Gold Rejection in Focus – Will Bears Take Control?As anticipated from recent price action, gold’s latest movement may be signaling weakness and could act as a key trigger for short sellers. This is why I anticipate increased short-selling activity ahead. The bearish outlook is still intact. However, a rebound from resistance followed by rejection could once again attract sellers, setting the stage for a move toward the 3,180 support zone, which aligns with the upper boundary of the descending channel.
That said, failure to stay below this level could invalidate the bearish scenario and increase the likelihood of a pullback toward the upper line of the channel.
Before considering any short positions, look for clear bearish confirmation signals—such as a bearish engulfing candle, strong wick rejections from resistance, or rising sell volume.
Please note, I will not get involved without proper confirmation.
XAUUSD trade ideas
GOLD(XAUUSD): Very Bearish Pattern📉GOLD formed a notable head and shoulders pattern at a significant daily/intraday horizontal resistance.
A bearish breakout from its horizontal neckline indicates strong selling pressure.
It is likely that the price will continue to decline, potentially reaching the 3219 level.
DeGRAM | GOLD reached the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis
● Twin rejections inside the 3 300-3 340 supply, exactly where the purple retest line and rising-channel ceiling intersect, have carved a lower high and completed a bearish flag.
● RSI confirms negative divergence and the candle body is back below the 3 284 pivot, favouring a slide toward the channel median at 3 172 and, if broken, the floor/September swing low near 3 100.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Upbeat US second-estimate GDP and stronger durable-goods orders pushed 2-yr Treasury yields above 5 %, raising gold’s carry cost, while WGC logs a sixth straight week of ETF outflows and the PBoC reportedly paused reserve buying in May.
✨ Summary
Short below 3 300; objectives 3 172 → 3 100. Invalidate on a sustained close above 3 350.
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Selling pressure, gold price falls below 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices continued to retreat during Wednesday’s North American session, slipping below the $3,300 mark after reaching an intraday high of $3,325 earlier. The pullback, amounting to a 0.27% decline, came as traders absorbed the implications of the latest Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting minutes.
During the May 6–7 policy meeting, the Fed opted to leave interest rates unchanged, highlighting growing uncertainty surrounding the economic impact of proposed tariffs. Officials maintained a cautious stance, citing heightened risks of both inflation and unemployment—potential consequences of trade disruptions.
The minutes also reflected concerns over stagflation, with policymakers noting that “the Committee may face challenging trade-offs if inflation proves more persistent while growth and employment expectations deteriorate.”
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The downtrend line remains intact, gold prices are trading around below 3300. The tariff backdrop remains largely unchanged.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3311- 3313 SL 3318
TP1: $3300
TP2: $3290
TP3: $3280
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3205- $3207 SL $3200
TP1: $3218
TP2: $3230
TP3: $3248
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD📌 Current Bias:
Short-term Bias: Bearish retracement in progress.
Medium-term Bias: Still bullish, unless price breaks below the 0.5–0.618 zone and forms a CHoCH with continuation.
✅ Trading Opportunities:
1. Bullish Continuation
-Entry: Between 3,260–3,270 (demand + 0.382 zone)
-Confirmation: I-CHoCH or bullish BOS on lower timeframes (e.g., 1H)
-Target: 3,338–3,350 (supply), then HH zone
2. Bearish Rejection
-Entry: If price retests 3,338–3,340 and forms a bearish CHoCH again
-Target: 3,250 (imbalance) and 3,200 (0.618 Fib)
Gold Drops to 3250 – Sell-the-Spike Strategy Still in Play🕰️ What Happened Yesterday
In yesterday’s analysis, I argued that the 3320–3330 zone should act as a strong sell zone, with a target down at the 3250 support.
Gold respected the plan perfectly: it dropped from the 3325 area straight into 3250 during the Asia session, hitting the target with precision(700+ pips)
At the time of writing, Gold is now bouncing, which is normal, trading around 3280.
❓ Correction Done or More to Come?
While the bounce to 3280 may look promising for bulls, my opinion remains unchanged: this is still a market to sell rallies, not to buy dips.
🔎 Why I Still Expect a Deeper Drop
- Old support becomes resistance – The 3280–3285 zone, once support, is now acting as resistance. That zone is currently being tested.
- Double resistance near 3300 – Just above, we have the psychological 3300 level, reinforced by the falling trendline coming from recent highs.
- Momentum still favors the downside – Unless bulls can reclaim and hold above 3300, this rebound is nothing more than a dead-cat bounce.
📉 Trading Plan
I remain in sell-the-spike mode. Any move into 3285 or 3300 is an opportunity to enter short, with stops above the trend line or yesterday's high.
If price breaks back below 3265, the probability increases for a new local low under 3250, probably to the next one around 3215.
✅ Final Thoughts
Yesterday’s setup worked perfectly — and the plan doesn’t change just because of a small bounce.
The market needs to prove it can break key resistance before shifting bias.
Until then, this remains a sell-on-strength market. Let the trades come to you. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation 's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
How to Trade Gold Market with the 50% Retracement CandleHey Traders so today wanted to show why you don't really need indicators to trade. Price action is the best way to trade imo because it's easier. For the most part indicators lag and can give you false signals. So if you are looking for a way to trade that does not involve indicators check this out.
So we can see that Gold is in a strong uptrend the strategy is wait until market pulls back to trendline and buy but what if you miss that pullback?
So you can still get in the uptrend look for a strong bullish candle like the one I highlighted on May 20. Then place an order to buy when the market pulls back to 50% of that candle. Measure it with the Fibonacci tool. Place your stop below the low of the candle or under support so that way you most likely won't get stopped out. Now this trade was textbook but not all of them are check out how as soon as it hit the 50% retracement of that candle market rocketed higher!
There you go simple way to trade and no need for complex indicators! This strategy works in all markets!
Always use Risk Management!
(Just in case your wrong in your analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.)
Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford
Gold trading I deaHi traders I shared this gold set up yesterday in my X according to my view selling pressure it's going to continue towards demand zone but I can't tell if it's gonna breakes down or what but am expecting it to sell a bit as shown in the chart and I always trust my work with patience n get amazing results please do risk smart n manage to grow accordingly this is not a gambling,am expecting everyone to not missing any set up I send smaller time frame or long trust the process,only trump can break my set up into peaces if not I trust my work n I can see all the best to my friends let's eat.
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to resistance area of 3439.37.Colleagues, Last time, I suggested that the five-wave movement was not yet complete. It seems that this is indeed the case.
Wave "5" of the higher degree is unfolding, and I expect the price to reach the resistance area around 3439.37, which marks the top of wave "X".
Within the smaller five-wave structure, I believe wave "3" is currently in progress.
A correction toward the 3248.38 area is possible.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
XAUUSD Making Lower HighsGood day,
The overall trend of XAUUSD on the 4-hour timeframe currently appears bearish. This is supported by recent price action where gold is pushing up toward previous day highs, likely setting up for a bearish pullback to test resistance levels.
Key Price Levels and Targets
Resistance and Pullback Setup: The price is approaching resistance near recent highs, a supply area that may trigger a bearish pullback if the upside momentum weakens.
Estimated Price Targets:
Immediate targets on the downside are 3,195.896 and 3,130.847, which align with intermediate support levels.
A more extended bearish bias targets 3,010.225, potentially reaching as low as 2,942.672, which corresponds to deeper support zones.
Fundamental Highlights:
The recent easing of tariff tensions and a stronger US dollar have reduced safe-haven demand for gold, contributing to the bearish outlook.
The Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on interest rates and inflation risks adds complexity; while hawkish signals can pressure gold prices, any potential rate cuts later in 2025 could provide support.
Geopolitical risks remain a wildcard: escalation could boost gold’s safe-haven appeal, while easing tensions may further weigh on prices.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice.
Key technical insights on gold!Gold is trading in a general downtrend on the daily timeframe, within a range defined by the level of 3434.660, which represents the most recent lower high, and the level of 3120.820, which marks the most recent lower low. These levels define the current trading range on the daily chart.
Using Fibonacci from the daily lower high to the daily lower low, the level of 3367.445 is considered important and could act as a resistance level for a potential downward reversal, as it represents a premium price within the current daily trading range.
On the 4-hour timeframe, when examining the relationship between price action and the Relative Strength Index (RSI), we observe that the price formed two consecutive higher highs, while the RSI formed two lower highs. This creates a bearish divergence, which is a negative signal indicating a potential decline.
Additionally, on the 4-hour chart, the trend has shifted from bullish to bearish after the price fell below the 3290.84 level and formed a new lower low.
Based on the above technical data, a decline in gold prices is expected in the short to medium term. The first target could be set at 3281.148, while the second target may be identified by monitoring a drop in the RSI towards the 30 level, which indicates oversold conditions.
XAU/USD on the 45-minute timeframeSupport Zone Rejection (around 3,250 USD):
Price sharply reversed after testing a key support area (highlighted with a circle).
Volume increased at the reversal point, signaling strong buyer interest.
Break Above Minor Resistance (~3,280 USD):
Price has broken above the immediate resistance level with strong bullish momentum.
A bullish candle has closed above this zone, indicating a potential continuation.
Next Target Resistance Zones:
First Target: Around 3,320 USD, which aligns with a previous structural high and supply zone.
Final Target: Around 3,345–3,350 USD, representing a major resistance zone and previous swing high.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Above 3,280 (already in motion).
Target 1: 3,320
Target 2: 3,345–3,350
Stop Loss: Below 3,260 (below recent low and support zone)
Bullish Structure:
Higher low has been established.
Momentum is supported by volume confirmation
5/28 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning everyone!
Yesterday, gold saw a sharp downward move, and we profited well by trading short based on the double-top pattern.
Yesterday, gold has reached the 3287 support area, and by the end of the U.S. session it rebounded slightly above 3300. Although the rebound lacks strong momentum, it does show that the support zone held on the first test. Whether the bulls can take back control depends heavily on today's follow-up strength.
📊 Key Technical Levels:
If bulls break above and hold 3323–3336, a bullish reversal is likely;
If the bounce is weak, short positions remain the preferred strategy;
4H support: 3268
Daily support: 3172
Before that, 3301–3275 also forms an important support zone;
If price breaks below 3301–3275, especially under negative news impact, a drop to 3150 or even 3100 is not out of the question.
🗞 Key News Focus Today:
Watch for May FOMC-related remarks during the U.S. session, which could become a catalyst for major market movement.
📈 Today’s Trading Plan:
📉 Sell in the 3342–3362 zone (strong resistance)
📈 Buy in the 3258–3248 zone (strong support)
🔁 Flexible intraday levels to monitor:
3336 / 3328 / 3319 / 3306 / 3295 / 3286 / 3274 / 3266
Stay sharp and combine technicals with key news events to make informed trades. Feel free to reach out if you need support — wishing you a profitable day ahead!
GOLD: Bullish Continuation & Long Signal
GOLD
- Classic bullish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy GOLD
Entry - 3282.5
Stop - 3274.1
Take - 3298.4
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Market next move 🔻 Disruption to Bullish Thesis
1. Resistance Zone Near Target
The "Target" area might align with a previous resistance level (historically where price has reversed or consolidated).
If price hits that zone, it could stall or reject, rather than break through.
2. Bearish Volume Divergence
While the candles are green and pushing upward, volume is not increasing significantly.
Lack of strong buying volume can suggest a weak rally — potentially a bull trap.
3. Trend Context: Larger Downtrend
The chart shows a strong prior downtrend before the recent small upward push.
This move could be a dead-cat bounce or retracement within a broader bearish move.
4. Fundamental Risk: USD Strength
If the US Dollar Index (DXY) strengthens due to macroeconomic data or Fed commentary, gold (USD-denominated) typically drops.
The calendar icons suggest upcoming US economic data, which could disrupt gold’s movement.
5. Candle Structure Shows Exhaustion
The current bullish candles are smaller compared to previous strong red ones.
This may imply momentum exhaustion before reaching the target.
Hanzo / Gold 30min Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )🆚 Gold
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market tactics
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 30 M TF
————-
☄️ Bullish Setup After Break Out – 3315 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
💯 Reasons : / 2025 Retest of 3315
- 09 / May ( Wick's + Rejections )
- 21 / May ( Break + Pump )
- 22 / May ( Break + Retest )
- 23 / May ( Break + Pump )
- 27 / May ( Break + Retest )
👌 3315 key level
Volume is High
Volume And the most Cluster Area
and also have solid HVN Volume
—————-
☄️ Bearish Setup After Break Out – 3283 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
💯 Reasons : / 2025 Retest of 3283
- 12 / May ( Bearish Retest )
- 20 / May ( Wick Retest at same point )
- 21 / May ( Wick Retest And Pump )
- 22 / May ( Wick Retest at same point )
- 27 / May ( Wick Retest And Pump )
Hanzo / Gold 30min Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )
[20250526] Gold - True Bull or Liquidity Trap This Week?Key Dynamic Levels Guide: Previous Grey/Black, Green/Magenta, and Red/Blue dynamic levels mark important zones where Smart Money (SM) has positioned itself. These levels are crucial liquidity pools, as support and resistance (S/R) frequently revisit these zones. Check their values by hovering your mouse for guidance before proceeding.
4H key-level confluence can be refer in published Idea titled: Gold – Structural Bull Bias - One Leg Down Still Anticipated? refer the related post --->
📊 Weekly Market Intent – Gold Analysis
Gold has recently tested the 3360+ zone, showing renewed bullish momentum. However, system-based structure mapping suggests that this move might still be part of a broader setup—rather than a confirmed breakout.
📌 Market Structure & Key Levels
A possible ABCDE triangle structure remains in play, where price is either concluding Wave-C or initiating Wave-D. If this formation holds, a pullback toward 3044–2950 could materialize before Wave-E completes and resumes the larger bullish trend.
The market also aligns with a potential 3-Drive bearish trap, where recent highs attract late buyers before deeper liquidity moves unfold.
🔹 Key Dynamic Levels (4H Confluence):
Bull VAH (Grey Line): 3317.52 – Key retracement level in a bullish environment.
Bull POC (Light Green): 3313.55 – Defines bullish sentiment zone.
Blue Line (Bull Bias Limit): 3254.26 – A breach would indicate deeper pullback risk.
Red Line (Bear Bias Limit): 3369.81 – A decisive break suggests bullish continuation.
Liquidity Levels: 3401.21 (upper target) | 3212.57 (lower target).
🧐 Market Sentiment & Next Move
Current sentiment indicates bullish bias with bear presence, as the market attempts lower support levels before a bullish continuation.
Bullish Continuation: Price moving past 3366 could signal a breakout, with unconfirmed top resistance levels remaining untested before further upside.
Bearish Presence: Below 3313.55, sell-side pressure could intensify. Below the bull bias limit (3254.26), deeper downside traction suggests a short-cycle bearish move until a rebound occurs above the newly formed dynamic bear bias limit.
🧠 Reversal / Invalidation Conditions
Bullish Strength Holds: Trading above 3253.57, with unsuccessful bear attempts, suggests bullish sentiment remains intact.
Bearish Shift: A failed support at 3290 and successful retest reinforce downside pressure. Momentum and volume remain key for validating the shift.
📌 System-Based Order Limits
Daily Order Limits
Buy: 3350.95 | SL: 3281.20 | TP: 3399.82
Sell: 3302.39 | SL: 3372.14 | TP: 3253.52
Weekly Order Limits
Buy: 3335.02 | SL: 3192.49 | TP: 3434.89
Sell: 3235.80 | SL: 3378.33 | TP: 3135.93
Monthly Order Limits
Buy: 3374.47 | SL: 3097.33 | TP: 3568.65
Sell: 3181.54 | SL: 3458.68 | TP: 2987.36
📌 Final Insight
Market intent unfolds dynamically, and structure-driven decision-making ensures anticipation zones remain valuable references.
📢 Gawai Festival Notice: As I’ll be away for the season’s harvest festival, I may not provide further updates on next shifts. However, this weekly confluence bias should guide traders in navigating market ranges effectively.
Stay disciplined, wait for liquidity validation, and let Smart Money footprints lead the way.
Wishing all traders a profitable week ahead! See you next week. 🚀
Gold strategy today, I hope it will be helpful to youLooking back, the gold price rose initially near 3342 in yesterday's early trading, but encountered resistance at 3350 and began to weaken. Later, we predicted that the gold price would fall after 3345, and it indeed plummeted all the way, hitting a low of 3285 and eventually closing weakly at a low level. This indicates that the overall trend of gold prices is currently downward. However, the price may rebound in the short term. Now, the short-term gold price is fluctuating near 3316, and the 3321 area above should be closely watched. As this is the low point at the beginning of the week, based on experience, this level is likely to suppress the gold price today. Moreover, after yesterday's sharp decline, the technical indicator MACD showed a bottom divergence, which typically means the gold price will have a significant rebound later.
Based on the current situation, here's a trading reference: If the gold price rises near 3321, you can consider shorting. Because this level has an obvious suppressing effect, it is very likely that
the gold price will fail to break through here and start to fall.
Gold strategy today, I hope it will be helpful to you
XAUUSD SELL@3320~3325
SL:3340
TP:3310~3300