XAUUSDG trade ideas
Gold (XAU/USD) Takes a Breather – Is a Breakout Brewing?Gold remains in a tight consolidation on the 4-hour chart after its historic run to $3,431. Price is trapped in a clear rectangle between ~$3,280 and ~$3,360:
📦 Sideways range suggests indecision after the massive bull run
🔵 50 SMA holding as dynamic support
📉 MACD is flat but trying to cross higher
📊 RSI hovering near neutral at 50 – neither overbought nor oversold
Watch for a break above $3,360 to reignite bullish momentum toward record highs. A break below ~$3,280, however, could signal deeper mean reversion toward trendline or the 200 SMA near ~$3,140.
Patience is key — the next move could set the tone for May.
-MW
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 4/29/2025In my weekly forecast, I expected initial drop for first few days of the week and reverse at the last few days. However, yesterday 3270 was proven to be a strong support, which was tested four times for the past few days. This means correction is over, we have entered another bull's ride.
I am looking to buy from 3320-3330.
1st target 3370, if broken, it will open door for 3500 or even another ATH.
It is advisable to adopt a short-selling approach.Today, gold opened and rebounded to a maximum of around 3,336 before falling back. As of now, gold has touched the bottom again, with the lowest point reaching around 3,368 before rebounding. In our actual trading, we directly entered a long position at around 3,280 - 3,283. The long position has now been closed with a profit at around 3,394. Currently, although the price of gold has rebounded after hitting the bottom, everyone should not think that this rebound means a change in the trend. The overall trend is still to take short positions on rebounds
If your current gold trading performance is not satisfactory and you hope to avoid detours in your investment, you are welcome to communicate and exchange ideas with us!
XAUUSD 28/4/25We're continuing with the same bias we held last month. Right now, gold is probably the easiest pair to trade. Any system that signaled a buy would’ve performed well over the past six months. Price has been trending strongly, making gold one of the most consistently gaining assets.
We're anticipating this momentum to continue, especially as there's a cluster of highly liquid lows surrounding the low formed on Friday. If that low is swept, I expect a clean push to the upside—one that should be relatively easy to follow. Should we get that move, our targets remain the intermediate highs and the long-term high already marked on the chart. We're watching for price action to deliver a clear expansion.
Of course, a deeper pullback is also fine. If our system gives us a long signal, we’ll take it—regardless of the recent COT data showing a reduction in gold long positions. Those positions are still relatively high compared to other assets, so the upward trend is still likely to continue for now.
Remember, fundamentals heavily influence gold’s price action, especially news tied to the USD this week. Stick to your trading plan, manage your risk, and let Orion lead the way.
Gold - $3,500 All-Time High! When Will The New Highs Form?It's been a good run throughout 2025 with little to no drawdown week in, week out. Only 3 bearish weekly closures in 2025 but i believe we wil be seeing a few more of them as the Dollar Index is starting to pivot.
On a lookout for low hanging fruit PD arrays; 1st point of interest is $3,260 with the overall draw to $3,193 - $3,167 being the stretch target
Gold short-term adjustment riskTechnical analysis of gold: The strong rise of gold in the early trading session is indeed a bit surprising. We have to think about whether gold has reversed? Or is it just a rebound? However, gold is under pressure from the moving average resistance, and the sharp rise in the early trading session is often easy to rush high and fall back. Gold 3365 continues to be short, and it falls and harvests as expected. Now it seems to be just a rebound, but the rebound is a little larger.
From the daily level, gold rose strongly during Tuesday's trading, touched the key price of 3500, then fell under pressure and finally closed with a negative line. This trend of rushing up and falling back shows that the upper selling pressure is heavy, and the bulls are strongly blocked by the bears at high levels. Immediately afterwards, gold continued to fall on Wednesday and closed with a negative line again, forming a technical pattern of two consecutive negative lines. This continuous decline further confirms that the short-term bears dominate.
From the 4-hour gold chart, the price of gold has been fluctuating and falling since it was under pressure at the 3500 level. The current price has fallen back to the 3260 level, with a short-term decline of 240 US dollars. Although there is a rebound during the day, the upward trend is currently destroyed. The MACD indicator has issued a death cross change signal, suggesting that the correction trend may have started. Pay attention to the pressure effect of the 3368 level during the day. For the current market, the rebound is just a flash in the pan, and gold has rebounded again, reaching a maximum of 3367 before retreating. It is currently maintained at around 3330. In fact, the market is currently at a loss for long and short positions, and is unable to withstand its huge fluctuations. For the morning's high and fall, we support it according to the shock retracement. If the European session rebounds again near 3358-60, continue to try to short, the target is around 3320-10, and the loss is 3370. The market amplitude is so drastic that I need to strictly implement good operating habits, try with a light position, strictly stop loss, and don't have a fluke mentality! On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and to buy on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3368-3370 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3260-3285 line of support.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: When gold rebounds around 3358-3360, short sell (buy short) in batches, 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3320-3300, break the position and look at 3260
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: When gold falls back to around 3260-3265, buy long positions in batches (buy up) of 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3300-3330, break the position and look at 3350
XAU/USD at a Critical Juncture: Uncovering the Key Levels for ApHere is the technical analysis of the gold/US dollar (XAU/USD) pair on the daily timeframe for today, April 18, 2025, identifying key support and resistance levels based on the latest available data:
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🔹 Current Price:
The price of gold reached an all-time high of $3,357.40 per ounce, driven by growing concerns about tariffs, which Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell described as "much larger" than expected, leading to slower economic growth and higher inflation.
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📊 Technical Analysis (Daily Timeframe):
• Overall trend: Upward, with higher highs and lows, indicating continued positive momentum.
• Moving Averages: The price is trading above all major moving averages, including the 20-day simple moving average at $3,114.60, supporting the uptrend.
• Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI remains in the overbought zone, which could indicate a potential short-term price correction.
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🔻 Key Support Levels:
1. $3,317.20 – Immediate support reflecting a previous high.
2. $3,305.65 – Medium-term support.
3. $3,292.80 – Additional support reflecting a previous consolidation zone.
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🔺 Key Resistance Levels:
1. $3,335.00 – Current resistance that was recently tested.
2. $3,350.00 – Important psychological resistance level.
3. $3,375.00 – Potential resistance if the upward momentum continues.
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⚠️ Additional Notes:
• Technical indicators are showing overbought signals, which could lead to a short-term price correction.
• In the event of a correction, the above-mentioned support levels may be potential entry points for investors.
• Upward momentum remains intact, but it is advisable to closely monitor technical indicators to identify appropriate entry and exit points.
Gold Drops $200 in Hours – Panic or Opportunity? 📌 Gold Plunges $200 – Volatility Surges Amid Fed Signals and Market Panic 🔥📉
📰 What Just Happened?
Yesterday, gold (XAU/USD) experienced one of its sharpest intraday drops in recent months, tumbling from the all-time high around $3,500 to as low as $3,318, losing nearly $200 in just a few hours.
This marked a significant correction following an extended bullish trend.
🔍 Key Drivers Behind the Crash
Fed-related commentary spurred aggressive profit-taking across the market.
The USD staged a technical rebound, exerting downward pressure on gold.
Rapid sentiment shifts triggered panic selling and liquidation flows.
🧭 What’s Next for Gold?
The $3,300–3,320 zone is now a crucial support — if this level holds, a technical recovery could unfold.
However, a break below $3,300 may expose gold to deeper downside targets near $3,250.
⚠️ Strategic Considerations
This is a high-volatility environment — flexibility and strict risk management are key.
Current sentiment is fragile. Unpredictable political headlines and mixed Fed signals are adding to the uncertainty.
In the latest development, Trump clarified he has no intention to fire the Fed Chair and hinted that China’s tariffs could be eased slightly — but not eliminated. These mixed messages continue to create sharp swings in price.
📊 Trade Plan
🔻 SELL ZONE #1:
Entry: 3,378 – 3,380
Stop Loss: 3,384
Take Profits: 3,374 → 3,370 → 3,366 → 3,362 → 3,358 → 3,350
🔻 SELL ZONE #2:
Entry: 3,408 – 3,410
Stop Loss: 3,414
Take Profits: 3,404 → 3,400 → 3,396 → 3,392 → 3,386 → 3,380
🟢 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3,292 – 3,290
Stop Loss: 3,286
Take Profits: 3,296 → 3,300 → 3,304 → 3,308 → 3,312 → 3,316 → 3,320
The priority remains to sell into rallies near resistance while the downtrend unfolds. All trades should be protected with tight stop-losses, given the current unpredictability.
🧠 Key Takeaways
This is not a market for guessing — wait for price confirmation at key zones.
Focus on reaction zones, not forecasts.
Stay light, stay nimble, and manage risk carefully — news-driven volatility is at its peak.
💬 How are you positioning in this volatile gold market? Waiting for the bounce or selling the rallies? Let us know below! 👇👇👇
4/23 Gold Trading StrategyGold saw a sharp decline from 3500 to around 3360 yesterday, and our selling strategy delivered significant returns.
Over the weekend, Trump stated he has no intention to fire Powell and hinted at easing trade tensions. This quickly dampened market risk aversion, causing gold to plunge at the open today to near 3320. The downward momentum remains strong.
In this kind of market, flexibility is key. A sharp drop is usually followed by a rebound, but the strength of that rebound is what matters. Technically, the potential bounce is estimated at around $50, but whether the price continues to rise or resumes its decline will depend on how the market digests the news.
Technical levels (excluding news impact):
Key resistance: 3410–3440
Key support: 3328–3303
Considering the news:
Key resistance: 3346-3372
Key support: 3298–3268
Trading Strategy for Today:
Sell between 3410–3440
Buy between 3297–3267
Trade flexibly within 3386–3332 / 3296–3328
Gold Ideas - XAUUSD Weekly Outlook | April 28, 2025🧠 Quick Outlook:
Gold remains locked in a corrective range after its aggressive rally to new all-time highs.
Price is currently consolidating between major liquidity zones, preparing for its next big move.
However, growing geopolitical risks — including rising Middle East tensions and potential currency interventions out of Japan — could trigger safe-haven flows, especially during Asia session volatility.
While the high timeframe structure remains bullish above the 3220–3235 pivot,
the immediate tactical focus is on the 3340–3365 zone, where key liquidity battles are unfolding.
🔥 Major Zones to Watch:
Resistance 3380–3395 Major supply and flip zone — strong liquidity cluster
Resistance 3350–3360 Minor local resistance — potential bull trap area
Support 3260–3280 Critical intraday support and liquidity pocket
Support 3220–3235 Last pivot standing to maintain bullish structure
⭐Tactical Focus This Week:
🎯 Will Gold reject or conquer the 3380–3395 stronghold?
🎯 Will 3350–3360 act as a stepping stone or a snare for early buyers?
🎯 Are buyers prepared to defend the 3260–3280 liquidity pocket with real force?
🎯 What happens if 3220 collapses?
Patience and sniper discipline will make the difference this week, as Gold approaches critical decision points and major news.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
🖊️ If these insights help you refine your trading plans, give us a boost and follow GoldMindsFX on TradingView. Let's grow together! 🛡️
Gold Updates - Friday April 25🔔 Friday Market Prep | Key Gold Zones Only
Microstructure whispers. Friday price action bites.
Friday is notorious for:
Low-volume traps after London lunch;
Dealer sweep games;
Profit-taking volatility;
And “just because” fakeouts to set up Monday gaps;
We don’t predict—we prepare. These are the zones that matter going into NY session.
🔴 SELL INTEREST ZONES
• 3362–3372 - HIT today gave 700+ pips profit✅
🔁 Proven supply—hit twice already, high reactivity
🧠 Only valid on LTF confirmation for re-entry
• 3384–3393
🔁 HTF imbalance + OB trap zone
🧠 Ideal for NY fakeout spike
• 3410–3415
🔁 Premium OB + liquidity grab zone
• 3450–3457
🔁 Untouched HTF OB + stop hunt territory
🟢 BUY INTEREST ZONES
• 3278-3288
📍 Support pocket – OB + below Asia low
• 3250–3260
📍 Deep OB + structural base
• 3224–3233
📍 HTF EQ + reactive demand sweep zone
🧐 Friday is not for heroes—it’s for hunters. Watch for the sweep ➝ shift ➝ confirm before touching anything.
Let Gold make the first move. We respond.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Gold shocks pull the trend towards the bearish side!Gold market trend analysis:
Gold technical analysis: You should have seen the exaggeration of gold, right? Gold has also experienced several major ups and downs in history, but this time is definitely one that can be recorded in the history books. The daily lines in the past few months are very exaggerated, and the rise and fall range is unprecedented. Just today's Asian market, a simple dive is dozens of points. This is the market. The market is always right. We need to respect it the most, rather than blindly look at it subjectively. Surviving in such a big market is the most important thing. Many times, the fluctuation of gold is basically not related to technicality. We try to follow the direct pursuit mode in operation, and we can catch big profits in such a big market. Last week, the weekly line closed with a big tombstone, the weekly line top appeared, and the air force appeared. In May, gold will at least adjust to around 3,000.
The above is the 4-hour pattern, which is repairing below the moving average. If the bulls break 3370 again, there is a possibility of rising again. Otherwise, gold will adjust deeply again. This wave of adjustment is at the weekly level. The daily pattern is also turning into a peaking mode. Note that the rise and fall of gold is not based on technical aspects, but more on fundamentals and big data, as well as the impact of tariffs. Without these influences, we will be bearish this week. If the decline of the big C wave continues, the target will be 3230 (the half point of the entire April rebound) in turn. 3165 is the Fibonacci 61.8 position of the callback and also the previous high point, which is easy to form a rebound. Today's gold focuses on two major suppressions, one is the hourly suppression around 3300, and the other is 3315 and 3328, both of which are opportunities for air forces. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to short on rebounds and to buy on pullbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3298-3300 resistance line, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3265-3260 support line. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set stop loss strictly, and do not resist single operation. The specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday trading. Welcome to experience, exchange real-time market conditions, and follow real-time orders.
Gold 100% Profit SignalGold has retreated from $3,500, is the price near a top? Possibly. But I wouldn't sound the alarm bells just yet. This is most likely due to some regular profit-taking. The high indicators are more of a warning than a call to arms. Rather than "get out of here," it's more of a "stay alert."
At present, the initial support below is in the 3405-3400 area. Further down are the two key support levels of 3380 and 3357. 3380 is the support level near the middle track of the 4-hour level, and 3357 is an important top and bottom conversion position in the previous period. These two positions still provide strong support for the future market rise. At present, the 4-hour level high has closed in a bearish pattern of Yin engulfing Yang engulfing, and the K-line is negative. The short-term is expected to improve and fall back. Short-term operations will mainly rebound from high altitudes. Pay attention to the resistance near 3435 and 3450 on the top and do not break the air. Pay attention to the support near 3408-3400 on the bottom. If it breaks, adjust the position and continue to look at 3380.
Gold long cross Yin star hintsAt the operational strategy level, it is recommended to implement a dynamic short position layout based on the strength of the rebound: if it rebounds to the 3330-3372 pressure zone, you can choose to enter a short position based on the K-line pattern and momentum indicator, and strictly set the stop loss above the pressure level; the effectiveness of the two major support levels of 3300 and 3270 needs to be monitored below. If there is no physical break in the above-mentioned area when it falls back to the above-mentioned area, and accompanied by the cooperation of long volume, you can consider switching to a long strategy after the support platform stabilizes, forming a two-way response framework of shorting at pressure levels and going long at support levels.
XAUUSD - LAST WEEK on APRIL 2025The correction phase in the gold price movement has occurred in the past few days.
With the current Price Action, we can conclude that there is already strong support for the gold price.
The price have a high probability to make a NEW ATH.
And this is the last wave 5.
Target : 3525-3530
Have a good luck !
The Fed's dilemma keeps gold prices dormantAt the daily level, this decline pierced the 10-day moving average and rebounded. Yesterday, the U.S. market fell to a low of 3306, which happened to be close to the 10-day moving average. It can be seen that the effectiveness of the 10-day moving average support has become the key to today's market. In the short term, we can rely on the 10-day moving average to continue to see a shock rebound. If today's rise breaks through and stabilizes the 5-day moving average, then this wave of adjustment will be over, and the market will return to a strong position again. If the 10-day line is lost, the market will be at risk of accelerating its retreat to 3228.
In the short term, at the 4-hour level, the market showed signs of stopping the decline and stabilizing at 3260. The K-line is currently above the moving average, but it has not stood firmly above the middle Bollinger rail, which is not an extremely strong state. Below the middle rail, we can still see adjustments at high altitudes. If it falls downward, pay attention to 3315 and 3306, near last night's lows, and look for a rebound. In the short term, operate in the 3306-3356 range, focus on the strength of the European session and then arrange the US session.
XAUUSD It's most important week in 5 years.Gold (XAUUSD) hit last week the multi-year Higher Highs trend-line that has been in effect since the July 04 2016 High. Last time it had a rejection on it was on August 03 2020 when the market started the last 2-year Bear Cycle.
The current 1W candle has opened above this Higher Highs trend-line, so the week is of utmost importance as a closing below it maintains the pattern and the bearish Cycle Top bias, while above it jeopardizes invalidating it.
If as a result, the market closes the week below it and remains within the Fibonacci Channel Up, we may indeed be on Leg (4) peak and our Target will be near the 0.382 horizontal Fibonacci level at 2700 towards the end of the year. If not, we will see what new pattern is created and adapt accordingly (updates will follow).
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Gold's second bottoming out shows a range, Layout direction!Gold fell back after reaching a high this week, and the highest reached 3500, which was under pressure. The weekly line finally closed with a Yin cross star. It is expected to be a wide sweep range next week, and the overall range will remain at 3370-3260. After breaking through, it will follow the trend. The daily line has bottomed out and rebounded, and the rebound strength is also strong. Finally, it closed with a long lower shadow Yin line. The repeated sweep of hundreds of points is still the main tone. There is no clear direction signal. The upper pressure is around 3348. If the rebound continues at the opening next week, pay attention to this position. If it breaks through, look at 3370-80. Pay attention to the support below 3288 and 3260. Treat it as a shock in operation, and try to participate in the band near the key position!
Operation suggestion: Gold is long near 3285-95, and look at 3325 and 3248! Shorting is possible if the upper 3248 pressure is not broken!
XAUUSD Sells on possible tariffs reduction on ChinaFX:XAUUSD
XAUUSD
✏️Gold has rose roughly 30% since Trump took office in Jan 20 early this year, trading at about 2,700 per ounce, to highest at 3,500 on 22 April. Price has recently also reacted off the 0.79 fibre zone, giving a fantastic reaction upside, but failed to break above the HTF Resistance.
🔖Trump recently has also mentioned that he would not fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell, and we could see him lowering his 'tough guy' attitude towards China. On his recent speech in the Oval Office he said “I'm not going to say, oh I’m going to play hardball with China, I’m going to play a hardball with you, President Xi”, and “we’re going to be very nice”.
📌On the other hand, a White House official mentioned about possible reduction of the 145% tariffs to less than half of its current charges. Note that, this happened before the China's foreign ministry spokesperson Guo JiaKun clarified that the two countries had not held any negotiations on the tariffs, and reached to any agreements. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent did mention about the rates being 'unsustainable', as well as Powell warning about Trump's tariffs worsening inflation and slowing the economy. From these sources, we could perceive it as, the US may desperately need the negotiations with China, than vice versa.
📌As mentioned by Radomski ( news article referred below), we could be experiencing the ‘Buy the Rumour, Sell the News' effect, where investors sought to buy low risk investment products, such as Gold at the beginning of the year due to expected tariffs implementation and trade wars, and selling safer investment products when they see better opportunities. Rarely, we experience ATHs after ATHs without significant corrections. Therefore in this scenario, we could expect at least a few % of short term correction in the near future.
Let me know what you guys think!
🔗Sources: www.investing.com
www.reuters.com
spectrumlocalnews.com