XAUUSDG trade ideas
Hanzo / Gold 15m Path ( Confirmed Breakout Zones )🔥 GOLD – 15 Min Scalping Analysis (Bearish Setup)
Bias: Waiting For Break Out
Time Frame: 15 Min
Entry Type: Confirmed Entry After Break Out
👌Bullish After Break Out : 3235
👌Bearish After Break Out : 3220
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual-Direction Entry Intel
➕ Zone Activated: Strategic Reaction from Refined Liquidity Layer
Marked volatility from a high-precision supply/demand zone. System detects potential for both long and short operations.
🔤 Smart Money Confirmation Acquired:
Structure break aligned with order block integrity.➗ Both bullish and bearish models validated. Tactical options open.
🔥Multi-Timeframe Confluence:🩸
Higher timeframe levels intersect — prime territory for sniper scalps in either direction.
🩸 Momentum Signature Detected:
Displacement candle confirms directional intent — AI pattern scan active.
— If upward: Bullish momentum burst.
— If downward: Aggressive bearish rejection.
💯 Market Zone: Transition Phase
Asset in premium-to-discount (or vice versa) range — valid for both reversal and continuation trades. Execute with precision.
Gold, false decline, real wash
📊Comment analysis
The recent surge and plunge of gold has also led to many different opinions on the market trend. If it rises, look at the ceiling, and if it falls, look at the floor. Most of them are such remarks, and the misleading nature of such remarks can be imagined. The first time I chased more at 3500, it was okay. After the beginning of the month, I soon got the opportunity to get out of the trap. But those who chased higher at 3400 twice last week were not so lucky. Opportunities cannot always be there, and not every time you can survive.
Once you have the idea of standing guard or holding on, it means you will lose. In the face of huge fluctuations in prices, short-term card points, and few positions can be grasped. You can't just rely on a rumor on the Internet to chase shorts and look at bear markets when prices fall, and chase longs and look at bull markets when prices rise. Investing and trading are two different things. Investment is a direction, focusing on large cycles, large directions, long-term, and profiting by time. Trading, on the other hand, makes money by rhythm and fluctuations, which are completely two concepts.
I have always said that the general direction is bullish and the rhythm is to get on board after every retracement. The transaction is divided into short, medium and long. The short-term is limited to intraday. Whether it is right or wrong, it is settled on the same day. The medium-term wave band, after each large retracement, insist on getting on board in batches, and leave after a phased rise. For the long-term, after each large retracement, build positions in batches and hold for a long time. First, make the logic clear, and then talk about the operation. We can't achieve the lowest or highest, but as long as we achieve a relatively low or high position, it will be fine.
The core of investment is the cycle, and the core of trading is the rhythm. If the rhythm is right, everything is right.
In the face of the sharp rise and fall of gold, first, don't hold a heavy position, and second, as long as it is not a relatively high or relatively low chasing order, there is no need to panic. First, if you hold a heavy position, first of all, you can't withstand the fluctuations, you can only bet on the win or loss of one order, and there will be no next chance. Secondly, as long as you chase long at high positions and short at low positions, even if you have a light position, you will not have a chance to get out of the trap, and you can only make up for the loss through new transactions. There is no other way, but to achieve unity of knowledge and action, and don't think about it. Heavy positions, plus chasing back and forth, plus the world lock, will only die faster and will not get out of the trap. Take care of yourself.
Let's talk about the market. First of all, the bull is still there. Secondly, the sharp drop and surge are wash-outs and adjustments, not the peak, but the base is large and the amplitude is large, so you have to reduce your position. At present, it is a large-scale range shock wash-out adjustment at the daily level, and a weekly level retracement, not the peak. It will be very clear if you look at the big cycle, and you must not listen to the rumors flying all over the sky. If it rises, chase high to see new highs, and if it falls, chase short to see new lows. It is not advisable. Again, remember one thing, grasp the relative highs and lows, let the wind and waves rise, and sit on the fishing boat steadily.
After the U.S. market plummeted, it directly reversed and surged. This kind of market will not continue. Don't chase it. Don't see the plummet and then the surge, and then shout that the bottom has been reached. The plummet means the peak, and the surge means the bottom has been reached. Isn't it a life-and-death situation every day?
The U.S. market directly talked about the next area. After the sell-off, gold rebounded sharply yesterday, which gave the trapped orders an opportunity to escape, not a direct reversal. Next, gold will enter a large range of shocks and washes with 3260 as resistance and 3150-3120 as support. After the shock, it will finally experience a wave of sell-offs and break the new low, and then it will bottom out. The bottoming logic is the same as the May Day period. Before May Day, gold continued to maintain above 3260 for washing. After May Day, it directly broke below 3260 and touched 3200 and then rose. Next, it will be the same. After a period of washing and shock, it will fall below the low of 3120 again, hit a new low and bottom out, and start to rise. The rhythm is like this, it depends entirely on courage, patience and technology, chasing ups and downs is not advisable. The rhythm is like this, watch more and do less, hold tight, and fasten your seat belts.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
#XAUUSD: +2000 Pips Correction US-China Trade Deal ConfirmedGold has experienced a significant decline in recent days, primarily due to fundamental market factors that have caused its price to fall from 3430 to 3209, resulting in a loss of approximately 2210 pips. Consequently, we recommend that you consider selling Gold if it aligns with your analysis and assessment. It is imperative that you implement strict risk management measures while trading Gold.
It is important to note that this analysis does not guarantee a price decline or that the market will behave as described. Therefore, we strongly advise you to conduct thorough trade planning before making any trading decisions.
We extend our sincere gratitude for your unwavering support over the years.
Our primary objective is to assist you in making well-informed decisions. Therefore, we encourage you to contact us if you have any inquiries or require further information.
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Gold missing inverse relationship with DXYIn the earlier analysis, the expectation is for DXY to trade slightly lower to the round number level of 100.
With Gold's inverse relationship with the US Dollar, anticipating further downside for the DXY should mean that we expect to see some upside on XAUUSD.
However, the current price action on Gold is still signalling further downside.
The good thing is that the price is approaching the support area where the 3200 price level and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level align.
Look for a reaction in this area, for a possible rebound to the 3320 price level. Alternatively, if the support area is broken, there could be further downside to the 3000 price level.
The pullback before $3,400?Hello, traders
Gold has been in a clear downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe, and during one of its recent declines, it left behind a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). Price is now climbing back toward this imbalance zone, suggesting that a critical test of resistance may be approaching.
Bounce from strong support
Just a few days ago, Gold found solid footing at a strong support area, which triggered a bounce. Since then, it has been pushing higher and is now nearing the 4-hour FVG. This zone represents a significant area of imbalance left unfilled during the prior selloff, and it's highly likely that price will react once it reaches this region.
FVG and Golden Pocket
Interestingly, this FVG aligns closely with the golden pocket, which lies between 3315 and 3325. While the golden pocket sits slightly above the midpoint of the FVG, there's a good chance Gold could tap into that area before showing signs of a pullback or rejection from the FVG itself.
Target to the downside
If price fails to break above this zone and reverses, the logical target to the downside would be the 3250 level. This area has acted as a key resistance in recent sessions, and if retested from above, it could serve as a strong support base for another potential leg higher.
Target if we break above the FVG
On the other hand, if Gold manages to break cleanly through the FVG with strong volume and momentum, the path could open toward a move up to the recent highs around 3430. In that scenario, the bullish continuation would likely require sustained buying interest and increased market participation to carry through.
Gold Bears Remain in Control: Key Levels to Watch Next WeekThe real-time trading signals we provided have been profitable every day. If you don't know how to get started, you can refer to my strategies. 👉🏼👉🏼👉🏼
This week, gold continued to maintain a bearish trend, opening lower and moving lower at the beginning of the week. On Wednesday, the gold price broke through the key support level of 3,200, a previous low, and then tested the 3,120 level multiple times, further confirming the strengthening of the market's bearish trend. Although there was a brief technical rebound on Thursday, with the intraday price surging to 3,252, it quickly pulled back. In Friday's trading, the gold price failed to effectively break below 3,120, leaving the short-term trend in a stalemate. From a technical analysis perspective, the current rebound can be seen as a corrective rally after the decline from the high of 3,499 to 3,120. The high of 3,241 in the small cycle forms an obvious short-term resistance.
Next week, the market needs to focus on the validity of the support level at 3,165. If this support level is broken, the gold price may test the key area of 3,120 for the third time; conversely, if it can continue to stabilize above 3,165, the decline is expected to be briefly alleviated. In terms of trading strategies, it is recommended to lay out short positions with 3,250 as the key resistance level, with a short-term target of the 3,170-3,165 range. Given the current bearish trend and the repeated testing of key levels, investors need to be wary of short-term volatility caused by intense competition near 3,120. However, from a medium-term perspective, the downward logic of the gold price remains solid, so trading along the trend by relying on resistance levels remains the core strategy.
XAUUSD
sell@3230-3240
tp:3200-3180-3160
Investment itself is not risky; it is only when investment is out of control that risks occur. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.👇🏽👇🏽👇🏽
The Fed’s policy is unclear, beware of a plunge in gold prices!
From the 3120 area to 3320, there is just 200 US dollars of space, and it continues to sweep around the large range of the weekly level (200-300 US dollars), thus forming a large channel range sweep.
Acceleration point 3284, sprint to a new high of 3500, confirm the high point and start to fall
The first support point is 3260, support and pull up 110 US dollars to find 3370, and fall 168 US dollars for the second time to break the low
The second support point is 3202, support and pull up to find 233 US dollars to find 3435, and fall 315 US dollars for the second time to break the low
The third support point is 3121-3120 area, support and pull up to find the current 3320 area (temporarily 200 US dollars)
So, two positions are used as references, one is 3320 (an increase of 200 US dollars), and the other is 3370 (an increase of 250 US dollars)
Temporarily set these two positions, and pay attention to the top and bottom conversion below The position of 3250 and the double-line position are used as the boundary. If it falls back below the double-line in the later period, it will look for the lower track of the channel.
The distance between the two pressure points is 50 US dollars, which is just close to the range of space switching this week. It sweeps from the range of 3250-3150 and switches upward after breaking through. The same range is about 50 US dollars.
So, for today's market:
If the first pressure point of 3320 is suppressed and 50 US dollars are lowered, the 3270 area is to be found, and then the gains and losses of the top and bottom conversion position 3250 are to be paid attention to.
If it continues to rise and break the high, the subsequent attention will be the second pressure point in the 3370 area. If the suppression is successful here, it will still maintain the sweep of the channel range below.
Therefore, for today's gold, the price bottomed out and rebounded close to the upper track area of the channel line. Pay attention to the two pressure points of 3320 and 3370, with a space range of 50 US dollars, and switch the space successively. If it switches further upward, it will be 3420, and if it switches further downward, it will be 3270.
Previously, the price continued to sweep around the 3150-3250 area. At the beginning of this week, it repeatedly swept around the 3250-3200 range with 3250 as the suppression. Yesterday, Tuesday, the US market broke through 3250 and rose by more than 30 US dollars in the short term. After the rise, it directly remained at a high level. Today, Wednesday, the Asian market price continued to rise in the short term and rushed to the 3315 area, and fell sharply by 30 US dollars to find 3285, and continued to rise and break the high to the 3320 area. If it is strong, it will directly break through 3320 and further rise to find 3370. If it is a sweep, then the 3320 position will be tested repeatedly, and the pressure will fall back. This time the range is considered to be 50 US dollars, at least 30 US dollars. The space budget is around 50 US dollars, which is also the difficulty of the recent market. The start is 30-50 US dollars. The process is not continued, and there is no special signal. Before the result comes out, it depends on blind selection. It must be firm, flexible, and decisive! The price is currently hovering in the 3318-3320 area. The first pressure option is here. We choose to use this as pressure to hold short orders. If the pressure is successful, we will look for 3300-3190, followed by 3170-3160. Otherwise, we will focus on the next pressure option of 3370, which is close to the upper pressure rail of the channel. Be careful of new turning points.
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – May 22, 2025 Structure Wins. Noise Gets Trapped. Let’s Get Paid.Only Snipers Survive.
Hey traders, GoldFxMinds here! Big day for gold tomorrow, with major USD news set to trigger volatility. Here’s how to stay ahead of the crowd — and not get hunted.Here’s your big picture, bias, and every level that matters.
📈 Macro Structure (D1/H4)
Bias: Bullish-to-neutral as long as 3290 holds.
Trend: Higher highs & higher lows. Price is in accumulation, not distribution, waiting for a real breakout.
News:
• USD Unemployment Claims
• Flash Manufacturing & Services PMI
• Existing Home Sales
— All high-volatility triggers!
🕹️ SCENARIOS & SNIPER PLAYBOOK
🟢 BULLISH SCENARIO
News comes in weak for USD, gold holds 3320–3313 or sweeps 3302–3292 and instantly reclaims.
Action: Long only on M15–M30 confirmation
Targets: 3357–3362, then 3380–3388, with runners possible up to 3408 or even 3427 if the squeeze goes wild.
🔴 BEARISH SCENARIO
Data is USD bullish; gold breaks & holds below 3302–3292.
Action: Sell rallies into 3320–3313 (now resistance) or on M15/M30 rejection at 3357–3362/3388 ONLY if you see a hard reversal
Targets: 3287–3282 (first), then 3266–3258, finally 3238–3230 if selloff accelerates.
🟠 FAKEOUT/WHIPSAW
Expect first move after news to be a liquidity hunt – stop run above 3357 or below 3292.
Sniper move: Wait for the fake, then take the reversal with confirmation – not the first spike.
🎯 TRADE EXECUTION GUIDELINES
Never chase news. Let the stops get hunted, then strike with confirmation only at key levels.
Use the level context:
Reversal/fakeout = wait for rejection, don’t front-run.
Sweep and reclaim at demand = sniper buy.
No confirmation = no entry.
Plan for volatility windows: 2:30pm – 4:00pm is where the traps are set.
👀 EYES ON TOMORROW
BUY ZONES: 3320–3313, 3302–3292, 3287–3282
SELL ZONES: 3357–3362, 3380–3388, 3400–3408, 3420–3427
Control pivot: 3320–3313 decides intraday bias after news
Gold doesn’t care about your FOMO. Structure tells the truth.
Drop a comment if you want this style daily, smash like & follow for sniper-level clarity, and stay patient — the real trade comes when everyone else gets trapped.
Stay sharp!
GoldFxMinds 🚀
GOLD → Retest resistance before fallingFX:XAUUSD is forming a correction and retesting a strong resistance and liquidity zone within a downtrend. The global trend is one step away from a reversal...
Gold stabilized ahead of the release of US inflation data. After falling 3%, gold is holding steady at around $3,200, consolidating against a weaker dollar. Investors are awaiting US CPI data, which could set a new direction.
Optimism about the US-China trade agreement, geopolitical détente, and profit-taking on the dollar are holding back the price decline. The market is assessing how inflation data will affect Fed policy and demand for safe-haven assets.
Globally, the market doubts that the upward trend will continue, and there are reasons to look for points from which the price could start to fall sharply...
Resistance levels: 3269, 3284
Support levels: 3246, 3200, 3167
The news may cause a shake-up, but if there are no surprises, a false breakout of 3260-3270 and consolidation of prices in the selling zone could trigger a decline to 3200-3150.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAUUSD-Bearish Structure Intact, 3165 in SightAfter breaking back below the 3270 support, price accelerated to the downside, reaching a low around 3208.
A rebound followed, with XAUUSD retesting the 3270 zone, which now acts as resistance after the breakdown.
Looking ahead, I expect a break below the 3200 level, with the next bearish target set around the 3165 support zone.
The plan remains unchanged:
As long as Gold stays below 3270, I’m looking to sell rallies into that resistance area
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT:
Last week’s KOG Report didn’t really go the way we wanted! We got the move we wanted initially into the low, then the long upside, but the levels we wanted to short from again were smashed through. We managed to navigate and adapt to the move and after changing the plan on the FOMC KOG Report we ended again with an extremely decent week on Gold.
As we’ve always said, when markets don’t go our way, don’t hold on to hope. If you're in the wrong way, accept your wrong and change your bias, this will not only save your account but together with the right risk management, you’ll be able to come out of the market in positive for the week.
So, what can we expect from the week ahead?
We have some news over the weekend that can open us up with gaps, otherwise Monday should be a ranging day and we’ll see some action Tuesday onwards. For this week we’ve added the red boxes for everyone, the indicator is working like a dream and allowing our traders to scalp, swing trade and day trade across the 15min/1h/4h timeframes. So please take note of them!
The problem we have this week is the structure entails two possible moves by the way they’ve set this up. For that reason, we’ll look at the key levels on the red boxes for the break and close together with KOG’s red box targets and bias of the week, before we commit to the market other than scalping.
We have the key level below 3306-10 support which if held again can push upside this time in attempt to break through the 3330 level and target the 3350-55 and above that 3365 region before a RIP. 3360 is the level to watch, if broken above and supported, we can start again with longs into that 3400+ region, but only on confirmation.
The ideal scenario here for us is a break of this symmetrical pattern in one direction, then applying our trading strategy to it which will confirm the move, we can only do this once it’s broken and then update you with the plan.
For now, we’ll play the red boxes and of course wait for our trusted algo Excalibur to guide us. As always, we will update the wider community as we go through the week.
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bullish above 3310 with targets above 3335, 3345, 3350, 3350, 3362 and 3370
Bearish below 3310 with targets below 3306, 3301, 3297, 3285 and 3274
RED BOXES (TAKE NOTE)
Break above 3335 for 3342, 3350, 3354, 3365, 3370. 3373 and 3385 in extension of the move
Break below 3320 for 3310, 3306, 3298, 3293, 3285 and 3279 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD STRUCTURAL ZONE PLAN – MAY 16, 2025🔍 XAUUSD STRUCTURAL ZONE PLAN – MAY 16, 2025
No SL/TP – Only Clean POIs to Watch Like a Sniper.
🟥 PREMIUM ZONES – SELL INTEREST
🔻 ZONA 1: 3285–3295
→ Daily OB + extreme liquidity pocket
Clean unmitigated OB on Daily
Sweep risk above prior LH + inducement layer
If price gets here, we watch for top-out or violent rejection
🧠 Ultimate bull trap if news spikes high
🔻 ZONA 2: 3265–3275
→ H4 + H1 OB confluence
Reactive supply zone
FVG left unfilled + imbalance
Strong zone for reversal traps post-news
🧠 Ideal for NY session liquidity grab
🔻 ZONA 3: 3240–3252
→ Active intraday premium FVG
NY high sweep + imbalance fill
Close to 61.8% retrace from swing
Major inducement area
🧠 Watch for rejection behavior after sharp move up
🔻 ZONA 4: 3228–3235
→ M15 OB zone, micro trap
Minor supply zone inside HTF FVG
If rejected early in London, it can lead to NY sweep reentry
🧠 Less reliable alone – use with structure break
🟩 DISCOUNT ZONES – BUY INTEREST
🟢 ZONA 1: 3165–3172
→ H4 demand zone retest
Key CHoCH area on H4
Previously unmitigated base
Inside 50–61.8% Fibo range
🧠 Best zone for continuation if structure remains bullish
🟢 ZONA 2: 3140–3150
→ M30 OB + breaker zone
Below liquidity shelf
If we see a sharp drop, this becomes a must-watch bounce zone
🧠 Entry only if confirmed M5 BOS/CHoCH post-sweep
🟢 ZONA 3: 3110–3125
→ Extreme demand zone
Daily structure sweep zone
Oversold + full mitigation level
Last line of defense before HTF shift
🧠 Deep discount – don’t enter without confirmation
🔐 STRUCTURE TRACKER – MAY 16
Level Type Price Range Description
🔼 Premium Roof 3285–3295 Daily OB cap, max squeeze trap
🔼 Supply Layer 3265–3275 Rejection zone – spike entry risk
🔼 Trap Area 3240–3252 NY fakeout risk zone
🔼 Micro OB 3228–3235 Intraday trap area
🔽 Reclaim Demand 3165–3172 Strong CHoCH demand zone
🔽 Break & Retest 3140–3150 OB + breaker base
🔽 Liquidity Sweep 3110–3125 Deep discount reaction zone
🎯 Final Note:
Don’t force setups. These are sniper POIs — if no structure break or CHoCH → no trade.
We don’t chase candles. We trap impulsive traders and ride the reaction.
News will hit. Flow will spike. Stay reactive.
Smells Like a Trend ReversalWeekly Recap – Gold Market
Monday, May 12, 2025
The week began with a sharp GAP during the Asian session (starting around 1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York on Sunday) :
Gold dropped abruptly by $60, from $3,325 to $3,266.
The catalyst was a temporary easing of trade tensions between the U.S. and China, following weekend negotiations that led to a 90-day tariff pause.
During the European session (starting at 8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York) , the downtrend continued, pushing the price further down to $3,207.
Tuesday–Wednesday, May 13–14
Between these two sessions, the price consolidated within a narrow range of $3,265 to $3,202 (63 $ range).
Despite better-than-expected U.S. inflation data, there was no significant breakout—the market remained indecisive.
Wednesday, May 14 – European Session
The price continued its descent, falling from $3,243 to $3,168—a $75 drop—indicating persistent downward pressure despite macroeconomic stability.
Thursday, May 15
The Asian session (1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York) began quietly, with a range between $3,168 and $3,192.
Then a sharp drop to $3,123 followed (down $71), triggered by new statements from President Trump, who announced potential trade deals with India, Japan, and South Korea.
In the European session (8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York) , a strong reversal occurred.
After failed peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine in Istanbul, and due to growing geopolitical uncertainty plus a weakening dollar, gold surged by $132, from $3,120 to $3,252.
Friday, May 16
The Asian session opened slightly bearish, with gold dipping from $3,252 to $3,218.
However, bullish momentum returned during the European and U.S. sessions, continuing Thursday’s upward trend and adding $51 by day’s end.
📰 Geopolitical News Landscape
India / Pakistan
Since the Kashmir terror attack on May 9, 2025, tensions have escalated again.
Cross-border airstrikes and border closures have resumed. A fragile ceasefire, brokered by the U.S., is under pressure.
Disputes over water rights further strain relations.
➡️ Short-term outlook: high tension remains.
Gaza Conflict
On May 9, Israel launched Operation Gideon’s Chariot against Hamas, aiming to dismantle the group and rescue hostages.
Over 300 deaths have been reported. A leaked plan suggests Gaza will be divided into three heavily controlled zones.
The humanitarian situation is catastrophic (over 53,000 deaths since 2023).
Peace talks are underway in Doha, but the situation remains dire.
➡️ No relief in sight.
Russia / Ukraine
Direct talks were held in Istanbul for the first time in three years.
While a prisoner exchange (1,000 each side) took place, no substantial progress was achieved.
Russia demands Ukrainian troop withdrawals from contested areas—Kyiv refuses.
Simultaneously, Russian attacks intensified, including drone strikes on Sumy.
➡️ A ceasefire remains unlikely in the near term.
U.S.–China Trade War
A 90-day tariff pause was announced the weekend before May 12:
U.S. tariffs cut from 145% to 30%
Chinese tariffs reduced from 125% to 10%
Markets reacted positively at first—especially in retail and shipping sectors.
➡️ However, unresolved structural issues (e.g., tech transfers, export controls) keep tensions fragile.
No comprehensive deal is in sight.
⚖️ Trump vs. Powell
Tensions escalate between President Trump and Fed Chair Jerome Powell:
- Trump demands aggressive rate cuts
- Powell warns of inflation risks
- The Fed holds the interest rate steady at 4.25–4.5%
- A 10% staff reduction is planned at the Fed for “efficiency”
➡️ The growing political interference is increasing market instability.
📉 U.S. Inflation – April 2025
The official inflation rate dropped to 2.3%, the lowest since February 2021.
However, consumer inflation expectations soared to 7.3%, the highest since 1981.
The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 50.8—a historic low.
➡️ A clear gap between perception and data is emerging.
📊 Technical Analysis – Short-Term
Since May 12, an open GAP exists between $3,289 and $3,325 (36 $ range)
A V-shaped reversal formed from the low on May 15 ($3,120) to the Friday close ($3,204)
Symmetrical triangle formation suggests a convergence around $3,284 (possible by Tuesday)
➡️ Current trading range: $3,172 to $3,285 (113 $ range)
💡 Outlook for Monday, May 19
Time-Zone-Based Expectations:
Asia session (starting 1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York Sunday):
👉 Potential retest of $3,154
Europe session (8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York):
👉 Bullish outlook toward $3,234
U.S. session (2:30 PM London / 9:30 AM New York):
👉 Possible continuation of bullish move — open-ended potential
📌 Trade Setup – Monday 8:00 AM (London) / 3:00 AM (New York)
If price is below $3,154 → I stay flat and wait for clear signals
If price is above $3,172 → I consider a long position, unless conflicting news emerges
🎯 Weekly Target
My goal for the week is $3,348, provided the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) holds near the 100-point level.
🧠 Conclusion
I am increasingly convinced that news-driven trading delivers the best results—if one can properly interpret the signals.
🔢 Fibonacci Levels
1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,500 (April 22)
Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5
1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,435 (May 6)
Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5
1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,252 (May 16)
Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
DeGRAM | GOLD coming to the border of the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Price is back at the channel’s mid-band after two “false-break” spikes off the floor; every triangle that resolved upward inside 3 300-3 350 has been faded, preserving the series of lower-highs.
● Today’s run tags the slanted supply (3 330-3 350) while 1-h candles print bearish wicks and RSI stalls below its May peak – a momentum squeeze that usually precedes rotation to 3 284 support, then 3 210/3 120 at the base.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US durable-goods orders beat and Fed minutes repeated “higher for longer”, pushing 2-yr yields above 4.95 % and reviving ETF outflows (WGC), both headwinds for non-yielding gold.
✨ Summary
Sell 3 300-3 340; first targets 3 284 ➜ 3 210, stretch 3 120. Invalidate on hourly close above 3 350.
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XAUUSD H1 SNIPER PLAN – Precision in Play, No Guess Zones XAUUSD H1 SNIPER PLAN – “Precision in Play, No Guess Zones 🎯”
Market Context:
• H1 structure shows recent bullish correction inside a bearish range
• Price bounced cleanly from 3160–3172 demand
• Currently retracing into unmitigated H1 supply zones
• Still inside bearish CHoCH + LL structure
🎯 SNIPER ZONES (H1 BASED)
Type Zone Price Range Notes
🔴 Sniper Sell Zone 1 3365–3375 H4 supply + prior imbalance rejection
🔴 Sniper Sell Zone 2 3315–3325 Clean inefficiency + internal LH
🔴 Sniper Sell Zone 3 3240–3255 Unmitigated OB + lower timeframe FVG
| 🟢 Sniper Buy Zone 1 | 3160–3172 | Confirmed demand + internal liquidity sweep |
| 🟢 Sniper Buy Zone 2 | 3090–3110 | Final CHoCH base — macro must-hold demand |
| 🟢 Sniper Buy Zone 3 | 3050–3072 | FVG fill area + extended wick rebalancing |
🔎 PLAN FLOW:
Reject from 3240–3255? Scalp short down to 3172
Flip above 3260? Expect acceleration into 3315–3375
Break below 3090? Opens deeper sweep into 3050+
Bullish confirmation only above 3260 CHoCH on H1
📌 Stay patient. Precision wins.
💬 Drop your zone of interest in the comments!
🔥 Follow @GoldFxMinds for real-time sniper updates.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateRed boxes are working well allowing traders to navigate the ranges and trade the moves no matter what price.
We can see there was a break and close and the higher red box was hit, we had an EXC target up there that was shared and gave us over 400pips of capture to hit TP over night. That same box gave us a RIP for the short.
We have support here 3310 with resistance on the flip at 3320.
RED BOXES:
Break above 3320 for 3330, 3342, 3350 and 3357 in extension of the move
Break below 3306 for 3295, 3274 and 3160 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe
KOG
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3341 and a gap below at 3307. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3341
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3341 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3372
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3372 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3414
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3414 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3447
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3447 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3478
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3478 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3502
BEARISH TARGETS
3307
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3307 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
3281
3254
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3254 WILL OPEN THE SWING RNGE
3233
3201
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold delivering #100-point opportunitiesTechnical analysis: So far so good as my already mentioned multi-Week Sell trend was in extension and final Selling Target was concluded near #3,100.80 benchmark / Weekly Bottom. Oversold Technicals prevailed followed by a strong Buying reversal in form of Bullish candlestick formation that Priced in a Bottom with #3,182.80 - #3,192.80 as new-old Support zone, on a Hourly 4 chart’s Three White Soldiers candle extension which delivered #150-point Intra-day Buying run throughout yesterday's session. Despite this, both Hourly 1 and Hourly 4 chart were completely Oversold, and current sequence on Gold was Natural response to such Technical development. No Moving Average still supports Buying bias on any chart, however this is typical Price-action behaviour near Daily chart’s local Bottoms or Top’s. Reversals are not evident and remember that the #3,182.80 - #3,192.80 is a heavy downside Support zone. For now, expected, no signs of Bearish reversal. On such a range bound session, Gold value continues to operate within my Hourly 4 chart's Donchian channel. Market closing is adding credence (in the same time this Week closing) to Buyers if Gold manages to close above #3,200.80 benchmark and if market opens on Monday with Bull spike towards #3,227.80 first Resistance, break of the mentioned former Support now turned in Resistance can aim for another #3,252.80 benchmark / strong Resistance zone. However, if Price-action tests #3,200.80 benchmark and it gives away, extends to Bottom of Support zone and breaks it as well in aggressive manner, I will Sell Gold on spot, pursuing #3,152.80 benchmark / Support zone in extension (I give more probabilities that Gold might continue ranging today so I will Scalp the market). Everything in between is Price-action Daily fluctuation which contains no new clues where Price-action will Trade next.
My position: Scalping the #3,192.80 - #3,227.80 range with strong Volume orders as today Scalpers with have the most returns out of current Price-action.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis and
important supports & resistances for Gold for next week.
Support 1: 3120 - 3167 area
Support 2: 2957 - 2982 area
Resistance 1: 3193 - 3238 area
Resistance 2: 3427 - 3425 area
Resistance 3: 3483 - 3501 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
How to layout in the battle between long and short positionsGold surged directly at the opening, which is in line with our analysis expectations. We gave a short position near 3240-45. As expected, gold fell to the 3230 line for profit. There is great pressure from above and limited space above. Up to now, it has been fluctuating near 3220. For gold, we are now focusing on the short-term support of 3200-06. If it breaks through this position, it is very likely to go to the 3175-90 line.
From the current trend analysis, today's support continues to focus on 3170-80, strong support 3150, and upper pressure 3253-60. Relying on this range as a whole, the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation remains unchanged. In the middle position, you must watch more and move less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will notify you of the specific operation strategy in time and pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy: short gold rebound near 3240-50, target 3230-3220. Pay attention to the support of 3202 and 3175 below, and go long according to the strength of the decline!
XAUUSD: Channel Down top with Death Cross. Best sell enty.Gold marginally turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.472, MACD = 17.780, ADX = 34.620) as the price has been rising since last Thursday. Technically however, it is on the most efficient sell entry as it is just under the LH top of the 1 month Channel Down. The big difference now is that it formed a 4H Death Cross and last time we had one inside a Channel Down was almost 1 year ago (June 3rd 2024) and set in motion one last bearish wave to the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. We are therefore short with TP = 3,050.
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Cumulative recovery above 3190, maintain⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) fails to build on Thursday’s sharp rebound from the $3,120 area — its lowest level since April 10 — and comes under renewed selling pressure during Friday’s Asian session. The 90-day trade truce between the US and China has alleviated some of the strain on global financial markets, weighing on demand for the safe-haven metal.
Nevertheless, lingering geopolitical tensions and a weaker US Dollar continue to offer underlying support, limiting the downside. Additionally, growing market expectations for further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve may deter traders from adopting strong bearish positions on gold in the near term.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices recover, buyers are determined to keep prices stable around the 3200 mark in May. Waiting for new bullish momentum after tariff negotiations end
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3287- 3290 SL 3294
TP1: $3270
TP2: $3260
TP3: $3250
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3173 - $3175 SL $3168
TP1: $3188
TP2: $3200
TP3: $3218
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
