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XAUUSD trade ideas

News affecting gold prices News: U.S. officials revealed that the Trump administration has proposed to Ukraine that the United States should obtain 50% ownership of Ukrainian rare earth mines, and said that if a peace agreement is reached with Russia, the United States is willing to deploy U.S. troops in Ukraine. To hedge against geopolitical and economic instability, it is currently believed that the gold market is pricing in increased policy tensions, and gold prices are expected to continue to rise next week. Viewpoint: Hedge against geopolitical and economic instability, and the next trading cycle will show an upward trend. Keep paying attention to the subsequent sharing of views
TVC:GOLDLong
by David_financial_analyst
Trade Idea: XAUUSD LONG ( BUY LIMIT )Technical Analysis: 1. Daily Chart: • Trend: Strong bullish trend with price making higher highs and higher lows. • MACD: Strong bullish momentum, MACD line above the signal line. • RSI (71.53): Overbought zone but no divergence, indicating strong bullish momentum. 2. 15-Min Chart: • Trend: Bullish with higher highs and higher lows. • MACD: Positive but showing signs of slowing momentum. • RSI (64.04): Neutral to slightly overbought, room for further upside. 3. 3-Min Chart: • Trend: Recent pullback followed by a bullish continuation. • MACD: Slight bullish crossover. • RSI (76.04): Overbought, indicating potential for minor pullback but still bullish. Fundamental Analysis: • Gold drivers: • Market sentiment remains bullish on gold, possibly due to inflation concerns, safe-haven demand, or weakening USD. • Without major negative catalysts, the bullish trend is likely to continue. Trade Setup: Given the strong bullish trend on the daily and the bullish continuation on lower timeframes, a long position offers the highest probability. • Position: Long (Buy) XAUUSD • Entry: 2935.00 (Wait for a slight pullback from current levels for better RRR) • Stop Loss (SL): 2920.00 (Below recent support on M15 and psychological level) • Take Profit (TP): 2965.00 (Recent psychological resistance and aligns with 2:1 RRR) • Risk-Reward Ratio: 2:1 FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by KeN-WeNzEl
XAUUSD H1: Wyckoff with chart!Update for you guys from Wyckoff's perspective in Elliott wave, the price has reached 2946 as updated for you guys yesterday. Currently TPO is still in an uptrend, but when reading through the Elliott wave structure, UTAD is predicted at 2946, because when this level is reached, the new ATH price is also 5 psychological waves formed, so the possibility of "TRAP" is very high or can be understood according to Wyckoff as a UT phase or Up Thust Action, in case of sustainable increase, it is necessary to observe the test point, otherwise today it is easy to reverse at 2946, and I only trade when there is a certain confirmation, so today I will take precautions to warn you guys to pay attention, if there is an entry signal, I will notify you!.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by xauusd_rr
XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Book Profits, Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!" Buy entry above 2950.00 Sell Entry below 2870.00 However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side. Stop Loss 🛑: -Thief SL placed at 2900.00 (swing Trade Basis) for Bullish Trade -Thief SL placed at 2920.00 (swing Trade Basis) for Bearish Trade Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: -Bullish Robbers TP 3070.00 (or) Escape Before the Target -Bearish Robbers TP 2770.00 (or) Escape Before the Target 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT data, Sentimental Outlook: XAU/USD "Gold vs US.Dollar" Metal market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a higher chance for Bullishness)., driven by several key factors. 🚩Fundamental Analysis Gold Demand: Gold demand is expected to increase, driven by growing central bank purchases and investor demand for safe-haven assets. Inflation Rate: Global inflation is expected to rise to 3.8% in 2025, potentially increasing demand for gold as a hedge against inflation. Interest Rates: Central banks are expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, potentially increasing demand for gold. Global Economic Trends: The ongoing global economic recovery is expected to drive up demand for gold, driven by increasing investor confidence. 🚩Macro Economics Global Economic Trends: The ongoing global economic recovery is expected to drive up demand for gold, driven by increasing investor confidence. Inflation Rate: Global inflation is expected to rise to 3.8% in 2025, potentially increasing demand for gold as a hedge against inflation. Interest Rates: Central banks are expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, potentially increasing demand for gold. Commodity Prices: Commodity prices are expected to rise by 5% in 2025, driven by increasing demand for raw materials. 🚩COT Data Non-Commercial Traders (Institutional): Net Long Positions: 70% Open Interest: 250,000 contracts Commercial Traders (Companies): Net Short Positions: 20% Open Interest: 120,000 contracts Non-Reportable Traders (Small Traders): Net Long Positions: 10% Open Interest: 25,000 contracts COT Ratio: 3.0 (indicating a strong bullish trend) 🚩Sentimental Outlook Institutional Sentiment: 75% bullish, 25% bearish. Retail Sentiment: 70% bullish, 30% bearish. Market Mood: The overall market mood is bullish, with a sentiment score of +65. 🚩Next Move Prediction Bullish Move: Potential upside to 3070.00-3200.00. Target: 3200.00 (primary target), 3300.00 (secondary target) Next Swing Target: 3400.00 (potential swing high) Stop Loss: 2700.00 (below the 30-day low) Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 (potential profit of 300.00 vs potential loss of 150.00) 🚩Overall Outlook The overall outlook for XAU/USD is bullish, driven by a combination of fundamental, technical, and sentimental factors. The expected increase in gold demand, growing central bank purchases, and bullish market sentiment are all supporting the bullish trend. However, investors should remain cautious of potential downside risks, including changes in global economic trends and unexpected regulatory developments. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
SAXO:XAUUSD
by Thief_Trader
XAUMO Institutional Gold (XAU/USD) Market Update – Feb 18, 2025🔥 XAUMO Institutional Gold (XAU/USD) Market Update – Feb 18, 2025 🔥 📌 Market Context – Review of Yesterday & Asia Session Movement 📍 Current Price: $2,913.82 📍 Session Overview: • Asia Session (Today): Price tested $2,915.56 but failed to break higher. • Yesterday’s Key Levels Still in Play: • Major Resistance: $2,906 - $2,915.56 (Liquidity Grab Zone – Smart Money Decision Area) • Major Support: $2,891 - $2,888 (Institutional Buy Zone – Needs to Hold for Bullish Continuation) • Volume Profile Analysis: • Declining Volume Across Timeframes (30m, 90m, 6H, 1D) → Market Waiting for Catalyst. • Spread Increasing (Asia) → Institutions Testing Liquidity. 📌 XAUMO Interpretation from Asia Session: ✅ Price failed to hold above $2,915.56 – Possible rejection setup. ✅ Volume lower than previous session – No strong institutional buying yet. ✅ Still above key support ($2,891 - $2,888) – Buyers need to defend for upside continuation. 📊 XAUMO Market Outlook – London, Pre-NYC & NYC Sessions 🔹 London Session (Upcoming): Consolidation or Rejection? • Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation (If $2,891 Support Holds & Volume Increases) • Reclaiming $2,915.56 with Strong Volume → Target $2,920 - $2,926. • VWAP Pivot (London Session) Will Be Key – If Price Stays Above, Expect Bullish Move. • Scenario 2: Fake Breakout & Rejection (If $2,915.56 Remains a Liquidity Trap) • Failure at $2,915.56 → Price Will Test $2,900 & Possibly $2,891 Again. • London Open Liquidity Grab Possible – Watch for Stop Hunts. 📌 XAUMO London Strategy: ✅ First 30 minutes of London session will confirm direction. ✅ Look for Fakeout Above $2,915.56 OR a Hard Rejection Below $2,900. 🔹 Pre-NYC Session (Liquidity Building for the Main Move) • Scenario 1: If London Session Closes Above $2,915.56 → Expect Continuation Toward $2,926 - $2,930. • Scenario 2: If London Session Closes Below $2,900 → Expect Institutional Sell-Off Toward $2,891 - $2,888. • Watch for VWAP Rejections – If Price Stays Below VWAP, Expect Downside Move. 📌 XAUMO Pre-NYC Strategy: ✅ If price stabilizes above VWAP, we could see NY momentum push toward $2,920+. ✅ If VWAP flips bearish, Smart Money may flush price down before buying lower. 🔹 NYC Session (High Volatility Expected – Major Directional Move Likely) • Scenario 1: Bullish NYC Breakout (If Price Holds $2,900 & Reclaims $2,915.56) • Strong volume push → Target $2,926 - $2,932. • Needs Economic Data Confirmation. • Scenario 2: NYC Session Liquidity Grab & Reversal • Smart Money Fakes Bullish Move, Then Dumps Below $2,900 → Target $2,891 - $2,888. • This Would Set Up a Stop Hunt Before a Real Move. 📌 XAUMO NYC Strategy: ✅ Wait for First 30-60 Minutes of NYC to Confirm Direction. ✅ Watch Economic Data Releases – If Gold Spikes Fast, Expect a Trap Move. 📌 Key Economic News to Watch (Feb 18, 2025) ✅ UK CPI Data (London Session) – Inflation Impact on Risk Sentiment. ✅ US Retail Sales (Pre-NYC) – Will Impact USD Strength & Gold Reaction. ✅ US PPI & Fed Speakers (NYC Session) – High Impact Events for Gold. ========= 🔥 XAUMO Institutional Gold (XAU/USD) – Full Scenario Breakdown for Feb 18, 2025 🔥 📌 Market Context – Where We Stand Now 📍 Current Price: $2,913.82 📍 Key Resistance Zone: $2,915.56 - $2,926 (Institutional Sell Area, Smart Money Trap Zone) 📍 Key Support Zone: $2,900 - $2,888 (Liquidity Pool, Institutional Buy Zone) 📍 Major Volume Profile Observations: • Declining Volume → Market Waiting for Catalyst. • Wide Spread but No Follow-Through → Institutions Absorbing. 📊 XAUMO Full Scenario Breakdown – No Leftovers 1️⃣ Scenario: Bullish Breakout Above $2,915.56 → Continuation to $2,926 - $2,942 🚀 ✅ Trigger: If price holds above $2,915.56 with strong volume. ✅ Confirmation: High momentum with large institutional buy orders. ✅ Invalidation: If price breaks back below $2,910 after breakout. 🎯 Targets: $2,920 → $2,926 → $2,932 → $2,942. 📌 XAUMO Play: • Buy above $2,916, stop below $2,910, target $2,926+. • If price stalls at $2,926, expect a pullback before continuation. 2️⃣ Scenario: Fake Breakout Above $2,915.56 → Rejection Back Below $2,900 ⚠️ ✅ Trigger: If price spikes above $2,915.56 but fails to hold (wick rejection). ✅ Confirmation: Large volume spike but no sustained move. ✅ Invalidation: If price holds above $2,918 and doesn’t retrace. 🎯 Targets: $2,905 → $2,900 → $2,892 → $2,888. 📌 XAUMO Play: • Sell at $2,915 - $2,918 rejection, stop above $2,926, target $2,900 - $2,892. • If NYC session confirms weakness, hold for a deeper flush. 3️⃣ Scenario: Bullish Support Test at $2,900 → Bounce to $2,915.56 & Higher 📈 ✅ Trigger: If price tests $2,900 - $2,891 and holds with absorption. ✅ Confirmation: Higher lows form, volume increases, and price reclaims VWAP. ✅ Invalidation: If price breaks below $2,888 with strong selling pressure. 🎯 Targets: $2,910 → $2,915 → $2,926. 📌 XAUMO Play: • Buy above $2,900 - $2,892, stop below $2,888, target $2,915+. • If price stays above VWAP, bullish bias strengthens. 4️⃣ Scenario: Full Breakdown Below $2,900 → Sell-Off to $2,878 - $2,863 📉 ✅ Trigger: If price breaks below $2,900 with strong volume and fails to recover. ✅ Confirmation: Lower highs form, aggressive sell orders appear. ✅ Invalidation: If price quickly reclaims $2,905 - $2,910 after breaking down. 🎯 Targets: $2,891 → $2,888 → $2,878 → $2,863. 📌 XAUMO Play: • Sell on breakdown below $2,900, stop at $2,910, target $2,878 - $2,863. • If NYC session accelerates, extended downside possible. 5️⃣ Scenario: NYC Manipulation – Liquidity Grab Before Big Move 🏦 ✅ Trigger: If price violently sweeps $2,915 or $2,888 before reversing. ✅ Confirmation: Volume surge on stop-hunt followed by a strong reversal. ✅ Invalidation: If price trends steadily without major wicks. 🎯 Targets: Whichever direction institutions confirm post-sweep. 📌 XAUMO Play: • Stay out until Smart Money reveals true direction. • If NYC fakes a move, enter in the opposite direction after confirmation. ========= 📌 XAUMO Fundamental Interpretation: • Stronger-than-expected Retail Sales → USD Strengthens → Gold Drops. • Weak CPI or Fed Dovish Tone → USD Weakens → Gold Breaks $2,915 & Rallies Higher. 📢 XAUMO Final Execution Plan – How to Trade Today? 📈 Bullish Play (If $2,900 Holds & Price Breaks $2,915.56 with Volume) 💰 Buy XAU/USD @ $2,916 📍 Stop Loss: $2,906 (Below Institutional Liquidity Zone) 🎯 Take Profit: $2,926 → $2,932 → $2,942 ✅ Probability: 70% 📌 Why? • London/NYC Momentum Could Push Gold Higher if USD Weakens. • Breakout Above $2,915.56 Triggers New Institutional Buys. 📉 Bearish Play (If Price Rejected at $2,915.56 & Breaks Below $2,900) 💰 Sell XAU/USD @ $2,900 📍 Stop Loss: $2,915.56 (Above Resistance – Bullish Invalidator.) 🎯 Take Profit: $2,892 → $2,888 → $2,878 ✅ Probability: 75% 📌 Why? • If price can’t hold $2,900, we’ll see a liquidity flush toward $2,891 - $2,888. • Strong USD from Economic Data Could Send Gold Lower. =============== 🔥 XAUMO Final Execution Strategy – No Guessing, Just Liquidity Tracking ✅ London Session: Sets the bias – Watch $2,915.56 and $2,900 for early clues. ✅ Pre-NYC: Positioning phase – Expect choppy moves before big liquidity grab. ✅ NYC Open: The real move – Let price confirm before jumping in. 📌 Best Trades Today: 🔹 Buy Above $2,916 → Target $2,926 - $2,932. 🔹 Sell Below $2,900 → Target $2,888 - $2,878. 🔹 Wait for a Stop-Hunt → Enter Opposite Side After Confirmation. 📢 XAUMO Final Notes – Stay Smart, Don’t Chase! ✅ London Will Set the Tone – Watch VWAP & Resistance Reactions. ✅ NYC News Data Will Bring Volatility – Be Patient for Confirmation. ✅ Smart Money Will Trap Traders – Wait for Institutional Moves!
FX:XAUUSD
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
The best gold trading strategiesGold hit a high and then fell again last Friday. Although it did not set a new high again, it also touched the historical high near 2940 and then quickly retreated. It hit the lowest point near 2876 and then began to pull back and correct. It rose directly after opening during the day. The current highest point is near 2906. After a sharp decline last Friday, the daily line closed in the form of a large negative line. Today, Monday, gold opened at the lowest point of 2878 and rebounded. Gold is just like our weekend trend analysis. From the current trend of gold, the support below is around 2875-85, and the pressure above is around 2908-13. The overall support is based on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycles. In the middle position, watch more and do less, and be cautious in chasing orders. Gold operation strategy: 1. Go long when gold falls back to 2877-2885, and the target is 2910-2915;
OANDA:XAUUSD
by niwmniwm
Gold - Trend continuation after deep correctionParallel Channel: A clear upward-trending channel indicating long-term bullish movement. Consolidation Pattern: A triangular consolidation phase before a breakout. Strong Support Level: Marked around 2,861.843, serving as a key price level. Price Projections: Two significant measured moves showing price increases of 14.10% and 12.27%, with the latest target reaching approximately 3,037.055. Current Price Action: The price is around 2,882.482, experiencing a slight pullback (-1.57%). Key Elements of the Chart: 1. Overall Trend: Bullish Momentum The chart showcases an upward trend in gold prices over the past several months. A parallel ascending channel is drawn, marking higher highs and higher lows, indicating a sustained bullish trajectory. 2. Parallel Channel Formation A parallel channel (black trendlines) has been plotted, highlighting a structured uptrend. The price has consistently moved within this channel, bouncing off support and resistance levels. 3. Consolidation & Breakout Phase A green triangular pattern is visible in the middle section of the chart. This pattern represents a period of price consolidation, where gold traded in a tightening range before a breakout. After breaking out of this consolidation phase, the price resumed its uptrend, confirming a bullish breakout. 4. Support and Resistance Levels A strong support level is identified at 2,861.843, providing a key price floor. The price has recently retraced and is testing this support zone around 2,882.482. Resistance lies near the upper boundary of the parallel channel, with a target projection of 3,037.055. 5. Measured Price Moves (Projection Targets) The chart includes two price projections using vertical arrows: First measured move: A rally of 333.699 points (14.10%), suggesting a significant bullish leg. Second measured move: Another 331.092 points (12.27%), confirming continued bullish strength. The next target price level is around 3,037.055 USD, indicating further upside potential. 6. Current Market Conditions The current price is around 2,882.482, reflecting a -1.57% daily decline. The recent pullback suggests either a minor correction or a potential support test before the next leg upward. Technical Summary: Trend: Strong bullish uptrend within a well-defined parallel channel. Support Level: 2,861.843 (marked as a strong area of buying interest). Resistance Level: Around 3,037.055. Breakout Confirmation: After a consolidation phase, gold has resumed its uptrend. Market Outlook: The chart indicates the potential for further upside, but short-term corrections may occur. The price remains within the parallel channel, gold could continue its upward trajectory, with 3,037.055 USD as the next key resistance level. However, if the support level (2,861.843) fails, a deeper correction may follow.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by PIPsOptimizer
XAUUSD: short or buy? How do you choose!There is no major news that has impacted the market, and the three-party talks have not ended yet, so potential uncertainties still exist. This makes the current traders face a choice, whether to go long or short? After all, it is related to the growth and decrease of the balance. From the technical point of view, there are signs of retracement. From the SMA, the momentum is not strong and relatively weak. On the contrary, the price continues to run in the range of SMA20-SMA50, which shows that the bulls are still relatively strong compared to the bears. The short-term support conversion point 2930 needs to be paid attention to. As the watershed between buying and selling. Comprehensive trading plan: At present, the price is still trading sideways at a high level. The uncertainty of the news has added some mysterious power to the bulls. Jack believes that the short-term trend of XAUUSD will still rise again after testing the support at a low level, so going long is the first choice. 2928 is a stable buying position. Aggressive friends can choose to buy in advance at 2930-2933. Add a buy order again after XAUUSD falls back. The target position is set at 2945-2950. The increase range is about 12P-22P. The stop loss position is set at 2920. Remember to set a take profit and stop loss in the transaction. Trading is not a one-time transaction, but more like a long-term career in balanced development. So don't let yourself take greater risks. Be sure to pay attention to this issue. ⚠⚠⚠⚠⚠⚠ Remember to like it after reading it. Everyone is welcome to leave your comments in the comment section. Do you support long or short positions?
TVC:GOLDLong
by JAKE_T0