Buy 3424, close during Asia open on Monday.This is a fundamentally based idea. I´m expecting GOLD will gap during weekend, diue to possible Iran "retaliation" atack during weekend(this night). The most likely target is 3500-3520. You can open your position now at 3424. Very important, you HAVE TO, control your position during Asia open on Monday and do not be greedy. Expecting very sharp pullback (do not trade it). Control your size, take it as educational idea with very small size. Wishing you good luck.
I´m not a signal service. If you want to trade signals, please contact one of the signalist commenting this idea, help them finance their life from signal services. I do not do this service. My suggestion is rely on your own trading decisions, not somebody else. You will save a lot of money.
XAUUSD trade ideas
XAU/USD GOLD SELL SIGNAL Entry Point: 3431🔺 USDJPY BUY TRADE SETUP 🔺
📍 Entry: 143.700
🎯 Targets:
1️⃣ 144.500
2️⃣ 145.500
🏁 Final Target: 146.000
📈 Bullish trend remains intact
🕵️♂️ Price bounced from support zone
🔍 Momentum confirming upward strength
🛠️ Clean entry with structured risk setup
🛑 Stop-loss placed below key support
⚖️ Risk/Reward ratio aligns with strategy
⏳ Patience required as price develops
📊 Suitable for short to mid-term outlook
💼 Always manage your risk wisely
📆 Valid as of June 13, 2025
🔔 Watch for economic news impacting USD/JPY
📌 Review setup regularly – adapt if needed
📢 Trade what you see, not what you feel
📈 Stay disciplined, trade smart!
Stick to shorting gold and aim for the target area.Gold has not broken through 3400 after accelerating its rise, and the upper suppression effect still exists; currently gold is fluctuating in a narrow range below 3390, showing signs of stagflation to a certain extent. Therefore, the accelerated rise of gold is not for the short-term impact of 3400, but for a deep retracement, eliminating more scattered funds in the market by sweeping up and down.
So in the short term, I think it is difficult for gold to continue to break upward under the suppression of the resistance area near the short-term high of 3402, but to test the lower support area of 3375-3365 before breaking upward. So I have shorted gold as scheduled according to the short trading plan mentioned above, and aimed at the lower target area of 3375-3365.
At present, our short position has made a certain profit, but I still look forward to profiting from gold hitting TP! Let us look forward to gold falling back to the target area as expected!
XAU/USD – Bullish Breakout & Wave 3 Expansion Imminent?Gold appears to have completed a corrective Elliott Wave structure (A)-(B)-(C) within a contracting wedge pattern, followed by a bullish breakout signaling the beginning of a new impulsive wave cycle.
🔹 Wave Structure Overview
The corrective decline formed a clear ABC correction inside a falling wedge, marked in red.
Following the final touch on the wedge's lower boundary, we saw a 5-wave impulsive breakout—suggesting the end of correction and initiation of a larger degree impulse wave.
Subwaves (1)-(2) appear to have completed in the new uptrend, with Wave (3) currently in motion.
🔹 Fibonacci Extension Targets for Wave (3)
Using the Fibonacci extension from the base of Wave (1)-(2):
1.13 Extension = $3,517
1.272 Extension = $3,551
1.414 Extension = $3,585
1.618 Extension = $3,635 (Primary target for Wave (3))
These are key resistance levels to watch as price progresses higher.
🟢 Bullish Scenario
A sustained break above recent resistance (~$3,345) should trigger momentum toward Wave (3)’s target range.
Price action and structure support a move toward $3,550–$3,635 in the coming days.
Minor pullbacks (Wave 4) expected before the final move into Wave 5 completion.
🔴 Bearish Invalidations
If price breaks below the current Wave (2) low (~$3,240), the bullish impulsive count may be invalidated.
Invalidation of the impulsive structure would imply either a deeper correction or re-entry into range-bound consolidation.
📌 Conclusion:
Gold is showing strong bullish momentum post-correction with a potential extended Wave (3) in progress. Breakout traders can look for continuation setups above $3,345 with targets at the Fibonacci extensions noted. Risk should be managed below Wave (2) low.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #ElliottWave #TradingView #Wave3Breakout #FibonacciTargets #GoldOutlook
Gold May Rebound After Monday Dip; Watch Tariffs & GeopoliticsGold may continue to decline before rebounding on Monday📉. The first support level is currently near 3,240-3,260. When approaching this support area, considering going long is advisable👍. It is still crucial to closely monitor the latest developments regarding U.S. tariffs and the situation in war-torn countries, as significant volatility may occur at any time⚠️. If a rebound reaches 3,350-3,360, considering going short is an option📉
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 3250 - 3260
🚀 TP 3290 - 3310
🚀 Sell@ 3360 - 3240
🚀 TP 3310 - 3290
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
The latest gold trend analysis and strategy on June 19:
I. Fundamental analysis
1. Global macro environment:
As a safe-haven asset, gold's price fluctuations are affected by multiple factors, including:
Macroeconomic policies (such as interest rates, inflation expectations)
Geopolitical tensions
Market risk sentiment and capital flows
2. The core factors currently affecting gold trends:
Federal Reserve interest rate decision:
The result of this interest rate decision is in line with market expectations;
But Powell delivered a hawkish speech after the meeting, suppressing the market's optimistic expectations for interest rate cuts this year;
As a result, the price of gold quickly fell from around $3,395 to around $3,362, showing a short-term negative effect;
Overall, the Fed's hawkish stance puts some pressure on gold.
Geopolitical risks (Middle East situation):
The conflict between Israel and Iran continues to escalate, and market risk aversion has increased;
It supports gold and limits its downside space.
Holiday impact:
The U.S. market closed early for the "Juneteenth" holiday;
Market trading volume is expected to shrink, and the volatility may be limited in the short term.
2. Technical analysis
1. Daily analysis:
Brief summary of gold trend this week:
Monday: A sharp drop after a high opening;
Tuesday: A cross positive line was closed, showing a shock correction;
Wednesday: The price of gold continued to fluctuate after the Fed's decision, and the lowest price of gold reached $3,362.
Analysis of key technical indicators and points:
Support level:
$3,362 is the low point of this decline;
This point coincides with the 10-day moving average (3,360), forming a strong support;
If this position is maintained, gold may maintain a volatile trend;
If it falls below, the next support is the 20-day moving average: around 3,350.
Resistance level:
The first resistance is the 5-day moving average: $3,390;
The stronger resistance above is at $3,405, which is a concentrated pressure point;
If it breaks through 3,405, it is expected to rise further to $3,430.
2. 4-hour chart analysis:
The current structure has not changed significantly:
The lower track of the Bollinger band has not opened, the support of 3360 is effective, and the structure is bullish;
But the continuous rebound has not broken through the pressure point of the middle track of the Bollinger band, indicating that the medium-term is still a weak and volatile pattern;
If the short-term gold price can break through the suppression level of 3405 US dollars, it is possible to start a new round of rise, with the target pointing to the high point of 3430 US dollars.
Intraday trading suggestions:
Maintain the "high-altitude and low-multiple" operation idea;
Wait for the price to appear a confirmation signal near the key support or resistance level before entering the market;
Currently, it is recommended to be bullish above the support level of 3360.
III. Operation strategy suggestions (short-term)
1. Short order strategy (high-altitude):
Entry range: 3385-3383 US dollars;
Stop loss: 3390 US dollars;
Target: 3370-3365 US dollars.
2. Long order strategy (low long):
Entry range: 3365-3367 USD;
Stop loss: 3359 USD;
Target: 3375-3385 USD.
IV. Summary
Gold is currently in a long-short game and a weak shock pattern;
The hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve suppresses gold, but geopolitical factors provide support for it;
From a technical perspective, 3360 is the key support point and 3405 is the key resistance point;
Short-term thinking is mainly based on shock thinking, and the operation is recommended to maintain the high-altitude low-multiple strategy in the range;
Follow-up focus:
Whether 3360 is effectively maintained;
Whether 3405 is successfully broken through to confirm the trend direction.
The reason why gold was suddenly sold off
💡Message Strategy
Market dehydration news:
1. On Wednesday, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) maintained a stable stance on interest rates, maintaining them in the target range of 4.25% to 4.5%. The Fed expects to implement two rate cuts this year, but policymakers expect inflation to rise. They also lowered their outlook for gross domestic product (GDP).
2. After the Fed's decision was released, the spot gold price fell sharply from the level near $3,396 per ounce; during Powell's speech, the gold price accelerated its decline, once falling to around $3,362 per ounce.
3. Powell said that the current policy stance is ready for flexible response, "At present, we are in a good position to wait for more information about the possible direction of the economy before considering adjusting policies."
4. Powell pointed out that the Fed needs to further understand the current situation before considering adjusting monetary policy. He said that given the continued changes in trade, fiscal and regulatory policies, the Fed needs more time to assess their impact on the economy.
📊Technical aspects
On the 1H chart of gold, gold fell back from a two-month high, hitting a new low in a week, and the short-term trend is biased towards adjustment.
For the upper pressure of gold, pay attention to the intraday high point of gold price rebound at 3380-90 US dollars, which is also near the 5-day moving average of the daily line. Secondly, pay attention to the integer position of 3400 US dollars, which is also the high point of gold price rebound on Wednesday. For further strength, pay attention to the upper track of the daily Bollinger band at 3425 US dollars;
For the lower support of gold, pay attention to the intraday low of 3355-60 US dollars, which is the middle track position of the daily Bollinger band and near the weekly MA5 moving average. The 5-day moving average golden cross turns down, the MACD indicator is close to forming a slight dead cross, the KDJ indicator dead cross slows down, and the RSI indicator dead cross turns up. The short-term technical aspect shows that there is a risk of correction in gold prices.
💰Strategy Package
Short Position:3390-3400,SL:3410,Target: 3370-3360
Long Position:3355-3365,SL:3345,Target: 3380-3390
GOLD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 3,373.02.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 3,354.03 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Gold delivering excellent Scalp opportunities Fundamental analysis: Gold was among the losers (Short-term) of the Fed's decision this throughout yesterday’s session for then first time within #8-Month period. Valuable ground's given and #3,400.80 benchmark looks unreachable for at least this week’s borders. Fed kept rates unchanged, and signaled that current Rate would continue through #2025 to support the next phase of the economic recovery. Investors clearly show their interest to try riskier assets like equities and as long as DX is without a recovery (currently on steep Descending Channel), Gold will keep constantly deliver Bull spikes. Daily chart turned Neutral with Resistance level priced at #3,395.80 - #3,400.80 and if invalidated I expect historic upside potential of Gold (my estimations show even #3,452.80 and #3,500.80 in succession within #2 - #3 Month variance). Quarterly Investors will pressure on the Resistance based on Bullish Fundamental outlook on Gold. However with Gold’s Technicals critically Bearish, I won’t be surprised to see values below #3,352.80 benchmark tested and invalidated.
My position : I have monitored the Price-action from sidelines and spotted few patterns however didn’t engaged as my Profit range is already decent. However I spotted excellent post-Fed opportunity and Bought Gold aggressively on #3,363.80 and closed the order on #3,378.80 last night. I will continue Scalping current #3,357.80 - #3,395.80 range as it is excellent Trading lately.
XAUUSDThe latest COT report shows a strong increase in gold long positions, with large speculators adding to bullish exposure. This indicates growing institutional confidence in gold's upside potential.
At the same time, price is resting on a well-respected support zone, aligning perfectly with the bullish COT bias. This confluence strengthens the case for a potential rebound or breakout move.
xau/usdTRADE 3 i did get into this trade buyt published late..,. i belive gold to still be bullish i do think a break out wil have to occur soon but again im always wrong with gold but just love to trade it..... but i think a retest at a higher level is going to happen lets seee rememebr gold is always going to gfet more expensive so this is always going to stay a bullish run in the long term
Long Trade Setup: XAUUSD 🟡 Trade Setup: XAUUSD (Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar)
Timeframe: 1H
Bias: Bullish Reversal
Type: Liquidity Trap Breakout
Instrument: Gold / USD
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🧠 Step 1: Market Context
Gold has been in a downtrend, forming consistent lower lows. Recently, it broke below a key support level, making it appear like further downside is coming. However, price has since moved sideways, suggesting loss of bearish momentum.
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🎯 Step 2: Liquidity Trap Detected
This breakdown below support seems to be a false move, possibly engineered to:
Trigger stop-losses below the previous low
Attract sellers expecting further downside
Create sell-side liquidity for institutions
This pattern is known as a liquidity trap or stop hunt.
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📏 Step 3: Confirmation from Price Action
A descending trendline breakout is visible on the 1H timeframe.
Price broke out, retested the trendline, and is now showing bullish candles.
This signals potential accumulation and trend reversal.
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💼 Step 4: Trade Details
Entry: 3,393.73
Target (TP): 3,500.41
Stop Loss (SL): 3,351.50
Risk to Reward Ratio: ~2.5:1
This trade offers a solid risk-managed setup, ideal for intraday to short-swing traders.
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🔍 Step 5: What to Watch For
Watch for bullish continuation above 3,400.
If price closes above 3,420, breakout buyers may join in.
If price drops below 3,375, exit and reassess.
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📌 Summary
This trade banks on the idea that smart money is accumulating positions while retail traders are trapped short. The risk-reward ratio is favorable, and technical signals align for a potential upside move.
XAUUSD, Gold analysis, Liquidity trap, Stop hunt, Trend reversal, Technical analysis, Gold breakout, Smart money move
#XAUUSD #Gold #Breakout #LiquidityTrap #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney
#Forex #TradingView #GoldAnalysis #PriceAction #TrendReversal #RiskReward
XAU/USD bullish Outlooks New Treends 3367 to 3410 / 18/6/2025---
Hi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD
Feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments 👊
Some days ago, price declined to $3220 level and then started to grow, and soon reached $3380 level and even broke it.
Then price started to trade inside a wedge, where it once started to decline and in a short time declined to the support line of the wedge.
After this, Gold rose and broke $3220 level again and continued to move up in the wedge, where it also made two gaps before.
Price rose to $3380 level and traded very close to this level for some time, but later corrected to the support line.
Next, price made a strong impulse, breaking $3380 level and exiting from the wedge as well, and continued to grow.Recently, Gold started to fall, so I think that it will fall to the support area and then bounce up to $3500.
🟢 Trade active:
Price has reached the support area. In my view, it might trade inside this zone for some time and then start to grow again.
❤️ If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments.
XAU/USD 18 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following previous high, and printing of bearish CHoCH, price has pulled back to an M15 supply zone, where we are currently seeing a reaction. Therefore, I shall now confirm internal high.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold Sell Setup – 18/06/2025📉 Gold Sell Setup – 18/06/2025 📉
Chart shows a clear descending channel formation on the XAUUSD pair.
🔸 Sell Limit Zone: 3411 to 3414
🔸 Stop Loss: 3425
🔸 Expected Reaction: Price is currently at the upper boundary of the descending channel, suggesting potential resistance and reversal.
🟡 RSI is approaching overbought territory, adding confluence for a possible bearish move.
⚠️ Note: Wait for proper rejection confirmation before executing the trade. Trade safe!
Key Event Today – FOMC Interest Rate DecisionAs risk-off sentiment cools, gold bulls failed to take control yesterday, resulting in a stalemate with the bears.
From the 4H chart perspective, bearish momentum currently appears stronger,
though bulls are not giving up easily.
Currently, price is rebounding off the 4H MA60 support,
with immediate resistance from the MA20 around 3405.
As time progresses, this resistance is likely to shift lower,
so for now, we’ll treat $3400 as the primary reference point.
For bulls to regain dominance,
they must hold steady above 3405,
and more importantly, protect the support at 3386–3378 during any pullback.
🔔 Key Event Today – FOMC Interest Rate Decision
Today’s trading will also be influenced by the Federal Reserve’s rate decision,
which, based on current expectations, is likely to weigh heavily on bullish sentiment.
📌 Strategy for Today:
Main Bias: Sell the rebound
Secondary Approach: Buy on pullbacks if strong support levels hold
Key support levels to monitor:
⚠️ 3382 zone (minor support)
🔻 Most critical: 4H MA60 around 3366
Stay cautious during the FOMC announcement window, and remember — in volatile markets, reacting with discipline is more important than predicting perfectly.
6/17 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning!
Yesterday, gold opened with a gap-up and surged to around 3451, but failed to sustain above key resistance. After another failed attempt to break higher, prices gradually turned lower and finally broke below 3400, finding short-term support near 3382.
The primary driver of this decline was a waning of geopolitical risk sentiment, which had previously fueled the rally. Additionally, the market is now pricing in expectations that the Fed will keep rates unchanged, a factor that was likely preemptively reflected in price.
🔍 Fundamental Focus:
Today’s U.S. session will feature a key news release, which may prove decisive for gold’s next directional move. With yesterday’s advance pullback, market dynamics are likely to be more volatile today. We recommend caution, especially ahead of the announcement.
📉 Technical View:
Gold is currently in a post-decline consolidation phase.
The main resistance lies between 3430–3450, while 3415 on the 30-minute chart also presents a short-term cap.
For those entering long positions, target zones should remain conservative, ideally around 3412–3418, and then be adjusted depending on volume momentum and breakout structure.
📊 Weekly Structure Outlook:
The weekly chart shows that gold is at a key trend inflection point.
If no additional bullish catalysts emerge, the market is likely to develop into a bearish consolidation, with the next major downside target around 3200.
📌 Trading Plan (For VIP):
✅ Sell Zone: 3436–3466
✅ Buy Zone: 3347–3323
✅ Flexible Trade Zones: 3428 / 3415 / 3403 / 3392 / 3378 / 3362 / 3354