GOLD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,316.87
Target Level: 3,146.82
Stop Loss: 3,431.23
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAUUSDG trade ideas
XAUUSD IDEALocally, on the hourly XAUUSD timeframe, we can clearly see how the price is breaking out of the uptrend, thereby triggering a downward impulse.
Resistance levels: 3325, 3343
Support levels: 3303, 3275
The liquidity level of 3300 could act as a magnet for the price, from which a correction to the resistance of the range of 3325 could form (liquidity hunt), but due to the change in the fundamental background, gold may continue its correction to 3275 (support zone) before a possible continuation of growth..▶️📌
Gold Market Update Ahead of US Jobs Data
On Friday, gold edged up slightly ahead of key US jobs data (NFP). Optimism over a US-China deal and USD profit-taking are capping gold’s gains. A weak NFP (<100,000) would bolster expectations of a Fed rate cut (54% chance in September), supporting gold, while a strong NFP (>200,000) would pressure it downward.
Technically, the market is bullish, with prices consolidating in the 3300-3340 range after breaking resistance. A shakeout at support is possible before the trend resumes.
Resistance: 3375, 3391, 3414
Support: 3339, 3331
Forecasting prices before NFP is tough, so it’s best to wait for the data and monitor price reactions. Prices may stay range-bound until next week, depending on fundamentals.
Best regards,
Gold plunges, what will be the trend next week?From the daily chart:
Since the last round of breaking the triangle convergence oscillation and breaking the trend line, gold has surged to 3400, but the upward momentum is insufficient and it has retreated. The low point of the retreat on Friday happened to be the support level of the previous triangle convergence trend line near 3300. If it falls below, the price will return to the triangle convergence oscillation range, and the gold price may fall further;
From the perspective of gold 1 hour, the MA5-day and 10-day moving averages have formed a dead cross downward, so gold still has downward momentum. After the gold 1-hour high box oscillation, gold finally broke through the box downward, indicating that the gold shorts are better, so the bottom of the gold box has now formed resistance, and the gold short-term resistance to gold has been formed near 3335. If gold is 3335 at the beginning of next week, then gold can continue to be short.
Next week's operation strategy is still around the 3285-3335 range.
#XAUUSD[GOLD]: Massive Boost For Buyers, Incoming More Volume! Gold has been moving as expected in our previous chart. We anticipate a smooth bull market in the coming days, with a target price region of 3400$. There are three specific targets you can aim for.
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XAUUSD: Geopolitical Tensions & Price Action Strategy
In the wake of growing tensions between Iran and Israel, XAUUSD (Gold) has once again become the focal point for many traders seeking stability. Let’s break down the key technical levels and how global events could shape market behavior in the days ahead.
Resistance at 3,446.87 – A Barrier to Watch
Gold’s price is currently testing the resistance zone at 3,446.87. As the geopolitical situation worsens, we might see an influx of risk-off flows, pushing the price to break past this level. A clear break above would signal further bullish potential, especially if risk aversion continues to dominate global markets.
Demand Zone at 3,392.29 – Strong Support
The Demand Zone at 3,392.29 remains a critical level. The price has reacted positively to this support area multiple times, suggesting that institutional buying could be taking place in anticipation of further upside or protection against geopolitical risks.
Volume Spikes and Market Sentiment
Trading volume has been a key indicator of increased market reaction to news. We’ve seen strong volume surges during periods of geopolitical escalation, confirming the heightened market sensitivity. Keep an eye on volume during any major news announcements, as this could provide a clearer view of potential market direction.
RSI Analysis: 52.31 – Neutral Momentum
The RSI reading of 52.31 reflects a neutral market, neither overbought nor oversold. However, the influence of geopolitical risks means that this neutral stance could shift rapidly, especially if global tensions escalate, causing a surge in Gold’s demand.
Strategic View:
Bullish Scenario: If XAUUSD breaks above 3,446.87, look for continuation plays as global risks increase.
Bearish Scenario: A failure to hold at the demand zone could lead to short opportunities or corrective moves.
Traders should remain cautious and adjust strategies accordingly, as geopolitical risks can lead to unexpected market volatility.
Stay alert and manage your risk accordingly!
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Gold breaks through strongly and is bullish
Gold market analysis and outlook
Fundamental driving factors
Inflation data and Fed policy
The US CPI data in May was lower than expected, reinforcing the market's expectations for the Fed's September rate cut. The US dollar index was under pressure (falling to 98.42, close to a six-week low), boosting the attractiveness of gold.
The expectation of a downward trend in real interest rates and the decline in US Treasury yields further supported gold prices.
Geopolitical risks
Tensions in the Middle East have intensified, and safe-haven demand has surged. Gold, as a traditional safe-haven asset, has received buying support.
Influence of related markets
The weak US dollar (-0.4%) reduces the cost of holding gold, and the volatility of US stocks and uncertainty in trade policies have prompted funds to flow to safe-haven assets.
Key technical signals
Daily level
The price broke through the previous shock range, the short-term moving average was in a bullish arrangement, and the MACD momentum turned strong. Pay attention to the 3390-3400 pressure zone.
Yesterday's big positive line closed to confirm short-term strength, and 3385-3400 is the next key resistance zone.
Short-term (1H)
After hitting 3356 in the early trading, it broke through the high again, showing that the bulls are dominant, and 3355-3360 constitutes the first support of the day.
If the price does not break 3355 after the retracement, the bullish structure will be maintained, and the upper target is 3377-3385; after the breakthrough, it can look to the 3400 mark.
Trading strategy suggestions
Bull opportunities
Entry area: 3345-3350 support range.
Target: 3377 (Asian high) → 3385 → 3400.
Stop loss: below 3340 (to prevent false breakthroughs).
Short risk warning
If the gold price rises to the 3385-3400 area and is under pressure, you can try shorting with a light position, stop loss 3405, and target 3360.
Key risk control position
Support: 3345 (strength and weakness dividing line) → 3338 (daily bull defense line).
Resistance: 3377 (European session high) → 3387 (previous high concentration area).
Conclusion: Gold maintains a relatively strong pattern under the resonance of fundamentals and technical aspects. The operation is mainly to go long on pullbacks, and it is necessary to be vigilant against the risk of profit-taking at high levels.
XAUUSD H4 I Bullish ContinuationBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling toward our buy entry at 3403.57, which is a pullback support.
Our take profit will be at 3472, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, adding a significant level for a potential bearish reversal.
The stop loss will be placed at 3347.94, an overlap support.
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BEST XAUUSD M30 BUY SETUP FOR TODAYGold (XAU/USD) is showcasing strong bullish momentum after breaking above the key resistance zone near $3,404, now acting as fresh support. 🔄 The price formed a bullish structure with clean higher highs and higher lows on the 30-minute chart, confirming buying strength. 🟣 The marked demand zone around $3,392–$3,404 is critical—if price retests and holds this level, we can expect a continuation toward $3,420 and beyond. 🚀📌 Traders should watch for bullish confirmations on pullbacks to this zone for potential long setups. 🧠⚡
XAUUSD Where are we in the Wyckoff cycle?We are between Phase B and Phase C of a potential Distribution on the higher range (around $3400.
Here's the breakdown:
Buying Climax (BC) and Automatic Reaction (AR) are well-formed.
We are now waiting for the confirmation of the Secondary Tests and also a potential Upthrust Actions near the top around $3400 area.
Next logical sweep target will be Buy-side liquidity above PDH area.
Possibly creating Secondary test for confirmation.
Then it should trigger a markdown phase.
If distribution fails, Smart Money would invalidate the entire range with a full Breakout + Retest + Continuation above 3,400 but low probability without more volume or wars.
Two scenarios here:
Bearish (Higher Probability)
Idea: Wait for a Secondary Test or Lower High around the resistance/POI near 3,390–3,396
Entry: Short on rejection or bearish M5 structure break after tagging that area
SL: Above 3,400 (or 30-40 pips above ST candle wick)
TP1 = 3377 (gap close)
TP2 = 3360 (Daily Gap)
TP3 = 3338 (PDL retest)
🟩 Bullish (Only if invalidation happens)
Idea: If we break above 3400 clean and hold on retest, it means Phase D of Accumulation started instead.
Entry: Long on retest of 3400 as support
SL: Below 3400
TP: Trail it...
Stay reactive around 3,390–3,396 for short opportunity only if price shows signs of failure there.
By the time it took me to post this idea the price has already move up 100 pips.
Trade safely!!
Will gold definitely rise if the news is good?
📊Technical aspects
1. The daily line pattern continues to close. The previous three days relied on the lifeline to lift the space. Now the lifeline position is in the 3317 area, which is close to the early morning low point 3319 and becomes the support range
The upper rail resistance position 3405 coincides with the previous high point 3403.5 area
Comprehensive support 3317-3319, resistance 3403-3405
2. The four-hour surge of more than 50 US dollars has pulled the pattern upward, but the European session just fell sharply by 37 US dollars, and the market has been pulled back to the exit again. Pay attention to the lifeline position and the double line superposition at 3335-3330, which also coincides with the lower track of the small channel 3330-3325 area, and together become the nearest support area
The upper track overlaps with the upper track of the small channel 3370 area
Comprehensive support 3320-3330, resistance 3370-3380
Currently, under multiple favorable factors, gold has repeatedly failed to break the previous high (3403).
From the technical pattern, it can be seen that the upper resistance line is still strong. On the contrary, the sharp drop just echoes the weakness of the bulls. Gold is still dominated by shorts.
Finally, let me talk about the current international situation that is favorable to gold. If you simply trade based on news, I don’t think everyone will become a millionaire by reading the news.
💰 Strategy Package
Short Position:3370-3385
XAUUSD: Volatile Uptrend Breaks Through Narrow RangeTechnical indicators are just references for the trend of gold, and the real market movement is driven by market sentiment.
The CPI data released today was lower than expected, which is a bullish signal for gold. The information on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond auction released in the evening is bearish based on the data. In addition, news about various geopolitical conflicts are all influencing and driving market sentiment.
In the long term, gold is definitely trending upward. For short-term operations, technical analysis needs to be combined with the current market sentiment.
Today's various data have caused gold to show a volatile upward trend. After breaking through the resistance of the narrow range at $3,350 and reaching $3,360, it retracted to around $3,320. The current trading range is $3,300-$3,380.
XAU/USD
buy@3310-3320-3330
tp:3350-3360-3370
sell@3380-3370-3360
tp:3345-3335-3325
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Analysis of the latest gold price trends!Market news:
In the early Asian session on Wednesday (June 11), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading at $3,330 per ounce. London gold prices rose and fell on Tuesday as the conflict between Russia and Ukraine continued and the World Bank also lowered its global economic growth forecast. Traders are closely watching the Sino-US trade negotiations, the results of which may ease trade tensions and boost the global economy, thereby reducing the demand for safe-haven assets, while the continued rise in US stocks has also suppressed the safe-haven buying demand for international gold.In the past few days, gold has fallen from its recent highs, mainly because the market has optimistic expectations for negotiations between China and the United States and Britain and Russia. If the United States and China reach a trade agreement, it will weaken the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset. Gold is a hedge investment tool and usually rises during periods of geopolitical and economic uncertainty. The market is currently focusing on the upcoming US CPI data for May. Expected data show that inflation may rise slightly to 2.5%, with core CPI around 2.9%. If the data exceeds expectations, it may be bearish for gold in the short term; if inflation slows down, it will strengthen the market's expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates this year, which is bullish for gold prices.
Technical review:
Technical daily chart continues to close with alternating yin and yang cycles, the moving average is glued together, and the RSI indicator runs on the middle axis. The moving average of the four-hour chart is glued together, the price is adjusted near the middle track of the Bollinger Band, and the RSI indicator is flat. Gold rose above 3349 yesterday and fell back to 3320 in the early morning. After a sharp drop to 3315 in the Asian session, it needs to break the low point of 20 in the early morning and then quickly rise to 3331. Pay attention to the 3320 position in the Asian session. If 3320 stabilizes and moves upward, continue to look at the test of 3340/50 during the day. Otherwise, if it loses again or adjusts around 20 during the day, it will be regarded as a weak sell. Pay attention to 3306/3293 below. Gold technical aspects continue to be arranged with a shock idea. Under the premise that there is no news to stimulate the selling, gold continues to maintain low-price buying as the main technical aspect, and high-price selling as the auxiliary.
Today's analysis:
From the daily level, gold is in a high-level shock consolidation since the peak of 3500. The current highs of 3500, 3435, and 3403 are gradually moving down, and the lows of 3120, 3245, and 3293 are gradually rising. The shock range is gradually narrowing. The short-term market may continue to maintain shocks. If it breaks, it needs to wait for the direction of the breakthrough to be stimulated by major news!
So today's lock range is 3293-3360. It is recommended to sell at high prices and buy at low prices to treat shocks, mainly short-term or ultra-short-term, and do not chase ups and downs before the range is effectively broken.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3310-3330, stop loss at 3292, target at 3340-3360;
Sell short-term gold at 3350-3363, stop loss at 3362, target at 3300-3310;
Key points:
First support level: 3320, second support level: 3306, third support level: 3292
First resistance level: 3346, second resistance level: 3358, third resistance level: 3376
Trading Game of the day 11-MAY-2025On this day 11-MAY-2025 ,CPI core,m and y was released and all of them were negative for the dollar
My performance depend on patience .
So after release of the NEWS ,be patient and patient and patinet until the price gives you the direction and give you the opportunity to enter the market
1-PDA :- which is the OB
2-Re- (H4-H2-H1-30m) and ST (SHARP TURN)in lower than 15m-TF
3-CISD
4-FVG retraced from it and make another FVG which represent our entry (sell order)
5-sell order from 3340 and the profit is 3330
Thanks
GOLD PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS – June 11, 2025 GOLD PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS – June 11, 2025 🟡
Technical Breakdown & Bearish Scenario Ahead ⚠️📉
🔍 Overview:
The chart presents a clear range-bound structure with strong horizontal resistance around the $3,400–$3,420 zone and support around the $3,120–$3,160 level. Price is currently trading near the upper range of the consolidation.
📊 Key Technical Levels:
🔴 Resistance Zone: $3,400 – $3,420
➤ Price has been rejected here multiple times (highlighted by red arrows and orange circles), showing strong supply pressure.
🟣 Intermediate Support: $3,260.618
➤ This level acted as a minor support and could be tested again if the current pullback deepens.
🟤 Major Support Zone: $3,120 – $3,160
➤ A key demand area where price previously bounced significantly.
📉 Bearish Setup:
A potential lower high is forming just below the resistance zone.
The projected path suggests a minor pullback to form a bearish retest, followed by a potential breakdown below $3,260.
If the $3,260 support is broken decisively, further downside toward the $3,120–$3,160 support is likely (blue arrow projection).
🔄 Bullish Scenario (Invalidation):
A breakout and strong close above $3,420 could invalidate the bearish structure.
In that case, price might attempt to target higher resistance levels beyond $3,440.
📌 Conclusion:
Gold remains in a range with a bearish bias unless the $3,420 resistance is breached.
🔽 Watch for confirmation below $3,260 for bearish continuation.
✅ For bulls, wait for a strong breakout above resistance with volume.