Gold rebounds but hits resistance, pulls back Recently, Nonfarm Payroll data dropped significantly and fell short of expectations 📊! Although the Federal Reserve has remained cautious about rate cuts, under the pressure of persistently weak data, it will face mounting pressure from all sides to cut interest rates and rescue the market ⚠️. Gold successfully stabilized and rebounded today after pulling back to test the vicinity of 3333 at its lowest point ✨! Despite currently trading within a range near 3375-3380 and hitting resistance, unable to break higher 📉, there is still room for trading opportunities 💹🚀.
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XAUUSD trade ideas
Daily Analysis: 04‑06‑2025
Spot gold closed yesterday with a 0.8% decline, settling at 3,353, pressured by profit-taking. On the same day, the World Gold Council released data showing that central bank net purchases of gold in April totaled only 12 tons—below both March figures and the 12-month average.
On the other hand, reports indicate that several central banks in Africa are preparing to add gold to their reserves. In the broader market, investor focus is now on the highly anticipated meeting between U.S. President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping later this week.
Today, attention turns to the U.S. ADP Non-Farm Employment data release.
Technical Outlook:
If the upward trend resumes, price targets are seen at 3,380 and 3,400. In the event of a pullback, support levels are located at 3,331 and 3,291.
XAUUSD (gold) 15-minute chartKey Points:
✅ Resistance:
The resistance area is being tested multiple times, but there's no confirmed breakout yet.
✅ Support:
The support area is holding the price for now, with buyers stepping in every time the price drops near it.
✅ Triangle:
Price is consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle, which usually precedes a breakout — but the direction is still uncertain.
✅ Risk:
Trading before a confirmed breakout is risky, as fakeouts (false breakouts) can trap traders. So it’s better to wait for a clear direction.
💡 Trade Setup:
🕒 Avoid entering trades until there's a confirmed breakout.
📉 If the candle closes below the support line with confirmation, it could be a sell signal.
📈 If the candle closes above the resistance line with confirmation, it could be a buy signal.
⏳ Until then, be patient and let the market decide the direction.
XAU/USD 04 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765.
Alternative scenario:
Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
GOLD Additional factors supporting gold’s bullish opening include:
Modest US dollar weakness: The dollar has softened amid fiscal concerns and growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates later in 2025, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold.
US fiscal concerns: Worries about the US debt situation and potential impacts of tax-cutting bills have increased safe-haven demand for gold.
Technical buying: Gold prices breaking above key resistance levels have attracted fresh buying interest, setting the stage for further gains toward $3,400 and beyond.
In summary, the bullish gold opening today reflects a combination of heightened geopolitical risk, trade war escalation, US fiscal concerns, and expectations of Fed easing, all of which drive investors to seek safety in gold.
GOLD and broker candle sticks manipulationAdditional factors supporting gold’s bullish opening include:
Modest US dollar weakness: The dollar has softened amid fiscal concerns and growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates later in 2025, reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold.
US fiscal concerns: Worries about the US debt situation and potential impacts of tax-cutting bills have increased safe-haven demand for gold.
Technical buying: Gold prices breaking above key resistance levels have attracted fresh buying interest, setting the stage for further gains toward $3,400 and beyond.
In summary, the bullish gold opening today reflects a combination of heightened geopolitical risk, trade war escalation, US fiscal concerns, and expectations of Fed easing, all of which drive investors to seek safety in gold.
Gold Trading Strategies, June 2✅Affected by Ukraine's weekend attack on several Russian military airports, market concerns about the geopolitical situation have intensified, but Russia and Ukraine will hold peace talks in Istanbul on Monday, and market sentiment is still biased towards wait-and-see. In addition, US President Trump announced that he would increase import tariffs on steel and aluminum from 25% to 50% from June 4, exacerbating international trade tensions.
✅In the medium and long term, the Fed's potential interest rate cut cycle, continued geopolitical risks, and concerns about the US fiscal situation will provide support for gold prices. However, if US economic data continues to be strong or the Fed turns to a hawkish stance, gold's upside may be limited.
✅The current gold price has broken through the previous strong resistance level of 3325, and the Bollinger Bands are opening upward, indicating strong bullish momentum. The short-term resistance has moved up to 3367. If it can further break through this level, it is expected to test the 3400 mark.
✅During the Asian session, the gold price rebounded strongly after stepping back to 3301, confirming that the 3300 integer mark support is effective, and 3300 has also become an important long-short watershed in the future market. After stabilizing above 3300, bullish momentum continued to be released, gold prices rose rapidly and hit a new high of 3358, successfully breaking through the previous high of 3330, further consolidating the bullish pattern.
✅At present, we need to focus on the 3325-3333 support level during the callback process. This position is an important resistance area in the early stage, and has now been transformed into a top-bottom conversion support. If the retracement does not break, we can consider buying long orders at lows in this area and participating in the bull market.
🔥Market trends are changing rapidly, and we will provide Group Members with accurate trading strategies based on real-time market dynamics. Short-term trading focuses on flexibility, requires timely adjustment of positions, and strict implementation of risk control, striving to ensure the safety of funds and stable transactions while responding to market fluctuations.
Gold False breakdown Looking Growth Gold once Bullish Direction Trade according Read Caption
Gold appears to be in a corrective phase, with a confirmed uptrend line forming. The recent price action shows a false breakdown of support, suggesting a potential bullish continuation. This movement occurs amid a temporary correction in the US dollar, though the dollar remains broadly stable, supported by The Federal Reserve’s continued hawkish stance, and A court ruling blocking former President Trump's proposed tariffs, which has helped ease market uncertainty and supported USD resilience.
on the D1 gold rebounding from strong resistance and heading wards the strong resistance rising trend line.
Resistance zone 3325 / 3326
Support Line 3280 / 3265
ps support with like and comments for more analysis Thanks Traders,
Gold bulls are accumulating momentum, and bulls are counterattac
Gold head and shoulders bottom pattern is ready to go, and bulls are aiming at the key breakthrough of 3325
Market review
Last Friday, gold showed a typical shock wash pattern:
The Asian and European sessions were supported by the 4-hour head and shoulders bottom pattern, and stabilized several times in the 3285-3290 area, but were constrained by the large cycle trend to suppress 3325 (actual high point 3322);
Institutional buying intervened during the US trading session, and it quickly dropped to 3283 and then pulled up 30 US dollars to 3306, but it smashed the market again in the late trading and broke through 3280 to 3271, and finally closed above 3280, forming a "break to lure shorts" signal.
Key technical signals
Weekly level:
The big positive line in the previous week laid the bullish foundation, and the negative closing last week was a normal correction. This week, pay attention to the 10-day moving average support 3270 and the 5-week moving average buying 3295. If it stabilizes, it is expected to restart the rise.
Daily pattern:
The price continues to run near the middle Bollinger line, and the long and short directions are pending, but the large-cycle support and suppression are gradually narrowing, indicating that a breakthrough is imminent. The right shoulder of the head and shoulders bottom is built at 3285. If the pattern is established, the theoretical increase will be at least 50 US dollars (the target is 3350-3370 after breaking through 3325).
4-hour head and shoulders bottom structure:
Left shoulder 3285-right shoulder 3285 form symmetrical support, and the neckline position 3325 is the key breakthrough point for bulls. After breaking through 3280 at the end of Friday, it was quickly recovered, confirming the nature of the wash, and the short-term moving average system was glued together, ready to go.
Trading strategy
Bull layout:
Go directly to the 3295-3300 area during the day, defend below 3280, and the first target is 3320-3325;
If it breaks through 3325 strongly, you can add more positions to chase more, looking up to 3340-3350, and the ultimate target is 3370 (need to cooperate with non-agricultural data catalysis).
Risk warning:
If it unexpectedly falls below the 3270 neckline support, the pattern will be invalid and it is necessary to turn to the idea of oscillation.
Conclusion: Gold is in the key accumulation stage of bulls, and the explosive rebound of the head and shoulders bottom pattern may start at any time. Traders need to keep a close eye on the 3325 breakthrough signal and grasp the trend.
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youTrump unexpectedly announced that the United States would double tariffs on steel and aluminum, a move that could throw bilateral trade negotiations between the U.S. and its trading partners into chaos. The EU has expressed "strong" regret over this decision.
As signs of a renewed escalation in the trade war emerged, spot gold gapped higher on Monday, surpassing the $3,300 threshold.
If gold prices decline to the $3,290–$3,295 range, this will be a signal worth monitoring. If within this range, the price stops falling sharply and forms candlestick patterns indicating a potential end to the decline, such as doji stars, and trading volume decreases from the heavy selling seen during the previous decline before gradually increasing again, this would suggest that bearish momentum is nearly exhausted and bulls are preparing to take action. At this point, investors may consider buying gold to go long and seize the opportunity for a price rebound.
Today's gold trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
XAUUSD BUY@3290~3295
SL3280
TP1:3310~3320
Why You Should Trade Zones, Not Points – Especially on XAUUSDIf you've been trading Gold (XAUUSD) for a while, you’ve likely noticed something strange in many analyses online. Support at 3256.73? Resistance at 3352.14?
Really? That precise?
This kind of fixed-point trading might look good on a chart, but it doesn't work in a real, volatile market — especially not in 2025.
I've been trading Gold as my primary asset for over a decade, and if there's one thing experience — and logic — have consistently shown me, it's this: you should trade price zones, not fixed points. Let me explain you why.
________________________________________
🔍 1. Gold Is Not a Low-Volatility Asset
Gold isn't EURUSD. It doesn't move in clean 20-30-pip increments. It's volatile, reactive, and sensitive to everything from Fed rate rumors to random tweets and global conflicts.
Over the past months, volatility has spiked — and not just because of economic data. We’re seeing:
• Geopolitical uncertainty that escalates and de-escalates overnight
• Macro shifts in interest rate expectations almost weekly
• Market sentiment changing faster than ever
In this environment, the idea that price will reverse exactly at 3352.14 is pure fantasy.
________________________________________
📏 2. Percentages Matter More Than Pips Now
Back when Gold was around $2000, a 200-pip move meant a 1% change in price.
Now, with Gold trading above $3300, the same 1% move is 330 pips.
So, if you're still treating 30–50 pips like a serious target on Gold, you're not adjusting to reality. You're chasing crumbs in a storm.
I’ve written before about why you shouldn't trade Gold for small 30–50 pip moves. It’s no longer a high-probability game — the math doesn’t work. You’re either over-leveraging or underperforming.
________________________________________
📈 3. Price Zones Are Where the Smart Money Trades
Markets aren’t binary. They don’t care about your exact number.
They care about liquidity zones — where enough buyers and sellers are willing to transact in volume.
Here’s how professionals approach it:
• Support isn’t a number — it’s a range.
• Resistance isn’t a line — it’s a battle zone.
When you analyze Gold, think in ranges like 3280–3290 or 3320–3330. This is where price breathes, traps traders, and makes real moves.
Fixed points create unrealistic expectations and false confidence.
________________________________________
🧠 4. Emotion Kills Precision in Real Time
In live trading, you’re not a machine. You’re a human reacting to candles, tweets, and news.
Waiting for an entry at exactly 3352.14 often means:
• You miss the move entirely
• Or you force a bad entry when price front-runs your level
But when you use zones, you give yourself the flexibility to act within context, not dogma.
You can read the candle behavior inside that zone, you can spot exhaustion, you can scale in or out — you become tactical, not rigid.
________________________________________
✅ Final Thoughts: Adapt or Stay Frustrated
If you want to trade Gold successfully in this current market, you must adapt:
• Use zones instead of pin-point levels
• Adjust your expectations to the new pip-to-percentage dynamics
• Respect the volatility and macro backdrop
The traders who will survive are not the ones with the cleanest lines on their charts. They’re the ones who know how to handle chaos with structure, using zones as flexible tools, not false certainties.
🎯 Start thinking in ranges, not numbers. That’s where the edge is.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Analysis of gold trend next week, hope it will be helpful to youIn addition to tariffs and the Federal Reserve, some investors have turned their attention to a U.S. proposed measure that would crack down on companies from countries deemed to have "discriminatory" tax policies. "If the current bill takes effect, it would deter foreign investment in U.S. assets at a time when the U.S. is becoming increasingly dependent on foreign capital to finance its ballooning debt," wrote Elias Haddad, a strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman, in a note. "This is clearly negative for the U.S. dollar."
Although gold prices have corrected this week, the fundamental support remains intact. Fxempire analysis suggests that gold's fundamentals remain cautiously bullish unless the U.S. dollar strengthens significantly or inflation unexpectedly rises.
Technically, the primary trend for gold prices is upward, with the market deriving major support from the 52-week moving average at $2,745.45. Short-term support is at $3,166.46, and medium-term support is at $3,018.52. The six-week consolidation pattern indicates that traders are awaiting a catalyst to either push prices above the all-time high of $3,500.20 or test the 52-week moving average at $2,745.45.
The upward trend for gold prices remains intact. In the absence of new catalysts, spot prices are likely to trade sideways in the range of $3,250 to $3,300. For bears to regain control, they must push gold prices below $3,250, followed by the 50-day simple moving average at $3,221. If the latter is breached, the April 3 high of $3,167 would become a support level. Conversely, if bulls drive prices above $3,300, the next key resistance levels will be $3,350, $3,400, the May 7 swing high of $3,438, and the all-time high of $3,500.
Analysis of gold trend next week, hope it will be helpful to you
XAUUSD BUY@3270~3275
SL3260
TP1:3310~3320
Today's gold price: long target 3360Today's gold price: long target 3360
On June 2, affected by the trade tensions caused by the Trump administration's substantial increase in steel and aluminum import tariffs, the international gold price rose.
Superimposed war factors: the situation between Russia and Ukraine has re-emerged, Ukraine attacked the Russian airport, and the Russian-Ukrainian peace talks have once again turned to wait-and-see, which is good for gold prices.
Today, focus on the breakthrough of the 3320-3330 range pressure level.
As shown in Figure 4h:
The gold price cycle forms a resonant head and shoulders bottom pattern, and the pattern is close to the end of the pressure range.
Next, focus on the upward breakthrough. Once an effective breakthrough is formed, it means that the tariff issue and the war dispute will be considered to be further fermented.
Then the gold price will most likely hit 3360 points again on Monday.
But we need to be wary of today's gap to prevent the gap from being filled.
Gold trading strategy:
1: The 3300-3310 range is a strong support level. As long as the gold price is above 3300 points, I think we should take the idea of going long at a low price, and the stop loss is set at 3295-3290 points.
2: The 3320-3330 range is a strong pressure point. As long as the gold price is below 3330, I think we should be alert to the possible decline at any time, forming a narrow range of fluctuations, or a sharp decline to fill the gap. Then the advice for trading is to refuse to short, be cautious in shorting, and try to short.
XAUUSD:[GOLD]: First Drop And Then Reverse! Comment Your Views! Gold touched $3350 but was rejected at that level, dropping around 3288. The price shows some minor support at this region, which we’re currently monitoring. If it breaks through, it could touch our buying zone, reversing the trend. You can set three targets based on your own analysis and bias. Please use accurate risk management while trading.
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Gold XAUUSD Weekly forecast 2-6 June 2025Observations:
Price has been respecting a clear descending trendline since late April, with multiple touches and rejections.
A significant supply zone around the 3,330 level aligns with the trendline resistance, increasing confluence for a potential reversal.
The market has formed lower highs consistently, suggesting bearish pressure is building up.
A horizontal demand/support level around 3,125 (previous swing low) is the primary target in case of a bearish breakout.
Volume and structure suggest distribution, further supporting bearish continuation.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price retests and rejects the 3,330 resistance level again next week, especially with a wick rejection or bearish engulfing candle:
Expect downside continuation toward 3,125, aligning with a ~1500 pip target.
This move would represent a ~5% drop from current levels.
Trading Plan / Signal:
Sell Setup:
Entry Zone: Between 3,320 – 3,330 (upon bearish confirmation e.g., bearish engulfing or shooting star)
Stop Loss: Above 3,350 (just above trendline and invalidation zone)
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3,250
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3,200
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 3,150/25
Risk–Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:3+
Invalidation:
Clean breakout and retest above 3,350 would invalidate the setup and may suggest a reversal toward 3,500.
Fundamental Consideration:
No major geopolitical or macroeconomic shocks should occur to maintain this bearish bias. Any high-impact news could cause volatility, so monitor the economic calendar closely.
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Gold Outlook – Weekly Commentary 01-06-2025Gold continues to struggle in maintaining downward momentum, likely due to ongoing global uncertainties—particularly the conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza.
On the weekly timeframe, gold has consistently retreated whenever it approached the descending trendline. However, a newly formed rising trendline, established last week, temporarily halted the metal’s decline.
A decisive break below this rising trendline—followed by a possible retest—could signal a sharp sell-off in gold prices.
Alternatively, gold may attempt another move toward the descending trendline before any significant drop occurs. In either scenario, we anticipate a bearish outlook for gold this week.
Important Reminder: This is NFP (Non-Farm Payroll) week. Volatility is expected, so traders are advised to manage risk carefully and protect their positions.
— From the Trading Desk of InvestmentLive
XAUUSD - Key Inflection Point AheadLooking at this gold spot chart, the precious metal appears to be consolidating within a defined range after experiencing significant volatility throughout May. The price is currently trading near the upper boundary of the marked support zone around $3,250-$3,260, following a recent pullback from higher levels. Given the technical setup and the proximity to this key support area, there's a strong probability that gold will retest this support zone in the coming sessions. This retest will be critical in determining the next directional move - if the support holds and buyers step in, we could see a bounce back toward the upside targeting previous resistance levels, potentially challenging the recent highs. However, if the support fails to hold under selling pressure, gold could continue its downward trajectory, opening the door for further declines toward lower support levels. The market's reaction at this support zone will likely dictate whether the current consolidation resolves bullishly or bearishly.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.