Gold’s decline is not over yet, aim at: 3160-3150Gold fell below the 3200 mark several times during the test. Although it recovered above 3200 several times, the rebound momentum is gradually weakening, giving short sellers the opportunity to counterattack.
From the perspective of the morphological structure, gold has perfectly constructed an arc top structure, laying a solid foundation for gold to usher in a retracement at any time. The 4-hour candle chart shows that the fall has just begun, so gold still has plenty of room for retracement. At present, gold has rebounded slightly after touching around 3200, but if it cannot break through the 3216-3220 zone during the rebound, it will further confirm the downward trend of gold, then gold will inevitably retreat to the 3160-3150 zone, and in the process of decline, once the profit chips are cashed in or even panic selling is triggered, gold may even have the opportunity to retreat to the 3130-3120 zone!
Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, I still advocate shorting gold in batches. The decline of gold has not ended. Let us look forward to gold bringing us huge profits during the retracement!
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XAUUSD trade ideas
Has the Gold Rally Come to an End?Gold has proven to be an exceptional hedge against the prevailing uncertainty in global markets, with much of this volatility driven by geopolitical tensions and policy unpredictability stemming from the influence of Donald Trump. Amid this backdrop, investors have increasingly sought safety in tangible assets, and gold has emerged as a preferred store of value.
Presently, GOLD has reached a significant technical milestone — the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level from the 2015 bear market low — after delivering a remarkable 100% appreciation over the past decade. This confluence of long-term Fibonacci projections and a sharp acceleration in price suggests that gold may be approaching a key inflection point.
Given the speed and magnitude of this recent rally, a period of consolidation or even a short-term pullback appears likely. Traders and long-term holders may begin to lock in profits, especially as valuations in gold become stretched relative to historical norms. The capital generated from this profit-taking could be rotated into other asset classes that are currently oversold or undervalued, potentially igniting a broader rebalancing across financial markets.
In this context, I see gold not only as a barometer of risk sentiment but also as a potential trigger for cross-asset shifts. Should profit-taking in gold accelerate, it could act as a catalyst for renewed interest in equities, commodities, or even emerging markets — areas that may offer more attractive risk-reward profiles at current levels. As such, I’ll be closely watching gold’s price action, not just in isolation, but for the signals it may send about broader market dynamics and capital flows.
Idea for Mon 14 Apr - Gold Short – Bear in a Bull OutfitOANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has been heavily influenced by recent developments in the trade war.
A 90-day pause on tariffs (excluding China) and the exemption of smartphones and computers from tariffs were announced on friday.
These headlines may temporarily calm markets and give stocks room to rise — which typically puts pressure on gold. If Dollar is rising again, could be a side effect too.
This could lead to a short-term pullback in gold prices.
A price gap was formed around $3175.51 during the opening session on Thursday, April 10th.
After a small bounce, i expect gold to move downward to fill that gap.
A potential support level is sitting near $3156, which could act as a bounce zone.
"Next week it’s a bear inside a bull outfit."
Despite a broader bullish structure, we could see the week start with a correction. A classic gap-fill setup for the short-term traders.
RSI and MacD are on top levels, but for how long?
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Gold Bearish ReversalPattern: Bearish Harmonic Butterfly
Entry: ~$3,238
Stop Loss: Above $3,330
Take Profit Target: $3,020 (next major support level)
• Price action is stalling near the PRZ of the pattern.
• The next logical support level is around $3,020, making it a compelling downside target.
Caveats:
• Strong macro tailwinds or news shocks could push price through the stop zone.
• Keep an eye on USD strength, real yields, and the tariff news.
4/11 Gold Trading StrategyFresh High Above 3170 – Momentum Continues, but Chasing Longs Is Risky
Gold delivered a strong one-sided rally yesterday, rising from around 3078 to above 3170, setting a fresh short-term high. While CPI and jobless claims data were modestly bullish, most of the rally occurred before the data release, suggesting that the move was primarily technically driven rather than fundamentally triggered.
As we anticipated yesterday, the price did reach above 3170 , and as clearly stated, we did not recommend chasing long positions at those highs. This view remains unchanged today.
🔍【Technical Insights】
The recovery from 2955 back to 3160+ took just 2 sessions, versus 4 sessions for the prior drop from 3167 — a clear sign of momentum dominance.
The daily chart shows two strong bullish candles, typically a sign of follow-through potential.
However, new highs reached under this structure tend to attract profit-taking and possible pullbacks.
If a technical correction occurs, look to 3143–3128 as a meaningful support zone for long opportunities.
🎯【Today's Gold Trade Setup】
🔻Sell Zone: 3188 – 3215
Look for short entries near resistance after overextension
🔺Buy Zone: 3134 – 3112
Wait for a healthy pullback to consider long positions
🔄Range Zone: 3178 – 3143
Flexible trading range — favor quick in/out trades in the zone
Excellent Price-action for Profit opportunitiesTechnical analysis: Choppy Trading sessions so far as the Price-action (Xau-Usd Spot) managed to close above the Daily chart’s Support zone, still giving decent chance to Buyers and so far (throughout today’s session) Gold is Trading above the Support fractal (#2,952.80 - #2,957.80). Hourly 4 chart delivered Double Bottom structure and Technical setting became strongly Oversold as the sequence (#3 out of #3 cycles replicated) recovered the Hourly 4 chart’s #3,012.80 - #3,018.80 belt each time throughout Asian session and as soon as possible in order to revive Buyer’s intent to get back into Bullish phase (Bullish Short-term). However, there is an possibility for aggressive takedown if #3,000.80 benchmark gives away, however that outlook remains less possible as current Bottom is formed and the Price-action is getting rejected twice in a row Hourly 4 chart (both times delivering relief rally). Hourly 4 chart almost delivered strong Bearish formation however current sequence got rejected and now I am ready to pursue values above the current Price-action. Gold is delivering strong Bearish and Bullish formations which brings Lower High's and Higher High's zones in motion for both Sellers and Buyers to pursue both ways. I am consulting my Donchian Channel and Trading it for couple of sessions now and I am interested in both Buying and Selling opportunities.
My position: I have Sold Gold throughout yesterday' session twice from #3,035.80 - #3,042.80 (closed both on #3,015.80) and Bought Gold on #2,065.80 and kept order over-night / closing #3,011.80 few moments ago which is excellent Price-action to Profit on and I am looking forward for today's opportunities. I do expect Gold to remain in #2,952.80 - #3,052.80 range for a while where I will Buy and Sell respectively from my calculated re-Sell and re-Buy zones.
XAU/USD "The Gold" Metal Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!"💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
🏁Buy entry above 3070
🏁Sell Entry below 2950
📌However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side.
Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy (or) sell stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊."
🚩Thief SL placed at 2960 (swing Trade Basis) for Bullish Trade
🚩Thief SL placed at 3050 (swing Trade Basis) for Bearish Trade
Using the 4H period, the recent / swing low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
🏴☠️Bullish Robbers : TP 3260 (or) Escape Before the Target
🏴☠️Bearish Robbers : TP 2800 (or) Escape Before the Target
⚒💰XAU/USD "The Gold" Metal Market Heist Plan is currently experiencing a neutral to bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.... 👇👇👇
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📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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GOLD reasons for shortHello fellow traders,
this idea is an absolute speculation based on a fact the tariffs were announced, indexes loss is accounted for and time for stabilisation in a market, perhaps time to buy USD instead? I am bidding 1:2 on the scenario and placing my t/p at level 2840 with sl 3240,
always protect your capital, management of risk is the crucial factor in trading no matter how much you invest, good luck
Golden Opportunity Ahead? Watch These Key Levels Closely!📢 Attention Gold Traders!
✨ The gold market is currently moving within a well-defined range, respecting key technical levels:
🔼 Resistance: $3211
🔽 Support: $3195
📊 Trading Insight:
If price breaks above resistance while staying inside the trend line, our next target is $3223.
However, if it breaks above the trend line, we could see an extended move toward $3245. 🚀💰
🔥 Bearish Scenario
A break and close below $3195 could open the door for more downside, signaling potential short setups. 📉💥
🛡 Risk Management is Key
Don’t forget your trading armor — manage your lot size, set those stop-losses, and always protect your capital. 💼🛡️
⏳ Patience Pays
No need to rush! The best trades come to those who wait. Let the setup come to you. 🎯🧘♂️
💬 Stay smart. Stay sharp. Trade safe!
💡 Trade smart, stay disciplined, and let the market lead the way! 🎯📈
XAUUSD Today's strategyYesterday, the market trend on the trading chart continued to decline. However, it did not set a new low compared to the previous low point. Instead, the lows gradually showed an upward trend. Today, the crucial price level of 3,025 US dollars requires our close attention. Once it is successfully broken through, the market will continue to make an upward assault on the range between 3,045 and 3,055 US dollars. Overall, the current market is mainly characterized by a washout and sideways movement, and it is still too early for the price to reach its peak. Given the continuous impact of the trade conflicts, this will serve as a powerful factor driving the price of gold to new heights rather than causing the price of gold to collapse.
In particular, we must keep a close eye on the breakthrough of the 3,025 US dollars level. After this price level is broken through, we should focus on the pullback and confirmation movement. If the pullback does not break below this level, we can set the area below 2,980 US dollars as the stop-loss line. Under this premise, we can consider entering the market to go long, with the target set at the range between 3,040 and 3,045 US dollars, so as to capture the profit opportunities brought about by the rebound.
Gold falls under pressureGold rebounded from the bottom last week, and the entire increase from 2957 to 3245 was as high as 288 US dollars. It took only three trading days. The strong V reversal went up as it went down. At present, gold has successfully stood on the 3200 mark. Can it continue to rise this week? Is there any hope for 3500?
At present, whether it is from the daily or weekly lines, they are all big Yang closings, which all show the strong rise of gold. From the big trend, there is no doubt that the bullish direction. Especially for the current political and economic situation, but it is necessary to pay attention to the process of rising, which is also accompanied by a correction or deep retracement, just like the last wave of plunge.
At present, gold is mainly affected by tariff policies, which pushes gold prices to continue to rise. Now that the tariffs have been increased to 125%, adding more is just a number game with no practical significance. There is no more to add. The next step is to return to the negotiation table, which is just a matter of time. Once such a vent is revealed in the future, gold will dive from the high platform. This is a news risk point that needs to be paid attention to. There are risks in chasing high prices, and trading needs to be cautious.
The daily line rose nearly 300 US dollars in three consecutive days. This kind of rapid rise and fall will not last too long. It is easy to turn to negative correction or cross sideways in a cycle of three to four days. Therefore, I think the probability of a sharp rise in gold at the beginning of this week is not high, and we should be careful of the market that rises and falls.
Today, gold rose and fell as expected over the weekend. It just didn't break the high. Gold opened low at 3220 and rose successfully. Our 3220 long orders successfully stopped profit at 3235-3240; European session 3234 light position short, 3237 increase short position, 3218 reduce position, stop profit at 3209; long and short turnover all won. For gold, there is a possibility of continued downward exploration, focusing on the 3227-3230 pressure line short, the watershed 3238, and the support below is the 3200 mark-3187 line.
Gold Holds Haven Status Above 3200Gold maintains its safe-haven appeal, holding firmly above the $3,200 mark. The current trend met resistance near $3,250, and a decisive breakout could drive further gains toward $3,290–$3,300, fueled by rising trade war tensions and ongoing dollar weakness.
• Downside Risks:
If the dollar reverses or U.S.–China trade talks show progress, a drop below $3,200 may lead to pullbacks toward $3,190 and $3,170.
A deeper decline could trigger a broader correction toward $3,100 and $3,090, helping to reset overbought momentum on higher time frames or set the stage for a deeper downturn.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
XAUUSDHello, traders
This chart is an insightful visual representation of technical analysis for the Gold Spot price (XAU/USD) against the U.S. Dollar. Based on its design, it seems geared toward identifying potential price movement patterns and decision points for trading. Here are some key takeaways:
1. **Fibonacci Retracement Levels:** Highlighted at 0.618 and 0.886, they indicate potential zones where the price might reverse or consolidate, valuable for planning entry and exit points.
2. **Significant Price Levels:** Labels like PDH (Previous Day High), PDL (Previous Day Low), and PWL (Previous Week Low) provide context on past market performance, which can signal future behavior.
3. **Market Structure Insights:** Annotations like BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH (Change of Character) help traders analyze shifts in trend or market momentum.
4. **Current Market Data:** With an ask price of 3,238.290 and a bid at 3,237.570, accompanied by a visible increase in volume, this may suggest heightened market activity.
Managed Money Selling Gold into Strength to Take ProfitsGold has entered a consolidation phase after surging from 2970 to 3245 last week. Ongoing headlines about tariffs continue to fuel global demand, with strong interest seen in China and U.S. However, there are early signs that gold prices may be approaching a short-term supply-demand equilibrium.
COMEX inventory data recently showed that, for the first time in this rally (since December), physical demand has not increased over the past few days. While demand remains strong overall, this could be an early signal of slowing momentum.
The latest COT report indicates that total net managed money positions have been slowly declining since early February, with the pace of reduction picking up recently. This suggests that smart money is locking in some profits while the market remains strong. Still, net positioning remains elevated.
In the short term, this might not trigger a major reversal, but gold bulls should stay cautious and consider tightening stop-loss levels to manage risk.
A possible flag pattern appears to be forming, though the structure is not yet fully developed. The key resistance to watch is 3245. Unless this level is broken, gold could be forming a horizontal or slightly bearish flag beneath it.
Short-term support levels to monitor are 3200, 3175, and 3130 for now. These will be updated as the price action evolves.
XAUUSD – Bearish Breakdown in Progress?Gold facing rejection near $3245 supply zone with a clear descending channel and repeated lower highs. Price has now broken below the rising structure, confirming short-term weakness.
Eyes on the $3187 support – a breach could open downside targets toward $3170 and $3130.
Bias: Bearish
Strategy: Sell on rise near trendline resistance or breakdown pullbacks.
Structure + Volume = Clarity
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #PriceAction #BreakdownSetup #DkRayakTV
25-04-14 Gold 3222.80 USD/oZ - correction aheadRegarding the chart, two remarks:
- heavy price acceleration will end
- Deviation from 200MA: typical sign for correction.
Maybe we will see 2400 USD/OZ, but for shure expect correction down to 2800 at minimum.
2500 also possible.
Reason: maybe fundamental. Toll problems will be solved. Escape Room Gold not longer required.