GOLD - cut n reverse area? short below only#GOLD.. market just reached at his today most expensive region that is around 3345-46 to 3350-51
keep close that region and keep in mind that is our cut n reverse region because below that we can expect a drop towards our tringle neck line.
dont be lazy here.
good luck
trade wisely
XAUUSD trade ideas
1-Minute Scalping Setup Choose 1min. time frame1️⃣ Overall Context:
This is a 1-minute timeframe, meaning it’s designed for very short-term, fast-paced trades (scalping). This setup focuses on catching quick moves with tight stops and relatively small targets.
2️⃣ Key Elements on the Chart:
C-GP % 60% Pullback Area
🔹 This is marked as a key retracement zone where price is expected to pull back after a down move. Traders often use this area (around 60%–65% of the previous move) as a potential sell area in a bearish trend.
Supply Zone (Red Box)
🔹 This zone marks a recent resistance area where sellers may step in to push price lower. Typically, scalpers look to enter short trades here, expecting price to reject this area.
Yellow Zig-Zag Lines
🔹 These represent expected price movements—essentially a bearish wave structure forecasting lower lows.
Green Rectangle (TP area)
🔹 This is the target zone for the short trade, aligned with a previous support area and market structure.
White Horizontal Lines
🔹 These lines at the bottom highlight the ultimate target, marking previous support levels where price might react or bounce.
3️⃣ Analysis Breakdown:
🔸 Left Side (First Chart):
Price has moved up into the 60% pullback area (C-GP) after a bearish move, where it might find resistance and reverse.
The red zone is identified as the supply zone where sellers could step in.
🔸 Middle (Second & Third Charts):
Price reacts from the supply zone, starts dropping, and creates a lower high structure, indicating bearish momentum.
There’s an expected break and retest: price is projected to drop, then retrace back up to the highlighted small resistance before continuing the move downward.
🔸 Right Side (Fourth Chart):
The trade plan shows an entry near the supply zone, with a stop loss just above it (in the red box).
The take profit (TP) is marked at the lower green area near 3,336–3,335 USD.
4️⃣ Strategy Summary:
✅ Sell Plan:
Enter a short trade after price hits the supply zone (red box) near the 60% pullback area.
Watch for price action confirmation (like rejection candles or break of structure).
Place stop loss above the supply zone to protect against false breakouts.
Target the green area marked at 3,336–3,335 USD for your exit.
🔑 Conclusion:
This is a classic scalping setup, using a Fibonacci-based pullback (60% area) to identify an entry zone. The structure suggests a lower high, lower low pattern—perfect for a quick short trade with tight risk. The key is waiting for price confirmation before entering (like a bearish engulfing candle or momentum break).
Long orders have made profits, gold layout in the evening📰 Impact of news:
1. Economist: The Federal Reserve may cut interest rates sharply in December
2. Lee Jae-myung, candidate of the Democratic Party of Korea, was elected president of South Korea
📈 Market analysis:
Currently, the gold price is in a consolidation pattern, showing an overall volatile pattern during the day. The hourly Bollinger Bands are opening downward, and the MACD indicator is running in a dead cross. In the short term, the bears have a certain advantage. However, observing the 4H level, it can be found that the RSI indicator crosses when entering the overbought area, suggesting that the risk of a correction in the short term has increased. For evening operations, it is recommended to wait for the gold price to stabilize before entering the market, focusing on the important support of 3335-3325. If it obtains effective support and stabilizes in this range, the gold price may resume its upward trend. If it falls below 3325, the bullish momentum will be weakened. Therefore, it is recommended to wait for a pullback to 3335-3325 to go long in the US market, and look to 3350-3370 in the short term.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3335-3325
TP 3350-3370-3400
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD.market target 3320 entry point 3348 stop loss 3358Let's break it down:
- Entry Point: 3348
- Target: 3320 (28-point gain)
- Stop Loss: 3358 (10-point risk)
You're expecting XAUUSD to decline from 3348 to 3320. Risk-reward ratio looks decent!
Potential reward: 28 points
Potential risk: 10 points
Let's see how it plays out! What's driving this bearish trend?
Today's gold price: 3330-3340 continue to go longToday's gold price: 3330-3340 continue to go long
Market core driving logic
Risk aversion continues
US steel tariffs rise from 25% to 50%, trade frictions heat up
Ukraine-Russia negotiations break down, geopolitical risks remain
The widening fiscal deficit has caused concerns about the credit of the US dollar
Federal Reserve policy supports gold prices
Officials such as Waller and Goolsbee have clearly released signals of two interest rate cuts this year
New tariffs push up inflation, but do not affect the path of interest rate cuts (policy focus shifts to economic stability)
Technical pattern highlights (4-hour cycle)
The bullish structure is not broken: the intraday correction did not fall below the previous high of 3325, and it is still a normal correction after the breakthrough
Support concentration area: 3335--3345 (previous high conversion support)
Upper target:
① 3380 (Asian session high) → ② 3392 (historical high) → ③ 3400 (psychological barrier + upper channel track)
📌Note: If the 3330-3335 support is not reached before the US market, the 3350 short-term stabilization signal can be observed.
Operation strategy after correction
1. Long position layout
Entry range: 3330-3335 (main plan) or 3350 rapid stabilization (alternative plan)
Stop loss: below 3322 (3-5 US dollars lower than the previous high)
Target ladder:
→ First stop profit: 3370
→ Second stop profit: 3392-3400
Position conditions: The price continues to stand above 3340, and the MACD golden cross rises with large volume
2. Breakout and rising plan
If the price breaks through 3400 strongly, it will fall back to 3390 and chase long with a light position, stop loss 3380, and target 3420-3435
Risk warning
Event risk
Speech by Fed officials (pay attention to the revision of interest rate cut expectations)
The specific list of new US tariffs on China is announced (if announced) (exceeding expectations or causing fluctuations)
Operation principle: The current market risk aversion sentiment + easing expectations have not changed, so buy low and avoid rushing to pull back against the trend. Focus on the flow of funds during the US trading session
GOLD 1H TRADE IDEA - JUNE 3, 2025🔴 GOLD 1H TRADE IDEA – June 3, 2025
📉 Bias: Short (Bearish Rejection from Supply / Trend Exhaustion)
🔽 SELL SETUP
Entry:
🔹 $3,360 (after clean rejection from local high / liquidity grab near $3,381)
Stop-Loss (SL):
🔺 $3,385 (above the recent swing high and trap wick)
Take-Profit 1 (TP1):
✅ $3,330 (last minor structure + psychological level)
Take-Profit 2 (TP2):
✅ $3,305 (key support / demand zone before breakout)
📊 Technical Confluence
MACD: Bearish crossover confirmed; histogram red and growing — momentum shift to the downside
RSI: Rejection from 62+ level, bearish divergence forming — now pointing down at ~51
Price Action:
Wick rejection at ~$3,381
Lower high formed on the 1H chart
Shift from bullish to neutral/bearish candles
Structure: Broke minor uptrend line, now hovering under key rejection zone
After the price surge, has the trend of gold changed?Gold opened slightly higher in the Asian morning on Monday and then rose. It basically maintained a slow and volatile rise throughout the day. It rose to around 3383 before the close, and the daily line closed with a big positive line.
The current 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average form a golden cross and extend upward. This signal indicates that the short-term trend is strong. In the short term, we need to focus on the moving average support. The 5/10-day moving average support is in the 3330-3325 area. As long as the price remains above this area, it can be treated as strong. The upper resistance level needs to pay attention to the previous secondary high point of 3438.
In terms of points, the lower support level first looks at around 3360, which is the previous high point of the short-term. After breaking through, we need to pay attention to the top and bottom conversion. The second is the 3330-3325 area support. Pay attention to the top and bottom conversion. If the price falls back strongly, we need to pay attention to the 3300 mark support. This is the current support area of the trend line formed by the low point connection of gold since the rise of 3120.
The upper resistance level is around 3410, followed by the resistance in the 3448-3458 area. This area is the current resistance area of the rising channel formed by the high point since the rise from 3120.
Operation strategy:
Short at current price, stop loss at 3390, profit range 3360-3340;
Long at price drop to around 3340, stop loss 3325, profit range 3345-3360.
Let’s analyze the gold (XAU/USD) chart from technicalLet’s analyze the gold (XAU/USD) chart from technical, fundamental, sentiment, and social media perspectives as of June 2, 2025, at 10:09 PM CEST. I’ll incorporate the latest available X posts (from May 23–31, 2025) for the social media sentiment analysis, though they are slightly outdated. I’ll also update the analysis with current market conditions where possible.
1. Technical Analysis
The chart is a 4-hour candlestick chart of gold from TradingView:
Trend Overview: Gold has been volatile. It rose from around $3,122 in mid-April to a peak of $3,480 in early May, then corrected sharply to $3,127 by late May. Currently, it’s recovering, trading at $3,381.72.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support: The $3,122–$3,127 zone is a strong support (price bounced multiple times here).
Resistance: The $3,480–$3,483 zone is a key resistance (previous high).
Breakouts and Patterns: Recently, gold broke out of a consolidation range ($3,127–$3,348) and moved up to $3,381. This suggests potential for further upside, but confirmation above $3,483 is needed.
Volume and Indicators:
Volume (on the right) increased during the recent upmove, indicating strong buying pressure.
Indicators like RSI or MACD aren’t visible, but given the sharp rise, RSI might be in overbought territory (above 70).
Short-Term Outlook: If gold holds above $3,348, it could test $3,483. A break above $3,483 might target $3,500. However, a drop below $3,348 could lead to a retest of $3,127.
2. Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental factors driving gold prices include:
Interest Rates and Monetary Policy: Gold typically has an inverse relationship with interest rates. If the Federal Reserve has cut rates in 2025 (due to lower inflation or economic slowdown), this could support gold’s rise. Conversely, high rates would pressure gold downward.
US Dollar Strength (DXY): Gold and the dollar are inversely correlated. A weaker dollar (due to dovish Fed policies or geopolitical tensions) could explain gold’s rise.
Inflation and Economic Uncertainty: Gold is a safe-haven asset. High global inflation, geopolitical tensions (e.g., Middle East or Ukraine), or financial crises could drive demand.
Physical Demand: Demand from major markets like India and China (e.g., during wedding seasons) can push prices up.
Chart Data Insight: The current price of $3,381 suggests strong demand, possibly driven by geopolitical tensions or a weaker dollar.
3. Sentiment Analysis
Sentiment analysis focuses on trader behavior and market psychology:
Trader Behavior: The bid ($3,381.75) and ask ($3,381.87) show a tight spread (less than $1), indicating high liquidity and trader interest in gold.
Buying/Selling Pressure: High volume during the recent upmove suggests bullish sentiment. Traders likely expect the uptrend to continue.
Fear and Greed Index: If the Fear & Greed Index is high (greed dominant), traders might shift to riskier assets, avoiding gold. However, the price increase suggests fear (safe-haven demand) is dominant.
4. Social Media Sentiment (Updated as of June 2, 2025)
I’ll analyze the latest X posts (May 23–31, 2025) to gauge social media sentiment. Since these posts are slightly outdated, I’ll extrapolate based on the current price action.
Overall Sentiment:
On May 23 and 25, @Talaforoosh noted that the gold market was “asleep,” with lower trading volumes compared to earlier in the year. This indicates a cautious sentiment among traders.
On May 28, @IRNA_1313 reported a slight increase in gold to $3,319, but with minimal volatility, suggesting a stable but stagnant market at that time.
On May 29, @TgjuSocialMedia provided a technical analysis, noting gold was in a critical range of $3,200–$3,255, with negative RSI and MACD signals pointing to selling pressure. This reflects a bearish sentiment during that period.
Key Influencing Factors:
Iran-US negotiations were a major focus. @TgjuSocialMedia (May 29 and 31) highlighted that the outcome of these talks could dictate gold’s direction. A breakdown in talks could lead to a bullish scenario for gold, while an agreement might trigger a bearish move.
@Talaforoosh (May 23) predicted that negotiation outcomes could either push gold to new highs or cause a sharp drop (to the 26 million IRR range for domestic gold in Iran), describing the market as “crazy.” This reflects expectations of high volatility.
Technical Sentiment on X:
Technical analyses on X (e.g., @TgjuSocialMedia on May 28) leaned bearish, noting a drop to $3,304 and a key support at risk. This suggests traders on X were more inclined toward a correction at that time.
Current Sentiment (Extrapolated):
The X posts from late May show caution and bearish sentiment, likely due to uncertainty around Iran-US negotiations. However, the chart shows gold has since risen to $3,381.72 as of June 2, a significant recovery from the $3,127 low. This suggests that sentiment has likely shifted to bullish in the past few days, possibly due to favorable news (e.g., stalled negotiations or new geopolitical tensions) or a weaker dollar.
Final Conclusion and Outlook
Technical: Gold has short-term upside potential to $3,483 if it holds above $3,348. A break above $3,483 could target $3,500. However, a drop below $3,348 might lead to a retest of $3,127.
Fundamental: A weaker dollar, high inflation, or geopolitical tensions (e.g., stalled Iran-US talks) could be driving the price increase.
Sentiment: High trading volume during the recent upmove indicates bullish market sentiment.
Social Media: X posts from late May showed caution and bearish sentiment due to negotiation uncertainties. However, the price increase to $3,381 by June 2 suggests sentiment has likely turned bullish in the past few days, though I’d need more recent X data to confirm.
Overall Forecast: In the short term, gold could reach $3,483, but watch the $3,348 level closely. In the longer term, if fundamental drivers like geopolitical tensions or a weaker dollar persist, gold might climb to $3,500 or higher.
If you’d like a deeper dive into more recent social media sentiment, I can search for fresher X posts. Would you like me to do that?
GOLD: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,371.01 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
JUNE GOLD CHART INSIGHT
Gold isn’t slowing down. Based on this structure, a retest at $3,500 looks inevitable. The Fibonacci levels line up, and current momentum shows strong continuation above the 0.618 zone.
People keep saying Bitcoin is digital gold—but ironically, gold is outpacing the “digital coin” in real-time. These are wild times to be alive. 📈💰
Don’t sleep on real commodities while the crowd chases hype.
6/2 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood evening, traders!
Gold surged more than $70 today, reaching an intraday high of 3363.
If you held short positions from last Friday’s close based on my plan, I hope your SL protected you from major losses.
📉 Technical Insight:
The rapid rally has triggered overbought signals and correction pressure
Watch for pullback support levels at:
3342
3328–3321 zone
If these hold, price might retest 3400 tomorrow
🎯 Trading Plan:
📉 Sell around 3360–3372 (with tight stop)
📈 Buy near 3328–3318 (if price stabilizes)
🔁 Scalp zones:
3332 / 3338 / 3343 / 3352 / 3366
What’s Driving Gold Prices Right Now?Gold is known as a safe haven, something investors buy during uncertain times. But in 2025, it’s not just reacting to fear. It’s moving with strong momentum, driven by news, global events, and investor behavior. Let’s break down what’s behind this recent surge.
Fundamentals: Why Gold Is Gaining Momentum
U.S.-China Trade Tensions Escalate
Gold found fresh support after China pushed back on accusations by U.S. President Trump that it violated a temporary trade agreement. The conflict has revived fears of a drawn-out trade war, hurting market hopes for a stable resolution.
Tariff Threats Spark Market Volatility
On Friday, Trump announced plans to double tariffs on steel and aluminum imports to 50%, effective Wednesday, June 4, 2025. This aggressive stance has rattled investors and pushed them toward safe-haven assets like gold.
Geopolitical Risks Rise
Over the weekend, Ukraine launched drone attacks deep inside Russian territory, adding to global instability and further fueling gold’s appeal as a geopolitical hedge.
U.S. Dollar Weakens Amid Risk-Off Sentiment
The dollar softened as traders sought refuge in alternative safe-haven currencies like the Japanese Yen, Swiss Franc, and Euro. A weaker dollar typically supports gold, which is priced in USD.
Technicals: Momentum Building at Key Resistance
Gold is showing solid intraday strength, with prices up approximately 1.95% at the time of writing.
• Gold is now testing a major resistance level near $3,365. This level has historically acted as a key barrier and a strong psychological level.
• RSI currently sits at 64.06 on the 4-hour timeframe, indicating moderate bullish momentum potentially aiming for overbought levels, leaving more space for further upside movement.
• Price is trading above the 20 and 5-day EMAs, a sign of short-term bullish control.
If gold breaks above $3,366 with high volume, we could potentially see a push toward the next resistance area around $3,392, continuing the current upward move, as per analyst analysis.
Figure 1: XAUUSD, H4 Time-frame, Trading View
XAUUSD on pumpDue to Russia Ukraine Escalation market is already pumped hardly and pending volume gap at 3290.
What possible scenario we have?
We have previous Neutral zone 3280-3330 ,if market break below 3330 then we'll again have 3280-3330 zone.
On the other hand,on Ny session market retest the previous structural support 3335 and remains above then we'll on bullish side till 3380 .
If gold breaks through 3370 - 3380 we will continue to buy and look at 3400 above (3415-3440).
#XAUUSD
XAU/USD 02 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765.
Alternative scenario:
Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
GOLD PAY ATTENTION TO BULISHXAUUSD (Gold) Technical Signal ⚠️ | Price action is forming a classic bull flag pattern, showing consolidation after a strong upward move. The flag is starting to 'blush' — early signs of momentum building for a potential breakout. If price breaks above the upper trendline with volume confirmation, we could see a continuation toward higher resistance levels. Traders, keep a close eye – gold may be preparing for its next leg up. #XAUUSD #GoldSignal #BullFlag #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSignals #GoldBreakout #PriceAction"
XAUUSD Analysis today : Drop to monthly support?XAUUSD with NFP breakdown from significant daily support price has dropped nearly to monthly support and may continue to drop to retest the monthly support? As there is a rejection from the monthly high and the market is almost nearly to monthly gap open, it is highly likely price may retest the monthly support.
As with new monthly open, we see price has retraced to the significant intra day resistance to retest the level 3328.00
As the market started to reject back to the major direction of the trend, it is mostly probable that the price may continue to drop to this long term support level
3289.32
Gold price analysis on June 9The D1 candle on Friday broke the sideways structure and confirmed the downtrend for Gold prices.
Gold prices pushed up quite high in today's Tokyo trading session after touching the Gap zone around 3395.
With this upward force, 3319 will be available at the end of the Asian session. This zone can wait for a reaction and SELL can return because this is the zone where the Sellers pushed the price down at the beginning of the session. The European session will pay more attention to the 3334 zone with a break out point that is also quite important. The upward force will be stopped by the Sellers at the daily resistance level around 3345.
SELL is following the trend and can sustain the profit far away, while the BUY points are considered to find the reaction wave to increase and correct. The first zone is 3295, the second zone is around 3275.
Wishing you a successful trading day
Gold Buy- Go for short term buy then manage your trade
- could be just small trade then potentially go one more down
- Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if your strategy allow
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