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XAUUSDG trade ideas

XAUUSD:Focus on trade negotiations and CPI dataGold prices stabilized and rebounded after continuing last Friday's decline. Yesterday, they fell back to the 3,300 level before rising slowly to 3,338, where they encountered resistance and pulled back, in line with the technical consolidation rhythm. Key Fundamental Events: - China-US trade negotiations: The US has signaled a willingness to relax export restrictions, and the market is awaiting the outcome, which could impact risk sentiment. - US May CPI data: Inflation changes will provide key guidance for the Federal Reserve's policy. Technical Levels: - Support: 3,295 and 3,285 - Resistance: 3,330 and 3,350 Trading Strategies: - The current trend is weak but with limited downside space. Focus on buying on dips and avoid shorting aggressively. - Consider staying on the sidelines today and waiting for clear negotiation results before entering positions to reduce volatility risks. Risk Warning: Escalating internal conflicts in the US (such as the Los Angeles riots) may intensify market volatility. Traders should adapt flexibly and avoid greedy chasing of orders. XAUUSD sell@3335-3330 tp:3310-3300 buy@3295-3300 tp:3320-3330 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by H_C_02
xauusd weekly analysis **XAU/USD Weekly Analysis** *(June 2-13, 2025)* --- ### **LAST WEEK'S PERFORMANCE (June 2-6)** **Price Action:** - Weekly decline: **~2%** - Key levels: - Resistance: $3,355–$3,381 (61.8% Fibo) - Support: $3,272–$3,288 (38.2% Fibo) - Range: $3,291.50 (low) to $3,365 (high) - Close: Near $3,310–$3,316 **Key Drivers:** 1. **USD Strength**: Fiscal concerns (Senate tax bill debate adding $3.8T debt) 2. **Reduced Safe-Haven Demand**: Trump delayed EU tariffs to July 9 3. **Central Bank Caution**: Market awaited ECB/BoC decisions and U.S. jobs data --- ### **NEXT WEEK OUTLOOK (June 9-13)** **Critical Technical Levels:** | **Support** | **Resistance** | |-------------------|-------------------| | $3,272–$3,288 | $3,370–$3,375 | | $3,295 (SMA) | $3,381 (Key Breakout) | | $3,210–$3,214 | $3,400–$3,434 | **Fundamental Catalysts:** 1. **Central Banks**: - ECB Decision (June 12) → Dovish stance = USD strength - BoC Decision (June 11) → Rate cuts may boost USD 2. **U.S. Data**: - Non-Farm Payrolls (June 13) → Strong data = fewer Fed rate cuts 3. **Geopolitical Risks**: - Escalations in Ukraine/Middle East → Safe-haven demand 4. **U.S. Fiscal Policy**: Senate vote on $3.8T tax bill **Market Sentiment:** - **Bullish Case**: Break above $3,381 targets $3,500–$3,800 - **Bearish Risks**: Breakdown below $3,272 risks drop to $3,160 --- ### **TRADING STRATEGY** **Key Approaches:** - **🔺 Long Setup**: - Entry: Above $3,381 - Target: $3,500 - Stop-loss: $3,320 - **🔻 Short Setup**: - Entry: Below $3,272 - Target: $3,210 - Stop-loss: $3,310 - **Event Hedging**: Use options around ECB/BoC/NFP events **Risk Management Note:** > "Gold's trajectory hinges on USD dynamics and central bank guidance. A weekly close above $3,381 confirms bull trend resumption." --- ### **KEY EVENTS CALENDAR** | Date | Event | Impact Level | |------------|---------------------------|--------------| | June 11 | Bank of Canada Rate Decision | High | | June 12 | ECB Rate Decision | High | | June 13 | US Non-Farm Payrolls | Very High | | Mid-week | US Senate Tax Bill Vote | Moderate-High| --- **Conclusion:** Next week presents a binary setup for XAU/USD: - Break above **$3,381** opens path to $3,500+ - Failure to hold **$3,272** risks correction to $3,210 Prioritize risk management during high-impact events. The long-term uptrend remains intact but short-term direction depends on USD and central bank policy. for intra day traders and scalpers follow the range zone
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by realmillionairefx
Gold analysis – 1H FVG and OB setupPrice failed to hold at the first 1H FVG (red circle) and broke through quickly. At the second 1H FVG (green circle), we entered a Buy position, and it’s currently running in profit ✅ Now, price is testing another 1H FVG around 3,327. If we get bullish confirmation here, upside targets are: 🔹 1H OB at 3,370 🔹 1H OB near 3,390–3,410 If price gets rejected again, watch for retracement into lower FVG zones: 3,290 and 3,250 Smart Money Concepts in play – watching PA for next move. 📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD 📚 Daily setups & educational trades 📱 IG: @profitamin.fx
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ProfitaminFX
Gold Buy- Go for short term buy then manage your trade - could be just small trade then potentially go one more down - Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if your strategy allow A Message To Traders: I’ll be sharing high-quality trade setups for a period time. No bullshit, no fluff, no complicated nonsense — just real, actionable forecast the algorithm is executing. If you’re struggling with trading and desperate for better results, follow my posts closely. Check out my previously posted setups and forecasts — you’ll be amazed by the high accuracy of the results. "I Found the Code. I Trust the Algo. Believe Me, That’s It."
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Vincent-DA
XAUUSD CHARTINGThis chart was made for the team to be able to follow what the market is going to do... We're looking for a deep sell to the LH side breaking from the HL and the watch the market reverse to retest again the 3311-3319 area if we see a break of the area the market will continue to 3360 with some ranging and fluctuations. - 3241-3278 Becareful of this holy Grail Liq Sweep... If market comes down near this area wait for 4 candle confirmation after ranging period.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GQJOHNWICKCHARTS
XAUUSD: Analysis H4 next weekThe continued tension in the Middle East (Israel–Iran) has led to a flight to safe havens, a key driver for gold. Reduced pressure from the USD due to expectations that the Fed will slow down its rate cut (~September), coupled with inflationary pressures, could support gold prices If tensions in the Middle East do not ease next week, gold's rally could extend and we could see 3500. But be careful, as if tensions ease and some good news from the USD comes, the rally could be halted.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Stone_Haven
As long as the gold price is above 3400, continue to go long.As long as the gold price is above 3400, continue to go long. As shown in Figure 4h. I clearly show the trend of gold prices through the split chart. 1: The ABC span forms the golden ratio, indicating that if the gold price continues to rise out of control in the future, it will rise to the range of 3700-4000. 2: The blue triangle angle is a convergent triangle in the upward trend, which is a strong triangle. The probability of bullishness next week is high, and the possibility of breaking through and returning to the range of 3450-3500 is very high. 3: We need to consider the most unlikely possibility, that is, the worst expectations and results. If the gold price breaks through 3450 and it is a false breakthrough, there may be an expectation of a sharp decline: 3365-3330-3270. Operation strategy: As shown in the figure: 1: Pay attention to the 1-2 path and defend the 3-4 path. 2: Wait for low prices to find long opportunities 3: As long as the gold price is above 3400 points, only participate in the long strategy. 4: Gold price fluctuation range: 3400-3450 5: Two test pressure areas for intraday short-term short selling: 3450 and 3500 6: Strong support area: 3400--3365--3330-3270, these points can be used as support points and stop loss ranges for future attempts to go long.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Louisa21210
XAUUSD: Analysis June 13This morning, the gold market witnessed a strong price increase after receiving two important news: - US CPI was lower than expected, causing the USD to weaken. - Israel continued to strike Gaza, raising concerns about escalating conflict in the Middle East. 🟨Trend: Strong increase - Break resistance ✅ Potential Buy Zone: 3410 – 3405: This is the breakout zone after the news, you can wait to buy if the price retests. SL 2399 ❌ Potential Sell Zone (exit block or surfing): ✅ 3450 - 3455, SL 3461: Strong resistance, old accumulation zone (according to Bar chart, Resistance is determined at 3,455). If RSI/H1 shows overbought signal, consider taking profit or short Sell.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Stone_Haven
1
Gold Price Analysis June 13Yesterday's D1 candlestick increased, confirming the continuation of the uptrend. Following that uptrend, the Asian session saw a strong increase in price to the highest peak of 3443. If there is still confirmation from the h4 candlestick above 3395, today will still be a bullish candlestick with a large amplitude at the end of the day. After reaching the highest peak of the month, Gold is having a downward correction at the end of the Asian session. This correction lasts until the support of 3397 to have a good BUY signal. In case you want to SELL, you must wait for a 50% test of the previous full-force downtrend H1 candle (around 3434) and the continuation of the Selling side. If the 50% test does not appear, you must reverse to find a BUY Breakout point. Note that the False break at the peak of 3343 should wait for confirmation of the small-frame DOW wave to enter the order, which will be safer for this morning's break. If you get a BUY order, the target will be 3364 and this area will have a profit-taking reaction from the Buyers, causing the price to decrease. Gold may touch the threshold before ATH 3394 and there will be a reaction. In the opposite direction, there is a sweep to 3376, which is considered the daily support zone and you can buy in this area. All SELL signals are considered obstacles, so set a short target and a new BUY signal sets a long expectation.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
1
XAU/USD GOLD SELL SIGNAL Entry Point: 3431🔺 USDJPY BUY TRADE SETUP 🔺 📍 Entry: 143.700 🎯 Targets: 1️⃣ 144.500 2️⃣ 145.500 🏁 Final Target: 146.000 📈 Bullish trend remains intact 🕵️‍♂️ Price bounced from support zone 🔍 Momentum confirming upward strength 🛠️ Clean entry with structured risk setup 🛑 Stop-loss placed below key support ⚖️ Risk/Reward ratio aligns with strategy ⏳ Patience required as price develops 📊 Suitable for short to mid-term outlook 💼 Always manage your risk wisely 📆 Valid as of June 13, 2025 🔔 Watch for economic news impacting USD/JPY 📌 Review setup regularly – adapt if needed 📢 Trade what you see, not what you feel 📈 Stay disciplined, trade smart!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldTradersEdge
Iran tensions rise: a setup brewing for gold and oil Geopolitical tensions surrounding Iran might fuel safe-haven demand for gold. A break above $3,403 might open the door for a test of the May high at $3,437. However, price action over the last two sessions potentially indicates that buyers are reluctant to drive spot prices above $3,400. At the same time, analysts are suggesting that oil could climb toward $120 if Israel takes military action against Iran. “I don’t want to say it’s imminent, but it looks like something that could very well happen,” President Trump said during a White House event. Meanwhile, cooler-than-expected US CPI and PPI prints have potentially strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve could begin cutting interest rates by September, with a second cut possibly following before year-end.
BLACKBULL:XAUUSD
by BlackBull_Markets
4
xauusd gold sell now entry point 3388📉 GOLD (XAUUSD) SELL SETUP ALERT 📉 🔹 Entry Point: 3388 🔹 We're initiating a SELL position on Gold 🔹 Technicals suggest downside momentum building 🎯 Target 1: 3370 🎯 Target 2: 3360 🎯 Final Target: 3350 🛑 Always respect your SL and manage your risk! 🚫 Avoid over-leveraging 💰 Capital preservation is key 🔍 Watch for price action confirmation 📊 Trade aligns with short-term bearish trend ⏱ Patience is part of the plan 🔒 Secure profits step by step ⚠️ High volatility expected – stay alert! 📉 Lower highs and pressure at resistance levels 🕒 Short-term move – intraday to 1-2 days 📈 Use proper lot sizing based on your account 💬 Trade smart – don’t chase the market 📌 Setup based on technical signals, not emotions ✅ Stick to the plan. Risk wisely. #XAUUSD #Gold #SellSignal #ForexTrading #RiskManagement
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by GoldTradersEdge
GOLD Federal Reserve Interpretation of May CPI Data Key CPI Figures (May 2025) Headline CPI: MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast, prior 0.2%). YoY: 2.4% (vs. 2.5% forecast, prior 2.3%). Core CPI (ex-food/energy): MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast, prior 0.2%). YoY: 2.8% (vs. 2.9% forecast). Fed’s Likely Interpretation Cooling Inflation Momentum: The softer-than-expected MoM and core CPI prints suggest inflation is moderating, particularly in goods categories like gasoline (-2.6% MoM) and autos. Shelter inflation (3.9% YoY) also cooled slightly, a critical factor for the Fed. Annual CPI (2.4%) remains above the Fed’s 2% target but shows progress from pandemic-era peaks. Tariff Impact Delayed: The data reflects limited immediate pass-through from Trump’s April tariffs, which are expected to raise prices by ~1.5% over time. The Fed will remain cautious, as tariff effects could materialize in late 2025, complicating the inflation trajectory. Labor Market Resilience: Despite softer inflation, unemployment held at 4.2% in May, and wage growth stayed elevated (3.9% YoY). This gives the Fed flexibility to prioritize inflation containment over premature easing. Policy Implications: Near-Term Hold: The Fed is almost certain to keep rates at 4.25–4.50% in June, aligning with its "higher for longer" stance. Dovish Tilt for 2025: Markets now price a ~75% chance of a September cut (up from ~55% pre-CPI). The Fed may signal openness to easing if inflation continues trending toward 2% and tariff impacts remain muted. Market Reactions Bonds: 10-year Treasury yields to 4.12%, reflecting bets on future rate cuts. Dollar: The DXY dipped to 98.50 but stabilized as traders weighed Fed caution against global risks. Equities: Nasdaq and S&P 500 rallied on reduced stagflation fears. What’s Next? June 12 PCE Data: The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge will confirm whether disinflation is broadening. Federal Reserve Interpretation of June 12 Economic Data Key Data Points PPI (Producer Price Index) MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast, prior -0.5%). Core PPI (ex-food/energy) MoM: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast, prior -0.4%). Unemployment Claims: 248K (vs. 242K forecast, prior 247K). Fed’s Likely Interpretation 1. Subdued Producer Inflation Cooling Input Costs: Both headline and core PPI rose 0.1% MoM, below expectations, signaling muted producer-side inflation. This follows prior declines (-0.5% headline, -0.4% core), suggesting persistent disinflationary pressures in supply chains. Implication: Weak PPI supports the Fed’s view that inflation is moderating, reducing urgency for rate hikes. However, the Fed will remain cautious about potential tariff-driven price spikes later in 2025. 2. Labor Market Softening Rising Jobless Claims: Claims increased for the second straight week (248K vs. 242K forecast), aligning with May’s softer ADP and NFP reports. The 4-week average now sits at 243K, the highest since September 2023. Implication: A cooling labor market supports arguments for rate cuts to avoid over-tightening, but the Fed will seek confirmation in future reports (e.g., June NFP). 3. Policy Outlook September Rate Cut Odds: Markets now price a ~70% chance of a September cut (up from ~65% pre-data). The Fed is likely to hold rates steady in July but may signal openness to easing if disinflation broadens. Balancing Risks: While PPI and claims data lean dovish, the Fed remains wary of premature easing given: Sticky Services Inflation: CPI services ex-energy rose 4.1% YoY in May. Tariff Uncertainty: Trump’s tariffs could add 1.5% to inflation by late 2025. Market Reactions Bonds: 10-year Treasury yields fell 3 bps to 4.09%, reflecting rate-cut bets. DXY: Dollar index dipped to 98.30, pressured by dovish Fed expectations. Conclusion The Fed will view today’s data as reinforcing the case for rate cuts in 2025, but policymakers will likely wait Q2 GDP before committing. While PPI and jobless claims suggest easing inflation and labor momentum, the Fed’s cautious stance on tariffs and services inflation means a September cut remains the baseline scenario, contingent on sustained disinflation. July Meeting: Likely a hold, but the Fed’s updated dot plot could hint at 2025 cuts. Tariff Watch: Delayed price pressures from tariffs remain a wildcard, keeping the Fed data-dependent. Summary The Fed will view May’s CPI as encouraging but insufficient to justify imminent rate cuts. While inflation moderation supports a dovish pivot later in 2025, policymakers will demand more evidence of sustained disinflation and clarity on tariff impacts before easing. #gold
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
1
Analysis of the latest market trends of gold surge and plungeFrom the 4-hour analysis, the support below is around 3338-45. If the intraday retracement relies on this position, the main bullish trend will remain unchanged. The short-term bullish strong dividing line is 3320-25. Before the daily level falls below this position, any retracement is a long opportunity. Maintain the main tone of participating in the trend. Gold operation strategy: If gold falls back to 3338-45 and does not break, go long, stop loss 3329, target 3375-3380, and continue to hold if it breaks;
FX:XAUUSDLong
by MonaBert
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD (June 12, 2025)🌀 Wave Structure According to yesterday's plan, the green abc corrective wave likely completed around the 3293 level. The subsequent bullish move is considered Wave 1 in a triangle form, and last night’s news helped Wave 5 hit the target, yielding over 200 pips in profit. After that, price corrected in a black abc structure. Although the CPI release printed a sharp H1 wick (alongside overlapping waves supporting sellers), the price reversed sharply to the upside — further reinforcing the idea that the correction phase has ended. Currently, price is testing the previous green Wave b high at 3375.954. A break and close above this level could strengthen the bullish wave scenario. If Wave 1 is indeed a triangle, Wave 3 may extend strongly, with a potential upside target near 3428. In the short term, price may be forming Wave 1 within Wave 3, and we are watching two key zones: 3358 – 3355 3390 – 3393 ⚠️ If price breaks and closes below 3350, the current wave count will be invalidated, and we will shift to a deeper corrective scenario. I will update accordingly to avoid confusion. 🔍 Momentum Outlook D1: Momentum is rising, supporting the continuation of Wave 3 into next week. H4: Still bullish; needs 1–2 more candles to reach the overbought zone. H1: Currently overbought → possible pullback if price hits the 3390–3393 resistance. ⏱️ Bearish momentum reversal at 3390–3393 → confluence zone for a SELL setup ⏱️ Bullish momentum reversal at 3358–3355 → confluence zone for a BUY setup 🎯 Trading Plan BUY ZONE: 3358 – 3355 SL: 3348 TP1: 3375 | TP2: 3389 SELL ZONE: 3390 – 3393 SL: 3404 TP1: 3375 | TP2: 3358
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WavePoint_FX
Analysis of gold prices on June 11 📌Gold news 🎈Economic data and policy expectations U.S. employment data; initial jobless claims increased for two consecutive weeks, and the market focus shifted to the non-farm payroll report released this week. The data performance will affect the Fed's policy path. Trump pressures interest rate cuts: Trump recently called on the Fed to cut interest rates by "one percentage point" again, and hinted that he would consider replacing the Fed chairman, exacerbating market expectations for loose monetary policy. 🎈Long-term support factors Despite short-term fluctuations, global economic and geopolitical uncertainties (such as repeated trade frictions and debt risks) still provide long-term safe-haven demand for gold, especially in the context of the divergence of monetary policies between European and American central banks, the allocation value of gold is highlighted. 📊Technical analysis Before the European session, the gold price showed a continuous positive trend. I gave a hint in my analysis that I was not in a hurry to guess the top, and followed the trend to rise to around 3340 and wait for the turning point to appear. The opening trend of the European session tended to fluctuate until it rose to around 3348 in the evening and then turned from rising to falling, but the decline was not strong. It rose again at the position of the European session. Now the gold price is trading around 3350. From the market point of view, this wave of rise was supported by the trend line at 3300. Whether it was geopolitical conflicts or various news about Sino-US trade negotiations that stimulated buying to drive gold prices up, the second rise in the US session has exceeded 3340. The next key suppression level is around 3360, which is 618 from 3403 to 3300, which can be treated as a turning point. The initial support below focuses on the high point of yesterday's Asian session at 3338. 💰Strategy Package Waiting for gold: short at 3355-3360, stop loss at 3365, target at 3340-3328! ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1