XAUUSD:Go long
Gold bottled out and rebounded, hitting the lowest 3319 line, which just gave us the opportunity to leave the 3320 stop profit. Then, under the stimulation of the news surface, it did not break through the 3375 line. Then, combined with the previous ideas, the next need to do long strategy. Keep an eye on the breakout at 3375 during the day.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@3353-58
TP:3375-84
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XAUUSDG trade ideas
Iran hardens steel, gold rises!
📣Gold news
On Thursday (June 12, 00:00 in the Asian morning, spot gold continued to rise, reaching a high of $3,377 so far, a new high this week. The lower-than-expected US CPI data in May increased the possibility of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in September, and the trend of the US dollar and the decline in US bond yields provided a favorable environment for gold prices. At the same time, tensions in the Middle East escalated on Wednesday, and Iran said it would attack US military bases in the Middle East if negotiations broke down. The sharp rise in geopolitical tensions in the Middle East has significantly increased the safe-haven demand for gold. Although the conclusion of the US-China trade agreement has eased some market pressure, the potential impact of tariff policies on inflation still needs to be vigilant. Looking ahead, investors need to pay close attention to Thursday's PPI data and the Fed's policy trends, while keeping an eye on the situation in the Middle East. Driven by risk aversion and expectations of loose monetary policy, the gold market still has room for upside in the short term.
📣Technical side:
Yesterday's CPI data was bullish. After a brief surge, it fell back to below 3330, and then fluctuated. The rise was not strong. Late at night, Trump again called on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 100 basis points. Confidence in the Iran nuclear negotiations decreased. In the next one to two weeks, he will send a letter to trading partners to set unilateral tariffs. Uncertain risks increased. Gold rose in contact with the CPI data. In the short term, the price broke through the 3348-3353 suppression. Consider going low around this position during the day, looking at the 3383-89 suppression, stop loss 3337, pay attention to risks.
💰Strategy Package
Today's trading strategy: long around 3349. Stop loss 3337, take profit 3383
Short around 3370, stop loss 3374, take profit 3350
Trend value trading is the only way for all investors to make profits. There is no shortcut, and don't be lucky. Any investor needs to go through the process of loss, capital preservation, and profit from the beginning of entering the market. The market is definitely not a long-term paradise for speculators. A successful speculation does not mean that it can be successful from beginning to end. Only stable and continuous profits can make a person successful. There must be rules here. If you don't break the rules, you won't be eliminated.
Gold fluctuates at high levels, where will the price go?
Market review
The volatile trend continued on Tuesday, with the Asian session falling under pressure, rebounding in the European session, and sweeping the $30 range in the US session.
It rose after confirming support in the morning session today, but fell back in the European session without breaking the previous low. Pay attention to whether it can continue to rise.
Key structural analysis
Weekly level
Watershed: 3295 (last week's low and this week's support), breaking it will open up downward space.
Daily level
The Bollinger band narrowed, support moved up to 3311 (MA30), and the upper rail resistance was 3403.
Relying on the lifeline to rebound for three consecutive days, the range will remain volatile in the short term.
4-hour level
The Bollinger band closed, breaking through the lifeline 3328 and turning into support. If it holds, it will look up to 3360-3365 (upper rail).
If 3328 is lost, the support of 3295-3290 will be seen.
Intraday trading strategy
Bull idea (need to hold 3328)
Target 1: 3347-3349 (near yesterday's high)
Target 2: 3360-3365 (4-hour upper rail resistance)
Stop loss: below 3328 (if it falls below, turn short)
Bear idea (if it falls below 3328)
Target 1: 3315-3318 (early low)
Target 2: 3295-3300 (weekly key support)
Key observation points
The trend of the European session determines the direction of the US session
If the European session stands above 3330 and breaks through 3340, the US session is expected to test 3360.
If the European session falls below 3328, the US session may fall to 3315 or even 3300.
Whether the 4-hour Bollinger Band is open
If it breaks through 3360 or falls below 3295, it will guide the trend direction.
(The current gold price is around 3340. Pay attention to whether the European session can continue the upward trend and adjust the strategy before the US session.)
Risk warning: The recent market is highly repetitive. Strictly stop loss to avoid large retracements caused by abnormal data or institutional changes.
XAUUSD holding rangebound 3325-3345H1 & H4 Timeframe
Gold is still on parallel channel and holding the Range area 3325-3345.
Although we took 2 buy trades at 3330 zone and 450 pips tp hit.
What possible scenario we have?
Bearish scanario:
If 3320 breaks and candle closes below then keep focus on 3280-3290 target.
Bullish scanario
if gold breaks through H1 or H4 candle closes above 3345 we will continue to buy and look at 3380.
#XAUUSD
CPI NEWS TRADE (XAUUSD)📉📈 Market Update – Consolidation Before CPI Storm ⚠️
Today, the market is consolidating within a key support and resistance zone. No major moves are expected until the CPI release, which is anticipated to act as a major catalyst.
🚀 CPI data could ignite a breakout in either direction – a strong rally to the upside or a sharp decline.
📊 Our Plan:
🔹 Break above resistance → We look for buying opportunities.
🔹 Break below support → We prepare to sell or short the market.
🎯 Until then, we remain patient and disciplined, waiting for a confirmed breakout. No need to jump the gun – let the market come to you.
💡 Trading Tip of the Day:
“Trade the breakout, not the forecast.” Avoid predicting the direction. Instead, react to price action with a solid risk management plan. 🧠💼
GOLD (XAU/USD) – 30M Trade Setup – June 11, 2025GOLD (XAU/USD) – 30M Trade Setup – June 11, 2025
Bias: Short (Bearish Pullback Continuation Under 3,350)
SELL SETUP
Entry:
Below 3,338 (break of minor intraday support and confirmation of bearish continuation)
Stop-Loss (SL):
3,353 (above recent local high and intraday resistance)
Take-Profit 1 (TP1):
3,320 (early week support zone)
Take-Profit 2 (TP2):
3,300 (deeper support and key structure level)
Technical Confluence
MACD:
Bullish momentum cooling after recent push
Histogram starting to flatten after short upside expansion
RSI:
Sitting at 61.22, pulling back from overbought territory
Slight bearish divergence visible with price action
Price Action:
Series of lower highs forming after sharp bounce
Recent upside capped near 3,345
Risk of further pullback increases if price breaks below 3,338
Risk Rating: Medium
Market still digesting recent move; watch for confirmation under 3,338 to avoid early entry fakeouts.
Gold Analysis – June 11Safe-haven demand increased after a U.S. appeals court upheld Trump-era tariffs, overshadowing optimism from a U.S.–China trade framework. While the agreement hinted at progress, the lack of details and looming tariff deadlines kept risk sentiment in check.
The market is now focused on today’s U.S. CPI release, expected to show sticky inflation in May. Strong inflation data could support the Fed’s stance on keeping rates elevated, which has kept the dollar firm and capped gains in metals — but for now, gold remains bid on geopolitical and inflation uncertainty.
XAUUSDXAUUSD Short Scalp Trade Setup
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently displaying strong bearish momentum, with price aggressively rejecting key resistance levels and forming lower highs on the lower timeframes. A sharp breakdown below intraday support suggests increased selling pressure, supported by bearish candlestick structure and volume. Momentum indicators confirm downside continuation, presenting a clean opportunity for a short scalp
Gold rises and then falls, short at 3330📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical situation
2. Impact of the US dollar trend on gold
📈 Market analysis:
Gold rebounded again after falling to 3301, but the upper 3330-3340 line still has strong suppression on gold. Judging from the current trend, because the gold price has risen in the short term and returned to the 3325-3327 line, the short-term resistance is still 3330-3335 and it is expected to fall under pressure. Look for the 3315-3310 position. If it falls below this support, look down to the 3300-3290 line.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3330-3340
TP 3315-3310-3300
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold trading strategy todayGold fell to test the support near 3300 and then rose again, still in an overall consolidation range. Today's trading range focuses on 3290-3340, and the upper resistance area is 3340-3350. The trading strategy remains to short first and then go long.
xauusd sell@3330-3340
tp:3310-3300
Trading Gold with Leverage: Smart or Dangerous?XAUUSD trading (Gold vs. US Dollar) is a popular choice among global traders due to its high liquidity, strong volatility, and profit potential. One of the tools that help traders amplify their returns is financial leverage. However, using leverage also carries significant risks if not managed properly. So, what exactly is leverage in XAUUSD trading? Should you use it? Let’s explore the advantages and disadvantages below.
1. What is Leverage in XAUUSD Trading?
Leverage is a financial tool that allows traders to control a larger position in the market than the capital they actually own. For example, with 1:100 leverage, you only need $1,000 to trade a position worth $100,000.
In the XAUUSD market, brokers often offer leverage ranging from 1:50 to 1:500, or even up to 1:2000—depending on their risk policies and regulations.
2. Pros of Using Leverage in XAUUSD Trading
🔹 Amplifies Potential Profits
Leverage allows traders to maximize profits with a relatively small amount of capital. When the market moves in the expected direction, the gains can be multiplied significantly.
🔹 Lower Capital Requirement
Instead of needing $10,000 to trade 1 lot of gold, a trader may only need $100–$500 depending on the leverage. This lowers the entry barrier and offers greater flexibility in capital management.
🔹 Enables Strategy Diversification
With the same amount of capital, traders can open multiple positions across different timeframes or strategies. Leverage allows for broader portfolio diversification while still maintaining control over total risk.
🔹 Takes Advantage of Short-Term Opportunities
Gold markets often react strongly to news and economic data. Leverage lets traders capitalize on short-term price swings, enabling faster profits without needing to hold positions long-term.
3. Cons and Risks of Using Leverage in XAUUSD Trading
Risk of Account Blowout
The higher the leverage, the lower the safety margin. A small market move against the position can trigger a margin call or stop-out, resulting in a full loss of the initial capital.
Emotional and Psychological Stress
High leverage often leads traders to gamble instead of follow a strategy, increasing the likelihood of emotional decisions and impulsive trading behaviors.
Difficult to Manage During Volatility
XAUUSD is a highly volatile asset, especially during U.S. sessions or major news releases (like CPI, Fed announcements, NFP). Over-leveraging can lead to rapid losses in seconds during sudden price spikes.
Increased Emotional Pressure
When using high leverage, every small fluctuation feels significant, causing stress and encouraging poor decisions—like exiting too early or revenge trading.
4. Conclusion: Should You Use Leverage in XAUUSD Trading?
Yes, but only with a disciplined and strategic approach.
Use moderate leverage (e.g. 1:100 or lower if you're a beginner)
Always set clear stop-loss and take-profit levels
Risk no more than 2% of your account per trade
Avoid “all-in” trades and don’t let emotions dictate position size
In Summary
Leverage in XAUUSD trading is a double-edged sword. Used wisely, it accelerates your profit potential. Used recklessly, it can wipe out your account in moments. The key is to trade with discipline, knowledge, and a solid plan to harness the power of leverage without falling into its traps.
GOLD/USD expected to fall to a final target marked further down
The chart shows a harmonic pattern (possibly a Gartley or Bat pattern), labeled with the points X, A, B, C, D.
This suggests a potential reversal zone around point D.
Fibonacci ratios are visible between the segments (e.g., 0.569, 1.495, 0.656), which are typically used in harmonic trading to validate the structure.
3. Price Levels:
Current price levels are:
Sell: 3,316.766
Buy: 3,317.136
The price is located just below a resistance zone, with an apparent support zone below.
4. Support and Resistance:
Several horizontal support and resistance zones are marked on the chart.
A key support level is noted, below which the price is expected to fall to a “final target” marked further down.
5. Projection:
A projected path is drawn in black, showing potential short-term consolidation or retracement before a drop to the final target area (around 3,150.000 or lower).
6. Additional Interface Details:
The platform in use is TradingView.
The date range shown is from early April to mid-June 2025.
The final arrow indicates a bearish outlook.
Interpretation:
This chart suggests a bearish trading plan for XAU/USD based on the harmonic pattern and key price levels. The trader appears to expect a retracement followed by a significant drop, possibly targeting the area labeled as “final target.”
Elliott Wave Analysis – Trading Strategy Update | June 10, 2025
Currently, the market is presenting multiple wave scenarios with nearly equal probabilities. To avoid noise and gain clarity, we are shifting our analysis to the H4 timeframe.
🔹 Key Price Zone
As highlighted in yesterday’s update, the 3340 level remains a critical resistance. Price failed to break above this level and has since pulled back to 3307.
🔹 Momentum & Volume Profile
- H4 Momentum: Just one more H4 candle and the momentum indicator will likely enter the oversold zone, suggesting that the bearish momentum is weakening.
- Volume Profile: Price is clearly reacting at the green POC zone, with no signs of a breakdown yet.
🧩 Two Main Scenarios:
Scenario 1: Wave 5 Continues Lower
Price is potentially forming wave 5, with:
🎯 Target 1: 3290
🎯 Target 2: 3279
✅ Confirmation: Break below 3294
⚠️ Note: This is the most obvious scenario, and in trading, what’s most obvious often requires the most caution.
Scenario 2: Correction Completed – Wave 3 Uptrend Forming
- The black ABC correction has likely completed.
- The recent upward move could be wave 1; the current pullback is wave 2.
- Wave 3 is expected next.
✅ Necessary Condition: Price breaks above 3340
✅ Sufficient Condition: Price breaks the top of wave b (black)
➡️ For this scenario, limit orders may not be effective — real-time confirmation will be required.
📉 Momentum Overview:
- D1 Timeframe: Approaching oversold territory — likely to see a recovery over the next 5–7 daily candles.
- H4 Timeframe: Also nearing oversold — an intraday bounce is expected today.
🎯 Trading Plan:
🔵 Buy Zone 1:
Entry: 3292 – 3289
Stop Loss: 3282
TP1: 3306
TP2: 3340
TP3: 3375
🔵 Buy Zone 2:
Entry: 3281 – 3279
Stop Loss: 3271
TP1: 3307
TP2: 3340
TP3: 3375
GOLD LONG🔥 XAUUSD TRADING PLAN – 4H/15M Confluence-Based Setup (as of June 9, 2025)
🧠 Bias: STRONGLY BULLISH (while above $3,290)
🔍 TRADE OVERVIEW
Item
Detail
Pair
XAUUSD (Gold)
Timeframes
4H (macro bias), 15M (entry precision)
Entry Style
Scale-in with confirmation from lower TF
Risk Type
Aggressive with tight SL
Target
$3,500 (ATH)
Stop Loss
Initial SL: $3,288 (tight), invalidation SL: $3,280
RR Ratio
1:4+ minimum
✅ ENTRY ZONES (with reasons and confluences):
🔹 Zone 1: $3,294 – $3,308 (LIVE price area)
🔁 Type: Immediate entry on confirmation (15M bullish structure)
📌 Reasons:
✅ 4H Key Support from previous horizontal base.
✅ 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement of major bullish leg.
✅ Demand Zone tapped twice on 4H and 15M.
✅ Bullish Rejection Candles forming in both TFs.
✅ Break and Retest of descending wedge/channel on 15M.
✅ Touch of ascending trendline on 4H — trend still active.
🎯 Entry: Execute small size position now around $3,298–$3,306
📍 SL: $3,288 (below trendline wick trap + structure)
📍 TP1: $3,336
📍 TP2: $3,375
📍 TP3: $3,420
📍 TP4: $3,500
🔹 Zone 2: $3,266 – $3,280 (Deeper pullback entry)
🔁 Type: Scale-in/add-on (limit order)
📌 Reasons:
✅ 50%–61.8% Fibonacci Zone (mean reversion level).
✅ 4H Trendline Deviation Trap Zone (fake-out potential).
✅ Liquidity Sweep Zone below current support = classic entry trap.
✅ Reversal candlesticks expected on 15M here if tested.
🎯 Entry: Set limit orders at $3,274 ±3
📍 SL: $3,258
📍 TP: Same levels — ride toward ATH with scaling logic
🧱 TRADE MANAGEMENT – SCALING STRATEGY
Position
Entry Zone
SL
Risk %
TP1
TP2
TP3
TP4
Entry #1
$3,298–$3,306
$3,288
0.5%
$3,336
$3,375
$3,420
$3,500
Entry #2
$3,266–$3,274
$3,258
0.75%
$3,336
$3,375
$3,420
$3,500
Entry #3 (Optional Pullback Buy)
$3,230
$3,218
0.5%
$3,294
$3,336
$3,420
$3,500
💡 Total Risk: ~1.75% with staggered entries
📈 Scaling Out: Partial profit on each target, trailing SL above structure post TP2
🔁 LIVE MONITORING SIGNALS
If you see this...
Then do this...
Bullish engulfing on 15M in Zone 1
Enter with tight SL
Breakout above $3,320
Move SL to BE
Retest of $3,294 with strong rejection
Re-enter/add-on
Clean break down below $3,280
Close position; wait for $3,230
📉 INVALIDATION CONDITIONS
Clean 4H close below $3,280 AND break of trendline support
Break of 61.8% zone ($3,266) without reversal pattern
Sudden fundamental shock (e.g. CPI/NFP ruining trend)
🏁 FINAL TARGET PATH
✅ $3,336 – intraday resistance
✅ $3,375 – minor swing high
🔜 $3,420 – clean breakout zone
🏁 $3,500 ATH – Final TP target, psychological + technical milestone
H4 swing order analysis for traders, Trade Swing H4 GoldH4 swing order analysis for traders, pay attention to wave 5 to confirm Long-term Sell
James Stanley, senior strategist at Forex.com, said: "I remain bullish on gold and will look for new support for the broader trend to continue.
Gold has made a new short-term high, with the price rising above $3,350/oz. Therefore, I do not rule out the possibility of this uptrend continuing and will look for new support, especially at $3,300/oz and $3,280/oz," he said.
Rich Checkan, Chairman and CEO of Asset Strategies International, said: "The current momentum favors gold and silver. While there may be some profit-taking, I expect gold to continue to rise next week thanks to the weakness of the US dollar, political tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine, the impact of tariffs and the passage of a major bill in the US that will increase public debt, leading to consumer inflation. These factors will continue to drive demand for gold as a safe-haven asset."
Adrian Day, Chairman of Adrian Day Asset Management, shared: "There are signs that North American investors are increasing their purchases of gold, although not a strong wave, but I believe this trend is gradually changing. This is a positive signal for the gold market in the future."
Best Regards StarrOne !!!
Pay close attention to this ☠️
The markets are supposed to open on an upward gap, but according to my analysis, it should be a small downward gap and then the price covers the previous price gap at 3295 and then the bullish party begins with all the power of the global economy.
But I say this from my pulpit. A bullish price gap and very high liquidity at the opening and then the markets calm down for hours and by ten o'clock in the morning on Monday, gold will have covered the previous gap at 3295 and rebounded upwards above the gap or opening price this week.
This and God knows best ❤️
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