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GOLD / US DOLLAR GRAMGOLD / US DOLLAR GRAMGOLD / US DOLLAR GRAM

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XAUUSDG trade ideas

BEST XAUUSD M30 BUY AND SELL SETUP FOR TODAY Gold has shown a strong bullish push, breaking above recent consolidation and approaching a key resistance zone around $3,376. ⚔️ This area will be decisive — if price holds above it and confirms support, we could see a further rally toward $3,404. 📈✨ However, failure to sustain above this level could trigger a bearish rejection, pulling the market back toward the $3,330–$3,340 range. 📉🔄 Traders should wait for clear price action confirmation before entering. React, don’t predict! 🎯🧠
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldenTradeInsights
Gold price analysis on June 9The D1 candle on Friday broke the sideways structure and confirmed the downtrend for Gold prices. Gold prices pushed up quite high in today's Tokyo trading session after touching the Gap zone around 3395. With this upward force, 3319 will be available at the end of the Asian session. This zone can wait for a reaction and SELL can return because this is the zone where the Sellers pushed the price down at the beginning of the session. The European session will pay more attention to the 3334 zone with a break out point that is also quite important. The upward force will be stopped by the Sellers at the daily resistance level around 3345. SELL is following the trend and can sustain the profit far away, while the BUY points are considered to find the reaction wave to increase and correct. The first zone is 3295, the second zone is around 3275. Wishing you a successful trading day
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
BEST XAUUSD BUY AND SELL SETUP FOR TODAY 📉📊 Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – Key Levels in Focus! 📈🧐 Gold is currently trading around the 3,326 zone after a recent pullback. Price is approaching the key support level at 3,310, where a potential bullish bounce may occur, targeting the next resistance near 3,350. 🛑 However, if price fails to hold above 3,310, we may see further downside movement towards the 3,293 support. 📉 Traders should watch for reaction and confirmation around these zones before taking entries. ⚠️💡 A bullish reversal could trigger strong buying momentum, while a bearish break may lead to deeper correction. 🎯💰
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldenTradeInsights
I am waiting for SELL here with wave 5 catching strategy In the Kitco survey, Wall Street analysts were divided on the direction of gold prices this week. Fifty percent of experts expect prices to rise, 43 percent expect prices to fall, and 7 percent believe gold will move sideways. This reflects a generally cautious sentiment as there is no clear factor to promote a new trend. Some experts still lean towards the uptrend as gold holds important support levels and remains a safe haven amid geopolitical uncertainty. Others predict a correction in gold prices due to positive signals from the White House about the possibility of reaching trade agreements and the recovery of US stocks. In addition, there are also neutral opinions that gold is unlikely to continue to rise sharply without further momentum, especially when stock indexes are more attractive to investors. James Stanley, senior strategist at Forex.com, remains optimistic, saying that gold is making a technical correction to continue the larger trend. He believes that the $3,300 and $3,280 zones will be important boundaries to watch. What do you think about this strategy? Best regards, StarrOne !!!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by StarrOne
1
XAUUSD MULTI TIME FRAME ANALYSISHello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions , the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more price action to develop before taking any position. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. 🧠💡 Share your unique analysis, thoughts, and ideas in the comments section below. I'm excited to hear your perspective on this pair . 💭🔍 Don't hesitate to comment if you have any questions or queries regarding this analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by okako_trading
GOLD The Federal Reserve is likely to interpret the June 2025 University of Michigan (UoM) consumer sentiment and inflation expectations data as mixed but cautiously encouraging, with implications for monetary policy: Key Data Points Consumer Sentiment: 60.5 (vs. 53.5 forecast, prior 52.2) – a sharp rebound to the highest level since mid-2023. What is UoM consumer sentiment? The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (MCSI), often referred to as UoM Consumer Sentiment, is a widely followed monthly survey that measures how optimistic or pessimistic American consumers feel about the overall economy and their financial situation. Key Details: Purpose: It measures consumer attitudes toward current and future economic conditions, including personal finances, business conditions, and purchasing intentions. Since consumer spending accounts for about 68% of the U.S. economy, the index is a valuable leading indicator of economic activity. Methodology: The University of Michigan conducts telephone and web surveys of a representative sample of U.S. households (around 500–1000 respondents), asking about their financial health, short-term and long-term economic outlook, and expectations for inflation and interest rates. Components: Current Conditions Index — consumers’ assessment of the present economic situation. Consumer Expectations Index — consumers’ outlook for the economy over the next 6–12 months. Release Schedule: Preliminary data is released mid-month, with a final report at month-end. Significance: Reflects consumer confidence and spending intentions. Helps forecast economic growth and inflation trends. Influences financial markets and policy decisions. Summary The UoM Consumer Sentiment Index is a key measure of how confident consumers feel about the economy, which in turn signals their likely spending behavior and economic outlook. Higher sentiment typically suggests stronger consumer spending and economic growth, while lower sentiment indicates caution and potential economic slowdown. 1-Year Inflation Expectations: 5.1% (vs. 6.6% prior) – a significant decline, nearing pre-tariff levels. Fed Interpretation Improved Consumer Sentiment: The jump to 60.5 signals renewed optimism about the economy, likely driven by reduced trade tensions (e.g., tariff pauses) and stable labor markets. This aligns with recent upward revisions to April and May sentiment data. The Fed will view this as a sign of economic resilience, reducing the urgency for near-term rate cuts to stimulate growth. Sharply Lower Inflation Expectations: The drop to 5.1% (from 6.6%) aligns with the New York Fed’s May 2025 survey showing declining inflation expectations across all horizons. This suggests consumers are growing more confident that the Fed’s policies (and tariff adjustments) are curbing price pressures, easing fears of a wage-price spiral. Policy Implications: Dovish Tilt Supported: Lower inflation expectations reduce the risk of entrenched price pressures, giving the Fed flexibility to cut rates later in 2025 if growth slows. No Immediate Cuts Likely: Strong sentiment and a resilient labor market (unemployment at 4.2%) justify maintaining rates at 4.25–4.50% in July. Focus on Tariff Risks: The Fed will remain cautious about potential inflation rebounds from Trump’s tariffs, which could add 1.5% to prices by late 2025. Market Reactions DXY (Dollar Index): Likely to dip modestly as lower inflation expectations boost rate-cut bets, but sentiment-driven growth optimism may limit losses. Key support at 96.891 weekly floor will be watched. Bonds: 10-year yields may edge lower (toward 4.00%) on reduced inflation fears, though strong sentiment could cap declines. Equities: Stocks (especially consumer-discretionary sectors) may rally on the improved economic outlook. Conclusion The Fed will likely view this data as validating its cautious stance: inflation expectations are cooling, but strong sentiment and labor markets argue against premature easing. A September rate cut remains the base case, contingent on continued disinflation and no tariff-driven price spikes. (2)The Federal Reserve will interpret —Core PPI m/m: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast, prior -0.2%), PPI m/m: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast, prior -0.2%), and Unemployment Claims: 248K (vs. 242K forecast, prior 248K)—as further evidence of a cooling but not collapsing labor market and subdued inflation pressures. Fed’s Likely Interpretation 1. Producer Price Index (PPI) what is PPI? PPI stands for Producer Price Index. It is an economic indicator that measures the average change over time in the selling prices received by domestic producers for their output. Essentially, it tracks inflation at the wholesale or producer level, reflecting how prices for goods and services change before they reach consumers. Key points about PPI: Published monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). Measures price changes from the perspective of producers/sellers, unlike the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which measures prices from the consumer’s viewpoint. Includes thousands of indexes across industries and product categories, covering goods and some services. Used to forecast inflation trends and as a tool for contract escalations and economic analysis. Often considered a leading indicator of consumer inflation since producer prices tend to influence retail prices over time. In summary, the PPI helps gauge inflation pressures early in the production process before they Inflation Remains Subdued: Both headline and core PPI came in below expectations, confirming that producer-side inflation pressures remain mild. This follows a period of outright declines, indicating no broad-based resurgence in input costs. Tariff Pass-Through Still Limited: While the Fed is alert to potential tariff-driven inflation later in 2025, current PPI data shows businesses are not yet passing higher costs on to consumers in a meaningful way. 2. Unemployment Claims Labor Market Softening: Initial jobless claims held at 248K, above expectations and at an eight-month high. The four-week moving average also rose, and continuing claims increased to 1.956 million, marking the third consecutive weekly rise. This signals a gradual loosening of the labor market, with more people remaining unemployed for longer periods. No Immediate Crisis, But Trend Is Clear: The persistently high claims numbers are moving beyond seasonal noise and indicate a structural shift toward weaker hiring. 3. Policy Implications Supports Dovish Shift: The combination of softer producer inflation and a weakening labor market strengthens the case for the Fed to consider rate cuts later in 2025. No Immediate Rate Cut: The Fed is expected to keep rates unchanged at its June meeting, but this data increases the likelihood of a cut by September, especially if upcoming CPI and labor data confirm these trends. Cautious Messaging: The Fed will remain cautious due to the risk of tariff-related inflation later in the year, but current data gives them more flexibility to pivot if growth and employment weaken further. Conclusion The Fed will see this data as validating a cautious, data-dependent approach: inflation is contained, and the labor market is softening. While no immediate rate cut is expected, the probability of a cut by September has increased, especially if disinflation and labor market weakness persist. (3)The Federal Reserve will likely interpret the May 2025 CPI data as signs of moderating inflation but with persistent underlying pressures, leading to a cautious but patient policy stance: What is cpi??? The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a key economic indicator that measures the average change over time in the prices paid by consumers for a representative basket of goods and services. It reflects inflation as experienced by consumers in their day-to-day living expenses. Key Points about CPI: What it Measures: The CPI tracks price changes for a broad range of items including food and beverages, housing, apparel, transportation, medical care, recreation, education and communication, and other goods and services. Data Collection: The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) collects about 80,000 price quotes monthly from retail stores, service establishments, rental units, and doctors' offices. Purpose: It is widely used to monitor inflation, adjust income payments like Social Security, and guide monetary policy decisions by central banks. Calculation: CPI is a weighted average of prices, reflecting consumer spending patterns, and is updated periodically to account for changes in consumption habits. Inflation Indicator: The annual percentage change in CPI is a common measure of inflation, indicating how much prices have increased or decreased over a year. Summary CPI provides a snapshot of how much prices for everyday goods and services are rising or falling, helping policymakers, businesses, and consumers understand inflation trends and make informed decisions. The headline CPI rose 0.1% month-over-month, less than the 0.2% expected and down from April’s 0.2% increase, indicating a slowdown in price growth. The year-over-year CPI increased 2.4%, slightly above April’s 2.3%, but still close to the Fed’s 2% target, showing inflation is near but not fully anchored. The core CPI (excluding food and energy) rose 0.1% MoM, below the 0.3% forecast and April’s 0.2%, suggesting easing price pressures in most sectors except shelter and some services. Shelter costs rose 0.3% in May and remain a key driver of inflation, while energy prices declined 1.0%, helping to temper headline inflation. The Fed will note that tariffs imposed by the Trump administration have not yet significantly pushed up consumer prices, but remain a risk factor that could elevate inflation later in 2025. Labor market data remain resilient, with unemployment steady at 4.2% and moderate job growth, supporting economic strength but complicating the Fed’s inflation fight. Policy Implications: The Fed is expected to hold interest rates steady at 4.25–4.50% in its upcoming June meeting, maintaining a "wait-and-see" approach to assess how tariffs and inflation evolve. Markets have limited expectations of a rate cut this month but the price in a ~75% chance of a cut by September, contingent on further inflation easing and labor market developments. The Fed will remain cautious about premature easing given inflation’s stickiness in services and potential tariff pass-through, but the data support a gradual path toward rate cuts later in 2025 if disinflation continues. In summary: The Fed will see May’s CPI data as encouraging but not definitive evidence of inflation control, justifying a cautious hold on rates in June while preparing markets for possible easing later this year if inflation and labor data continue to improve. (4)The Federal Reserve will interpret the May 2025 labor market data—Non-Farm Employment Change of 139K (above the 126K forecast), Unemployment Rate steady at 4.2%, and Average Hourly Earnings up 0.4% MoM (above the 0.3% forecast)—as evidence of a resilient but slowing labor market, which supports a cautious approach to monetary policy. Detailed Interpretation: Employment Growth Slightly Above Expectations The addition of 139,000 jobs, exceeding the forecast of 126,000, indicates that job creation continues. Growth is uneven across sectors, with healthcare and leisure showing strength while government and trade-related sectors have seen declines, reflecting ongoing structural adjustments and policy uncertainties. Unchanged Unemployment Rate at 4.2% The stable unemployment rate suggests that the labor market remains relatively tight, consistent with "maximum employment" goals. However, underlying data show some signs of weakening, such as rising initial jobless claims in late May, which the Fed will monitor closely. Wage Growth Accelerates Slightly Average hourly earnings rose by 0.4% MoM, above expectations, signaling persistent wage pressures that can feed into inflation. Year-over-year wage growth ticked up to 3.9%, reinforcing concerns about labor cost-driven inflation. Overall Fed View The Fed sees the labor market as a relative bright spot amid broader economic uncertainties, including trade tensions and slowing GDP growth. The data suggest the economy is slowing but not collapsing, allowing the Fed to maintain a cautious, data-dependent stance. Given persistent wage growth and resilient employment, the Fed is likely to hold interest rates steady at the upcoming meetings but remains open to cuts later in 2025 if labor market softness intensifies and inflation continues to moderate. Conclusion The Fed will likely interpret this labor market report as supporting a steady policy stance in the near term, balancing ongoing inflation concerns from wage growth against signs of slowing employment gains. Rate cuts remain on the table for later in 2025, contingent on further labor market weakening and sustained inflation declines.. Summary of the three economic data leads the rate hold for now, but cut likely any time soon on the data approach. #gold #dollar
BLACKBULL:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
CPI is coming, which direction should gold go? True trading masters can maintain inner peace in the hustle and bustle of the market and are not confused by short-term fluctuations. They know that the short-term trend of the market is full of randomness, like ripples on the water, seemingly complicated but difficult to predict. They are like gatekeepers of the mind, with strong determination to resist the emotional interference of the market, and no matter how big the market fluctuations are, they will not let them lose their footing. When others are scared and want to sell their stocks quickly, they can keep their composure; when others are stimulated by the daily limit and want to chase high, they can hold the bottom line. The international gold price opened at $3,325/ounce and closed at $3,322/ounce on the last trading day. The real part of the daily K-line fell by only $3/ounce and finally closed at the cross line. Yesterday, the gold price fluctuated slightly and closed down, mainly because of the market's attention to the progress of Sino-US trade negotiations. The market generally believes that if the negotiations can ease trade tensions and boost the global economy, it will weaken the demand for safe-haven assets. At the same time, the strengthening of the US dollar also brings downward pressure on gold. Weekly candlestick chart: running in the rising channel, long-term buy on dips Daily candlestick chart: running in disordered oscillation structure, cautiously wait and see in the medium term 4-hour chart: running in an oscillating bullish trend, short-term buy on dips 30-minute chart: bottom structure established, short-term buy on dips above 3326 Intraday plan to continue to buy in the 3332 area, defend 3325, target 3350-60
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Yuliya1l11
GOLD Relationship Between Gold, Dollar (DXY), Bond Prices, and 10-Year Bond Yields 1. Gold and the Dollar (DXY) Gold is priced in U.S. dollars, so there is a strong inverse relationship between gold prices and the dollar index (DXY). When the DXY strengthens, gold becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies, reducing demand and pushing gold prices down. Recently, gold prices dipped about 0.4% to around $3,294/oz as the DXY shed 0.3%, reflecting a cautious market awaiting U.S.-China trade talks and reacting to stronger U.S. jobs data that tempered expectations of Fed rate cuts. 2. Gold and 10-Year Bond Yields The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield and gold generally have an inverse relationship. Rising yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, making bonds more attractive. However, both gold and bond yields can rise simultaneously during inflationary periods or economic uncertainty, reflecting inflation expectations and safe-haven demand. Recent data shows yields near 4.5%, with gold holding elevated levels above $3,300 and attempted 3328 before dropping due to inflation concerns and geopolitical risks, despite some downward pressure from rising yields. 3. Gold and Bond Prices Bond prices move inversely to yields; when yields rise, bond prices fall. Falling bond prices (rising yields) often signal inflation or risk concerns, which can boost gold as an inflation hedge. Yet, rising yields also raise the opportunity cost of holding gold, which can cap gold’s upside. This dynamic explains why the correlation between gold and bond yields has weakened recently, sometimes showing near-zero correlation . 4. Macro and Market Drivers Inflation and Safe-Haven Demand: Persistent inflation and geopolitical tensions (e.g., U.S.-China trade talks) support gold demand despite dollar strength and rising yields. Central Bank Buying: Central banks remain significant gold buyers, underpinning long-term price support. Economic Data and Fed Policy: Strong U.S. jobs reports reduce expectations of Fed rate cuts, pushing yields up and dollar strength, which can pressure gold short term. Conclusion Gold prices in June 2025 are influenced by a complex interplay of factors: a slightly weaker dollar recently has supported gold, but rising 10-year Treasury yields and falling bond prices exert downward pressure. Inflation concerns and geopolitical risks continue to underpin gold’s appeal as a safe haven and inflation hedge. The usual inverse relationship between gold and bond yields has weakened recently, reflecting evolving market dynamics and the balance between inflation expectations and real yields. #gold #dollar
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Gold is expected to continue to fall to 3280 or even 3250In the short term, the operation of gold is completely in line with my expectations. I clearly pointed out yesterday that gold will encounter resistance in the 3330-3340 area and will at least retest the area around 3315-3305 again. At present, gold has rebounded slightly after retesting the area around 3302 and is trading around 3309. According to the strength of yesterday's rebound, gold did not effectively break through the 3300-3340 area. Gold is still weak in the short term, and the head and shoulders top structure is constructed in the 3328-3338-3328 position area in the short term, which suppresses gold to a certain extent and limits the rebound space of gold. After multiple tests, the area around 3300 may be more conducive to being broken. After gold has been under pressure and fallen many times, the current short-term resistance area has been reduced to the 3310-3320 area; so I think gold still has a good downward space in the short term, which may continue to 3280, or even around 3250. So for short-term trading, I think it is possible to consider continuing to short gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Steffen_Schade
XAU/USD: Next Week's Trend Analysis and Trading SuggestionsI. Global Central Banks' Gold Purchases Continue to Support Long-Term Gold Uptrend For instance, China's central bank has increased gold reserves for 7 consecutive months, India's gold reserve ratio has doubled compared to 2021, and countries like Thailand and Brazil followed suit in May. Central banks' gold buying, driven by reserve structure optimization and geopolitical risk hedging, provides long-term support for gold prices via sustained demand growth. II. Technicals Show Intense Range Battle at $3,400 Key Level Gold prices, after breaking through $3,400, are oscillating near $3,430. Short-term bulls dominate, but $3,450 acts as a significant resistance. The $3,400 level has turned into strong support— a breakdown could trigger pullbacks. While moving averages show a bullish alignment, overbought technical signals warrant correction vigilance. III. Geopolitical Conflicts Escalate Sharply Israel's precision strikes destroyed Iranian nuclear facilities and decapitated high-ranking officials, prompting Iran's immediate retaliation. With multiple Middle Eastern nations now involved, escalating geopolitical risks strongly underpin the rally in gold and crude oil. Conclusion Geopolitical tensions will sustain short-term upward momentum for gold, but investors must monitor Middle East developments and Fed policy shifts. Prudent position management based on risk tolerance is advised, with caution against excessive leverage in volatile markets. Next Week's XAU/USD Trading Strategy buy@3410-3420 tp:3440-3450 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02
XAUUSD Has follow ascending channel bullish now from supportXAUUSD Market Update Gold is currently respecting the ascending channel and showing strong bullish momentum from the key demand zone at 3390. 📈 Technical Outlook (4H Timeframe): ✅ Holding firm within bullish structure 🎯 First target: 3490 – major resistance level ahead 💡 Watching closely for breakout confirmation or pullback opportunities. 📌 Trade smart. Stay informed. 👍 Like | 🔁 Follow | 💬 Comment Join us for real-time updates and expert insights! — Livia 😜
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LIVIATRACK
1
XAUUSD 1H – Major Trendline Rejection | Sell NowGold has tapped into a long-term descending trendline and key resistance zone. This confluence is paired with sharp 1H rejection and bearish structure forming. • 🔻 Price reacting cleanly to long-term descending trendline • 📍 Double confluence: horizontal resistance + bearish wick rejections • 🧭 1H structure showing lower highs forming • 📉 Target zone: 3346 • 🛑 SL: Above 3396 (last high and structure break level) Sell now — clean rejection from HTF trendline and resistance zone could trigger bearish continuation toward the next support.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by SQFX
XAU/USD: Ushering in a Critical Node of Long-Short GameYesterday, while CPI data boosted gold, the Middle East situation remained on the brink of explosion. The regional tensions in the Middle East have escalated sharply. Religious differences and historical disputes have deepened the contradictions between the two nations, while the nuclear issue has further intensified the conflict. Iran insists its nuclear program is for peaceful purposes, but Israel has long alleged that Iran is secretly developing nuclear weapons, posing a significant threat to Israel's national security. Recently, CBS News cited U.S. sources reporting that Israel is fully prepared to launch military operations against Iran. If Israel strikes Iran, Iran will inevitably fight back, potentially igniting all-out war in the Middle East. As a major global oil-producing region, turmoil in the Middle East will inevitably trigger sharp fluctuations in international oil prices, thereby impacting the global economy and drastically escalating market risk aversion. Against this backdrop, gold, as a traditional safe-haven asset, has been hotly pursued by investors. Given that the current tension between Israel and Iran far exceeds previous levels, if all-out war breaks out, gold's safe-haven properties will be further activated, with prices likely to break through previous highs and continue to rise sharply. However, if the situation is controlled or eased in the short term, gold prices may drop rapidly as risk aversion subsides. After breaking through the resistance of the narrow range at $3,350 and hitting $3,360 yesterday, gold prices pulled back to around $3,320. The current trading range is $3,330 - $3,380. With the recent stable breakout, shorting is not advisable for now. The optimal strategy is to go long on pullbacks. XAU/USD buy@3340-3350 tp:3370-3380-3400 sl:3320 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02
Analysis of the latest gold market trend on June 11: 1. Analysis of gold news China-US trade negotiations ease risk aversion The second round of China-US trade negotiations was held in London. Both sides released "constructive" signals. The market expects that tariff policies may be further eased, weakening the safe-haven demand for gold. U.S. Treasury Secretary Bensont called the talks "good" and Commerce Secretary Lutnick described the discussions as "fruitful". The market is cautiously optimistic about the negotiations, and gold is under pressure to fall. The trend of the US dollar and the impact of the Fed's policies The US dollar index has recently fluctuated in the range of 99-102. If it strengthens further (such as breaking through 102), it may suppress gold prices; on the contrary, if it falls below 99, gold may stabilize and rebound. The Fed may keep interest rates unchanged at its June meeting. The market expects a high probability of a rate cut before September, but if the US economic data is strong (such as non-farm employment exceeding expectations), the rate cut may be postponed, which is bearish for gold. Central bank gold purchases slowed down, but long-term support remains The People's Bank of China increased its gold holdings by 60,000 ounces in May, with a slower growth rate than in previous months. Short-term support for gold prices weakened, but the long-term trend of de-dollarization still supports gold demand. 2. Technical analysis of gold Short-term oscillating downward trend Gold prices hit 3348 and then fell back, failing to stand firm at 3345 resistance, indicating that bears still have the upper hand. The 1-hour chart shows a oscillating downward trend, with 3345-3355 constituting strong resistance and 3300-3310 as key support. If it falls below 3300, it may accelerate to the 3280-3250 range. Key support and resistance Upper resistance: 3345-3355 (suppression by yesterday's high and trend line) Lower support: 3300-3310 (psychological barrier and 30-day moving average), if it falls below, look at 3280-3250. Operation strategy Short-term short orders: If the price rebounds to the range of 3345-3355, you can try to short sell, with a target of 3310-3300. Short-term long orders: If the support of 3300 is effective, you can buy with a light position to rebound and rise, with a target of 3320-3330. Trend trading: If it falls below 3300, you can follow up with short orders, with a target of 3280-3250. 3. Outlook for the future Short-term range: Gold prices may fluctuate in the range of 3200-3400, affected by the Fed's policy expectations, the trend of the US dollar and the geopolitical situation. Medium- to long-term: If the Fed starts a rate cut cycle or geopolitical risks escalate (such as the deterioration of the situation in the Middle East), gold may hit the high point of 3400-3500 again. Conclusion: Today, gold is mainly shorted on rebound, with attention paid to the resistance of 3345-3355, and the target below is 3310-3300. If it falls below, a deeper correction will be seen.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Golden_Line_FX
Gold Holds Structure – Bulls Eye Recovery Toward Key ResistanceHey Traders: Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has maintained its bullish market structure despite recent pullbacks. We are currently sitting on a significant horizontal and trendline support area, where buyers have previously stepped in. This presents a potential opportunity for a bullish continuation if price holds and confirms at this zone. Current Market Conditions: Price is holding above a confluence zone of horizontal support and the lower bound of the ascending channel. Recent rejection from the 3,320–3,325 area shows this level acting as a decision point. Bullish engulfing candle forming at this level may indicate renewed buying momentum. An internal ascending structure remains intact, pointing to the potential for a rebound. Fundamental Analysis/Outlook: Gold & Stocks Both Nearing All-Time Highs Gold futures are up ~27% year-to-date and are trading near record prices alongside the S&P 500—a rare occurrence that reflects a market split between optimism (equities) and caution (gold). This dynamic is fueled by dovish Fed expectations, inflation fears, and structural concerns like a weakening U.S. dollar and rising deficits U.S.–China Trade Talks Support Gold Spot gold inched higher ahead of high-stakes U.S.–China trade discussions in London. These talks reduce global inflation pressure but also retain volatility due to ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. Any de-escalation could relieve gold's recent rally, while a breakdown could act as a catalyst for further upside. Targets: TP1: 3,336 TP2: 3,344 TP3: 3,349 Risk Management: Stop-Loss: Below 3,323 (just under structure support) Ensure risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:2. Wait for bullish confirmation before entering, such as a strong breakout candle or retest-and-reject pattern. Technical Outlook: The chart shows price holding at a key support, within a bullish channel. Market structure remains bullish on intraday timeframes. A potential inverse head-and-shoulders formation or wedge breakout may be developing. Entry on breakout and retest above 3,326 resistance zone would be ideal. Conclusion: As long as price continues to respect the current support zone and structure, XAUUSD holds potential for a bullish continuation. Watch for confirmation, manage risk, and trade with precision. Sign-off: "Opportunities multiply as they are seized. Trust the structure, not your emotions." I would love to hear your thoughts in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Thank you, and profitable trading to you all!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SignalSage_Ben
GOLD Relationship Between Gold, Dollar (DXY), Bond Prices, and 10-Year Bond Yields 1. Gold and the Dollar (DXY) Gold is priced in U.S. dollars, so there is a strong inverse relationship between gold prices and the dollar index (DXY). When the DXY strengthens, gold becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies, reducing demand and pushing gold prices down. Recently, gold prices dipped about 0.4% to around $3,294/oz as the DXY shed 0.3%, reflecting a cautious market awaiting U.S.-China trade talks and reacting to stronger U.S. jobs data that tempered expectations of Fed rate cuts. 2. Gold and 10-Year Bond Yields The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield and gold generally have an inverse relationship. Rising yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, making bonds more attractive. However, both gold and bond yields can rise simultaneously during inflationary periods or economic uncertainty, reflecting inflation expectations and safe-haven demand. Recent data shows yields near 4.5%, with gold holding elevated levels above $3,300 and attempted 3328 before dropping due to inflation concerns and geopolitical risks, despite some downward pressure from rising yields. 3. Gold and Bond Prices Bond prices move inversely to yields; when yields rise, bond prices fall. Falling bond prices (rising yields) often signal inflation or risk concerns, which can boost gold as an inflation hedge. Yet, rising yields also raise the opportunity cost of holding gold, which can cap gold’s upside. This dynamic explains why the correlation between gold and bond yields has weakened recently, sometimes showing near-zero correlation . 4. Macro and Market Drivers Inflation and Safe-Haven Demand: Persistent inflation and geopolitical tensions (e.g., U.S.-China trade talks) support gold demand despite dollar strength and rising yields. Central Bank Buying: Central banks remain significant gold buyers, underpinning long-term price support. Economic Data and Fed Policy: Strong U.S. jobs reports reduce expectations of Fed rate cuts, pushing yields up and dollar strength, which can pressure gold short term. Conclusion Gold prices in June 2025 are influenced by a complex interplay of factors: a slightly weaker dollar recently has supported gold, but rising 10-year Treasury yields and falling bond prices exert downward pressure. Inflation concerns and geopolitical risks continue to underpin gold’s appeal as a safe haven and inflation hedge. The usual inverse relationship between gold and bond yields has weakened recently, reflecting evolving market dynamics and the balance between inflation expectations and real yields. #gold #dollar
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Gold M-top & trade bearish, focus $3330-$3340.Looking back at last week's trend, after the price hit a high on Monday, it remained range-bound from Tuesday to Thursday, and closed with a sharp decline on Friday, forming an M-top pattern in technical terms. This week's focus is on the high-level China-US trade negotiations held in London. Market expectations are that the negotiations will proceed smoothly, and this optimistic sentiment is bearish for gold. Combining technical and fundamental analysis, gold remains bearish today. It is recommended to pay attention to shorting opportunities in the rebound range of $3,330-$3,340. XAUUSD sell@3330-3340 tp:3300-3290 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02
Gold Weekly Summary and Forecast 6/14/2025 In my last week's post, I mentioned that the inverted head and shoulder has been formed and we should see price soaring up as long as 3300 holds. Indeed in this past week, after touching briefly 3300, price went through a few days of consolidation. I almost thought the trend has been reversed. However, I still followed my weekly instinct. And this week closes above 3400. We should see more price pump next week. I am expecting another ATH to at least 3600. From 2D TF, gold respected the trendline well and I will look for buying opportunity from 3400 next week.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by SteadyFund