Gold (XAU/USD) Intraday Buy Setup with High Reward-to-Risk Ratio1. Entry Point Zone: Around 3,271.79 USD
This is identified as a potential buy entry area, marked in purple.
2. Stop Loss: Below the entry point at 3,257.71 USD
Risk management level in case the trade moves against the setup.
3. Target Point One: Between 3,313.75 and 3,317.07 USD
A short-term take-profit level, likely based on previous resistance.
4. Final Target (EA Target Point): Around 3,373.04 USD
A more ambitious take-profit, possibly based on a major resistance level or Fibonacci extension.
5. Trade Range:
Risk: 3,271.79 - 3,257.71 = 14.08 USD
Reward to First Target: ~42 USD
XAUUSD trade ideas
Will the Fed or Trade Talks Move the Needle?🔎 GOLD WEEKLY SETUP – Will the Fed or Trade Talks Move the Needle?
As we head into a pivotal week, gold finds itself boxed between macro pressures and structural indecision. After bouncing between 3,204 and 3,277 last week, all eyes are now on what could be the two biggest catalysts in months: the FOMC decision and renewed trade signals from Washington and Beijing.
🧭 The Bigger Picture
🇨🇳 China’s surprise SGX:40B tariff waiver suggests de-escalation and improving sentiment.
🇺🇸 US Nonfarm Payrolls came in stronger than expected — adding to hawkish Fed pressure.
💵 DXY & Bond Yields remain strong. As long as the USD holds above 105, upside for gold may remain limited.
🔔 This Week’s Macro Triggers
📆 FOMC Meeting & Powell’s Press Conference
➤ A dovish shift = bullish for gold
➤ Status quo or hawkish tone = room for further downside
📉 US–China Trade Headlines
➤ Continued easing = bearish pressure on gold
➤ New tensions = potential safe-haven bid
📊 Technical Landscape (H4/D1 Chart Focus)
Price action is forming a clear descending wedge, with major support still intact around the 3,204 – 3,224 zone. Previous highs at 3,277 capped last week’s rally and now act as the first barrier to reclaim.
We’re likely to see breakout potential increase mid-week as volatility kicks in post-FOMC.
🎯 Trade Plan – Week of May 6th
🔵 BUY ZONE A:
Entry: 3,204 – 3,202
SL: 3,198
TPs: 3,208 → 3,212 → 3,216 → 3,220 → 3,225 → 3,230
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3,276 – 3,278
SL: 3,282
TPs: 3,272 → 3,268 → 3,264 → 3,260 → 3,250 → 3,240
⚠️ Risk Watchlist
🏛 Fed’s tone on rates
📉 DXY approaching 106.5
🌍 Surprise geopolitical or tariff-related news
🧠 Final Thoughts:
This is not a week to predict.
It’s a week to respond.
Gold is coiling. Structure is clear.
Discipline over bias — wait for confirmation, execute with precision.
📌 Follow for midweek intraday updates and real-time FOMC response plans.
XAUUSD DETAILED ANALYSIS TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALS XAUUSD is currently trading around the 3256 level and is clearly respecting a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. The price is now pushing higher from the lower boundary of the channel, suggesting short-term bullish momentum. Based on the current technical structure, I am anticipating a clean breakout above the channel resistance, with the next key target at 3300. The marked purple resistance zone around 3310–3320 also acts as a magnet for price once the breakout is confirmed.
On the fundamental side, gold remains supported by ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and speculation around the Fed's next rate decision. With recent U.S. economic data showing mixed signals—strong labor market figures but slowing inflation momentum—the market is pricing in fewer rate hikes, which weakens the USD and favors upside in XAUUSD. Additionally, central bank gold demand remains strong globally, acting as a long-term support for bullion.
Traders are currently reacting to a softening dollar index and treasury yields, which further underpins bullish sentiment in gold. A clear break above the upper boundary of this channel, ideally with strong volume confirmation, could set the stage for a swift move to retest the 3300 psychological level. From a risk-reward perspective, the breakout trade setup here aligns well with institutional strategies that favor trend continuation post-consolidation.
In summary, XAUUSD is trading inside a clean descending channel, with buyers stepping in aggressively near the support zone. A breakout above the structure could trigger a bullish continuation move toward 3300, backed by strong macro tailwinds and technical confirmation. This setup offers an excellent opportunity for swing traders to capitalize on short-term momentum. Are you also tracking gold fundamentals this week?
Gold trend analysis: Don't chase the rise in the US marketThe 1-hour moving average of gold begins to turn, so the unilateral decline of gold has temporarily come to an end. However, the rise of gold has reached the key resistance area in the early stage, which is the starting point of the early stage near 3330. It is obviously not appropriate to chase long at this position, so the short-term may begin to adjust. Gold will go short near 3300 in the US market. The market changes rapidly. If gold breaks upward and does not fall back, there will be no opportunity to go long. There is no need to chase gold. Go short first and wait for the decline and adjustment.
Gold strategy: It is recommended to go short at 3325-28, stop loss at 3337, and target at 3308-3295-3280;
GOLD - The Timeless Standard Bitcoin Can Only Dream Of ✨💰
1/ Bitcoin’s Aspirations vs. Gold’s Reality
Bitcoin proclaims to be “digital gold” , promising decentralization and stability. But the truth is clear: while Bitcoin is shaken by extreme wealth concentration and constant media hype, gold has built a centuries-long reputation for trust and enduring value. 🔥🏆
2/ The Digital Gold Revolution
Gold isn’t a relic—it's evolved! 🚀 Today, through blockchain tokenization, you can own digital gold that’s 100% backed by physical gold safely stored in vaults. 🏦🔐 This fusion of ancient value and modern tech shows that gold means business, while Bitcoin just tries to copy its legacy.
3/ Concentration vs. Distribution
Check this out: over 90% of Bitcoin is hoarded by a few whales 🐋, leaving everyday holders with crumbs. In contrast, gold’s market has naturally spread out over centuries of global trade. 🌍📈 This organic distribution reinforces stability and genuine market confidence.
4/ Liquidity, Custody & Security
🔹 Gold Is Easy to Custody
Gold is already stored securely in banks and reputable vaults all over the world, and its ownership transfers digitally. You can withdraw or trade anytime without relying on untrustworthy crypto exchanges or wallets vulnerable to hacks . 🔓💼 Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s security is often subject to risks and platform issues.
5/ Real-World Utility vs. Speculative Hype
Gold isn’t just an asset—it’s a workhorse! ⚙️ From use in electronics to medicine and aerospace, gold’s real-world applications generate organic demand. No aggressive, 24/7 hype machine is needed here. In contrast, Bitcoin runs on media-fueled life support, with bots and influencers relentlessly (and tediously) pushing its narrative . 😴📢
6/ Stability You Can Count On
Gold has weathered economic storms with calm resilience 🌪️➡️☀️, proving itself as the ultimate safe haven. Bitcoin, however, is notorious for its wild 80%+ price crashes, making it a volatile bet for long-term wealth preservation. 🏛️💚
7/ Finite Supply: Strength or Vulnerability?
Bitcoin’s fixed supply is often touted as a key advantage. Yet this scarcity makes it vulnerable to manipulation by a few major holders. 😬 Gold, on the other hand, sees a natural and gradual expansion through mining, ensuring a balanced, organic market flow. ⚖️🌿
8/ Institutional Adoption: Not the Magic Fix
State and corporate Bitcoin deals are usually quiet, behind-the-scenes OTC transactions that rarely impact open market prices. 🤫 Gold’s widespread institutional acceptance is built on centuries of trust and real-world use—no constant screaming into the void required. 📣🚫
9/ Gold: No Need for Hype, Just Legacy
Gold stands proudly without the constant need for promotion. 🌟 Its legacy of stability, digital adaptability, and secure custody speaks volumes. Bitcoin, burdened by relentless crypto spam and hype, can only watch from the sidelines. 🎭🗣️
10/ Invest in Timeless Security
When it comes to long-term wealth preservation, gold is your steadfast asset. It offers proven security, with both digital tokenization and secure physical storage, ensuring smooth withdrawals and trades every step of the way. 🏦🔐 Bitcoin, by contrast, survives on a steady diet of media noise and desperate promotions. 🚑🤖
Gold remains the reliable, time-tested choice in today’s fast-paced world of trends and fleeting hype. Whether you’re safeguarding your wealth or seeking an asset that seamlessly bridges digital innovation with physical security, gold’s enduring legacy is the real deal. 🌟💎
If you’d like to explore how tokenized gold is revolutionizing traditional finance or uncover more about its industrial applications and secure custody mechanisms, there’s always another layer of brilliance waiting to be discovered. 🚀🔍
TVC:GOLD TVC:SILVER INDEX:BTCUSD NASDAQ:MSTR NASDAQ:MARA NASDAQ:COIN CRYPTO:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
#XAUUSD SELL CHART This chart shows a short trade setup for gold (CFDs on Gold, US$/OZ) on the 45-minute timeframe. Here's a breakdown of what it suggests:
Entry Zone: Around the 3,314–3,315 level.
Stop Loss: Above 3,355, indicating the trade gets invalidated if the price breaks above this resistance zone.
Target Point: Near 3,234, aligning with a previous support area.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Looks favorable, with a larger potential reward (green zone) than the risk (red zone).
The yellow arrow suggests expected downward movement after hitting resistance.
Do you want help analyzing whether this setup aligns with current market fundamentals or technical indicators?
Gold – False Break Signals More DownsideIn my commentary yesterday, I highlighted the importance of the 3360 support zone. While Gold initially found a bid around this level, the sharp reversal from the 3415 Asian session high suggests a failed breakout.
Key Observations:
• The quick rejection above 3360 now looks like a false break, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
• The recent high around 3415 appears to be a lower high following the 3500 ATH, confirming potential trend weakness.
• Given this structure, a drop back to at least the 3270 support zone seems highly probable.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD Bullish or bearish Detailed AnalysisXAUUSD is currently trading around 3380, continuing its bullish momentum as previously anticipated. The price action has followed the projected path, delivering substantial profits for those positioned early. The next key resistance level is at 3450, aligning with the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
Fundamentally, gold's rally is supported by heightened safe-haven demand amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and a weakening U.S. dollar. Investors are closely watching the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, with expectations leaning toward a dovish stance, which could further bolster gold prices .
Technical indicators suggest that the bullish trend remains intact, with the price maintaining its position above key moving averages. However, traders should be cautious of potential pullbacks as the market approaches overbought conditions.
In summary, XAUUSD is on track toward the 3450 target, supported by both technical and fundamental factors. Traders should monitor key resistance levels and macroeconomic developments to manage their positions effectively.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
BOOMING! We said we would stick with the plan, we did, and BOOM, straight into the level we wanted. What we did want from there however is a bounce, but instead, we got just over 100pips long and then back into the lower level where we are now ranging.
Unless there is a late session move and 3210 holds us up to target the 3250-55 level initially, we'll wait lower now which is where the Asia session may take it.
With NFP tomorrow, we can expect that typical pre-event price action to begin soon, so maybe best practice now is to wait for them to do what they want, and come back next week to capture better set ups.
DOW, NAS, BTC, GOLD, EU and Oil all performing for us today, well done team. Another day in the office.
We'll be back tomorrow with the NFP KOG Report and our view.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Gold: Short-Term Elliott Wave OutlookGold: Short-Term Elliott Wave Outlook
Gold is currently displaying a classic Elliott wave pattern, specifically an ABC correction. In this case, the C wave appears to be overextended.
Looking closer, the C wave has completed a five-wave sequence, which often signals the end of the correction. This suggests that Gold could be ready to resume its bullish trend.
In strong trends, these wave patterns create deep pullbacks before the price continues moving in the main direction.
Key price levels to watch:
3356
3405
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Bulls slow down the highs and don’t chase the bullsGold operation strategy:
1. When gold rebounds, go short at 3336-45, stop loss at 3353, target at 3280-3295, continue to hold if it breaks;
2. When gold falls back to 3280-3295, go long, stop loss at 3274, target at 3325-30, continue to hold if it breaks;
Hanzo : Gold15m : Reversal Zone / Next Move is Confirmed🆚 Gold – Hanzo’s Strike Setup
🔥 Timeframe: 15-Minute (15M)
——————
💯 Main Focus: Bearish After Retest at 3354
We are watching this zone closely.
———
👌 Market Signs (15M TF):
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 3350
• Liquidity Grab + CHoCH at 3400
• Strong Rejections seen at:
➗ 3325 – Major support / Key level x5 Retest
➗ 3360 – Proven resistance
Gold is expected to fall below 3300, continue to short gold!Fundamentals:
1. Pay attention to whether the geopolitical conflicts escalate, including the situation between India and Pakistan, Russia and Ukraine, and the situation between the United States and Iran, etc.
Technical aspects:
Although the gold price gradually rebounded after hitting 3320 points, the current rebound momentum is relatively weak. The gold price has turned from strong to weak, and the short-term "M"-shaped top structure formed by 3435 points and 3414 points above has suppressed the upward space of the gold price. Therefore, we still focus on shorting gold after the rebound. First, we focus on the resistance area of 3355-3365 points above. If the gold price rebound fails to successfully break through this area, the gold price will fall again and is expected to continue to fall to around 3280 points.
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold after gold rebounds to the 3355-3365 area, target price: 3340
GOLD/USD showing short-term corrections during the downtrendPrice Action Overview
Current Price: $3,389.030
Change: -47.536 (-1.38%) at the time of the snapshot.
Recent High: Around $3,453
Support Levels:
$3,370.793
$3,236.478
$3,201.685
Resistance Levels:
$3,393.756
$3,453.443
Technical Indicators & Patterns
Price Zones:
A red shaded area near the top indicating a strong resistance zone.
Multiple green shaded boxes below suggesting prior demand zones (support).
Trade Markers:
"B" = Buy signals (e.g., on May 3–4, where a rally followed)
"R" = Resistance/reversal points
"T" = Possibly a target or technical level
Volume Spikes:
Notable spike on April 23 (2.619M) and another smaller one around April 30 (568.623K).
Price Movements:
Recent Rally: A sharp upward movement from early May, rising from support near $3,200 to resistance at ~$3,450.
Corrections: Several pullbacks marked (-0.80%, -0.95%, etc.), showing short-term corrections during the downtrend and consolidation phases.
Percentage Gains/Losses:
Ranges from minor gains (0.67% to 1.19%) to losses (e.g., -0.95%) across various candles, highlighting short-term trading opportunities.
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – Bullish Double Bottom BreakoutHello guys!
Yesterday we got our profit from gold!
It is a new one:
Gold has formed a clear double bottom on the 1H timeframe, accompanied by a bullish divergence—a classic signal of potential reversal. Following the breakout above neckline resistance, the price is currently in a retest phase, revisiting the breakout zone (now turned support).
🔹 Pattern: Double Bottom
🔹 Signal: Bullish Divergence
🔹 Breakout: Confirmed
🔹 Support Zone: ~$3,300–$3,305
🔹 Target: ~$3,375–$3,385
The bullish scenario remains valid as long as the price holds above the support area. A failure to hold may invalidate the setup and lead to further consolidation or decline.
📌 Watch for bullish price action near the retest zone for potential entries.
XAUUSD Still in Major Bullish Trend with Potential CorrectionOANDA:XAUUSD remains in a major bullish trend. Minor trend indicates potential correction before continuing upward. Correction target is the 200 EMA to fill the gap. Stochastic has already flipped downward, showing confluence with divergence.
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionGold ended last week under pressure as investors booked profits following improved risk appetite, driven by easing trade tensions and a strong U.S. labor market report.
📰 NFP came in at +177K in April, with the unemployment rate steady at 4.2%, matching forecasts—possibly keeping the Fed cautious on policy easing.
Technically, Gold remains bullish but is now testing the $3,200 support zone, and sellers are gaining momentum.
As we head into next week, gold price action is at a critical decision point, and whether buyers or sellers will take control is unclear.
In this video, I break down the key technical zones, share my trading plan, and discuss potential opportunities to help navigate the uncertainty ahead.
Disclaimer:
This is my take based on experience and what I see on the charts. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #GoldPrice #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #GoldOutlook #FedRateDecision #NFP #GoldBreakdown #GoldBulls #GoldBears #USJobsReport #ForexMentor
GOLD (XAUUSD): Your Plan to Buy
The recent fundamentals pumped Gold prices again.
The market is currently trading above a significant
daily resistance.
To confirm a validity of a breakout and to avoid a trap,
I suggest paying close attention to a minor horizontal
range on a 4H time frame.
Your signal to buy will be a 4H candle close above 3388.
It will confirm a breakout and increase the chances that the price will go up.
Goal will be 3435
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAU/USD..gold 15M chart pattern..Im planning a gold (XAU/USD) trade based on a trend line breakout strategy. Here's a breakdown of your setup:
**Trade Summary:**
- **Action:** SELL GOLD
- **Entry Price:** 3384
- **Target 1 (TP1):** 3352 (-32 points)
- **Target 2 (TP2):** 3322 (-62 points)
- **Strategy:** Trend line breakout (likely a breakdown below support).
### Key Considerations:
1. **Confirmation:**
- Ensure the trend line breakout is confirmed (e.g., a close below the trend line with momentum, high volume, or candlestick patterns like a bearish engulfing).
- Watch for retests of the broken trend line (now resistance) for added validity.
2. **Risk Management:**
- Place a stop-loss (SL) above the trend line or a recent swing high (e.g., 3405–3415, depending on volatility).
- Risk-reward ratio: TP1 offers ~1:1 if SL is ~30 points, TP2 ~1:2.
3. **Targets:**
- TP1 (3352): Partial profit-taking level.
- TP2 (3322): Final target, possibly near a support zone (adjust based on price structure).
4. **Market Context:**
- Check higher timeframes (H4/Daily) for alignment with the downtrend.
- Monitor USD strength, yields, or geopolitical news impacting gold.
Would you like help refining the stop-loss or analyzing the chart structure further?
Gold XAUUSD Move 06.05.2025🔹 BUY-1: 3350–3355 Zone
Conditions to Enter:
Support must hold at the 3350–3355 zone.
Wait for a clear bullish M15 candle close above the support area to confirm strength.
Rationale:
This zone overlaps with a Fresh Demand Zone identified on your chart.
Entry here takes advantage of potential accumulation and demand absorption.
It's an early entry with a tighter stop loss (just below 3346–3350).
Ideal Setup:
Stop Loss: Below 3346.
Target: Near 3380–3400 zone or higher depending on momentum.
🔹 BUY-2: 3380–3385 Zone
Conditions to Enter:
Price must break above the 3380–3385 resistance zone.
Wait for a successful retest and bullish confirmation (engulfing/imbalance/M15 close above).
Rationale:
This is the breakout and retest trade mentioned on the chart.
Entering after confirmation reduces risk of a fakeout.
Aligns with institutional breakout behaviors.
Ideal Setup:
Stop Loss: Below the retest candle or previous structure (~3370 area).
Target: 3410–3430+ depending on R/R and momentum continuation.
Kindly show your support by follow, comment and share.
Buying every dip on Gold / Fed sessionTechnical analysis: Wednesday’s session Inverted Hammer practically took Gold nowhere as Hourly 1 chart remained ranged within Higher High’s Upper and Lower zone, closing out last and this week on an expected positive note. The Monthly (#1M) candle remains on decent gains (# +11.57%) and the last two sessions on the second Highest Volume throughout April - May (this is translated to Gold’s cyclical behavior which I spotted lately when #2-High Volumed sessions are delivered, strong move follows). Despite the Higher High’s, it is clear that since the #3,400.80 local High’s, Gold undergoes a consolidation phase with equal demand and supply, which according to previous models is an Resistance zone preparation for the next leg Lower or Higher regarding Weekly chart (#1W). I remain idle until Fed announcement while Buying every dip last #2-session horizon.