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XAUUSD trade ideas

Go long on dips and short on rallies๐Ÿ“ฐ News information๏ผš 1. Gold market liquidity at the end of the month 2. Impact of geopolitical situation ๐Ÿ“ˆ Technical Analysis๏ผš Last week we predicted that gold would rebound. Today, after gold rebounded as expected, we gave a short trading strategy. Gold fell precisely at the point we gave, 3295, and successfully hit our TP3280-3270. The result confirmed the correctness of our trading strategy. Next, we will focus on the long trading opportunities below 3270-3260. ๐ŸŽฏ Trading Points๏ผš BUY 3270-3260 TP 3290-3300 SELL 3295-3300-3310 TP 3280-3270 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you๐ŸŒ. TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
XAUUSD GOING SHORTGOLD has recently broken its last low, shifting market structure (CHOCH) and indicating sellers are currently in control. This break opened up 2 clear Supply Zone above โ€” a small base or last bullish candle before the drop โ€” which is a key area where unfulfilled sell orders may be resting. Price is likely to retrace back into these Supply Zone to fill those orders. Once it reaches this area, we expect selling pressure to resume and push price downward, honoring the imbalance left by the drop. Entry: Iโ€™m looking to sell from this Supply Zone on a pullback, This lets me enter at a premium price while trading in direction of the newly established downward momentum. Target: The first Target Profit (TP) is set at the next Demand Zone below, where buying pressure might emerge. This Demand Zone is a key area to watch for a reversal or a temporary halt in downward momentum. Stop Loss: To control risk, the Stop Loss (SL) is placed just above the Supply Zone. If price climbs above this area, it would invalidate the Supplyโ€™s ability to hold, signalling a potential reversal. โœ… Summary: โ€ข Market has shifted to bearish after breaking last low. โ€ข Supply Zone above is a key area to watch for selling opportunities. โ€ข Sell upon retracement into Supply, with Stop Loss above and Target at Demand below.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by AFOKE
3
Gold trend remains bullishThe investment market will not simply move in the expected direction. The road to success is tortuous. Once it goes in the opposite direction, it will lose direction and enter a cycle. The same is true for the market. The trend is certain, but it will never simply move in the predetermined direction. There will be twists and turns during the period that will shake people's hearts. At this time, you need a good attitude to face it and not be affected by the short-term trend. This is why we have been firmly laying out the bands in the early stage, and the reason for successful profits. Only by keeping the original intention can we succeed. The investment market requires concentration and perseverance, and then to reap profits! At present, the overall rise of gold remains stable. Although the fluctuation has narrowed compared with yesterday, it has not fallen sharply after touching the previous pressure level, indicating that the support below is still effective. Although affected by the ADP data, the technical pattern still maintains a bullish idea. For prudent operations, it is recommended to maintain a low-long strategy and pay attention to the short-term support area near 3333-3328 below. After retreating to this position and stabilizing, you can continue to arrange long orders, and focus on the support area near 3325-3315. If the daily level stabilizes above this position, continue to maintain the bullish rhythm of retreating low and long and following the trend. The upward target looks at the 3355-3360 area. If this area continues to be blocked, consider light positions to arrange short orders, and the target is bearish adjustment. If the market breaks through strongly and stabilizes, it is expected to test the 3370-3380 area. The specific strategy adjustment will be prompted dynamically during the intraday according to the real-time market, and steadily follow the bullish trend to grasp the benefits.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
Gold Holds Above 3342 Ahead of Key U.S Data โ€“Bullish Bias IntactGold Rises as Market Awaits Key U.S. Economic Data Gold prices are pushing higher as investors position ahead of todayโ€™s major U.S. economic releases, including NFP and unemployment figures. Expectations of weaker data are supporting bullish sentiment. Technical Outlook (XAU/USD): Gold maintains a bullish structure as long as it trades above 3,342. โ†’ A push toward 3,365 is likely โ†’ A 1H close above 3,365 would open the path toward 3,375 However, if price closes below 3,342 on the 1H chart, bearish momentum may build, targeting 3,331 and 3,320 Key Levels: โ€ข Resistance: 3,365 / 3,375 / 3,390 โ€ข Support: 3,341 / 3,331 / 3,320
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
Gold Under Pressure As Dollar StrengthenGold remains under pressure after a false breakout at $3,350, as the dollar's sudden strength dominates the market. Despite Powell's slightly dovish tone, Tuesday's PMI and JOLTs job data favored the dollar, keeping the market in limbo. Technically, gold has established a new range between $3,350 and $3,300. A drop to the lower end of this range could spark short-term buying opportunities. With the ADP numbers on the horizon, the market awaits further cues.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by KINGSLIGHTFX
X1: GOLD/XAUUSD Long Trades Risking 1% to make 1.8%X1: #XAUUSD/#GOLD Long Trades GOLD/XAUUSD Long for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly. Risking 1% to make 1.8% Note: Manage your risk yourself, its risky trade, see how much your can risk yourself on this trade. Use proper risk management Looks like good trade. Lets monitor. Use proper risk management. Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MuhammadTrades
1
SMC Trading Basics. Change of Character - CHoCH (GOLD FOREX) In the today's post, we will discuss one of the most crucial concepts in SMC - Change of Character. Change of Character relates to market trend analysis. In order to understand its meaning properly, first, we will discuss how Smart Money traders execute trend analysis. ๐Ÿ”˜Smart Money Traders apply price action for the identification of the direction of the market. They believe that the trend is bullish , if the price forms at least 2 bullish impulse with 2 consequent higher highs and a higher low between them. The market trend is considered to be bearish , if the market forms at least 2 bearish impulses with 2 consequent lower lows and a lower high between them. Here is how the trend analysis looks in practice. One perceives the price action as the set of impulse and retracement legs. According to the rules described above, USDCAD is trading in a bullish trend because the pair set 2 higher lows and 2 higher highs. ๐Ÿ”˜Of course, trends do not last forever. A skill of the identification of the market reversal is a key to substantial profits in trading. Change of Character will help you quite accurately identify a bullish and bearish trend violation. ๐Ÿ“‰In a bearish trend, the main focus is the level of the last lower high. While the market is trading below or on that, the trend remains bearish . However, its bullish violation is a very important bullish signal, it is called a Change of Character, and it signifies a confirmed violation of a bearish trend. In a bearish trend, CHoCH is a very powerful bullish pattern. Take a look, how accurate CHoCH indicated the trend reversal on Gold. After a massive selloff, a bullish breakout of the level of the last lower high confirmed the initiation of a strong bullish wave. ๐Ÿ“ˆIn a bullish trend, the main point of interest is the level of the last higher low. While the price is trading above that or on that, the trend remains bullish. A bearish violation of the last higher low level signifies the violation of a current bullish trend. It is called a Change of Character, and it is a very accurate bearish pattern. Take a look at the example on Dollar Index below. In a bullish trend, bearish violation of the last higher low level quite accurately predicted a coming bearish reversal. Change of Character is one of the simplest , yet accurate SMC patterns that you should know. First, learn to properly execute the price action analysis and identify HH, HL, LL, LH and then CHoCH will be your main tool for the identification of the trend reversal. โค๏ธPlease, support my work with like, thank you!โค๏ธ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
9
XAUUSD โ€“ July 3 Live Setup | Price at M15 POIGold has been moving in line with our bullish bias over the past few sessions. Yesterdayโ€™s break above the 3358 M15 level gave us a clean Break of Structure (BoS) โ€” confirming short-term bullish momentum within the larger framework. After this strong push upward, the market is now retracing. Price is currently entering a high-probability pullback zone: 3340โ€“3342 (M15 POI). This is a textbook base structure setup โ€” where we wait for price to return to a valid zone after structure shift, and only act after confirmation on the lower timeframe. ๐Ÿ” Setup in Play: Current Bias: โ€ข M15 Trend: Bullish โ€ข H4 Context: Bullish (after recent HTF shift) โ€ข Market State: Pullback phase after BoS Key Zone in Focus: โ€ข 3340โ€“3342 โ€“ M15 POI (zone of interest for continuation) We are not entering blindly . We are waiting for confirmation on M1 โ€” specifically: โœ… ChoCh (Change of Character) โœ… Followed by a micro BoS Only then do we consider a long entry โ€” and even then, risk must be managed through proper R:R and structure anchoring. ๐ŸŽฏ Target: If M1 confirmation occurs, the expected short-term target is 3365 โ€” the next clean M15 structural high. โš ๏ธ Risk Conditions: If price breaks below the POI without M1 confirmation โ€” or aggressively violates the zone โ€” the setup is invalid. In that case, we simply step aside and reassess. This is process-driven execution: No need to predict. No need to chase. Just observe, confirm, and execute with structure. ๐Ÿ“– This is how we let the chart do the work. The process protects us. Structure invites us. Stillness refines us. ๐Ÿ“˜ Shared by @ChartIsMirror Author of The Chart Is The Mirror โ€” a structure-first, mindset-grounded book for traders
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChartIsMirror
Where will gold go?In 4 hours, it has fallen below the previous low of 3295, and will continue to fall. There are two supports below, namely 3280 and 3265. Don't expect a big rebound before going short in a negative market. If the rebound is large, it will not fall. This kind of negative decline is generally judged by the 15- and 30-minute patterns. When resistance appears in the big cycle, the market has actually fallen a lot. Today, I think the pressure is mainly in the 3300 and 3310 areas. 3310 can be considered as the pressure of the top and bottom conversion. Pay attention to 3280 and 3265 below. If you consider going long, these two positions are the main positions. For the time being, the general direction is mainly short.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
3
XAU/USD) bearish reversal analysis Read The captionTechnical analysis of (XAU/USD) based on price action and technical indicators on the 15-minute timeframe. Here's a --- Key Technical Insights: 1. Resistance Level (Highlighted Yellow Zone): Price is approaching a strong resistance zone (previous rejection marked by red arrows). This area has historically pushed price downward. 2. Trendline Support (Rising Black Line): Price has been following a short-term ascending trendline, forming higher lows. A break below this trendline signals potential bearish reversal. 3. EMA 200 (Blue Line): Price is currently above the EMA 200, indicating short-term bullish momentum. However, price is testing resistance โ€” a rejection could flip momentum bearish. 4. Bearish Rejection & Projection: The chart shows an anticipated rejection from resistance, followed by a break of trendline support. Target zone is marked near 3,228.098, indicating a drop of ~94 points from the current level. 5. RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI is nearing overbought territory (68.79). A bearish divergence or RSI crossing down may confirm weakening momentum. Mr SMC Trading point --- Conclusion / Trading Idea: Bias: Bearish Entry Zone: Near the resistance level (~3,322) Confirmation: Break of trendline support Target: 3,228 Stop-Loss: Above resistance zone (just over the upper trendline) --- pelas support boost ๐Ÿš€ this analysis)
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SMC-Trading-Point
7
XAU/USD 15M CHART PATTERNHere's a breakdown of your XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) Buy trade setup: --- ๐ŸŸข Trade Type: Buy (Long) Entry Price: 3321 --- ๐ŸŽฏ Take Profit Levels: 1. TP1: 3330 (9 pips gain) 2. TP2: 3340 (19 pips gain) 3. TP3: 3350 (29 pips gain) --- ๐Ÿ”ด Stop Loss: SL: 3305 (16 pips risk) --- ๐Ÿ“Š Risk-Reward Ratios: TP1: ~1:0.56 TP2: ~1:1.19 TP3: ~1:1.81 --- โœ… Analysis: The setup shows a moderate risk with potential for compounding gains. Ensure there's enough momentum or support confirmation at or around 3321. Your stop loss is fairly tight (16 pips) โ€” consider volatility during news hours (like NFP or Fed announcements). --- Would you like a chart analysis, help with position sizing, or automating this setup (e.g., for MetaTrader/TradingView)?
TVC:GOLDLong
by Mrprofe21
Down the road - Gold Outlook June 30 - July 24, 2025FX_IDC:XAUUSD ๐Ÿ“ฐ The past weeks has been a wild ride for gold prices, caught between the fiery conflict in the Middle East and a deluge of crucial economic data from the U.S. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Adding to this, a detailed technical analysis provides a deeper look into gold's immediate future. **Geopolitical Drama Unfolds & Peace Prevails!** ๐Ÿ•Š๏ธ ceasefire negotiations. Initially, gold was shrouded in uncertainty ๐ŸŒซ๏ธ due to the Iran-Israel war, with markets bracing for potential U.S. involvement and a full-blown escalation. Daily tit-for-tat attacks between Iran and Israel kept everyone on edge, and the question of U.S. intervention remained a nail-biter ๐Ÿ˜ฌ, though President Trump did announce a 14-day "timeout". Then came the dramatic twist on June 21st: "Operation Midnighthammer" saw the U.S. unleash bunker-buster bombs on Iranian uranium enrichment facilities. ๐Ÿ’ฅ Short time later, the U.S. declared mission accomplished, stating their goal of destroying these sites was achieved, and no further attacks would follow. Iran's response, "Operation Annunciation of Victory," on the following Monday, involved missile strikes on U.S. military bases in Qatar and Iraq. ๐Ÿš€ Interestingly, these attacks were pre-announced, allowing for safe evacuations and thankfully, no casualties. ๐Ÿ™ The biggest surprise came from President Trump as he declared, "Congratulations world, it's time for peace!" ๐ŸŽ‰ He then brokered a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, which, despite being fragile, largely held, leading to the war's end.๐Ÿค Both nations, as expected, officially claimed victory โ€“ a common move to satisfy their citizens. ๐Ÿ… Personally, I was genuinely surprised that the U.S.President mediated ceasefire, actually brought the conflict to a close โ€“ but it's a welcome outcome! ๐Ÿ™ **Economic Data & Fed's Steady Hand** ๐Ÿ’น๐Ÿ›๏ธ The cessation of hostilities triggered a steady downward slide in gold prices from June 24th to 27th. โฌ‡๏ธ This dip initially met some market resistance but it ultimately prevailed, especially with the release of mixed U.S. economic data, which, despite being varied, was generally interpreted positively by the market. The spotlight also shone on the Federal Reserve, with several representatives speaking and Fed Chair Jerome Powell undergoing a two-day Senate hearing. ๐ŸŽค๐Ÿ‘จโ€โš–๏ธ Powell meticulously explained the Fed's rationale for holding interest rates steady, despite market pressures. ๐Ÿคท However, recent whispers suggest the Federal Reserve might actually cut rates in September! ๐Ÿ˜ฎ ## Geopolitical News Landscape ๐ŸŒ๐Ÿ“ฐ India / Pakistan Pakistan rejected claims that it supported militant groups active in Indian Kashmir. India issued a formal protest but reported no fresh border clashes during the week. Outlook ๐Ÿ”ฎ: De-escalation is possible in the short term. However, unresolved disputes over water rights (Indus Treaty) could reignite tensions. Gaza Conflict Heavy Israeli airstrikes killed dozens in Gaza, including civilians near aid centers. The UN warned that U.S.-backed aid systems are failing. Humanitarian corridors remain blocked. Outlook ๐Ÿ”ฎ: Ceasefire talks may resume in July, but success depends on international pressure and safe humanitarian access. Russia / Ukraine Russia advanced 36 sq mi in eastern Ukraine, deploying outdated T-62 tanks. Ukraine reinforced defensive lines, aided by Western military packages. Outlook ๐Ÿ”ฎ: The front remains volatile. Sustained Western support will be key to halting further Russian gains. U.S. โ€“ China Trade War A breakthrough deal was signed for China to fast-track rare-earth exports to the U.S. Talks on tech transfer and tariffs continue behind closed doors. Outlook ๐Ÿ”ฎ: A phased de-escalation is possible, but deep trust issues linger, especially over semiconductors and AI. ๐ŸŒ Global Trade War Several countries, including Brazil and Thailand, imposed fresh restrictions on Chinese imports, echoing the U.S. stance. Global supply chains remain fragmented. Outlook ๐Ÿ”ฎ: Trade blocs like the EU and Mercosur may take on greater importance as countries hedge against rising protectionism. Trump vs. Powell Fed Chair Powell resisted political pressure, stating rate cuts are unlikely before September. Trump called him โ€œstubbornโ€ and demanded immediate easing. Outlook ๐Ÿ”ฎ: The Fedโ€™s independence is under strain. If Trump wins re-election, major policy shifts could follow. ๐Ÿ“ˆ U.S. Inflation Despite tariffs, core inflation remains elevated. Powell warned of persistent price pressures. Trump insists the Fed should cut rates to boost growth. Outlook ๐Ÿ”ฎ: A rate cut later in 2025 is possibleโ€”if labor market data weakens. Until then, inflation will remain politically explosive. ## Technical View ๐Ÿ“๐Ÿ“ˆ **Current Market Context:** Gold plummeted to $3,273.67 USD/t.oz on June 27, 2025, marking a 1.65% drop from the previous day, which confirms the strong bearish momentum. The price action shows a significant retreat from recent highs around $3,400. **ICT (Inner Circle Trader) Methodology Analysis:** * **Market Structure:** The trend is clearly bearish, with a definitive break of structure (BOS) to the downside. * **Order Blocks:** Several bearish order blocks have been identified at prior resistance levels, specifically in the $3,380-$3,400 range. * **Fair Value Gaps (FVG):** The aggressive sell-off has created multiple imbalances, particularly in the $3,350-$3,320 range. * **Liquidity Pools:** Buy-side liquidity above $3,400 has been swept. Sell-side liquidity is now accumulating below the $3,270 lows, which is the current target zone. * **Session Analysis:** The London session showed aggressive selling, followed by a continuation of bearish momentum in the New York session. The Asia session could see consolidation or further declines. * **Smart Money Concepts:** Heavy selling pressure suggests "smart money" distribution. There's been strong bearish displacement from $3,380 down to $3,270, indicating the market is currently in a "sell program" phase. **Gann Analysis:** * **Gann Angles & Time Cycles:** The primary 1x1 Gann angle has been broken, pointing to continued weakness. Key price squares indicate resistance at $3,375 (25ยฒ) and support at $3,249 (57ยฒ). Daily cycles suggest a potential turning point around June 30-July 1, while weekly cycles indicate continued pressure through early July. * **Gann Levels:** * Resistance: $3,375, $3,400, $3,481 (59ยฒ) * Support: $3,249, $3,136, $3,025 **Fibonacci Analysis:** * **Key Retracement Levels (from recent swing high to low):** * 78.6%: $3,378 (Strong resistance) * 61.8%: $3,348 (Key resistance zone) * 50.0%: $3,325 (Psychological level) * 38.2%: $3,302 (Minor resistance) * 23.6%: $3,285 (Current area of interest) * **Fibonacci Extensions (Downside Targets):** * 127.2%: $3,245 * 161.8%: $3,195 * 261.8%: $3,095 * **Time-Based Fibonacci:** The next significant time cluster is July 2-3, 2025, with a major cycle completion expected around July 15-17, 2025. **Institutional Levels & Volume Analysis:** * **Key Institutional Levels:** * Major Resistance: $3,400 (psychological + institutional) * Secondary Resistance: $3,350-$3,375 (order block cluster) * Primary Support: $3,250-$3,270 (institutional accumulation zone) * Major Support: $3,200 (monthly pivot area) * **Volume Profile Analysis:** * High Volume Node (HVN): $3,320-$3,340 (fair value area) * Low Volume Node (LVN): $3,280-$3,300 (potential acceleration zone) * Point of Control (POC): Currently around $3,330 **Central Bank & Hedge Fund Levels:** Based on recent COT data and institutional positioning, heavy resistance is seen at $3,400-$3,430, where institutions likely distributed. An accumulation zone for "smart money" re-entry is anticipated at $3,200-$3,250. **Cycle Timing Analysis:** * **Short-Term Cycles (Intraday):** Bearish momentum is expected to continue for another 12-18 hours. A daily cycle low is likely between June 29-30, with a potential reversal zone on July 1-2 for the 3-day cycle. * **Medium-Term Cycles:** The current weekly cycle is in week 3 of a 4-week decline. The monthly cycle indicates a mid-cycle correction within a larger uptrend. For the quarterly cycle, Q3 2025 could see a major low formation. * **Seasonal Patterns:** July-August is typically a weaker period for gold ("Summer Doldrums"). September has historically been strong for precious metals ("September Effect"), setting up for a potential major move higher in Q4 2025 ("Year-End Rally"). **Trading Strategy & Levels:** * **Bearish Scenario (Primary):** * Entry: Sell rallies into the $3,320-$3,350 resistance zone. * Targets: $3,250, $3,200, $3,150. * Stop Loss: Above $3,380. * **Bullish Scenario (Secondary):** * Entry: Buy support at $3,250-$3,270 with confirmation. * Targets: $3,320, $3,375, $3,400. * Stop Loss: Below $3,230. **Key Events to Watch:** * **US PCE Data:** Fresh downside risks could emerge ahead of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data release. * **Fed Communications:** Any hawkish rhetoric from the Federal Reserve could further pressure gold. * **Geopolitical Developments:** Ongoing global events could trigger safe-haven demand. **Conclusion:** The technical picture for gold suggests continued short-term weakness, with the metal testing its 2025 trend line at $3,290 following last week's rejection at the $3,430 resistance. However, the longer-term outlook remains constructive, given gold's robust performance year-to-date. Key support at $3,250-$3,270 will be crucial in determining the next significant price movement. **Upcoming Week's Economic Calendar (June 29 - July 4, 2025):** ๐Ÿ—“๏ธ๐ŸŒ ๐Ÿ—“๏ธ Get ready for these important economic events (EDT) * ** Sunday , June 29, 2025** * 21:30 CNY: Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 49.6, Previous: 49.5 * ** Monday , June 30, 2025** * 09:45 USD: Chicago PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 42.7, Previous: 40.5 * ** Tuesday , July 1, 2025** * 05:00 EUR: CPI (YoY) (Jun) - Forecast: 2.0%, Previous: 1.9% * 09:30 USD: Fed Chair Powell Speaks * 09:45 USD: S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 52.0, Previous: 52.0 * 10:00 USD: ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 48.8, Previous: 48.5 * 10:00 USD: ISM Manufacturing Prices (Jun) - Forecast: 70.2, Previous: 69.4 * 10:00 USD: JOLTS Job Openings (May) - Forecast: 7.450M, Previous: 7.391M * ** Wednesday , July 2, 2025** * 08:15 USD: ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Jun) - Forecast: 80K, Previous: 37K * 10:30 USD: Crude Oil Inventories - Forecast: -5.836M * ** Thursday , July 3, 2025** * Holiday: United States - Independence Day (Early close at 13:00) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโฐ * 08:30 USD: Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Jun) - Forecast: 0.3%, Previous: 0.4% * 08:30 USD: Initial Jobless Claims - Forecast: 239K, Previous: 236K * 08:30 USD: Nonfarm Payrolls (Jun) - Forecast: 129K, Previous: 139K * 08:30 USD: Unemployment Rate (Jun) - Forecast: 4.2%, Previous: 4.2% * 09:45 USD: S&P Global Services PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 53.1, Previous: 53.1 * 10:00 USD: ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 50.3, Previous: 49.9 * 10:00 USD: ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (Jun) - Forecast: 68.7 * ** Friday , July 4, 2025** * All Day: Holiday - United States - Independence Day ๐ŸŽ† **Gold Price Forecast for the Coming Week** ๐Ÿ”ฎ๐Ÿ’ฐ Given last week's market movements, there's a strong likelihood that the downward trend in gold prices will continue.๐Ÿ”ฝ However, fresh news can always flip the script! ๐Ÿ”„ As of now, I expect gold to dip further to $3255 by mid-next week. Yet, a brief rebound towards $3300 isn't out of the question before a potential drop to $3200 by week's end or early the following week. ๐Ÿคž Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. ๐Ÿ’ฌ ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! ๐Ÿ“ข Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks โ€“ only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ“Š
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by Wick-Sniper
Gold (XAU/USD) Bearish Trade Setup โ€“ June 27, 2025Entry Point: Around 3,300.98 USD Stop Loss (SL): ~3,312.20 USD Take Profit (TP): 3,229.33 USD Current Price: 3,286.15 USD Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:6.3 (Potential reward โ‰ˆ 71.65 pts; risk โ‰ˆ 11.22 pts) Technical Breakdown: Trend: The price is in a short-term downtrend, supported by: Lower highs and lower lows. Price trading below both 50 EMA (red) and 200 EMA (blue), confirming bearish momentum. Bearish Breakout: Price broke below a key support-turned-resistance zone near 3,300โ€“3,302, triggering sell pressure. Resistance Area: Strong rejection at 3,302โ€“3,312 zone, which is now acting as resistance. SL is placed just above this zone to protect against false breakouts. Target Zone: TP set at 3,229.33, aligning with a previous support zone โ€” a logical area for price to react. Strategy Notes: Bias: Bearish Entry confirmation: Already triggered. Risk Management: SL placement is tight and strategic; RR ratio is highly favorable. Next support below TP: If 3,229 breaks, further downside could follow. Summary: This setup shows a well-defined bearish continuation with a clean break of support, a controlled SL above resistance, and a strong RR ratio. A suitable trade for trend-following strategies, but price must not retrace above 3,312 for this idea to remain valid.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
28
GOLD โ†’ Retest of the resistance range. Correction?FX:XAUUSD is recovering amid expectations of lower interest rates in the US, and the falling dollar is also supporting the price of the metal. The dollar remains under pressure due to political uncertainty in the US, budget concerns, and trade risks. However, strong stock market growth and possible tariff measures against Japan and the EU are also affecting the market, adding volatility to gold Powell will speak at the ECB forum, and markets are waiting for him to hint at a rate cut. Currently, the probability of a cut in July is estimated at 20%, and in September at 77%. A dovish tone will support gold, while a hawkish tone will increase pressure. Technically, since the opening of the session, gold has exhausted its daily range (ATR), and there is a fairly high probability that after strong growth, the price may be stopped in the 3347-3350 zone. Resistance levels: 3347, 3350 Support levels: 3312, 3295 If gold cannot continue to rise after breaking through 3347 and the price returns to the resistance zone, then in this case, we can consider a correction to 0.5-0.7 Fibonacci before a possible continuation of growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
12
TRENDLINE BREAKOUT [LONG]In this analysis we're focusing on 4H timeframe. As we know that price move impulse toward upside and break trendline, now I'm waiting for retracement. Once price reach my zone and give any type of bullish confirmation than we'll execute our trade. This is a higher time frame analysis and key levels. Let's analyze more deeply into smaller time frame and potential outcomes. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio. #XAUUSD 4H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by TradeTacticsreal
Gold Gains Strength as the Dollar Wobbles โ€“ Whatโ€™s Next?Hello, my dear friends โ€“ letโ€™s take a fresh look at gold after yesterdayโ€™s moves! At the moment, gold is trading steadily around 3,345 USD as the market awaits tonightโ€™s highly anticipated U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls report. Yesterdayโ€™s ADP data caused a mild shake in sentiment, showing the first drop in private sector employment in over two years. This immediately fueled expectations that the Federal Reserve could move to cut interest rates sooner than expected โ€” putting pressure on the U.S. dollar and offering support to gold as a non-yielding safe haven. Meanwhile, the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) has slipped to its lowest level in nearly three years, making dollar-denominated assets like gold more attractive to international investors. On top of that, lingering geopolitical tensions and ongoing strong central bank buying continue to reinforce goldโ€™s role as a long-term store of value. From a technical perspective on the H4 timeframe, gold is showing a very tight structure after breaking out of a prolonged downtrend channel. Price is currently consolidating between 3,330 and 3,360 USD, with a clearly defined bullish formation: higher highs and higher lows โ€” a strong signal that the uptrend is starting to take shape again. The key level to watch now is 3,358 USD. If price breaks above this level with convincing buying momentum, I expect gold to enter a new bullish leg toward 3,390 โ€“ 3,407 USD, aligning with the Fibonacci 1.618 extension โ€” often a magnet for price during strong trends. On the other hand, if thereโ€™s a short-term pullback, the support zone around 3,327 โ€“ 3,318 USD will be critical, offering a potential re-entry point for buyers looking to ride the next wave up. This is not a phase for impulsive decisions โ€” but itโ€™s definitely not a moment to be passive either. The breakout could come fast, and only prepared traders will be ready to act.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Smith_TradingFX
9
Gold remains strong, and we continue to buy on pullbacks!ADP employment unexpectedly turned negative, and the probability of a rate cut increased again The ADP employment report released on the same day showed that the number of private sector jobs in the United States decreased by 33,000 in June, the first net loss since March 2023, and the May data was also significantly revised down to +29,000. After the release of the ADP data, the probability of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in July quickly rose from 20% before the data was released to about 27.4%. The market's bet on a rate cut before September has almost been fully factored in, and federal funds futures also show that the possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut has risen to 22%. This "frown-making" data released a strong signal of cooling in the labor market before Thursday's non-farm report. If today's non-farm continues to be weaker than expected, it may force the Federal Reserve to act faster. Gold opened high and then retreated continuously. From the daily chart, gold is still in an upward trend in the long term. The previous market rebounded effectively after touching the downward trend line, and the rebound force was considerable. With the restart of the bullish force, the main idea can carry the trend and do more on dips. In addition, from the 4-hour chart, gold has broken through the previous downward trend line and has gone out of the V-shaped reversal pattern, which means that the previous short-term downward trend has ended. At present, a new trend is also opening up in the 4-hour chart. The rise of gold has also established an upward trend line. You can consider buying on dips based on the upward trend line 3332. However, due to insufficient bottoming time in the previous stage, it may still face the risk of decline, so you should set the stop loss with caution. From the 1-hour chart, gold fell after opening high, and the bullish trend remains unchanged. The points for long orders can consider 3334 and 3328. Gold operation suggestions: Go long on gold near 3325-3335, with a target of 3350-3360.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
Critical moment! Where will gold go?After rebounding for two consecutive days, gold prices consolidated in a narrow range in the Asian market on Wednesday, hovering below a one-week high. Although the US dollar rebounded slightly and the market's improved risk appetite suppressed safe-haven demand, the Fed's interest rate cut expectations and trade uncertainties limited the downside of gold prices. The market is waiting for the upcoming ADP and non-farm data to determine the timing of the Fed's interest rate cut. The key technical resistance is $3,358. Gold received a positive cross in June. At present, the monthly line has an upper shadow for three consecutive trading months, and the shadow is long, indicating that the upper selling pressure is relatively large; in this way, for the future market, we are more optimistic about the highs and falls. In the recent stage, gold is not interested in US data, but Trump frequently calls for the Fed to cut interest rates, which we still need to pay attention to. The sharp rise in gold in the past two days is not unrelated to the Fed's expectation of a rate cut. On the other hand, it is also related to the market rumor that the US President Trump's tariff deadline on July 9 is also related. If the US dollar index bottoms out and rebounds, ushering in a phased upward trend; then, it is bound to suppress gold. Short-term resistance is yesterday's high point 3350-3360 area. If it breaks above, it is expected to hit 3375-80, and further 3400 mark; before breaking above 3400 area, there is still a large sweep range. If it goes up, the bulls will have a wave of acceleration, and the upper 3425 and 3450 may even hit the historical high. For the day, the 5-day moving average 3315 area will form a strong support after breaking through. If it rebounds and rushes higher, it cannot break below. Once it breaks below, the market will continue to fall, further 3300~3295, and then 3275 and 3255~45 areas; that is, the rise on Monday and Tuesday means the end of the bulls. Therefore, in terms of operation, the short-term relies on the 3315-3325 area to support low longs, and if it rises, it will continue to short with reference to the resistance area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel
1