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XAUUSDG trade ideas

Gold (XAU/USD) Short Setup – Triangle Breakout AnalysisGold recently formed a symmetrical triangle pattern, signaling potential volatility. A confirmed downside breakout from the triangle suggests bearish continuation. The price broke below the ascending support line, signaling a short opportunity. Based on the height of the triangle and technical projection, the target zone is around $2,961, aligning with previous demand levels. Short Setup: Entry: ~$3,237 Stop Loss: ~$3,320 Target: ~$2,980 Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable Fundamentals Support Bearish Bias: Hawkish Fed stance and potential rate hikes Strong USD amid global uncertainty Weak physical demand in recent weeks setup is ideal for traders looking to capitalize on a bearish breakout following a period of consolidation. Monitor for volume confirmation and macroeconomic data that may influence gold prices. Call to Action: 👉 Follow for alerts on breakout/breakdown scenarios. 👉 Share this analysis to empower others with data-driven decisions. Engage with My Latest Trading Setup & Share Insights! NOTE: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Support: Like & follow for more trade ideas!
VELOCITY:GOLDShort
by Mr_Kevin_Trading
Is gold's bullish cycle running out of steam?Introduction: After a marked uptrend which saw gold reach $3500 at the end of April, with an annual rise of almost 30% since the beginning of the year and $1500 up since the bullish breakout of February 2024 (bullish breakout of the former all-time high of $2075 at the time), the message from technical analysis is as follows: now is not the time to initiate an initial buy position; it's time to manage your gains, as the bullish cycle is showing its first signs of exhaustion. Exhausted bullish momentum does not mean that the market will turn downwards, so let's take a look at the fundamental factors influencing gold's trend in the precious metals compartment. 1. Theoretical long-term bullish technical objectives achieved The bullish cycle represented by wave 5 has reached its theoretical objectives. Wave number 5 is the last in a complete Elliott wave fractal cycle. In technical terms, this means that upside potential is now more limited than it was a year ago. Key supports are at a distance, making the risk/return ratio very unfavorable for an investor who is not already positioned in the gold market. 2. Signs of a turnaround in flows and demand Net flows into GOLD ETFs have returned to negative territory. This indicates a retreat in investment demand after several weeks in largely positive territory. At the same time, institutional investors are reducing their bullish exposure to gold futures, according to the COT Report. Stronger hands are taking profits, but not adopting bearish strategies. 3. The US Dollar and the inverse correlation with the gold price The US Dollar, strongly negatively correlated with gold, is now oversold and on major technical support. The US Dollar (DXY) has been the weakest currency on the Forex market this year, and this decline has contributed strongly to gold's rise. Now oversold, the US dollar will be less of a driver of gold's rise. 4. High interest rates and Federal Reserve intransigence Long-term interest rates remain high because of the US public debt, and the Fed is adamant about the risk of a return to inflation in the context of a trade war. As long as this situation persists, it will weigh structurally on non-yielding assets such as gold. Naturally, if the FED were to resume lowering the US federal funds rate, this would provide support for the gold price. 5. The commercial and geopolitical context remains decisive Admittedly, certain extreme scenarios could push gold higher (global economic recession, dollar collapse, uncontrollable geopolitical tensions), but these are exceptional events, and the current period is more about trade diplomacy. Even so, until decisive trade agreements are signed between the USA and its main trading partners, gold can continue to benefit from support on this fundamental aspect. 6. The trade-off between gold and bitcoin should not be underestimated On the arbitrage front, Bitcoin, or digital gold according to some institutions, has been regaining ground since the beginning of April, rising from $74,000 to just over $100,000. Technical analysis highlights the presence of chartist support on the BTC/GOLD ratio, suggesting that BTC could outperform the gold price over the coming weeks. Conclusion: Gold's bullish cycle has reached ambitious theoretical technical targets, and the first signs of running out of steam are present. The $3500 mark could be gold's annual top, but there is not yet enough technical evidence to argue for this. Even so, the key now is to secure gains, protect capital and watch for signs of a medium-term trend reversal. The risk/return ratio, both technically and fundamentally, is no longer appropriate for an initial long position in this market. 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FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by Swissquote
Market next move Bearish Disruption Analysis: 1. Range Weakness and Exhaustion Risk: The price has been ranging within a tight zone, and repeated tests of the support line near 3,215–3,218 show weakening buyer pressure. If bulls were strong, we might have already seen a breakout with momentum. Instead, there's sideways choppiness, suggesting indecision or exhaustion. 2. Lower Highs Forming: Despite a flat support zone, price is forming lower highs, a bearish signal. Sellers are stepping in earlier on each bounce, tightening the range from the top. 3. Volume Depletion: Volume is gradually dropping during this consolidation. If a breakout happens without a volume surge, it risks becoming a false breakout. 4. Liquidity Sweep Possibility: Market makers might push price below the support zone (~3,215) to trigger stop-losses and accumulate orders before a potential real breakout. This would trap late buyers who enter early. 5. Bearish Scenario Path: If price breaks below 3,215 and closes under that on decent volume, expect a move to the next demand zone near 3,200 or lower. Downside target could be around 3,180–3,190, where the previous demand base formed on May 15.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
“This Is Not a Strategy. It’s a Reminder: Real Profitability Description: We’ve seen the feedback. We’ve read the debates. And we fully understand — not everyone sees things the same way. So let us be clear: We do not — and cannot — publish our real systems here. And no one ever has. Let’s be honest… in the entire history of trading, has anyone ever shared a truly profitable system for free on a public platform? Of course not. Because real systems are private, protected, and built over years of research, testing, and iteration. And more importantly: TradingView does not allow protected code, which makes it technically impossible to share advanced systems safely here. So what can we do? We share carefully designed demo versions — simplified signals, built on real logic, that open a window. A window into something much deeper. These are not ads. These are not sales funnels. These are provocations — for those who are ready to ask the right questions. You’re welcome to test them. You’re welcome to comment — positive or negative. But if you truly want to spark something bigger, you’ll know how to find us. Because the truth is simple: If a system is public, it’s not profitable. We’re not here to mislead, to sell false hope, or to waste anyone’s time. We’re here to protect the craft — and to build in silence. Respectfully, CMATechnologies We will never be among those who mislead others, or cost them money.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by CMATechnologies
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, Here’s the latest update on our weekly chart setup, which has continued to play out in line with our previous projections. Recently, price broke above the upper boundary of our Goldturn Ascending Channel a proprietary channelling method designed for greater precision and reduced noise. However, the EMA5 remains within the channel, suggesting the breakout lacks confirmation. For a true continuation to the upside, we’ll need to see the EMA5 close and hold above the channel boundary, which would validate a structural shift in trend strength. At the moment, price is hovering above the channel, showing signs of support and minor bullish bounces. However, until the EMA5 exits and stabilizes outside the channel, we treat this move with caution. Price is currently testing the upper channel resistance, a critical decision point on the weekly timeframe. The 3482 level remains key resistance, having previously been rejected via upper wick with no candle body close above. On the downside, 3281 and 3189 are the primary support levels to monitor, both of which align with the channel's midline, a potential zone for consolidation or swing support if price moves sideways and gradually ascends. In summary, while early bullish momentum is visible, full confirmation of trend continuation requires alignment between price action and the EMA5 behaviour relative to the channel structure. This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, drawn using weighted averages instead of pure price action. This unique approach helps us clearly identify fake-outs and real breakouts, cutting out much of the noise that usually confuses traders. Moving forward, we’ll focus on smaller timeframes (1H and 4H) to buy dips off the weighted Goldturns, aiming for clean 30–40 pip moves. Ranging markets are perfect for this style, allowing us to capitalize on quick moves without getting caught in the chop of larger swings. Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows, we really appreciate the support! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
9
XAUUSD 1HR, Elliott Wave TheoryCurrent price action is unfolding in a 5-wave bearish structure wave (1) of ((3)) with wave ((V)) of 3 in progress. A corrective ABC structure completed near the CISD zone. Wave 3 extends to the 3.618 Fibonacci projection (~3,148), with wave 5 targeting a support block near 3,120–3,130. Anticipated short-term retracement for wave 4, followed by one more impulsive drop into demand. Indicators: RSI shows consistent bearish momentum with room for divergence.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by ElliottWaveFxMajors
Bullish Continuation ExpectedAnalysis: Gold has recently broken out of a descending trendline (marked in green), signaling a potential bullish continuation. After the breakout, price is now retesting the previous resistance zone around 3314.865, which may act as new support. We anticipate a possible consolidation above this level, followed by a bullish push toward the next significant resistance at 3330.392, which aligns with the 138% Fibonacci extension. If momentum continues, the final target is projected near the 3341.521 zone. Key Zones: Support: 3314.865 Resistance 1: 3330.392 (Fib extension) Resistance 2: 3341.521 (Target area) Bias: Bullish while price holds above the trendline and 3314.865 support zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JAG_Trader
Gold short sellers hit the 3,000 mark in a bloodbath?News: The gold market has been experiencing violent fluctuations recently, with a significant correction from historical highs, triggering heated discussions in the market. Its price decline is mainly driven by two major factors: First, global trade tensions have eased. China and the United States have significantly reduced tariffs and suspended some tariffs for 90 days, which has greatly boosted market risk appetite. Investors have evacuated safe-haven assets and the demand for gold has declined. Second, the U.S. dollar index has bottomed out, and U.S. Treasury bond yields have also hit a six-week high. The 10-year Treasury bond yield has exceeded 4.5%. The Fed's adjustment in interest rate cut expectations has made non-interest-bearing assets such as gold less attractive. However, geopolitical risks have not completely dissipated, and the US-EU trade negotiations have progressed slowly, which may re-boost gold's safe-haven demand in the future. In the short term, trade optimism and a stronger US dollar may continue to suppress gold prices; but in the medium and long term, geopolitical uncertainty, inflationary pressures and central bank demand for gold purchases will provide support for gold prices. From the four-hour level, a double top is formed at the 3500 and 3440 positions above. Gold continued to fall after breaking below 3200. The continued decline has released a clear short signal.The focus below is on the weekly 3100 area support.The ultimate goal of this round of adjustment is to look at the 3030-2980 range
TVC:GOLDShort
by Fortune-signal
Gold 100% Profit SignalGold has experienced another roller coaster fluctuation, rising by $45 from 3240 to 3285 in a short period of time. There is no clear news driving the market, and short-term sentiment dominates the market. The current technical indicators show that the effectiveness of 3285 as a key resistance level in the early stage is questionable. If it cannot hold this position, the gold price may fall back to the support range of 3240-3230; if it breaks through 3285, it may trigger short stop loss orders, further impacting the 3300 high pressure area.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ElvaHaywood
XAUUSD – Is the “Death Triangle” About to Break Down?Hey everyone, looking at the 8H chart, we can see that gold is tightening inside a narrow triangle – a sign of both consolidation and a potential major breakout coming soon. However, what's worth noting is that the price structure leans toward a bearish breakout, as gold continues to form lower highs and gets repeatedly rejected around the $3,250 resistance zone – which also aligns with the upper edge of the triangle. Below, the long-term ascending support line is under significant pressure. If sellers maintain control and push the price below this trendline, the next potential target could be the $3,080 zone – aligning with the most recent swing low and acting as a possible support area. Summary: The $3,250 zone is the “checkpoint” to watch for selling pressure. If the price fails to break above this level, the downtrend is likely to continue. The lower edge of the triangle is the “lifeline” for buyers. If it breaks, the likelihood of a deeper drop increases significantly. What’s your take on this setup? Let’s share our views and spot the best trading opportunities together!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_
Smart Scalping: How I Read The GOLD Impulse Before The MoveSetup Breakdown: This GOLD scalping opportunity was executed using a confluence of: • Belkhayate Impulsion Signal: Bullish trigger from the impulsion wave inside the channel • Volume Confirmation: Spike in volume supported short-term bullish reversal • Microstructure Support: Price rejected a dynamic exhaustion zone, confirming a low-risk entry. Risk Management Applied: Once in profit, I immediately moved SL to Break-Even to eliminate downside risk. As price surged: • I adjusted SL to 50% gain to protect partial profits • Exited manually after price hesitation near a key level • Trade closed in under 6 minutes, securing profit (0.23% gain) using 1 lot Why This Setup Worked: • Timing aligned perfectly with the Belkhayate channel reversion • The impulsion move was supported by volume divergence • Clean structural bounce confirmed by exhaustion wick = low drawdown entry Key Takeaway: This wasn’t a lucky scalp — it was a calculated reaction to price action, backed by method and experience. Precision execution, tight risk, and fast decision-making. Discipline > Prediction Executed via MT5 – Recreated on TradingView for educational purposes 🔔 Follow @GoldenZoneFX for clean entries, Belkhayate-based setups, and real-time market reads. 💬 Drop a 🔥 below if you’d like the full breakdown of the next GOLD opportunity.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldenZoneFX
Beware! Gold Falls 📌 World Situation Gold prices fell more than 1.5% on Friday and are on track to close the week with a loss of more than 4% as improving risk sentiment drove investors away from safe-haven assets and into stocks and other riskier investments. At the time of writing, XAU/USD was trading around $3,187, retreating from a daily high of $3,252. The precious metal started the week lower following a reported significant de-escalation in the US-China trade conflict, including an agreement by both sides to reduce tariffs by 115%. Despite trading between $3,120 and $3,265 throughout the week, gold prices struggled to maintain bullish momentum, with weakening buyer interest becoming increasingly apparent against the backdrop of stronger risk appetite and encouraging US economic data. 📊Comment Analysis Will be greatly affected by tariff news and Russia-Ukraine peace talks 💰Strategy Package Resistance: $3265, $3357 Support: $3160, $3112 In this range, you can enter the market in batches in real time to flexibly grasp the market changes. ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the capital account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
The latest gold operation strategyFrom a technical perspective, gold has been strong recently. Spot gold closed at $3,289.54 per ounce on Tuesday, and further broke through $3,300 in early trading on Wednesday, reaching a high of $3,304.06, a new high in more than a week. In the short term, gold prices need to break through the key resistance level of $3,370 to open up further upside space; $3,150 has formed a solid support below. If there are new variables in the geopolitical situation or economic data, gold prices may even challenge the $3,400 mark. Based on the current trend, the trading idea on Wednesday is clear: wait for the price to fall back and continue to intervene in long orders around 3,300, and maintain a bullish strategy. Gold is recommended to go long in the 3300-3305 area, stop loss at 3292, target at 3315-3330
OANDA:XAUUSD
by BarryDouglass
The unilateral offensive is fierce: the bulls have clear goalsGold is performing strongly sideways. We are in the same rhythm as yesterday and continue to maintain bullishness. Gold broke through the key resistance of 3280 on Tuesday and then rose strongly. It is currently above the area near 3330. The technical side shows that the bullish trend continues. The next target may point to the high of 3400. After rising continuously on Monday and Tuesday, it slightly adjusted back to around 3285 on Wednesday and stabilized before rising again. The daily line closed positive and stood firmly on the middle track. The Bollinger band opened upward, and the upper track pressure was at 3400, suggesting that the medium-term upward space is open. The Bollinger band opened significantly, the moving average was arranged in a bullish pattern, and the upward momentum was strong. Short-term support focuses on the moving average at 3315. If the correction does not break this position, the trend long order can follow up. If the key resistance of 3350 is effectively broken, it will further open up the upward space. Gold operation suggestions: continue to go long after stepping back to 3320-3315, with a target of 3350. If it rises to around 3350 without breaking, you can arrange short-term short orders, with a target of 3330.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
X1: GOLD/XAUUSD Buy Risking1% to make 2.18%X1: #XAUUSD/#GOLD Risking 1% to make 2.18% GOLD/XAUUSD Long for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly. Risking 1% to make 2.18% Note: Manage your risk yourself, its risky trade, see how much your can risk yourself on this trade. If First Trade SL hit: I will enter again, wait for next signal, we won't be on loss anyway let market decide we will move accordingly. Use proper risk management Looks like good trade. Lets monitor. Use proper risk management. Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MuhammadTrades
2
XAU/USD (Gold) – Long Opportunity from Ascending Triangle 🟡 XAU/USD (Gold) – Long Opportunity from Ascending Triangle Breakout Gold is showing a strong bullish structure with a well-formed ascending triangle on the chart, often a signal of continuation in an uptrend. 🔸 Key Technicals: Rising trendline of higher lows indicates strong buyer interest. Horizontal resistance at $3,255 has been tested multiple times. Volume and structure suggest a potential breakout above resistance. 🔸 Trade Idea: Entry: Upon breakout and retest of the $3,255 zone. Stop-Loss: Below recent support and trendline (~$3,223). Take Profit 1: $3,322 – Move SL to breakeven once hit. Take Profit 2: $3,388 – Based on the height of the triangle projected upward. This setup offers a clean 4% move with solid risk-to-reward. Ideal for swing traders watching Gold’s reaction to macroeconomic events. 📌 Always wait for breakout confirmation and manage risk wisely. Let’s see if the bulls have what it takes to push through! 🚀
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by ghostysellsdonkeys
GOLD Fundamentals Affecting Gold Prices and Correlation with U.S. Bond Yields Key Factors Driving Gold Prices Safe-Haven Demand: Geopolitical tensions (e.g., U.S.-China trade wars, Russia-Ukraine conflict) and economic uncertainty drive investors to gold as a refuge, pushing prices to record highs Declining confidence in traditional safe havens like the U.S. dollar and Treasuries amplifies gold’s appeal . Central Bank Policies: Aggressive gold purchases by central banks (e.g., China, Russia,india ) to diversify reserves and hedge against sanctions underpin demand, removing significant supply from markets . The Federal Reserve’s cautious rate policy (steady at 4.25–4.50% in 2025) and subdued real interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold Gold thrives when real rates (nominal rates minus inflation) are low or negative. Despite moderating inflation, real yields remain depressed, sustaining gold’s attractiveness . Expectations of stagflation (rising inflation + weak growth) historically favor gold over bonds . U.S. Dollar Weakness: A 9% decline in the USD Index (2025) makes gold cheaper for foreign buyers, boosting demand . Central banks’ shift away from dollar reserves further pressures the currency, indirectly supporting gold . Supply-Demand Dynamics: Stagnant mining output (annual growth: 2–3%) and rising extraction costs constrain supply, while ETF inflows and industrial/jewelry demand add upward pressure . Gold’s Correlation with U.S. Bond Yields Traditionally, gold and bond yields exhibit an inverse relationship: higher yields (from rising rates) increase the opportunity cost of holding gold. However, recent dynamics have disrupted this pattern: 2024–2025 Anomaly: Concurrent rises in gold prices and Treasury yields occurred due to: Geopolitical Risks: Tariffs, trade wars, and conflict-driven inflation fears spurred demand for both gold (as a hedge) and bonds (as yields rose on inflation expectations) . Bear Steepening: Long-term yields outpaced short-term ones, reflecting expectations of prolonged inflation or growth, which gold historically offsets . Example: In March 2025, gold hit $3,500/oz as 10-year yields rose to 4.37% amid tariff escalations . Mechanisms Behind the Shift: Inflation Hedge: Gold’s role as an inflation hedge outweighs yield-driven opportunity costs when investors anticipate sustained price pressures . Loss of Confidence in Traditional Assets: Eroding trust in the U.S. dollar and Treasuries (due to fiscal policies and trade tensions) drives simultaneous demand for gold and higher bond risk premiums . Summary Table Factor Impact on Gold Prices Impact on Bond Yields Correlation Shift (2025) Geopolitical Risks ↑ (Safe-haven demand) ↑ (Inflation expectations) Positive (Both rise) Central Bank Gold Buying ↑ (Demand surge) – – Subdued Real Rates ↑ (Lower opportunity cost) ↓ (If nominal rates lag) Inverse (Gold ↑, Yields ↓) USD Weakness ↑ (Cheaper for non-USD) Mixed (Trade deficit risks) – Inflation Expectations ↑ (Hedge demand) ↑ (Compensation for inflation) Positive (Both rise) Conclusion Gold prices in 2025 are propelled by geopolitical uncertainty, central bank accumulation, and inflation hedging, while their correlation with U.S. bond yields reflects a complex interplay of stagflation fears and shifting investor confidence. The traditional inverse relationship has been disrupted by tariffs and macroeconomic instability, creating periods where both assets rise simultaneously. For investors, gold remains a critical hedge in portfolios exposed to equity volatility or dollar depreciation, even amid elevated bond yields. Key Levels to Watch: Gold: Resistance at $3,700/oz (Goldman Sachs 2025 target) . 10-Year Treasury Yield: Support at 4.25%, resistance at 4.50% . This dynamic underscores gold’s evolving role in a multipolar economic landscape where traditional asset correlations are increasingly volatile. #GOLD#XAUUSD#DOLLAR
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub