Gold will hit $3400!!Gold has successfully broken above its resistance zone and the top of the ascending channel, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Two support zones have been identified below the current price. A correction toward one of these levels is expected before the next bullish leg begins.
After a pullback to one of these support areas, we expect gold to resume its uptrend and push toward higher levels and new highs.
Among the two, the second support zone is considered a safer entry point for long positions, as it may offer stronger support and a better risk-reward setup.
XAUUSDG trade ideas
GOLD Next Movement Very Clear , Are You Ready To Got This ?Here is my new place if i will sell gold after daily closure below 3400.00 m it will be a great chance to sell it with the retest if we have a good daily closure , gold gave me today more than 1000 pips if you checked my last updates , just wait for closure and then we can sell it again .
XAUUSD Analysis Based On M30Short (sell) trade setup** based on market structure and a fair value gap (FVG) concept. Here's a concise breakdown:
🔍 **Short Trade Setup Summary:**
- **Market Structure Shift:**
- **Break of Structure (BOS)** signals a bearish shift.
- **Lower high (L-H)** and **lower low (L-L)** confirm downtrend initiation.
- **Entry Zone:**
- **FVG Area** (Fair Value Gap) has been identified post-BOS.
- Price pulls back into this zone.
- **Entry marked around 3457/3460**.
- **Stop Loss (SL):**
- Placed above the FVG and recent high.
- **SL at 3467**.
- **Target:**
- Near a previous support and demand zone.
- **Target at 3408**, offering a solid risk-to-reward ratio.
---
### 🧠 Trade Idea Logic:
- The setup bets on price respecting the **FVG resistance** after BOS.
- Target aligns with prior **support zone** and potential liquidity.
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Gold soaring on Fundamental pressure / Buy every dipTechnical analysis: Gold has gone into Asian session Buying rally continuation and having been slightly disconnected on it’s Technical background and especially correlation with DX, Bond Yields are Trading near local High’s (Bullish Gap fill) which is a mix which pushed Gold north aggressively and invalidated Selling potential prior every local High's. Sellers once again underestimated the Bullish potential of the recent Buying leg as Gold’s Price-action is isolated within healthy Ascending Channel on most of the charts. As long as aggressive Volatility lasts, and the probability of doing so is High as April is projected to be Bearish Month regarding DX, Gold will represent decent Short and Medium-term Buying option. If by some intervention DX start trending upwards (so far struggling to make Bullish comeback and finding meaningful Support or in general more stable Support zone), uptrend on Gold will be stalled but for now #3,500.80 benchmark is and should probably be next Gold’s most viable Target if DX don't deliver new full bodied positive candle. Daily chart’s curve for now holds Buying bias and usually this Technical setup points to new Bullish break-out.
My position: I have expected Gold to form a Top near #3,392.80 - #3,400.80 however since Price-action invalidated my potential reversal zone and closed the market above #3,400.80 benchmark, I continue Buying Gold all the way with #3,500.80 benchmark as new potential Ultimate Top's zone. Keep in mind that as long as DX is Trading on disappointing numbers, Medium-term Selling reversal on Gold will be postponed.
4.21 Latest Gold Trend Analysis Strategy:
Analysis of Key Influencing Factors
Risk-averse sentiment supports
The escalation of Sino-US trade frictions and concerns about global economic recession continue to stimulate risk-averse demand, and gold remains attractive as a safe-haven asset.
If the geopolitical or trade situation deteriorates further, gold prices may hit new highs.
Fed policy expectations
Despite strong US retail data and Powell's "no rate cut for the time being" signal, the market is still betting on a possible rate cut in June (CME FedWatch tool shows a probability of about 50%), and the dollar's upside is limited, which supports gold.
Technical overbought and divergence
The daily and H4 cycles show a top divergence signal, and there is a need for a correction in the short term. The historical high of 3357 may form a period of pressure.
The Good Friday holiday on Friday may lead to some longs taking profits, and we need to be wary of fluctuations caused by insufficient liquidity.
Technical points and operation strategies
Key support and resistance
Upper resistance: 3315-3325 (short-term pressure zone), 3357 (historical high)
Lower support: 3280-3270 (first target of callback), 3230-3200 (strong support zone)
Operation ideas
Short-term callback long opportunities
If it stabilizes in the 3280-3270 area (0.5 Fibonacci retracement level + previous low support), you can lightly position long orders, stop loss below 3250, and target 3310-3320.
Steady strategy: wait for the price to break through 3325 and then confirm the callback before following up with long orders, with a target of 3350.
High-level short-selling opportunities
If it rebounds to the 3315-3325 area under pressure and there are stagflation signals (such as long upper shadows, hourly MACD dead cross), you can try short orders, stop loss above 3335, and target 3280-3270.
Aggressive strategy: If it falls below 3270 directly, you can chase the short position to 3230, but you need to enter and exit quickly.
Breakout follow-up strategy
Break above 3357: Wait for a pullback to 3340 to go long, with a target of 3380-3400.
Breaking below 3270: Pay attention to the support of 3230. If it stabilizes, you can backhand long orders; if it continues to fall below, the trend will turn bearish.
Risk warning
Liquidity risk: After the market closed on Friday, there may be a gap on Monday, so you need to be cautious in holding positions.
Data and events: Next week, focus on US GDP, PCE inflation data and speeches by Fed officials. If the economic data is stronger than expected, it may strengthen the expectation of "delaying interest rate cuts", which is bearish for gold.
Divergence correction: The technical top divergence may trigger a rapid correction, and strict stop loss is required to avoid carrying orders.
Summary
Next week, gold is likely to show a trend of high-level fluctuations-correction-and then choose the direction. The main idea is to go long at a low level after the correction, but be wary of technical correction risks. Short-term traders need to flexibly switch between long and short positions, while medium and long-term investors can wait for a pullback to the 3230-3200 area to place long orders. It is recommended to control the position within 5% and set a stop loss protection.
Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 4/19/2025Gold has been on the rise for consecutive 2 weeks. Currently it is at the final leg of Elliott wave. I am expecting serious correction to come next week.
Next week we should see price rise first and drop from around 3.4k. My optimal target next week will be 3172.
Take note gold is super volatile. It can easily move more than 1k pips one day.
Let's go down to smaller TF for better order next week.
GOLD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,329.23
Target Level: 3,122.55
Stop Loss: 3,466.98
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
XAUUSD has tapped into a strong resistance zone🟡XAUUSD 4H Analysis –
Technical View:
Gold has tapped into a strong resistance zone near $3,305–$3,327, aligning with the top of the rising channel. A bearish structure is anticipated, with potential targets at $3,183, $3,100, and $3,004.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $3,305–$3,327
Support: $3,183 → $3,100 → $3,004
Fundamental Insight:
Gold's recent rally was driven by safe-haven demand and rate cut expectations. However, upcoming US data (April 17–18) may trigger a correction if the USD strengthens or geopolitical risks ease.
Outlook:
Short-term bearish bias from resistance zone, watching for structure breaks and market sentiment shifts.
GOLD Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 3457.8 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 3449.8
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 3472.7
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Price drop - may be your chance to buy at a good price🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️ Gold prices pulled back to $3,440 from nearly $3,500—a new record high—in early European trading on Tuesday, as buyers took a breather amid short-term overbought conditions. However, any significant correction appears unlikely due to the ongoing collapse of the U.S. dollar.
➡️ While afraid of a U.S. recession triggered by the U.S.-China trade war has not been enough to dent investor confidence, U.S. President Donald Trump's accelerated criticism of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell since last Friday has further pressured the already weak dollar. This has boosted gold, a traditional safe-haven asset priced in USD.
Personal opinion:
➡️ Gold's uptrend is still strong, this correction period could be the time to buy gold at a good price
➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support zones and Fibonacci combined with EMA and trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy Gold 3433 - 3435
❌SL: 3427 | ✅TP: 3439 - 3444-3450
👉Sell Gold 3500 - 3502 (Scalping)
❌SL: 3506 | ✅TP: 3495 - 3490 -3485
👉Sell Gold 3518 - 3520
❌SL: 3524 | ✅TP: 3513 - 3507 -3500
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
GOLD at Major Supply – Is the Rally Losing Steam?Gold (XAU/USD) just tapped a strong supply zone at $3,375 and is starting to pull back.
Here’s what I’m looking at:
Rejection from supply zone = short bias
Clean breakout = potential retest & rally continuation
Key downside targets: $3,180 and $3,046 if sellers take control
This area has historical resistance + recent exhaustion signs.
Price is overextended — are bulls running out of gas?
Watch price action closely in this zone.
Chart powered by LuxAlgo + Supply & Demand Range
Would you go LONG or SHORT from here?
#SmartTrading #GoldMoves
#XAUUSD #gold #commodities #luxalgo #technicalanalysis #supplyanddemand #smartmoney #goldtrading #metals #forextrader #goldsetup #priceaction #swingtrading #scalpingstrategy
Gold will not fall sharply, only fluctuateGold is still running wildly as always, breaking through 3400 easily. Yesterday's trading day was another surge of more than 100 US dollars. It rose directly at the opening of the Asian market in the morning. Now the European and American markets have basically risen unilaterally without any callback. This scene is similar to the past, and it is almost the rule of this period of time.
At present, gold, that is, after the unreliable tariff war, has basically lost its technical market. There is no highest unilateral rise, only higher. It depends on whether you dare to enter. If you rely too much on technical indicators, then you will be short all the way, because the current market indicators are somewhat distorted. The indicators highlight that there will be a callback and a decline, but the K-line rises again and again, and it is difficult to fall. It is easy to grasp the long position, and it will go up accidentally.
Today's gold, although it rose and fell at the opening of the Asian market, it quickly rose and broke through the new high, which means that the bulls are still very strong. Although it has gone more than 100 US dollars yesterday, it still has such an upward momentum today, so don't think about shorting. Now it is more than 100 US dollars a day, which was the market situation in the past week. So there is still a good chance to reach 3500 today. Even if you chase long, this market is stronger than short. Under the unilateral bullish trend, the probability of winning with the trend is greater than short against the trend. If you must go short, you must have a light position with a stop loss, otherwise the result of resisting the single position is only a liquidation.
The current market is not so important for the position. If there is not much callback, there is no chance to wait for the position. Pay attention to five minutes, 15 minutes, and 30 minutes. Go long when there is a negative K. The point is always changing. One analysis of one position cannot cover the market for the whole day. If you have any trading problems, please contact me at the end of the article.
According to the daily increase of more than 100, the lowest this morning is 3413, so if you want to go short, you can try around 3513.
Gold has a top signal, be wary of a retracement today!
On Wednesday, as the market waited to see whether Trump would reach a new trade agreement with trading partners, the US dollar index fell again and once fell to around $99.
Due to the weakening of the US dollar and the escalation of trade tensions, spot gold continued its record-breaking rise, refreshing its historical high to above $3,340, and soared by more than $100 during the day.
Today, Thursday, gold continued its bullish trend last night in the early trading, and once hit a historical high of 3,357 in the early trading.
But now we need to be extra careful, because tomorrow is Friday, Good Friday, and the market will be closed all day, which means that today, Thursday, is the last trading day of the week. Currently, long positions in gold are likely to be taken out of the market.
Once the long positions are taken out of the market, it is easy to have a large retracement, so we must be careful about this and must not be overly bullish.
Today's opening position is around 3342. In the morning, it retreated to around 3320, and then stretched up again.
However, it can be found that since it fell below the opening position of 3342, gold has not stood above 3342 again.
This is a strong signal of short-term retracement, especially when long positions are about to be profited.
Moreover, the hourly chart has a little ABC wave-shaped retracement. Once it comes down, I think it is not a problem to touch 3300-10, and it is not ruled out that it will be lower.
Currently, the ma10 moving average position below gold is also at 3300-3310.
Therefore, it is not recommended that you chase long orders today, and you should be prepared for the possibility of falling to 3300-3310 in advance.
In terms of operation, I suggest that you can enter the market and short near 3340, and the target can be 3300-3310.
It is critical to grasp the entry point when stepping backYesterday, the technical aspect of gold opened in the Asian session and immediately ushered in a strong bullish pull-up. The European session broke through and stood above the 3300 integer mark and entered a strong shock consolidation. The US gold price fluctuated repeatedly and stabilized above the 3300 integer mark and ushered in an accelerated pull-up. Finally, the gold price broke through the 3320 mark in the early morning and continued to rise to around 3350 and closed strongly. The daily K-line closed with a shock break and a long positive, and the daily increase reached 120 US dollars. The overall technical form has completely entered the rhythm of bullish squeeze. At present, all technical aspects are overbought, and short-term technical indicators are distorted. The overall rise logic is greatly affected by the external risk aversion sentiment. The bullish momentum still exists, and the retracement continues to look for opportunities to go long. However, it is worth noting that Friday is Good Friday, and today's weekly close will lead to profit-taking in the market.
From the 4-hour analysis, today's lower support focuses on 3310-3305, and focuses on the important support of 3293-90. This position is also the watershed between the strength and weakness of the bulls and bears during the day. Be cautious about chasing more at high levels. I will prompt you with specific operating strategies during the session, so please pay attention in time.
Gold operation strategy: 1. Go long when gold falls back to 3310-3305, and add to long position when it falls back to 3288-93. The target is 3345-3350.
Gold's retracement is an opportunity to go longStay long and don't relax. Continue to buy gold when it falls back!
The gold market has fluctuated violently recently, with a rise of $100 and a fall of $90, which has brought great obstacles to our trading. Long and short positions with bad entry positions will be washed out, so we need to wait patiently for opportunities in operation. The strong market remains unchanged. Continue to buy when it falls back. Find the watershed position to participate in the transaction. It is better to miss it than to be too aggressive. In the Asian session, I will share with you the support of the 3405/3410 watershed of gold. I will rely on this position to buy when it falls back. Gold hit a high of 3499 during the day, which is one step away from 3500. The European and American sessions fell back by $90, which just happened to fall back to the watershed position shared with you in the Asian session. The long orders have also been realized at the target position. Friends who have participated should pay attention to protecting profits, and friends who are short should wait patiently for opportunities and not be too aggressive!