Gold Approaches Key Reversal Zone After Liquidity Sweep.Gold has recently broken out of a parallel channel during the New York session, followed by a strong upward move triggered by the NFP (Non-Farm Payroll) news event. Currently, the market is trading near a key trendline resistance zone. In this area, the price has also swept the liquidity residing above recent highs, indicating that potential buy-side liquidity has been taken out.
This level now becomes critical for observation. If the market forms a Market Structure Shift (MSS) or provides any valid bearish confirmation — such as a strong rejection candle, bearish engulfing, or a break of lower timeframe support — then there is a high probability that a downward move may follow from this zone.
As always, conduct your own research (DYOR) and wait for price action to confirm the bias before executing any trades. Acting on confirmation rather than assumptions protects both capital and strategy.
XAUUSDG trade ideas
Gold continues to go long in the 3280-3300 range.Gold continues to go long in the 3280-3300 range.
Today, we remain firmly bullish on a bottom in the 3280-3300 range.
On August 1st, the Federal Reserve, while keeping interest rates unchanged, acknowledged slowing economic growth, triggering a repricing of expectations for a rate cut.
This led to a rebound in gold prices, but of course, this was just a pretext for the price increase.
Recently, gold prices experienced a four-day decline (July 23-28), falling from $3431 to $3268, as progress in trade negotiations and a rebound in the US dollar dampened safe-haven demand.
Non-farm Payrolls
Here are the key takeaways:
Today's US July non-farm payrolls data (expected to increase by 110,000, compared to 147,000 previously) will determine expectations for a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
A weak reading (e.g., below 100,000) could push gold prices back towards $3,400;
A strong reading (above 150,000) would remain bearish for gold. Gold prices continue to decline, and we are long in the 3280-3300 range.
Today, we remain firmly bullish on gold bottoming in the 3280-3300 range.
On August 1st, the Federal Reserve, while keeping interest rates unchanged, acknowledged slowing economic growth, triggering a repricing of rate cut expectations in the market.
This led to a rebound in gold prices, but of course, this was just a pretext for the price increase.
Recently, gold prices experienced a four-day decline (July 23-28), falling from $3431 to $3268, as progress in trade negotiations and a rebound in the US dollar dampened safe-haven demand.
Non-farm Payroll Data
Here are the key takeaways:
Today's US July non-farm payroll data (expected to increase by 110,000, compared to 147,000 previously) will determine expectations for a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve. A weak reading (e.g., below $100,000) could push gold back to $3,400.
A strong reading (above $150,000) would continue to be bearish for gold.
Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations
Key Levels:
Support:
$3,270 (100-day moving average)
$3,248 (June low);
Resistance:
$3,300 psychological level
$3,340 (21-day/50-day moving average crossover).
Trading Strategy:
Short-term:
1: If the price holds above $3,300, initiate a long position with a target of $3,330-3,350.
2: If the price falls below $3,270, a drop to $3,248 is possible.
3: Focus on the key watershed at $3,300
4: Key Point:
As long as the gold price is above $3,300, I believe it's a good time to buy the dip. Following the upward trend in gold prices is a very wise choice.
As shown in Figure 4h:
The potential for gold prices to rebound is becoming increasingly clear.
The lower edge of the wide fluctuation range is slowly stabilizing.
GOLD BEARISH BIAS|SHORT|
✅GOLD broke the rising
Support line which is now
A resistance and the price
Is retesting the line now so
We are locally bearish biased
And we will be expecting a
Local move down
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GOLD H4 | Could the price reverse from here?XAU/USD is reacting off the sell entry at 3,382.85, which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 3,432.37, which is a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 3,333.65, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD, August 4, 2025📊
🔍 Momentum Analysis:
D1 Timeframe: Momentum continues to rise strongly. It's expected that the price will keep rising for at least two more trading days, pushing the momentum indicator into the overbought territory, reinforcing the current bullish trend.
H4 Timeframe: Momentum is showing signs of a potential bearish reversal, indicating a possible corrective pullback during Monday’s trading session.
H1 Timeframe: Momentum is strongly bullish, especially evident from the powerful upward move on Friday. Price may continue rising at the open of the Asian session, potentially creating a Gap. However, caution is advised, as this Gap could signal exhaustion.
📌 Wave Pattern Analysis:
Given Friday's strong price action, the primary scenario currently favors wave 3 within the 5-wave bullish structure (12345 – black). However, we cannot entirely eliminate the possibility that this is wave C within an ABC corrective structure (black).
Presently, the price is forming a smaller 5-wave bullish structure (blue), likely in the final wave 5. Attention should be paid to two critical target zones:
🎯 Blue Wave 5 Targets:
• Target 1: 3368
• Target 2: 3385
⚠️ Next Scenario:
Upon completing the blue 5-wave structure, a corrective move downward will occur.
• If the correction does not break below 3315, the larger 5-wave bullish structure (12345 – black) is confirmed, and the price will continue upward to complete black wave 5.
• If the correction breaks below 3315, the structure shifts to an ABC corrective pattern (black), increasing the likelihood of a deeper decline to complete the larger corrective wave C (red).
🧩 Combining Momentum & Wave Analysis:
• D1 momentum strongly supports the continuation of the bullish trend.
• H4 momentum forecasts a short-term bearish correction on Monday, aligning with the formation of wave 4 correction.
• H1 momentum suggests the possibility of a Gap at Monday's Asian session open, marking the beginning of a corrective pullback as momentum reverses.
🎯 Short-term Trading Plan:
We will trade the current blue wave 5 with the following limit order plan:
✅ Sell Limit Zone: 3385 – 3387
⛔️ Stop Loss (SL): 3399
🎯 Take Profit (TP1): 3368
🎯 Take Profit (TP2): 3355
📌 Note:
The detailed trading plan for capturing the larger wave 4 correction (black) will be updated once sufficient evidence confirms the completion of the blue wave 5.
Happy trading, everyone! 🚀
GOLD – SMC STRUCTURE, ORDERFLOW & MACRO SENTIMENTGOLD – SMC STRUCTURE, ORDERFLOW & MACRO SENTIMENT | Clinton Scalper | 1H Chart Breakdown
XAUUSD is now respecting a textbook Smart Money structure, following the Sweep → CHoCH → BOS → Reaccumulation model. But beyond the technicals, this week’s macro backdrop is offering perfect alignment for a bullish continuation.
🌐 MACRO & NEWS BACKDROP – Fundamental Drivers
Last week’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data came in worse than expected, signaling weakness in the labor market and reducing pressure on the Fed to remain hawkish.
USD weakened sharply, helping gold surge as expected from our OB zone.
This week, markets await:
ISM Services PMI (likely soft, adding to USD weakness)
🔎 Smart Money is capitalizing on macro softness to reposition aggressively before inflation data hits.
📌 1. Liquidity Engineering – EQH & EQL Zones
Multiple EQHs and EQLs have been engineered across the structure.
Each EQH (equal high) is a liquidity target.
Each EQL (equal low) serves as a retail trap before Smart Money drives price in the intended direction.
This structure confirms heavy manipulation and accumulation phases.
🧠 2. CHoCH → BOS – The Confirmation Shift
CHoCH at 3,329 and BOS breakout confirm the change in character and strength of bullish interest.
Price aggressively broke multiple imbalances and reclaimed key supply levels, flipping them into new demand.
⚙️ 3. Execution Zones: Entry & Expansion Play
🔄 Re-Entry Opportunity:
🎯 3,343.716 – OB + FVG zone
🎯 3,329.168 – deeper mitigation into old structure and liquidity sweep zone
These levels offer institutional-grade re-entries if price retraces this week.
📈 Bullish Delivery Targets:
TP1: 3,373.454 – small FVG & imbalance
TP2: 3,384.152 – key internal liquidity
TP3: 3,393.993 – high-timeframe EQH, watch for potential reversal or distribution
📊 Strategic Outlook – Clinton Scalper Method
"We track liquidity, not predictions. Price moves from discount OB to premium liquidity zones — just like the banks do."
As macro data aligns with technical structure, Smart Money is driving capital into metals, preparing for potential safe-haven flows if inflation softens and Fed tone shifts further.
🔔 Final Note: Stay Sharp
Price is executing the SMC roadmap precisely.
Wait for retracements before engaging longs.
Be prepared for news-based volatility that may cause liquidity hunts before real moves.
XAUUSD Expecting bullish Movement Price respected the Strong Demand Zones at 3350 & 3340, showing clear signs of buyer strength. After forming a falling wedge pattern, a bullish breakout was observed — confirming potential upside momentum.
Zone Analysis
3350 Zone: Minor support confirmed with consolidation
3340 Zone: Stronger support with buying pressure visible
Current Price: 3362
First Target: 3380
Second Target: 3399
A clean move above the wedge resistance is now playing out, and as long as price holds above 3350, bullish momentum remains valid.
Monitoring price action around 3380 for partials, and watching for clean sweep into 3399
XAUMO XAUUSD (Gold Spot) ANALYSIS | AUG 01, 2025 | CAIRO TIME GMThis is a stealth bullish accumulation day. Market maker completed a fake drop and now prepping breakout. Play long bias from control zone with stop-hunt fade backup. Schabacker would call this a false breakdown spring + congestion base rally.
XAUUSD (Gold Spot) ANALYSIS | AUG 01, 2025 | CAIRO TIME GMT+3
🔍 Multi-Timeframe Technical Breakdown (Daily → 5m)
1️⃣ Price Action & Patterns
Daily: Bullish rejection tail forming (pin bar) off VAL (3,288). Strong buyer defense.
4H: Classic bullish engulfing off VAL support. High rejection wick to downside. Micro-structure shows market maker trap.
1H: V-shape recovery seen. Absorption bar confirmed via footprint delta spike.
15m: Buyers stepping in at POC (3,289.35), stealthy buying—confirmed by divergence between delta & price.
5m: Accumulation in box range between 3,289–3,292. High absorption on bid side, low offer lifting—sign of stealth long build.
2️⃣ Volume & Delta Footprint
POC Cluster across all TFs: 3,289.00–3,291.50 is the control zone.
Volume Node Rejection at 3,288 = confirmed buyer base.
Delta: Absorption → sellers hitting bids but no follow-through = market maker trap → bullish implication.
Volume Spike at 3,288 = fakeout move likely manipulated to hunt stops.
3️⃣ Support/Resistance
VAL: 3,288 🔥 Strong Demand Zone
POC: 3,289.35–3,291.75 🧠 Smart Money Zone
VAH: 3,292.80 🎯 Break above confirms momentum
Res. Extension: 3,296.20, 3,300
Fibonacci Confluence: 3,288 = 61.8% golden retracement from recent rally
5️⃣Volatility
Compression near VAH = Volatility Expansion imminent.
Expect Breakout in next 1–2 hours (likely post 09:00 Cairo Time – Kill Zone)
6️⃣ Market Maker Philosophy
Last 3 days show liquidity vacuum trap below 3,288.
MM has triggered stop hunts to shake weak longs.
Building long inventory stealthily under POC.
Expecting rally trap to suck in breakout buyers → then retrace → final breakout continuation.
🧨 JEWEL TRADE ENTRY (Highest Probability)
📈 Order: Buy Stop
🎯 Entry: 3,293.10
🛑 Stop Loss: 3,287.70
💰 Take Profit: 3,302.40
📊 Confidence: 87%
🧠 Justification: Breakout of VAH/Golden Zone + High Volume Node = Trend Shift Confirmed
This is for EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY, and not financial advise.
Where is GOLD going next?In the last four months, GOLD privided us a common pattern (for four times) that usually lead to an explosive moves. Where are we going next and what could be the target? In this case, time help us to understand better. The pattern is not complete yet and i expect the move to run in 24 hrs (maybe due to the high impact news will we have tomorrow, like the Initial Jobless Claim and CPE?). Now we just need to understand where the price will go to make profits, and to try to understand this we will check the RSI and the MACD. When this pattern occured, the RSI was rising and above 50 for three times with MACD on bullish cross (the three times that the price pumped) and was chopping and struggling close to 50 (but below it) with a bearish cross on MACD the single time it crushed. If we look at the actual situation, RSI is rising and MACD it's on bullish setup, but i will update you tomorrow (or when a breakout will occur). Now, for the possible target, we can easily aim to $100 move. So, price can touch $3420 for a long or $3240 for a short.
What do you think guys? Let me know in the comments!
Gold May Dip Mildly Before US Data📊 Market Overview:
Spot gold is trading around $3,329/oz, up ~0.1%, supported by falling U.S. Treasury yields and a slightly weaker dollar, while investors await potential Fed dovish signals or rate cut in September . Meanwhile, easing U.S.–EU trade tensions weighed on safe-haven demand for gold.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: ~$3,335–3,350 (recent highs and potential test zone)
• Nearest Support: ~$3,310 (previous stable support)
• EMA09 position: Price is above EMA9, indicating a mild bullish bias in the short term
• Momentum/Volume: RSI ~53 (neutral), MACD & StochRSI showing small buy signals. However, bullish momentum is fading, suggesting a possible mild pullback
📌 Conclusion:
Gold may dip modestly toward $3,310 if the dollar strengthens or if Fed rate-cut expectations recede. A break above $3,335–3,350 could pave the way for further gains, though current momentum remains insufficient to confirm a breakout.
💡 Suggested Trade Strategy:
SELL XAU/USD: $3,333–3,336
🎯 Take Profit: 40/80/200 pips
❌ Stop Loss: $3339
BUY XAU/USD: $3,310–3,308
🎯 Take Profit: 40/80/200 pips
❌ Stop Loss: $3305
XAUUSD Outlook – July 29, 2025
Gold enters a high-risk environment starting today.
All eyes are on Jerome Powell's speech, which will signal whether the Fed remains firm on its hawkish stance or adopts a more dovish tone.
📈 That said, a broader look at the chart suggests the market has already aligned itself with the dominant trend.
🗓️ In addition to today’s speech, tariff-related news expected on Friday doesn’t seem likely to disrupt the ongoing bullish momentum in gold — or in crypto markets, for that matter.
🧠 That’s the general market read I'm sensing right now, but we’ll have to see how it unfolds.
🎯 Personally, I still view the $3290 level as a solid buy zone, with the potential to become one of gold’s historical bottoms.
The latest trend analysis and layout of the day,flexible adoptio#XAUUSD
⚠️News focus on the Sino-US trade talks, which may affect the gold trend.
Since the opening of the market today, gold has been fluctuating in a narrow range in the short term, without giving a clear trading direction🤔, and the short-term trend has not changed much.📊
🚦It remains constrained by resistance and a downward trend. In the short term, we need to pay attention to the 3300 mark below and the support of 3295-3285📈. On the upside, we should pay attention to the short-term suppression level of 3321-3333 and yesterday's high of 3345-3350.📉
In the short term, as long as it does not break through yesterday's high point, the volatile downward trend will not change. 🐂Once it breaks through, the short-term decline will stop, and the market will continue the bull rebound to test 3370~3380 or even 3400 before falling again.
Therefore, short-term trading focuses on the 3300 mark below and the long trading opportunities at 3295-3285. On the upside, defend the 3345-3350 highs and establish short positions.🎯
🚀 BUY 3310-3330
🚀 TP 3321-3333
🚀 BUY 3295-3285
🚀 TP 3310-3330
🚀 SELL 3320-3330
🚀 TP 3310-3300
🚀 SELL 3345-3350
🚀 TP 3330-3285
Gold soaring with NFP debacle as an catalystQuick update: Gold is Trading on NFP fuelled relief rally and Bearish Technicals are invalidated once again (I announced lately that this might happen if NFP delivers downside surprise / debacle). The Hourly 4 chart's Ascending Channel increases it's gains towards Overbought levels as #3,352.80 benchmark is showcasing strong durability. Both Weekly chart (#1W) and Monthly (#1M) are on mild gains (# +0.65% and # +0.71% respectively) and with ranging candles (Gold consolidating above the Support for the fractal) I do not see any rebound (to the downside) possibility yet.
My position: As discussed above, I will keep Buying every dip on Gold and will not Sell Gold throughout today's session (if I do, will be aggressive in & out Scalp only). Gold remains very sensitive to every Bullish development while Bearish ones are still on second place.
Gold Continues Its Upward Momentum Despite Short-Term Pullback📊 Market Summary
• Spot gold slipped slightly by ~0.1% to around $3,354–$3,361/oz due to profit-taking after last week’s sharp rally following weaker-than-expected U.S. job data
• The U.S. added only 73,000 jobs in July, boosting expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September, with a current market probability of around 81%
• Ongoing geopolitical risks, trade tensions, and robust central bank and ETF gold demand continue to support the long-term bullish outlook
________________________________________
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key resistance: ~$3,360–$3,370/oz (short-term highs, potential profit-taking zone).
• Nearest support: ~$3,330/oz (watch for buying interest on pullbacks).
• EMA09: Price is currently hovering around the short-term EMA (~EMA09), still below EMA50, indicating a mild sideways bias. According to Economies.com, gold hasn’t confirmed a stable uptrend above EMA50 yet
• Candlestick / volume / momentum:
o Today's candle shows mild profit-taking, but momentum remains bullish from the prior session. Volume shows light distribution, not strong selling.
________________________________________
📌 Outlook
• Gold may continue rising slightly in the short term if the upcoming U.S. inflation data (due August 12) remains soft, reinforcing the likelihood of a Fed rate cut
• Conversely, if the U.S. dollar strengthens unexpectedly or new data comes out more robust, gold could retreat back to the $3,330 zone.
________________________________________
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
SELL XAU/USD : $3,370–$3,373
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,377
BUY XAU/USD : $3,330–$3,333
🎯 TP:40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: $3,327
Smart Money / Price Action 5min scalping road map# 📈 ABC Pattern Explained for TradingView (Smart Money / Price Action)
The **ABC pattern** is a 3-leg corrective move in market structure, commonly used in price action, Elliott Wave, and Smart Money trading. It's mainly used to identify **pullbacks** or **correction zones** before a continuation of the main trend.
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## 🔹 Structure of the ABC Pattern:
- **Point A**: The beginning of the move — often the end of a strong impulsive wave.
- **Point B**: The first retracement or pullback from Point A.
- **Point C**: The second corrective move that often goes beyond A, forming the completion of the correction phase.
The ABC legs can be:
- **A to B**: Impulsive or corrective.
- **B to C**: Generally a counter-trend retracement.
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## 🔸 How to Identify on Chart:
1. **Find a strong trend** (uptrend or downtrend).
2. **Look for the first correction** — mark it as Point A to B.
3. **Next wave** that attempts to continue the trend but fails — mark the end as Point C.
4. **Use Fibonacci tools** to measure:
- **B retracement of A** (typically 50%–78.6%)
- **C extension** of AB (typically 127.2%–161.8%)
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## 🔧 How to Draw on TradingView:
> You can use the `Trend-Based Fib Extension` tool or draw manually using the `Path` or `ABC pattern` tool.
### Step-by-Step:
1. Select the `ABC Pattern` tool from the **left toolbar** under “Prediction and Measurement Tools”.
2. Click on **Point A** (3320$).
3. Click on **Point B** (3350$).
4. Click on **Point C** (final corrective wave 3300$ ).
5. TradingView will automatically plot the shape with labels.
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## 🧠 Pro Tips:
- Look for **liquidity sweep** or **order blocks** near Point C.
- Entry opportunity is often **after C**, targeting a **continuation** of the main trend.
- ABC is often part of **larger structures** like **complex pullbacks** or **smart money retracements**.
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## ✅ Example Use:
- **Buy Scenario**:
- Strong uptrend → Price drops from A to B (retracement).
- Then price rises to C, failing to break above A → Possible new higher low formed.
- Enter long if price breaks above Point B again.
- **Sell Scenario**:
- Strong downtrend → A to B is a pullback.
- C attempts new high, fails → short entry after break of B.
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## 📌 Settings Tip for Mobile Users:
- Zoom in for better point control.
- Use “Lock” feature to prevent accidental move.
- Customize color and label visibility in the style tab.
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## 🔍 Keywords:
`ABC Pattern`, `Elliott Correction`, `Smart Money`, `Liquidity Grab`, `Break of Structure`, `Trend Continuation`, `Price Action Trading`, `Market Structure`
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