XAUUSDG trade ideas
Volatile, Bearish Bias: Gold Trend Analysis & Trading TipsThe market is in a volatile trend with a bearish bias. Analysis of the gold market trend and trading suggestions
On Tuesday (April 29th), spot gold plummeted😲. Current price: 3306.49, down 1.14%. Opened at 3341.30, high of 3348.36, low of 3299.68
News in Brief
Trump's tough moves keep failing in the financial market😔. Bond market turmoil forced him to delay tariffs. Stock, bond & dollar slumps made him drop the Fed chair firing threat. His trade war "maximum pressure" strategy backfired against a major Asian nation💥. With losses piling up, he may cut tariffs. Legal battles at home are also mounting⚖️. Policy uncertainty could boost gold, but Fed rates or a soft landing might weigh on prices⏳.
Technical Analysis of Gold: After hitting 3500, gold declined😕. The current low is at 3260, which hasn't been broken in three daily trading days. With the pattern of alternating bull and bear candles, it's a clear wide-swing market😣. Don't chase trades as there's no continuity; it just moves back and forth.
On the daily chart, the trading range shifted from 3380-3260 last week to 3260-3330 but rebounded last night, returning to the wide range😲. The alternating bull-bear pattern makes the trend unsustainable these days. Today, the 5-day MA crossed below the 10-day MA, yet the opening price was above the 5-day MA, a divergence🤔. So, a downward correction was expected below 3332. Now there's a small bearish candle, and a small one with a long lower shadow may follow😏.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@3330 - 3320
🚀 TP 3300 - 3280
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
XAUUSD Play: Buy the Dip, Sell the Rip Gold (XAUUSD) Tactical Play: Intraday Long into 4H Premium, Then Position for Higher Timeframe Short
Higher Timeframe (4H + Daily Context) :
1. Daily Chart Bias :
Long-term bullish trend, but now expecting a mean reversion (correction) toward long-term averages (discount area).
2. Current Behaviour :
Price has aggressively rallied over the past weeks, but now it's likely moving into a larger correction phase.
3. 4H Structure :
- 4H Demand Zone (around 3,250–3,300) is still holding — price showed strong reactions after tapping it.
- 4H overall flow shifted bearish after a BOS, but internal structure inside 4H suggests a pullback toward premium levels.
Key Supply Zones Above:
• First Supply : 3,380.962 (4H + 15M alignment)
• Second Supply : 3,410.365 (strong 4H supply)
Internal Structure (15M) :
Current Observations:
1. 15M structure showed a CHoCH to the upside after tapping into the 4H demand — clear internal strength.
2. Entry zone marked in 15M purple zone (small demand refinement).
Expectation:
Price will retrace a little, tap the 15M purple zone, then push upward toward higher liquidity pools.
Targets for the Long Trade:
• First TP : The recent liquidity highs around 3,380.962 (first 4H supply).
• Second TP : 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) closer to 3,410.365.
Thanks for your Time..
GOLD BUY The overheated Gold rally looks to be in need of some further cooling. Traders look to be buying into the rumors that a trade deal between the US and China could come very soon, despite China coming out contradicting those rumors. The risk here could be that markets are misinterpreting the US semantic on whether they are “talking” or “negotiating”, and that no deal is done anytime soon with possibly a revisit to $3,500
Looking at technical levels, the daily Pivot Point at $3,335 is the first upside and intraday level that needs to be reclaimed. The R1 intraday resistance saw a small attempt for a test in very early opening this Friday, coming in around $3,381. Further up, Gold price could extend the rally to the R2 resistance at $3,414, surpassing the $3,400 handle.
XAUUSD H2 Idea, Aligned with weekly view XAUUSD& SILVER—Risk-On Mood Pressures Prices, Fed Easing Eyed
- Gold and silver prices experienced downward pressure during Friday’s Asian trading session, as a resurgence in risk appetite prompted investors to move away from safe-haven assets. Gold (XAU/USD) fell from an early high of $3,370 to $3,316, while silver (XAG/USD) dipped near $33.44, though it maintained support above $33.18.
- This shift in sentiment was influenced by positive developments in U.S.–China trade relations. Reports indicated that Beijing is considering suspending its 125% tariff on select U.S. goods, and President Trump confirmed ongoing negotiations, with the White House noting progress.
- Additionally, stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data contributed to the decline in precious metal prices. Durable goods orders surged 9.2% in March, surpassing expectations and bolstering the U.S. dollar, which in turn weighed on gold.
Despite these factors, the outlook for gold and silver remains influenced by expectations of Federal Reserve monetary policy. Investors are closely monitoring upcoming U.S. economic indicators, such as the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, for further clues on potential Fed easing.
Buy Setup on GOLD (XAU/USD)🔹 Buy Setup on GOLD (XAU/USD)
I'm anticipating a bullish move after price tapped into a strong demand zone between 3257–3275. We had a clear rejection from this area, suggesting potential accumulation and buyer interest.
📈 Entry: Around 3275
🎯 Target (TP): 3337
🛑 Stop Loss (SL): 3257
💰 Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:3
XAUUSD – Bullish Reversal Setup Near Support🟦 Chart Context:
Type: Intraday (likely 15m or 1h timeframe).
Indicators Used:
EMA 50 (Red): 3,316.497
EMA 200 (Blue): 3,316.332
Current Price: 3,312.650
🔍 Technical Analysis:
1. Trend & Moving Averages:
EMA Crossover (Bearish): The 50 EMA is slightly above the 200 EMA, but both are flat and converging, suggesting a neutral to slightly bearish short-term sentiment.
Price below both EMAs indicates bearish pressure in the immediate term.
2. Key Zones:
Resistance Zone: 3,355 – 3,370
Price was previously rejected from this zone, indicating strong supply and likely sell orders.
Support Zone: 3,295 – 3,305
Price has bounced here multiple times, suggesting active buyers.
Strong Support: 3,265 – 3,275
A broader and more historically respected area that could lead to a significant reversal if tested.
3. Price Action:
Currently forming lower highs and lower lows, which is a classic sign of short-term weakness.
A small descending triangle appears to be forming near the support level (bearish bias), but the drawn forecast suggests a potential fakeout breakdown followed by a bullish reversal.
4. Expected Scenario (as per chart projection):
Price might dip briefly into the 3,295–3,305 support, triggering liquidity grab (stop hunts).
A potential bullish rally towards the 3,355–3,370 resistance zone is expected.
This suggests a buy-the-dip strategy near support with tight risk management.
📈 Trade Outlook:
🟢 Bullish Bias:
If the support at 3,295–3,305 holds and price reclaims the 200 EMA convincingly.
Target: 3,355–3,370 resistance zone.
🔴 Bearish Bias:
If price breaks below the strong support (3,265), expect continuation lower.
Downside targets would then extend towards 3,240–3,250.
✅ Conclusion:
Current bias: Neutral to short-term bearish unless the lower support holds.
Key action zone: Watch price reaction around 3,295.
Strategy suggestion: Monitor for a bullish reversal signal at support; avoid chasing trades in the middle of the range.
Gold still has a chance to reboundCurrently, gold's bulls and bears are still oscillating within a large range. The key pressure above and the upper edge of the range are maintained near 3365-70, while the lower edge of the large range and the support are maintained near 3260. It is very likely that there will be multiple shocks and choices within this range again.
Gold retreats to around 3302-00 during the day, go long, target around 3330-50, stop loss 3295.
XAU/USD 15M CHART PATTERNTechnical Analysis – Rising Wedge Bearish Pattern
The price action has recently formed a rising wedge, a classic bearish reversal pattern often observed after a sustained uptrend. This pattern is characterized by converging trendlines, where both the support and resistance lines slope upwards, but the support line rises at a steeper angle. It indicates weakening bullish momentum and growing selling pressure.
Breakdown Confirmation: The wedge has broken to the downside, confirming the bearish bias. The volume profile also supports the move, with a noticeable spike in selling volume during the breakdown — a key validation signal for the pattern.
Target Projection: Using the height of the wedge at its thickest point and projecting it downward from the breakdown zone, the calculated target price is 3234. This aligns with previous support zones, adding further technical significance to the target level.
Conclusion:
Pattern: Rising Wedge (Bearish)
Breakdown: Confirmed
Target: 3234
Bias: Bearish unless price reclaims the upper boundary of the wedge
Traders should monitor for potential retests of the breakdown level as resistance, which can provide a low-risk entry for short positions. Always consider volume confirmation and set stop-loss levels appropriately to manage risk.
Gold Is Setting Up for a Second Leg HigherOn the chart, we can see that price is holding above the recent lows at 3,291 and 3,314. At this stage, a purple consolidation zone has formed, with higher lows compared to the previous structure. All factors currently point toward a move up into the 3,386–3,367 range.
This outlook would be invalidated if price drops to the lower boundary of the purple consolidation.
GOLD RISKY LONG|
✅GOLD will soon retest a key support level of 3260$
So I think that the pair will make a rebound
And go up to retest the supply level above at 3323$
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short gold after the rebound!Fundamentals:
1. First, focus on Trump and the Fed’s dynamics;
2. Pay attention to whether geopolitical conflicts escalate, including the situation between India and Pakistan, Russia and Ukraine, and the situation between the United States and Iran, etc.
Technical aspects:
Although gold once rebounded from around 3267 under the circumstances of the ADP data being significantly positive, reversing the downward trend in the short term. However, the recent rebound high of gold only stopped at around 3330, and multiple top turning points were built in the 3320-3330 area, which greatly limited the height of gold’s rebound and further the bearish sentiment in the market. Therefore, I think the area around 3260 is not the low point of this round of decline. I think gold is very likely to continue to fall and continue to the 3240-3230 area, or even lower.
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold when it rebounds to the 3315-3325 area, and expect gold to fall below 3260 and completely open up the downward space!
GOLD - XAUUSD 15M Chart - Trading SignalXAU/USD – SCALPING BUY OPPORTUNITY
OANDA:XAUUSD
Direction: BUY Entry: 3320.00
Take Profit 1: 3323.00
Take Profit 2: 3330.00
Take Profit 3: 3340.00
Stop Loss: 3302.00
- Today, we are looking for a scalping opportunity on Gold (XAU/USD) .
The market is currently moving within a tight range, offering quick in-and-out setups. With global economic uncertainty on the rise, Gold remains a preferred asset for investors worldwide. Its role as a safe haven makes it especially attractive during periods of volatility and political tension. Gold as an asset is historically known for its ability to retain value over time, acting as a hedge against inflation, currency fluctuations, and broader market downturns. It is widely traded by both institutional and retail investors for portfolio protection and short-term speculation. In this setup, we are capitalizing on the short-term bullish momentum within the scalping range , targeting successive take profit levels while keeping risk controlled with a stop loss at 3302.00.
Is gold rising or falling?In 1 hour, after gold price fell below the two key positions of 3356 and 3285 today, the support moved down to around 3245. Although there was a rebound in the US market, it is likely to go to the range of 3228 to 3245 before rebounding, so the support references are 3260 and 3245; the end of the market is bearish, and the steady operation is to enter short orders near 3320 to protect the area near 3330. Of course, you can enter short orders near 3310 to see if it can reach the range of 3260 to 3245. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is mainly to short on rebounds, and to go long on pullbacks.
Short order strategy; short gold rebounds near 3313-3315 in batches, with a target of around 3280-3270, and a break to see the 3260 line;