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XAUUSD trade ideas

XAUUSD – Bearish Pressure Continues Below the TrendlineGold remains in a downtrend as price consistently gets rejected at the long-term descending trendline. After a short-term rebound toward the $3,341.300 level – near the trendline – XAUUSD is likely to resume its decline toward the support area at $3,254.400. The visible FVG zones indicate that selling pressure is still dominant. In terms of news, the upcoming U.S. CPI data release on July 11 is the key event that could trigger strong volatility in gold prices. Previously, market sentiment turned cautious after the U.S. government delayed new tariffs on 14 countries, reducing risk-off demand and pulling capital away from gold. If the CPI data comes in hotter than expected, it could further fuel the downside momentum. Keep an eye on the $3,254.400 level – this is the final support before gold potentially extends its drop to lower price zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_
XAUUSD ANALYSIS💸GOLD💸 📉 Trend Overview • Prior Structure: Market was in a strong downtrend, shown by descending highs and lower lows. • Break of Structure: Price broke out of the descending trendline, indicating a potential bullish reversal or at least a deeper correction. • Current Structure: The market is consolidating after an impulsive bullish move, forming a range or re-accumulation. ⸻ 🔍 Key Observations ✅ Break of Downtrend • Price has clearly broken the descending trendline — first sign of bullish strength. • After the break, price created a higher high and pulled back — confirming a market structure shift. 📌 Fair Value Gap (FVG) & Buy Zone • FVG identified below current price — this is often a liquidity gap where institutions may return to mitigate orders. • The Buy Zone aligns with the FVG — making it a high-probability demand area. • Price could wick into this zone before making the next bullish leg. 🧱 Range Formation • Multiple touches at resistance (marked by “X”) indicate price is currently accumulating liquidity. • Consolidation within a clear range suggests build-up before breakout. ⸻ 📈 Possible Scenarios 🟩 Bullish Case • Price revisits the Buy Zone / FVG area. • Bullish reaction from this zone can lead to a break above the consolidation range. • First target: previous high / top of the chart projection (marked with an arrow). • Extended target: Implied liquidity above the highest resistance zone. 🟥 Bearish Invalidations • A clean break below the Buy Zone and failure to react at the FVG suggests: • Weak bullish momentum. • Potential return to lower lows. ⸻ ✅ Confluences Supporting Longs • Market Structure Break. • FVG + Demand Zone alignment. • Trendline breakout. • Range liquidity building up. • Higher low formation. ⸻ 🕵️‍♂️ What to Watch For • Bullish engulfing or reversal pattern in the Buy Zone. • Breakout candle with volume above consolidation. • Retest of broken structure for confirmation.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Brehayne_
GOLD XAUUSD 4H – Smart Money SELL Opportunity Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 3,328.96, showing signs of exhaustion near previous highs. Price failed to break above 3,355 zone, indicating liquidity build-up and potential for Smart Money manipulation. This is a SELL-ONLY setup — waiting for price to react from premium levels to short the market. --- SELL Trade Plan: 🔻 Sell Limit: 3,340.00 - 3,355.00 🛑 Stop Loss: 3,360.00 (Above liquidity grab zone) 🎯 Take Profit 1: 3,300.00 🎯 Take Profit 2: 3,280.00 --- Why Sell? ✅ Price is approaching major distribution zone. ✅ Liquidity resting above 3,340 - 3,355 likely to attract manipulation wicks. ✅ After manipulation, Smart Money expected to drive price lower. No buy confirmation. Structure favors sellers — trade what you see, not what you feel. --- Summary: Bias: SELL ONLY 🔥 Setup: Wait for price to tap 3,340 - 3,355, rejection confirms entry. Risk Management: Mandatory — Protect your capital. --- 💬 Drop your thoughts below — are you catching this sell move? #Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #TradingView #LiquidityHunt #SellSetup #FrankFx14
FX:XAUUSDShort
by FrankFx14
July 8, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunityAnalysis: Bullish momentum remains strong. Watch the 3350 level as key resistance. No clear directional bias yet, so Asia session strategy will focus on buying pullbacks near support. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 3375 – Resistance • 3365 – Resistance • 3350 – Resistance • 3345 – Intraday key resistance • 3330–3333 – Intraday key support zone • 3322 – Short-term support • 3315 – Support • 3306 – Support • 3300 – Psychological level • 3295 – Key support • 3275 – Support 📈 Intraday Strategy: • SELL if price breaks below 3330 → watch 3326, then 3322, 3315, 3306 • BUY if price holds above 3346 → watch 3350, then 3355, 3360, 3365 👉 If you want to know how I time entries and set stop-losses, hit the like button so I know there’s interest — I may publish a detailed post by the weekend if support continues! Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Always trade with caution and manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
Gold falls below 3300, will it rebound or continue to fall?Gold opened lower in the morning today and then rebounded and fell again. This kind of jump market fluctuates quickly but is mostly short-term. I usually remind you to avoid chasing orders to prevent being washed. Gold rebounded weakly and failed to touch 3320 and began to fall continuously. This weak signal alerted me - it failed to rebound strongly after the gap and instead remained at a low level, suggesting that the downward momentum was very strong and fully released, and there was a risk of further weakening. In the afternoon, the gold price was still hovering around 3312-3307, confirming its weak pattern. Combined with the repeated pressure on the key support 3300, I judged that the trend has clearly turned to short. Gold recommendation: short in the 3312-3315 range, stop loss 3320, target 3280 ​
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SandraToland
XAU/USD – Price Approaching Demand Zone (7 July 2025)📉 XAU/USD – Price Approaching Demand Zone (7 July 2025) Gold has been consistently rejecting the upper gap zone and is now approaching the key 3292–3296 demand area. 📊 Key Zones: 🔻 Supply Zone (Gap): 3355–3357 🔻 Higher Supply: 3382–3404 🟩 Demand Zone to Watch: 3292–3296 🟩 Deeper Support: 3207–3231 📍 A reaction from 3292–3296 could trigger the next bullish leg. Watch for structure confirmation before entry. 🎯 FXFOREVER – Delivering clean chart zones and high-probability planning. #XAUUSD #GoldForecast #FXFOREVER #SmartMoneyConcepts #DemandZone #SupplyGap #GoldAnalysis #PriceActionStrategy #ForexSetup
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FXFOREVER_87
Gold opening market strategy analysis 💡Message Strategy In the case of all negative non-agricultural data, gold did not fall below the support of 3300, which shows that gold bulls are still the main trend. The current daily pattern of gold is three positives, one negative and one positive. The trend of the opening next Monday is also very important. Once it continues to rise and rebound to break through the suppression, the bulls will open the door to regain the 3400 mark. At present, the short-term pressure is still maintained at 3345-50, which is also the first point for the bulls to break through. Once the breakthrough is successful, the next target will be around 3365-3370. 📊Technical aspects From the 4-hour analysis, the support at 3330 is concerned, and the support at 3320 is concerned. The short-term resistance at 3345-50 is concerned, and the suppression at 3365-70 is concerned. The overall low-multiple cycle participation is maintained. In the middle position, watch more and do less, and be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to participate. Pay attention to the specific operation strategy in time. 💰Strategy Package Long Position:3320-3330，SL：3305，Target: 3370
TVC:GOLDLong
by TheodoreSilas
Why is the 147k Beat in Payrolls Data Not as Strong as it Seems?Yesterday’s U.S. nonfarm payrolls report came in above expectations, but a closer look at the details reveals a less encouraging picture. Despite the headline beat, market reactions quickly faded. For instance, gold initially dropped from 3350 to 3311 in the first 15 minutes after the release but has since recovered more than 75% of that decline. So why is the June jobs report not as strong as it first appeared? According to the BLS report, nonfarm payrolls increased by 147k in June, surpassing the consensus estimate of 106k. However, when breaking down the numbers, private payrolls rose by just 74k, well below expectations. Most of the gains came from government and healthcare hiring. Government jobs accounted for 73k new positions, and 63k of those came from the education sector alone. Some analysts suggest the high net hiring in education may be due more to a lack of firings, a consequence of a tight labor market in that sector. Meanwhile, the 59k increase in healthcare jobs is part of a long-term trend. Over the past two years, the U.S. has added an average of 70k healthcare jobs per month. This growth is largely driven by the needs of an aging population and reduced payrolls during and after the pandemic that have yet to fully recover. If you exclude government and healthcare hiring, U.S. payrolls increased by just 15k in June. The unemployment rate also came in better than expected, falling to 4.1% from 4.2%, while markets had anticipated a rise to 4.3%. However, this decline was driven by a drop in the labor force participation rate, which fell to 62.3% from 62.6% in just two months , a worrying sign that fewer people are actively participating in the labor market. In the first 15 minutes after the data came, gold fell to 3311 from 3350. In the following 18 hours, gold recaptures 85% of the loss. Gold is still over the broken bearish trendline in 1-H timeframe. With tariff deadline in 9th July and incoming 10-12 tariff letters coming in from Trump in the next few days, gold could have potential to go upwards with market understands this jobs data is not strong as it seems.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ftdsystem
Non-agricultural week gold long and short game！From the 4-hour trend of gold, the key position of 3300 is the core basis for judging the short-term trend. The current 4-hour watershed is in the 3300 area. The gains and losses of this position will determine the direction of the short-term trend. Before it breaks through effectively, the short-term pressure judgment is maintained; if it breaks through, it is necessary to turn to the daily resistance level. The MACD indicator crosses and the short-term momentum column continues to increase, indicating that the price has further downward momentum. The price of the 4-hour cycle runs along the downward channel. Although the MACD indicator forms a cross below the zero axis, the short-term energy column shows a shrinking trend. There is a technical oversold rebound demand in the short term.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by DonaldJohnson
2
Waiting for the Perfect Entry: XAUUSD Market Structure Breakdown🔍 Taking a look at XAUUSD today: it’s clearly in a downtrend 📉 on the 4H chart, with consecutive lower highs and lower lows 🔽. 📌 My bias is bearish, and I’m patiently waiting for price action to set up for an entry 🎯. If we get a break of market structure 🧱, followed by a retest and failure of the current range high 🚫, that could present an opportunity 👀 — not financial advice ⚠️.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by fxtraderanthony
Market Structure Break & Bearish Reaction from Supply Zone.🔍 GOLD – Market Structure Break & Bearish Reaction from Supply Zone Gold has recently broken its market structure (MSS), which is a significant shift in momentum and a potential indication of a change in the prevailing trend. Following this break, price retraced into a key supply zone, where it was rejected sharply—this rejection came in the form of a strong bearish engulfing candle, highlighting aggressive selling interest. Interestingly, the market has now printed a second consecutive bearish engulfing from the same zone. This is a powerful signal that sellers are active and defending this level, making it a valid and confirmed short-term resistance zone. The repeated rejection suggests that smart money or institutional sellers may be positioned here. Given this price action, we can anticipate a potential retracement from the current levels. The most probable downside target for this retracement would be the Fair Value Gap (FVG) that has been marked on the chart. If price respects the FVG and reacts bullishly from there, we may then see a resumption of the uptrend, possibly taking price higher again. This setup presents a good opportunity for both short-term intraday traders and swing traders to watch for confirmation signals before entering the trade. 📌 Key Takeaways: MSS indicates shift in trend Consecutive bearish engulfing candles from supply zone Sellers likely active in this area Potential retracement toward marked FVG Possible bullish continuation from FVG zone 🚨 As always, Do Your Own Research (DYOR) and manage your risk accordingly before making any trading decisions.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Peter_Wade
XAUUSD – Gold Surges on Safe-Haven Flows and Strategic BuyingXAUUSD is rebounding from the bottom of a descending channel, showing signs of breaking through the short-term resistance around $3,332.700. If price holds above this level, the bullish momentum could extend toward $3,350 and beyond. On the news front, President Trump's announcement of new import tariffs on multiple countries has triggered safe-haven inflows into gold. Meanwhile, consistent buying from central banks and the ongoing trend of global de-dollarization continue to provide solid support. Unless a major negative shock occurs, gold is likely to maintain its upward momentum in the short term.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Rocky_trade_