Gold (XAU/USD), 4H chart setup/ChannelGold (XAU/USD), 4H chart setup:
🔍 Technical Analysis:
1. Downtrend Channel (Past Price Action):
The chart shows a clearly defined descending channel (two white trendlines).
Price respected the channel structure until a bullish breakout occurred.
2. Breakout Confirmation:
Price broke above the upper boundary of the descending channel.
This breakout suggests a potential bullish reversal or at least a retracement move upward.
3. Demand & Supply Zones:
A demand zone is visible below the breakout point, acting as a support base.
The price is currently interacting with a minor supply zone (resistance) where sellers may emerge temporarily.
A projected pullback (dotted yellow line) is shown before price continues upward — indicating a plan for a retest and continuation.
📈 Trade Setup:
Long Trade Idea is clearly illustrated:
Entry: Around current levels after a minor pullback or confirmation breakout.
Stop-Loss: Below the demand zone (likely around 3,150–3,180).
Take-Profit: Very ambitious — TP set near 3,406–3,408, well above recent highs.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Appears to be 1:4 or higher, which is excellent.
📌 Pattern in Play:
The current setup follows a “Break – Retest – Continuation” logic.
The market broke out of the bearish structure, now preparing for a possible higher high formation.
Classic reversal structure supported by bullish engulfing candles and volume pickup.
🧠 Conclusion:
Pattern: Bullish breakout & retest (early stages of trend reversal).
Bias: Bullish as long as the price stays above the demand zone.
Trade Plan: Wait for confirmation from the pullback or enter after a solid bullish candle breaks above the supply zone.
XAUUSDG trade ideas
Trade Idea : XAUUSD LONG (BUY LIMIT)✅ Trade Bias: Long (Buy)
⸻
🔍 Technical Analysis Summary
📈 Daily Chart
• Trend: Strong uptrend with recent consolidation after an extended move higher.
• MACD: Bullish momentum cooling but still positive — histogram declining slightly.
• RSI: Neutral zone at 55.90, indicating room to the upside before overbought levels.
⏱ 15-Minute Chart
• Trend: Pullback followed by a strong bullish continuation. Price is making higher highs and higher lows.
• MACD: Strong bullish crossover; histogram expanding upward.
• RSI: 62.34 — not yet overbought, signaling continuation potential.
⏱ 3-Minute Chart
• Price Action: Bullish structure holding above short-term moving average.
• MACD: Bullish crossover in early stages with histogram turning positive.
• RSI: 66.22 — nearing overbought but not signaling immediate reversal.
⸻
🌐 Fundamental Context
• Gold is supported by:
• Persisting inflation concerns.
• Geopolitical risk premium.
• Expectations of rate cuts by the Fed in the coming quarters.
There are no immediate bearish catalysts. The macro backdrop favors gold strength, especially as the USD shows some weakness.
⸻
🎯 Trade Setup: Long XAU/USD
• Entry (Buy): 3320.00
• Slight pullback toward previous resistance-turned-support and short-term MA confluence.
• Stop Loss (SL): 3295.00
• Below recent intraday swing low and support zone; protects against false breakout.
• Take Profit (TP): 3370.00
• Previous high extension zone, aligning with momentum continuation projection.
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Textbook Trendline Flip: Is Gold Ready for the Next Leg Up?Gold continues its strong uptrend after a textbook breakout and retest of a multi-year trendline. The price previously faced multiple rejections from this rising trendline, but has now flipped it into strong support — a key bullish signal.
What’s more, a horizontal resistance zone has also been reclaimed and is now acting as support, further validating bullish strength. This confluence of former resistance levels turning into support suggests that buyers are firmly in control.
As long as the price holds above this structure, the path of least resistance remains to the upside — with the potential for new all-time highs in the coming weeks.
"Gold Short Opportunity: Clean 1:4 RR Setup from Resistance"I’m eyeing a short trade on Gold (XAUUSD) with a high reward-to-risk opportunity.
Entry: 3225
Target: 3171.4
Stop Loss: 3238.4
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:4
The price is approaching a key resistance zone, and I expect a bearish rejection. A clean risk-defined setup makes this trade attractive. Watching for confirmation via candle patterns or volume spikes before full entry.
This is not financial advice — just sharing my view. Good luck and trade safe!
XAUUSD 30 MINUTEThe chart you've shared shows a bearish rising wedge pattern on the 30-minute Gold (XAU/USD) chart. Here's a breakdown of the setup:
Pattern: Rising wedge – typically bearish, especially after a downtrend.
Entry Point: Marked near the top of the wedge, around 3205.
Projection: The price is expected to break down from the wedge and fall toward the support zone near 3160.
Stop Loss: Indicated just above the wedge, near 3218.
Target: Around 3160, offering a good risk-to-reward ratio.
This setup suggests a short trade based on technical analysis. The idea is to enter the trade at the breakdown from the wedge for a potential move lower.
Let me know if you'd like the trade parameters (entry, stop loss, take profit) calculated or a follow-up chart.
Gold Late-Session Trading Strategy, May 16📊Before the US market today, the gold price rebounded rapidly after falling to 3154, indicating that there is obvious buying support at this position. The first wave of rebound quickly pulled up to 3185, with a unilateral increase of more than 30 US dollars, and the rebound strength is considerable.
📊It should be noted that this rapid rise is often accompanied by emotional fluctuations and is not suitable for blindly chasing the rise. We still adhere to the principle of "more watching and less action", and should be more cautious in short-term operations, and do not try swing trading easily. If you already have a position, it is recommended to seize the existing profits and avoid greed that may lead to profit taking.
📊From the technical structure, the gold price fell back after breaking through the first wave of rebound high 3185 in the evening, and fell back to the lowest level of 3171, and then rebounded again, indicating that the short-term support in this area is effective. Currently, we focus on the breakout of 3185:
🔶If 3185 is effectively broken and stabilized at night, the space above it is expected to open up, and the gold price may test the resistance of 3200-3205. This area is also an important short-term short position layout opportunity;
🔶If 3185 fails to break through effectively, there is still a possibility of a decline, and the short-term adjustment will continue
✅Intraday trading strategy
🔰Gold Sell: 3200-3205, Stop Loss: 5-8$
Target: 3170-3150, if it breaks, look to 3120
🔰Gold Buy: 3120-3123, Stop Loss: 5-8$
Target: 3155-3170, if it breaks, look to 3190
✅Trading strategies are time-sensitive. We will provide members with real-time and accurate trading strategies based on market changes. Short-term trading requires flexibility, timely adjustment of positions, strict risk control, and ensuring that you are not affected by large fluctuations.
XAUUSD: Sell or Buy ?Hello everyone! Great to see you again in today’s market update.
At the time of writing, gold continues trading in positive territory, having gained over 400 pips compared to yesterday. The metal is currently hovering around $3,341.
The main driver behind this surge is China’s strong buying activity. In April, the country’s gold imports jumped by 73% month-over-month, reaching 127.5 tons – the highest level in the past 11 months.
In addition, the U.S. dollar remains under pressure due to unresolved global trade issues and fresh concerns related to taxation, both of which are contributing to gold’s recent bullish momentum.
XAUUSDGold kicks off the week with a strong bullish move — and the same applies to BTC, which is now getting very close to its all-time high.
Gold is also showing impressive strength, so despite being on a lower time frame, I’ve decided to activate a Buy position on XAUUSD.
🔍 Trade Details:
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 3308.62
✔️ Take Profit: 3315.25
✔️ Stop Loss: 3304.20
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I'm sharing a trade I'm personally taking based on my own strategy, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 If you're interested in a systematic and data-driven approach to trading:
💡 Follow the page and enable notifications to stay updated on future setups, analysis, and strategic insights.
Gold rebound height is limited, short goldTechnical aspects:
Gold has failed to make a major breakthrough in the recent rebound process, and the rebound height has been limited to a smaller and smaller level. Overall, gold is now in a state of shock and short position; as the center of gravity of gold shifts downward, the current short-term resistance is in the 3220-3230 area; and gold has tested downward many times recently, which makes it easier for gold to fall below 3200. Once gold falls below 3200 again, it is very likely to extend to 3190, or even around 3160.
Trading strategy:
Consider starting to short gold in batches in the 3220-3230 area, TP: 3205-3195
GOLD Tap & Turn DownGOLD – Fragile Recovery Faces Dual Pressure
Gold shows mild recovery following a week of losses, yet upside remains capped. Dollar softness and Moody’s U.S. downgrade offer tailwinds, but elevated bond yields and optimism over potential U.S. trade deals act as brakes.
Traders await Fed remarks and developments in U.S. trade talks. Despite fiscal worries and weak data that could buoy gold, any breakthrough on trade might quickly flip sentiment.
Key zones:
Resistance – 3257, 3265
Support – 3206, 3153
A failed breakout above 3265 followed by a pullback below 3257 may signal a momentum shift, opening the door for deeper losses.
Buy gold, it is expected to hit 3280-3290Fundamentals:
1. Focus on the speeches of Fed officials;
2. Pay attention to Trump's calls with Putin, Zelensky and others;
Technical aspects:
Gold continued its rebound momentum today, but failed to break through the short-term resistance area of 3250-3260 many times. However, after multiple tests, it will become easier to break through this area.
According to the current structure, gold rebounded from around 3120, and then built a secondary low point structure around 3154. Today, during the Asian session, it built a structural retracement area around 3206 again. As the low point is continuously raised, an obvious bullish structure is formed in the short term. For short-term trading, we can start to try to go long on gold based on the structural form; if gold successfully breaks through the 3250-3260 area, gold will continue to the 3280-3290 area, or even the area around 3320.
Trading strategy:
Consider going long on gold after gold retreats to the 3225-3215 area, TP: 3250-3260
XAUUSD – Market Update & Daily Plan May 14, 2025🧠 Macro Outlook – Eyes on Thursday
CPI is done. The next major catalyst? A full lineup of USD data + Powell speaking tomorrow, Thursday, May 15.
📊 Key Events – May 15 (NY Session)
🟩 Core PPI m/m → Forecast: 0.3% (prev. -0.1%)
🟩 Retail Sales m/m → Forecast: 0.0% (prev. 1.4%)
🟩 Core Retail Sales m/m → Forecast: 0.3%
🟩 Unemployment Claims → Forecast: 229K
🟧 Empire State + Philly Fed Manufacturing Indexes
🔴 ⚠️ Fed Chair Powell Speaks
This is not a light news day. It’s a full macro storm. Expect strong reactions from gold depending on how inflation, retail demand, and Powell’s tone align.
🔍 Market Flow – Price Action Overview
Gold remains in a retracement phase after bouncing cleanly from 3215–3225.
It’s now consolidating at 3244–3252, a mid-range supply zone. Above this, we track a clear mitigation path toward untouched OBs and FVGs.
No structure has broken cleanly to confirm bullish reversal yet — so we remain reactive, not predictive.
🧱 Sniper Mitigation Map
🔢 📍 Zone ⏳ Status ⚙️ Reason
1️⃣ 3244–3252 🔄 In play Mid-range supply zone currently in test
2️⃣ 3280–3288 ❗Unmitigated M30 OB + inefficiency pre-CPI
3️⃣ 3315–3320 ❗Unmitigated Asian session FVG / Gap
4️⃣ 3330–3338 ❗Unmitigated H1–H4 bearish OB (key reversal area)
5️⃣ 3350–3360 ⚠️ Only if structure shifts Upper OB — reserved for extreme flow
📌 Key Technical Zones
Zone Type Level Context
✅ Demand Zone 3215–3225 Confirmed post-CPI bounce zone
🔄 Active Supply 3244–3252 Current area of compression
🟧 M30 OB 3280–3288 Clean bearish OB not yet tested
🟥 FVG Magnet 3315–3320 Asia imbalance likely to attract price
🟥 HTF OB 3330–3338 Valid HTF reversal supply
⚠️ Upper OB 3350–3360 Only if 3338 breaks with strength
🧠 How to Use This Plan
Watch what price does at each zone, then build your own plan based on confirmations like BOS, CHoCH, rejection wicks, or liquidity sweeps.
Scenarios:
Tap & reject 3288? → Short scalp idea back to 3244
Break above 3288? → 3315–3320 becomes next magnet
Strong reaction at 3330–3338? → HTF sell zone in play
Powell hawkish? → Gold likely pressured down from OBs
Powell dovish? → Price may reclaim above 3338
📣 Final Note
Thursday = 🔥 Macro Meltdown Day 🔥
Powell + inflation + retail data = high-probability moves. Let price lead. Don’t force early entries into chop.
💛 Appreciate clean, structured levels?
📲 Follow GoldFxMinds for daily updates — no fluff, just structure and timing.
— GoldFxMinds ✨📉
“Gold Surfer – Is Wave 5 About to Begin?”📈 This daily Elliott Wave analysis of the gold market (XAUUSD) tracks the impulsive advance from the September 2022 low ($1614). We now stand at a critical juncture: has Wave 4 completed, opening the path for Wave 5?
🔹 **Aggressive Scenario:** If the correction (ABC) is over, a new bullish Wave 5 could take gold first toward the $3884 zone, and potentially to expanded targets of $4126–$4275.
🔹 **Conservative Scenario:** If the correction continues, alternate patterns (flat, triangle, or complex correction) may still unfold. However, as long as price holds **above $3120**, the bullish wave structure remains valid.
🔻 **Invalidation Level:** $3120.86
🟢 The wave structure so far aligns with Elliott’s classic principles, and the bullish momentum still has room to unfold.
– Patterns whisper. I listen.
– Mr. Nobody 🎧📊
XAUUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce OffBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently testing our buy entry at 3150.51, a pullback support.
Our take profit will be at 3212.38, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss will be placed at 3085.81, a pullback support.
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Gold will close upper gapThe upper gap is still wide open, the potential for gold to rise to 3330 to close the gap is very large, on small timeframes the base is formed, and if we pull back in this area a base is also formed, this is the characteristic of gold that I have observed for a long time, if there is a base drop at past prices then at this price the base rallies, most likely after this base is a rally as well, this illustrates the analogy as if the market traps traders who are against the direction with the formation of the base then he will take the opposite direction but the increase is still far away. But it's quite tricky too because usually it doesn't immediately break the base but there will be a fake breakout first upwards even though the direction is indeed upwards but the price is made as if he fake breakout upwards and invited the sellers to counter trend first.
to overcome this I take a buy stop or buy on strenght to let the price make a fakeout to the top first or can take a buy in the middle of the base area.
Buy stop
3290
SL: 3270 (200 pips)
TP: 3330
X1: GOLD/XAUUSD Buy Risking1% to make 2% X1:
Risking 1% to make 2%
GOLD/XAUUSD Long for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Note: Manage your risk yourself, its risky trade, see how much your can risk yourself on this trade.
Price may bounce back down from TP-3.
If First Trade SL hit: I will enter again as 2nd trade given.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
"XAU/USD Bearish Structure Developing Below Resistance"Gold price showed a sharp upward movement but faced resistance near the 3212–3220 zone. After forming a lower high, the structure appears to be setting up for a potential downside move.
The market seems to be respecting a descending channel and if the current resistance holds, we could see further continuation toward the 3120–3122 support area. Volume spike during the drop also indicates possible seller strength.
This is an educational analysis based on price structure and market behavior.
Feel free to share your thoughts or give a boost if it aligns with your view.
🔍 Key Points:
Resistance Area: ~3212–3220
Current Price Reaction: Forming lower highs
Target Zone: 3120–3122 (support)
Pattern: Bearish flag or channel
Volume: Increased on downside move – shows selling pressure
GOLD is supported short, trend is bearishThe bargain-hunting wave has supported OANDA:XAUUSD in the short term. In addition, weaker-than-expected US CPI in April, cooling expectations for a Fed rate cut, a fall in the US Dollar Index from a one-month high, and geopolitical concerns have all provided bullish momentum for gold. Spot gold was trading in a narrow range in early trading on Wednesday (May 14), currently trading around $3,245/ounce.
Inflation data
Data from the US Labor Department, a key indicator of Federal Reserve policy, released on Tuesday showed that the CPI rose just 0.2% month-on-month in April, below the expected 0.3%.
This mild inflation report is like a tonic, injecting new life into gold prices. This data will not hinder the Fed's interest rate cut, and the market generally expects the Fed to cut interest rates again in September.
It is worth noting that while inflationary pressures are not high now, inflation could pick up again in the coming months as the impact of tariffs becomes clear. Such expectations are prompting many investors to turn to gold as an inflation hedge.
On the same day on Tuesday, Do Nam Trung once again called on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates
On Tuesday, Trump reiterated his call for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, saying that the prices of gasoline, groceries and “almost everything else” are falling.
Geopolitics: “Safe Haven Fire”
In addition to economic factors, continued tensions in the global geopolitical situation also provide strong support for gold. The possible face-to-face talks between Ukrainian President Zelensky and Russian President Putin are fraught with uncertainty, and despite a temporary ceasefire in the India-Pakistan conflict, the underlying tensions between the two sides have not changed. These uncertainties mean that gold still has the potential to rise in price once market risks suddenly occur.
Looking Ahead: Gold’s Challenges
Looking ahead, gold faces three key variables:
• First, the further progress of the Sino-US trade talks. Although the two sides have reached a 90-day truce, the comprehensive tariff policy remains in effect.
• Second, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy direction. A soft performance in inflation data could pave the way for a rate cut.
• Finally, global geopolitical risks, especially the developments in the Russia-Ukraine peace talks and the India-Pakistan conflict.
There is relatively little economic data on the trading day. US Secretary of State Rubio will attend the informal meeting of NATO foreign ministers from May 14 to 16 to discuss NATO security priorities, including increased defense spending and ending the Russia-Ukraine war. In addition, several Federal Reserve officials will speak, which investors should pay attention to.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold is still trading in a narrow range with short-term conditions leaning towards the downside with the main pressure from the EMA21.
However, the downside momentum is currently limited by the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level, which is also the nearest support. If gold is sold below $3,228, it will have the prospect of continuing to decline with the next target around $3,163 in the short term.
For gold to resume its uptrend, the necessary condition is that the price action needs to be pushed above the EMA21 and break above the raw price level of 3,300 USD.
Although the main trend from the price channel has not been broken yet, the short-term outlook for gold is bearish, and the notable positions will also be listed as follows.
Support: 3,228 – 3,200 – 3,163 USD
Resistance: 3,245 – 3,292 – 3,300 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3284 - 3282⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3288
→Take Profit 1 3276
↨
→Take Profit 2 3370
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3165 - 3167⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3161
→Take Profit 1 3173
↨
→Take Profit 2 3179
An Unharmonious Outlook for the New WeekGold Bullish? Sure, go ahead, but let me explain where we are and so on... 🤔
1. Newswise 📰
Tariffwar:
Trade tensions between the U.S. and China have intensified following President Trump's tariff hikes. The U.S. increased tariffs on Chinese imports to 145%, while China retaliated with tariffs up to 125% on U.S. goods. Despite these escalations, both countries have engaged in high-level negotiations in Geneva, aiming to de-escalate the situation. However, a recent abrupt withdrawal by the Chinese delegation has cast doubt on the progress of these talks. Analysts caution that even if an agreement is reached, it may offer only temporary relief, leaving markets exposed to prolonged trade tensions.
Federal Reserve does not cut interest rates:
President Donald Trump has been vocal in his criticism of the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged, calling Fed Chair Jerome Powell a “fool” for not lowering them. 😡 Trump argues that with falling energy prices, stable employment, and low inflation, the Fed should cut rates to stimulate economic growth. 📉
The Federal Reserve, however, remains cautious. 🏦 Officials have expressed concerns that recent tariffs could increase inflation, making premature rate cuts risky. They emphasize the need for clearer economic data before making further policy adjustments. 🧐
In summary: While Trump pushes for immediate cuts to boost the economy, the Fed is taking a measured approach, prioritizing long-term stability over short-term political pressure. ⚖️
War in Ukraine remains tense:
Western leaders, alongside President Zelensky, are calling for a 30-day ceasefire starting May 12. Russia has shown a willingness to negotiate but demands an end to Western military aid — a condition firmly rejected. 🚨
Conclusion: The coming days will be critical. A ceasefire could open the door to new peace efforts. If rejected, expect tougher sanctions and further escalation. 💥
India–Pakistan Conflict:
Tensions between India and Pakistan have escalated sharply following a militant attack on Indian tourists in Kashmir on April 22, 2025. India responded with airstrikes, prompting mutual accusations of missile and drone attacks. 💣 Despite a U.S.-brokered ceasefire announced on May 10, violations followed within hours. Both countries, nuclear-armed, have mobilized troops along the Line of Control. ⚔️ Global powers — including the U.S., U.K., China, and G7 — have urged restraint and offered to mediate. 🌍
2. Technicalwise 📊
1h Timeframe – Bearish Anti-Gartley Pattern
15m Timeframe – Bearish Anti-Butterfly Pattern
That’s not a sign of gold being bullish in the short term. 🚫
Let’s take a look at RSI values across timeframes:
- 5m – 31 – Down ⬇️
- 15m – 37 – Down ⬇️
- 30m – 43 – Down ⬇️
- 1h – 45 – Down ⬇️
- 4h – 46 – Down ⬇️
- 1d – 55 – Up ⬆️
Interpretation of RSI Values 🧐
5m to 4h (31 to 46 – all “Down”)
→ These low RSI values (below 50) across short- to mid-term timeframes indicate ongoing selling pressure and downward momentum. Although not yet in oversold territory (<30), this still signals relative weakness. ⚠️
1d (55 – “Up”)
→ On the daily chart, the RSI is above 50 and rising, suggesting a possible trend reversal or early signs of recovery — a bullish signal over the longer term. 📈
Overall Meaning 🧠
This points to short-term weakness within a broader potential uptrend. The market is soft on lower timeframes — likely in correction or consolidation — while the daily chart begins to show strength. It's a classic pullback setup in an uptrend. 🔄
Possible Strategy Consideration 💡
If you're leaning bullish, look for reversal signals on the smaller timeframes to align entries with the daily trend — such as RSI divergences or breakouts above local resistance. 📊
My Bias 🤔
Bearish sentiment dominates in the short term. Over the next week, I aim to enter short positions targeting $3,200. 📉
If sentiment shifts or key news emerges, a target of $3,400 becomes more realistic. 🚀
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊