XAUUSD Daily Analysis
Gold is currently trading at a premium level after rejecting recent highs. The market is showing signs of weakness with a series of lower highs, suggesting a potential retracement. A key level to watch for a possible reaction or turnaround is around $3,225, which aligns with previous structural support and falls near the discount zone of the recent range. If price reaches this area, it could offer a favorable risk-reward opportunity for buyers depending on the reaction.
XAUUSD trade ideas
30/06 WILL WE SEE A RECOVERY ON THE LAST DAY OF THE MONTH? ↗️GOLD PLAN – 30/06: WILL WE SEE A RECOVERY ON THE LAST DAY OF THE MONTH? ☄️
✅ Macro Context – Focus on USD Debt and Political Pressure
Today marks the final trading day of June, and the U.S. faces a $6 trillion debt maturity from Covid-era borrowings, which may impact USD liquidity and market sentiment.
During the Asian session, gold experienced a sharp drop to the 32xx area before bouncing back and is now hovering near last week's close.
While the medium-term structure remains bearish, short-term signals suggest a potential reversal and recovery.
✅Political Catalyst:
→ Trump is pressuring the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates to 1%-2%, stating he won’t appoint anyone unwilling to ease policy.
→ This raises expectations of future rate cuts, which could support gold prices in the near term.
✅ Technical Outlook – Multi-timeframe Structure
On the higher timeframes, gold continues to correct lower.
However, short-term candles are showing recovery momentum, with buyers absorbing around the 327x zone.
Today’s strategy: prioritize short-term BUY setups aligned with the recovery wave.
✔️Key Resistance & Support Levels
🔺Resistance: 3283 – 3291 – 3301 – 3322
🔻Support: 3277 – 3271 – 3259 – 3247
🔖Trade Scenarios
✅Buy Scalping
🔺Entry: 3272 – 3274
🔹SL: 3268
✔️TP: 3282 – 3288 – 3298
✅Buy Zone
🔺Entry: 3249 – 3251
🔹SL: 3244
✔️TP: 3265 – 3282 – 3295 – 3310
💠Sell Scalping
🔺Entry: 3298 – 3300
🔹SL: 3304
✔️TP: 3292 – 3282 – 3270
💠Sell Zone
🔺Entry: 3327 – 3329
🔹SL: 3333
✔️TP: 3322 – 3310 – 3298 – 3282
⚡️ Final Note
As this is the month-end session, expect possible volatility driven by USD flows and institutional rebalancing.
ICT Price Delivery Theory - 23-27 June ICT Price Delivery Theory Starting from first day of the week 23/06 with 3 session starting from Asia with half of London Accumulation (Blue Line) then NYC Start with Expansion and Retracement to hunt the stops for long and short positions (Orange Line)
Finally it goes to Reversal till 2nd NYC Session(Green line)
XAUUSD poised for a rebound?Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around the 3,327 level after breaking below a short-term ascending trendline that started in mid-May. While this break might suggest a potential bearish reversal, from a technical standpoint, it could simply be a corrective move within a larger bullish structure.
The current price pattern appears to be forming a classic ABC correction.
If the support zone around 3,320–3,325 holds, there’s a strong possibility that price will rebound toward the 3,400–3,480 region in the coming sessions.
This area is not only a technical support but also a previous demand zone where buyers stepped in aggressively. Close attention should be paid to any bullish price action signals here. A reversal candlestick or a volume spike could serve as confirmation for a rebound setup.
A potential trade idea is to consider a long position around 3,320–3,325, with a stop loss below 3,308.
First target is set at 3,400, and an extended target at 3,480 if bullish momentum continues. Conversely, if the price closes below 3,308 with strong volume, the bearish scenario will gain ground, potentially dragging price down to the 3,280–3,231 support area.
The setup remains open, and clear confirmation is needed. Patience is key—wait for solid signals before committing to a position.
XAUUSD Bearish Setup | OB & FVG Confluence | Targeting 3230Title: XAUUSD Bearish Setup | OB & FVG Confluence | Targeting 3230
📉 Analysis Overview (4H Timeframe)
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently in a clear downtrend, confirmed by lower highs and lower lows. Recent price action shows strong bearish momentum with confluences of key Bearish Order Blocks (OBs) and Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) forming ideal trade setups.
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🔍 Key Technical Zones
🔴 Bearish OB: 3355–3370
🟧 FVG: 3340–3355
🔵 Sell Entry Zone: 3300–3310
❌ Stop Loss: Above 3330
🟢 Bullish OB (Buy Zone): 3255–3265
🟧 Lower FVG (Potential Reaction Area): 3285–3295
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🎯 Take Profits
TP1: 3270
TP2: 3255
TP3: 3230
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💡 Trade Idea
Entering short near the 3300–3310 area, which aligns with a previous FVG and resistance area. Strong OB and FVG confluence above make 3330 a logical SL. The downside has clean imbalances and OBs to support price delivery lower.
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📌 Bias: Bearish
⏱️ Timeframe: 4H
📊 Risk-Reward: Favorable with minimal drawdown near OB rejection zone.
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💬 Drop your thoughts below or agree if this aligns with your view!
#XAUUSD #Gold #SmartMoney #ICT #FVG #OrderBlock #PriceAction #TradingViewIdeas
XAU/USD 2H CHART PATTERNXAUUSD 2H chart shows a clear trendline breakout after a period of consolidation, indicating a potential bullish continuation. The breakout occurred with strong momentum, supported by clear higher lows before the break, signaling buyer interest. Price action has closed firmly above the trendline, confirming the breakout structure and suggesting the potential for further upward movement if momentum continues. The breakout zone can now act as a support if price retests before continuation. The structure aligns with a bullish scenario, and the breakout level will be monitored for validation. A clean follow-through move is anticipated as long as the breakout structure holds, providing an opportunity for a controlled and patient approach toward the targets.
Entry 3347
First Target 3381
Second Target 3440
Overall Trajectory BullishEntering long positions on XAU/USD based on a confirmed 3-Drive pattern on the H4 timeframe, aligning with confluence from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone.
As long as price stays and holds above 3200 I will remain bullish, if there is a close below 3200 then my analysis will be subject to change. Strong resistance will be at 3400 if it holds then the target is 3641 with a minor pullback at 3548.
Gold Turns Bullish After Clearing Daily Sell-Side LiquidityThe purge of this liquidity indicates that institutional players may have engineered a move to grab orders before initiating a new upward leg. Following this move, price action shows signs of strong bullish intent, such as bullish engulfing candles, increased volume on up moves, or a break above short-term resistance.
This liquidity sweep not only invalidates bearish pressure but also creates a clean bullish imbalance, offering a potential entry zone for buyers. Traders should now watch for:
A break and retest of the key structure above the liquidity sweep.
Bullish order blocks forming on lower timeframes (e.g., H1 or H4).
Confluences like Fibonacci retracement levels, trendline support, or moving average bounces.
As long as price holds above the level of the purge and continues forming higher lows, gold is likely to trend upward in the near term. Potential targets include recent highs or fair value gaps left behind during the bearish move.
This setup favors buying pullbacks rather than chasing price, with invalidation below the recent sweep level.
Gold shorts point to 3245
Gold market analysis: Short-term dominant pattern established, rebound high-altitude main tone
Market review and driving factors
Spot gold fell sharply, with a single-day drop of more than 2%, hitting a low of $3295/ounce (a new low since June 9), and finally closed at around $3322. The decline was mainly driven by two factors:
Geopolitical risks cool down: Iran and Israel reach a ceasefire agreement, and market risk aversion demand weakens;
Fed hawkish expectations strengthen: Powell reiterates cautious interest rate cut stance, and the strengthening of the US dollar suppresses gold prices.
Technical analysis: Short-term dominant, rebound under pressure
1. Daily level: Big Yin breaks, strong short momentum
K-line pattern: The daily line closes with a real big Yin line, confirming the short-term short trend, and the price falls below the shock low of the previous two weeks.
Key support: $3295 (yesterday's low) is the last line of defense for bulls. If it is lost, it may further explore the 3280-3270 area.
Resistance level:
3340-3347 USD (top and bottom conversion position + hourly moving average suppression);
3370 USD (yesterday's high point, strong resistance).
2. 4-hour level: oscillating down, limited rebound
Disk pattern: Yesterday showed an oscillating downward rhythm of "Asia session down → rebound → European session continued to fall → US session bottomed out and rebounded", which is in line with the technical correction expectations.
Moving average system: MA5/MA10 dead cross downward, 3340-3347 area constitutes short-term rebound suppression.
MACD indicator: Dead cross with large volume, but the fast and slow lines are close to the oversold area, so be alert to short-term rebound correction.
Trading strategy: rebound high and empty
Short order strategy (main idea):
Entry range: 3342-3347 USD;
Stop loss: 3355 USD (short order invalid if it breaks through);
Target: 3310→3295 (if it breaks through, look at 3280).
Logic: 3347 is the resistance level after the previous low is broken. Combined with the moving average pressure, the rebound to this point can be regarded as an ideal short-selling point.
Long order strategy (short-term rebound):
Prerequisite: If the Asian and European sessions first fall back to 3300-3295 without breaking, you can try long with a light position;
Stop loss: 3288 US dollars;
Target: 3320-3330 (quick in and out).
Key risk reminder
Upward risk: If Powell's speech unexpectedly turns dovish, or the geopolitical situation changes again, the gold price may break through 3355 and rebound to 3370.
Downward risk: If 3295 is lost, it will accelerate the decline to the 3280-3270 support area, and even test the 3250 mark.
Conclusion and operation suggestions
Overall tone: Under the pressure of the big negative line on the daily line, rebound shorting is still the main strategy, focusing on the pressure near 3347.
Asia-Europe session: If it rebounds above 3340 first, short orders can be arranged in batches; if it directly breaks below 3295, short orders can be followed.
US session: Pay attention to Powell's speech and US economic data, and be alert to the intensification of market volatility.
Gold trend analysis and operation ideasPowell reiterated his hawkish stance at the hearing on June 26, emphasizing the lack of progress in inflation but hinting that the trade agreement may lead to a rate cut, making it clear that "the vast majority of FOMC members support a rate cut this year" and retaining the possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut, pushing up expectations for a rate cut in September to 74%. Policy expectations repeatedly supported the rebound of the US dollar index to the 106 mark to suppress gold prices, but low real interest rates still provide long-term support. Although Trump announced a comprehensive ceasefire between Iran and Israel on June 23, the terms of the agreement are asymmetric and the conflict continues - Israel launched air strikes on Iran's dAO ammunition depot, the US Department of Defense assessed that the strike would only delay the nuclear process for several months, and Iran suspended IAEA cooperation. Goldman Sachs warned that the escalation of the conflict may cause oil prices to soar to $85 per barrel, coupled with Israel's death threats against senior Iranian officials, the geopolitical risk premium continues to support gold prices.
The 4-hour technical pattern is repaired, the short-term moving average diverges upward, and the K-line stands firm on the moving average support and fluctuates upward. In the short term, pay attention to the breakthrough of the 3350 pressure level and the confirmation of the European and American market retracement. The daily price stabilizes at the 3300 support level, and the downward momentum is weakened. The overall pattern of fluctuations is maintained. Be vigilant about the short-term adjustment risk after continuous highs. In terms of operation, it is recommended to arrange short orders in batches in the 3347-3352 area, and strictly stop loss and take profit.
Operation strategy:
It is recommended to short gold when it rebounds to 3347-3352, with a stop loss at 3360 and a target of 3330-3320
This chart suggests a bullish bias in the medium term. This is a 1-hour candlestick chart for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) . The chart includes various Smart Money Concepts (SMC) annotations used by traders to anticipate price movements. Here's a breakdown of the key elements and what they suggest:
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### **Key Annotations & Zones:**
1. **CHoCH (Change of Character)**
* Located near the center of the chart around the 3,335–3,340 zone.
* Indicates a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
2. **FVG (Fair Value Gap)**
* Same region as the CHoCH zone (3,335–3,345).
* A price imbalance where price might revisit before continuing upward.
3. **SSL (Sell-side Liquidity)**
* Highlighted below the current price (around 3,310).
* Denotes liquidity below a previous low where stop-losses from long positions may reside.
* Price could dip here to grab liquidity before heading higher.
4. **BSL (Buy-side Liquidity)**
* Marked near the top (around 3,395–3,400).
* A target area where stop-losses from short positions or breakout buy orders may reside.
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### **Price Forecast Path (Dashed Arrows):**
* The forecast suggests a **short-term dip** into the **SSL zone**.
* Followed by a **strong bullish move**, possibly triggered after a liquidity sweep.
* The price is expected to return to the **FVG zone**, consolidate, and then push up toward the **BSL zone** at \~3,400.
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### **Overall Interpretation:**
This chart suggests a bullish bias in the medium term. The trader anticipates:
* A brief decline to gather sell-side liquidity.
* A rally fueled by a CHoCH and FVG retest.
* An ultimate aim to target buy-side liquidity above the recent highs.
XAUUSD:Today's trading strategy
On Tuesday, the news that Trump announced a ceasefire between Iran and Israel dampened the risk aversion sentiment. Subsequently, the news that expectations of interest rate cuts had slowed down led to a further decline in gold prices. During the trading session, it once fell below the 3,300 mark. After the impact of the news weakened, it eventually rebounded to around 3,323, approaching the position where we first entered the market yesterday. Currently, there is no logic in the market. From a technical perspective, The resistance level above is at 3340-45, and the support level below is at 3305-10. We can conduct transactions around this range
Trading strategy:
SELL@3340-45
TP:3310-04
BUY@3305-10
TP:3335-40
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XAUUSD Expecting Selling movementPrice Level & Trend
Current price $3380
The market has been forming lower highs and lower lows, suggesting a bearish trend continuation
A yellow zigzag line projects a possible downward price movement path
Resistance Zone
A red rectangular zone marks a strong resistance area, previously tested multiple times and rejected
Price failed to break above this zone, reinforcing the bearish outlook
Support & Target Levels
Three significant horizontal support levels are marked
Level 1 $3,368
Level 2 $3,356
Final Target Zone Around $3344 $3344
The final target is emphasized with an orange Target label and arrow, indicating the expected destination for this bearish move
Projection
The chart anticipates short-term pullbacks retracements followed by further downside
This is visualized through the yellow zigzag pattern illustrating probable future price action
GOLD WILL FALL|SHORT|
✅GOLD is trading in a
Downtrend and the price is
Making a typical rebound but
After the horizontal resistance
Level above around 3,300$ is
Retested we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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XAUUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Early Session Dynamics:
Gold rebounded in today’s early trading after finding support at the prior low of 3245, aligning with our weekly forecast. The intraday strategy prioritizes a low-level rebound correction, with short positions to be initiated at resistance levels.
Key Technical Levels:
Resistance: 3295–3308
Support: 3250–3240
4-Hour Chart Perspective:
The market remains weak with high volatility. The double-bottom effect at 3245 is unconfirmed, and no bottoming pattern has emerged. Thus, the week’s initial outlook is for a range-bound oscillation between 3308 and 3240:
A rebound opportunity exists as long as 3240 holds.
A break above 3308 could trigger upward momentum.
Intraday Trading Strategy:
Lacking follow-through in the European session, the short-term trend is viewed as range-bound
Sell@3305-3295
TP:3285-3250
buy@3250-3260
TP:3285-3300
GOLD/USD 1H – Bullish Reversal SetupLiquidity Collected. Demand Activated. Gold Set to Fly.
🔽 Buy Zone (Demand Area)
Range: 3,235 – 3,245
Liquidity sweep below lows suggests smart money accumulation
Watch for bullish confirmation within this zone
Take-Profit Levels
TP1 ~3,260 Minor structure break
TP2 ~3,280 Liquidity retest zone
TP3 ~3,329 FVG fill & supply mitigation
🧠 Setup Highlights
FVG between 3,295 – 3,310
Smart Money Concepts in play
Ideal reversal timing after June 27 news event
✅ Trade Plan
Entry: Inside demand zone (on confirmation)
Stop Loss: Below 3,222.75
Targets: 3,260 → 3,280 → 3,329
R:R: Favorable if entered near demand base
XAUUSD:Short sell at 3340-45
Today's trading needs to narrow down the range. There are signs that the center of gravity below is gradually moving upward. During the Asian session, the highest point reached around 3343. Friends who have already bought short positions here can wait for 3320-25 to take profits and exit. Those who haven't bought can wait for 3340-45 to short, with the target also being 3320-25
Trading strategy:
SELL@3340-45
TP:3320-25
It can be considered to go long when it reaches around 3320-25
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Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD Plan for June 26, 2025
🌀 Wave Structure
On the H1 chart, our previous plan anticipated price movement within green wave 3. However, the current price action lacks the sharp, impulsive characteristics typically seen in wave 3. Instead, the overlapping structure of minor waves suggests that we may not be in wave 3. This leads us to consider two primary scenarios:
🔹 Scenario 1 – abc Correction (black):
Price may be forming wave c (black). However, due to the overlapping nature of recent price moves, it is likely that wave c is developing as an ending diagonal (wedge).
➡️ Confirmation signal: A sharp, steep decline that breaks below the 3297 level would signal that wave c has completed.
🎯 Target zone for wave c: 3352 – 3356
🔹 Scenario 2 – Leading Diagonal in Wave 1:
The overlapping price structure could also be forming a leading diagonal (3-3-3-3-3) as wave 1. In this case, price is currently in wave 3 or 4 of this formation.
➡️ Once wave 1 completes, we expect a retracement to the 0.618 Fibonacci level of the entire wave 1 – forming wave 2.
🎯 Target zone for the end of wave 1: 3352 – 3356
📉 Momentum Analysis
Momentum plays a crucial role in determining which wave structure is unfolding.
D1 Timeframe: Momentum is turning upward from the oversold zone – indicating that the downtrend may be ending. This supports the scenario of a leading diagonal wave 1 and suggests we may see a sustained bullish move over the next 5 days.
H4 Timeframe: Momentum is preparing to reverse downward from the overbought zone. This is a key signal to monitor today, especially during tonight’s news events.
If price continues to move sideways within a wedge, it would support the leading diagonal scenario.
If price breaks down sharply, it would favor the abc correction scenario.
🧭 Trade Plan
🔻 Sell Zone: 3352 – 3355
⛔️ Stop Loss: 3362
🎯 Take Profit 1: 3333
🎯 Take Profit 2: 3323
📌 The market’s behavior during the U.S. session tonight will be critical in confirming the wave structure. Stay alert and ready to adjust the trade plan accordingly.