Ready, Steady...?Gold has consolidated the past few weeks and has now bounced from solid support.
The current wave 4 looks complete and should now be followed by a strong upward move in wave 5, wave 5's in the metals are the strongest...expect a move towards $4000 coming.
Your chance to get on board early and ride this bull run again!
Appreciate a thumbs up, good trading and God Bless you all!
XAUUSDG trade ideas
GOLD SWING LONG|
✅GOLD is trading in a strong
Long-term uptrend along the
Rising support line so we are
Bullish biased and after the price
Breakout of the local opening wedge
We we will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAU / USD 1 Hour ChartHello traders. I have marked my area of interest on the hourly chart. We have Pre NY volume starting in 2.5 hours or so from now. Looking to see if we correct the move down from the overnight sessions , or do we continue down to retest a lower area for support, as marked on the chart?? Patience is key. Big G gets my thanks. Be well and trade the trend, I will post another chart / update in a few hours.
Gold Bearish Reversal – Targeting 3293 After Channel Breakdown📉 Gold (XAU/USD) 30-Min Chart Analysis:
🔹 Pattern Overview:
Triple Top Formation spotted (circled areas), indicating strong resistance around the 3,365–3,375 zone.
A descending channel formed after the top, showing consistent lower highs and lower lows — clear bearish momentum.
Fib retracement level (0.618) acted as a resistance during the bounce.
🔹 Current Price Action:
Price broke down from the recent bullish correction inside the channel.
Bearish impulse wave is forming again after lower high around 3,355.
Price is currently dropping from ~3,360 to 3,313, heading toward key support.
🔹 Target & Support:
Marked downside target: 3,293 — aligned with prior support zone and measured move from the last swing high/low.
This is a critical demand area; potential short-term bounce could occur there.
🔹 Conclusion:
Bias: Bearish below 3,335.
Immediate Target: 3,293
Invalidation: Break above 3,355 could delay or reverse bearish move.
XAU / USD Hourly ChartHello traders. Here is the one hour chart showing where I would look for potential scalp short positions if things line up correctly. 3321 is the first area to watch for a possible short, but the second move down may be more condusive as it takes me forever to type this out. This is speculation of a trade set up, not advice. Big G gets a shout out. Be well and trade the trend.
Gold: update hello friends✋️
According to the recent growth of gold, you can see that it is constantly resisting and forming a falling pattern.
For this reason, it can be a warning that the fall can continue and the price will fall to the specified limits.
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GOLD - POTENTIALLooking at gold. Its still in a bit of limbo after the NFP reaction on Friday. However it is looking like the draw on liquidity is higher. Therefore my bias on gold for the start of the week is bullish so will be looking to get the most optimal entry to take some buys to the upside.
If we can manage to find a decent enough move price really could rally upwards.
XAU/USD 15M CHART PATTERNThis chart is a 15-minute candlestick chart of Gold (XAU/USD) as of July 9, 2025, and it shows technical analysis using price action, chart patterns, and risk-reward mapping. Here's a comprehensive breakdown:
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🔍 1. Pattern Analysis:
Cup and Handle Pattern (Potential Formation):
The chart shows a curved “U” shape forming a base (highlighted by the dotted curved line), suggesting the cup.
A handle seems to be forming or has formed recently, a typical consolidation phase after the cup.
The breakout is expected to occur to the upside, as indicated by the blue upward arrow.
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📉 Price Levels and Zones:
Current Price: 3,294.474
Support Zone: Around 3,270.618 (red line – likely the stop-loss level)
Resistance/Target Zone: 3,330.237 (green upper target box)
Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable — the reward zone is significantly wider than the risk zone.
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🟩 Key Technical Markings:
Green Circles: Indicate potential swing low (left base of cup) and swing high (top of handle).
Blue Arrows: Outline the anticipated bullish breakout trajectory.
Rectangles:
Green Rectangle above the current price indicates the take profit/target area.
Red Rectangle below the current price indicates the stop-loss zone.
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📈 Volume & Momentum (Implied):
While volume isn't shown directly, the chart implies momentum building at the handle, a classic precursor to breakout in such formations.
The bullish bias is further supported by higher lows forming along the curved base.
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⏰ Time Context:
The chart timeframe is 15-minute candles, making this a short-term/intraday setup.
The anticipated move may complete within a few hours to a trading day if the pattern plays out.
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📊 Trading Plan Summary (based on chart):
Parameter Value
Entry (approx.) 3,294
Stop Loss 3,270
Take Profit 3,330
Risk:Reward ~1:1.5+
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✅ Conclusion:
The chart shows a bullish cup and handle formation with a clear plan for a long trade.
The setup looks technically sound with a defined risk and upside potential.
Ideal confirmation would be a strong breakout candle with volume from the handle area.
Would you like a trading strategy or script based on this chart for automation (e.g., in TradingView Pine Script)?
Gold Recovery Trade As gold moved around 500 pips on last day. The pull back seems good and this trade's possibility will be good and a good Risk Reward ratio. Keep your risk small if you want to take the trade. This isn't an investment advice this is a probability analysis. Which according to market structure seems good.
[XAU/USD] GOLD TODAY – PREFER BUY SCENARIO – WAVE 5 COMPLETION🔎 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Currently, Gold is moving in Wave 5 of the primary impulse structure. Key price zones have been clearly identified:
🟢 Main Trading Plan: Prefer BUY
✅ BUY LIMIT around: 3312.5
🛡 Stoploss: 3309
🎯 Expected Target:
Short-term: 3336–3342
Medium-term: 3361 (OBS Supply)
Longer-term: Potentially test WEEK HIGH ~3365–3367
Note: 3312.5 is a strong confluence zone consisting of:
H4 FVG
Liquidity Pool
Option data shows concentration of funds at this zone
Wyckoff structure clearly indicates ST (secondary test) at this zone
🛑 SELL Setup – If you're scalping or trading corrective waves:
SELL GOLD WAVE 5 Zone: 3336–3338
SL: 3342
Expect a pullback to 3312.5 before continuing upwards
Scenario: This is a small corrective wave 4 within the larger Wave 5.
📊 CHART 2 – WYCKOFF PHASE C–D SUPPORT
The supplementary chart shows a clear WYCKOFF accumulation model:
Phase C is complete → Currently in Phase D (Markup Phase)
The upward wave from ~3285 has completed 5 small Elliott steps, preparing for a pullback to the support zone (3312.5) before breaking higher.
🌐 MACROECONOMIC NEWS AFFECTING GOLD
🏦 The Fed is expected to keep interest rates high in July with a 93.3% probability → Weaker USD, supporting higher Gold prices
📉 US bond yields are declining, increasing demand for safe-haven assets
🪙 Tether is quietly accumulating 80 tonnes of gold in Switzerland – A signal of the trend toward physical asset accumulation for safety
🧾 FOMC meeting minutes: Most members believe tariffs could have a long-term impact on inflation → Expect Gold to remain positively supported
✅ CONCLUSION
For today and the next few sessions, the BUY GOLD scenario at 3312.5 remains the main strategy, with expectations of movement towards higher levels. Be cautious when the price reaches the 3336–3338 zone, as a small pullback could occur.
"Price doesn't just reflect technicals; it also reflects sentiment – and today sentiment favours the buyers."
📌 SUMMARY TRADING PLAN:
BUY Limit: 3312.5
STOPLOSS: 3309
TP: 3336 - 3361 – 3367
Wave 5 Channel + Liquidity
SELL Scalp: 3336–3338
Stoploss: 3342 - 3312.5
Corrective wave, light scalp
📌 If you're trading Gold this week, remember to set clear SL levels and prefer to wait for a pullback – avoid FOMO at high prices.
GOLD SELL M15 XAU/USD (Gold) 15-Min Chart Analysis – July 10, 2025
The chart shows that price is currently trading around 3323.98, approaching a key supply zone marked in purple. This area is expected to act as resistance, where price may reverse.
Multiple Break of Structure (BOS) levels have been marked, confirming bullish momentum earlier. However, the chart now suggests a potential bearish reversal from the supply zone.
Trade Idea:
Entry Zone: Near the top of the purple resistance area (~3324)
Stop Loss (SL): 3332
Target: 3309 zone (highlighted in blue), which aligns with the demand zone and previous structure
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: 3324–3332
Support Zones:
First Support: 3319.19
Second Support: 3314.18
Final Target Zone: 3309.84 – 3309.61
The expected move is a sell from the supply zone down to the 3309 target. Price is projected to form lower highs and lower lows as shown by the blue arrow path.
XAUUSD: Setup Signals a Potential Continuation Toward 3,550Gold is currently moving within a short-term bearish structure following a sharp rejection at a key confluence resistance zone. The ongoing pullback has taken price back to the origin of a previous strong rally, aligning with a high-liquidity area on the Volume Profile.
What stands out, however, is the absence of any clear reversal signal so far. Selling pressure continues to dominate after each weak rebound, indicating the market may not yet be ready for a meaningful bullish move. That said, the presence of a prior swing low combined with dense volume makes this zone a strategic observation area.
The most prudent scenario at this point is to wait for a confirmed reaction at support—preferably in the form of reversal patterns such as a Bullish Engulfing, Fakey, or Pin Bar backed by volume confirmation. Only then will a short-term long setup offer a favourable risk-reward opportunity.
If price bounces, the first target would be around 3,350 USD—a previous resistance level and a likely zone for profit-taking. On the other hand, a decisive break below 3,280 USD would invalidate the recovery scenario and open the door to a deeper continuation of the downtrend.
In summary: This is a key watch zone—not the time to guess bottoms. Wait for confirmation, act with clarity, and always pair your setups with disciplined risk management.
Gold Weekly Recap – Week 27 (30 Jun – 04 Jul)🟡 XAUUSD | MJTrading
Overview
Gold (XAUUSD) staged a significant recovery this week after retesting a critical support zone. Price action reflected strong buying interest at lower levels, followed by consolidation near mid-range resistance.
🔹 Key Levels:
Strong Support Zone: 3,246 – 3,250
Weekly Low: 3,246.35 (30 June)
Weekly High: 3,365.77 (3 July)
Closing Price: ~3,343
🔹 Price Action Summary:
✅ Early Week Retest & Reversal
After the prior week’s decline, gold opened the week near the major support area around 3,246. This zone acted as a strong demand pocket, triggering a swift rejection and initiating a bullish reversal.
✅ Sustained Rally to Resistance
Price climbed steadily, riding the 15-period EMA to reach the weekly high of 3,365.77 on 3 July. This move represented a nearly 4% recovery off the lows, fueled by renewed safe-haven flows and short covering.
✅ Midweek Consolidation
Following the rally, gold entered a sideways consolidation phase between 3,340 and 3,365. EMA flattening reflected a pause in momentum as traders assessed the next directional catalyst.
✅ Late-Week Pullback
Toward the end of the week, price tested the 3,310–3,320 area before modestly bouncing into the Friday close. Overall, the market maintained a cautiously bullish tone while holding above the prior support.
🔹 Technical Perspective:
🔸 Bias: Cautiously Bullish
Price defended the strong support and printed a higher low structure.
Sustained closes above 3,300 maintain the bullish outlook.
🔸 Near-Term Resistance:
3,365–3,390 remains the immediate supply zone to monitor for breakout attempts.
🔸 Key Support:
The 3,246–3,250 area continues to be the primary downside line in the sand.
🔹 Special Note – 4th July US Bank Holiday
Trading volumes were notably lighter on Thursday, 4th July, due to the US Independence Day holiday. This contributed to reduced liquidity and muted volatility, with many traders and institutions off desks. The thinner market conditions likely influenced the late-week pullback and consolidation, as participation was limited heading into the weekend.
🔹 Sentiment & Outlook
The decisive rebound from support suggests that buyers are defending value zones aggressively. However, failure to close the week above 3,365 leaves gold vulnerable to another retest of mid-range levels if fresh catalysts don’t emerge.
Traders should watch for:
A clean breakout above 3,365 to confirm continuation higher.
Any sustained weakness below 3,300 as a signal of fading bullish momentum.
🧭 Next Week’s Focus:
Monitoring whether the consolidation evolves into accumulation or distribution.
Watching for a breakout or deeper pullback
Reactions to upcoming economic data
EMA alignment: If the 15 EMA continues to track above the 60 EMA, it supports a bullish bias.
Chart Notes:
The main chart highlights this week’s action, while the inset provides a fortnight overview of the broader decline and recovery for context.
Thank you for your time and your support...
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Gold lures shorts, mainly depending on the rebound.On Monday, the gold market rebounded. The root cause was that Trump sent tariff letters to 14 countries at one time. Even allies such as Japan and South Korea were not spared and were subject to high tariffs of 25% to 40%. This "extreme pressure" trade method instantly ignited the market's risk aversion sentiment. Funds poured into gold, pushing up gold prices. The market quickly saw through the "routine". On Tuesday, Trump extended the tariff deadline from July 9 to August 1. This delay was seen as a signal of "surrendering" under trade pressure, and trade tensions were eased. The safe-haven demand dissipated like a receding tide, and gold was sold off violently, plummeting by $35 in a single day, a drop of more than 1%, and the lowest fell to $3,287.2 per ounce.
On Tuesday, the price of gold showed a trend of rising and falling. It reached a high of 3245 in the morning and then gradually fell. It fell to 3287 and then stopped falling and rebounded. As it failed to break through the key resistance level of 3345 and the price continued to be unable to stand firm on the middle track, the bulls' rebound momentum was insufficient. Yesterday's daily line closed with a large Yin line in the engulfing pattern. This K-line combination indicates that the gold price may continue to fall today. The focus below is on the support strength near the lower track 3280. The upper resistance level needs to pay attention to the 3320-3330 range. Today's daily closing is crucial. If the real big Yin line continues to close, it may drive the Bollinger Band to open downward and further open up the downward space; if the closing can stand above 3330, the short-term downward trend may end and the market is expected to restart the rise. From the weekly perspective, the gold price showed an obvious oscillation pattern this week. After rising on Monday, it fell back on Tuesday. The bulls and bears fought fiercely but failed to gain a decisive advantage. Although the current market is weak, the price is close to the important support area. In terms of operations, it is recommended that under the premise of controlling risks, you can now pay attention to the opportunities to buy on dips in the 3295-3285 area.
Start buying gold, a rebound may come at any time!Gold is undoubtedly weak at present, and bears have the upper hand. However, since gold touched the 3290-3280 area, gold bears have made more tentative moves, but have never really fallen below the 3290-3280 area, proving that as gold continues to fall, bears have become more cautious.
From the perspective of gold structure, multiple technical structural supports are concentrated in the 3285-3275 area, which makes it difficult for gold to fall below this area easily. After gold has failed to fall below this area, gold is expected to build a short-term bottom structure with the help of multiple supports in this area, thereby stimulating bulls to exert their strength and a rebound may come at any time.
Therefore, in the short term, I do not advocate chasing short gold; instead, I prefer to try to find the bottom and go long gold in the 3290-3280 area; but we should note that because gold is currently in an obvious short trend, we should appropriately reduce the expectation of gold rebound, so we can appropriately look at the rebound target: 3305-3315 area.