Gold (XAU/USD) Intraday Buy Setup with High Reward-to-Risk Ratio1. Entry Point Zone: Around 3,271.79 USD
This is identified as a potential buy entry area, marked in purple.
2. Stop Loss: Below the entry point at 3,257.71 USD
Risk management level in case the trade moves against the setup.
3. Target Point One: Between 3,313.75 and 3,317.07 USD
A short-term take-profit level, likely based on previous resistance.
4. Final Target (EA Target Point): Around 3,373.04 USD
A more ambitious take-profit, possibly based on a major resistance level or Fibonacci extension.
5. Trade Range:
Risk: 3,271.79 - 3,257.71 = 14.08 USD
Reward to First Target: ~42 USD
XAUUSDG trade ideas
Hellena | GOLD (4H): SHORT to 38.2%-50% Fibo lvl 3228.Colleagues, last week we got a stoploss, but I still believe that we should expect a correction in wave “2”. We will try to catch this movement this week.
I believe that the price will correct to the area of Fibonacci 38.2% - 50% levels (3228.41).
Perhaps the price will slightly renew the maximum of wave “1”, reaching the level of 3438. In this case I recommend to work with pending limit sell orders.
And some data:
The prevalence of bulls according to CME reports additionally increased by 13%.
The 23% increase in market volume, meanwhile, indicates a likely strong momentum pattern during the trading week.
Despite the 13% increase in buyers, selling patterns towards the balance level of the week (3200.00) are recommended for the current trading week.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
GOLD Trending Higher - Can buyers push toward 3,500$?OANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a clear ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum indicates that buyers are in control, suggesting there's chances for potential continuation on the upside.
The price has recently broken above a key resistance zone and may come back for a retest. If this level holds as support, it would reinforce the bullish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward the 3,500 target , which aligns with the channel’s upper boundary.
As long as the price remains above this support zone, the bullish outlook stays intact. However, a failure to hold above this level could invalidate the bullish scenario and increase the likelihood of a pullback toward the channel’s lower boundary.
The recent surge in gold prices is driven by escalating U.S.-China trade tensions and a weakening U.S. dollar. Gold reached a record high of $3,390 per ounce, fueled by concerns over global economic stability and increased demand for safe-haven assets. Analysts have raised their three-month gold forecast, due to ongoing market uncertainties.
Despite the upward momentum, I think still gold may be overbought in the near term, indicating potential for a short-term correction . Nevertheless, the overall bullish trend remains strong, supported by geopolitical tensions, central bank purchases, and investor demand for strong assets.
Gold Plan: Waiting for the 1000 Pips Drop UnderwayYesterday, I highlighted that the 3280 support zone looked fragile and warned of a potential breakdown.
However, once New York opened, bulls stepped in aggressively, pushing Gold above Friday’s close and triggering my stop loss along the way.
Key Question:
Has the bullish momentum changed the bigger picture?
Why I Still Expect a Drop:
- Despite yesterday's green close, the broader structure remains bearish.
- The 3370 resistance zone is still intact, and Gold is vulnerable under it.
- My target remains a move under 3280, aiming for the 3200 area.
T rading Plan:
I will continue to look for selling opportunities, especially on spikes toward resistance zones, targeting a 1000 pips move down.
Final Words:
The market needs to confirm the plan, but patience and discipline will bring the 🚀 in the right direction!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GOLD → Reversal or correction? What to do now?FX:XAUUSD reaching the psychological high of $3500 has entered the correction phase, which was also influenced by a slight easing of the tariff conflict between the U.S. and China....
After falling without reaching the zone of interest 3288, the gold price is strengthening at the beginning of the European session, expecting PMI data from the U.S.. Earlier, the metal reached a record of $3,500, but rolled back amid hopes for an easing of the trade war with China and words of the US Treasury Secretary about a possible “détente”.
The dollar recovered as part of the correction, but investors doubt Trump's predictability, gold at this time begins a correction. In the center of attention is the PMI index from S&P Global: its results may affect expectations for Fed Funds rates and give a new direction to the market.
Resistance levels: 3340, 3360, 3366
Support levels: 3317, 3288
Technically gold is in correction and confirms the bearish structure. But any unexpected statement by Trump may attract aggressive buying.
Nevertheless, we should now consider a possible decline from 3340 - 3360 - 3366. Buying could be considered on a retest of support or a close above 3370.
Regards R. Linda!
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Gold playing ball again early session hitting the level we wanted for the long and then rejecting the hot spot for the short into the lower levels. As it's Friday, we did take it a little easier on gold, hitting 2 targets, and then 6 across other pairs giving us another sensible end to the week.
Now, we've competed the bias level targets up and down, we have support below at the 3280-75 level and resistance at 3306-10 which could be the region they want to target for the close. It's also the level to watch, unless broken we can see further downside, but we'll visit that on Sundays KOG Report.
RED BOXES:
Break above 3335 for 3345✅, 3347✅, 3355✅ and 3367✅ in extension of the move
Break below 3320 for 3310✅, 3306✅, 3296, 3286✅ and 3380✅ in extension of the move
Wishing you all a great weekend ahead.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD (XAUUSD) : Is it the bearish time?!Hello guys!
Key Elements:
Internal Trendline (broken): A previously respected trendline is now broken, indicating a potential shift in trend.
S&D (Supply & Demand) Zone: Located around the $3,280–$3,300 region.
Bearish Rejection Zone: Price attempted to push higher into the $3,360–$3,380 resistance zone but was rejected.
Arrow Indicating Bearish Target: Projected move toward $3,245.94.
why:
1. Trendline Break
The internal bullish trendline has been decisively broken, a classic sign of a trend reversal or at least a significant pullback.
After the break, price retested the underside of the trendline, failed to reclaim it, and showed bearish pressure.
2. Supply Zone Rejection
A clear rejection occurred from a supply zone ($3,360–$3,380), evidenced by long wicks and bearish candles.
This confirms the presence of sellers and likely distribution at that level.
3. Volume Profile Insight
The point of control (POC) and high-volume node sit around the $3,245 region, which also aligns with the marked bearish target.
Price is likely to be drawn toward this level as it's a fair value area where previous consolidation occurred.
4. S&D Flip
A previously bullish demand zone (around $3,280) has now become a resistance level, confirming a shift in market sentiment.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
Target: $3,245.94
Confirmation: Failure to close above $3,360 and continued lower highs suggest bearish continuation.
✅ Confluence Factors Supporting a Move Down:
Trendline break and successful retest.
Rejection from resistance (supply zone).
Lower high formation.
Volume profile attraction to a lower value area.
Bearish market structure forming.
____________________
📌 Conclusion:
This chart setup suggests a short-term bearish bias for Gold Spot (XAU/USD), with a potential drop toward the $3,245 zone. Traders may consider watching for confirmation via continued bearish price action and potential volume increase on the next leg down.
Can non-agricultural data break the deadlock of shocks!Let's sort out the news that have affected the trend of gold in the past two days:
On Tuesday (April 29), gold suddenly began to fall sharply in the Asian market, and the current gold price is around $3,316. Gold prices weakened during the Asian trading session on Tuesday, replicating the trend of the Asian market on Monday. Amid optimistic market sentiment, the recovery of US dollar demand seems to put downward pressure on gold prices. New optimism about the possible progress in trade negotiations between the United States and its major trading partners supports risk appetite and boosts the performance of the US dollar against major currency competitors. Gold sellers are trying to regain control.
On Monday, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that several major trading partners have made "very good" suggestions to avoid US tariffs, and India may be one of the first countries to complete the agreement. At the same time, US President Donald Trump softened his stance on China. In addition, there was new news about Trump's tariffs, which triggered a rebound in market risk appetite. At present, the conflict between India and Pakistan has intensified, the geopolitical situation has become tense, and the market's risk aversion has heated up. In addition, this week is a "super week" and US employment data has become the focus. The specific arrangements are: JOLTS job vacancies will be released on Tuesday, ADP employment report will be released on Wednesday, initial jobless claims will be disclosed on Thursday, and the April non-farm employment report will be released on Friday.
Now the gold price has fallen from a high level, reaching a minimum of 3305 for a rebound. If there are traders waiting for the operation ideas during the European trading session, my suggestion is to wait until the rebound near 3329 to intervene in short orders and bearish (aggressive ones can directly enter the short order at 3325 and wait for the rebound to 3329 to increase positions). See if today's low of 3305 will fall below, followed by around 3285. Overall, today's short-term operation ideas for gold are mainly rebound shorting and callback longing. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3329-3339 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3300-3290 support.
At the same time, please pay attention to the information and data releases that affect the trend. These will affect the price of gold at the last closing time of this week and the trend of the opening next week!
Gold's Symmetrical Triangle Near Break – Support Test Imminent!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) moved as I expected in my previous post and attacked the Support zone($3,282-$3,245) and Support lines for the second time . The question is, can Gold break the Support zone($3,282-$3,245) and Support lines or not!?
Please stay with me .
Gold is moving between Support zone($3,282-$3,245) and Resistance zone($3,386-$3,357) again . In fact, it can be said that Gold has been moving in a range for the past 5-6 days .
From a Classical Technical Analysis perspective, Gold appears to be forming a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern. A break of either line could indicate the next direction for Gold, but since the Symmetrical Triangle Pattern is a Continuation Pattern , the lower line is more likely to break .
In terms of Elliott Wave Theory analysis , it seems that we still have to wait for the next five downwaves .
------------------------------------------
Today, important U.S. data — JOLTS Job Openings and CB Consumer Confidence — will be released.
Let’s quickly review their potential impact on Gold:
JOLTS Job Openings :
If the number comes lower than expected , it signals a weakening labor market, increasing the chances of a dovish Fed → Bullish for Gold .
If the number is stronger than expected , it indicates a robust labor market, pushing the Fed to stay hawkish → Bearish for Gold .
CB Consumer Confidence :
A drop in consumer confidence reflects economic worries , driving demand for safe-haven assets like Gold → Bullish .
A rise in consumer confidence shows economic strength, reducing the appeal of Gold → Bearish .
Historical Impact :
Both indices have caused strong intraday moves in Gold recently, especially if the figures surprise the market.
Summary :
Weak JOLTS and low Confidence → Gold bullish
Strong JOLTS and high Confidence → Gold bearish
Be prepared for high volatility during the releases. Always manage your risk carefully!
------------------------------------------
I expect Gold to attack the Support zone($3,282-$3,245) and Support lines for at least the third time , and if it breaks, the next target could be $3,223 .
Note: If Gold can move above $3,393, we can expect more pumps and maybe make a new All-Time High(ATH).
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
#XAUUSD :Is it a Correction Or a start of Major Bearish Trend? Gold has plummeted from 3550 to 3270, and it’s been falling steadily. We firmly believe that the price could reverse from either of our entry points, but given its significant drop, it raises concerns among traders. If the trend has shifted to bearish, it will likely continue to target buyers’ stop losses. In these market conditions, we strongly advise trading with utmost caution and prioritising risk management.
Good luck and trade safely.
Thanks for your support! 😊
If you want to help us out, here are a few things you can do:
- Like our ideas
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GOLD (XAUUSD) May Continue Dropping, Here is WHY!The price of 📉GOLD may continue to fall after consolidating at a significant intraday resistance level.
The price broke and closed below the support level of the horizontal range. This violation confirms a bearish trend continuation.
The target price is 3247.
XAU/USD: High Volatility is Expected! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that, as expected, the price began rising from the $3310 zone yesterday and reached $3330, delivering a 200-pip gain.
After that, selling pressure took over, and gold is now trading around $3277. Given the current market structure and today's important news events, I expect high volatility in both bullish and bearish directions.
One of the key liquidity pools likely to be targeted today lies below $3259, and before any potential drop, we may see the liquidity gap between $3288 and $3303 being filled.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Trading Psychology Trap: The Dark Side of Hedging a Bad Trade⚡ Important Clarification Before We Begin
In professional trading, real hedging involves sophisticated strategies using derivatives like options, futures, or other financial instruments.
Banks, funds, and major institutions hedge to manage portfolio risk, based on calculated models and complex scenarios.
This article is not about that.
We are talking about the kind of "hedging" retail traders do — opening an opposite position at the broker to "protect" a losing trade.
It may feel smart in the moment, but psychologically, it can be a hidden trap that damages your trading discipline.
Let’s dive into why emotional hedging rarely works for independent traders.
________________________________________
In trading, there’s a moment of panic that every trader has faced:
"My short position is in the red… maybe I’ll just open a long to balance it out."
It feels logical. You’re hedging. Protecting yourself. But in reality, you might be stepping into one of the most deceptive psychological traps in trading.
Let’s unpack why emotional hedging is rarely a good idea—and how it quietly sabotages your progress.
________________________________________
🧠 1. Emotional Relief ≠ Strategic Thinking
Hedging often arises not from a solid strategy, but from emotional discomfort.
You don’t hedge because you’ve analyzed the market. You hedge because you can’t stand the pain of a losing position.
This is not trading.
This is emotional anesthesia.
You’re trying to feel better—not trade better.
________________________________________
🎭 2. The Illusion of Control
Opening a hedge feels like taking back control.
In reality, you’re multiplying complexity without clarity.
You now have:
• Two opposing positions
• No clear directional bias
• An unclear exit strategy
You’ve replaced one problem (a loss) with two: mental conflict and strategic confusion.
________________________________________
🎢 3. Emotional Volatility Rises Sharply
With two positions open in opposite directions:
• You root for both sides at once.
• You feel relief when one wins, and stress when the other loses.
• Your mind becomes a battleground, not a trading desk.
This emotional volatility leads to irrational decisions, fatigue, and trading paralysis.
________________________________________
🔄 4. You Delay the Inevitable
When you hedge a losing position, you don’t fix the mistake.
You prolong it.
Eventually, you’ll have to:
• Close one side
• Add to one side
• Or exit both at the wrong moment
Hedging here is just postponed decision-making—and it gets harder the longer you wait.
________________________________________
🧪 5. You Build a Dangerous Habit
Hedging out of fear creates a reflex:
"Every time I’m losing, I’ll hedge."
You’re not learning to cut losses or reassess your strategy.
You’re learning to panic-protect.
And over time, you start to rely on hedging as a crutch—rather than developing real confidence and discipline.
________________________________________
✅ The Healthier Alternative
What should you do instead?
• Cut the loss.
• Review the trade.
• Wait for a fresh setup that aligns with your plan.
Accepting a losing trade is hard. But it’s a sign of maturity, not weakness.
Hedging may feel clever in the moment, but long-term consistency comes from clarity, not complication.
________________________________________
🎯 Final Thought
Emotional hedging isn’t about strategy.
It’s about fear.
The best traders don’t hedge to escape a loss.
They manage risk before the trade starts —and have the courage to close what’s not working.
Don’t fall into the illusion of safety.
Master the art of decisive action. That’s where real edge lives. 🚀
Bearish Rejection at Resistance – Potential Drop Incoming🔍 Chart Analysis Summary
1. Key Zones
Resistance Zone: ~$3,340 – $3,360
Price has been rejected multiple times from this area, showing strong selling pressure.
Support Zone: ~$3,200 – $3,240
Strong historical support level, previously held during a pullback after the last rally.
2. Moving Averages
EMA 50 (Red): Currently at ~$3,340
Price is fluctuating around it, indicating short-term indecision or a possible retest.
EMA 200 (Blue): Currently at ~$3,300
Acting as a mid-term support level. Price previously bounced from this region.
3. Pattern and Price Action
Fakeout Potential:
The chart suggests a possible false breakout above the resistance followed by a sharp drop—highlighted by the arrow. This is a common bull trap setup.
Bearish Outlook Indicated:
The projected path suggests a rejection from resistance and a drop to the support zone (~$3,200). This would create a lower high, a bearish sign.
4. Trading Bias
Bearish Setup if:
Price fails to hold above $3,340 (EMA50).
Price gets rejected from the resistance zone and breaks below $3,300 (EMA200).
Bullish Invalidated if:
Price closes convincingly above the $3,360 resistance with volume, flipping it into support.
📉 Potential Trade Idea
Short Entry: Around $3,350–$3,355
Stop Loss: Above $3,365 (above resistance zone)
Target: $3,220–$3,230 (support zone)
How to Regain Your Trading MOJOEvery trader, no matter how experienced, eventually hits a rough patch — a period where trades don’t work out, motivation fades, and confidence slips away.
If you feel like you've lost your trading mojo, you're not alone. The key is not to quit but to rebuild it methodically.
Here’s how to get your trading energy back on track:
1. Accept That Slumps Are Normal
First, realize that losing your mojo is part of the trading journey.
Even the best traders experience drawdowns — emotionally and financially.
Acknowledging that this phase is temporary immediately removes some of the pressure and guilt.
Self-acceptance is your first weapon.
2. Reduce Risk and Slow Down
When your confidence is low, lower your position size.
Trade smaller. Risk less.
You don’t need to stop trading completely — you need to stop damaging yourself further.
Think of it as “active recovery,” much like athletes training lightly after an injury.
3. Go Back to Basics
Strip your trading plan down to the essentials:
- Focus on one setup you trust.
- Use clear entry and exit rules.
- Avoid complicated strategies or "revenge trading."
Simplicity restores clarity, and clarity brings confidence.
4. Reframe Losses Mentally
Instead of seeing losses as failures, view them as fees for learning.
Ask yourself after each trade:
- "Was this trade according to my plan?"
- "Did I respect my stop loss?"
If yes, you are winning — even if the trade loses money.
Consistency in good decision-making rebuilds emotional momentum.
5. Visualize the Trader You Want to Be
Take 5 minutes each day to visualize yourself executing perfect trades:
- Calmly analyzing.
- Patiently waiting.
- Executing your plan without emotion.
Your brain needs new emotional associations with trading — not fear and anxiety, but calm and focus.
6. Set Tiny Wins
Don't chase the big win right away.
Set micro-goals like:
- "I will follow my stop loss rules today."
- "I will not overtrade today."
- "I will wait for my setup."
Achieving small wins daily rebuilds your trader identity brick by brick.
Final Thoughts :
Regaining your trading mojo is less about finding a "magic moment" and more about stacking good habits and resetting your mind.
You don't need a new system, a new market, or a lucky break.
You need to reconnect with the disciplined, focused trader within you.
Stay patient, stay structured, and remember — your mojo isn’t lost forever. It’s just waiting for you to catch up. 🚀
Is GOLD About to Begin a Bearish Trend or a False Signal?Is GOLD About to Begin a Bearish Trend or a False Signal?
Gold is approaching a critical moment—if the breakout happens, we could see a significant shift in trend. The price is forming a large triangle pattern, which suggests that a decline may be coming soon.
However, caution is needed.
Gold prices have been manipulated for a long time and it will be difficult to spot when the big bearish wave starts.
You may watch the analysis for further details!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
XAUUSD - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're doing well. I’d like to share my analysis of XAU-USD (Gold) with you.
Looking at the chart, XAU-USD is currently in a descending triangle pattern. After reaching the top of the triangle, I expect a price decrease. I anticipate that the descending triangle will break downward, and I have two price targets in mind.
📉 Expectation:
Bearish Scenario: After the breakdown of the triangle, my first target is 3245, followed by a potential second target at 3167.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: Top of the descending triangle
Support: Breakout level below the triangle
💬 What are your thoughts on XAU-USD this week? Let me know in the comments!
Trade safe
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
The range continues! We've been playing this range now for nearly a trading week and although it's giving us the scalps, it's not making the move that we want at the moment. Day before yesterday, we said we would stick with the plan, and it's worked again, however, this time, if we approach that key level 3335, we're not going to suggest attempting that short again.
Having said the above, even though it's frustrating, we're going to stick with the plan at the moment. Most of our bearish targets are completing together with KOG's bias of the day, so lets see if we can break below that 3300 level and hold! As it stands, nothing to lose unless we get taken at BE again.
Circled are the key levels to look out for, bias still stands for now. NFP around the corner, it's going to make it even more of a whipsaw.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
#XAUUSD: 676+ Pips Since Our Last Entry! Comment Your Views! As we explained in our previous chart, the price will retouch 3270$ and then continue the bullish movement. The price did exactly that, with a 674+ increase from our last idea. It’s now on the way towards $3500 or beyond. Get ready for a big move on gold this week, but be extra cautious as the price can be volatile.
Good luck and trade safely!
Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊
If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us:
- Like our ideas
- Comment on our ideas
- Share our ideas
Team Setupsfx_
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Very Bullish Setup
Gold closed on Friday in a strong bullish mood.
The price started to rise after a test of the underlined blue
support cluster.
A breakout of a resistance line of a falling channel on an hourly
provides a strong intraday confirmation.
I expect a rise at least to 3439
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD: Intraday Bullish Move Up To $3400! The OANDA:XAUUSD price has shown strong bullish momentum, indicating it will likely continue to rise above $3400. However, the price is currently volatile and is likely to remain so.
Good luck and trade safely!
Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊
If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can help us:
- Like our ideas
- Comment on our ideas
- Share our ideas
Team Setupsfx_
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Gold Trade Plan 28/04/2025Dear Traders ,
If the price does not break the 3270 area then I expect the price to enter the 3300 area and above... If the price breaks the 3270 area downwards, I expect the 3240-3160 area this week.
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
After updating our 1H and 4h chart idea last two days, please see update on our daily chart idea also playing out perfectly.
On our last update we stated that we were seeing price break out of the channel but will need ema5 to lock outside of the channel to confirm the breakout into the next level.
We got the candle body above 3297 and ema5 lock opening 3433 - This was hit perfectly completing this target. No further close above this level confirmed the rejection.
We are now looking for support above the channel top for a continuation or a ema5 lock inside the channel will see price play back into the channel levels.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops from rejections, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX