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XAUUSDG trade ideas

Gold price downtrend with PPI news⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices (XAU/USD) extended their decline for a second consecutive session on Thursday, marking the third drop in the past four days and slipping to a more than one-month low below the $3,150 mark during Asian trading hours. The sustained downward pressure is largely driven by renewed optimism following signs of a meaningful de-escalation in the US-China trade dispute — a development that has dampened demand for traditional safe-haven assets like gold. The announcement of a 90-day trade truce between the world’s two largest economies has also helped ease recession fears in the U.S., prompting investors to scale back expectations for aggressive monetary policy easing by the Federal Reserve. This shift has supported a continued rise in U.S. Treasury yields, further weighing on demand for the non-interest-bearing yellow metal. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Downtrend, bears continue to put downward pressure on the market, heading towards the 3100 price zone ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3198- 3200 SL 3205 TP1: $3190 TP2: $3180 TP3: $3170 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3101 - $3099 SL $3094 TP1: $3110 TP2: $3120 TP3: $3130 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable sell order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
XAU/USD Price Action Update – May 16, 2025📊 XAU/USD Price Action Update – May 16, 2025 🔹Current Price: 3,225.12 🔹Timeframe: 15M 📌 Key Supply Zone: 🔴 H4 F++++++ Zone – Strong selling area triggered a sharp drop from the highs; price now retesting lower supply at 3,228–3,231. 📌 Key Demand Zones: 🟢 3187–3192 – Target demand zone; potential bounce area marked by prior accumulation 🟢 3168–3172 – Deeper demand; high-probability reversal zone if price extends lower ⚡️Bearish Play in Progress: Price rejected cleanly from H4 supply and is forming a lower high. If 3,228 fails to break, continuation toward 3190s is likely. 🔍 FXFOREVER Insight: ✅ Lower timeframe structure shifting bearish ✅ Watch for M15 confirmation below 3,222 for short entries ✅ Monitor price behavior at 3187–3192 zone for reaction/bounce setups #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoney #SupplyDemandZones #FXFOREVER #PriceAction #ScalpingSetups
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FXFOREVER_87
XAU/USD 4H Chart Analysis – Wave 5 Setup in PlayHey traders! Just wanted to share this clean Elliott Wave setup I’m tracking on Gold (XAU/USD). We’ve just completed what looks like a textbook Wave (4) correction, finding support right at the lower boundary of this long-term ascending channel. Price also respected the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement perfectly, lining up around the $3,090 level. That level is acting as a key demand zone right now. 🌀 According to the wave count: Wave (3) topped out near $3,500 Wave (4) retraced sharply into the channel base We are now potentially at the launch point for Wave (5) — the final impulse leg 💹 Wave (5) Projection: Targeting the upper channel boundary, which aligns closely with $3,740–$3,750 This area also completes the measured move and matches key structural confluence 📈 Technical Confluence Supporting the Bullish Bias: RSI bounced cleanly from oversold territory Bullish EMA crossover (20/50) is happening right near the bounce zone We’re also seeing a break of the corrective trend line, suggesting momentum is shifting back in favor of the bulls 📍 Key Levels to Watch: $3,149: minor pullback area / possible retest $3,283: Fib 23.6% resistance — needs to be cleared for confirmation $3,500: Major resistance & previous high — breakout zone $3,747: Wave 5 target ⚠️ Invalidation Zone: If price breaks below $3,090, and especially $3,041, I’ll be reassessing the wave count. That would suggest a deeper Wave 4 or a breakdown in bullish structure. 📌 Conclusion: I’m watching this setup closely. Gold looks poised for a strong upside leg if current levels hold. The structure is clean, momentum is turning, and we’ve got multiple confirmations in place. I’ll be scaling in with proper risk management and looking to ride this potential Wave 5 to new highs. Drop your thoughts below — are you long on Gold? Let’s talk setups 👇 @WrightWayInvestments @WrightWayInvestments @WrightWayInvestments
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WrightWayInvestments
Gold delivering #100-point opportunitiesTechnical analysis: So far so good as my already mentioned multi-Week Sell trend was in extension and final Selling Target was concluded near #3,100.80 benchmark / Weekly Bottom. Oversold Technicals prevailed followed by a strong Buying reversal in form of Bullish candlestick formation that Priced in a Bottom with #3,182.80 - #3,192.80 as new-old Support zone, on a Hourly 4 chart’s Three White Soldiers candle extension which delivered #150-point Intra-day Buying run throughout yesterday's session. Despite this, both Hourly 1 and Hourly 4 chart were completely Oversold, and current sequence on Gold was Natural response to such Technical development. No Moving Average still supports Buying bias on any chart, however this is typical Price-action behaviour near Daily chart’s local Bottoms or Top’s. Reversals are not evident and remember that the #3,182.80 - #3,192.80 is a heavy downside Support zone. For now, expected, no signs of Bearish reversal. On such a range bound session, Gold value continues to operate within my Hourly 4 chart's Donchian channel. Market closing is adding credence (in the same time this Week closing) to Buyers if Gold manages to close above #3,200.80 benchmark and if market opens on Monday with Bull spike towards #3,227.80 first Resistance, break of the mentioned former Support now turned in Resistance can aim for another #3,252.80 benchmark / strong Resistance zone. However, if Price-action tests #3,200.80 benchmark and it gives away, extends to Bottom of Support zone and breaks it as well in aggressive manner, I will Sell Gold on spot, pursuing #3,152.80 benchmark / Support zone in extension (I give more probabilities that Gold might continue ranging today so I will Scalp the market). Everything in between is Price-action Daily fluctuation which contains no new clues where Price-action will Trade next. My position: Scalping the #3,192.80 - #3,227.80 range with strong Volume orders as today Scalpers with have the most returns out of current Price-action.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by goldenBear88
Geopolitical risks + policy games, the latest gold operationsAt present, the US fiscal policy game is fierce. The Trump administration is pushing forward a comprehensive tax cut bill with a scale of trillions of dollars, but there are serious divisions within the Republican Party. Against this background, the spot gold price has broken through the key psychological barrier of $3,300, and the technical side shows a bullish "golden cross" pattern. It should be noted that if the US Congress unexpectedly passes the fiscal bill, it may trigger short-term profit-taking. In the medium and long term, supported by the rising global geopolitical risks and the shift in monetary policy, gold still has strategic allocation value. Many investment banks have raised their year-end target prices to above $3,500. From a technical perspective, gold has been strong recently. Spot gold closed at $3,289.54 per ounce on Tuesday, and further broke through $3,300 in the Asian market on Wednesday, reaching a high of $3,304.06, a new high in more than a week. In the short term, gold prices need to break through the key resistance level of $3,370 to open up further upside space; $3,150 has formed a solid support below. If there are new variables in the geopolitical situation or economic data, gold prices may even challenge the $3,400 mark. Based on the current trend, the trading idea on Wednesday is clear: wait for the price to fall back and continue to intervene in long orders around 3,300, and maintain a bullish strategy. Operation strategy: Gold is recommended to go long in the 3300-3305 area, with a stop loss at 3292, and a target of 3315-3330. Hold if it breaks through.
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by RoryKelvin
XAUUSDlliott Wave Analysis Idea – XAU/USD Short Bias Please note: This is not a trading signal—just an analytical perspective based on Elliott Wave theory. Always do your own research and risk assessment before making any trades. This particular outlook suggests a potential short setup on XAU/USD, but it's shared purely for educational and idea-sharing purposes. Don’t follow blindly—use your own strategy to validate. Further refinement and alternate counts are always possible, so stay flexible and manage your risk wisely.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Omani77
Gold - This is still clearly not over!Gold - TVC:GOLD - just needs a moment to breathe: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) It is just incredible how Gold has been rallying lately. Just over the past 1.5 years, Gold is up another +80% and is creating new all time highs every month. Since these strong rallies continue a lot longer than most people think, Gold still has significant upside potential. Levels to watch: $3.500, $4.000 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:GOLDLong
by basictradingtv
11
Gold Daily: Broad Oscillation – Analysis & TipsThe real-time trading signals we provided have been profitable every day. If you don't know how to get started, you can refer to my strategies. 👉🏼👉🏼👉🏼 On Monday during the early Asian trading session, spot gold continued its strong performance. The price surged by more than $40 at one point, hitting a high of $3,251, before retreating to trade in a range of $3,215-$3,230. From a technical perspective, the four-hour MACD continues to show a golden cross, with expanding red histograms strengthening upward momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains above 50, indicating that bullish sentiment in the market has not subsided. The middle band of the Bollinger Bands provides support, while the upper band near $3,275 forms short-term resistance. As of now, the gold price is hovering near $3,230. If it breaks above $3,250 to the upside, it may test $3,300; if it is suppressed by $3,250 and pulls back to break below $3,200 to the downside, it will continue to test $3,150. For short-term trading, it is recommended to focus on counter-trend short positions on rebounds and bullish positions on pullbacks. In the short term, key resistance levels to watch are $3,265-$3,275, while key support levels to monitor are $3,210-$3,200. XAUUSD buy@3210-3220 tp:3240-3250 Investment itself is not risky; it is only when investment is out of control that risks occur. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.👇🏽👇🏽👇🏽
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by VolatilityWise
Gold 100% Profit SignalGold opened low and fell on Monday, until it hit a low of 3120 on Thursday. The main reason was that the Sino-US tariff negotiations progressed smoothly. The negative news was exhausted and it rebounded sharply at 3120 for a short time, with an amplitude of more than 100 US dollars. However, it failed to continue the upward trend on Friday. The news of the Russian-Ukrainian negotiations caused gold to fall for the second time. It rebounded at 3154 in the evening and closed at around 3200 in the early morning. The daily line was suppressed below the 30-day moving average, and the weekly line fell back to the short-term moving average. From the daily level, the rising pattern of gold has deteriorated, and the overall large M head top pattern has taken shape. The key lies in whether the bottom structure can be formed here at 3120. The trend line support at the daily level is very strong. The first rebound at 3252 on Thursday was 132 US dollars. The second decline on Friday depends on how it is defined. If it is defined as a second bottoming out and viewed as a bottom pattern, it would be best if it could break through the high of 3252 on Monday, so that it can continue to rise. Then the probability of the market turning bullish is high, and there is still a chance to rise. However, if it continues to fall under pressure and tests the low point of 3120 again, the probability of breaking down is very high. Once 3120 breaks, then we will see the complete pattern of the big M head. The bottom of the M head is at 2970-2960. At this point, it has almost touched or is very close to the daily K 100-day moving average, so we can see long-term bullish. The latest gold ETF holdings data show that they have been continuously reducing positions recently. On Thursday and Friday, they reduced their positions by 8.89 tons for two consecutive days, totaling 17.78 tons. Combined with this data, there may be further declines, so it is not appropriate to be overly bullish. It is still in a bearish trend. For gold on Monday, we will first see a cyclical decline after the morning opening, around 9 o'clock. There is nothing much to say about this. This has been the trend in recent time. Focus on the pressure line of 3212-3230. The watershed is at 3252. The support below is at 3165-3154. If it breaks, the low point will be 3120.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ElvaHaywood
Gold Just Tapped the Trap – Ready to Bleed?🧱 Key Smart Money Zones: Fair Value Gap (FVG) marked in the red zone between 61.8% – 70.5% fib retracement → textbook premium pricing 🧠 Price taps this FVG + OB zone, reacts bearishly → rejection candle confirms Smart Money filled up 📉 Fib Confluence Levels: 100% ➝ Swing High: ~3,234 0% ➝ Swing Low: ~3,204 Entry rejection zone was 3,217 – 3,224 → perfectly aligns with premium range Price now returning back to equilibrium (50%) and heading toward discount levels (below 0%) 🔻 Bias: Strongly Bearish Break of structure confirmed (from previous lows) Rejection from FVG → confirms supply zone held Large bearish imbalance below → price likely to seek that liquidity ⚔️ Entry Idea: Entry: After price tapped FVG and printed bearish confirmation SL: Just above 3,224.37 (FVG top) TP1: 0% level @ 3,204 TP2: -27% @ ~3,192 TP3 (extended): -50% @ 3,191.25 RRR: 🔥 Easily 1:3+ if managed right 📢 Pro Tip for Ninja Traders: Don’t chase the first candle — wait for the retrace into imbalance, look for rejection, and ride the wave back into discount zones. It’s all about flowing with Smart Money. 🧘‍♂️ Psychology Reminder: "Liquidity creates opportunity. Rejection confirms intent." Let them buy into premium → we sell with precision 🧠📉
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ChartNinjas88
Gold Trends and Trading StrategiesThe gold market continued to fluctuate yesterday, and the price was repeatedly under pressure at the key position of 3250. At the weekly level, gold prices tried to rebound after bottoming out on Friday, but the upper short-term moving average formed technical suppression, and the daily line closed with a cross star with long upper and lower shadows, and the long-short game was fierce. From a technical perspective, the 4-hour chart shows a descending channel pattern. The price rebounded after testing the lower track of the channel many times, but it has never effectively broken through the 3250 central axis suppression. The hourly chart shows that the market maintains a rhythm of shock correction. The current daily line has two Yins and one Yang, but it has not effectively broken the previous low. It is expected that the bottoming and rebounding mode may continue today. In terms of operation, it is recommended to pay attention to the 3260-3200 range, and rely on the upper and lower edges of the channel to implement a high-altitude low-multiple strategy. Gold operation suggestions: 1. Short near the rebound of 3247-3252, target 3230-3220. 2. Go long near the retracement of 3206-3215, target 3230-3245.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
Gold Long, S&P Short, USDJPY Short: Flight to SafetyThis is a multi-asset idea in which I explain how different instruments helps us to paint a picture of what is happening at a macro level, specifically to the financial markets. Over here, I proposed that the equity markets, represented by S&P500, are going to correct heavily and that we will be in a flight-to-safety mode. Not brought up here but will add strength to the hypothesis is the yield on US Treasuries have also gone up.
TVC:GOLDLong
by yuchaosng
Gold Price Outlook as Short PatternGold Price Outlook: Gold prices recently experienced strong upward momentum, but have since seen a downside correction without a clear catalyst. The initial decline at the start of the new trading session suggests some hesitation in the market. Currently, price growth appears constrained by two key factors: Resistance zone 3322 / 3370 Support Levels 3270 / 3260 Investors are displaying a cautious "risk-on" behaviour, limiting safe-haven demand for gold A stronger dollar is weighing on gold, making it more expensive for holders of other currencies. I Ned to support from you Guys Lets like and comments for more analysis share with you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrMartin_11
Gold is Heating Up Breakout + Trendline SupportHello, traders Gold has shown strong bullish continuation after breaking above a key descending resistance line. Once that breakout occurred, price formed a strong rising trendline, which has since been respected as dynamic support. Additionally, a former resistance zone has now flipped into support, confirming a bullish market structure. Price is currently approaching a major upper resistance zone, where we may see a temporary pause or reaction. As long as the rising trendline holds, the momentum remains in favor of buyers — and a clean breakout above the upper zone could trigger the next leg higher.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by DarcyJames
Bearish reversal for the Gold?The price is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 3,263.27 1st Support: 3,124.31 1st Resistance: 3,346.25 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by ICmarkets
1
Gold on hard Resistance zoneTechnical analysis: Gold continues to Trade within healthy Hourly 4 chart’s Ascending Channel, holding tightly the #3,242.80 - #3,252.80 pressure point as an Resistance zone (see how it held throughout today’s session on the exact spot, aswell holding and untouched in #10-session base). Assuming that the Buying pattern continues, then the current market sentiment represent an additional solid Buying opportunity towards the #3,262.80 extension (taken from June - July Annual High’s), however recession sentiment is off the markets (at least for Short-term) so safe-haven assets such as Gold (which were on High-demand) should suffer as Investors are slowly losing interest which should add strong Buying pressure on Bond Yields and DX (my strongest correlation at the moment). There are only two Resistance lines left towards #3,262.80, which are currently Trading on #3,244.80 and #3,252.80 configuration. I’ve been highlighting the #3,252.80 potential, and I assume with current market overview, Gold may test it within current session. However keep in mind that rejection here can extend the Selling sequence below #3,227.80 Support in extension. My position: Gold is Trading near hard Resistance zone and under Buying pressure due DX taking strong Intra-day hits. I will Trade the break-out, either #3,244.80 Resistance towards #3,252.80 benchmark and above or await will #3,227.80 Support reject every downside attempt. All depends on how DX fares into coming sessions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by goldenBear88
The focus of gold today is 3200!News: The US economic data in April was weak across the board, with the producer price index (PPI) unexpectedly falling by 0.5%, retail sales growth plummeting to 0.1%, and manufacturing output falling by 0.4%, which severely hit the market's confidence in the US economy. Affected by this, the US bond market fluctuated violently, with the 10-year US bond yield plummeting by 11 basis points and the 2-year yield plummeting by 9.2 basis points; the US dollar index fell by 0.2%, and the real interest rate fell. At the same time, geopolitical risks continue to heat up. The Russia-Ukraine peace talks have reached a deadlock, Putin refused to meet with Zelensky, and the Iran nuclear agreement negotiations have not progressed smoothly. Against this background, the safe-haven attribute of gold has been highlighted, and market attention has increased significantly. Looking ahead to this trading day, a number of important US economic data will be released soon, and the progress of the Russia-Ukraine talks and Trump's dynamics are also attracting much attention. These factors will continue to affect market trends. Technical aspect: From the perspective of the daily line, gold can no longer be regarded as a unilateral decline after yesterday's bottoming out and rebounding. It should be directly followed by the idea of ​​oscillation! The primary focus today is still the position of the dividing line of 3200. Trading idea: Go long if it doesn’t break around 3200, sl3190, target 3230
TVC:GOLDLong
by Fortune-signal
1
Perfect grasp of key points Insight into market trendsWith the downgrade of the U.S. credit rating and the recent weak U.S. economic data, market expectations for a U.S. interest rate cut have increased. The U.S. dollar index has plummeted and is once again facing the 100 mark. Risk aversion sentiment has rebounded again, and gold has once again been sought after. It opened higher in the Asian session. However, we have mentioned the repetitiveness of sentiment many times recently, so we remind you not to chase the rise too much. We remind you to short near 3245, long at 3209, and short again near 3245. Both long and short positions are very accurate, giving perfect entry opportunities and successfully taking profits. Judging from the current trend, gold is under pressure again in the European session near 3248, and the US session has fallen back. The short-term strength has turned into a wide sweep again. Focus on the gains and losses of 3230. If it falls below or looks at the gap area of ​​3206-3203, go long if it falls back and does not break. The upper pressure is still focused on the area near 3253-60. Short-term fluctuations are increasing. If there is any adjustment, we will notify you in time. Operation suggestion: Go long in gold near 3206-03, look at 3230 and 3252!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5