5/30 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning everyone!
Yesterday, we successfully executed short at 3290 and long at 3250, and also entered the 3316–3328 short zone near the close. All signals were hit, and profits were solid ✅.
📉 Technical Outlook:
The 1-hour chart remains in a clear bearish trend, indicating that this pullback is not yet complete.
Initial support at 3296 is very likely to break
Focus shifts to 3278 support, though it appears technically weak
If price hits 3278, a minor bounce is expected, but it's likely just a retracement, not a reversal
🗞 Fundamental Watch:
The U.S. Consumer Confidence Index will be released during the U.S. session today.
Market reaction is expected to be similar to yesterday’s initial jobless claims — possibly triggering short-term moves, but not changing the broader trend.
📈 Trade Plan for Today:
📉 Sell in the 3316–3328 zone (key resistance)
📈 Buy in the 3238–3221 zone (key support area)
🔁 Scalp/flexible trading zones:
3303 / 3288 / 3276 / 3265 / 3252 / 3238
Stick to proper risk management, and stay alert during U.S. data releases.
Trade with the trend and close the week strong!
Additionally, on the 30-minute chart, gold appears to be forming a potential inverse head and shoulders pattern. If this pattern completes and breaks the neckline successfully, the price may surge toward the 3336–3352 area, or even up to 3360.
For those considering short positions, it’s crucial to control position size and avoid entering too early. Try to wait for price action to reach higher resistance levels before making a move. Don’t worry about missing a perfect entry — even if one trade is missed, it won’t affect your overall profitability for the week.
The market always offers opportunities. Stay calm, stick to your strategy, and remember: consistency and patience lead to long-term success.
XAUUSD trade ideas
Gold is still washing out, ready to go short
After gold fell today, the entire European session rebounded continuously, and the US session hit the 3318 line. Overall, it was still a wide range of shocks and wash-outs. No matter whether it rose or fell, it was not continuous, and the fluctuation range was large, which was difficult to grasp in short-term operations.
The current rise cannot be regarded as a strong trend. The characteristic of the shock market is repetition. The 4H cycle opened at 3326 as a watershed. Be careful of falling back below this position. You can try to go short near 3320/3325. At present, it is a key position to bet on the short position. If it goes up, it will be 3340/3350. The short-term rise is too large. Once the fall is strong, it will also be the same. If you step back, you can pay attention to the rising 0.5 and 0.618 supports.
Exploded, gold fell as expected
💡Message Strategy
The minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting showed that the risk of rising unemployment and inflation has increased, and the interest rate cut is expected to cool down again. In addition, Trump claimed that the US-Iran nuclear agreement may be reached "in the next few weeks" and warned Israel not to attack Iran for the time being. Hamas claimed that it had reached an agreement with the US Middle East envoy on the outline of the Gaza ceasefire. The risk aversion sentiment cooled down, causing gold to open directly down in the morning.
📊Technical aspects
The 1-hour level shows that the short-term gold price expanded its rebound and once formed a trend of stepping back on the hourly 60-day moving average. The current gold price fell again and continued to intensify the overall hourly moving average, which was arranged in a relatively regular downward divergence, maintaining a short-term bearish guidance reference. The current hourly RSI is oversold.
The 4-hour level shows that the current gold price has fallen sharply, forming a downward breakthrough trend of the four-hour 60-day moving average, gradually forming a bearish performance of the four-hour indicator, and the four-hour RSI is oversold. There is a strong demand for gold prices to fall in the short term.
💰 Strategy Package
Short Position:3250-3260
XAU/USD on the 45-minute timeframeSupport Zone Rejection (around 3,250 USD):
Price sharply reversed after testing a key support area (highlighted with a circle).
Volume increased at the reversal point, signaling strong buyer interest.
Break Above Minor Resistance (~3,280 USD):
Price has broken above the immediate resistance level with strong bullish momentum.
A bullish candle has closed above this zone, indicating a potential continuation.
Next Target Resistance Zones:
First Target: Around 3,320 USD, which aligns with a previous structural high and supply zone.
Final Target: Around 3,345–3,350 USD, representing a major resistance zone and previous swing high.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Above 3,280 (already in motion).
Target 1: 3,320
Target 2: 3,345–3,350
Stop Loss: Below 3,260 (below recent low and support zone)
Bullish Structure:
Higher low has been established.
Momentum is supported by volume confirmation
GOLD: Bullish Continuation & Long Signal
GOLD
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy GOLD
Entry - 3282.5
Stop - 3274.1
Take - 3298.4
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Waiting for the Golden Reversal!After a clean 5-wave bearish impulse, gold has finally tapped into a high-probability reversal zone! Here's what I'm seeing:
🔹 Break of structure confirmed at 3337.46
🔹 Price extended all the way to the 4.236 – 4.786 fib zone (3244–3228)
🔹 Landed perfectly in the SNR zone (3238–3231)
🔹 Bullish divergence spotted on the Awesome Oscillator (AO)
🔹 Now printing a bullish engulfing right at demand? 👀
📍 This is a textbook reversal setup.
💡 Waiting to Buy:
If price shows continued bullish intent or lower timeframe confirmation, I’m looking to enter long from the 3238–3231 area, targeting back to the Fib retracement zones and potentially the structure break at 3337.46.
🛡️ SL just below the 4.786 fib extension for safety.
🔥 Summary:
✅ Structure broken
✅ AO divergence
✅ Engulfing at SNR + fib confluence
🎯 Buy zone activated – now waiting for confirmation!
📌 Let the market come to you. No rush. Just watching for that golden reversal.
#XAUUSD #GoldReversal #FibExtension #AOdivergence #ElliottWave #BullishSetup #BuyZone #SmartTrading #ForexAnalysis
Analysis of the latest gold market trend on May 28:
I. Key points on the news
The US dollar rebounded strongly
The US dollar index (DXY) rebounded from a low in the past month, reaching a high of 99.42 (+0.4%), suppressing gold demand.
If the US dollar continues to rebound, gold may be further under pressure.
Risk aversion sentiment cools down
Market concerns about the international trade situation have eased, weakening gold's safe-haven buying.
If risk sentiment deteriorates again (such as escalation of geopolitical conflicts), gold prices may rebound quickly.
Fed policy expectations
The market pays attention to US economic data and speeches by Fed officials. If "hawkish" signals are released (such as rising expectations of interest rate hikes), it will be bearish for gold.
II. Key technical analysis
(1) Trend structure
Daily level:
The adjustment structure since $3,500 is still continuing, and it may currently be in the a-wave decline after the X-wave rebound.
If it falls below the 3280-3292 support, it may accelerate downward, with a target of 3270→3250, or even test 2956 (bottom of wave 4).
If 3280 is held, it may rebound at the 4-hour level and test the resistance of 3320-3330.
Key resistance:
3320-3330 (ideal area for short-term short positions)
3365-3370 (previous top and bottom conversion + 76.4% Fibonacci retracement level, strong resistance)
Key support:
3280-3292 (short-term long-short watershed)
3270 (breaking will confirm further decline)
(2) Short-term trend judgment
If the US dollar continues to strengthen → gold breaks below 3280 and looks to 3270-3250.
If the US dollar pulls back or risk aversion heats up → gold rebounds and tests 3320-3330.
3. Today's trading strategy
(1) Short order strategy (main idea)
Entry point: 3320-3330 area
Target: 3290→3270
Stop loss: above 3335
(2) Long order strategy (auxiliary idea)
Condition: Gold price stabilizes at 3280-3292 (need to combine K-line signals, such as hammer line, etc.)
Target: 3300-3310
Stop loss: below 3270
(3) Breakthrough strategy
If it falls below 3270 → go short, target 3250-3230.
If it breaks through 3330 → wait and see whether to further test 3365-3370.
4. Summary
Short-term trend: bearish, pay attention to the breakthrough of 3280-3330.
Key drivers: US dollar trend, market risk sentiment, and Fed policy expectations.
Operation suggestions:
Main strategy: short when the price rebounds to 3320-3330.
Secondary strategy: try to buy with a light position at the support level of 3280-3292 (strict stop loss).
Breakthrough follow-up: short when the price falls below 3270, or wait for higher resistance after breaking through 3330 before shorting.
XAUUSD buy now XAUUSD next move opportunity Instrument: Gold Spot (XAU/USD), 1H chart
Price Level: $3,323.31
Highlighted Zone: A support area around $3,310–$3,315
Outlook: Bullish, with two potential upward paths indicated (green and red arrows)
Assumption: Price will hold the support zone and bounce higher
Today's important range of gold price: 3280-3300Today's important range of gold price: 3280-3300
As shown in Figure 4h:
Important shock area: blue channel, this color band is an important shock area: 3220-3300
After understanding this channel, gold trading will become very simple:
1: Gold price is above 3280-3300, buy on dips
2: Gold price enters the blue channel area, and there is a high probability of wide fluctuations: 3300-3220. In this range, short on highs and buy on lows.
3: If it falls below the 3200-3220 range, the gold price is likely to turn downward.
The overall pattern is still a macro triangle convergence shock.
Fundamentals: At the beginning of this week, gold prices were blocked and began to fluctuate and adjust. The reason is that one of the factors that supported the rise in gold prices last week, that is, Trump said that he would impose a 50% tariff on the European Union on June 1, changed this week, easing market concerns about trade uncertainty.
Specifically, Trump said last weekend that the tariff entry date will be postponed to July 9. On Monday, the EU's chief trade representative said he was committed to reaching a trade agreement before the deadline. Influenced by the above news, market risk sentiment improved, driving U.S. stocks up on Tuesday, weakening the safe-haven appeal of gold.
Looking ahead, in addition to the progress of trade negotiations, we also need to pay attention to the impact of geopolitical situations and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy on gold prices. The main news today is the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting.
XAUUSD Daily Analysis – May 28, 2025 Focus ShortXAUUSD Daily Analysis – May 28, 2025
Gold (XAUUSD) has broken the previous market structure on the Daily Timeframe and is currently rebounding upward. The outlook is to gradually accumulate Sell positions, targeting Fibonacci retracement levels as follows:
TP1: 3272 (38.2% Fibonacci)
TP2: 3243 (50.0% Fibonacci)
TP3: 3214 (61.8% Fibonacci)
TP4: 3173 (78.6% Fibonacci)
The suggested Stop Loss (SL) is at 3322, just above the 23.6% Fibonacci level, where the price previously faced resistance.
This setup reflects a bearish bias based on price action and Fibonacci retracement zones, anticipating a downward continuation following the break of structure.
Spot gold fell below the 3330 mark
📌 Driving events
The trend of gold prices this week needs to focus on the following three major risk events:
First, the confrontation between Israel and the Houthis intensified this week. On May 25, the Houthis used hypersonic missiles to attack Israel's Ben-Gurion International Airport for the first time, resulting in the interruption of airport operations. Israel subsequently launched a retaliatory air strike. Iran has made it clear that it "will not give in on uranium enrichment activities" and warned that it will take hundreds of alternatives if it is sanctioned
Second, although the Trump administration's threat to impose a 50% tariff on the European Union has been postponed to July 9, the market is still concerned about it. If the trade war escalates, it may lead to increased global economic uncertainty, which will in turn boost the safe-haven demand for gold. However, the repetition of tariff policies may also trigger changes in market risk preferences and have a two-way impact on gold prices.
Third, record-breaking air strikes in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict Russia launched the largest air strike since the war on Ukraine on May 26, launching 355 drones and 9 cruise missiles, and many parts of Ukraine suffered heavy losses. The attack has heightened market concerns about geopolitical risks, pushing gold prices higher in the short term. However, due to expectations of a prolonged conflict, market demand for safe-haven assets may gradually weaken. Technically, gold has performed strongly at support levels near $3,330.
📊Commentary Analysis
This week, gold prices will remain highly volatile under the intertwined influence of multiple risk events. Investors need to remain vigilant and flexibly adjust strategies to respond to market changes. Analyze the market, make plans, and manage risk.
💰Strategy Package
In terms of operations, investors are advised to pay close attention to the situation in the Middle East and the progress of Trump's tariff policy. In the short term, short selling can be carried out in the range of $3,330-3,305, with a target of around $3,290-3,280. Profits can be taken in batches, and a light position can be taken long after breaking through $3,310, with a target of $3,360-3,380. Profits can be taken in batches, and medium- and long-term investors can make layouts on dips, taking advantage of geopolitical risks and the trend of a weak dollar, and gradually establish long positions.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot size that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
Structure Shift at Key Support – Is the Bullish Reversal InPrice aggressively broke down recently but showed strong reaction near the 3,280–3,290 demand zone, reflecting potential buyer absorption at lower prices. Following several bearish attempts that failed, price started making higher lows, reflecting a change in short-term structure.
Trade Idea:
Expecting a bullish reversal from this demand zone with a clean RR setup.
Entry Zone: 3,290–3,292 (bullish confirmation candle or wick rejection)
Stop Loss: 3,280 (below liquidity sweep & structure low)
Take Profit Targets:
• TP1: 3,300 – intraday bounce zone
• TP2: 3,305 – mid-level resistance
• TP3: 3,310 – structural breakout area
Why this setup?
✅ Structure shift (higher lows)
✅ Demand zone tapped with strong wick rejection
✅ Clean RR with risk tightly managed
✅ No major macro resistance until 3,310
Risk Note:
Steer clear of early entries without confirmation. If price doesn't hold above 3,288, bearish continuation is still in play.
Gold price pullback. How to trade?Information summary:
On Monday, due to Trump's policy changes, high tariffs on the EU were suspended. The market's risk aversion sentiment has declined, and spot gold fell at the opening, but recovered some of its losses in the US market, maintaining a consolidation range of 3320-3355.
When the US market opens, there must be large fluctuations. Gold recovered all the gains on Friday due to the increase in tariffs on the EU on Monday. Then, when the US market opens, it is very likely to rise sharply, and also recover the losses on Friday.
And from the current gold 1-hour chart:
The current trend line of gold has fallen below, and the early trading has also completed the retracement. Therefore, gold may go down next. There is a high probability that it will test the bottom support position of 3310-3300.
From the daily chart:
You can see that the daily chart is currently an important support position near 3300. Once it falls below 3300, it can be officially confirmed that the correction trend is coming. And the trend after the US market opens is critical.
Operation strategy:
Short immediately, stop loss 3335, profit range 3310-3300.
5/27 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood afternoon everyone!
Yesterday, gold fluctuated within the flexible trading zone, and we only executed a long entry near 3323, which brought decent profit.
Today, gold opened with an upward move toward 3350, but quickly pulled back. The recent market shows a sideways consolidation, with the $3340 level acting as a key pivot zone:
Below 3340: dense support areas
Above 3340: resistance clusters
In this context, any breakout without strong momentum can easily lead to capital flow shifts, causing false breakouts or rapid pullbacks, making trend continuation more difficult.
📉 Technical View:
On the 30M chart, bearish momentum slightly outweighs bullish, and gold is likely to remain range-bound within the zone defined yesterday.
🗞 Fundamental Reminder:
There are a few important U.S. economic releases during the NY session. Watch closely to see if they provide a clear directional push.
📈 Today’s Trading Plan:
📉 Sell in the 3366–3386 zone (resistance area)
📈 Buy in the 3278–3256 zone (support zone)
🔁 Flexible intraday levels to monitor:
3353 / 3341 / 3334 / 3317 / 3309 / 3296 / 3284
Trade with flexibility, beware of fake breakouts, and focus on NY session data-driven opportunities. Let me know if you have questions — good luck and happy trading!
XAUUSD:Go long at 3320-3325
Gold rebounded after stepping back near 3200 last week, picking up and rising under the influence of the news. Since 3200 stepping back formed support, coupled with the influence of long news, the day is mainly long.
The 4-hour chart shows the lower rail support at 3320-3325 and the upper rail pressure at 3360-65. You can trade around this range.
So the trading strategy: Buy@3320-3325 TP@3360-3365
↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here →→→
↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" →→→
Gold plunges. Downside meets?Spot gold fluctuates at high levels during the Asian session and is currently trading around $3,330.
I think spot gold is expected to fall below the immediate support level of $3,330 per ounce and fall towards $3,284.
Completion occurs near the key resistance level of $3,366, which is reinforced by similar resistance established by the descending trend line. Working together with these obstacles is another obstacle, namely $3,355, which is the retracement level of the downtrend from $3,501 to $3,120.
The bearish divergence of the hourly RSI confirms that the rally has been exhausted and a sharp correction is imminent.
Based on the changes in the Asian market today, an analysis was conducted. I hope my analysis can help you turn losses into profits in the trading market.
Operation strategy:
Short at $3,340, stop loss at $3,355, and profit range of $3,310-3,300.
Short Opportunity🔻 XAU/USD 4H Analysis – Rejection From Key Resistance Zone
Gold (XAU/USD) has once again rejected the $3,333–$3,336 resistance, a level aligned with a previous supply zone and high-volume node. The price action shows a clean bearish reaction with weakening momentum on the histogram, suggesting downside potential.
📉 Entry: $3,333.99
🎯 Target: $3,198.44
🛑 Stop-Loss: $3,366.86
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.79
Bearish Confluence:
Price rejection from previously tested resistance
Bearish MACD histogram divergence forming
Favorable risk/reward structure toward a clean demand zone
Trump's tariff measures trigger market shocks
📌 Driving events
Last Friday, as Trump threatened to raise tariffs on the European Union to 50%, and also pointed the finger at smartphone manufacturers such as Apple and Samsung, the market's risk aversion sentiment suddenly heated up, and spot gold closed up nearly 2% on the day.
On Sunday local time, US President Trump announced after a call with European Commission President von der Leyen that he would extend the deadline for the European Union to face 50% tariffs to July 9. Trump told reporters on his way back to Washington on Sunday: "We had a very pleasant call, and I agree to postpone the deadline."
Bloomberg analysis said that there are signs that US President Trump may relax his radical stance on EU trade, which will affect gold's safe-haven status.
At the geopolitical level, the conflict between Israel and Iran is imminent. The Israeli army's shooting of a diplomatic delegation has triggered international condemnation. Netanyahu has maintained a tough stance in the Israeli-Kazakh conflict; Trump's mediation of a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine has been frustrated. The Wall Street Journal revealed that when he spoke with the European side, he said that Putin believed that the Russian army was "winning", which contradicted his public statement. This week, the market focus shifted to the Fed's policy minutes, the Bank of Japan's rate hike expectations, European and American economic data, and OPEC+'s production increase plan. The interweaving of trade frictions, debt risks and geopolitical conflicts has kept the uncertainty of the global pattern high.
📊Comment Analysis
The first support level for gold prices may be in the range of $3290-3300/ounce. If it falls below the above support, the next support for gold prices will be $3250/ounce and $3200/ounce (50-day moving average). On the upside, the first resistance for gold prices is $3370/ounce. If this obstacle is overcome, the next resistance for gold prices will be $3430/ounce and $3500/ounce (historical high).
Labaron will digest a series of economic data to be released by the United States this week, such as durable goods and home sales, as well as the consumer confidence index. The U.S. stock market will be closed on Monday due to the Memorial Day holiday.
💰Strategy Package
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3388- 3390 SL 3395
TP1: $3376
TP2: $3363
TP3: $3350
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3301- $3299 SL $3294
TP1: $3312
TP2: $3325
TP3: $3338
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
Elliott Wave Analysis & XAUUSD Trading Plan – May 26, 2025📊 Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD – H1 Timeframe
On the H1 chart, drawing an Elliott channel reveals that price is currently within wave iii (orange), and developing wave 5 (green) within that structure.
Once wave 5 (green) completes, the market is expected to correct downwards into wave iv (orange) before resuming the uptrend to complete wave v (orange).
🔍 Detailed Breakdown of Wave 5 (Green): Two Scenarios in Play
Scenario 1 – Wave 5 (green) is NOT yet complete
Price is currently forming a small wave 4 (Flat) within wave 5 (green). A final push upward is expected to complete wave 5, with two potential targets:
🎯 Target 1: 3373
🎯 Target 2: 3397
Scenario 2 – Wave 5 (green) is already complete
This would confirm that wave iii (orange) has ended, and the market is entering wave iv (orange) — likely to take the form of a zigzag, flat, or triangle pattern.
🎯 Target zone 1: 3317
🎯 Target zone 2: 3290
📉 Momentum Analysis
• D1: Momentum is turning bearish. Await today's daily candle close for confirmation of a broader weekly downtrend.
• H4: Momentum has already reversed to the downside ⇒ expect sideways or bearish moves during the day.
• H1: Momentum is currently rising ⇒ a short-term bounce is possible. Watch for bearish reversal signals on H1 to validate SELL setups.
📌 Trade Plan
🔽 Potential SELL Setup
✅ Sell Zone: 3373 – 3376
❌ Stop Loss: 3383
🎯 TP1: 3343
🎯 TP2: 3317
🔸 Note: Only sell if H1 momentum confirms a bearish reversal. If price breaks above 3376, wait for a higher entry at 3397.
🔼 Potential BUY Setup
✅ Buy Zone: 3316 – 3313
❌ Stop Loss: 3306
🎯 TP1: 3343
🎯 TP2: 3373
🔸 Note: Only buy if H1 momentum flips bullish. If this zone breaks, wait to buy lower at 3290.