XAUUSD trade ideas
Gold Short Trade Setup – Targeting 3350 with Tiered Take ProfitThis chart shows a short setup for gold (XAUUSD) on the 30-minute timeframe. Price is currently trading below a descending trendline and has formed a lower high near a marked resistance level. There was a clear change of character and a break of structure to the downside, indicating a bearish shift in market sentiment. Volume also appears to increase on bearish candles, adding strength to the downside move. The target is marked near the previous low around 3350, suggesting a short opportunity with a clear resistance and descending trendline acting as confluence.
TP1 – 3370
Just above the immediate support level, offering a conservative exit before the price potentially bounces.
TP2 – 3350
The main target on the chart, near the previous low. Strong support zone; ideal for full or partial profit.
TP3 – 3325
Extension target if bearish momentum accelerates. Use only if volume and price action support further downside.
Gold XAUUSD is bullish in natureGold XAUUSD is a bullish pair so when it sells its for short reversals and market correction. I see a correction that would be corrected at 3160 area. I hope it reverses in a few mins at the close and start of the 4hr candle by 2pm. I hope gold reverses from 3227-3220 down to 3200 and then 3160 to correct the imbalance and give buyers an opportunity for better entry. I don't know when all these will take place. What do you think about my analysis? and what's your idea on Gold. its currently at 3220 area. Buy or Sell
Although the bulls are strong, don't chase them at high levelsFrom the 4-hour analysis, the upper pressure in the evening is around 3336-3345, and the lower support is around 3280-3293. In the evening, we will continue to rely on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycles. In the middle position, we will watch more and do less, and follow orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, so please pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy: 1. Gold rebounds to 3336-45 line, stop loss 3353, target 3280-3295 line, continue to hold if it breaks;
2. Gold falls back to 3280-3295 line and goes long, stop loss 3274, target 3325-30 line, continue to hold if it breaks;
Gold looks bullish at the current level. 1.The chart is showing a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating an overall uptrend.
2. *Price is above the 20-day MA - Typically a bullish signal.
* (50-day and 89-day MA) are trending upwards and far below the current price, reinforcing a longer-term bullish trend.
Recent Candlestick Action: A strong bullish candle recently bounced off the blue MA after a short consolidation, suggesting buyers stepped in to the pullback. The last candles shows upward momentum resuming, possibly forming a Bullish continuation pattern. The RSI seems to be trending slightly down or flat not yet in overbought territory.
The technicals favor further upside in the short term to medium term, especially if the recent bullish candle closes strong. A break above the recent highs would confirm continuation, while a failure there could mean a short-term pullback.
After the late- April peak and pullback, the market formed a higher low, followed by a strong bullish rally from May 3rd onward. Current candles are consolidating after a sharp move - showing healthy digestion of gains. No strong bearish reversal patterns are visible yet.
Volume increased during the May 3-6 rally - a good sigh of strength behind the move. Slight decrease in volume on the latest candles, suggest consolidation rather than distribution.
RSI is rising but not yet in overbought territory - Room for upside remains. Watch if RSI diverge while price pushes up - that could signal exhaustion.
Warning sign : Drop below 2240 and break below EMAs would shift bias neutral to bearish.
4h Price Structure : after forming a double bottom or rounded base near April 30 - May 2, price pushed up strongly. It`s now consolidating just under the recent highs, forming a bullish flag or tight range, suggesting a potential breakout.
Risk Level To Watch: A break below 3345 (near the 59 EMA and previous range) would invalidate this short-term target and signal weakness.
XAUUSD Analysis🟡 XAUUSD Analysis – May 2, 2025
Chart Overview:
Price is reacting near the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone (~3262–3275), a key supply area.
A bearish rejection candle is forming at 3264.51, showing resistance.
The projection curve on the chart suggests a potential pullback to the 0.236 (3232.76) or even 0 (3206.26) level.
🧠 Fundamental Catalyst (Today’s NFP):
If the NFP comes out weak (138K or lower) as expected:
USD may weaken → gold could break above 3275 and aim for 3294 or higher.
If NFP beats expectations significantly (e.g., above 200K):
Strong USD → This bearish setup could play out → Gold may drop toward 3232 or 3206.
📉 Signal (Short-term idea):
Bias: Bearish below 3275
Entry: Sell near 3265–3275 (supply zone)
TP1: 3232
TP2: 3206
Gold is under pressure at 3400, with a short-term decline expectGold is under pressure around 3400. Today we will have the Fed's interest rate decision and Powell's speech. If gold is under pressure at 3400, it is expected to fall. Before the data, we need to be cautious.
In terms of trading ideas, we can short short-term, pay attention to the short near 3393-96, stop loss 3403, take profit 3360/3350
GOLD Weekly OUTLOOK HAPPY MONDAY
XAUUSD GOLD DROPPING FROM 3335 TO 3367
Helping us make substantial positive gains.
Gold will first reach 3338 or 3365 and then drop below.Then it will go to my target which I have mentioned in the target up chart 3260If you like my chat, please support and like it.My charts always come out right. I hope this chart of mine comes out right too.
GOOD LUCK AND TRADE SAFELY!
THANKS FOR YOUR UNWAVERING SUPPORT!
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Gold maintains gains near new record highsTechnically, gold's recent rally was remarkably rapid, in search of 3,420 and 3,500, leaving few clear entry points for new buyers. Now, with prices slightly correcting, traders may see this as a potential opportunity for a comeback. The 3,350-3,360 area stands out as a critical support zone. If prices remain above this area, the market may consolidate before attempting to move toward its recent highs. However, a break above this area could lead gold to test 3,330, a pivotal technical support level that could serve as a starting point or signal the beginning of a deeper correction.
XAUUSD 08/05 | The JW Trade Centre Precision. Patience. Profit.XAUUSD 08/05
The JW Trade Centre
Precision. Patience. Profit.
Article Submission; Jordan Webb, Senior Analyst and Consultant FT and CS, TV.
Gold Volatility Erupts - XAU/USD Sheds Over 120 Points in Wild Intra-Day Swing
Date: 08 May 2025
21:17 UK Time | Price: 3308
XAU/USD delivered a day of extraordinary volatility, swinging 126 points from peak to trough within a 19-hour window. This type of high-magnitude price action highlights growing sensitivity to macro shifts, liquidity changes, and technical breakdowns.
What Triggered the Volatility in Gold Today?
1. Dollar Strength
The US Dollar Index surged past 105.60, breaking multi-day resistance and triggering flows out of gold. A combination of hawkish Fed tone and sticky inflation concerns may have underpinned this move.
2. Bond Yields Spike
A surge in US 10Y real yields decreased the appeal of gold, which offers no yield. Fast intraday rises in yields are typically met with aggressive gold selling.
3. Liquidity Vacuum + Gamma Flip
Following yesterday’s compressed range, today’s structural break triggered algo-driven volatility and likely options-related gamma flows. Once gold lost 3340, momentum snowballed into a stop cascade.
4. Position Unwinding
The 3435 high earlier this week appears to be a local top. Institutional positioning looks to be unwinding, especially ahead of critical US CPI data and further Fed rhetoric.
What’s Next for Gold?
Gold is currently testing a fragile support zone at 3300–3310. A firm break lower could see price rapidly spill toward 3282, with extension risk down to 3264 — both being institutional demand zones from April.
Key Technical Levels Noted
Current Bias (21:17 UK Time)
Short-term view: Bearish
Price trading below VWAP and daily mid
Structure below 3364/3340 remains broken
Dollar and yields both holding firm = bearish drag on gold
Trade Set Up
Sell into 3318-3322
Set Stop Loss at zone 3332
Staggered Take Profit 3288 zone 1, and Take Profit 3264 as per above.
Gold appears to of lost it’s bullish structure, trade deal today announced with UK/US, improved dollar strength, DXY and US10Y, which are correlated to Dollar performance, and as gold is usually save haven amidst any trade deal, the rational to short overnight, targets further downside potential as sellers defend rallies into the broken support zone.
Could gold rekindle post US session Close?
Unlikely, but see below:
US Session profit taking, 130 point flush in last 24 hours, over 1k pips! Short term traders may cover positions and protect price into the NY Close.
Asia often buys dips, if no major risk overnight, 3300/3288 will be achievable.
If DXY rebounds or stalls, perhaps gold could go for a run/technical bid.
Over sold conditions, short term relief bounce to 3332 wouldn’t surprise me.
However with that said, I do remain Bearish for now.
Structure remains broken, 3340-3364, still well above price and Gold is under the former support level.
Yields and Dollar are still elevated and showing no signs of any reversal.
Price struggling to hold over 3310, if bulls had control, we’ve be seeing a elevated price now US session winds down.
Asia is so unpredictable, whilst they may drive bids, they also sell hard if US Direction is dominant, like today where we’ve had complete upheaval on the charts.
My strategy explained!
Short bias on 3318-3322, with a tight SL of 10 points (100 pips from your entry whichever you catch)
Key here not to sell blindly until we see a pop up to 3318/22. This is our entry before Asia takes over. If price surpasses our zone, and reclaims and holds to 3336/40, bias completely flips back to neutral / bullish, trade invalid.
A mild late session bounce is likely, but until we see a reclaimed structure, that’s our trigger for the sell rally market. This is not a buy the dip idea. The reason I say that is because
We are in mid range, not support or resistance.
No clear confluence, price not reclaimed any structure or broken lower.
We don’t sell here after the move has happened from previous session and certainly not long as we’d be buying into uncertainty.
I advised a wait for bounce into 3318-3322, await price settle, then short if price does not break and hold over 3322.
Then..
If you’re looking to enter on the long, post sell, you must wait to see if price bounces off 3288, and holds, and then long of 3336 is in sight.
I call current zone - no mans land, as blasé as it sounds, we don’t have the answer we need on the technical or fundamental side. So be smart. I have a reminder set for 3318 tonight, and every .5 above that to 3322, so I can enter the trade should price reach our marked zone. Likewise if we don’t see a pop and price moves to 3288 from current 3308, and await to see if price holds or breaks further for a sell to TP2.
I hope this has proved informative and constructive to your trading regime and strategy.
Have a blessed evening.
JW
at a Tipping Point ,Bearish Liquidity Trap Setting Up on XAU Bias
Bearish until proven otherwise
Entry Zone: 3247–3252 (15M order block & 50% retracement zone)
Trigger
M5 liquidity sweep + bearish CHoCH (watch for another run above 3250 with immediate failure)
Stop Loss
Above 3255 (above most recent swing high)
Target 1. 3208 (recent low)
Target 2. 3175 (liquidity pocket on H1)
RR. Approx. 2.5:1 or higher
Session Focus.
NY open for execution, avoid late session
3420, gold prices can reach today
📌 Gold driving factors
Driven by the weakening of the US dollar and safe-haven demand, spot gold closed up $93.77 on Monday, up 2.9%, at $3333.32 per ounce.
On Monday local time, US President Trump signed an order on biomedical research, hoping to take the opportunity to promote the US pharmaceutical manufacturing industry. Trump also announced that tariffs on pharmaceutical products will be announced in the next two weeks.
Kitco Metals senior metals analyst Jim Wyckoff said: "We see continued inflows of safe-haven demand, keeping gold prices high. Gold prices will remain above $3,000 per ounce, at least in the short term."
Gold is often seen as a safe-haven tool in uncertainty and performs well in a low-interest rate environment. Gold prices have soared 26.3% this year and have set new historical highs many times.
📊Comment Analysis
Bulls regained their dominance, and the upward trend approached above 3400 before the market expected a rate cut
💰Strategy Set
🔥Sell Gold Area: 3418-3420 SL 3425
TP1: $3410
TP2: $3400
TP3: $3385
🔥Buy Gold Area: $3323 - $3321 SL $3316
TP1: $3330
TP2: $3340
TP3: $3358
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
gold on bearish#XAUUSD on price correction, possible breakout at 3350 will take reverse on sell which can drop till 3300.
Now we await for this zone to sell, 3350,3362,3331 and 3323, but main price is at 3350 which holds strong decline on sell, Target 3300, stop loss 3371.
Above 3371 holds bullish which will take the price back 3400.
Gold Price ActionHello, Currently, price is in a Compression Phase after a strong Resistance Breakout (RBO). This tight consolidation is creating liquidity on both sides—setting up for a potential breakout.
What to Watch:
Compression Phase = Liquidity Building
Price is moving within a narrow range, trapping traders and stacking orders above and below.
We're waiting for a clean breakout of this range.
After the breakout, price is likely to retrace back toward the base (marked zone) before making a strong move toward the Buy Side Liquidity (BSL).
🎯 Trade Plan:
Wait for the compression to break. A return to the base zone could offer an entry, with BSL as the target (TP).
⚠️ Stay patient and avoid early entries—let the breakout confirm the move.
✅ Patience is key—wait for confirmation and manage risk smartly.