Safe-Haven Demand Boosts Gold as Middle East Tensions EscalateHey Traders,
In today’s trading session, we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around the 3,380 zone. Gold is currently trading in an uptrend and is experiencing a correction phase as it pulls back toward this key support and resistance area.
On the fundamental side, reports indicate that Israel struck Iran overnight — fueling a classic geopolitical risk-off sentiment. This escalation is driving strength in safe-haven assets while putting pressure on riskier markets. Gold typically benefits from this kind of uncertainty, adding further weight to the technical setup we’re seeing today.
Trade safe,
Joe
XAUUSD trade ideas
TOP 10 Stats of the Current Gold Bull Market in 2025 and Outlook📊 Top 10 Stats of the Current Gold Bull Market (2025)
1. 🥇 Gold price per ounce: Around $3,338–$3,364, with a recent all-time high above $3,500 in April 2025
2. 📈 Year-to-date gain: About +29% in 2025 so far, after a +30% gain in 2024
3. 🏦 Central bank buying: More than 1,000 tonnes bought for the fourth straight year, reserves near record levels
4. 🔒 Inflation hedge: Strong inverse correlation with real yields; high demand driven by inflation and geopolitical worries
5. 📊 Gold vs S&P 500: Both reached new highs together; gold is up about 27% YTD while the S&P 500 is up only around 2%
6. 💍 Jewellery demand: Global gold jewelry demand is down about 9% in 2024, projected to drop another 16% in 2025 due to high prices
7. ⚖️ Gold-to-silver ratio: Now around 94, down from a peak of 105—showing silver is regaining ground
8. 🏅 Record closes: More than 40 record daily closes for gold in 2025, prices consolidating around $3,290–$3,400
9. 🏛️ Technical breakout: Broke out of a 13-year “cup-and-handle” technical pattern in March 2024
10. 🔮 2025 forecasts: Predictions range from $3,600–$4,000 by Q2 2026, with some expecting as high as $4,500 if risks rise
________________________________________
🔄 How This Gold Bull Market Compares to Past Bull Markets
1️⃣ 1968–1980 Super Bull
• 🕰️ Gold climbed from ~$35 to ~$850, a massive 2,330% gain over 12 years
• 🔥 Driven by double-digit inflation, end of the gold standard, and political turmoil
• ⚠️ Huge corrections, including a nearly 45% drop in 1974–76, but rapid rebounds
2️⃣ 1999–2008 Bull Market
• 💹 Gold surged from ~$252 to ~$1,023 (about +305%) in 9 years
• 🚀 Fueled by the commodities supercycle and concerns about global imbalances
• 📉 Big correction during the 2008 financial crisis, but gold rebounded fast
3️⃣ 2018–2025 (Current Cycle)
• ⏳ Gold broke out in 2024 from a 13-year sideways base
• 💥 Up nearly 200% from the 2018 lows to over $3,500
• 🏦 Central banks are the biggest buyers, unlike earlier cycles
• 🛡️ Corrections have been milder—2022 saw only a 20% drop
• 🏃♂️ Fast recovery: new highs reached within months, not years
________________________________________
📊 Quick Comparison Table
Metric 1968–80 Super Bull 1999–2008 Bull 2018–2025 Current
🚀 Total Gain ~2,330% ~305% ~200% so far
⏲️ Length 12 years 9 years 7 years so far
💔 Biggest Drawdown –45% (1974–76) –30% (2008) –20% (2022)
🏦 Central Bank Role Moderate Emerging Dominant
📉 Correction Speed Years to recover 4 years Months
🏛️ Technical Pattern Secular breakout Multiple peaks Broke 13-yr base
________________________________________
🧭 What Makes the Current Bull Market Unique
• 🏦 Central banks are setting the pace with record-breaking demand
• 🩹 Corrections are less severe and recoveries are quicker
• 📈 Gold is rallying alongside stocks, which is rare historically
• 🏛️ The breakout from a 13-year consolidation signals strong structural support
• 🔮 Major forecasts predict further highs through 2026, suggesting this may become one of the strongest cycles ever
XAUUSD I Daily CLS I D1 FVG / OB Midpoint confluenceHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS Footprint, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behavior of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
XAUUSD LONG XAUUSD has successfully broken its last high (Break of Structure), signaling a potential shift in momentum. Seeing that the pullback is almost coming to an end, it’s the best time to look for long trade.
✅ Target: Next key resistance or liquidity area above.
✅ Stop Loss: Just below the last low to minimize risk.
I dropped this idea 2 days ago.
Best Free Volatility Indicator on TradingView for Gold Forex
This free technical indicator will help you easily measure the market volatility on Forex, Gold or any other market.
It will show you when the market is quiet , when it's active and when it's dangerous .
We will go through the settings of this indicator, and you will learn how to set it up on TradingView.
Historical Volatility Indicator
This technical indicator is called Historical Volatility.
It is absolutely free and available on TradingView, MetaTrader 4/5 and other popular trading terminals.
TradingView Setup
Let me show you how to find it on TradingView and add it to your price chart.
Open a technical price chart on TradingView and open the "Indicators" menu (you will find it at the top of the screen).
Search "Historical Volatility" and click on it.
It will automatically appear on your chart.
"Length" parameter will define how many candles the indicator will take for measuring the average volatility. (I recommend keeping the default number, but if you need longer/shorter-term volatility, you can play with that)
Timeframe drop-down list defines what time frame the indicator takes for measuring the volatility. (I recommend choosing a daily timeframe)
And keep the checkboxes unchanged .
How to Use the Indicator
Now, let me show you how to use it properly.
Wider the indicator and analyse its movement at least for the last 4 months.
Find the volatility range - its low levels will be based on the lower boundary of the range, high levels will be based on its upper boundary.
This is an example of such a range on USDCAD pair.
When the volatility stays within the range, it is your safe time to trade.
When volatility approaches its lows, it may indicate that the market might be slow .
Highs of the range imply that the market is very active
In-between will mean a healthy market.
The Extremes
The violation of a volatility range to the downside is the signal that the market is very slow . This would be the recommended period to not trade because of high chance of occurrence of fakeouts.
An upward breakout of a voliatlity range is the signal of the extreme volatility . It will signify that the market is unstable , and it will be better to let it calm down before placing any trade.
Volatility Analysis
That is how a complete volatility analysis should look.
At the moment, volatility reached extreme levels on CADJPY pair.
The best strategy will be to wait till it returns within the range.
Remember This
With the current geopolitical uncertainty and trade wars, market volatility reaches the extreme levels.
Such a volatility is very dangerous , especially for newbie traders.
Historical volatility technical indicator will help you to easily spot the best period for trading and the moment when it is better to stay away.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold-----Sell near 3405, target 3390-3360Gold market analysis:
Yesterday's daily line closed with a big negative line, which was basically a day to kill the buying. Today's idea is to sell in the short term. The daily and weekly trends have not yet turned to selling. Although the daily line closed with a big negative line yesterday, its shape and indicators have not completely turned to selling. There is still motivation to buy in the later stage. In addition, Iran and Israel are still fighting. It is still difficult to see a deep decline in the short term. We estimate that today's Asian session will rebound slightly and then fall. If today's daily line continues to fall again, it may enter a new short-term selling mode. We are just a follower. We follow the short-term. If the short-term trend is bearish, we will rebound and sell. The daily line closes the negative Asian session and waits for the opportunity to sell.
In the Asian session, we pay attention to the suppression of the 3410 position. It is the suppression position of the shape, the suppression position of the 1-hour moving average, the central axis position of yesterday's big drop, and the suppression position of the daily line. If the Asian session stands on 3410, it may bring a new technical rise in buying. After all, the shape of the daily line is still buying. Secondly, if it breaks 3382, it can continue to sell it with a small rebound. 3405 is also a suppression, and it is also considered to sell when it is close.
Pressure 3405 and 3410, support 3282, the strength and weakness dividing line 3400.
Fundamental analysis:
Yesterday, Iran and Israel started bombing each other again, and the situation began to escalate.
Operation suggestion
Gold-----Sell near 3405, target 3390-3360
Will gold continue to rise after a pullback?As for gold: the trend of daily, weekly and monthly cycles has remained unchanged, and the bulls remain unchanged; and the weekly line has started to rise continuously, and there is a high probability that it will gradually break upward; the daily line temporarily maintains 3245-3293 as the two low points of support at the bottom, and 3382-3452 as the two top high points of resistance to form an upward channel. The upper track is currently suppressed. Although Iran and Iran are still fighting fiercely over the weekend, the market has digested a lot, because today's Asian and European sessions did not continue the strong attack, but there was a wave of continuous declines; but this does not mean that it will fall back too much, and risk aversion will still be triggered at any time. Besides, leaving aside the news, the technical form is also bullish, and the highs and lows are gradually rising. The secondary high point was also broken, and there is a high probability of testing 3500 this week;
For today, due to the weakness of the European session and the rebound before and after the US session, pay attention to the 618 resistance 3436 and other pressures to go bearish first, and then continue to choose bullish when the two supports of 3404-3390 below are touched and stabilized; if the price cannot give the support position after 22:00 to the early morning, it is not ruled out that it will stabilize in advance;
Specific operation plan: It is recommended to go long and bullish at 3410, add more positions at 3408, target 3430-3440, stop loss 3400; short near 3443 above, add more positions at 3448, target 3430-3420, stop loss 3455.
Hanzo / Gold 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Gold – 30 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 3412
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 3372
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
Hanzo / Gold 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another PITASTIC day on the charts, with our analysis playing out perfectly.
Yesterday after completing the target at 3352, we stated that we’ll be watching for a confirmed cross and lock above 3352 for a continuation. We got the cross and lock above 3352 opening 3388.
- 3388 was hit perfectly today completing this target. We will now look for a ema5 cross and lock above 3388 for a continuation. If price fails to lock above, we could see rejections leading back into the lower Goldturns, where we’ll look for support and bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3318 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3318 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3352 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3388 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3388 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3478
BEARISH TARGETS
3281
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3281 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3254
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3254 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3210
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3210 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3179
3146
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD/USD suggests a potential reversal from point D downward.🟢 Chart Instrument
Symbol: CFDs on Gold (US$/OZ) – XAU/USD
Timeframe: 4H (4-hour candles)
Platform: TradingView
---
📐 Harmonic Pattern
The chart displays a Bearish Gartley pattern, typically identified by the labeled points X-A-B-C-D.
This pattern suggests a potential reversal from point D downward.
Fibonacci ratios are visible:
AB = 0.618 retracement of XA
BC = 0.886 retracement of AB
CD = 1.27–1.618 extension of BC
Pattern completes at point D (where the short trade is suggested).
---
📉 Trade Setup (Short/Sell Bias)
Entry Zone: Around 3,415 – 3,520 USD (highlighted red zone)
Target Zone: Near 3,135 USD (marked “TARGET”)
Stop Loss Zone: Above 3,520 USD (indicated in red box)
Expected Movement: Sharp drop from resistance area to target support zone.
---
🧱 Support Zones
Two key support levels are marked:
1. First target zone at ~3,135
2. Broader support range: 3,000 – 3,080
These support levels are likely areas where price could reverse or consolidate after falling.
---
📆 Timeframe Focus
The projection extends toward Wednesday, June 25, suggesting this is a medium-term swing setup over the coming 1–2 weeks.
---
✅ Summary
Pattern Type: Bearish Gartley
Action Plan: Wait for price to hit entry zone (point D), then short with target at 3,135.
Risk/Reward: Clearly defined with stop-loss and target zones
Hanzo / Gold 30 Min ( Accurate Tactical Break Out Zones )🔥 Gold – 30 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
👌Bullish After Break : 3374
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 3338
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
Fakeout or Takeoff? Gold Retakes 3350 Before NY Close1. Recap of Yesterday's Move
Yesterday was a volatile day for Gold. Price initially broke above the key 3340–3350 resistance zone, only to drop back below it—but intriguingly, it closed above it on the New York session. That close is the detail that changes everything.
2. Key Question: Will Gold Stay Above 3400 and Push Toward New ATHs?
Let’s split this into two scenarios:
________________________________________
🟢 Bullish Scenario – Buy the Dip?
• The short-term structure is undeniably bullish.
• The reclaim of 3340–3350 is not a fakeout, but a clean signal of strength.
• If momentum holds, we can expect price to push toward 3405 and then 3435.
• As such, the strategy remains: buy dips, targeting those key levels.
________________________________________
🟡 Long-Term Breakout? Not So Fast
• Yes, the higher lows at 3120, 3250, and 3295 suggest that the correction from 3500 may be over.
• A clean breakout and stabilization above 3400, ideally near 3430, could signal a path toward a new all-time high.
• ❗ However, volatility remains wild, and if geopolitical tensions de-escalate or trade tariffs get resolved, Gold could see a sharp drop of 1500–2000 pips, as part of a broader risk-off unwind. Peace and stability could hurt safe-haven demand.
________________________________________
📌 Trading Plan
• Short-term: Buy dips while above 3340-3350 (ideally on a re-test), aiming for 3405 and 3435.
• Long-term: Stay flexible. Wait for confirmation above 3430 before going for the ATH narrative.
________________________________________
💡 Conclusion
Technically, Gold is bullish in both the short and long term. But with global uncertainty in play, don't ignore the fundamentals. Trade the chart, but respect the world around it. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD/USD – Bullish Reversal Pattern FormingGOLD/USD – Bullish Reversal Pattern Forming 🟢📈
📊 Chart Analysis:
The chart shows a strong Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern forming, which is a classic bullish reversal signal:
🔹 Left Shoulder and Right Shoulder – Marked with orange circles, both found support near the 3,263 level (purple line), suggesting strong buying interest at this zone.
🔹 Head – The lowest point in between the shoulders, also bouncing from support.
🔹 Resistance Zone – Marked with red arrows around 3,500–3,520. This zone has rejected price action multiple times in the past.
🔹 Support Zone – Marked below 3,200, where previous consolidation and buying took place.
📈 Projected Move:
The neckline breakout suggests a potential move toward the 3,520+ level. A minor pullback is expected before continuation. If price breaks above resistance, we could see a strong bullish rally.
📌 Key Levels:
Support: 3,263 🟩
Resistance: 3,500–3,520 🟥
Potential Target After Breakout: 3,550+ 🎯
✅ Bias: Bullish above 3,263 support
⚠️ Invalidation: A break below the neckline would cancel the bullish setup
XAUUSD(GOLD): +1874 PIPS Target| Touching $3600? Gold experienced a significant price surge, driven by the ongoing conflict between Iran and Israel. This heightened uncertainty among global investors led to a price touch of $3445. The current price is accumulating, and we anticipate a strong bullish distribution in the near future. Please prioritise accurate risk management during trading.
Good luck,
Team Setupsfx_
Gold Cooling After Spike – $3375 Key Level to WatchBy analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after surging to $3450 amid the Iran–Israel conflict, gold faced a pullback following a liquidity sweep above that level.
Currently, gold is trading around $3392, and after a potential correction down to $3375, I expect to see further upside movement.
⚠️ Stay cautious — gold remains highly volatile and sudden moves are likely!
XAUUSD - Overtrading and Revenge Trading - Trading PsychologyFrom Chaos to Control: Mastering the Art of Balanced Trading on Gold
Trading gold is exhilarating. It’s fast, volatile, emotional — and addictive.
But what most traders don’t realize is this: it’s not the market killing your account.
It’s you, pressing buy and sell like it’s a video game.
Over-trading is the silent account killer. It doesn’t scream. It whispers:
“Just one more entry.”
“Maybe this one will finally run.”
“Let me scalp this quick pullback…”
Before you know it, you’ve taken 12 trades by noon and your brain’s fried.
🧠1. Why Over-Trading Happens: The Dopamine Delusion
Over-trading isn’t just a strategy flaw. It’s chemical. Your brain rewards anticipation of profit — not just actual wins.
So every setup, every near-miss, every “maybe I missed the move” spikes your dopamine.
That’s why you keep clicking. Not because you saw a valid setup.
Because your brain craves the rush of imagining one.
This is why traders enter in zones they never marked, skip confirmation, and rush into impulsive entries.
The market didn’t give a signal. Your nervous system did.
📉2. The Real Damage: Not Just Losing Trades — Losing Discipline
Over-trading ruins more than your account. It ruins your edge.
• You stop following your plan
• You chase liquidity like a gambler
• You get shaken out of clean zones
• You increase risk, just to “make it back faster”
And worst of all? It feels productive.
But profits don’t come from activity. They come from precision.
If you don’t reflect about your actions, you repeat the bad ones.
💸3. The Financial Fallout: Over-Trading Blows Up Accounts
Over-trading nukes your capital.
• One extra trade becomes five
• SL gets wider or invisible because your entry was rushed
• Lot size gets heavier to “speed up” recovery
• Now you’re emotional, and revenge mode kicks in...
You’re not compounding anymore.
You’re compounding mistakes.
This is how smart traders blow up challenge accounts.
This is how funded accounts get revoked.
This is how small accounts die before they grow.
Over-trading is a trap with a $0 exit.
✅4. Tactical Fixes: Trade Smart, Live Smarter
✔️ Set a daily trade cap.
Limit yourself to 2–3 trades. If you keep entering, it’s not analysis — it’s compulsion.
✔️ Split your daily risk.
Risking 0.3% total? That doesn’t mean 0.3% per trade. Break it down, or you’ll break your account.
✔️ Set alerts — not alarms in your brain.
Stop watching every candle like it’s a soap opera.
Set TradingView alerts at your key zones and walk away.
The market doesn’t move faster just because you're glued to the screen.
✔️ Take real breaks — not just chart scrolling.
Go outside. Call someone or send time with family and friends. Eat good food.
Most traders come home from work and go right back into charts like it’s their second shift.
That’s not discipline. That’s burnout.
✔️ Build a life that doesn't revolve around entries.
The more you lose, the more you trade. The more you trade, the more you spiral.
It’s just like alcohol, drugs, gambling. Dopamine up. Reality down.
And the worst part? It looks like hard work from the outside — but it feels like slow death inside.
🧨5. From Over-Trading to Revenge Mode
If over-trading is the first crack in your foundation, revenge trading is the wrecking ball.
And it never starts from logic. It starts from pain.
You had a clean setup.
You got stopped out — maybe twice.
Now you're frustrated, humiliated… embarrassed.
You’re no longer reacting to price.
You’re reacting to loss.
Revenge trading doesn’t feel chaotic in the moment.
It feels righteous.
You convince yourself, “I just need one win to get it all back.”
😵💫6. The Emotional Spiral Traders Don’t Talk About
Over-trading and revenge trading are addictive.
You’re showing up to work. You’re posting charts. You’re pretending it’s fine.
But deep down?
You're wrecked. Emotionally, financially, and mentally.
This is the side of trading no one glamorizes.
The isolation. The loneliness. The pressure. The self-blame.
This is how people burn out — not from one bad week.
But from trying to trade their way out of pain.
⚠️ Final Word
Over-trading is not a badge of hustle.
It’s the first step toward emotional dependence on the market.
And that’s the most expensive habit you’ll ever form.
If you don’t catch it early, you’ll keep blaming the market, the spread, the broker…
when the real damage was done by your own reaction.
The market doesn’t owe you anything.
So be kind to yourself and build discipline, you will win in the long run.
If this lesson helped you today and brought you more clarity:
Drop a 🚀 and follow us✅ for more published ideas.
XAUUSD: Is Bullish Trend Ended? Or It is just beginning big moveAs we previously stated that price can reverse between 3340 to 3350 region, which was a pivotal point for bulls. Price smoothly moved currently trading at 3376 and possibly bullish move continuing towards 3400,3450 and ultimately reaching 3600.
Following the price’s all-time high at $3500, it experienced a sharp decline and failed to maintain that level. A substantial 2400 pips would have resulted in significant losses for many accounts. Initially, it was perceived as a minor correction, with the expectation of further price appreciation. However, this assumption proved incorrect. After reaching an even higher peak, the price invariably undergoes a more substantial correction.
At 3260, substantial bullish volume surged into the market, necessitated by the presence of a fair value gap. Subsequently, the price experienced a decline, reflecting the prevailing bearish trend, which favoured the bears. However, at 3200, a pivotal level representing a discounted price point, bull volume surged. This powerful bullish impulse propelled the price to 3432, ultimately confirming the bullish trend. AB=CD there recurring pattern emerged weekly. When the price reached the 3432 level as a fair value gap, the CD pattern commenced.
AB=CD we have identified a recurring pattern. It appears to be an equal move in any direction, and it has manifested precisely as anticipated. We were aware that the price would reject at 3120, and it did so accordingly. Currently, the market is in our favour. Upon market opening, it exhibited a positive gap, propelling the price to 3450. However, it subsequently declined, reaching 3384.
Presently, we find ourselves in the accumulation phase, poised for distribution. This distribution is anticipated to be substantial, potentially leading to another record high, potentially reaching 3650.
Moving forward, the price could continue towards our target from its current position. Alternatively, there exists a possibility that it may drain the sell-side liquidity and reverse from 3360-3370.
Our take-profit levels are set at 3450, 3490, 3520, and finally, 3600. When entering the market, it is advisable to employ a short time frame. It is important to note that this analysis is merely our opinion, and market conditions may deviate from expectations.
We extend our best wishes for success and safe trading. If you wish to demonstrate your support, you may consider liking, commenting, or sharing this analysis with others.
Sincerely,
Team Setupsfx_
Gold 1hr -Don't Know when is the next movement ? This for You🔥 Gold – 1h Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
⚡️ Objective: Precision Breakout Execution
Time Frame: 1h- Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified breakout — no emotion, no gamble.
Your Ultimate key levels
👌Bullish After Break : 3392
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bullish After Break : 3415
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bullish After Break : 3435
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 3375
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish After Break : 3325
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
XAUUSD-Bearish Outlook and Price StructureA bearish outlook for gold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe, with a bias toward the 3,100 area, targeting the highlighted demand zones.
Price-Movement Structure
We observe a three-wave corrective pattern that appears complete at the 3,494.98 high. Key observations:
- **Wave (A)** : Initial correction from the major low.
- **Wave (B)** : Complex sideways consolidation.
- **Wave (C)** : Extension to new highs, creating liquidity.
The current price action suggests potential institutional distribution at the highs. I am expecting a drop to approximately 3,349.94.
However, fundamentals such as interest rates, dollar strength, and geopolitical risks remain key drivers of bullish optimism.
NO TRADE? THAT IS THE TRADEToday, I took no trades and I’ll be honest, it was really tempting to break that discipline.
I stared at the chart longer than I needed to. My cursor hovered around the Buy and Sell buttons. My brain tried to convince me that “maybe” this candle meant something. Even though there was no valid sweep, no BOS, and no clean entry into an FVG , the desire to just “be in a trade” was strong.
But I reminded myself:
📌 No Setup = No Trade
📌 Your edge is your lifeline
📌 Discipline is what pays you, not activity
What I felt today is something every trader battles, setup hoping . It’s that mental trap where silence feels wrong, and boredom feels dangerous. But the truth is, boredom is part of being a consistently profitable trader. There are days where your best trade is the one you don’t take.
And I’m proud to say I did nothing.
No revenge trade.
No gambling.
No deviation from plan.
Instead, I observed. I journaled my emotions. I stayed in control. That’s the work behind the scenes: the mental reps that build longevity in this business .
So if you had a quiet session today too, and you resisted the urge to jump in without reason, celebrate that. You're training your mind to trust your system, not your feelings.
Sometimes, the most powerful trade you’ll ever take… is the one you never place.
Gold-----sell near 3393, target 3380-3366Gold market analysis:
Yesterday, gold was basically a repeated shock, the K line was repaired at one position, and buying and selling were back and forth around the M side of the suppression platform 3405. Yesterday, our analysis was completely in line with our expectations. Yesterday, we also repeatedly arranged 5 sell orders, arranging 3382 break sell, 3387 sell, 3393 sell, 3382 sell, 3377 sell. Today's idea is to continue selling. The daily line cannot determine the bottom of this wave of decline. There are data in European and American time today. I think we can rely on the 3405 platform to be bearish before the data. If 3405 breaks, we adjust our thinking to be bullish. Otherwise, we can sell repeatedly. Gold is oscillating in the short term. Try not to chase it and wait for it to rebound and suppress the position to sell. In addition, the daily moving average suppression position of the moving average is 3396-3363, which is also the main reason for its repeated game at this position. The weekly buying momentum is not dead yet. Be cautious of its rocket in the second half of the week.
In today's Asian session, we will first focus on the suppression of 3395. The risk of taking more is relatively large. The low point below is not stable. The Asian session fell to 3370 and rebounded quickly. From the perspective of the pattern, 3372-3366 is the support. The suppression position of the 1H hourly moving average is near 3395. Yesterday's US session rebounded at around 3396, and the hourly K suppression position was 3400. All the above are suppressed. In addition, the opening position today is also near 3393.
Pressure 3393, 3400, 3405, support 3382, 3370, and the watershed of strength and weakness in the market is 3382.
Fundamental analysis:
In the previous fundamentals, we have been paying attention to geopolitical factors. The situation in the Middle East has indeed changed the way gold and crude oil are traded. Today we focus on the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve, and there is also a speech by Chairman Powell during the US session.
Operation suggestions:
Gold-----sell near 3393, target 3380-3366
XAUUSD-it is very likely ATH in weekGold prices are being directly affected by the Israel-Iran tensions, the risk of trade conflicts due to the new US tariff policy, and concerns about slowing global economic growth. However, gold prices suddenly fell in the context of improving risk appetite of investors as they get used to the "new normal".
Daniel Pavilonis, senior commodities broker at RJO Futures, commented that if this rally starts to lose momentum, it could be a double top pattern for gold. Giving advice to investors, according to Mr. Pavilonis, they should start considering reducing their gold position at this time if they missed the opportunity to take profits at $3,509. When gold is peaking, investors see other markets moving higher, such as silver, platinum and palladium.