XAUUSDG trade ideas
Check the trend Given the price behavior within the current resistance range, possible scenarios have been identified. It is expected that after some fluctuation within the current resistance range, a trend change will take place and we will witness the beginning of a downtrend. With consolidation above the resistance range, an uptrend will be likely.
Gold fluctuates repeatedly, how to seize the opportunityIf the direction is right, you are not afraid of the long journey. Use time to witness your strength, use your strength to win the future, let trust become profit, and use profit to resolve doubts. The market is changing rapidly, and going with the trend is the kingly way. When the trend comes, just do it, don't go against the trend to buy at the bottom, so as not to suffer. Remember not to act on impulse when trading. The market is good for all kinds of dissatisfaction, so you must not hold orders. I believe many people have experienced this. The more you resist, the more panic you will feel, and the floating losses will continue to magnify, making you eat and sleep poorly, and you will miss many opportunities in vain. If you also have these troubles, then you might as well follow my pace and try to see if it can make you suddenly enlightened.
Gold is concerned about the short-term pressure of the 3316 line above, and focuses on the pressure of the 3325 line. If the pressure above the 3325 line is not broken, then the possibility of gold further breaking through the lower space to 3295-3300 in the short term will also increase significantly. Therefore, the main line of gold operation is still based on holding shorts and rebounding shorts. Gold can rebound to the 3316 line and 3325 line before considering participating in short shorts. In terms of operation, we first pay attention to the support of the 3295-3300 line. If the lower support is broken today, the market will reverse to the short side. Otherwise, we will continue to rebound from the bottom and look for opportunities to go long.
From the current trend of gold, pay attention to the support of the 3300-3295 line below, the short-term resistance above pays attention to the vicinity of 3316, and focus on the suppression of the line near 3325. The overall main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation remains unchanged. In the mid-line position, keep watching and do less, follow orders cautiously, keep the main tone of participating in the trend, and patiently wait for key points to participate.
Gold operation strategy:
1. Go long on gold around 3330-3295, target 3315-3320.
2. Go short on gold around 3315-3325, target 3305-3300.
XAUUSD on Falling swingH4 Timeframe Analysis
Gold is currently holding falling pattern and Drop on Fundamentals .
ISM news is comming just after 5 mins.
What's possible scanarios we have?
im expecting that gold needs one more drop correction at atleast 3315-3305 area market will join the 3290 then 3280 milestone.
Exceptional case:
If the H4 candle remains above 3345 then keep your eyes at 3365 then 3380.
#XAUUSD
XAUUSD Forming Triangle Pattern – Eyeing Breakout After Wave (e)🚨 Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis – 3H Chart
Gold is currently forming a classic contracting triangle pattern (ABCDE), with wave (e) in progress. Price is bouncing from a strong buyers’ zone near 3269.60, showing signs of upward pressure.
📊 Current Structure:
Wave count: (a)-(b)-(c)-(d)-(e)
Consolidation within a symmetrical triangle
Key support: 3269.60
Resistance zone to watch: 3408.00
📈 Potential Scenario:
If price holds above the buyer’s zone, we can expect a bullish wave (e) push towards the upper trendline at 3408, potentially leading to a breakout continuation.
📍 Trade Plan (Educational Purpose):
Long Setup Valid Above: 3269.60
Target: 3408.00
Stop Loss (SL): Below 3260 (based on your risk profile)
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🧠 Why This Matters?
This triangle setup often leads to strong breakout moves, especially in commodities like gold during fundamental uncertainty or dollar index shifts. The market is compressing — be prepared for the breakout move.
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📢 Follow for more clean Elliott Wave + Price Action setups!
💬 Drop your analysis in the comments. Let’s grow together!
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy on July 7Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance 3360, support 3270
4-hour chart resistance 3345, support 3280
1-hour chart resistance 3325, support 3300.
3300 is now the short-term long-short dividing line. If it falls below, it will enter a new shock zone. Please pay attention to the 3300 support level before the NY market today! (The resistance level is 3320~3325). From the fundamentals, although the gold market has experienced a technical correction in the short term, gold will continue to maintain its status as a safe-haven asset under the continued uncertainty of US trade policy and complex geopolitical tensions. As Trump's tariff deadline (July 9) approaches, we should pay close attention to the development of US trade policy around August 1 (if the tariff policy is delayed to ease the demand for safe-haven assets, combined with the technical bearish information, gold will continue to find support below 3,300).
SELL: 3300
SELL: 3325
GOLD Long Inside The Range! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is stuck in a local
Range while still trading
In a strong long-term uptrend
So we think that this is an
Accumulation before the
Next leg up and as we are
Bullish biased we will be
Expecting a retest and a
Rebound from the horizontal
Support below around 3259$
With the target of retesting
The horizontal resistance
Above around 3354$
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD is in bearish conditions, pressured by aggressive tariffsOn Wednesday (July 9) in the Asian market, the spot OANDA:XAUUSD suddenly fell sharply in the short term, and the gold price just fell below 3,290 USD / ounce.
Although US President Trump announced that the first tariff letters had been sent to some US trading partners, the gold price fell below 3,290 USD / ounce due to the weakening demand for safe-haven gold. Trump postponed the tariff deadline to August 1, easing trade tensions.
The recovery in the dollar TVC:DXY and rising US Treasury yields also weighed on gold, sending prices sharply lower after hitting a high of $3,345 an ounce.
The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note TVC:US10Y rose to its highest in more than two weeks, making gold, which does not pay interest, less attractive as an investment.
The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note rose to 4.415%. The US real yield also rose 4 basis points to 2.073%.
TVC:DXY , which tracks the greenback's performance against a basket of currencies, rose 0.20% to 97.70. The rise in the Dollar Index means that gold priced in dollars has become less attractive because they are inversely correlated.
Japan and South Korea said on Tuesday they would try to speed up trade talks with the United States in a bid to soften President Donald Trump's stance on new tariffs set to take effect on August 1.
But optimism about a trade deal boosted market risk appetite, limiting gold's upside.
Traders are awaiting the release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve's latest meeting on Wednesday, followed by data on initial jobless claims for the week ended July 5.
Investors now expect the Fed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points before the end of the year, starting in October.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold fell below the 3,300USD whole price point and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, which are the initial conditions for gold prices to have a prospect for a bearish trend.
Currently, with the position below 3,300USD, gold may continue to decline with the next target around 3,246USD in the short term, more than the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level.
The current resistances of gold prices are the pressure from the EMA21 line, followed by the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement. These are also the resistance positions that readers paid attention to in the previous issue.
In addition, the RSI is pointing down from 50, currently 50 is considered the nearest resistance and the fact that the RSI is pointing down is quite far from the oversold zone, indicating that there is still room for a decline ahead.
During the day, although the trend is not yet completely clear, gold is showing conditions that are more inclined towards a decline, along with that, the notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,292 - 3,246 USD
Resistance: 3,300 - 3,340 - 3,350 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3346 - 3344⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3350
→Take Profit 1 3338
↨
→Take Profit 2 3332
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3245 - 3247⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3241
→Take Profit 1 3253
↨
→Take Profit 2 3259
Gold price falls today and then looks bullish!Today, gold rose and fell back to 3345, which was the high point on Friday. It was suppressed and fell sideways.
From a technical point of view, the US market rose yesterday, and today's decline must continue to be bullish, but the position should not be too high or too low; if it is too high, there may be further decline, and if it is too low, there may be no reach.
The bullish position should be in line with the overall running rhythm of gold. Personally, I suggest that you can buy around 3320-3321, defend 3310, and target 3340-3345.
Focus on the rise of the European market. If the European market breaks through 3345 strongly, then you can continue to be bullish to 3360-3365; if the European market is always suppressed below 3345 and goes sideways, there is no performance, so you should consider selling, or there may be further retracement.
Put your thoughts in the comments section
Can Gold Really Drop 10% in a Day?📘 EDUCATIONAL POST: Can Gold Really Drop 10% in a Day? Let’s Break It Down
Alright, traders—before you start thinking the sky is falling, let’s look this chart straight in the face and get real.
⸻
🔍 The Setup Right Now
Here’s what’s showing up:
✅ A bullish pennant forming up top (potential continuation higher).
✅ A big head and shoulders pattern in the middle (bearish).
✅ VWAP bands ranging from ~3,257 to ~3,392.
✅ Volume is underwhelming—426k vs 582k average.
✅ A big target line all the way down near 3,000.
This mix of signals can be confusing. Let’s separate the hype from what’s actually possible.
⸻
🎯 Q: Can the market collapse to 3,000 tomorrow?
Short Answer:
No.
Here’s Why:
1️⃣ Move Size:
• Current price is ~3,357.
• Target is ~3,000.
• That’s a -357 point drop (~10.6%) in one session.
• For gold CFDs, this would be an extreme event only seen in major crises (think 2008 or March 2020).
2️⃣ Volume Context:
• Today’s volume is below average.
• Big crashes are usually preceded by heavy distribution—this isn’t showing yet.
3️⃣ VWAP Anchors:
• The lower VWAP band sits at 3,257.
• Reaching 3,000 would require breaking through 3,257 support, 3,100, and months of prior buying interest.
4️⃣ Market Environment:
• It’s the July 4th holiday in the U.S.—liquidity is thin.
• Thin markets can gap lower but rarely hold a massive drop without a big catalyst (e.g., credit crisis, war headlines).
5️⃣ Pattern Confirmation:
• Yes, the head and shoulders pattern is visible.
• But to confirm it, you need:
🔹 A clear break of the neckline with double average volume.
🔹 Follow-through that pushes below 3,257.
• None of this has happened yet.
⸻
✅ What’s Realistically Possible Tomorrow?
If sellers show up, here’s what a big bearish day might look like:
1️⃣ First Move:
• Rejection at 3,357–3,392 resistance.
• Pullback toward ~3,324 (mid VWAP).
2️⃣ Continuation:
• Drop down to ~3,257 (VWAP lower band).
3️⃣ Extreme Scenario:
• Retest of 3,200–3,150 zone.
But a flush all the way to 3,000?
👉 Highly unlikely unless there’s a major global shock.
⸻
💡 Trading Tip: Stay Tactical
If you want to position short:
✅ Wait for rejection at 3,357–3,392.
✅ Short targeting 3,324 first.
✅ Scale profits there.
✅ Only hold runners for 3,200–3,150 if momentum accelerates.
⸻
🔑 Key Takeaway
3,000 is a structural target—this means it’s a price objective that might play out over weeks, not hours.
Trying to catch that in one day is chasing a black swan.
Stay patient. Trade levels, not headlines.
⸻
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This post is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research before trading.
⸻
✅ If you found this helpful, share it with someone who panics every time a red candle shows up.
GOLD GOLD ,London session is giving a 30min buy signal from London gold market in 3309-3304 zone .
if they hold that zone it will be 3321 -3325 target.
and i see sell from that zone which will sweep into the descending trendline and activate a lower level buy at 3288-3295 zone .
trading is logical probability's ,pls stay cautious at all time. Any key level can fail because you dont have the money to move market.
#gold
US tariff deadline, GOLD expected to fluctuate very stronglyInvestors will be keeping an eye on tariff news from Washington this week as the temporary suspension of punitive import duties is set to expire. If trade tensions do not escalate further after Wednesday’s deadline, that could be good for the market, while downside risks are also a negative for OANDA:XAUUSD in particular.
News Around US Tariffs
To avoid higher tariffs, negotiators from more than a dozen major US trading partners are racing against time to negotiate with the Trump administration, trying to reach a deal before July 9. Trump and his team have continued to apply pressure in recent days.
Trump announced a deal with Vietnam to lower the 20% tariffs he had promised on many Vietnamese exports, while talks with Japan, the United States’ most important ally in Asia and sixth-largest trading partner, appeared to be stalled, even as Washington hinted it was close to a deal with India.
In data
Nonfarm payrolls data released Thursday showed the U.S. added 147,000 jobs in June, beating market expectations, and the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%.
Despite the slowdown in private-sector hiring, the overall strong report prompted markets to lower expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in July.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a rate cut has dropped sharply from 24% to 4.7%. Fed Chairman Powell reiterated that the central bank will not ease its stance until there are more signs of cooling in employment and inflation.
Personal Comments
The market is following a number of factors:
On the one hand, there is a countdown to Trump's "final blow" on tariffs, and on the other hand, the non-farm data has poured cold water once again. As the Fed's stance fluctuates, the US Dollar faces a tug-of-war between long and short positions, while gold continues to stabilize technically or has had significant price increases. July 9 of this month could be a key moment to really test the sustainability of gold in this recovery.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has recovered significantly over the past week, since finding support from the $3,250 area, but the temporary recovery is still limited by the EMA21 followed by the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level.
However, sustained price action above the $3,300 raw price point should be viewed as a positive signal as it helps gold stabilize within the price channel.
If gold rises and breaks above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level, it will be eligible to continue rising with a short-term target of around $3,400 rather than a horizontal resistance of $3,430.
The indecision sentiment is shown by the RSI activity, which is mostly moving around the 50 level. RSI above 50 is considered a positive signal, while RSI below 50 is considered a negative signal, but gold is currently in the middle of this point.
Overall, gold has not yet had a short-term trend, but in the long-term, gold prices are still in an upward trend, which is noted by the price channel.
Finally, the notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,300 – 3,292 – 3,250USD
Resistance: 3,350 – 3,371 – 3,400USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3334 - 3332⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3338
→Take Profit 1 3326
↨
→Take Profit 2 3320
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3275 - 3277⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3271
→Take Profit 1 3283
↨
→Take Profit 2 3289
GOLD GOLD ,AM WATCHING 3314-3312 for buy ,the 1hr rejection will be watched , the US10Y will be watched, DXY will be watched .
the three will give a trade reason ,RBA played us by keeping OFFICIAL CASH RATE THE SAME 3.86% instead of the forecast of 3.6%.
AUD AND GOLD have something in common .
trading is 100% probability, apply risk management, no amount of grammar will stop liquidity sweep against a careless trader.
protect your capital.
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Gold Market Analysis:
Overnight Dynamics: Following Trump’s reinstatement of tariffs, gold’s safe-haven demand drove another rally, but it still pulled back after facing pressure at the 3345 level. The decline extended today, requiring attention to the sustainability of safe-haven flows—recently, safe-haven-driven rallies have often been followed by pullbacks, so caution remains warranted for further gold corrections.
Technical Trends:
On the daily chart, gold continues to trade in a narrow range, with short-term moving averages essentially converging and flattening, suggesting a high probability of continued sideways movement in the near term.
The current range is temporarily compressed between 3285–3345, with the market bias leaning toward a "range-bound bearish" trend.
Trading Bias: Maintain a bearish stance on rebounds!
Trading Strategy:
Sell@3330-3320
TP:3300-3280
GOLD The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3316.4
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 3307.9
Safe Stop Loss - 3320.5
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
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Gold - This is the official top!Gold - TVC:GOLD - might top out soon:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Since Gold confirmed its rounding bottom in 2019 it rallied more than +200%. Especially the recent push higher has been quite aggressive, squeezing all bears. But now Gold is somehow unable to create new all time highs, which could constitute the a top formation.
Levels to watch: $3.500, $3.000
Keep your long term vision🙏🙏
Philip (BasicTrading)
7.3 Prediction of gold price fluctuation before non-agriculturalAfter the release of ADP data last night, gold prices resumed their rise and crossed the high of 3357.88 this week and closed near this position. Today, gold prices opened high and then fell back. Pay attention to the strength of the correction in the morning session and choose the opportunity to go long and bullish. From the current market perspective, the support below can focus on the low point of yesterday's US session near 3333, followed by 3327; before the release of non-agricultural data, the upper pressure will focus on the early trading start point 3366, followed by 3375. The operation in the Asian and European sessions is mainly to go long on the correction, and the high-altitude thinking is abandoned. Specific operation ideas: Go long and bullish when the gold price falls back to around 3338, protect the position of 3330, and the target is to see whether the early trading high of 3365 can break!