XAUUSDG trade ideas
Happy New Month: -1-APRIL-2025Good morning Traders! Happy New Month! Improve your trading strategy with our Gold zones. Understand market dynamics and make informed decisions.
XAU GOLD TRADE REVIEW AND LIVE BREAK DOWN AND TEACHING LONGGold price rallies over 0.7% and ekes out a fresh all-time high at $3,086.
Markets are heading into safe-haven Gold while Equities and Cryptocurrencies drop.
Gold traders are now targeting $3,100 in the near term.
Gold price (XAU/USD) is printing another record performance this Friday, hitting $3,086 as the new all-time high for now and trading around $3,077 at the time of writing. Bullion sees another wave of safe-haven inflow, this time from investors that are exiting Equity and Crypto positions. From here, the next big psychological target and level to beat will be $3,100.
Gold's upper resistance appears, trend analysisGold has recently shown a strong upward offensive, and the daily line has been rising continuously, showing an upward trend. What gold needs to pay attention to is that the end of the rising market is not determined by the high point, but by the breaking of the key support level. The current upper resistance is at 3148-3152, and the lower support is at 3122-3117. It is recommended to rebound high and short as the main, and low and long as the auxiliary.
Gold strategy:
long at 3127/28, stop loss at 3120, target 3140-3145; if 3145 is not broken, short on rallies and then look back to around 3130-28.
Gold Outlook: Bullish Momentum Ahead – Key Insights from Recent Gold remains bullish, driven by increasingly negative economic indicators. February brought a wave of weak economic data, a rise in layoffs, and a steep drop in consumer sentiment—now at its lowest level since February 2021. These developments point toward growing recession risks, which continue to support gold as a safe-haven asset.
In recent sessions, we observed a mix of profit-taking and rollover activity, with fresh positions being opened in the $3005–$3015 range. This zone now reflects strong speculative interest, suggesting that new capital is positioning for a further move upward.
Based on current market structure and positioning, gold looks set for a potential 1000 pip move, which could begin as early as today.
To summarize:
Price should hold above $2010 from here.
I’m already long from $2005.
Focus only on buy opportunities at this stage.
If you’re serious about learning how real analysis is done and how professionals track market behavior—stay tuned, and good luck! 🚀
#Gold #XAUUSD #Recession #BullishView #MarketInsight
Trump Tariffs: Gold's Wild Ride & What's NextToday, Trump's policy of reciprocal tariffs has been officially implemented. The gold market, which has been overly hyped, has witnessed the fulfillment of a risk event, and the concentrated closing of long positions has triggered a deep correction. Spot gold prices plummeted from the high of $3,167.71 per ounce in the early Asian trading session. It touched a low of $3,054 per ounce, with an intraday amplitude of over $110, completing the technical action of building a top.
The leading institutional investors have precisely taken advantage of the market psychology of "buying on the news and selling on the fact" and completed the long position layout before the tariff policy was implemented. Their operation method is quite typical: first, they attract retail investors to take over the shares through a pulsed upward pull. Subsequently, they adopt a three-stage washing method of "plunge - consolidation - second plunge", completely breaking the recent upward oscillation pattern in the Asian and European trading sessions. This method is identical to the top formations in history on many occasions, and its purpose is precisely to create panic selling and trap the chips that chased the high prices.
Technically, a clear top signal has emerged in the daily chart of gold. Currently, the decline has exceeded the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, and the price has fallen below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, indicating that the medium - term trend may reverse. However, it should be noted that this round of adjustment has not yet completed the complete five - wave structure. In the future, we need to focus on the guidance of tomorrow's non - farm payrolls data on the market's expectations of the Federal Reserve's policies, as well as whether the weekly closing price can confirm the head pattern. John suggests that it's advisable to mainly adopt a wait - and - see approach. One should get involved only after the trend stabilizes. Pay attention to the resistance levels above at 3118 and 3130, and the support levels below at 3100 and 3085.
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Gold fluctuates and pulls back, will it break 3100 again?The bullish trend of gold continues, but be alert to adjustments before 3086 stabilizes. Today it opened high at 3090 and approached 3100. Pay attention to whether 3086 can be broken. If not, it may pull back.On the whole, gold is in a continuous upward trend, with bulls climbing steadily, lows constantly moving up, and highs constantly refreshing. At present, the price of gold still has room to rise. Short-term operations are mainly based on pullbacks and long positions. For the support below, pay attention to the area around 3075. Above, continue to test the 3090-3100 area or higher. Don't chase long positions for the time being. If you want to go long, wait patiently for a pullback, otherwise the adjustment at a high level may also be large
Operation suggestion
Gold falls back to 3070-75, long position, stop loss at 3065, target 3095-3100, short position at 3100 for the first time, stop loss at 3105, target 3085-80
Gold (XAUUSD) Buy Opportunity with Target at 3,138This 1-hour gold chart (XAUUSD) shows a possible buying opportunity around the support zone. The price has rejected this level three times, indicating strong support. The price action suggests a rounding bottom formation, with a potential upside move toward the resistance zone near 3,138. A breakout above this resistance could push the price higher, possibly testing the weekly high. However, if the support fails, a downside move could follow. Keep an eye on volume and confirmation signals before entering a trade.
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 3,125 (minor resistance and reaction zone).
TP2: 3,138 (main resistance target).
TP3: 3,150+ (weekly high if momentum continues).
Always monitor price action and volume confirmation for validation.
Short gold I might be front running this , but gold is due a pull back and that would be a macro pull back gold has topped for a while.
XAUUSD: 1/4 Today's Market AnalysisGold technical analysis
The resistance of the daily chart is 3160, and the support below is 3060
The resistance of the 4-hour chart is 3150, and the support below is 3110
The resistance of the 1-hour chart is 3150, and the support below is 3120
The surge in safe-haven demand has stimulated gold prices to break new highs every day. Trump plans to announce the details of auto tariffs on April 2 (without exemption clauses), global trade war concerns are heating up, and gold ETF holdings have increased to historical highs. MACD bullish momentum has weakened; RSI has entered the overbought zone, follow the trend and buy at the support level, but be wary of short-term corrections.
Please refer to the following two options for buying plans:
1. Wait for a breakthrough to buy: If it breaks through and stabilizes at 3150 US dollars again, the next target is 3160-3180 US dollars.
2. The safe strategy is to buy back at the support level: If it falls back to the 3110-3120 US dollar area and a stabilization signal appears, it is best to have a reversal signal on the 30-minute chart, and you can buy with a light position.
If you participate in counter-trend selling, please set a smaller SL to prevent the gold price from rising straight up due to the news!
Gold | Short | 6HrsThis technical analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Remember to always research and consult with a professional before making investment decisions. Good luck! 📈💼🚀
GOLD-SELL strategy 6 hourly chart - Regression channelIt feels unstoppable whilst it is becoming severely overbought. We have moved beyond $ 3,080 area and the regression channel top has room till around $ 3,125.
I am adding slowly at higher levels with lower leverages, as I feel from strategic perspective, we should have a reasonable correction in the near future.
Strategy SELL or ADD @ $ 3,105-3,125 and take profit near $ 3,020 partially and rest near $ 2,967 for now.
XAUUSD instant SellXAUUSD instant sell for next couple hours. TP levels highlighted. Apply rsik management and enjoy trading
Closing all my orders with Profit / time for correctionAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: My Medium-term Buying orders (#3 Buying orders from / engaged at #3,052.80 benchmark breakout) each #3.5 Volume are currently on excellent Profit as I will look to close them as near as #3,152.80 benchmark. On the other hand, I am successfully Buying every dip lately and my last order was yesterday's session #3,110.80 Buy which was closed in Profit. Keep Buying every dip as I advised many times on my recent remarks."
I have closed all of my Medium-term Buying orders (#3,052.80 - #3,133.80) on excellent Profit as I re-Sold Gold throughout yesterday's session (#3,124.80 - #3,009.80).
Technical analysis: The Price-action was once again seen Trading below the #3,152.80 benchmark extended decline where Sellers should finally prevailed and dragg the Price-action more than #57 points downwards (as was announced on one of my remarks lately that Gold always prints #57 point decline once the local High’s rejects the sequence and delivers the eminent rebound). Gold is dangerously approaching again the Higher High’s trendline of the Daily chart’s wide Ascending Channel, way above the #MA50 (aswell on Daily chart, representing in the same manner the Long-term Support zone) in Overbought waters, however every pullback on Gold is accumulation zone for new Bullish cycle.
My position: Even though I am Buying Gold aggressively, I do expect pullback to be delivered due Overbought instruments and #3,100.80 benchmark test possibility.
Closing multiple orders with ProfitAs discussed throughout my Wednesday's session commentary: "Technical analysis: The Price-action was once again seen Trading below the #3,152.80 benchmark extended decline where Sellers should finally prevailed and dragg the Price-action more than #57 points downwards (as was announced on one of my remarks lately that Gold always prints #57 point decline once the local High’s rejects the sequence and delivers the eminent rebound). Gold is dangerously approaching again the Higher High’s trendline of the Daily chart’s wide Ascending Channel, way above the #MA50 (aswell on Daily chart, representing in the same manner the Long-term Support zone) in Overbought waters, however every pullback on Gold is accumulation zone for new Bullish cycle."
First order I have engaged was Wednesday's Sell order (#3,132.80 - #3,111.80) and I have continued Selling every local High's throughout yesterday's session as I announced possible Selling correction ahead on Gold.
Technical analysis: Gold delivered Selling extension as I announced however it would be best for Short-term Sellers to wait for area to be engulfed, as today’s session will most likely represent the crossroads for the next Week, taking in consideration that one can never foresee the sequence until when Fundamentally driven rises and upswing (such as current one) will last and how Gold will digest today's session NFP numbers. Lagging upswing sequence comforted Sellers on it’s Intra-day basis, as Price-action was close to the #2-Month Bottom. The Price-action has altered the downtrend fractal near the Daily chart’s Ascending Channel’s Lower zone, as discussed on my latest commentary, with current mentioned configuration above representing former strong #1-Month Resistance zone. As long as this holds, there are Higher probabilities to reach the Hourly 4 chart’s Higher High’s Lower zone again on Spot prices however touch may be completed Lower depending on the aggression of the current variance. Technically, Gold should ease the Overbought levels, but on such Fundamental landscape (Bull bias), both sides are equally probable unless #3,137.80 gets invalidated to the upside once again. After all, on the Daily timeframe, the pattern is an healthy Ascending Channel which just touched the Higher High’s trendline and has a limit just over current structure, my main point of interests (depending on the impulse of the wave started early last Week). Above the #3,137.80, Short-term Selling pattern is invalidated and the relief attempt may be accelerated towards the Hourly 4 chart’s #3,152.80 benchmark.
My position: After excellent week behind me, I didn't had to Trade the NFP however I will as I do expect downside surprise on NFP which could skyrocket Gold upwards coupled with Powell's talks.
The Dollar’s Reign vs. Gold’s Rise: A New Reserve Champion?CAPITALCOM:GOLD TFEX:USD1! MIL:EURO
Central banks across the globe are stockpiling gold at a pace unseen in decades. Since 2022, this trend has gained momentum, with gold now outpacing the euro in global reserve portfolios while the U.S. dollar’s once-unshakable dominance shows signs of erosion. At the same time, gold futures have soared past $3,100, hitting all-time highs. This begs a pretty provocative question: Is gold poised to dethrone the dollar as the world’s go-to reserve asset?
What’s Fueling Gold’s Meteoric Climb?
Gold’s reputation as a "safe harbor" isn’t new-it shines brightest when economic storms brew. As markets grow choppy, investors flock to the metal, bypassing stocks and bonds in search of stability. Lately, a cocktail of geopolitical unrest, shaky financial markets, and whispers of a looming U.S. recession have supercharged this flight to safety.
The U.S. economy’s uncertain outlook is a big piece of the puzzle. With recession fears simmering, gold has become a trusted shield against risk. Add to that the monetary policy pivot among major central banks-lower interest rates are creeping into view, even if the timing remains debated. History shows that when rates drop, gold thrives, offering a compelling alternative to assets tied to yields. This dynamic is cementing gold’s status as a bulwark, propelling its price skyward.
A Dollar Decline-or Just a Diversification Moves?
Talk of gold unseating the dollar as the king of reserves might be jumping the gun. Yes, central banks are loading up on gold, but this looks more like a strategic pivot than a full-on replacement. The dollar’s allure is fading, not vanishing.
The Federal Reserve holds a key to this shift. When it dials down interest rates, the dollar loses some of its luster-lower yields make it less enticing to foreign investors who once flocked to it for returns. By contrast, high rates bolster the dollar’s strength; low rates nudge capital toward alternatives like gold.
Beyond U.S. policy, global trade is evolving. Nations are increasingly sidestepping the dollar, settling deals in currencies like the yuan or rupee. The World Gold Council highlights how countries such as China and India are amassing gold to loosen the dollar’s grip on their reserves. Today, gold accounts for about 10% of global central bank holdings, but some predict this could triple to 30% in the years ahead-a move that would keep gold prices climbing.
Still, let’s not write the dollar’s obituary just yet. It remains the backbone of international trade and finance. Gold may be gaining ground, but a total takeover feels like a distant dream.
Gold’s Next Chapter: How High Can It Go?
One thing is certain: gold’s current surge isn’t a fleeting spike-it’s a sign of deeper change. The $3,000 mark, once a lofty ceiling, is now a springboard for bigger gains. Analysts who pegged gold at $3,100 by year-end are already rethinking their targets. Goldman Sachs, for example, now sees $3,300 by the close of 2025.
Short-term dips and turbulence are par for the course, but the long-term picture points to enduring strength. Gold is stepping into a new era, one that could reshape the contours of global markets for years to come.
“Gold’s Resilience: Sustaining the Long-Term Uptrend”XAUUSD remains in an uptrend and is estimated to be in wave (v) of wave ; more specifically, it is currently within wave iv of wave (v).
In the short term, XAUUSD is expected to undergo a correction toward the 2,948–2,989 area. However, in the broader outlook, I anticipate further upside movement toward the 3,091–3,161 level.
GOLD reasons for shortHello fellow traders,
this idea is an absolute speculation based on a fact the tariffs were announced, indexes loss is accounted for and time for stabilisation in a market, perhaps time to buy USD instead? I am bidding 1:2 on the scenario and placing my t/p at level 2840 with sl 3240,
always protect your capital, management of risk is the crucial factor in trading no matter how much you invest, good luck
sentiment to the upward trendCAPITALCOM:GOLD
The main structure of the gold market is still bullish
In the short term, a correction to the support level of 3056 is likely
"Gold Approaching Key Support – Will Bulls Take Control?"🔹 Market Structure:
Gold is currently in a corrective phase after a strong bullish run, facing a pullback from recent highs around $3,160. The price has now approached a key horizontal support zone near $2,980 - $3,020.
🔹 Key Levels:
✅ Resistance: ~$3,160 (previous high)
✅ Horizontal Support: ~$2,980 - $3,020 (marked in blue)
✅ Target Level: ~$3,099 (potential bounce area)
🔹 Potential Scenarios:
1️⃣ Bullish Reversal: If the price finds support in the marked zone and forms bullish confirmation (e.g., hammer candle, bullish engulfing), we could see a retest of $3,099 and potentially higher levels.
2️⃣ Breakdown Scenario: If support fails, gold may see further downside towards $2,950 or lower.
🔹 Trading Plan:
📈 Buy Setup: Look for bullish confirmation near support (~$3,020) with a target of $3,099 - $3,120.
📉 Sell Setup: If support breaks, short positions could target $2,950 - $2,920.
🔸 Bias: Bullish above support, bearish below it.
🔸 Risk Management: Use a stop-loss below support (~$2,980) to manage risk.
Would you like me to refine this further or add any indicators like RSI, Moving Averages, etc.? 🚀
4 hr Gold analysis Gold 4 hr analysis treading of correction.
Gold broke 4 hr consolidation zone so we simply looked for lower timeframe (15min) entries to trade off the correction,
