XAUUSD 15M Outlook XAUUSD M15 Outlook 🚀⤴️
* Entry: ~3342 📊
* Take Profit: ~3350
* Take Profit: ~3357
* Stop Loss: ~3335
XAUUSDG trade ideas
GOLD - SHORT TO $2,800 (UPDATE)Gold closing the week below our 'premium resistance zone', running roughly 170 PIPS in profit. Hope you all are in sells & running in profit like my Gold Fund investors as this was called live for you.
Don't forget we could also have a possible liquidity zone sitting just above $3,400 like I told you all earlier this week. Just something to be careful of & stay prepared in advance.
GOLD ON break and retest ,we have seen market reacting before my preferred sell zone.
trading is 100% probability
GOLD SELL IDEAPrice mitigated the 3244 liquidity and retraced into the 3344 OB. Using the RTO approach, we can take the sell from this premium back into the 3244 liquidity before looking for a buy from the 3215 zone targeting 3500.
Always use a confirmation entry and risk management.
THE KOG REPORT - Update End of day update from us here at KOG:
Well, we actually did want higher but there was no break above, instead, we got the break below and then the move commenced overnight, most of which we missed. We did capture part of it on the tap and bounce, then another trade now on a RIP from lower Excalibur which was hit. Not bad, not amazing, just another day on the markets.
Now, we have support at the 3310-6 level with resistance at 3330 which could be the target over the sessions to come. As long as support holds, we'll hold as well.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD → Within range. Retest resistance at 3347FX:XAUUSD continues to correct after a false breakdown of support at 3300. Due to uncertainty, the price may remain in the range of 3300-3340 for some time.
Gold is fluctuating amid a weak dollar and uncertainty over Fed rates. Gold is struggling to hold on after rebounding from weekly lows, despite the US dollar falling to multi-year lows. Pressure on the dollar has intensified due to Trump's criticism of the Fed and rumors of a possible replacement for Powell. However, gold is limited in its growth due to a pause in geopolitical tensions and hawkish signals from the Fed chair. Investors are awaiting key macro data from the US (e 12:30 GMT Durable goods orders, GDP, Initial Jobless Claims) and especially the PCE inflation report on Friday.
Technically, the focus is on key areas of interest: 3300, 3306, 3340, 3347. Until strong news emerges, an intraday trading strategy should be considered.
Resistance levels: 3347, 3357
Support levels: 3320, 3307, 3300
Technically, a false breakout of resistance at 3347 and a retest of the local liquidity zone at 3320-3307 are possible before growth continues for the reasons mentioned above. Targets could be 3347, 3364, 3372, and 3396.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold is coiling for a breakout... All eyes on the next move!📉 Gold is currently moving within a minor descending channel.
In yesterday’s analysis, I pointed out the potential for a drop. Now, after a period of range-bound movement, I expect a breakout from this channel and a return to the main trend.
🎯 The first target on a reversal would be the top of the minor channel.
Keep a close eye on price action here — this zone could be key for the next move
OANDA:XAUUSD
Still short gold before breaking 3355After the release of NFP yesterday, gold began to fall sharply from 3352, reaching a low of around 3312; although it has gradually rebounded above 3340, the time span is not short, so the rebound is not strong; and the double top structure successfully constructed by gold in the 3365-3360 area in the short term still plays a technical suppression role in the short term, greatly weakening the rebound potential; and with the decline of gold yesterday, I think before gold recovers the 3352 starting point, gold will also be under pressure in the 3345-3355 area in the short term. If gold cannot successfully break through this area during the rebound, gold is expected to retest the 3330-3320 area again.
Because of the US Independence Day, the gold market will be closed in advance today. It is expected that gold will not have a breakthrough today, so it may be difficult to break through the 3345-3355 area in the short term, so we can still continue to maintain the trading rhythm of shorting gold in terms of trading.
So I think shorting gold still has a lot of profit potential. We can short gold with 3345-3355 area as resistance and look to the target area: 3335-3325-3315.
Market next target 🟥 Disrupted (Bearish or Cautious) Analysis:
1. Failed Bullish Attempt Risk
While a bounce from the support zone (~3,260 USD) is visible, the momentum lacks strong bullish confirmation. The rejection from the support area could be a dead-cat bounce, especially since the overall trend leading into this zone was sharply downward.
2. Volume Divergence
The volume spike on the large red candle suggests heavy selling pressure, not accumulation. The weak follow-up volume on the minor green recovery bars indicates a lack of buyer confidence.
3. False Breakout Possibility
If price does push toward the “Target” or even the “Resistance” zone (3,290–3,310), it might be a bull trap, luring late buyers in before a reversal back downward.
4. Bearish Continuation Scenario
Price may retest the support zone (3,260) again.
If this support breaks decisively, it could trigger a strong sell-off, with potential to test lower zones around 3,240 or even 3,200.
(Probably) Sell!Hello all. market needs some rest and it is possible to go short after breaking the IHS. Lets for conformation and then enter. (winK)
GOLD BEFORE AND AFTERGOLD ,we shared 2 zone ,daily and 4hr buy floor ,the daily was giving us 3322-3318 and 4hr/3hr 3336-3344 and 4hr came and played into a perfect retest of a broken descending trendline and we are holding lower layer hoping that london market could take us to 3400 soon.
Failed Breakout Sets the Stage for Bullish Continuation"Boost it, if you like it (Thanks)"
Gold is showing resilience after a failed breakout attempt, bouncing strongly off the 3,250 support zone. This 4H chart suggests bulls are regaining control, with momentum building toward the next key resistance.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
Failed Breakout (Failed MTR Structure): Price briefly dipped below the trendline but reversed sharply, invalidating the bearish move.
Dynamic Support: The ascending trendline near 3,250 has held firm, reinforcing bullish structure.
EMA Structure:
15 EMA: 3,323.84
60 EMA: 3,331.61 Price is now trading above both EMAs, signaling bullish momentum.
Current Price: 3,339.0
Target: 3,434.34 – the first major resistance zone before ATH retest.
🧠 Market Psychology:
This setup reflects a classic “shakeout” – weak hands were flushed out below support, only for price to reclaim the level with strength. This often precedes a strong directional move as confidence returns.
🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry: On a confirmed break above 3,345–3,350
Stop Loss: Below 3,325
TP1: 3365
TP2: 3385
Final TP(x): 3,434.34
⚠️ Watchlist:
Monitor price action near 3,360–3,370 for signs of rejection or continuation.
A clean break above 3,434 opens the door for an ATH retest.
#MJTrading
#Gold #XAUUSD #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #FailedBreakout #SupportAndResistance #EMA #BullishSetup #PriceAction #ForexTrading #GoldBulls #MarketPsychology
GOLD 1H – Breakout Retest or a Fragile Bullish Hope?👆🚀Boost it if you like it... (Thank you) 🚀👆
Gold has finally broken out above the descending trendline that has capped price for weeks. We’ve already seen Leg 1, an impulsive rally from the strong support zone, and a textbook retest of the broken trendline.
If bulls hold this level, a Leg 2 continuation could unfold.
Key Factors to Watch:
✅ Strong demand zone fueling the first leg up
✅ Clean breakout and retest of descending resistance
✅ Price still hovering around EMAs (15/60)
⚠️ However, the structure is fragile – lack of follow-through could trap late buyers
⚠️ If price loses the retest area decisively, sellers may reclaim control
Trading Insight:
This is a fascinating setup for bulls—but don’t fall in love with it. Stay adaptive. The market doesn’t owe us a second leg higher. Manage risk carefully and remember: probabilities, not certainties.
Trade Safely...
#MJTrading
#Gold #XAUUSD #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutTrading #SupportResistance #PriceAction
Goes to 3400 and drop to 3000It can reach 3400 and then it will be rejected and come to 3000 dollars
So if you are thinking of investing this is not a good place. Let it come lower then enter at a better price
Daily live trade with XAUUSD in 15m/30m/1h 20250702Daily live trade with XAUUSD in 15m/30m/1h 20250702
GOLD WATCH buy floor at 3200-3214 and the sell zone which will retest the broken ascending trendline is 3330-3345 zone
Can Gold Really Drop 10% in a Day?📘 EDUCATIONAL POST: Can Gold Really Drop 10% in a Day? Let’s Break It Down
Alright, traders—before you start thinking the sky is falling, let’s look this chart straight in the face and get real.
⸻
🔍 The Setup Right Now
Here’s what’s showing up:
✅ A bullish pennant forming up top (potential continuation higher).
✅ A big head and shoulders pattern in the middle (bearish).
✅ VWAP bands ranging from ~3,257 to ~3,392.
✅ Volume is underwhelming—426k vs 582k average.
✅ A big target line all the way down near 3,000.
This mix of signals can be confusing. Let’s separate the hype from what’s actually possible.
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🎯 Q: Can the market collapse to 3,000 tomorrow?
Short Answer:
No.
Here’s Why:
1️⃣ Move Size:
• Current price is ~3,357.
• Target is ~3,000.
• That’s a -357 point drop (~10.6%) in one session.
• For gold CFDs, this would be an extreme event only seen in major crises (think 2008 or March 2020).
2️⃣ Volume Context:
• Today’s volume is below average.
• Big crashes are usually preceded by heavy distribution—this isn’t showing yet.
3️⃣ VWAP Anchors:
• The lower VWAP band sits at 3,257.
• Reaching 3,000 would require breaking through 3,257 support, 3,100, and months of prior buying interest.
4️⃣ Market Environment:
• It’s the July 4th holiday in the U.S.—liquidity is thin.
• Thin markets can gap lower but rarely hold a massive drop without a big catalyst (e.g., credit crisis, war headlines).
5️⃣ Pattern Confirmation:
• Yes, the head and shoulders pattern is visible.
• But to confirm it, you need:
🔹 A clear break of the neckline with double average volume.
🔹 Follow-through that pushes below 3,257.
• None of this has happened yet.
⸻
✅ What’s Realistically Possible Tomorrow?
If sellers show up, here’s what a big bearish day might look like:
1️⃣ First Move:
• Rejection at 3,357–3,392 resistance.
• Pullback toward ~3,324 (mid VWAP).
2️⃣ Continuation:
• Drop down to ~3,257 (VWAP lower band).
3️⃣ Extreme Scenario:
• Retest of 3,200–3,150 zone.
But a flush all the way to 3,000?
👉 Highly unlikely unless there’s a major global shock.
⸻
💡 Trading Tip: Stay Tactical
If you want to position short:
✅ Wait for rejection at 3,357–3,392.
✅ Short targeting 3,324 first.
✅ Scale profits there.
✅ Only hold runners for 3,200–3,150 if momentum accelerates.
⸻
🔑 Key Takeaway
3,000 is a structural target—this means it’s a price objective that might play out over weeks, not hours.
Trying to catch that in one day is chasing a black swan.
Stay patient. Trade levels, not headlines.
⸻
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This post is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research before trading.
⸻
✅ If you found this helpful, share it with someone who panics every time a red candle shows up.
Gold sell ideaGold is rebounding after sweeping Friday's low liquidity, driven by a weak dollar. Despite the upside move, the 1-hour structure remains bearish. We anticipate a potential false breakout above $3,307.00 followed by a sell-off back to the $3,271.00 lows. If the bulls can regain control, gold may bounce back and resume its growth. However, failure to do so could lead to a decline towards the $3,245 support level
7.1 London gold rebounds and rises, gold market trend analysis aGold rose to 3295 in the Asian session on Monday and was blocked. It fell in the European session as we expected, but the decline was not strong. After the lowest price of 3274.57, it rose again in the US session and stood firmly at the 3300 mark. The monthly line closed with a cross Yang K. The gold price continued to rise at the opening today. After the market on Monday, the 3247 below can be used as a reference for the bottom rebound position. Now the short-term trend belongs to the bulls, so we will continue this trend today and look at the upward trend first, wait for the European session to see the strength of the decline and then formulate the idea of the US session.
From the market point of view, after the gold price stood above the 3300 mark again, it is used as a short-term support level reference for the bulls. The Asian session can rely on this position to arrange long orders to see the continuation of the upward trend; the initial pressure on the upper side focuses on the 3328 position, followed by 3345. Now that the idea is established, the idea for intraday operations is: wait for the gold price to pull back to around 3308 in the Asian session and then go long and bullish, protect the 3300 mark, and target around 3328; if there is pressure at 3328 in the European session, you can arrange short positions with a downward trend, wait for the US session, and then decide whether to go long again based on the pullback position and target around 3345.
Gold Market Outlook – 1st of July | XAU/USD | 30min | by Mohsen # Gold Market Outlook – 1st of July | XAU/USD | 30min | by Mohsen Mozafari Nejad
🔸 **Instrument:** Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD)
🔸 **Timeframe:** 30min
🔸 **Methodology:** Smart Money Concepts (SMC) + Liquidity + OB + Market Structure
🔸 **Focus:** New Monthly Open Setup
---
## 🔍 Market Context:
- **Structure:** Bullish on LTF (MSU)
- **Efficiency:** ✅ Clean & Efficient Delivery
- **Recent Activity:** Reverse H&S completed + double BOS + CHoCH confirmed
- **Price Level:** Trading near key Supply zone (3300–3315)
- **Monthly Context:** July begins with bullish momentum & previous session showed aggressive buy-side pressure
---
## 🧠 Technical Breakdown:
1. **Strong recovery** after clearing deep liquidity sweep (Head zone)
2. **Bullish BOS** structure confirmed on LTF → Multiple HH and HL formed
3. Price now testing **Key Supply/OB zone at 3300–3315**
4. Above this zone lies a **Strong High (SH) around 3,350**, a potential liquidity magnet
5. Overall bias is bullish unless strong rejection appears from upper OB
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## 📌 Trade Plan:
| Position | Entry Confirmation Zone | Stop Loss (SL) | Take Profit (TP) |
|----------|--------------------------|----------------|------------------|
| Long | Above 3,303–3,310 (structure hold) | Below 3,294 | TP1: 3,325 / TP2: 3,340 / TP3: 3,348 |
| Short (scalp only) | Bearish reaction from 3,345–3,350 | Above 3,353 | TP1: 3,310 / TP2: 3,290 |
---
## ⚠️ Risk Factors to Watch:
- 🔺 High-impact USD news (July 1st releases: Manufacturing PMI / employment preview)
- 🔺 Overextension above supply zone without support → trap risk
- 🔺 Bull trap risk if price spikes above 3,340 then sharply reverses
---
## ✅ Summary:
> **Start of July** could fuel volatility and directional momentum.
> The structure is clearly bullish short-term, but upper liquidity zones remain **highly reactive**.
> Smart traders will wait for reaction at the 3,340–3,350 SH zone before overcommitting.
**Structure:** 🟢 Bullish
**Trend:** 📈 MSU
**Efficiency:** ✅ Clean
**Liquidity:** 🔺 Above SH & Below recent HL
---
📊 Prepared by: **Mohsen Mozafari Nejad**
GOLD GOLD ,EARLY SELL signal 3341-3345 2hr supply roof a previous neckline of a broken double top in the form of a descending trendline ,the restest is 3341-3345.
my goal is 3378-3380 supply zone
Bullish in H1 time frame inside the D1 range Liquidity has been taken from the downside of the current daily timeframe range, and the price is likely to rise.
Watching Gold Tap Liquidity Before the Next DropGold is still clearly in a bearish structure on the 1 hour chart. We’ve seen a solid break of structure to the downside and price is now retracing.
What stands out is how price is pushing back up into multiple areas of interest. There’s liquidity resting just above this minor high along with a fair value gap and the underside of a bearish trendline. This cluster makes it a likely spot for sellers to step back in.
If price fills the imbalance around that FVG, it could set up the next leg lower. I’ll be watching closely for signs of rejection in this zone to see if the market is ready to continue the move down.
No reason to rush in early. Let price come to the levels that matter and confirm with a reaction. Staying patient pays.
