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GOLD / US DOLLAR GRAMGOLD / US DOLLAR GRAMGOLD / US DOLLAR GRAM

GOLD / US DOLLAR GRAM

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XAUUSDG trade ideas

Gold market analysis and trading strategiesGold market analysis and trading strategies Core view: Super sweeping market continues Large cycle pattern: Gold is in a sweeping stage, lacking trend direction, similar to the long-term shock after the peak in 2011 (lasting nearly 20 months). Current fundamentals (geopolitical conflicts, inflation data, Fed policy expectations) support this violent fluctuation. Short-term characteristics: straight upward, frequent V-shaped reversals, rhythm control is more important than direction judgment, and we need to be vigilant against sudden news-induced surges and plunges. Review of major influencing factors China-US negotiations: No specific details have been announced, but the market's sensitivity to trade relations still exists. US CPI data: slightly lower than expected, Trump called on the Fed to cut interest rates by 1%, strengthening easing expectations, which is good for gold. Middle East situation: The United States evacuated its citizens from Bahrain and Kuwait, the Iran-Iraq crisis escalated, and the geopolitical risk premium pushed up gold prices. Technical analysis 1. Daily level Pattern: The big positive line broke through the key resistance level of 3360 points, confirming the short-term bullish momentum. Support level: 3360-3345-3320 Resistance level: 3390-3395. Potential path: If it stands above 3360, it may rise to 3400+ (target 3415, 3440); if it falls below 3350-45, the risk of a pullback will increase. 2. 4-hour level Trend: MACD golden cross, trading volume enlarged, moving averages are bullishly arranged, support level: 3369 (MA5), 3350 (MA60). Key points: 3360-65 is the watershed between long and short positions. If it holds, the upward trend will continue. 3. Hourly chart Short-term signal: MACD golden cross, but STO is overbought, be wary of a high pullback. 3362 is the direct support level, and a breakout of this level may lead to a pullback to 3348-50. Trading strategy recommendations: Long strategy Active long orders: enter the market in the 3360-65 area, stop loss of $5 (fall below 3360), target 3375-3388-3395-3405. Steady long orders: Long orders at 3345-3350, stop loss at 3339, target above 3360. Short order strategy: Short-term pullback: short light positions when stagflation in the 3396-3400 area, stop loss 3405, target 3380-3360. Trend short orders: layout in batches in the 3413-3430 area, stop loss set above 3440, target 3400-3380 (need to match the top pattern).
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Louisa21210
Could the Gold reverse from here?The price is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 3,390.28 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Stop loss: 3,426.28 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection. Take profit: 3,343.57 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:XAUUSDShort
by VantageMarkets
Gold is rising, beware of a pullback.Since last Friday, the daily line has shown an alternating trend of yin and yang. In the three trading days this week, the lows and highs have been rising continuously, which shows that the short-term trend is strong. Today's intraday trend also illustrates this point. At present, gold has risen directly to the 3388 line, directly refreshing the intraday high again. From the hourly chart, we must be careful of the possibility of gold diving. From the previous rules, each rise is about 45 US dollars. This time it also started from 3340-3345, and the increase was close to 45 US dollars. Moreover, each time the rise is completed, the dive callback is 35 US dollars. Therefore, once it starts to fall from 3385-3390, it is very likely to reach 3350-3355. In terms of short-term resistance, pay attention to the 3400 pressure level above; the support level is around 3340. the support level pays attention to the vicinity of 3340. Operation strategy: Short at 3385, stop loss at 3395, and profit range is 3360-3350.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
Report – June 12, 2025As of today, markets are navigating a cautious and complex macro landscape driven by sticky inflation, mixed economic momentum, and upcoming supply events in the U.S. Treasury market. At the center of market focus is the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI), which surprised to the upside. The headline PPI YoY came in at 2.6%, above the prior month’s 2.4%, while the month-over-month figure rebounded to +0.2%, recovering from -0.5% in April. Although Core PPI YoY held flat at 3.1%, the level remains elevated. These numbers reinforce the perception that inflationary pressures remain embedded at the producer level, limiting the Federal Reserve’s flexibility to ease policy in the near term. Simultaneously, the U.S. labor market continues to show resilience. Initial Jobless Claims printed at 242,000, slightly better than the consensus estimate of 247,000. The four-week average stabilized at 235,000, and Continuing Claims remained firm at 1.904 million. This combination of firm labor and sticky inflation supports a “higher-for-longer” rates environment, with no immediate pressure on the Fed to pivot dovish. These data points, taken together, imply that the fixed income and equity markets are still subject to repricing risk, especially if the Fed maintains its hawkish rhetoric or if real yields begin to trend higher again. In the bond market, U.S. Treasury yields moved slightly lower across the curve, with the 2Y yield at 3.958% (-0.6bp), the 10Y at 4.416% (-1.0bp), and the 30Y at 4.905% (-1.4bp). The curve remains inverted, although the steepness has moderated somewhat, indicating a cautious recalibration of forward rate expectations. Markets are closely watching today’s 30-year Treasury bond auction, scheduled for later in the session. A weak result — defined as a tail greater than 1.5bps — could lead to a renewed sell-off in long-duration Treasuries and reinforce the bear trend in TLT. Looking internationally, Japan’s 10Y yield remains stable at 1.454%, suggesting no immediate pressure from the BoJ to shift policy. In the UK, the 10Y Gilt yield stands at 4.526%, continuing to reflect persistent inflation risk. German 10Y Bunds yield between 2.41–2.45%, slightly firmer, maintaining a neutral to moderately hawkish stance ahead of upcoming ECB communications. Collectively, these yield levels reflect a global market pricing in differentiated inflation risks and rate divergence. In fixed income ETFs, we see short-duration U.S. Treasury instruments leading, with SHY (1–3Y) up +0.13%, while TLT (20Y+) gained +0.30%, showing tentative stabilization ahead of the auction. Investment-grade credit, as tracked by LQD, rose +0.34%, benefiting from risk-off hedging and carry trades. However, high-yield (HYG) was flat at -0.02%, and convertibles (CWB) edged lower at -0.06%, both signaling a decline in speculative appetite. Internationally, emerging market debt (EMB +0.3%) and global Treasuries (IGOV +0.29%) are firming as the USD softens modestly. In the equity space, today’s session is showing a mild risk-off tilt. The S&P 500 trades at 6,022 (-0.3%), holding just above key support at 5,975. The Dow Jones is flat at 42,865, with underlying breadth weakening. The Nasdaq 100 fell -0.4% to 21,860, and Russell 2000 declined -0.4% to 2,148, continuing its underperformance. The VIX has risen to 17.27 (+1.9%), closing in on the psychological stress level of 18.5. Sector rotation aligns with a defensive narrative. Energy is leading, up +1.4% (with oil rallying sharply), followed by Utilities (+0.1%) and Health Care (+0.1%), both classic low-volatility, defensive groups. Conversely, Technology (-0.2%) and Real Estate (-0.5%) are underperforming, as the market de-risks rate-sensitive sectors. Financials (-0.1%) remain cautious due to yield curve pressure and auction-related uncertainty. From a style and factor perspective, momentum continues to lead with +0.72% relative outperformance versus SPY, followed by high dividend (+0.39%) and value (+0.16%). Meanwhile, growth stocks are soft (-0.04%), and small caps are lagging further (-0.32%), signaling a clear rotation away from riskier, high-beta equity exposure. In currencies, the U.S. dollar is slightly weaker today. USD/JPY trades at 143.99 (-0.4%), showing softness despite higher PPI, likely due to short-term positioning. EUR/USD has strengthened to 1.1516 (+0.2%), and GBP/USD is stable at 1.3547. Crypto remains soft with BTC/USD down 1.2% to $107,669, confirming that risk appetite remains limited. The commodity complex is stronger. Gold is up $18.20 to $3,371.13, reflecting safe-haven buying as real yields pause. Crude oil (WTI) has rallied $2.90 to $67.88, and Brent is at $69.51, with supply dynamics and macro demand recovery pushing prices higher. Natural gas remains flat at $3.51. These moves have boosted commodity-sensitive equities in the emerging market space. For example, Brazil (EWZ) is up 1.8%, South Korea (EWY) up 1.3%, and India (EPI) +0.3%, while developed markets (EFA) are flat to down (-0.2%). Tactically, the SPX remains neutral to bearish. Holding above 5,975 preserves structure, but a breakdown below this level — especially if triggered by a hot auction or inflation shock — could drive further downside. The Dow remains in a bearish posture below 43,000, with a downside trigger at 42,300. Gold remains in a bullish technical setup with breakout potential above $2,350 and support at $2,325–2,330. USD/JPY is a tactical long above 143.80, aiming for 144.60, conditional on yields rising. TLT remains weak, and a close below 86.50 following the auction would confirm downside continuation. WTI oil is long-biased above 67, targeting $69.80 and higher if USD continues to weaken. Key macro risk triggers include: a PPI print above 2.8% or Core PPI above 3.2%, which would reinforce Fed hawkishness; a long bond auction tail greater than 1.5bps, which would signal poor demand and push long yields higher; a VIX breakout above 18.5, which would signal a broader risk-off episode; and a gold breakout above $2,350, which would confirm macro hedge acceleration. Asset Action Gold Long bias Oil Long setup SPX Hedged Dow Bearish lean USD/JPY Buy dips > 143.80 TLT Bear or avoid
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Buranku
XAUUSD is on fall (rising wedge pattern is on break)H1 & H4 Timeframe It's time to fall of gold and break of parallel channel. Range area is invalidated and H4 candle close below 3335-3338. What possible scenario we have? As H4candle closes below 3335 although last but not least 3325 is the point If that's area break 3325( where we have trendline and lower area of Rangbound) then we'll have proper break of falling wedge channel and I will see gold at 3290-3280 milestone. #XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Forexmaestro121
GOLD 3HR CHARTRelationship Between Gold, Dollar (DXY), Bond Prices, and 10-Year Bond Yields GOLD ,early sell dropped price from 3328.9 to 3304 .the 3304 align with the ascending trendline and currently trading at 3320.break and close of the demand floor will push for more sell to around 3270-3268 1. Gold and the Dollar (DXY) Gold is priced in U.S. dollars, so there is a strong inverse relationship between gold prices and the dollar index (DXY). When the DXY strengthens, gold becomes more expensive for holders of other currencies, reducing demand and pushing gold prices down. Recently, gold prices dipped about 0.4% to around $3,294/oz as the DXY shed 0.3%, reflecting a cautious market awaiting U.S.-China trade talks and reacting to stronger U.S. jobs data that tempered expectations of Fed rate cuts. 2. Gold and 10-Year Bond Yields The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield and gold generally have an inverse relationship. Rising yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, making bonds more attractive. However, both gold and bond yields can rise simultaneously during inflationary periods or economic uncertainty, reflecting inflation expectations and safe-haven demand. Recent data shows yields near 4.5%, with gold holding elevated levels above $3,300 and attempted 3328 on monday before dropping due to inflation concerns and geopolitical risks, despite some downward pressure from rising yields. 3. Gold and Bond Prices Bond prices move inversely to yields; when yields rise, bond prices fall. Falling bond prices (rising yields) often signal inflation or risk concerns, which can boost gold as an inflation hedge. Yet, rising yields also raise the opportunity cost of holding gold, which can cap gold’s upside. This dynamic explains why the correlation between gold and bond yields has weakened recently, sometimes showing near-zero correlation . 4. Macro and Market Drivers Inflation and Safe-Haven Demand: Persistent inflation and geopolitical tensions (e.g., U.S.-China trade talks) support gold demand despite dollar strength and rising yields. Central Bank Buying: Central banks remain significant gold buyers, underpinning long-term price support. Economic Data and Fed Policy: Strong U.S. jobs reports reduce expectations of Fed rate cuts, pushing yields up and dollar strength, which can pressure gold short term. Conclusion Gold prices in June 2025 are influenced by a complex interplay of factors: a slightly weaker dollar recently has supported gold, but rising 10-year Treasury yields and falling bond prices exert downward pressure. Inflation concerns and geopolitical risks continue to underpin gold’s appeal as a safe haven and inflation hedge. The usual inverse relationship between gold and bond yields has weakened recently, reflecting evolving market dynamics and the balance between inflation expectations and real yields. #gold #dollar
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
XAUUSD.market target 3380 entry point 3304stop loss 3312Let's break it down: - Entry Point: 3304 - Target: 3380 (76-point gain) - Stop Loss: 3312 would be a stop loss above the entry, but you put 3312, that would be 8 point stop loss if it was above 3312. Since 3312 is above 3304 that would mean its 8 point risk. You're expecting XAUUSD (Gold) to rise from 3304 to 3380. Potential reward: 76 points Potential risk: 8 points Risk-reward ratio looks favorable! Let's see how it unfolds!
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by Steven110
GOLD Breakout or Fakeout? Thief’s Guide to Safely Rob the Move!🏆 XAU/USD Master Plan: Loot the Bullish Rally Before the Bearish Trap!💨💰 🌟 Hola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟 Attention Money Makers & Market Robbers! 🤑💸 🔥 Thief Trading Strategy Alert 🔥 Time to execute our gold heist on XAU/USD! Based on technical + fundamental looting tactics, here’s the play: 📈 ENTRY ZONES (4H TIMEFRAME) BUY: Sneak in at Market Maker’s Buy Zone (Pullback Entries Only!). SELL: "The vault’s wide open!"—Ambush bearish traps at risky highs (Red Zone). 🛑 STOP-LOSS (THIEF RULES) Hide your SL at: Past key lows OR nearest swing low (4H). Adjust based on your risk, lot size, & robbery multiplier. 🎯 TARGET: 3525.00 (OR ESCAPE EARTHER!) Scalpers: Long-side only! Trail your SL to lock loot. Swing Thieves: Join forces—big pockets or small, execute the plan! ⚠️ WARNING: NEWS = VOLATILITY TRAPS! Avoid new trades during news. Use trailing SL to protect stolen profits. 📰 FUNDAMENTAL LOOT LIST (READ BEFORE HEIST!) COT Report, Macro Data, Sentiment Outlook—Link in bi0! 🔗🤙🏻👉🏻👉🏻 Gold’s bullish now… but robbers adapt fast! 💥 BOOST THIS PLAN = STRONGER GANG! Hit 👍 & Share—More boosts = More gold stolen daily! Stay tuned… Next heist drops soon! 🚀🐱‍👤
VELOCITY:GOLD
by Thief_Trader
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉 Gold Market Analysis: Despite minimal deviation between Friday’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) release and prior figures, gold prices accelerated below the key support level of 3333 during the U.S. session after a period of bearish consolidation. Technical structure suggests further downside potential: the weekly opening gap at 3292 remains unfilled, serving as the first target for bearish continuation. A decisive break below this level could open space toward 3280–3272, with 3280 identified as a strong support zone. Monday Focus: Prioritize rebound shorting, targeting initial support at 3304–3298. Key Threshold: Long positions may be considered on failure to breach 3292, with a focus on gap closure dynamics. Trading Strategy: Sell@3350-3340 TP:3300-3280 Share accurate trading signals daily—transform your life starting now! 👇 👇 👇 Obtain signals👉👉👉
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MonicaLongman
XAUMO Weekly Institutional Liquidity Map | Supply & Demand Weekly Institutional Liquidity Map | Supply & Demand | Stop Hunt Zones | Tactical Outlook The market is entering a critical inflection zone this week. Institutional players are actively manipulating liquidity to build positions while retail gets chopped in both directions. Smart traders should focus on liquidity maps rather than signals. Here’s the full kill zone for this week: 📍 Liquidity Mapping • Market remains under heavy distribution from prior highs. • Institutional algorithms targeting lower liquidity voids for clean fills. • Volatility expected to increase as macro uncertainty grows (Taco Trump risk factor). 🔴 Supply Zones (Institutional Sell Areas) Major Supply Zone 3400 – 3450 Secondary Supply Zone 3320 – 3350 Expect liquidity spikes into these zones to trigger aggressive institutional short entries. Look for reversal wicks, rejection candles, and volume spikes for confirmation. 🔪 Stop Hunt Zones (Liquidity Traps) Upper Stop Hunt 3340 – 3360 Lower Stop Hunt 3280 – 3300 Algos will likely run stops above recent highs and lows to trap breakout traders. These zones are perfect for fading failed breakouts. 🟢 Demand Zones (Institutional Buy Areas) Primary Demand Zone 3200 – 3250 Extreme Demand Zone 3100 – 3120 Strong probability that institutional buy programs activate near these levels for mean-reversion plays. Watch volume confirmation, order flow shifts, and reaction strength. 📈 This Week’s Tactical Playbook • Bias: Short rallies into supply zones. • Strategy: Fade stop hunts, ride momentum into demand zones. • Risk Management: Tight stops above liquidity grabs; scale out at key liquidity pools. #PriceAction #LiquidityZones #SupplyDemand #StopHunt #SmartMoney #InstitutionalTrading #KillZone #Forex #Futures #SPX #TradingViewIdeas
FX:XAUUSDShort
by ICHIMOKUontheNILE
Gold closed strong bull weekly candleGold closed strong bull weekly candle. gold manage to close a solid weekly candle that manage to cover most of previous wick highs that showing a strong indication that it wants to reach its ATH as first destination which is accordance to fibo from the latest bearish movement of 3403 to 3295. Bias is Bullish. However, in the current daily line chart. we are at 3-point touch of resistance. which also indicate a very strong point of resistance. 1st scenario is I foresight gold will continue its climb towards 3500 or even closer to it to cfm its direction. if breaks above 3500 means gold will head towards 2.618 of fibo. 2nd scenario, if gold did not manage to break the 3500 ceiling, possibility for a trendline support retest as previous the weekly trendline was able to be broken however due to fundamental of trade war tariff its bounce back making it as a fake out. my plan for next week. 1. I will still focus to look for buys, however I will only scalp position. means if I identify a support area to buy with a clear confirmation of fresh breakout target with a 50pips 1st tp 50% and 100pips 25% and balance B.E. for every setup. 2. I will wait for a confirmation of sells setups nearer to its resistance. if a strong and clear rejections appear in smaller tf shall i take that trade with the same principals and target as it makes sense to sell high. at the current no trader is wrong to buy or sell as we are in at the most volatile area that a minute candle goes as much as 100pips. only money management that will keeps us alive. A self reminder to me as well. All the best traders. may it'll be a fruitful week ahead for all of us.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HAN_Simply_Trade
XAU/USD 13 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,444.495. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK