Gold Sees Volatile Swings – Pullback Risk Remains📊 Market Highlights:
Gold surged to $3,351 earlier today after weaker-than-expected US ISM manufacturing data, which boosted expectations of a Fed rate cut. However, profit-taking quickly pushed prices down to $3,334 before recovering to $3,342.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,351
• Nearest Support: $3,334
• EMA: Price is above EMA 09 → uptrend still intact.
• Candles / Volume / Momentum: H1 candle shows a long upper wick, indicating selling pressure near the recent high. Bullish momentum is slowing, and volume has started to normalize.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may face a short-term pullback if it fails to break above $3,351 and the USD strengthens during the US session.
________________________________________
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,345 – $3,350
🎯 TP: $3,334
❌ SL: $3,353
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,332 – $3,334
🎯 TP: $3,350
❌ SL: $3,323
XAUUSD trade ideas
AFTER - XAU/USD - Jul 1,2025 DoneCongratulations guys 200 pips profits
✅ XAU/USD Trade Recap – Jul 1,2025
Bias: Short (Sell Position)
🔹 Entry Price: Around $3,348
🔻 Stop-Loss: $3,371
🎯 Take-Profit Target: $3,327 (✅ Hit – 200 pips)
📉 Result: First target partially reached – trade closed with +200 pips in profit.
Price rejected the resistance area and moved downward, allowing for a clean exit before reaching TP1 and TP2. Conservative profit-taking secured gains without risking reversal.
💡 Summary:
Smart and disciplined execution. The market respected the setup, and you locked in profits safely at 200 pips before any retracement.
Congratulations everyone all targets done__ June-30,2025
CONGRATULATIONS EVERYONE
✅ XAU/USD Trade Recap – June 30, 2025
Bias: Long (Buy Position)
Result: ✅ Take-Profit Hit
📌 Entry Zone: Around $3,363 – $3,370
🎯 Target 1 (TP1): Hit at $3,302 (273 pips)
🎯 Target 2 (TP2): Hit at $3,308 (336 pips)
🛑 Stop-Loss (SL): $3,259 (Not triggered)
📈 Outcome:
The price moved strongly in favor of the long trade after entry, reaching both profit targets successfully.
The setup was executed with high precision, and the bullish momentum carried price past TP2, confirming the trade idea.
Expecting Gold Selling movement In this 15 minute chart of Gold Spot XAU/USD price action indicates a potential bearish setup following a strong upward move that has started to lose momentum
After reaching a peak near 3344 price formed a double top pattern followed by a series of lower highs and lower lows signaling a shift in market sentiment
The blue horizontal zone around 3331 3332 acted as a significant support level which has now been broken and is being retested as resistance
The yellow projection shows a bearish continuation scenario with price expected to reject the retest of the broken support and continue downward
The projected target for the bearish move is near 3302 indicating a significant downside potential
The risk zone highlighted in red lies above the resistance, likely placing the stop loss around the 3335 3340 range
This analysis suggests that if the price fails to reclaim the support turned-resistance zone bears could take control and drive price lower throughout the day
Rate cut expectations and non-farm data affect gold marketPowell noted that the vast majority of Fed officials expect to cut interest rates later this year, but it is currently impossible to say whether considering a rate cut in July is too early. The U.S. Treasury Secretary, however, believes that even if there is no rate cut in July, there will be one in September.
In terms of market impact, if the non-farm payroll data to be released in the next two days performs poorly, the probability of a rate cut in July will rise significantly.
For gold, rate cuts themselves are a positive factor. Moreover, if the market worries about the Fed losing its independence, the U.S. dollar index is likely to fall continuously, and gold is expected to hit a new high in the medium to long term.
Technically, gold closed strongly with a large positive candle yesterday and still has room to rise today. On the downside, the early session low of $3,329 serves as a short-term support level, with the strong support looking at around $3,312 near the 60-day moving average. On the upside, the initial resistance level is the early session high of $3,345; if this level is broken, further resistance levels will be yesterday's high of $3,358 and around $3,375.
XAUUSD
buy@3315-3325
tp:3340-3350
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Gold is rising. Second starting point?Information summary:
1. The US dollar index has experienced the longest consecutive monthly decline since 2017. The weakening of the US dollar has increased the attractiveness of gold denominated in US dollars to non-US dollar holders, becoming an important support factor for gold prices.
2. Trump's continued pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates has formed a resonance effect with the weakening of the US dollar, which has jointly pushed up the short-term attractiveness of gold.
Multiple factors are intertwined, and gold has risen slightly again.
Market analysis:
Gold bottomed out and rebounded on Monday, showing a positive closing, and above 3300. After falling sideways for 5 consecutive trading days last week, although it fell for a short time on Monday, it did not continue. In this case, whether a new high can be reached, the watershed is the 3295 line. As long as the European session breaks the high, the long position is near the starting point of 3305 in the early trading session.
At present, the main focus is on the upper resistance around 3325. It opened directly upward on Tuesday, but did not break through too much space, unless it directly broke through 3325-3330; then the next resistance is around 3340. At present, the bulls are still running at a high level. The upward trend line generated after the reversal is more obvious, and the trend line has good effectiveness.
Since the current market is in the first wave of rise, the high point has not been confirmed. Quaid believes that when the high point is clear and the price falls back to the support area, consider entering the market to go long based on the support level. Of course, aggressive trading can choose to buy around 3320 and choose a suitable high point to take profit.
Operation strategy:
Short near the rebound 3340, stop loss 3350, profit range 3310-3300
Long near the fall 3305, stop loss 3290, profit range 3320-3335
Gold in a Shifting Macro Landscape Fundamentals First: Why is Gold Falling While DXY is Too?
Normally, gold and the U.S. dollar share an inverse relationship (which means, when DXY weakens, gold rises). But recently, this correlation has broken down, and that divergence is a loud macro signal.
What’s Happening:
Trade Deal Optimism:
Headlines suggest the U.S. is nearing a resolution with China and other partners. With reduced geopolitical tension, investors are reallocating from safe-haven assets like gold into risk-on trades like equities and crypto.
Iran-Israel Ceasefire:
The temporary cooling of conflict has revived risk appetite. Traders are rotating out of war hedges (like gold and oil) and into tech, growth, and EM plays.
Real Yields Still Elevated:
Despite a softening Fed narrative, U.S. real yields remain positive, keeping pressure on non-yielding assets like gold. The fact that gold couldn't rally even as the 10-year note softened post-Moody's downgrade could be telling.
My Perspective:
This is the first clear signal in months that geopolitical hedging may have peaked. When gold decouples from its safe-haven narrative despite macro uncertainty, that often precedes a structural rotation phase, especially if institutional flows favor equities.
Technical Breakdown
Gold has broken below its 50-day SMA at $3,322 and is trading in the lower third of its 3-month range. While the daily candles show increasing selling pressure, especially on lower highs (a sign of weakening bullish momentum)
RSI : Falling toward 40, with no bullish divergence yet.
Support Level : $3,176: Previous swing low
Resistance Level : $3,444: previous swing high
What This Move Might Be Telling Us
When gold sells off on dollar weakness and geopolitical calm, the market isn’t just relaxing. It is rotating. The de-grossing of gold-heavy hedges: Some hedge funds may be taking profit on gold-heavy exposure from Q1’s rally.
Rise of risk appetite despite cracks: Markets are forward-pricing trade peace and earnings resilience, possibly too early. Gold might not be in trouble, but it’s on the bench. Unless something reignites fear (e.g., Fed policy mistake, Middle East flashpoint, or economic shock), capital may stay elsewhere.
Analysis of Gold's Opening Market Strategy on MondayOn last Friday, both the data and news fronts were bearish, leading to a step-by-step decline in gold prices. The bears completely dominated the market, and the feeble rebound made it difficult for long-position holders to exit. Gold trended lower in a volatile and slow decline, rebounding only to a high of 3,321 before plummeting all the way, consecutively breaking through the 3,300 psychological barrier, the 3,280 support level, and the daily trend line.
For the trend at next week's opening, the first target is to observe whether the 3,270 support level stabilizes and triggers a rebound. This level is not only a technical support but also a position where long positions can be considered for deployment. Market laws show that a rebound often follows a unilateral downtrend, and this area may trigger a price recovery. If the key support is broken, the downtrend is likely to continue, with the next focus on the 3,250-3,245 support zone.
In terms of operations, it is recommended to maintain a bearish strategy of "selling on rallies," with key attention paid to the resistance area of 3,313-3,321. Short positions should be deployed by relying on this level.
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Trading Strategy:
sell@3300-3295
TP:3250-3260
GOLD BEARISH BIAS|SHORT|
✅GOLD has printed some
Lower high and lower lows
So despite a long-term uptrend
We are locally bearish biased
Which is reinforced by the recent
Bearish breakout of both the
Rising and horizontal support lines
So we will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
With the target of retresting
The key structure below around 3,300$
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Advance technical analysis AUX USD ✅ Advanced Technical Analysis – XAU/USD (Gold) – 1H Timeframe
🧩 Chart Overview:
Timeframe: 1 Hour (H1)
Current Price: 3,333.675
Recent High: 3,451.525
Recent Low: 3,293.500
Marked with BOS (Break of Structure), CHoCH (Change of Character), supply and demand zones.
---
🔍 Step-by-Step Technical Breakdown:
---
1️⃣ Market Structure (Price Action)
🔺 Bullish Phase:
From June 13 to June 22, price showed a series of H1 BOS, confirming bullish structure.
🔻 Shift to Bearish:
After June 22, we observe several H1 CHoCH and BOS to the downside.
This indicates a clear transition from bullish to bearish, or at least a corrective phase.
---
2️⃣ Supply & Demand Zones
🟢 Demand Zone:
Marked between 3,293.5 and ~3,310
Price dipped into this zone and showed a minor bullish reaction (lower wick = liquidity grab)
🔴 Supply Zones:
Resistance at 3,393.509 (minor)
Stronger supply between 3,440 and 3,451 (previous unbroken highs)
---
3️⃣ Fibonacci & Potential Reversal Targets
If demand holds and bullish confirmation appears:
TP1: 3,393
TP2: 3,440
TP3: 3,451.5
These levels align well with structure and historical resistance.
---
4️⃣ Candlestick Behavior
Recent candles show price tapping the demand zone with some rejection.
Look for bullish engulfing, pin bars, or momentum candles as confirmation.
---
5️⃣ Potential Long Setup (If Confirmed):
Element Value
Entry Zone 3,305 – 3,315
Stop Loss Below 3,293 (e.g., 3,285)
TP1 3,393
TP2 3,440
TP3 3,451
Risk–Reward Estimated 1:3 to 1:5
---
⚠️ Risks & Considerations:
If the 3,293 demand zone breaks, bearish structure may continue.
Liquidity grabs and false breakouts are possible – wait for solid confirmation.
Align your entries with higher timeframe signals (e.g., H4) for stronger confluence.
---
❗️Disclaimer:
> This analysis is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell.
You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions.
XAUUSD Technical Analysis – 02/07/2025On the 1-hour chart, Gold (XAUUSD) has just confirmed the completion of corrective wave (4) around the 3,328.3 zone, which aligns with the 1.0 Fibonacci level and EMA9 support. Currently, price is rebounding with increasing volume, signaling that buying momentum is returning.
Key Technical Highlights:
Elliott Wave Structure:
Wave (4) found support at 3,328.3.
Wave (5) targets are forming, with Fibonacci extensions pointing to:
0.618: 3,360.05
1.0: 3,380.07
=> These are critical resistance zones to watch.
Fibonacci Retracement Zones:
The current rebound is heading toward the 0.5 and 0.618 retracement levels of the previous down leg, located at 3,362.4 and 3,354.4 – short-term upside targets.
Volume Analysis:
Rising volume on bullish candles confirms a legitimate buying interest, supporting the upward movement.
EMA9 Breakout:
Price has broken above the EMA9 at 3,338.2, shifting short-term trend bias to bullish.
Suggested Trading Strategy:
Favor Buy on Dip entries near the 3,340–3,342 zone if a minor pullback occurs.
Short-term targets: 3,354 – 3,362
Extended target: 3,380
Suggested stop loss below 3,328.0 to manage risk.
Conclusion:
A bullish impulse is forming following the end of wave (4). If price holds above 3,340 and breaks through the nearby Fibonacci resistance levels, wave (5) could extend towards the 3,380 area. This is a pivotal moment to watch for a confirmed short-term uptrend.
XAUUSD – July 3 Live Setup | Price at M15 POIGold has been moving in line with our bullish bias over the past few sessions.
Yesterday’s break above the 3358 M15 level gave us a clean Break of Structure (BoS) — confirming short-term bullish momentum within the larger framework.
After this strong push upward, the market is now retracing.
Price is currently entering a high-probability pullback zone: 3340–3342 (M15 POI).
This is a textbook base structure setup — where we wait for price to return to a valid zone after structure shift, and only act after confirmation on the lower timeframe.
🔍 Setup in Play:
Current Bias:
• M15 Trend: Bullish
• H4 Context: Bullish (after recent HTF shift)
• Market State: Pullback phase after BoS
Key Zone in Focus:
• 3340–3342 – M15 POI (zone of interest for continuation)
We are not entering blindly .
We are waiting for confirmation on M1 — specifically:
✅ ChoCh (Change of Character)
✅ Followed by a micro BoS
Only then do we consider a long entry — and even then, risk must be managed through proper R:R and structure anchoring.
🎯 Target:
If M1 confirmation occurs, the expected short-term target is 3365 — the next clean M15 structural high.
⚠️ Risk Conditions:
If price breaks below the POI without M1 confirmation — or aggressively violates the zone — the setup is invalid.
In that case, we simply step aside and reassess.
This is process-driven execution:
No need to predict.
No need to chase.
Just observe, confirm, and execute with structure.
📖 This is how we let the chart do the work.
The process protects us.
Structure invites us.
Stillness refines us.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Author of The Chart Is The Mirror — a structure-first, mindset-grounded book for traders
GOLD Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is going up now
And the price broke the
Key horizontal level
Around 3,346$ and
The breakout is confimred
So we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Focus on tomorrow’s non-farm payrolls!Gold hourly chart;
Gold short-term analysis; Gold 4-hour analysis shows that the stochastic indicator is golden cross, which is a bullish signal; MACD indicator double lines stick together upward, which is a bullish signal; 4-hour bias continues to rise; 4-hour downward trend channel is temporarily suppressed, and the pressure position is near 3355, which is the only empty point today; the short-term support position is temporarily near 3320;
Gold Pulls Back Slightly After Peaking at $3,357📊 Market Overview:
Gold rallied to $3,357 yesterday following weak US manufacturing PMI, sparking expectations of an upcoming Fed rate cut. This morning, prices are pulling back to around $3,340 as traders await the FOMC meeting minutes for further guidance.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Near resistance: $3,357
• Key resistance: $3,370
• Near support: $3,330
• Major support: $3,318
• EMA: Price is still above the 09 EMA, but starting to slope downward → short-term weakness emerging.
• Candlestick & momentum: Doji candle with a long upper wick on H4 chart around $3,357 → showing fading bullish momentum. RSI dropping out of overbought zone confirms potential short-term pullback
📌 Outlook:
Gold is currently in a mild downward correction, and may continue to decline toward $3,330 – $3,318 if the FOMC minutes do not suggest strong dovish intent.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,350 – $3,354
🎯 TP: $3,330
❌ SL: $3,359
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,328 – $3,332
🎯 TP: $3,350
❌ SL: $3,318