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XAUUSDG trade ideas

April 14, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary: Last week, gold continued to post new all-time highs, and the market was highly active. For short-term traders, both long and short setups provided profitable opportunities. However, it’s important to respect the market and carefully evaluate every trade entry — especially after such a strong bullish run. The previous high was 3245.5 — shorting near this level offers a favorable risk-reward. If the price breaks above and sets a new high, I’ll wait for a pullback before entering any new long positions. Key Levels to Watch: 3250–3255: Bullish target zone 3246: ATH resistance 3234: Bullish/Bearish pivot line 3228: Support 3218: Key intraday support 3210: Final bullish defense 3088: Major historical support Short-Term (15m) Strategy: For Shorts: Enter a SELL if the price breaks below 3237. Watch 3234 first; if the decline continues, monitor 3230, 3228, and 3224. For Longs: Enter a BUY if the price holds above 3246. Watch 3250 for confirmation; if bullish momentum continues, target 3255, 3260, and 3265. 👉 If my insights have been helpful to you, or if you traded based on my ideas, please consider giving a like — it’s a great encouragement for me! Thanks for your support! Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion and not financial advice. Please manage your risk accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Ombabibi
How Momentum Divergence Reveals Hidden Market Strength and WeaknMost traders watch price action closely: candlesticks, moving averages, trendlines. But there’s a deeper, less obvious layer of information that often signals shifts in direction before price confirms it: momentum. 📌 Quick overview – what you'll learn: What momentum divergence is (clearly explained) How it helps predict potential trend shifts Practical ways to spot and trade divergences 📈 Price vs Momentum: They're Not the Same! Momentum doesn't simply track price direction. Instead, it measures the strength behind price movements. Rising prices, falling momentum often signals upcoming bearish reversals. Falling prices, rising momentum often hints at bullish reversals building beneath the surface. These subtle divergences are powerful because they reveal hidden market shifts before everyone else notices them. ⚠️ How to Spot Momentum Divergence (Simple Steps): Step-by-step: - Find clear price swings: Clearly defined highs/lows on your chart. - Check momentum indicators (RSI, MACD, CCI, etc.): Does the indicator agree or disagree with the price action? - Spot divergence: Bullish divergence: Price makes lower lows, indicator shows higher lows. Bearish divergence: Price makes higher highs, indicator shows lower highs. - Confirmation: Always wait for price confirmation like a reversal candle or break of a trendline. 🔥 Why Momentum Divergence Works: Divergence highlights hidden accumulation or distribution by smart money. Helps you anticipate reversals before price confirms. Filters out weak moves and helps you avoid fake breakouts. 📊 Real Example (XAUUSD – April 2025): Recently in Gold: Price was dropping steadily, reaching new lows. Meanwhile, RSI showed clear higher lows – classic bullish divergence. Result: Price exploded significantly shortly after momentum divergence appeared clearly. 🧠 Trading Tips to Remember: Divergence signals are stronger near key support/resistance zones. Use momentum divergence with your existing strategy for confirmation, not isolation. Always define your risk clearly (set stops above/below recent highs/lows). 🚩 Common Pitfalls to Avoid: Trading divergence without confirmation: always wait for the market to show its hand. Ignoring the bigger picture: check higher timeframes for stronger signals. Overtrading: not every divergence leads to a reversal; quality beats quantity. 🚀 Your Action Plan for Next Week: Pick one momentum indicator and identify at least 3 divergences on your favorite assets. Monitor how they play out. Note down what works best in your trading journal. 💬 Question for you: What’s your go-to momentum indicator when spotting divergence? RSI, MACD, CCI, or something else? Drop a comment below! Happy trading! TrendGo Team
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by TrendGo_Official
1
The price of gold will reverse!As predicted, we expected a 5-wave formation, which happened, and with the formation of a divergence between waves 3 and 5, the price of gold fell. Now a small wave with 5 parts has formed, which could be wave A of a zigzag. We expect the price to grow by 61.8% of the decline that occurred in the main wave B. Now, considering the psychological support of $3,000, this price reversal may happen right now or it may fall to the $2,960 range and then the price will grow. In general, we will have a growth in the main wave B and then another sharp decline in the main wave C. Meanwhile, the RSI indicator has also reached the oversold limit. Good luck and be profitable.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by Abbas_GoatEon
2
Gold's Price Movements: Impact of Tariffs and Technical UpswingUnder the influence of tariffs, gold currently has significant fluctuations. As can be seen from the sharp rise on Wednesday, the safe-haven sentiment for gold has heated up again. Currently, the price is above 3,100, which is the first target point for the upward movement. If it continues to rise, it can reach 3,150, so there is still a large upward space. In addition, the CPI data will be released during the US trading session today, and this data is also likely to cause abnormal fluctuations in the price of gold. Today, the price of international gold still has significant fluctuations under the influence of tariffs. As can be seen from the sharp rise on Wednesday, the safe-haven sentiment for gold has heated up again. Currently, the highest price is 3,130, which is the first target point for the upward movement. If it continues to rise, it can reach 3,150, so there is still a large upward space. From a technical perspective, a powerful bullish candlestick on the daily chart has directly changed the extremely weak adjustment state in the early stage. Now, the bullish candlestick has broken through the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, pulled up the moving averages, and there is a significant trading volume. Thus, gold has entered a very strong bullish trend. In this state, it is expected to continue rising to the previous high of 3,150. Therefore, the main direction today is definitely bullish. It is a normal trend that the small cycle has made adjustments under the suppression of 3,100. Now, the Bollinger Bands of the H4 cycle have just opened, and the one-sided upward movement has just shown the first wave of strength. There is no problem for the next wave to rise to the high point of the daily cycle. So, as long as the price of the H4 cycle falls back to the support of the one-sided moving average, it is an opportunity to go long. XAUUSD buy@3100-3110 tp:3130-3150
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SterlingOracle
1
Gold touches all-time high. Overbought or poised for more upsideGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) has soared to a new all-time high, marking the launch of its next bullish phase. This powerful uptrend began on September 26, 2022, and is unfolding as a five-wave Elliott Wave pattern, a technical framework traders use to predict market movements. The first wave (I) climbed to 2081.82, showing strong momentum. Then, a corrective wave (II) pulled back to 1810.58, setting the stage for more gains. The third wave (III) was the most explosive, rocketing to 3167.74, driven by global demand for the safe-haven metal. Wave IV followed, forming a zigzag pattern—a typical correction where prices dip before resuming the trend. This correction found its low at 2954.62 after a structured decline. Now, gold is advancing in wave V, the final leg of this impulse. The first sub-wave, wave (1), hit 3132.59, with smaller waves within it showing steady progress. A brief wave (2) dip ended at 3103.17, and now wave (3) is pushing prices higher. As long as the key support at 2954.6 holds, pullbacks should attract buyers, particularly in 3, 7, or 11 swings—technical levels where dips often reverse. This suggests more upside ahead for gold, appealing to both traders and investors watching this historic rally.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by Elliottwave-Forecast
1
News analysisGold technical analysis: 4-hour chart resistance 3250, support below 3178 1-hour chart resistance 3235, support below 3195. Yesterday's CPI was lower than expected, and gold broke through 3200. Today's US PPI data continues to guide the market direction. If the data results are lower than expected (forecasted to be 3.3%), it may strengthen the expectation of interest rate cuts and push gold prices to continue to break new highs. After the breakthrough, the next stage will be 3250~3280; if it exceeds expectations, it may suppress gold prices to 3175-3150 If it stands at $3235 after the news, the next upward target is 3250-3280 If the 1-hour chart K-line entity falls below $3180 after the news is released, it may test the support of 3160-3150 downward For more daily analysis, please see the update →
TVC:GOLDLong
by ActuaryJ
1
Markets revolve around US-China, gold seeks new peakAs Powell's warnings about the impact of the trade war increased market volatility, U.S. stocks and the dollar fell sharply and gold prices hit new highs. Powell warned that the central bank may have less flexibility to quickly mitigate the economic impact of President Donald Trump's trade war, comments that sent stocks lower on Wednesday. Powell reiterated that the Fed is in no rush to cut interest rates and "would prefer to wait until the situation becomes clearer before considering an adjustment to the policy stance." He also acknowledged that the Fed could face a difficult situation where its two policy goals of price stability and maximum employment conflict, as Trump's tariff policies could push up U.S. inflation and slow economic growth. Gold prices have risen nearly $700 an ounce, or nearly 28%, this year, driven by tariff disputes, expectations of interest rate cuts and strong central bank buying, outpacing the 27% gain in 2024. Gold prices have continued to rise as the escalating trade war has raised concerns about a global recession. At the same time, the Trump administration is preparing to pressure other countries to limit trade with China in response to US tariffs in US-China trade talks. US President Donald Trump on Tuesday ordered an investigation into possible tariffs on all critical minerals imported into the United States, marking a new escalation in his dispute with global trading partners and an effort to pressure China. The latest tensions between the world's two largest economies have affected the sentiment in the financial market in general, causing investors to turn to safe-haven assets such as gold. However, a profit-taking session or positive developments in US-China trade relations could trigger a sell-off. Therefore, readers/traders need to closely monitor developments surrounding the trade war to make timely changes in their trading plans to suit the market context. Technical outlook analysis of XAUUSD gold price On the daily chart, gold continues to seek and renew all-time highs with an absolutely supported uptrend in the short, medium and long term. In the long term, the price channel (a) will be set as the main trend with the main support from the EMA21, while in the short term, gold is still in an uptrend with support from the 0.382% Fibonacci extension levels and the 3,300USD whole price point right after that. In terms of momentum, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) enters the overbought zone, a downward RSI below 80 will be considered a signal for a possible correction. In the coming time, the trend and outlook of gold prices are still bullish, the declines should only be considered as short-term corrections. But this note will be very important, in a market where assets (gold) are overbought, making them a bubble, any correction will cause serious selling sentiment. As it stands, we cannot know when the US-China trade war will cool down, and any positive developments around the trade war will trigger a sell-off in the gold market, which is traditionally considered a safe haven asset. In the day, the bullish outlook for gold prices will be listed again by the following positions. Support: 3,303 – 3,300 USD Resistance: 3,337 – 3,371 USD This is the end of the article, wishing readers a productive and happy working day
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
April 17, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary: For now, bullish momentum appears to be weakening slightly, but the overall strategy remains: buy on pullbacks to support. Keep an eye on tariff-related headlines — if there's news about any suspension or reversal, the market outlook may shift quickly, and so should the trading strategy. Most importantly: ✅ Set your Stop Loss ✅ Have a clear plan ✅ Execute the plan If your plan no longer fits the current market conditions, step away — survival is key in trading! Key Levels to Watch: 3360–3365: Bullish target zone 3358: ATH resistance 3343: Support 3333: Support 3322: Support 3314: Support Short-Term (15m) Strategy: For Shorts: Enter a SELL if the price breaks below 3343. Watch 3341 for quick reaction; if the drop continues, monitor 3337, 3333, and 3328. For Longs: Enter a BUY if the price stabilizes above 3343. Watch 3348 for confirmation; if momentum continues, target 3351, 3355, and 3360. 👉 If my insights have been helpful to you, or if you traded based on my ideas, please consider giving a like — it’s a great encouragement for me! Thanks for your support! Disclaimer: This is my personal opinion and not financial advice. Please manage your risk accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ombabibi
XAU/USD 16 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed according to yesterday's analysis, however, as I mentioned in my analysis yesterday whereby I stated that price has printed a bearish CHoCH and I would continue to monitor price. Price has printed very minimal pullback and continued its bullish trajectory, therefore, I will again apply discretion and not classify a bullish iBOS. I have however marked this in red as a guide. Intraday Expectation: Await for price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback initiation phase. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price did not print according to yesterday's analysis, failing to target weak internal low by printing a bullish iBOS. This is most probably due to Trump's tariff policy and ongoing uncertainty. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. However, I will continue to monitor price. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,317.920 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK