Stimulated by fundamentals, gold prices rebounded
Gold market analysis: Geopolitical risks help push gold prices to break through key resistance, technical outlook remains bullish
Affected by the stalemate in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and the escalation of global trade tensions, risk aversion continues to heat up, and international gold prices strongly broke through key resistance levels on Monday. Although the second round of negotiations between Russia and Ukraine reached a consensus on the exchange of prisoners of war, the ceasefire agreement has not made progress. Coupled with the US's increase in steel tariffs, which has exacerbated economic uncertainty, gold rose by more than $100 a day, soaring from around $3,290 to $3,392, setting a new stage high.
Technical analysis: C wave upward trend continues, pay attention to the pressure of the 3,400 mark
The C wave rising structure of gold prices starting from $3,120 remains intact. After breaking through $3,340 on Monday, it accelerated to test the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ($3,396), but there is significant selling pressure at the 3,400 integer mark. If it fails to break through effectively, it may enter the $3,396-3,340 range in the short term. Current technical indicators and market sentiment point to bullish dominance, and long orders can still be arranged if the key support level is stepped back.
Operation strategy:
Support level: 3350-3353 US dollars range, if it stabilizes after stepping back, you can go long with a light position, and stop loss at 3343 US dollars.
Resistance level: 3396-3400 US dollars area, after breaking through, it can look to 3450 US dollars.
Conclusion: Geopolitical risks and economic uncertainties support safe-haven demand, and the technical bullish trend has not changed, so the bullish view is maintained in the medium term. Be wary of the risk of technical correction at the 3400 mark.
XAUUSD trade ideas
WAVE 3 PEAK OR SETUP FOR A NEW RALLY? XAUUSD PLAN – JUNE 3RD | WAVE 3 PEAK OR SETUP FOR A NEW RALLY?
After a massive $100 rally at the start of the week, gold has begun to pull back — dropping over $30 during the Asia session today. This is likely the end of Wave 3 (the strongest impulse in a 5-wave Elliott structure), as investors lock in profits and await key macro events.
🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT
A high-stakes call between Trump and Xi Jinping is expected this week, which could reshape short-term trade sentiment.
Investors are moving into cash positions, taking profits after Monday’s surge, and waiting for direction from the upcoming US-China negotiations.
Macro themes remain supportive for volatility: tariff risks, inflation worries, and geopolitical uncertainty.
📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – H2 / H4 / D1
On the higher timeframes (H4 and D1), gold maintains a bullish structure, with EMAs aligned for upside continuation.
On intraday charts (M30–H1), we’re seeing a clean correction, likely to fill the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone below.
The key BUY zone at 3320–3310 will decide direction:
If it holds: strong long setups.
If it breaks: possible structure shift and deeper downside.
🔑 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3320 – 3318
SL: 3314
TP: 3324 → 3328 → 3332 → 3336 → 3340 → 3344 → 3350 → 3360 → ???
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3388 – 3390
SL: 3394
TP: 3384 → 3380 → 3376 → 3370 → 3366 → 3360 → 3350
📌 FINAL THOUGHTS
“Gold is in a healthy correction after a massive surge. The 3310–3320 zone is crucial. Hold it, and bulls may take over again — break it, and we may see a deeper pullback."
⚠️ Stay cautious ahead of political headlines. Any remarks from the Trump–Xi call could spark aggressive price action.
XAUUSD_10M_BuyAnas Gold Analysis
Elliott Wave Analysis Style
Short-term Time Frame and Scalping
Position Type from Buy to Sell
Main and Important Support Level $3355
Given the completion of 5 downwaves and the formation of the corner pattern, by maintaining the main support and breaking the pattern upwards, it can enter the upwave and move towards $3376 and $3382
If the announced resistance is crossed, the rise towards $3404 and $3414 will continue.
XAUUSD Reversal Zones Identified (MMC Analysis) + Target🧠 Overview:
Today’s GOLD chart shows clear institutional footprints using the Market Maker Concept (MMC). We're seeing a sequence of liquidity sweeps, breaks of structure (BOS), and supply/demand (SD) interchanges, all pointing to a well-orchestrated bullish expansion.
This detailed analysis will break down:
Key structure shifts and manipulation zones
BOS confirmations and their implications
Upcoming reversal target zone and trade management suggestions
🔍 Chart Breakdown:
🔸 1. SR Interchange Zone (Demand Zone)
Around $3,270 – $3,280, price showed strong bullish rejection.
This zone represents a Support-Resistance Flip, where price absorbed sell-side liquidity before launching upward.
Market Makers often use this zone to induce short positions, then reverse to trap retail sellers.
🔸 2. Major BOS (Break of Structure)
Occurred near $3,365, signaling a confirmed bullish shift in market structure.
This BOS is important because it shows displacement, a core MMC trait where institutions break structure with momentum.
Once BOS was confirmed, price formed a short-term pullback, aligning with re-accumulation principles.
🔸 3. Previous Target Zone + SD Interchange
Around $3,370 – $3,385, previously identified as a resistance/target zone.
After breaking this zone, price retested it and turned it into new support (SD Interchange).
This is a common MMC move: old resistance becomes a new demand zone post-manipulation.
🔸 4. Target Hit & Bullish Continuation
Price surged upward and hit the next logical target, pausing briefly.
This confirms that the market is following liquidity engineering – price sweeps zones to collect orders, then pushes higher.
🔸 5. Next Reversal Zone: $3,440 – $3,460
This is a key supply zone based on prior inefficiencies and potential smart money exits.
Traders should watch this zone carefully for signs of bearish reaction:
Rejection wicks
Bearish engulfing patterns
RSI/MACD divergence
Volume exhaustion
💡 Trade Strategy Ideas:
✅ Bullish Bias (If price holds above BOS)
Buy retracements into demand zones (e.g., $3,365 or $3,385)
Targets: $3,420 and then $3,450
Use trailing stops to lock in profits
❌ Bearish Setup (Upon reversal signs in $3,440 – $3,460 zone)
Look for short confirmations like lower highs or bearish engulfing candles
Targets: $3,385 (former demand) or $3,365 (BOS level)
⚠️ Risk Management:
Stick to 1-2% risk per trade
Wait for confirmation before entering any reversal
Set clear invalidation levels (above $3,460 for shorts)
🔚 Conclusion:
This GOLD analysis demonstrates classic MMC and Smart Money behavior:
BOS with confirmation
Institutional demand flip
Precise target fulfillment
Approaching a high-probability reversal zone
The next few sessions will be critical. Stay sharp and patient—let the market confirm the next direction.
After the price surge, has the trend of gold changed?Gold opened slightly higher in the Asian morning on Monday and then rose. It basically maintained a slow and volatile rise throughout the day. It rose to around 3383 before the close, and the daily line closed with a big positive line.
The current 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average form a golden cross and extend upward. This signal indicates that the short-term trend is strong. In the short term, we need to focus on the moving average support. The 5/10-day moving average support is in the 3330-3325 area. As long as the price remains above this area, it can be treated as strong. The upper resistance level needs to pay attention to the previous secondary high point of 3438.
In terms of points, the lower support level first looks at around 3360, which is the previous high point of the short-term. After breaking through, we need to pay attention to the top and bottom conversion. The second is the 3330-3325 area support. Pay attention to the top and bottom conversion. If the price falls back strongly, we need to pay attention to the 3300 mark support. This is the current support area of the trend line formed by the low point connection of gold since the rise of 3120.
The upper resistance level is around 3410, followed by the resistance in the 3448-3458 area. This area is the current resistance area of the rising channel formed by the high point since the rise from 3120.
Operation strategy:
Short at current price, stop loss at 3390, profit range 3360-3340;
Long at price drop to around 3340, stop loss 3325, profit range 3345-3360.
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Breakout Analysis – 30-Minute Chart. This chart shows a bullish breakout in Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 30-minute timeframe. After breaking above key resistance levels around the 3,325.000 zone, price action has shown strong upward momentum. The chart suggests a potential short-term pullback (as illustrated by the blue retracement path) followed by a continuation toward the projected target zone near 3,400.000. Multiple support zones (highlighted in green) now provide a solid base for potential buying opportunities. This setup, marked by volume confirmation and structure breakout, aligns with a bullish market sentiment.
XAUUSD – Trade War Rhetoric Returns: Why Gold May Rally Again Steel. Aluminum. Tariffs doubled.
Whenever we enter a phase of tariff war talk and geopolitical friction, the market reacts in a very predictable way:
More tariffs = more uncertainty = weaker USD = stronger GOLD
Less tariffs = stability = stronger USD = weaker GOLD
It's not about politics. It’s about market psychology.
And right now, that psychology favors gold upside.
We’re seeing a return to protectionist rhetoric.
China-U.S. tensions are getting media oxygen again.
Tariff headlines are back on the front page.
This is historically a bullish trigger for gold, especially if the dollar starts to weaken on risk-off flows or rate speculation cools.
I’m keeping an eye on dollar softness + any follow-through on these trade war headlines.
If we get the right technical trigger, I’ll ride gold long ; this narrative can push it higher.
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 6/3/2025In my weekly post, I mentioned as long as 3245 holds, gold is bullish and it is likely to form an inverted head and shoulder pattern if this week closes in a positive note. Indeed gold went up straightaway without testing 3245 support, breaking both 3325 and 3365 resistance. This is a sign of strong bullish momentum.
I will be only engaging buying orders today since the bull is so strong. Will look for buying opportunity from 3365, targeting 3430 today.
Gold - Correction Phase Extended!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 As per our latest Gold analysis, price rejected the $3,100 – $3,150 support zone and traded higher.
However, Gold is still in a correction phase, moving within a falling red channel.
This week, it has been rejecting the upper bound of the channel, reinforcing bearish pressure.
⛔ As long as the upper red trendline holds, the bears remain in control.
✅ For momentum to shift back in favor of the bulls, a clear break above the upper red trendline is needed.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
forecast 03/06/2025XAUUSD Forecast | VSA & Trend Line Analysis | Gold Price Prediction
In this video, I share my detailed forecast for XAUUSD (Gold vs. USD) using Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) and trend line strategies. Watch as I break down the market structure, identify key levels, and explain the logic behind potential moves in gold.
GOLD/USD A point of reversal from an uptrend1. Price Action Zones
Resistance Zone: A dark green horizontal box near the $3,460–$3,486 range. This is labeled with:
HH (Higher High) — A point of reversal from an uptrend
R (Resistance) — Confirming supply and prior rejection
Support/FVG Zone (Fair Value Gap):
Multiple green shaded areas suggest demand zones or price inefficiencies that could attract buy orders.
One clearly marked as “FVG” (Fair Value Gap), typically used in institutional trading strategies.
2. Market Structure
Labeled Points:
HH (Higher High) – Indicates a previously established high
LH (Lower High) – Suggests a shift or weakness in bullish momentum
LL (Lower Low) and HL (Higher Low) – Mark a potential change in trend or a market reversal structure
3. Projected Move
There’s a forecasted bullish move, visualized by an upward arrow:
Entry Point: Around $3,226
Stop-Loss: Below a key support/FVG area (~$3,180)
Take-Profit: Target zone above the resistance (~$3,460)
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🧠 Strategic Implication
This setup appears to be based on Smart Money Concepts, using institutional liquidity zones, market structure breaks, and fair value gaps to identify high-probability trade setups.
Trade Bias: Bullish
Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable, as the take-profit zone is significantly larger than the stop-loss buffer.
Confluences: Support from previous lows, FVG fill, and potential market structure shift (LL to HL)
---
✅ Summary
This XAU/USD chart reflects a professional and methodical approach to trading gold using a combination of supply-demand zones, market structure analysis, and fair value gaps. The trader is expecting a bullish continuation toward a prior resistance zone with a well-defined risk-management strategy.
Continue to maintain stability above 3300, next week✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 06/02/2025 - 06/06/2025
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices declined on Friday, pressured by a rebound in the US Dollar, even as US Treasury yields dipped in response to a robust inflation report. Despite the yield pullback, expectations remain firm that the Federal Reserve could begin easing policy in 2025. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is down 0.83%, trading around $3,289.
Market sentiment turned more risk-averse after US President Donald Trump sharply criticized China, accusing Beijing of breaching the trade agreement reached during talks in Switzerland. In a post, Trump wrote, “China, perhaps not surprisingly to some, HAS TOTALLY VIOLATED ITS AGREEMENT WITH US. So much for being Mr. NICE GUY!”—a statement that reignited geopolitical tensions and added to market uncertainty.
🔥 Identify:
Gold price is in great competition between buyers and sellers around the price range of 3200 - 3300. Tariff policies are coming back, the trump administration is putting pressure to get favorable tariffs.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3332, $3365
Support: $3244, $3204
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAUUSD FOLLOW ASCENDING CHANNEL BULLISH NOW FROM SUPPORT🚨 XAUUSD Technical Update 🚨
4H Time Frame | Ascending Channel in Play
Gold is showing strong bullish momentum after rebounding from the key demand zone at 3240. Price action is respecting the ascending channel structure — and buyers are clearly in control. 📈💪
🎯 Upside Targets:
• 1st Target: 3346
• 2nd Target: 3430
As long as the structure holds, dips are for buying. Let’s ride this bullish wave! 🌊✨
📊 Technical bias: Bullish
📍 Timeframe: 4H
💡 Trade smart, manage risk.
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #PriceAction #BullishTrend #LiviaTrades 😜
XAUUSD Sniper Plan – May 29, 2025“Grip the Zones or Get Gripped – GDP & Claims Are Loading”
Hey GoldFxMinds crew! 🧠🚨
Hope your charts are zoomed in and your mind is zoomed out — because today is calm before the storm. With Unemployment Claims and Prelim GDP dropping tomorrow, NY is all about positioning before the macro thunder hits. So let's gear up — sniper style. 🎯
Current Price: ~3290
Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish, as long as 3285–3295 holds structure.
🟤 PREMIUM ZONES – SELL INTEREST
🔻 3314–3320 (Refined 🔥)
• M15 OB + clean FVG alignment
• EMA50/100 confluence
• Tuesday’s LH rejection → precision sniper zone
🦅 Sniper Alert: Look for CHoCH or M5 rejection candle to enter short with SL above 3322.
🔻 3328–3335
• Liquidity trap zone above yesterday's rejection
• Quick wicks + FVG gap → ideal inducement zone
🦅 Aggressive Sellers: This is the second defense line — don’t chase, react to confirmations.
🔻 3348–3360
• D1 Supply + historical OB + unfilled imbalance
• Strong selling reaction previously seen here
🦅 Swing Traders: This is your reversal fortress. Watch RSI divergence and HTF reaction.
🟢 DISCOUNT ZONES – BUY INTEREST
🟩 3285–3295
• Active H1 demand zone
• EMA200 support + Asia bounce confirmed
• RSI support holding around 38–40
🦅 Long Setup: M5/M15 CHoCH + bullish engulf = sniper trigger.
🟩 3260–3270
• Unfilled FVG + lower OB from Tuesday
• Mid-range retest level
🦅 Buyers: If NY dips below 3285, this is your second line. Wait for PA shift.
🟩 3235–3250
• HTF demand + deep discount zone
• Untapped FVG + BOS origin
🦅 Last Bullet Zone: If we nuke below all structure — this is where smart money waits.
⚡ MID-ZONE CONTROL
⚡ 3300–3308
• NY equilibrium
• Likely to chop — not for entries
🦅 Use for direction bias only after London open.
📊 STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT – H1 + M30
CHoCH confirmed → 3174 to 3285 HL
Bullish continuation possible if 3295 holds
Rejection from refined 3314–3320 zone = intraday short trigger
If we clear 3320 cleanly → expect test of 3335–3360
🧠 MACRO & NEWS CONTEXT
🗓 Tomorrow:
• 🧾 Unemployment Claims
• 📉 Prelim GDP
Big folders = big liquidity sweeps. Today, the market builds traps for tomorrow’s trigger.
🎯 BATTLE PLAN
Buy from 3285–3295 only with M5 confirmation.
Sell from 3314–3320 only on rejection + CHoCH.
Prepare backup buys from 3260 and 3245 if structure breaks.
Avoid trading in 3300–3308 – it's a trap range.
🚨 Final Note – Be The Trader, Not The Liquidity
Today’s game is reaction, not prediction. Price is setting the stage — your job is to read the script and play the sniper role. 🎯
💬 Drop a comment if you’re watching the 3314 zone like a hawk.
❤️ Smash that like & follow if these breakdowns sharpen your entries.
Let’s crush the day, stay smart, and let price prove the move.
— GoldFxMinds 💛
Gold at Resistance into June Open- Decision Time for the BullsGold is poised to mark the largest single-day advance in nearly a month with XAU/USD stretching back into resistance at 3355/80- a region defined by the 61.8% retracement of the April decline and the record high-day reversal close. Looking for a reaction off this mark with a close above the median-line needed to fuel a run towards the record high-close at 3431 and the all-time high at 3500.
Weekly / monthly open support rests at 3289 with key support / medium-term bullish invalidation now raised to the 61.8% retracement of the May rally near 3219.
-MB
XAUUSD 8H: This isn’t balance — it’s broadening distributionAt first glance, it may seem like gold is consolidating. In reality, price is unfolding inside a broadening formation — a structure where highs stretch higher, lows drop deeper, and real direction vanishes behind controlled volatility. This isn’t random noise. It’s Smart Money engineering a distribution phase under the cover of market indecision. And right now, the direction is forming clearly — downward.
The key moment was the failed breakout above 3357 on May 24. Volume spiked 19% above average, but the candle body collapsed. That’s a textbook deviation — a classic liquidity grab. The next candle confirmed the failure by closing back below the level, and no bullish recovery followed. Instead, price printed a lower high around 3305–3315, failing to retest the top. And when price can’t go higher — it usually goes lower.
Confirmation comes from the Anchored VWAP from May 13, which was broken cleanly and never retested. That’s a major shift in control — from buyer to seller. Now price trades below VWAP, with every bullish candle fading and every bearish reaction gaining strength. This is not trend continuation. This is exhaustion.
Volume profile shows the Point of Control between 3297 and 3301 — and price sits well below it. The bulk of liquidity is now overhead. That zone between 3305–3315 is where Smart Money already sold once — and if price returns there, it becomes an ideal re-entry short zone, especially if followed by rejection candles or low-volume pushups.
Targets are clean:
→ 3228 — first liquidity shelf.
→ 3164 — former impulse base.
→ 3084 — if breakdown accelerates.
Everything lines up: deviation, failed breakout, VWAP lost, volume fading, lower highs forming. This isn’t a pause. This is a phase transition — and the market already voted.