GOLD: Nothing Changed, Still BearishGOLD: Nothing Changed, Still Bearish
At the moment, gold is following developments in the Middle East. The geopolitical situation seems to have improved, thus creating a short-term release of liquidity in long gold positions.
It could be a short-term gain, but there could also be a larger wave that could follow these moves. No one knows what could happen with gold movements in general.
With the current data, gold remains bearish and is still following our old scenarios.
Today, ARRI tested the 3300 structure area, showing that we have some sellers pushing the price down from that area.
If gold holds this area strong, then it could fall as shown in the chart;
Key target areas: 3262; 3247.5; 3218; 3192 and 3160
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
XAUUSD trade ideas
Gold Price Analysis July 3GOLD Technical Analysis - D1 Frame
On the D1 frame, the uptrend is still being maintained with momentum towards the price gap zone. During the European session, selling pressure started to appear around the resistance zone of 3365 - showing that this is the area where the sellers are making counter-moves.
On the chart, the gold price is accumulating and forming a triangle pattern, indicating the possibility of a strong movement phase.
If the price breaks the upper border of the triangle (above the 3363 zone), it will likely open up an opportunity to approach the next resistance at 3388.
On the contrary, if it breaks the lower border (below the 3330 zone), the correction trend may be triggered, heading towards deeper support zones.
Important Zones:
Resistance: 3363 – 3388
Support: 3330 – 3311 – 3297 – 3277
Trading Strategy:
BUY Breakout: When price breaks above 3363
SELL Breakout: When price breaks below 3330
GOLD - Price can continues rise to resistance level and break itHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Price made an upward impulse from the support line of the triangle and rose to the resistance line, breaking two levels.
Then the price dropped back, after which repeated impulse and exited from the triangle, reaching the resistance area.
After this movement, Gold started to trades inside a wedge, where it dropped from the resistance line to the support line.
Next, the price in a short time rose from this line to the resistance line again, breaking $3230 and $3400 levels.
But recently, it made a correction to the support line, breaking $3400 level again, and then started to grow.
Now, I expect that Gold can little decline and then continue to move up to $3470, breaking the resistance level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
HelenP. I Gold will make small correction and then continue growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. In this chart, we can see how the price declined to the 3245 support level, which coincided with the support zone, and then started to grow. In a short time, it reached the 3395 resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, and then dropped to the trend line, breaking two levels, and made a gap. After this movement, the price started to grow in a wedge and soon reached the support level, which broke it and continued to rise next. Later, it made a correction to the 3245 level and then continued to move up and reached the resistance level. Price bounced from this level and corrected, after which it turned around and rose to the resistance line of the wedge pattern, breaking the 3395 resistance level. But soon, it turned around and corrected to the trend line. Not a long time ago, price exited from the wedge, fell to the support level, and then started to grow. For this case, I expect that XAUUSD will make a small correction. Then I think it can continue to grow and reach the 3395 resistance level, which is my current goal. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment.❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Will gold return to 3500?XAU/USD Head and Shoulders Breakdown Analysis
The chart shows a classic Head and Shoulders pattern forming on the 4H timeframe, indicating a potential bearish reversal setup.
Left Shoulder: Formed mid-May with a local high followed by a dip.
Head: A higher peak formed in mid-June.
Right Shoulder: Formed recently at a lower high compared to the head, completing the structure.
The neckline has been clearly defined, and price is currently hovering just above it. If the price breaks and closes below the neckline with strong bearish momentum, it would confirm the pattern.
Target: The projected target from the breakdown is around 3163, calculated by measuring the height from the head to the neckline and projecting it downward.
Outlook:
A confirmed break below the neckline would open the door for further downside toward the target zone.
Bears will be in control if price sustains below the neckline with increasing volume.
Wait for confirmation on the neckline break before considering short entries.
If you are a newbie or your account is burning, don't trust any advice easily. Contact me. I will give you free advice.
GOLD - at CUT n REVERSE Area? holds or not??#GOLD.. market palced around 3317 18 as day low so far but hour closed above 3323 that was our area.
so keep close our region that is around 3320 to 3323
that is our ultimate region for now and if market hold it in that case we can expect bounce again
NOTE: below 3320 we will go for cut n reverse on confirmation.
good luck
trade wisely
GOLD Price Accept Very Highly Bullish Pattern.XAUUSD GOLD Price Accept Very Highly Bullish Pattern.
Gold Attacked the Resistance lines 3350 / 3328 as price pulling back to this zone,
Gold futures rise as investors await crucial U.S economic data The previous metal has ticked higher ahead of U.S Nonfarm payroll data due later Thursday the data will be closed analysed for fresh signals on the Economic outlooks for more reasons,
i Expect Gold have a chance to have rise back top resistance 3375 / 3400 we will see today these target in NFP Data Biggest news of month we will expect Big changes and also big highly movement in NFP now we are focus on US Data price could breakout.
You may look details in chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Time to Recover?!
Gold reached an important rising trend line on a daily.
I see 2 nice intraday bullish reactions to that on a 4H time frame
and a double bottom pattern formation.
Its neckline breakout and a 4H candle close above 3309
will confirm a start of a bullish correctional movement.
Goal will be 3327.
Alternatively, a bearish breakout of the trend line will push
the prices lower.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DeGRAM | GOLD around $3350📊 Technical Analysis
● Bulls defended the 3 312 pivot where the rising-channel base and July trend-support intersect; successive higher-lows are squeezing price against 3 355—last week’s swing cap and channel median.
● A break of 3 355 completes a 1 : 1 wedge measured to 3 380, and the grey inner rail projects follow-through toward the prior range ceiling at 3 425.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Softer US ISM-Services prices and falling 2-yr real yields curb USD demand, while IMF data show central-bank gold purchases rising for a third straight month—both underpinning bullion.
✨ Summary
Long 3 330-3 345; confirmed close above 3 355 eyes 3 380 then 3 425. Bull view void on an H1 close below 3 312.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Gold Price Outlook: Dip to $3000 Before a Bullish Rally Toward $Based on my current technical analysis, I expect a bearish move in gold toward the $3000 level in the short term. This zone could act as a strong support and the potential bottom before a major bullish reversal.
The reversal window is likely to open between July 28 and mid-August. During this time frame, I anticipate gold will start forming a solid base and initiate a new upward trend.
The medium-term target for this bullish leg is projected around $3700.
This outlook is based on price structure, key support/resistance zones, and historical price behavior.
📉 Short-term bias: Bearish to $3000
📈 Mid-term bias: Bullish toward $3700
🔔 I’d love to hear your thoughts – drop a comment and let’s discuss.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It’s a personal technical analysis shared for educational purposes only.
Market Movement Probability XAU/USD TF H1 Correction Wave 2It is possible that the gold market movement will make its final increase for this season as Wave 5 and has just completed SubWave 1 and is currently in the middle of the Correction for Subwave 2 before continuing to complete subwaves 3, 4 & 5 for Wave 5 at the end of the bullish trend.
XAUUSD – High-Precision Sell Setup with 1:2.70 R/RGreetings, traders.
After a brief tactical pause, we’ve identified a **high-conviction short setup** on **XAUUSD**.
Despite the U.S. Independence Day holiday, structural momentum suggests there’s still room for meaningful movement in gold during today’s session. The risk-to-reward profile on this setup is exceptional — clocking in at **1:8.70**, it meets our highest-tier execution standards.
If momentum stalls or price consolidates excessively, the trade will be manually closed by **23:00 (UTC+4)**, regardless of outcome.
🧠 Trade Parameters:
• **Timeframe:** 1-Hour (H1)
• **Direction:** Sell
• **Entry:** 3337.09
• **Take Profit:** 3312.16
• **Stop Loss:** 3345.63
• **Risk/Reward Ratio:** 1:2,70
• **Trade Management Note:** Will be closed manually by 23:00 (UTC+4) if momentum conditions are not met.
🔗 Signal Source
All trade setups are published directly by Velatrix Capital — a high-discipline trading desk focused on FX, crypto, and global indices.
No opinions. No hype. Just statistically-grounded execution.
All signals are posted via our TradingView desk:
👉 (www.tradingview.com)
📈 **We don’t chase hype. We build edge.**
🔔 **Subscribe for future setups and institutional-grade trade intelligence.**
**Velatrix Capital**
GOLD: Long Signal Explained
GOLD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry Point - 3311.9
Stop Loss - 3305.4
Take Profit - 3324.3
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
THE KOG REPORT - Update & NFP analysis End of day update from us here at KOG:
We managed to get the move into the red box we wanted which should have been a enough for the day. However, the levels were so clean during NY that we managed to get another decent trade into the Excalibur target to complete the day.
With NFP tomorrow and a US holiday on Friday, we're going to share our levels and view but due to unforeseen circumstances, I won't be around for the rest of the week to see it through.
We've added the updated red boxes, the key levels and the potential move if they break. So far, we've had a good week, so these levels are simply for reference and unless there is a clean set up, our traders will stay away until Monday.
Red boxes:
Break above 3350 for 3355, 3362, 3373, 3375 and 3390 in extension of the move
Break below 3335 for 3320, 3316, 3310. 3306, 3298 and 3285 in extension of the move
The week so far:
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bullish above 3250 with targets above 3278✅, 3285✅, 3297✅ and above that 3306✅
Bearish below 3250 with targets below 3240, 3232, 3220 and below that 3212
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3275 for 3279✅, 3285✅, 3289✅ and 3306✅ in extension of the move
Break below 3260 for 3255, 3251, 3240 and 3235 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Entry Detected )
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bearish Break : 3386
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Gold 30Min Engaged ( bearish Entry Detected )
XAUUSD (Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar) on the 30-minute timeframe.XAUUSD (Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar) on the 30-minute timeframe,
📈 Key Observations:
The price has broken out of a descending channel to the upside.
There is Ichimoku Cloud support below the breakout, indicating potential bullish momentum.
Two bullish target levels are marked with arrows and horizontal red lines.
🎯 Target Levels:
1. First Target (TP1): Around 3,350.000
2. Second Target (TP2): Around 3,390.000
These targets are based on the visual structure and the projected breakout move.
🛡 Support Zone (Possible Stop-Loss):
Near the 3,300.000 level — this is the last consolidation area before the breakout, and it's also aligned with the lower Ichimoku Cloud boundary.
---
⚠ Note:
Always manage your risk and consider fundamentals or major news events, especially with commodities like gold.
Tide turned in Sellers favorAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: I will keep Buying and Selling Gold only with my aggressive Scalp orders from my key entry and reversal points."
Firstly I have engaged multiple re-Buy orders on #3,320.890 towards #3,327.80 (Scalp of course) delivering decent Profit however when #3,322.80 got invalidated, personally I wasn't trusting the decline and re-Bought aggressively #3,312.80, #3,305.80 and #3,294.80. I did that successfully / in & out delivering excellent Profit however I would made much more if I Shorted Gold personally.
Technical analysis: The strong pullback shy of making a #3,282.80 local Low’s is a Natural Short-term correction. Yesterday's candle sequence can be identified as Three Black Crows formation but even then Daily chart remained Bullish currently as long as #3,277.80 - #3,288.80 Support zone is intact. Level mentioned represents key Support zone and it is no coincidence that the Price-action rebounded there. Hourly 4 chart is now Bearish again so I expect Bearish continuation on Gold (Sell every High's) unless Gold closes the session above #3,300.80 mark. Few Bearish important marks were hit earlier than I expected (had this for the end of the week personally) so now if / when #3,288.80 gets invalidated, I am expecting the final extension wave of this parabolic run towards #3,252.80 benchmark. I believe this will be a major Support, but shouldn't necessarily cause intense pull-back but a new Monthly accumulation period.
My position: I will Sell every High's on Gold, and pursue #3,252.80 benchmark with my both Scalp and Swing orders. I am well known Seller of Gold.
XAUUSD Fibonacci Retracement Buy Setup 15min Bullish Order FlowGold is currently trading within a bullish correction phase after a strong impulsive move. This analysis is a low time frame entry in anticipation of a bullish continuation.
This is a Fibonacci retracement-based buy setup on XAUUSD (Gold) using the 15-minute timeframe, backed by bullish market structure and potential reaction from the golden pocket zone.
📊 Technical Breakdown:
Bullish Internal Structure: Price broke above the previous short-term high, establishing a bullish leg with higher highs and higher lows.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
The pullback from the high at 3346.068 down to the swing low is retracing toward:
38.2% - 3327.049 (Current area)
50.0% - 3321.174
61.8% - 3315.299 (Golden Pocket Zone, also aligned with a demand zone)
FVG Confluence:
There's a visible FVG sitting around the 61.8% - 71% retracement zone, which strengthens the case for bullish continuation.
technical analysis chart for Gold (XAUUSD) on a 2-hour timefram technical analysis chart for Gold (XAUUSD) on a 2-hour timeframe using TradingView. Let's break it down and analyze the key insights:
---
📉 Overall Trend
Currently bearish with lower highs and lower lows.
Price is struggling to break above the resistance around $3,340–$3,345.
---
🔍 Key Observations
1. Sell Zone (Red Arrow Marks):
Multiple sell signals shown with red arrows where price rejected the upper resistance levels.
Most recent rejection happened just above $3,328, where price failed to break higher.
2. Support Levels:
Strong support identified around $3,298, tested multiple times.
Next support zone appears near $3,280, shown with a projected downward arrow.
3. Pattern Formation:
A Head and Shoulders pattern may be forming — a bearish reversal signal.
Alternatively, this also looks like a range or a bearish flag in a continuation of the prior downtrend.
4. Volume Analysis:
Noticeable increase in bearish volume on recent candles, supporting the downward movement.
Bullish volume appears weaker in comparison.
---
🔮 Possible Scenario (Bearish Bias)
If the price fails to reclaim and close above $3,328–$3,330, a drop to $3,298 is likely.
If $3,298 breaks with strong volume, next target could be around $3,280 or even lower as marked by the blue arrows.
Measured move from the top to the neckline supports this downside projection.
---
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Type Level
Resistance $3,328 – $3,345
Support $3,298.26
Target $3,280 – $3,264
Entry Signal Below $3,298 with volume
---
✅ Strategy Suggestion
Short Bias: Wait for a breakdown below $3,298 with strong volume confirmation.
Invalidation: If price closes and holds above $3,345, bearish setup fails.
Risk Management: Place stop-loss above $3,345, target $3,280–$3,264.
---
Would you like help setting up a trading plan, or converting this analysis into a Pine Script strategy?
Bullish reversal off major support?XAU/USD has bounced off the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 76.4% Fibonacci projection and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 33,295.00
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 76.4% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 3,278.48
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 3,338.86
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Gold Holds Above $3,300 Amid Trade Policy UncertaintyMacro approach:
- Gold traded defensively this week, consolidating above the $3,300 level amid shifting risk sentiment and anticipation of significant trade policy developments. The yellow metal's performance was pressured by a firmer US dollar and easing geopolitical tensions, as optimism around potential trade deals and tariff suspensions reduced safe-haven demand.
- Market drivers included resilient US economic data, the Fed's cautious stance on rate cuts, and ongoing trade negotiations. The 9 Jul deadline for suspended US tariffs and President Trump's threats of new levies on BRICS countries kept investors on edge, while the release of FOMC minutes and strong NFP further dampened expectations for imminent Fed easing. Despite these headwinds, underlying concerns over US fiscal deficits and global policy uncertainty supported Gold's longer-term appeal.
- Gold may remain volatile as markets await clarity on US trade policy and the 15 July US CPI release. Both could influence Fed rate expectations and risk appetite. Any escalation in trade tensions or disappointing economic data could revive safe-haven flows into Gold.
Technical approach:
- XAUUSD consolidated within a tight range of 3285-3560, just lightly above the ascending channel's lower bound. The price is at EMA21, indicating that a bullish momentum is still intact. The market is waiting for an apparent breakout to determine the trend.
- If XAUUSD breaks above 3560, the price may retest the following resistance at 3430.
- On the contrary, closing below support at 3285 may allow Gold to retest the following support at 3165.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness