xauusd what is happening?Gold (XAU/USD) Market Overview – April 22, 2025
🧨 Geopolitical & Trade Tensions
Ongoing US-China trade disputes and President Trump’s tariff policies continue to amplify uncertainty.
Market chatter on platforms like X (formerly Twitter) reflects investor anxiety over potential global trade disruptions, increasing gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.
💵 US Dollar Dynamics
The US dollar remains weak, partly due to Trump’s continued criticism of Fed Chair Jerome Powell and his calls for rate cuts.
A weaker dollar supports gold by making it more attractive to international investors.
🏦 Institutional & Central Bank Demand
Strong ETF inflows: Over 23 tonnes added in a single session, suggesting large-scale accumulation.
Central banks, particularly China, continue adding gold to reserves—contributing to bullish long-term sentiment.
🧯 Macro Environment
Persistent inflation concerns and dovish central bank policies are reinforcing gold's status as an inflation hedge.
Markets await US retail sales data and Fed Chair Powell’s speech, which could introduce volatility or direction.
📊 Technical Analysis of XAU/USD @ $3,424
📈 Trend & Chart Structure
Gold is trading in a well-defined ascending channel, with a recent breakout above $3,400 confirming bullish structure.
However, the presence of a rising wedge pattern and overbought conditions warns of a potential short-term correction.
🔐 Key Support & Resistance Levels
Type
Level
Notes
Support 1
$3,400
Psychological level & prior breakout point
Support 2
$3,320–$3,325
Fibonacci zone and fair value gap
Support 3
$3,296–$3,284
April 18 low; deeper support
Resistance 1
$3,445
Immediate resistance
Resistance 2
$3,500
All-time high; psychological milestone
Long-term
$3,550–$3,637
Medium-term upside targets
📟 Indicators & Volume Analysis
RSI: >70 on short-term charts → Overbought, suggesting risk of pullback.
MACD: Bullish crossover intact, but declining momentum is a caution flag.
Moving Averages:
Price is well above the 30-EMA ($3,265) and 200-EMA ($3,163) — strongly bullish.
Volume: Recent rally on declining volume = possible divergence, implying weakening buying strength.
📌 Trading Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case
If XAU/USD holds above $3,400 and breaks $3,445, next targets = $3,500 → $3,550 → $3,600.
Entry: Wait for a pullback to $3,400–$3,405 or bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, rising volume).
Stop Loss: Below $3,390
Rationale: Strong uptrend + safe-haven flows + USD weakness = sustained bullish bias.
🚫 Bearish Case
If price breaks below $3,400 with momentum, correction toward $3,325 or $3,296 is likely.
Entry: Below $3,400 after confirmation (e.g., high-volume bearish candle)
Stop Loss: Above $3,430
Rationale: Overbought RSI + volume divergence → short-term profit-taking or macro catalyst risk.
📈 Volatility Note
Recent daily swings around 2.25% — use tight stop-losses and risk/reward ≥ 1:2.
📅 Key Events to Watch
US Retail Sales Data
Fed Chair Powell’s Speech
US-China trade news
Dollar index (DXY) movement
📅 Medium-Term Outlook (1–3 Months)
Projected move toward $3,600+ remains valid due to:
Global uncertainty
Persistent inflation
Central bank buying
Key swing support: $3,137
Upside resistance: $3,500 → $3,600
⚠️ Risks & Reversals
Risk Factor
Impact on Gold
US-China Trade Deal
↓ Demand (safe-haven outflows)
Strong US Economic Data
↑ Dollar → ↓ Gold
Hawkish Fed Comments
↓ Gold
Continued Overbought Status
Pullback/Cool-off likely
🎯 Conclusion
Gold (XAU/USD) is in a strong long-term uptrend, currently consolidating near $3,424. While bullish fundamentals support a move toward $3,500–$3,600, technical overbought signals and volume divergence suggest caution in the short term.
#xauusd #gold #usd #tariff #tradingview
XAUUSD trade ideas
HelenP. I Gold may continue fall to support zoneHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After a strong bullish impulse, the price of Gold reached a local peak and started to reverse. Before that, the uptrend was developing within a clearly defined ascending channel, where the trend line acted as dynamic support multiple times. Each time the price touched this line, it rebounded and continued climbing higher. However, the most recent upward movement ended with a sharp pullback, which marked the beginning of a potential correction. At the moment, the price is trading below the recent high and has already started forming a corrective downward move. XAUUSD is now heading toward the important support zone between 3190 and 3160 points. This area is not only a key horizontal level but also intersects with the trend line, making it a strong confluence zone that may act as a magnet for the price during this phase. I expect that the Gold will make a minor upward move before continuing to decline, targeting the support zone at 3190 points, which is my current goal. Given the recent price rejection from the resistance and the bearish momentum building, a move toward 3190 looks like the most probable path. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
GOLD Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in a strong
Uptrend and the price is
Making a local bearish correction
So after it retests the horizontal
Support level below around 3344$
We will be expecting a rebound
And a further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAU/USD Gold Trade Plan 24/4/2025XAUUSD (Gold) Trading Outlook:
Buy Entry: $3,325
Key Support Zones: $3,260 and $3,200
Market Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
If XAUUSD sustains above the $3,260–$3,200 support zone, the bullish structure remains intact. A rebound from this zone may offer a buying opportunity with an upside target of $3,500.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below the $3,200 support level and falls through the channel, it may signal a bearish trend continuation, suggesting potential downside movement.
XAU/USD) orderblok key Support Analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
technical analysis of Gold Spot against USD (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key ideas presented:
Chart Analysis Summary:
1. Price Zones:
Supply Zone (Resistance): Around the 3,355–3,365 level.
Demand/Support Zone (Doer Block Support Level): Around 3,282–3,291.
2. Current Price Action:
Price is currently at $3,331.96, close to the supply zone, and bouncing between the zones.
There’s a sharp downtrend, which seems to be slowing down near the support level.
3. Projected Move:
The chart suggests a short-term dip back into the demand/support zone, followed by a bullish reversal.
Target Point: A move back up toward $3,498.36, which is marked as a significant resistance.
4. Technical Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently around 36.64 and recovering, suggesting potential bullish divergence or an oversold condition.
200 EMA: Around $3,291.52, providing dynamic support — aligning with the lower demand zone.
Mr SMC Trading point
Trade Idea:
Buy Setup (Long Trade):
Entry: Near 3,282–3,291 (support zone).
Target: 3,498.36.
Stop Loss: Below the support zone (~3,270).
Overall Idea:
This is a reversal-based setup. The price is expected to retest the support before launching a bullish leg toward the target. The confluence of the EMA, support zone, and RSI near oversold adds weight to the potential for a bounce.
Pelas support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Gold (XAU/USD) Multi-Timeframe Technical Outlook
Multi-Timeframe Analysis – Gold (XAU/USD)
⸻
1H Chart – Bullish Continuation Potential
On the 1-hour chart, Gold is trading within a defined channel structure after reaching an all-time high (ATH) of 3357.775. Following this peak, the price made a shallow retracement between the 38.2% and 50% Fibonacci levels, indicating underlying bullish strength.
Currently, the price has formed a Descending Broadening Wedge — a pattern typically associated with bullish continuation. A successful breakout above the wedge’s upper boundary and the key resistance levels at 3334, 3346, and 3357 could pave the way for a rally toward the 3400 level.
Daily Chart – Bearish Reversal Structure
In contrast, the daily chart reveals an Ascending Broadening Wedge — a known bearish reversal pattern. The price is trading near the upper region of this structure, and the measured move projection of the pattern points toward a potential decline to the 2560 area, should the bearish scenario play out.
⸻
Final Note
While short-term charts signal bullish opportunities, the daily chart reminds us of the broader reversal risks. As always, strict risk management is essential to protect capital and lock in profits in both trending and volatile conditions.
⸻
Happy Trading,
SpicyPips
Gold 1H Bearish Setup – Targeting 3,290 and 3,240 Support ZoneGold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour chart has formed a bearish structure after rejecting the 1st Resistance zone, showing a clear break of structure (BoS) and change of character (ChoCh). Price is currently pushing lower, aligning with the bearish momentum and sitting just above the 1st Support Zone.
If price breaks below the 1st Support Zone, the next target would be the 2nd Support Zone, around the 3,240 area. Both zones are potential areas for a bullish reaction, but momentum favors further downside for now unless a strong reversal or consolidation forms.
- 1st TP (Take Profit): Around 3,290, which aligns with the 1st Support Zone. This is your initial target where you may expect partial profit-taking or a possible bounce.
- 2nd TP (Final Target): Around 3,240, located at the 2nd Support Zone. This is a stronger support area where price may either reverse or consolidate.
So for a sell setup from the current price (~3,330):
- TP1: 3,290
- TP2: 3,240
(XAU/USD) Bullish Setup: Demand Zone Bounce with 5.89% Trgt Ptnl🔵 Current Price: $3,451.03
🟡 EMA (9): $3,457.20
🔻 Price is just below EMA — short-term pressure.
Zones & Key Levels:
🟦 Demand Zone:
🔽 Price bounced here before — strong buyer interest!
📍 Zone Range:
* Top: $3,442.38
* Bottom (Stop Loss): $3,395.87
* 🔴 Stop Loss set here to limit risk.
🟨 Entry Point:
* Entry suggested at $3,457.20
* Just above the current price and EMA — needs confirmation
* ⚠️ Wait for bullish candle or price action signal above EMA
🟩 Target Point:
🎯 Target: $3,645
* 📈 Potential gain: +202.78 pts (5.89% upside)
* 🚀 Aiming to break previous ATH (All-Time High)
Visual Trade Plan Summary:
* ✅ Buy Entry: $3,457.20
* ❌ Stop Loss: $3,395.87
* 🎯 Target: $3,645.00
* ⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: Solid, over 3:1
Sentiment:
* If price respects demand zone and reclaims EMA — bullish setup
* 🕵️♂️ Watch for volume or confirmation candle near entry
Gold bull cycle continues, 3400✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 04/21/2025 - 04/25/2025
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices are poised to close the week on a strong footing, gaining over 2.79% as the precious metal surged nearly $90 amid continued US Dollar (USD) weakness driven by lingering global trade uncertainties. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,326.
Despite touching a fresh all-time high of $3,358, the rally has cooled slightly as traders lock in profits ahead of the extended Easter weekend, with both European and US markets closed. Meanwhile, real yields have ticked higher, offering a modest headwind. On the policy front, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly noted that the US economy remains resilient, though some segments are showing signs of slowing. She emphasized that monetary policy is still restrictive enough to keep inflation in check, while also suggesting that neutral rates could be on the rise.
🔥 Identify:
Gold price is still in a big uptrend, short-term corrections only make gold price accumulate more and continue to reach new ATH, tariffs are tense, gold price continues to increase strongly: 3382, 3400
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3357, $3382, $3400
Support : $3284, $3236, $3155
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
GOLD Starting To Go Up Again , Are You Ready To Get 1000 Pips ?Here is my opinion on gold for the next move , after we enter a lot of sell trades and got more than 3000 pips , now the time for looking for buy this pair if we have a 4H Closure in bullish , then we have 2 places to buy from it , show on the chart , but first we need a 4H Closure to confirm , and we will targeting 1000 pips target .
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Once again a great day on the market today with our chart idea playing out, as analysed. This chart idea is now fully complete with our final target being completed today.
Yesterday after completing 3324 we stated that we needed ema5 lock above 3324 to open 3352. We got the cross and lock above 3324 to open 3352, which was hit perfectly completing this target and this chart idea.
We now expect a rejection on this zone and then we can continue to catch bounces from the lower Goldturns.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3261 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3261 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3292 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3292 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3324 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3324 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3352 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
3230 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3230 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3201 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3201 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
3179
3152
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3152 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3120
3094
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3094 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3069 - 3038
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Strategy: False Alarm, Bottom BounceOn Thursday, after hitting a record high of $3,357.66, the spot gold price pulled back, and the bulls and bears are engaged in a fierce battle. The pressure of short - term profit - taking is emerging, but the fundamental support still exists, and the key support level will determine the future trend. The intensifying trade tensions between the United States and China have increased the demand for safety, keeping the gold price near its record high, and the upward trend is far from over.
In the short term, gold is likely to start a large - range oscillation again. It has begun a reverse - V trend in one hour. Gold will either start a large - range oscillation or make an adjustment. In the short term, without the support of bullish news, the short - term gold bulls may be under pressure. Since the international gold market is closed tomorrow, there is not much point in participating at present. Overall, for the current short - term operation of gold, it is recommended to focus on selling on rallies and supplement with buying on dips. In the short term, pay close attention to the resistance level of $3,315 - $3,320 above, and the support level of $3,285 - $3,270 below.
Investment itself doesn't carry risks; it's only when investment is out of control that risks arise. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
Possible H&S Forming – It’s All About the News NowOANDA:XAUUSD
📉 Watching closely: Possible Head and Shoulders formation developing on the 4H and 1H charts
As of April 24, 2025, Gold (XAU/USD) is forming a potential Head and Shoulders pattern on the shorter timeframes (4H and 1H), which could indicate a reversal setup. While multiple scenarios are still in play, the price action around the $3368 level will be crucial.
If price fails to break above this resistance in the near term, it could suggest weak bullish momentum and open the door for a pullback toward and possibly below the neckline around $3250 .
🔔 Key Economic Events – April 24
08:30 EDT – Durable Goods Orders MoM
Forecast: +2.0%
Personal outlook: Numbers might come in weaker than forecasted.
Durable goods orders are a solid gauge of industrial demand. Weaker-than-expected numbers would likely weaken the USD and could offer some upside pressure on Gold.
10:00 EDT – Existing Home Sales
Forecast: Lower than previous.
As a key barometer of consumer confidence and economic stability, lower-than-expected figures could also put pressure on the USD, potentially providing Gold a short-term bullish impulse.
📊 Potential Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout
Weak economic data → USD weakens → Gold spikes above $3400
If both data points disappoint, we could see a rally in Gold, possibly breaking the resistance and invalidating the H&S pattern.
Scenario 2 – Bearish Breakdown (Preferred H&S Scenario)
Strong data → USD strengthens → Gold falls below $3200
While less likely, if economic data comes in stronger than forecasted, Gold could see a significant drop, forming the right shoulder and breaking the neckline – confirming the Head & Shoulders reversal.
Scenario 3 – Sideways Movement
Neutral data + Tariff talks in focus
In the absence of impactful data or if figures come in as expected, Gold might consolidate sideways. Ongoing developments around US-China tariff negotiations could dominate sentiment, delaying or nullifying the H&S pattern entirely.
📉 Market Sentiment Snapshot
US stocks are rallying on optimism around tariff reductions
Trump administration signaling potential easing of China tariffs
➡️ Gold under pressure as risk-on sentiment rises
📍 Conclusion
Keep an eye on the $3368 level and $3250 neckline. Short-term moves will likely be dictated by today’s economic releases and the evolving trade narrative. A confirmed break below the neckline would validate the bearish H&S scenario with potential downside toward $3200 and below.
👉 Stay nimble and trade the reaction, not just the forecast.
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Gold fluctuates and tends to be bearishGold fell by $240 in two trading days, but then rebounded strongly. The 1-hour moving average formed a dead cross. The moving average has no upward or downward momentum. Shorting can still be continued after the rebound. Therefore, it is recommended to short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. Pay attention to 3368-3370 on the top and 3260-3285 on the bottom.
Gold may hit a second bottom today!From the perspective of the daily line, yesterday's rebound relied on the short-term moving average to close positive, but the rebound was not very strong and the continuity was poor. If it can continue to close positive today, it will lay the foundation for an upward trend, and then it can be seen to gradually strengthen. If it closes negative today, or even falls below the short-term moving average, then gold may fall again.
From the previous round of bottom support 2790, there is a triple bottom, and there is a bottoming process. Therefore, gold cannot be too optimistic about returning to a strong bull market at present, and still has this psychological expectation.
As for gold today, the trend of gold rising and falling shows fatigue. If the trend line breaks, it will continue to be bearish. In the European session, it will rebound to 3336 and short. The support below is 3306. If there is no rebound but it goes sideways at a low level and continues to go down, then the first touch of 3306 can be seen as a small rebound. If 3306 breaks, then the rebound in the evening will continue to be short, and it is expected to test the lower level again.
Gold Daily Outlook Short-Term Pullback Before Trend Continuation📌 Gold Daily Outlook – Short-Term Pullback Before Trend Continuation? 💡📉
📊 Technical Overview
Gold (XAU/USD) is currently testing a key resistance zone around 3412 – 3414, where we could see short-term selling pressure emerge after recent bullish momentum. Following a strong rally, the market may be preparing for a healthy retracement to collect liquidity before resuming the trend.
The chart shows signs of a potential intraday distribution pattern forming near highs, especially as price struggles to break above resistance during the early Asian session. Today’s outlook leans toward a short-term dip into support zones before buyers potentially step back in.
🔴 SELL ZONE (Short-term Reversal Opportunity)
Entry: 3412 – 3414
Stop Loss: 3420
Take Profit: 3409 → 3400 → 3390 → 3380 → 3370
This is a high-probability reversal zone. If price prints bearish confirmation (e.g., pin bar or engulfing candle), short entries may offer favourable risk-reward setups.
🟢 BUY ZONE 1 – Minor Pullback Area
Entry: 3355 – 3353
Stop Loss: 3348
Take Profit: 3358 → 3370 → 3380 → 3390 → 3400
Ideal for quick buy setups if price reacts cleanly to this mid-structure level.
🟢 BUY ZONE 2 – Deeper Support for Trend Re-entry
Entry: 3335 – 3333
Stop Loss: 3328
Take Profit: 3338 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370 → 3380
If a deeper pullback occurs, this zone may act as a key demand area and offer clean trend continuation opportunities.
🌍 Fundamental Insight
No major economic events are scheduled today, so market direction will likely follow technical structure.
USD is showing mild intraday strength, adding some pressure on gold in the short term.
Overall sentiment still supports gold as a safe-haven, but short-term profit-taking near highs is expected after recent aggressive buying.
⚠️ Strategy Notes
Focus on trading within defined structure: Sell from resistance with confirmation; buy dips at clean support zones.
Avoid FOMO entries – let the market give you confirmation.
Always use clear TP/SL levels – especially in a sensitive market environment like this.
💬 How are you approaching gold today? Looking to fade highs or waiting for dip-buy setups? Drop your thoughts below! 👇👇👇
GOLD OUTLOOKThis chart is a technical analysis setup for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, showing a potential sell (short) trade idea. Here's a breakdown of the chart elements:
🔍 Key Zones Identified
Entry Zone:
Around 3380$-3394$
This is the suggested area where the trader plans to enter a short position (sell), expecting price to reverse downward from here.
Stop-Loss Area:
Ends near 3,415.80 USD
This zone is above the entry area and marks the risk level — if the price reaches here, the setup becomes invalid and the trade would be exited at a loss.
Target / Reversal Zone:
This is the take-profit area where the trader expects the price to potentially reverse or where they will close the short trade with profit.
📉 Trade Idea Visualization
Price is expected to move up slightly into the entry zone.
Then reverse downwards, hitting the target near the reversal zone.
✅ Summary of the Setup
Bias: Bearish
Strategy: Wait for price to hit entry zone (~3,380.00), then sell
Stop-Loss: Above 3,415.80
Take-Profit: Near 3,246.35
Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable (large potential reward vs. smaller risk)....
Growth potential up to 3400Description of the weekly analysis:
After a good week of trading, we move on to next week.Given the bullish market sentiment, it is not unreasonable to expect the price to rise to 3,400.
I expect the price to be ready to rise to 3400 after a correction towards 3293 or eventually the 3230-3246 support zone.
Note and reminder:
Of course, this analysis is valid as long as the price does not close below 3200.
If the analysis fails, it will be updated immediately and I will share it.
Possible positions this week:
A:Suitable prices for BUY positions
1)3300~3290
2)3230~3246
B:Suitable prices for SELL positions
1)3398~3408
This is just an analysis and everyone is responsible for their own work.
Hoping for a good and profitable week.
XAUUSD - Support & ResistancePrice is currently respecting the 4-hour ascending/descending channel (depending on trend direction).
We've seen a clear support and resistance structure forming within the channel.
The next key support level is at 3228 — watch for price action around this zone.
Also lining up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level from the recent move.