XAUUSD | Premium Zone Hit – Is Gold Ready to Nuke?XAUUSD | 30-Min Bearish Setup – OB Tap + Liquidity Engineering
Let’s break this down ninja-style ⚔️
📌 1. Market Context:
Gold has retraced into a premium pricing zone after a significant sell-off and is now:
Respecting a refined bearish Order Block
Sitting at 61.8–70.5% Fibonacci retracement (textbook premium)
Below a strong high (liquidity magnet)
This is classic smart money engineering:
➡️ Pull back
➡️ Lure in breakout buyers
➡️ Raid the high
➡️ Dump toward liquidity
🧠 2. Key Levels:
📈 Strong High: 3,324.880
🟪 Order Block Zone: ~3,316.745 to 3,324.880
🔻 Current Price: ~3,307.000
🔵 Weak Low: 3,270.000
🩸 Sell Side Liquidity: 3,245.560
We’re watching for a possible rejection from the OB and a drive down into the Sell Side Liquidity zone.
📊 3. Entry Plan (Confirmation-Based):
Wait for a bearish M5–M15 BOS from OB
Look for FVG entry or last mitigation
Target weak low & SSL
Maintain 1:2 to 1:4 RRR depending on entry precision
Ideal RR Target:
🎯 TP: 3,245.560
🛑 SL: Just above 3,324.880
🔁 RR ~ 1:3+
📉 4. SMC Story:
🧩 Price swept internal liquidity and tapped into premium zone
🔍 OB + Fib confluence = high-probability reaction area
🧲 Weak low is unprotected = juicy target for sell-off
🤖 This move could create displacement and fuel next bearish leg
Smart Money is looking to trap late longs before hitting the liquidity pool.
🎯 5. Bonus Tip:
If you’re on M1 or M5, scale into partials as the move confirms via:
Bearish engulfing
BOS + FVG combo
Lower timeframe mitigation plays
Stay reactive, not predictive. Let the market confirm the trap. ⚠️
💬 Drop “Gold Trap Setup 👑” in the comments if you see the same thing
🔁 Save this to track the next move
🎯 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for daily sniper setups!
XAUUSD trade ideas
Waiting for the Golden Reversal!After a clean 5-wave bearish impulse, gold has finally tapped into a high-probability reversal zone! Here's what I'm seeing:
🔹 Break of structure confirmed at 3337.46
🔹 Price extended all the way to the 4.236 – 4.786 fib zone (3244–3228)
🔹 Landed perfectly in the SNR zone (3238–3231)
🔹 Bullish divergence spotted on the Awesome Oscillator (AO)
🔹 Now printing a bullish engulfing right at demand? 👀
📍 This is a textbook reversal setup.
💡 Waiting to Buy:
If price shows continued bullish intent or lower timeframe confirmation, I’m looking to enter long from the 3238–3231 area, targeting back to the Fib retracement zones and potentially the structure break at 3337.46.
🛡️ SL just below the 4.786 fib extension for safety.
🔥 Summary:
✅ Structure broken
✅ AO divergence
✅ Engulfing at SNR + fib confluence
🎯 Buy zone activated – now waiting for confirmation!
📌 Let the market come to you. No rush. Just watching for that golden reversal.
#XAUUSD #GoldReversal #FibExtension #AOdivergence #ElliottWave #BullishSetup #BuyZone #SmartTrading #ForexAnalysis
XAU/USD Breakout Opportunity Above Descending TrendlineGold (XAU/USD) is showing a potential bullish breakout on the 15-minute chart. Price action has broken above a descending trendline, signaling a possible reversal from the recent downtrend. A strong bullish candle has closed above the trendline and horizontal resistance near the $3,302–$3,303 area, which may now act as a support.
The setup shows a favorable risk-to-reward ratio with a long position targeting around $3,354, and a stop-loss placed just below the recent breakout zone at $3,288. This indicates a bullish bias as long as price holds above the broken trendline and horizontal support.
Volume appears to be increasing, supporting the strength of the breakout.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
Technical Analysis on XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) – Bullish Reversal📊 Chart Overview:
This chart of XAU/USD (Gold) on a lower timeframe shows a potential bullish reversal setup. The price action has formed a series of lower highs and lower lows, but now a bullish momentum is building up, suggesting a possible breakout to the upside.
🔍 Key Observations:
🟠 Swing Points Identified:
The orange circles mark significant swing highs and lows, clearly outlining a recent downtrend.
The latest swing low (bottom-right) shows a strong rejection with a bullish engulfing candle forming, indicating buyer interest.
📦 Demand Zone (Support Area):
The grey rectangle near the lower region marks a demand zone where buyers have stepped in before.
Price has reacted strongly from this zone again, validating it as a key support level.
📉 Resistance Turned Potential Breakout Zone:
The red line (~3,291.416) represents a resistance level that was previously support.
Price has broken above it and now appears to be retesting it, indicating a possible retest-confirmation for a bullish continuation.
🎯 Target & Risk Management:
✅ Entry: Confirmed breakout and retest around 3,291.
📈 Target: 3,364.819 (green zone above), based on previous resistance.
❌ Stop Loss: Below 3,267.772, the recent swing low.
The setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
🧭 Projection Path:
The white arrowed path illustrates a likely pullback before continuation upward, suggesting a bullish structure if confirmed.
✅ Conclusion:
Gold is showing signs of a bullish reversal from a well-defined demand zone, with a potential rally toward the 3,365 area. A successful retest of the broken resistance as new support would strengthen the bullish bias.
📌 Watch closely for confirmation candles on the retest before entering.
Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 6/2/2025Gold has been in indisputable bullish trend overall. Last week was full of surprises. With fundamentally driven, it dropped until 3245 and stayed above it.
In weekly, I expect it to form a inverse head and shoulder pattern and continue its bullish trend.
On daily, as long as highlighted yellow support holds, gold should stay bullish. However, if this support is broken, we can foresee a change of trend in coming weeks.
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Reversal Setup – Inverse Head & ShoulderDescription (Safe for TradingView):
Gold on the 15-minute chart is forming a classic Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. The structure is well-formed with the Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder clearly visible.
✅ Key Technical Highlights:
Neckline breakout occurred around the 3303.165 level.
Price is currently retesting the neckline as support.
Volume confirms breakout strength.
Potential for upward movement toward the 3340–3350 zone if support holds.
🔵 Support Zone: 3302–3303
🔴 Risk Management: Stop below recent swing low (near 3288)
🟢 Target Zone: 3340+
📊 Always follow your risk management rules. This is a potential opportunity, not financial advice.
Gold trading strategy and analysis next Monday✅Last Friday, gold hit a high of 3322 in the early trading and then fell back, with the lowest intraday price dropping to around 3271, indicating that bears gradually took the leading position. Although the overall trend may still fluctuate widely, the trend structure shows that the market has shown signs of weakening, and the short-term trend is still dominated by bears.
✅From the key position, the 3312 line is the position where the decline accelerated last week, and it is also an important short-term resistance level. If the gold price rebounds to this position next week and is under pressure, there is a possibility of falling back to 3270 or even 3245; on the contrary, if it breaks through strongly and stands above 3312, it is necessary to be alert to the market further reaching the previous high area, testing 3322-3325 or even higher points.
✅From the structure of the hourly chart, gold has maintained a fluctuating downward rhythm since the Asian and European sessions on Friday, and is obviously suppressed by the 3325 line. The strong rise on Thursday once induced the market to follow the trend and do more, but the subsequent rapid decline showed typical characteristics of washing the market, highlighting the intensification of the long-short game. At present, the 1-hour moving average system has turned downward as a whole, and an effective golden cross has not yet formed. The short-term short momentum is still accumulating.
✅In terms of trading strategy, it is recommended to continue to maintain the idea of "shorting after rebounding and long after pullback" at the beginning of next week. If the gold price rebounds to the 3310-3315 range and continues to be blocked, you can consider relying on this area to arrange short orders in batches, and focus on the 3270 and 3245 first-line support. If the market shows signs of stabilization after a correction to the key support range, you can try to rebound with a light position in the short term.
🔴Resistance level: 3312-3315
🟢Support level: 3270-3245
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for May 30Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance level 3350, support level below 3260
Four-hour chart resistance level 3350, support level below 3280
One-hour chart resistance level 3325, support level below 3290
1-hour chart Bollinger Bands open downward, 4-hour chart RSI (50) neutral, ADX (35) trend momentum weakened, below $3280 will accelerate downward. MACD green column shrinks, RSI (45) neutral to weak, if it fails to break through $3305, the bearish trend will continue. The first target is around 3280.
NY time announced the annual rate of the US core PCE price index in April. Pay attention to the 3280~3320 range, sell high and buy low. After the news data is released, if the data exceeds expectations, the gold price will fall below the 3280 support, or fall to 3250-3245 US dollars, and you can follow the trend to short; if the data is weak, it may hit 3330-3345 US dollars after breaking through 3320.
SELL: 3320near SL: 3325
BUY: 3280near SL: 3275
Gold expectation 1H (For next week)Respected main support, means we seeing the start of a new up trend and recovery. Setting up for a bullish movement to destination 2? could be...false breakout means theres a testing of the trend line, with a possibility of it breakibg out soon. Wait for the bounce off the main support again to see if we in for a bullish move. Lets wait see. #ToTheMoonTogether
GOLD Gold Directional Bias and Dollar Index (DXY) Analysis (May 30, 2025)
Gold (XAU/USD) Directional Bias
Cautious Bearish Correction: Gold faces immediate resistance at $3,305–$3,338 (20-day moving average and recent highs) .
A break above $3,435 is needed to confirm a bullish reversal toward $3,500 .
Failure to hold $3,056 (key medium-term support) risks a drop to $2,955–$2,833 .
Bullish Potential: Stagflation risks (weak growth + high inflation) and Fed rate cut expectations support gold as a hedge .
A sustained break above $3,500 could target $4,000+ .
Dollar Index (DXY) Outlook
Bearish Momentum: DXY is in a multi-month downtrend
Drivers:
Fed rate cut bets and weaker US economic data (e.g., soft jobless claims) pressure the dollar .
Trade tensions (e.g., Trump’s tariff threats) inject volatility but may revive safe-haven USD demand .
Gold-DXY Correlation
Short-Term Inverse Link: Recent dollar strength (DXY↑) contributed to gold’s 1% drop to $3,301 .
Long-Term Divergence: Since 2008, gold has risen 150% while DXY gained 45%, showing no consistent inverse relationship over decades .
Current Dynamics:
A weaker DXY (below 98.4) would support gold’s rebound .
Stagflation fears could decouple gold from DXY, favoring gold as an inflation hedge .
Conclusion
Gold: Short-term bearish pressure persists, but medium-term bullish drivers (stagflation, Fed cuts) remain intact.
DXY: Bearish Elliott Wave structure suggests further declines unless it breaks above 101.99.
Trade Strategy:
Sell gold rallies toward $3,305–$3,338 with tight stops .
A DXY breakdown below 98.4 could signal gold’s bullish revival .
Monitor US PCE inflation data (May 30) and Fed rhetoric for near-term catalysts .
XAUUSD - Potential Bearish SetupWe're currently reacting off a mid-range POI after a CHoCH and BOS confirmation from the upside.
Price tapped into an internal POI and showed minor bullish structure.
Expecting a deeper pullback into a secondary POI area (gray box) before continuation down.
Short-term liquidity sweep is possible before major move.
Clean target levels marked based on imbalance and previous structure.
Extrem POI: Last push before drop – high probability supply.
High Prob POI: Origin of last BOS – could react again.
Target: LTF liquidity and imbalance fill zone.
📉 Bias: Bearish
🕐 Timeframe: 30m
⚠️ Wait for confirmation entry near the upper POI zone.
XAU / USD Weekly ChartHello traders. I wanted to post a chart showing the weekly candles. We had a bearish engulfing followed by a bullish engulfing candle from 2 weeks ago. And last week we had a retest move down, and that's where we currently are. So for this week, I have marked my areas of interest to watch for on lower time frames when we get there. Lastly, it's the 1st day of the month, so I am just watching the market and the overnight sessions when the week opens. If anything, I will wait to watch gold carve out its potential paths over the next few day. Be well and trade the trend. Big G gets a shout out. I will post some lower time frame analysis' as we get into the week. Thanks so much. Happy Sunday!!
XAUUAD BUY CHARTThe chart you've shared is a 30-minute candlestick chart of CFDs on Gold (US$/OZ), with key elements marked for a potential trade setup. Here's a breakdown of the key points:
Chart Analysis:
1. Highlighted Zones (Yellow Boxes):
Bottom Yellow Zone (~3,270): Likely a demand/support zone. Price previously reversed upward from here.
Top Yellow Zone (~3,300): Likely a supply/resistance zone. This is the potential target area.
2. Blue Arrows:
The initial downward arrow shows a strong bearish move.
The subsequent upward arrow represents a bullish recovery, suggesting a potential long trade setup.
3. Trade Setup:
Entry: Around 3,284 (current price level).
Take Profit (TP): 3,300.325 — aligned with the top yellow resistance zone.
Stop Loss (SL): Just below the lower yellow zone (~3,273.597).
4. Risk-Reward Ratio:
The trade appears to have a favorable risk-reward ratio of roughly 2:1 or better, given the size of the green (profit) vs. red (loss) zones.
5. Volume: Somewhat elevated during the reversal and buildup phases, indicating decent participation on the bullish side.
---
Possible Trade Interpretation:
This looks like a bullish continuation/reversal setup, possibly based on a demand zone bounce with a target near previous resistance. The trader may be betting on continued bullish momentum.
Would you like a more detailed technical analysis or help calculating exact RR, pip difference, or backtesting the strategy?
Trade Setup – May 28, 2025After reviewing today’s price action, I realized I missed the bigger move earlier due to lack of focus. The big setup was there — but we took the small one, and luckily it still gave a nice retest entry. ✅
Now here’s the main idea:
🔹 Price is approaching a major supply zone around 3320–3323 (marked with 💰).
🔹 This level lines up with:
- Asia session high
- A clean internal liquidity pocket
- Trendline resistance and minor FVG
🧠 Plan: I’ll be watching for a liquidity sweep above 3320, then look for bearish confirmation (like rejection or engulfing). If it reacts, I’m in for the short.
🎯 Targeting a drop toward the 3290–3295 zone
🛑 SL above the sweep (tight and efficient risk)
Let’s see how it plays out — execution depends on how price behaves at the zone.
Gold Holding Pattern – Key Resistance AheadHey, friends
On the 4-hour time frame, TVC:XAU is forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, but we haven’t seen any breakout yet, we’re still trading inside the triangle.
If we look at the LTF, we’re currently at the 0.236 FIB level, which isn’t a very strong buying zone, but technically, we’ve broken out of a falling wedge and are now retesting it.
That looks pretty good, and if this setup plays out well, we could see an upward move toward $3,470.
However, there’s a strong resistance around $3,350 to $3,370 that we need to break first. If we break that, it will also confirm the breakout of the symmetrical triangle from the 4-hour chart.
So keep an eye on those areas!
#GOLD #forextrading
The end of the triple cycle faces a big test of data
Today is the closing of the monthly, weekly and daily lines, and the PCE data will be released, so the market volatility may increase. Looking at the four-hour level of gold, the downward trend line remains intact. As time goes by, the suppression level has also come to around 3345. In view of the fact that the rebound of 3245 at 3330 is blocked and moves downward, today's Asia-Europe session strategy focuses on the continuation of the downward trend; at the hourly level, the last high point of 3365 has been trading below the trend line since the decline. Yesterday's high broke the trend line, but today's opening fell below 3308, so the short-term trend has returned to the short position again. Therefore, today is still bearish, short-selling ideas.
The specific operation is to intervene in short positions below 3310, with a short-term target of around 3278; wait for a rebound near 3288 and short again to look at the target of 3245; mid-term operations can directly focus on the 3245 position, followed by the 3200 mark.
Gold Price Analysis May 30Candle D shows strong buying power on Thursday, most likely today Asia and Europe will decrease and the US session will return to the uptrend.
The bearish wave structure is heading towards 3280. This zone can be bought in Asia and Europe. In the US session, wait for the price reaction to break this zone, limit buying until the bottom of 3254.
Break 3254 confirms the downtrend and heads towards the two support zones 3238 and 3211
When the support zones bounce up, a nice bullish wave is formed and do not SELL Scalp until the 3320 zone. If you break, keep the BUY order up to 3343.
Gold Enters PRZ and TRZ – Correction is Coming!?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) moved as I expected in the previous Idea and reached the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) and Resistance lines .
Gold is moving near the Resistance lines , Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ) .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to be completing microwave 5 of Main wave 3 , so Main wave 3 could have an extended structure .
I expect Gold to experience at least one correction after entering the PRZ and TRZ , the correction could continue to $3,329 . If the Support lines are broken, the next target could be the Support zone($3,280-$3,245) .
Note: If Gold touches $3,420, there is a possibility of further pumping and breaking the Resistance zone($3,435-$3,406).
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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