XAUUSD trade ideas
3 possible scenarios for next weekI am seeing a potential of sideways market may be present next week due to last friday gold did not mange to close bullish.
The week close as bearish and inside previous week candle.
so whats my plan to trade next week.
Key levels is what I will look for.
key levels as follows.
3400-3500
- 3408
- 3422
- 3445
- 3450
- 3500
3300-3399
- 3301
- 3310
- 3321
- 3328
- 3331
- 3344
- 3347
- 3361
- 3378
- 3393
- 3399
3200-3300
- 3296
- 3287
- 3275
- 3266
- 3256
- 3248
- 3230
- 3218
- 3205
3100-3200
- 3195
- 3188
- 3167
- 3153
- 3120
- 3100
so here it goes when the market reach at certain key levels and provide a reversal or rejections. Then I'll take the 2nd entry as 1st entry is usually higher risk. target only 50-100 pips as potential for it to return to the position again is high as that is shown in last week it kept hitting resistance and support couple of times before breaking either.
Gold is indecisive Gold is indecisive
As the chart pattern has the indication of the market is ready for a price correction.
the slow and steady breakout up wards is visible too.
for the moment the momentum is more of a sideways. hence its safe to sell high and buy low.
no trade zone in between. for example potential good sell area will be 3377-79 or buys on 3310-12 or 3288-90.
until a proper clear direction for a goo swing trade to break its triangle compression.
Long and short fluctuations, the market is waiting for a break📰 News information:
1. Powell responds to White House issues
2. Will other countries impose reciprocal sanctions on tariffs?
📈 Technical Analysis:
Although the MACD indicator of the gold hourly line formed a golden cross, the market reached a high of around 3361, and the RSI indicator was close to the overbought area, so we need to be cautious about corrections. From the 4H chart, the MACD second golden cross is on the zero axis. Currently, we are paying attention to the moving average SMA5 near 3343, and the SMA60 support line 3332. If the 4H upward trend falls back, we need to go long. At present, gold is still running above, and there is no good participation point in the short term, but on the whole, we should pay attention to the support of 3345-3332 below, and we can consider going long if it retreats and stabilizes. We continue to pay attention to the resistance pressure of 3375-3385 above, and we can try to go short if it does not break.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3375-3385
TP 3365-3355
BUY 3345-3332
TP 3365-3375-3385
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Excellent profits booked As I mentioned in yesterday’s commentry session:
My strategy is still the same – buying every dip in Gold around my key level yesterday at 3312, which the market respects well and as our first target was 3345
I'm aiming for a breakout to the upside.
Very happy with the profits so far.
My medium-term targets remain 3380 &3,400 and I’ll keep buying every local low until then.
Also I mentioned if 3310 turns flips on down side then buy at 3290 will be the perfect buy.
Xauusd and gold wasn next move police📈 TradingView Professional Bullish Idea – XAUUSD (Gold/USD)
Timeframe: 1H
Bias: Bullish, with confirmation from FVG & CHoCH
Structure:
Strong Break of Market Structure (BMS)
CHoCH (Change of Character) confirming bullish shift
Fair Value Gap (FVG) filled and respected
Price above EMA 50 & 100, showing momentum alignment
---
📌 Trade Plan (Professional Format)
> ENTRY ZONE:
Watch for bullish continuation above 3,339–3,343 FVG zone
Confirmation: Strong candle close above FVG with volume support
> TP Targets:
🎯 TP1: 3,350.00 (previous minor high – already hit)
🎯 TP2: 3,361.00 (liquidity target)
🎯 TP3: 3,375.00 (upper imbalance target)
> STOP LOSS:
🛑 Below 3,324.00 (below previous BMS & demand block)
> Invalidation:
Price closes below 3,322 with volume → invalidates bullish thesis
---
🔍 Idea Summary
> Price has respected demand zone with strong BMS & CHoCH.
FVG filled with bullish reaction suggests possible continuation.
As long as price stays above the EMA cluster and demand, bulls are in control.
Symmetrical Triangle Correction – Elliott Wave PerspectiveSymmetrical Triangle Correction – Elliott Wave Perspective
The image depicts a Symmetrical Triangle Correction, a common corrective pattern in Elliott Wave Theory. This formation is typically observed during wave 4 or within a complex correction, and it signals consolidation before the next impulsive move.
Structure:
A symmetrical triangle is composed of five corrective waves, labeled A-B-C-D-E.
Each wave itself is subdivided into a-b-c zigzag patterns, indicating a 3-3-3-3-3 structure.
The triangle is bounded by two converging trendlines—one sloping downwards and the other upwards—forming a symmetrical shape.
Key Characteristics:
Occurs after a strong impulse, representing a period of indecision or balance between bulls and bears.
Volume typically contracts during the triangle formation.
The triangle resolves in the direction of the prior trend, meaning this is usually a continuation pattern.
Each leg (A to E) gets progressively smaller, reflecting decreasing volatility.
Market Psychology:
Wave A: Initial reaction to overextension in the previous move.
Wave B: Market attempts to resume the trend but fails.
Wave C: Bears regain strength but with less momentum.
Wave D: Bulls push again, but still no breakout.
Wave E: Final shakeout before breakout.
Trading Implication:
A breakout often occurs after wave E, confirming the end of the correction.
Traders may enter positions in the direction of the prior trend with a stop below/above wave E, targeting a move equal to the widest part of the triangle.
XAUUSD:Go long
Based on the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below for today remains focused on the area around 3318-25, while the short-term resistance above focuses on the 3340-45 level. The key resistance above is at 3380. Overall, this range remains the main framework for our participation in the trade, with positions generally being cautious and waiting for key levels to enter. I will provide specific trading strategies during the session, so please stay tuned. Given that the current market has retraced to 3325 and then rebounded, we can go long in the 3325-30 range.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3325-30
TP:3340-45
More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗
Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
Trump's five major factors! Will gold continue to rise?The past six months may have been dizzying, but a clear theme has emerged since U.S. President Donald Trump returned to the White House: It’s good news for the gold market.
Although gold prices broke through $3,500 an ounce nearly three months ago, setting a new record high, five key factors that have emerged since the start of Trump’s second term are likely to continue to support gold prices in the coming months. These factors may even prove that the precious metal is becoming a core asset class in investors’ portfolio strategies.
David Miller, co-founder and chief investment officer of Catalyst Funds, said that as the market enters the third quarter, gold remains a standout asset class that “provides both a hedge against the potential risks of geopolitical conflict and a break from the erosion of fiat currencies.”
The first key factor supporting gold is demand from central banks, which indicates that the market has weakened confidence in the U.S. dollar. Miller pointed out in emailed comments that central bank demand is surging, and the BRICS countries, especially China and India, are accelerating the accumulation of gold reserves “as part of a broader de-dollarization strategy.” According to a report released by the World Gold Council on Wednesday, the People’s Bank of China’s official gold holdings have climbed for eight consecutive months.
David Russell, head of global market strategy at TradeStation, said the global tariffs threatened and implemented by Trump have accelerated the "de-dollarization process." De-dollarization refers to efforts by some countries to reduce their reliance on the U.S. dollar as a reserve currency.
"Trade is becoming less dependent on the U.S. end market and less dependent on the dollar. This is more like the 19th century than the era after World War I and World War II," Russell said in emailed comments. "This trend back to the old model is creating structural demand for gold after decades of neglect. Fiat currencies are in decline," he added.
Russell also said the decline in the credit quality of developed country governments, such as the United States, is also a major concern for the market. "We have lost our AAA rating from the three major rating agencies because of growing deficits and looming pressure on unfunded liabilities such as Social Security," he said, referring in part to Moody's downgrading its top credit rating for the United States in May. "After decades of procrastination, we are running out of ways to go."
That said, trade policy is a third factor affecting gold. Russell said that "large budget deficits or increased tariffs" would reduce demand for U.S. Treasuries, supporting gold prices.
With both 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields falling so far this year and real rates under pressure from inflation, "the opportunity cost of holding gold is falling," noted Catalyst Funds' Miller. That's leading to a fourth potential support for gold -- a resurgent interest in gold exchange-traded funds and other alternatives.
In the first half of 2025, North America led the growth in global gold ETF inflows, according to the World Gold Council. Global physically-backed gold ETFs saw inflows of $38 billion in the first half of this year, marking the strongest half-year performance since the first half of 2020, according to the World Gold Council.
Finally, from a technical perspective, gold prices have held above $3,250 an ounce for much of June, Miller said. That shows signs of "a potential breakout as equity market volatility returns," he said. Gold for August delivery closed at $3,359.10 an ounce on Wednesday.
“Gold is not just a crisis hedge, it is becoming a core asset class in modern portfolio strategies.” Miller said that the current macroeconomic environment “justifies a meaningful allocation to gold and gold-related strategies.”
He said: “The combination of fragile stock market sentiment, uncertain policy direction and structural macro headwinds reinforces our view that gold is not just a crisis hedge, it is becoming a core asset class in modern portfolio strategies.” PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD
XAUUSD LONG 7/7/25Looking to target 3,450 price level. This is based on:
1. Price has been on a range since April 22 when the high was formed, the low of the move
that formed the high was taken out. Looking to aim to taking out the high.
2. On the weekly timeframe, last week took out the low of the week before and closed bullish
within the candle of the prior week. This provides a signal for a potential sweep of the high
of that week. Minimum 3,365 price level.
POST-CPI CAPTION (TRADINGVIEW)🧩 POST-CPI CAPTION (TRADINGVIEW)
XAU/USD | 15min | Post-CPI Reaction Trade
Headline CPI came in slightly hot (+2.7% YoY), but core softened (+0.2% MoM). Expecting USD strength → bearish gold. Watching $3,371–3,380 for a short entry on CHoCH + volume rejection. Targets $3,350 → $3,337. Soft retrace + clean structure flip may open longs back to $3,400, but only on clear demand reaction.
#SMC #XAUUSD #CPI #LiquiditySweep #OrderFlow #SmartMoney
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another PIPTASTRIC day on the markets with our chart idea and levels playing out and being respected, as analysed.
After completing the swing range test and full swing into 3306, we stated yesterday that we will now look for ema5 cross and lock above 3306 to open 3330. This was locked and loaded and completed the 3330 target today.
We will now continue to look for ema5 lock above 3330 for a continuation into the bullish targets above or failure to lock will see rejections into the lower Goldturns for support and bounce inline with our plans to buy dips.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3358
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3358 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3389
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3416
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3416 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3330 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3306 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3306 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3283 - DONE
3254
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold at Key Resistance – Bearish Pullback Ahead?Technical Analysis (2H Chart)
1. Trend Structure:
Price is moving in a clear ascending channel (black trend lines).
Currently testing the upper boundary of the channel, which may act as resistance.
2. Resistance Zones:
$3,431–$3,450: Strong resistance zone.
Horizontal resistance at $3,450.73 (marked in red).
Price may form a lower high before reversal, as the black arrow suggests.
3. Support Zones:
$3,374 – $3,360: Previous structure and demand zone (highlighted green).
Strong potential bounce zone if price drops.
4. Price Action Expectation:
Possible fakeout or retest near $3,450 → followed by a rejection and drop toward the $3,360 area.
Bearish bias indicated by the projected path.
Gold Trading on my predicted valuesTechnical analysis: As discussed, as long as #3,400.80 mark (Xau-Usd numbers) holds, Gold is more likely to push towards #3,442.80 strong Resistance and #3,452.80 benchmark in extension for a Higher High’s Upper zone test invalidating the Hourly 4 chart’s Neutral Rectangle. This Trading week is packed with the U.S. reports, so Fundamentally the real trend will be revealed after those, since today’s E.U. session delivered indecision movements only (Spinning Top’s formation) however Bullish bias is here to stay. The Short-term Price-action has turned Bullish just over the Hourly 4 chart’s former Support at #3,363.80, while Technically, Gold is critically Bearish. It is interesting to mention that even the Daily chart is to a certain extent is Bearish however Technical rules do not apply on Fundamentally driven sessions. Everything depends upon the DX (and to a lesser extent Bond Yields), so I can't make any Short-term recommendation other than the Bullish break-out points that I am already Trading on. See also how Xau-Usd (spot price) and GC (Futures price) are finally closing the gap and getting into tight range again. Regarding today’s session - two straight red Hourly 1 candles (after Bullish rejection) so far which indicate (unless broken) that #3,427.80 is a Double Top. Most likely Gold is going towards #3,416.80 - #3,420.80 to test the Support zone and then if Price-action gets rejected (most likely it will), then Hourly 4 chart’s Resistance zone test should be next - and potentially stay Neutral for a few sessions in a symmetrical manner as April #14 - 16.
My position: I spotted that many Traders Sold Gold throughout yesterday's session which was a mistake personally as Gold will remain strong on each next session due global Fundamentals. Firstly I have Bought #3,385.80 Bottom with #4 orders. First one I have closed near #3,400.80 benchmark, second two I have closed at #3,407.80 since Profit was already great and left final runner which I closed on #3,424.80 / expecting #3,434.80 final destination which was delivered. I will keep Buying every dip on Gold as long as #3,400.80 benchmark holds as an Support from my key re-Buy points.
Gold is strong. Can it continue?On Tuesday, the overall gold price showed an upward trend. The highest price rose to 3433.32 on the day, and the lowest price fell to 3383.21, closing at 3431.46. On Tuesday, gold prices fluctuated during the early trading session and then corrected downward. During the European session, the price fluctuated mainly and fell weakly. It rose before the US session and hit the high point of the week again in the US session, and finally ended with a big positive line.
From the four-hour level, the technical adjustment needs, but the speculation of risk aversion suppressed this demand. There is a contradiction between the fundamentals and the technical aspects, and it is necessary to wait for the market sentiment to stabilize before clarifying the direction.
In the early Asian session, it hit a high of 3438 and then fell back. It is necessary to pay attention to the possibility of reaching the top. The support position is 3400-3405. If it falls to 3400, it may continue to adjust to around 3385. The probability of closing the negative line today is relatively high. If the price stabilizes above 3400, it is likely to maintain high fluctuations.
Today's market is complicated. Although the bullish trend has not changed, it is not advisable to be overly bullish. The operation is mainly shorting on rebounds, supplemented by long positions on pullbacks. The upper pressure position focuses on 3440-3450.
Operation strategy:
Short near 3440-3450, stop loss 3460, profit range 3420-3410.
Long near 3390, stop loss 3380, profit range 3420-3430.