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XAUUSDG trade ideas

Gold Bulls Charging to 3305 But What’s Waiting There?Gold has recently taken support from the lower levels and has also shown a Break of Structure (BoS) to the downside. Currently, there is Imbalance and Internal Draw on Liquidity (IDM) resting around the 3305 level. The market appears to be moving upward to mitigate that imbalance. It's important to closely monitor this zone, as once the market reaches and fills this area, there is a high probability of a potential rejection or bearish move from that level
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TradeCraft_FX
[ TimeLine ] Gold 31 July 2025📆 Today’s Date: Wednesday, July 30, 2025 📌 Upcoming Signal Dates: • July 31, 2025 (Thursday) — Single-candle setup • July 31–August 1, 2025 (Thursday–Friday) — Two-candle combined range 🧠 Trading Outlook & Notes ✅ Gold has recently dropped sharply from 3439 to 3298, and current conditions suggest this bearish momentum may continue. ✅ I’ll be actively trading both the July 31 and July 31–August 1 setups as part of my ongoing strategy testing and live analysis. ✅ This method and timing structure can also be applied to other assets like BTC, the US Index, and various commodities. ⚠️ For those taking a more cautious approach, it’s absolutely okay to skip the single-candle setup on July 31 and wait for the more confirmed 2-day range setup (July 31–August 1). 📋 Execution Guidelines 🔹 Range Identification: • Let the Hi-Lo range of the chosen candle(s) form completely. • Purple lines will mark these ranges on the chart. • After the daily close, charts will be updated to include a 60-pip buffer, Fibonacci zones, and relevant indicators. 🔹 Entry Conditions: • Trades are triggered only if price breaks above/below the full range, including the buffer zone. 🔹 Risk Management – Recovery Logic: • If the Stop Loss is triggered, the trade is exited or switched, and the next valid breakout setup will use a doubled lot size to attempt recovery. 📉📈 Chart Snapshot 🔗 Paste this in TradingView: TV/x/fykxBG6w/ 📌 Stick to the plan, follow the system, and let the chart lead the way. 🛡️ Capital protection comes first — always manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by lybeedo
Scalping Sell Setup – Trendline Break & Pullback Confirmation📉 Scalping Sell Setup – Trendline Break & Pullback Confirmation Posted earlier – trade progressing as planned. As shared in the previous chart, a Sell scalp position was executed based on the trendline break followed by a pullback retest. Three Take-Profit levels were marked and the price is moving in line with the forecast. ✅ 🟢 TP1 Hit 🟢 TP2 Reached 🔵 TP3 in progress 📌 The setup remains valid, and as long as structure holds below the retested trendline, the bearish bias continues. We will monitor price action near TP3 zone for final exit or trailing stop update. > Analysis worked perfectly so far – let’s see if TP3 gets cleared soon. 🔍💥
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by mmozafari1357
1
Gold Struggles Near Resistance – Eyes on 3313 for Further DropXAU/USD Slips as Dollar Gains on Trade Deal – Bearish Below Pivot Zone Gold is under pressure as the U.S. dollar strengthens on optimism around a trade agreement. Risk appetite has returned, weighing on safe-haven demand. Price failed to hold the pivot zone (3347–3360) and is now slipping below 3327. A 4H close below 3313 will likely trigger further downside. Until bulls reclaim the pivot, bias stays bearish. Next support sits near 3287 if 3313 breaks clean. Key Levels: Resistance: 3388 – 3390 – 3412 Pivot Zone: 3340 – 3347 Support: 3313 – 3263
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by THEOGFX
1
XAUUSD: Market Analysis and Strategy for July 29Gold Technical Analysis: Daily chart resistance: 3345, support: 3285 4-hour chart resistance: 3340, support: 3300 1-hour chart resistance: 3330, support: 3308. After last week's sharp decline, gold continued its decline yesterday, breaking below its opening low and continuing its downward trend, reaching a low near 3300. In the short term, selling pressure is strong, but the rebound is weak, with a rebound high of 3330. In terms of intraday trading, yesterday's low of 3301 was followed by a rebound. Focus on the resistance range of 3330-3338. Selling is recommended if the price is trading sideways between 3330-3338, with a defense of 3340. If it falls below 3300, the next target will be 3285. Sell: 3338 Buy: 3302 Sell: 3300
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ActuaryJ
How to plan for the evening, pay attention to the 3300 markAfter the shorts took profits, gold consolidated in the 3310-3300 area. Judging from the daily chart, the decline in gold seems to have just begun, with the middle track of the Bollinger Band at around 3345 and the lower track at 3285. The possibility of falling below the 3300 mark cannot be ruled out in the evening. If gold falls below the 3300 mark, it may first hit 3295. If the decline continues, it may even hit the low of 3285-3275 below. However, if the 3300 mark can be effectively defended, then the possibility of maintaining the consolidation of 3300-3345 in the evening may be maintained. Therefore, it is not recommended to easily participate in transactions at the current position in the evening. It is mainly advisable to wait and see and pay attention to the breakthrough of the 3300 mark. My premium privileges are about to expire, and subsequent trading strategies and analysis will be published in the group.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Allenbrowser-3
XAUUSD 4Hour TF - July 27th, 2025XAUUSD 7/27/2025 XAUUSD 4 hour Neutral Idea Monthly - Bullish Weekly - Bullish Daily - Bullish 4hour - Bearish Last week we saw a perfect setup playout and then it retraced 100% to close out the week. This is looking more bearish on the 4Hour timeframe now but we need to see how price action reacts at the 3,320 support zone first. Here are two potential scenarios we want to see for the week ahead. Bullish Reversal - If we are to see gold as bullish again we would ideally like to see some consolidation at the current level followed by strong bullish conviction. We need to see convincing price action before we can begin targeting higher. Consolidation + Bullish conviction will be our best chance at a long position. Bearish Continuation - The 4hour sure looks bearish but will it sustain? Looking ahead into the week we want to see price action push below 3,320 with bearish structure below. I would also like to see a pattern or a few hours to a day of consolidation below 3,320. If this happens we can begin to target lower toward major support levels like 3,225.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by ForexLeague
Gold 4H - channel breakout, looking for 3518 nextGold has formed a clean ascending channel on the 4H chart, broke out above resistance, and is now pulling back into the 3385–3390 zone. This area aligns with volume clusters - a perfect entry zone for bulls waiting on the sidelines. If price holds this zone and prints a reversal candle with volume, the upside target remains at 3518 - the 1.618 Fibonacci extension and historical resistance. Volume increased during the breakout move, confirming interest. RSI still has room to go higher, supporting the bullish continuation. Fundamentally, gold remains a safe-haven asset amid geopolitical tension, USD weakness, and potential Fed easing. Central bank accumulation further supports the bullish case. Tactical setup: — Entry zone: 3385–3390 — Trigger: candle confirmation + volume — Target: 3518 — Invalidation: break below 3360 without buyer volume If the plan plays out — gold might shine bright while bears squint in disbelief.
TVC:GOLDLong
by TotoshkaTrades
Report - 25 jully, 2025U.S.–EU Tariff Negotiations Stabilizing Markets Reports confirm the U.S. and EU are nearing a deal for 15% reciprocal tariffs—lower than the initially threatened 30% by President Trump. This easing of tensions led to moderate equity gains in both blocs, with the Stoxx 600 reaching a 6-week high before closing +0.2%. Pharmaceutical and auto stocks outperformed (Volkswagen +2.3%, Bayer +2.3%). Forecast: If the 15% deal is finalized by the August 1 deadline, it would remove a key overhang on equities and boost cyclical sectors reliant on transatlantic trade. A failure, however, risks escalation, triggering retaliatory tariffs by the EU on $93bn of U.S. goods, dragging risk assets sharply lower. DXY Outlook: Tariff de-escalation boosts safe-haven flows and investor optimism, supporting USD strength. S&P 500: Short-term relief rally expected if the 15% tariff framework is signed. However, margin compression risks remain from lingering supply chain disruptions. Tesla vs Trump: Policy Shock Rattles EV Sector Elon Musk warned that Trump's anti-EV stance and trade war posture will sharply erode Tesla’s regulatory credit revenue and remove the $7,500 EV tax credit. Tesla's stock has cratered 37% since December, with a sharp 8% drop yesterday. Adjusted Q2 net income was down 22%, revenue -12%. Risk Forecast: Loss of EV subsidies + political fallout between Musk and Trump could drag Tesla further and dampen broader EV sector growth. XAUUSD: Rising political uncertainty and risks to the U.S. tech sector may drive safe-haven flows into gold. Dow Jones: Tesla's underperformance and anti-EV policies could limit industrial sector gains. ECB Holds Rates Amid Trade Risk Fog The European Central Bank paused its easing cycle, holding the benchmark rate at 2%. Lagarde emphasized a "wait-and-watch" stance, signaling uncertainty due to unresolved trade talks and tariff volatility. Market Implication: Eurozone government bond yields rose (10Y Bund at 2.70%), paring rate-cut bets. The euro softened to $1.1760. EURUSD: Lack of further ECB accommodation and weaker consumer confidence amid trade frictions. Fed Independence in Jeopardy? Market Confidence Wobbles Pimco warned that White House pressure on Fed Chair Powell—including potential firing and scrutiny over $2.5bn HQ renovations—could destabilize markets. Trump continues pushing for aggressive 1% rates, diverging from current 4.25–4.5% levels. Fiscal/Political Implication: Undermining Fed autonomy risks flight from U.S. bonds, undermining monetary policy credibility and capital inflows. USDJPY: Yen may gain if markets lose faith in U.S. institutional integrity, despite rate differentials. DXY: Temporary support from yields, but structural downside if Fed credibility erodes. Deutsche Bank and BNP: Diverging Strengths in Volatile Landscape Deutsche Bank posted its strongest Q2 in 18 years, driven by litigation charge reversals and stable investment banking performance. BNP Paribas also reported solid FICC trading (+27%), though equity trading lagged due to weak derivatives demand. Equity Implication: Strong capital returns and stable European banking profitability support DAX resilience amid trade noise. DAX: Boosted by banking and auto outperformance. China–EU Trade Strains Escalate Von der Leyen directly confronted Xi Jinping over trade imbalances and support for Russia. EU exports to China are down 6% YoY while Chinese imports to the EU are up 7%. Xi defended Beijing’s stance, warning against "decoupling" rhetoric. Geostrategic Implication: EU may escalate anti-dumping and export control measures. Markets may see renewed volatility in European industrials and luxury sectors reliant on China. XAUUSD: Rebalancing of power and heightened East–West tensions favor gold. Oil Oversupply Warning from TotalEnergies Total warned of an oil glut due to OPEC+ production increases and weakening global demand. Q2 profits fell 30% YoY. Brent now likely to stay within $60–70 range barring major geopolitical flare-ups. Crude Oil: Short- to medium-term downside risk with soft demand and oversupply fears. Energy Stocks: Dividend maintenance remains but debt levels and margin pressures may weigh. AI Spending Surges – Alphabet and SK Hynix Alphabet posted a 19% Q2 profit jump as AI integration boosts search volumes. Google’s cloud revenues rose 32%. Capex raised to $85bn. SK Hynix also posted record revenues from high-bandwidth memory chip sales, extending its lead over Samsung. S&P 500: AI-driven earnings upside bolsters tech sector. Expect multiple expansion in mega-cap AI-exposed names. XAUUSD : Robust AI investment supports risk appetite but inflationary fears could lift gold marginally.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Buranku
Gold Approaches Key Reversal Zone After Liquidity Sweep.Gold has recently broken out of a parallel channel during the New York session, followed by a strong upward move triggered by the NFP (Non-Farm Payroll) news event. Currently, the market is trading near a key trendline resistance zone. In this area, the price has also swept the liquidity residing above recent highs, indicating that potential buy-side liquidity has been taken out. This level now becomes critical for observation. If the market forms a Market Structure Shift (MSS) or provides any valid bearish confirmation — such as a strong rejection candle, bearish engulfing, or a break of lower timeframe support — then there is a high probability that a downward move may follow from this zone. As always, conduct your own research (DYOR) and wait for price action to confirm the bias before executing any trades. Acting on confirmation rather than assumptions protects both capital and strategy.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradeCraft_FX
Non-farm payrolls are coming. What's the gold trend?Gold fell sharply on Wednesday, but Thursday's market didn't continue the downward trend as some investors expected. Instead, it showed a trend of rising and then falling. From the daily perspective, we first need to focus on the resistance level near 3300 where the 5-day moving average is located. This position is not only a short-term technical resistance, but also reflects the market's psychological expectations to a certain extent. If prices can successfully break through this level and stabilize above it, it will indicate that bullish momentum is strengthening, potentially boosting market sentiment. At this point, the next resistance area to watch is the 3330-3340 range. This area converges the 10-day, 20-day and 30-day moving averages, forming a strong resistance band. As for the support below, the primary focus is Wednesday's low of 3268. However, if this level is lost and the price continues to fall, the next support area will be around 3245, which is the previous low. Trading strategy: Short around 3300, stop loss at 3310, profit range 3280-3260.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by quaid_2
Short selling remains the main themeGold hit a low of around 3267 yesterday and fluctuated until closing at 3274. Gold fluctuated upward at the opening today. Currently, gold is fluctuating around yesterday's rebound point of 3305. This is the resistance we need to pay attention to in the short term. From the 4H analysis, today's short-term resistance is around 3305-3315. If gold wants to rise, it needs to stabilize above 3315. Focus on the 3335 first-line pressure, and rebound to the 3305-3315 resistance area during the day. You can consider shorting and follow the trend to see the decline unchanged, looking towards 3290-3280. Rely on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude participation. For the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by HuntingWolves
Gold 31 July – Bearish Bias Holds, Watching Supply ZonesGold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 31 July Market structure is now aligned across both higher and lower timeframes: H4: Bearish M15: Bearish This alignment strengthens the probability of trend-continuation setups in favor of the dominant downtrend. 🔄 Current Market Behavior: The M15 chart is currently in a pullback phase, retracing toward its previous lower high and approaching a key supply zone. 📍 Key Supply Zones to Watch: Zone 1 – Immediate Supply Zone (3299 – 3305) • First area of interest where price may react. • If respected and followed by M1 confirmation, a short setup could be initiated. • Watch for signs of exhaustion or sharp rejection. Zone 2 – Higher Supply Zone (3326 – 3332) • If the first zone fails, this becomes the next high-probability area. • Well-aligned with the broader bearish structure — expect stronger reaction potential. • Suitable for cleaner high RR short trades if price reaches this level. ✅ Execution Plan: • Observe how price behaves inside the marked zones. • Only plan short entries after M1 confirmation — this adds precision and prevents premature entries. • Stay patient. Let the market come to you and reveal intent before acting. 📌 Summary: Bias: Bearish Structure: H4 and M15 both support downside bias Zones in Focus: – Primary: 3299–3305 – Secondary: 3326–3332 Execution: Wait for confirmation before entering. Risk-Reward: Maintain 1:3 RR minimum (e.g., 40 pip SL, 120 pip TP). Let the structure guide your setups — not impulse. 📘 Shared by ChartIsMirror
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ChartIsMirror
GOLD Analysis : XAUUSD Major Bullish Demand Zone🧠 Market Structure Context (MMC Framework) Gold has recently shown a clean structural decline from its local highs within a well-defined ascending channel. This analysis highlights a reaction zone-based playbook, focusing on high-probability reversal scenarios guided by institutional footprints, volume reaction points, and MMC logic. We’re currently trading near a previous reversal zone, where history tells us the market tends to shift behavior. Let’s dissect the key components. 📊 Key Technical Components 🔸 1. Ascending Channel Breakdown The entire uptrend was respecting a well-established bullish channel until the recent drop violated the midline structure. This breakdown confirms a temporary bearish phase, with price breaking cleanly below a QFL base (Quick Flip Level)—a level where price reversed sharply before, which now acts as a major supply zone. Psychological Insight: Channels give clues about momentum. Breaking below the lower band shows the market is preparing for a retest or a deeper liquidity hunt. QFL Breakdown: Once broken, previous buyer confidence is shaken—inviting sellers to test demand zones. 🔸 2. Previous Reversal Zone (PRZ) Reaction Currently, price is hovering inside the blue shaded Previous Reversal Zone, where bullish pressure previously kicked in. It’s a minor demand zone, but critical due to historical reaction. The projected structure shows a bounce from this area before deciding next direction. MMC Insight: The first test of PRZ often leads to an initial reaction. But deeper liquidity lies just below in the major green demand zone. 🔸 3. Major Demand Zone + Volume Burst Area (The Real Magnet) Below the PRZ lies the major reversal block—highlighted in green. This zone is significant because: It aligns with a high-volume burst in the past, confirming institutional orders. It's a cleaner structure level for smart money re-entry. It also provides room for the “liquidity sweep” (stop hunt), collecting sell stops before a proper reversal. 💡 Expected Play: Price may fake out below PRZ, enter the major demand, and then initiate a multiple-leg bullish rally. Patience is key here. 🛠️ Trade Structure Outlook ✅ Scenario 1 – Aggressive Buyers (Marked "1"): Buy from the current PRZ zone around $3,305–$3,315 Target: $3,340 (Minor Resistance) Risk: Slippage into deeper demand zone Stop-loss: Below $3,295 ✅ Scenario 2 – Safer Entry from Major Demand (Marked "2"): Let price dip into $3,270–$3,280 zone (green box) Look for reversal candles or liquidity sweeps on lower timeframes TP1: $3,330 TP2: $3,365 (Major Resistance) 📈 Resistance Levels to Watch: Minor Resistance: $3,340 – Expect short-term pullbacks or hesitation. Major Resistance: $3,365 – Key target for swing traders and potential reversal zone. 🔍 MMC Concepts in Action ✅ Channel Logic: Breakdown implies momentum shift—watch for retests. ✅ QFL: Previous bounce zone broken = supply now overhead. ✅ Volume Burst Zone: Strong historical reaction = institutional interest. ✅ Zone-to-Zone Trading: Instead of random entries, focus on logical zone interactions. 🧭 Conclusion – Path of Probability Gold is currently in a transitional phase—shifting from bearish correction to potential bullish revival. Patience will reward those who wait for PRZ rejections or deeper liquidity taps. The MMC framework helps frame this market not as chaos, but a map of strategic reaction points.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades