Gold1) A symmetrical triangle breakout
2) previous trend break
Order type : Buy Stop
EP : 2728.30
SL : 2583.68
TP : 2872
XAUUSDG trade ideas
Yesterday Buy Trade Target HitDid you Remember I said zBuy gold From 2660 and my target is 2680 now going to hit almost 170 Pips already done enjoy ready for new NFP Target 🎯
BUY XAUUSD Hey guys I just got in for a Gold buy if you check my 2 posts you will see I’ve been waiting for something like this and now it clicked and I’ve executed let’s see how it goes and is my first trade for the year….
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Friday, 10th January 2025)Bias: Bullish
USD News: None
Analysis:
-Strong bullish closure on daily
-Waiting for a retest on previous daily structure low
-Looking for BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 2650
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
XAUUSD Analysis Ahead of NFP News: Key Levels to WatchKey Levels to Watch on XAUUSD
Support Zones:
Gold is currently trading above a critical support level at $1,920. This zone has proven resilient in recent sessions, reflecting strong buyer interest. If prices breach this level, we may see a move toward $1,900, a psychological barrier for many traders.
Resistance Zones:
On the upside, the immediate resistance is around $1,950, a level tested earlier this week. A breakout above this could push XAUUSD toward $1,975 or even $2,000, depending on the NFP outcome.
Market Sentiment and Expectations
Traders are cautiously optimistic, awaiting the NFP report to provide clarity on the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates. A strong jobs report could strengthen the US Dollar, putting downward pressure on gold. Conversely, weaker-than-expected data might support gold prices as investors seek safe-haven assets amidst uncertainty.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart suggests XAUUSD is hovering around neutral levels, indicating room for movement in either direction. Meanwhile, the 50-day moving average sits comfortably above current levels, signaling bullish potential if key resistance levels are breached.
Trading Strategies Ahead of NFP
Scalping Opportunities:
With volatility expected to spike, scalpers may find opportunities in short-term price swings. Keep an eye on the $1,935 - $1,945 range for intraday setups.
Breakout Trades:
If XAUUSD breaks above $1,950, a long position with a target of $1,975 could offer solid risk-to-reward potential.
Safe-Haven Strategy:
In case of a dovish surprise in the NFP data, gold could rally as traders hedge against inflation fears. Watch for a sustained move above $1,950 to confirm bullish momentum.
Trending Hashtags and Keywords
Hashtags:
#XAUUSD #GoldTrading #ForexAnalysis #NFP #TradingStrategy #GoldMarket #ForexTrader #XAUUSDForecast
Keywords:
XAUUSD analysis
Non-Farm Payroll report
Gold price forecast
Gold trading strategies
Forex trading ahead of NFP
Final Thoughts
As we gear up for tomorrow’s NFP release, the XAUUSD market holds significant opportunities for informed traders. Whether you’re a scalper, day trader, or long-term investor, understanding key levels and market sentiment is crucial. Stay updated, stay disciplined, and prepare for what could be a pivotal day in the gold market.
Let us know your thoughts on this analysis in the comments below! What’s your outlook on XAUUSD?
Gold versus Spx making another run!Gold versus Spx making another run at that famous 0.48 breakout line.
A long term up trend above this will convert headwinds into tailwinds for the precious metals complex.
Also for oil, uranium, copper, platinum and friends.
Gold entered into a bearish structureHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
XAUUSD BUY OPPORTUNITY Price is trending bullish & at a high! There could be a possible breakout in price. A buy opportunity is envisaged from the current market price. Target is 2720.
Gold still bullish 4H is still showing bullish gold market and gold can go very high before turning in to bearish.
Looking for buying opportunities can be advisable and profitable.
Scalping can be done on selling opportunities but hold on buys only until the market changes to bearish.
GOLDGOLD sell off on unemployment claim data print, the Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP);non farm employment change came below expectation ,but fomc minutes will focus on unemployment claims.the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions. Unemployment is also a major consideration for those steering the country's monetary policy;
GOLD 2025 - Target : $3000-$3200
- Long term : Bull - Good for Position
- Short term : Sideway - Good for daytrading !
P/s : Text me if you need support
XAUUSD next move We are observing this area in both time frame same scenario H1 and H4
But we preferred in H4 candle becasue right now didn't provide a closing candle still and bull volume have more potential currently if makret break the area of 2665.00 we are expecting next move at 2680.00
#XAUUSD
New trade New sell safe zoon sell gold again at 2660/2665 my target for now is 2630 almost 300 pips if gold new 1 hours candle open in red then don't stop selling
XAUUSD current planHI guys please like and follow for more updates, short here followed by the TP 2644 ad tp 2 2638, exit above 59 as it will kiss 2670.
happy trading
From Prey to Predator: Master the Shark’s Playbook for XAU/USD“Masterclass in Cloning Sharks: Outsmarting Market Makers to Dominate XAU/USD”
Introduction: The Shark’s Perspective
In the financial markets, market makers—often referred to as “sharks”—thrive by hunting retail traders. They exploit predictable behaviors, weak stop-loss placements, and emotional decision-making. These predators aren’t here to play fair; their sole aim is to capitalize on retail inefficiencies and manipulate price to accumulate positions at premium levels.
To succeed as a trader, you need to think like a shark. Understand their mindset, anticipate their moves, and position yourself to ride their wave, not get swallowed by it.
The Psychology of the Sharks
Sharks are calculated, patient, and ruthless. Their attitude and behavior are governed by a deep understanding of the market and a complete disregard for retail traders’ emotions. Here’s how they operate:
1. Predatory Patience:
Sharks don’t rush into trades; they wait for retail traders to overcommit at predictable levels. They know that retail traders often react emotionally, and they exploit this to the fullest.
2. Manipulative Attitude:
Sharks think several moves ahead, intentionally creating patterns that retail traders are taught to trust. This could mean crafting a convincing breakout only to reverse it or engineering false retests that suck traders in.
3. Zero-Sum Mentality:
For sharks, every stop-loss hit is a gain. They understand that retail losses create the liquidity they need to execute their larger institutional trades. They approach the market as a battlefield, where only the strongest survive.
4. Calm Amid Chaos:
Unlike retail traders who panic during sudden moves, sharks thrive in volatility. They deliberately create chaos by pushing price aggressively into liquidity zones, knowing that confusion breeds mistakes.
The Psychology of Retail Traders
Retail traders, by contrast, are ruled by emotions—fear, greed, and hope. This makes them easy prey for sharks. Let’s break down their typical behaviors:
1. Overconfidence in Patterns:
Retail traders rely heavily on textbook patterns and indicators. They see support and resistance levels as invincible and fail to consider that sharks intentionally manipulate these levels.
2. Fear of Missing Out (FOMO):
Retail traders often chase price movements, especially during breakouts. Sharks exploit this by pushing price just beyond key levels to trigger FOMO-driven entries, only to reverse and trap them.
3. Stop-Loss Reliance:
Retail traders place stops at obvious levels, such as Fibonacci retracements, swing highs/lows, or psychological round numbers. Sharks hunt these stops relentlessly.
4. Emotional Reactions:
• Fear: Retail traders panic when price breaks below their support level, leading to emotional exits at the worst possible moments.
• Greed: They overleverage positions, trying to “win big,” making them even more vulnerable to traps.
• Hope: Retailers hold onto losing positions, hoping for a reversal, even as sharks continue to target their liquidity.
The Market Maker Blueprint
Market makers follow a simple but ruthless strategy:
1. Identify Liquidity Pools: Retail stop-loss clusters become the primary target. These are zones where retail traders place stops based on key support and resistance levels, Fibonacci retracements, or psychological price points.
2. Create False Moves: Sharks engineer fake breakouts or breakdowns to force retail traders into bad positions, triggering their stops and fueling liquidity.
3. Exploit Imbalances: Once liquidity is swept, market makers reverse the price toward institutional targets, leaving retail traders trapped on the wrong side.
In XAU/USD, the current setup provides a textbook opportunity to understand and capitalize on these manipulations. Let’s break it down.
Comprehensive Technical Analysis: The Shark’s Hunting Grounds
1. Liquidity Zones
Market makers target liquidity above and below the current price:
• Above the Price:
• 2,664.26 (100% Fibonacci): Retail breakout traders place buy stops here, expecting continuation. Sharks will trigger these orders to trap overleveraged buyers.
• 2,670.36 (127.2% Extension): A classic level where late buyers FOMO into the market, providing the perfect trap.
• Below the Price:
• 2,647.12 (23.6% Fibonacci): Retail longs cluster stops here, viewing it as strong support.
• 2,641.83 (0% Fibonacci): A fair value gap (FVG) containing untapped liquidity. Sharks drive price here to absorb retail stops and establish institutional positions.
2. Volume Profile
• Point of Control (POC) at 2,653.04: Retail traders treat this as a pivot level. Sharks exploit this expectation, faking retests to entice traders into bad entries before sweeping liquidity.
• Volume Void Below 2,647.00: This low-volume zone represents inefficiency—a magnet for market makers to drive price downward, triggering stops en route to deeper liquidity.
3. Moving Averages as Traps
• EMA 21 (~2,650.40): Retail traders often use short-term EMAs as dynamic support. Sharks leverage this by creating quick dips below to trigger stops, only to reclaim the level later.
• SMA 50 (~2,655.69): Acting as medium-term equilibrium, this zone aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, providing a magnet for bullish continuation post-reversal.
4. Candlestick Psychology
The recent price action reveals:
• Long Wicks at Key Levels: These reflect retail hesitation and institutional order absorption. Sharks are laying the groundwork for the next liquidity sweep.
5. Harmonic Patterns and Wave Structure
• Wave 4 Correction: Sharks are preparing a liquidity grab during the Wave 4 dip, targeting the FVG zone (2,641.83–2,645.00). Wave 5 targets lie at the 127.2% Fibonacci extension (2,670.36), where breakout buyers will likely get trapped.
The Market Maker’s Phases of Attack
Phase 1: The Bearish Liquidity Grab (Retail Trap Breakdown)
The shark’s first move is to create panic among retail buyers by driving the price below key support levels. This triggers stop-loss orders and tempts breakout sellers into shorts.
Execution Steps:
1. Target Stop Zones:
• Below 2,647.12 (23.6% Fibonacci): Prime stop-loss zone for retail longs.
• Below 2,645.00: A deeper cluster of stops aligning with prior session lows.
2. Sweep Liquidity into the FVG Zone:
• Zone: 2,641.83–2,645.00: Sharks absorb liquidity here, preparing to reverse the trend.
Phase 2: The Bullish Reversal (Trap Sellers and Squeeze)
After absorbing liquidity, sharks reverse the price upward, trapping retail shorts.
Phase 3: Trap Breakout Buyers (Swing High Reversal)
The final move is to exploit retail FOMO as breakout buyers pile in above 2,664.26. Sharks reverse price aggressively, driving it back into equilibrium.
Final Thoughts: Outsmarting the Sharks and Becoming One
Trading success isn’t just about surviving the sharks; it’s about learning to think and act like them. Sharks dominate because they combine patience, strategy, and ruthless execution. They see beyond what retail traders see, act without emotion, and leverage market psychology to their advantage. To win big, you must stop being the prey and start evolving into a predator.
Here’s how you can clone the shark’s mindset and tactics to transform your trading:
1. Adopt a Predator’s Patience
Sharks don’t trade for the sake of trading—they wait. They analyze the market and act only when the conditions are perfect. As a trader:
• Stop chasing every move. Focus on high-probability setups and let the liquidity sweeps play out fully before entering a trade.
• Plan your attack zones. Identify key liquidity pools, such as stop-loss clusters and untested fair value gaps (FVGs). These zones are where the real opportunities lie.
Remember, patience is a weapon. Retail traders panic or rush to enter trades, but sharks understand that timing is everything.
2. Think in Liquidity, Not Levels
Retail traders fixate on static support and resistance levels. Sharks, on the other hand, think in terms of liquidity. Liquidity pools are the fuel for market moves, and identifying them gives you the edge.
• Look for zones, not lines. Liquidity often lies just beyond obvious levels like Fibonacci retracements or swing highs/lows.
• Expect false breakouts and breakdowns. Sharks deliberately push price beyond these levels to grab stops and fake out retail traders. Use this knowledge to position yourself for the reversal.
By focusing on where liquidity is concentrated, you align yourself with institutional flow and avoid the traps set for retail traders.
3. Master the Art of Manipulation
To truly think like a shark, you must understand how they manipulate retail traders. Sharks create illusions—fake breakouts, false trends, and deceptive wicks—to lure retail traders into predictable mistakes.
Here’s how you can leverage this knowledge:
• Watch for exhaustion. Sharks often leave clues, such as long wicks at key levels, signaling that they are absorbing liquidity and preparing for a reversal.
• Anticipate traps. If a breakout looks “too clean” or happens on low volume, it’s probably a fake. Position yourself to take advantage of the reversal instead of chasing the move.
By understanding how sharks manipulate, you can use their tricks to your advantage.
4. Develop Emotional Immunity
Retail traders are emotional creatures. Fear of loss, greed for gains, and hope for reversals are their undoing. Sharks thrive on this weakness, creating chaotic conditions to force emotional decisions. To clone the shark’s psychology:
• Detach from outcomes. A single trade doesn’t define your success. Focus on executing your strategy flawlessly.
• Use logic, not emotion. Before entering a trade, ask yourself: “Am I acting on fear or greed, or is this move supported by data and analysis?”
• Embrace losses. Sharks don’t fear losing because they know the bigger picture. A calculated loss is part of the process of winning big.
When you control your emotions, you stop reacting like prey and start thinking like a predator.
5. Build a Ruthless Execution Plan
Sharks don’t hesitate. They act decisively once the conditions align. To trade like a shark, you need a clear execution plan:
1. Identify Liquidity Zones: Know where retail stops are clustered above and below the price.
2. Wait for the Sweep: Let the market move into the liquidity zone. Don’t jump in prematurely.
3. Confirm Reversal Signals:
• Look for sharp rejections (e.g., long wicks, bullish engulfing candles at liquidity zones).
• Monitor volume spikes during sweeps, indicating institutional absorption.
4. Enter Decisively:
• Place your trades at points of maximum opportunity, such as fair value gaps or after key liquidity sweeps.
5. Scale Out Profits:
• Sharks don’t aim for perfection; they secure partial profits at key levels to reduce risk while letting the trade run.
Having a systematic plan ensures you stay ahead of the sharks rather than swimming with the retail herd.
6. Learn to Manipulate, Not React
The ultimate step in cloning the shark’s mindset is to stop reacting to market moves and start anticipating and manipulating. When you think like a shark, you can exploit retail psychology yourself:
• Set your traps. For example, create buy stops above a swing high, expecting the sharks to target them. Use this liquidity sweep to enter short positions at a better price.
• Fade the retail herd. When retail sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish, look for signs of exhaustion. Sharks thrive by going against the crowd, and so should you.
• Use volume and wicks to confirm. Sharks leave footprints in the form of long wicks and volume spikes at key levels. Follow these signs to align yourself with their moves.
By shifting from a reactive mindset to a manipulative one, you’ll begin to profit from the same strategies that have made market makers the dominant players.
7. Think Long-Term Like a Shark
Sharks don’t care about short-term noise. They think in terms of long-term accumulation and distribution. To truly win big, adopt the same mindset:
• Focus on probabilities, not guarantees. Every trade should align with your broader strategy, not just immediate gains.
• Study market cycles. Sharks understand the ebb and flow of the market, including how liquidity is built and swept during different phases.
• Refine your edge. Sharks have a defined edge, whether it’s liquidity sweeps, volume profiles, or institutional order flow. Focus on mastering one strategy rather than chasing multiple techniques.
By thinking long-term, you position yourself to ride the waves sharks create rather than getting swept away by them.
8. Be a Predator, Not Prey
The ultimate goal is to stop thinking like a retail trader and start acting like a predator. Sharks don’t just survive—they dominate. To win big:
• Detach from retail thinking. Stop relying on static levels, basic indicators, or emotional decision-making. These are the tools of the prey.
• Align with institutional flow. Study where the sharks are hunting and follow their lead.
• Stay disciplined. Sharks win because they act strategically, not impulsively.
When you master these principles, you’ll no longer fear the sharks. You’ll swim with them—and profit alongside the most powerful players in the market.
By adopting the psychology, tactics, and execution of the sharks, you not only protect yourself from retail traps but also learn to exploit the same inefficiencies they target. The markets are a battlefield, and only those who think like predators will win.
Gold Buys New York Session 1HExplained on the chart, this is a great example of how volume and momentum can drive price up or down depending on price action behavior. This was a great opportunity for gold longs during this mornings New York session with this simple analysis.
HUNDRED PIP MOVE ,NEVER THAT EASY after our initial buy at the arrow on sunday evening we seen a move from 2640 to 2646.5 which was about 60% of take profit but we let our move finished and we placed a stoploss in profit at 2642.50 unfortunantely we got stopped out, and we came into a market sundayevening and monday morning which was not in a trending phase but an accumulation phase and within that phase we had swings in price from 2620 to 2650 shaking out potential buyers previous to its next major move foward which i beleive will be to the upside surpassing 4 hour equal highs
Possible bullish case for Goldcurrently, it can be seen on the chart that gold is facing resistance at 2665.78 and its been twice that it got a rejection with a strong downward movement but gets a decent bounce on the drawn trendline which acts as support. Once the price breaks the marked resistance level, move upwards and then comes back to retest it then it will be a strong indication of bullish movement
Still Rising wedge on XAUUSD ?As we discussed in our previous commantary market is in Rising channel
However, market was rejected from 2650 yesterday now its second time to retesting it.
What possible scenario do we have today?
At this moment 2650 R is an important area, if market make it flipped then our eyes will at 2665 first then 2680.
On the other hand ,2630-2633 area is most crucial because at that point trend can be changed.
On Ny session, there are two fundamental news, which im expecting market first retest the Black area of 2630-33 then rise above.
Furthermore, if then price action got volume and break the support area then Rising channel will be invalid and we'll on bearish trades.
Wait and Watch time.
GOLD Scalping Setup Make Sell Entery Now @2644hello traders! in M15 gold reject many times its resistance zone 2645 now its want selling direction at 2644 and its technical target is 2615
gold (xauusd) according to lower time frame,
Based on the chart provided:
1. **Descending Channel**:
- Gold appears to be trading within a descending channel, indicating a bearish trend in play.
2. **Resistance Zone**:
- A resistance area is marked near the upper trendline of the channel, suggesting that sellers might enter around this level.
- Price is currently near this resistance zone.
3. **Bearish Confirmation**:
- The text notes to wait for bearish confirmation before executing a sell trade. This could involve a rejection from the resistance zone (e.g., a bearish candlestick pattern like a pin bar, engulfing candle, or increased selling volume).
4. **Trade Plan**:
- If bearish confirmation occurs at the resistance zone, price is expected to drop back toward the lower boundary of the descending channel.
- Potential targets:
- Mid-level support (likely around 2630).
- Lower channel line (near 2610 or lower).
5. **No Confirmation, No Trade**:
- If price fails to confirm bearish rejection and instead breaks out above the resistance zone, no trade should be executed as the bearish structure would be invalidated.
