Rebound is a good opportunity to short goldGold gradually rebounded after touching 3295. The highest price has rebounded to 3338. Although the rebound has reached $43, the upward momentum is not strong during the rebound. Therefore, the current rebound cannot be confirmed as a reversal trend. Moreover, gold has not yet effectively broken through the 3330-3340 area. Gold is still weak in the short term. Gold still has the potential to fall after the rebound. It will at least retest the 3315-3305 area again.
Therefore, there is no need to fear the rebound of gold for the time being. The rebound of gold is a good opportunity to short gold. I think gold will at least retest the 3315-3305 area again, and even exceed expectations to the area around 3280. Shorting gold is the password for profit in the short term!
XAUUSDG trade ideas
XAUUSD FULL DAILY OUTLOOK — 16 JUNE 2025👋 Hello traders, welcome to a key week for gold.
The bullish expansion continues to unfold cleanly, following weeks of calculated breakout sequences.
After liquidating major liquidity pockets below 3120 earlier this year, gold shifted into controlled higher timeframe expansion.
The breakout above May’s consolidation confirms full bullish structure control. However, we are now entering premium exhaustion territory, where liquidity traps become increasingly dangerous for emotional traders.
This is where most fail — chasing late breakouts — but we stay patient and execute only inside clean zones.
🔎 STRUCTURE PROGRESSION
✅ Weekly BOS fully confirmed → higher timeframe bullish structure intact.
✅ Daily has printed higher lows at 3120 → 3246, leading to the recent higher high at 3448.
✅ Price is now extended into premium expansion.
✅ EMA 5/21/50 fully locked bullish — trend continuation bias.
✅ RSI remains firm but near extended levels.
✅ Fibonacci extensions above are now fully in play.
🎯 DAILY BIAS — 16 JUNE 2025
Primary bias remains bullish as long as price holds above 3355 structure.
Price sits inside premium expansion, where liquidity traps may unfold near 3448–3505.
Controlled pullbacks into 3405–3385 remain healthy for continuation, while deeper dips into 3325 open better risk-reward positioning.
Bullish continuation remains the base case, but aggressive premium sweeps before FOMC remain highly probable.
🔼 DAILY SUPPLY ZONES
Price Zone Context
3448 – 3460 Breakout premium supply (first liquidity trap zone)
3500 – 3505 1.272 Fibonacci extension — major liquidity pocket
3570 – 3575 1.618 Fibonacci extension — exhaustion premium trap
🔽 DAILY DEMAND ZONES
Price Zone Context
3405 – 3385 Shallow pullback liquidity zone
3355 – 3325 Main Daily OB demand — structure protection
3290 – 3255 Deep flush zone — extreme HL recalibration zone
⚠ THE BATTLE THIS WEEK
✅ Price may attempt premium sweeps above 3448 → 3505 before any deeper correction.
✅ Below 3385 lies the first reactive zone for controlled pullbacks.
✅ FOMC remains the dominant macro driver — liquidity will likely front-run into Wednesday.
✅ Patience is key — the market may trigger both traps before any clear directional expansion unfolds.
🔐 Mindset Reminder:
In premium we don't chase — we wait for the market to exhaust liquidity and show real intent.
Our job is not to predict reversals, but to execute once liquidity confirms displacement.
🚀 If this helped you build your map for the week, hit that 🚀, drop your thoughts below, follow for full sniper insights.
We trade clean. We execute precise.
— GoldFxMinds
XAUUSD: +1500 TO +2200 PIPS Major Swing Move in Making, Two AreaThe first day of the trading week has seen Gold skyrocket, clearly indicating a bullish price direction. Our recent analyses had clearly shown this, and the volume confirms further bullish momentum. Additionally, the NFP news this Friday will be a trend changer, regardless of its positive or negative impact on the USD.
There are two potential take-profit targets. Before taking entry, please conduct your own analysis.
Good luck and trade safely,
Team Setupsfx_
Geopolitics Trigger Gold Breakthrough Above $3,400Last night's released strategy accurately predicted Israel's military action against Iran – the strike was launched in the early morning. The driving effect of geopolitics on gold is significant. As a major global oil supply region, the Middle East situation has directly triggered a surge in oil prices.
The key focus is on Iran's subsequent counterattack: if retaliation is carried out, gold's safe-haven attribute will be further activated, and the possibility of gold prices breaking through the $3,500 threshold is significantly increased.
Currently, go long near the $3,400 support level. Pay attention to changes in the international situation, and I will notify you immediately of any new news.
XAU/USD
buy@3400-3410
tp:3430-3440
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
XAUUSD 200 pip FVG drop?XAUUSD Finally started to break below to the major direction of the trend. After crossing the daily high, price started to break below upon retest of the neck line of the 4H head and shoulder.
As the market has got rejected from daily resistance we see possible drop back to daily low or even test of the strong liquidity zone on the monthly support level.
Upon price action confirmation, a sell trade is high probable
Gold fluctuates widely, strategy remains unchanged
📌Gold news
The US and Chinese delegations will continue talks in London for the second consecutive day. President Trump expressed optimism, saying the talks "should go well". US officials said the talks could lead to Washington lifting certain technology export restrictions in exchange for Beijing relaxing controls on rare earth exports - a material that is critical to industries such as energy, defense and advanced technology. The results of these negotiations may provide a new direction for precious metals
📊Comment analysis
The European session continued to retrace and gave a low of 3293, then slowly strengthened. The current high reached 3349, so today's strategy does not need to be changed for the time being. If the current market is given to 3335-3345 again, short orders can still be entered. The current trend is still weak, and the US market is likely to follow the old path of a second decline, so the current idea of shorting on the pullback remains unchanged for the time being!
💰Strategy package
Gold: Short on rebound 3335-3345, stop loss 3350, target 3300-3280!
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the lot size that matches your funds
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Gold is under pressure and bearish outlook remains unchanged
Gold has been rebounding during the day, but the strength of the rebound has weakened significantly. Although the one-hour trend broke through the upper pressure of 3340, it did not stand on 3340. The one-hour trend closed with a negative line, which means that the short-term rebound has come to an end. For this, we will continue to maintain a bearish view.
The pressure level of the one-hour market is at 3340. Before the gold price stands firm at 3340, it means that the rebound is an opportunity for us to short. The idea of our analysis just now is correct. Our internal strategy is also short at 3335. At present, the market has begun to fall back. Our positions are profitable. The target below will gradually look to around 3270, and our defense only needs to bring a little break loss.
Specific strategy
Gold 3335 short, stop loss 3345, target 3310
GOLD GOLD opens on liquidity demand floor on 15min chart and took 3295-3300 demand floor for uptick as early discussed on other gold chart.
3358-3365 hold a strong supply roof and a double top structure broken neckline will hold buyers @ 3358-3365 .if that layer is respected ,your buy profit will be taken. but if is broken you go long on retest of 3358-3365.
Gold, 10-Year Bond Yield, DXY, and Interest Rate Differential
1.Gold is trading around $3,324 after dipping into 3300-3295 per ounce on Asian session
The price remains elevated compared to historical levels, supported by inflation concerns, geopolitical risks, and strong central bank demand.
2. Relationship with 10-Year Bond Yield
The US 10-year Treasury yield is hovering near 4.5%, recently rising amid inflation worries and fiscal uncertainties.the boost from NFP took 10 year yield from 4.3% to 4.58% close of Friday .
Gold has an inverse relationship with real yields (nominal yields minus inflation expectations). Rising nominal yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, generally pressuring gold prices lower.
However, if inflation expectations remain elevated, gold can still hold value as an inflation hedge despite rising nominal yields.
3. Relationship with DXY (US Dollar Index)
Gold and the DXY share a strong negative correlation because gold is priced in USD.
When the dollar strengthens, gold becomes more expensive in other currencies, reducing demand and pushing prices down.
Recent dollar strength on demand floor has weighed on gold, but persistent inflation, geopolitical tension ,political instability and safe-haven demand have limited gold’s downside.
4. Interest Rate Differential Impact
The interest rate differential between the US and other major economies affects capital flows and currency valuations, indirectly influencing gold.
Higher US rates relative to other countries tend to strengthen the dollar, pressuring gold. Conversely, narrowing differentials or expectations of Fed rate cuts can weaken the dollar and support gold prices.
Gold prices remain in a higher trading range ($3,000–$3,500) supported by inflation fears, geopolitical risks, and central bank buying.
Near-term pressure may come from rising bond yields and a strong dollar. Critical looks on over bought market would need a correction to set up a new buy rally.
The upcoming U.S. inflation data release on June 11, 2025 and Fed policy signals will be crucial in determining gold’s direction.
Core CPI m/m forecast: 0.3% (previous 0.2%)
CPI m/m forecast: 0.2% (previous 0.2%)
CPI y/y forecast: 2.5% (previous 2.3%)
How the Federal Reserve is likely to react if actual figures exceed forecasts:
(1)Monetary Policy Stance
The Fed’s May 2025 minutes emphasize a data-dependent approach, maintaining the federal funds rate at 4.25%–4.50% while carefully assessing incoming data and risks to inflation and employment.
If inflation prints come in higher than expected, especially core CPI and y/y CPI, it would signal persistent inflation pressures, potentially delaying or reducing the likelihood of imminent rate cuts.
(2)Possible Fed Response
The Fed may adopt a more cautious or hawkish tone in its June 17–18 meeting, signaling readiness to keep rates elevated longer or even consider further tightening if inflation remains sticky.
Policymakers could emphasize the need for “greater confidence” that inflation is on a sustainable downward path before easing monetary policy.
Market expectations for rate cuts later in 2025 could be pushed back or diminished, supporting higher bond yields and a stronger dollar.
(3)Market Implications
A stronger-than-forecast CPI print would likely boost the US dollar (DXY) as markets price in a prolonged high-rate environment.
Treasury yields, especially the 10-year yield, may rise reflecting increased inflation risk and delayed easing.
Conversely, gold and other inflation-sensitive assets may face selling pressure due to higher real yields and dollar strength.
Conclusion
Gold’s price dynamics in June 2025 are shaped by a tug-of-war between rising US 10 year Treasury yields and a strengthening dollar, which weigh on gold, and inflation concerns plus safe-haven demand, which support it. The interest rate differential reinforces dollar strength, typically bearish for gold, but ongoing macro uncertainties keep gold elevated as a strategic asset and store of value.
#gold #dollar
Gold Analysis with Signals
For the beginning of the market, we expect the price correction to continue to the specified support levels (buy signals), which will be completed until the downward channel is broken, and after collecting liquidity, we will continue to see the price rise. The 4-hour minor ceiling still has buyers' liquidity that has not been settled.
Gold Hits All Targets with 500+ Pips – Eyes Now on $3420By examining the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after our previous analysis, the price moved exactly as expected and successfully hit all four targets — $3367, $3380, $3391, and $3400 — reaching as high as $3403 and delivering over 500 pips of return.
After sweeping the liquidity above $3400, the price corrected back to around $3370. Currently, gold is trading around $3380. If the price can hold above the $3370 level, we can expect a continuation of the bullish move toward the $3420 area.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
GOLD market is still bullish news can pump it morewe may have fall or short-term fall like previous times but fundamental news and Banks around the world adding gold to their assets is non stop bullish for gold and i think soon we can expect Gold above 3600$.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
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XAUUSD Weekly Outlook – Premium Territory Battle BeginsHey team!
Hope you're all feeling sharp and focused — here’s what we’re watching this week on XAUUSD 👇Week of June 9–13, 2025
📍 Bias: Bullish, but cautiously reactive at premium supply
🔹 1. 🔍 Market Structure (W1)
Strong impulsive BOS continuation from 3245 → current price near 3312.
Weekly structure shows clean Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) since Q4 2023.
The premium zone around 3380–3500 is now in play — it’s a weak high zone with upside liquidity targets still intact.
🔹 2. 🧱 Key Weekly Zones
Zone Type Price Range Notes
🔼 Premium Supply Zone 3380 – 3500 Final weak high zone, imbalance + OB supply above
🔽 Demand Support 1 3115 – 3170 Recent impulsive candle origin & imbalance
🔽 Demand Support 2 2950 – 3020 Prior CHoCH base & last HL support
🔽 Long-Term Demand 2660 – 2720 Weekly OB, deep discount zone
🔹 3. 📊 EMAs Context
EMA 5 / 21 / 50 / 100 / 200: Full bullish alignment.
Price is aggressively extended above all EMAs, suggesting possible retracement into the 3115–3170 zone if price fails to break above premium supply cleanly.
🔹 4. 🎯 Fibonacci Swing Analysis
Main fib: 3245 (last HL) → 3395 (current swing high).
50% retracement = ~3320, current price is hovering around this equilibrium.
A move back to 3115–3170 = golden zone, could serve as a clean long re-entry if premium gets rejected.
🔹 5. 🧠 RSI Context
Weekly RSI remains overbought, hovering near 70+.
Momentum remains strong, but any failure to break the weak high may trigger a cooling phase (pullback to EMA50 or fib 61.8%).
🔹 6. 🌍 Macro + Geopolitical Notes
NFP released Friday (June 6): Mixed impact — job creation weak but hourly earnings slightly strong.
Fed still data-dependent → CPI (next week) will be key.
Gold remains sensitive to inflation + Fed rate expectations. A dovish shift or inflation spike could send price beyond 3400.
📌 Weekly Scenarios
🔼 Bullish Continuation
Break above 3380–3395 → 3450–3500 target zone
Needs impulsive close above premium with volume and no rejection wick.
🔽 Retracement Play
Failure to break 3380 → pullback into 3115–3170
Clean demand, imbalance, and fib confluence support re-entry.
✅ GoldFxMinds Final Note
Gold is now in premium pricing — either distribution begins, or we’ll witness a parabolic extension into 3450–3500.
🧠 Watch reactions, not just zones. Trade confirmation.
💬 Let us know how you're positioning for the week — are you buying dips or fading premium?
Stay sharp,
— GoldFxMinds 💡
What May Happen Next In Long Term?Looking at where we are in the trend on the daily chart, I think we are in the correction of the uptrend and the last movement we are in is a triangle. Triangles like the one in the figure, after completing 5 waves, break on the barrier forming side of the triangle in wave number 6. Therefore, I expect a bullish breakout from these levels. This move may also exceed the previous high; however, it is too early to say that this is exactly the target at the moment. I think the first target is the 3414-3335 range.
Gold fell! Falling!! 📉📉📉
After the shock on Friday, gold fell sharply in the US market, reaching the lowest level of 3316. This shows that the adjustment is not over and will definitely continue next Monday. The short-term 4H cycle has weakened, and the daily cycle is suppressed on the upper track, but the overall market is still in a wide range of fluctuations, continuing the rhythm of May.
The one-hour market fell below the key support level of 3330. This point is a short-term turning point for long and short positions. Its loss means that the short-term market has entered a weak and volatile pattern. However, the current market has not yet completely turned into a bearish trend. The subsequent trend is expected to fluctuate downward, but the amplitude is limited, and it is difficult to see a sharp drop. Therefore, short-term operations can be tried, but from a general perspective, long positions are still the main tone. Looking forward to next week, it is expected that the market will fluctuate and bottom out near 3300, and a new round of pull-ups will begin after the bottom is stabilized. The upper short-term pressure is at 3340, and the lower support is near 3300. The overall trading strategy recommends "short-term selling and long-term buying". You can flexibly arrange accordingly to seize market opportunities.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
That was a nice move early session from the red box all the way down breaking through support to target our bias level and then giving a TAP AND BOUNCE for the long. These long trades however are now protected and managed due to the pre-event price action around the corner.
So now we have support below again at the bias level and the red box with resistance above 3355-60 red box. We're in from below so our area of interest will be that level for the remainder of the session.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Go with the flow and seize the gold trading opportunityGold rose and fell yesterday due to the influence of CPI data, and fluctuated violently during the session. There were obvious signs of a wash. In the evening, it rose again driven by the news, closed positive on the daily line, continued its strong upward trend at the opening and set a new high, showing an obvious bullish pattern. The overall structure maintains the bullish idea of low-long and trend-following.
From the 4H cycle, gold rose continuously after stepping back and stabilizing the middle track. The moving average system showed a bullish arrangement, and the Bollinger band opened and expanded, further confirming the continuation of the strong pattern. However, the current price is still running within the triangle convergence range, and has not yet effectively broken. It is not advisable to blindly chase more in the short term.
In terms of operation, it is recommended to take the step back and do more. Pay attention to the short-term support below the 3360-3358 range, and focus on the 3350-3340 range. You can rely on the support to arrange long orders in batches. Pay attention to the 3389 and 3400 areas on the upper short-term pressure. If the high is weak, you can try short-selling in combination with the actual trend.
Operation suggestion: It is recommended to buy gold near 3340-3350, and the target is 3366 and 3382. If it is strong, it is recommended to buy gold at the support of 3358-3360!
All recent trading strategies and ideas have been realized, and the point predictions are accurate. If your current gold operation is not ideal, we hope to help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!