xauusd is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, signaling ongoing bullish momentum. The price has continued to respect the channel structure, printing higher highs and higher lows, a clear sign of an intact uptrend. The recent retracement represents a healthy correction, potentially setting the stage for another bullish leg.
Price is now approaching a key support zone, marked by the lower boundary of the channel and a previous demand area. If this zone holds, it may offer a strong re-entry opportunity for buyers. The projected upside target is $3,450, which aligns with both the midline of the ascending channel and a previous resistance level.
As long as the price remains above the support zone and the ascending trendline, the bullish scenario remains valid. A break below this level, however, could invalidate the setup and increase the likelihood of a deeper retracement.
Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Best of luck!
XAUUSD trade ideas
Gold fluctuates. When will a new trend start?China and the United States reached a 90-day ceasefire agreement, and the price of gold returned to 3,200 from 3,400 US dollars. All traders are staring at the support level of 3,200 US dollars, and are very worried about whether it can withstand pressure; it will fall to a larger level, resulting in no trading opportunities for gold positions.
I think your concerns are normal, and market fluctuations are also normal. There is no market that only rises and never falls; even in the bull market, there will be periodic adjustments.
Next, the focus is on the maturity of US Treasury bonds in June. The impact of trade conflicts will soon be forgotten by the market; US CPI inflation continued to decline in April, from 2.4% in the early stage to 2.3%, getting closer and closer to the Fed's ultimate goal of 2%, which means that the Fed will soon have to restart the interest rate cut plan.
Once the US Treasury bonds mature and default or trigger panic, or if Fed Chairman Powell reveals his intention to cut interest rates, gold will rise rapidly and may reach a high point within 1-2 days.
Okay, everyone; you need to understand the basic situation, but the most important thing is the operation strategy during the Asian trading session.
I think you can first test the long strategy around $3225, with a stop loss below 3215 and a profit in the rebound range of $3340-3360.
Man, excessive worrying will not help; if you can't accept short-term volatility trading, you can wait and see and stay calm.
Potential bullish reversal XAUUSDThe market rejected a 4H demand zone identified by an Order Block (OBT), with a clear “Sellers Failed” signal—indicating a failed bearish continuation attempt. This suggests a potential bullish reversal.
📈 Anticipated Move:
The price is likely to target the following key resistance zones:
Daily Entry Sell Resistance: 3,265.74
50% Entry Sell Resistance: 3,317.03
4H Entry Sell Resistance: 3,360.73
📌 Technical Confluence:
Presence of Equal Highs (potential liquidity pool)
Consolidation structure forming above OBT
Price action building for a possible bullish leg
📊 Bias:
Short to mid-term bullish, with close monitoring of marked resistance zones for take-profit or invalidation scenarios.
Gold's callback remains bearish
As expected, the market weakened and fell again. Today, the lowest price fell to 3215. There are countless opportunities to stop profit and leave the market. Even if you don't operate, you can see the strategy time I publish every day. This can be regarded as the first round of gains since the opening. Although there is no long position, the short position is still good!
Approaching the European session, I also mentioned at noon that the rebound upward can continue to bet on the second short position. Both the time and the point are given. The highest rebound in the European session is 3266. The point I gave is 3260-63. There should be countless opportunities to enter the market. The current gold price fell to 3237! Still the same point of view, it is easy to make a profit of at least 20-30 points each time! If you have been facing losses, it means that you have not focused on the free strategies I publish every day.
Traders who did not enter the market today are advised to continue to pay attention to the 3266 resistance and enter the market again. The support below is 3215. Before the data market is released, it will be treated as a volatile trend. I will make real-time suggestions when the breakout occurs.
Hello traders, if you have better ideas and suggestions, please leave a message below, I will be very happy
GOLD: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,237.87 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,220.77.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold Technicals & Potential Fundamental OutlooksPrice action shows gold respecting a key horizontal support zone around $3,215–$3,225, where multiple previous rejections have occurred. The latest candlesticks reveal long wicks to the downside and rejection from that area, indicating strong buyer interest and potential accumulation. Volume is increasing, which reinforces the credibility of this support.
The structure points to a potential reversal setup as the market creates a base and shows early signs of higher lows. If price breaks and closes above the minor resistance around $3,245–$3,255, bullish momentum may follow, targeting the next swing highs near $3,300–$3,340.
A clean invalidation for this bullish bias would be a breakdown below the $3,215 support zone with strong volume.
Key Technical Levels:
Support: $3,215–$3,225 (major support zone)
Resistance: $3,255 (minor), then $3,300–$3,340
Bias: Bullish above $3,255, cautious below $3,215
Some USD-impacting events for today include:
U.S. CPI or PPI data – Inflation readings can influence Fed rate expectations, affecting gold.
Fed speeches – Any hawkish/dovish signals from Federal Reserve officials will shift sentiment.
Retail Sales or Consumer Sentiment (UoM) – Strong numbers might boost the dollar and pressure gold, while weak ones can do the opposite.
Selling Gold Triangle Pattern / XAUUSDI see price moving much lower due to to continued easing in the US/China Trade war.
Here on the 15m, a triangle is forming and we are waiting for further confirmation for price to drop lower.
- Plan to sell at market open with high risk setup
- Wait for additional confirmation
Gold on a declineTechnical analysis: Even though the Price-action invalidated the Lower High’s (Hourly 4 chart’s) Ascending Triangle trendline, it failed to test the #3,200.80 benchmark / acting as an first Medium-term Support zone, so Technically Gold is is still near Lower High’s Lower zone extension, and if Price-action closes the session above #3,200.80 benchmark, Gold will be Targeting #3,300.80 benchmark / fractal on yet another Buying sequence. If however #3,200.80 - #3,192.80 first Short and Medium-term Support gets invalidated, then the Hourly 1 chart’s variance of #3,152.80 benchmar should be tested, in case of Bearish sequence below, Price-action will be calling for #3,100.80 final line of the defence and as discussed, possible Stabilization zone ahead of possible relief rally. Subsequently, previous Hourly 4 chart’s Support of #3,252.80 benchmark was firmly broken and current configuration pointed out to a new bigger proportion downtrend, where Fundamentals are confirming the as well the speculative downtrend in continuation.
My position: Gold found the Support almost delivering Double Bottom formation and market closing is on main stage. Either closing above #3,200.80 benchmark and #3,300.80 re-test or DX delivering Buying sequence in extension / in that case Gold eyes decline in continuation.
Gold Trade plan 13/05/2025Dear Traders,
It seems that the price is approaching the middle of its descending channel. The 3270–3300 zone is an important area for gold. In case of a fake breakout or rejection, the price could drop to the 3140–3150 zone. I’m waiting for a confirmation candle to enter a position in that area.
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
Gold (XAU/USD) 3H Chart Analysis – Bullish Setup Toward $3,500 TCurrent Price: $3,254.26
EMA 70: $3,285.50 (Price is below EMA – cautious zone)
Bias: Bullish 📈 (if demand zone holds)
Key Zones:
🟦 Demand Zone: $3,200 – $3,260
✅ Strong buy interest expected here
⚠️ Good place to look for entry signals
🟥 Resistance Zone: $3,223.60 – $3,323.84
🔄 Price is currently testing this zone
A breakout here can lead to bullish momentum
🎯 Target Point: $3,500 – $3,529 💰
📌 Defined as "Target Point 3500"
High potential for profit-taking here
⛔ Stop Loss: $3,161.32
🚫 Placed below demand zone for risk control
❗ Important to exit if price drops here
Trade Idea 💡
📥 Buy Entry: Near or above $3,223.60
✅ Hold as long as price respects demand zone
🎯 Target: $3,500
⛔ Stop Loss: $3,161.32
⚖️ Risk:Reward ratio looks favorable!
Quick Summary:
🟢 Bullish Setup
💪 Demand zone is strong
📈 Breakout above resistance may fuel a rally
⏳ Wait for confirmation before entry!
Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 3,263.17
1st Support: 3,156.30
1st Resistance: 3,287.49
Risk Warning:
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Hanzo | Gold min Bullish Break– Confirming the Next Move🔥 GOLD – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Waiting For Break Out
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out
Bullish After Break Out : 3154
🩸 Key Reasons for Entry:
☄️Strong bullish reaction from a refined demand zone.
☄️Entry based on Smart Money Concepts: Break of structure + order block confirmation.
☄️Confluence with higher time frame support or key level.
☄️Bullish engulfing / displacement candle shows clear intent.
☄️Market in premium-to-discount transition zone.
Hanzo | Gold min Bullish Break– Confirming the Next Move
Gold may break out of the range and rise to 3450GOLD is rising and testing the resistance of the trading range. The important prerequisite is no drop after false breakout. Accordingly, buyers are building up and a close above 3367 may give a chance for a rise
The fundamental situation is changing, Trump is imposing new duties. In addition, gold is reacting to the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East. The metal continues to be a magnet for money
Scenario: A break of range resistance and consolidation above 3367 activates buying. The target of 3407 is 3444
HelenP. I Gold will drop to trend line, breaking support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price has recently formed a narrowing wedge structure after a strong impulsive rally. The price reached a significant peak and then started consolidating, forming lower highs with fading bullish pressure. What we now see is a classic sign of price compression within a pennant pattern. Currently, the market is testing the key resistance zone between 3360 - 3380 points. This area aligns with the upper boundary of the wedge, and the price has already reacted to it multiple times. Buyers were unable to break through convincingly, indicating a potential exhaustion of momentum. Meanwhile, the lower boundary is represented by a dynamic trend line. Given this structure, I expect Gold can decline toward the support trend line and possibly reach 3300 points, my goal. The combination of horizontal resistance, trend weakening, and pattern tightening supports a short bias. Given the recent lower high, the rejection near resistance, and the wedge formation, I remain bearish and anticipate further decline. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Hanzo : Gold15m: Breakout Zone Confirmed After Liquidity Trap🔥 GOLD – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Waiting For Break Out
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out
Bullish After Break Out : 3238
Bearish After Break Out : 3229
🩸 Key Reasons for Entry:
☄️Price manipulated above previous high (liquidity grab trap).
☄️Strong rejection from key supply zone with SMC confluence.
☄️Bearish order block + break of market structure.
☄️Entry respects higher timeframe resistance level.
🔤 Fair value gap / imbalance completed.
🔻Setup aligned with institutional reversal window
Gold Completes Wave 4 - Pullback – Time for the Next PushGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) touched $3,223 as I expected in the previous idea (Full Target) .
Gold has managed to break the Resistance zone($3,308-$3,293) and is trying to break the Resistance lines and complete the pullback .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that Gold is completing microwave 4 , which could act as a pullback to the broken Resistance zone($3,308-$3,293) . After the completion of microwave 4 , we should expect Gold to attack the Resistance lines to complete microwave 5 .
I expect Gold to rise to at least $3,232 , and if the Resistance zone($3,387-$3,357) breaks, we can expect further gains .
Note: If Gold touches $2,272 (the worst Stop Loss(SL)), we can expect further declines.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
DeGRAM | GOLD held the support line📊 Technical Analysis
● OANDA:XAUUSD tagged the purple support line at $3 300 inside the green demand zone, then printed a bullish engulfing candle.
● Price is climbing within the rising‑channel mid‑band; reclaiming the black support level $3 360 should propel gold to the upper resistance level near $3 500. Long view void on a close below $3 200.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Fed Vice‑Chair Jefferson signalled rates are “sufficiently restrictive” amid cooling CPI base effects, pressuring real yields and the USD.
✨ Summary
Channel‑base rebound plus strong Asian demand and a dovish Fed backdrop support a short‑term long: targets $3 360 → $3 500; invalidate under $3 200.
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