XAUUSD trade ideas
GOLD → Intra-range strategy. Waiting for NFPFX:XAUUSD remains consolidated in the 3340-3391 range. The price is stuck in the middle of the range due to the uncertainty created by upcoming unemployment news...
On Friday, gold rose slightly, remaining within the range ahead of important US employment data (NFP), which could set the direction for the market. Optimism over the US-China deal and profit-taking on the dollar are supporting the USD, holding back gold's rise. A weak NFP (less than 100,000) will reinforce expectations of a Fed rate cut and support gold. A strong report (above 200,000) will have the opposite effect. The probability of a rate cut in September is 54%.
Technically, on the daily timeframe, the market structure is bullish. After a sharp breakout of resistance and a new high, the price is consolidating above the upward trend line, forming a plateau in the 3300-3340 zone. Another shakeout from support is possible before the trend resumes
Resistance levels: 3375, 3391, 3414
Support levels: 3339, 3331
Forming a price forecast ahead of news, especially ahead of NFP, is a thankless task. Therefore, it is advisable to wait for the news and monitor the price reaction. A retest of the consolidation boundary and a rebound are possible. There is a chance that the price will remain in consolidation until next week, but again, it all depends on the fundamental background...
Best regards, R. Linda!
Weekly IDEA on Gold/XAUUSD 9-13 June 2025Technical Confluences:
Bearish FVG:
Fresh Fair Value Gap formed due to aggressive sell-off.
FVG = supply zone, acting as magnet for liquidity + rejection
Broken Channel Retest:
Price fell below the ascending channel
Now retesting the channel, a classic structure behavior before continuation.
Liquidity Below:
Clear clean lows visible around $3,290 → $3,250 → $3,120.
These levels could serve as liquidity targets for institutional movement
Rejection Candlestick Anticipated:
If a strong rejection candle (e.g., bearish engulfing / wick trap) forms inside FVG, entry confidence increases.
📌 Trade Idea (Signal)
Sell Limit Idea
Entry Zone: $3,332 – $3,344
SL: $3,355 (above FVG and channel invalidation)
TP1: $3,290
TP2: $3,250
TP3: $3,120
RR: Approx. 3R+
❗ Alternate Bullish Scenario:
If price reclaims and closes back inside the channel (above $3,355):
The current bearish setup is invalidated.
Bullish momentum could resume with possible push toward $3,400 → $3,445.
🧠 Final Thoughts:
This is a classic SMC + market structure confluence.
Wait for rejection confirmation inside the FVG for higher probability.
Avoid chasing the move — precision entry at supply is key.
GOLD We have been having nice and sweet bounce from our 200EMA, 3267??? that zone surely would be a no cross area FOR PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD .Happy new week, all the best.
Gold Long over descending trendlineHello.
Been waiting for days for this setup, buying gold after a breakout and test from above the descending channel we've seen forming over the past weeks
Buying 3,300
TP1 $3,450
TP2 $3,550
Buy gold, it is expected to continue to rise and test 3380-3390After the Asian session began, gold began to rise rapidly, and the original plan to short gold near 3355 had to be cancelled. After gold touched 3374, it fell back slightly, but after retreating to 3357, it rebounded again and broke through the short-term suppression near 3370 again. At present, gold still has the potential to rise further.
According to the current structure, gold has formed an oscillating upward structure, and the lows have been rising. After breaking through the short-term resistance area of 3360-3370, the willingness to rise has strengthened. Gold is expected to usher in a second rise and test the 3380-3390 area. If it breaks through this area, gold is even expected to continue to the 3410-3420 area. As gold rises, the gold support area rises to the 3360-3350 area.
So for short-term trading, we can try to go long on gold while controlling the risk after gold retreats to the 3360-3350 area!
XAUUSDI have reached the ceiling of my channel and am waiting for a pullback to the lower support and moving average of 200 for fifteen minutes in the first place.
Gold opportunity in pullbackGold is showing a nice 3-wave pullback, and showing a higher high sequence, as per Elliott wave also an incomplete sequence, also the dollar is showing a bearish sequence. so it can be a good opportunity.
selling Gold/silver is BIG NOOOOO
Entry 3311
SL: 3245
Target T1:3490 T2: 3540
Plz Follow me on X for more updates
Analysis of the latest market trends of gold surge and plungeFrom the 4-hour analysis, the support below is around 3338-45. If the intraday retracement relies on this position, the main bullish trend will remain unchanged. The short-term bullish strong dividing line is 3320-25. Before the daily level falls below this position, any retracement is a long opportunity. Maintain the main tone of participating in the trend.
Gold operation strategy:
If gold falls back to 3338-45 and does not break, go long, stop loss 3329, target 3375-3380, and continue to hold if it breaks;
Gold is falling. Where is the low point?Market summary:
Yesterday, thanks to the weakness of the US dollar, the US dollar once fell below the 99.0 mark. Spot gold rebounded from the low of 3293 hit earlier in the session, recovering all the losses during the day, and the highest point was near 3338.
It fell from the high point in the early Asian session on Tuesday, and has been consolidating in the 3300-3310 range so far. In my early analysis, I pointed out that there is a high probability that the fifth wave of the wave trend will fall at the beginning of this week, and as I predicted, it is completing the fifth wave of the downward trend.
Trend analysis:
From the four-hour chart, the fourth wave of rebound has been completed, so today is the fifth wave of the downward trend. Next, we look at the two target ranges.
The first target is around 3280, and the second is 3260-3350. And today, it is highly unlikely to stabilize above 3310, so don't choose to short at the rebound high point, the chance is very slim.
Operation strategy:
Short around 3310, stop loss at 3320, profit range 3380-3350.
Gold 200% Trading SignalsI'm provided, here’s a breakdown of the buy trade setup and potential Take Profit (TP) levels for XAU/USD (Gold) on the 1-hour timeframe:
🟢 Buy Setup Summary:
Pattern Identified: Bullish wedge (indicates potential breakout upward).
Support Trend Line: Clearly marked under price, showing consistent higher lows.
Breakout Zone: Around 3,378.463 (current resistance area).
Setup Trigger: Buy after bullish breakout above resistance (3,378 area).
📌 Buy Entry:
Entry Price: After confirmed breakout and retest of resistance around 3,378.
🎯 Take Profit (TP) Levels:
1. TP1: 3,390 (psychological round number + minor resistance zone
2. TP2: 3,410 (intermediate resistance)
3. TP3 (Final Target): 3,450 (as per chart label: ~1000 pips move
🔒 Stop Loss (SL):
Below the wedge pattern, possibly at 3,295–3,305, depending on your risk tolerance.
🔁 Trade Management:
Consider trailing SL once TP1 is hit.
Watch for price action around TP1 and TP2 for partial profits or exit signs.
Be cautious around news events that could impact Gold prices (e.g., FOMC, CPI, etc.).
Let me know if you want this translated into a MetaTrader or TradingView script, or help setting alerts for each TP.
Gold Coiling in Rising Wedge Ahead of CPI: Breakout Imminent?XAUUSD – Gold Coiling in Rising Wedge Ahead of CPI: Breakout Imminent?
Gold (XAUUSD) is compressing within a well-defined rising wedge pattern on the 1H chart, signaling that a decisive move is near. With the U.S. CPI report due on June 12th, traders should prepare for volatility driven by macroeconomic catalysts. Whether gold breaks higher or reverses depends on how the market digests inflation data.
🌍 Macro Backdrop: All Eyes on Inflation
📌 U.S. CPI (June 12): A softer-than-expected reading could revive Fed rate cut expectations and send gold higher. A hotter-than-expected CPI could strengthen the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields, putting pressure on gold.
📌 U.S.–China Trade Sentiment: Diplomatic progress in trade talks reduces safe-haven demand in the short term, weakening gold's defensive appeal.
📌 DXY & Bond Yields: A breakout in DXY or a sharp rise in U.S. bond yields post-CPI may lead to a corrective leg lower in XAUUSD.
📈 Technical Overview – Multi-Layered Structure
Pattern: Gold is forming a rising wedge between higher lows and converging highs, typical of breakout scenarios.
Fibonacci Levels (retracement from 3,400 to 3,296):
0.382: 3,336 – intermediate support
0.618: 3,360 – significant resistance, near current swing highs
Moving Averages:
Price is currently above EMA34 and EMA89
Struggling below EMA200 (red), which acts as dynamic resistance
FVG Liquidity Zone: An open Fair Value Gap between 3,360 – 3,374 could act as a magnet before any reversal.
🎯 Trade Strategy Scenarios
🟢 Buy Scenario – Bounce from Support Zone
Entry: 3314 – 3312 | Stop-Loss: 3308 | Take-Profit: 3318, 3322, 3326, 3330, 3335, 3340
Ideal if CPI comes in lower than expected or aligns with a bullish technical rejection from wedge support.
🔴 Sell Scenario – Rejection from Resistance Zone
Entry: 3374 – 3376 | Stop-Loss: 3380 | Take-Profit: 3370, 3366, 3362, 3358, 3352, 3348, 3340
Valid if price taps into the upper liquidity zone (3,374–3,394) and fails to break, especially on CPI surprise to the upside.
🧠 Tactical Conclusion
A dovish CPI → favors BUY setup off lower wedge support
A hawkish CPI → favors SELL near upper resistance and liquidity zones
📌 The market is compressing and gearing up for a breakout. Patience is key — wait for confirmation at key zones and manage risk precisely.
GOLD IS MOVING UPWARD.#xauusd #gold
Hello friends, very busy this days and also no well, had little health issue. But I was watching gold closely in that days too, caught some great moves. In previous analysis I mentioned gold will move upward, unfortunately gold breaked the pattern and moved down to 3394 after that we see again upward movement started. Again a bearish flag pattern is formed but due to tension in geopolitics gold is strongly bullish also yesterday was CPI news where dollar news was negative and dollar move down due to which gold pushed upward. Today gold opening was in gap in upward.
Today I am expecting to move upward and later on it will definitely come down to fill the gap near 3355. So our main target is now 3380-3391-3402.
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Rudra Vasaikar Wishes You A Great And Very Amazing Trading Life. Trade Safe, Trade Right.
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Gold surged, what will be the trend today?Information summary:
On Wednesday, the US dollar index plunged during the session as the CPI data that was lower than expected boosted the market's expectations of interest rate cuts. As of now, the lowest point is near 98.2.
After the release of the CPI data, gold rose in the short term and touched the 3360 US dollar mark, and then quickly gave up the gains and retreated to around 3320. However, it rose again due to the sharp escalation of the situation in the Middle East. As of now, the highest is around 3380.
Market analysis:
From the current 4-hour chart:
Yesterday's 3360 pressure level has been broken, and the Asian market has successfully stood above this position in the early trading. Then the suppression position of 3360 has turned into a support level. Therefore, the position we should pay close attention to next should be 3360-3350. If the price falls back to around 3350, it is possible to enter the market and do more. If the price rises again, it is very likely to break through 3400. Once it breaks through 3400, it will most likely reach around 3420.
Secondly, from the hourly chart, there are some signs of head and shoulders bottom. It would be perfect if it can fall back and then go up again. But gold cannot fall below 3345 again. If it falls below 3345 again, it cannot be long.
Operation strategy:
Go long when the price falls back to around 3350, stop loss at 3340, profit range 3375-3400.
Possible to sellFrom my analysis gold possible to going downward because it creating falling wedge pattern
GOLDShort
- hit daily high
- consolidating around the area
- lower time frame candle sticks are curving/falling
- has the wicks become exhausted
