Gold bulls and bears compete for non-agricultural dataTechnical aspects:
Currently, gold is in a typical ascending triangle structure, reflecting that the market bullish trend has not been broken but faces strong resistance. On the daily chart, gold as a whole maintains a range of $3250 to $3400, with obvious horizontal support and resistance bands formed at both ends of the range.
The Bollinger Bands are converging as a whole, indicating that volatility is shrinking, indicating that the large-scale direction selection is approaching. The green column of the MACD indicator has narrowed slightly, and the short-term momentum is still bearish but there are signs of weakening. The RSI indicator runs around 49, maintaining a neutral and bearish state, and there is no obvious deviation in the short term, suggesting that there is still the possibility of subsequent shocks and consolidation.
XAUUSDG trade ideas
XAUUSD Daily Analysis – Bearish BiasGold tapped a key level at 3,339, sweeping liquidity above before showing signs of exhaustion. A Change of Character (Choch) confirms potential reversal. If price respects this Bearish POI, we could see a drop back to 3,248 support. Watch for a TS (tap and shift) before continuation.
I will update you with trade setup so stay update
#Gold #xauusd #Forex #Dailyanalysis #bias #Goldbias
GOLD - SHORT TO $2,800 (UPDATE)We've seen s sharp move back up overnight which is no surprise considering we are at the start of a new month & quarter. Markets will be spiking to both sides for monthly liquidity, before moving in the direction of the trend.
We're still holding below our yellow support zone & below 'Minor Wave 2'. If this continues to hold, then it'll be a good sign for sellers.
XAU / USD 30 Minute Chart Hello traders. All I can say is KABOOM. 100 pips in profit on this microlot sell trade. I am, as of this writing closing 75% of the trade's profit, moving my stop loss to my entry point (break even) and leaving a runner ( the remaining 25% of the trade) running. What a day. Big G gets all my thanks. Be well and trade the trend. I am very thankful that my analysis was pretty spot on.
XAUUSD GOING SHORTGOLD has recently broken its last low, shifting market structure (CHOCH) and indicating sellers are currently in control. This break opened up 2 clear Supply Zone above — a small base or last bullish candle before the drop — which is a key area where unfulfilled sell orders may be resting.
Price is likely to retrace back into these Supply Zone to fill those orders. Once it reaches this area, we expect selling pressure to resume and push price downward, honoring the imbalance left by the drop.
Entry:
I’m looking to sell from this Supply Zone on a pullback,
This lets me enter at a premium price while trading in direction of the newly established downward momentum.
Target:
The first Target Profit (TP) is set at the next Demand Zone below, where buying pressure might emerge. This Demand Zone is a key area to watch for a reversal or a temporary halt in downward momentum.
Stop Loss:
To control risk, the Stop Loss (SL) is placed just above the Supply Zone.
If price climbs above this area, it would invalidate the Supply’s ability to hold, signalling a potential reversal.
✅ Summary:
• Market has shifted to bearish after breaking last low.
• Supply Zone above is a key area to watch for selling opportunities.
• Sell upon retracement into Supply, with Stop Loss above and Target at Demand below.
XAUUSD_1WWorld Gold Analysis
Long -term frame time
Eliot wave analysis style
The market is in five waves of climbing and we are expected to be in the 4th wave, with the main and important number being $ 3333, and if the price is maintained as a resistance, it will continue to reform and move to $ 3000, which can be modified for up to 3 months and enters the next wave on October 5, 2025. As a wave 5 and move toward $ 3888.
The original number $ 3333!
GOLD SHORT TRADE IDEA ! Gold Looking For Sell On Order Block Zone 3331/3334 Target Will Be 3300
Gold Sell Second Zone Bearish Engulfing + Fresh Supply Target Will Be 3275
Gold Sell First Zone OB H1 (3331/3335
Stoploss - 3345
Tp Levels - 3325,3320,3310,3300
Gold Sell Second Zone Bearish EG + Fresh Supply (3338/3344)
Stoploss - 3350
TP levels : 3330; 3322; 3314; 3330, 3290
XAUUSD Market Maker Playbook – Learn How the Game Is Rigged🎓 XAUUSD Market Maker Playbook – Learn How the Game Is Rigged
Traders—if you think this market is some pure, fair supply/demand mechanism, you’re getting played.
Market makers run sophisticated pump and dump cycles designed to trap you.
Today, I’m going to break down exactly how they do it, so you can start trading like a sniper, not a sheep.
🔍 Understanding the 3 Manipulation Zones
🟢 GREEN ZONE: Accumulation Range (3286–3300)
Purpose:
Market makers quietly build positions.
They create an illusion of neutrality—small candles, tight ranges.
Signs:
Repeated tests of the same level.
Volume stays steady (not exploding).
Wicks in both directions (so nobody knows who’s in control).
🟡 YELLOW ZONE: The Pump Phase (3300–3330)
Purpose:
Trigger breakout traders.
Induce FOMO buying.
Clear out short stops above the range.
Signs:
Quick impulsive candles with LOW RELATIVE VOLUME.
Price blows through resistance but struggles to hold.
Social media and news start calling “Bull Run.”
🔴 RED ZONE: Distribution & Dump (3330–3350)
Purpose:
Offload large positions into retail buying.
Leave traders trapped at the highs.
Signs:
Spikes of huge volume as price stalls.
Rejection candles (long upper wicks).
Big delta shifts negative (sellers hitting bids hard).
⚔️ How the Market Maker Sequence Works
Here’s how the trap gets set:
1️⃣ Accumulate in Green Zone
Build inventory while convincing everyone “nothing is happening.”
2️⃣ Pump into Yellow Zone
Push price up just enough to trigger momentum traders.
Keep volume deceptively low—so it looks sustainable.
3️⃣ Sell in the Red Zone
Dump big positions into the buying frenzy.
Flip the tape bearish—fast.
Watch as the herd gets stopped out or bag-held.
🎯 Tomorrow’s Possible Plays
✅ Scenario 1 – Classic Pump & Dump
Phase 1: Grind in 3286–3300.
Phase 2: Spike to 3335.
Phase 3: Dump back to 3260.
✅ Scenario 2 – Fake Breakdown Reversal
Phase 1: Slam price to 3250, triggering panic selling.
Phase 2: Accumulate aggressively.
Phase 3: Rip price back to 3320, trapping shorts.
✅ Scenario 3 – Slow Grind Liquidation
Phase 1: Drift up in low volume toward 3330.
Phase 2: Distribute over several hours.
Phase 3: Liquidate longs into NY close.
📚 How YOU Can Spot This Manipulation
Here’s your checklist—save this:
✅ Volume vs. Price Analysis
Big price moves WITHOUT proportionate volume = FAKEOUT.
Big volume at tops/bottoms = Institutional distribution or accumulation.
✅ Delta Confirmation
Positive delta = buyers aggressive.
Negative delta = sellers slamming bids.
Watch for divergence (price up but delta down = hidden selling).
✅ Candlestick Clues
Rejection wicks.
Engulfing candles at key zones.
Multiple failures to break past a level.
✅ Timing
London open and NY open are prime manipulation hours.
Thin liquidity in Asia can exaggerate moves.
💡 Pro Tip:
“The crowd chases price. The professionals track volume, delta, and timing.”
— Technical Analysis and Stock Market Profits
🚀 Stay sharp. Think like a market maker. Trade like a predator.
#XAUUSD #MarketMakerEducation #ForexTrading #PriceAction #LearnT
Gold's rally has not reversed yet? The consolidation pattern hasTechnicals:
Short-term risks remain skewed to the downside as the momentum of the relative strength index (RSI) and the moving average convergence divergence indicator (MACD) weakens. The RSI hit a new low below the neutral 50 mark. If short pressure intensifies in the next few trading days, gold prices may retest the upper track of the previous falling channel at 3215, followed by the rising support line from October 2024 at 3150. If it falls below this level, the decline may accelerate towards the psychological level of 3000, or even lower to 2970.
On the upside, if a strong catalyst pushes gold to rebound above the 20-day and 50-day moving averages (currently 3320-3350), the next resistance level may appear in the 3400-3435 range. A decisive close above this boundary may pave the way for gold prices to move towards 3500, or test resistance near 3530, and then may target the 3600 level.
Overall, despite the weakening technical indicators, gold has not completely lost its bullish reversal potential. As long as the price remains within the sideways structure above 3150, the downward pressure may still give rise to a "buy on dips" strategy.
Bullish bounce off major support?XAU/USD has bounced off the support level which is an overlap support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,265.39
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 3,121.15
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 145% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 3,344.54
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Will gold be corrected or revoked next?1. What happened yesterday
As expected, Gold started to rise after finding support at 3250. The move up played out perfectly, reaching the resistance area highlighted in yesterday’s analysis — around 3320–3340.
________________________________________
2. The key question today
Is this just a correction in a bearish trend, or the start of reversal?
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3. Why I remain bearish
• On the weekly chart, structure still leans bearish
• On lower time frames, the bounce looks corrective — not impulsive
• No breakout above 3360 yet, which would be needed to shift the bias
• A move back below 3320 would likely trigger renewed selling
• If that happens, 3250 could be tested again quickly
We need to respect the bounce — but not overreact to it.
________________________________________
4. Trading plan
My bias remains bearish as long as price stays under 3360.
However, if we get a daily close above 3360, I’ll pause and re-evaluate the short bias. The market would then be signaling a potential trend shift.
________________________________________
5. Final thoughts
This is a key moment for gold. We’re at resistance zone but not broken above yet.
Until proven otherwise, the trend remains down — and rallies into 3340 zone should be considered selling opportunities.
XAUUSD Update 29th JUNE 2025Last week, pullback has reached 62% fibonaci.
It have an opportunity to continue the correction in to 3205 support or more lower at 3190 level support.
So we need to becarefull on next week and we looking for a reversal / rejection signal from the market as a confirmation.
We need to give our attention to a fundamental data also. If there is a big news on war / geopolitical or global economic in July, we could be more convidence about gold price direction.
If 3155 lose...it would be more deep, but it would be unlikely.
Have a good luck !
P.S : If you agree, Boost it
Market next target ⚠️ Disruption Analysis – Gold (1H):
🔹 Pattern Disruption Identified:
The chart previously followed a descending structure with lower highs and lower lows, confirming bearish momentum.
However, a temporary recovery (small bullish correction) appears after a sharp drop, disrupting the previous flow.
---
🔄 Disruption Points:
1. Break in Momentum (Structure Shift):
The recent bullish correction (small upward leg) challenges the consistency of the descending trend.
It signals a potential pause or trap in the current bearish move.
2. Price Rejection Area:
Price attempted to bounce but failed to break above the previous lower high, indicating bearish strength remains intact, but is facing disruption from short-term buyers.
3. Volatility Spike:
The long wick on the recent candle shows a volatility disruption, likely due to economic news or high-impact events (suggested by the ⚡ icon on the chart).
4. Target Zone Disruption:
Though the yellow arrow points toward a bearish target, the slight upward pullback adds uncertainty about whether price will reach that level immediately.
Xauusd Expecting Selling movement Gold XAU/USD on the 15-minute chart shows a clear rejection from a key resistance zone near $3332 $3335 marked by the blue rectangle Price initially spiked into this zone but quickly reversed forming a bearish engulfing pattern highlighted with a red circle indicating strong selling pressure
Following this rejection the market structure shifted to lower highs and lower lows suggesting the beginning of a bearish continuation pattern A temporary pullback occurred but failed to break above the previous swing high reinforcing bearish sentiment
Projected Move
Price is currently forming a descending pattern and is expected to break lower
Target 1 $3312 a key support and previous consolidation level.
Target 2: $3295 a stronger support zone highlighted by the black box likely the final bearish target if momentum continues
Conclusion
As long as the price remains below the resistance zone bearish momentum is favored. A clean break below $3312 could accelerate the drop toward the second target Watch for confirmation with bearish candlesticks and volume near support levels
Gold Price Analysis – Bullish Momentum Holds Above FVGs🧠 Chart Breakdown:
Instrument: Gold Spot (XAU/USD)
Timeframe: 1H
Current Price: $3,340
Trend: Short-term uptrend intact
🔑 Key Observations:
Ch.o.Ch Confirmed (Change of Character):
The break above the previous structure high confirmed a bullish market structure shift.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
Multiple FVGs exist between $3,320 – $3,335, acting as potential demand zones and support levels.
Fibonacci Retracement:
Price is respecting the 0.382–0.5 levels ($3,336 – $3,330) well so far.
Below this, the 0.618 level at $3,325 is the next strong confluence zone.
Trendline Support:
The price is testing a rising trendline, adding dynamic support around the current level.
Ichimoku Cloud:
Price is above the cloud, which supports the bullish bias.
Conversion line (blue) and base line (red) are bullishly aligned.
📉 Possible Next Moves:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
Price bounces from current levels or slightly lower ($3,336–$3,330) and retests the recent high (~$3,355).
Breakout above $3,355 could open the door to $3,370+.
⚠️ Bearish Scenario:
If price breaks below $3,330 and the trendline, expect deeper pullbacks to:
$3,325 (0.618 Fib)
Then possibly $3,308 FVG support or $3,258 major demand zone.
📌 Conclusion:
Gold is still respecting bullish market structure with healthy pullbacks into support zones. As long as the price stays above $3,325, the bullish outlook remains valid. Watch for bullish reaction near the FVGs or a break above $3,355 to confirm upside continuation.
July 2, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunityAnalysis:
Yesterday’s rally was extremely strong, breaking above 3351, a key level I’ve been watching this week — clear sign of bullish dominance.
The swing from recent lows to highs has spanned over 100 points, a move similar to past NFP weeks, where strong rallies early in the week sometimes led to sharp drops post-NFP release.
However, it’s important not to trade based on assumptions or dreams — strategies must adapt quickly to real-time price action and data.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3375 – Resistance
• 3365 – Resistance
• 3358 – Yesterday’s high
• 3350 – Resistance
• 3337 – Important support
• 3325 – Key support
• 3310–3312 – Intraday key support zone
• 3300 – Psychological level
📈 Short-Term (15m) Trading Strategy:
• SELL if price breaks below 3340 → watch 3337, then target 3335, 3330, 3325
• BUY if price holds above 3344 → watch 3347, then target 3350, 3352, 3355
👉 If you want to know how I time entries and set stop-losses, hit the like button so I know there’s interest — I may publish a detailed post by the weekend if support continues!
Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Always trade with caution and manage your risk.
GOLD - at CUT n REVERSE area? Holds or not??#GOLD ... Perfect holdings of our upside resistance area that was actually 3357
And now market just at his current ultimate supporting area, that is 3336-37
Keep close that area and if market thold it in that case we can expect again bounce otherwise not.
NOTE: we will go for cut n reverse below 3336-37
Good luck
Trade wisely
XAU / USD 2 Hour ChartHello traders. We had a nice push up during the overnight sessions. I would think that we will be pushing back down at some point. I marked my area of interest. Many times the NY session will undo what happened overnight. So I expect a nice push down. We may poke up a bit more, but for me, I am looking for scalp sells if the set up comes to fruition. This is just my speculation and idea but not advice to go clicking the buy or sell button. I will wait half the week to take one trade. BIg G gets my thanks. Let's see how things play out. Pre NY volume start coming in about 20 minutes from this writing. ( 7:20am est) Thanks for checking out my chart. Remember I said we may push up a bit more but I am looking for gold to potentially move down to correct the move up and take out anyone in Long positions in profit. Let's see if my analysis is on point today.