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GOLD / US DOLLAR GRAMGOLD / US DOLLAR GRAMGOLD / US DOLLAR GRAM

GOLD / US DOLLAR GRAM

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XAUUSDG trade ideas

GOLD 4H: not all that glitters is bullish...The 4H chart shows a clean descending triangle breakdown. Price failed to reclaim the trendline and was rejected under both MA50 and MA200. The bounce into 3325–3340 was absorbed — classic liquidity sweep and fade. Volume confirms bearish control. Technically, the breakdown below 3320 opens the way toward $3293 (1.0 Fibo), $3250 (1.272 extension), and final target at $3195 (1.618), where buyers might step in. RSI supports the continuation without signs of reversal. Structure broke — and the market is telling us where it's heading. Tactical plan: — Entry at market or on a retest of $3325–3335 — Targets: $3293 → $3250 → $3195 — Stop: above $3340 (above MA50 and broken trendline) When gold looks shiny, smart traders look deeper. This breakout isn’t golden — it’s a trap for late bulls.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TotoshkaTrades
Gold Daily Review Dear traders, the sell-off last night directly brought the bulls back to their original form. The closing price of 3325 made most of the gains accumulated hard this week spit back. To me, this wave of market is a typical "data killing". The June non-agricultural data came out halfway, and the employment data was so strong that even the old foxes on Wall Street were surprised. Now the market's bet on the September rate cut has dropped directly from 70% to less than 50%. How can gold, which is "interest rate sensitive", withstand such a critical blow? From a technical perspective, the negative line of the daily line is indeed ugly, but I think the bulls should not die. Look at the 4-hour chart. The Bollinger Bands have begun to "tighten their belts", and the 3310-3365 box is clearly drawn. Today is Independence Day. The US market closed early. Those Wall Street wolves probably ran to the Hamptons for a pool party. We are likely to play a "lying flat" market in the Asian and European markets. I calculated with my fingers that the 40 USD range of 3310-3350 is enough for us to toss around. Remember - short orders at the upper edge of 3345 should be as fast, accurate and ruthless as "whack-a-mole", and long orders at the lower edge of 3325 should be as patient as a fisherman! The news is now "ice and fire". On the one hand, Trump's "big and beautiful" tax cut bill has just passed the test successfully. After this shot of booster, the US dollar and US bond yields are soaring like stimulants; on the other hand, drones in the Middle East are causing trouble again, and the small flame of geopolitical risk has not been extinguished. If you ask me, gold is like a "schizophrenic patient" now, jumping back and forth between inflation narratives and risk aversion sentiment. Specific strategy: ① Directly "operate from a height" near the rebound of 3345, set the stop loss at 3352, and the target position is the 3330-3320 range. Remember that this position is the "previous high neckline position" and the probability of breaking is not high. ② You can "lighten your position and fish" when it falls back to 3325. The defensive position of 3315 must be strictly guarded, and the target position is the pressure zone of 3335-3345
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Liz_Trading_gold
Why is the 147k Beat in Payrolls Data Not as Strong as it Seems?Yesterday’s U.S. nonfarm payrolls report came in above expectations, but a closer look at the details reveals a less encouraging picture. Despite the headline beat, market reactions quickly faded. For instance, gold initially dropped from 3350 to 3311 in the first 15 minutes after the release but has since recovered more than 75% of that decline. So why is the June jobs report not as strong as it first appeared? According to the BLS report, nonfarm payrolls increased by 147k in June, surpassing the consensus estimate of 106k. However, when breaking down the numbers, private payrolls rose by just 74k, well below expectations. Most of the gains came from government and healthcare hiring. Government jobs accounted for 73k new positions, and 63k of those came from the education sector alone. Some analysts suggest the high net hiring in education may be due more to a lack of firings, a consequence of a tight labor market in that sector. Meanwhile, the 59k increase in healthcare jobs is part of a long-term trend. Over the past two years, the U.S. has added an average of 70k healthcare jobs per month. This growth is largely driven by the needs of an aging population and reduced payrolls during and after the pandemic that have yet to fully recover. If you exclude government and healthcare hiring, U.S. payrolls increased by just 15k in June. The unemployment rate also came in better than expected, falling to 4.1% from 4.2%, while markets had anticipated a rise to 4.3%. However, this decline was driven by a drop in the labor force participation rate, which fell to 62.3% from 62.6% in just two months , a worrying sign that fewer people are actively participating in the labor market. In the first 15 minutes after the data came, gold fell to 3311 from 3350. In the following 18 hours, gold recaptures 85% of the loss. Gold is still over the broken bearish trendline in 1-H timeframe. With tariff deadline in 9th July and incoming 10-12 tariff letters coming in from Trump in the next few days, gold could have potential to go upwards with market understands this jobs data is not strong as it seems.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ftdsystem
Indicates the target for potential bearish liquidity grab.BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity): Marked near $3,360 at the top (gray zone). Represents an area where buy stops may be resting above recent highs. SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity): Marked around $3,260 at the bottom (red zone). Indicates the target for potential bearish liquidity grab. FVG (Fair Value Gap): Highlighted in yellow near $3,270–$3,280. Unfilled imbalance that may attract price. ChoCH (Change of Character): Two ChoCH labels are marked: One minor bullish ChoCH around the $3,328 area indicating a short-term shift in structure. One bearish ChoCH below $3,310, suggesting a possible return to bearish bias if broken. Blue Supply Zone: An area of previous supply or resistance where price may reverse. 📉 Projected Price Path: Initial move up into the blue supply zone, possibly to induce buyers or sweep short-term highs. Followed by a strong bearish rejection, breaking below the lower ChoCH level (~$3,310). A drop is anticipated all the way to the SSL zone (~$3,260), possibly filling the FVG on the way. 🧠 Summary: This chart implies a smart money bearish setup: Short-term liquidity sweep to the upside. Break of structure (ChoCH) to confirm reversal. Bearish continuation targeting: Fair Value Gap (FVG) → ~$3,270s Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) → ~$3,260
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by King_Maker_FX
7.4 Non-farm payrolls exploded, and expectations for the Fed’s rOn Thursday, as the strong US employment data dispelled the market's expectations of the Fed's recent rate cut, the US dollar index rose sharply before the US market, returned to above the 97 mark, and once rose to an intraday high of 97.42. Spot gold fell sharply, once falling to $3311 during the session, a drop of more than $50 from the intraday high, and then recovered some of its losses and remained near 3330 for consolidation. The current upper suppression position of the daily line is almost here at 3350, and the lower support is located at 3320-25. So if it is maintained in the range of consolidation, it is likely to be rectified at 3320-50. Secondly, from the hourly chart: It can be seen from the trend of 3247 to 3365. The Fibonacci 618 position is exactly here at 3320. Although the lowest point last night was pierced to around 3311, it can be seen that the entity still closed above 3320. As long as 3320 cannot be broken, the best case scenario is to maintain it at 3320-50 for consolidation. If not, once 3350 is broken, the high point of 3365 will definitely not be able to be maintained. Therefore, for today's operation, try to maintain the high-selling and low-buying range of 3320-50.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
Gold Latest Market Trend AnalysisThe data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the U.S. seasonally adjusted non-farm payroll employment in June was 147,000, with the consensus forecast at 110,000. The previous value was revised up from 139,000 to 144,000. The annual rate of average hourly earnings in June stood at 3.7%, below the expected 3.90%, while the prior figure was revised down from 3.90% to 3.8%. Following the release of the non-farm payroll report, interest rate futures traders abandoned their bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut in July. Currently, the market-implied probability of a Fed rate cut in September is approximately 80%, down from 98% prior to the report. On Thursday, gold exhibited a seesaw pattern, surging initially to hit resistance near $3,365 per ounce before retreating. During the U.S. session, it broke below support levels and further declined to hover around $3,311, where it staged a rebound. Gold remains in a high-range consolidation under selling pressure. you are currently struggling with losses，or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow,You have the option to join our VIP program. I will assist you and provide you with accurate trading signals, enabling you to navigate the financial markets with greater confidence and potentially achieve optimal trading results. Trading Strategy: sell@3350-3355 TP:3320-3325
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by MyronWilson
Gold Ready to Explode Ahead of NFP and Trump’s “Super Bill”?Gold Ready to Explode Ahead of NFP and Trump’s “Super Bill”? | Global Macro Focus 🌍 MACRO UPDATE – What the World is Watching: Gold continues its bullish trajectory as the USD weakens sharply following last night’s disappointing ADP jobs report (-33K vs expected +99K). This soft labour data has fueled further speculation that the Fed could begin rate cuts as early as September, with a 90% probability now being priced in. In the political arena, Donald Trump’s recent statement that House Republicans are aligned to push forward a so-called “Super Bill” has triggered fresh uncertainty around US fiscal policy. This could elevate safe-haven demand for gold, especially if it leads to increased tensions over debt ceilings or government spending. With the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) due later today and the UK and US markets heading into a long weekend, traders should brace for heightened volatility and liquidity gaps. 📈 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK – What the Charts Are Saying: Overall Trend: Bullish structure remains intact as gold breaks and holds above 3365. EMA Setup: Price trades above EMA 13/34/89/200 – signaling strong upside momentum. Fair Value Gap (FVG): 3374 – 3388 area remains an unfilled FVG zone; possible magnet for short-term price action. Key Resistance Levels: 3365, 3374, 3380, 3388, 3393 Key Support Levels: 3343, 3335, 3325, 3316, 3304 Trendline & Structure: The ascending trendline from 3316 remains unbroken, providing a potential bounce point if price corrects. 🎯 TRADE SETUPS – Strategic Zones to Watch: 🔵 Buy (Short-Term Scalp): Entry: 3335 – 3333 SL: 3329 TP: 3340 → 3350 → 3360 → 3370 🟢 Buy Zone (Swing Perspective): Entry: 3316 – 3314 SL: 3310 TP: 3320 → 3336 → 3350 → 3360 🔴 Sell Scalp (Reversal Zone) Entry: 3374 – 3376 SL: 3380 TP: 3370 → 3360 → 3350 ⚠️ Sell Zone (High-Risk Rejection): Entry: 3388 – 3390 SL: 3394 TP: 3380 → 3370 → 3360 🔎 NOTE FOR GLOBAL TRADERS: With UK markets partially closed and US session shortened ahead of the Independence Day holiday, liquidity may be thin and volatility could spike unexpectedly. Always place stop-loss and avoid emotional entries near key resistance. 💬 Do you believe gold can break and close above the FVG zone (3388) before the weekend volatility hits full throttle? Let’s discuss.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
7/3: Focus on Short Positions, Watch Support Near 3320Good morning, everyone! Yesterday, gold tested support near 3328 but failed to break below it effectively. The price then rebounded toward the 3350 level. At today’s open, gold briefly extended to around 3365 before pulling back. Technically: On the daily (1D) chart, the price remains capped by the MA20, with no confirmed breakout yet. Support levels below are relatively dense, and moving averages are increasingly converging, suggesting a breakout in either direction is approaching. Key intraday support lies in the 3321–3316 zone. On the 2-hour chart, we are seeing the first signs of a bearish divergence, indicating a need for technical correction. Much like Tuesday’s setup, there are two possible scenarios: If 3342–3334 holds, the price may extend slightly higher, intensifying divergence before pulling back; If 3337 breaks, we could see a drop toward 3320, where correction would occur through a direct decline. From a fundamental perspective, several high-impact U.S. data releases are scheduled for the New York session, which may increase volatility and make trading more challenging. Trading suggestion: For most traders, the safest approach is to wait for data to be released, then look for oversold rebounds or overbought corrections following sharp market reactions. This style requires patience and strong risk control—avoid being overly aggressive or greedy, as such behavior can easily lead to trapped positions or even liquidation.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
GOLD XAUUSD 4H – Smart Money SELL Opportunity Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 3,328.96, showing signs of exhaustion near previous highs. Price failed to break above 3,355 zone, indicating liquidity build-up and potential for Smart Money manipulation. This is a SELL-ONLY setup — waiting for price to react from premium levels to short the market. --- SELL Trade Plan: 🔻 Sell Limit: 3,340.00 - 3,355.00 🛑 Stop Loss: 3,360.00 (Above liquidity grab zone) 🎯 Take Profit 1: 3,300.00 🎯 Take Profit 2: 3,280.00 --- Why Sell? ✅ Price is approaching major distribution zone. ✅ Liquidity resting above 3,340 - 3,355 likely to attract manipulation wicks. ✅ After manipulation, Smart Money expected to drive price lower. No buy confirmation. Structure favors sellers — trade what you see, not what you feel. --- Summary: Bias: SELL ONLY 🔥 Setup: Wait for price to tap 3,340 - 3,355, rejection confirms entry. Risk Management: Mandatory — Protect your capital. --- 💬 Drop your thoughts below — are you catching this sell move? #Gold #XAUUSD #Forex #SmartMoney #TradingView #LiquidityHunt #SellSetup #FrankFx14
FX:XAUUSDShort
by FrankFx14
July 3, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunityAnalysis: Today, the NFP report will be released during the US session. Before Asian trading even began, the market saw a sharp downward move. It’s possible that both the Asian and European sessions will remain range-bound until the data release provides a clear direction. Until then, treat 3342–3365 as the primary range and focus on selling near resistance and buying near support within this zone. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: • 3375 – Resistance • 3365 – Resistance • 3358 – Resistance • 3352 – Resistance • 3342 – Important support • 3337 – Support • 3328 – Key support • 3310–3312 – Intraday key support zone • 3300 – Psychological level 📈 Intraday Strategy: • SELL if price breaks below 3342 → target 3337, then 3333, 3328, 3322 • BUY if price holds above 3348 → target 3350, then 3352, 3355, 3358 👉 If you want to know how I time entries and set stop-losses, hit the like button so I know there’s interest — I may publish a detailed post by the weekend if support continues! Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion, not financial advice. Always trade with caution and manage your risk.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
XAUUSD – Bullish Flag Pattern on the Hourly Chart📌 XAUUSD – Bullish Flag Pattern on the Hourly Chart Gold completed a strong upward move last week and then entered a corrective phase forming a classic bullish flag pattern with a descending channel. 🟡 Currently, price is consolidating within the pattern boundaries. As long as it holds the support area around 3,325, the favored scenario is a continuation of the bullish trend upon an upward breakout. 🎯 Technical target after breakout: 3,419, based on the flagpole height. 📉 In case of a downside break, the scenario will be reassessed. 🔍 This analysis is for educational purposes only and not a trading recommendation.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by saal_eliyahu
How do we plan before ADP and NFP?📰 News information： 1. ADP data, for reference of tomorrow's NFP data 2. Interest rate cuts and Powell's dovish comments 3. Geopolitical impact on the gold market 📈 Technical Analysis： The market will continue to fluctuate before the ADP data, and the market will continue to rise after the adjustment. In the 4H cycle, the upper rail of the pressure is temporarily suspended, and the Bollinger Bands also close. This is why I emphasize the need to pay attention to the 3323 support line below. At present, gold rebounded, I think it will touch 3348 at most, that is, it rebounded to 50%. Therefore, before the ADP data, I still hold the position of 3340-3350 for shorting, and find support for long at 3325-3315 below. I have marked the pattern of head and shoulders bottom in the figure. I have been engaged in spot, futures, foreign exchange and other transactions for many years. My analysis ideas can be referred to by brothers 🎯 Trading Points： SELL 3340-3350 TP 3330-3325-3315-3295 BUY 3323-3315-3305 TP 3340-3350-3360-3375 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐. TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
Gold Under Pressure As Dollar StrengthenGold remains under pressure after a false breakout at $3,350, as the dollar's sudden strength dominates the market. Despite Powell's slightly dovish tone, Tuesday's PMI and JOLTs job data favored the dollar, keeping the market in limbo. Technically, gold has established a new range between $3,350 and $3,300. A drop to the lower end of this range could spark short-term buying opportunities. With the ADP numbers on the horizon, the market awaits further cues.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by KINGSLIGHTFX