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GOLD / US DOLLAR GRAMGOLD / US DOLLAR GRAMGOLD / US DOLLAR GRAM

GOLD / US DOLLAR GRAM

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XAUUSDG trade ideas

Stay Focus. Gold Hits New Highs: Monthly Close Gains Momentum.The early-session pullback turned out to be another "dip for buying" opportunity in gold's new uptrend. After retreating to a low of 3076, prices broke to new highs again, reaching an exaggerated level of 3112 as of now. The market's long-awaited dream of gold reaching 1000 is now within reach. Given such a frenzied market right at the week's open, should traders aggressively chase the rally or short it? First, the daily chart shows three consecutive bullish candles, clearly indicating a strong uptrend. If today's rally holds firmly above 3100, there is still room for further gains—otherwise, the opposite may occur. On the hourly chart, the morning pullback low serves as today's key support level. If prices retreat again Buy on dips between 3090-3100, stop loss at 3085, target 3120-3130 (upper resistance not predicted for now).
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Oxtradegpt
Analysis of gold price trend next week!Market news: This week, the international gold price staged a "roller coaster" market. Spot gold continued to rise from Monday to Thursday, and on Thursday (April 3), it hit a record high of $3,167/ounce, but on Friday (April 4), it plummeted by more than $75 in a single day, falling to a low of $3,015, a drop of 2.44%, and finally closed at $3,038/ounce, narrowing the weekly increase to 1.2%. Precious metals such as silver and platinum fell simultaneously, among which spot silver fell by 7.2% in a single week, the worst performance since September 2020.      This sharp fluctuation stems from two key events: Trump's tariff policy has caused global concerns to heat up, and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's unexpected turn to hawkish monetary policy. The market liquidity crisis caused investors to sell gold to make up for stock market losses, and the US dollar index strengthened by 0.9%, further suppressing international gold prices. The better-than-expected non-farm payrolls report released by the United States on Friday was another reason for the blow to gold prices. The U.S. Department of Labor reported that after seasonal adjustment, non-farm payrolls in March recorded 228,000, an increase higher than the market expectation of 135,000. Non-farm payrolls data will help the Federal Reserve postpone interest rate cuts. International gold usually performs well in a low interest rate environment. Looking ahead to next week, investors need to focus on the verification of inflation expectations by the U.S. CPI data in March (April 10), the market reaction after the tariff measures are officially implemented, and whether the speeches of Fed officials will release more policy signals. Technical Review: After a series of large negative declines, gold is currently in a short-term trend that is bearish. The daily line has a large negative downward trend, breaking the short-term moving average and piercing the middle track, leaving a lower shadow below. The pattern shows a bearish signal of Yin Bao Yang engulfing. In the short term, it may rely on the middle track support to confirm the 10ma resistance and fall again. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands open downward, and the K-line continues to decline. The trend is bearish and downward. The gold market on Thursday and Friday this week can be described as thrilling, with a rise and fall of more than 200 points in two days! The gold market has changed suddenly, and there has been an extremely violent sweep. First, it rose rapidly to 3136 without any signs, and then fell back quickly at lightning speed, and fell below the intraday low. At present, the daily gold line has risen and fallen. The sharp rise in the early trading did not continue. It was under pressure at the high of 3168 and quickly entered an adjustment, with a downward adjustment space of more than 100 US dollars. After the high-level fluctuations of gold in the past two days, gold finally broke down on Friday night. In fact, the market was too active in the past two days, and the overall volatility was large. In fact, it was still a little difficult to operate. Although the overall outlook was bearish, the rebound amplitude was not small each time. Now sometimes it rebounded by more than 20 US dollars in a few minutes, so it may appear that it will continue to fall after a just loss. Now the high level of the gold daily line is covered by dark clouds, so how to operate next week? Next week's analysis: From the overall trend, the weak pattern of gold is beyond doubt, and it is reasonable to continue to be under pressure and downward. Therefore, it is recommended to pay attention to the 3050-3054 area next week, and continue to look at the 3060-3070 area above. The support that needs to be focused on is the 3000 mark shown by the weekly 5-day moving average slightly moving down. Above it, it will rebound, and breaking it will open a new round of downward space. The gold 1-hour moving average has formed a dead cross downward, so the gold bears still have power. The short-term gold can only rebound. After the gold rebounds, it will continue to sell, and then gold will enter a shock. After the gold falls sharply from a high level, it is more advantageous to sell in the short term. Unless there is a big profit to buy, it is difficult for gold to rise directly. The last physical K-line box of gold in the 1 hour will form a short-term suppression. The gold rebound resistance is 3076. If it is under pressure, then the gold rebound will continue to sell at highs. Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3013-3015, stop loss at 3004, target at 3050-3060; Sell short-term gold at 3063-3065, stop loss at 3075, target at 3020-3030; Key points: First support level: 3015, second support level: 3000, third support level: 2988 First resistance level: 3048, second resistance level: 3056, third resistance level: 3074
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BraveTigercat
Gold analisis for the coming week with both buy and sell levels Recommende buy level 3046 Recommended sell level 3030 Bullish Momentum Early Week: The pair started the week with strong bullish momentum, continuing the trend from the previous week. Concerns about the global economy and geopolitical factors fueled this upward movement, with XAUUSD testing and breaking above the $3110 level, reaching new record highs. Tariff-Driven Surge and Correction: Mid-week saw a further surge in gold prices following the announcement of tariffs by the US. XAUUSD reached a record peak of around $3167-$3168. However, this was followed by a sharp and deep correction heading into the weekend. Powell's Hawkish Comments: Comments from Fed Chair Powell regarding tariff-driven inflation contributed to the downward pressure on gold towards the end of the week.   Profit-Taking: After reaching record highs, profit-taking also played a role in the significant correction observed towards the end of the week. Technical Levels: Support was seen around the $3050 and $3100 levels at different points, while the $3115-$3125 zone acted as a resistance after the initial surge. The $3035 zone is also being watched as potential support. Overall Negative Bias: Despite the early week gains, XAUUSD traded with a negative bias for the second straight day on Friday, consolidating around the $3100 mark. For the week as a whole, despite the volatility and correction, gold was still on track for its fifth consecutive weekly gain due to the initial surge related to tariff concerns. For the coming week Tariff Implications: The market will continue to assess the broader economic implications of the announced tariffs and any potential retaliatory measures. Escalating trade tensions typically support gold as a safe-haven asset.   US Economic Data: Key US economic data releases, such as employment figures and inflation data, will be closely watched for their potential impact on Federal Reserve policy and the US dollar, which inversely affects gold prices. Central Bank Rhetoric: Any further comments from central bank officials regarding monetary policy and inflation will be important catalysts for price action. Technical Outlook: Potential for Rebound: Following the sharp correction, there is potential for a technical rebound, with the $3080-$3100 area being a possible initial target. Some analysts see the $3025-$3030 zone as a key demand area for a potential W-shaped recovery. Key Resistance: The $3115-$3125 zone and the recent record high around $3167-$3168 will act as significant resistance levels. Key Support: Support levels to watch include $3050, $3035, and potentially the psychological $3000 mark. A break below $3015-$3020 could increase bearish pressure. Elliott Wave Analysis: Some Elliott Wave analysis suggests a potential further drop towards the $2830-$2574 range if the $3167.80 level holds as critical resistance. Conversely, a break above $3167.80 could lead to further gains towards $3300-$3500. Market Sentiment: Overall market sentiment, particularly regarding risk aversion due to geopolitical or economic uncertainties, will continue to play a crucial role in gold's performance. Trading Strategies: Some analysts suggest looking for buying opportunities on pullbacks, particularly around support zones. Others point to potential shorting opportunities from corrections below the recent high. Waiting for clear price action and confirmation around key levels is generally advised given the recent volatility.    
OANDA:XAUUSD
by F0rexBorex
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Happy Friday. I am not taking any trades today. I caught 2 good scalp trades this week and being Friday, and with all the volitility I am going to sit this one out. Saying that, I have marked the area of interest for a push down or another push up to take out anyone who caught the short trade from the overnight sessions. Let's see how things play out over the next hour or so as Pre NY volume comes in. Be well and trade the trend. Big G gets all my thanks and a shout out.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by musclemilk0075
IS THE GLOBAL “BIG SHORT” ON ITS WAY?TRADE WAR WARNING – IS THE GLOBAL “BIG SHORT” ON ITS WAY? In the last 24 hours, global financial markets were rattled after Donald Trump unveiled a sweeping set of new global tariffs. This wasn’t just a political move — it may well mark the beginning of a new wave of global economic instability. Markets across the board took a hit: 📉 US, European, and Asian equities 📉 Gold (XAU/USD), the US Dollar Index (DXY), and even crypto — all plunged into the red. 🔍 So, What Actually Happened? Gold dropped by over 100 points in a single session — and strangely, the US dollar also fell. Normally, a weaker USD would support gold. So why did gold sell off this time? ➡️ One likely explanation is that institutional investors sold gold positions to cover losses in equity markets, or to free up margin amidst the chaos. 📉 This wasn’t just a correction — it might be the early signal of a global BIG SHORT forming across multiple asset classes. 🧨 The Start of Something Bigger? Markets aren’t just reacting to tariffs. They’re pricing in the risk of a full-scale trade war, which could disrupt global supply chains and hammer corporate earnings. Industries like construction, healthcare, logistics, and manufacturing are already showing signs of strain. If this escalates, we could be looking at something far more serious than a short-term sell-off. 📉 The Data Doesn’t Look Great Either While inflation in the US continues to cool, other key data points are deteriorating: ISM Services PMI (March): 50.8 (vs 53.0 expected) Employment sub-index: 46.2 (down sharply from 53.9) New orders, export orders and backlogs also fell 👉 These are real signs of economic slowdown, especially considering that services make up over 70% of the US economy. 🧠 Market Sentiment: FOMO, Fear, and Panic At the moment, it’s hard to ignore how unsettled sentiment has become. Retail and institutional traders alike are acting on fear. And that’s dangerous. 🔔 Tonight’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report could either calm things down — or add more fuel to the fire. 🏦 Will the Fed Cut Rates Sooner? Markets are rapidly shifting their expectations: A rate cut could come as early as May or June 2025 Traders are now pricing in 2 to 4 cuts this year (previously just 2) There’s now a strong chance the Fed pivots earlier than expected If jobs data continues to soften, the Fed may have no choice but to act faster — despite core inflation not yet fully under control. ⚠️ Trading Strategy: Observation Over Action Right now, your best position might be… no position. "Sometimes, the most profitable trade is the one you don’t take." This isn’t the time to chase wild price action. It’s the time to prepare and plan with logic — not emotion. 📊 Key Technical Levels on XAU/USD 🔺 Resistance: 3110 – 3119 – 3136 – 3148 – 3167 🔻 Support: 3086 – 3075 – 3055 – 3040 – 3024 🟢 BUY ZONE: 3056 – 3054 SL: 3050 TP: 3060 – 3064 – 3068 – 3072 – 3076 – 3080 🔴 SELL ZONE: 3148 – 3150 SL: 3154 TP: 3144 – 3140 – 3136 – 3132 – 3128 – 3124 – 3120 💬 Final Thoughts The combination of tariffs, recession fears, and rate cut speculation is building into what could become a perfect storm. Gold is in the eye of that storm. Now is not the time to panic — but to trade with clarity and control. 📌 Don’t let emotion drive your trades. Stick to the chart. Stick to your plan. Protect your capital. 🧠 Patience is what separates the lucky from the consistently profitable.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MMFlowTrading
XAU/USD 03 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by Trump's tariff policy which is driving up the price of gold. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. As mentioned in previous analysis that I will continue to monitor price. Price has printed a bullish iBOS which is marked in red, this is due to the fact that the depth of the pullback has been shallow and has not pulled back into either discount of internal 50% EQ or mitigated a H4 demand zone. As a result, price now is trading within an internal low and fractal high. Intraday Expectation: Await for price to print a bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 01 April 2025 Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by the trump tariffs. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. You will note price has printed a bullish followed by a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. Whilst I am aware that price has not traded into discount of internal 50% or mitigated any demand zone, I will mark this as an iBOS due to time spent. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,167.835. Alternative scenario: As H4 appears to be in bearish pullback phase, although we do not currently have any indication, it would not come a surprise if price prints a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Thursday, 3rd April 2024)Bias: Bullish USD News(Red Folder): -Unemployment Claims -ISM Services PMI Analysis: -Strong bullish momentum after US tariffs being announced -Looking for retest of the bullish structure -Potential BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe -Pivot point: 3100 Disclaimer: This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by HM_fxtrading
XAU/USD 02 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by Trump's tariff policy which is driving up the price of gold. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now contained within an established internal structure. I will however continue to monitor price to evaluate depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,149.090. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 01 April 2025 Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by the trump tariffs. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. You will note price has printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor price. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,149.090. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Gold Hits New Highs Amid Rising UncertaintyGold ended last week at historic levels, closing near $3,085 per ounce, amid rising economic uncertainty and renewed tariff-related rhetoric from the U.S. President, particularly concerning the automotive sector. During late trading hours yesterday, fresh developments regarding trade tensions—along with references to potential geopolitical escalation—were noted. These factors appeared to contribute to a gap-up opening for gold, which reached a new all-time high of $3,125 per ounce. While future price movements remain uncertain, market participants may monitor the following levels: * The $3,125 high could serve as a key reference point; any revisit to this level may draw attention to the $3,150 area. * A moderation in momentum near $3,125 might result in a revisit to the $3,112 level. * Should prices fall below $3,110, the $3,100 area—commonly observed as a psychological benchmark—may become relevant. * A continuation below $3,100 might bring the previous high of $3,085 back into focus.
EASYMARKETS:XAUUSD
by Ram-Karavadra
XAU/USD 01 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by Trump's tariff policy which is driving up the price of gold. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. You will note a further bullish iBOS marked in red. This is due to the fact the price did not trade down to either discount of internal 50% or a demand level. Intraday Expectation: Due to the bullish nature of the market, with very minimal pullback I will continue to visually map until price pulls back enough to plot structure. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by the trump tariffs. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. You will note price has printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor price. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,149.090. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
Mastering Market Trends: Your Guide to Clearer Trading DecisionsTrends shape every decision you make in the markets, even if you’re unaware of it. Understanding how to identify and adapt to these market phases is your foundational skill - one that separates successful traders from the rest. Today, let’s simplify and clarify the three essential types of market trends. By mastering this, you’ll approach trading decisions with more confidence and clarity. ⸻ 📈 1. Uptrend – Riding the Bull • What is it? An uptrend is like climbing stairs upward. Each step (low) is higher than the previous one, and every leap (high) sets a new peak. • What drives it? Buyers dominate, optimism rules, and demand pushes prices upward. • Trading tip: Identify support levels and look for retracements as potential entry points. Be cautious about chasing prices that have moved too far without a pullback. ⸻ 📉 2. Downtrend – Navigating the Bearish Territory • What is it? Visualize going down a staircase. Each step down (low) surpasses the previous one, and every upward bounce (high) falls short of the prior peak. • What drives it? Sellers control the market, bearish sentiment takes over, and supply outweighs demand. • Trading tip: Look for resistance areas to identify potential short entries or wait patiently for signs of a reversal if you’re bullish. ⸻ ➡️ 3. Sideways Market – The Calm Before the Storm • What is it? Imagine a tug-of-war with evenly matched teams. The price moves back and forth in a narrow range without breaking decisively higher or lower. • What drives it? Uncertainty, indecision, or equilibrium between buyers and sellers. • Trading tip: Stay patient! Either look to trade range extremes (buying support and selling resistance) or wait for clear breakout signals to catch the next big move. ⸻ 🔍 Pro Tip for Trend Analysis: • Multi-timeframe analysis is key: Always check higher timeframes (weekly, daily, or hourly) to confirm the primary trend. Don’t let short-term noise mislead your trading decisions. ⸻ 🚀 Why It Matters: Aligning your strategies with the correct market trend significantly improves your odds. It’s like sailing with the wind at your back instead of battling against it. Now, tell us in the comments: Which trend type do you find most challenging to trade? Trade smarter. Trade clearer.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by TrendGo_Official