GOLD trades in narrow range after 4 sessions of sharp declineOn Tuesday (July 29), in the Asian market, the spot OANDA:XAUUSD traded in a narrow range after yesterday's sharp decline, and the current gold price is around 3,315 USD/ounce.
The OANDA:XAUUSD fell to its lowest level in nearly 3 weeks on Monday, mainly due to the trade agreement reached between the United States and the European Union over the weekend, which boosted the Dollar and risk sentiment.
The previous report released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the number of US JOLTS jobs unexpectedly increased in May, reaching the highest level since November last year.
The number of JOLTS job vacancies in the US in May was 7.769 million, far exceeding the forecast of all economists surveyed.
Looking back at the data in April, the number of JOLTS job vacancies also showed an unexpected increase.
The JOLTS jobs report is a closely watched labor market data by the Federal Reserve.
In addition, the Conference Board of America's Consumer Confidence Index for July is scheduled to be released on the same day and is expected to be 95.8, compared to the previous value of 93.0.
The fundamental pressure that gold is under
OANDA:XAUUSD came under pressure yesterday and fell to a near three-week low, mainly due to the trade deal between the United States and the European Union (EU) over the weekend, which boosted the Dollar and risk sentiment. Moreover, US President Trump announced โglobal tariffsโ of 15% to 20% on most countries, a change from his previous statement last week.
The deal reached by U.S. President Donald Trump and the European Union late last week will impose a 15% tariff on EU goods, half the rate Trump had threatened, easing fears of a wider trade war.
The U.S. and Japan also reached a deal last week, and U.S. and Chinese officials resumed talks in Stockholm, Sweden, this week with the goal of extending the tariff deadline by 90 days.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has been on a four-day losing streak, a decline that threatens bullish expectations as its current position gradually deprives it of any room for further upside.
Specifically, gold has recovered from the psychological level of $3,300 but the actual recovery is not significant, while it is under pressure from the EMA21 which is currently the closest resistance.
On the other hand, gold has fallen below both the long-term and short-term trend channels. If it continues to sell below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, this will confirm a break below the psychological level of $3,300, then the downside target will be around $3,246 in the short term, rather than $3,228.
RSI is pointing down, below 50 and still far from the 20-0 area, also showing that in terms of momentum, gold is also under pressure and there is still a lot of room for decline ahead.
For gold to be eligible for an increase, it needs to at least bring price activity back above the EMA21, back inside the price channels. On the current daily chart, the technical conditions are more inclined towards the possibility of a decrease.
Notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,310 - 3,300 - 3,292 USD
Resistance: 3,340 - 3,350 - 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3355 - 3353โก๏ธ
โ โ Stop Loss 3359
โTake Profit 1 3347
โจ
โTake Profit 2 3341
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3285 - 3287โก๏ธ
โ โ Stop Loss 3281
โTake Profit 1 3293
โจ
โTake Profit 2 3299
XAUUSDG trade ideas
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. We sure did push down. The question now is does $3300 hold as support. I am going to watch the lower time frames to see if I can get a quick scalp entry if we start moving back up. Big G gets my thanks. Let's see how things play out. I will update if I take a trade. Be well and trade the trend.
I maintain my #3,277.80 and #3,252.80 TargetsI didn't engaged any re-Sell orders throughout yesterday's session and re-Sold Gold on #3,295.80 ahead of Asian session, with plan to keep orders over-night. However due NFP, Gold might be stationary / ranging until the news as I closed both of my orders on #3,291.80 / each #9.000 Eur Profit and my #3,300.80 pending Sell limit has been triggered over-night which is now running in Profits with Stop on breakeven. I do expect #3,277.80 and #3,252.80 Targets to be met within #1 - #3 sessions and if there aren't NFP numbers, I would keep all three orders / set of Selling orders maintaining my first #3,277.80 Target. Due the news, Gold might fluctuate within Neutral Rectangle until the news.
Technical analysis: My earlier Selling configuration / Technical expectations was confirmed on Hourly 4 chart under prolonged weakness and Price-action respecting the trend-line guarding the downtrend (very Bearish formation) as Hourly 1 chart is already an aggressive Descending Channel (width opened on Williams) that should reach itโs next local Lowโs (currently Trading slightly below Double Bottom) and Oversold state near my take Profit of #3,252.80 benchmark. If the bands are widened Traders may witness #3,277.80 test, also if gets invalidated and #3,270.80 gives away, #3,252.80 mark extension test is inevitable. In any case I will update my Targets or levels of Profit taking if I decide to exit earlier than #3,252.80 benchmark to be in accordance with the Daily chartโs period / I already ride Selling wave since #,3,300's and my Profit will be already good to ignore.
My position: DX is soaring, Gold is under Bearish Technical developments and #3,252.80 benchmark is my final Target of current Selling leg. Only factor which can reverse this Intra-day but not postpone is NFP. I expect downside Jobs surprise which may reverse DX from local High's however hot upside surprise will make Gold test #3,252.80 Intra-day. NFP or not I do believe Gold is Bearish. Trade accordingly.
GOLD for todayHello to all traders. ๐๐
I hope all your deals will hit their targets. ๐๐
Based on yesterdayโs analysis (link in the caption), we can expect gold to make a small upward move towards the 3335โ3345 zone to collect sell orders in that area, and then potentially drop with more strength.
As you can see on the chart, the previous bearish move was strong, while the recent bullish move from yesterday until now has been slow and weak.
๐๐ The main reason for expecting this drop is the break of a key trendline on the 4H timeframe.
Iโve marked the entry point and stop-loss in red, and the targets in blue on the chart.
๐ Donโt forget to apply proper risk management!
โ Important: If a 1H candle closes above 3350 without giving us a valid entry beforehand, this analysis will be consideredย invalid.
What Do You Think?
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen? **Share your thoughts!** โฌ๏ธ
Don't forget that this is just an analysis to give you an idea and trade with your own strategy. And don't forget the stop loss๐๐๐
โค๏ธโค๏ธโค๏ธThe only friend you have in financial markets is your stop lossโค๏ธโค๏ธโค๏ธ
Please support me with your โ
' like'โ
and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ๐๐
Be Happy , Ali Jamali
Gold - Sell around 3345, target 3320-3301Gold Market Analysis๏ผ
Gold has been in a correction over the past two days, with repeated ups and downs, generally trending towards a low and then a rebound. Yesterday, we insisted on selling at 3320, 3326, and 3328, but the profits weren't significant. The daily chart doesn't clearly indicate stabilization or a reversal of trend. Looking at the longer-term trend, I still insist on buying if 3345 breaks. If it doesn't break, we can hold on to the bearish trend. We previously mentioned that 3300 is support on the daily and weekly charts. A technical rebound and correction after selling below this level is inevitable and a normal technical correction. Furthermore, starting Wednesday, big data will be released one by one, and the market is waiting for the data to guide its direction. The weekly chart is also confused and directionless. We're just small investors; we need to follow, not speculate. The 5-day moving average on the daily chart has dipped below 3335, a level that has been retested multiple times in the Asian session. The current correction range is 3300-3335, with resistance around 3345-3343. The daily chart closed positive again, suggesting that the support below may be difficult to break in the short-term Asian session, and a significant decline is unlikely. We anticipate continued correction pending the ADP results.
Support is 3311 and 3301, resistance is 3345, with minor resistance at 3335. The dividing line between strength and weakness is 3335.
Fundamental Analysis:
Today, focus on the ADP employment data and the EIA crude oil inventory data. The US interest rate results are the highlight, along with the speech.
Trading Recommendation:
Gold - Sell around 3345, target 3320-3301
Gold non-farm payrolls are bullish, long and short positions ana
Rather than envying the fish by the river, it's better to retreat and weave your net. We often envy the wealth others can earn by investing in the gold market. We often watch them enthusiastically investing, but we ourselves are afraid to enter the market. The two major factors that drive the market, technology and news, are a topic of constant debate among investors. To navigate the market, one must master the art of attack and defense to remain rock-solid while remaining at the forefront. As the saying goes, trust me, and I will reward you with profits!
Gold Data is Bullish!
The positive non-farm payroll data sent gold soaring, with gains completely erasing all of the week's losses. Currently, gold's trend has reversed the stagnant bullish and bearish trend. After breaking through the 3300 mark and rising all the way to 3348, it shows no signs of stopping. A further test of the 3370 level is not out of the question!
Due to the strong bullish data, if you don't immediately chase longs or place a breakout long order during the first wave, you'll likely have little chance of a pullback. Therefore, you should remain aggressive in your trading strategies. We recommend a pullback to the 3332-30 level to continue the bullish trend. Upward pressure is expected at 3372-75! The market fluctuates violently, and more real-time entry and exit points are mainly based on Yulia's real-time guidance!
Potential bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 3,306.31
1st Support: 3,239.07
1st Resistance: 3,357.09
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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XAU/USD Analysis โ Critical Breakout Zone Approaching 30M Chart๐ XAU/USD Analysis โ Critical Breakout Zone Approaching (30-Minute Chart)
๐ Technical Overview:
Chart Type: 30-minutes
Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud
Key Structures: Supply & Demand Zones, CHoCH, BOS, Trendlines, Triangle Formation
๐ Key Market Observations:
๐ข Demand Zone (Support) ~ $3,300 โ $3,310
This area has been tested multiple times and has shown strength in absorbing selling pressure.
A bullish triangle formation is converging into this zone, suggesting a potential breakout point is near.
๐ด Supply Zone (Resistance) ~ $3,375 โ $3,390
Repeated price rejection from this zone marks it as a strong institutional-level resistance.
Price needs a clean breakout and volume confirmation to push through this level.
๐ Break of Structure (BOS) & Change of Character (CHoCH):
BOS and CHoCH levels are clearly marked, showing a trend shift from bullish to bearish (post-supply test).
The last CHoCH aligns with a lower high, reinforcing bearish dominance unless invalidated.
๐ Symmetrical Triangle Formation:
Price is squeezing between higher lows and lower highs, coiling before a significant breakout.
Two scenarios are outlined:
Bullish Breakout: Clear move above triangle resistance โ test of supply.
Bearish Breakout: Breakdown โ revisit demand zone or even drop toward $3,280โ$3,270.
โ๏ธ Ichimoku Cloud:
Price is currently testing the lower boundary of the Ichimoku cloud.
A bullish breakout into/above the cloud may act as confirmation of a reversal attempt.
๐ก Potential Trade Setups:
โ
Bullish Case:
Trigger: Break and close above $3,335 with volume.
Target 1: $3,375 (Supply Zone)
Target 2: $3,440 (Extended Target)
Invalidation: Rejection from triangle top and close below $3,310.
โ Bearish Case:
Trigger: Break and close below $3,310 (triangle breakdown).
Target 1: $3,280
Target 2: $3,260
Invalidation: Bullish breakout of triangle and flip of previous CHoCH level.
XAUUSD Long Setup โ 1HGold (XAUUSD) has shown strong bullish rejection from the lower volatility band after a sharp selloff. The appearance of a Heikin Ashi reversal candle, suggests a short-term reversal is forming. Price has reclaimed key structure and is now targeting a reversion back to the mean, supported by Fibonacci retracement levels.
Entry: 3293.55
Target Zone: 3308.91 โ 3333.76 (Fib 38.2% โ 100%)
Stop Loss: 3253.35
Confluences:
โ
Bullish engulfing + Heikin Ashi trend shift
โ
Oversold bounce from lower channel extremity
โ
Fib retracement aligns with key structural resistance zones
โ
Custom signal confirmation (green dot)
โ
Clean R:R toward upper band and previous POI
Short-term counter-trend long targeting liquidity grab and mean reversion toward the 3308โ3333 zone. Risk tightly managed with SL below local swing low.
Gold price analysis week 32The recently released Nonfarm data has become an important catalyst, officially breaking the previous bearish wave structure and shaping a completely new uptrend for gold prices. Breaking above the wave 1 peak at the 3315 area is a clear confirmation signal that the downtrend has ended.
In that context, the trading strategy for next week should prioritize buying orders. This rally has the potential to push gold prices to historical peaks if the bullish momentum is maintained with stable trading volume.
Specific trading strategy:
Important support zone: 3333 โ 3315
Short-term resistance zone: 3373 โ 3416
8/4: Watch Support at 3343โ3337 and Resistance at 3372โ3378Good morning, everyone!
Last Friday, gold rallied strongly, driven by a combination of favorable economic data and bullish technical signals, decisively breaking above the 3337โ3343 resistance zone. During the subsequent pullback, price action remained firm above 3337, followed by a secondary upward move.
From a technical standpoint, the structure suggests the potential for continued upward consolidation, with the possibility of filling the gap near 3396. However, significant resistance remains between 3372 and 3378 โ failure to break through this zone decisively may result in a short-term pullback before further gains.
Key levels to watch:
Initial support: 3348 and 3337โ3343 zone
Major support: 3312โ3300 zone (a break below could signal deeper downside risk)
Trading Strategy:
Focus on intraday setups around these critical areas. Look for buy opportunities on dips as long as support holds, while remaining cautious of sharp pullbacks near strong resistance.
**#XAUUSD H5 Higher Timeframe Analysis**
๐ **#XAUUSD H5 Higher Timeframe Analysis**
What we witnessed today was a **tremendous recovery in Gold ๐ก** after **3โ4 consecutive bearish sessions ๐**.
๐
**Todayโs candle** has **completely flipped the weekly structure**, turning a fully **bearish weekly candle into a bullish one ๐** โ thanks to the **NFP data** that came in **favor of Gold and against the Dollar ๐ตโ**.
๐ However, price is now approaching a **critical confluence zone**:
* ๐งญ A **long-running trendline** (since April)
* ๐ด An **H4 Bearish Order Block**
* ๐ The **Fibonacci Golden Zone (0.50โ0.618)** at **3362โ3372**
๐ **From this level, we have two possible scenarios:**
1๏ธโฃ **Sharp Rejection ๐ป:**
Price may **reverse sharply** from the 3362โ3372 zone and **resume the bearish trend**.
2๏ธโฃ **Breakout & Trap Theory ๐บ:**
If price **sustains above this zone**, it may signal that the recent **3โ4 day drop was a fake breakdown**, designed to **trap sellers** and grab liquidity for a **further upside move**.
โ
**Confirmation will come if we get an H4โH6 bullish candle close above the trendline** and back inside the **buying zone of 3375โ3390**.
๐ **A breakout above the triangle pattern** will likely lead to a **strong bullish continuation ๐๐**.
Gold Price Analysis July 29๐ XAUUSD ANALYSIS โ IS THE CORRECTION OFFICIALLY STARTING?
Gold has officially broken out of the bullish wave structure and left the rising price channel โ an important technical signal that the bearish correction trend has been activated. This development opens up the possibility of retests of the broken trendline, and if that happens in today's session, this could be a good opportunity to look for SELL entry points in the new trend.
๐ Short-term trading strategy:
Potential selling zone: 3343 โ 3345
Downside target: 3283 first, followed by the strong liquidity zone around 3250
Confirmation of bearish force: Price continues to maintain below the 3375 area โ which will act as an important resistance level. Only when the daily candle closes back above this zone will the uptrend be re-established.
โ
Reverse buying strategy if there is a strong support signal:
Buy trigger zone: Observe the price reaction around the 3285 area - there needs to be a clear bearish rejection signal (pin bar/bullish engulfing candle...)
Deeper buying zone: 3251 - where liquidity is concentrated and there is a possibility of bottom-fishing demand appearing.
XAUUSD/GOLD 45M OUTLOOK ๐ XAUUSD Breakdown Play
Caught the Change of Character (ChoCh) and confirmed the Break of Structure (BoS) at premium supply.
Price tapped into the zone, printed another ChoCh โ now targeting the next liquidity sweep.
๐ง Smart Money never chases โ it positions.
๐Sell: 3320 | SL: 3334 | TP: 3290
Risk:Reward = ๐ฐ
Analysis of gold market operation strategies and ideas next week
Gold rallied unilaterally on Friday following positive non-farm payroll data, reaching a new high for the week. This week's candlestick formed a hammer pattern, suggesting further upside potential next week. Bulls continued their push late Friday, closing at 3363. Next week, we will continue to monitor short-term resistance around 3370-3375. We will continue to buy on pullbacks. If your current trading is not satisfactory, I hope I can help you avoid investment setbacks. Welcome to discuss your options!
Based on a 4-hour analysis, short-term resistance will be seen around 3370-3375 next week, with a key resistance around 3395-3400. We will continue to buy on pullbacks. In the intermediate range, we recommend maintaining a cautious wait-and-see approach. I will provide detailed trading strategies during the trading session, so please stay tuned.
Gold Trading Strategy:
Go long on gold pullbacks to 3330-335, with a stop-loss at 3318 and a target at 3370-3375. Hold on if it breaks above this level.
XAUUSD Technical AnalysisTechnical Analysis โ Symmetrical Triangle with Retest
Current Market Situation
The chart shows a symmetrical triangle pattern, which is a continuation pattern often followed by strong directional movement.
The price has broken below the triangle, signaling a potential bearish move.
Currently, the price is in the retest phase of the broken triangle, which is an important area to confirm the bearish trend before continuing downward.
Key Zones
Retest Zone (Pullback): Located between current price and 3,374, which is a strong resistance area.
Targets (TP):
TP1: 3,322.97
TP2: 3,285.87
TP3: 3,262.59
Possible Scenarios
โ
Bearish Scenario (Preferred):
If the price holds below the retest zone, we expect a continuation to the downside towards:
Target 1: 3,322.97
Target 2: 3,285.87
Target 3: 3,262.59
โ Bullish Scenario (Alternative):
A daily close above 3,374 will invalidate the bearish scenario and may trigger a reversal.
Conclusion
The market shows a strong technical indication of a bearish continuation after confirming the retest.
Any daily close above 3,374 would cancel the bearish scenario.
It is recommended to monitor price action closely in the retest zone for confirmation before entering trades.
Gold long: Completion of Cycle degree Wave 4Hello, in this video, I go through Gold Elliott Wave structure on a cycle level (again) before zooming in on the latest 5-waves structure that is Cycle level wave 4. I talk about using existing broken trendlines and how that allows me to determine the strength of a move when there are false breakouts, whether to the upside or the downside.
Lastly, I discuss on how to trade this on the short-term using lower timeframe and price action. Most importantly, where to set the stop and the rationale for it.
Good luck!