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GOLD / US DOLLAR GRAMGOLD / US DOLLAR GRAMGOLD / US DOLLAR GRAM

GOLD / US DOLLAR GRAM

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XAUUSDG trade ideas

July 1, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunityAnalysis: The monthly close suggests a reduction in bullish momentum, raising the possibility of stronger bearish pressure ahead. However, yesterday’s daily close above 3300 indicates bulls still have some control. Watch 3312 carefully — if price breaks above it, it will confirm a shift towards a stronger bullish trend. Summary: Above 3300, the strategy is buying on pullbacks to support. Below 3300, the plan is selling on pullbacks to resistance. If price breaks below 3275, bearish strength could accelerate, and future longs will need clearer confirmation. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 3350 – Bullish target • 3338 – Resistance • 3325 – Key resistance • 3310–3312 – Intraday key resistance zone • 3300 – Psychological level • 3283 – Key support • 3275 – Intraday key support • 3263 – Support 📈 Intraday Strategy: • SELL if price breaks below 3298 → target 3292, then 3288, 3283, 3275 • BUY if price holds above 3312 → target 3318, then 3325, 3333, 3340 👉 If you want to know how I time entries and set stop-losses, hit the like button so I know there’s interest — I may publish a detailed post by the weekend if support continues! Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Always trade with caution and manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
GOLD GOES 'PREPARING FOR SCORCHING-HOT JULY'. UPSHOT OF 1H 2025Gold market shines bright in first half of 2025, with nearly 25 percent year-to-date gain, which becomes one of the best start of the year in history ever following 1H 2016 (became a launching pad for Gold to more than Triple in price over next decade) and 1H 1973 (where Gold bugs sharply skyrocketed to infinity and beyond, printed more than 10x over next decade). The gold spot market in July 2025 is shaped by both fundamental and technical factors supporting a cautiously bullish outlook. Fundamental perspectives Were you ready or not, Gold prices have surged significantly in 2025, driven by persistent global uncertainties including geopolitical conflicts (e.g., Middle East tensions), trade disputes, and inflation concerns. Central banks, notably the Federal Reserve, are expected to cut interest rates later in 2025, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold, a non-yielding asset. This monetary easing alongside continued inflation worries and safe-haven demand underpins strong gold fundamentals. Major financial institutions like J.P. Morgan and UBS forecast gold prices averaging around $3,500–$3,675 per ounce in late 2025, with potential to reach $4,000/oz by mid-2026. Central bank gold purchases and diversification away from US dollar assets also support demand. Technical perspectives Technically, gold has experienced volatile but mostly sideways trading in a roughly $300 range around $3,200–$3,500 since mid-2025, reflecting consolidation after a strong rally earlier in the year. Key support lies near $3,000 and $3,200 levels (125-Day, or 6-Month SMA), with resistance around $3,500 to $3,800. Indicators such as moving averages and RSI suggest an upward trend with possible short-term corrections. A breakout above $3,500 could trigger further gains toward $3,800, while a drop below $3,200 may lead to testing $3,000 support. Overall, July is expected to see continued range-bound trading amid new external uncertainties, with bullish momentum intact. In summary, gold’s fundamentals remain robust due to macroeconomic and geopolitical drivers, while technicals point to consolidation with potential for renewed upward moves in the July 2025 spot market. -- Best #GODL wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PandorraResearch
Gold - The final resistance breakout!Gold - TVC:GOLD - prepares a final rally: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) Over the past 12 months, Gold rallied more than +70%. However the past three months clearly rejected a major horizontal resistance. But price action on the smaller timeframe remains incredibly bullish. Therefore an all time high breakout will most likely follow. Levels to watch: $3.500 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:GOLDLong
by basictradingtv
16
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Taking a look at the 4 hour chart, I have marked the potential scalp sell / buy trade set ups. Lower time frame confirmation is a must. I am not trading today as the NY market is closed. I am not trying to do any range trading. Be well and have a great weekend. Today is a holiday here in the USA. We are celebrating breaking away from England, which we see today is George Orwell's 1984. Shout out for freedom and to Big G. Be well and trade the trend.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by musclemilk0075
Fibonacci Secrets for Traders! 🔵 38.2% - Low Probability: Not much happens here. Ignore this level. 🟠 61.8% - Good Probability: A common level where price reacts. Watch for reversals. 🟢 78.6%-88.6% - Very Good Probability: The “Sweet Spot” or Sell Zone – high chance of price reversing. 🟡 Manipulation: Price might fake out around 61.8% before hitting the Sell Zone. 💡 Focus on the 78.6%-88.6% levels for the best trades, but always confirm with other tools. Stay sharp and trade smart! 📈 #Educational
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by CryptoSkullSignal
GoldHere's an analysis based on the information presented in the image: Overall Market Structure (from a quick glance): Recent Price Action: The price has recently experienced a significant decline, followed by a bounce. Order Block (OB): There's a clearly marked "4 Hours OB" (Order Block) which is a key area of interest for potential resistance. Potential Trading Setup: Entry: The "Entry" price is set at 3,340.00. This entry point is within the bearish order block, suggesting a short (sell) position. Stop Loss (S/L): The "S/L" is placed at 3,352.00. This is above the high of the 4-hour order block, aiming to limit losses if the price moves against the short position and breaks above the resistance. Take Profit (Profit): The "Profit" target is set at 3,296.00. This target is significantly lower than the entry, aiming to capture a downward movement. Risk-Reward Ratio: Risk: The difference between the entry (3,340.00) and the stop loss (3,352.00) is 12 points. Reward: The difference between the entry (3,340.00) and the take profit (3,296.00) is 44 points. Ratio: This implies a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:3.67 (44 / 12), which is generally considered favorable. Key Technical Concepts Illustrated (from the inset image): The smaller inset image on the left illustrates concepts commonly used in Smart Money Concepts (SMC) or Institutional Order Flow (IOF) trading: Order Block (OB): A price range where significant institutional buying or selling occurred, often leading to price reversals. The red box indicates a bearish order block. Entry: The point at which a trade is entered. FVG (Fair Value Gap) / Imbalance: An area on the chart where price moved quickly in one direction, leaving an "inefficiency" or gap that price often retests. CHoCH (Change of Character): An early sign of a potential trend reversal, indicating a shift in market sentiment. BOS (Break of Structure): When price breaks a significant high (for a bullish trend) or low (for a bearish trend), confirming the continuation or reversal of a trend. The multiple "BOS" labels suggest a series of lower lows, confirming a bearish trend. BERISH DISPLACEMENT: Implies strong bearish momentum leading to lower prices. PRLII S: This specific acronym is not universally recognized but could refer to a specific pattern or setup within the trader's methodology, possibly related to liquidity or price action. Conclusion/Potential Interpretation: The chart suggests a bearish outlook for XAUUSD, with the trader looking to short Gold at the retest of a 4-hour bearish order block. The setup has a favorable risk-reward ratio. The concepts in the inset image provide a theoretical framework for why this particular entry and targets might be chosen, based on institutional trading principles. The current price is at 3,322.285 at 08:33:38 +04, which is below the proposed entry, suggesting this might be a setup that the trader is waiting to happen or a retrospective analysis of a potential trade idea.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Tdawly_Official
XAUUSD 01.07.2025-Formation of the market: On the background of general cooling of geopolitical situation gold continues its fall to the levels of 3250. The main preference of market participants is now given to less "conservative" assets, which is clearly reflected in the record values of cryptocurrency and stock market. -Forecast: In the medium term, capital outflows are likely to continue and the asset will again test the 3250 level as support. -News Background: There will be many "strong" news releases this week that could be a strong driver of movement for the asset: Today: -ISM Manufacturing PMI and JOLTS Job openings. Thursday: Unemployment rate, and Non-Farm Payrolls.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Viatre
XAU/USD (Gold) Breakout or Breakdown Setup – Key Decision ZoneThe Gold Spot (XAU/USD) price action is currently at a crucial inflection point after consolidating in a rising wedge pattern between ascending support and horizontal resistance. This type of structure typically indicates a strong directional breakout is likely, and the current daily candle shows a close below the ascending support, signaling a potential bearish breakdown confirmation. 🔽 Bearish Breakdown Scenario (Confirmed Below 3250) If price sustains below the 3250 support breakdown level, it confirms a bearish breakdown from the wedge. The height of the wedge (distance between the base of the move and the resistance) is used to project the downside target, giving us key levels to monitor: Breakdown Confirmation: Below 3250.00 Target 1: 3111.67 Target 2: 2990.31 Projected Downside Target: 2861.24 This move suggests that gold could enter a deeper correction if buyers fail to reclaim the ascending structure quickly. 🔼 Bullish Breakout Scenario (Above 3500) On the flip side, if bulls manage to push price back above the 3500 level, it would invalidate the current bearish momentum and confirm a bullish breakout. The projected upside targets are based on the same measured move logic: Breakout Confirmation: Above 3500.00 Target 1: 3621.90 Target 2: 3741.84 Projected Upside Target: 3855.78 A close above 3500 with volume would set the tone for a fresh rally toward new highs. 🧭 Strategy Outlook Short Bias (active): Entry below 3250; SL above 3300; TP at 3110 / 2990 / 2860 Long Bias (if reversal): Entry above 3500; SL below 3460; TP at 3620 / 3740 / 3850 Always wait for a strong daily candle close beyond the breakout/breakdown levels before initiating any trades ================================================================= Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. =================================================================
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by TradZoo
Major Reversal Ahead?14-Years Cycle complete in April2025Description: Gold (XAUUSD) has completed a significant 14-year cycle with the recent peak near $3,485 in April 2025, following a similar 12-year rally pattern that previously ended in August 2011. The price is now showing signs of exhaustion: RSI on the monthly chart is extremely overbought (85.91), matching historical reversal levels. Strong Fibonacci confluence at 1.0 extension ($3,485) suggests a possible cycle top. Historical symmetry: Prior major top in 2011 came 12 years after the breakout in 1999 — this move mirrors that with a 14-year cycle.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader_Steffen
International gold prices rise slowly and reach new highsAnalysis of gold trend: Gold fell sharply near 3247 at the opening of Monday, then stopped falling and began to fluctuate and rise slowly. It rose to a high of 3297 before the European session, then fell back after being blocked. After dropping to 3274, it stabilized again and began to rise slowly. The US session continued to rise. Another key point in the market that everyone needs to pay attention to is that the US dollar index has now hit a new low, and the current price is 96.3. This wave of US dollar decline is extremely weak, and there is basically no sign of rebound. According to this trend, the US dollar index may continue to fall, and it is possible to go to 88. In the case of such a weak US dollar index, it is natural for gold to be supported by the market. Moreover, gold has not yet walked out of the bullish trend. Gold has turned from weakness in the early stage to strength. Next, it depends on the strength of the rise. This wave of rise is expected to see 3350-3400. From a technical point of view, gold closed positive at a low level on Monday, and the K line was above the lower Bollinger track, turning from weak to strong. Under the bullish trend, the rise can be seen to be continuous, so the high points of the middle and upper Bollinger tracks can be seen above. In the 4-hour chart, the K-line stands firmly above the middle rail of Bollinger, and the moving average system diverges upward, showing a very obvious strong performance. Therefore, the basic idea this week is to continue to do more on the decline. In the short term, first look at the upper rail of Bollinger in the 4-hour chart at 3350. There are two points to pay attention to in the decline of the small cycle within the day, one is 3300, and the other is 3285 support. Although bullish, do not chase high. After the decline, make sure to stop the decline and continue to be bullish. Operation strategy: Go long when gold falls back to around 3320, stop loss at 3210, and target 3330-3340.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LeopoldTed