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GOLD / US DOLLAR GRAMGOLD / US DOLLAR GRAMGOLD / US DOLLAR GRAM

GOLD / US DOLLAR GRAM

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XAUUSDG trade ideas

Gold Price Surge Will This Be the Catalyst for the Next Breakout💥 Gold Price Surge: Will This Be the Catalyst for the Next Breakout? | Trading Plan for Today 📊 📊 Market Overview: ✔️ Gold (XAU/USD) has shown a strong recovery following significant geopolitical and economic developments over the weekend. Key factors driving this rally include: ✔️ Putin’s Rejection of Peace Talks: If the conflict intensifies, we may see a surge in demand for safe-haven assets like gold. ✔️ US Credit Downgrade: Rising concerns over US debt and bond yields could drive more investors back into gold. ✔️ Trump’s Tariff Threat: Although less aggressive than before, Trump’s volatility still poses risks to market stability, with gold remaining a key hedge. ✔️ These combined factors have driven a gap up of over 20 points during the early Asia session. Should these issues remain unresolved, gold could be set for a strong move back toward its previous All-Time High (ATH). 📉 Technical Analysis: ✔️ The chart is showing an increasingly bullish setup. EMA 13 has crossed above both EMA 34 and EMA 200 on the M30 chart, suggesting that the market is primed for a breakout. ✔️ We’re seeing the potential for a $100–$200 rally per ounce, should the bullish momentum persist. ✔️ Given the current market volatility, geopolitical events could cause sharp price movements. A breakout of the current trendline may indicate that we are witnessing a retest before the next significant surge. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch: 🔻 Support Levels: 3204, 3193, 3186, 3174, 3163 🔺 Resistance Levels: 3254, 3277, 3288 💰 Trading Strategy for Today: ✅ BUY Scalp: 3194 – 3196 🔴 Stop-Loss (SL): 3190 ✅ Take-Profit (TP): 3200 → 3210 → 3220 → 3230 ✅ BUY Zone: 3186 – 3184 🔴 Stop-Loss (SL): 3180 ✅ Take-Profit (TP): 3190 → 3195 → 3200 → 3210 → 3220 → 3230 ✔️ SELL Zone: 3287 – 3289 🔴 Stop-Loss (SL): 3293 ✅ Take-Profit (TP): 3285 → 3280 → 3285 → 3280 → 3270 💎 Good Luck! Stay tuned for more updates, and trade wisely! 📈
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
Golds Correction Is Over!Gold corrected itself all the way down to 3120 yesterday which is a significant demand level by institutions. Price then rebounded and closed at 3150. If it creates a confirmed HL by the end of Friday, the odds and probability XAUUSD will go back to its supply area at 3500 is highly probable. Price will also depend on macro fundamentals. The weekly shows a strong uptrend and so as the monthly chart. Institutions started buying back and increased their long positions.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by supertrader72
Gold (XAU/USD) – 4H Analysis 📉 Recent Move Gold saw a sharp decline yesterday and into this morning, driven by a shift in market sentiment — possibly due to renewed appetite for risk assets. However, the price has now posted a strong reaction off a key BULL OTE zone, drawn from the full move $2,960 → $3,500, which suggests this could be a healthy retracement in a broader bullish structure. 📌 Key Observations 📍 Bull OTE: Clean reaction from the optimal retracement zone, showing buyer interest at value. ⬜️ Supply Zone around $3,230 : This level has acted as a cap, and a re-entry into this range would be a strong sign of bullish continuation. 📉 Bear OTE rejection + supply cluster near $3,300 : Previous rejection from this area adds weight to the current downward pressure. ⚠️ Volume + RSI : Still neutral – watch for momentum confirmation on any breakout attempt. 🎯 Scenarios to Monitor 📈 Bullish Continuation If the price reclaims the $3,230 range, we can consider the recent drop a clean correction. That would suggest the uptrend is ready to resume toward the $3,400–$3,500 zone. 📉 Risk-Off Shift If gold fails to hold above the current OTE zone and breaks below $3,080, it could confirm a deeper profit-taking wave, possibly signaling a temporary shift back to risk-on assets like equities or crypto. ✅ Conclusion We’re at a pivotal point: Above $3,230 → bullish structure resumes Below $3,080 → watch for more downside toward $3,000–$2,960 Gold remains technically bullish long-term, but the next 4H candles will be decisive for the short-to-mid-term momentum.
TVC:GOLD
by BenMcyInsights
Market next move 1. Red Zone Retest Failure Disruption: If the price breaks back below the red highlighted zone (around 3,265–3,270), it may indicate a false breakout. Impact: This would invalidate the bullish continuation and could lead to a sharp decline toward 3,240 or even lower. --- 2. Low Volume on the Breakout Disruption: The breakout rally appears strong, but if upcoming candles show declining volume, it may suggest weak momentum. Impact: A drop in volume could precede a reversal or sideways consolidation instead of the projected move to 3,306. --- 3. Double Top or Bearish Rejection at 3,306 Disruption: The price could reach the 3,306 target and form a double top, leading to bearish rejection. Impact: This could be the start of a downtrend or extended consolidation. --- 4. Overbought Conditions Disruption: If momentum indicators like RSI or Stochastic (not shown on chart) are in overbought territory, this could suggest a pullback is likely before continuation. Impact: May lead to a deeper retracement than expected. --- 5. Macroeconomic or News Catalyst Disruption: Unforeseen macro events (e.g., interest rate announcements, geopolitical tension) could cause sudden shifts against the technical outlook. Impact: Could override technical structure entirely.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Gold's Rally Resumes (Elliott Wave)Gold's decline to today's low has satisfied the minimum requirements to consider the correction over. The April to May decline corrected in a double zigzag labeled ((w))-((x))-((y)). There are 3 geometric relationships pointing to today's low as an important bottom. 1. Wave ((y)) was equal to wave ((w)) at today's low, a common wave relationship. 2. Additionally, wave (c) of ((y)) was 61.8% times wave (a) of ((y))...another common wave relationship. 3. Lastly, the previous all-time high from early April clocks in at 3,167...the broken resistance acts as new support holding up prices. The runway is cleared for gold to take off to new all-time highs again. In the unexpected event of a decline below today's low, the next cluster of wave relationships appears near 2,950.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JWagnerFXTrader
Bearish reversal?The Gold (XAU/USD) is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 3,350.88 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 3,411.31 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 3,258.51 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by VantageMarkets
Gold Spot(XAU/USD)Consecutive Trade Wins Strategy (45Min Chart)✅ Observed Winning Setups (Labeled "WIN"): Three prior long trades are marked by green boxes for profit areas and red boxes for stop-loss levels. All three trades appear to have hit their take-profit targets, making them successful long entries. Entries were likely timed based on bullish price structure or reversal signals near key support zones. ✅ Current Setup (May 20-21, 2025): A fourth long position is active or proposed, based on a similar pattern. Entry is around $3,294, with: Stop-loss: Below $3,260 zone. Take-profit: Above $3,320 level. Price has just breached previous highs, suggesting momentum continuation is expected. 🔍 Key Technical Observations: Bullish Trend Shift: Price is making higher highs and higher lows post-May 15. Volume Confirmation: Noticeable volume spikes align with bullish moves—supporting strong buyer interest. Psychological Message: “NEVER LOSS AGAIN” is more of a motivational tag than a guaranteed outcome — always apply risk management. ⚠️ Caution: While the past 3 trades shown are winners, no strategy is truly loss-proof. Historical wins don't guarantee future results. Always assess: Market conditions News events Risk-reward ratio
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by KingProTrader
xauusd: Market analysis and strategy on May 20Gold technical analysis Daily chart resistance 3284, support below 3167 Four-hour chart resistance 3252, support below 3192 One-hour chart resistance 3222, support below 3192 Gold news analysis: Spot gold continued to rise at the opening of this week on Monday (May 19), but failed to break through the key resistance of $3250. The market showed a cautious sentiment under the interweaving of multiple factors: Moody's downgrade of the US sovereign credit rating, the renewed tension in the Middle East, and Trump's tariff remarks on risk sentiment, which together constitute the core logic of gold price fluctuations. At present, gold is in a narrow range of fluctuations, reflecting that the market's pricing of credit risk and policy uncertainty is still insufficient. If Moody's rating downgrade triggers a continued sell-off of US bonds, and if the conflict in the Middle East escalates, gold prices are expected to rely on the support of $3,200 to accumulate strength to attack $3,250. On the contrary, if Trump releases a signal to ease the situation between Russia and Ukraine or the Federal Reserve downplays the impact of the rating, it is not ruled out that the technical support of $3,150 will be stepped back. In the short term, we need to pay close attention to two dynamics: one is whether the long-term US Treasury yield can be stabilized below 5%, and the other is whether the ground operations in the Middle East will be expanded. The technical side needs to confirm the effective breakthrough of $3252 before a new round of trend space can be opened. Gold operation suggestions: From the current trend analysis, the lower support focuses on the first-line support of the 3192 mark, and the upper pressure focuses on the one-hour level 3252 and the four-hour level 3284. The short-term long and short strength watershed 3192 first-line mark, and the overall support relies on this range to maintain high selling and low buying. BUY:3200near SL:3195 BUY:3250near SL:3145
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
GOLD The relationship between gold prices and the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) in May 2025 reflects typical market dynamics influenced by economic data, Federal Reserve policy expectations, and geopolitical factors: The U.S. Dollar Index has shown some recent weakness, trading around 100.36 on May 20, 2025, down about 0.06% from the previous session and roughly 4% lower year-over-year. This decline partly stems from disappointing U.S. economic data and increased market expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts later in 2025. A weaker dollar generally supports higher gold prices because gold is priced in dollars; when the dollar falls, gold becomes cheaper for holders of other currencies, boosting demand. Conversely, a stronger dollar tends to pressure gold prices downward. However, recent market behavior shows a nuanced picture: the dollar’s recent modest gains against the yen and euro have coincided with fluctuating gold prices, influenced by safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions and inflation expectations. The dollar’s performance is influenced by factors such as U.S. Treasury yields, inflation expectations, and trade policy developments. For example, falling Treasury yields and dovish Fed signals have softened the dollar, which can be supportive of gold. Overall, the inverse correlation between gold and the dollar remains strong, but gold’s price movements also depend on inflation trends, real interest rates, and geopolitical risk premiums, which can sometimes decouple gold from dollar moves in the short term. Summary: Dollar Index (DXY): Around 100.36 on May 20, 2025, slightly down recently but expected to rise moderately by year-end. Gold Price Impact: A weaker dollar supports gold by making it cheaper internationally; a stronger dollar tends to weigh on gold. Market Drivers: Fed rate cut expectations, Treasury yields, inflation data, and geopolitical tensions influence both gold and the dollar. This dynamic means monitoring U.S. economic data and Fed policy announcements is crucial for anticipating near-term moves in both gold and the dollar index.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
1
XAUUSD:Short mainly Gold continued its pullback last week, bouncing back after meeting key support and closing below the negative shadow line. At the present stage, the trend is relying on the key support level shock, and the rebound has not made a breakthrough, the pressure after the retreat of risk aversion is more and more obvious, and there is still the possibility of deepening the decline. Today's trend personal expected sideways shock, short-term pressure above 3245-3250, can be around this area short, below the first support to see 3200, after breaking the 3145-3150. This week's overall operating range relies on the 3145-3250 range band. ↓↓↓ The detailed strategy club will have tips, updated daily, come and get them →→→
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Boooob_
XAUUSD - Critical Reaction Zone to Determine Next Major MoveGold is currently trading at $3,202.25, showing recovery momentum after forming a recent bottom near $3,120. The price action suggests a continued upward movement toward the highlighted "important reaction area" around $3,240-3,260, which previously served as both support and resistance in mid-May. There is a high probability that price will reach this critical zone given the current bullish momentum and the established pattern of higher lows. Once gold reaches this reaction area, traders should exercise patience and closely observe how price behaves – a decisive break above could trigger an extended rally toward $3,360 as indicated by the upper green arrow, while rejection might initiate a significant correction toward $3,140 as marked by the red arrow. The market's response at this important reaction area will likely determine gold's directional bias for the next trading period, making it essential to watch for specific candlestick patterns, volume spikes, or momentum shifts before establishing new positions. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by financialflagship
XAUUSD H1 CHART ANALYSIS miraninaveed337: G Sijjad Zong: (XAUUSD, 1-hour timeframe) Sell Setup (Bearish Continuation from Channel Breakout) Entry (Sell): Around current price area: $3,190 Stop Loss: Just above the recent high or marked SL area: $3,263 Take Profit (TP) Levels: 1. TP1: $3,150 – conservative target based on recent support 2. TP2: $3,121 – matching the previous low 3. TP3: $3,111 – extended target (marked horizontal support) Summary: Sell Entry: $3,190 (approx) Stop Loss: $3,263 TP1: $3,150 TP2: $3,121 TP3: $3,111 Make sure to adjust position sizing to manage risk properly
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Robert055
Gold Technical Analysis, May 15-16📊The current gold price has returned to above 3200, and the technical side shows a clear strong pattern. The 3200 mark is a key support level, and its gains and losses will determine the future direction. If the gold price does not break this level after falling back and stabilizes again, gold will continue its strong structure. There is a high probability that the daily line will close positive on Friday, and the subsequent rebound target will point to the 3235-3260 area. 📊From the perspective of the daily cycle, the 3200 position has become a trend dividing point. As long as the price remains above this level, the overall bullish pattern will be maintained, and the structure will build an upward trend in the form of a continuous positive rebound. Once it falls back below 3200, it may mean that the daily level is still in a convergent adjustment structure, and the upper side will still be suppressed. 📊In the 4-hour cycle, after the intraday rebound, the Bollinger Bands showed signs of opening, and the short-term is expected to usher in the confirmation of the mid-term bottoming structure. If the gold price continues to rebound during the US session and effectively stabilizes at 3200, and breaks through the MA5 and MA10 moving averages, then the structural reversal will be initially established, and the market is expected to further test 3235, or even hit 3250. 📊The current 4-hour chart shows that the bottom is expected to form a continuous positive candlestick pattern, indicating that the bulls are gradually strengthening. Therefore, the end-of-day trading should not be affected by the inertia of the previous decline, and attention should be paid to the structural reversal signal and the strategy should be adjusted in time.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldTradingMasterMentor
Gold fluctuates greatly. What will happen next week?Gold fluctuated greatly on Thursday and Friday. It is difficult to implement an operation strategy in this market. It is difficult to go short or long. The market does not continue the next day, and there are few suitable trading opportunities in the process of changing the market. So what should gold do next week? Has the rhythm of gold changed again? The rhythm of gold has changed rapidly recently, and next Monday is actually the key; the 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to show signs of turning, so whether it can form an upward trend is the next key. The strength of gold on Monday is very important. Gold closed with a big positive line on Thursday, but it fell directly on Tuesday and pierced the support level, which cannot be said to be completely bullish. Although it rebounded slightly in the late trading, it still closed with a real big negative line. Next week, we need to pay attention to two key positions. Pay attention to $3175 below. If it falls and breaks quickly after the opening on Monday, then gold will still be weak overall; pay attention to $3215 above. If gold breaks through this point strongly and stabilizes above the point, then gold will be strong overall. If gold opens flat in early trading on Monday and the upward momentum is not strong, then you can continue to short in the short term.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
XAUUSD GOLD PLAN IDEA 12/05/2025XAU/USD (Gold) Trading Outlook The current price of XAU/USD around 3240 to 3235. We are anticipating a pullback towards the 3300 level, at which point we will look for long (buy) entry opportunities. Key Resistance/Target Level: TARGET 1: 3274 TARGET 2: 3360 TARGET 3: 3413 Key Support Levels: SUPPORT 1:3220 SUPPORT 2: 3205 This Strategy is based on the expectation of a price retracement, providing a more favorable risk-reward setup for long positions. SUPPORT MY IDEA
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Isabellafx01
Will gold continue to rise after breaking down?Technical analysis of gold: the daily cycle is constructed based on the M-head pattern. 3202 is the bullish defense position. If it cannot go up at the close, there will be further declines. A major technical breakdown has occurred. Pay attention to the change in thinking. If the adjustment is large, it may even reach 2900/3000. It rises quickly and falls just as quickly, but the long-term logic of gold's rise remains unchanged. It is also an opportunity to deploy more when it goes down, but the position needs to be observed by the market. It is difficult to predict at present. In the short term, rely on 3198 to do short selling. After breaking 3200, pay attention to shorting even if it rebounds. If it rebounds upward, go short at the golden section resistance of 3265. After gold fell below 3202 in the US market, it rebounded to 3198 at its highest. This rebound was just an oversold rebound, and then continued to fall back. Although it has not refreshed the low point for the time being, the pattern has weakened and it is difficult to rise again. Weak shorts can hardly get past 3198. The short-term support below is 3140/3150. Gold 1 hour still continues to cross downward short positions, and the short-term strength is still there. The rebound still continues to give shorts opportunities. There is no obvious sustained upward momentum in the short term, so such a market is just a rebound. Gold rebounds in the US market and continues to be short. Overall, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and to go long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3202-3205 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3150-3155 support. Short position strategy: Strategy 1: Short 20% of the position in batches near 3198-3202 in the early trading of gold, stop loss 10 points, target near 3180-3170, and look at 3150 if it breaks; Long position strategy: Strategy 2: Buy 20% of the position in batches near 3150-3155 when gold falls back, stop loss 10 points, target near 3170-3190, and look at 3200 if it breaks;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by pcesfj