Xauusd market update today This 2-hour chart of CFDs on Gold (TVC: XAU/USD) shows a bullish reversal pattern with price currently at 3,346.197, up +43.277 (+1.31%). Here's a breakdown:
🔍 Key Technical Insights:
Support Zone (~3,240): The price reversed from a strong demand zone around 3,240, forming a "V"-shaped recovery.
Breakout of Previous Resistance (~3,320–3,340): Price broke above recent consolidation, indicating bullish momentum.
Next Resistance Levels (Marked by Yellow Boxes):
Near-Term: ~3,360
Mid-Term: ~3,400
Extended Target: ~3,440 (top supply zone)
🔁 Two Possible Scenarios (Marked by Dotted Arrows):
1. Bullish Continuation: Price targets higher zones around 3,360 → 3,400 → 3,440.
2. Bearish Rejection: If price fails to hold above 3,340, a retracement back to 3,240 support is possible.
📊 Current Momentum:
Strong bullish candles suggest continued upside pressure.
If the momentum holds above 3,340, bulls may drive it toward 3,360 and beyond.
Let me know if you'd like entry/exit strategies or confirmation with RSI/Fibonacci levels.
XAUUSDG trade ideas
The bull market is too fierce. How to solve the short position?📰 News information:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. PMI data
📈 Technical Analysis:
The conflict between Iran and Israel has stopped for a while, but there is a possibility of it breaking out again. There is a possibility of triggering risk aversion in the short term. From a technical perspective, the 4H MACD indicator shows a golden cross, and the moving average and other indicators are also radiating upward, with a strong bullish signal. The 1H chart Bollinger Bands open upward, and the short-term pressure position is at 3340-3345. The short-term data indicators are seriously overbought, and there may be a profit correction in the short term. Therefore, if you want to short in the short term, you can only consider the 3340-3350 range. In the short term, gold will not usher in a large retracement, and the short-term target is only suitable for looking at 3320-3310. As for the long trading point, it is expected to wait for the European and American trading hours.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3340-3350
TP 3320-3310
BUY 3325-3315
TP 3335-3340-3350
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD
Gold on high time frame
"Hello traders, focusing on gold, the price recently swept liquidity around $3,250 and displayed strong signals indicating a potential upward movement. The next target could be around $3,400."
If you need further clarification or have more details to discuss, feel free to share!
XAUUSD Analysis – June Monthly CloseGold starts the week with a weak bounce attempt after a strong bearish momentum on Friday, which pushed the market below the key 3254 support. The downtrend structure remains valid with a clear pattern of lower highs and lower lows on the 4H chart.
At the moment, price is trapped inside the 3254–3295 range. Despite the strong bearish pressure, we have yet to see a meaningful correction after the sharp drop on June 28th. This opens the door for a potential intraday pullback to test minor supply and moving average resistance near 3291–3297.
However, today is monthly candle close, which means increased volatility and possible false breakouts—especially during US sessions. Traders should be cautious with breakout traps, especially around 3305–3310, where stop hunting might occur.
The bigger picture still favors the bears unless gold manages to break and hold above the descending trendline and the EMA cluster.
📌 Trade Setup (Short Bias – Intraday Correction)
SELL zone: 3291 – 3297
SL: 3303 (Above supply & EMA test zone)
TP1: 3278
TP2: 3255
TP3: 3215
This is not a high-conviction swing setup but a tactical short based on potential rejection from previous supply and dynamic resistance. Small lot size is recommended due to the wider stop-loss and low R/R reward unless high volatility plays in our favor.
📊 Key Intraday Levels
R3: 3342
R2: 3322
R1: 3295
Pivot: 3254
S1: 3214
S2: 3180
S3: 3123
XAUUSD – Smart Money Flow & Weekly OutlookGold reacted precisely at the key OB zone near 3270. Following a clear Break of Structure (BOS) on the H4, Smart Money may be redistributing positions.
🔍 Main scenario:
Price is expected to retrace to the 3349–3360 OB zone, where strong sell-side reactions may occur.
If that fails, the next likely move is a drop toward the high-liquidity demand zone at 3215, where buyers could re-enter.
📰 Key macro drivers:
Final GDP and PCE data show slight economic cooling in the US, reinforcing expectations that the Fed will maintain higher-for-longer rates.
Trump’s recent comments stir political uncertainty, increasing safe-haven demand for gold.
🎯 Strategy:
Look for confirmed short setups near 3349–3360.
Consider longs at 3215 if strong bullish reaction forms.
U.S. stocks are closed, how to operate gold volatility📰 News information:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. Tariff implementation and interest rate cut bill
📈 Technical Analysis:
Gold has maintained a volatile pattern recently, lacking a sustained unilateral trend. The unclear short-term direction of DXY has limited the volatility of gold. The market has repeatedly shown a mixture of high-rise decline and downward recovery. It is unable to effectively break through the previous high and lacks the momentum to break downward. The short-term pressure during the day is concentrated on the 3340-3345 line, and the upper middle track is at 3350. If it fails to effectively break above 3350, then gold may fall further. On the contrary, if it can stand above the middle track 33350, then gold may rise further. The short-term support below is near the 3323 line. If it fluctuates during the day, maintain a high-altitude low-multiple cycle.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3340-3350
TP 3330-3320-3310
BUY 3320-3310
TP 3340-3350
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Excellent NFP sessionAs discussed throughout yesterday's session commentary: "My position: Gold is Trading within #3,350's belt which represents crossroads for the Short-term. Either #3,362.80 - #3,368.80 break-out to the upside towards #3,377.80 strong Resistance, or #3,342.80 - #3,352.80 break-out to the downside towards #3,327.80 Support. Current Price-action is ideal for Scalping since I don't expect major movement until tomorrow's NFP numbers."
Firstly I have re-Sold Gold almost all Wednesday's Asian session from #3,360's (Wednesday - Thursday) closing my orders on #3,352.80 then re-Bought Gold with set of aggressive Scalping orders from #3,345.80 towards #3,352.80. As NFP numbers were delivered, I have waited for decline to find a Support and Bought Gold aggressively from #3,312.80 and closed on #3,320.80. Later on, #3,332.80 Sold again (#4 aggressive Scalps) and closed on #3,327.80 and with mentioned order finalized excellent NFP session.
Technical analysis: The Short-term Price-action is Trading within #3,327.80 - #3,352.80 belt as I can easily spot idle movements on Hourly 4 chart with #3,327.80 Support bounces but regardless, Gold is Trading within my predicted values. Spot though on the Hourly 4 chart how Technicals are showcasing different / mixed values, and Gold is isolated within Neutral Rectangle with detectable Higher Low’s Upper and Lower zone. This is what I described on my commentary as an Bearish Divergence (BD) and is usually a first alert that the trend might be pointing to even stronger takedown. See how the very same divergence has Traded since November - April. On the November #12 Low, the Price-action started rising on an Ascending Channel but only once the structure formed a new Low. Then again after mentioned Low’s, Gold started rising until the next Bullish Divergence (which means, after local Low's tested, Gold engaged parabolic uptrend). I am monitoring closely #MA50 on Daily chart which is pointer for new #1 - #3 Month cycle.
My position: I will take no new orders as I am Highly satisfied with my returns / also it is holiday in U.S. as I do not expect major moves throughout the session (only ranging candles with Low Volume). Enjoy the Profits and have a great weekend!
Neutral probabilities Gold seems to be forming the right shoulder of and inverse head and shoulders pattern (IH&S) which would thus translate to a push upwards to 3391.355 to complete the pattern.
Equally there is a bullish channel with a clear M at the top where the bearish movement began.
There is a consolidation without a clear indication of whether its a continuous bearish pattern that will drop all the way to 3249.416 or it form a W formation.
Only time will tell.
XAUUSD Glitter is fading away. Gold has been under pressure for quite a few days. In the day it shed a handful of money from its value. In this process it had an intraday penetration of 4 hour support and resistance level. Albeit it retraced back quickly but it is trading in the range. If it brakes the range downward we may initiate the short sell.
For convenience all the levels have been marked on the chart.
Have profitable trading
XAUUSD Forming Triangle Pattern – Eyeing Breakout After Wave (e)🚨 Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis – 3H Chart
Gold is currently forming a classic contracting triangle pattern (ABCDE), with wave (e) in progress. Price is bouncing from a strong buyers’ zone near 3269.60, showing signs of upward pressure.
📊 Current Structure:
Wave count: (a)-(b)-(c)-(d)-(e)
Consolidation within a symmetrical triangle
Key support: 3269.60
Resistance zone to watch: 3408.00
📈 Potential Scenario:
If price holds above the buyer’s zone, we can expect a bullish wave (e) push towards the upper trendline at 3408, potentially leading to a breakout continuation.
📍 Trade Plan (Educational Purpose):
Long Setup Valid Above: 3269.60
Target: 3408.00
Stop Loss (SL): Below 3260 (based on your risk profile)
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🧠 Why This Matters?
This triangle setup often leads to strong breakout moves, especially in commodities like gold during fundamental uncertainty or dollar index shifts. The market is compressing — be prepared for the breakout move.
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📢 Follow for more clean Elliott Wave + Price Action setups!
💬 Drop your analysis in the comments. Let’s grow together!
Elliott Wave Analysis of XAUUSDOn the daily chart of XAUUSD, we are witnessing a clearly defined Elliott Wave structure, with the potential formation of an extended wave (5) targeting the $3,726 region — aligned with the 0.618 Fibonacci extension. This is a key technical signal that could capture the attention of both long-term investors and strategic swing traders.
1. Elliott Wave Overview:
Wave (3) concluded at the peak around $3,365, followed by a textbook a-b-c corrective pattern.
Waves "a" and "b" are clearly identifiable, with wave "c" appearing to have completed.
The current price action suggests a rebound from the bottom of wave c — a strong indication of a possible start to wave (5).
2. Wave (5) Target Zone:
The Fibonacci 0.618 extension projects a target near $3,726 — a significant price level the market could approach if bullish momentum builds up.
This level also serves as a psychological resistance zone, so expect possible volatility as the price nears this area.
3. Price Behavior & Confirmation Signals:
Recent candlestick formations reveal renewed buying interest, with multiple bullish candles showing long bodies and lower wicks.
Holding above the key support around $3,300 is crucial for confirming the formation of an uptrend.
A breakout above the $3,365 high (wave (3) peak) would be a strong signal that wave (5) is in motion.
4. Suggested Trading Strategies:
Buy limit: Consider entries around the $3,310 – $3,320 support zone on a retest.
Buy breakout: Trigger entries if price breaks decisively above $3,365 with strong volume.
Take profit: Gradually scale out positions around the $3,680 – $3,726 area.
Stop loss: Place stops below the wave c bottom — under $3,245.
5. Conclusion:
XAUUSD is currently in a sensitive phase with a high probability of a bullish breakout. The Elliott Wave structure shows that there is still considerable upside potential. However, traders should maintain strict risk management, as wave (5) formations often involve significant price swings.
GOLD The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change for July 2,have a forecast of 99,000 jobs, compared to the previous month’s very weak result of 37,000—the lowest since March 2023. The ADP National Employment Report is a monthly indicator that tracks changes in non-farm private sector employment in the US, based on anonymized payroll data from ADP’s clients, covering about one-fifth of all US private employment.
Who is responsible?
The report is produced by the ADP Research Institute, part of Automatic Data Processing (ADP), in partnership with the Stanford Digital Economy Lab.
Why it matters:
The ADP report is viewed as a leading indicator for the official Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), released two days later.
It provides early insight into US private sector job growth and labor market health, and significant deviations from forecasts can move financial markets.
Note that the ADP report covers only private sector jobs, not government employment, so its numbers can differ from the official NFP.
Summary Table:
Report Date Forecast Previous Responsible Department
July 2, 2025 99,000 37,000 ADP Research Institute (ADP)
In summary:
The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change report, produced by the ADP Research Institute, forecasted a rebound to 99,000 jobs in June after a very weak 37,000 in May, providing an early signal on the health of US private sector employment.
(2)US10Y drops to historical low to 4.193% and currently broken 1hr descending trendline at 4.281% ,4.3% resistance will be watched for breakout buy bond buyers.
(3) DXY Key Points:
The DXY measures the US dollar’s strength against a basket of six major currencies: the euro (57.6% weight), Japanese yen (13.6%), British pound (11.9%), Canadian dollar (9.1%), Swedish krona (4.2%), and Swiss franc (3.6%).
After peaking near 110.075$ in January 2025, the index has softened , trading near 96.600-101.966.on weekly TF 101.966 was a retest to broken weekly demand floor .
The dollar’s decline reflects market expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts later in 2025, easing inflation pressures, and some geopolitical easing.
the DXY to rebound will henge and depend on Fed policy and global economic conditions.
GOLD buyers are watching for the direction of trade ,
Chinese Demand and Policy:
China is one of the largest gold consumers and holders. Domestic demand, central bank gold purchases, and monetary policy in China heavily influence XAU/RMB. If China’s economy slows or trade tensions with the US worsen, demand for gold as a safe haven may increase, supporting XAU/RMB even if the dollar is strong.
China's recent opening of the Shanghai Gold Exchange's (SGE) first offshore gold vault in Hong Kong on June 26, 2025, represents a significant development with potential, albeit indirect, implications for XAU/USD (gold priced in US dollars) .
Key Aspects of the Hong Kong Gold Vault:
Location and Operation: The vault is located in Hong Kong and operated by Bank of China's Hong Kong unit .
Yuan-Denominated Trading: All transactions and settlements in the vault are denominated exclusively in yuan, either via cash or physical bullion delivery . Two new yuan-denominated gold trading contracts were launched alongside the vault .
Strategic Objectives:
Increased Influence on Gold Pricing: China, as the world's leading gold producer and consumer, aims to gain greater control and influence over global gold pricing mechanisms .
Yuan Internationalization: The initiative seeks to accelerate the international usage of the yuan, supporting China's broader de-dollarization efforts . This allows China to import gold in yuan, reducing reliance on the US dollar for commodity trading .
Enhanced Global Reach: The vault expands the SGE's physical infrastructure beyond mainland China, creating a new gateway for international gold trading and solidifying Hong Kong's role as a key financial hub .
Physical Settlement: It facilitates the physical settlement of gold contracts outside mainland China .
Implications for XAU/USD:
While the new vault directly promotes yuan-denominated gold trading, its implications for XAU/USD are primarily indirect and long-term:
De-dollarization Efforts: By promoting yuan-denominated gold trading, China is actively working to reduce global reliance on the US dollar in commodity markets . If successful, a more diversified global gold trading landscape could gradually diminish the dollar's sole influence over gold prices, potentially leading to less direct inverse correlation between the dollar and gold .
Increased Demand and Liquidity: The vault aims to attract more international participants to yuan-denominated gold markets, potentially increasing overall gold demand and liquidity in the Asia-Pacific region . While this demand is primarily yuan-driven, a generally stronger global gold market could indirectly support XAU/USD .
Price Discovery: The establishment of offshore yuan-denominated gold trading creates an alternative price discovery mechanism . This could, over time, offer a benchmark that is less directly tied to dollar-centric factors, which might subtly influence XAU/USD by diversifying global pricing inputs .
Market Fragmentation vs. Integration: This move could be seen as a step towards fragmenting the global gold market by creating a distinct yuan-based ecosystem, or conversely, as a way to integrate China more deeply into the international gold market by offering new access points . The ultimate effect on XAU/USD would depend on whether this leads to more cohesive or more disparate global gold price movements.
In summary: China's new Hong Kong gold vault is a strategic move to boost the yuan's role in commodity trading and increase China's influence in global gold pricing. While it primarily impacts yuan-denominated gold, its long-term success in de-dollarization efforts could indirectly, over time, alter the dynamics and correlations currently observed in XAU/USD.
XAU/USDPrice action trading is a methodology where traders make decisions based on the interpretation of actual price movements on a chart, rather than relying primarily on lagging indicators. It involves observing and analyzing candlestick patterns, trend lines, support and resistance levels, and volume to identify potential trading opportunities and manage risk. The focus is on understanding the story the market is telling through its price behavior.
Xauusd market This chart presents a bullish analysis for Gold (CFDs on Gold, 2h timeframe), with the price currently at 3,332.110, showing a slight decline of 0.20%.
Key Observations:
1. Support Zone (~3,250):
A strong demand zone is highlighted near 3,250, where price previously rebounded.
This zone is marked with icons (lightning bolt and U.S. flag), possibly indicating high-impact news or events expected around that area.
2. Current Price Action:
Price recently broke a downtrend line and rallied.
Currently pulling back near the 3,330 level, indicating a potential short-term retracement.
3. Projected Scenarios (Dotted Lines):
Primary Path (Bearish Short-Term → Bullish Mid-Term):
Price may dip back into the 3,250 support zone.
From there, a bullish reversal is anticipated, targeting:
First resistance: ~3,400
Second resistance: ~3,450
4. Resistance Zones:
Two clear supply zones are marked:
~3,400: First target zone after a bounce.
~3,450: Final target zone if bullish momentum continues.
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Summary:
The chart suggests a potential bullish continuation after a pullback. A retracement to around 3,250 could provide a strong buying opportunity with upside targets near 3,400–3,450, depending on price action and upcoming news catalysts.
Would you like a trading plan based on this setup (e.g., entry, stop-loss, targets)?
GOLD Massive Short! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 3350.4
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 3363.2
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 3328.2
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
XAUUSD MONTHLY/WEEKLY ANALYSISWhat we’re seeing here on **XAUUSD (Gold Spot)** is a **classic higher-timeframe accumulation pattern** followed by **a potential explosive bullish leg**.
After a strong move up in April, we witnessed a **textbook V-reversal**, consolidation, and now — **a higher low** forming around the \$3,290 zone. That’s our key demand level. 💥
✅ If this higher low holds and price starts pushing with volume, we may be gearing up for a **multi-phase breakout** with the following potential targets:
🔹 **Target 1:** \$3,500
🔹 **Target 2:** \$3,694
🔹 **Target 3:** \$3,902
🎯 **Final Target:** \$4,101+
This isn’t just a short-term scalp setup. This is a **position trade opportunity** for those with patience and precision. The structure is clean, momentum is returning, and the levels are marked.