XAUUSD trade ideas
#XAUUSD BUY NOWThe image is a chart displaying the price of gold in US dollars per ounce over time, with various lines and annotations indicating trends and predictions. The chart appears to be a technical analysis of the gold market, with the user suggesting a potential buying opportunity with a target price of 3500.
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Gold (XAU/USD) slips amid renewed trade optimism; FOMC in focusGold markets are navigating another week of heightened volatility. After a bullish start on Monday and Tuesday, XAU/USD reversed course on Wednesday, with sellers regaining control. The precious metal faced strong rejection at the $3,430 level—an area that also acted as intraday resistance in April as gold attempted to break through all-time highs.
Monday’s surge marked a break from two consecutive weeks of downward pressure, drawing in fresh buyers eyeing a potential retest of the $3,500+ zone. However, ongoing fundamental uncertainties, particularly in U.S.–China relations, continue to drive erratic price action and keep traders on edge.
Trade Talks Reignite Market Volatility
The recent rebound in trade diplomacy has shifted market dynamics once again. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer are scheduled to meet Chinese officials in what will be the first formal discussions since the U.S. imposed steep tariffs on Chinese goods. This renewed optimism around trade negotiations triggered a fresh wave of selling in gold on Wednesday.
Despite the pullback, gold remains underpinned by lingering investor caution. Mixed signals from both Washington and Beijing continue to cloud sentiment, while expectations of global monetary easing and a broader move away from U.S. assets provide ongoing support for bullion.
FOMC Decision Looms Large
All eyes now turn to the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting and Chairman Jerome Powell’s press conference later today. With markets already pricing in no change to interest rates, the spotlight will be on Powell’s tone and guidance for the months ahead.
Powell is widely expected to stick to the Fed’s cautious rhetoric, reflecting uncertainty over the economic impact of tariffs. Acknowledgment of sustained economic resilience or inflationary pressure could be perceived as a hawkish signal—dampening hopes of a June rate cut, boosting the U.S. dollar, and likely deepening the correction in gold prices.
Conversely, if Powell hints at heightened economic concerns and signals a potential rate cut in June, gold could regain upward momentum as investors reposition accordingly.
X1: GOLD/XAUUSD Buy Risking1% to make 3.70% | Manage your riskX1:
Risking 1% to make 3.70%
GOLD/XAUUSD Long for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 3.70%
Note: Manage your risk yourself, its risky trade, see how much your can risk yourself on this trade.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
GOLD Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in an uptrend
So despite a local correction
We are bullish biased and
As we are already seeing
A bullish rebound from the
Local horizontal support
Of 3360$ a further
Bullish move up is
To be expected
Buy!
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XAUUSD - Buy - A Shape Recovery - Gap fill - Strength
A Shape Recovery
Return to Previous Level imminent
Profit taking at NZ open from the massive run-up yesterday.
COT data didn’t show any buying of longs on Monday It could have driven down lower, but instead, they drove it up.
First, it should fill the gap, then continue on to 4,000… then 7,000 over time, of course.
The USA is still in hot water — Trump has ruffled a lot of feathers.
No one trusts him, no one likes him — a snake in the grass.
China is hunkering down until he’s gone.
Xi Jinping will not tolerate Trump’s snide remarks or his constant demeaning of him and China.
So, the USD will likely face 145% tariffs for quite some time.
It’s the perfect tool to help destroy Americas economy and they did it to themselves.
Weak Dollar. Strong Gold.
"China has stated it will not engage until the U.S. cancels its 145% tariffs, a condition the U.S. has not met. Despite hints of openness from both sides and China evaluating U.S. approaches, no formal agreement has been confirmed, and conflicting statements suggest the situation remains fluid. The lack of a signed deal, combined with China’s retaliatory 125% tariffs and its focus on diversifying trade partners, casts doubt on an imminent resolution"
Gold has reached the $3,400 level againThe Federal Reserve will announce the May FOMC interest rate decision and hold a press conference tomorrow.The market generally expects the interest rate to remain unchanged, but Powell's speech will be crucial. 👉👉👉The non - farm payrolls data in April was unexpectedly strong (with 177,000 new jobs added). Coupled with the Federal Reserve's concerns about inflation, Powell is likely to continue his hawkish stance and emphasize "inflation - fighting first". If he signals a delay in the timing of interest rate cuts, it may suppress the bullish sentiment in gold. Conversely, if he implies concerns about economic slowdown, gold may gain support.
Gold has recently broken through the key resistance of $3,330 and firmly stood above the $3,400 level. The daily chart shows a clear upward channel. Gold trading advice: Go long in the range of $3,380 - $3,390 on a pullback, with a stop - loss at $3,360 and a target of $3,430.
XAUUSD trading strategy
buy @ 3380-3390
sl 3270
tp 3420-3430
If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.Thank you!👉👉👉
xauusd..1h chart patternHere’s a clear and structured analysis of your **Gold (Buy) Trade Setup**:
### **Trade Summary**
- **Entry Price**: **3278**
- **Target Price**: **3500** (**+222 points potential profit**)
- **Stop Loss**: **3350** (**-72 points risk**)
### **Key Metrics**
✔ **Risk-Reward Ratio**: **1:3.08** (Excellent – Reward > 3x Risk)
✔ **Minimum Required Win Rate**: **~25%** (Profitable if 1 in 4 trades hits target)
### **Technical Validation**
1. **Trend Line Confirmation**:
- Ensure the trend line has **at least 2-3 touches** (valid support).
- Look for **higher lows** in price structure (bullish trend).
2. **Entry Trigger**:
- Ideal if price bounces off the trend line with **bullish candlestick patterns** (e.g., hammer, engulfing).
- Confirm with **RSI > 50** or **MACD turning bullish**.
3. **Target (3500) Justification**:
- Previous resistance level? Fibonacci extension (e.g., 1.618)?
- If purely trend-based, consider partial profit-taking near **3430-3450**.
4. **Stop Loss (3350) Safety Check**:
- Place **below recent swing low** (if trend line is intact).
- Avoid too tight—gold can be volatile.
### **Trade Execution Plan**
✅ **Enter**: On confirmation (e.g., bounce + close above **3285**).
🎯 **Profit-Taking**:
- **1st Target**: 3400 (partial close 50%).
- **2nd Target**: 3500 (trail stop).
🛑 **Stop Loss**: Strictly **3350** (if trend breaks).
### **Potential Risks**
⚠️ **False Breakout**: If gold drops below trend line before rallying.
⚠️ **News-Driven Volatility**: Fed rates/CPI data can cause sharp reversals.
### **Final Verdict**
**High-Probability Trade** if:
- Trend line is strong + Momentum supports upside.
- Stop loss is respected (no emotional holding).
Would you like help refining the entry trigger or adjusting targets? 🚀
XAUUSD 15 MINUTESThe chart you've shared shows a recent trade setup on the Gold Spot vs. US Dollar (XAU/USD) on a 15-minute timeframe. Here's a quick breakdown:
Entry Point: Around 3,364.090
Stop Loss: Approximately 3,373.217 (red zone)
Take Profit / Target: Around 3,332.672 (green zone)
Result: The trade reached the target successfully, as indicated by the “TARGET SUCCESSFUL” label.
This appears to be a short trade (sell position) given that the price moved down from entry to the target.
Would you like an analysis of the trade rationale or ideas for future setups based on this chart?
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H TimeframeHere is a full professional breakdown of the attached XAU/USD 1H chart (Gold Spot) using Volume Profile, Gann levels, CVD + ADX structure.
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights
Value Area High (VAH): $3,364.00
Value Area Low (VAL): $3,314.00
Point of Control (POC):
Current session: $3,314.78
Previous key zone: $3,257.03
Volume Node Analysis:
High-Volume Nodes: Around $3,314 and $3,257 – shows strong institutional interest and base-building.
Low-Volume Gaps: Between $3,285–$3,305 – fast move zones, expect volatility on re-entry.
b) Liquidity Zones
Buy-side Liquidity (stops above): Near $3,364 and projected $3,400+
Sell-side Liquidity (stops below): $3,314 (POC), $3,257 (previous POC), $3,245
Absorption Zones: Heavy volume observed near $3,314 and $3,257
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows
Swing Low Support: $3,257 (confirmed with POC and structure)
Swing High Resistance: $3,364 (local high tested)
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis
Trend Direction: Uptrend – confirmed by rising price action + volume support
ADX Strength: > 20 and DI+ > DI- → Confirmed Uptrend
CVD Confirmation: Strong uptrend alignment – CVD is rising with price → indicates strong demand
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels
Support:
$3,314 (POC – session)
$3,257 (Major POC)
$3,245 (historical volume cluster)
Resistance:
$3,364 (recent high / VAH)
$3,400 (psychological round number + potential stop cluster)
b) Gann-Based Levels
Recent Swing Low (Gann): $3,257
Recent Swing High (Gann): $3,364
Retracements from $3,364 High:
1/3: $3,328
1/2: $3,310
2/3: $3,292
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend:
Bullish Trend – Higher highs and higher lows with volume confirmation
b) Notable Patterns:
Breakout from consolidation at $3,314
Potential Bullish Flag/Wedge forming inside the channel
Retest possible near $3,314–$3,292 for continuation
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry
Entry Zone: $3,314–$3,292 (retest of breakout and channel base)
Targets:
T1: $3,400
T2: $3,440–$3,480 (upper channel bound)
Stop-Loss (SL): Below $3,257
Risk-Reward: Minimum 1:2
b) Bearish Entry
Only valid on break and close below $3,257
Entry Zone: $3,257
Target: $3,220
Stop-Loss (SL): Above $3,292
Risk-Reward: Minimum 1:2
c) Position Sizing
Risk only 1-2% of capital per trade
Today’s gold price: go long on dipsToday’s gold price: go long on dips
The price of gold has risen sharply today, with the current price at 3320.
Obviously, the strong gains during the European and American sessions did not give the opportunity to go long at the bottom during the Asian session.
Remember the plunge in the Asian market before the May Day holiday?
When Asian markets open tomorrow (Tuesday), gold prices will inevitably fluctuate at high levels.
Gold prices have risen nearly 100 points again from last Friday to today.
It is not difficult to analyze it next.
It will be a high probability event for gold prices to rise to 3500 points next week.
And I think it is unlikely to bring a buffer opportunity to the Asian session, which will be another precise financial blockade.
Next, pay attention to 3300 points.
This week's gold price strategy continues to return to low-priced longs.
This week's target expectation: 3400-3500+
Main support levels:
3260
3280
3300
As long as the gold price runs above these support levels, the intraday trading idea is still mainly to buy on dips.
Even if the gold price does not rise significantly, there is a high probability that it will return to the shock pattern of the 3260-3360 range.
Operation strategy:
Pay attention to the support level in the 3280-3300 range and wait for the gold price to pull back and go long on dips.
GOLD NEXT MOVE NEXT WEEK GOLD BIG DOWN GOLD SELL NOW 3230- LIMIT 3240=3250 FIRST TARGET 3200 NEXT TARGET 3180 LONG TARGET 3150 Counter-Analysis to the Bearish Bias
1. Volume Analysis Suggests Demand at Lows
The highlighted "Strong Support" zone around 3,156 shows high buying volume—evidenced by the tall green bars on the volume histogram.
This may indicate accumulation, not preparation for breakdown, contrary to the red arrows implying a strong downward continuation.
2. Oversold Market Conditions
Given the repeated tests of lower support zones without major follow-through, there's a risk of bearish exhaustion.
A reversal pattern (e.g., double bottom or inverse head and shoulders) could form near 3,215 or 3,187.
3. Failed Breakdown Possibility
Price rebounded sharply from the support zone below 3,220, which could be interpreted as a bear trap.
If price closes above the 3,248 resistance level, the market may target the 3,294 and even higher levels, invalidating the bearish roadmap.
4. Ignored Higher Timeframe Context
This chart is on a 1H timeframe, but without a higher timeframe reference (e.g., 4H or Daily), the bias may be misleading.
If the daily chart is bullish or consolidating, this 1H downtrend could just be a retracement.
5. No Confirmation of Breakdown Yet
None of the major support levels (e.g., 3,215 or 3,187) have been broken with high volume and strong candles.
Until a confirmed lower low below 3,156 is printed, this remains a range or consolidation, not a breakdown.
Alternative Bullish Scenario
If price holds above 3,215 and breaks 3,248 with volume, the next target could be:
3,293 (Resistance)
Possibly 3,320 and above (double top region
(XAU/USD – Gold Spot, 1H Chart) Long🔍 Technical Analysis (XAU/USD – Gold Spot, 1H Chart)
🔹 Chart Structure & Trendlines
Descending Trendline Breakout: Price has decisively broken above the long-standing descending trendline, indicating a potential bullish trend reversal.
Horizontal Support/Resistance:
Key support zone: Around 3260–3270, shown with horizontal cyan lines and multiple bounce points (green arrows).
Key resistance zones:
Minor resistance at 3334.48.
Strong resistance at 3358.62 (previous structural high).
🔹 Price Action Insights
Double Rejection & Breakout: After testing the descending trendline twice (red arrows), price finally broke above it with strong bullish momentum.
Retest Expected: Price may retest the 3260–3270 support zone (previous resistance and trendline convergence), which aligns with standard breakout-retest-continuation behavior.
Projected Targets:
Target 1: 3334 (recent high/resistance).
Target 2: 3358 (next major resistance).
🔹 Bullish Structure Confirmation
Higher lows and higher highs are forming.
Bullish engulfing breakout candle above resistance zone.
🌐 Fundamental Analysis – Key Drivers for Gold (XAU/USD)
🔸 Global Economic Context
U.S. Dollar Weakness: If recent U.S. economic data (jobs, inflation) shows signs of cooling, it weakens the dollar, boosting gold prices.
Fed Policy Outlook: Markets are closely watching the Federal Reserve’s stance on rate cuts. Dovish signals (rate cuts or pause) tend to support gold due to its inverse relationship with real yields.
🔸 Geopolitical & Safe-Haven Demand
Any rise in geopolitical tensions (e.g., Middle East, Eastern Europe) increases demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Recent market uncertainty may explain the breakout move shown on the chart.
🔸 Inflation & Commodities Correlation
Persisting inflation keeps gold attractive as an inflation hedge.
Rising oil prices also tend to support gold prices due to commodity correlation and inflationary spillovers.
📈 Conclusion & Outlook
Technical Bias: Bullish (breakout confirmed with clean structure).
Fundamental Bias: Mildly bullish to bullish, depending on Fed tone and macroeconomic prints.
Short-term Strategy: Look for a retest around 3260–3270 as a potential long entry zone targeting 3334 and 3358.
Risk Management: Use stops below 3250 to protect against false breakouts.
GOLD SELL ZONE The $3271:$3272 sell zone for gold might be due to several factors:
- *Resistance Level*: This price range could be acting as a resistance level, where gold prices face selling pressure or struggle to break through.
- *Profit-Taking*: Investors might be selling gold at this price range to secure profits, especially if they've seen significant gains recently.
- *Technical Analysis*: Traders may be using technical indicators, such as moving averages or Relative Strength Index (RSI), to identify $3271:$3272 as a selling opportunity.
- *Market Sentiment*: Shifts in market sentiment, driven by news or economic data, could lead to increased selling pressure around $3271:$3272.
GOLD / XAUUSD: Breaking the down channel (correction wave)Therefore, if the 21-day SMA holds in the event of a weak US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, a rebound toward the immediate static support-turned-resistance at 3260 could occur.
A sustained move above that level would encourage Gold buyers to push further toward the former channel support, now acting as resistance, at 3405.
XAU/USD buy to sell outlookThis week, I’ll be monitoring potential long entries from the nearby 3H demand zone, but my primary focus will be on price retracing into the 4H supply zone around 3,300, where I’ll be watching for a sell opportunity.
This zone aligns with the current bearish momentum we've seen recently, and I’ll wait for price to slow down and show signs of distribution once it reaches this area.Once we see that slowdown, I’ll aim to refine a clean order block for entry, ensuring a clear change of character and avoiding any potential smart money traps or false moves.
Confluences for Gold Sells:
- A clean 4H supply zone has formed, which caused a break of structure to the downside.
- There's significant liquidity resting below, making further downside likely.
- Gold has been heavily overbought and saturated, which supports this correctional bearish move.
- The DXY recently reacted bullish from a strong 2-day demand zone, adding confluence for downside in gold.
- After last week’s sharp decline, a retracement is expected before further downside continuation.
P.S.: There’s also liquidity to the upside in the form of uncollected Asia highs, so don’t be surprised if price sweeps those first before tapping into our supply zone.
Let’s stay patient and smart with entries — have a great weekend, everyone!
“Gold Poised for a Big Move Ahead of NFP – Reversal or BreakdownGold (XAU/USD) is approaching a major decision zone just before the highly anticipated NFP release. Price is reacting from a strong demand area (3,240–3,200), hinting at potential upside if momentum builds. A break above the descending trendline could fuel a rally toward 3,320 and 3,480.
However, a negative reaction to NFP might push gold down to test the deeper 3,168–3,134 support zone before bouncing.
This setup aligns perfectly with high-impact news – Follow for live updates and smart trade ideas during NFP!
XAUUSD As indicated Yest , we were expecting a meltdown which started and didn't finish.
Garnish Pattern Formed in today's CHART indicating probability flying a little bit high,to confirm the flight we should look at $3325 once this level is broken with BULLISH MOMENTUM then we should target the next level @ $3435.
However if we were to confirm our FALL (MELTDOWN) then we should inspect level $3196-99 once this level is broken , then we should wait for a retest and have our ENTRIES and Target $2968 as our TAKE PROFIT zone.
Rising Wedge which we identified on 5/9 09:45. This pattern is still in the process of forming. Possible bullish price movement towards the resistance 3,333.85 within the next 1 hour.
The Bullish momentum seems to be increasing in bits.
Overall we are somehow BULLISH today , until proven otherwise , will be back with further updates as the market continue unfolding.