6/7/25 Gold pre market outlook
as price showed a signs of bearishness (1H CHOCH)
short ideas as following:
the price managed to form a bearish flag. Therefore, what I want to see is breaking down the flag with 1H body candle close + Retest the lower trend line (on lower TF like 5M or 15M)
will enter the trade if getting a strong BOS targeting the lower bullish OB
If the price breaks up the flag, what I want to see after visiting the upper bearish OB is 1H body candle close below the bearish OB + Retest OB level on lower TF (5M or 15M) and will enter the trade after forming a strong lower TF choch targeting the lower bullish OB
XAUUSD trade ideas
Inside My Gold Mind: Weekend Trade Log📌 Market Context / Bias
The majority of bullish price action on VELOCITY:GOLD occurred early in the week — specifically between Monday and Tuesday. From midweek through Friday, the market entered a period of consolidation, showing signs of compression.
Interestingly, despite positive economic data that favoured the USD, GOLD remained steady and resilient. This suggests underlying bullish pressure and potential accumulation.
My current bias is bullish going into the new week — with expectations of a price expansion to the upside.
🔍 Higher Timeframe Analysis
Weekly Candle: Shows early bullish expansion followed by consolidation — classic sign of absorption or reaccumulation.
Draw on Liquidity: Equal highs remain above, acting as a magnet for price.
FVGs: Price traded into a daily FVG earlier in the week and closed above it.
Order Block: Price respected a previous Bullish Order Block during Thursday’s retracement, reinforcing possible support.
🧩 Lower Timeframe Confluence
1H–4H: Price is forming relatively equal highs above the current range — potential liquidity targets.
Intraday Structure: No major shift to bearish order flow was confirmed; compression suggests a possible continuation move once expansion begins.
🧠 Fundamental Insight
Despite hawkish or strong USD fundamentals, GOLD held its ground. This divergence often precedes a strong move — likely driven by risk sentiment, upcoming Fed commentary, or global macro drivers.
🧠 Trade Plan Preview
Stay tuned for my daily updates where I’ll share:
My bias for the day
Market structure breakdown
Intraday trade plan (entry, targets, and session model)
⚠️ Reminder:
Trade with due diligence. This is not financial advice. Always align entries with your personal model and preferred session.
Thanks for your support!
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⚠️ Disclaimer
This content is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice.
All trading involves risk. You are solely responsible for your own decisions, so always conduct proper research and due diligence before taking any trades.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trade responsibly.
May your final trades of the week be precise and profitable.
GOLD (XAUUSD) | 4H OB Respected | waiting for 30m LH BreakPair: XAUUSD
Bias: Bullish
Timeframes: 4H, 30M, LTFs
• 4H showing strong bullish structure — OB respected cleanly, confirming higher timeframe demand.
• On 30M, now patiently waiting for the break of LH to confirm continued bullish intent. After that, looking for a sweep off a fresh internal OB for LTF entry confirmation.
🔹 Entry: After LH break + sweep + CHoCH on LTFs
🔹 Entry Zone: Within fresh internal OB post-LH break
🔹 Target: Near structure highs
Mindset: Let the structure speak. No guesswork — wait for your levels, your break, and your confirmation. Precision over prediction.
Bless Trading!
GOLD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,341.95
Target Level: 3,259.01
Stop Loss: 3,396.95
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Gold/USD Bullish Breakout Toward Target Zone Gold/USD Bullish Breakout Analysis 🚀🟢
The chart illustrates a strong bullish breakout from a consolidation zone, signaling upward momentum:
🔍 Key Technical Observations:
Support Zone: The price respected the support area around 3,325 – 3,330 USD, forming a solid base for reversal.
Bullish Structure: Series of higher lows and higher highs indicate a bullish trend formation.
Breakout Confirmation: Price broke above short-term resistance with a strong bullish candle, indicating buying pressure.
Trendline Support: The ascending trendline has held well, confirming trend continuation.
Target Point 🎯: Projected target is near 3,365 USD, which aligns with a previous resistance and Fibonacci confluence zone.
✅ Conclusion:
The breakout above resistance, supported by a bullish structure and momentum, suggests further upside potential toward the 3,365 USD target zone. As long as price holds above the breakout level, bullish bias remains valid.
🛑 Watch for invalidation if price falls back
XAU/USD (GOLD) H1 Chart Outlook – Supply & Demand PerspectiveGold is currently consolidating in a tight range near the 3355–3358 zone, showing indecision ahead of a potential breakout. Based on supply and demand dynamics, here’s what to watch:
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🔼 Bullish Scenario
If the H4 candle closes above 3365, this would confirm a bullish breakout above the immediate supply zone. In that case, expect upside momentum to target key resistance levels:
🎯 3385 – Minor resistance
🎯 3400 – Major resistance and potential reversal zone
A confirmed breakout with strong volume could open room for a short-term bullish rally.
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🔽 Bearish Scenario
On the flip side, if the H4 candle closes below 3340, it would signal weakness and a possible rejection from the current range. This breakdown could shift the momentum to the downside, targeting the following support levels:
🛑 3320 – Near-term support
🛑 3300 – Critical demand zone
Failure to hold 3300 could indicate further bearish pressure in the coming sessions.
Live Signal from ALIP FX Smart Scalper | XAUUSDThe ALIP FX Smart Scalper indicator just issued a SELL signal on XAUUSD (Gold) on the 15-minute timeframe.
The trend filter turned red, EMA structure aligned to the downside, and the signal confirmed by strong momentum.
📉 Scenario: Short bias while the trend remains bearish.
🕒 Timeframe: M15
📌 Reminder: Wait for candle close and confirmation before entry.
I say nothing , you say me any thing about 📌 **Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – 30m | 2h | Smart Money Perspective**
🔍 After weeks of precision tracking and structural validation, price has now tapped the **Right Shoulder** of a clean *Reverse Head & Shoulders* formation — with absolute respect to structure, liquidity, and OB zones.
💥 This wasn't just a random bounce.
It was:
- A confirmation of **previous BOS & CHoCH**
- A retest of **TLQ/ILQ liquidity zones**
- A reaction from the *Extreme OB* within a compression channel
- And a final push fueled by **inefficiency fills** on the left
🎯 The bullish intent remains strong, and if momentum follows through, we're looking at:
- **TP1** → 3345–3355 (minor OB & void fill)
- **TP2** → 3375–3390 (liquidity sweep target)
- **TP3** → 3420+ (range expansion goal)
🧠 This analysis has not just been correct.
It’s been **respected by the market.**
I take pride in every reaction the chart gives us when we respect the language of price, structure, and timing.
There’s no shortcut here — just observation, logic, and discipline.
We don’t chase the trend. We wait for it to **bow in confirmation**.
Like it just did.
— *Mohsen Mozafari Nejad* 🧭
#SmartMoney #GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #TradingView #MarketStructure #BOS #OB #MSU #ReverseHeadAndShoulders #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis
GOLD - at cut n reverse Region? what's next??#GOLD .. perfect ride as per our last idea regarding gold and now market just above his ultimate area/region.
that is around 3320-23
keep close and if market hold it then further bounce expected otherwise not..
NOTE: we will cut n reverse our position below 3320 on confirmation.
good luck
trade wisely
[XAU/USD] GOLD TODAY – PREFER BUY SCENARIO – WAVE 5 COMPLETION🔎 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Currently, Gold is moving in Wave 5 of the primary impulse structure. Key price zones have been clearly identified:
🟢 Main Trading Plan: Prefer BUY
✅ BUY LIMIT around: 3312.5
🛡 Stoploss: 3309
🎯 Expected Target:
Short-term: 3336–3342
Medium-term: 3361 (OBS Supply)
Longer-term: Potentially test WEEK HIGH ~3365–3367
Note: 3312.5 is a strong confluence zone consisting of:
H4 FVG
Liquidity Pool
Option data shows concentration of funds at this zone
Wyckoff structure clearly indicates ST (secondary test) at this zone
🛑 SELL Setup – If you're scalping or trading corrective waves:
SELL GOLD WAVE 5 Zone: 3336–3338
SL: 3342
Expect a pullback to 3312.5 before continuing upwards
Scenario: This is a small corrective wave 4 within the larger Wave 5.
📊 CHART 2 – WYCKOFF PHASE C–D SUPPORT
The supplementary chart shows a clear WYCKOFF accumulation model:
Phase C is complete → Currently in Phase D (Markup Phase)
The upward wave from ~3285 has completed 5 small Elliott steps, preparing for a pullback to the support zone (3312.5) before breaking higher.
🌐 MACROECONOMIC NEWS AFFECTING GOLD
🏦 The Fed is expected to keep interest rates high in July with a 93.3% probability → Weaker USD, supporting higher Gold prices
📉 US bond yields are declining, increasing demand for safe-haven assets
🪙 Tether is quietly accumulating 80 tonnes of gold in Switzerland – A signal of the trend toward physical asset accumulation for safety
🧾 FOMC meeting minutes: Most members believe tariffs could have a long-term impact on inflation → Expect Gold to remain positively supported
✅ CONCLUSION
For today and the next few sessions, the BUY GOLD scenario at 3312.5 remains the main strategy, with expectations of movement towards higher levels. Be cautious when the price reaches the 3336–3338 zone, as a small pullback could occur.
"Price doesn't just reflect technicals; it also reflects sentiment – and today sentiment favours the buyers."
📌 SUMMARY TRADING PLAN:
BUY Limit: 3312.5
STOPLOSS: 3309
TP: 3336 - 3361 – 3367
Wave 5 Channel + Liquidity
SELL Scalp: 3336–3338
Stoploss: 3342 - 3312.5
Corrective wave, light scalp
📌 If you're trading Gold this week, remember to set clear SL levels and prefer to wait for a pullback – avoid FOMO at high prices.
Trump blasted Powell again. Interest rates remain unchanged.Information summary:
Trump blasted Powell on Wednesday, saying that the current interest rate is "at least 3 percentage points higher" and once again accused Fed Chairman Powell of "making the United States pay an extra $360 billion in refinancing costs each year." He also said that "there is no inflation" and that companies "are pouring into the United States," and urged the Fed to "cut interest rates."
During the U.S. trading session, gold also showed a significant rebound momentum, rebounding from a low of 3285 to above 3310 in one fell swoop. As of now, gold has stood above 3320.
Market analysis:
From the daily chart:
It can be seen that the first suppression position above gold is currently at 3325, followed by around 3345. Gold did not close above 3320 on Wednesday, which means that even if gold is currently above 3320, as long as today's daily line closes below 3320, it is still in a bearish trend. On the contrary, if the closing price today is above 3320, then the subsequent test of the suppression position near 3345 may be further carried out.
Secondly, from the 4-hour chart, the current suppression position above 4 hours is around 3330-3335. Therefore, today we should focus on this position. If we cannot stand firm and break through the range suppression here in the 4-hour chart, we may retreat again in the future. The key support position below is around 3310, which is the opening price today. If the price is to retreat, it is likely to fall below 3310. But it may also remain above 3310 for consolidation.
However, as long as it falls below 3310, I think the low point near 3285 may be refreshed, so pay attention to this.
Operation strategy:
Steady trading waits for 3310 to fall and break through to short, and the profit range is 3385 or even lower.
Aggressive trading can short near 3340, with a stop loss of 3350.
Gold Rebounds from 3283, Eyes 3315 Resistance📊 Market Overview:
• Gold dropped sharply to a low of $3283 earlier today before rebounding strongly back to around $3312, supported by renewed buying interest.
• The recovery is fueled by risk-off sentiment amid ongoing trade negotiation uncertainty and a mild pullback in the U.S. Dollar Index.
• Central bank buying continues to underpin gold’s base, despite mild pressure from rising U.S. bond yields.
________________________________________
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3315 – $3335
• Nearest Support: $3280
• EMA 09: Price is trading above the 9-period EMA, signaling a short-term bullish trend.
• Candle pattern / Momentum: A strong bullish engulfing candle formed after bouncing from $3283 on the H1 chart. MACD is crossing upward, and RSI is approaching the 60 level, suggesting bullish momentum.
________________________________________
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue to recover in the short term if it holds above the $3300 level and successfully breaks through $3315 resistance. However, failure to break above this resistance could lead to a short-term pullback toward $3290–$3280.
________________________________________
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3315–3325
🎯 TP: $3295
❌ SL: $3330
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3285–3295
🎯 TP: $3315
❌ SL: $3280
XAUUSD – Bearish Pressure Continues Below the TrendlineGold remains in a downtrend as price consistently gets rejected at the long-term descending trendline. After a short-term rebound toward the $3,341.300 level – near the trendline – XAUUSD is likely to resume its decline toward the support area at $3,254.400. The visible FVG zones indicate that selling pressure is still dominant.
In terms of news, the upcoming U.S. CPI data release on July 11 is the key event that could trigger strong volatility in gold prices. Previously, market sentiment turned cautious after the U.S. government delayed new tariffs on 14 countries, reducing risk-off demand and pulling capital away from gold. If the CPI data comes in hotter than expected, it could further fuel the downside momentum.
Keep an eye on the $3,254.400 level – this is the final support before gold potentially extends its drop to lower price zones.
Gold Market Sweeps 3326, Targeting 3280's ImbalanceGold market continues its bearish sweep, breaking through 3326, with momentum now luring price toward the imbalance zone at the 3280’s. This move may further validate short-term corrective sentiment before any potential bullish recovery. follow for more insight , comment and boost idea
XAUUSD ANALYSIS💸GOLD💸
📉 Trend Overview
• Prior Structure: Market was in a strong downtrend, shown by descending highs and lower lows.
• Break of Structure: Price broke out of the descending trendline, indicating a potential bullish reversal or at least a deeper correction.
• Current Structure: The market is consolidating after an impulsive bullish move, forming a range or re-accumulation.
⸻
🔍 Key Observations
✅ Break of Downtrend
• Price has clearly broken the descending trendline — first sign of bullish strength.
• After the break, price created a higher high and pulled back — confirming a market structure shift.
📌 Fair Value Gap (FVG) & Buy Zone
• FVG identified below current price — this is often a liquidity gap where institutions may return to mitigate orders.
• The Buy Zone aligns with the FVG — making it a high-probability demand area.
• Price could wick into this zone before making the next bullish leg.
🧱 Range Formation
• Multiple touches at resistance (marked by “X”) indicate price is currently accumulating liquidity.
• Consolidation within a clear range suggests build-up before breakout.
⸻
📈 Possible Scenarios
🟩 Bullish Case
• Price revisits the Buy Zone / FVG area.
• Bullish reaction from this zone can lead to a break above the consolidation range.
• First target: previous high / top of the chart projection (marked with an arrow).
• Extended target: Implied liquidity above the highest resistance zone.
🟥 Bearish Invalidations
• A clean break below the Buy Zone and failure to react at the FVG suggests:
• Weak bullish momentum.
• Potential return to lower lows.
⸻
✅ Confluences Supporting Longs
• Market Structure Break.
• FVG + Demand Zone alignment.
• Trendline breakout.
• Range liquidity building up.
• Higher low formation.
⸻
🕵️♂️ What to Watch For
• Bullish engulfing or reversal pattern in the Buy Zone.
• Breakout candle with volume above consolidation.
• Retest of broken structure for confirmation.
GOLD XAUUSD 4H – Smart Money SELL Opportunity
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 3,328.96, showing signs of exhaustion near previous highs. Price failed to break above 3,355 zone, indicating liquidity build-up and potential for Smart Money manipulation.
This is a SELL-ONLY setup — waiting for price to react from premium levels to short the market.
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SELL Trade Plan:
🔻 Sell Limit: 3,340.00 - 3,355.00
🛑 Stop Loss: 3,360.00 (Above liquidity grab zone)
🎯 Take Profit 1: 3,300.00
🎯 Take Profit 2: 3,280.00
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Why Sell?
✅ Price is approaching major distribution zone.
✅ Liquidity resting above 3,340 - 3,355 likely to attract manipulation wicks.
✅ After manipulation, Smart Money expected to drive price lower.
No buy confirmation. Structure favors sellers — trade what you see, not what you feel.
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Summary:
Bias: SELL ONLY 🔥
Setup: Wait for price to tap 3,340 - 3,355, rejection confirms entry.
Risk Management: Mandatory — Protect your capital.
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💬 Drop your thoughts below — are you catching this sell move?
#Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #TradingView #LiquidityHunt #SellSetup #FrankFx14
July 8, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunityAnalysis:
Bullish momentum remains strong. Watch the 3350 level as key resistance.
No clear directional bias yet, so Asia session strategy will focus on buying pullbacks near support.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3375 – Resistance
• 3365 – Resistance
• 3350 – Resistance
• 3345 – Intraday key resistance
• 3330–3333 – Intraday key support zone
• 3322 – Short-term support
• 3315 – Support
• 3306 – Support
• 3300 – Psychological level
• 3295 – Key support
• 3275 – Support
📈 Intraday Strategy:
• SELL if price breaks below 3330 → watch 3326, then 3322, 3315, 3306
• BUY if price holds above 3346 → watch 3350, then 3355, 3360, 3365
👉 If you want to know how I time entries and set stop-losses, hit the like button so I know there’s interest — I may publish a detailed post by the weekend if support continues!
Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Always trade with caution and manage your risk.