XAUUSD trade ideas
4H Gold/USD - Decoding the liquidity zones 📈 Smart Money Concept: Liquidity Grab & Market Shift
This 4H Gold/USD chart shows a classic liquidity sweep below a key level (Sell-side liquidity) followed by a CHoCH (Change of Character) — signaling a bullish market structure shift. A fair value gap (FVG) is formed as price aggressively breaks previous highs, offering a clean entry point on the retest.
GOLD Analysis – Bullish Recovery Setup After Trendline Breakout ⚙️ Technical Structure Overview
This 4-hour chart of Gold (XAUUSD) illustrates a classic reversal setup developing after a significant correction. Price previously faced strong selling pressure from the 3,470+ zone and declined sharply. However, the recent price action suggests a shift in control from sellers to buyers, signaling a likely medium-term trend reversal or a bullish wave formation.
The key to this setup lies in three confluences:
Completion of a previous supply zone, which no longer holds influence.
Aggressive buyer activity from a major support zone.
A clean break above the descending trendline, which is a common signal that bearish momentum is losing strength.
🔑 Key Levels & Concepts Explained
🟢 1. Major Support Zone (3,260–3,280)
This zone has been tested multiple times and each time, buyers stepped in and prevented further downside. The most recent rejection from this area shows long wicks and bullish engulfing candles, indicating accumulation by institutional players. This is the foundational support that has held the entire corrective structure.
📉 2. Trendline Breakout
The descending trendline connecting swing highs has now been broken to the upside. This is a critical technical signal, especially on the 4H timeframe, as it suggests a potential trend reversal or at least a deep retracement in the opposite direction.
Trendline breakouts typically result in a retest of the trendline or a nearby support-turned-resistance zone (as is the case here with the Mini SR level).
It also implies that supply is weakening, and buyers are ready to push.
🧱 3. Mini Support/Resistance Interchange (~3,300–3,320)
This zone now plays the role of an interchange level—a previous minor resistance that could act as a support after the breakout. This level is crucial for intraday and swing traders because it can offer a low-risk long entry if price retests and confirms it with bullish momentum.
The chart projection suggests a bounce off this mini S/R, followed by successive higher highs and higher lows, forming a new bullish structure.
📈 Forecast Path & Trade Scenario
✅ Bullish Path (Preferred MMC Scenario)
Stage 1: Price retests the 3,300–3,320 zone (Mini S/R).
Stage 2: Buyers step in, leading to a bullish continuation.
Stage 3: Price targets the Minor Resistance (~3,440).
Stage 4: If momentum is sustained, it aims for Major Resistance (~3,470–3,480), completing a clean reversal formation.
This path reflects perfect bullish market structure—a breakout, followed by a retest and rally.
❌ Bearish Invalidation
If the price closes strongly below 3,260, the structure would be invalidated.
This would suggest that the support zone failed, possibly triggering deeper downside toward 3,220–3,200.
🧠 MMC Trader Mindset & Risk Considerations
Don’t Chase: Wait for a confirmed retest of the Mini S/R zone. Let the market come to your entry.
Entry Confirmation: Use candlestick signals like bullish engulfing, pin bars, or inside bars near the Mini S/R.
Volume Consideration: Volume should ideally rise on breakout legs and decline on pullbacks—this confirms healthy bullish structure.
Risk-Reward: With a stop below 3,260 and targets toward 3,470, the RR ratio favors long entries, especially after confirmation.
🔁 Summary Plan for Execution
Entry Zone: 3,300–3,320 (after bullish confirmation)
Stop Loss: Below 3,260 (structure break)
Take Profit 1: 3,440
Take Profit 2: 3,470–3,480
Risk-to-Reward: 1:2+ if planned carefully
XAUUSD needs Retest H4 TIMEFRAME SETUP
We shared daily our XAUUSD for deep insights and knowledge.
Currently we have range of 3345-3380 area also we have proper CHOCH on H4 at 3335 support area As I mentioned in our previous commantary we have bullish momentum which is almost near our milestone.
What possible scenarios we have ?
• Atm i took sell from 3385 with minimal risk
Sell from 3395-3400
TARGETS 3370 then 3350 milestone.
• above 3405- 3408 our selling will be invalid and we'll took buy to ATH
XAUUSD H4 Update – The Battle Has Moved to 3350
“From deep demand to key supply. The next move is decisive.”
🔸 Sunday Plan Recap
Price was falling aggressively into the HTF demand zone (3265–3240).
The plan anticipated a bounce only if that deep zone held.
Above price, major zones included:
3314 – mid-structure
3330–3345 – supply zone
3368–3380 – final retracement targets
🔸 What Changed?
✅ The deep demand zone worked — H4 CHoCH bullish was confirmed.
✅ Price climbed through 3285 and 3314, confirming a retracement leg.
🔥 Now, price sits at 3349.57, testing the same supply zone marked in Sunday’s plan (3330–3345).
🔸 Current H4 Structure
🔼 Short-term bias = bullish retracement
📍 Price = inside HTF premium zone
📈 EMAs aligned bullish (5/21/50), confirming short-term momentum
💡 RSI = approaching overbought
⚔️ Liquidity above 3355, trapped shorts below 3314
🧠 Today’s Battle Plan (August 1)
🔴 Sell Zone (live) – 3345 to 3355
Price just entered the key H4 supply zone. Watch for rejection signs:
Bearish confirmation needed (e.g. M15/M30 CHoCH or engulfing)
If confirmed → downside targets: 3314 → 3285 → 3265
High RR short only if structure confirms
🔵 Breakout Bullish Case
If 3355 breaks with a clean body + HL at 3340 → bullish continuation active
Next upside target: 3368 → 3380
🧭 Final Thoughts
We’ve reached the exact decision zone from Sunday’s plan.
The market will now reveal: retracement over... or breakout coming?
Patience is key — this is a high RR zone, but only if structure reacts.
💬 Did you catch the move from deep demand? Or waiting for confirmation here at supply?
📈 Share your thoughts in the comments and let’s break it down together.
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📉 Price data from Trade Nation feed
XAUUSD Technical Outlook – August 4, 2025Last week, prior to Powell’s speech, we expected a move down to the $3280 area.
While we anticipated a brief pullback to lighten liquidity around $3400 first,
price instead dropped straight down without a bounce.
✅ The reaction at our level was spot-on,
culminating in a weekly close above $3360 — very bullish.
With liquidity around $3370 already cleared,
we don’t expect strong resistance ahead.
📈 The preferred strategy for this week: Buy gold.
🎯 A solid entry zone lies between $3320–$3330.
⚠️ For those insisting on counter-trend trades,
we strongly advise keeping targets small.
GOLD overheated, fall for the next two to three daysConsidering the following:
1. RSI @ 86
2. constitutional money kicked in crossing upper linear regression
3. price reached the resistance level
4. AND although the last candle was longer than the second last candle, the last volume was shorter than the second last volume line. (crucial for a reversal)
Will place order for a short @ USD3360, take 50% profit at USD3326, close @ USD3280.
Happy trading!
GOLD Key Levels to Watch After Bullish Break Gold is showing strength after last week’s breakout above key levels.
In this short video, I highlight the zones I’m monitoring for potential reaction or continuation.
I also publish a free weekly market outlook blog every Sunday covering setups on Gold, EUR/USD, GBP/USD and more.
📰 Find the blog link on my TradingView profile no signup required.
Let’s stay sharp this week. Trade safe!
XAUUSD Possibility of a small correction towards 3330, re-entering the bearish phase and moving towards the specified targets
Gold OutlookAfter our last idea, I'm looking to see gold sell down and then resume the upward trend. This is my personal conviction, always remember, I do not own the market
BULLISH REVERSALAfter struggling between the 2 key levels, XAUUSD showed a change of character indicating a reversal. Target is 500 pips.
Gold long from 3295I think this might be the bottom .
Next week gold will be sitting at 3400$ level.
GOLD → The market is waiting for NFP. What could happen?FX:XAUUSD is bouncing off resistance at 3310, confirming the upper limit of the new trading range. The dollar continues to rally, but the market as a whole is stagnating ahead of upcoming news—NFP is coming up!
Gold is consolidating at monthly lows around $3268, awaiting key US labor market data (NFP). Trump's new tariffs (10% globally, 35% for Canada, 39% for Switzerland) have boosted demand for the dollar, putting pressure on gold. Markets are waiting for NFP: forecast +110K jobs, unemployment 4.2%. Weak data (<100K) → gold may rise to $3400. Strong (>150K) → the dollar will strengthen, gold will continue to fall. The probability of a Fed rate cut in September is <50%.
Based on yesterday's data, I would cautiously suggest that NFP will be in the range of 125K–145K, slightly above the consensus (110K). This will play into Trump's hands (I think you understand what I mean...).
Resistance levels: 3300, 3310, 3320
Support levels: 3287, 3268, 3255
The news has a negative nuance — unpredictability. Be careful.
Technically, based on the data we have at the moment, I would assume that the market may test resistance at 3300-3310 before a possible pullback to the specified support. BUT! Unpredictable data could turn the game around, and in that case, if the dollar falls, gold could start to rise.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
**"Gold Price Rebounding from Support:Potential Move Toward 3436This chart shows the **price movement of Gold (XAU/USD)** on a **daily timeframe**.
### Key Points:
* **Support Zone** : Around **\$3,266**, this is the area where price has bounced up multiple times, meaning buyers step in here.
* **Resistance Line**: Around **\$3,436**, this is the level where price has been rejected before, meaning sellers are strong here.
* **Current Price**: Around **\$3,293**.
### What the Chart Suggests:
* Price is near the **support** zone again.
* If the support holds, the green arrow shows a possible move **upward**.
* Price may first move up slightly, pull back, and then try to **break above resistance** at \$3,436.
Gold is in a sideways range. It's near a strong support level and might go up from here toward the resistance level, as shown by the green line.
XAUUSD H4 Outlook – August 4, 2025Structure is bullish — but supply is layered. Precision now matters more than bias.
—
Gold is trading at 3362, sitting right inside the heart of a key structural zone. After a strong breakout from 3285–3260, price reclaimed imbalance, broke internal structure, and powered higher into premium. The trend is bullish — but we’ve just stepped into stacked supply.
Let’s break down every zone that matters now, from top to bottom:
🟥 3360–3375 – Valid H4 Supply Zone
This is the first active supply block — the origin of the last bearish leg. It holds a clean OB + imbalance and is currently being tested for mitigation.
We're inside it right now. This zone is critical:
→ If price breaks and holds above it, continuation is likely
→ If we reject here, it confirms sellers are defending their level
🟥 3385–3398 – Internal Supply Trap
A secondary supply zone built from previous order flow.
If bulls push through 3375 without rejection, this is the next area to watch for weakness.
This zone often creates fake breakouts, especially when momentum slows. RSI is already showing signs of exhaustion approaching this level.
🟥 3420–3440 – HTF Supply Trap
This is the top — the last unmitigated supply on the weekly.
It's not in play yet, but if bulls break above 3398 decisively, this is where the bigger trap could form.
Any long into this zone must be backed by strong structure and continuation candles — otherwise, it’s a liquidation magnet.
🟫 3322–3310 – Flip Reentry Zone
If we reject from current supply, this is the first high-probability reentry for bulls.
It’s where the last CHoCH confirmed, and it aligns with EMA confluence and minor imbalance.
Buy setups from here must be confirmed on M15/M30 — no blind longs.
🟦 3285–3260 – Breaker Demand Base
The true origin of the bullish move.
This zone caused the structural flip — clean OB, FVG stack, and liquidity sweep.
If price returns here, it becomes a must-hold for bullish continuation. One of the best sniper zones for longs.
🟦 3222–3205 – Final Demand Layer
Deep structure zone holding imbalance + previous HL base.
Only comes into play if 3260 fails. A break below this would shift bias to neutral or bearish on H4.
🎯 Bias Summary
✔️ H4 bias = bullish
✔️ Price is inside 3360–3375 supply
✔️ EMA 5/21/50 aligned, but RSI is elevated
⚠️ This is not a breakout — it’s a test zone
🔁 Execution Plan
📍 Rejection from 3360–3375 → sell scalp toward 3322
📍 Clean break of 3375 → watch for next short at 3385–3398
📍 Failure of 3398 → HTF draw toward 3430–3439
📍 Pullback toward 3322–3310 → potential long zone
📍 Clean drop to 3285 → high-RR buy area
📍 Break below 3260 → only valid demand left is 3222
—
This is not the time to chase. It’s the time to stalk.
You’re in premium. Supply is active. Let structure decide — you just execute with clarity.
—
Which zone are you watching for your next move?
Comment your bias below 👇🏼 Smash the ❤️ if this brought clarity, and follow GoldFxMinds to trade with precision every day.
Disclosure: Chart based on Trade Nation feed (TradingView).
Gold in ascending channelAfter last week's steep and violent drop from $3,439 USD post Fed, Gold has found new momentum thanks to weaker than expected non-farm payroll numbers. But the price has been capped inside an ascending channel. This doesn't look particularly convincing to me for a strong reversel and bull case in the short term unless we manage to break out of the channel soon. If we fail to break the $3,439 USD high pre- Fed meeting I expect a test of the lower bound of the channel and a potential break below that.
A break below the channel opens up the way to the low at $3,267 USD.
Technical indicators are bullish across the boardInfluenced by the NFP data, gold prices rose strongly, fully recovering last week's losses. The current gold market has broken the previous bull-bear equilibrium and remains in a strong upward trend. We are currently bullish but will not chase the rise. We will wait for gold to fall back and stabilize before trying to go long. Gold is currently in a sideways consolidation. If gold touches the upper short-term resistance of 3365-3370 again in the European session and encounters resistance and pressure, you can consider shorting with a light position and waiting for a pullback. If the gold price breaks up strongly, pay attention to the key suppression level above 3375-3385.
As the price of gold continues to rise, the support has moved up. Pay attention to the short-term support of 3345-3330 below. If it retreats and stabilizes, you can consider going long. Independent traders must strictly implement trading plans, and those who are not sure about the market must set stop-loss orders.
OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Week 32 OutlookFollowing Non-farm payroll (NFP) on Friday, 01 August 2025, Gold started and maintained a bullish sentiment. With all things considered. It is likely to spend the early days of the week correcting before shooting back upwards towards Thursday/Friday.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Following yesterday’s move into the 3305 retracement range, we got the expected reaction without an EMA5 lock, which further confirmed the rejection from that level and led to a clean bounce into 3228 just like we analysed.
From here, we anticipate price to range between 3328 and 3305. EMA5 cross and lock above 3328 or below 3305 will be key to confirming the next directional move.
We’ll continue to monitor for that confirmation and adjust accordingly.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3348
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3348 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3369
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3369 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3397
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3397 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3422
BEARISH TARGETS
3328 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3328 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3305 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3305 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3289
3267
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
