XAUUSD BEARISH CONTINUATION SETUP📉 XAUUSD – Bearish Continuation Setup
Timeframe: 30m | Bias: Bearish
Price failed to hold above the lower supply zone (highlighted red) after a strong move into resistance. A clear break of structure confirms sellers are in control.
🔹 Entry: 3,355–3,360 (after minor pullback into supply zone)
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): Above 3,365 (invalidation above zone)
🔹 Take Profit (TP):
▫️TP1: 3,330
▫️TP2: 3,315
▫️TP3: 3,300 (if bearish momentum continues)
📌 Structure shift + rejection from supply zone gives high-probability short setup. Wait for price confirmation before entry.
XAUUSD trade ideas
Gold Trading Strategy | July 14-15✅ From the 4-hour chart structure, the short-term support to watch lies in the 3340–3345 zone, which corresponds to the neckline level on last Friday's hourly chart. This is a key support area. If a pullback holds above this level, it may serve as a new launching point for the bulls.
✅ A deeper support zone is located around 3325–3330, which serves as the dividing line between a strong and weak bullish structure in the short term. If this level is broken, the bullish continuation will need to be re-evaluated.
✅ From the daily chart perspective, as long as gold prices remain stable above 3325, the overall bullish trend remains intact. The strategy of "buying on dips" remains valid. As long as there is no confirmed breakdown below this level, the outlook remains bullish.
✅ Trading Strategy Suggestions:
🔰 Initial Buy Zone: Consider light long positions on a pullback to the 3340–3345 area.
🔰 Add-on Zone: If the price dips further to the 3330–3335 area, consider adding to long positions.
🔰 Target Zone: Look for an upside move toward the 3365–3370 area, paying attention to the strength of the rebound.
🔥Trading Reminder: Trading strategies are time-sensitive, and market conditions can change rapidly. Please adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions. If you have any questions or need one-on-one guidance, feel free to contact me.
XAUUSD Swing Trade Idea 14-07-2025Hello Traders!
Here's a breakdown on XAUUSD: H4 Timeframe
1. Overall trend is Bullish; Price has been forming HH and respecting HL.
2. By using the identified swing points, we can highlight discounted levels where we expect price to resume the bullish trend. (Impulsive phase)
3. Gold in currently in a (Corrective Phase), and within that corrective structure we can identify impulsive phase and corrective phase. Like they say a structure within a structure
4. Breaking down the current structure we can clearly see that price grabbed liquidity above the last LH and mitigated the supply area which then led to MSS/CHOCH in the market.
5. We can then identify those internal points as internal high and internal low. I am currently expecting price to pull back into premium levels where I will be looking for selling opportunities targeting the discounted level.
6. Current price is playing around EQL, and if we are to zoom in on that structure, we will see that price is respecting a bullish trend structure by forming HH and respecting HL, currently expecting price to pull back into discounted levels then push higher to our premium level, as illustrated.
XAUUSD_15M_SellGold Analysis Short-term Time Frame Elliott Wave Analysis Style The market could enter a decline due to the completion of five waves from the major wave 5, and as long as the price maintains the resistance of 3342, the trend could turn bearish and move towards the target of 3322 and finally 3315.
Gold----Buy near 3348, target 3369-3389Gold market analysis:
Looking back at last week's market, the market performance on Monday and Tuesday last week was quite abnormal, belonging to the rhythm of a big oscillation. The following three trading days were basically relatively normal, and the market rose all the way after the buy-in. The overall market was a bottoming-out and rebounding market. Recently, investors are very confused about whether the general trend is bullish or bearish? First of all, we need to distinguish how long the general trend cycle is? If you look at the weekly line, you can at least see a 2-4 week trend. If you want to see a trend for a month, then you have to look at the weekly K-shaped and monthly trend. I understand that the long-term trend is at least a trend of one month to half a year. With the current instability of the international situation, the trend of Russia and Ukraine, the situation in the Middle East, and Trump's global tariff war, I think the half-year trend is bullish. We are short-term traders, and basically can't see that far. Looking at the trend of one week at most is the limit. Playing with long-term trends requires a 100-point mentality, and playing with short-term trends only requires technology. The first thing every Monday is to figure out the trend of the week. Buy short-term climb at the weekly close. This week's thinking is bullish first. We estimate that there will be a decline in the second half of the week. Today's weekly line is treated as a low-price buy first, and pay attention to the retracement to the support to buy. The low point of Friday's retracement near 3348 is a new support, and it is also the starting point of the pattern support 3344. In addition, the hourly stepping point is near 3342. If it does not break 3342 today, insist on buying. If it breaks, adjust the thinking to be bearish in time. A small step on the Asian session is also an opportunity to get on the train.
Pressure 3397, support 3348, 3345, 3342, the watershed of strength and weakness in the market is 3342.
Fundamental analysis:
Last week, Trump increased tariffs on Canada and will soon increase tariffs on Brazil. There is no signal of stopping the tariff war. It is long-term bullish for gold. The situation in the Middle East has not completely stopped, and it is also a long-term suppression of the US dollar to support gold.
Operation suggestion:
Gold----Buy near 3348, target 3369-3389
XAUUSD Technical Breakdown – Smart Money Analysis📊 XAUUSD Technical Breakdown – Smart Money Analysis (July 13, 2025)
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently presenting a textbook example of smart money behavior, with clear signs of institutional activity driving price action. The chart highlights multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS), signaling ongoing market manipulation phases and liquidity targeting.
🔼 Price recently surged into a strong resistance zone ($3,355 – $3,370) — an area where previous supply caused sharp rejections. This level has once again proven its strength, as price formed a new BOS immediately after testing this zone. The reaction suggests the presence of institutional sell orders.
📉 Bearish sentiment is reinforced by the series of lower highs and consistent BOS formations, pointing toward a likely continuation move to the downside. The next area of interest is the liquidity pool near $3,260, which holds resting stop orders from retail long positions. Smart money often drives price toward these levels to fill larger orders efficiently.
💡 Key Technical Observations:
Multiple BOS signals showing shifts in short-term trend.
Rejection from well-defined resistance implies a supply zone.
Bearish imbalance and clean structure favor continuation down.
Liquidity pool below is a prime target for institutional move.
🎯 Trade Idea (Educational Purpose):
Sell Zone: $3,360 – $3,370
Target: $3,340 – $3,300 (liquidity zone)
Invalidation: Clean breakout above $3,380 resistance zone
This setup demonstrates how understanding market structure, supply/demand zones, and liquidity pools can provide powerful insight into future price action. Always remember, smart money moves the market — your job is to follow the footprints, not fight the flow.
oro Suggested Description for a Long Trade Idea on Gold (GOLD):
Potential Technical Rebound After Sharp Drop – Waiting for Confirmation
Gold (5-minute chart) has broken below the key $3,348 support and is now showing extreme oversold conditions on the Stochastic Oscillator. Although bearish momentum dominates, I’m watching this zone for a possible bounce if price reclaims the $3,348 level with a clear bullish candle.
Conditional Long Setup:
Entry: ~$3,348–$3,350 (after confirmation)
Stop Loss: $3,341 (below the recent low)
Take Profit 1: $3,355
Take Profit 2: $3,362
If the bounce fails and price continues lower, I may consider a short setup toward $3,335. Waiting for clear signals before entering any position.
⚠️ This is not financial advice – just sharing my personal analysis for discussion and learning purposes.
The Unicorn Model: : Guide to ICT’s Best Standalone setup🦄 The ICT Unicorn: The Most Powerful Setup in ICT
Among all the concepts of ICT, the Unicorn setup stands out as the ultimate precision entry model, it’s confluence perfected. Why? Because it merges two of the most potent ideas in ICT theory: Breaker Blocks and Fair Value Gaps into a single zone.
This combination creates the most high-probability, sniper-level setup in the entire ICT playbook.
Why It’s the Best you think?
Most ICT setups (like simple FVGs, order blocks, or liquidity sweeps) offer high-probability trades on their own, but the Unicorn setup stacks the odds in your favor by combining multiple layers of confirmation. This makes it the most disciplined and rewarding entry model for traders who rely on market structure.
Core Concepts Explained
A breaker block is a former order block that gets invalidated when price breaks structure, then acts as support or resistance upon a retest. It’s a sign of a shift in market intent, from bullish to bearish or vice versa.
A fair value gap (FVG) is a three-candle pattern where a sudden price move creates an imbalance, a "gap" between the wicks of the first and third candle. Price often retraces into that gap before continuing its trend.
When these two concepts overlap, a breaker block and a fair value gap in the same zone, it forms the “unicorn” setup. It suggests a strong level where liquidity has been taken and institutions may re-enter.
How the Setup Work s
First, you identify a market structure shift, like a break in a previous high or low. Then look for the breaker block left behind by that move. Within that block, check if there’s a fair value gap (the imbalance zone). When price retraces back into that confluence zone, wait for a reaction, often a strong reversal or continuation.
Entry is usually taken when price shows rejection within the zone on a lower timeframe. Your stop-loss goes just beyond the breaker block, and your target can be the next high/low or a logical liquidity pool.
Example of a bearish Unicorn Model:
Best Conditions to Use It
This setup works best when used in line with the higher timeframe trend. Many traders analyze structure on the 1-hour or 4-hour chart, then drop to 5-minute or 15-minute charts to enter. It’s commonly used in forex and indices but also works well in crypto or commodities.
Avoid using it during news events though. Like all ICT concepts, it requires patience and practice to identify clean setups and avoid forcing trades.
Example spotted on a Gold setup:
ICT Unicorn Model was first introduced in 2022, primarily applied to the Nasdaq 100 (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES). What stood out immediately was its precision, the kind of clean structure and consistency you don’t often find in most strategies.
As it was tested further, it was clear this wasn’t just for indices. The model transitioned beautifully into forex, especially on major pairs like GBP/USD and EUR/USD, delivering sharp entries as well.
I also tested it on metals like gold (XAU/USD) and silver (XAG/USD), as well as the Dollar Index (DXY), and the results spoke for themselves. Even in crypto, where volatility is the norm, the Unicorn setup held its ground.
It’s rare to find a trading model that adapts across markets this well.
Final Thoughts
The ICT Unicorn is all about confluence and precision. You’re not trading every breaker or every FVG, only the ones that align, especially with a clean shift in structure. When used with proper risk management, it can be a high-probability setup in your playbook.
7/14: Sell High, Buy Low Within the 3400–3343 Range for GoldGood morning, everyone!
At the end of last week, renewed trade tariff concerns reignited risk-off sentiment, prompting a strong rally in gold after multiple tests of the 3321 support level. The breakout was largely driven by fundamental news momentum.
On the daily (1D) chart, the price has fully reclaimed the MA60 and broken above the MA20, signaling an emerging bullish trend. The key focus for this week includes:
Monitoring whether MA20 holds as support on any pullbacks
Watching the 3400 resistance zone for signs of exhaustion or continuation
From a 30-minute technical perspective, gold is currently trading within a short-term resistance band of 3372–3378, with a stronger resistance zone between 3387–3392. Key support levels are:
Primary support: around 3358
Secondary support: 3343–3332 zone
Given the recent increase in volatility due to geopolitical and macroeconomic headlines, flexible intraday trading is recommended within the 3378–3343 range, while broader trades can be framed around the 3400–3325 zone, still favoring a sell-high, buy-low approach.
Lastly, as we move into the mid-year period, I may have more personal commitments, and strategy updates could be less frequent. I appreciate your understanding, and as always, feel free to leave a message if you have any questions or need trading guidance—I’ll respond as soon as I can.
Gold gaps up and open higher,beware of going long at high levelsBros, the Asian session opened higher in the morning. Currently, gold is falling back to the SMA1O moving average. We will continue to be bullish after it falls back and stabilizes. At present, it has broken through the key resistance level of 3360. The daily line has shown a strong pattern of three consecutive positives. The gold price remains in the rising channel, and the bullish trend is obvious. As the gold price moves up, the short-term moving average moves up with it. At present, 3355-3345 constitutes an important support in the short term, and 3375-3385 above constitutes a short-term resistance area. Whether it can stand firmly above 3360 this week is the key.
Severe overbought in the short term, there are trading risks for long positions at high levels. Short-term operation suggestions for the Asian and European sessions: consider shorting when it touches 3365-3375, and stop loss when it breaks 3375. The target focuses on 3355-3345, and the breakout looks at 3330-3320. On the contrary, if it stabilizes at 3355-3345, you can consider going long.
GOLD UPDATE – Demand Zone Bounce📊 GOLD UPDATE – Demand Zone Bounce
Price respected the 3349–3351.8 demand zone and is now climbing toward key resistance at 3366.912.
🟩 Demand Zone Held: 3349–3351.8
📈 Target: Resistance Level 3366.912
📉 Backup Demand: 3342–3345 & 3339–3346 (in case of pullback)
This reaction reinforces the importance of level precision and smart zone selection. Let's watch for confirmation near resistance.
The impact of tariffs continues, shorting is expected to retrace📰 News information:
1. Focus on tomorrow's CPI data
2. Bowman's speech at the Federal Reserve
3. Tariff information outflows and countries' responses to tariff issues
📈 Technical Analysis:
During the weekend, the Trump administration's tariff information continued to come out, causing a large amount of funds to flow into the safe-haven market, triggering an escalation of market risk aversion. Although the collapse in the previous tariff remarks did hit the market's buying enthusiasm to a certain extent, the strong rise on Friday also stimulated the market's buying enthusiasm again. This, whether it is on the way down or on the way up, has attracted retail investors to a certain extent. As we judged on gold on Friday and the weekend, short-term bulls are undoubtedly strong. However, I think it is very dangerous to continue to chase long positions at high levels. Therefore, I tend to short-term and then consider continuing to chase long positions after the market retreats to the support level.
First of all, the CPI data will be released tomorrow. With inflation in the United States currently heating up, the Federal Reserve is undoubtedly resisting a rate cut in July. This has, to some extent, dampened the enthusiasm of bulls. Secondly, it is necessary to pay attention to the response of Europe and Japan to the tariff issue. Due to the timeliness, the current market expectations are undoubtedly limited.
In the short term, the RSI indicator is already seriously overbought. For today's operation arrangement, it is recommended to short at the rebound of 3365-3375. If the gold price continues to maintain a strong trend in the short term and breaks through this resistance area, it is time to stop loss. First of all, we should pay attention to whether 3355-3345 can be broken. Once it falls below the support of 3355-3345, we will need to see the 3330 line below, and it may even fall below 3300. Therefore, we also need to take precautions and follow up.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3365-3375
TP 3355-3345
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. New week, gold opened with a nice push up. Taking a look at the 4 hour chart I have marked my areas of interest for me to see what happens during the overnight sessions. Wishing everyone a safe and profitable trading week. Shout out to Big G. Be well and trade the trend. I will post again in the later part of the London session or when Pre NY volume starts in the morning here in the US. Thanks so much.
GOLD: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 3,358.00 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 3,349.30.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD PULLS BACK TO TREND LINE AND RE-ENTERS BUY ZONE!Hey Traders so looking at Gold right now seems like we are consolidating at 3310 looking for direction. However I think the trend is still up because if you look close at support levels 3240 it has rejected that level twice.
Of course markets can flip on a dime when something unpredictable happens in this tariff driven environment so we still need to be cautious.
Seasonally Gold Rises in the Summer from a historical standpoint. But watch out to see what happens at todays FED meeting.
So if your Bullish this is the place to buy cautiously consider small position on an aggressive entry and put stop below 3230 which looks like it could be good level.
Or if conservative wait until after FED meeting to see how market reacts off this level and they buy again on a pullback if market reacts positive.
However if Bearish I would wait for a daily close and break below 3215 or 3200 before considering selling.
Good Luck & Always use Risk Management!
(Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.)
Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford
XAUUSD Approaching Breakout Zone – Watch for Confirmation GOLD (#XAUUSD) – High-Probability Bullish Continuation Setup
Gold is maintaining its strong bullish structure on the daily timeframe, having recently respected a rising trendline, confirming ongoing buyer interest and market confidence.
Currently, price action is forming a well-defined Cup & Handle pattern, which is considered a high-probability bullish continuation formation. The market closed last week near the neckline resistance around the 3367 level, showing signs of pressure building for a breakout.
Key Technical Insight:
A daily candle close above 3367 will confirm a breakout of the neckline and validate the bullish setup. However, for entry confirmation, a clean breakout and daily close above 3380 will provide a stronger technical signal and reduce the likelihood of a false breakout.
Technical Summary:
Chart Pattern: Cup & Handle
Trend Structure: Rising Trendline (Confirmed)
Neckline Resistance: 3367
Breakout Entry Level: 3380+
Bias: Bullish
Timeframe: Daily
check the trendIt is expected that the upward trend will pass the resistance range and with the stabilization above this range, we will see the continuation of the upward trend.
If the price crosses the support trend line, the continuation of the correction will be formed. And with the failure of the support range, the beginning of the downtrend of the scenario will be likely.
Overall Trajectory BullishEntering long positions on XAU/USD based on a confirmed 3-Drive pattern on the H4 timeframe, aligning with confluence from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone.
As long as price stays and holds above 3200 I will remain bullish, if there is a close below 3200 then my analysis will be subject to change. Strong resistance will be at 3400 if it holds then the target is 3641 with a minor pullback at 3548.