GOLD (XAUUSD) – Market Update & Daily Plan – May 13, 2025🔹 Bias: Intraday bullish (HL forming)
🔹 Context: Price is reacting from the 3215–3228 zone (OB + discount) after confirming CHoCH at 3284.
We’re in a retracement phase — next move could target 3240–3280 if structure holds.
🔵 BUY ZONES (reaction areas, not sniper):
3215–3228
✅ Confirmed H4 OB
✅ Discount zone + EMA200 confluence on H1
✅ HL structure still valid
📌 If price retests with bullish confirmation → long toward 3240+ remains valid
3175–3195
🔵 Strong H4 demand zone
📌 Only if 3215 fails — last area to defend the bullish bias
Wait for structure to hold — don’t panic buy into weakness
🔴 SELL ZONES (broad reaction areas):
3285–3300
🔺 Previous high + unfilled FVG
🔺 Potential inducement zone before rejection
📌 If price rallies fast, watch for rejection — solid area for short pullbacks
3340–3355
🔺 Strong H4/D1 supply
🔺 Untested premium OB
📌 Only valid if price breaks above 3300 — aggressive short if NY overextends
🧠 Summary:
We’re in a bullish retracement.
If 3215 holds → price may push toward 3280+.
If that fails → 3175–3195 is the final defense zone before larger structure shifts.
Sell zones are reactive — wait for signals, don’t jump in early.
💬 Stay calm, stay patient. Don’t trade the zones — trade the reaction.
🔔 Final Thoughts for Tuesday
The levels are marked. The structure is clear.
Now it’s up to you to stay calm and let price do the talking.
We don’t chase moves — we let the market knock on our zones.
📍 Whether you're buying from discount or selling from premium — let logic lead, not FOMO.
And remember: structure doesn’t lie... but your emotions might.
💬 Got questions? Drop them — this is a team effort.
Let’s stay sharp, focused, and prepared.
See you on the charts,
— GoldFxMinds 🧠⚔️
XAUUSDG trade ideas
XAU/USD finds support at $3,250 - Where to from here?The Gold price rally has halted, as “double-top” candle chart appears to be soon confirmed, which in reverse could send XAU/USD prices toward the $3,000 figure and beyond. Momentum shows that buyers' strength is fading and that sellers are stepping in following a softer-than-expected US inflation report and weaker global outlook as market awaits further confirmation on US-China trade deal.
For a reversal of trend double-top confirmation, sellers must clear the May 1 low of $3,202. Once cleared, the next stop would be $3,100 and $3,000 respectively. However, in the interim, short term support level of $3,250 is holding well with a provisional level of both, natural support and 50% fibonacci level adding an additional cluster zone within that last major range.
Conversely, break above $3,300 will most like add another level of conviction for buyers to face the next resistance at $3,350. If surpassed, the next ceiling level would be an all time high of $3,501 and beyond. However, for gold to appreciate and continue its long term uptrend, new macro catalyst would need to emerge, as markets anticipate and turns to this Thursdays Retail sales and Jerome Powell's Fed speech.
Gold Trade plan 13/05/2025Dear Traders,
It seems that the price is approaching the middle of its descending channel. The 3270–3300 zone is an important area for gold. In case of a fake breakout or rejection, the price could drop to the 3140–3150 zone. I’m waiting for a confirmation candle to enter a position in that area.
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
Gold fluctuates, short-term pullback continues to go long
Gold fluctuated and retreated on Tuesday, testing the lowest line of 3205 downward. It can be seen that the market still does not have continuity, and the fluctuation space is also narrowing. The 1H cycle began to close, and the market was brewing a unilateral trend. After the daily line rebounded, it fluctuated around the short-term moving average. The direction was not clear. Short-term trading should not be pursued and sold at a loss. Operations should be carried out at a certain point.
From the perspective of the hourly line cycle, it is testing the low point of Monday's retracement, forming a short-term double bottom structure. Pay attention to short-term retracement and long positions, pay attention to 3218/3226 support for long positions, and pay attention to 3252/3265 positions above.
possibility of correctionThe upward trend is expected to end at the current resistance level. There is also a possibility of a collision with the resistance trend line. Then the beginning of the downtrend scenario will be probable.
If the price consolidates above the resistance level, the above scenario will be invalidated and the continuation of the uptrend will be probable.
GOLD(XAUUSD)Gold (XAUUSD) Trade Alert Sell Signal
We are currently issuing a Sell Signal on XAUUSD.
Sell Now at: 3,236
TP 1 : 3,200
TP 2 : 3,180
Stop Loss: 3,265
Maybe a possible bullish trend will affect the consolidation zone prepared by the Seller pressure Resistance Area Zone (green box at the down): This is the approximate geographical area where the price encounters buying.
Gold Market Maintains Bullish TrajectoryGold market continues the trajectory of bullish build-up, with price action aligning toward the mitigation of the 3270 zone. This move reinforces the ongoing momentum, hinting at potential further gains if the zone is cleared. follow for more insights , comment , and boost idea
Inducement Over, Soon We Will See WaterfallXAU/USD Analysis (4H)
Observations:
- Fakeout detected via moving average line
- Previous higher highs rejected, indicating inducement phase completion
Fundamental Outlook:
- Geopolitical tensions and Trump's policies likely to strengthen USD
Trade Idea:
- Expecting a significant decline
- Target: 3120
This setup suggests a potential sell opportunity in Gold, driven by technical and fundamental factors.
GOLD Setup – Trap Zones Identified & Key Level to WatchIn this breakdown, we analyze GOLD and highlight the liquidity traps currently forming.
You'll see the key level we're watching for a potential entry, based on structure and timing.
.This video includes:
.Smart money trap recognition
.Clear price zone of interest
Real time structure assessment
Stay sharp the first move is rarely the real one.
XAUUSD:Today's Trading StrategyGold is currently influenced by factors such as geopolitics, with strong support at lower levels. Meanwhile, the lower lows are continuously rising, and the market has now formed effective support. As a result, gold is more likely to rise than to fall. When conducting short-term intraday trading, we should follow the market's dominant trend, waiting for pullbacks to go long. Focus should remain on the support level at 3,200. If gold continues to trade above 3,200, a long strategy can be implemented around this level.
XAUUSD BUY@3200-3210
SL:3190
TP1:3230
TP2:3250
Market next moveBearish Disruption Scenario:
1. False Breakout Trap:
If the price breaks above the rectangle but lacks strong volume or fails to sustain above resistance, it may turn into a bull trap.
This could lead to a sharp reversal and shake out long positions.
2. Volume Divergence:
Notice that volume is decreasing during the consolidation. Without a spike in volume on breakout, the move could lack conviction.
This weakens the bullish case.
3. Resistance Zone Overhead:
There's likely a resistance zone just above the rectangle (around 3,240–3,260), where selling pressure could resume.
Price may test the zone, reject it, and fall back inside or below the range.
4. Double Top Risk:
The price action on the 18th and current range-top could form a double-top pattern if rejected.
A drop below the lower bound of the rectangle (~3,210) would confirm the pattern, suggesting bearish continuation.
5. Macro or Fundamental Risks:
Any unexpected strong U.S. dollar movement or interest rate expectations could push gold lower, invalidating bullish technical setups.
Today's gold price may fluctuate in a narrow rangeToday's gold price may fluctuate in a narrow range
As shown in Figure 4h:
Today's gold price opened sharply higher, and returned to the trend of last Friday after the Asian session opened.
The purple fan-shaped triangle has ended and re-entered the blue triangle oscillation range
The long-short watershed: 3200-3210
Heavy pressure area: 3250-3260
Strong support: 3160-3180
Today is still viewed with an oscillation mindset:
Shorts are short near 3250-3240, stop loss 3260
Bulls are long in the 3150-3160 range, stop loss 3140
Last week, the gold price closed in the middle of the week, with a long lower shadow. This week opened higher and returned to the starting point, but the overall weekly line still needs to be adjusted.
The daily line is in a wide range of fluctuations, and the adjustment is not over yet.
The H cycle reached a high point in the early trading and then fell back to the starting point of last Friday, coinciding with the upper track of the Bollinger Bands, but the Bollinger Bands did not open, so it is expected that the white market will be blocked and continue to maintain a wide range of fluctuations.
The upper pressure is at 3252 and 3265, and the lower support is at 3202 and 3175. Pay attention to the key high and low positions for intraday operations. Please increase risk aversion efforts in case of short-term fluctuations.
GOLD MARKET OVERVIEW – WEEKLY SUMMARY 📉 Key Developments
• Gold price (XAU/USD) dropped from a weekly high of $3,252 to a low of $3,154, indicating strong selling pressure.
• U.S. bond yields have edged higher, making gold less attractive to investors.
• Recent inflation data suggests the Federal Reserve may maintain higher interest rates for longer, adding downward pressure on gold.
• Profit-taking has intensified following a strong rally in previous weeks when gold hit multiple all-time highs.
🔮 Expected Short-Term Scenario
• Market sentiment leans towards profit-taking, especially since the $3,200–$3,250 zone has failed to hold.
• The inability to sustain higher levels indicates weakening buying momentum, increasing the likelihood of a deeper correction.
• Over the past week, gold formed strong bearish candles and repeatedly tested the $3,150 support zone, signaling that this level is weakening and could be broken soon.
📉 Conclusion & Outlook for Next Week
Based on:
• Weak price behavior
• Negative technical indicators
• Profit-taking sentiment
• Bearish macroeconomic backdrop
→ The scenario of breaking below $3,150 support and continuing downward toward $3,100 or lower is highly plausible in the coming week.
📌 SHORT-TERM TRADING STRATEGIES
🔻 SELL
• Entry Zone (SELL): 3245 – 3248
• Take Profit (TP): 3235 – 3238
• Stop Loss (SL): 3253
🔼 BUY
• Entry Zone (BUY): 3120 – 3123
• Take Profit (TP): 3133 – 3135
• Stop Loss (SL): 3116
🔁 Note: Only enter trades based on clear confirmation signals. Manage risk carefully — limit exposure to no more than 1–2% of your account per trade.
XAUUSD Intraday Swing Friday Timeframe: 15-Minute (M15)
📉 Current Price: Around 3,173.805 USD
📌 Key Zones & Structure on the Chart:
1. Order Block (OB)
Located at the top (around 3,253 – 3,231).
This is a strong supply zone that triggered a sharp sell-off.
Price previously grabbed liquidity before sharply rejecting from this zone.
2. Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) & Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL)
SSL: Taken out → strong indication that smart money is pushing price lower.
BSL: Also taken before the drop → confirming a false breakout and reversal to the downside.
3. Breaker + Base Area
Breaker block has been tested but failed to push price higher.
This confirms the area has flipped from support to resistance (bearish flip zone).
4. Bearish Target
Projected drop toward the next demand zone around 3,150 – 3,145 (lower gray box).
Marked by the arrow pointing down, indicating potential bearish continuation.
📊 Price Structure:
Trend: Bearish (Lower Highs – Lower Lows forming)
Strong rejection from breaker area → confirms bearish bias.
Current price is performing a minor pullback and is expected to continue dropping toward the demand zone.
✅ Summary of Analysis:
Bias: Bearish
Potential Entry: After a pullback into supply or breaker area (3,180 – 3,191)
Target: 3,150 – 3,145 (major demand zone)
Additional Confirmation: Watch for price rejection during pullback + rising volume during support break.
Gold Ideas - Tuesday May 13 ahead of CPI🧠 GOLD (XAUUSD) – Reaction Zones & Ideas – May 13, 2025
🔹 Bias: Bearish with Corrective Bounce - potential flip to bullish
Gold is currently retracing after reacting off the 3220 liquidity sweep zone. While price is moving upward intraday, the overall structure remains bearish on the higher timeframes. This is a corrective bounce unless we break decisively above 3297.
Today’s CPI release brings volatility risk. Price may spike into premium zones before reversing. Stay reactive — not predictive.
📊 Key 4H Reaction Zones
These are zones of interest where price may reverse or accelerate, depending on behavior inside.
🔴 Potential Sell Zones
• 3272–3287
Lower premium trap zone. Strong confluence area ahead of CPI.
Watch for early rejection if price spikes here.
• 3292–3308
HTF OB + FVG combo. If price drives here quickly, high probability of overextension fade.
• 3315–3330
Final upper sweep zone. Only valid if price breaks above 3300 aggressively during NY.
🟢 Potential Buy Zones
• 3220–3240
Confirmed sweep base. If price calmly retests, may provide second entry opportunity.
• 3170–3190
Deep HTF demand zone. Only in play if CPI triggers heavy downside movement.
⚠️ CPI Volatility Alert
CPI releases at 12:30 GMT / 15:30 GMT+3.
This event can trigger unpredictable price action — fakeouts, long wicks, and rapid reversals. Wait for structure. Let the market reveal the plan.
🧠 Final Note
The zone is never the trade.
The behavior inside is.
Drop a 🚀 Follow, comment, and share with your trading crew — if this helps your trading; let’s build a sharp Gold team
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.