GOLD: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,270.77 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,242.15..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAUUSDG trade ideas
Gold INTRADAY corrective pullback supported at 3227Gold prices slipped on Friday and are on track to end the week lower.
China denied any ongoing trade negotiations with the US, contradicting former President Trump's claims.
Despite this, markets are rallying on deal speculation, with traders rotating out of Gold and into equities.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 3392
Resistance Level 2: 3457
Resistance Level 3: 3500
Support Level 1: 3227
Support Level 2: 3173
Support Level 3: 3130
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Is XAUUSD bullish or bearish today? I'm bearish on GOLD (XAUUSD) today!
Logic: GOLD recently hit its historic high. After that retracing but not sustaining at any point just because of the big players booking profits, it's common in GOLD .
Now, GOLD is reversing, and I can see it formed a bearish flag pattern today in the 15- or 5-minute time frame, as you can see in my chart drawing. So, I'm bearish at least till the 3270 level .
Thank you
How will gold go? Analysis of the technical outlook for gold priSpot gold is basically stable after a sharp rise in the early Asian session, and the current price of gold is around $3,325/oz.
Quaid believes that gold prices may show a consolidation trend in the next few days, but we are in a bull market and any significant decline will be taken over by buyers.
From a technical perspective, gold prices rose in the morning, but they are still in a range. Technical indicators changed direction and moved higher within positive levels, gaining new momentum and supporting further gains in gold prices. At the same time, gold prices continue to develop above all of its moving averages, and the bullish 20-day simple moving average is currently around $3,182/oz, well above the bullish 100-day and 200-day moving averages.
The 4-hour chart shows that gold prices are consolidating easily. Gold prices continue to trade below the mildly bearish 20-period SMA, which provides dynamic resistance near $3,370/oz, but the longer-term moving averages maintain a bullish slope at a level far below the current gold price. Finally, technical indicators remain directionless within negative levels. If gold prices break through the above 20-period SMA resistance, it should open the door for a more sustainable rebound in gold prices.
Quaid comprehensively analyzes important support and resistance levels:
Support: $3314/oz; $3301/oz; $3288/oz
Resistance: $3358/oz; $3370/oz
Gold fluctuates in the short term, but you can still make a prof
Gold is still fluctuating. Due to the pressure from the upper moving average, don't chase high for the time being. Wait for gold to pull back and you can still continue to short.
During the US trading time today, short-term gold bulls have begun to be powerless, so when gold pulls back to around 3350, shorts can enter the market at any time, and gold still has the opportunity to adjust. Gold continues to wait and see the adjustment market in the short term, and pay attention to trading signals in time.
Keep an eye on the price and participate well. Grasp the rhythm of gold pullback short-selling transactions. You will find that this kind of fluctuation is much more fun than the big fluctuation.
📊Comment analysis
Gold is currently just a rebound. If there is no special risk-averse news for gold, it will still be difficult to go up directly. At least it will fluctuate first, and it is still a bearish fluctuation now.
💰Strategy Package
Short position:
Actively participate at 3350 points, profit target is around 3310 points
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
Gold continues to fall, is it expected to reach 3210-3200?Yesterday we mentioned that the market may present a convergent triangle pattern. Today, the gold price has indeed ushered in a wave of sharp declines at the opening of the Asian session, and has fallen below the key support of 3260, and the lowest level has reached 3221. At present, the 1H moving average is spreading downward. In the short term, gold is still in a downward trend and is in a correction to overbought. The gold price is expected to reach 3210-3200. If it falls below this support range, it may even test the previous low of 3193. But at the same time, the 1H RSI indicator has fallen into the oversold area. Therefore, in terms of news, we need to pay attention to the initial jobless claims and PMI data during the US trading session today, and beware of the rebound after the correction.
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TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategiesYesterday, catalyzed by the ADP and GDP data, gold rebounded. However, today the United States and Ukraine reached an agreement, and the Trump administration hinted at a possible reduction in tariffs on some trading partners. The market's expectation for the relaxation of the trade situation has increased, leading to a decline in the safe - haven demand for gold. Currently, the key support level has been broken. The support at 3,260 has turned into resistance, and the important technical support below is at 3,220. Above this level, a rebound can be expected. If 3,220 is broken, the strong support at 3,200 will be the next target. But before it is broken, it is advisable to go long. There will be important data such as the non - farm payrolls released on Thursday and Friday. Do not blindly chase the short - side.
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GOLD (XAU/USD) – INTRADAY SHORT BIASGold has broken below critical intraday support, confirming bearish momentum and a clear short bias for today. No signs of reversal — just clean downside flow.
This is a trend move, not a consolidation. Price is holding below prior support with conviction. Volume confirms that supply pain was strong before the move — sellers are still in control. Pullbacks into resistance are re-entry zones.
Markets can shift quickly — anything can happen. This is not financial advice.
Trade with a clear plan, size your risk properly, and never lose control over your risk appetite. Protect your capital first — profits follow discipline.
Wide fluctuations, short at high levels and long at low levelsIn terms of news, we need to pay close attention to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine and the recent conflict between India and Pakistan. Initial jobless claims and PMI data will be released on Thursday, and the unemployment rate and non-farm data for April will be watched on Friday.
Technical side, from the 4-hour analysis, the upper side continues to focus on the short-term suppression of 3320-3330, and further focuses on the suppression of 3345-56. The intraday rebound relies on 3320-3330 to short and continue to fall. The lower support is 3300-3290, and the short-term long-short strength and weakness watershed is 3270-3260. Before the daily level loses this position, continue to see long-short fluctuations, and participate in high-altitude low-multiple cycles. Do not chase orders.
Intraday trading strategy
SELL 3320-3330
TP 3300-3290
BUY 3260-3270
TP 3300-3310
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold------short near 3320, target 3310-3280Gold market analysis:
Gold has started to fluctuate and hover in the short term. There are opportunities for buying and selling in short-term operations. Yesterday, we also arranged 3 buy orders at low levels. Today, we have to consider changing our thinking and sell it at a suppressed position. The reason is that the weekly line is a big tombstone, which means that the weekly line still has room to fall. This week is basically halfway through. The first half of the week is volatile, and the second half of the week will begin to follow the weekly line to decline. The direction of the daily line is currently vague, but the trend of the weekly line is relatively clear. It has risen and fallen sharply. The data did not support the technical decline of gold. Later, we need to pay attention to the impact of holidays on it. Today, friends who are short-term gold can still intercept in the range. If you want to make a big profit, sell at a high position and hold it. I estimate that it will waterfall. The horizontal time is too long, and the time to fall later will be longer.
Look for opportunities to go short near 3320 in the Asian session. The suppression position is 3329. The current support is near 3300. From the perspective of form, this position still has support in the Asian session, but it is not sure whether it can continue to support gold in the European session. The current idea is to predict that if it breaks 3329, it is necessary to adjust the thinking to be bullish. In addition, the daily moving average is also beginning to turn up and suppress, and selling is beginning to move.
Support 3300, pressure 3320 and 3329, the watershed of strength and weakness in the market is 3300.
Fundamental analysis:
Today, we will start to pay attention to the situation of ADP data, and there is also PCE data. Gold in the European and American sessions will definitely move greatly.
Operation suggestions:
Gold------short near 3320, target 3310-3280
Gold's safe haven cools down, gains hit resistanceSpot gold showed a clear downward trend during the trading session on Tuesday, and finally closed at $3,317.06/ounce, a single-day drop of 0.8%. The decline was mainly affected by two fundamental factors: first, the Trump administration unexpectedly softened its stance on auto tariffs, significantly weakening the market's risk aversion demand; second, the US dollar index took the opportunity to rebound, suppressing gold denominated in US dollars. It is worth noting that the market will usher in the release of two key economic data, the US GDP in the first quarter and the core PCE price index in March, on this trading day. These data are likely to redefine the market's expectations for the direction of the Fed's monetary policy.
Technical analysis:
From the daily level, the gold price has formed a bearish engulfing pattern, and the closing price has effectively fallen below the 5-day moving average support. The MACD indicator shows that the momentum is weakening, the red energy column continues to shrink, and the fast and slow lines tend to flatten. The current price is running in the range of 3324-3308, and the previous high of 3343 above constitutes an important resistance, while the psychological level of 3300 below and the 50-day moving average position of 3285 form key support.
The hourly chart shows more operational technical features: the price forms an obvious descending triangle consolidation pattern in the range of 3330-3300. The moving average system shows that the short-term trend is weak, the 5/10 hour moving average forms a dead cross near 3320, and the 20 hour moving average is pressed down to 3325 to form a dynamic resistance. The RSI indicator remains in the neutral area of 40-55, indicating that the market has not yet entered an oversold state. It is particularly noteworthy that the gold price has failed to test the 3330 resistance twice, and the pressure effect of this position deserves special attention.
Trading strategy recommendations:
Under the current technical pattern, it is recommended to adopt the idea of shorting on rallies. The ideal entry range for short orders is 3320-3325, and the stop loss should be set above 3330. The downside target first looks at the 3300 integer mark. If it breaks through effectively, it may further explore the 3285 support level. Special attention should be paid to the price performance during the European session: if the European session continues to be weak, short positions can be considered during the US session; if there is a strong rebound in the European session, it may turn into a volatile pattern, and the trading strategy needs to be adjusted at that time.
For potential long opportunities, it is recommended to remain cautious. Only when the price effectively breaks through the 3330 resistance and stabilizes, the strategy of stepping back to long positions can be considered, with the stop loss set below 3320 and the target looking at around 3343.
Risk warning:
This trading day needs to focus on the US GDP and PCE data released in the evening. If the GDP data is lower than the expected lower limit of 2.3%, it may re-stimulate safe-haven buying; and if the core PCE year-on-year growth rate exceeds 2.9%, it may strengthen the market's expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain a hawkish stance. In addition, the support strength of the 3300 integer mark needs special attention, and any breakthrough may trigger subsequent trend market conditions.
Summary:
Combining technical and fundamental analysis, gold is weak in the short term, and it is recommended to take shorting on rallies as the main operation direction. However, we need to pay close attention to the possible fluctuations caused by important economic data and the defense of the key support level of 3300. Traders should strictly control risks, and it is recommended that the risk of a single transaction be controlled within 1-2% of the account funds.
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold starts to fluctuate at a high level, will it fall or rise iFrom the 4-hour chart of gold: From the above chart, the current trend may be a convergent triangle consolidation, with the high point gradually moving down and the low point gradually moving up. When the space can no longer be expanded, a breakthrough in a certain direction will be obtained. At present, the upper track is at 3344 and the lower track is at 3273. It may not be able to completely touch the upper and lower tracks, but there is a certain support or pressure performance near them; now the key middle track has been lost again, under pressure at 3315, and there is still a chance to explore and approach the lower track tonight; from the hourly chart: the trend of the Asian session in the past few days has been relatively smooth, with better continuity. Once it reaches the European session, it is a volatile oscillation back and forth; the current 3330 line is today's Feng Shui Ridge. If it can withstand pressure here, there is still room for a second exploration.
On the whole, the short-term operation strategy of gold today is recommended to sell on rebounds as the main strategy, and buy on pullbacks as the auxiliary strategy. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3330-3340 line of resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3300-3290 line of support.
Buying range: 3302-3300, SL: 3290, TP: 3320-3335
Selling range: 3333-3335, SL: 3345, TP: 3320-3315
Key points:
First support: 3300, second support: 3295, third support: 3290
First resistance: 3330, second resistance: 3335, third resistance: 3345
XAUUSD waiting for breakoutThis XAU/USD 1-hour chart shows a symmetrical triangle pattern forming, which typically signals a potential breakout as price compresses between converging trendlines
Potential Scenarios:
• Bullish Breakout:
If the price breaks above the upper trendline (~3345–3350 area) with strong volume and RSI follow-through, the next targets could be:
• Short-term: 3380–3400
• Medium-term: 3450 and possibly retest the recent high of 3500
• Bearish Breakdown:
A break below the lower trendline (~3280–3270 area) with RSI dropping below 40 could lead to:
• Short-term: 3240
• Medium-term: 3200 or even 3160
Analysis of the latest gold market trend on April 29:
1. Current market structure: wide range of fluctuations, direction to be broken
Key range: 3260-3338 (recently tested the upper and lower edges many times, no effective breakthrough).
Fierce long-short game:
3260-3270 (multiple bottoming rebounds, strong support area).
3336-3340 (recent high resistance, breakthrough opens up the upward space).
3370 (mid-term long-short boundary, head and shoulders right shoulder pressure).
2. Technical signal analysis
4-hour chart shock pattern:
If it stands firm at 3336 → it may continue to rebound and test 3352-3370.
If it falls back under pressure at 3336 → look down to 3278-3260, and if it falls below, it will open the downward space to 3225-3200.
Key patterns:
Head and shoulders top prototype: If the right shoulder is formed at 3370, the risk of medium-term shorting will increase.
Fibonacci support: 3225 (50% retracement), 3200 (psychological barrier).
3. Today's operation strategy
(Use 3336 as the dividing line, flexibly switch between long and short positions)
Short opportunity (main idea)
Entry conditions:
Price stagnation at 3336-3340 (such as reversal signals such as long upper shadow and engulfment on the K-line).
Target: 3278 → 3265-3260 (add positions after breaking through to see 3225).
Stop loss: above 3352 (to prevent false breakthroughs).
Bull opportunity (auxiliary idea)
Entry conditions:
Retracing to 3270-3260 and stabilizing (quick rebound or lower shadow confirmation).
Target: 3336 → 3352 (reduce position after breakthrough).
Stop loss: below 3255 (strict risk control).
4. Key risk reminder
Fake breakthrough risk: The recent volatility is drastic, and it is necessary to observe whether the breakthrough of 3336 and 3260 is accompanied by large volume.
The dollar and the news: Federal Reserve policy expectations and geopolitical situations may cause sudden fluctuations.
5. Summary
Volatile market → Sell high and buy low, strictly stop loss.
Breakthrough strategy:
Break above 3336 → Go long on the retracement, look at 3370.
Break below 3260 → Go short on the rebound, look at 3225-3200.
Gold short-term profit is more fun
🌐 Driving factors
Geopolitical situation: US President Trump's special envoy Witkov held a three-hour meeting with Russian President Putin in Moscow last Friday to discuss the US plan to end the war in Ukraine. The Kremlin said that the positions of the two sides have become closer.
India accused Pakistan of sheltering terrorist organizations, and Pakistan denied it and accused India of instigating separatist activities in Pakistan (such as Balochistan). The situation is difficult to control.
Latest news: Russian President Putin announced on the 28th that a ceasefire will be implemented from 0:00 on May 8 to 0:00 on May 11.
Market bullish sentiment cools down
📊 Commentary analysis
According to the trend of gold in the Asian and European sessions, the trading signals derived from technical analysis have helped many people achieve short-term victories.
🔷 Technical side: For the current gold, the 1-hour chart card fluctuates widely between 3330-3292, and is currently around $3324.
✔Operational suggestions, short-term trading:
US gold operation strategy:
Short strategy: If gold falls back to the range of 3330-3350, you can enter the market to short, target 3270, stop loss 3355
💥Risk warning
Liquidity risk: The market may be bearish in early May, and price fluctuations may be amplified.
Policy black swan: Trump may suddenly change tariff policies or personnel changes at the Federal Reserve, causing violent market fluctuations.
Technical false breakthrough: There are a large number of stop-loss orders near $3350, and you need to be wary of reversals after inducing more.
Summary:
This week, the gold market will be affected by geopolitics, Federal Reserve policies and the trend of the US dollar, and the fluctuation range is expected to be between $3260 and $3350. Investors need to pay close attention to key support and resistance levels and adjust strategies flexibly.
Gold's correction intensifies, but the trend remains unchangedLong-term trend of gold
Weekly level: The overall bullish structure is not broken, and the current pullback is regarded as a technical correction. The key support level is $3260. After breaking through 3500, the target is $3750 (golden ratio extension level). Long-term investors can hold existing long positions and increase their positions after the pullback stabilizes.
Short-term trend
Weekly signal: Last week, a small negative line with a long upper shadow (similar to a shooting star) was closed, indicating high-level selling pressure. The weekly level adjustment may continue, and the space below may be further opened.
Daily level: The upward momentum weakened and entered the stage of shock pullback. It is necessary to pay attention to the repair of indicators.
4-hour structure:
Wave type division: 3500→3260 is a wave A decline; 3260→3372 is a wave B rebound; if 3372 confirms the high point of wave B, the downward target of wave C will fall below 3260, looking at 3245 (top and bottom conversion position) and 3230 (50% retracement position).
Key data and operation strategies
Focus this week: US employment data (JOLTS, ADP, non-farm, etc.), which may exacerbate market volatility.
Daily operation:
Resistance level: 3302-3315 area, you can try shorting if it rebounds to this area.
Support level: 3260 (if it breaks, look down to 3245-3230), you can arrange long orders when it touches 3230 for the first time.
Risk warning: If it continues to be under pressure below 3300 before the European session, it may continue to be weak before the US session.
Conclusion: The medium- and long-term bullish logic remains unchanged, but the short-term technical side is bearish, and it is necessary to wait for the bullish signal after the correction is in place.
XAU/USD H4 AnalysisXAU/USD was finding support last week at the $3270 mark for a second time on the four hour time frame.
The last four hour resistance was also seen last week at circa $3365.
Look for price to head back towards resistance.
This is an idea of what may happen. Always trade with a profitable strategy and good risk management.
April 28, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
There is serious indecision between bulls and bears, and stop hunts are likely.
Focus on trading only at key levels, and lock in breakeven once a reasonable profit develops. Always use Stop Losses!
Key Levels to Watch:
3370: Resistance
3345: Resistance
3330: Bullish/Bearish pivot line
3315: Resistance
3305: Support
3300: Psychological support
3288: Key intraday support
3272: Support
Short-Term (15m) Trading Strategy:
For Shorts:
Enter a SELL if the price breaks below 3305.
First watch 3300;
If the decline continues, monitor 3296, 3288, and 3282 as potential targets.
For Longs:
Enter a BUY if the price stabilizes above 3315.
First watch 3318 for confirmation;
If bullish momentum continues, target 3321, 3326, and 3330.
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Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion and not financial advice. Please manage your risk accordingly.