XAUUSD trade ideas
XAUUSD Weekly Outlook | $3,285 Key Level and Structure SetupHere’s my outlook on gold (XAUUSD) for the week of August 4–9, 2025.
Last week’s move was shaped by strong early dollar momentum, a 3% U.S. GDP report midweek, and Friday’s sentiment shift after the surprise tariff announcement.
Price is now sitting near the $3,380 supply zone, a structure that’s been in play since April. I highlight:
✅The key demand zone ($3,245–$3,285)
✅The broken descending trendline is now acting as support
✅Potential reaction around $3,360 early in the week
✅$3,285 remains my key level going forward. If ever price comes close, I’m watching for signs of strength or breakdown there to guide my setups.
I’ll update my thoughts in the comments as price action unfolds.
Disclaimer:
Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
GOLD 1H 5AUGHello to all traders. 😎😎
I hope all your deals will hit their targets. 🎉🎉
I have identified two paths for gold for today.
In the red movement we have a downward fall and a fair value gap filling and a fall to the $3300 range
and in the black path we have a correction to the $3360 to $3365 range and then a rise to the $3395 to $3400 range.
In any case, I think we will have a correction at least to the $3365 range and then we can decide whether the market will fall or rise from that range.
⚠️⚠️⚠️⚠️Don’t forget to apply proper risk management!
What Do You Think?
Which scenario do you think is happen? **Share your thoughts!** ⬇️
Don't forget that this is just an analysis to give you an idea and trade with your own strategy. And don't forget the stop loss🛑🛑🛑
❤️❤️❤️The only friend you have in financial markets is your stop loss❤️❤️❤️
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Be Happy , Ali Jamali
GOLD Forming Bullish Pattern Read DescriptionGold is showing bullish momentum after a weaker-than-expected NFP report, which undermines the USD strength and increases demand for safe-haven assets like gold. With softer labor data, the market is now pricing in potential Fed rate cuts in the coming months, supporting upside pressure on gold.
Technical Analysis:
Price has respected the support zone and is now forming a bullish structure. If price holds above 3362, bullish momentum is expected to continue a Next targeting 3400 and 3419 – Strong resistance zone from recent highs
You May find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of luck Buddies.
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Bearish pennant pattern active. Active SELL✏️Gold price is forming a triangle accumulation pattern. That shows the hesitation of investors at the moment, they may be waiting for important economic indicators of the US this week. Just an impact that makes Price break out of the triangle border can create a strong FOMO trend. The price line is quite similar to the bearish pennant pattern and heading towards really strong support areas.
📉 Key Levels
SELL Trigger: Break bottom line 3324
Target 3285, lower is the 3250 area
BUY Trigger: Break and trading above 3333
BUY Trigger: Rejection and confirmation of candle at 3285
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – August 4, 2025🧠 Macro & Context
Gold is surging back toward premium structure after sweeping 3287. With no major news today, flow is dictated by structure, liquidity, and the residual strength from July’s closing push. Bulls have reclaimed internal control, but are now pressing into major resistance zones. This is the perfect battleground for sniper entries.
🔥 Bias: Bullish short-term, but hitting premium exhaustion
The current candle is testing prior supply and imbalance. Unless we break 3375–3380 cleanly, price remains vulnerable to rejection from premium. Above that, clean air until external zones. Any pullbacks into discount (under 3310) remain buyable — if the structure holds.
🎯 Daily Sniper Zones
🔷 3360–3375 – Decision Supply
📍 Where we are now
This is the current premium pressure zone. Built from a bearish OB + unmitigated imbalance from late July. First contact is live. If price rejects this level, sellers may regain control short-term. But if buyers break and hold above 3375 → bullish expansion is open. This is our Decision Zone.
🔷 3387–3405 – External Supply Block
📍 Premium target for breakout move
Clean HTF OB + imbalance resting above liquidity. If 3375 gives way, this is the next sniper target. Expect strong reaction — either reversal or inducement wick. Ideal for shorts if price shows exhaustion and BOS on LTF.
🔷 3430–3439 – Final Supply Cap (Weekly)
📍 Extreme supply wick
This is the highest defined zone on the Daily/Weekly chart before unknown territory. Full wick zone, untouched since early May. Reactions from here tend to be sharp. A strong rejection could initiate a new sell cycle.
🔷 3310–3325 – Mid-Demand Support
📍 Pullback buy zone
If price rejects 3375 and pulls back, this is the first area to monitor for higher low formation. Built from bullish OB, Fibonacci 50%, and alignment with internal structure. RSI supports buyers here if retested cleanly.
🔷 3285–3300 – Key Reversal Demand
📍 The origin of the current rally
Strong institutional footprint. Last BOS + OB confluence area. Any retest here is valid for sniper buys as long as no bearish HTF shift appears.
🔷 3240–3260 – Final Daily Demand Base
📍 Only valid if structure breaks down
If we lose 3285, this is the last demand zone holding Daily structure. Deep discount + HTF mitigation block. A visit here would require bearish breakdown first.
🧠 Game Plan Summary
⚠️ Right now, we are in a decision zone (3360–3375). Do not rush. Wait for confirmation.
✅ If we break 3375, next bullish target = 3405, then 3439.
🔻 If we reject 3375, watch for controlled retracement into 3325 or 3300 for buys.
⛔️ Do not sell blindly into current price — we are at equilibrium.
💬 If this sniper breakdown sharpened your vision, show some love ❤️
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Lingrid | GOLD shorting Opportunity at Confluence ZoneThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . OANDA:XAUUSD broke down sharply after forming a local top at the 3433 resistance zone, with clear bearish momentum dominating recent candles. Price is now consolidating below the broken trendline and previous structure at 3349, setting up for a possible retest and rejection. If price confirms rejection under this resistance, continuation toward the 3288 support area becomes highly likely. A lower high formation below the blue upward trendline would validate the bearish thesis.
📉 Key Levels
Sell trigger: Rejection near 3349–3350
Sell zone: 3345–3355
Target: 3288
Invalidation: Break above 3355 and trendline recovery
💡 Risks
Sudden bullish breakout could reclaim upward trendline
Support near 3288 may create a rebound
Thin liquidity could exaggerate short-term wicks
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Gold Technical Analysis - Testing Key ResistanceGold has been showing a short-term bullish momentum after bouncing from the 3285 support zone, forming an ascending channel visible on the chart. The price is currently trading near 3361, close to the upper boundary of the channel and a key horizontal resistance level at 3365–3370. If the bullish momentum continues and price breaks above 3365–3370, we could see further upside toward 3396 and potentially 3400+. However, a failure to hold above this level could trigger a short-term retracement toward 3335–3325 support.
📈 Potential Scenarios:
- Bullish: If price sustains above $3,365, we could see an upside push toward $3,396 and possibly higher to $3,410 resistance.
- Bearish: A rejection near the channel top or $3,365 may lead to a pullback toward $3,325 (Fib 0.5) and then $3,285 support.
🔑 Key levels to watch:
- Upside: $3,365 → $3,396 → $3,410
- Downside: $3,335 → $3,325 → $3,285
- Trend Bias: Short-term bullish as long as price stays above 3325
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
XAUUSD Breakout and Retest – Targeting 3428 Supply ZoneGold (XAUUSD) has broken above key resistance at 3346 and successfully retested it as support, forming a bullish structure with higher lows. This aligns with a classic breakout–retest continuation setup.
The entry is taken after confirmation of support holding, with the following levels in focus:
Entry: Around 3355
Stop Loss: Below retest zone at 3339
Targets:
TP1: 3377 (minor resistance)
TP2: 3396
Final TP: 3428–3430 supply zone
Market structure is bullish on the 1H timeframe, and momentum supports upside continuation. Trade aligned with trend and key demand zone reaction.
📌 Always manage risk. Not financial advice.
GOLD prep work to ATH retap has started. seed at 3270!First thing first.
Diagram above is in reverse metrics (USDXAU)
--------
GOLD, has been met with some well deserved respite on price growth after a series of parabolic highs this past few weeks. And this healthy trims are warranted in the grand scheme of things -- to sustain its upward trajectory. A price rest is definitely welcomed.
Now based on our latest daily metrics, gold is showing some low key hints of shift -- it may not be visible to 99% of traders -- but it is there now to magnify.
Diagram above is in reverse metrics (USDXAU). It is currently showing some pressure expansion for bears and hinting of prep work to reverse.
This is a precursor of a massive structure change-- for that elusive upside continuation.
On the daily metrics, we got some hop signals here as well from -- first one in a while. Price baselines detaching itself from the descending trend line. There maybe something here now. A good zone to seed on the most discounted bargain levels -- with safety.
Spotted at 3260.
Interim mid target: ATH at 3500
Long term. 4k++
Trade safely.
TAYOR.
Gold Breakdown Hints at Continued Bearish MomentumThe XAUUSD chart on the 4-hour timeframe reflects a bearish sentiment, as the price has broken below a key trendline and is now trading under the Ichimoku cloud. Multiple rejections from the same resistance area suggest strong selling pressure. The structure shows a consistent pattern of lower highs, indicating weakening bullish momentum. After breaking key support, the price made a retest of the broken zone and failed to reclaim it, confirming bearish continuation. The highlighted resistance area has proven to be a significant supply zone. As long as the price stays below this zone, the bearish outlook remains intact, and a downward move is likely in the coming sessions.
Entry Sell: 3342
Target point: 3248
Stop Loss : 3362
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Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD, August 4, 2025📊
🔍 Momentum Analysis:
D1 Timeframe: Momentum continues to rise strongly. It's expected that the price will keep rising for at least two more trading days, pushing the momentum indicator into the overbought territory, reinforcing the current bullish trend.
H4 Timeframe: Momentum is showing signs of a potential bearish reversal, indicating a possible corrective pullback during Monday’s trading session.
H1 Timeframe: Momentum is strongly bullish, especially evident from the powerful upward move on Friday. Price may continue rising at the open of the Asian session, potentially creating a Gap. However, caution is advised, as this Gap could signal exhaustion.
📌 Wave Pattern Analysis:
Given Friday's strong price action, the primary scenario currently favors wave 3 within the 5-wave bullish structure (12345 – black). However, we cannot entirely eliminate the possibility that this is wave C within an ABC corrective structure (black).
Presently, the price is forming a smaller 5-wave bullish structure (blue), likely in the final wave 5. Attention should be paid to two critical target zones:
🎯 Blue Wave 5 Targets:
• Target 1: 3368
• Target 2: 3385
⚠️ Next Scenario:
Upon completing the blue 5-wave structure, a corrective move downward will occur.
• If the correction does not break below 3315, the larger 5-wave bullish structure (12345 – black) is confirmed, and the price will continue upward to complete black wave 5.
• If the correction breaks below 3315, the structure shifts to an ABC corrective pattern (black), increasing the likelihood of a deeper decline to complete the larger corrective wave C (red).
🧩 Combining Momentum & Wave Analysis:
• D1 momentum strongly supports the continuation of the bullish trend.
• H4 momentum forecasts a short-term bearish correction on Monday, aligning with the formation of wave 4 correction.
• H1 momentum suggests the possibility of a Gap at Monday's Asian session open, marking the beginning of a corrective pullback as momentum reverses.
🎯 Short-term Trading Plan:
We will trade the current blue wave 5 with the following limit order plan:
✅ Sell Limit Zone: 3385 – 3387
⛔️ Stop Loss (SL): 3399
🎯 Take Profit (TP1): 3368
🎯 Take Profit (TP2): 3355
📌 Note:
The detailed trading plan for capturing the larger wave 4 correction (black) will be updated once sufficient evidence confirms the completion of the blue wave 5.
Happy trading, everyone! 🚀
XAUUSD – Bearish Outlook Ahead of FOMCGold is currently under bearish pressure as markets await the highly anticipated FOMC meeting, scheduled to begin in less than an hour. Investors are closely watching the Fed's interest rate decision and the release of the meeting minutes, which could trigger sharp volatility across the forex and commodities markets.
Technical Outlook:
From a technical perspective, the price action suggests a potential continuation of the bearish trend. If the FOMC event leads to a stronger U.S. dollar or a hawkish tone from the Fed, gold prices may decline further.
Resistance Zone; 3315 / 3330
Support Levels: 3282 / 3260
You May find more details in the Chart.
Trade wisely Best Of Luck Buddies.
Ps: Support with like and comments for better insights Thanks for understand.
XAU/USD Trendline Breakout (30.07.2025)The XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 3360
2nd Resistance – 3377
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Patience Through VolatilityThere's something the market teaches you over time that no book, course, or checklist ever really prepares you for - “how to live with uncertainty” .
It's amazing how quickly the market can make you doubt yourself. You can be doing everything right - following your process, managing your risk, sticking to your plans, and then volatility hits. Suddenly, nothing seems to make sense. The moves feel random. Your setups fail. Your confidence fades. You start questioning not just your trades, but yourself.
You'll have stretches where patience feels like the hardest thing in the world. Watching markets whip up and down without direction, sitting on your hands when you want to trade just to feel in control again, it's exhausting in a different way. It's not the exhaustion of doing too much. It's the weight of doing nothing when your instincts scream at you to act.
That’s the part most people don’t talk about. It’s not the losing trades that break most traders, it’s the feeling of being stuck. The uncertainty of not knowing when the noise will fade. The frustration of watching opportunities slip by without a clear way to take part. It’s the slow grind of sitting through volatility while your discipline quietly wears down, day after day.
Patience isn’t something you can show off. Most of the time, it looks like doing nothing. And often, it feels like falling behind.
Good trading isn't about finding opportunities in every move, it's about knowing when the market favours you, and when it doesn't. It's about understanding your edge and protecting it.
Some environments aren't built for your system, your style, or your strengths. Volatile markets don't offer you clean setups or easy entries. They offer noise, confusion, and temptation.
Most traders don’t struggle because of volatility itself, but because of the impatience it creates. They force trades. They chase moves. They try to squeeze something out of the market simply because the waiting feels unbearable.
But waiting is not a weakness. Sitting still is not inaction. Restraint is a skill.
Your progress won’t always be visible. It won’t always show up on a chart at the end of the day. Sometimes, progress is simply preserving your capital. Sometimes, it’s maintaining your discipline. And sometimes, it’s protecting your mindset so you’re ready when the right opportunities finally come back into focus.
You have to learn to stomach the discomfort of volatility without tying your self-worth to every swing in your account. The noise always feels permanent in the moment. Doubt grows louder. You start questioning your system, your progress, and even yourself. (More on this in a future post.)
That's normal.
What matters is what you do with those feelings. Whether you let them push you into reckless trades just to feel something again, or whether you have the maturity to sit still, protect your capital, protect your mindset, and wait.
There’s no hack for this. No shortcut. Patience is something you earn the hard way - forged in boredom, frustration, and the silence between trades. Patience isn’t about passively waiting; it’s about actively protecting yourself, your energy, your future self from the damage you could cause today.
Not every moment in the market is meant for action. Not every day is meant for progress. Some days, weeks, or even months are simply about survival. Some seasons are for growth, and others are just for holding on. Knowing the difference is what keeps you in the game long enough to eventually see the rewards.
The market will calm. Patterns will return. Opportunities will align. Your edge will reappear. The chaos always fades. The clarity always returns. When it does, you want to be ready - not emotionally drained, not financially wrecked, and not scrambling to recover from the mistakes impatience forced on you.
But if you lose patience and start chasing just to feel active, you risk more than money. You risk undoing the very discipline you’ve worked so hard to build.
Volatility will always test you. That's its nature. Patience will always protect you. That's your choice.
If you’re in one of those stretches right now - high volatility, failing setups, doubt creeping in; remind yourself this is part of the process. It’s normal, and it’s not the time to force progress.
Let the market burn itself out.
If you can do that, you’ll find yourself ahead, not because you forced results, but because you endured the pain when others couldn’t.
The rewards won’t come from predicting the next move. They’ll come from knowing you didn’t let the storm in the market create a storm within you.
Trust that clarity will return. Your only job is to make sure you’re still here when it does.
There’s strength in waiting. There’s wisdom in restraint.
Gold suddenly increased sharply Hey everyone, let’s dive into what’s happening with XAUUSD!
Gold is experiencing a remarkable rally this weekend, skyrocketing from the $3,285 zone to around $3,362 — gaining over 700 pips. This sharp move comes amid weakening U.S. labor market data, which has fueled speculation that the Federal Reserve may begin cutting interest rates as early as September.
According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (August 1st), non-farm payrolls rose by just 73,000 jobs in July — well below economists’ expectations of 106,000. The disappointing figures have shaken confidence in the U.S. economy and placed pressure on the U.S. dollar, as markets increasingly anticipate a dovish shift from the Fed.
For gold, this weak jobs report reinforces its role as a safe-haven asset, driving strong demand as investors seek protection from economic uncertainty. At the same time, lingering fears around global trade tensions and new tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump continue to support the flight to safety.
From a technical perspective, gold has broken out of its descending price channel and is moving fast. According to Dow Theory, a short-term correction may occur soon, but if price holds above key support levels, the rally could extend toward the $3,432 region — the 1.618 Fibonacci extension zone.
This move might mark the beginning of a new bullish phase after weeks of consolidation.
What do you think — is gold just getting started?
Gold Plan B For 4 Aug onwardsAs you can see that gold is moving good in channel of Bullish so next hurdle can be 3374-3380 and then it can retest the support of Non-Farm 3336-3340 and then continue this channel till further 3452-3458 and then we can expect a big fall in gold and this time support point will be 3290-3300 which will hold gold to go up again.
XAUUSD - Short XAUUSD Short Trade Idea – 4H Chart
Price has made a strong move up, but it's now entering an area where sellers were in control before.
Why I'm looking to short:
Price is retesting a supply zone where the last big drop started
It’s also near a resistance level and rejected from there
The downtrend is still valid with lower highs
There's a good chance price could drop to grab liquidity below
*** Target areas:
First target: around 3288
Final target: around 3250, where we have a demand zone
*** Invalidation:
If price breaks and closes above 3385, this short idea is no longer valid.
XAU/USD - Potential Targets this WeekDear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
Let me know if anything is unclear, inputs and questions always welcome.
I don't always have the right answers, but I do share my opinion freely.
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight
Thank you for taking the time study my analysis.
GOLD - WAVE 5 BULLISH TO $3,734 (UPDATE)As I said on our last update, this 'Gold Bullish Scenario' remains valid as price has still failed to close below $3,245 (Wave 2) low.
As long as Gold remains above Wave 2 high ($3,245), this Gold bullish bias remains an option. As traders we always have to be prepared to adapt to different market conditions.