XAUUSDG trade ideas
XAUUSD Today's Analysis StrategyWe are keeping a close eye on the resistance level of 3260. If the market breaks above 3260, we will look for buying opportunities with a target of 3386.
However, if the market fails to break above 3260 and shows signs of a correction, we will consider selling and may move down to the next support level of 3200.
Gold Technical Analysis Update:(XAUUSD)OANDA:XAUUSD
Not much has changed since my last update—gold remains stuck in the same range-bound, triangle pattern we've been tracking. The price action is definitely tightening, which usually means we're getting closer to a decisive breakout.
Key Levels:
- Support: 3300 is holding firm as a strong support level.
- Resistance: 3350 continues to cap the price as a major resistance, keeping gold within a wide range.
My outlook remains bearish for the short term, especially as gold is still trading below the golden Fibonacci zone (3375-3420). The weekly close also confirmed that sellers remain in control for now.
Today’s monthly close is particularly important and could set the tone for the next move:
- If gold finishes below 3330, this will strengthen the bearish outlook and open the door for a drop towards 3250, 3200, 3150, and even 3070.
- However, a breakout above the triangle and 3350 would force a reassessment of the short-term direction.
For now, I’m waiting for a clear breakout from this range to confirm the next major move.
Personal trade plan:
- I believe we can enter a sell trade here, with targets at 3250/3200/3150/3070.
- My stop loss is set at a 4-hour candle close above 3335.
As always, manage your risk and trade wisely. Good luck, traders! 🏆💰
XAUMO XAUUSD Tactical Breakdown – April 30, 2025
1. XAUMO Tactical Map
Red Zone – Bearish Rejection (Sell Trap Zone):
Upper Limit: 3314.60–3318.00
Strong historical rejection + VWAP & Ichimoku base rejections.
Yellow Zone – Liquidity Sweep Trap Area:
Zone: 3297.50–3306.00
Price bounced repeatedly from this sweep zone; stop hunts likely.
Green Zone – Bullish Activation (Breakout):
Break Level: 3318.50+
Clean air above with strong upside potential to 3330+
2. Market Structure Overview
Ichimoku Cloud: Bearish crossover confirmed, price below cloud.
Volume Spike (RVOL): Reaching 1.93 on final leg = heavy sell interest.
Price Action: Lower highs forming. Current candle series weak.
VWAP Rejections: Ongoing rejection at 3305–3310.
Momentum: Bearish, confirmed by RSI < 45 on M15 & M30.
3. Tactical Entry Setups (Live Ready)
A. Intraday Sell Setup – Trap Breakdown
Type of Entry: Sell Stop
Entry Price: 3280.00
SL: 3287.00
TP1: 3270.50
TP2: 3259.00
TP3: 3246.00
Confidence: 82%
Justification:
Break below key liquidity shelf w/ heavy volume + trend confirmation from Ichimoku + RVOL surge.
B. Breakout Reversal Long Setup
Type of Entry: Buy Stop
Entry Price: 3318.50
SL: 3310.00
TP1: 3326.50
TP2: 3334.00
TP3: 3341.00
Confidence: 71%
Justification:
Break above compression + rejection cluster. Cloud flip + volume confirmation required.
C. Mean Reversion Scalp Play
Type of Entry: Sell Limit
Entry Price: 3305.00
SL: 3309.50
TP1: 3298.00
TP2: 3292.00
Confidence: 75%
Justification:
Previous VWAP + red zone overlap. Perfect trap zone confluence with divergence across M5.
4. STRIKE | DEFEND | SCALP | SWING
STRIKE:
15:30 Cairo → Enter Sell Stop @ 3280 if NY Open flushes.
3318.50 breakout long only if volume sustains.
DEFEND:
Stay out of chop 3298–3305 unless confirmed wick fakeout.
SCALP:
Inside Yellow Zone: scalp wick traps at 3304–3305 or 3288–3290.
SWING:
If price holds below 3280 post-NY, swing short down to 3259+ over 1–2 sessions.
5. Summary
Market still biased Bearish unless 3318.50+ breaks.
Volume + structure + Ichimoku confirms ongoing downside with brief retrace attempts.
NY Open = trigger window for explosive move.
Have we filled the entire price gap?! If the price maintains stability above $3284, we may see a gradual rise to $3304. I imagine the price there may have maintained the trend and continued rising and withdrawn liquidity from the current support $3271, as long as the price respects this support upwards. Otherwise, we may see a test of the next support $3244 to see if there are more bulls waiting for this price and a strong rebound.
#xauusd #gold
Gold Sell Setup.....XAUUSD Sell Setup
Selling XAUUSD around 3300 (±5).
SL: 3318
Targets: 3240 (1st), 3200 (2nd)
Reasons.........
The US Dollar remains strong, putting consistent pressure on gold prices.
Signs of easing tensions in the US-China trade war are reducing the need for safe-haven assets like gold.
Gold is facing strong technical resistance and showing weakness on higher timeframes.
Psychologically, the 3300 zone is a major round number — often acting as a reversal point with heavy selling pressure.
Trade with discipline, maintain strict risk management!
Let's talk about Trump, gold continues to rise
After Trump came to power again, a series of measures have deeply affected the global political and economic landscape. His policy is like a carefully planned chess game, and every move is hidden. At present, various signs indicate that Europe has become his target, and Trump is trying to achieve the strategic plot of "bleeding Europe and kicking it out of the negotiation table" by a series of means.
1. Promoting Russia-Ukraine peace talks: interest calculations under the appearance of peace
After Trump came to power, he actively devoted himself to promoting Russia-Ukraine peace talks. At first glance, it seems to contribute to world peace, but in fact it contains multiple interests of the United States. From a geopolitical perspective, the Russia-Ukraine conflict has been protracted, Russia's national strength has been continuously depleted in this war of attrition, and Europe is also deeply trapped in it. Due to sanctions on Russia, Europe's own energy supply channels have been blocked and the economy has suffered a heavy blow. If Trump succeeds in promoting peace talks, Russia will be able to get a breathing space and regain its position in the geopolitical map of Europe. In this way, Europe will lose the foundation for its tough stance against Russia. In the future strategic game with the United States, due to the internal contradictions and the change of geopolitical pattern, it will inevitably fall into a more passive and weak position.
From an economic perspective, during the Russia-Ukraine conflict, a large amount of funds flowed out of Europe due to the need for risk aversion. In theory, once Russia and Ukraine achieve peace talks, there is a possibility that these funds will flow back to Europe and stabilize the European economy. However, when promoting peace talks, the Trump administration cleverly set additional conditions, such as requiring Europe to move closer to the United States in key areas such as trade and energy cooperation. Otherwise, it will not go all out to promote the peace talks in the direction that Europe expects. This makes Europe have to listen to the United States on the road to economic recovery and gradually become a vassal of the United States' economic interests.
2. Energy pricing power game: directly hit the lifeline of the European economy
The Trump administration has listed the Alaska liquefied natural gas development project as a national priority. This move has dual strategic intentions: on the one hand, it is expected that the project will help increase the production and export of US oil and natural gas, thereby achieving the US's "energy dominance"; on the other hand, it is a "secret killer move" against the European energy market.
For a long time, the United States has been committed to breaking Europe's dependence on Russian energy and making Europe rely on US energy supply. Trump puts pressure on European allies to force them to buy expensive US energy. Take Japan and South Korea as examples. In order to avoid the US "tariff stick", they are considering investing in large natural gas projects in Alaska, and some European countries are also facing similar huge pressure. As the share of US energy in the European market gradually increases, the United States will gradually gain the right to speak on European energy pricing. Once it controls this key power, the United States can adjust energy prices at will, and with high-priced energy, it can extract the "blood" of European economic development, causing the production costs of European companies to rise sharply, and weakening Europe's overall economic competitiveness in all aspects.
3. Trade war continues: Europe becomes a "victim"
Trump vigorously promotes the trade war, and his tariff policy is like a double-edged sword. While causing harm to trading partners, it also brings certain impacts to the US economy itself. However, the Trump administration obviously has a longer-term strategic layout. In this trade war, Europe is gradually becoming a "victim".
The United States imposes high tariffs on European goods, causing European export companies to be in trouble. The share of European automobiles, high-end manufacturing products, etc. in the US market has dropped sharply. At the same time, the Trump administration cleverly used the chaos in the global trade pattern caused by the trade war to force European companies to move their production bases to the United States to enjoy various preferential policies provided by the United States. This move not only further weakened the foundation of Europe's manufacturing industry, but also caused Europe's position in the global industrial chain to continue to decline. Affected by the trade war, Europe's economic growth momentum is insufficient, a large amount of capital has flowed out, and the unemployment rate has continued to rise.
4. Release the inflation haze: shift the economic crisis to Europe
For a long time, the United States has been plagued by inflationary pressure. In order to alleviate its own economic crisis, the Trump administration intends to release the inflationary pressure in the United States. By continuously printing money and expanding fiscal deficits, the United States attempted to pass on inflationary pressure to the world, and Europe was the first to bear the brunt.
Europe and the United States are closely linked economically. As the US dollar is the world's main reserve currency, the US release of inflation has caused the dollar to depreciate. As a result, the large amount of US dollar assets held by Europe has shrunk. At the same time, the cost of importing US goods from Europe has become more expensive, which has further pushed up domestic prices in Europe. The European Central Bank is therefore in a dilemma: if it follows the United States in adopting loose monetary policies, it will further aggravate inflation; if it tightens monetary policy, it will inhibit economic growth. In this case, the European economy is stuck in a quagmire, and the United States has successfully passed on part of the cost of the economic crisis to Europe.
Trump's series of measures after taking office, whether it is promoting peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, competing for energy pricing power, continuing the trade war, or releasing US inflationary pressure, each step is precisely moving in the direction of "bleeding Europe and kicking it out of the negotiation table". Europe is facing unprecedented severe challenges in this economic war without gunpowder. Where the European economy will go in the future and how the global economic landscape will evolve will largely depend on the subsequent actions of the Trump administration and Europe's own response strategy.
Through trade wars, energy exports and other means, when the euro gradually weakens with the overall economic strength of Europe, Trump will obtain more powerful negotiation resources, thereby transferring the investment costs of the entire Russian-Ukrainian battlefield to the European economy, and he can harvest more resources.
Of course, Europe cannot be slaughtered, so returning to the current issue, the media has been reporting that Trump wants to replace Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. On the one hand, Trump hopes that the Federal Reserve will quickly cut interest rates to boost the prosperity of the US stock market. But on the other hand, Trump hopes to test whether Europe will follow the Federal Reserve in cutting interest rates by cutting interest rates. If Europe does not cut interest rates, it will inevitably lead to a greater advantage for manufacturing to return to the United States. Europe will accelerate the loss of the economic foundation of manufacturing. But if Europe follows the interest rate cut, combined with the results of the trade tariff war, it will be more open to consume the excess capacity of the United States. This will allow Trump to accelerate the transfer and digestion of US inflation.
This is a very important reason why Trump wants to replace Powell, but every time he speaks to the media, Powell is very tough and emphasizes the need to maintain the independence of the Federal Reserve. One implements its own external economic policy from the perspective of commercial asset competition. The other maintains the stability of the dollar from the perspective of currency stability. The contradiction arises in that one wants to expand without considering the risks and only cares about making money. Powell, on the other hand, considers economic stability and risks. After all, the US government is more like working for the Federal Reserve, one is like a board of directors and the other is like a CEO. The money bag is still in the Federal Reserve, and Trump needs the money bag to support his economic policy to achieve his desired goals and his own political achievements.
In a recent media speech, Trump mentioned: Gold holders make the rules. This sentence led to a crazy rise in gold prices, but then we saw that the gold price rushed to $3,500 per ounce, and then there would be a large amount of selling as long as it reached the US market stage. In my opinion, this is a selling performance led by the US government, selling at a high price to other central banks willing to take over. The gold sold by the United States at a high price must not allow other central banks to transport gold from the United States. In this way, the high-level selling seems to be exchanged for more US dollars. But the performance of gold prices rising and falling, anyway, the physical gold is still in the United States. That is, gold holders make the rules. When the United States sells gold to a certain extent and the price of gold is low enough, it will buy back gold at a low price. This is done. The gold is still in the United States, but the debt of the United States can disappear out of thin air.
Of course, this is just a way for the US government to pay off its debts. No matter how much the tariffs are added, it is actually to distinguish between enemies and friends. This crazy trade war will not last long. Not only the United States knows that it is coming, but we also know it. The reason why he still wants to do this is nothing more than to get more bargaining chips at the negotiating table. At the same time, he shows his allies how hard he is trying to suppress China's economy. But the fact is that in the future, his allies will provide blood, and he will just move his lips. After all, taking the lead in the route of suppressing China, whether or not he has achieved results, his attitude is strong enough, so he can ask his allies for more supplies later.
So we only need to pay attention to Trump in the future, how to bleed the global economy. How to dissolve the US debt. Suppress the euro, and thus announce the dominance of the US dollar again. For Asian countries, it seems that they are just watching him act. Who will win this economic war? As for who will be the final winner? There is no winner, it is just a development in confrontation. In essence, if Europe wants to escape from the clutches of the United States, it seems that it can only seek other trade models and increase Europe's infrastructure to Asia, thereby linking the economy of the entire Eurasian continent and forming the rise of the inland economy. However, Europe is currently facing a problem, that is, China's infrastructure has a global credibility and market share. It is almost impossible to be challenged. It depends on whether Europe is willing to withdraw from the stage of history, develop in a downturn, and find new ways of cooperation.
Finally, gold is bullish at 3331, with a target of around 3360
Gold at Risk of Correction as Risk-On Sentiment Returns**Gold at Risk of Correction as Risk-On Sentiment Returns**
Gold is showing signs of weakness after an extended rally, with technical indicators now pointing toward a potential correction. The metal, currently hovering around the 3275 USD level, faces a critical test—if this key daily support breaks, a deeper slide may unfold.
After months of rising prices driven by safe-haven demand, the shift in market tone could weigh on gold. Risk-on sentiment is creeping back in, helping equities while reducing demand for defensive assets like gold. This environment may cause gold to lose some of its recent shine.
Momentum indicators on the daily chart are starting to roll over, and RSI has turned lower from overbought territory. A break below 3275 could open the door to a retest of the 3200–3220 zone.
Additionally, stronger economic data and less dovish central bank talk may reduce the need for gold as a hedge. Real yields have also stabilized, which could further weaken gold’s appeal.
Unless gold manages to reclaim bullish momentum quickly, traders should prepare for a possible trend change. For now, caution is warranted. A close below key support could confirm a short-term reversal and attract further selling pressure.
GOLD Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 45m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 3,304.80.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 3,261.30 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold (XAUUSD, 2H) Potential Triangle Structure Near CompletionOn the 2-hour timeframe, gold continues to consolidate inside a well-defined contracting triangle, marked by a series of lower highs and higher lows, suggesting reduced volatility before a directional move. The structure appears to follow a five-leg correction (waves 1–5), which may now be nearing completion.
The focus is now on how price reacts to the upper boundary of the triangle, but $3,310 is not a decisive level. Instead, the key signal will come from a breakout from the triangle itself with confirmed follow-through and volume.
Technical view:
– Structure: classic five-leg triangle forming inside the broader retracement
– Volume is increasing on approach to the upper boundary
– Fibonacci retracement levels in play above:
• $3,351 (0.618)
• $3,380 (0.5)
• $3,443 (0.236)
– Critical support remains along the lower triangle base and near the $3,258–$3,192 zone
– Breakdown below $3,192 would invalidate the bullish scenario
Scenario outlook:
This is a hypothetical pattern completion. If the triangle resolves upward, momentum could push price toward $3,350+, aligning with Fibonacci recovery targets.
Conclusion:
Gold is moving toward the decision point inside a contracting triangle. Watch for breakout confirmation from the structure itself — not individual levels. Until confirmed, this remains a potential scenario, not an active signal.
Gold opens higherGold price rose rapidly after opening. The MACD indicator fast and slow lines showed signs of intersection, forming a golden cross. In terms of news, India and Pakistan had a conflict, which led to the rise of gold and became one of the safe-haven economies. Today's gold recommendation: mainly long; focus on the upper resistance level of 3375.
XAU/USD Target Achieved – $3,500 Successfully Hit 🔥 XAU/USD Target Smashed – $3,500 HIT! 🎯💰
Gold has officially reached $3,500, perfectly hitting our projected buy target!
This move confirms the strength of the bullish momentum and technical breakout setup.
🔹 Entry: Above $3,430
🔹 Final Target: ✅ $3,500 – Hit
🔹 Result: High-conviction setup delivered with precision
🔹 Trend: Remains bullish, but profit-taking expected at round number resistance
👏 Massive congrats to all who followed the plan — another clean win on XAU/USD!
Gold price heading below 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Federal Reserve (Fed) officials have signaled openness to potential interest rate cuts, a stance that could limit further upside in the US Dollar (USD) and lend support to the non-yielding Gold price. Additionally, growing concerns over the economic repercussions of President Donald Trump’s aggressive tariff measures, combined with ongoing geopolitical instability, continue to bolster the appeal of safe-haven assets. In this environment, the broader bias for gold remains tilted to the upside, urging caution for traders considering bold bearish positions.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
continue sideways, price range fluctuates around 3300
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3382- 3384 SL 3389
TP1: $3370
TP2: $3360
TP3: $3350
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3294 - $3292 SL $3287
TP1: $3300
TP2: $3310
TP3: $3320
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD accumulate as the market lacks major fundamental impactSpot OANDA:XAUUSD moved significantly in early morning trading on Tuesday (April 29) and is currently trading at $3,315/oz, down 0.87% on the day at the time of writing.
OANDA:XAUUSD reversed losses on Monday and rebounded, having earlier dipped to around $3,268. The US Dollar (Dxy) fell broadly on Monday, supporting gold as investors cautiously awaited more news on US trade policy and braced for a week of in-depth economic data that could provide early indications of whether US President Trump’s trade war is having an impact.
The U.S. Dollar Index TVC:DXY fell 0.7% on Monday to close at 98.91, its lowest close in four trading days. The DXY has fallen 4.89% in April and is set to post its biggest monthly decline since July last year as Trump has shaken confidence in the reliability of U.S. assets.
A majority of economists polled by Reuters see a high risk of a global recession this year, with many saying that U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs have hurt business confidence. Bessant said on Monday that major U.S. trading partners have made “very good” proposals to avoid U.S. tariffs and one of the first deals to be signed would likely be with India.
Fed officials, including Chairman Jerome Powell, have said they are ready to cut rates if risks to economic growth become clear. But most officials appear to want to determine the impact of Trump’s tariffs on real economic indicators like inflation and employment before taking action.
This week, the US will also release first-quarter GDP data and the Fed's preferred inflation measure, core PCE, while Europe will also release preliminary GDP and inflation data.
Investors are also awaiting the US April jobs report on Friday, which is expected to show that employment is still growing, albeit at a much slower pace than a month ago.
Investors will also pay attention to the US JOLT jobs data for March and the second round of US-Japan tariff talks, due out today.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold continues to move sideways as there is no fundamental impact big enough to break the structure to create a short-term trend. But in terms of position, gold is currently likely to decline as the RSI is pointing down quite far from 50, 50 in this case acts as the nearest target support indicating that there is still room for downside ahead in the short term.
However, in the overall picture, gold is still trending up mainly due to supporting factors such as the trending price channel as the main trend, the main support from EMA21 and as long as gold is above EMA21, in/above the price channel, it is still in the main uptrend, the declines should only be considered as short-term corrections or a buying opportunity.
During the day, gold is expected to accumulate with the main uptrend, the notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,292 – 3,267 – 3,245 USD
Resistance: 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3382 - 3380⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3386
→Take Profit 1 3374
↨
→Take Profit 2 3368
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3287 - 3289⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3283
→Take Profit 1 3295
↨
→Take Profit 2 3301
Gold price weakens, correction 3176⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold’s intraday decline appears partly driven by technical selling pressure after decisively breaking below the key $3,265–$3,260 support zone. However, the US Dollar (USD) struggles to sustain any significant recovery as expectations grow for more aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts—fueled by an unexpected contraction in US GDP and signs of softening inflation. These factors may continue to support demand for the non-yielding precious metal, suggesting that traders should remain cautious before anticipating a deeper pullback from the recent all-time high near $3,500.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Crossing the 3264 mark in the sideways price zone, gold prices continue to weaken.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3270- 3272 SL 3277
TP1: $3260
TP2: $3250
TP3: $3240
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3178 - $3176 SL $3171
TP1: $3185
TP2: $3200
TP3: $3210
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
GOLD → Trend reversal, downward distribution, and new targetsFX:XAUUSD breaks through 3270 and enters a distribution phase amid a rising dollar. We are most likely at the beginning of a trend reversal...
On Thursday, gold remains under pressure, trading at a two-week low, as the market reacts to Trump's statements about potential trade agreements with a number of countries, including China. Optimism surrounding the negotiations is boosting risk appetite, reducing interest in gold as a safe-haven asset. Even weak US GDP and inflation data failed to halt the rise in gold prices, as traders' attention is focused on the trade agenda and upcoming labour market statistics.
Gold is changing its trend due to the rise of the dollar and a shift in the fundamental background. A breakout of the local low could reinforce the decline. The first target is 3190. There is a possibility of a retest of the previously broken consolidation support at 3268 before the decline continues.
Resistance levels: 3245, 3270
Support levels: 3190, 3186, 3167
A breakout of the local low of 3221 could trigger a further decline. The first stop could be around 3190. From this level, a small correction or consolidation may follow before the decline continues.
I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of 3245-3270 before the decline continues.
Best regards, R. Linda!