THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Interesting open for the week, not just on gold but across the markets! Our plan yesterday in the KOG Report was to look for that lower support level to hold and then not only to target Excalibur which confirmed the move, but also the red box and bias level targets. This worked well and yet again, within a day, we've completed the week's targets upside!
We couldn't short from the first red box as it was broken. Now we have the red box above which is holding and giving a slight move downside and with the indicators flashing red, we'll stick with the move so far initially looking for 3390-85. We're not discounting a retest of the level, but as long as it holds, we'll go with it.
KOG’s Bias for the week:
Bullish above 3340 with targets above 3355✅, 3361✅, 3368✅, 3372✅ and above that 3385✅
Bearish below 3340 with targets below 3335, 3330, 3322, 3316, 3310 and below that 3304
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3350 for 3355✅, 3361✅, 3367✅, 3375✅ and 3390✅ in extension of the move
Break below 3340 for 3335, 3330, 3320, 3310 and 3306 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD trade ideas
XAU/USD | Gold Holding Strong – Watching for Next Bullish Move!By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that yesterday, as expected, when the price dropped to around $3357, it faced strong buying pressure and rallied up to $3377. After that, it corrected again, pulling back to $3338 so far, and is currently trading around $3341. If gold manages to hold above $3337, we can expect another bullish move, with potential targets at $3347, $3354, $3364, and $3374.
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Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GOLD (XAUUSD): Important Demand Zone Ahead
Gold is currently retracing from a key daily horizontal resistance.
Here are important structures to watch.
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 3350 - 3377 area
Support 2: 3310 - 3324 area
Support 3: 3282 - 3301 area
Support 4: 3245 - 3374 area
Resistance 1: 3431 - 3451 area
Resistance 2: 3493 - 3500 area
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: rising trend line
Vertical and Horizontal Supports 1 compose a contracting demand zone.
Probabilities are high the price will pull back from that.
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Gold's Breakout Was a Trap. Here's the Real Plan Now.Gold has made its next move, and it was quite sharp. I was expecting a smoother correction with a return to the manipulation zone, but Gold followed a different scenario, which I described at the end of my last gold analysis:
Gold has practically confirmed its breakout from the global range it has been in since the beginning of June. The only thing that could prevent this is a complete engulfing of the bullish daily candle that broke the upper boundary of the range by a bearish candle, but I consider this an unlikely scenario.
The closed red daily candle, which completely engulfed the preceding bullish one, showed that the move was, in fact, an internal liquidity sweep . The price has not yet managed to break out of the range. Therefore, when I wrote "Gold has practically confirmed its breakout from the global range" , the daily candle had not yet closed, and the price had not secured its position above the range's upper boundary.
Essentially, it's not important how the price arrives at a Point of Interest (POI) . What matters is what we have now: the price has mitigated a manipulation in the form of a new daily order block that was formed inside the range.
Although the middle of a range is a highly unpredictable area for price movement, and I almost never consider it for entries, in this case, there is a strong exception that allows us to consider longs from this order block. The reason for this exception is the bullish order flow on the daily structure, which I have mentioned several times, and the ascending daily structure within the range. This structure allows us to identify the start of the last impulse and draw Fibonacci retracement levels, which will serve as an additional condition for our potential long setup. We can now see that the price has reached the 61.8% Fib level and has shown a reversal reaction to it. To see more precisely if there is a potential entry point, let's switch to the 4H timeframe.
On the 4H chart, we see that the 61.8% level has held, and we can look for entry confirmation on a lower timeframe. The 4H timeframe also shows that the liquidity sweep created a supply zone , which will act as resistance on the path of the next attempt to break out of the range. Due to this zone, considering a long from the current position is not optimal because the risk-to-reward ratio is too small. Furthermore, the price could reject from this supply zone and continue its correction to the next level, the 78.6% Fib level . To find an entry with a more acceptable R:R, let's move to the lower timeframes.
Two Potential Long Scenarios
SCENARIO 1: Entry from the 15M Demand Zone or 15M OB
The 15M timeframe shows a break of the 15M structure and the formation of manipulations in the form of a demand zone and a 15M order block within it.
► Setup Condition: I will consider a long position upon the mitigation of one of these manipulation zones and a clear reversal reaction from it. If the price continues to move up from the current levels, I will not enter due to the large stop loss required and the suboptimal R:R to the nearest resistance.
► Invalidation: A break below these support zones on the lower timeframe will invalidate this scenario.
SCENARIO 2: Entry from the 78.6% Fib Level
This scenario becomes active if the first one fails.
► Setup Condition: If the price breaks the 15M supports, I will watch for its interaction with the 78.6% Fib level . For a potential entry, this level must hold, show a reversal reaction, and be followed by confirmation on a lower timeframe.
► Invalidation: A decisive close below the 78.6% Fib level.
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The principles and conditions for forming the manipulation zones I show in this trade idea are detailed in my educational publication, which was chosen by TradingView for the "Editor's Picks" category and received a huge amount of positive feedback from this wonderful, advanced TV community. To better understand the logic I've used here and the general principles of price movement in most markets from the perspective of institutional capital, I highly recommend checking out this guide if you haven't already. 👇
P.S. This is not a prediction of the exact price direction. It is a description of high-probability setups that become valid only if specific conditions are met when the price reaches the marked POI. If the conditions are not met, the setups are invalid. No setup has a 100% success rate, so if you decide to use this trade idea, always use a stop-loss and proper risk management. Trade smart.
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Gold Update – Strong Breaks, Strong BullsYesterday, after the break of the key 3370 resistance, Gold corrected slightly toward 3383, then consolidated briefly in that area. From there, it launched into a strong new leg up, closing the day once more near the highs, around 3430.
📌 What’s important here is that the price did not even come back to retest the broken resistance — now turned support. Combined with the strong daily close near the high of the range, this gives us a clear message:
➡️ Bulls are in full control.
________________________________________
🔍 This Week – Three Key Breaks
So far this week, Gold has delivered three major breakouts:
• ✅ A clean breakout from the box consolidation that kept price stuck and indecisive last week
• ✅ A decisive break above the 3400 psychological figure
• ✅ A breakout above the symmetrical triangle resistance, which had been forming since late April
Each of these is significant on its own. Together, they suggest a shift toward a more aggressive bullish scenario.
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🔮 What’s Next?
All these breakouts point to the potential for more gains ahead.
In fact, the next logical step could be an attempt to mark a new All-Time High.
My view remains the same:
Buying dips remains the strategy of choice, with a focus on the 3400 zone as a key support area, and a swing target around 3500.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Lingrid | GOLD Broke Corrective Dynamic Resistance OANDA:XAUUSD rebounded off the key support near 3334, forming a higher low and breaking above the descending trendline. This breakout confirms bullish intent, supported by prior accumulation in the range and fake breakdown traps. Price is now retesting the breakout zone and is expected to launch toward 3375 and possibly higher. The structure favors a bullish continuation pattern supported by confluence of trendlines and rising momentum.
📉 Key Levels
Buy trigger: Break and hold above 3350
Buy zone: 3335–3345
Target: 3375 short-term, with potential to 3400
Invalidation: Drop below 3320 support line
💡 Risks
Another fake breakout followed by strong rejection
Resistance at 3375 acting as a supply wall
Low volume on breakout can cause reversal
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish & Bearish Reversal Entry's Detected————-
➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bullish reversal : 3354.5
🩸 Bearish Reversal : 3379
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
The Most Accurate Gold Forecast on the MarketThis is a continuation of sorts of my educational article that received an "Editor's Pick" from TradingView and a large number of positive reactions from this amazing trading community. However, unlike that post, this is a trade idea that outlines clear entry conditions for when the price reaches a relevant manipulation zone and shows a reversal reaction. If you don't want to get into the details and trace the entire chain of events through which large capital brought the price to its current levels, feel free to skip the intro and go straight to the 4H chart with the long setup conditions.
To better understand the logic of "smart money," let's revisit the Gold daily timeframe from my educational article:
We will approach this analysis like detectives, following the facts and footprints in the style of Sherlock Holmes and Hercule Poirot.
So, let's begin our investigation. On the daily structure, we see a clear order flow confirming the intention of large capital to lead the price in continuation of the uptrend. After the latest impulse that began on February 28th and ended on April 3rd, the price corrected and mitigated the DEMAND1 manipulation zone. The "Whale" refueled with liquidity, eliminated some competitors, closed its losing short positions used for the manipulation, and gained energy for the next impulse that set a new ATH. The correction that mitigated the DEMAND1 zone was nothing other than the next manipulation, also in the form of a DEMAND zone, within which there is a still-valid daily order block. How can we assert that DEMAND 2 is a manipulation and not just a correction?
Firstly, the sharp nature of the move swept liquidity from the March 21st low. Secondly, the sharp upward impulse accompanied by a series of FVGs showed the Whale's true intention. And thirdly, the reversal from this DEMAND 2 zone, combined with the 61.8% Fib retracement level, resulted in the formation of the next manipulation in the form of the OB 1 order block. Further, we see the continuation of the order flow on this daily structure; the price reacts to OB1, forming another order block, OB2 . The impulse from OB2 sweeps liquidity from the May 6th high. Many might have expected a continuation of the impulse and a new ATH instead of a sweep of this high, but as often happens when too many participants pile into one direction, the price sharply reverses and liquidates their positions. This intense decline after sweeping the high looked something like a local trend change from bullish to bearish, but the sharp recovery after sweeping the liquidity from the June 9th low and forming a new order block, OB 3 , finally revealed what was really happening: it turned out to be a range . It's impossible to identify a range until it is fully formed. A range is another type of manipulation where internal and external liquidity is swept from both sides. In our case, there was first a deviation above (Deviation 1 on the chart), then a deviation below (Deviation 2), after which the price swept some internal liquidity and got stuck exactly in the middle of the range.
And finally, after all our investigations and deductions, we can say with absolute certainty, practically with 100% confidence divided by two, that ABSOLUTELY NO ONE KNOWS where the price will go from the current levels. Because the center of a range is a state of complete uncertainty. Moreover, I dare to suggest that even the Whales don't know where the price will go right now. They certainly have enormous funds to sharply move prices at the right moments to capture liquidity and conduct manipulations. At other times, they can nudge the market to create a trend and direct it like a chain reaction of falling dominoes. But the entire market is much larger, and if its sentiment changes drastically due to external factors, smart money won't waste its resources fighting it. Their goal is to make more money, nothing personal. Why else is the price stuck in the middle right now? Inflation data is coming out soon, which could push the price in an unpredictable direction. The Whales will wait to use this news-driven impulse to their advantage.
So, what have we concluded from this investigation? Was it all in vain since we can't even say with 51% probability where the price will go next? Of course not. We simply need to wait for the price to reach an area where the probability of it moving in a certain direction is significantly higher than 50% — that's all you need to be profitable in the long run. This probability will never be close to 100% because we don't know what's really happening in the depths of the market. Are the Whales accumulating positions in this range now, or are they selling off at high prices after the ATH? Unless you are one of the few direct participants in large capital, you can't know this. Moreover, you don't need to know it to make a consistent profit in the market. It is enough for us to predict the next move of smart money with high probability at certain moments, join their movement, and take our profit. It's like a weather forecast: the further from the current date, the lower the probability of it being accurate. It's the same with the market; a completely unpredictable combination of factors, news, and hidden internal processes can lead the price on a unique path, but always accompanied by smart money. It doesn't matter where the gold market goes next, whether to a new ATH or down to the next correction level. When the Whale reveals itself again by leaving a trail in the form of a manipulation, we can lie in wait near it and join its next move. Why is it generally a good idea to enter from manipulation zones? You are essentially stepping onto a field where the Whale has already cleared the liquidity, and it has returned to that place for other business — to close its losing positions. That is, a mitigated manipulation zone is a safer place to enter the market; there's a much lower chance the Whale will absorb your position. Right now, we have such a manipulation in the form of the OB 4 order block, and we can switch to the 4H timeframe to look at a potential entry zone in more detail.
4H CHART - SETUP CONDITIONS
So, we already know the general context: the price is inside a range. After the second deviation, it has already reacted to the order block formed after it, and we are waiting for the mitigation of the next one, OB 4 , which will serve as a pivot point for a potential setup. A reversal from this order block will confirm the order flow for the price to move at least to the upper boundary of the range. The presence of a manipulation zone alone is not enough to open a position; additional confirming conditions are always needed. As one such condition here, we can take the combination of mitigation with one of the Fibonacci retracement levels — 61.8% or 78.6%. Upon reaching each level, the price must hold (not be broken by the bodies of 1-4H candles) and show a reversal reaction. The final confirmation for entry will be an LTF confirm in the form of a break of structure (BOS) or the beginning of order flow on a lower timeframe. An important part of the context is that important US inflation news is coming out soon, and positions should not be opened right before it or for some time after (at least an hour).
Invalidation of the long scenario would be a break below the 78.6% level and OB 4.
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Gold tests resistance for a rally to 3450The price breaks through the resistance of the local trend and consolidates in the range of 3320-3375. The price approaches the resistance smoothly through local consolidation zones. Before breaking through 3375, there may be a slight pullback or another consolidation.
The market is bullish, with a strong cascade bottom forming and demand remaining fairly high. Against the backdrop of expectations of interest rate cuts, money is once again flowing into gold.
XAUUSD Bullish Setup | Liquidity Grab to Breakout📊 XAUUSD Bullish Breakout Plan | Price Action + Key Levels Analysis 🔥
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently holding above a strong support-turned-resistance zone around $3,340 - $3,345. After a clear rejection from the support area and a bullish structure forming, price is showing potential for a clean breakout toward higher targets.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
• Support Area: $3,310 - $3,320 held strongly
• Resistance Flip: $3,345 zone acting as new demand
• Target 1: $3,375
• Target 2: $3,390 major liquidity zone
• Structure: Bullish W pattern forming above demand
This setup favors buy on retracement, aiming for breakout above recent highs. Wait for a confirmation candle above resistance before entering.
📈 Watch for liquidity grab and strong bullish impulse.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoney #BreakoutSetup #LiquidityHunt #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BuySetup #PriceAction #TradingView #GoldSetup #ForYou
DeGRAM | GOLD above the resistance📊 Technical Analysis
● Five successive rebounds (green arrows) from the 4-month rising‐channel base at 3 293 keep the primary up-trend intact while turning the former wedge roof into support.
● Price is compressing inside a 4-day ascending triangle whose ceiling sits at 3 366; a break projects 1 : 1 to the March top/outer channel rail at 3 435.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● FXStreet notes bullion ETF holdings rose for a second week as softer US PMI prices dragged 2-yr real yields back to early-July lows, trimming the dollar bid.
✨ Summary
Buy 3 345-3 355; triangle breakout >3 366 opens 3 389 then 3 435. Long bias void on an H4 close below 3 293.
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XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key trading
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Technical Overview
Price: $3,428.71 (currently near the upper consolidation)
EMA 200: Around $3,367.38 (well below price, indicating strong uptrend)
Target Point: $3,468.52
Indicators:
RSI (14): 60.19–62.55 → shows moderate bullish momentum, not yet overbought.
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Key Technical Elements
1. Bullish Breakout Structure:
Price has broken out of a previous range, and is forming a bullish flag or rectangle, which typically leads to continuation higher.
Measured move projection from previous leg (approx. $51.57 gain) targets the $3,468.52 level.
2. Strong Support Zones:
Two yellow zones highlighted:
Upper support level (around $3,415): acting as immediate structure support.
Lower key support (around $3,380): crucial structure level from where the trend initiated.
3. Trend Line Support:
A clearly marked ascending trend line supporting higher lows—indicating bulls are in control.
Expect price to stay above this trend line to maintain bullish bias.
4. Volume & RSI Confirmation:
RSI remains in a bullish zone but isn’t overbought → leaves room for upside.
Volume remains steady, confirming healthy consolidation.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion & Trade Idea
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: On breakout or retest of minor support ($3,415–$3,420)
Stop Loss: Below trendline or below $3,415
Target: $3,468.52
Confirmation: Hold above trendline + RSI staying above 50
This is a classic bullish continuation setup supported by structure, RSI, and trend momentum. Traders could look for buying opportunities on minor dips or trendline retests.
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XAU/USD Powerful Bullish Rally AheadThe XAU/USD 4-hour chart shows a decisive breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern, signaling a shift towards bullish momentum. Price action has moved strongly above the upper trendline, indicating that buyers are in control. The Ichimoku cloud provides additional confirmation of the uptrend, with price holding well above the cloud zone. Previous resistance areas have been converted into support, and the upward projection suggests potential continuation of the rally. The chart structure reveals consistent higher highs and higher lows, which further supports bullish sentiment. As long as the price remains above the breakout zone and maintains strong volume, the trend is expected to extend upward, reflecting strong market confidence in gold’s short-term growth.
Entry Buy : 3420
First Target :3450
Second Target :3500
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GOLD REVERSALHello folks, most traders stop out on this idea right? lets get back to previous month opening price, for short idea stoploss above. 3440.
But If you can wait for LONG below. maybe in the next 2 days.
Goodluck. I prefer LONG? I will update once I see volumes on downtrend today or the next day.
I only see short today. the volume is declining/exhausted. I predict reversal atm.
ciao.. see the chart above.
this is not a financial advice.
trade it like its your own business.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great finish to the week with our chart ideas playing out, as analysed.
We completed all our Bullish targets on this chart with ema5 cross and lock confirmation. We were also able to step away today after the final target with no further ema5 cross and lock, confirming the rejection that we are seeing now.
BULLISH TARGET
3356 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3356 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3381 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3381 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3404 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3404 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3424 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3424 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439 - DONE
We will now come back Sunday with a full multi timeframe analysis to prepare for next week’s setups, including updated views on the higher timeframes, EMA alignments, and structure expectations going forward.
Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows.
Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateA rare day for us today even though we got the level for the short from above, we activated again, and due to everything lining up confirming the short into the lower order region where we wanted to bounce, we took it. Gold, had other plans, engulfing upside resulting in us having to SL the trade. It then went on to break above and complete our daily targets.
You win some, you lose some!
Now, we have support below at the 3410 region which will need to break to change short-term structure, while there is the order region above 3430-35 which could hold price and accumulate. All our bullish targets for the day are completed, we just wanted lower to then go higher.
If lower support can be targeted and held, we could see a move higher into the 3345-50 region before then a reaction in price. I'm still not happy with this move, something doesn't quite look right, so let's play it day by day.
RED BOXES:
Break above 3395 for 3404✅, 3410✅ and 3420✅ in extension of the move
Break below 3375 for 3368 and 3355 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
DeGRAM | GOLD exited from the triangle📊 Technical Analysis
● Price has burst above the five-month symmetrical-triangle ceiling at 3 400, converting that line into support; the breakout’s measured move targets the June peak 3 435 and aligns with the rising-channel top near 3 500.
● A tight bull flag is forming on higher-lows inside the new micro up-trend; repeated bids on pull-backs to 3 400-3 405 confirm fresh demand and favour continuation.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold is buoyed by a softer USD and safe-haven demand as trade frictions grow and Fed guidance turns less certain, keeping XAU/USD firm above $3 400.
✨ Summary
Buy 3 400-3 410; sustained trade over 3 435 eyes 3 500. Bull view void on an H4 close below 3 360.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Sticking to the Plan
Update for my last Sunday's post for Gold.
Previously, we spotted a cup & handle pattern on a daily time frame.
It turned into an ascending triangle pattern - another bullish formation this week.
I am sticking to the same plan - our strong bullish signal is a breakout
of a neckline of the pattern and a daily candle close above 3378.
It will confirm a strong up movement.
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After reaching FULL TP. Relax and wait for strong support zone✏️Continuing yesterday's bullish wave structure, Gold has reached the Target level of 3400. In the European session, there is a possibility of a correction to some important support zones. And the US session will continue to aim for a level higher than 3400. Today's strategy is still quite similar to yesterday's strategy when waiting for the areas where buyers confirm to enter the market to FOMO according to the main trend.
📉 Key Levels
Support: 3375 - 3363
Resistance: 3400-3427
Buy Trigger: Rejects the support zone 3375 and reacts to the upside
Buy Trigger: Rebound from 3363
BUY DCA: Break and trading above 3400
Target 3427
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Gold momentum is about to explode, is 3400 still far away?
💡Message Strategy
Gold prices rose as expected on Friday as a weaker dollar and continued geopolitical and economic uncertainty boosted demand for safe-haven gold. Spot gold rose 0.4% to $3,353.25 an ounce, down 1.1% in the previous session. U.S. gold futures also rose 0.4% to $3,359.70. Gold prices remained largely stable around $3,350 an ounce this week.
The trend of gold prices is currently mainly affected by the following three factors:
1. US economic data supports the US dollar
The latest US real estate data is generally positive, and building permits and new housing starts data are both above expectations. The recovery of the real estate market has reduced market concerns about economic recession, which has provided some support to the US dollar, thereby constituting a certain suppression on gold.
2. Fed policy differences trigger market games
Fed officials have obvious differences in their statements on monetary policy. Christopher Waller, a Fed governor, prefers to directly cut interest rates by 25 basis points in July, worried about economic slowdown and weak job market. San Francisco Fed President Daly believes that two interest rate cuts in 2025 are "reasonable", but is wary of the impact of excessive tightening policies on the job market.
On the contrary, Fed Governor Kugler is more hawkish, believing that recent tariffs have been transmitted to consumer prices, and high interest rates should continue to be maintained, and it is not appropriate to cut interest rates for the time being. The existence of differences has caused market expectations to waver, and gold has fallen into consolidation.
3. Inflation expectations determine the medium-term direction of gold prices
The June CPI data from the United States showed signs of rising inflation, which may cause the Federal Reserve to postpone the pace of interest rate cuts.
📊Technical aspects
From the 4H chart, gold is currently oscillating in an obvious symmetrical triangle, forming a consolidation pattern in the short term.
Bollinger Band indicator: The middle track of the Bollinger Band is at $3345, the upper track is at $3405, and the lower track is at $3280. The current price is running near the middle track, indicating that volatility is converging and there is an expectation that a direction will be chosen soon.
Support and resistance: The current key support level is $3,280; short-term support is 3,300, and the upper resistance is $3,380. After breaking through, it is expected to test the previous highs of $3,451 and $3,499.
MACD indicator: The MACD histogram is gradually converging, and the DIFF line (3.19) and the DEA line (1.91) are in a sticky state, indicating that the momentum is exhausted and the probability of short-term shocks is high, but once the volume breaks through, the trend may form quickly.
RSI indicator: The RSI indicator is currently at 53.64, which is in the neutral area and has not entered the overbought or oversold area, indicating that the market is still waiting for new direction signals.
Overall, the analysis believes that gold is at the end of a symmetrical triangle, and the technical side shows that it is about to face a breakthrough. The direction choice may appear tonight or early next week, and the idea is still mainly low-level bulls.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3320-3330,SL:3300,Target: 3370-80,3400
Gold may rise a little and then drop to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Initially, gold was trading within a large consolidating pennant, showing both upward and downward impulses as it moved between the converging trend lines. The price eventually saw a breakout from this pattern, followed by a strong impulse up, but this momentum stalled as it approached the major horizontal resistance level at 3390. This level, which corresponds with the upper seller zone, has proven to be a significant barrier for buyers, rejecting the price and confirming a strong seller presence in that area. Currently, the market is in a corrective phase after being rejected from the highs. The price is drifting upwards once again in what appears to be a final retest of the aforementioned seller zone. This slow upward movement lacks the impulsive strength of the previous trend, suggesting that buyers are losing control and sellers are preparing to defend the 3390 resistance level once more. I expect this corrective move to fail upon reaching the seller zone around 3390. After this retest, I anticipate a sharp reversal and the beginning of a new downward trend. The logical target for this move is the major support level at 3310, an area that has historically acted as a strong buyer zone. That is why my TP is set at 3310. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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XAUUSD 30-Min Chart Analysis: Bullish Move Toward Resistance This 30-minute chart of XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) shows key support and resistance levels. The price is currently around 3,422.615. Resistance is marked at 3,447.337, while the first and second support levels are at 3,412.474 and 3,404.985, respectively. The chart suggests a potential bullish move toward resistance.
XAU/USD) bullish the support Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, indicating a potential bounce from a key trendline support within a rising channel.
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Analysis Summary
Pair: XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. USD)
Timeframe: 4H
Current Price: 3,338.715
Bias: Bullish rebound within ascending channel
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Key Technical Elements
1. Ascending Channel:
Price has been respecting a well-defined rising channel, bouncing between support and resistance levels.
2. Key Support Zone:
The yellow highlighted area marks a critical support level and lower boundary of the channel.
Also intersects with the trendline, strengthening the potential for a bounce.
3. 200 EMA (Dynamic Support):
The 200 EMA at 3,343.616 lies just below current price, acting as a dynamic support level.
4. RSI (14):
RSI is around 34.93, nearing the oversold zone, suggesting a buying opportunity may be near.
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Target Points
First Target: 3,402.099
Second Target: 3,446.661
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Trade Idea
Direction Entry Zone Stop-Loss Target Zones
Buy 3,330–3,345 Below 3,320 3,402 / 3,446
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary
Gold is currently testing a key support level and ascending trendline. If price holds above this area, we can expect a bullish rebound toward 3,400–3,446 levels, aligning with the upper channel resistance.
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