Perfect prediction, pay attention to the high short entry pointTrump extended the tariff agreement to August 1 and began to collect tariffs again. Although it eased market tensions, his remarks will not be extended after the expiration, and he issued a tariff threat, which increased global trade uncertainty and pushed up risk aversion. There was no clear direction coming out of the Fed's meeting minutes last night, but the potential bias was bullish.
At the beginning of the Asian session this morning, I also indicated that gold would rise and then fall. At present, it has reached the highest point near 3325 and then began to retreat, but the 4H golden cross has just been formed. There is still a certain pressure above 3333. If the gold price repeatedly competes for this position, we can continue to short without hesitation. The second short position today is near 3340-3345. There is potential momentum for the bulls in the short term. If the European session continues to fluctuate below 3333, then the entry of short positions will be slightly more stable. Yesterday, short orders were given at the key points of 3321 and 3333, and TP looked at 3310. If the bulls re-emerge below 3310-3305, you can consider short-term long positions and target 3330-3335.
XAUUSD trade ideas
XAUUSD Idea: 4H Trendline First Breakout - Liquidity PlayFOREXCOM:XAUUSD
🔍 Analysis Overview:
Price has just broken above a 4H descending trendline for the first time. However, I remain cautious due to the following key observations:
📌 NOTES:
The broader market sentiment is still bearish due to recent tariff-related news, which often fuels risk-off behavior.
Historically, the first breakout of a strong trendline often fails, trapping early buyers.
This breakout is likely attracting buy-side liquidity, giving institutions an opportunity to hunt stops.
My observation shows buying interest started around the 3308–3313 range, suggesting smart money accumulation and a possible trap.
📉 I'm watching for a fake breakout and potential reversal targeting the liquidity zones marked below around 3307 and possibly lower.
The liquidity sweep below equal lows could offer a better risk-reward setup.
💡 Conclusion:
If price fails to hold above this breakout and shows signs of rejection, I will be anticipating a return towards the previous demand zone for a liquidity grab.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #LiquidityGrab #ForexTrading #TrendlineBreak #MarketPsychology #TradingSetup #SMC #PriceAction
GOLD SELL M15 XAU/USD (Gold) 15-Min Chart Analysis – July 10, 2025
The chart shows that price is currently trading around 3323.98, approaching a key supply zone marked in purple. This area is expected to act as resistance, where price may reverse.
Multiple Break of Structure (BOS) levels have been marked, confirming bullish momentum earlier. However, the chart now suggests a potential bearish reversal from the supply zone.
Trade Idea:
Entry Zone: Near the top of the purple resistance area (~3324)
Stop Loss (SL): 3332
Target: 3309 zone (highlighted in blue), which aligns with the demand zone and previous structure
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: 3324–3332
Support Zones:
First Support: 3319.19
Second Support: 3314.18
Final Target Zone: 3309.84 – 3309.61
The expected move is a sell from the supply zone down to the 3309 target. Price is projected to form lower highs and lower lows as shown by the blue arrow path.
Trump blasted Powell again. Interest rates remain unchanged.Information summary:
Trump blasted Powell on Wednesday, saying that the current interest rate is "at least 3 percentage points higher" and once again accused Fed Chairman Powell of "making the United States pay an extra $360 billion in refinancing costs each year." He also said that "there is no inflation" and that companies "are pouring into the United States," and urged the Fed to "cut interest rates."
During the U.S. trading session, gold also showed a significant rebound momentum, rebounding from a low of 3285 to above 3310 in one fell swoop. As of now, gold has stood above 3320.
Market analysis:
From the daily chart:
It can be seen that the first suppression position above gold is currently at 3325, followed by around 3345. Gold did not close above 3320 on Wednesday, which means that even if gold is currently above 3320, as long as today's daily line closes below 3320, it is still in a bearish trend. On the contrary, if the closing price today is above 3320, then the subsequent test of the suppression position near 3345 may be further carried out.
Secondly, from the 4-hour chart, the current suppression position above 4 hours is around 3330-3335. Therefore, today we should focus on this position. If we cannot stand firm and break through the range suppression here in the 4-hour chart, we may retreat again in the future. The key support position below is around 3310, which is the opening price today. If the price is to retreat, it is likely to fall below 3310. But it may also remain above 3310 for consolidation.
However, as long as it falls below 3310, I think the low point near 3285 may be refreshed, so pay attention to this.
Operation strategy:
Steady trading waits for 3310 to fall and break through to short, and the profit range is 3385 or even lower.
Aggressive trading can short near 3340, with a stop loss of 3350.
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 7/10/2025Gold has been very choppy recently. It seems not having any clear direction. Although in weekly post I am bearish in short term, there is lack of momentum for it to go down. Currently it is traded within a channel indicated in the chart. I am going to trade on the channel top.
If the channel holds, I will sell around 3330, towards 3250. If the channel top is broken, I will buy upon retest, towards 3365.
XAU USD a little & nice BUY set up 09-07-2025All analysis is based on technical analysis only...
Short & clear without any "BS"...
I do not believe in fundamental analysis (& if you are desperate for it, then... gold is never going to get cheaper in a very long term & it is a good investment for the next 50-100+ years, if you are happy with "preserving" your wealth, but if you are looking get paid this or next week, then...trading is a way. )
Entry is your very own choice ( easy to make decision on provided chart ( KISS- keep It Stupid Simple) )
TP around - 3367.188
SL - is totally depend on your very own financial & trading plan...
PS: it is not a financial advice & published for entirely "self educational" purpose"...
Gold Trading Strategy | July 9-10✅Yesterday, gold prices briefly surged due to heightened safe-haven demand, but we remained skeptical about the sustainability of the rebound and continued to uphold our strategy of shorting at higher levels. As expected, gold eventually moved lower, breaking below the previous day's low and establishing a bearish continuation pattern. Our bearish outlook was confirmed by market action.
✅In terms of price structure, although gold saw a moderate rebound during the latter part of the U.S. session, the momentum was weak, indicating that strong resistance remains overhead. The market continues to exhibit a bearish tone, so today’s strategy remains unchanged—waiting for a rebound to resume short positioning.
✅Technical Analysis:
🔸Daily Chart: Gold remains in a state of high-level consolidation with signs of momentum exhaustion. Yesterday’s price action saw resistance near the 3345 level once again, followed by a pullback. Although it temporarily broke below 3300, the price later recovered, reflecting a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The candlestick pattern shows alternating bullish and bearish candles, lacking sustained direction, and no clear single-sided trend has emerged yet.
🔸4H Chart: Gold continues to trend lower in a step-like, descending pattern. The recent high at 3345 marks a lower high, and current resistance is forming near the downtrend line and the midline of the Bollinger Bands—around 3333 and 3320. Price action suggests high probability of rejection in this zone. We recommend continuing to short near resistance, with the next target at the 3255 level. The overall structure remains a slow, choppy downtrend.
🔸1H Chart: The bearish trend persists with new local lows being formed. Moving averages are aligned in a clear downtrend formation with strong bearish momentum. After breaking below 3313 yesterday, a minor rebound failed to hold, confirming 3313 as a key resistance level. Now, early trading is facing pressure near 3315, suggesting a good area to look for short entries.
🔴Key Resistance Zone: 3315–3320
🟢Key Support Zone: 3287–3275
✅Trading Strategy Reference:
🔻Short Strategy:
🔰Enter short positions in the 3313–3315 area in multiple entries.
🔰Stop loss: 8–10 USD
🔰Target: 3300–3285, with potential extension toward 3275 if support is broken.
🔺Long Strategy:
🔰Consider long positions in the 3275–3278 range with staggered entries.
🔰Stop loss: 8–10 USD
🔰Target: 3290–3300, with further upside potential toward 3305 if resistance breaks.
🔥Note: Trading strategies are time-sensitive. For more accurate and real-time Trading Signals, feel free to contact me directly.
Trade Analysis (GOLD – XAUUSD)
Trade Analysis (GOLD – XAUUSD)
This chart highlights a classic bullish reversal setup forming after an extended downtrend. Here's the breakdown:
Descending Channel Structure: Price moved within a well-defined falling channel, forming lower highs and lower lows. This is often a sign of controlled bearish pressure rather than a full-on collapse.
Liquidity Grabs: Key swing highs and lows (circled) show areas where liquidity was swept before price reversed. These are classic signs of institutional moves clearing stop zones.
Bullish Breakout & Retest: Price eventually broke out of the descending channel to the upside, then came back for a clean retest of the structure—confirming the breakout is valid.
Higher Low Formation: After the retest, price formed a higher low, signaling buyer strength and potential for a trend reversal.
Projected Bullish Move: Based on market structure and momentum, we anticipate a bullish continuation towards higher highs as shown by the projection.
BullsSince hitting 3360+ Gold has formed a channel(flag) on which it has been declining on. Main goal is the 71 -79 retracement region before we get back to buys towards new all time highs.
Currently we at the lower end of the channel giving a buy opportunity towards the 1hr FVG @3325-3330 where we will also look for more sells and target 3280 -3274 (the 71 -79 retracement region).
NB don't force the market and watchout for major news
Gold is in a tug-of-war again
The oscillating pattern under the tug-of-war between gold risk aversion and the dollar
News: The interweaving of long and short factors has caused gold to fall into a tug-of-war
Positive factors:
Trump's new tariff policy: The United States will impose a 25% tariff on Japanese and Korean goods from August 1, and US stocks fell in response. The market's risk aversion sentiment has increased, and the price of gold has rebounded from a low of 3296 points to 3345 points.
The central bank continues to buy gold: The People's Bank of China continued to increase its gold holdings in June, buying for the eighth consecutive month, which has long supported the price of gold.
The long-term weakness of the US dollar: Although the US dollar index has strengthened in the short term, it has fallen 10% this year, close to a three-and-a-half-year low. Gold is still attractive as an anti-inflation asset.
Negative factors:
The US dollar has strengthened in the short term: Boosted by strong non-agricultural data, the US dollar index rebounded to 97.67, suppressing gold buying (especially non-US currency holders).
Geopolitical risks have cooled: There has been no major conflict in the international situation recently, and the demand for safe havens has declined. The rise in gold prices lacks sustainability.
Personal opinion:
Gold is currently in the game stage of "safe-haven support level vs. US dollar suppression level", and the short-term trend depends on the market's expectations of the Fed's policies and trade frictions. If the US dollar continues to rebound, gold prices may be under pressure; but if US economic data weakens or geopolitical risks reappear, gold prices may break through the range of fluctuations.
Technical aspect: shock narrowing, direction to be broken
Daily level: range fluctuations (3295-3345), moving average adhesion, unclear trend, need to wait for breakthrough signals.
Key points:
Resistance level: 3345 (multiple highs fall back, break through to see 3400).
Support level: 3295-3300 (break through may fall to 3270-3260).
4-hour chart: MACD golden cross is fragile. If the price falls below 3320, it may turn into a dead cross, exacerbating the risk of a pullback.
Weakness of hourly chart: K-line is under pressure from the short-term moving average. If the rebound in the early trading is weak, it may continue to fluctuate downward.
Personal strategy:
Short-term bearish: Before the effective breakthrough of 3345, you can lightly hold short orders, and wait for the price to rebound to 3320-3330 before testing short orders, with the target at 3300-3295.
Bull opportunity: It may pull back to the support area of 3290-3295 to stabilize, and you can arrange long orders.
Summary and operation suggestions
Core logic: Gold is stuck in the deadlock of "news disturbance + technical shock", and we need to be wary of false breakthroughs.
Key points: Upward breakthrough: If it stands firm at 3345, it will look to 3400. Downside risk: If it loses 3295, it may test the support of 3270-3260.
Subjective tendency: In the short term, it is more inclined to bearish volatility, because the dollar is strong and the sustainability of risk aversion is questionable. However, if the Fed releases dovish signals or US stocks fall sharply, gold may reverse quickly.
GOLD GOLD ,your checklist should always include the following
what is the current high and low of the US10Y ???
what is the current interest rate decision
what is the current HTF AND LTF of dollar index
what is the phase of the price action(demand or supply).eg if price action is in demand phase and you try to sell it ,your stop loss will be taken, if you trade in the direction and phase of price action ,you dont need a big stoploss.
trading is 100% probability and any key level can fail.
risk management is key .
#gold
Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) 4-Hour Chart4-hour chart from OANDA displays the recent price movement of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) against the U.S. Dollar. The current price is $3,325.120, reflecting a decrease of $11.320 (-0.34%). The chart highlights a recent upward trend with a buy signal at $3,325.410 and a sell signal at $3,324.830, indicating a potential trading range. A shaded area suggests a possible price target or support/resistance zone around $3,355.478, with historical price levels marked on the right side. The timeframe covers the period around July 7-8, 2025.
XAUUSD Outlook: How Risk Sentiment Could Shape the Next MoveI’m currently analysing XAUUSD (Gold) 🟡, which has come under bearish pressure 📉, showing signs of downside momentum. In the video 🎥, we also explore the inverse correlation between Gold and risk assets like the NASDAQ 📊.
Keep a close eye on NASDAQ movements—if risk assets break bullish 🚀, we may see further weakness in Gold. On the other hand, if risk sentiment shifts and risk assets break bearish 🛑, Gold could attract safe-haven demand and gain strength 💪.
We also dive into the price action, market structure, and pull up the volume profile 🧩. Gold is currently trading around the Point of Control (POC) ⚖️—a key level where significant volume has accumulated. A clean break above or below this area could act as a technical trigger for the next move 📈📉.
As always, this is not financial advice ⚠️—just my market view.
XAUUSD Hello traders,
Today we're taking advantage of a great buying opportunity on the XAUUSD pair. This setup is ideal for both medium- and long-term positions. I anticipate that the price will rise toward the 3392.82 USD level in the coming weeks.
That’s why I’ve positioned this trade as a medium-term opportunity.
Gold H1 | Approaching an overlap resistanceGold (XAU/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 3,344.65 which is an overlap resistance.
Stop loss is at 3,368.00 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 3,313.35 which is a pullback support.
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