Will gold first fall and then rise today?
The gold 1-hour moving average is still in a bullish arrangement with a golden cross. Now the price is gradually approaching the moving average, but the gold bull trend has not changed for the time being. Patiently wait for the opportunity to adjust. Pay attention to the support near the previous low of 3185. The moving average support has now moved up to the line near 3177. Overall, gold may form a strong support near 3180. For today's gold trend, I personally think it will fall first and then rise.
XAUUSD trade ideas
Heading into Fibonacci confluence?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% and 100% Fibonacci projection and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,298.73
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% and 100% Fibonacci projection and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 3,168.09
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 3,60.00
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level.
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XAUUSD on 3300 move Gold is still on parallel channel on D1 &H4 .I'm expecting the Drop one more to respect the previous BOS AT 3180 where we have possible Buy opportunities towards our Targets as I mentioned in my weekly Episode.
Bullish scanario:
if the H4 candle CLOSES above 3232 Resistance ,then target will be 3260 in first round then 3270 milestone.
Bearish Scenario
On the other hand, If The current H4 closes below 3220 and break of this structural support then have again Bearish momentum towards 3190-80.
My position: I'm on sidelines and waiting for confirmation of Selleing pressure then Enter.
Keep in mind above 3232 Don't look for sell If H4 closes above
Additionally :BUY THR DIP
Gold Trading Strategies for Next Week📊Recently, gold has risen sharply for three consecutive days with a strong trend and once again set a new historical high. From the perspective of market sentiment, the so-called "fear of heights" is not a reason to hinder entry. History is a process of continuous breakthroughs. The key is not whether the price is at a high level, but the logic and trend direction behind it. The sharp fluctuations of gold often occur in a very short period of time. In just two days, the price of gold quickly reversed from the previous decline and completed a rise of nearly US$300, which put both long and short traders last week into a passive position, highlighting the importance of rhythm and timing in trading.
📊At present, gold is in a high-level sideways shock stage, and the overall trend is still strong, maintaining a long structure. However, considering that the current price has greatly deviated from the moving average, there is a certain risk of callback in the short term. Therefore, it is recommended that you should not blindly chase long prices at high levels, and that prudent operations should focus on "going long on pullbacks" and wait patiently for the appropriate adjustment opportunities to avoid affecting your trading mentality during the shock.
📊From the technical perspective of the hourly chart, the short-term moving average of gold still maintains a golden cross upward bullish arrangement, indicating that the bullish momentum has not yet exhausted. However, since the price has obviously deviated from the moving average system, technically, it is necessary to adjust to repair the overbought state.
✅There may be two ways to adjust:
🔶Space for time: If the gold price falls rapidly, the support line of 3185 below will be paid attention to, which may become the area for short-term buying intervention.
🔷Time for space: If the gold price remains above 3200 and fluctuates in a narrow range, it means that the market is still in a strong consolidation pattern, and it is expected to rise again after the adjustment is completed.
✅Key technical positions to focus on:
🔴Upper resistance level: 3270-3280
🟢Lower support level: 3210-3200
🟠Strong support level: 3185
✅Against the background of overall positive news, the medium-term gold line maintains a bullish judgment. The following are some suggestions for a stable trading strategy next week:
🔰Gold BUY: When the gold price falls back to the 3200-3210 range, you can consider arranging long orders in batches,If it falls back to around 3185, you can continue to add long positions. with the target looking at the 3270-3300 lines.
🔰Gold SELL: If the gold price rises to the resistance range of 3270-3280, but the upward momentum weakens and the volume is stagnant, you can consider short-term testing of short orders, but you need to strictly control the risk and set a stop loss.
✅Trading strategies are time-sensitive. We will provide members with real-time and accurate trading strategies based on market changes. Stay tuned🤝
Gold/XAUUSD Intraday Move 10.04.2025📊 Market Context
After a sharp selloff from the $3,160 region to sub-$2,980 levels, the market is now in recovery/consolidation mode.
Market currently hovers around $3120 after bouncing from below $2,980, indicating buyer interest.
📏 Fibonacci + Support Confluence Zones
✅ Buy Zone 1 – $3095–3100
Reason: Retest of strong horizontal support.
Signal to Enter Long: Bullish engulfing / hammer on M5/M15 + RSI divergence.
Target: $3,110 (first), $3,120+ (extended).
✅ Buy Zone 2 – 3070-3075
Reason: Previous bottom, possible double bottom scenario forming.
Signal to Enter Long: Strong rejection wick / double bottom + volume surge.
Target: $3085 first, then trail till $3,100.
🔁 Retest Logic
Wait for price to retest any of these zones on low volume → watch for bullish candle close.
Ideal scalping trade: Enter on confirmation, small SL, tight TP.
⚠️ Important Notes
Avoid entering mid-range trades without pullback confirmation.
Aggressive buys can be scalped on momentum only if volume supports.
Always monitor for news or sudden volume spikes which can invalidate pullback zones.
Please follow, like, comment and share to get more analysis daily.
Gold Potential Bullish Continuation (Potential HH formation)With with continued global tariff war between USA and China, Gold price still seems to exhibit signs of overall Bullish momentum as the price action may form a prominent Higher High with multiple confluences through key Fibonacci and Support levels which presents us with a potential long opportunity.
Trade Plan:
Entry : 3178
Stop Loss : 2946
TP 0.9 - 1 : 3399 - 3408
GoldvsUSD on the 1-hour timeframe, likely illustrating bearish T
Harmonic Pattern (XABCD):
X to A: Initial impulse down.
A to B: Retracement.
B to C: Another downward move.
C to D: Strong bullish leg forming the completion point (D), which signals a potential reversal zone.
Entry Zone:
Highlighted in red around the 3,240 area, suggesting the analyst expects price rejection or reversal here.
Target Zones:
Three horizontal levels marked as “target” align with liquidity zones, indicating areas where price might move towards after reversal due to stop-loss clusters or previous consolidation.
Support and Resistance:
Prior resistance at around 3,045 is now acting as a potential support zone.
Intermediate support and liquidity areas are layered as possible price action reaction zones.
Red Arrow:
Indicates the bearish bias or expected price drop after touching the entry zone.
Analysis Summary:
The chart suggests a short/sell setup at the current highs (around 3,240), with multiple downside targets down to 3,045.17. The harmonic pattern and the marked liquidity zones reinforce this bearish outlook, aiming to capture a retracement or reversal move.
XAUUSDXAUUSD is currently at a high point, with many expecting a declining in the near future. The market is showing signs that the recent strength in gold might not be sustainable, and a pullback could be on the horizon. Traders are anticipating potential shifts in sentiment that could lead to a downward movement, especially as attention turns to upcoming economic events and data.
Learning Not to TradeThe ability to wait for your setup is the most important skill a trader can have.
Strangely enough, in trading, you absolutely must learn not to trade. Patience is key. We’re like predators lying in ambush: no sudden moves, no panic, just waiting for the right moment.
No setup — no trade.
Sometimes it's a day or two without trades, sometimes a week or even more.
Hard? Very. It feels like you have to participate in every move, squeeze the maximum out of every market, trade daily, nonstop — hands itching, mind racing, gotta make money. Some traders even set financial goals — I’m totally against that. You’ve got a "monthly target"? Great — now you're forced to find trades where there are none.
But there’s an awesome fix for that: create trading-related activities for yourself during downtimes:
1. Analyze your past trades.
In detail: average gain, average loss, win rate, risk/reward ratio, and more. Where are your strengths? Which markets and instruments work best for you? Where do you tend to screw up — late stops, premature exits, re-entries? How can you minimize losses?
2. Study price action after you close a trade.
Maybe you’re exiting too early and missing the rest of the move. Tons of traders scalp and make money, sure — but if they didn’t scalp, they could’ve made twice as much. Data from successful traders shows a clear edge in holding positions for at least a few days. Also — let’s not forget commissions: fewer trades means lower costs.
3. Test new setups.
Use TradingView's replay function to go back in time and trade historical data as if it were live. It’ll sharpen your eye for candle and chart patterns, help validate new strategies, and overall — it’s just super useful.
4. Read books.
All good traders read — a lot, constantly, forever. Sit down with a highlighter, mark up important ideas, and better yet — take notes. Learning never stops.
And now — plot twist: this is your actual job.
Not sitting and hypnotizing charts all day. Not entering a trade and staring at every pip like a madman — one second you're thrilled, the next you’re sweating bullets.
Yes, we look at charts and order books — all useful tools — but we analyze smartly, not emotionally.
Trading is everything that happens before the trade.
Waiting for your moment. Knowing exactly where your stop loss and take profit should be.
I was analyzing my trading and realized that my main recurring mistakes right now is exiting too early , then re-entering with a tight stop, getting stopped out, and then entering again.
Overtrading.
And the worst part — this isn’t the first time. But I know how to fix it!
In my next educational post, I’ll write about the most common trading mistakes and how I personally worked through them.
Because honestly — I’ve made every mistake you can possibly make, even the ones you’re not supposed to be able to make. I’ve been in all kinds of psychological states, and I’ve tried a ton of different ways to deal with each issue.
See you in the next one.
XAUUSD Entry on break of structure ?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold’s Bearish Analysis Remains Intact Gold’s Bearish Analysis Remains Intact
Analysis: Gold went into a deep correction, which was expected, but the recent surge wasn’t. After President Trump announced a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs, gold suddenly jumped in price—an odd reaction, considering the market was given time to breathe.
Despite this unexpected move, the bearish trend is still intact. If gold breaks above 3167, it would likely be due to manipulation rather than news-driven movement.
For now, the chart still suggests a high chance of gold moving lower.
Support zones can be found near: 3054; 3000; 2925 ; 2840
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
P.S.: If you don't like the analysis, skip it.
It's only for those members who want to learn and want to have a different perspective on how gold can develop. This is not trading advice
Skeptic | GOLD: Is the Uptrend Over… or Just Taking a Breather? Welcome back, guys! 👋 I'm Skeptic.
Today, we're diving deep into XAU/USD , breaking down the current structure and upcoming trade opportunities. 🔍
Recap & Current Structure:
As mentioned in our previous analysis , after the recent uptrend, we've entered a corrective phase. This correction coincides with rising economic tariffs from the U.S. and retaliatory tariffs from the EU and China—particularly targeting U.S. goods.
Interestingly, gold, which is typically considered a safe-haven asset, also experienced a decline. This raises a red flag: when even gold falls, it signals that markets are likely pricing in an economic slowdown . Everyone seems to be chasing liquidity.
The recession risk is very real, so trade cautiously until a clear trend emerges. Right now, the market is in a state of uncertainty. Given the sharp declines in stocks, gold, and silver, we could see range-bound movement or consolidation this week—and possibly into the next.
Despite this, the major daily trend for gold remains upward , although momentum has clearly weakened. If we see a lower high and a confirmed break below support at 2958.53 , that would significantly shift the outlook—potentially leading to a deeper correction or even a trend reversal, especially in case of broader economic recession signals.
Let’s zoom into the 1H timeframe for actionable trade setups:
📈 Bullish Scenario (Long Setup):
- Trigger : Break & close above 3039.58
- Confirmation : 7 SMA below the candle during breakout + RSI climbing above OB
- Invalidation : Rejection and close back below 2994.10
📉 Bearish Scenario (Short Setup):
- Trigger : Rejection at 3019.98 followed by a drop below 2958.51
- Confirmation : RSI entering oversold
⚠️ Key Notes:
- Risk Management: Avoid overleveraging. Wait for clear confirmations before entering any trade.
Stay sharp, stay Skeptical, and I’ll catch you in the next analysis!
GOLD TO 4000$HELLO TRADERS
As i can see chart fib retracment to golden ratio is performed beautifully and now its time to load up ur bags for more bullish on gold as we can see Trump Trade War and geopolitical movements around the world is an great oppritunity for Gold bulls and investors always choose safe haven highly volotile markets in these days so trade carefully make a proper research befor taking any trade tomorrow CPI can mainpulate many retail tradres so always follow the levels each dip is an oppritunity Share ur thoughts with us on Gold chart
Stay tuned for more updates
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance lvl 3100 (wave B).Colleagues, at this point I have redrawn the waves a bit and realized that the upward movement is not over yet, but a rather large correction is possible within waves “ABC” and if wave ‘A’ is finished or almost finished, I expect wave “B”. I believe that the price will reach the level of 3100. After that a reversal and continuation of a small downward movement is possible.
But for now I would look at long positions.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!