3500/3750 USD Gold Key levels Overview and PT Bulls🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update
📊 Technical Outlook Update
🏆 Bull Market Overview
▪️broke above 3 000 USD
▪️3250 USD S/R cleared as well
▪️Testing 3500 USD key S/R now
▪️Break above 3500 - 3750 USD new PT
▪️Bulls maintain strategic advantage
▪️all dips get scooped up
▪️short-term pullback/correction
▪️possible next few days but
▪️Bulls will target 3750 USD
⭐️Recommended strategy
▪️BUY/HOLD accumulate dips
▪️3250/3350 USD reload BULLS
▪️PT Bulls 3750 USD
📢 Gold Price Outlook – Next 30 Days (April–May 2025)
🔥 Key Drivers to Watch
🌍 Geopolitics & Trade
🇺🇸🇨🇳 U.S.–China Tariffs: Escalation continues pushing inflation fears & gold demand
🇪🇺 EU–U.S. tariffs (25%) are further straining global trade
💵 Weaker USD = stronger gold sentiment
🕊 Russia–Ukraine Ceasefire Talks
🗓 May 9 (Victory Day): Symbolic date eyed for a possible ceasefire announcement
🇷🇺 Parade vs 🇺🇦 EU leaders visiting Kyiv — all eyes on peace prospects
☢️ U.S.–Iran Nuclear Deal
🗓 April 28: Talks in Rome
🇮🇷 Iran shows readiness — possible easing of Middle East tensions
📆 Key Dates
📊 Apr 25 – U.S. inflation data
🗣 May 1 – Fed interest rate decision
☢️ Apr 28 – U.S.–Iran nuclear talks
🕊 May 9 – Possible Russia–Ukraine ceasefire date
XAUUSD trade ideas
GOLD: Remains Bullish With Low MomentumGOLD: Remains Bullish With Low Momentum
In today's video, I discussed potential price movements for gold in the coming days. While the overall trend remains bullish, uncertainty is still present.
Be careful, the direction of gold is still unclear despite the strong upward momentum.
Volume is very low as the precious metal has been stuck in a range-bound trading zone so far.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – Bullish Double Bottom BreakoutHello guys!
Yesterday we got our profit from gold!
It is a new one:
Gold has formed a clear double bottom on the 1H timeframe, accompanied by a bullish divergence—a classic signal of potential reversal. Following the breakout above neckline resistance, the price is currently in a retest phase, revisiting the breakout zone (now turned support).
🔹 Pattern: Double Bottom
🔹 Signal: Bullish Divergence
🔹 Breakout: Confirmed
🔹 Support Zone: ~$3,300–$3,305
🔹 Target: ~$3,375–$3,385
The bullish scenario remains valid as long as the price holds above the support area. A failure to hold may invalidate the setup and lead to further consolidation or decline.
📌 Watch for bullish price action near the retest zone for potential entries.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Gold playing ball again early session hitting the level we wanted for the long and then rejecting the hot spot for the short into the lower levels. As it's Friday, we did take it a little easier on gold, hitting 2 targets, and then 6 across other pairs giving us another sensible end to the week.
Now, we've competed the bias level targets up and down, we have support below at the 3280-75 level and resistance at 3306-10 which could be the region they want to target for the close. It's also the level to watch, unless broken we can see further downside, but we'll visit that on Sundays KOG Report.
RED BOXES:
Break above 3335 for 3345✅, 3347✅, 3355✅ and 3367✅ in extension of the move
Break below 3320 for 3310✅, 3306✅, 3296, 3286✅ and 3380✅ in extension of the move
Wishing you all a great weekend ahead.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold: A Complex Outlook After Reacting Near 3,500Gold: A Complex Outlook After Reacting Near 3,500
In today's video, I discussed potential price movements for gold in the coming days. While the overall trend remains bullish, uncertainty is still present.
Be cautious—gold’s direction is not fully clear yet, despite the strong upward momentum. Key price levels and market reactions will help shape the next moves.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Another blinder of a day on Gold! Although we didn't get the entry again that we wanted from higher up, we continued to hold with the move downside completing Excalibur and using the Indi levels and boxes to guide us.
Now we're at crucial support here and just below 3255 which if attacked and bounced, we should see a retracement up into the 3295 and 3310 regions initially. Too low to short, only support levels for tests here.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD (XAUUSD) : Is it the bearish time?!Hello guys!
Key Elements:
Internal Trendline (broken): A previously respected trendline is now broken, indicating a potential shift in trend.
S&D (Supply & Demand) Zone: Located around the $3,280–$3,300 region.
Bearish Rejection Zone: Price attempted to push higher into the $3,360–$3,380 resistance zone but was rejected.
Arrow Indicating Bearish Target: Projected move toward $3,245.94.
why:
1. Trendline Break
The internal bullish trendline has been decisively broken, a classic sign of a trend reversal or at least a significant pullback.
After the break, price retested the underside of the trendline, failed to reclaim it, and showed bearish pressure.
2. Supply Zone Rejection
A clear rejection occurred from a supply zone ($3,360–$3,380), evidenced by long wicks and bearish candles.
This confirms the presence of sellers and likely distribution at that level.
3. Volume Profile Insight
The point of control (POC) and high-volume node sit around the $3,245 region, which also aligns with the marked bearish target.
Price is likely to be drawn toward this level as it's a fair value area where previous consolidation occurred.
4. S&D Flip
A previously bullish demand zone (around $3,280) has now become a resistance level, confirming a shift in market sentiment.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
Target: $3,245.94
Confirmation: Failure to close above $3,360 and continued lower highs suggest bearish continuation.
✅ Confluence Factors Supporting a Move Down:
Trendline break and successful retest.
Rejection from resistance (supply zone).
Lower high formation.
Volume profile attraction to a lower value area.
Bearish market structure forming.
____________________
📌 Conclusion:
This chart setup suggests a short-term bearish bias for Gold Spot (XAU/USD), with a potential drop toward the $3,245 zone. Traders may consider watching for confirmation via continued bearish price action and potential volume increase on the next leg down.
GOLD → Consolidation. Traders are waiting for news...FX:XAUUSD remains in consolidation at 3370-3270. Traders are in no hurry to take any action, as there is a lot of important news ahead. Let's take a closer look at the situation...
On Wednesday, gold is trading lower, remaining in a sideways range as traders await the release of US GDP data for the first quarter. A sharp slowdown in growth is expected, and a possible contraction in the economy could increase bets on a Fed rate cut and support gold. Meanwhile, the dollar is holding steady amid tariff news and expectations for key employment and inflation data.
A retest of the range support is forming. The approach is quite sharp, and the pre-breakout potential has been exhausted. A false breakout of support could trigger an upward correction.
Support levels: 3270, 3245
Resistance levels: 3314, 3329, 3352
If the dollar continues to fall after the news, this could support gold and the price could continue to trade between 3370 and 3270. Unpredictable news could trigger a breakout and a fall.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD (XAUUSD) May Continue Dropping, Here is WHY!The price of 📉GOLD may continue to fall after consolidating at a significant intraday resistance level.
The price broke and closed below the support level of the horizontal range. This violation confirms a bearish trend continuation.
The target price is 3247.
Trading Psychology Trap: The Dark Side of Hedging a Bad Trade⚡ Important Clarification Before We Begin
In professional trading, real hedging involves sophisticated strategies using derivatives like options, futures, or other financial instruments.
Banks, funds, and major institutions hedge to manage portfolio risk, based on calculated models and complex scenarios.
This article is not about that.
We are talking about the kind of "hedging" retail traders do — opening an opposite position at the broker to "protect" a losing trade.
It may feel smart in the moment, but psychologically, it can be a hidden trap that damages your trading discipline.
Let’s dive into why emotional hedging rarely works for independent traders.
________________________________________
In trading, there’s a moment of panic that every trader has faced:
"My short position is in the red… maybe I’ll just open a long to balance it out."
It feels logical. You’re hedging. Protecting yourself. But in reality, you might be stepping into one of the most deceptive psychological traps in trading.
Let’s unpack why emotional hedging is rarely a good idea—and how it quietly sabotages your progress.
________________________________________
🧠 1. Emotional Relief ≠ Strategic Thinking
Hedging often arises not from a solid strategy, but from emotional discomfort.
You don’t hedge because you’ve analyzed the market. You hedge because you can’t stand the pain of a losing position.
This is not trading.
This is emotional anesthesia.
You’re trying to feel better—not trade better.
________________________________________
🎭 2. The Illusion of Control
Opening a hedge feels like taking back control.
In reality, you’re multiplying complexity without clarity.
You now have:
• Two opposing positions
• No clear directional bias
• An unclear exit strategy
You’ve replaced one problem (a loss) with two: mental conflict and strategic confusion.
________________________________________
🎢 3. Emotional Volatility Rises Sharply
With two positions open in opposite directions:
• You root for both sides at once.
• You feel relief when one wins, and stress when the other loses.
• Your mind becomes a battleground, not a trading desk.
This emotional volatility leads to irrational decisions, fatigue, and trading paralysis.
________________________________________
🔄 4. You Delay the Inevitable
When you hedge a losing position, you don’t fix the mistake.
You prolong it.
Eventually, you’ll have to:
• Close one side
• Add to one side
• Or exit both at the wrong moment
Hedging here is just postponed decision-making—and it gets harder the longer you wait.
________________________________________
🧪 5. You Build a Dangerous Habit
Hedging out of fear creates a reflex:
"Every time I’m losing, I’ll hedge."
You’re not learning to cut losses or reassess your strategy.
You’re learning to panic-protect.
And over time, you start to rely on hedging as a crutch—rather than developing real confidence and discipline.
________________________________________
✅ The Healthier Alternative
What should you do instead?
• Cut the loss.
• Review the trade.
• Wait for a fresh setup that aligns with your plan.
Accepting a losing trade is hard. But it’s a sign of maturity, not weakness.
Hedging may feel clever in the moment, but long-term consistency comes from clarity, not complication.
________________________________________
🎯 Final Thought
Emotional hedging isn’t about strategy.
It’s about fear.
The best traders don’t hedge to escape a loss.
They manage risk before the trade starts —and have the courage to close what’s not working.
Don’t fall into the illusion of safety.
Master the art of decisive action. That’s where real edge lives. 🚀
Hellena | GOLD (4H): SHORT to 38.2%-50% Fibo lvl 3228.Colleagues, last week we got a stoploss, but I still believe that we should expect a correction in wave “2”. We will try to catch this movement this week.
I believe that the price will correct to the area of Fibonacci 38.2% - 50% levels (3228.41).
Perhaps the price will slightly renew the maximum of wave “1”, reaching the level of 3438. In this case I recommend to work with pending limit sell orders.
And some data:
The prevalence of bulls according to CME reports additionally increased by 13%.
The 23% increase in market volume, meanwhile, indicates a likely strong momentum pattern during the trading week.
Despite the 13% increase in buyers, selling patterns towards the balance level of the week (3200.00) are recommended for the current trading week.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Bearish Rejection at Resistance – Potential Drop Incoming🔍 Chart Analysis Summary
1. Key Zones
Resistance Zone: ~$3,340 – $3,360
Price has been rejected multiple times from this area, showing strong selling pressure.
Support Zone: ~$3,200 – $3,240
Strong historical support level, previously held during a pullback after the last rally.
2. Moving Averages
EMA 50 (Red): Currently at ~$3,340
Price is fluctuating around it, indicating short-term indecision or a possible retest.
EMA 200 (Blue): Currently at ~$3,300
Acting as a mid-term support level. Price previously bounced from this region.
3. Pattern and Price Action
Fakeout Potential:
The chart suggests a possible false breakout above the resistance followed by a sharp drop—highlighted by the arrow. This is a common bull trap setup.
Bearish Outlook Indicated:
The projected path suggests a rejection from resistance and a drop to the support zone (~$3,200). This would create a lower high, a bearish sign.
4. Trading Bias
Bearish Setup if:
Price fails to hold above $3,340 (EMA50).
Price gets rejected from the resistance zone and breaks below $3,300 (EMA200).
Bullish Invalidated if:
Price closes convincingly above the $3,360 resistance with volume, flipping it into support.
📉 Potential Trade Idea
Short Entry: Around $3,350–$3,355
Stop Loss: Above $3,365 (above resistance zone)
Target: $3,220–$3,230 (support zone)
GOLD – Will the Correction Continue or Is It Over?📉 What happened yesterday?
Gold extended its drop and touched a low around 3260. A recovery of around 1000 pips followed — a typical day for Gold lately, just daily noise...
However, during the Asian Session, selling pressure kicked in again and we’re now seeing fresh weakness.
❓ Has Gold finished correcting or is there more to come?
That's the big question. And the answer might lie in the 3300 zone — specifically the 3285–3300 range. Why? Because this is where the last powerful bullish impulse started, the one that took Gold to kiss the 3500 level.
🔍 Why continuation of the correction is still possible:
- We’re seeing a retest of support, not a new higher low – this weakens the bullish case.
- The Asian Session high lines up with the old ATH, potentially forming a Head and Shoulders pattern – not confirmed, but worth watching.
At least the market madness of the past days has now given us clearer levels to work with:
→ Below 3280 = further downside possible, with 2k pips target if H&S confirms
→ Above 3350 = likely trend resumption, aiming again for 3500
📌 My trading plan:
Even though I always work with 2 scenarios, I usually have a preferred one. It's not the case at this moment, so I'm still out.
- If I see momentum above 3350, I’ll look to buy.
- If I see a break under 3300 with confirmation, I’ll look to sell continuation.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISAs a professional forex trader, I'm closely monitoring XAUUSD, currently trading around $3,329. After reaching an all-time high of $3,500 earlier this week, gold has pulled back due to profit-taking and improved risk sentiment following President Trump's softened stance on the Federal Reserve and U.S.-China trade relations. citeturn0news46 Despite this correction, the broader trend remains bullish, with the market finding support near $3,228, a level that has attracted buying interest.
Technically, gold is rebounding from this key support level, suggesting the potential for a renewed upward move. The price action indicates that buyers are stepping in, viewing the dip as a buying opportunity within the ongoing uptrend. A sustained move above $3,400 could open the path toward the next resistance levels, with a target price around $3,500.
Fundamentally, expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2025, starting as early as June, are supportive of gold prices. citeturn0news35 Additionally, ongoing geopolitical uncertainties and concerns about global economic growth continue to underpin demand for safe-haven assets like gold. These factors contribute to a favorable environment for gold bulls in the medium term.
In summary, the recent pullback in XAUUSD appears to be a healthy correction within a larger bullish trend. The rebound from support levels, combined with supportive fundamentals, suggests that gold may be poised for another leg higher. Traders should watch for a break above $3,400 as confirmation of the next bullish wave.
Gold Plan: Waiting for the 1000 Pips Drop UnderwayYesterday, I highlighted that the 3280 support zone looked fragile and warned of a potential breakdown.
However, once New York opened, bulls stepped in aggressively, pushing Gold above Friday’s close and triggering my stop loss along the way.
Key Question:
Has the bullish momentum changed the bigger picture?
Why I Still Expect a Drop:
- Despite yesterday's green close, the broader structure remains bearish.
- The 3370 resistance zone is still intact, and Gold is vulnerable under it.
- My target remains a move under 3280, aiming for the 3200 area.
T rading Plan:
I will continue to look for selling opportunities, especially on spikes toward resistance zones, targeting a 1000 pips move down.
Final Words:
The market needs to confirm the plan, but patience and discipline will bring the 🚀 in the right direction!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD: Gold Once Again Back To $3270 Region, What Next ? Gold has once again backed to the 3270 region and rejected it, currently trading at 3280$. The main question is whether gold will hold on to this level. If not, we could see a strong sell-off taking the price to 3130. This is because the sellers’ presence has increased, and the price has been volatile due to mixed news and economic data, further strengthening the bears’ position in the market.
Despite this, we remain optimistic that gold will continue its bullish move upwards. There’s a strong reason for this: we may see all-out war happening in Asia, although this is purely speculative. For now, you may decide to continue monitoring the price or even take a swing buy, which could be risky.
Given the volatility of gold, we recommend trading cautiously and taking extra precautions while trading gold.
Wishing you good luck and safe trading!
Thank you for your support! 😊
If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us:
- Like our ideas
- Comment on our ideas
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Team Setupsfx_
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XAU/USD: High Volatility is Expected! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that, as expected, the price began rising from the $3310 zone yesterday and reached $3330, delivering a 200-pip gain.
After that, selling pressure took over, and gold is now trading around $3277. Given the current market structure and today's important news events, I expect high volatility in both bullish and bearish directions.
One of the key liquidity pools likely to be targeted today lies below $3259, and before any potential drop, we may see the liquidity gap between $3288 and $3303 being filled.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GOLD (#XAUUSD) Technical Analysis & Important Decision Point⚠️Gold is currently at a critical support level, which will be a key factor for the market.
📉Breaking below the highlighted blue support could lead to more downward movement.
The next target for sellers would be 3243.
📈Alternatively, the price could bounce off the highlighted zone. It is advisable to wait for a bullish confirmation before considering buying.
Let's wait and see how the situation unfolds.
Gold Hits 3500! What’s Next? Gold Hits 3500! What’s Next?
Gold has reached 3500, but the move happened during a time of very low trading activity, which raises some concerns.
This kind of price action may not be sustainable, so we should be cautious about potential downward corrections.
Keep an eye out for any signs of a bearish pullback.
You may watch the analysis for further details!
Thank you!
How to Regain Your Trading MOJOEvery trader, no matter how experienced, eventually hits a rough patch — a period where trades don’t work out, motivation fades, and confidence slips away.
If you feel like you've lost your trading mojo, you're not alone. The key is not to quit but to rebuild it methodically.
Here’s how to get your trading energy back on track:
1. Accept That Slumps Are Normal
First, realize that losing your mojo is part of the trading journey.
Even the best traders experience drawdowns — emotionally and financially.
Acknowledging that this phase is temporary immediately removes some of the pressure and guilt.
Self-acceptance is your first weapon.
2. Reduce Risk and Slow Down
When your confidence is low, lower your position size.
Trade smaller. Risk less.
You don’t need to stop trading completely — you need to stop damaging yourself further.
Think of it as “active recovery,” much like athletes training lightly after an injury.
3. Go Back to Basics
Strip your trading plan down to the essentials:
- Focus on one setup you trust.
- Use clear entry and exit rules.
- Avoid complicated strategies or "revenge trading."
Simplicity restores clarity, and clarity brings confidence.
4. Reframe Losses Mentally
Instead of seeing losses as failures, view them as fees for learning.
Ask yourself after each trade:
- "Was this trade according to my plan?"
- "Did I respect my stop loss?"
If yes, you are winning — even if the trade loses money.
Consistency in good decision-making rebuilds emotional momentum.
5. Visualize the Trader You Want to Be
Take 5 minutes each day to visualize yourself executing perfect trades:
- Calmly analyzing.
- Patiently waiting.
- Executing your plan without emotion.
Your brain needs new emotional associations with trading — not fear and anxiety, but calm and focus.
6. Set Tiny Wins
Don't chase the big win right away.
Set micro-goals like:
- "I will follow my stop loss rules today."
- "I will not overtrade today."
- "I will wait for my setup."
Achieving small wins daily rebuilds your trader identity brick by brick.
Final Thoughts :
Regaining your trading mojo is less about finding a "magic moment" and more about stacking good habits and resetting your mind.
You don't need a new system, a new market, or a lucky break.
You need to reconnect with the disciplined, focused trader within you.
Stay patient, stay structured, and remember — your mojo isn’t lost forever. It’s just waiting for you to catch up. 🚀
#XAUUSD:From Our Last Analysis 534+ Pips What Next?We published our analysis on gold on April 24th, highlighting the bullish market presence. The price indeed reversed from our zone, enabling us to make a significant move of over 234 pips. We anticipate a continuous price increase from our entry zone, potentially reaching 3500$. There are several reasons behind this belief. Firstly, the escalating war-like tension between India and Pakistan could lead to a surge in gold prices, potentially surpassing the previous high. Secondly, the heightened tensions among global investors are expected to result in an extreme bullish movement in gold prices.
Given the volatility of gold, we recommend trading cautiously and taking extra precautions while trading gold.
Wishing you good luck and safe trading!
Thank you for your support! 😊
If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us:
- Like our ideas
- Comment on our ideas
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Team Setupsfx_
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XAUUSD: Massive Volatility, Weak Support at 3270!Last week was extremely volatile for Gold, with incredible swings that caught many traders off-guard. After reaching a new all-time high at 3500, the price dropped by more than 2000 pips in less than 24 hours!
After this crash, the market settled somewhat, and towards the end of the week, Gold established a strong ceiling around 3370 – exactly as we discussed in last week's analysis.
The key question now: Is the correction over or is there more downside coming?
At the same time, we can clearly observe a floor around 3270, a level that Gold is testing again at the time of writing.
Here’s why I believe the correction is not over yet:
- Price action remains vulnerable below 3370 resistance.
- The support at 3270 looks fragile, with pressure building for a break.
- Market volatility is still extremely high, favoring continuation moves.
Trading Plan:
I am looking to sell rallies above 3300, aiming for a target around 3200.
Due to the recent wild volatility, I will adjust my stop losses accordingly, allowing enough room for noise without exposing the position to unnecessary risk.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD: Intraday Bullish Move Up To $3400! The OANDA:XAUUSD price has shown strong bullish momentum, indicating it will likely continue to rise above $3400. However, the price is currently volatile and is likely to remain so.
Good luck and trade safely!
Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊
If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us:
- Like our ideas
- Comment on our ideas
- Share our ideas
Team Setupsfx_
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