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XAUUSD trade ideas

XAUUSD H4 Idea | GOLDGold prices remain near record highs as investors continue to flock to the precious metal amid rising trade tensions and persistent inflationary pressures. U.S. President Donald Trump’s recent executive order, which paves the way for reciprocal tariffs, has injected fresh uncertainty into global markets, driving up demand for gold as a safe haven. This surge in interest is supported by robust inflation data; the Consumer Price Index rose by 0.5% in January while the Producer Price Index increased by 3.5% year-over-year. These figures suggest that inflation remains a formidable force, keeping the Federal Reserve on high alert and delaying potential rate cuts—even as expectations build for a possibly softer reading in the upcoming Personal Consumption Expenditures index, the Fed’s preferred gauge. On the technical side, gold’s multi-week rally appears to be intact. The prevailing trend is upward, with a break above $2,942.78 potentially signalling further gains, while the nearest support is found around $2,739.81. Despite the bullish momentum, the extended seven-week rally leaves the market somewhat vulnerable to a reversal, as indicated by the recent closing level of $2,882.48—a modest gain of 0.74% over the past week. Adding to the uncertainty, U.S. retail sales fell by 0.9% in January, a much sharper decline than the forecasted 0.2%, casting doubt on the strength of consumer spending and broader economic momentum. This downturn contributed to a decrease in Treasury yields, although yields remain elevated compared to earlier in the year. The combination of these economic signals and geopolitical uncertainties continues to reinforce gold’s status as a favoured asset during turbulent times. Overall, while the bullish bias for gold remains strong amid trade war fears and inflation concerns, investors will be watching upcoming economic data closely to determine whether the rally can be sustained or if a pullback is on the horizon.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GOLDFXCC
[Bearish Reversal] Potential double top for XAU FOREXCOM:XAUUSD Potential double top for XAU signalling a reversal. If we see a close below 2881 on the 4H chart, and a retest to the inverse FVG above at the 2888 level. We could see a drop to 2830. Market is still unable to accept XAU >2900 and with Trump policies being inflationary and US data still on the stronger side of things, USD continues to stay bullish fundamentally. Do note that monday is Washington's day and there is RBA, RBNZ, Trump speaking and VP for Fed. These are highly volatile and requires active management. As usual trade safe and see you all on minds! If you are my follower and you would like to discuss I will reply you if you DM me.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KingGoldFX
No strong bullish reversal signs. Momentum still favors shorts.Market Overview Current Price: $2,932.120 High of the Day: $2,932.575 Major Resistance (R3): $2,950.016 Recently Broken Resistance (Now Support - R2): $2,940.010 Key Dynamic Support (50 EMA): $2,935.00 Psychological Support (S1): $2,925.104 - $2,920.283 🏦 Institutional Order Flow & Liquidity Analysis 🔍 Key Observations: Gold bounced from the $2,925 liquidity zone and is currently trading at $2,932.120. Liquidity pools are concentrated around $2,925 and $2,920. Institutional traders have been selling near $2,950 - $2,955, indicating smart money distribution. Order flow suggests a stop-hunt near $2,940 before further downside. 📌 Market Maker Activity: Sell orders are accumulating near $2,935 - $2,940, confirming a bearish bias. Liquidity sweeps above $2,950 absorbed by sellers. If price fails to reclaim $2,935, another rejection could push it back toward $2,925. 📈 Technical Indicator Breakdown RSI (7): Bearish, currently hovering near 50 (Momentum is weak). MACD: Bearish crossover with expanding negative histogram (Downtrend strengthening). 50 EMA & 200 EMA: Bearish alignment, confirming short-term downtrend. VWAP: Rejected price near $2,935, showing institutions are still selling. 📌 No strong bullish reversal signs. Momentum still favors shorts. 🔴 High-Confidence Trade Setup: SELL 📌 Short Entry Zone: $2,932 - $2,935 📌 Stop-Loss (SL): $2,940 (Above minor resistance) 📌 Take-Profit (TP): TP1: $2,925 TP2: $2,920 Maximum TP: $2,915 Risk-Reward Ratio (R:R) = Up to 3:1 ⚡ Ultra-Aggressive Execution Plan ✅ Confirmation to Enter Short: If price rejects $2,932 - $2,935 and fails to reclaim $2,935, SELL IMMEDIATELY. If order flow confirms selling pressure, hold for $2,920 - $2,915. ✅ Momentum Confirmation: RSI must stay below 50 to confirm further downside. MACD must remain bearish for continued selling pressure. ✅ VWAP & Order Block Alignment: If price fails to reclaim $2,935, momentum should push toward $2,920 - $2,915. 🔥 FINAL DECISION – EXECUTE NOW? ✅ Verdict: SELL XAU/USD at $2,932 - $2,935 SL: $2,940 TP1: $2,925 TP2: $2,920 Maximum TP: $2,915 🚨 HIGH-CONFIDENCE SHORT TRADE CONFIRMED. If price rejects $2,935, execute the short immediately.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MAHARLIKA_FX
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Long (BUY LIMIT)Gold is in a strong uptrend on the Daily chart, making higher highs and showing strong momentum. The RSI is above 70, indicating overbought conditions, but this is typical in strong trends. The MACD is bullish and confirms momentum. On the 15-minute chart, Gold is consolidating after a strong rally, suggesting a continuation higher. The RSI is neutral (49.33), giving room for more upside. On the 3-minute chart, Gold is experiencing a pullback, creating an opportunity to buy at a better price. The MACD is near neutral, signaling that a bullish reversal could be setting up. Trade Setup • Entry: 2936 (Near recent consolidation area) • Stop Loss (SL): 2928 (Below recent support, limiting downside risk) • Take Profit (TP): 2952 (Near next resistance level, maintaining a 2:1 RRR) Fundamental Justification • Gold is bullish due to inflationary concerns and continued demand for safe-haven assets. • Interest rate expectations remain dovish, supporting Gold’s strength. FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by KeN-WeNzEl
Gold 1hour chart technical analysis next move possible.This chart represents a bearish setup for gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here’s what it indicates: Analysis & Trade Setup: 1. Resistance Zone (Red Box) The red-shaded area highlights a resistance zone where price has struggled to break higher. Price is testing this area again, suggesting potential rejection. 2. Trendline & Structure Breakdown A strong ascending trendline (black) has been supporting the uptrend. If price fails to hold above this area, a breakdown may occur. 3. Bearish Expectation (Black Arrow) The zigzag movement inside the resistance zone suggests a liquidity grab before a potential drop. Price is expected to reject the resistance and move toward support at $2,918.34 (blue line). Key Levels: Resistance (Sell Zone): Around $2,940–$2,945 Support (Target Zone): Around $2,918.34 Bearish Confirmation: If price starts dropping below the red zone, it may accelerate downward. Conclusion: This is a short (sell) setup where price is expected to reject resistance and drop to support. If resistance holds, a downtrend is likely toward the blue support line. Would you like to add a caption to post this analysis? I can help craft an engaging one!
TVC:GOLDShort
by DavidHills110
Analysis of gold trend on February 19 The price of gold is currently running in an upward channel and is close to the upper resistance area. After touching the upper resistance line, the price showed signs of being blocked many times, forming two obvious pullbacks. Combined with the Fibonacci retracement level, the current price is close to the strong resistance area of ​​0.786 (2949.47). The pressure in this area also coincides with the upper trend line formed in the previous period, further strengthening the resistance strength of this position. If the price cannot effectively break through $2,950, there is a risk of a short-term pullback. The support below is around $2,930. At the same time, the Fibonacci retracement level shows that 0.382 (2905.66) and 0.236 (2889.82) are also potential segmented support levels, especially the $2,905 line, which is an important short-term support. If it falls below, it may open up a larger downward space. If the price successfully breaks through the $2,950 resistance range, further upward space will be opened above, which may hit $2,960 or even higher. If it is blocked and falls below the support of $2,930, the price may enter a stage of adjustment, with a target of $2,905, or even further testing the blue support area below at around $2,879. Based on the overall trend and the current key resistance level, it is advisable to be cautious in chasing highs in short-term operations, pay attention to the effectiveness of the breakthrough of $2,950 and the support strength of $2,930, and consider short-term layout of long orders when there is a pullback support level, but if it falls below $2,930, it is necessary to be alert to the increased risk of pullback. Overall, gold is still in a strong trend, but it has entered the key resistance area in the short term, and it is necessary to pay close attention to the market reaction.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by RonPeter_Trading
GOLD The release of the FOMC Meeting Minutes on February 19, 2025, at 8:00 PM GMT is expected to have significant implications for the XAUUSD THE event will affect our trade directional bias,the potential Impacts of FOMC Meeting Minutes on XAUUSD will be volatile . The FOMC minutes provides insights into the discussions and considerations of Federal Reserve officials regarding monetary policy. i will scrutinize these minutes for any hints about future interest rate changes. If the minutes indicate a more hawkish stance (suggesting potential interest rate hikes), it could strengthen the USD, leading to a bearish bias XAUUSD The minutes may reflect concerns about inflation and economic growth. If the Fed expresses worries about persistent inflation, it may signal a readiness to maintain or increase interest rates.Conversely, if the minutes suggest a dovish outlook (concerns about economic slowdown), this could weaken the USD and create a bullish bias for XAUUSD Technical Analysis Considerations: We will consider technical levels of demand and supply in conjunction with the FOMC minutes release. A break below key support levels could reinforce a bearish bias, while a bounce from support could indicate a bullish reversal. The FOMC minutes will be interpreted alongside other recent economic data releases, such as inflation figures and employment statistics. Conclusion: The release of the FOMC Meeting Minutes is likely to create significant market movements in XAUUSD depending on whether the tone is hawkish or dovish. we will remain vigilant and ready to adjust our positions based on the insights revealed in these minutes. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making trading decisions.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Wave 4 Triangle or Running Flat? Key Levels to Watch!As seen in the chart, I'm tracking a potential Wave 4 triangle forming in gold. The price action has respected the A-B-C-D-E structure so far, suggesting that consolidation might be nearing completion before a breakout into Wave 5. However, if the price breaks above Wave D's high prematurely, this would invalidate the triangle and suggest that Wave 4 already ended as a running flat, meaning we may already be in the early stages of Wave 5. Key Levels to Watch: 🔹 Resistance: – The triangle scenario is invalid if the price breaks above this level without completing Wave E. 🔹 Support Zone: – Holding above this would strengthen the case for a triangle breakout. 🔹 Invalidation: A strong impulse below the support zone could indicate a deeper correction instead of Wave 5 beginning. If the triangle holds, we could see one more touch of support before Wave 5 extends higher. Otherwise, the market may already be heading up in a more aggressive move. Which scenario do you think will play out? Drop your thoughts below!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ElliottWaveFxMajors
gold on short bullishGold (XAU/USD) saw a strong breakout above $2,904.50 yesterday, confirming bullish momentum. The price is currently in an upward trend, with buyers pushing toward $2,928.60 as the next key resistance. However, the overall market structure suggests potential bearish pressure if key support levels fail. Key Levels to Watch: Buy Entry: Above $2,915.99 (Buy stop order) Take Profit (TP): $2,922 – $2,928.60 Stop Loss (SL): $2,906 (A break below this invalidates bullish bias) Bearish Breakdown Zone: Below $2,906, with targets below $2,900 Bullish Scenario: If XAU/USD holds above $2,915.99, expect a push toward $2,922, and if momentum continues, $2,928.60 could be tested. Buyers remain in control above $2,906, and dips may be seen as buying opportunities. Bearish Scenario: A break below $2,906 could lead to bearish reform, triggering a drop below $2,900. If sellers dominate, we may see extended declines toward $2,890 or lower.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by newbeginneracademy
XAUUSD: A new increase is about to start. 2930Yesterday emphasized the purchase of xauusd before the market closed. After the London market started today. XAUUSD perfectly reaches the target range and the order is closed to lock in profits. The second stage of the XAUUSD rebound is about to begin. The current XAUUSD price is around 2911, and the overall position is maintained at the bottom of the box oscillation. In the technical support and combined with the boost of the news, the operation can still be mainly bought. The target is about 2920-2930. The overall increase is 10p-20p. If you like this profit, you can buy it at the current price. XAUUSD: Buy near 2910 sl2900 tp2920-2930
TVC:GOLDLong
by JAKE_T0