Gold 100% Trading StrategyGold prices continued to fluctuate this week. Last Thursday, gold prices stabilized and rebounded near $3,284, and remained strong after breaking through $3,300. During today's Asian session, gold prices repeatedly hit the 3,385 pressure level but failed. After retreating to around 3,369 and gaining support, they rebounded again to around 3,396. The current price faces technical repair needs, but the overall upward trend has not changed, and the probability of breaking through the $3,400 mark is still high. The support level of the retracement is focused on the Asian session low of 3369 US dollars and the 4-hour MA5 moving average of 3360 US dollars. You can arrange long orders on dips; the upper pressure focuses on the 3396-3400 line. After breaking through, you need to be alert to the pressure of the daily error band indicator of 3425-3430 US dollars. At present, you can go short at the rebound of 3395 in the short term. The general trend is still dominated by low and long.
Gold recommendation: Go short near the rebound of 3395-3400, stop loss 3405, target 3370, strict stop loss for large fluctuations
Gold operation: Go long near the retracement of 3370-3375, stop loss 3362, target 3400, strict stop loss for large fluctuations
XAUUSDG trade ideas
Oscillatory tradingA conflict has broken out between India and Pakistan in the Kashmir region, and attention should be paid to whether the situation will escalate. This is a geopolitical event with a greater influence than the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The combined total population of Russia and Ukraine is less than 200 million, while the total population of India and Pakistan exceeds 1.6 billion! At the same time, pay attention to the dynamics of the Federal Reserve, the peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, the negotiations between the United States and Iran, as well as the situations involving Israel and Palestine, and Syria, etc. There was a large explosion at a port in Iran, leaving hundreds of people injured and dozens dead.
In view of the tariff remarks made by Trump on our country over the weekend, it has provided support for the gold bulls. The conflict between India and Pakistan and the explosion at the Iranian port have also provided support for gold. Therefore, there is a pattern that the gold price in the Boya market is likely to rise on next Monday. As for whether the decline pattern can continue after the rise, before this pattern is broken, we should assume the continuation, and adjust our thinking once it is broken. After this week's large-scale fluctuations in the gold market, next week the price is inclined to rise sharply at first and then fall back. However, considering the fundamental news, the gold bulls have a greater advantage. In fact, there is some contradiction between the fundamentals and the technical aspects! Therefore, in terms of operation, with such large-scale fluctuations, there are opportunities for both long and short positions, but neither long nor short positions should be chased blindly.
If the gold market opens normally on Monday morning, we can first take a long position. If it gaps up, do not chase the rise. Pay attention to the resistance level and consider taking a short position. If the price falls, as long as the support level between 3260 and 3270 is not broken, a long position can still be taken. Once this support level is broken, implement risk control and consider following the short position in the direction of the trend!
If your current gold trading performance is not satisfactory and you hope to avoid detours in your investment, you are welcome to communicate and exchange ideas with us!
Possible buy opportunity First fair value gap which is a FVG that was identified on the D1 time frame might not be enough to push the market back up to the 3500 level
But the FVG below that is a weekly FVG and within that weekly FVG we have H4 FVG, if the D1 FVG doesn't hold the market we will definitely see it fall to the weekly FVG below and wick the H4 FVG within it then we could have a good opportunity to buy with a target at 3500 or 3480.
GOLD (XAUUSD, 1H) Double Bottom & Continuation to Lower FibsOn the 1-hour chart, gold attempted to form a double bottom structure, which initially showed bullish potential. However, the price action quickly reversed near resistance, failing to sustain above key EMAs and trendline zones. This invalidates the reversal attempt and reaffirms the current bearish structure within the descending channel.
The price is now trading back below broken support and heading towards deeper Fibonacci retracement levels, with visible supply pressure and repeated failure to hold any bullish breakout. Volume has shifted lower on rallies, confirming weak buyer commitment.
Downside targets (Fibonacci structure):
– $3251 – 0.382 retracement
– $3221 – 0.618 retracement (primary structural support)
– $3165 – 0.786 extension zone (final support before breakdown scenario)
The descending wedge remains valid. Unless the market reclaims $3305–$3334 with strong confirmation, the corrective leg toward the lower support zones is likely to continue. A clean break below $3220 would open the door for a move toward the $3160s.
The failed double bottom setup confirms bearish continuation. Structure, volume, and trendlines all align with a move lower. Watch for reactions at $3221 and $3165 as critical levels.
Gold prices staged a "roller coaster" market, and the trade war In the early Asian session, spot gold showed a trend of rising and falling. The gold price reached a high of US$3370.58/ounce and then fell back to around the 3350 mark for consolidation. After experiencing a sharp drop of nearly 3%, the gold price ushered in a strong rebound, with a single-day increase of 1.83%, and finally closed at US$3348.50. This wave of rebound was mainly driven by the weakness of the US dollar and the entry of market bottom-fishing funds.
The trade deadlock fell into a "Rashomon", and the rebound of the US dollar was blocked
The current gold market is caught in a fierce game of long and short factors. The Asian power issued a solemn statement, emphasizing that if the US side really wants to solve the problem, all unilateral tariffs should be canceled immediately. This statement is in sharp contrast to the "negotiation signal" recently released by the White House, making the trade outlook more confusing.
Affected by this, the US dollar index fell 0.61% to 99.29, while gold received strong support from safe-haven buying.
Quaid believes that the gap between the positions of the United States and China on trade issues is as huge as the Pacific Ocean, and this uncertainty will continue to affect the market trend. The US dollar rebounded but was blocked. Although Trump's attitude eased and it strengthened briefly in the early stage, it showed signs of fatigue again in the morning. At the same time, the US stock market achieved three consecutive positive days, and the S&P 500 index rose by 2.03%, with technology stocks leading the gains.
Quaid's analysis:
Looking forward to the later period, high-level fluctuations may become the main theme, and traders need to grasp the rhythm.
The current market presents a pattern: First, the uncertainty of the trade war. If the US insists on imposing new tariffs, the gold price may hit the $3,500 mark again; second, the suspense of the Fed's policy. Whether the May meeting will release a signal of interest rate cuts will become a key turning point; finally, the trend of the US dollar. If subsequent economic data continues to deteriorate, the US dollar index may fall below the 99 integer mark.
Market operation strategies:
Go long on a pullback of 3335, stop loss at 3330, look at 3380
Go short after rebounding at 3380, stop loss at 3390, and look at 3330
XAUUSD needs correction then dropAs Market is on selling pressure
Bearish scanario :
-if market give closing below 3190-3180 then ready for the next Drop towards 3145then 3130.
Bullish scanario :
-if candles remains above( close with body of candle)3190-3200 then owards targets will be 3335 then 3350 target .
Expecting the rise again to 3235 then Drop.
-On WEEKLY AND MONTHLY IM ON BEARISH SIDE TILL $2980!
Read the commentary carefully and understand the Dynamics.
XAU / USD 4 Hour ChartHello traders. Happy Thursday. On the 4 hour chart, I have marked my area of interest to see if gold will keep pushing down or push back up to retest the breakdown area. Many times the overnight sessions get corrected with the NY open. Saying that, we may push up a bit only to come back down. Let's see how the 4 hour candle closes. Big G gets my thanks. Be well and trade the trend.
New gold price range: 3170-3260New gold price range: 3170-3260
As shown in the figure:
The downward trend is obvious, and there is still room below
As the Asian market plummeted after the holiday, the US market was unable to pull up, and it continued to fall today, completely breaking through the range.
The new range is 3170-3260
Technical analysis:
1: As long as the gold price is below 3260, today's strategy only participates in short selling
2: Fully test the new support level of the 3160-3180 range and try to buy the bottom and go long
Today's data is worth paying attention to
I think the data of these two days is bearish on Thursday and bullish on Friday
According to this rhythm, gold is relatively in line with the current range fluctuations
Gold opens up callback space as expectedGold finally broke through the rhythm of continuous fluctuations in the morning and ushered in a relatively large correction.
After the cyclical retracement in the morning, a bottom-breaking market was formed. Generally, for a direct decline in the Asian session, we will put the watershed at the opening price, which is the current high point of 3290! But it is not very meaningful to look at this position now. According to the recent rhythm of Asian session decline, weak European session, and rebound in the US session. We can look at the second decline in the European session rebound.
But we should be more cautious in the US session. Especially in the second half of the US session,
Intraday short-term pressure: 3266-70 top and bottom conversion position below: hourly double bottom around 3211-3195 "Observe whether there is a key area for the signal of stopping the decline"
GOLD: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,300.87 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,322.41.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
The gold market fluctuated sideways. Waiting for a new trend?OANDA:XAUUSD During the Asian trading session, gold prices maintained a slight decline; in the early European trading, gold began to fall sharply, but it was still within the trend range expected by Quaid.
Today, the initial value of the US real GDP in the first quarter of 2025 will be released, and it is expected to grow by 0.3% at an annualized quarterly rate, after a strong growth of 2.4% in the fourth quarter of 2024.
If the world's largest economy unexpectedly shrinks, it will re-ignite bets on a sharp interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. And this data will boost the upward trend of gold.
On the other hand, if the cooling of US economic growth is less than expected, it may bring a short-term relief to the overall market and the US dollar, which will continue to put gold under corrective downward pressure.
However, traders will remain cautious before the release of US ADP employment data this week; this data will limit the reaction of gold prices to GDP data. US non-farm payrolls will help the market assess whether US tariffs have had a substantial impact on the labor market.
Current trend analysis:
The daily line closed negative, and it is still bearish today. At the same time, yesterday's decline encountered 3300 support. In this pattern, regardless of today's strength, short once and see how the European session trends. If the European session falls, short the US session; if the European session rises strongly, the US session may remain volatile. If the European session breaks the downward channel, the US session may continue to fall.
Hi guys, if you want a solid trade, please wait for the US GDP data this morning. Quaid conducts gold trading after professional analysis.
XAUUSD - Buy Looks like a Wyckoff to me 📈
A Wyckoff within a bigger Wyckoff 🔄
Did I mention Wyckoff? 😅
Anyway, listening to all the guff on YouTube about this tariff palaver, things don't look good-not at all. 😬
Shipping is reduced 🚢, ports are starting to feel it ⚓, and there's talk of layoffs, so there will be a knock-on effect-more job losses. 📉
I asked GPT what it thought about the whole thing and it said an estimated 1 million job losses. Not good. 😟
Latest: Trump's lies are coming home to roost 🐓-Amazon is displaying tariff-related product price increases separately. 😂
Also, Shein and others-what else can they do? It only makes logical sense for businesses to separate and display things like GST so Tariffs no different, it helps people see the true cost of the product. 🧾
Trump is calling it a political and hostile act 🎭
What, showing the truth? 😂
This is from a man who owns Truth Social. 🤦♂️
So, expecting gold to continue higher 🏆
Banks are in the accumulation phase-looks like they're heading for a breakout then probable retest of once was resistance now turned support zone, then entering the markup phase (head higher). 🏦💹
That would be the plan! 📝
Let’s see! 🙂
GOLD: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,314.09 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,296.10..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold is long, bottoming out during the day and rising
We can never predict what will happen at the crossroads of fate, but we can choose whether to give up or move forward with pain and run towards the end of our dreams. Even if there is no medal of victory, dignity and pride will accompany us all the way. Defeating opponents is only the winner of life; defeating yourself is the strong man of destiny!
After the gold gap opened high, it began to fall back quickly to around 3267. After a small rebound in the European session, it continued to retreat. The US session had a sideways correction before, and the US session started a large-scale pull-up, which continued to around 3353 and closed in the form of a small positive line with a long lower lead. After opening during the day, it continued to fall, and the current lowest reached around 3308. At present, the long and short positions are still fluctuating in a large range. The upper key pressure and the upper edge of the range are maintained at around 3370, while the lower edge and support of the large range below are maintained at around 3260. It is very likely that there will be multiple shocks and choices in this range again. At present, the multi-hour line is expected to form a sideways trend. After finishing, the daily line will fight at the short-term moving average position. The short-term moving average is also between the strength of long and short positions. Today's retracement needs further confirmation from the European session. If the European session continues to be weak, it is still necessary to pull back and short before the US session. The short-term support below is maintained near the integer level of 3300. If gold pulls back to 3310 during the day, it can be long first, with a target of 3330-50 and a loss of 3295. If the European session continues to break down, the US session will pull back below 3300 and short, with a target of 3270-60 and a loss of 3308. There will be large fluctuations in the short term, so be cautious about sweeping back and forth between long and short positions!
Today's operation: Gold will pull back to 3310 during the day and go long, with a target of 3330-50 and a loss of 3295.
Hello traders, if you have better ideas and suggestions, welcome to leave a message below, I will be very happy