The bearish trend is confirmed, it’s time to participate.Gold overnight short orders have been stopped at a loss, because it broke through the key pressure of 3325. However, we must grasp the trend of the market, adhere to the idea of technical analysis as the main and news as the auxiliary, and make a comprehensive judgment. Don't be at a loss about the market analysis because of the stop loss. There is nothing wrong with waiting for the market to step back and do more, but the market does not give opportunities, but forces you to chase the rise. Of course, from the perspective of risk ratio, high altitude is definitely more stable than chasing more.
From the current gold trend analysis, the focus on the upper side is the 3340-3350 line of pressure, the short-term support on the lower side is around 3310-3320, and the key support on the 3295-3301 line is focused. Relying on this range as a whole, the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple participation remains unchanged. In the middle position, it is recommended to wait and see, chase orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Operation strategy 1: Short gold near 3340-3350, target 3325-3315.
Operation strategy 2: Go long on gold around 3310-3320, target 3330-3340.
XAUUSDG trade ideas
GOLD FREE STRUCTUREChina Hong Kong gold vault hints at a geopolitical shift, as the Shanghai Gold Exchange's expansion, aims to enhance China's gold trading infrastructure and challenge Western dominance, potentially impacting demand and supply of physical gold need.
3380-3385 triggered but be cautious
buy zone 3250-3255 reacted and instant buy rejection on the descending trendline.
the Core PCE Price Index (month-over-month): rose by 0.2%, above the forecast of 0.1% and the previous 0.1% reading. This indicates a slight acceleration in the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, with the annual core PCE inflation rising to about 2.7% year-over-year, above expectations of 2.6%.
Personal Income (month-over-month): declined by 0.4%, worse than the forecasted 0.3% increase and down from the previous 0.8% rise. This drop suggests a weakening in household income growth.
Market and Policy Implications:
The uptick in core PCE inflation signals that underlying price pressures remain somewhat persistent, complicating the Fed’s path toward its 2% inflation target.
The decline in personal income could weigh on consumer spending going forward, potentially slowing economic growth.
The US Dollar Index reacted by edging lower, reflecting market caution amid mixed inflation and income data.
Fed officials, including Chair Powell, have emphasized a cautious approach, suggesting no immediate rate cuts until inflation dynamics become clearer.
Summary:
Core inflation is ticking up slightly, reinforcing inflation concerns, while personal income weakness points to potential softening in consumer demand. This mixed data supports a Fed stance of patience, with markets pricing in a moderate chance of rate cuts later in 2025 but expecting continued vigilance.
stay cautious on #gold
There are opportunities for both bulls and bears in gold!Gold fell back and closed lower yesterday. The daily line closed with a negative cross overnight. The overall market has not changed much. The short-term repeated tug-of-war is temporarily consolidating. Today is the closing of the weekly line, and we will continue to maintain the volatile thinking. In the 4H cycle, the Bollinger Bands closed, temporarily exerting pressure on the middle track. After rebounding to 3350 yesterday, it failed to continue and remained in a weak shock pattern. Therefore, today's operation is mainly short and supplemented by long. The upper pressure is at 3328 and 3336. Short according to the rebound strength, pay attention to the rise and fall of 3310 below. A breakthrough may see the previous low of 3295. If the support is not broken, you can consider going long.🔔For more specific operation details and strategy updates, please pay attention to the notification 🌐 at the bottom.
Gold operation suggestion: short gold around 3328-3338, target 3315-3310.
Strong weekend selling pressure, below 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) came under renewed selling pressure during the Asian session on Friday, retreating below the $3,300 level after a lackluster performance the previous day. The precious metal is edging closer to the two-week low seen on Tuesday, as investors await the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index. This key inflation gauge is expected to offer fresh insight into the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and could significantly influence US Dollar (USD) movements—ultimately shaping the near-term trajectory of the non-yielding yellow metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Selling pressure at the end of the week caused gold prices to fall below 3300, maintaining selling pressure and falling today
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3326- 3328 SL 3333
TP1: $3315
TP2: $3302
TP3: $3290
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3248-$3250 SL $3243
TP1: $3260
TP2: $3270
TP3: $3280
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Bearish drop?The Gold (XAU/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap resistance, and could drop to the 1st support, acting as a pullback support.
Pivot: 3,339.40
1st Support: 3,297.74
1st Resistance: 3,389.16
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish breakout for the Gold?The price is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and a breakout of this level could lead the price from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 3,343.14
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 3,296.15
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 3,390.77
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Gold Pullback Into Demand – Is Another Bullish Leg Coming?By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that, as expected, price began to rise from the $3323 area and reached up to $3350. After this move, gold experienced a minor correction down to $3310, which aligns with a key demand zone.
Currently, gold is trading around $3322, and if price holds above $3313, we can expect another bullish move with $3333 as the first target and $3350 as the second.
This outlook will be invalidated if price closes below $3309.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
XAU/USD 15M CHART PATTERNHere's a breakdown of your XAUUSD (Gold vs USD) Buy trade setup:
---
🟢 Trade Type: Buy (Long)
Entry Price: 3321
---
🎯 Take Profit Levels:
1. TP1: 3330 (9 pips gain)
2. TP2: 3340 (19 pips gain)
3. TP3: 3350 (29 pips gain)
---
🔴 Stop Loss:
SL: 3305 (16 pips risk)
---
📊 Risk-Reward Ratios:
TP1: ~1:0.56
TP2: ~1:1.19
TP3: ~1:1.81
---
✅ Analysis:
The setup shows a moderate risk with potential for compounding gains.
Ensure there's enough momentum or support confirmation at or around 3321.
Your stop loss is fairly tight (16 pips) — consider volatility during news hours (like NFP or Fed announcements).
---
Would you like a chart analysis, help with position sizing, or automating this setup (e.g., for MetaTrader/TradingView)?
Lingrid | GOLD Potential Bullish Reversal TradeOANDA:XAUUSD is rebounding from key structure support after forming a double-leg corrective move inside an expanding triangle. Price has reclaimed the 3,324 zone, aligning with the trendline and support confluence, suggesting a short-term bullish bias. If this rebound sustains, gold could retest the 3,380 barrier before eyeing the 3,450 resistance ceiling. A rejection from mid-levels would reintroduce downside pressure toward the 3,246 zone.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 3,320–3,330
Sell trigger: break below 3,324
Target: 3,450
Buy trigger: strong candle close above 3,380
💡 Risks
Weak volume could stall upside continuation
Failure to hold the trendline may drag price toward 3,246
Broader resistance zone between 3,380–3,450 could limit upside momentum
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
The Direction After Sideways Fluctuation at 3330Trump's announcement of an Israel-Iran ceasefire dented safe-haven sentiment, curbing safe-haven buying 🛑. Gold opened with a sharp plunge, then extended losses as Powell later stated that more time is needed before considering rate cuts—dovish expectations eased, sending gold further lower ⬇️. The price briefly fell below the 3,300 level, nearing 3,295 at its lowest, but failed to breach the 3,290-3,300 support zone 📊. As I indicated yesterday, traders could test rebound strength near support; once news impacts faded, gold rebounded to close at 3,323 🔄.
Currently trading sideways around 3,330, gold faces resistance at 3,350 while downside support remains at 3,290-3,300 📈📉. We therefore maintain a bearish stance
⚡️⚡️⚡️ XAUUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@3345 - 3335
🚀 TP 3325 - 3315 - 3305
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
XAUUSD Breakdown: Daily Support Under Fire – Bearish MomentumGold (XAUUSD) is pressing deep into key daily support around $3,275 after a sharp drop from the $3,450s. The daily trendline that’s defined this bullish run since January is now being tested for the first time in months, signaling a possible structural shift.
On the Daily chart, price has decisively broken below the mid-range of the recent consolidation box and is holding near trendline support.
On the 4H and 1H, bearish impulsive waves have formed clear lower highs and lower lows, with the current move stalling at the support zone around $3,265–$3,275.
The 23M chart shows tight consolidation just above this support area, suggesting a potential breakdown if sellers stay in control.
📌 If this level gives way, watch for price to move quickly toward the next major support near $3,150–$3,200. Bulls must reclaim $3,300+ and break above the descending trendline to flip the bias back to bullish.
🚨 Current Bias: Bearish below $3,300; watching for confirmation of breakdown or strong reversal signals.
XAU/USD 4h chart patternXAU/USD (Gold) 4H Chart, the price has clearly broken below the ascending trendline, indicating a bearish structure.
Visual Targets from My Chart:
1. First Target Zone: Around 3,210 - 3,215 USD
2. Second Target Zone: Around 3,130 - 3,135 USD
Price Action Breakdown:
Current Price: Around 3,310 - 3,335 USD
Trendline break confirmed with strong bearish candles
Momentum suggests price is heading towards the first support zone around 3,210
If bearish momentum continues, price may reach the second target around 3,130
Summary:
✅ First Target: 3,210 - 3,215 USD
✅ Second Target: 3,130 - 3,135 USD
If you want precise Fibonacci or support/resistance levels calculated, I can assist further—just let me know!
GOLD - Price can continue to move down in falling channelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price bounced from support level and started to grow to $3400 level, making a small correction before.
When it reached this level, price entered to wedge, where it made a correction and then started to grow.
In a short time, price exited from wedge and soon broke $3400 level, but then it started to decline in a falling channel.
In falling channel, Gold broke $3400 level one more time and in a short time declined to $3305 support level.
After this movement, Gold turned around and started to move up to resistance line of channel.
I expect that Gold can reach resistance line of channel and then start to decline to $3295 support area.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Go long on dips and short on rallies📰 News information:
1. Gold market liquidity at the end of the month
2. Impact of geopolitical situation
📈 Technical Analysis:
Last week we predicted that gold would rebound. Today, after gold rebounded as expected, we gave a short trading strategy. Gold fell precisely at the point we gave, 3295, and successfully hit our TP3280-3270. The result confirmed the correctness of our trading strategy. Next, we will focus on the long trading opportunities below 3270-3260.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3270-3260
TP 3290-3300
SELL 3295-3300-3310
TP 3280-3270
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Potential bullish rise?The Gold (XAU/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 3,334.86
1st Support: 3,315.22
1st Resistance: 3,356.66
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
THE KOG REPORT - Update End of day update from us here at KOG:
Following on from the KOG report, we said there was a huge caveat to the idea, that being that we will tap into that red box resistance and then make the drop rather than just continuing upside. This move worked out well not only giving the RIP but also terminating at the red box and bias level which gave us the long trade upside to where we are now.
For now we have resistance at the 3395 level which still needs to break upside, while support is the 3370-75 level. Ideally, what we want to see over the Asian session is a break above the 3400 level, then a dip into the 3380-75 level before resuming the path we have anticipated in the report. For that reason, we won't change anything in our plans for now.
Please note, a break below 3370 is needed to change the structure.
Key Levels:
Red box defence 3375-80, needs to be broken
Red box defence 3350, needs to be broken
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bullish above 3340 with targets above 3375✅, 3390✅, 3395✅ and above that 3410
Bearish on break of 3340 with targets below 3330, 3320, 3310, 3306 and below that 3298
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3375 for 3378✅, 3390✅, 3395✅, 3406, 3410 and 3419 in extension of the move
Break below 3365 for 3355✅, 3350✅, 3340, 3336, 3330 and 3323 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
[XAUUSD] GOLD – Bullish Setup in Play🟡 *Key Context*
- Geopolitical calm (Trump ceasefire remarks) lowered risk aversion, pushing Gold down — but key support is holding.
- Fed uncertainty continues, yet technicals point to a possible reversal.
📉 *Price Structure*
- Price dropped into a falling wedge, testing 3285–3295 (H4 demand zone).
- RSI bullish divergence + harmonic ABCD pattern seen on 30m.
📌 *Trade Setup – Long Bias*
🔹Entry: 3285–3295 zone (watch for bullish candle confirmation)
🔹Stop Loss: Below 3280 (structure invalidation)
🔹Target 1: 3320–3330
🔹Target 2: 3390 (longer-term move)
⚠️ Volume confirmation is key — wait for breakout strength. Avoid entries during news events. Risk must be managed tightly.
#XAUUSD #Gold #TradingSignal #TeconLab #BuyTheDip
Gold (XAUUSD) – July 1 Analysis📍 H4 Key LH Zone: 3348.500 – 3350.500
This is a major decision zone.
Current market structure:
🔸 M15 is in an uptrend with confirmed ChoCh + BoS
What to watch:
We’re approaching the H4 LH supply zone — now we observe how price behaves here.
🔹 If price breaks above this H4 LH zone:
→ HTF and LTF trends align to the upside
→ Potential continuation of the bullish move
🔹 If price respects and stays below this LH zone:
→ Then this recent up-move could be a pullback
→ We may see a new low forming — so be cautious
📍 M15 Zones for Long Setup (if confirmed):
• 3309.500 – 3312.500 (Order Block Zone)
• 3302.500 – 3304.600 (Demand Zone)
We will watch these levels closely.
If price respects these zones and gives M1 confirmation (ChoCh + BoS) — we’ll plan for long entries accordingly.
📖 Let structure guide your decisions. Let price speak first.
📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
Author of The Chart Is The Mirror — a structure-first, mindset-grounded book for traders
Market Recap & Forecast – Egyptian EditionMarket Recap & Forecast – Egyptian Edition
Yalla ya shabab—before you run off to Sahel or your cousin’s mashwi, let’s break down the market moves. Bring your tea—we’re about to see how they played us like a baladi tabla.
🗓️ 3-Day Recap (June 30 – July 2)
✅ Monday (June 30)
Market woke up strong—“Ana mesh hayemny!” like Adel Emam in El Irhab Wel Kabab.
Closed above 3302—bulls were flexing harder than Mekky in El Kabeer Awy saying “Eh da? Eh da? Enta betgannen ya basha?”
Momentum nearly maxed out—like your cousin after 3 Red Bulls.
RSI ~54, climbing.
Volume big and bold.
Translation: Bulls controlled everything—“El gameya di beta3ty ana!”
✅ Tuesday (July 1)
Tried to smash 3360–3394—market replied with Adel Emam’s classic:
“E7na benedhak 3alek!”
Closed near 3330, confused like a tourist in Sayeda Zeinab.
Volume dropped—enthusiasm disappeared faster than konafa on the table.
Market Maker Move:
“Ta3ala ta3ala, khod fake breakout we yalla salaam!”
✅ Wednesday (July 2)
Price stuck in a boring tight range—like someone waiting for their turn at the Mogamaa.
RSI still climbing but exhausted—“Khalas ya basha, malhash ta3ma,” as Mekky would say.
EMAs clustering—“Mafeesh haga hte7sal.”
Volume low—everyone thinking about the holiday.
Conclusion: The market was basically on vacation already.
📊 What’s Coming July 3rd (Cairo Time)
Set your alarms if you’re not too busy watching El Kabeer Awy reruns:
2:15 PM Cairo: ADP Jobs—could send the market spinning.
4:00 PM Cairo: ISM Services PMI—maybe some drama.
4:30 PM Cairo: Oil Inventories—“keda ya basha, haga sadeema.”
Early close because Americans have fireworks and kebab to grill.
🔍 Levels to Keep an Eye On
Fib Retracements:
38%: 3355
50%: ~3320
61%: 3302–3310
Zones:
🟥 Sell Zone (Habibi, Calm Down): 3394–3433
🟨 Chop Zone (El Malaal): 3330–3360
🟩 Buy Zone (Inshallah Bounce): 3246–3302
Above 3394? “Eh da? Enta betla3 3aleena?”
🕵️ Market Maker Tactics
Step 1: “Yalla, ne3mel rally zay el aflam el mosalsalat.”
Step 2: Sell into your excitement.
Step 3: “Yalla salaam,” as Adel Emam would say.
Step 4: Leave you staring at your screen, thinking:
“Ana mesh fahim haga!”
⚡ Forecast for July 3rd
Liquidity? “Ra7et fein?”—basically gone.
Early spike to 3394? Maybe—but “ma tesdaa2sh!”
By the afternoon, expect the market to drift back to 3300 for a nap.
🎲 Chances:
70% sideways boredom.
30% quick stop hunt to ruin your mood before mashwi.
📈 Hypothetical Trade Setup (Just for Education—Khalas ya basha)
Sure—here’s a clean, actionable rewrite that keeps the exact meaning, instructions, and flow but is tighter, clearer, and direct:
🟡 ENTRY PLAN
Scenario 1 – Sell the Trap
Setup: Price spikes into 3394–3430
Entry: Sell Limit at 3390
Confirmation:
✅ 1-minute Delta turns negative
✅ RSI fails to hold above 62
✅ Footprint shows absorption
Stop Loss: 3435
Target 1: 3330
Target 2: 3310
Execution: Place limit order. No chasing.
Scenario 2 – Buy the Clean Break
Setup: Sustained buying above 3430
Entry: Buy Stop at 3432
Confirmation:
✅ 5-minute close over 3430
✅ Volume >250% of 5-minute average
✅ Delta +1000 or higher
Stop Loss: 3395
Target 1: 3465
Target 2: 3480
Execution: Stop order to catch breakout momentum.
Scenario 3 – Fade into Reversion
Setup: Price fails to hold above 3368 intraday Fib
Entry: Market Sell below 3365
Stop Loss: 3390
Target: 3331 (POC)
🛡 Risk Controls
Max risk per trade: 1–2% of total equity
If price stays between 3360–3390 on low volume, do nothing.
Why?
Resistance stubborn—like Adel Emam yelling “Ana la!”
Market makers cashing out before the holiday.
Pre-holiday rallies disappear faster than mekka7a in Ramadan.
❓ Q1: What should you do while waiting for 3390?
Answer:
Absolutely nothing.
You do not:
❌ Short below 3390 without confirmation
❌ Flip bias every 15 points
❌ Chase 1-minute candles just to feel busy
Why?
Because 3360–3390 is the trap zone. Market Makers churn liquidity here, run stops, and create noise to bait impatient traders.
✅ Instead, you watch:
Does price consolidate under 3390?
Is volume drying up?
Is delta divergence building?
Your role is simple:
Sit on your hands until price enters your control zone.
Trading is 90% waiting. The other 10% is precise execution.
❓ Q2: What if price never hits 3390?
Answer:
If the setup doesn’t trigger, you do nothing.
Example:
Price never reaches 3390
No volume spike
No delta confirmation
Result:
✅ No trade
✅ No regret
✅ No FOMO
You are not throwing darts in the dark. You are running a clear plan:
If your criteria are met, you act.
If they’re not, you stay flat.
Example No-Trade Scenario:
Price stalls between 3350–3380 all day
Volume stays low
No stop sweep or breakout
You wait and protect your capital.
🔥 Pro Tip
If you feel you must do something:
Tighten your watchlist
Set conditional orders
Check correlated markets (Silver, DXY, yields)
Watch VWAP and ATR for shifts
Update your bias at each session open (London, NY)
But never force a trade out of boredom.
Here’s the reality:
Most of your profit will come from 2–3 clear, high-quality trades a week—not from taking 50 random entries.
✅ Quick Cheat Sheet
Trend: Bullish but exhausted.
RSI: ~56 and losing steam.
Levels: 3355, 3368, 3394
Zones:
🟥 Sell: 3394–3433
🟩 Buy: 3246–3302
Liquidity: “Mafeesh!”
Market Makers: Already on holiday.
⚠️ Reminder:
This is for learning, not for throwing your salary in the market. As Adel Emam said:
“Elly yetgawwez emra2a te7tag el falas.”
(He who marries a woman needs money—same with trading. Don’t blow your budget.)
GOLD XAUUSD The ADP Non-Farm Employment Change report for today showed a surprising decline of 33,000 jobs, well below the forecast of a 99,000 forecast and down from the previous month’s modest gain of 29,000 jobs.
Key Details:
This negative figure indicates that private businesses in the US shed 33,000 jobs in June, marking a contraction in private-sector employment—the weakest report since March 2023.
The report is produced by the ADP Research Institute, which uses anonymized payroll data from about 26 million workers to estimate private-sector employment changes ahead of the official government Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report.
The decline reflects ongoing uncertainty among employers amid policy and economic challenges, including tariff impacts and consumer caution.
Market Implications:
The unexpected job losses may raise concerns about the health of the US labor market and the broader economy.
This data could increase expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts or a more dovish stance, potentially weighing on the US dollar and boosting safe-haven assets like gold and silver.
However, the ADP report often diverges from the official NFP, so markets will closely watch the upcoming government jobs data for confirmation.
In summary:
June’s ADP report revealed a contraction of 33,000 private-sector jobs, far below expectations, signaling caution in US labor market hiring and adding uncertainty to the economic outlook ahead of the official payrolls release.
#gold #xauusd
XAU/USD (Gold) - H1 - Wedge Breakout (21.06.2025)The XAU/USD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming Days.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 3425
2nd Resistance – 3451
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