. If CPI surprises to the upside or the FOMC minutes reveal a more dovish stance, gold could see renewed buying interest. Traders should view pullbacks as buying opportunities, as inflation, trade tensions, and recession risks continue to support gold. Technical Outlook If gold tests support at $3,000.28 and holds, it may attract new buyers. A break below could bring the $2,852.34 level into play. Shorting is risky, but if pursued, exit over $3,167.84 with objectives at $3,000.28, $2,852.34, and the 52-week moving average at $2,601.40.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by GOLDFXCC
GOLD(XAUUSD) -Weekly Forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast: 2772.38 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend. We will close our open trades, if the Midterm level 2772.38 is broken. OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Technical analysis: A trough is formed in daily chart at 2832.55 on 02/28/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 3100.00, 3150.00, 3200.00 and more heights is expected. Take Profits: 2833.00 2879.11 2955.00 3000.00 3057.40 3100.00 3150.00 3200.00 __________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍 . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?) 🙏 Your support is appreciated! Now, it's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
FX:XAUUSDLong
by ForecastCity
28
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG RANGE ROUTE MAP UPDATEDWeekly GOLD Analysis: 24th February 2025 Hello Traders, Here’s a weekly chart analysis of GOLD, offering an in-depth look at recent market trends and future outlook. Since October 2023, our consistent tracking has achieved 100% target accuracy, as shown by the Golden Circle markers on the charts. Let’s break down the highlights and what’s next. Gold reached an all-time high of $2,954.80 last week. As previously noted, close attention to the movement of the 5-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA5) was advised. The anticipated Fair Value Gap (FVG) provided strong support at $2,850, with the EMA5 approaching the first take-profit (TP1) level at $2,877, leading to a bullish surge that touched the all-time high. However, the EMA5 has yet to cross and stabilize above $2,877. This situation persists, with the EMA5 still not locked above $2,877, which is necessary for further bullish confirmation. If the EMA5 fails to cross and hold above this level, the price may reverse to test the GoldTurn level at $2,875 before potentially bouncing back upward. The key level at $2,735 remains a critical zone. Active GoldTurn levels at $2,875 and $2,735 suggest that the price may revisit these areas before advancing to TP1 and beyond. Recommendations & Strategy: * Focus on EMA5: Watch its behavior around 2877 for key signals on short- and long-term trades. * Support Levels: GoldTurn levels at 2875 and 2735 are vital for identifying reversal points and prime dip-buying opportunities. * EMA5 detachment is still due on weekly chart. For precise entry and exit points, check our daily, 12H, 4H, and 1H analyses for clearer market guidance. We’ll continue to provide daily updates, insights, and strategies on our TradingView and YouTube channels every Sunday. Don’t forget to like, comment, and share to support our work and help others benefit! The Quantum Trading Mastery
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by TheQUANTUMTraders
Gold short-term analysis, follow up and buyPolicy expectations and news are dominating the market. Tariffs have been upgraded again. Gold rose sharply to 3099.4 in late trading, close to the 3100 mark, and retreated sharply by more than $50 to 3048 before closing. The daily chart closed sharply higher. The New York closing price of the daily chart once again stood on the MA10 daily average, with a daily increase of more than 3%. From a technical point of view, the rebound to 2956 at the beginning of the week ushered in a rebound, and the lows gradually moved up. The big rise closed on Wednesday, so the previous 2956 position formed a bottoming performance, and the Bollinger Bands narrowed more and more obviously. The technical conditions for this wave of bottoming have been met, so there was a bullish outbreak in the US market on Wednesday. As long as the current gold market stands firmly at 3100, it can continue to look up to 3136 or even 3167 or higher. In the 4-hour chart of gold, we can see that the market has been rising all the way, forming a bottom low at 2956, and 2970 is the shoulder of the head and shoulders bottom. In the short term, we will first see whether it can stand above 3100, and then see whether it can form a unilateral surge and reach a new high. Therefore, trading should still be based on buying. The lower support can refer to the resistance turning into support after breaking through 3100, followed by the US market retracement position of 3062 on Wednesday. Make effective purchases above these positions, and wait for the next support position to continue to go long after breaking through. As long as these two positions are maintained, the short-term bullish trend will remain unchanged. Key points: First support: 3100, second support: 3073, third support: 3062 First resistance: 3118, second resistance: 3136, third resistance: 3154 Operation ideas: Buy: 3098-3102, SL: 3090, TP: 3120-3130; Buy: 3062-3065, SL: 3053, TP: 3090-3100; Sell: 3133-3136, SL: 3145, TP: 3100-3080;
TVC:GOLDLong
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
XAUUSD: Latest Analysis StrategiesThe main driver of the rally comes from the news that the United States will impose tariffs of up to 104% on imports from China starting Wednesday. This decision has sparked concerns about a potential global economic recession, thereby boosting demand for safe-haven assets like gold. In addition, the market is expecting the Federal Reserve (Fed) to begin a rate-cutting cycle soon, with over a 60% chance of it happening as early as May, and a projected five more rate cuts in 2025. This expectation is weakening the USD, further supporting gold prices. Although some Fed officials continue to deliver hawkish signals, concerns that tariffs could increase inflation remain and are putting pressure on the Fed's upcoming policy decisions. From a technical standpoint, an effort to shift the trend has formed above the resistance of the descending trend channel, and price is now reacting near the key resistance level at 3057. A breakout and price consolidation above 3057 will trigger the continuation of the current upward move. A retest of the previous broken consolidation resistance at 3020 may also occur. The market structure is fully bullish. A breakout above key resistance or a pullback to support levels will likely lead to the next phase of growth, but if the 3057 level is broken earlier than expected, it could eventually push this metal up to 3110.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PhoebeBryce
1
Gold bulls return strongly, can they continue?The gold market is currently in the mid-term adjustment stage of the bullish trend, and the technical side shows three typical characteristics: first, the price has built a standard shock box in the range of US$2955-3055; second, the daily Bollinger Bands continue to narrow to a bandwidth of US$23, a new low in nearly a month, indicating a significant contraction in volatility; most importantly, the 4-hour level has begun to show the embryonic form of a head and shoulders bottom pattern, with the left shoulder at US$2970, the head at US$2955, and the neckline at US$3055. This technical structure suggests that the market is brewing a breakthrough, but a major catalyst is needed to confirm the direction. Analysis of key time and space nodes From the perspective of time, the Asian session on Wednesday (02:00-14:00 GMT) needs to closely observe the breakthrough of the short-term resistance of US$3025, especially in conjunction with the volume analysis to confirm the effectiveness of the breakthrough. Entering the US session (14:00-22:00 GMT), the market focus will shift to the competition for the double top resistance of US$3055, which is often accompanied by increased volatility caused by data shocks. It is particularly noteworthy that the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting will be released early Thursday morning (02:00 GMT), which is likely to become a key catalyst to break the current deadlock. Key positions for long and short games Through multi-time frame analysis, we have identified the following key positions: Short-term level: $3025 is a bullish attack signal, and $2980 is a bearish defense line Mid-term dimension: $3055 is a trend confirmation level, and $2955 is a bullish and bearish watershed Long-term perspective: A breakthrough of $3150 will open up new upside space, while a loss of $2900 may trigger a trend reversal Based on the current technical structure, the following trading strategies are recommended: Main strategy (long layout): Position building range: $2990-2995 (Fibonacci 50% retracement level) Stop loss setting: $2982 (double protection below the previous low + integer level) Target system: The first target is $3025 Yuan (short-term profit-taking point) The second target is $3055 (confirmation point of pattern breakthrough) The ultimate target is $3100-3150 (trend extension zone) Auxiliary strategy (breakthrough follow-up): After breaking through $3025 in the Asian session, wait for a retracement to $3015 to add 2% When the US session breaks through $3055, you can chase 3% more positions Use a 30-point moving stop loss to protect existing profits Risk warning and management should focus on the following risks: Policy risk: If the Fed minutes release hawkish signals, it may suppress gold prices Data risk: US economic data exceeding expectations may trigger a technical correction Liquidity risk: Asian session false breakthrough and US session volatility increase Technical risk: A breakout of the $2955 low may trigger a programmed sell
FX:XAUUSD
by Golden_Legend
Gold Price at a Crossroads: Awaiting the Next MoveCurrently, I foresee two possible scenarios for XAUUSD. In the more optimistic scenario (black label), the recent correction is assumed to be wave ii of wave (v), which suggests that XAUUSD still has the potential to strengthen toward the 3,177–3,306. However, attention should also be given to the bearish scenario (red label). If XAUUSD fails to break above the 3,167 resistance level, it is likely that wave 3 has already been completed, and the current movement is part of wave 4. In this case, XAUUSD may decline toward the 2,489–2,832.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by herdityawicaksana
Gold XAUUSD Intra-day move 11.04.2025XAU/USD – Rally-Base-Rally Structure Forming a Bullish Continuation The current price action on Gold (XAU/USD) showcases a classic Rally-Base-Rally (RBR) formation, indicating sustained bullish momentum in the market. Multiple rally phases followed by compact consolidation zones (bases) suggest strong institutional demand stepping in at each pause, propelling price higher with each breakout. The latest base has formed in the 3,209–3,220 region, with price now attempting to reclaim this demand zone. If bulls successfully reclaim and hold above the 3,220–3,225 level, it will confirm the base as a valid support and set the stage for a fresh impulsive move to the upside. Trading Signal: If price stabilizes above 3,220, a long setup is favored with potential upside targets toward 3,250–3,260, following the RBR structure. Any clean rejection and reclaim of this base would provide a strong entry confirmation. Please follow, comment, like and boost my idea to get more daily analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quinn901
GOLD Gold makes a Record High Above $3,200 fueled by Tariff Tensions and Dovish Fed Outlook by federal reserve Gold prices rise fueled by rising safe-haven demand as the US-China trade war escalates and expectations continue to grow for a more tariff coming to balance united states trade imbalance with china . dollar weak appeal is trading below 100 a potential redflag of a weak economy and a boost for EUR,AUD,JPY,CAD,CHF,NZD,GBP investors and gold traders shares optimism after President Trump paused reciprocal tariffs for 90 days, while China now faces a 145% levy higher than the previously proposed 125%. The US Dollar continue to sink further after CPI data disappointed, Core CPI and weekly jobless claims (223K) signaled softer economic momentum, reinforcing bets of dovish stance by Fed and a potential rate cut in the coming months. Asian and European stocks trading higher, Wall Street sinking by over 2.5%, indicating growing recession fears. Gold’s surge reflects heightened risk aversion and a flight to safety as markets brace for deeper economic downturn with trump
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Main trend is up again - soon to regain 3140 area🔔🔔🔔 Gold news: ➡️ Gold prices extended their earlier recovery to trade near $3,100 in the Asian session on Thursday. Safe-haven demand amid escalating trade tensions between the United States and China provided some support for the precious metal. The selling of the US Dollar (USD) remained unabated amid the prospect of multiple Fed rate cuts in 2025 and continued to benefit Gold prices Personal opinion: ➡️ The main uptrend of gold has returned and the deep correction has ended. So it is safer for you to wait for technical pullbacks to buy at good prices ➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉 Sell Gold 3138 – 3140 ❌SL: 3145 | ✅TP: 3133– 3128 – 3123 👉 Buy Gold 3100 – 3102 ❌SL: 3095 | ✅TP: 3107– 3113 – 3123 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
Gold continues to strengthen and fluctuates widely in the short Gold stabilized near the 200-period moving average at the beginning of this week, and the current upward trend is supported by the daily chart oscillator indicators. Both the daily RSI and MACD remain in the bullish range, with obvious momentum; The upper target is concentrated in the 3167-3168 US dollar line, which is the historical high set at the beginning of this month; if it successfully breaks through this area, the gold price may enter a new upward channel. In the short term, the support level below $3100 is concentrated in the 3065-3060 US dollar range, and a break below it will open a downward channel to $3000. The $3000 mark coincides with the 200-period moving average of the 4-hour chart, which is the key long-short dividing point; If it falls below this point, it means that gold has entered the correction stage, and bulls need to remain vigilant; but the current fundamentals and market sentiment still strongly support the gold price to maintain high volatility.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
Gold/Silver Ratio Nears 100: What Does It Mean Historically?The Gold/Silver ratio is on the verge of reaching 100, an extremely rare level seen only at key historical turning points. The chart includes a 2,500-week linear regression channel, which shows that over the very long term, the ratio has been steadily rising, though at a slow pace. Occasionally, the ratio touches the 1.5 standard deviation line, and in rare, game-changing events, and sometimes it even breaks beyond that level. Here are some of the key historical turning points marked by major spikes in the Gold/Silver ratio: 1- Early 1990s: The collapse of the Soviet Union, the Gulf War, and a U.S. recession pushed the ratio to 106. It remained above 1.5 standard deviations for more than two years. 2- 2002: Following the dot-com bubble burst, the 9/11 attacks, and the Iraq War, the ratio climbed to 82.6, nearing the 1.5 deviation line. 3- 2008 Recession: The global financial crisis triggered by the collapse of Lehman Brothers sent the ratio to 88.50. This spike sparked a major rally in both gold and silver, lasting until 2011 when the ratio reached one of its deepest bottoms. 4- 2019: The U.S.–China trade war under Trump’s first term pushed the ratio to 93, again nearing the 1.5 deviation threshold. 5- 2020 (COVID-19 Shock): The pandemic caused one of the biggest disruptions in modern economic history. Although relatively short-lived, its impacts were severe. The Gold/Silver ratio surged to 126 , marking the highest level in modern records, possibly the highest in all of history. 6- 2024–2025 (Global Trade War?): With the U.S. imposing major tariffs on key global trading partners, this could be another historic inflection point. The full impact is still unfolding, but risks of a serious global slowdown, or even a deep recession are rising. A full-scale trade war remains a real possibility. Now, the Gold/Silver ratio is approaching 100 and nearing the 1.5 standard deviation line. It remains unclear whether this represents a powerful pair trade opportunity—"sell gold, buy silver"—or a structural breakout where the ratio stays elevated for an extended period. In either case market is showing that this is one of the rare turning point of global economy.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ftdsystem