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GOLD / US DOLLAR GRAMGOLD / US DOLLAR GRAMGOLD / US DOLLAR GRAM

GOLD / US DOLLAR GRAM

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XAUUSDG trade ideas

Gold’s upside seems limited given overbought conditionsGold appears to be showing signs of finally cracking after an impressive run higher, with the excitement surrounding its rally potentially approaching a crescendo. The precious metal experienced a sharp intraday reversal on 22 April, a decline that continued into 23 April. Since the recent uptrend began in mid-March, gold has consistently found support at its 10-day exponential moving average (EMA). For now, gold continues to hold just above this key support level; a break below the 10-day EMA could signal a heightened risk of further declines, potentially targeting $3,280 per troy ounce. Gold remains extremely overbought on the weekly chart, trading above the upper Bollinger Band, with the relative strength index (RSI) above 80. This suggests that gold could be due for a sideways consolidation or pullback towards the 10-week moving average at $3,100. Gold also remains overbought on the monthly chart, trading above the upper Bollinger band and with an RSI above 85. In this scenario, a break below $2,900 may lead to a decline towards the 10-month moving average of $2,800. It is not often that an asset class trades at such extreme levels, and this suggests that gold may be overdue for a period of consolidation, either by trading sideways and marking time or by pulling back to retest some of the moving averages situated at lower levels. It continues to indicate that overall gold’s upside may be limited. Written by Michael J Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed. No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
CMCMARKETS:GOLD
by cmcmarkets
XAUUSD- 1H UpdateChart Description – XAUUSD 1H (Gold Spot vs. USD) This is a multi-scenario Smart Money Concept (SMC)-based projection chart for Gold (XAUUSD), focusing on potential bullish retracements and major bearish continuations, incorporating Buy Zones, Sell Zones, and Change of Character (CHOCH) areas. 🔍 Key Components: 🟣 Sell Zones Two sell zones are identified, with the highest near the All-Time High (ATH) around the $3,500 mark. These are areas of expected bearish reaction if price retraces upward after a low. 🟢 Buy Zones Located between $3,200 – $3,160 and another deeper one near $2,960, where potential bullish reactions may occur. 🔵 CHOCH - 4H Marked in red around $3,260 area, indicating a 4-hour Change of Character, suggesting a potential shift from bullish to bearish sentiment. 🔸 Key Price Levels $3,120: Historical support/resistance. $2,956.20: Major swing low and key demand zone. 📊 Projected Market Path (Colored Waves) 🔹 Blue Path (Bullish Retracement Scenario) Price is expected to retrace into a sell zone around $3,400–$3,460 after testing the current demand. From there, a major sell-off is anticipated. 🔷 Cyan Path (Bearish Continuation) Following the retracement, the market is projected to break below the recent low and head toward lower buy zones, potentially near the $3,120 and $2,960 regions. Shows lower-high and lower-low formation, consistent with a bearish trend. 🧠 Market Sentiment This chart suggests a bearish outlook for Gold unless a structural shift invalidates the CHOCH zone and supply levels. The chart highlights the importance of: Waiting for confirmation in the supply zones before shorting. Considering buy opportunities only in valid buy zones with bullish reaction confirmation.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by The_FxTricks
Gold price stabilized again, trading around 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold price (XAU/USD) found fresh buying interest during the Asian session on Wednesday, pausing its pullback from the previous day’s record high near $3,500. Attempts by the US Dollar (USD) to rebound from multi-year lows faltered, as investor confidence in the US economic outlook continues to erode amid President Donald Trump’s erratic tariff policy shifts. Additionally, growing expectations of more aggressive monetary easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed) have triggered renewed selling pressure on the greenback. This, in turn, has reinforced demand for the non-yielding yellow metal, helping gold regain upward momentum as investors seek shelter from mounting economic and policy uncertainty. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: The slowdown and downward adjustment of gold are inevitable. Profit-taking psychology and cooling news of tariffs and Russia-Ukraine military forces caused gold prices to fall. ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3410- 3412 SL 3417 TP1: $3390 TP2: $3380 TP3: $3370 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3281 - $3283 SL $3276 TP1: $3290 TP2: $3300 TP3: $3315 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2
Gold accurate top judgment and high efficiency one-way follow-upGold, the general trend is as described in yesterday's analysis. The market is currently in an irrational upward cycle dominated by risk aversion. Although there is no reversal signal in the daily chart structure, the price is running on the upper Bollinger track of the daily, weekly and monthly charts at the same time. The attached indicator is overbought, and we need to be alert to the risk of selling at high levels; on Tuesday, the white plate hit 3500 and then fell back. The 4H chart recorded the first entity engulfing and continuous negative in the past two weeks. The market outlook is actively bearish, and the initial target looks back at 3400; violent selling, a sharp drop to 3314, the idea is verified; The daily chart transcribes a long upper shadow and a big negative, visible It is a signal of stagflation, so just follow the trend today; short-term resistance during the white session is 3350-3358, strong resistance gap 3366-3372 and 3314-3500 connecting 38.2% node 3384; short-term support 3330-3320, strong support 3314, break down to 3284; Strategy 1: Sell near 3358, protect 3368, target 3314; hold after break; Strategy 2: Sell near 3384, protect 3394, target 3314; hold after break;
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MariaLee66
Gold Ideas for April 23 ahead of Flash Manufacturing PMI News📉 XAUUSD Trade Plan – April 23, 2025 Market Overview: Current Price Action: Gold is in a bearish corrective phase within a higher time frame bullish structure. The recent price action confirms a short-term bearish flow with CHoCH and BOS. 🔻 SELL ZONES 🔴Sell Zone 1: 3330–3341 ✅ Valid: Previous support turned resistance Structure: CHoCH origin on 1H Watch for: NY spike into zone + LTF rejection 🔥 Most likely short setup today 🔴Sell Zone 2: 3362–3372 ⚠️ Still valid, but far from price Use only on aggressive NY volatility or PMI spike Risk of price flipping bullish if broken 🔴Sell Zone 3: 3384–3393 ❄️ Inactive for now – requires major news catalyst HTF OB + imbalance, but distant unless price surges Lower probability unless full reversal structure forms 🔴Key Level: 3410–3414 🔒 Reserved for extreme sweep/reversal Only valid if all upper zones are taken out + price reaches premium zone with liquidity grab 🟢 BUY ZONES 🟢Buy Zone 1: 3290-3303 ✅ Played perfectly – Price tapped and bounced Structure: M30 OB base + liquidity sweep Still valid for retests with M1–M5 confirmation Primary intraday buy 🟢Buy Zone 2: 3272–3282 🟡 Valid but less likely today unless 3291 breaks Stucture: FVG fill + minor OB Good for continuation if NY fakes out into discount 🟢Buy Zone 3: 3224–3233 🧱 Strong HTF EQ zoneReactive demand with imbalance Use for NY deep pullback + structure reclaim 🟢Buy Zone 4: 3150–3190 ⚠️ HTF only – not expected to trigger today Long-term reversal zone, use with caution unless major drop happens 🔍 FINAL STRATEGY NOTES Watch 3318–3330: Mid-structure, key battle zone → avoid entries here Best plays: → Sell from 3330–3341 if rejection forms → Buy retest of 3291 ONLY with clean confirmation Avoid counter-trend limit orders — wait for BOS/CHoCH on LTF 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
Gold extends slump as risk assets rallyGold has extended its slump, now off by more than $230 (-6.5%) from yesterday's record high of $3.5K. Unwinding of "Sell America" trades continue as risk assets rally on Trump's trade optimism. Key levels to watch With short-term support broken at $3,342, this level has already turned into resistance. The next support was at $3,284. This level has just been taken out. Therefore, we could this level turn into resistance in the next few hours. Untested old resistance at $3,245 is now the next downside objective. Below that $3,200 and then $3,167 (old resistance). How to trade gold? Trade gold from level to level, as it unwinds from significantly overbought levels. Could be a while before it starts trending higher again. Equally, given the long-term bullish trend, the bears should be looking to book profit some profit at every potentially key support. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
Gold Slides on Trade Deal Optimism – Key Support Levels to WatchFrom a monthly perspective, Gold’s broader trajectory appears to align with a classic cup and handle formation, targeting the $3,700 and $4,000 per ounce levels—supported by a clear hold above $3,500. However, given the steep momentum currently in play, significant headwinds are likely as the market consolidates. These may serve to recharge monthly momentum that currently aligns with 2020 and 2008 highs before the broader uptrend resumes. On the 4-hour chart, downside levels below 2390 are more clearly defined, with potential support around 2320, 3170, 3080, and 2960—and, in more extreme conditions, 2800. Given the prevailing safe-haven demand, market uncertainty, and heightened speculation, these levels should be approached incrementally to manage risk and confirm the re-emergence of risk-on sentiment. Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
Gold's Downturn: Selling Opportunity or Temporary Dip?Gold lost its shine on strong US dollar. It hits an low of $3275 at the time of writing and is currently trading around $3273. Rate Cut Expectations on the Rise According to the CME Fed Watch tool, the chances of 25 bpbs rate cut in June 18th 2025 meeting have decreased to 60.70% from 61.10% a week ago. Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Trading Strategy Gold prices are holding below short term moving average 34 EMA and 55 EMA and above long-term moving averages (200 EMA) in the one hour chart. Immediate support is at $3270 and a break below this level will drag the yellow metal to $3232/$3168/$3100/$3000. The near-term resistance is at $3330 with potential price targets at $$3525/$3560. It is good to sell on rallies around $3285-86 with a stop-loss at $3305 for a target price of $3230/$3200.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by FxWirePro
Gold in a Sideways RangeHello traders and investors! The 3283 level, which was the sellers’ target on the daily timeframe, was confidently defended by buyers. The attacking seller’s candle at this level showed high volume but was absorbed by buyers. On the 1H timeframe, the market is moving sideways, with active buyer initiative. The boundaries of the range are marked on the chart with black lines. It is reasonable to expect the price to move toward the upper boundary of the range at 3363–3370. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AlexeyWolf
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3330 and a gap below at 3282. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We have a bigger range in play then usual. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 3330 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3372 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3372 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3414 BEARISH TARGETS 3282 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3282 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE 3224 3190 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3190 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 3131 - 3077 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
9
GOLD, hibernated - and its good. More energy for MORE RISE AHEADSignal: LONG GOLD After going parabolic this past few days -- hitting a series of ATH on daily basis, Gold finally took some well deserved respite, and hibernated to tap previous resistance turned support area. Price is now basing again at this discounted zone -- an ideal seeding area. Fib tap at 38.2 has been spotted. This is where most buyers converge. The growth prospect of this next phase in progress is a bit on the generous side. A possible 2500 pip scenario from the current price range. Long at current price 3330. Target 3650. TAYOR. Trade safely.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JSAL
xauusd what is happening?Gold (XAU/USD) Market Overview – April 22, 2025 🧨 Geopolitical & Trade Tensions Ongoing US-China trade disputes and President Trump’s tariff policies continue to amplify uncertainty. Market chatter on platforms like X (formerly Twitter) reflects investor anxiety over potential global trade disruptions, increasing gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. 💵 US Dollar Dynamics The US dollar remains weak, partly due to Trump’s continued criticism of Fed Chair Jerome Powell and his calls for rate cuts. A weaker dollar supports gold by making it more attractive to international investors. 🏦 Institutional & Central Bank Demand Strong ETF inflows: Over 23 tonnes added in a single session, suggesting large-scale accumulation. Central banks, particularly China, continue adding gold to reserves—contributing to bullish long-term sentiment. 🧯 Macro Environment Persistent inflation concerns and dovish central bank policies are reinforcing gold's status as an inflation hedge. Markets await US retail sales data and Fed Chair Powell’s speech, which could introduce volatility or direction. 📊 Technical Analysis of XAU/USD @ $3,424 📈 Trend & Chart Structure Gold is trading in a well-defined ascending channel, with a recent breakout above $3,400 confirming bullish structure. However, the presence of a rising wedge pattern and overbought conditions warns of a potential short-term correction. 🔐 Key Support & Resistance Levels Type Level Notes Support 1 $3,400 Psychological level & prior breakout point Support 2 $3,320–$3,325 Fibonacci zone and fair value gap Support 3 $3,296–$3,284 April 18 low; deeper support Resistance 1 $3,445 Immediate resistance Resistance 2 $3,500 All-time high; psychological milestone Long-term $3,550–$3,637 Medium-term upside targets 📟 Indicators & Volume Analysis RSI: >70 on short-term charts → Overbought, suggesting risk of pullback. MACD: Bullish crossover intact, but declining momentum is a caution flag. Moving Averages: Price is well above the 30-EMA ($3,265) and 200-EMA ($3,163) — strongly bullish. Volume: Recent rally on declining volume = possible divergence, implying weakening buying strength. 📌 Trading Scenarios ✅ Bullish Case If XAU/USD holds above $3,400 and breaks $3,445, next targets = $3,500 → $3,550 → $3,600. Entry: Wait for a pullback to $3,400–$3,405 or bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, rising volume). Stop Loss: Below $3,390 Rationale: Strong uptrend + safe-haven flows + USD weakness = sustained bullish bias. 🚫 Bearish Case If price breaks below $3,400 with momentum, correction toward $3,325 or $3,296 is likely. Entry: Below $3,400 after confirmation (e.g., high-volume bearish candle) Stop Loss: Above $3,430 Rationale: Overbought RSI + volume divergence → short-term profit-taking or macro catalyst risk. 📈 Volatility Note Recent daily swings around 2.25% — use tight stop-losses and risk/reward ≥ 1:2. 📅 Key Events to Watch US Retail Sales Data Fed Chair Powell’s Speech US-China trade news Dollar index (DXY) movement 📅 Medium-Term Outlook (1–3 Months) Projected move toward $3,600+ remains valid due to: Global uncertainty Persistent inflation Central bank buying Key swing support: $3,137 Upside resistance: $3,500 → $3,600 ⚠️ Risks & Reversals Risk Factor Impact on Gold US-China Trade Deal ↓ Demand (safe-haven outflows) Strong US Economic Data ↑ Dollar → ↓ Gold Hawkish Fed Comments ↓ Gold Continued Overbought Status Pullback/Cool-off likely 🎯 Conclusion Gold (XAU/USD) is in a strong long-term uptrend, currently consolidating near $3,424. While bullish fundamentals support a move toward $3,500–$3,600, technical overbought signals and volume divergence suggest caution in the short term. #xauusd #gold #usd #tariff #tradingview
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by realmillionairefx
5
GOLD Bullish Continuation - Is $3,600 the Next Stop?OANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, signaling strong bullish momentum. The price has consistently respected the channel boundaries, forming higher highs and higher lows, which aligns with the continuation of the uptrend. It has recently broken above a key resistance zone and is now pulling back for a retest. This area previously acted as resistance and may now serve as support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation. If buyers confirm support at this level, the price is likely to move upward toward the $3,600 level, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel. This setup reflects the potential for further bullish movement as buyers continue to dominate the market. Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong rejection wicks from the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DanieIM
98
XAU/USD: Trend Remains Strong as Price Holds Above Key SupportThe XAU/USD market continues its impressive rally, recently reaching a new all-time high at 3500 before pulling back toward support and the previous day's high. The price action completed an ABC structure prior to this retracement. Currently, the market may be forming a triangle or flag pattern, similar to past consolidation setups. As long as the price remains above the upward trendline and the critical 3400 support level, the probability of a trend continuation remains high. A retest of the ATH level followed by a move higher is likely, with the next target at the resistance zone around 3520
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by RTED_Investing
3
Gold Reaction Zones for April 22XAUUSD – Intraday Reaction Zones Smart Money Concepts | 1H + 4H Structure NY Session Focus 🔻 SELL ZONES (Above Price) 1️⃣ 3500 – 3503 🔸 Psychological round number 🔸 Inefficiency + liquidity magnet 🔸 Watch for reversal wick or M15 CHoCH 2️⃣ 3472 – 3478 🔸 1H supply + previous rejection wick 🔸 Already caused a strong move down 🔸 Valid for short on second test with confirmation 3️⃣ 3564 – 3568 🔸 4H unmitigated supply zone 🔸 High-impact reversal area 🔸 Only in play if NY breaks out with strength 🟢 BUY ZONES (Below Price) 1️⃣ 3440 – 3447 (Currently in play) 🔹 1H OB + imbalance combo 🔹 First support zone for potential bullish reaction 🔹 Watch for rejection or confirmation before entry 2️⃣ 3410 – 3416 🔹 BOS origin zone on 1H 🔹 Imbalance + clean structural base 🔹 Stronger foundation for longs if 3440 breaks 3️⃣ 3350 – 3362 🔹 4H demand 🔹 Multiple rejections and accumulation in past sessions 🔹 Valid for bounce if deeper selloff continues 🧠 Market Context Price broke below 1H HL at 3462 → currently pulling back HTF structure still bullish, but intraday flow is bearish NY may hunt liquidity into lower zones before reversal Confirmation is key — no blind entries 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
GOLD holds above 3,400, heading towards 3,500As the US Dollar OANDA:XAUUSD weakened and Sino-US trade tensions raised market concerns about the economic outlook, investor risk aversion increased, pushing gold prices to a record high, breaking through the $3,400/ounce mark and maintaining price action above this level, continuing to target a new all-time high of $3,500. The US Dollar fell sharply during the day as US President Donald Trump made critical remarks about Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, further undermining market confidence in the US economy. A weaker US Dollar typically makes US Dollar-denominated gold more attractive to holders of other currencies. On trade, China accused the United States of abusing the tariff tool and warned other countries not to reach broader economic and trade agreements with the United States at the expense of their own interests. Gold, long seen as a hedge against uncertainty and a highly liquid asset, has risen more than $700 since the start of 2025. Gold broke through $3,300 for the first time last Wednesday and the surge has pushed prices above $100 again in just a few days. Trump is considering removing Fed Chairman Powell and has repeatedly called for interest rate cuts. Chicago Fed President Goolsbee has spoken out publicly against undermining the independence of the central bank. Trump also made some shocking statements. Trump shared his thoughts on the negotiations on his social media platform Truth Social, saying, "The golden rule of negotiation and success: he who has the gold makes the rules," meaning he who has the gold rules. This post about gold is quite interesting, considering the market volatility caused by Trump's previous comments on stocks on social media. Trump also said, "Businessmen who criticize Tariffs are bad at business, but they are really bad at politics. They don't understand or realize that I am the best friend American Capitalism has ever had!" Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD On the daily chart, gold continues to hold above the $3,400 base point and the 0.786% Fibonacci extension level, which is a positive factor for the gold price's bullish outlook. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is operating in the overbought zone but is not sending any signals indicating a possible downside correction, a sign indicating a possible downside correction is the RSI heading below 80. In terms of current position, gold still has a bullish outlook in the short term with the price channel as the trend and maintaining activity above the 0.786% Fibonacci extension level provides conditions for gold to aim for a new bullish target at $3,482 in the short term, more than the raw price point of $3,500. During the day, the short-term bullish outlook of gold will be focused again by the following positions. Support: $3,420 – $3,400 Resistance: $3,482 – $3,500 SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3517 - 3515⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3521 →Take Profit 1 3509 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3503 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3448 - 3450⚡️ ↠↠ Stop Loss 3444 →Take Profit 1 3456 ↨ →Take Profit 2 3462
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Xayah_trading