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XAUUSDG trade ideas

THE KOG REPORT - Update End of day update from us here at KOG: Well, we actually did want higher but there was no break above, instead, we got the break below and then the move commenced overnight, most of which we missed. We did capture part of it on the tap and bounce, then another trade now on a RIP from lower Excalibur which was hit. Not bad, not amazing, just another day on the markets. Now, we have support at the 3310-6 level with resistance at 3330 which could be the target over the sessions to come. As long as support holds, we'll hold as well. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
14
Still short gold before breaking 3355After the release of NFP yesterday, gold began to fall sharply from 3352, reaching a low of around 3312; although it has gradually rebounded above 3340, the time span is not short, so the rebound is not strong; and the double top structure successfully constructed by gold in the 3365-3360 area in the short term still plays a technical suppression role in the short term, greatly weakening the rebound potential; and with the decline of gold yesterday, I think before gold recovers the 3352 starting point, gold will also be under pressure in the 3345-3355 area in the short term. If gold cannot successfully break through this area during the rebound, gold is expected to retest the 3330-3320 area again. Because of the US Independence Day, the gold market will be closed in advance today. It is expected that gold will not have a breakthrough today, so it may be difficult to break through the 3345-3355 area in the short term, so we can still continue to maintain the trading rhythm of shorting gold in terms of trading. So I think shorting gold still has a lot of profit potential. We can short gold with 3345-3355 area as resistance and look to the target area: 3335-3325-3315.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trading_Steffen
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: A ranging day and honestly, very frustrating for traders due to the up and down which hasn't allowed us to really hold without ridiculous stop losses. We hit the target yesterday, we're still not retesting that low so those entries are still active, but we really need to see this break above the 3335 level to go higher. For that reason, we will say if red box active continues to support the price we can look for this to go a little higher but that 3340-45 level is the one to watch. The daily has flipped for lower pricing so tomorrow a high may be put in before further declines. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
11
Market next target 🟥 Disrupted (Bearish or Cautious) Analysis: 1. Failed Bullish Attempt Risk While a bounce from the support zone (~3,260 USD) is visible, the momentum lacks strong bullish confirmation. The rejection from the support area could be a dead-cat bounce, especially since the overall trend leading into this zone was sharply downward. 2. Volume Divergence The volume spike on the large red candle suggests heavy selling pressure, not accumulation. The weak follow-up volume on the minor green recovery bars indicates a lack of buyer confidence. 3. False Breakout Possibility If price does push toward the “Target” or even the “Resistance” zone (3,290–3,310), it might be a bull trap, luring late buyers in before a reversal back downward. 4. Bearish Continuation Scenario Price may retest the support zone (3,260) again. If this support breaks decisively, it could trigger a strong sell-off, with potential to test lower zones around 3,240 or even 3,200.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Gold is coiling for a breakout... All eyes on the next move!📉 Gold is currently moving within a minor descending channel. In yesterday’s analysis, I pointed out the potential for a drop. Now, after a period of range-bound movement, I expect a breakout from this channel and a return to the main trend. 🎯 The first target on a reversal would be the top of the minor channel. Keep a close eye on price action here — this zone could be key for the next move OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by shakori_erfan
1
Failed Breakout Sets the Stage for Bullish Continuation"Boost it, if you like it (Thanks)" Gold is showing resilience after a failed breakout attempt, bouncing strongly off the 3,250 support zone. This 4H chart suggests bulls are regaining control, with momentum building toward the next key resistance. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: Failed Breakout (Failed MTR Structure): Price briefly dipped below the trendline but reversed sharply, invalidating the bearish move. Dynamic Support: The ascending trendline near 3,250 has held firm, reinforcing bullish structure. EMA Structure: 15 EMA: 3,323.84 60 EMA: 3,331.61 Price is now trading above both EMAs, signaling bullish momentum. Current Price: 3,339.0 Target: 3,434.34 – the first major resistance zone before ATH retest. 🧠 Market Psychology: This setup reflects a classic “shakeout” – weak hands were flushed out below support, only for price to reclaim the level with strength. This often precedes a strong directional move as confidence returns. 🎯 Trade Setup: Entry: On a confirmed break above 3,345–3,350 Stop Loss: Below 3,325 TP1: 3365 TP2: 3385 Final TP(x): 3,434.34 ⚠️ Watchlist: Monitor price action near 3,360–3,370 for signs of rejection or continuation. A clean break above 3,434 opens the door for an ATH retest. #MJTrading #Gold #XAUUSD #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #FailedBreakout #SupportAndResistance #EMA #BullishSetup #PriceAction #ForexTrading #GoldBulls #MarketPsychology
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by MJElahifx
1
GOLD 1H – Breakout Retest or a Fragile Bullish Hope?👆🚀Boost it if you like it... (Thank you) 🚀👆 Gold has finally broken out above the descending trendline that has capped price for weeks. We’ve already seen Leg 1, an impulsive rally from the strong support zone, and a textbook retest of the broken trendline. If bulls hold this level, a Leg 2 continuation could unfold. Key Factors to Watch: ✅ Strong demand zone fueling the first leg up ✅ Clean breakout and retest of descending resistance ✅ Price still hovering around EMAs (15/60) ⚠️ However, the structure is fragile – lack of follow-through could trap late buyers ⚠️ If price loses the retest area decisively, sellers may reclaim control Trading Insight: This is a fascinating setup for bulls—but don’t fall in love with it. Stay adaptive. The market doesn’t owe us a second leg higher. Manage risk carefully and remember: probabilities, not certainties. Trade Safely... #MJTrading #Gold #XAUUSD #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutTrading #SupportResistance #PriceAction
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by MJElahifx
1
Can Gold Really Drop 10% in a Day?📘 EDUCATIONAL POST: Can Gold Really Drop 10% in a Day? Let’s Break It Down Alright, traders—before you start thinking the sky is falling, let’s look this chart straight in the face and get real. ⸻ 🔍 The Setup Right Now Here’s what’s showing up: ✅ A bullish pennant forming up top (potential continuation higher). ✅ A big head and shoulders pattern in the middle (bearish). ✅ VWAP bands ranging from ~3,257 to ~3,392. ✅ Volume is underwhelming—426k vs 582k average. ✅ A big target line all the way down near 3,000. This mix of signals can be confusing. Let’s separate the hype from what’s actually possible. ⸻ 🎯 Q: Can the market collapse to 3,000 tomorrow? Short Answer: No. Here’s Why: 1️⃣ Move Size: • Current price is ~3,357. • Target is ~3,000. • That’s a -357 point drop (~10.6%) in one session. • For gold CFDs, this would be an extreme event only seen in major crises (think 2008 or March 2020). 2️⃣ Volume Context: • Today’s volume is below average. • Big crashes are usually preceded by heavy distribution—this isn’t showing yet. 3️⃣ VWAP Anchors: • The lower VWAP band sits at 3,257. • Reaching 3,000 would require breaking through 3,257 support, 3,100, and months of prior buying interest. 4️⃣ Market Environment: • It’s the July 4th holiday in the U.S.—liquidity is thin. • Thin markets can gap lower but rarely hold a massive drop without a big catalyst (e.g., credit crisis, war headlines). 5️⃣ Pattern Confirmation: • Yes, the head and shoulders pattern is visible. • But to confirm it, you need: 🔹 A clear break of the neckline with double average volume. 🔹 Follow-through that pushes below 3,257. • None of this has happened yet. ⸻ ✅ What’s Realistically Possible Tomorrow? If sellers show up, here’s what a big bearish day might look like: 1️⃣ First Move: • Rejection at 3,357–3,392 resistance. • Pullback toward ~3,324 (mid VWAP). 2️⃣ Continuation: • Drop down to ~3,257 (VWAP lower band). 3️⃣ Extreme Scenario: • Retest of 3,200–3,150 zone. But a flush all the way to 3,000? 👉 Highly unlikely unless there’s a major global shock. ⸻ 💡 Trading Tip: Stay Tactical If you want to position short: ✅ Wait for rejection at 3,357–3,392. ✅ Short targeting 3,324 first. ✅ Scale profits there. ✅ Only hold runners for 3,200–3,150 if momentum accelerates. ⸻ 🔑 Key Takeaway 3,000 is a structural target—this means it’s a price objective that might play out over weeks, not hours. Trying to catch that in one day is chasing a black swan. Stay patient. Trade levels, not headlines. ⸻ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research before trading. ⸻ ✅ If you found this helpful, share it with someone who panics every time a red candle shows up.
FX:XAUUSD
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
7.1 London gold rebounds and rises, gold market trend analysis aGold rose to 3295 in the Asian session on Monday and was blocked. It fell in the European session as we expected, but the decline was not strong. After the lowest price of 3274.57, it rose again in the US session and stood firmly at the 3300 mark. The monthly line closed with a cross Yang K. The gold price continued to rise at the opening today. After the market on Monday, the 3247 below can be used as a reference for the bottom rebound position. Now the short-term trend belongs to the bulls, so we will continue this trend today and look at the upward trend first, wait for the European session to see the strength of the decline and then formulate the idea of ​​the US session. From the market point of view, after the gold price stood above the 3300 mark again, it is used as a short-term support level reference for the bulls. The Asian session can rely on this position to arrange long orders to see the continuation of the upward trend; the initial pressure on the upper side focuses on the 3328 position, followed by 3345. Now that the idea is established, the idea for intraday operations is: wait for the gold price to pull back to around 3308 in the Asian session and then go long and bullish, protect the 3300 mark, and target around 3328; if there is pressure at 3328 in the European session, you can arrange short positions with a downward trend, wait for the US session, and then decide whether to go long again based on the pullback position and target around 3345.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
2
Gold Market Outlook – 1st of July | XAU/USD | 30min | by Mohsen # Gold Market Outlook – 1st of July | XAU/USD | 30min | by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad 🔸 **Instrument:** Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) 🔸 **Timeframe:** 30min 🔸 **Methodology:** Smart Money Concepts (SMC) + Liquidity + OB + Market Structure 🔸 **Focus:** New Monthly Open Setup --- ## 🔍 Market Context: - **Structure:** Bullish on LTF (MSU) - **Efficiency:** ✅ Clean & Efficient Delivery - **Recent Activity:** Reverse H&S completed + double BOS + CHoCH confirmed - **Price Level:** Trading near key Supply zone (3300–3315) - **Monthly Context:** July begins with bullish momentum & previous session showed aggressive buy-side pressure --- ## 🧠 Technical Breakdown: 1. **Strong recovery** after clearing deep liquidity sweep (Head zone) 2. **Bullish BOS** structure confirmed on LTF → Multiple HH and HL formed 3. Price now testing **Key Supply/OB zone at 3300–3315** 4. Above this zone lies a **Strong High (SH) around 3,350**, a potential liquidity magnet 5. Overall bias is bullish unless strong rejection appears from upper OB --- ## 📌 Trade Plan: | Position | Entry Confirmation Zone | Stop Loss (SL) | Take Profit (TP) | |----------|--------------------------|----------------|------------------| | Long | Above 3,303–3,310 (structure hold) | Below 3,294 | TP1: 3,325 / TP2: 3,340 / TP3: 3,348 | | Short (scalp only) | Bearish reaction from 3,345–3,350 | Above 3,353 | TP1: 3,310 / TP2: 3,290 | --- ## ⚠️ Risk Factors to Watch: - 🔺 High-impact USD news (July 1st releases: Manufacturing PMI / employment preview) - 🔺 Overextension above supply zone without support → trap risk - 🔺 Bull trap risk if price spikes above 3,340 then sharply reverses --- ## ✅ Summary: > **Start of July** could fuel volatility and directional momentum. > The structure is clearly bullish short-term, but upper liquidity zones remain **highly reactive**. > Smart traders will wait for reaction at the 3,340–3,350 SH zone before overcommitting. **Structure:** 🟢 Bullish **Trend:** 📈 MSU **Efficiency:** ✅ Clean **Liquidity:** 🔺 Above SH & Below recent HL --- 📊 Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad**
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by mmozafari1357
Watching Gold Tap Liquidity Before the Next DropGold is still clearly in a bearish structure on the 1 hour chart. We’ve seen a solid break of structure to the downside and price is now retracing. What stands out is how price is pushing back up into multiple areas of interest. There’s liquidity resting just above this minor high along with a fair value gap and the underside of a bearish trendline. This cluster makes it a likely spot for sellers to step back in. If price fills the imbalance around that FVG, it could set up the next leg lower. I’ll be watching closely for signs of rejection in this zone to see if the market is ready to continue the move down. No reason to rush in early. Let price come to the levels that matter and confirm with a reaction. Staying patient pays.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by J4mesWick
7.3 Prediction of gold price fluctuation before non-agriculturalAfter the release of ADP data last night, gold prices resumed their rise and crossed the high of 3357.88 this week and closed near this position. Today, gold prices opened high and then fell back. Pay attention to the strength of the correction in the morning session and choose the opportunity to go long and bullish. From the current market perspective, the support below can focus on the low point of yesterday's US session near 3333, followed by 3327; before the release of non-agricultural data, the upper pressure will focus on the early trading start point 3366, followed by 3375. The operation in the Asian and European sessions is mainly to go long on the correction, and the high-altitude thinking is abandoned. Specific operation ideas: Go long and bullish when the gold price falls back to around 3338, protect the position of 3330, and the target is to see whether the early trading high of 3365 can break!
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
1