Gold is in danger. Could it fall?Gold started to fall slowly after the Asian market opened on Thursday, and continued to fluctuate and fall in the European market. The impact of the initial data in the US market fell sharply to around 3310, then stabilized and rose. It reached a high of around 3341 and then maintained a high sideways fluctuation, and the daily line closed with a negative line.
The price trend of gold this week was erratic. On Wednesday, it rose and fell, closing with a positive line, indicating that there was strong resistance above; on Thursday, it fell and rebounded, closing with a negative line, indicating that there was some support below. The current moving average system is chaotic, which further confirms that the overall situation is in a wide range of fluctuations.
Connecting the highs and lows of this week can form a fluctuating downward channel, which still has an important guiding role in the market. The current channel resistance is at 3345. If the gold price can break through this resistance level, it is expected to open up further upward space; and the channel support is around 3320. Once it falls below, it may trigger a new round of decline.
Overall, the upward resistance levels of gold are 3345, 3350, and 3360; the downward support levels are around 3320 and 3310. Operation strategy:
Short around 3350, stop loss at 3360, profit range 3330-3310.
Long near 3315, stop loss 3305, profit range 3330-3350.
XAUUSD trade ideas
Treat it as a long-short wash-out shock, and go long on pullback📰 News information:
1. Initial jobless claims data
2. June retail data
3. Beware of Trump's remarks about firing Powell
📈 Technical Analysis:
Last night, the daily line closed at around 3347. The current short-term daily line range is 3355-3300. The short-term support below is still 3320. Once it falls below 3320, it will look to 3310-3300. Short-term trading is still volatile. If the intraday retracement reaches 3320-3310, consider going long, and the defense is 3300, with the target at 3340-3350. Under the current rhythm of long and short wash, don't chase the rise and sell the fall, look at it rationally, and brothers who trade independently must bring SL.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3320-3310
TP 3340-3350
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold Next Bullish Move.As we see the bullishness in Gold Market, so I am here to share with you the idea to capture the expected bullish move.
1) On Daily TF, market has taken out FVG as well as mitigated the OB.
2) On 4-Hour TF, market has taken out previously unmitigated FVG and sweeped and closed above the recent recent 4 Hour Candle low.
3) Market has given a CHoCH on 15 mins with a significant FVG, which I expect market to fill it.
So, with all above analysis I expect market to go bullish after filling FVG.
I hope to see your comments regarding my analysis and hope to see some of your ideas.
Thank You.
XAUUSD 24/07 Bullish Reversal Potential from Falling Channel1. Price Overview & Trendline Context
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 3,369.67 USD after a notable pullback from the recent high near 3,428. A clear descending channel has formed, marking a short-term corrective move within a larger bullish trend. Price action suggests a potential reversal setup as price approaches a strong support zone around 3,340 – 3,350 USD, previously acted as demand in the breakout on July 22.
2. Fibonacci & Structure Analysis
The Fibonacci retracement drawn from the recent swing low to the top at ~3,428 reveals that the pullback has reached the 0.9 level, often seen as an exhaustion point for corrections in strong bullish trends. This area aligns with:
Key horizontal support: 3,340 – 3,350
Previous breakout zone
Volume spike at base (20.6K vs avg.)
This convergence suggests a high-probability bullish reversal setup.
3. EMA & Momentum Indicators
Although the chart primarily uses SMA 9, the structure suggests price is extended from shorter EMAs. A break above the upper boundary of the falling channel may trigger EMA crossovers, further confirming reversal momentum.
4. Trading Strategy Suggestion
Setup
Description
Buy Zone: 3,350 – 3,365 USD
Take Profit 1: 3,385 USD (short-term supply zone)
Take Profit 2: 3,428 USD (recent swing high)
Stop Loss: Below 3,340 USD
This trade follows the "Buy the Dip in Uptrend" strategy, aligning with trendline, fib support, and volume confirmation.
5. Key Resistance & Support Levels
Resistance: 3,385 – 3,428 USD
Support: 3,340 – 3,350 USD
Breakout Confirmation Level: 3,375 (channel breakout)
6. Final Insights
Gold remains in a broader bullish structure. Today’s chart shows strong technical confluence for a short-term reversal. Traders should monitor closely for breakout candles from the falling wedge/channel, preferably with volume confirmation.
Gold is coming at support leveldrawn trendline has been proven a major support level for gold as the price has tested it multiple times and get a decent bounce to make new highs currently price is again approaching the support level opportunity will be when price hit that level then look for buy setups on shorter tfs to get higher RR
"Gold at a Crossroads: 4H Close Below $3358 Could Trigger Major Technical Analysis
Key Levels:
Resistance Zones:
$3,451.42 – Major resistance.
~$3,410 – Mid-range resistance zone.
Support Zones:
$3,358 – Key support zone (critical level).
$3,330.50 – Secondary support.
$3,283.22 and $3,253.35 – Deeper support levels.
Current Price Action:
Price is currently trading at $3,366.47, pulling back after hitting a local top.
The yellow zone marks a decision area: Price may either bounce up or break down.
Two Scenarios Outlined:
🔼 Bullish Scenario: If price holds above $3,358 and breaks above the yellow zone, it may aim for $3,410 or even $3,451.
🔽 Bearish Scenario: A 4H candle close below $3,358 could signal continuation down toward $3,330, $3,283, and possibly $3,253.
XAUUSD📈 Gold (XAUUSD) Price Prediction After Weekly Resistance Rejection
After gold price touched a weekly resistance and faced a strong rejection, while the overall trend remains bullish, we can outline two potential scenarios:
🔹 Primary Scenario (Bullish Continuation)
Price performs a healthy pullback to the nearest support zone (e.g., 50 EMA on H4 or previous minor support).
A rejection candle forms (e.g., pin bar or bullish engulfing), indicating buyers are still in control.
If the pullback holds:
Price could break through the weekly resistance again
And continue rallying toward the next resistance zone (e.g., $2,480 or $2,500)
✅ Confirmation:
RSI remains above 50 (bullish momentum intact)
No strong bearish divergence on H4/D1
Volume or open interest increases during upward moves
🔸 Alternative Scenario (Deeper Correction)
If the rejection leads to weaker buying volume:
Price may correct deeper toward a stronger support zone like the previous consolidation area (e.g., $2,400 or even $2,375)
Possible formation of a double bottom or higher low before resuming the uptrend
📊 Trading Strategy:
Buy on dip: Look for entries around key support zones, wait for bullish reversal confirmation
Use trailing stop if already in a buy position, as breakouts can be sharp and quick
Watch for upcoming fundamental catalysts (e.g., FOMC, CPI, US labor data) that may drive volatility
Gold at a Critical Reversal Zone – Waiting for Structural Break 📉 Gold Outlook – Corrective Dollar Strength & Potential Reversal Zones
🧭 Market Structure-Based Outlook with Multi-Timeframe Confluence
Gold is currently experiencing a controlled decline, primarily driven by a short-term corrective appreciation in the U.S. dollar.
This dollar strength is likely temporary and is expected to reverse toward the 3370–3354 zone — a technically significant area marked by previous liquidity sweeps and imbalance fills.
🔍 Technical Setup:
Bias (HTF): Bullish
Current Move (LTF): Corrective
Key Observation: No shift in long-term market structure on higher timeframes; price action remains within a bullish regime.
✅ Strategic Trade Plan:
We will not engage prematurely.
The optimal entry will only be considered upon a confirmed bullish market structure shift on the 15-minute timeframe — ideally a BOS (Break of Structure) followed by mitigation.
🛒 Entry Zone:
Around 3370 – 3354, contingent upon a clean bullish break in structure.
⛔ Invalidation Level (SL):
Below 3308 (structure invalidation + liquidity trap zone)
🎯 Profit Targets (Scaled):
TP1: 3400
TP2: 3430
TP3: 3500 – 3560
TP4 (Extended): 3600 – 3720
(Use partials & scale accordingly based on trade management plan)
🧠 Fundamental Confluence:
The macro picture remains supportive of higher gold prices.
Anticipated dovish shifts from the Federal Reserve, particularly in the form of rate cuts or forward guidance softening, may act as the macro catalyst for continuation toward new highs.
🛎 Conclusion:
While the current correction appears sharp, it lacks HTF structural reversal characteristics.
Patience and precision are essential — no entry should be considered without a 15m bullish break in structure.
Gold is weak. Will it continue to fall?Yesterday, the price of gold did not continue to rise as strong as in the previous two days. After reaching the previous top position, it began to retreat under pressure.
The market is too bullish, and under this pattern, the market is likely to have an unexpected reversal. Yesterday, it fell below the 3400 integer mark, so it is likely to maintain a volatile downward trend in the future.
The current main support level is around 3370, which is also the primary point for the bears to continue to break down in the future. Once it falls below this position, the target may be around 3345-3355. It cannot be said that it has completely turned to a bearish position at the moment. It is just a bearish oscillation pattern within a large range, and the upper pressure is maintained near 3405, which is also the support point for the first downward step of the bears on Wednesday.
Today, we still need to operate around the short position first. The price rebounds to 3405 and shorts, and the profit range is around 3390-3380, and the stop loss is 3415.
After a new low appears in the European session, wait for the US session to rebound and continue shorting.
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Thursday, 24th July 2024)Bias: Bearish
USD News(Red Folder):
-Flash Manufacturing PMI
Notes:
- Strong bearish closure, tariffs ease
- Looking for retracement to the downside
- Potential SELL if there's
confirmation on lower timeframe
- Pivot point: 3430
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
Gold fell from a high and may fall back to the rangeGold fell from a high and may fall back to the range
During the U.S. trading session on Wednesday (July 23), spot gold fell from a high and is now trading around $3,390/ounce. Previously, gold prices broke through the $3,400 mark on Tuesday, reaching a high of $3,433.37/ounce during the session, a new high since June 16, and finally closed up 1% at $3,431.59/ounce.
The main factors driving the rise in gold prices include:
Weak U.S. dollar: The U.S. dollar index fell 0.3% to 97.545, a two-week low, providing support for gold.
Trade uncertainty: The market is closely watching the deadline for U.S. tariff negotiations on August 1, and the continued deadlock has increased risk aversion demand.
Lower U.S. Treasury yields: The downward trend in yields weakens the attractiveness of the U.S. dollar, and funds flow to gold.
However, if there is a breakthrough in trade negotiations or the Federal Reserve releases hawkish signals, market risk appetite may rebound and gold prices may face correction pressure. In the short term, gold prices are still dominated by fundamentals, but we need to be alert to the possibility of high-level shock adjustments.
Technical aspect: Overbought signals appear, pay attention to key support and resistance
Daily level:
Strong rise: three consecutive days of positive closing, breaking through the 3400 and 3420 trend line pressure, the Bollinger band opening widens, showing strong bullish momentum.
Overbought risk: RSI and MACD show a top divergence, technical correction needs are enhanced, but market sentiment still dominates the trend.
Key observation points: If it continues to close positive today, the upper target will look at 3450; if it closes negative, it may start a short-term adjustment and test the 3380-3370 support.
4-hour level:
Short-term peak signal: It hit 3438 in the early trading and then fell back. If it falls below the 3405-3400 support, it may further test 3385 or even 3375-3350.
Long-short watershed: If 3400 is held, high-level fluctuations will be maintained; if it is lost, the correction may continue.
Operation strategy: Be cautious about high-level fluctuations
Short-term resistance: 3400-3405 (if the rebound is under pressure, consider shorting)
Short-term support: 3380-3370 (if it stabilizes after a pullback, you can try long with a light position)
Summary: Although gold is still in a bullish trend, the technical overbought and fundamental uncertainty require vigilance against the risk of a high-level correction. It is recommended to rebound high and short as the main, and pull back low and long as the auxiliary, and pay close attention to the gains and losses of the 3400 mark and changes in market sentiment.
XAUUSD on bearish retest sellGold is currently still holding rising channel along with the swing moves we were on sell throughout from yesterday and my 1st Attempt on sell achieved with 200 PIPs Tp now I'm expecting the again reversal retest move!!
What's possible scanarios we have?
▪️I opened again sell opportunity from 3420-3425 area by following our structural retest strategy, my Selling trade target will be 3405 then 3395 in extension.
▪️if H4 candle closing above 3435 this Parallel moves will be invalid.
#XAUUSD
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold has continued its rally, breaking through the 3,416 resistance and pushing into the next upside zone.
Price is now trading around 3,421, just below the 3,440 resistance cluster.
The structure remains bullish with price holding firmly above both the 50MA and 200MA, which are acting as dynamic support.
A confirmed break and hold above 3,440 would open the path toward 3,458 and potentially the higher‑timeframe target at 3,478 if momentum extends.
If price fails to sustain above 3,416–3,440 and begins to fade, watch the initial pullback toward 3,400.
A deeper move below that would shift focus to 3,383 - 3,362 and then the Pullback Support Zone.
Failure to hold there could expose price to the lower Support Zone if bearish pressure builds.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
‣ 3,440
‣ 3,458
‣ 3,478
Support:
‣ 3,416
‣ 3,400
‣ 3,383
‣ 3,362
‣ 3,336
🔎 Fundamental Focus
⚠️Not much on the calendar today. Still, manage your risk and stay prepared for any unexpected volatility.