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Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar

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XAUUSD trade ideas

Analysis and strategy of gold trend on July 9: Core logic sorting Bull-bear game intensifies: Positive factors: Risk aversion: Trump's tariffs on Japan and South Korea (effective on August 1) caused market anxiety, and the decline of US stocks supported gold. Central bank gold purchases: The People's Bank of China has increased its gold holdings for 8 consecutive months, and long-term demand is stable. Negative factors: Stronger US dollar: The US dollar index rose to 97.67 (a one-week high), suppressing gold pricing. Technical pressure: $3345 has become a strong resistance, and multiple highs and falls show that bulls are weak. Market focus: In the short term, pay attention to the persistence of risk aversion and the trend of the US dollar index. If the US dollar pulls back or geopolitical risks escalate, gold may break through the range. In the long run, the weak US dollar (down 10% this year) and global loose policies still support gold. Key technical signals 1. Daily level Range oscillation: 3295-3345 US dollars are in a narrow range, and the moving average is glued together, and it is necessary to wait for a directional breakthrough. Long-short watershed: Break above 3345 → open upside space, target 3380-3400. Break below 3295 → may test 3270-3260 support. 2. 4-hour level Signs of pressure: double tops formed near 3345, MACD golden cross momentum weakened, if the dead cross is confirmed, the callback will be strengthened. Key support: 3300 (psychological barrier), if it falls below, look to 3270. 3. 1-hour level Short-term bearish: moving average diverges downward, K-line is under pressure from short-term moving average, and the rebound momentum is insufficient. Today's operation strategy 1. Main strategy: short on rebound Entry point: short with a light position in the 3330-3335 range, stop loss above 3345. Target: 3280-3270 (if it falls below 3270, hold and look at 3260). Logic: 3345 resistance is effective + strong US dollar + technical side is bearish. 2. Auxiliary strategy: short-term long on pullback Entry conditions: 3270-3260 stabilizes (such as K-line closes long lower shadow or MACD bottom divergence). Stop loss: below 3250, target 3295-3300. Logic: lower edge support of range + risk aversion may be repeated. 3. Breakthrough strategy Break above 3345: chase long, target 3360-3380, stop loss 3330. Break below 3260: wait and see whether the decline accelerates, avoid counter-trend operations. Risk warning Sudden events: If the US stock market plummets or the trade conflict escalates, gold may quickly break through 3345. US dollar fluctuations: pay attention to whether the US dollar index can stand firm at 97.5. If it falls back, it will ease the pressure on gold. Data impact: US economic data (such as PPI, Fed speech) may disturb the market. Summary Short-term: Prioritize shorting below 3345, and strictly stop loss. Mid-term: If it breaks through 3345, turn to long thinking, and if it breaks below 3260, wait and see.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Gold_Hunters_Alliance
GOLD PULLS BACK TO TREND LINE AND RE-ENTERS BUY ZONE!Hey Traders so looking at Gold right now seems like we are consolidating at 3310 looking for direction. However I think the trend is still up because if you look close at support levels 3240 it has rejected that level twice. Of course markets can flip on a dime when something unpredictable happens in this tariff driven environment so we still need to be cautious. Seasonally Gold Rises in the Summer from a historical standpoint. But watch out to see what happens at todays FED meeting. So if your Bullish this is the place to buy cautiously consider small position on an aggressive entry and put stop below 3230 which looks like it could be good level. Or if conservative wait until after FED meeting to see how market reacts off this level and they buy again on a pullback if market reacts positive. However if Bearish I would wait for a daily close and break below 3215 or 3200 before considering selling. Good Luck & Always use Risk Management! (Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.) Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃 Clifford
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by TradeTheIndex
7.9 Latest gold trend analysis and operation layout📰 News information： 1. Federal Reserve meeting minutes 📈 Technical Analysis： Our decision to close our positions at 3305 yesterday was undoubtedly a very strategic one. After reaching a high of around 3310 last night, it began to fall. At the same time, I also gave VIP members the news that it might fall back to around 3300. Since the opening, the lowest point has reached around 3285. The overall trend is still under our control. At present, gold will still usher in technical corrections in the short term. The current price of 3293-3290 support can be considered for long positions. If the European session continues to fall below the low, you can try to go short during the NY session. If the European session continues to maintain sideways consolidation, you can consider retreating and going long during the NY session. As long as the key support of 3250 below is held, gold will maintain its consolidation trend in short-term trading. On the contrary, once it falls below 3250, gold may directly touch the 3200 mark. Focus on the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting, which may further influence the trend of gold. 🎯 Trading Points： BUY 3293-3290-3285 TP 3305-3310-3320 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar - 1h Analysis (OANDA)Price Overview Current Price: 3,286,190 24h Change: +15,525 (+0.47%) Recent High/Low: High: 18,286,420 Low: 12,284,465 Order Block (OB) Analysis Profit Targets: Multiple profit levels are identified, with the highest at 3,339,000 and the lowest at 3,279,000. The price is currently between the 3,286,190 (current) and 3,279,000 (next profit level), suggesting a potential pullback or consolidation. Entry & Stop-Loss: Entry: 3,270,000 Stop-Loss (S/L): 3,270,000 (same as entry, indicating a break-even or tight risk strategy). Key Levels (USD) Resistance: 3,350,000 (major) 3,339,000 (immediate) Support: 3,286,190 (current level) 3,279,000 (next profit target) 3,270,000 (critical support & entry) Market Sentiment Bullish Bias: Price is above the entry point (3,270,000) and showing a 0.47% gain. Caution: Profit-taking may occur near 3,330,000–3,339,000. A break below 3,270,000 could invalidate the bullish setup. Actionable Insights If Long: Hold for targets up to 3,339,000, but monitor for rejection at resistance. If Neutral: Wait for a break above 3,330,000 (confirmation) or below 3,270,000 (reversal signal). Risk Management: Tight stop-loss at 3,270,000 protects against downside.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Tdawly_Official
XAU/USD elliot wave countOANDA:XAUUSD 📊 Elliott Wave Analysis (Overview) 🔹 Primary Structure: We're currently moving from white Wave 3 into white Wave 4. 🔹 Wave 4 Breakdown: So far, Wave 4 is developing as a typical ABC corrective pattern. Waves (A) and (B) (in brackets) have already been formed. 🔹 Wave (B) Internal Structure: Wave (B) is unfolding as an impulse: we’ve completed Bracket 1, Bracket 2, and we’re now on the way into Bracket 3. Within Bracket 3, we've already built a yellow Wave 1 and a potential yellow Wave 2. 🔹 Current Market Condition: For the bearish scenario to stay valid, we must remain below the red trendline. If we break above the red trendline, then yellow Wave 2 would likely extend higher and complete itself inside the red Fibonacci zone — making the correction deeper. 🎯 Target Zones: Targets for yellow Wave 3 and the broader Bracket 3 are already displayed on the chart. However, these targets can still be adjusted depending on how price unfolds in the coming sessions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ElliotXSolana
XAU/USD 15M CHART PATTERNHere's a structured summary of your XAUUSD (Gold/USD) trade setup: --- 📈 Trade Setup: BUY XAUUSD Entry: 3333 Stop Loss: 3320 (13 pips below entry) --- 🎯 Take Profit Levels: 1. TP1: 3340 (7 pips gain) 2. TP2: 3350 (17 pips gain) 3. TP3: 3370 (37 pips gain) --- ⚖ Risk/Reward Ratios (Approx): TP1: ~0.54 : 1 TP2: ~1.31 : 1 TP3: ~2.85 : 1 --- ✅ Comments: You’re targeting scaling out profits as the price climbs, which is a sound risk management approach. Stop loss is tight, so you may get stopped out easily on volatility unless you're trading with confirmation (e.g., bounce from support or bullish candlestick setup). Consider monitoring macroeconomic events or news that could affect gold prices (like CPI, NFP, Fed speeches). Would you like help with setting this up in a trading platform or calculating position size based on your risk?
TVC:GOLDLong
by Mrprofe21
GOLD SETUP UPDATE - CLEAN BREAKOUT & RETEST PLANGold just broke out of a falling wedge pattern with a clean 5-wave completion. Now it's pulling back — we prepare for two potential scenarios: 🔹 Scenario A: If price retests the lower trendline (around 3,315–3,320) and gives a strong rejection, we look to buy targeting: → 3,345 → 3,359 🔹 Scenario B: If it skips the retest and continues to rally — we follow the breakout momentum. ✅ EMA ribbons are still holding bullish. ✅ MACD histogram flipped green — showing buyer pressure coming in. 🚫 Invalid if price breaks below 3,307 or 3,296. Time to cut and reassess if that happens. 💡 Reminder: Wait for confirmation. Don’t FOMO. Plan your trade — ride the structure, not the hype. #GoldAnalysis #TechnicalSetup #ForexTrading #PriceAction #FaizIsmail
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDLong
by Faiz_Ismail
XAU/USD Eyes Key Resistance Amid Fresh Tariff Fears🟡 TVC:GOLD Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Eyes Key Resistance Amid Fresh Tariff Fears OANDA:XAUUSD Spot gold (XAU/USD) is recovering from intraday lows near $3,296, now trading around $3,330 as fears over renewed U.S. tariffs fuel safe-haven demand. President Trump has begun issuing formal letters announcing fresh import tariffs—25% on South Korea, additional measures on Japan, and a 10% universal tariff on countries aligning with BRICS. With the 90-day tariff pause expiring August 1 and no trade progress in sight, geopolitical and economic uncertainty continue to support gold’s floor. 📉 Technical Structure XAU/USD remains within a descending channel on the 1H chart, with price currently approaching the $3,338–$3,340 Resistance Zone 1. A clean breakout above the upper channel boundary could trigger a move toward the broader $3,364 Resistance Zone 2. Conversely, failure to break above Resistance Zone 1 would keep the bearish channel intact, with downside targets toward the $3,302–$3,305 support zone. 📌 Key Technical Zones Resistance Zone 1: $3,338–$3,340 Resistance Zone 2: $3,364 Support Zone: $3,302–$3,305 Channel Structure: Bearish unless broken to the upside 📘 Strategy Summary XAU/USD is showing signs of short-term recovery, but remains technically capped unless it breaks through $3,340 resistance. As long as the descending channel holds, rallies may be sold into. A confirmed break above $3,340 could shift bias toward $3,364, while rejection may reopen the path to $3,305 and potentially lower. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making trading decisions.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by ATFX_Global
Gold Analysis and Trading Strategy | July 7✅Gold opened weakly during the Asian session today, with prices dropping nearly $40 in early trading—likely due to technical selling pressure from above. The rebound once again failed to break the key 3345 resistance level, which serves as the neckline of the previous “M-top” pattern formed at the 3365 high. This level has become a clear resistance zone. If gold continues to struggle below this line, the short-term trend remains biased toward consolidation with a bearish tone. ✅ 4-Hour Chart Structure: Since retreating from the 3365 high, multiple rebound attempts have been capped around the 3345 area. Last Friday, a second rally failed at the mid-Bollinger Band and closed lower, forming a local double-top pattern. This morning’s rebound to 3342 was again rejected, confirming continued downward pressure in this area. ✅ 1-Hour Chart Structure: After the release of last week's non-farm payrolls data, gold formed a short-term double top. After breaking the neckline, the rebound lacked momentum, reaffirming that sellers dominate near resistance. In the short term, bearish pressure remains in control. ✅ Key Technical Levels: 🔴Short-term Resistance: 3325–3330 🔴Major Resistance Zone: 3345 (M-top neckline) 🔴Strong Resistance: 3365 (M-top peak) 🟢Short-term Support: 3305 🟢Critical Support: 3295 🟢A break below 3295 could open further downside toward 3275 or even 3246 ✅Intraday Trading Strategy: 🔻 Short Position Strategy: Consider layering into short positions around the 3325–3330 area. Stop-loss: 8–10 $ Targets: 3310–3300; if 3300 breaks, watch for a move toward 3295 🔺 Long Position Strategy: If price pulls back and stabilizes around 3295–3298, consider layering into long positions. Stop-loss: 8–10 $ Targets: 3305–3315; if 3315 breaks, look for a move toward 3325 ✅Strategy Summary & Outlook: Gold remains in a broad high-level consolidation phase, with frequent short-term shifts between bullish and bearish sentiment. We recommend a range-trading approach—selling on rallies and buying on dips—while closely monitoring whether the 3345–3350 resistance zone is breached. This key area will likely determine the directional breakout this week. ✅Maintain disciplined risk management, avoid chasing moves, and stay alert to intraday momentum shifts.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingMasterHub
Gold rebounded from the bottom. Is the decline over?Gold prices faced selling pressure in today's Asian market. The price fell from 3343 to around 3320 in the early Asian session. The European price continued to fall, reaching a low of around 3296, and then rebounded upward. The current price is fluctuating around 3320. Most investors will focus on the minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting to be released on Wednesday to get guidance on the trend. From the hourly chart, the upper pressure position is constantly being corrected. The current average pressure value is around 3330-3335. At the same time, this position is also the watershed between long and short positions in the previous dense area. The price may rebound to this position again. The lower support level is in the range of 3300-3290. Quaid believes that the current market is still showing a downward trend, and the price may fall back below 3300 again. Operation strategy: Short around 3330, stop loss 3340, profit range 3310-3300, sustainable ownership after breakthrough.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid_1
Gold short-term shock operation ideas 💡Message Strategy Current Price and Context Gold is trading around $3,310 and continues to retreat as traders remain cautious amid heightened macroeconomic uncertainty. While some safe-haven demand remains, a stronger dollar and weakening confidence among safe-haven buyers put gold under selling pressure. Concerns about global trade policy and tightening monetary policy continue to weigh on gold's short-term outlook. Key Drivers Geopolitical Risks: Trade tensions and global uncertainty have again sparked cautious sentiment, which has provided limited support for gold, but the absence of major conflicts has left it lacking direction. U.S. Economic Data: Strong labor market data and upcoming inflation data supported the dollar, curbing gold's upward momentum. FOMC Outcomes: The Fed remains cautious and does not signal an immediate rate cut; high yields reduce the appeal of non-interest-bearing assets such as gold. Trade Policy: While tariffs have been a concern, flows between risk and safe-haven assets have been mixed as there has been no new escalation. Monetary policy: Rising global bond yields and the Federal Reserve's wait-and-see attitude limit gold's gains in the short term. 📊Technical aspects From the 4-hour analysis, the support line of 3290-3300 is concerned below, the short-term resistance above is concerned about 3315, and the suppression line of 3345-50 is focused on. The overall main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation remains unchanged. In the middle position, watch more and do less, and follow orders cautiously, and maintain the main tone of participation in the trend. Wait patiently for key points to participate. Pay attention to the specific operation strategy in time. 💰Strategy Package Long Position:3290-3300，SL：3275，Target: 3330-3340 Short Position：3320-3330，SL：3305，Target: 3280-3290
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheodoreSilas
New tariffs are coming. How should gold respond?📰 News information： 1. 90-day tariffs are about to expire 2. New unilateral tariffs 3. Geopolitical situation 📈 Technical Analysis： On July 4th local time, there were constant turmoil in American politics and trade. Trump declared that the US government would send letters to trading partners that day to set new unilateral tariff rates, which would most likely take effect on August 1. He also revealed that the new tariff rates could soar to 70%. At the same time, Japan-US trade negotiations encountered obstacles, India planned to impose retaliatory tariffs on the United States, and the China-EU tariff war had also begun. At present, the news seems to be more favorable to the bulls. From a technical point of view, gold closed higher last week, showing that there is still upward momentum this week. In the short term, we need to pay attention to the pressure in the 3365 and 3375 - 3380 areas, and the 3400 mark is a key position where bulls and bears are fighting fiercely. Before breaking through this position, we must be alert to the risk of falling back after a high rise. Pay attention to the support of 3310-3305 and 3295-3285 below. If effective support is obtained, we can consider going long. If it breaks, it may go to 3270-3260. Gold jumped to 3342 at the opening of the Asian session and then fell back. 3345 is the key in the short term. The news may affect its subsequent trend. In the short term, pay attention to the suppression of 3345 on the upper side, and further to the strong resistance area of 3365-3380. If there is resistance and pressure, you can short at a high level. The impact of recent news is erratic, so enter the market with caution and be sure to set TP and SL strictly. 🎯 Trading Points： SELL 3330-3345 TP 3320-3310-3295 BUY 3310-3305 TP 3320-3330-3345 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐. TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Allenbrowser-3
XAUUSD – Bearish Breakout Retest (TCB Strategy)🔍 Technical Overview: Trend: Price has clearly broken below the rising channel. Retest Zone: The grey box shows a bearish retest zone at 3,315–3,310, which price tapped before rejecting. Current Support: Price is reacting at the 3,300 horizontal level (former demand zone). Target Area: The blue box points to a possible TP zone around 3,263, aligned with previous structure support. 🔻 XAUUSD – Bearish Breakout Retest (TCB Strategy) 📅 Date: July 7, 2025 🕐 Timeframe: 1H ✅ Checklist Score: 95% 🔍 TCB Setup Breakdown: Price broke below a rising channel and pulled back into a clean supply zone (3,310–3,315). NY session provided a strong rejection, aligning with structure shift and confirming short bias. 🎯 Entry: 3,310.00 🛑 Stop Loss: 3,316.50 🎯 Target: 3,263.47 📈 R-Multiple: Targeting ~+2.5R 🧠 Strategy: Trend → Countertrend → Breakout 📛 #TCBFlow #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #BreakoutRetest #TradingViewIdeas #GoldTrading #PriceAction #MarketStructure #NYSession #ForexStrategy #RiskReward #TrendlineBreak #SupplyDemand
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by J1000PIPSfx
Analysis of the latest gold trend next week: Analysis of gold news: Friday (July 4) coincided with the US Independence Day holiday, and gold prices were in a narrow range of fluctuations. Strong employment data not only pushed up the US dollar and US bond yields, but also significantly weakened the market's expectations of the Federal Reserve's early rate cuts, which greatly reduced the attractiveness of gold. At the same time, the US Congress passed the Trump administration's massive tax cut and spending bill, further injecting complex variables into the economy. There will be no key data to watch today. Due to the US Independence Day, all markets will close early, which will limit the fluctuation range of gold prices. Key technical signals: Daily level: Range fluctuations: Gold prices repeatedly tested in the 3320-3360 range, the Bollinger band narrowed, and the MACD kinetic energy column shrank, indicating that the market was in a wait-and-see mood. Key support/resistance: Support: 3320 (5-day moving average), 3300 (psychological barrier + Bollinger lower track). Resistance: 3350-3360 (non-agricultural starting point + daily middle track). 4-hour level: Short-term bottoming signs: After the non-agricultural data, the gold price fell to 3322 and then rebounded, forming a double bottom prototype, but it needs to break through 3350 to confirm the reversal. RSI is neutral (around 50) and may maintain a narrow range of fluctuations in the short term. 2. Next week's market deduction 1. Baseline scenario (oscillation and consolidation, 60% probability) Trend: The gold price fluctuates in the 3320-3360 range, waiting for CPI data to guide the direction. Operation strategy: Short-term high-sell and low-buy: Long order: Long at around 3320-3325, stop loss 3305, target 3350. Short order: Short at 3350-3360 under pressure, stop loss 3370, target 3320. 2. Bullish breakthrough scenario (30% probability, CPI data required) Trigger conditions: CPI is lower than expected (such as below 3.2%), the market re-bets on interest rate cuts, and the US dollar weakens. Trend: After breaking through 3360, it may test 3380 (200-day moving average) or even 3400. Operation strategy: Break through and chase long: Follow up after stabilizing 3360, target 3380-3400. 3. Bearish breakout scenario (10% probability, need continued strength of the US dollar) Trigger conditions: CPI is stronger than expected (such as more than 3.5%), and the Fed's hawkish remarks suppress expectations of rate cuts. Trend: After breaking below 3300, it may test 3260 (June low). Operation strategy: Break through and follow short: After breaking below 3300, chase short, target 3260. III. Trading strategy and risk management Short-term trading (suitable for intraday positions) Shock strategy: Buy high and sell low in the range of 3320-3360, with strict stop loss (10$-15$). Breakout strategy: Wait for CPI data and follow the trend. If it breaks through 3360, chase longs or if it falls below 3300, follow shorts. Mid-term layout (pay attention to the trend after CPI) If CPI is positive: set up long orders at 3330-3340, with a target of 3400. If CPI is negative: set up short orders at 3350-3360, with a target of 3260. Risk warning Liquidity risk: Speech by Fed officials (such as Powell) may trigger short-term sharp fluctuations. Geopolitical risk: Sudden conflicts or banking crises may trigger safe-haven buying, breaking the technical logic. 4. Summary and key points Core range: 3320-3360 (maintain the idea of oscillation before breaking through). Long-short watershed: Breaking through 3360 → opening up space to 3400. Breaking through 3300 → opening a downward trend to 3260.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Gold_Hunters_Alliance