Next week's ups and downs analysis and operation ideasGold closed with a long upper negative line in the weekly chart last week, and retreated to the lowest level of 3260 after being under pressure at the integer level of 3500. So can the decline continue next week?
First, let's look at a few weekend fundamental news: The Federal Reserve's financial report said that global trade wars and policy uncertainties are the biggest risks to financial stability, and have also led to concerns about the value of the US dollar in most countries. Secondly, the Federal Reserve officials made remarks that interest rates may be cut in June, and the geopolitical situation has become unstable, which has also provided some support for the price of gold in the short term.
Technical aspect: The bald positive line closed on Friday's 4-hour and 1-hour lines. If it opens flat at the beginning of the week, it is likely to continue the recent morning cycle recovery rhythm. Note: After the daily level suppressed the decline of 3500, it has been fluctuating in a large range for three consecutive trading days.
The upper and lower edges are relatively clear 3385-3260. According to the recent morning cycle recovery rhythm, the bullish momentum will basically be released before 10 o'clock. Therefore, if the market cannot continue to rise after 10:00 at the beginning of the week, the European session will continue to fluctuate downward. In particular, it cannot break through the upper edge of the daily oscillation cycle before 3385.
Operation: Open flat at the beginning of the week. Short-term support focuses on 3300. Strong support: 3260-70
Pressure level: Gains and losses of key pressure near 3385
XAUUSDG trade ideas
premium priceI’m initiating a long position on XAU/USD based on recent bullish momentum and technical indicators signaling a potential upward move.
Technical Analysis:
• Trend: The price has been trading within an ascending channel on the 4-hour timeframe, indicating a strong uptrend. 
• Breakout: A recent breakout above the upper boundary of the channel with strong momentum suggests a continuation of the bullish trend. 
• Support Levels: The price has found support around the $3,280 level, where buyers have stepped in previously. 
Trade Setup:
• Entry Point: Around $3,327–$3,331 
• Target Price: $3,350 
• Stop Loss: Below $3,303 to maintain tight risk management. 
Will the gold market cool down after the easing of tariffs betweIf you want to use one word to describe the performance of the global financial market in the 2025 quarter, then in addition to the roller coaster, there is another word that will be particularly applicable: "safe haven is king".
After Trump launched the tariff storm, this directly pushed the gold price to a historical high, setting the strongest quarterly performance since 1986; and the increase in tariffs led to frequent surges in gold, and after the tariffs were eased, gold also experienced a sharp correction, and this week's gold market was very lively. The price of gold is like a roller coaster ride, making countless investors love and hate it.
Quaid's analysis:
Gold is adjusted in the short term, and it is still bullish in the long term.
In the short term, the US has a high voice for trade negotiations, the market risk appetite has rebounded, and Trump has forced the Federal Reserve to slow down. The independence of the Federal Reserve has been temporarily maintained. The short-term upward trend of gold prices may be weak, and the medium- and long-term bullish trend has not changed. The price adjustment space is also limited. In the short term, it is expected that the gold price will be mainly volatile and consolidated. Continue to pay attention to the progress of Sino-US trade negotiations and Trump's policy trends.
The long-term bullish view remains unchanged; the expectation of stagflation in the United States and the increase in the probability of recession if the Federal Reserve continues not to cut interest rates are the logic of medium-term bullish gold, and the continued cycle of US dollar credit contraction is the core support for long-term bullish gold.
There is no international explosive news for the weekend, and Donald Trump has not made any radical remarks for the time being. Quaid has no operational suggestions for the time being, and can only analyze based on the market trading situation this week. I hope to help everyone understand the current market situation and long-term analysis.
Quaid will continue to pay attention to international news and Mr. President's remarks in order to bring you real-time market analysis and suggestions at any time.
Gold Rally Nears Exhaustion? Key Levels for the Next Big MoveGold has seen a powerful impulsive rally recently, but technical signs suggest a healthy correction could be near. Traders should keep a close eye on key levels for potential buying opportunities after a pullback.
Key Technical Points
Wave 5 Completion: The current bullish impulsive wave 5 appears to be nearing completion.
Key Fibonacci Level: The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement sits at $2,857 — a critical level for a potential corrective move.
Support to Watch: Loss of the $3,210 daily support would confirm the start of a corrective ABC pattern.
If gold maintains its daily support at $3,210, momentum could continue higher before any deeper pullback. However, if this support level is lost, traders should expect a correction down towards the 0.618 Fibonacci at $2,857, where swing long setups could become highly favorable. A healthy reset here would set a stronger foundation for the next bullish leg.
Can gold continue its decline and hit a new low?US President Trump said he had no intention of firing Fed Chairman Powell. Affected by this, the US dollar soared in the short term and spot gold plummeted dramatically. This remark marks a huge change in Trump's attitude. He has recently stepped up his criticism of Powell and refused to rule out the possibility of taking the unprecedented step of firing Powell.
Gold technical analysis: This wave of gold correction is still continuing. The market has actually warned about today's pullback. After all, yesterday's closing line was a big negative line, so there must be a continuation in the trend of gold. Moreover, after gold rose to 3500 yesterday, the trend weakened. The market fell all the way and broke through the 3400 mark and 3300 mark, and fell to the lowest level of 3290! To be honest, this round of decline is still quite strong. After breaking the continuous positive, the market ushered in the suppression of the market pullback, and at present, there is still a trend of continuation!
In terms of short-term operation ideas for gold, it is recommended to sell short. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3320-3330 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3285-3245 support.
Head and Shoulder pattern XAUUSD GOLD Update | H4 Timeframe 🙌
We have been observed that in H4 Timeframe market is creating a proper Head and Shoulder pattern ❗️
We have been set our trendline which is indicated that previous h4 rejected that area and try to push himself from that point
We also set our observation area at point
If market break our trendline area then expected 3280 further 3260.00 would be last trigger point
On the otherhand if market can not break the trendline we are expecting near our Resistance area at 3348.00 ❗️
#XAUUSD
Gold remains volatile, good opportunity for two-way operation
💹Fundamental analysis
Recently, many Fed officials have called for patience.
Regarding tariffs, they have repeatedly emphasized that although the increase in import costs has pushed up prices, the high prices are caused by shrinking consumption, declining employment and shrinking family wealth.
The final inflation increase may be lower than market expectations.
Is the current Fed in a dilemma?
On the one hand, we need to guard against economic downturn, and on the other hand, we need to be vigilant about inflation caused by tariff policies.
📊Comment analysis
On Thursday, the gold price rose rapidly to $3,365 in the Asian session, and then the European and American sessions were dominated by fluctuations. The current market fluctuations are not large, mainly based on corrections. This is also a temporary rest since the gold price plummeted from $3,500, giving everyone the opportunity and time to reorganize their ideas.
In addition, gold hit $3,370 again in the Asian session today. Recently, the Asian session is obviously larger than the European and American sessions. The main fluctuations are collectively in the Asian session. Whether this rebound will form a reversal depends on the breakthrough of $3,385. The bull market in the big direction has not encountered a breakout. What we need to pay attention to every day is the current intraday fluctuations, not the medium- and long-term layout.
💰Strategy Package
Long position:
Actively participate at 3,300 points, with a profit target of around 3,340 points
Short position:
Actively participate at around 3,360 points, with a profit target of around 3,320 points
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 5-10% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold Trading SignalsGold failed to show a decisive move yesterday as expected, and the market continues to trade within a tight range between 3260 and 3300, resulting in limited profit opportunities.
As of this update, price remains in sideways consolidation, with 3260 having been tested for the fifth time, indicating that this support level may be weakening.
Technical Outlook:
Given that current price levels are closer to the 3220 key support zone, it's more likely that the market will dip lower to test support before any meaningful rebound.
The inability to break above 3300 strengthens the case for a near-term bearish move.
Trading Recommendations for Today:
🔻 Sell Zone (Short Entries):
3310–3330
🔺 Buy Zone (Long Entries):
3230–3200
GOLD Once more fall what will next?According this analysis a next Gold movement ,
Forest from Mr Martin Date 29 April Tuesday 2025
Gold has been in under pressure amid tariff war and head if US Data.
on Monday Gold is testing the last week 3260 remining under pressure from strengthening dollar and easing trade risks between the US and china. Gold will a new zone will formed I will see the market price once more fall and catch the strong Support.
Resistance Zone 3330 / 32340
Support Levels 3285 / 3275
You may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
Gold Price Crashes Below $3250—$3200 Target in Sight1. Price Action & Trend:
Gold is currently in a downtrend, with a visible descending channel (highlighted in yellow).
The price has fallen sharply from near 3,360 to 3,228.650—indicating strong bearish momentum.
The most recent candles are near the lower Bollinger Band, signaling continued downside pressure.
---
2. Bollinger Bands Strategy Signals:
BBandSE (Sell Entry): Triggered around the 3,360 level—marked by a red arrow, confirming a reversal.
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 5/1/2025Gold tested 3270 again yesterday and this support was still held strongly. There is a wedge line, indicating increasing pressure on the support. It will likely be broken soon. If so, I will sell towards 3240. However, if the wedge line is broken, I will buy towards 3370. Let's see how the market plays out today.
Analysis of the latest gold trend on April 30:
1. News analysis: Bullish and bearish factors are intertwined, gold is under pressure but safe-haven support is still there
The strengthening of the US dollar suppresses gold prices
Trade optimism boosts the US dollar: The progress of negotiations between the United States and major trading partners (such as China and India) has eased market concerns about tariff escalation, and the recovery of risk appetite has driven demand for the US dollar, and the attractiveness of gold as an interest-free asset has declined.
Focus on US economic data: If this week's "super week" data (ADP, initial jobless claims, non-agricultural) performs strongly, it may further strengthen the Fed's expectations of suspending interest rate cuts, which is bearish for gold.
Geopolitical risk aversion supports gold prices
India-Pakistan conflict escalates: Geopolitical tensions (such as the Kashmir issue) may limit the decline of gold, and we need to pay close attention to the evolution of events.
Trump's softening policy toward China: If the China-US trade agreement achieves a breakthrough, it may be bearish for gold in the short term; but if there are new variables, risk aversion will return quickly.
Market sentiment is contradictory
Despite the strengthening of the US dollar, the gold daily line closed with a "hammer line", showing strong buying support below, indicating that the bears have not completely controlled the market.
2. Technical analysis: range oscillation to be broken through, pay attention to key positions
Daily level
Form: high-level hammer small positive line, suggesting bull resistance, but the 3360-3370 area forms a double top suppression, and we need to be alert to the risk of peaking.
Key position:
Support: 3260-3268 (multi-bottom support), 3300 (psychological barrier).
Resistance: 3325-3330 (Bollinger middle rail), 3360-3370 (double top).
4-hour level
Range oscillation: Gold prices are in a wide range of 3260-3370, and the short-term direction needs to be confirmed by a breakthrough.
Bollinger band signal:
The middle rail 3325 is the watershed of intraday strength and weakness. If the rebound is blocked here, you can try a short order.
If the lower rail 3300 falls below, it may test the support of 3285-3260.
Hourly level
Short-term trend: After rebounding to 3325 on Tuesday, it fell back, indicating that there is selling pressure at this position. If the attack fails again, the shorts may dominate the short-term trend.
3. Operation strategy: sell high and buy low, keep a close eye on the breakthrough
Intraday short-term (conservative)
Short on rebound
Entry: 3325-3330 (Bollinger middle rail + previous high resistance).
Target: 3300→3285, break to see 3260.
Stop loss: above 3335.
Long on callback
Entry: around 3300 (previous low support), give up if it breaks down quickly.
Target: 3320-3325.
Stop loss: below 3290.
Mid-term layout (breakthrough and follow)
Break above 3370: chase long, target 3400-3420, stop loss 3350.
Break below 3260: chase short, target 3220-3200, stop loss 3280.
IV. Risk warning
Data risk: This week's US employment data (especially non-agricultural) may cause violent fluctuations. It is recommended to lighten positions or wait and see before the data.
Geopolitical events: India-Pakistan conflict and sudden news of Sino-US trade negotiations may reverse short-term trends.
Liquidity risk: Thin trading during Asian hours (such as Chinese holidays) may amplify fluctuations, so position management needs to be prudent.
Gold: Bearish Shooting Star Reversal?The trend in gold is higher and no doubt it can go higher still.. BUT
There is a possible short setup
because:
A) It's very overbought relative to its weekly average
B) A Weekly shooting star reveral pattern took place on the weekly chart
C) The daily chart shows a possible breakdown
Thoughts?
"Gold Just Respected The OB Like a Pro! 1:7 RR Setup LIVE!"📈 GOLD (XAUUSD) – 1H SMC Setup | April 30, 2025
This is a textbook Smart Money bullish entry — we’ve got the clean sequence of Order Block ➝ CHoCH ➝ Mitigation ➝ Pump.
🔍 Structure Analysis:
After a strong selloff, price created a valid Bullish Order Block around 3,253 – 3,285 (highlighted in purple).
Price swept previous lows (liquidity grab) before returning to mitigate the OB.
The Change of Character (CHoCH) marked the shift from bearish to bullish intent.
Price wicked into the OB zone → buyers stepped in → sniper entry executed ✅
🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry: 3,285
SL: 3,253 (below OB wick)
TP1: 3,310
TP2: 3,345
TP3: 3,370+ (Potential Imbalance Fill)
RR: ~ 1:7 (massive!)
🧠 Why This Works (SMC Logic):
Liquidity sweep before entry = market manipulation phase
OB = institutional footprint
CHoCH confirms momentum flip
Entry right at mitigation level = minimized drawdown, max RR
📌 Execution Notes:
Patience was key: entry triggered only after full mitigation of OB
No candle close below OB = confidence to hold
Now in expansion phase → trailing stop for runners 🏃♂️
💡 Pro Tip:
Price doesn’t reverse randomly. It reacts to zones where Smart Money operates — just like this OB. Learn the game, don’t chase the candles.
🔥 Final Thought:
This is the kind of setup you print out and pin on your trading desk.
Risk was tight. Reward? HUGE. This is why we follow structure, not emotions.
🗣️ Drop a 🔥 if you caught this Gold move!
💾 Save this post for your SMC playbook.
📤 Share it with your trading squad — don’t gatekeep winning setups.
Gold Rejection Zone in Play – Bears Take the Lead!After testing a key resistance zone around 3,328–3,334, gold saw a sharp rejection, confirming bearish control. Price retraced aggressively, reaching the 3,293 level before consolidating. Short setup played out with clean risk-to-reward. Watching for a potential continuation or reversal at this consolidation zone. Stay sharp!
Gold INTRADAY Key trading level at 3227Gold INTRADAY corrective pullback supported at 3227
Trade optimism is lifting market sentiment, with the US Dollar gaining strength and pulling investment away from safe-haven Gold. However, uncertainty lingers due to conflicting signals in US-China trade talks. While President Trump claims discussions are ongoing, China denies any tariff negotiations. At the same time, traders anticipate the Federal Reserve will restart rate cuts in June, with markets pricing in the likelihood of at least three cuts this year. These expectations could provide near-term support for Gold despite current headwinds.
Resistance Level 1: 3392
Resistance Level 2: 3457
Resistance Level 3: 3500
Support Level 1: 3227
Support Level 2: 3173
Support Level 3: 3130
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
XAUUSD... 1H CHART PATTERNI am looking at a **buy trade setup for XAU/USD (Gold vs USD)** with the following levels:
- **Entry (Buy Now):** 3315
- **Target (Take Profit):** 3350
- **Support (Stop Loss):** 3275
### Here's a quick breakdown of the trade:
| Parameter | Value |
|----------------|-----------|
| Entry | 3315 |
| Target (TP) | 3350 |
| Stop Loss (SL) | 3275 |
| Risk (per oz) | 40 points |
| Reward | 35 points |
### Risk/Reward Ratio:
- **Reward/Risk = 35 / 40 = 0.875**, which is **less than 1**.
- This means the risk is slightly higher than the potential reward. Normally, traders aim for at least a 1:1 ratio, preferably 1.5:1 or higher.
### Suggestions:
- If you're confident in strong bullish momentum (e.g. fundamentals or technicals support it), it could be worth it.
- Consider adjusting the **target higher** or tightening the **stop loss** slightly to improve the risk/reward.
- Watch for key resistance around **3350**, as price action may stall there.