Will the gold bearish trend continue?
💡Message Strategy
The gold market is facing a complex game of long and short factors in the near future. On the one hand, US President Trump announced that Iran and Israel had reached a "comprehensive ceasefire", and the market's risk aversion demand plummeted, and gold was under obvious short-term pressure. However, according to Reuters, Israel still has small-scale military operations, which has led to differences in the market's optimism about the situation in the Middle East, and the downward space of gold is temporarily limited.
On the other hand, US economic data is mixed. In June, the S&P global manufacturing PMI remained unchanged at 52, the service industry PMI fell slightly to 53.1, and the composite PMI fell slightly to 52.8, suggesting that the momentum of economic expansion has slowed down marginally. More importantly, Fed officials have released dovish signals one after another. Fed Governor Bowman expressed concern about labor market risks and supported interest rate cuts this year, echoing Governor Waller's expectations of a rate cut in July. This adjustment in monetary policy expectations has led to a weakening of the US dollar, providing some support for gold prices.
📊Technical aspects
1. Pay attention to the defensive position at the weekly level. As time goes by, this position is now in the 3316-3315 area. After breaking 3333 at noon, it accelerated to reach here, so pay attention to the gains and losses here in the future, so as to prepare for the next space switch
2. The daily line has been defending the lifeline for nearly a month. The current lifeline position is 3355. No matter how it pierces in the previous process, the final closing line must return to the top of the lifeline, thus becoming a support area
This means that today's closing is very critical. It can be closed below the lifeline, and then switch space downward to enter the area from the lifeline to the lower track 3355-3280
3. The four-hour pattern opens downward. Yesterday, the resistance of the upper track of the pattern was determined twice, and then it began to fall continuously, fell back to the lifeline, and then fell below the lower track of the pattern. Now it is further down and breaking the low
Then, keeping high is the key, breaking low is the focus. The previous starting and falling acceleration points are 3357 area, 3370, and finally 3388-3390.
Today's high point is 3370 area. The resistance range of 3357 is determined at noon. The pattern opens downward. Keep high and break low to see acceleration. After breaking the high point, it returns to sweeping.
4. The double lines of the hourly chart are glued together to form a pressure area. The interval of 3355-3370 just coincides with the two resistances above. Use this as suppression to switch space downward.
5. The large channel cooperates with the small channel. The price falls below the lower track position of the large channel and begins to switch space further downward. The top and bottom conversion position is 3340, and the final acceleration starting point is 3348.
Use this as suppression, and look down to the weekly defense line area of 3316-3315.
If it falls below, the next support will focus on the 3300 mark. If it breaks 3300 again, the next position is 3280
💰Strategy Package
Short Position:3348-3354,SL:3375,Target: 3300-3310
Long Position:3280-3290,SL:3260,Target: 3340
XAUUSD trade ideas
Hold on to the high point and go short decisively!Gold closed the weekly line today, maintaining the idea of oscillating downward. The 4H consecutive negatives tested the support of the lower Bollinger track. Although it was roundabout and saw-sawed, every decline would be accompanied by a new low. Therefore, hold the high point to see the bottom break and accelerate. The lower side will gradually look to 3338 and 3315. Among them, 3315 is a strong support for the weekly line. If it is not broken, you can consider going long; the upper rebound pressure is 3361 and 3375. In terms of operation, short according to the rebound strength, and the specific points are subject to the bottom 🌐 notification.
Operation suggestion: Short gold in batches near 3361-3375, with a target of 3350-3340.
XAUUSD is still on Rising channel on D1H4 Timeframe Analysis
Gold is currently holding the falling wedge pattern on H1 & Rising wedge on D1 Today we have volume opening Gap on OANDA which is still pending.
Market is holding the Range of 3330-3380
What's possible scanarios we have?
if gold sustained with this falling channel and H4 remains above 3320-3330 then Before the US market, I think gold can still return to around 3350 then 3370.
On the otherhand if The H4 candle closes below 3320 buyying will be limited and market will again the rangbound 3290-3330
#XAUUSD
Gold is under pressure and continues to focus on weekly support
The Israeli-Iranian conflict that broke out on June 13th lasted for 12 days before a ceasefire agreement was reached. Iran retaliated against the US military base but did not block energy transportation. Trump called its response weak, and market concerns cooled. Gold and oil prices gave up their gains. Spot gold closed at $3,368.98 per ounce, close to flat. U.S. crude oil fell 9% from a 5% increase. Trump announced on Tuesday that Israel and Iran had reached a ceasefire agreement. After mediation by Qatar, Iran agreed, and Israel also hoped to end the conflict within a few days.
Gold fell as the situation eased and the demand for safe-haven assets weakened. Oil prices fell more due to the lack of risk in the Strait of Hormuz, and U.S. stock index futures rose. Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Bowman unexpectedly said that interest rates may be cut in July. U.S. Treasury yields fell and the U.S. dollar index fell, but did not support gold prices. The U.S. economy is facing inflation and growth slowdown pressure. If the situation in the Middle East worsens, oil prices may soar, exacerbating the risk of stagflation. Short-term ceasefires and differences with the Federal Reserve suppress gold prices. Medium- and long-term geopolitical risks and expectations of interest rate cuts support gold. Investors can pay attention to relevant developments and diversify their allocations.
In terms of gold, the overall price of gold fell on Monday. The highest price rose to 3396.68 on the day, and the lowest price fell to 3346.92, closing at 3368.94. On Monday, gold jumped higher in the early trading, and then came under pressure again. It continued to rise after the European and US trading to test the opening high. The price fell very weakly overnight, and finally ended with a big negative. At present, gold is still in a volatile decline.
From a multi-cycle analysis, first observe the monthly rhythm. The price ran according to the rhythm in May as the author said, and finally in a cross state. For June, focus on the gains and losses of the highs and lows in May. The price will only be a real break if it really closes above this position. The long-term watershed is at 2780. From a weekly level, the gold price is supported by the 3280 regional support level. From a mid-term perspective, we are still in a mid-term bullish position, but we need to pay attention to the market's retracement to the weekly support. At the same time, the price will be further under pressure only if it breaks the weekly support. From the daily level, the price breaks the 3365 daily watershed. The overall follow-up still focuses on the pressure performance, and the focus below is on the retracement to the weekly support. At the same time, according to the four-hour level, we need to pay attention to the 3360 position temporarily. Since gold is currently in a volatile decline, it will continue to be short before breaking 3405. In the short term, we will first focus on the four-hour and daily resistance pressure, and focus on the 3320 and 3280 area support below.
Gold 3360 and 3365 range is under pressure, and the target is 3320-3280
XAUUSD Hello traders. Today's second and also final trade opportunity comes from the XAUUSD pair. I consider this setup to be somewhat risky, so I recommend keeping your risk exposure at a minimum.
Earlier today, I shared a trade on GBPJPY, which has since experienced a strong upward move. As a result, I’ve updated the TP level for that trade. You can find the updated information noted under that specific post.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 30-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 3323.09
✔️ Take Profit: 3340.22
✔️ Stop Loss: 3314.50
🕒 If momentum fades or the price consolidates in a tight range, I will keep this trade open only until 23:00 (UTC+4). After that, I’ll close it manually—whether in profit or loss—depending on how price action evolves.
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
XAU / USD 2 Hour ChartHello traders. Happy Tuesday. I got up in the middle of the night and as I take a look at gold's progress with the overnight sessions, I have marked my current area of interest for potential scalp trades in either direction. I will be waiting for Pre NY volume to come in to see if we correct any moves made during the Asian and London sessions. Big G gets all my thanks. Let's see how the next current 2 hour and 4 hour candle's close. Be well and trade the trend.
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday’s chart idea is playing out as analysed.
Gold failed to break above the $3,395 resistance and has now pulled back, currently testing the first support zone — aligned with the 4H 200MA and Daily 50MA.
If this area fails to hold, price is likely to head toward the next key support zone, where we expect a potential reaction.
To resume bullish momentum, we need to see a strong close above $3,346. Key bullish zones remain $3,375 and $3,395.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance:
$3,375 • $3,395 • $3,418 • $3,439
Support:
$3,361 • $3,346 • $3,330 / $3,306
$3,287 – Critical demand zone
🧠 Fundamental Focus:
All eyes are on Fed Chair Powell’s testimony today, which may offer clues about the Fed’s rate outlook and inflation stance. Any hint of continued hawkishness could weigh on gold, while dovish commentary may trigger renewed upside interest.
Expect heightened intraday volatility around his remarks — stay cautious.
Hanzo / Gold 15 min - ( most accurate Reversals Levels ) 🔥 Gold – 15 Min Scalping Analysis
⚡️ Objective: Precision Reversal Execution
Time Frame: 15 -Minute Warfare
Entry Mode: Only after verified Reversals
👌Bullish Reversal : 3333
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish Reversal : 3346
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
👌Bearish Reversal : 3396
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic liquidity layer detected — mapped through refined supply/demand mechanics. Volatility now rising. This isn’t noise — this is bait for the untrained. We're not them.
🦸♂️ Tactical Note:
The kill shot only comes after the trap is exposed and volume betrays their position.
5
Hanzo / Gold 15 min - most accurate Reversals ( Zones )
H4 Outlook – Between Flip and Trap👋 Hey Gold minds, welcome to another sniper-level breakdown. We're mid-range between major sweep zones and watching carefully how price reacts around the current compression under key EMAs and FVG. Let’s break it down:
🔸 MACRO + FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT
USD drivers this week:
🔹 Monday–Tuesday: Multiple FOMC Members speaking
🔹 Wednesday: Powell Testimony
🔹 Thursday: Final GDP + Unemployment Claims
🔹 Friday: Core PCE and UoM Inflation Expectations
Macro sentiment:
FOMC speakers remain hawkish while inflation is sticky. Gold reacts defensively as markets price in Powell’s tone. Liquidity traps on both sides still active. Gold consolidates below key liquidity at 3405, potentially setting up for either expansion or sweep rejection.
🔸 H4 STRUCTURE + BIAS
Market structure:
Price formed a Lower High (3452) and confirmed bearish intent with a break of structure to the downside (CHoCH & BOS).
Currently compressing under H4 Fair Value Gap and retesting an internal OB + EQ zone around 3360–3370, showing signs of rejection.
EMA Cluster:
Price is compressing between EMA 21 / 50 / 100, failing to reclaim EMA100.
EMA5 is crossing under EMA21 – short-term bearish bias holds.
Bias: 🔻 Bearish to neutral
As long as price stays under 3380, supply remains in control. Only a break and close above 3405–3415 would flip bias bullish short term.
🧭 Sniper Zones – H4 Precision Map
🔷 Type 📍 Price Zone 📌 Justification
🔵 Buy Zone #1 3315 – 3340 Valid OB , previous HL structure, FVG reaction support
🔵 Buy Zone #2 3280 – 3302 Deeper demand pocket, untapped imbalance
🟠 Flip Zone 3360 – 3380 FVG + internal OB + EMA compression = key battle zone
🔴 Sell Zone #1 3405 – 3415 Internal OB + unmitigated premium zone under LH
🔴 Sell Trap Zone 3440 – 3460 Extreme rejection zone — 3452 HH sweep logic + OB
🔸 Price Action Expectations (PA)
If price rejects 3360–3380, expect a clean push back to 3320, with possible deeper draw to 3300–3285.
A clean break and close above 3380 (not just a wick) may open the door for a sweep of 3405, where sellers are expected.
Only an aggressive news-driven breakout above 3415 would unlock the final trap zone toward 3450+ – lower probability unless Powell surprises.
✅ Conclusion & Execution Plan
🎯 Watch how price behaves around the Flip Zone — this is the decision point.
📉 Main bearish confirmation = strong rejection at Flip Zone or 3405.
📈 Bullish continuation only above 3415 with volume and closing strength.
💎 Best RR zones:
Sell 3405–3420 → targeting 3360 / 3340
Buy 3315–3340 → targeting 3360 / 3380
🔥 If this breakdown helped sharpen your edge, drop a 🚀 in the comments and like the post!
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Gold Eyes $3,361 in Bearish Setup📊 Technical Analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) – 30-Min Chart
Chart Context:
Timeframe: 30-minute
Instrument: CFDs on Gold (USD/OZ)
Current Price: $3,386.282
Price Change: +14.757 (+0.44%)
Date: June 23, 2025
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🔍 Key Observations:
1. Descending Triangle Formation
The chart shows a descending triangle, characterized by:
A flat support zone around the $3,351–$3,355 range.
A descending resistance trendline, suggesting lower highs over time.
This is typically a bearish pattern, indicating that sellers are pressuring price lower.
2. Breakout and Retest
There was a recent breakout above the descending trendline (highlighted with a blue move).
However, the price may be performing a false breakout or retest, as a downward arrow suggests a potential reversal back toward the support.
3. Volume and Market Sentiment
Although volume is not shown, the chart’s structure implies selling pressure is still dominant after each rally is rejected.
Price remains within a consolidation box, indicating indecision — but leaning bearish due to the triangle pattern.
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🎯 Target: $3,361
The label "Target 3361" marks a likely support level if the bearish pattern plays out.
This is a measured move from the triangle height and structure, projecting downward from the breakdown point.
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🛑 Support Zones
Strong demand zones highlighted in red between $3,325–$3,340.
If price breaks below $3,351, expect a drop to $3,325–$3,330, which are historical demand areas.
Gold Trading Strategy June 23The last two D1 candles have continuously drawn out the wicks. The Sellers may no longer be interested in dominating the market.
Currently, Gold is moving sideways in a wide range. 3345 and 3375 are the two Breakout zones of the gold price in today's trading day. When breaking out of the breakout zone, the price will continue its strong trend. Limit trading against the trend when the price breaks out.
Trading signals may also appear if there is confirmation from the candle that does not break out of this breakout zone.
Resistance and support zones remain the same as last week.
Resistance 3400-3415-3443
Support 3322-3296
Break out: 3375-3345
Recommended good trading signals
SELL 3399-3401 Stoploss 3405
BUY 3322-3320 Stoploss 3306
XAU/USD Bearish Pattern Analysis XAU/USD Bearish Pattern Analysis 📉
The chart presents a potential bearish continuation setup in the XAU/USD pair, highlighted by technical structures and key price levels:
📊 Technical Breakdown:
🔸 Bearish Rejection from Resistance
Price rejected strongly from the 3,440.000 resistance zone, marked with a red arrow.
This area has acted as a historical supply zone, triggering repeated reversals.
🔸 Descending Channel Formation 📉
A clear bearish flag/channel structure is visible post-rejection.
Price action broke down from the channel, signaling potential trend continuation.
🔸 Target Level 🎯
The expected target is around 3,304.374, aligning with previous support zones and structure lows.
This level coincides with a measured move from the channel breakdown.
🔸 Higher Lows Pattern Before Reversal ⭕
Prior to the current decline, the market formed a series of higher lows, highlighted with orange circles — suggesting a buildup before reversal.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 3,440.000 – 3,420.000 🔼
Current Price: 3,368.750
Short-Term Target: 3,304.374 🎯
Major Support: 3,140.000 – 3,160.000 🛡️
📌 Outlook:
The rejection from resistance coupled with the descending channel breakdown indicates bearish momentum. If the market maintains below the recent high, further downside towards 3,304 is expected. Break below this may expose deeper support zones.
📉 Bias: Bearish
⏳ Short-term Action: Watch for breakdown confirmation and momentum continuation.
GOLD Growth Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading along the
Rising support and is already
Making a bullish rebound so
As we are bullish biased due
To the strong uptrend we
Will be expecting a further
Bullish move up on Gold
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD LONG AFTER A LTF BOSGOLD has recently broken its last lower timeframe High, shifting market structure and indicating Buyers are currently in control.
This break opened up a clear Demand Zone below, a small base or last bearish candle before the rise, which is a key area where unfulfilled buy orders may be resting.
Price has already retraced back into this Demand Zone to fill those orders and there’s a liquidity sweep signaling a buy. We should be expecting a buying pressure to resume and push price upward, honoring the imbalance left by the rise.
Entry:
I’m buying from this Demand Zone. This lets me enter at a discount price while trading in direction of the newly established upward momentum.
Target:
The first Target Profit (TP) is set at the next supply Zone above, where selling pressure might emerge.
Stop Loss:
To control risk, the Stop Loss (SL) is placed just below the demand Zone.
If price drops below this area, it would invalidate the demand’s ability to hold, signaling a potential reversal.
✅ Summary:
• Market has shifted to bullish after breaking last high.
• Demand Zone below is a key area to watch for buying opportunities.
• Buying upon the pullback into Demand, with Stop Loss below and Target at supply above.
GOLD What Next? SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The market is trading on 3376.9 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 3366.2
Recommended Stop Loss - 3383.0
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Bears under strong pressure, gold price adjusted⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) saw a modest rebound during Thursday’s Asian session, recovering part of the prior day’s decline and stabilizing around the $3,362–$3,363 zone, marking the weekly low. Lingering trade uncertainties and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to weigh on global risk sentiment, supporting demand for the safe-haven metal.
Meanwhile, the U.S. Federal Reserve concluded its two-day policy meeting on Wednesday by holding interest rates steady, while signaling a more cautious approach to future rate cuts. This shift, driven in part by concerns that President Donald Trump’s tariff policies could fuel inflation, boosted the U.S. Dollar to its highest level in over a week. The resulting Dollar strength is capping gold’s upside momentum, keeping the metal below the $3,400 threshold and prompting investors to remain cautious.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Bears continue to put selling pressure on gold prices. Accumulating below 3400.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3414- 3416 SL 3421
TP1: $3402
TP2: $3390
TP3: $3376
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3347-$3345 SL $3340
TP1: $3355
TP2: $3368
TP3: $3380
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
BUYS ON XAUUSD🧠 Current Context on Daily (1D):
🔸 Price is currently in a clear short-term bearish structure following a Break of Structure (BOS).
🔸 It’s dropping towards a zone where a bullish order block begins, around the 75%-100% Fibonacci retracement.
📌 The 50 EMA on the daily chart (around 3,281) is still below price, indicating the overall macro trend remains bullish, but the current move is a healthy bearish correction.
📉 What to expect in the next few hours/days:
🔻 Scenario 1 – Continuation of the drop (likely in the short term):
Price could continue falling toward:
75% retracement zone (~3,339)
100% retracement zone (~3,302), which aligns with a previous demand zone and is close to the 50 EMA
✅ In that area, we could expect:
Mitigation of the daily OB
Bullish reaction if there's a liquidity sweep or confirmation on H4/H1
📈 Scenario 2 – Reversal from current level (less likely without confirmation):
Price is close to the 71% Fib level, so a small bounce may occur, but without liquidity being taken or clear reversal signals, it’s likely to be weak or temporary.
🔥 Conclusion:
It's not yet time to buy impulsively. The price is dropping in an orderly fashion and hasn’t reached a key liquidity zone or the 50 EMA.
👉 Wait for price to reach the 3,339 – 3,302 zone and show PA (price action) confirmation of a reversal.
That could offer a high-probability long opportunity.
XAUUSD 4H Analysis – Key SMC Levels in PlayPrice has been respecting market structure with multiple Breaks of Structure (BoS) and a confirmed Change of Character (ChoCh) from bearish to bullish. After sweeping a Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) and reacting off an Order Block (OB), price is currently consolidating above a bullish OB.
We're now at a decision point :
Bullish Scenario : If price holds this OB and shows a clear intent to push higher, we could target the previous highs near 3420+.
Bearish Scenario : If the OB fails and we get a clean break below the structure, I'm eyeing the next OB + FVG zone around 3315–3303 as the next point of interest.
Price action inside this range will confirm the next move. Keep an eye on rejections and reaction from the OB zone to decide entry.
🧠 Marked levels :
OBs, FVGs, BSL, IDM block
Key structural breaks (BoS, ChoCh)
Bias remains neutral-to-bullish until OB fails
📌 Wait for confirmation before entry – patience is profit.
#XAUUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #OrderBlock #GoldAnalysis #BreakOfStructure