XAUUSD trade ideas
XAUUSD – Post-FOMC Trading Plan | Key Resistance: 3308 – 3310XAUUSD – Post-FOMC Trading Plan | Key Resistance: 3308 – 3310
📊 MACRO UPDATE – After the FOMC Decision:
The Fed kept interest rates unchanged as expected, but the tone remained hawkish. Chairman Powell reiterated that inflation remains too high and ruled out any near-term rate cuts, signaling prolonged restrictive policy.
This led to a swift rebound in the US Dollar and Treasury yields, weighing on gold. However, XAUUSD bounced back late in the session, suggesting the market is re-evaluating key technical zones post-announcement.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – H1/H4 Chart Structure:
Gold remains in a corrective descending structure but is now reacting around key Fibonacci levels. The 13–34–89 EMAs provide dynamic support and resistance, and a potential double bottom has formed near the 3245–3247 zone.
🧠 Two key levels to watch:
3308–3310: major resistance with trendline + FVG confluence
3245–3247: strong horizontal support + Fib 0.618 retracement
🎯 TRADE SETUPS:
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3247 – 3245
Stop-Loss: 3241
Take-Profit: 3251 → 3255 → 3260 → 3264 → 3270 → 3275 → 3280
🔵 BUY SCALP: 3263 – 3261
Stop-Loss: 3257
Take-Profit: 3266 → 3270 → 3275 → 3280 → 3290 → 3300
🔴 SELL SCALP: 3294 – 3296
Stop-Loss: 3300
Take-Profit: 3290 → 3286 → 3282 → 3278 → 3274 → 3270 → 3260
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3308 – 3310
Stop-Loss: 3314
Take-Profit: 3304 → 3300 → 3296 → 3292 → 3288 → 3280
📌 STRATEGIC OUTLOOK:
Unless price breaks above 3310 with strong momentum, sellers are still in control short term. Any rejection from the resistance zone could offer clean short entries. A breakout, however, would shift sentiment and expose 3340–3360 next.
Patience is key — let price react before committing to entries.
May 29, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Late yesterday, price broke below 3279, showing signs of bearish momentum.
👉 Today’s main plan: SELL on pullbacks to resistance if they hold.
Watch the 3295–3305 zone closely.
If price breaks above 3305, bulls may regain control — switch to buying pullbacks.
If 3295 holds, stay with the original plan — short on pullbacks to resistance.
It’s okay to leave a small runner and wait for NY session data releases.
🔍 Key Levels:
Resistance: 3323 / 3315 / 3305 / 3295
Support: 3285 / 3276 / 3265 / 3250
📉 Macro Strategy:
SELL if price breaks below 3276 → watch 3273, then 3265, 3260, 3250
BUY if price holds above 3305 → target 3310, 3315, 3325, 3332
⚠️ I won’t be able to post real-time updates today due to other commitments. This is the pre-market plan — I’ll post further strategy updates later if possible.
Stay tuned & trade safe!
👍 Like if this helps — your support keeps me going!
xauusd 15mThe chart you've shared is a 15-minute candlestick chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD), with a clear trade setup visualized. Here's a breakdown of the key elements in the chart:
Key Zones and Levels:
Register Zone (Red Box - Bottom): This is the strong support zone where price previously bounced. It's likely used as a stop-loss zone or invalidation area.
Entry Level (Yellow Box): This is the suggested area to enter a long (buy) position. The current price (3,303.045) is just above this zone.
1st Setup (Blue Line at 3,309.560): This seems to be a resistance or confirmation level. Breaking above this might indicate bullish momentum.
Target Point (Green Box - Top): This is the anticipated take-profit zone, indicating the expected upward price move from the entry.
Strategy Interpretation:
1. Bullish Setup:
Enter long near the entry level (yellow zone).
Confirmation or added confidence if the price breaks above the 1st setup level (3,309.560).
Target the green zone as the profit-taking point.
Invalidation or stop-loss would likely be below the register zone (around 3,292–3,294 range).
Summary:
This chart shows a classic support-retest and continuation setup. The idea is to catch the price as it bounces from a support zone and rides it to the next resistance.
If you'd like, I can help you:
Calculate the risk-to-reward ratio.
Analyze historical patterns or confluence with indicators.
Turn this setup into a written trade plan.
Would you like any of that?
Gold Eyes Breakout or Breakdown: All Eyes on PCE and FOMCTVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) surged above $3,350 last week, boosted by safe-haven flows following Moody’s downgrade of the U.S. credit rating and rising geopolitical tensions. Concerns over U.S. debt sustainability, weak dollar sentiment, and renewed trade risks kept investor demand for gold elevated.
Technically, gold is currently trading within an ascending channel. Price is now hovering near a key resistance zone around $3,364, while the $3,324 breakout level below may act as pivotal support. A pullback below this level could expose downside risk toward the lower channel boundary. Meanwhile, a sustained break above resistance may invite further bullish momentum toward $3,400.
This week, attention turns to key U.S. data including FOMC minutes, Q1 GDP, and the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge — core PCE. Any upside surprise in inflation may weigh on gold, while geopolitical headlines and fiscal uncertainty are likely to continue supporting the upside.
Resistance : $3,364 , $3,400
Support : $3,324 , $3,315
Gold May Face Short-Term Correction Amid Strong Resistance📊 Market Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,335, retreating from a two-week high of $3,345.48. The US Dollar's weakness, driven by fiscal concerns and President Trump's extension of the EU tariff deadline to July 9, has supported gold prices. However, the easing of global trade tensions has limited the precious metal's upside .
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,350, $3,364
• Nearest Support: $3,330, $3,300
• EMA 09: Price is trading near the EMA 09, indicating a neutral trend.
• RSI (14): 69.311 – approaching overbought territory, suggesting potential correction.
• MACD (12,26): 13.57 – bullish signal, but momentum is slowing.
• Williams %R: -17.476 – in overbought zone, indicating possible short-term pullback .
📌 Outlook:
Gold may experience a short-term correction if it fails to break above the strong resistance at $3,350. Sustained trading below this level could lead to selling pressure, especially as technical indicators point to overbought conditions.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
• SELL XAU/USD at: $3,345 – $3,350
🎯 TP: $3,330
❌ SL: $3,355
• BUY XAU/USD at: $3,300 – $3,310
🎯 TP: $3,340
❌ SL: $3,290
Gold hit bottom at 3250 and started to rebound?Gold opened at 3250 as expected and began to rebound. Gold opened at 3288, and rebounded after hitting the lowest level at 3250. So far, it has hit the highest level at 3260. The support below gold is still relatively strong, but the pressure above is also relatively large, and the volatility of gold is very large. We continue to pay attention to the support at 3250. In terms of operation, we will continue to buy if it does not break.
Key Levels for the Week 26-30/05/2025 ∷Gold∷🐍 Key Levels Overview for the Week🐍
__________________________
Trend Base Lines
3351🐂3362🐂3368🐂3374🐂3380🐂3387🐂3388
3331🏛3336🏛3342🏛3348🏛3354🏛3358
3298🐻3309🐻3321🐻3330
__________________________
Resistances🔀
3447
3517
3534
3559
3585
3599
3631
3645
3671
Mids∷∷∷
3348
3377
3391
3428
3440
3450
3462
3472
3488
3499
Supports🔀
3425
3413
3389
3362
3324
3284
3271
3258
3242
3229
3215
3199
3136
XAU/USD Trading Plan - LAST WEEK OF May 25, 2025 Current Market Status * price $3358
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📊 Key Events This Week:
May 28: FOMC Meeting
May 29: Unemployment Data
May 30: Core PCE Index
📈Long Position Setup (Buy Zone)
Entry: $3,350-$3,355
Targets:
------ $3,420 (2.1% gain)
------ $3,480 (3.9% gain)
------ $3,550 (5.7% gain)
Stop Loss: $3,300 (1.5% risk)
___ Rationale:
- Support at weekly zone ($3,330)
- Potential Fed dovish pivot
- Monthly light buyer interest
- Safe-haven demand potential
📉 Short Position Setup (Sell Zone)
Entry: $3,380-$3,390
Targets:
----- $3,330 (1.5% gain)
----- $3,280 (3.0% gain)
----- $3,220 (4.7% gain)
Stop Loss: $3,420 (1.2% risk)
___Rationale:
Resistance at weekly high ($3,586)
Potential strong USD if Fed remains hawkish
Overbought conditions possible
Profit-taking at key levels
⚠️ Critical Risk Factors
FOMC interest rate decision
US economic data surprises
Geopolitial developments
Physical gold demand changes
🔍 Key Technical Levels
Support: $3,330 (weekly), $3,280 (monthly)
Resistance: $3,420 (main zone), $3,550 (ATH)
Pivot Point: $3,360
Gold fell back at night and continued to riseGold rose and fell, and stopped falling at the middle track again, indicating that the middle track can be used as a watershed in this cycle. If it runs above it, the volatility will be strong. In addition, the 618 division position 3317-18 line broke through again and stood above it. The short-term 5-day moving average support is 3315. Therefore, the 3315-3318 range is the first retracement to confirm the support point. If it stabilizes, it will further attack and point to the 786 division resistance 3370 line. Once the previous high of 3345 is broken, the corresponding MACD will enter a top divergence state. If it is further pulled up in the later period, we must be careful to prevent a high and fall. At the hourly gold line level, the US market was under pressure at 3315 overnight, with support at 3280-90, and repeated bottom shocks and consolidation. This morning, it was still running back and forth under the suppression of the middle track 3305, but the lows gradually moved up. Finally, under the continued weakness of the US dollar, the gold price finally stood on the middle track, and the direct positive strong force reached 3330. From overnight to this morning, it has been bullish and finally waited for a big profit. Then after the 3315 resistance is broken and stabilized, it will naturally become the top and bottom support. The 10-day moving average will move up and approach 3320, maintaining resistance to declines and still tending to further rise. Pay attention to the 3320-3315 support to stabilize and continue the bullish trend. The resistance target is 3370-3380; if it is unexpectedly effectively lost, pay attention to 3340.
GOLDOn gold we have multiple touches at the top. Specifically 2 , price is pushing to give us a third which is confirmation for a clear trend
We can clearly see we have a down trend and on the third touch that's where I will be taking my selling traded
I won't chase the market but will allow price to come to me so I can execute. THE MARKET TAKES MONEY FROM THE IMPATIENT TO THE PATIENT
Gold prices are likely to surge today for several reasons, but dGold prices are likely to surge today for several reasons, but do not expect a long-term rally just yet.
Technically, the price has tested the former resistance-turned-support level at 3250, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci Retracement, and has completed a 3-wave minor structure.
After testing the 3250 level, the price rebounded significantly and broke the previous high, indicating a potential short-term uptrend in wave c of the broader wave B. This suggests that gold is currently forming a complex corrective wave, likely entering the final minor bullish wave before reversing downward once major wave B completes.
Fundamentally, a federal appeals court has temporarily halted a Wednesday decision by the Court of International Trade that had blocked President Donald Trump’s tariffs.
The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit reinstated Trump’s power to enforce tariffs under emergency authority declared earlier this year.
This development deepens the uncertainty and confusion on US economic policies, which is putting pressure on the US dollar. This also reignites concerns over global trade and brings volatility to financial markets, prompting investors to return to safe-haven assets.
The PCE inflation data, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, will be released today. It will likely affect both the US dollar and gold prices.
The market expects the figure to ease to 2.2%, down from 2.3% previously. If the forecast is accurate, it would bring inflation closer to the Fed’s 2.0% target, increasing expectations of a potential rate cut. This would further weaken the dollar and could boost gold prices following the release.
* The current price retracement below 3300 following yesterday's surge is a "buy-on-dip opportunity," as bullish momentum remains intact.*
Analysis by: Krisada Yoonaisil, Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
GOLD LONG FROM SUPPORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 3,281.17
Target Level: 3,348.67
Stop Loss: 3,236.17
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 7h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Profits in continuationTechnical analysis: Gold is isolated below consolidation area / my Neutral Rectangle I mentioned many times lately of #3,288.80 - #3,352.80 on Hourly 4 chart as I believed that best way to utilize current sequence was to Trade the break-out (while operating with Buying and Selling orders within the Rectangle which I did successfully lately) and wait for a next Daily chart’s candle. If market closes below #3,288.80 former Support now turned to Resistance, then most possibly I will have a downtrend confirmation / opening towards #3,262.80 - #3,268.80 Support zone first then #3,252.80 benchmark Support in extension. If however #3,300.80 benchmark gets invalidated to the upside and market closes full Hourly 1 chart’s candle above (only with Fundamental assistance and Buying pressure), then most likely Price-action should soon connect with #3,327.80 Resistance in extension / first pressure point.
My position: I have aggressively re-Bought (Scalps mostly) #3,288.80 Support many times throughout yesterday's session which delivered excellent Profit. However as I was without orders over-night, Gold extended the Selling sequence / dip and now will stop with Scalp Buying orders. I will operate as stated above and Trade the break-out.
XAU/USD – Key Decision Zone: Bounce or Breakdown Ahead?Following a combined fundamental and technical analysis of XAU/USD, the price is currently hovering around a critical area:
🔹 Fundamentals:
The US dollar remains strong, backed by the Fed's hawkish stance. The labor market is solid, and while inflation is easing, it's not enough yet for the Fed to start cutting rates. High bond yields are weighing on gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset.
🔹 Technical Outlook (1M TF):
Price is testing a rising trendline and key support zone around 2320–2325
Trading below EMA 20/50/100, signaling short-term bearish pressure
Fibonacci 38.2% is acting as resistance – recent bounces have failed
Market might form a double bottom or break down through structure
📉 Preferred Scenario – SHORT:
A break of the support and trendline opens room towards 2302 or even 2285
📈 Alternative Scenario – LONG:
Needs strong bounce, EMA breakout, and close above 2335
❓ What’s your take on this? Would you enter short here or wait for a long confirmation?
This is not financial advice. I'm sharing my personal market view based on independent research and experience. Trading involves significant risk, and every trader should make decisions based on their own judgment.
GOLD Short Setup – OB Rejection + FVG Play to Weak Low 📉 XAUUSD | 4H Short Setup – Classic Smart Money Reversal Zone
Gold is giving us a prime reversal opportunity off a stacked supply zone, aligning with:
🔵 79% Fibonacci Retracement
🟪 High-Timeframe Order Block (OB)
🚫 Failure to create a new high (bearish intent confirmed)
Let’s break it down:
🔻 1. Price Structure Insight
Clean swing high printed near 3400
Retraced down to a discount zone, then sharply reversed
Price now tapping into a premium supply zone between 70.5% – 79% Fib
🟣 2. Key Zone Confluence
📍 Order Block: The final up-candle before a massive drop = institutional sell zone
📍 Fibonacci Levels: 70.5%–79% = premium sell levels
📍 Internal Liquidity: Price swept local highs before stalling
📍 Strong High Above: Untouched = inducement for future sweep (or rejection fuel)
Everything screams Smart Money Sell Setup 📉
🎯 3. Trade Idea
Sell Entry: Around 3,348
Stop Loss: Above OB & Strong High ~ 3,390
Take Profit: 3,120 (clear weak low = liquidity pool)
⚖️ 4. Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR)
📥 Entry: 3,348
🔒 SL: 3,390
💰 TP: 3,120
✅ RRR ≈ 1:5.4
Perfect textbook SMC setup—high confluence + asymmetric RRR = 🔑
🧠 5. Why This Setup Works
Retail traders are lured into longs after bullish push
Smart Money taps OB, rejects hard at premium
Target: internal liquidity resting at weak low (3120)
This creates a controlled sell-off that avoids grabbing the strong high
🟢 Drop a “GOLDEN SHORT 🪙💥” if you caught this setup before the crowd
💾 Save it for reference – this is how institutions trap liquidity
📤 Share with your trading fam — this setup is 🔥🔥🔥
GOLD - where is current support? holds or not??#GOLD. market bouced back from weekly and daily supporting area and now market jutst broke his current supporting area that is around 3337-38
keep close holding of that area mean we can expect further bounce.
NOTE: below 3337-38 we will go for cut n reverse on confirmation.
Gold once again within Neutral RectangleTechnical analysis: Gold is currently being rejected just above the Higher High’s Higher zone trend-line of the Hourly 4 chart’s Ascending Channel that started with the May #15 Low's. Within that Channel, the Price-action (Xau-Usd spot) always tested the Support zone after strong local Top rejection, so assuming no further Fundamental news breakout (and DX doesn't make a new Low or Bond Yields (near #5-Month High’s) continue the rejection towards new Support break, I don't see why this Hourly 4 chart’s fractal won't get repeated. #3,277.80 - #3,285.80 would be a fair estimate. If however #3,352.80 benchmark gets invalidated to the upside, that would be a Bull breakout call towards the #3,362.80 (small chances for that configuration to develop subsequently). Gold is having Bearish Short-term sentiment however rejecting aggressively every local Low's attempt.
My position: #3,304.80 first Resistance delivered excellent re-Sell Scalp orders before Asian session (now traditional) local High's #3,332.80 test extension. As I noted on my remarks previous remarks, I will keep operating with my Buying and Selling orders from #3,292.80 - #3,332.80.